Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 3 Showdown | March 1, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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PGA Round 3 Showdown | March 1, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
All systems going clear? Who left? What's up? Everyone? Tyler Tambaline
0:38
here aka TOTEG and Tambo back for another edition, Round three edition at the
0:43
Cognizant here going through all things PGA Showdown, gonna be talking DraftKings. Was
0:48
gonna go and wait a little bit longer, but got the news we needed.
0:51
It just came out. They're gonna go back out first thing in the
0:53
morning. For those that don't know the round was suspended, there's some guys
0:56
still out there. We'll talk about that. We'll scroll through. Look who's
0:59
down on the that we're waiting on. Jimmy Stanger, our guy, We've
1:02
been talking about him all week. He's got an eight footer that he needs
1:04
to make to make the cuts. Who will be sweating that. I'm sure
1:07
many others in the community with the jokes of course of Jimmy Stanger getting steamed
1:11
up to a cooler point four percent this week. But more to go through.
1:15
We're gonna do it a little bit different today. I'll show you guys
1:18
what I mean in a minute when I get there. But other news and
1:22
the big news that we're waiting on, I just want to see how they
1:23
were gonna go out in the morning, it is gonna be threesomes off of
1:26
one. So once to get everything rolling again in the morning and they go
1:29
out, they're gonna go out threesomes off of one. I'll look at the
1:30
weather, I'll break all that down, We'll go through, gonna go through
1:34
stats and show you guys some of that, and then flip it over to
1:38
you know, look at the pricing as we go with what that looks like,
1:40
versus pulling it up in the solver when we don't fully have who's in
1:44
who's out. I'll go to there at the beginning and start with that.
1:47
But let me know in the chat who crushed your dreams. I think I
1:49
got a big idea of it, but I saw already so less than five
1:53
percent. It looks like for six to six this week in most of the
1:56
main tournaments, you know, other stuff. I saw just the waved advantage
2:00
AMPM ended up having a decent advantage over a stroke, So I like PMM.
2:06
I also liked stacking both sides. We talked about even on the chat.
2:08
There was two real ways to look at it. If you went PMM,
2:12
you were thinking if it did bake out or if it did get extra
2:14
windy in the afternoon on top of the cut sweat on Sunday afternoons or sorry,
2:17
on Friday afternoons. It could go in your favor, but if you
2:21
wanted them in what we knew were gonna be the very best conditions. It
2:23
was the am on day one. We took advantage of it and showdown our
2:27
guy. I love Rory. I think he eventually got his money. It
2:29
took them a while to pay it out after the delay, even of knowing
2:31
it wasn't gonna end till this morning. But yeah, Berger, Sebez,
2:36
Steven Yager, like just lots of guys and then my guy Greg Bud Caleyweek
2:40
who knew a couple of people in the chat liked him over in the discord
2:44
at ship a Nation, But people a Parker Coody, he's doing just as
2:46
good. You kind of could have set him up boat shut at the razor
2:50
sharp first in gonna get it loaded up here though, for you guys,
2:53
just give me one second, see what we're at. Gonna start with a
2:55
couple quick things, get them out of the way, and then we'll dive
2:58
right into it like always by just see you guys. See there. One
3:00
quick note We had a couple of people ask about this, just didn't have
3:05
the time today to go through it. So we're gonna let it go for
3:07
one more night on the giveaway, so tomorrow we'll announce it. It's a
3:10
Saturday. Everybody's around or can get to their computer, X, Twitter,
3:15
whatever you want to call it and see it there. But if you go
3:16
over on x at Totag and Tambo, just scroll down and find the giveaway.
3:21
All it is basically just a lot of the stuff in the chat that
3:23
we see every single day coming into the ship and nation discord is around goals,
3:28
mindset, bankroll management, contest select. I see a lot of people
3:30
say, oh, another bad week for me. How many bad weeks did
3:34
you have? Oh, it's a second in a row. I mean,
3:36
this is just standard stuff for pgadfs. You gotta fight through it, hope
3:38
for these weeks like Hoop and I and other members have been having throughout the
3:43
season, the swing season all that, but you're gonna have bad weeks.
3:45
But this really talks a lot, especially in this part, from the goals
3:47
mindset right up to sort of the twenty max mme. Even if you just
3:52
want to go in and check on this. If you're a member, you
3:54
already get access to this. If you're not a member, you can get
3:57
into the giveaway. We're actually gonna give away three monthly memberships to the site
4:00
where you get this, the NBA course, the NFL one, plus all
4:04
the coverage for the other sports. Somebody asked me that today, just everything
4:08
else that's going on, what do you guys have. There's gonna be projections
4:12
for all the sports that are running that we carry the eight major sports,
4:15
but obviously NFL over college football not back yet. So NBA even with the
4:19
no late swap tonight, we've got the projections, the ownership, there's showdown
4:24
coverage, all the core reports and slate plans, but some cool tools as
4:27
well with the ceiling rankings and the correlation sheet with injuries and things like that.
4:30
We've got PGA right now full speed. The stone's still going. I'm
4:33
going to show you guys that later because I think the way I do this
4:36
show will make you want to see why it's good to have the stone.
4:41
It's a way you can apply it and bring it across. And I'll show
4:43
you guys more on that when we get there. But all the stuff for
4:46
the main slate, MMA full swing right now. Just a ton of MMA
4:48
stuff going on. UFC two ninety nine coming up soon. I know there's
4:51
one this weekend already, but you UFC two nine nine I think is coming
4:55
up soon as well, Big pay per view again. So just lots of
4:58
MMA on the go there. I see other sites adding it. That's awesome.
5:00
MMA is growing. But this is included with your membership at ship a
5:03
Nation, NHL full fling right now, all in, and then MLB is
5:08
coming back here. I believe it's the end of March, NASCAR again start
5:12
we do Cup series, so to be clear on that one. But there's
5:15
the stone. We have a stone, the core report, the slate,
5:16
plant projections and ownership, so can check all that out. If you want
5:19
to check out the education courses, they're over here. And then one last
5:23
quick note, if you didn't get the giveaway tomorrow and it doesn't go your
5:27
way, you can go to the site and just put in your email and
5:30
sign up and get the Showdown mini course. So if you want Hoop and
5:32
I talking about PGA Showdown, you could definitely go and do that also right
5:36
now. If you go to the site PGA or main memberships doesn't matter for
5:40
all access or not. You can get fifteen percent off any membership plan and
5:43
it stays with you as long as you stay with it. So if you
5:46
take this and use it on the thirty nine dollars monthly PGA membership drops it
5:50
down, you will continue to get that renewal price. Same thing if you
5:54
buy the annual renewed next year for that, I mean less than a dollar
5:57
a day for that. And then the last thing before we hop into and
6:00
I'll show you guys other stuff here is fifty eight dollars a month. If
6:03
you're PGA only, you can upgrade, so just let me know if you
6:06
guys need that. If you don't see it in your account on the site,
6:10
you can go up to the very top under account see about upgrading annual
6:13
though five oh nine I just mentioned it like other sites will get like MMA
6:16
for example, or they have NASCAR only or whatever it might be. These
6:19
are typically two hundred to five hundred type dollars that you're having to go and
6:24
spend. This is five oh nine, but you're gonna get all eight of
6:27
the major sports for the entire year. So if you want to use that,
6:30
you guys can check it out. Go use code hoop fifteen. Let's
6:32
hop into today. I'm gonna pull up a couple of things. I'm gonna
6:35
start on the Data Golf website. I know a lot of people you know,
6:40
wonder what site I'm using as I'm going through going through this stuff,
6:42
how am I finding out the information and breaking it all down. Gonna do
6:45
a bit of a emphasis on that today, just so you guys can see
6:47
it. One thing I hate about certain optimizers and things that you do when
6:50
you're working within them is if you don't have the cut yet for round three,
6:55
which you don't. As you can see, you can sort this one
6:57
here. It shows there's still guys out on sixteen seventeen eighteen. This is
7:00
the holes they're through, So what they have left remaining? I mentioned my
7:03
guy Stanger, he's got the par five eighteenth remaining. But if you go
7:08
to your shot tracker you'll be able to see it's an eight foot and change
7:11
putt that he has left. So this is a good spot to look at
7:14
it. This is where I would start it at and then go from here
7:16
to the stone, which I'll show you guys after something you can get over
7:19
at ship at nation dot com. But just to check it out, let's
7:23
go down to the bottom here for a second and see the cuts. Already
7:27
locked in at two we know that, so all these guys are already locked
7:30
in. I just talked about Stanger, and that's why it's important if he
7:32
makes that eight footer gets him the two under and he makes the cut,
7:35
pretty obvious stuff. I didn't go look up ud to see where he was
7:39
at. But just another guy. This is the guy. These are the
7:42
guys that hurt people, Bizeidenhout, McCarthy, Pendrith. What did by the
7:48
way, what did Svenson end up doing here? I'm just gonna look it
7:51
up quickly because I can spencon. Yeah, he was horrible. I thought
7:56
like that could be a nice little pivot there if you went to the other
7:58
Canadian for one hundred bucks more. And it still did not work out because
8:01
Pendrith finished at one under Rasmus, one under who else? Yager? We
8:05
already talked about him, bad Luke list just no good down the stretch.
8:09
So he was a guy that hurt us. Who else? Anybody else?
8:15
Don't see it. Some of these other guys won't get through anyway. I
8:18
saw earlier. I think he already w d'd. Yeah, shut up.
8:20
So Chandler Phillips was out there on his last hole as well, but he
8:24
was already plus one, I believe, so there's no chance to make the
8:26
cut for him, so he WDD. So not really much that I see
8:30
that we're waiting on that you're going to be super excited about here, Like,
8:33
you know, could you play one of these two guys tomorrow morning and
8:37
just hope and see what it looks like and see how it goes. Yes,
8:39
but I don't think it's gonna be any crazy leverage or anything like that
8:41
based on that. Let me quickly check the weather just on my other monitor
8:45
here, so we see it. But again mentioning it, that's the news.
8:48
Why I wanted to wait for it is we are getting them going off
8:50
in threesomes off of one. There's not split tea's or anything like that.
8:54
It looks like what's on the screen here now sixty eight guys, if not
8:58
a little bit more based on Stanger and Rio, but I think, uh,
9:03
I think Rio's actually in the bunker on eighteen, so we'll see how
9:05
he goes and gets out of there. But just to look at it again,
9:09
who else do we have? Weather looks like seven to ten miles an
9:13
hour throughout the day, a little bit more wind first thing in the morning.
9:18
So the one interesting note will be obviously that these guys will play,
9:20
so the best golfers so far will be playing later and it looks like the
9:24
wind gus could die down a little bit, but there's also a little bit
9:26
of precipitation in the morning, so like, I'm just not going with that
9:30
today. I don't see it as much today. Even I think it was
9:33
point five exact before we get to the final stuff, just to see Cole
9:37
was still a disaster. Yeah, I mean, Cole was just exactly what
9:41
we said yesterday on the show, like is super risk reward type play one,
9:46
two, three, four or five birdies? This is where I'm counting
9:48
them up. He left two of the power five's out there. He actually
9:52
gained n approach even with some big losses on certain holes, and then the
9:56
putter was there, so again it's all rel too. This is what I
10:00
mean. People are ridiculous like the stuff they say and don't quite understand how
10:03
showdown works. He was basically the exact same as Russell Henley Russell Henley had
10:09
five birdies on the day, no streak, no eagle, nothing special to
10:11
write home about. It was what was the delta, like twenty percent in
10:15
the difference or something between the two of them. So again people don't understand
10:18
showdown. They think it matters what happened in round one. It has absolutely
10:22
nothing. What matters is what happened in round one so that we can make
10:24
a decision going into round two. That's part of the process is knowing that
10:28
it's you know, just because somebody has a great round like Max Greyersman and
10:31
we know his story that he grew up there, he's played one hundred times
10:35
all that. Let's see if he shoots five under or better tomorrow. I'm
10:37
not even sure where he's at on the last holes of right now, and
10:39
give it a try. But the day before it was just four birdies,
10:43
nothing special, nothing serious. Go back to it. Here, gained it
10:48
all around the green, gained it all putting. Oh, there's no way
10:50
he can have a good round the next day. You can't play him in
10:52
round two. He sucks. Oh wait, gains almost five strokes on approach,
10:56
has a huge round and has even more he's even more a streak one,
11:01
two, three, four, five, six, seven birdies. I
11:03
don't even know where he is on the par five. So again, people
11:05
just don't understand it, and that's why there's an edge still, and a
11:09
bigger edge. You talk to a lot of pro players, guys that play
11:11
full time or anything like that at all these live finals and whatnot, they'll
11:13
tell you their ROI is much better in showdown than it is on classic slate,
11:18
where there's so much variance. It's hard to account for the streaks,
11:20
the last minute guts to win the water hole on seventeen that cost you the
11:24
week, all those guys that we're talking down here, that cost you your
11:28
tournament. So your six to six is or whatever. So my point would
11:31
be again we will embrace that, We'll continue to talk about it out loud
11:35
and let people continue to talk shit about it on the opposite side. It
11:39
has nothing to do with that. Eric Cole basically did the same thing as
11:41
Russell Henley today, but everybody said Cole was a terrible play and there's no
11:46
way you could play them. It didn't end up mattering. But it's saying
11:48
at the two guys priced at the exact same price point, one hundred bucks
11:50
apart. Everyone was playing Henley for the morning wave and all this other stuff
11:54
versus taking a shot on Cole. I think he ended up ten or eleven
11:56
percent or something. So either way, I digress, just to point it
12:00
out so people know that that is something that you want to take into consideration
12:03
when you're looking at it. And again going back to the stone, I
12:07
now have the updated versions because yesterday we're using last week's. This is from
12:11
today for round two. Look at Eric Cole here, we know he was
12:16
a high leverage play. We actually thought he was going to come in closer
12:18
to fourteen percent. I think he ended up coming in eleven or twelve unless
12:22
in some of the higher dollars, smaller field stuff you got him at like
12:24
eight or nine. And again not preaching what he did. It was just
12:28
five birdies whatever. There's other guys. Fitzpatrick crushed him, Tom Kim crushed
12:31
him. There's lots of ways you can think about this. It's more of
12:35
a learn from this. There's four slates a week, Round one through Round
12:39
four. There's like forty golf events on the year. There's a lot of
12:41
showdown slates and a lot of what you're learning you could take away and use
12:45
in the future. On these other slates, most people would just see this
12:48
give him the old or he could and see what he could do. But
12:52
if you look, he had a chance for everything to really bounce back in
12:56
his favor, and hed historically been pretty good in round two. So on
12:58
the stone it lists everything that we're basically looking at over here, but then
13:03
it does a better job of taking it in and I'll refer back to it
13:05
maybe a couple more times just to show you. But you start to see
13:09
it all in one place. You've got your DK pricing, you've got our
13:11
ownership, you've got the T times, you've got projection ceiling. What their
13:16
approach looked like. The true approach is basically taking out some of these one
13:20
off strokes or things here and there that you don't really want to account for,
13:24
like we talked about with certain guys who have it. Let me just
13:26
see one thing, Sorry guys, Yeah, nothing we can do about that.
13:31
No late swap tonight NBA. So I was just looking to see if
13:35
there was more news that came out in NBA. There was, but there's
13:37
nothing I could do to change that. So either way, just to note
13:39
it here back to it. This is the way to see all of it
13:41
one place, but the true approach will take out some of the outlier scores.
13:46
Or you know again, maybe I can show it here. Who who
13:48
is the guy I was just using for this? Maybe it was Grares,
13:52
No, it wasn't Gras. Who was the guy I was just talking about
13:54
that we could have looked up here. Let me just see if I see
13:56
one somewhere. So going through these guys, this is why sometimes I'll say,
14:01
like there was some really bad holes. So like a guy like Victor
14:05
Perez today, a lot of people will just see the short game and say
14:07
it wasn't even that good of an approach to day. But you could see
14:09
one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight,
14:15
nine, ten, eleven, you know, almost twelve, like almost
14:18
twelve the holes. He was fine on approach, and he cost himself a
14:20
stroke and a half almost between point one point three two on this or he
14:24
would have looked a lot better over here. And again, people just don't
14:26
deep dive or dig into this. So hopefully this version of this week will
14:31
help you guys out. If everybody misses out on the Round three show,
14:33
they won't see this stuff. But just to note it, I think that's
14:35
kind of the angle here where when doing this takes a long time to go
14:41
through it all and to find out what you want to do, versus when
14:43
you have the stone, it's literally all in one place. It's got the
14:46
golfers, the prices, all this stuff. But then you could start to
14:48
see their expectations for what's gonna happen in the next round, this would say
14:52
round three today. You get their approach stats here in one place, you
14:56
get what they were putting like, and you can start to make some decisions.
15:00
And then there's been extra work behind the scenes put in to come up
15:03
with some pivots, some sleep or some high leverage based on their price cash
15:07
options, GVP high upside. I mean, this is the best tool in
15:09
all of pgidfs, and you get it when you sign up for ship Nation.
15:13
Again, sometimes people try and confuse that, no, I'm not sure
15:16
if there's value, I'm not sure what I'm doing this, that and the
15:18
other, And it's all you're doing is selling your stuff. This is something
15:22
that you could definitely use if you're watching this show. Even if you like
15:24
this part that I'm showing you about data golf and you could just go over
15:28
here and go to the interactive tournament stats and go to live stats and get
15:31
access to it. This does nothing for you. You now gotta spend probably
15:35
hours tonight going through and digging in to all of this stuff. Or you
15:39
could just have the stone, have it all in one place, and then
15:41
you wonder why these logos are all flying up at the top every week in
15:43
showdown. That is part of it. It's not even cockiness. It's saying
15:48
when you can save time, have it all in one place. That's the
15:50
key and why I wanted to show you guys this today. So the way
15:52
we'll do it is quick. I'm not gonna spend all day on here going
15:56
through it again. We know we can see what this leaderboard. I think
15:58
this is the best way to do it is to go down and sort of
16:00
have some stuff. If you guys have guys that we want to check on,
16:03
like right here, my guy, Charlie says Riley, let me just
16:07
pull it up that way. It's better off. And look at Riley and
16:10
this is probably, you know, maybe Charlie's take. Maybe Charlie has looked
16:12
ahead. But just to note, Davis, Riley had himself a day,
16:15
solid on approach, solid putting. Everything else off the tea is good,
16:19
but let's dig in, okay, one, two, three, four or
16:22
five birdies left the par five out there, bogie free round. When I
16:26
say stuff too, like again this is all you know, butterfly effects stuff
16:30
too, where it's like I'll say, oh, he could have had a
16:32
streak here, could have had a streak here, et cetera. Of course,
16:36
if he gets this one, he may not get this one. There's
16:37
variants, there's all these other factors. What I look at though, is
16:40
like if there was something really bad happened here, and then you know,
16:44
it's like, you know, miss the putt lost zero point six strokes putting
16:48
means he missed a very short pot here and it would have been something It
16:51
would have helped either way for a streak, but either way, to me,
16:53
I see no crazy outliers. He did have one hole that gained him
16:56
a lot of that approach. But it's the same thing backwards we talked about
17:00
earlier, where if you took this away, it would still be just fine
17:03
and his approach would still be pretty solid across the board one point four to
17:06
six or something. If you want to run this out or just take away
17:10
one off it or something. My point being this is how you can deep
17:12
dive and dig into it. So that's Riley. But going back down through,
17:15
don't think I'm gonna be chasing the bud Cally round. He's playing great
17:18
right now and that's fine, but just to note it again, usually it's
17:22
hard to back up these big rounds, saying with like a garrick, hego
17:25
one guy echroed who's looked pretty good and fits the narrative that we're setting things
17:30
up for right We got you know, one, two, three, four,
17:33
five, six, seven, eight, nine birdies on round one you
17:36
clicked around two. It's only four birdies, but again one of the par
17:38
five's left out there, no real special streaks. The approach was very solid
17:42
across the board, the holes. He's losing it on very little big one,
17:48
big game right here. But even if you again, you can't take
17:52
it away. He earned it. He made that shot. It's one great
17:53
shot, but even if you took it away, it wouldn't kill you here.
17:56
And he still wasn't great with the putter. So Ekro would be the
18:00
first one I would look at and say, and we're not gonna do it
18:02
again. If you guys have something you want me to look up and throw
18:03
him in there by all means, but Echro seventy three hundred on tomorrow Slate.
18:07
I can tell you that a lot of people that go to this are
18:10
just gonna look at this stuff. So you're gonna see interesting ownership on guys
18:14
like Grayersman, Matt you, Pevon, you're gonna see it. Parker Coody.
18:18
Maybe I'll look at him in a second, Echro. And this is
18:19
another way you can sort of and look at it, where you just look
18:22
at it by the strokes gained approach. This is what a lot of people
18:25
do. They're gonna go to Greyersman, of course, and probably for good
18:27
reason, Dialed, this could be on approach even with the huge gains.
18:33
It's everywhere right, there's no real losses on the front, there's no real
18:37
crazy losses on the back. He made a bogie. That's where he lost
18:40
it all with the putter, so he actually would probably have positive putting if
18:44
you went and looked at this. And yet now piano man, shout out
18:47
the piano man, that was incredible. We got the video for it too,
18:48
And damon this ain't me if you know me. That's why James is
18:52
so special, one of a kind, right that. You know, he's
18:55
got the f counter, he's got it all figured out. What you could
18:56
play with him, play it against him for money, all those factors.
19:00
I just don't usually swear a lot. But it's fine, Like I love
19:03
it. I love that everybody's different and that's what they do. So to
19:07
go to it here, I said, pull up D three. This is
19:11
where you see it right minus four point seven, And this is what people
19:15
will say, look at it. It's all right here. And that was
19:18
the thing I will show this now, Like let's go back to this for
19:21
a second, to our Eric Cole argument. Double down here. So round
19:25
one, everyone's saying, this guy absolutely sucks. There's no way he could
19:30
do anything around two. He lost six strokes on approach. He's a loser.
19:33
You're an idiot if you play this guy. How could you do it?
19:37
It's because you have to dig. You got to dig in deeper.
19:38
You go back and dig into his Round one, well, there's almost there's
19:41
over a stroke and a half that gets the three, that gets to four
19:47
and a half that gets to six. So it was four bad holes and
19:51
it hurts you overall and crushes you. On classic slate, I put the
19:53
airplane out for the guy yesterday because there's no way, and I know he's
19:56
going down the street to the API. But the point it's just it's not
20:00
he's not gonna bounce back from that round, but in round two it doesn't
20:04
matter. We don't need him to bounce back as the guy that's gonna make
20:08
the cut in showdown round two. We need him to go out and have
20:11
a good round two. And when it was look one, two, three,
20:15
four, five, six, call these even seven, eight, nine,
20:19
ten, there was ten pretty good holes. And what's the likelihood a
20:22
guy like him is gonna go out and lose six strokes on approach again?
20:26
Not very likely, Bob, as my guy would say, look at this
20:30
goes out and gains on approach again. Wasn't needed, but just noted so
20:33
you can see it. And that's what you're seeing with certain guys. You
20:36
go to Dunlap today, gained three and a half on approach. But guess
20:41
what over two is obviously from the hole in one, So congrats to Dunlap
20:45
gets him a hole in one, not that he did bad otherwise. It's
20:48
just a show. The hole in one is a big portion of why he's
20:51
gonna show up there. And that's why you'll see people say there's an edge,
20:53
because not about what actually happens tomorrow. Nobody right now can get on
20:57
any show on any way website, in your cores or whatever it might be
21:02
and tell you who's gonna go out and crush tomorrow. You use tools like
21:04
the stone to get ideas, build lineups accordingly, and go from there.
21:08
But to note it, it's really hard for these guys to back up these
21:12
low rounds, Guys like Grayersman, guys like Parker Coody, Matthew Pevon.
21:18
Maybe he can do it right, that's a guy you could get back to
21:19
Dunlap. A lot of what he did will look really good on paper.
21:22
But one thing that stands true, you know, besides that, there was
21:26
not much else to write home about a lot of these bogies would have counteracted
21:30
it. Yes, he had an eagle today, is that and that likely
21:33
to happen? Neither really are likely to happen. So that would be the
21:36
point on why it'd be fine just to move off of that guy. So
21:38
that's what I'm really looking at when I'm doing it. Ecro to me stands
21:41
out because round two was very solid across the board. Round one was very
21:47
solid across the board, and he has capability of the high upside. So
21:51
when you see someone like this high upside, guess what, that's already gonna
21:55
be noted when you look at it in the stone when you see somebody like
21:57
that that has that option. So yeah, Bud Colly would be a hell
22:02
of a storyline. Obviously he's got some stuff he bounced back from injury wise
22:04
and whatnot. But I definitely think there was people that liked him this week.
22:08
I know that just he wasn't super popular overall. Use stone for headheads
22:11
today crushed even though missed on two for the offense. Yeah, so just
22:15
again go back to using that tool. Let me see here, keep going
22:18
here. We already talked about Riley. I think he's fine. Maybe he's
22:22
found a little bit of something here. But even again one, two,
22:23
three, four birdies, you know, didn't really do anything too special.
22:27
Otherwise that was in round one. I'm looking at here, but if you
22:30
clicked around two today, we already looked at him. Was pretty solid there.
22:33
Our guy og John was out at the course this week. He lives
22:37
out there and his guy, his caddy knews that he was giving us was
22:40
with Jacob Bridgeman said he'd found something, but he wasn't sure how it would
22:44
relay out to the course. But looks like it's done pretty well so far.
22:47
Again, we'll see he's got you know, seven, eight and nine
22:51
to go, and he's right there, two above the cut line, so
22:52
you have to keep an eye on him. Tomorrow, Ricohoe, same thing
22:56
but again just eight and nine left, probably gonna be okay. So keep
23:00
an eye on some of these guys. Ryan Fox, someone I looked up
23:03
earlier before he hopped down. Again, if you guys have names you want
23:06
me to look up, throw them into the chat. I'll pull them up.
23:08
But just to note here one, two, three, four, five
23:11
birdies left two of the par fives out there out there, and really bad
23:15
on this one, you know, really solid on approach where even though there
23:18
is like a spike hole, a lot of good approach across the board.
23:22
So I can go back to Ryan Fox. Ryan Fox's priced tomorrow at seventy
23:26
one hundred, so it can definitely go back to him. Shout out the
23:30
KI camera bro like Camaro, but Kamara bro one l E came in second
23:37
in the seven point five k short game one dollar into three hundred huge ROI
23:41
two eighty three point five to five. Couldn't have done it without you.
23:42
Awesome stuff. Man, What was the lineup? If you don't mind,
23:45
just let us know. Someone said, sig, as we're going through it
23:48
here, shut out the wins a lot, Sig. Let's look up Sig.
23:52
Yeah. So again you look at Sig. This is what I always
23:53
doing. How does he look? Looks pretty good? Solid overall with everything
23:57
that mixed together, gain approach, lost with the potter almost a stroke whatever
24:03
off the tee. You go and start deep diving it now one two,
24:06
three, four birdies left all three of the power fives out there, so
24:11
definitely gonna have interest in him because there's opportunity here. And then you know
24:15
one two it kind of out said, I will sit when you guys look
24:18
at it like this, like I love seeing all these because it's all like
24:21
there was some really solid holes on approach, a couple of spike holes,
24:26
but it is balanced out by you're gonna have some of these sort of bad
24:29
holes or the similar on the opposite side. But again, yeah, definitely
24:32
in on a guy like him. I see ct pan Panamal getting brought up.
24:37
So the panamal was really good in round one if you remember, one,
24:41
two, three, four, five six birdies, a streak, left
24:45
one of the power fives out there, really solid stats across the board,
24:48
nothing really spiking. If you look here, just look plus point oh two
24:52
what I call it a positive? So one, two, three, four,
24:55
five, six seven, minus point one, minus point two, who
24:57
cares positive all through minus point one four positive all through minus point oh nine
25:03
point was a very good on approach. Yeah, gain some with the putter.
25:07
But let's go out and look at round two now and click it over.
25:10
One, two, three, four, five birdies, a streak,
25:11
four in a row at one point. Maybe I can't remember if he started
25:15
on the front or back, so you know, I can't say that for
25:17
sure, but on the card left the par five out there, and again
25:21
if you look, spike hole, sort of he races that, but then
25:23
also whoops, you know there's two here that would just bounce it back.
25:27
So kind of what you saw out of him in round one. So I
25:30
definitely think there would be a spot you could go back to him, Bud
25:33
Caley, really good golfer had I believe it was a serious car accident is
25:37
what ended up happening to him, and then he was out of golf,
25:40
bad back injury, couldn't come back, you know eventually. I can't remember
25:44
if he came back once or this is second time around, but anyway,
25:45
coming back from it and now sort of moving his way up again, he's
25:48
already back into the mix. So we'll be a huge storyline that's talked about
25:52
over the weekend. The further he goes and the more he gets into it,
25:56
just going through here now, Rory you, so this is the lineup,
25:59
Camaro Bro said, Kamarre Bro said, Rory you, Benny Higo,
26:03
Eka, Caveria and Calli. So yeah, really nice line up overall.
26:07
Two eighty three point five five was a big boy score today, So congrats
26:11
to you, Hughe r Oi on that tournament as well. Keep going down
26:15
through seeing some other guys that were seeing or who are some of the guys
26:17
we want to look at. I mean, this is disappointing to when you
26:18
go and see this like this is one where you look, well, you
26:22
know, look at all the lineups you have with Bez where he misses the
26:25
cup by one, all the birdies one two, three, four, five
26:29
six, you know, a couple different sides of it, but you know,
26:32
approach was pretty solid across the board until one really bad hole that just
26:37
completely cost him. Right, That's really what it comes down to for a
26:40
guy like him, Kevin You, I'd say he's capable of doing it again,
26:44
and he can score right one two, three four with an eagle.
26:47
You look at it today, one two, three, four five, well,
26:49
you know, taking care of the par fives and just one bogey.
26:52
Very solid though across the board. Look at these approach stats across there,
26:56
you know, one two kind of bad holes. But yeah, Kevin You
27:00
is a guy that I would have some trust to up top over some of
27:03
those other names that we saw. Alex Norn stands out. I'd like him
27:07
to score a little bit more. What's Norn's price point tomorrow? So we're
27:11
gonna get nor in at seventy nine hundred, but we see what he can
27:14
do. Like you go back to round one, one, two, three,
27:15
four five birdies eagle was definitely, you know, pretty solid for him.
27:19
He had a couple of really big spike holes. So it doesn't surprise
27:22
me as much as I like him today because his uh draw. But if
27:26
you go look today, it wasn't a great day for him. But anytime
27:29
someone that can score like he can leaves those three power fives out there,
27:33
you know, this is an interesting one that I talk about with the street
27:36
opportunities because he lost almost a stroke with the putter on this hole. It
27:41
could have probably been a lot better. You go to this hole par five,
27:44
Really forget this hole for a second. And this is why, like
27:45
I, I would trust him a little bit more. Three birdies. We
27:48
know he can score. We saw it in round one, and we know
27:51
who he is could fit these conditions around this course. Again, remember scoring
27:53
changes tomorrow and there's not as much scoring or anything like that because of the
27:57
different pinplacement or the weather we saw out the winds picking up some. Overall
28:02
all of that, I think that's where you can find a guy like this.
28:03
But really this one is what killed him. Ten is the birdie hole
28:07
all week long. Ten has been I mean two rounds only, but since
28:10
they moved it, we knew this was going to be the birdie hole.
28:11
He left that one out there. Still made back to back Birdies and still
28:15
had a chance at the street here and didn't get it. So there's more
28:18
meat on the bone with a guy like Norin he goes, you know,
28:21
I never get him right awesome round one, then comes out and does it
28:25
again in round two? Will he do it round three? Maybe? And
28:26
then it just crushes me because I don't think I'll get there. Jake Knapp
28:30
continues to play very well. What's his price tomorrow? Let me just see
28:34
him. He's seventy eight hundred, so just looking at him and I'll pull
28:37
up Lowry for you in a second there run just to see nap though one,
28:41
two, three, four, five Birdies took care of the par fives.
28:44
You know, can't really say the same as some of the other stuff
28:47
like I mentioned before, like here, he actually you know, could have
28:48
made bogie or something on this whole. You know, gained a lot with
28:52
the putt there. So either way, more than fine with him at seventy
28:55
eight hundred. I think he's a great play. We already looked at Sig.
28:57
You guys probably want to see Rory, so before I up Lowry and
29:00
Tom Kim, let's do Rory. This what we saw in round one was
29:03
the five birdies right, didn't really take fully care of business. I know
29:07
he left some out there. We talked about there were some really bad holes
29:11
on approach, right, losing half a stroke on one, two, three,
29:15
four, rounded up almost five holes that he lost half a stroke on
29:18
approach. I wasn't there in round one, round two. He gets right
29:22
back to it, gaining almost two strokes on approach overall, really cleaned it
29:26
up. Only the one bad hole on approach, and it did cost him.
29:29
That was the bogie. But you go back out and look at it,
29:32
took care of the par fives as expected, six birdies overall. You
29:37
know, could have made it a birdie here. Maybe there was a streak,
29:38
could have made a birdie here. Maybe there was a streak, could
29:41
have made birdie birdie. Like, there was opportunities out there for him to
29:44
get more out of that one too. So I know Roy'll be popular tomorrow
29:47
and for good reason. Probably see him somewhere around thirty percent. So we'll
29:49
note that. We'll keep going through the list here in a second, but
29:52
let's pull up some others. You guys, don't throw a lot more names
29:55
out there to look up. I'm not going to do a bunch of them.
29:57
I want to kind of just do it a little bit different today for
30:00
you and then keep it moving. But just for the situation, because it's
30:03
the optimizer, it's a little bit tougher to know exactly who's where, but
30:06
just to look at it. Lowry one two, three, four five birdies,
30:11
left the par five out there, got a streak, gained a point
30:14
one point four to three on approach one. Two holes that weren't great,
30:19
but two that were, so that kind of balances out. So I think
30:22
you could give him sort of an even like a one point four is about
30:25
right. I would say definitely. The putter helped him, but again really
30:29
got crushed on this hole and this hole with the putter, so it was
30:30
kind of out there as well. Round one was one, two, three
30:33
four birdies with the eagle, left the par five out there. So how
30:37
much is Lowry tomorrow? I definitely think he's interesting based on that. Eighty
30:41
seven hundred more than fair price on him. Tom Kim, forget some jam,
30:48
we'll leave him out. This guy crushed us as well, but Tom
30:49
Kim ninety five hundred tomorrow, I know. Round one was a three under
30:55
bogie free round right, we pull that up. I remember that when he
30:56
rounded that out, so we had seen that he'd left the par five out
31:00
there. I think he was okay across the board for stats. Like you
31:04
saw, he left a couple holes out there, but going to round two
31:07
for Tom Kim, one two, three, four birdies left one of the
31:11
par five's out there, gained non approach. Even while having one, two,
31:17
three pretty bad holes. The putter did help him. He had a
31:19
couple spike putts there that really popped him up, two or three of them
31:23
actually, So that doesn't stick with them tomorrow. That maybe not, but
31:26
ninety five hundred, I think he's more than fine if you want to go
31:29
out there and use him tomorrow, it's gonna keep it going down the list.
31:33
Let's see anybody else that stands out. Who else it's gonna be here
31:41
tomorrow. Like some of these guys like Victor Perez to three strokes with the
31:45
putter, you know, realistically it's not the worst like he he kind of
31:49
reminds me of I forget the guy we looked up earlier was but like point
31:52
four, you know, cancel out, cancel out, you know, two
31:56
really bad ones, no super spike ones, but then a pretty good back
32:00
nine over again. Not sure which side he started on, but just no
32:02
I know for a fact actually which side he started on, because it costs
32:06
me the birdie or bogie free if if he makes it. So his last
32:09
hold the day was nine. I remember that now, and so again one,
32:14
two, three, four, five, six birdies took care of the
32:15
par fives. Round one. He was a guy who had to finish his
32:19
round off in the morning. If you guys remember from yesterday, so you
32:22
know that's fine. I guess I like Max is fine. It's probably more
32:25
of like the Doune laps and guys up there he goes and whatever. I
32:30
like playing Garret hego, especially in Showdown. But after two pretty great rounds
32:35
from him, do I want to go back in round three? Versus take
32:37
a shot and a guy like greyersman, so I think it's fine. Grazerman,
32:42
sorry, but if you go that way, you have to know that
32:44
there's volatility and on the stone you'll see situational stuff like be careful because it's
32:50
like, man, is that really gonna happen again? So someone like he
32:52
Goo or Grazerman maybe guys that you would see get those tags on the stone,
32:57
So just to keep that in mind. Chris Kirk still pretty solid.
33:00
He obviously had a great round one. We knew about that. But today
33:02
came right back out and one, two, three, four, five,
33:06
six birdies left the par five out there, really messed it up, lost
33:09
with the putter there and then only really one spike hole. But you know,
33:14
can you go back out and do it again. It's just sort of
33:15
course he knows obviously last year's champion, so I'd have no problem going back
33:19
to a guy like him. Don't see much else min Wu. People might
33:22
want to see Min Wu if you were following today. Obviously started the round
33:27
hot. He had that eagle to start. This is another one kind of
33:30
funny, like you know this guy and Bez Bez was another guy. This
33:35
is a product of like the opposite effect. So minmu Lee got crushed after
33:42
such a hot start, right, Bertie Bertie a little bogie there, fine,
33:45
but then sorry Eagle Birdie a little bogie there, but then eagle bogie
33:50
there, but then Birdie and then just got crushed down the stretch. But
33:53
the fact he got to play this early on was nice. That happened.
33:57
The same for what here that I was just gonna look up earlier for you
34:01
guys, Ricky Fowler. Look at Ricky, same thing. Eagle Birdie,
34:06
Birdie, Birdie birdie, and then it's like oh and then he sucked.
34:09
But it was again. This is basically when the weather picked up a little
34:13
bit, he got the best conditions for that. If you go to Bez,
34:17
it was the opposite effect started super strong again. It was more about
34:22
the conditions than the other side of it. And then what happened was when
34:24
the weather picked up, it was unfortunate for him. Basically the minute he
34:28
knew I know, he made a bogey here as well, but the minute
34:30
he knew the bear trap was coming up, it was all downhill. And
34:34
then look at that collapse right there. So it's just the way it goes.
34:37
That's one thing you do have to keep in mind when you're going throughout
34:39
it. Fox, we already looked up Charlie. You can rewind back to
34:42
Fox. Anybody else that you guys want me to look up there? Min
34:46
Wu I just brought up he was sort of the opposite effect again. Could
34:49
he go out and do it again? It's probably a fine play. What's
34:52
min Wo's price? Min move's nine thousand even so just a little bit more
34:57
than best by pricing on him if you go the other way. Now,
35:00
what you can do is also just do this is go and scan it back
35:02
to set it up here and like Bud Caley like, so I won't be
35:08
going back to him. I can tell you that much. It's fine.
35:09
He could he do it again, yes, Like, look at the stats
35:12
are there. I'm just not gonna be chasing that. The ones I would
35:15
like up here were like Ech wrote, you nap Rory Shane are fine.
35:21
Oh people, I want to look at Cam Young. So round one we
35:23
knew what he did. He made all those birdies and we said, like
35:25
that's just gonna be fine no matter what. You go look at Cam Young
35:29
ten to six tomorrow, So he'll be a decision. Could end up being
35:32
a good pivot off Rory because I think tomorrow we definitely see the bigger Rory
35:37
ownership when there's no real I guess I will. I don't see people chasing
35:42
the weather angle as much tomorrow, and if they were, I think they
35:45
would see the highest wins of Again, it's about ten miles per hour max
35:50
all day and the morning has a lot of eight to ten, but the
35:52
gusts are currently showing up from eight to eleven and then they just calm down
35:57
slightly. So what people are gonna say is, do you get the better
36:00
guy like Rory playing later? Because they're going off threes off of ten once
36:04
again, so you won't see Roy till later in the day with his location
36:07
on the leader board. But I think more people would just go there.
36:08
Now. Cam Young is up there as well, but the price difference and
36:12
he's ten to six. You look at it, one, two, three,
36:14
four birdies left two of the par five's out there solid on approach,
36:19
even with a couple pretty bad holes like one or two, call it,
36:22
you know, point four, point two five and point two one. I
36:27
mean there's almost a stroke you get out of there point eight of a stroke
36:30
there, give or take. So just noticing that, I mean, he's
36:31
fine tomorrow and he's right there in the mix. Who's somebody that did not
36:37
really gain? I was trying to see if there was something else like Tom
36:38
Kim was the best example. I guess where again, when people are just
36:42
scouring this and seeing this leaderboard on stats wise, they're gonna look at it
36:45
and say, oh no, he looks horrible, but like I said,
36:49
when we did the deep dive on him, you could see still made four
36:51
birdies, left the power five out there. We know he can do,
36:54
you know a little bit more. Even on the first round he left some
36:57
out there. And then again his price tag a lot less than those other
37:00
guys. He's a ninety five hundred versus Cam Young is ten to six in
37:04
that example. So just going back to those two, you could definitely do
37:07
it. And even with you know, two super bad holes, he still
37:10
was up there in approach. So got no problem going back to a guy
37:14
like him. Chad Raimi another guy who had a great round one. And
37:19
this is what we talk about. These guys that have these incredible round ones,
37:22
they're hard to back them up. Sixty four into a seventy two.
37:24
Not a great day for him. Done lap at the home Wong. We
37:28
looked through these guys. I don't know anybody have anything else that they want
37:32
me to look up on here. If you guys do, just let me
37:35
know. I'll stick around for another minute or two just to see Benny Ann
37:37
a guy. I'll pull up. So uh one, two, three,
37:39
four or five birdies left a couple of the par fives out there really solid.
37:45
Again, don't remember which side he played first, so let me see
37:49
here, let's see. I actually did see today where they added a stat
37:59
that you could change it to see the wave that they played, but I
38:04
don't see it right now, So it's probably something they're testing in baita or
38:06
whatever, but just another way to look at it. But either way,
38:07
a big difference between the one to nine and the ten to eighteen for Benny
38:13
En. Does that mean you can't play him? No? I mean you
38:15
look at it here. These three holes through the bear trap, I mean
38:19
right before the bear trap and dura and in the bear trap, those are
38:22
pretty much what cost him. And he still gained a stroke and a half
38:24
because of how clean he was on one to nine. So just to keep
38:27
that in mind. Yet nap power five killer been that way. I mean
38:30
the price tomorrow he could get popular seventy eight hundred. That's too cheap for
38:35
him. So again got to know that stuff and build accordingly. We looked
38:37
up Grayson Sigg about Glover kind of like Glover today did not come through for
38:42
me, but left two of the power fives out there. Round one.
38:45
The reason we liked him was because he left two of the par fives out
38:47
there and was bogie free. Even with the one bad hole, he still
38:51
gained. This was a prime example. Let's use Glover. Let's let's go
38:53
to Glover for this one more angle to look at it again. Hopefully this
38:57
soelpul. It's part of the process, like this is what you look up
38:59
and see, but just want to talk about it. Shout out to my
39:00
guy BJ. He's out there always bringing the good mojo. This was the
39:06
thing about Glover, right, So if you looked at him, the putter
39:08
definitely didn't cooperate like he lost on so many holes with the Potter, even
39:13
with the spike hole, it was still bad opposite kind of here where it
39:15
was like it was one bad hole. So what I said yesterday is a
39:20
lot of people might have just brushed it off. And it's not that it
39:22
worked today. It's just to notice how you can find these options is people
39:24
would have looked at it yesterday and when they sorted I'm gonna go a couple
39:29
of places for you. When they sorted around one, Glover is gonna be
39:31
nowhere in sight when people are looking him up again. That's why on the
39:36
fly doesn't work as good as using something like the stone where you can actually
39:39
get these comparisons side by side as you're going down and going throughout. But
39:44
just to note it is if you go down, you would have to scroll
39:45
way down here for Glover. But look, if he doesn't do that,
39:50
and I know it's an if, but I'm saying, if that doesn't happen
39:52
or not as bad as what happened, he would have been way up the
39:55
board. And so what ends up happening is you don't see as many people
39:59
on him in round two, we go pull up the glove here again did
40:04
not work out. We're not looking at it from a results oriented perspective,
40:07
ever, we're looking at it from a process perspective, and how you can
40:08
apply this to the four slights a week times forty events plus on the year.
40:14
He still left these power fives out there. He was fine on approach
40:17
even with one, two, three, pretty bad approach holes. But look
40:24
one, two, call it even, three, four, five, six,
40:28
call it even, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven,
40:30
twelve, thirteen, fourteen, call it even like fourteen of the holes.
40:34
He was solid on approach. So again, don't be surprised if that continues,
40:37
and well he did gain with the putter, it was still looked there
40:40
was some really horrible holes too that counterbalance that. So like one, two,
40:46
three, four five, you know, almost saying like there was some
40:50
really bad putting still. So that's where you're looking. Is their meat on
40:52
the bone on a guy like Glover tomorrow, and what's his price? It's
40:55
seventy four hundred if you land on him. I would not be mad about
41:00
hugging a guy like him in and using him. So all right, I'll
41:02
go back one more time, just see you guys see it. Just to
41:05
note, so I hope that helped. That's a different way to look at
41:07
it. We always go through it instead of doing the price tiers and going
41:09
through and breaking it all down for you guys, and when it's harder to
41:12
know exactly who's in, who's out, what we want to talk about and
41:15
break it all down the same way as I always thought. I would do
41:16
it a little bit different this week, just to show you guys some of
41:20
the process going into it. But if you want to alleviate yourself of that
41:22
process and not need to use it, go join the nation, get it
41:27
on all access, and you want a PGA only, you can get it
41:30
on this try it out for the week. Use the Stone tonight and tomorrow
41:32
night. Try it out for the week. If you want to save more
41:35
money and get it less, you know, basically a dollar a day,
41:37
you can use the code hoop fifteen. Throw it up there. Hoop fifteen
41:43
will get you fifteen percent off. It will lock it in. So you're
41:45
talking thirty three bucks a month, basically a dollar a day. You're going
41:50
to be good to go. You do get the course that I talked about
41:52
earlier where we're doing the giveaway for you guys right now, so you can
41:55
go over to totagg and tambo on x get in the giveawy all you It
42:00
is like repost and follow at ship at Nation and then get in the draw.
42:04
But the course has everything. If you don't want to do that or
42:07
if you don't win, you can go to ship at nation dot com.
42:08
You don't even have to go to join the Nation or the PGA package just
42:12
to sign up. You could just go here, put your email, sign
42:15
up and get just the showdown everything that we talked about today. And then
42:17
if you want to get access to the Stone, you do got to get
42:20
in, so make sure you guys check that out. Go over lots of
42:22
options, much more affordable than the rest of the industry when it comes to
42:27
it, especially for one sport only. But if you do go to the
42:29
all access you're gonna see sites charging one ninety nine for just one sport,
42:34
four fifty for one sport. You're gonna see five hundred plus for one sport
42:37
you could pay five oh nine. Well, the code Hoop fifteen is on
42:40
and be able to get in all access for the entire year. Hit me
42:44
up if you guys have more questions on that. That's gonna do it.
42:46
For this one, guys, I'm toe tagging tambo let ship. It had
43:06
mist mother and famished, and mast mother had fasts and the still mother and mist