Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Wells Fargo CEO Warns of MAJOR CRASH | Got Bitcoin? | Bitcoin Simply
Transcript
- 0:00The Wells Fargo chairman and CEO just warned the United States is
- 0:03due for a crash and that the next major crash is imminent
- 0:07because of our dollar and our debt problems.
- 0:09But like any banker, he doesn't provide meaningful solutions.
- 0:12Meanwhile, A BlackRock executive just went on Fox Business and
- 0:16said that Bitcoin is a geopolitical and inflation
- 0:19hedge, $12 trillion. Asset manager Charles Schwab
- 0:22just said that Bitcoin deserves a place in your portfolio.
- 0:25And they just educated 40 million of their clients about
- 0:28Bitcoin. It's the rest of the world
- 0:29finally waking up to the fact that Bitcoin is the only way out
- 0:32of this mess and that the government isn't going to save
- 0:35you. Today we cover why Bitcoin
- 0:38deserves a place in your portfolio, why the geopolitical
- 0:40toothpaste will never go back in the tube.
- 0:42We also cover what the Wall Street execs got right and wrong
- 0:46about Bitcoin in your portfolio and why you shouldn't trust Wall
- 0:49Street. This is Dante Coco Bitcoin.
- 0:51Simply let's go. Huge news that isn't being
- 0:58covered right now. the US Treasury just made three massive
- 1:01liquidity injections in the same week. the Fed injected $5
- 1:05billion in the markets before they open.
- 1:07Last week, the Treasury released $90 billion to the general
- 1:11account and they just issued the largest debt buyback in history
- 1:15at $15 billion. It used to be that governments
- 1:18didn't inject this much liquidity unless there was
- 1:20something major about to happen, unless something broke.
- 1:23But now this is just regular. This is a signpost of system
- 1:27that we live in doesn't work anymore, and This is why Wells
- 1:30Fargo CEO and Chairman Charlie Scharf just said that the United
- 1:34States economy is due for a massive correction.
- 1:37Biggest problem the United states is facing now in the
- 1:39financial service world, the biggest problem that banks have
- 1:43or financial services well, it's.
- 1:44Separated into kind of, you know, two different periods,
- 1:47right? Number one is we have
- 1:50uncertainty with what's going on with the Iran conflict.
- 1:54The markets, it's been a bull market for a long time.
- 1:59There's a huge amount of liquidity in the system.
- 2:02There is this, there's this underlying current that things
- 2:05are going to be fine for a long period of time.
- 2:08I hate to sound like an old person, but there are a lot of
- 2:11people in the financial services space, in banks and outside of
- 2:14banks that have never been through cycles, like a real
- 2:17cycle in terms of what that means.
- 2:20And there's a point in which that's going to turn, and that's
- 2:23going to have a whole bunch of impacts that I'm not sure we all
- 2:26really understand. You know, Lloyd Blankfein always
- 2:28says, you know, you can think all you want, and you have to
- 2:30think about these things. It's usually something that you
- 2:33didn't expect, so something's going to happen, but then more
- 2:36long term it's just the question of the deficit.
- 2:39This guy is the CEO of one of the two big to fail banks and
- 2:42he's sending us a message. He talks about conflict, crisis,
- 2:45where our deficit is. And this is something that Wall
- 2:47Street used to just gloss over. This is something that even they
- 2:51can't deny anymore. And This is why firms like
- 2:53BlackRock believe that we are structurally going to see the
- 2:56next decade of more geopolitical crisis and inflation, and why
- 3:00Bitcoin deserves a place in your portfolio.
- 3:03Deficit BlackRock J Jacobs OK, first establish your long term
- 3:06view of crypto. Well, Bitcoin in particular is
- 3:09this non, you know, non sovereign global decentralized
- 3:13asset that can really provide value to people's portfolios in
- 3:16small doses as a unique asset, sort of like how gold doesn't
- 3:20behave like stocks or bonds. Bitcoin is driven by its own
- 3:23rules and its own drivers predominantly which is greater
- 3:25geopolitical or inflation risk. And frankly, we live in a world
- 3:28where these are prevalent risks around the economy where people
- 3:31want to hedge that with different assets.
- 3:33Isn't that interesting? It used to be fringe and now
- 3:36thanks very much in part to Larry Fink, your boss and I
- 3:40shares coming out with the I bit.
- 3:43This is more than two years ago now that it really became this
- 3:46opportunity for people to understand it.
- 3:48Are you saying now that Bitcoin and crypto are long term
- 3:52investments? I think you have to look at it
- 3:54through a long term lens because it's volatile, because we see
- 3:57over weeks, months, it can be up and down.
- 3:59People are still trying to figure out what the, you know,
- 4:01what the value of this asset is, but if you zoom out and take a
- 4:04long term view of the role it can play in a portfolio, it can
- 4:07really be one of those diversifiers that behaves unique
- 4:09from stocks and bonds. When somebody who is Bitcoin
- 4:11curious comes out and says to you, Jay, what is the value?
- 4:15One minute in October it's 126,000, Today it's 76,000.
- 4:20You have to look at it in the context of a broader portfolio.
- 4:23We can't put a specific price target on it on a given moment.
- 4:25It really has to do with how much do people need this asset
- 4:29that can behave uniquely, that can be a geopolitical hedge
- 4:32that's constantly changing around the world.
- 4:34When you see, you know, more currency debasement, when you
- 4:37see rising government debts, when you see that more people
- 4:39want to move assets across borders, that's going to
- 4:42increase the value of something like Bitcoin.
- 4:44And so in this world, we see that as a structural trend
- 4:47that's growing. But minute by minute, that
- 4:48demand and supply is going to change.
- 4:50OK, since a lot of Bitcoin curious people do watch this
- 4:53show, let me help you to understand a couple things.
- 4:56What is the value of your home? What is the value of the dollars
- 4:59that you used to purchase your home?
- 5:01Well, your parents probably bought your childhood home if
- 5:03you were fortunate enough to have parents that were able to
- 5:06do that for a few $100,000, not half $1,000,000.
- 5:10But they don't ask these sort of questions about other asset
- 5:12classes. Jay Jacob says that Bitcoin is a
- 5:15global decentralized, non sovereign asset that operates
- 5:18underneath of its own rules that gains value in geopolitical
- 5:22crisis in times when you need an inflation hedge.
- 5:25But you have to notice the leading questions from the
- 5:26interviewer. People conflate volatility with
- 5:29risk. The value of your dollar only
- 5:31goes in One Direction, which is down in terms of purchasing
- 5:35power. Is that volatile?
- 5:37No. Is it risky?
- 5:39Absolutely. When the cost of retirement is
- 5:42rising? When health care costs are
- 5:43rising? When your property taxes are
- 5:45rising? When your insurance costs are
- 5:46rising? When your gas costs are rising,
- 5:49yet you live on fixed instrument because you're a retirement
- 5:52person? Is that volatile?
- 5:54No. But it's risky every single day
- 5:57that we move forward with higher costs and a fixed income.
- 5:59This is the dilemma that Wall Street has with Bitcoin is that
- 6:02it's volatile. They conflate volatility with
- 6:04risk, but they're not the same thing.
- 6:06And even though Charles Schwab is doing their best to educate
- 6:0940 million of their clients about Bitcoin, even they get
- 6:12this wrong. Because they're so volatile,
- 6:15even small amounts could translate to much larger levels
- 6:19of risk. Let's look at a quick
- 6:21hypothetical example using Bitcoin.
- 6:24Theoretical investor with a moderate risk appetite might
- 6:27split a traditional portfolio 6040 sixty percent stocks and
- 6:3340% bonds. Stocks consist of almost 100% of
- 6:37the risk in that portfolio because they're far more
- 6:40volatile. If that investor decides to add
- 6:43an even more unruly asset like Bitcoin, they might only want
- 6:47Bitcoin to make up 10% of the portfolio's risk.
- 6:50According to the Schwab Center for Financial Research, that
- 6:53investor might want to invest no more than 2.7% of their total
- 6:58portfolio in Bitcoin. An aggressive investor say they
- 7:02typically put 96% of their portfolio in stocks might be
- 7:06comfortable with 20% of the portfolio's risk in Bitcoin.
- 7:10That would translate to an allocation of just under 7%.
- 7:14Other cryptocurrencies like ether are more volatile than
- 7:18Bitcoin, so you may want to consider investing even less.
- 7:22It's a bit non traditional to think about it from a risk
- 7:25perspective rather than an overall portfolio percent
- 7:29perspective. Bitcoins volatility means it has
- 7:32an outsized risk. It's an exponential
- 7:36relationship, so small increases in Bitcoin holdings can lead to
- 7:41larger increases in overall risk exposure.
- 7:44Let me give you a scenario why this thinking is wrong.
- 7:47AI is volatile, it changes all the time.
- 7:49It's growing so fast, it's rapidly disrupting industries.
- 7:52But does that mean that you shouldn't try to learn it and
- 7:54you shouldn't try to understand it?
- 7:56Do you think that that presents risk to your career and to your
- 7:59portfolio? What about ecommerce?
- 8:01What about the cloud? What about mobile?
- 8:03What about the Internet? All of those things were
- 8:05volatile, but not investing in those meant that you didn't keep
- 8:09up with the Joneses and that your portfolio didn't outpace
- 8:11inflation. What about being overweight in
- 8:13asset class, like bonds? That he talks about a
- 8:15traditional 6040 portfolio. Well, bonds have produced
- 8:19negative real returns when factoring in inflation over the
- 8:23past decade. Bonds have lost you money in
- 8:25purchasing power, so you want 40% of your portfolio there.
- 8:29If you have a long time to invest, you should be thinking
- 8:31about sharp ratio, which is for every dollar I invest, how much
- 8:34return do I get for the amount of risk that I take?
- 8:37That's why I love this chart from strategy.
- 8:39On their website, they show you that Bitcoin has roughly the
- 8:42same sharp ratio as the S&P 500, meaning that this Bitcoin is too
- 8:46volatile for your portfolio, but yet the market is fine.
- 8:49It's completely overplayed by Charles Schwab.
- 8:51Understand the difference between volatility and risk.
- 8:54One of the riskiest things that you can do is not understanding
- 8:57that you don't sell assets that go up in value relative to other
- 9:01assets. The wealthiest people in the
- 9:02world never sell their assets. They hold on to real estate.
- 9:05They hold on to stocks, precious metals, gold, jewelry.
- 9:08You can do the same thing if you've been stacking Bitcoin.
- 9:11You don't need to sell your Bitcoin.
- 9:13You can borrow from a company like Leaden, which allows you to
- 9:15unlock liquidity from your Bitcoin without selling your
- 9:18Bitcoin with no taxes. The application takes just two
- 9:21minutes and you can have Fiat in your account in less than six
- 9:25hours. They've issued over $10 billion
- 9:27worth of loans to individuals like you and me all across the
- 9:30globe since 2018, and they've never lost a single cent or set
- 9:33of customer money. There's no credit checks to get
- 9:36started. And remember, you stay sovereign
- 9:37because you still own your Bitcoin.
- 9:39Go to learn dot letting dot AO slash simply to get started.
- 9:42One of the other things you can continue to do to stay sovereign
- 9:45is by being secure, by knowing that you own the assets, your
- 9:49Bitcoin safely, securely and confidently.
- 9:52You can do that by getting a coach at the Bitcoin way.
- 9:55Even if you've already set up your own node, your own privacy
- 9:58setup, taking your own keys, done multi segment in
- 10:00collaborative custody. Well, you can just have a
- 10:03meeting with their team just to make sure that you're doing
- 10:05things the right way to bounce some ideas off of them, send
- 10:09some transactions. That's what their team is there
- 10:11for, to help you to understand how to manage your Bitcoin and
- 10:14your Bitcoin in the safest, most confident way possible.
- 10:18A free meeting with the team at the bitcoinway.com/partner/dante
- 10:22Dash Cook. OK, you know what's risky?
- 10:24Putting your trust in the government to save you. the US
- 10:27Supreme Court just ruled that the administration's rulings and
- 10:29dealings with the US tariffs was illegal.
- 10:31They have to return $160 billion worth of tariffs back to
- 10:34companies. But none of that is going back
- 10:36to you. Somehow there are people in the
- 10:38administration, namely the Lutnicks, who profited from this
- 10:41handsomely. They were buying call options on
- 10:44the fact that the Supreme Court would rule against this
- 10:46administration for 20 to $0.30 on the dollar.
- 10:49There's a party that's always happening that you're not
- 10:51invited to. This government, in any
- 10:54government is not here to save you.
- 10:56You know, it's risky putting your trust in a system that has
- 10:58to borrow against itself in order to sustain its debts.
- 11:02Listen to this master class from Rand Paul.
- 11:05In government, it's not good to really borrow money for your
- 11:07daily expenses. So we bring in about $5 trillion
- 11:11in taxes, but we spend about $7 trillion in spending, so we
- 11:16spend $2 trillion we don't have. The equivalent would be you
- 11:20borrowing money to pay your rent or having a home mortgage.
- 11:24And let's say your your mortgage payment is $700.00 a month, but
- 11:28then you borrow more money from your credit card to pay your
- 11:30mortgage. Nobody does that because it
- 11:33doesn't end well and a country shouldn't do it either.
- 11:37Now, we've done it for a long time because we're lucky. the
- 11:39United States is the, you know, the the biggest player on the
- 11:43block. You know, we have the strongest
- 11:45currency. We are called the world's
- 11:47reserve currency. So we've been able to borrow
- 11:49money for a long time. But I think the day grows closer
- 11:54when all this borrowing will, you know, could lead to our
- 11:57demise or could lead to a crisis in our country.
- 12:00So borrowing 2 trillion a day, we have to sell that debt.
- 12:04Sometimes the American people buy it.
- 12:06So people are invested in Treasury bills or bonds.
- 12:09About a third of them are Americans, about a third of them
- 12:13are foreigners. So we actually sell a lot of our
- 12:15debt to China and to other countries that we sell more
- 12:18goods to. We buy them with dollars.
- 12:21They take those dollars and they buy our debt.
- 12:23And then about a third of our debt is bought by the Federal
- 12:26Reserve. That debt that is bought by the
- 12:29Federal Reserve, you say, well, that can't be that bad, right?
- 12:31Well, it's bought with newly created money.
- 12:34The Federal Reserve simply prints up the money and then
- 12:37they buy our debt. Well, when they print up new
- 12:39money, it devalues the money that's in your pocket.
- 12:42Imagine that the all of the currency was a $1,000,000 in the
- 12:46country, and if the Federal Reserve created a million new
- 12:49notes and put them into circulation, eventually the
- 12:52marketplace figures this out and everything cost twice as much.
- 12:55Or in other words, your dollar is half as valuable.
- 12:58So inflation doesn't really work to make you richer, it actually
- 13:01works to make you poor. You know who's trying to de risk
- 13:04themselves against the US dollar hedge of money across the globe?
- 13:07China. And just last month they
- 13:10imported more silver than any country has in the history of
- 13:13the world. Look at that chart.
- 13:15The geopolitical chaos is not going anywhere anytime soon.
- 13:19You have to understand where you are and why Bitcoin protects
- 13:22you. You have to understand the
- 13:24difference between volatility and risk.
- 13:26What's a sharp ratio? Just by holding more Bitcoin in
- 13:29your portfolio doesn't make your portfolio more risky.
- 13:32You have to position yourself for more uncertainty because
- 13:34through 2030, there's certainly going to be more uncertainty in
- 13:38markets. And if you listen to channels
- 13:39like these, you're going to be prepared.
- 13:42Subscribe to the channel if you already haven't, and send these
- 13:45kinds of episodes to Bitcoin curious people so they can learn
- 13:47the difference between volatility and risk when they
- 13:49hear that Bitcoin is risky. This is Dante Coke with Bitcoin
- 13:52simply. And if you haven't already
- 13:54started sacking through SAS mining or through Bitcoin
- 13:57mining, you're missing out. Use the QR code to get started
- 13:59with SAS Mining to help you to buy a Bitcoin miner, plug it
- 14:03into 100% clean, free renewable energy and send SAS directly to
- 14:07your wallet. They do all the repairs, all the
- 14:09maintenance, you just get Bitcoin.
- 14:11Use the QR code on the screen to get started.
- 14:13This is Dante Cook with Bitcoin. Simply happy stacking.