Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Week 17 SNF Showdown | Packers @ Vikings | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:05All system's going clear? Left you? What is going on? Ship at
- 0:37Nation YouTube station. We're back with the Sunday night football breakdown here, brought
- 0:41to you by ship at Nation dot com. I got my guy Handwich with
- 0:44me. As always, Handwich will bring you in right away. Man,
- 0:47Happy Sunday, Happy New Year's Eve? How are we doing? You going
- 0:50out? You're getting rowdy tonight. I know that's what you like to do,
- 0:53right You're uh, you're all growing up, you got the kids,
- 0:55you got the wife at home. I'm sure you're gonna go rowdy and rip
- 0:58it up at the bar scene. Correct me if I'm wrong. But how
- 1:00are we doing? Man? Have you Sunday a bad start? You're on
- 1:06mute buddy, bad start the mute donkey. I will be in bed.
- 1:11What's that Packers game? I see you're you're rocking the Packers shirt? What's
- 1:15this Packers games? In hand? I will be in bed. Unfortunately my
- 1:19bar days are over. But hey, man, I hope you hope you
- 1:22do. Hope you enjoyed it. Hope everyone's safe out there. Tambo said
- 1:23it on the show as well. Be safe, Get an uber, get
- 1:26a cab, get something. They'll be drinking. And driving up there,
- 1:29especially tonight. Put those keys at home, give them to your friend,
- 1:33have your friend steel them, get get upset about it, whatever you have
- 1:34to do. But yeah, do not be drinking and driving. I myself
- 1:38will probably not be going out to the bars typically, not a not a
- 1:42bar guy myself. So we'll see what happens. What's at steak tonight here?
- 1:47But I know what's on steak is this Packers team here one point spread
- 1:52forty three and a half total here, Packers in Minnesota in the in the
- 1:56dome there, and we got Jared Hall at the helm here for Minnesota,
- 2:00the former BYU legend here, a little dual threat quarterback at at it justin
- 2:06Jefferson Man all the way up to what eighteen k right at the captain spot.
- 2:12Touch on this, let's touch on this captain spot here. I'm not
- 2:15sure if it's Nick Mallins or Jaron Hall yet, but I'm seeing obviously they
- 2:21priced it for Nick Mallins, right, Nick Mallins at fifteen to six,
- 2:23Jaron Hall at twelve six. Believe it's going to be Jaron Hall. I'm
- 2:27not one hundred percent sure there, but where you going at this captain spot
- 2:30definitely touch on Justin Jefferson all the way up at the top. And then
- 2:32you got Jordan Love at sixty five. He's been very good here. Solid
- 2:37matchup here against Minnesota. You think this game is going to be back and
- 2:38forth here, Packers must win both both these teams right are still in the
- 2:43playoff hunt two weeks to go, both seven and eight, sitting in that
- 2:46wild card hunt for that last spot or that seven or eight seed. There.
- 2:50Touch on this one man captain spot I think is pretty interesting here.
- 2:53Obviously you got Jay Jetta, one of the best players in the entire NFL
- 2:55at the helm. Yeah, it should be a good game. And yeah,
- 2:59I think Jaron Hall was named the starter, so he'll be the number
- 3:01two. I'm sorry, Jaron hallby the starter and he'll be the number one.
- 3:06Nick Mallins should be the number two. But so to me, you
- 3:09know, with Jaren Hall in essence playing in his first game, I mean
- 3:13he played earlier this season against the Falcons, got knocked out early. That's
- 3:15when Astro Dobbs came in. That lowers you know what I want to get
- 3:20on j jed on Justin Jefferson eighteen. K's the big boy price tag.
- 3:24I mean that's like a Tyreek type type price tag, and with a Jaron
- 3:29Hall quarterback, a guy making his just I think it's a second start hasn't
- 3:34made it through the game. I don't think I'm gonna have interest in Jefferson
- 3:37as the captain. I think it's a more conservative approach. I think it's
- 3:39going to have to be just with the nature of who this Jaron Hall guy
- 3:44is. So no, I shouldn't say no Justin Jefferson, but I'll be
- 3:46lower on Justin Jefferson than maybe maybe the most My favorite captain tonight, it's
- 3:53going to be Jordan Love. I mean, this guy's has had a pretty
- 3:55good season. I mean, you know, numerous numerous games in the twenties.
- 4:00Uh. And the reason I like Jordan Love is he he spreads the
- 4:03ball around. He's got so many different weapons. Multiple people can catch touchdown
- 4:08passes. You know, backup tight end caught one in a Sunday Night game.
- 4:11You obviously got you know, the second stud tight end that they have
- 4:15in Craft. Uh, Jayden Reid is gonna be back. You got the
- 4:20other receivers that are that are gonna be good. So give me some Jordan
- 4:24Love is my favorite captain. He'd be my number one. Number two for
- 4:27me. Uh as far as far as captain goes would be Aaron Jones.
- 4:32Aaron Jones. They kind of took the training wheels off of Aaron last week,
- 4:36gave him twenty four opportunities. Uh so I like that. Uh again,
- 4:42I think, you know it must win game, they're gonna give it
- 4:44to one of their better players, one of their veterans. That that's done
- 4:46it. So give me some Aaron Jones and then third for the for the
- 4:50Packers, and I believe he's coming back pretty sure as Jayden Reid. Uh
- 4:56They've just found numerous ways to get this guy the ball end, a rounds
- 4:59U screen, do you name it? Jayden Reads a very good player.
- 5:01So those would be my top three, which obviously are all package. I
- 5:04think the Packers going to Minnesota and win this game tonight. Well I like
- 5:08the sound of that because I'm with you. It's not a bias take here.
- 5:11I just think with the unknowns, right, I obviously still got Justin
- 5:14Jefferson here, But the Packers, I mean, man, if they can
- 5:18figure out this freaking defense, man, I mean, they'd be a couple
- 5:23of games above five hundred. Right, Jordan Love has been playing great all
- 5:25season long. I think he is the quarterback of the future here in Green
- 5:28Bay. He's definitely showed some love, if you will, for for some
- 5:32success here. So I do like Jordan Love quite a bit at the captain
- 5:35spot. I'm gonna be with you underweight on Justin Jefferson here with just with
- 5:40the unknowns at the quarterback position, He's still the greatest wide receiver in the
- 5:45league. Right. Packers are without Eric Stokes and Jay r Alexander Tonight,
- 5:48which does make a difference right for a guy like Jefferson here, But I'm
- 5:53just gonna side with these cheaper captains here. I really like Jordan Love.
- 5:56If I'm spinning up, I do like Aaron Jones there, but my favorite
- 5:59captain are going to be Jayden Reid Christian Watson. I like both of those.
- 6:01One of those two guys both have fair price points ten to five,
- 6:04eleven to one. You can beat this wider Minnesota team through the air.
- 6:08Here with the Packers, I expect them to be passing the ball. Aaron
- 6:12Jones obviously is heavily involved in the passing game. Two. That's why I
- 6:15like him and then on the Minnesota side, I think my favorite Minnesota piece
- 6:17is actually gonna be ty Chandler at twelve three. Here running backs can gash
- 6:21his Packers team. Ty Chandler has been showing to be involved in this offense
- 6:26quite a bit here. He's got a fair price point at twelve three.
- 6:29He's involved in the passing game as well. Does hurt a little bit with
- 6:32a doual threat guy like Jaron Hall in there, But I'm not really sure
- 6:35how much Minnesota is gonna have Jaron Hall be running wild out here on this
- 6:40field. So for me, it's Jayden Reid, Christian Watson, ty Chandler,
- 6:43and then Jordan Love Aaron Jones gonna round out my captain pool. I
- 6:46like all those I do side with you here. I do like the Packers
- 6:49to win this game. I think it plays pretty close to what the total
- 6:53is forty three, forty four, forty five somewhere in that realm. Probably
- 6:57a field goal or so game, just because I know how the Packers do
- 7:00it right. That defense has been absolutely atrocious. Man. We got to
- 7:02get that guy out of the out of there running that defense. That's a
- 7:05whole whole story for another time. We got enough time to talk about that.
- 7:09But jumping into the flex position here, want to bring up, obviously,
- 7:13the kickers in the defenses like we do every shit slow show here,
- 7:16excuse me, Greg Joseph Anders, Carlson Vikings in the Packers defense, thirty
- 7:21six four K for the Vikings, thirty six against that unknown right with that
- 7:26quarterback there, Yeah, I get it. He's at home, but making
- 7:29his first start here against a team in a must win game for both teams.
- 7:32Right, the pressure could get to him in prime time New Year's Eve,
- 7:35Right, he could be thinking about, Hey, wishing he's back in
- 7:39BYU partying it up with all his college friends, being the man of the
- 7:43town. Right when you're the quarterback there, you got kind of life by
- 7:46the you know what down there. So talk on those talking the kickers and
- 7:49then any other flex plays, some of these value plays. Right, you
- 7:53got guys like Sammy Tore down there, Patrick Taylor, Johnny Mont, Luke
- 7:58Musgrave at just three k flat. Talk on the value and talk on those
- 8:01kickers and defenses for sure. Yeah, I don't think they do much party
- 8:05in at b YU. So Jaron Hall and he may be focused. This
- 8:07may be the anti party game, right, he may be focused. Everybody
- 8:09else may be focused on partying. But uh, those Mormons, I don't
- 8:13think they party. I'm not one hundred percent certain. But in any event,
- 8:16uh, you know, just thinking about it, you know, justin
- 8:18Jefferson, no t J. Hockinson, Addison left early last game, so
- 8:22yeah, you know, not gonna think about it. May not be the
- 8:24worst play, but you know, moving on into the flex, and when
- 8:26we talked about it, uh, Christian Watson is listed as doubtful, so
- 8:31I don't think I'll have any interest in him. Obviously you'll want to you
- 8:33want to play it by years as it relates to that. So no Christian
- 8:37Watson for me. And if that's the case, then ye had George Jayden
- 8:39Reed certainly moves up. I think you know Dontavian Wicks, who had been
- 8:45hurt then then played last week, called a touchdown and said that's enough for
- 8:48me. On the day, I'm gonna take it to the house. Uh,
- 8:50he's questionable as well. So I don't mind Wicks in the in the
- 8:54in the flex if he plays, Uh, I really I really like him
- 8:58and Reid and then I think boat kickers are viable. Uh, you know,
- 9:01five thy forty eight hundred for Joseph and Carlson. I don't think it's
- 9:05the worst play. I actually have a little bit of interest in Alexander Madison
- 9:09and I know you talk Todd Chandler. Todd Chandler has taken this uh this
- 9:13uh you know this this backfield over. But I think Madison gets some working
- 9:18at forty four hundred For a guy that I think is gonna touch it ten
- 9:20times, you know, could get a touch or two down near the goal
- 9:22line, I don't mind it at all. So so give me some Madison
- 9:26at low owned would kind of be kind of be where I'd go. And
- 9:30then I'm not going to really dive into these uh you know Madison. Just
- 9:33looking at the pricing on these guys out, you know, after the Packers
- 9:39at thirty six hundred, I don't think I'll go any anywhere there Malie Keith
- 9:43or Brandon Powell with with with so many folks missing, I think Powell might
- 9:46be okay, but that would be it. I mean, just looking at
- 9:50everything else. You know, Johnny munt At at two weights going to be
- 9:52tied in one, but I don't think I'll go there. Yeah, so
- 9:56Pale is kind of where I'd cut it off from me. Yeah, I
- 10:00do think the value is Actually, we've got a lot of value plays on
- 10:01this. I do think Dontavian Wicks is gonna miss here again with Watson,
- 10:07so that game brings in guys like Malie Keith right, who stepped in once
- 10:09Wicks went down, definitely has shown he's been heavily involved. And it also
- 10:13brings in a guy like Bo Melton, which you saw tick up quite a
- 10:16bit last week with the injuries there. So Bo Melton two point four K,
- 10:20I think he's fine. Johnny Munt right there is the starting tight end
- 10:24right now with Hockinson going down, I think is a fine value play there.
- 10:30So I do think you got some good values Bo Melton, Johnny Munt,
- 10:33Malie Keith, Malie Keith definitely my favorite. An interesting play here in
- 10:39the flex I do think is leverage piece is Romeo Dobbs at nine K.
- 10:43The reason being is right you got Jayden Reid at seventy four hundred, which
- 10:46all the ownership is going to go to, especially once Kristen Watson does get
- 10:48ruded out of this game, and likely don Tavian Wicks here as well.
- 10:54I think you can see more usage go to guys like Tucker Craft and Luke
- 10:58Musgrave here who to be back? Musgrave at just three k flat excuse me,
- 11:03sorry, Musgrave is not back. I'm not sure why he's showing up
- 11:07here in myself, so scratch that. But Tucker Craft I do like,
- 11:11just due to the injuries, right, Christian Watson, I'm not gonna be
- 11:13in this game. Don Tavian Wicks likely out as well. Tucker Craft at
- 11:18five eight I think is fine. He's showing a great connection with with Jordan
- 11:24Love this season. So I really like Dobbs, I really like Tucker Craft.
- 11:28I really like Jayden Reid. And then you got two pass catchers that
- 11:31are cheat Millie Keith and Bowl Melton. Definitely prefer Heath obviously over Melton here,
- 11:35so I like those. Johnny Mont I think is fine. I just
- 11:39don't love it a ton. I'm off the Alexander Madison. I just can't
- 11:43get behind that man. It's just brutal. I would much rather just play
- 11:46Ty Chandler. And then I do like this Packers defense a little bit as
- 11:50well. At thirty six hundred, they can turn it over. I know
- 11:54they're without Stokes and without JayR Alexander here, but it's still Jaron Hall.
- 11:58It's still the Viking here. These games typically play much more competitive, right
- 12:03division rivals here, both in a must win spot. So I do like
- 12:05the Packers defense. And then I really like Anders Carlson here. I mean,
- 12:09you look at what he's been doing eleven, eleven, eight and eleven
- 12:13in his last four weeks here. He's got a good leg on him,
- 12:16he's been good, has missed a couple extra points, but he's made it
- 12:18up with a couple of fifty yarders, So I do like him. In
- 12:22the flex here, AJ Dillon can't get really behind AJ Dillon at fifty four
- 12:26hundred. You're really hoping for a pass interference or something. He comes in
- 12:30there with his big ass thighs and runs a two yard touchdown in there a
- 12:33couple of times, but much rather just get to a guy like Tucker Craft
- 12:35for four hundred dollars more So, I think we broke this down pretty good
- 12:39here. Any final thoughts before we getting out of here. Roster construction three,
- 12:43three, four to two think is obviously going to be the common routes,
- 12:46but you could see one of these sides just kind of go off on
- 12:48the other one and you could see a five to one be under owned in
- 12:52this spot because I do think the fields are building for the three three,
- 12:54four to two builds here. Yeah, I would agree with you there.
- 12:58Yeah, you know, four to two three three in a two four and
- 13:01I think you went five to one or one five. I think you're going
- 13:05to be very different. I don't personally think we need to get there tonight.
- 13:09There are there are cheap pieces if you want to go there, just
- 13:11based on the injuries that we have. Yeah, I think we broke it
- 13:15down well, you know basically, you know, talked about every player that
- 13:18we think is viable and hopefully we see another ship in nation logo at the
- 13:22top like we did last night in that Dallas game. Yeah, we we
- 13:26had a lot of close calls. I was the first loser again as always,
- 13:28which has been a couple of times this season, her phoul, but
- 13:31overall still pretty good for the pocketbook overall. But yeah, we broke it
- 13:35down pretty well. Don't think you really need to go below Bo Melton right
- 13:41at twenty four hundred and I think like you and I both right, we
- 13:46don't really need to go down that that range too much because we do like
- 13:50these more mid tier captain. Sounds like we're both a little bit underweight on
- 13:52Justin Jefferson here, which I do think. Justin Jefferson still comes in as
- 13:56the highest owned player for a good reason. Right, he's got the high
- 13:58seed in this game. But we're gonna take a little approach that that price
- 14:03point is up there. I'm gonna hope that packers kind of do all they
- 14:07can do and make these other guys beat them. So overall, I think
- 14:09we broke it down pretty well. As always, we appreciate you guys watching.
- 14:13Hit that like button, hit the subscribe button on the way out,
- 14:16and more importantly, be safe tonight. If you are going out, you
- 14:20are partying after this game kicks off here at seven pm, put your keys
- 14:24away, Do not drink a drive. There's Uber, there's Lyft, there's
- 14:26Taxis, there's your friends, there's your grandmother's, your your whoever, right,
- 14:30whoever you need to call. Definitely do that. I personally will not
- 14:35if you're in Wisconsin, maybe but likely not. Definitely pick up your phone,
- 14:39go on Uber, go on Lift something like that, get a safe
- 14:41right home. But how much any final thoughts before we get it out of
- 14:45here. Yeah, yeah, send it up. I think you send it
- 14:48up. Well, let's let's roll with when this mate site. Then let's
- 14:52ship this nightcap as well. Yeah no, As always, we appreciate everyone
- 14:56watching Week seventeen. Here, a lot of crazy stuff happens, but I
- 14:58do think we've got a good game here on tap for the nightcap. But
- 15:03appreciate everyone watching for Haandwich. I'm neede tofy. Good luck tonight in your
- 15:07contest. Hope to see those ship in nation logos at the top. Let ship it