Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 382 - 10/27/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 382 - 10/27/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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Hello and welcome to. Episode 380.
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Two of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast
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powered by. Rhythm.
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I am your host, Josh. Applebaum, what's going on?
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Everyone? Happy Monday, a new week begins.
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It's officially Halloween week. Final week here.
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In the month of October, so make sure you got your.
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Your candy. Ready to go your.
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Your Jack lanterns out on the front porch.
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We have a trick or treat. On Friday I believe, which is
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6:00 to 8:00 PM in my neighborhood.
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So it's kind of funny when you get older, you.
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Know when you're younger you love trick.
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Or treating with your friends when you're older.
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Ever since we got my. House with me and me and the
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wife at the. Time we were.
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Me and the girlfriend, the fiance.
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But I love handing out candy on Halloween, so I'm looking
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forward to that. But we do have got a lot to get
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to on today's podcast, guys, of course, Monday Night Football.
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So we're going to wrap. UP NFL Week 8.
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We got the Washington. Commanders, Kansas City Chiefs.
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I do have. A best bet for.
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You here and. This one.
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'S really interesting because. This line shot up in One
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Direction, starting to come back the other way.
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We happen to have a contrarian. Opportunity with some good.
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Rhythm and juice. Real edges in terms of some.
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Recommended Green Star plays Robo Jackson Best bets Sharp
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mush the whole. Enchilada, so we'll have a play
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here for Monday Night Football now bearing the lead.
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We got to talk about the weekend guys because.
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When you think about. Sports betting and you're.
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Running hot, which we've been running hot much of the year.
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For the football season. You always feel like you don't
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want to jinx it because. When things are going well.
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As soon as you say, oh, I'm up 10 units.
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In this the month of, you know, September or.
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You know I'm hitting 60% of my. Plays you always in the back.
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Of your head, say. Oh, sports.
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Betting is hard. It's not going to last forever.
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At some point the bottoms going to fall out.
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It's just. The way betting goes, if you bet
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long enough, you know that anytime you have a.
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Hot streak. Typically it won't.
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I guarantee you it won't. Last forever, but then.
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Typically. It's going to be followed by a
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tough regression. We're going to basically have.
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Everything used to go your way, now go against.
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You and that's what. Happened this weekend, guys.
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There's no way to sugarcoat it. Our worst.
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Weekend of the season O and. 6 -, 6 units with.
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You know baseball. Golden sombrero, you over.
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Four with four KS What's over? 6 -, 6 units.
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Well, I tell you what, it's terrible so.
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Really just a frustrating. Weekend overall and I also.
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Before we get to. The play here for tonight and
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walking through, of course, you know the kind of the the
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strategies we're going to look at as we always do, making sharp
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data-driven plays. Is.
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You know when things don't go your way, you don't want to.
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Freak out and start. Chasing like again, it's a, it's
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a human mentality. It's a human.
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Philosophy that when you're betting on.
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Sports and think like. Think of it this.
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Way When you're winning, everything's great.
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You know you're excited to sweat.
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Games you're cashing tickets. To me, when you're hot in.
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Sports betting, there's absolutely nothing better.
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I mean, maybe I can name a couple things that are slightly
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better, but. You catch my drift.
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Here. But when things don't go well,
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it's it's really going to show you and tell you.
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And kind of. Reveal to you.
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What kind of better? You are because it's human
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nature when things don't go well to do a few things.
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Number one is start to chase. You know when I went.
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O and six this weekend -6 units. It was.
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Crushing. Disappointing.
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Embarrassing So. I am going to put a six unit.
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Bomb on tonight's game. Don't do that.
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Why? Because you could very easily
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lose that one and then be down 12 units then you.
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Dug a hole and now the hole is. Twice as big number. 2.
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I think an inclination is to just give up and quit.
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Take a break, you know, give. Take a week off.
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Take a month off. Maybe betting isn't.
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For you, it's how. You handle.
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The rough spots, the speed bumps, the potholes that are
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going to show to you. What?
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Kind of better you. Are cuz I fully admit guys when
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I was. 2122 I'm now. 38 years. Old I'm getting up there, but
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you know. It would ruin my night.
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It would put me in a terrible mood.
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I wouldn't be able to sleep at night.
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I'd start to chase. I double down.
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These are all. The things that I did.
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Early in my sports betting career.
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And I'm not going to tell you now that going O and six.
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Doesn't bother me because it really, really bothers me
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because obviously I pride myself on.
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Helpful, hopefully helping people win bets.
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From a data-driven perspective, which long?
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Long term? We usually do, but you know what
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kills me When when you don't win.
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But I also. Think of it.
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As this is betting again, sometimes you're going to have a
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bad. Weekend sometimes the sharp
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plays lose I also. Think it's important?
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Bankroll. Management we talk about all the
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time. But I'm a big.
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Proponent of flat betting, I have a full chapter in my book
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The NFL Sharp Betting Playbook and my first book, The
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Everything Guy to Sports Betting about bankroll.
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Management, you're always risking 1 unit.
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Why are you always risking 1 unit?
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Because again, you have a bad weekend.
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Say you put, you know, 2 units, 3 units on these bets.
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Instead of being down 6 units in a weekend, you could be down
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10/15/20 units. So.
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Flat betting. Discipline with your bankroll.
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Management not double doubling down, staying the course, that's
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really the most important. Thing I think especially when
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you are struggling. But then I'm going to look at it
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as a couple other angles like. An I'll give you an overarching
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angle and then I want to go through each.
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Game and kind of talk about what happened because again, sports
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betting is a results. Based business.
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Pretty much you're judged on your wins and your.
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Losses and your units. Won or units lost but.
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I think the process is also super super.
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Important so for example. You know it took until Week 8 of
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the NFL, Week 9 of college. To have a terrible weekend.
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You know we've been. Consistently.
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Doing pretty well all weekend so.
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It goes to show you that you know you stack 2 good months
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together. One terrible weekend, you might.
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Say to yourself, oh, question the process.
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I want to give up. I'm going to double down and
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chasing it back. No, it shows that.
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Of eight or nine weeks. We've had one terrible 1 and it
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took. Halfway through the season to
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get there, that's going to happen. #2 is.
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As a data-driven. Better this is a a contrarian
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based podcast. And why is it a contrarian based
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podcast? Because if you bet with the
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public. Long term you're you're.
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Going to be, you're going to be struggling here.
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You want to be with the house. Because the house wins long term
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you. Want to be with the sharps
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because the sharp. Win at a long term rate, but
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there are times when the public cleans up.
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So anytime you see favorites and overs, crush it in the NFL.
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Automatically you know that that is a bad.
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Weekend for. A data-driven contrarian.
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Better so this past. Weekend.
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Favorites 10 and 2. Against the spread terrible.
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Didn't really have any dogs bark totals.
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I didn't play any totals but overs went. 91 and 2.
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So what if public betters like to do favorites and overs so.
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It was a huge public weekend. Not only are contrarian.
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Data-driven betters like me and you.
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Obviously licking our wounds after a terrible weekend.
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But the odds. Makers also got crushed.
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The sports books got crushed. Now you're not going to cry for
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the sports books. They're.
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Going to be just. Fine, but it.
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Just goes to. Show you that.
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You got to stick with it. You can't get.
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Too reactionary again when? Things are going well.
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Don't get cocky when things are going poorly.
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Don't, you know, beat yourself up over?
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It like for example, let's look at the Saturday and the Sunday
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college football. O and three. -3 units obviously
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extremely disappointing. Oklahoma public was all over Ole
7:06
Miss. Line stayed the same.
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And then moved toward. Oklahoma, Oklahoma didn't show
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up. We got a -, 4 1/2 They closed -5
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1/2. That was a blueprint play.
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Oklahoma just. Played like crap, couldn't cover
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the number. Iowa State.
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This one was super. Frustrating.
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Because Iowa State was up early in this game, this was a.
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Feather trendy dog, unranked, first ranked.
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Iowa State was playing. Well, and I distinctly remember
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watching this game because Rocco backed.
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I believe Iowa State was up like. 17 to 7.
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Iowa State's driving on the field.
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They're about to score a touchdown and go up 24 to 7,
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which again, not not going to. Guarantee a win, but you're
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sitting pretty. What does Rock go back do?
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He throws a pick, literally. Right to the guy.
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So, you know, BYU comes back and scores.
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Still, it's a tied. Game late in the 4th.
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Quarter. What happens?
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They punt the ball. Some.
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Idiot kid on Iowa. State instead of.
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You know when you're supposed to say Peter?
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Peter when? You punt the ball and the balls.
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On the ground you. Cannot let it touch you because
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then. If they jump on it, they're
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going to get the ball. This idiot.
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Kid kicks the ball with his foot, BYU takes the ball.
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Scores. There's still a chance to come
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back. What does Rockelbeck do?
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Throws a pick 6. So again, that that's the, you
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know, you can't control the. Outcome on the field you can't
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control. The process the hard.
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Work you put in. The dissection of the.
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Market prior to making a pick. The other one was.
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Frustrating was Baylor. Baylor plus 4 1/2.
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Baylor closed at plus 3 1/2. We did our part, beat the
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closing line. Baylor gets rolled by
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Cincinnati, so again. Sharp plays beating closing
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lines. Teams on the field do not.
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Show up for us. Then you go towards.
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Sunday Panthers plus seven and a half a lot of books closed at
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780% of bets around the. Bills public cleans up, Bills
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roll Saints plus. 4 1/2. They close plus 3 1/2.
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We beat the closing line. Saints get rolled.
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By the Buccaneers and then the. Coup de grace.
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The Steelers last night. How frustrating were the
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Steelers? The Steelers defense.
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Oh my God. You got all these star players?
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Yeah. You got TJ Watt.
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Hey, Cam. Hey, we're Jalen.
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Yeah, yeah. You can't stop a freaking
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Nosebleed. How pathetic.
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Were the Steelers last night? To.
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You know, pour salt in the wound.
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I got Steelers plus three and a. Half a lot of you might have got
9:13
even got. In the 3 1/2 for three, a lot of
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books closed at 2 1/2. So once again, we're beating the
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closing line. Steelers are up by 9 points at
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halftime. They get outscored I think 25 to
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3. In the second-half.
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So again, all these games I'm rattling off to you, Oklahoma.
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Iowa State, Baylor Panthers, Saints, Steelers.
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We're against the public with the House, with sharp line
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moves. And we're beating the.
9:35
Closing line in like. Pretty much 90% of these games
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what happens? Team on the.
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Field lets us down. So again, I think.
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You can like to me when I make a stupid bet, I kick.
9:47
Myself for it and I say oh I got a + 7 on dog.
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The market went against me. They got.
9:52
Up to 7 1/2 or 8. Maybe they're a little.
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Public. Maybe I was going.
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Up against the betting system. Maybe I let my.
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Bias Seep. In a little bit, maybe I
10:02
ignored. A rhythm or juice reel
10:04
recommended edge you know that's a bet that I.
10:07
Lose and I kick myself. For making a dumb.
10:09
Play all these. Plays I gave you guys their own
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6 stinks it's terrible it's. Pathetic.
10:14
There's no. Excuse for it, but these are
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plays that I'm going to. Make every single time.
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And. These are plays that
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historically. You're going to go 3 and 3-4 and
10:22
two. On these plays, instead, you go.
10:24
O and six. So again, I, I, I.
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I've been getting. Crushed on Twitter.
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I'll tell you that it's always fun.
10:29
It's always fun when you rattle off.
10:31
A good win streak. And then the one time you get.
10:33
Rolled you you get crushed on Twitter.
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That's that's the name of the game, but.
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Either way, guys, terrible. Weekend.
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No way to sugarcoat it, but sometimes it happens.
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That's sports betting. If that's the first time you've.
10:43
Experienced an O and six Let me tell you it will.
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Not be the last, but we just got to stick.
10:47
With it not get too high, not get too low, not chase, not quit
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we're. Just going to keep.
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Grinding and we're going to slowly battle back and get those
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units back that we lost. So just wanted to mention.
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That because I'm right there with you.
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It was a frustrating, disappointing, terrible weekend.
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But. Again, it took toward week until
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week eight week. 9 For that to happen, so tells me that.
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One terrible weekend. We're not going to let it cloud
11:09
or vision or. Or, you know, make us layoff or
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question the process. Because it's a long.
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Term winning. Process.
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It's just you're going to have weekends where sharps get
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crushed public rolls. Hey, that's the name of the
11:19
game. It happens sometimes.
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Anyway, with that being said, you know what the beauty of
11:23
sports? Betting is guys whether.
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You had a terrible weekend or a great weekend.
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No one's going to take away your ability to bet on sports.
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No one's going to tell you. You've been relegated and you
11:32
can no. Longer bet?
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No, there's lines up here. We have ability to wake up.
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The sun rises. The next day and we can get
11:39
right back into the arena. And hopefully battle back and
11:41
start to claw back some. Of these units.
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So with that being said, there's big.
11:45
Monday Night Football game. I know it's.
11:47
The sports betting equinox I've seen a.
11:49
Million tweets about that. That means there's NFL.
11:51
Going on. NBAN.
11:52
HL there's. You know, World Series.
11:55
But there's one game here on the board.
11:57
And it looks pretty sharp to me. So it's a we can.
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Get a winner to. Claw back after a.
12:01
Awful weekend. So with that being.
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Said commanders. Kansas City Chiefs, 8:15 PM
12:07
Eastern. Time tonight.
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Let's set the stage. Talk line movement.
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Split system matches. I'll give you my play for this
12:12
one. So coming into it.
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Commanders 3 and 4, they've lost two straight.
12:16
Just got rolled by the Cowboys. 44 to 20.
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Two failing to cover as a 1 1/2 point Rd. dog meanwhile.
12:22
The Chiefs 4 and 3. Started off so struggling here,
12:25
but Rashi Rice is back there, you know, kind of getting back
12:28
to being the Chiefs. They've won.
12:29
Two in a row just destroyed the Raiders 30.
12:32
One to nothing. Covering as a 13.
12:34
Half point home favorite. So what have we seen across the
12:36
board? Well, this.
12:37
One is intriguing, interesting. Kind of complex in terms of line
12:40
movement because there's a major injury at play, in case you're
12:43
unaware. Jaden Daniels, the Stud.
12:46
Rookie of the Year. From last year he was ruled out
12:48
for this game so. It's going to be.
12:49
Marcus Mariota. Now, when Jaden Daniels was.
12:52
Maybe going to play. We open this game.
12:54
Chiefs around -5 1/2 at home. When Mariota was.
12:59
Inserted into the starting lineup and Jay and Daniels.
13:01
Was ruled out. We saw this line absolutely just
13:04
skyrocket up from chiefs -5 1/2 up to as high as chiefs -12 1/2.
13:09
So what does that tell you? You know, basically that's Jay
13:12
and Daniels worth around a touchdown in terms of the his
13:15
worth to the spread now. What's intriguing to me,
13:17
important to me? Is where was the point of
13:20
resistance? Where did this line start to
13:22
come back the other way? Or did it not come back?
13:24
To just continue to rise. Well, there was.
13:26
A point of resistance at 12 1/2. How do I know that?
13:29
Because we saw this. Game again.
13:31
Chiefs minus. 5 1/2 Daniels is out, gets up to 12 1/2, but it
13:35
never got to 1313 and a half. 1412 1/2 got hit, started to
13:39
come back down. It was down to 11 1/2 this
13:42
morning. I jumped on Washington plus 11
13:44
1/2. I'm looking at it now.
13:47
This is a good thing and a bad. Thing, Washington.
13:48
Is now down to. 10 1/2 I see some books even.
13:51
Down to Washington plus 10. So it's a good thing.
13:55
Because the line continues to creep back toward Washington.
13:58
It's a bad. Thing if you haven't bet the
13:59
game yet. Because those 11 1/2 I just
14:01
checked before the pod started. Those are gone.
14:04
So a reminder. You can't get the.
14:06
All systems go. Best bet picks on the juice reel
14:08
app. You would have gotten that 11.
14:10
Half as soon as I made it, it was available still at FanDuel
14:12
up until about. An hour ago.
14:14
But it is a good sign that it's creeping back toward Washington.
14:17
Also, it's a good sign that Washington.
14:19
Remains A contrarian play because the Chiefs, even though
14:22
it's a big number public, is saying number.
14:24
One this sports. Betting thing is easy, don't
14:27
even do any. Research favorites and overs
14:30
after a epic. Weekend public is going to just
14:33
double down, triple down. Favorites and.
14:35
Overs and parlay them both, of course.
14:38
But. With that being said. 63% of
14:41
spread bets at DraftKings. 67% of spread bets at Circa.
14:45
Are on Kansas City. So the lines coming back to the
14:48
commanders and the commanders are the bet against the public
14:50
play again, fully admit. Public had an incredible.
14:53
Weekend. Always.
14:54
Never. Never a good.
14:55
Thing when the public has a good.
14:56
Weekend because it's contrarian. Means that you have a bad
14:59
weekend. But sticking the model, the
15:01
blueprint, looking for some regression.
15:03
This provides an opportunity to. Fade the public and go with the
15:06
commanders. Now aside from being a
15:08
contrarian play, only getting about 1/3 of tickets in a
15:11
heavily bet primetime game, aside from that sharp line move
15:14
back in favor of Washington, we also have a lot of system
15:17
matches lit up on Washington. Number one, dogs off a blowout.
15:20
Loss of 20 points or more. You lose by 20 or more.
15:23
Last week, public says you're terrible.
15:26
Auto fade you want. To come think.
15:28
Of it the other way though, and. Buy low on these.
15:29
Teams, because they're supremely.
15:30
Undervalued. So dogs off a blowout loss of 20
15:33
or more bounce back the next week.
15:35
They are 7 and five against the spread this year. 58% they are
15:39
one. 28 and one. 100 against the spread 56 percent, 8% ROI.
15:44
Since 2018. Primetime dogs. 15 and 9 against
15:48
the. Spread this year 60. 2%, they're
15:50
one. 56 and 135 ATS 54. Percent with a 3% ROI since 20.
15:55
20 now if you. Layer in the big.
15:58
Primetime dogs getting. 6 and half or.
16:00
More. They're six and one ATS this
16:02
year. That's an 80. 6% cover rate.
16:05
And they're 59 and 30. Nine against the spread. 60%.
16:08
With a 15%. ROI since 2020.
16:11
Next you have Rd. dogs off a loss playing an.
16:14
Opponent off a win. Just the ultimate buy low, sell
16:16
high. It's buy low, sell high just
16:18
from Washington, you know, missing their star quarterback.
16:22
As well as. Losing 2 straight.
16:23
Kansas City has 1/2. Straight, they're at home,
16:26
they're popular, so that creates that buy low on commanders, sell
16:29
high in the Chiefs, but in particular those Rd. dogs off a
16:32
loss, playing an opponent off a win.
16:33
They're 10 and six against the spread this year, 63%, 19% ROI.
16:38
And lastly. You might be wondering.
16:40
Patrick Mahomes, How often? Does he cover these?
16:42
Numbers now he. Covered this big number last
16:45
week. Against the Raiders Destroy the
16:46
Raiders 31 Nothing minus. 13 half the easily.
16:49
Covered. But in his career, Patrick
16:52
Mahomes when he's favored by 10 points or more.
16:54
He's only 10 and 16 against the spread. 39%.
16:58
So that would be a, you know, a. Fate of Mahomes, you know.
17:00
Almost. Always wins these games.
17:02
Like I had the updated number for you, Patrick.
17:04
Mahomes at home straight up is 45 and. 1082%.
17:09
But you're not going to money line them.
17:10
I mean. The price on the money line is.
17:12
-700 -, 800. But Long story short, the line
17:17
shot up to Kansas City because Mariota is replacing.
17:20
Jaden Daniels Publix on Kansas City, but this line is creeping.
17:23
Back toward Washington. Washington is contrarian.
17:26
And heavily back game. Washington is a big dog system
17:30
at your primetime dog. As well as a fate of Mahomes as
17:35
a big double digit dog dog. Off a blot loss again all these.
17:38
Systems that we just. Mentioned and then our.
17:41
Two our two buddies here. Rhythm and juice.
17:44
Reel I popped. Open the rhythm.
17:46
App and I have. 2. Green Star recommended plays
17:49
telling me to take the points of the commanders.
17:51
Now the first one has commanders plus seven point. 2.
17:54
Second one has commanders plus 6.3, so again Rhythm says it
17:59
should be about a six or seven point game.
18:01
You can still get a 10. And 1/2.
18:03
You might have even. Gotten as high as a 11 1/2 or 12
18:06
1/2 earlier this week or earlier today.
18:10
And then, oh by the way, little Cherry on top popped open Juice
18:13
Reel. Juice Reel Robo Jackson, the
18:16
hardest working AI bot. He produces and puts.
18:19
Out two best bet picks each day they come out at noon or one of
18:22
the two is Washington Plus. 11 1/2.
18:25
And then I looked at the sharp mush indicator 15.
18:28
Percent. Sharp mush edge on Washington.
18:31
So we got juice Reel telling us to take the points.
18:33
We got rhythm telling us to. Take the points.
18:35
And the betting market is moving back.
18:37
Toward the contrarian commanders.
18:39
Oh, by the way, even though you don't have.
18:41
Jayden Daniels, Debo Samuel. And Terry Mclaurin are.
18:44
Both good to go for this game, so hopefully Mariota can, you
18:47
know, keep it, keep it close here.
18:49
But Long story short, guys, after a epically terrible awful.
18:53
Weekend. Let's see if we can get a dog.
18:55
To bark for us. I am on commanders.
18:57
Plus 11 1/2. Again, I wrote about that 11 1/2
19:01
in the Sharp report for visen.com.
19:03
Put that 11. And 1/2 in the juicer.
19:04
Lap earlier today. Unfortunately, it looks like
19:06
plus 10 1/2 is now your best. Price, but some books even
19:09
getting out getting down to 10. So if you get 10 1/2, hopefully.
19:12
You'll still beat the closing line here if it gets down to 10.
19:16
So that about does it for episode. 382 of the all.
19:19
Systems Go Sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
19:22
This is the part of the pod where we always wrap things up
19:24
and start first by saying. Thank you.
19:26
Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning.
19:28
In. Thank you for I guess misery
19:31
loves. Company suffering with me.
19:33
After a really disappointing weekend.
19:35
But remember we're. Always playing that long game.
19:37
So if you enjoy the insights. You might not have liked the.
19:39
Results this weekend. But the insights.
19:41
The information, the expertise, if it.
19:44
Is valuable to you, which I hope.
19:45
That it is and you want to help me?
19:46
Grow the pod please. Could you give this?
19:48
Podcast A five star review. On Spotify or iTunes.
19:52
Click the Follow button. Leave a nice comment or maybe I
19:55
recommend the pod to a friend that would also be.
19:57
Very much appreciated. Next, if you enjoy the style of
20:00
betting breakdown, you want to learn more about data-driven.
20:03
Betting you have someone in your life who could use some
20:04
data-driven. Tips.
20:06
I would love for you guys to go to Amazon.com type.
20:08
In the. NFL sharp betting playbook or
20:11
the everything guide to sports. Betting the two books.
20:12
That I've written. Very proud of both if you want
20:15
to grab a. Copy for you or a friend it
20:17
would. Mean a lot to.
20:18
Me and then what you're going to do is you're going to bring
20:20
that. Book both, one or both of them
20:22
to the sports book and I'm going to sign them.
20:24
For you, I'll give you my John Hancock and we're going to we're
20:28
going to sweat some games together, hopefully cash some
20:30
tickets. Next.
20:32
Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
20:34
My 2. Favorite sports betting apps?
20:35
They help me win. They're going to help you win.
20:37
They're all about that. Data again, again, you know all
20:40
about that base, all about that data.
20:42
So really to me, what I like about Juice Real.
20:44
And rhythm. You've heard me say it before,
20:45
but. I do all my legwork monitoring
20:48
the market and then I let rhythm and juice real.
20:50
Either kind of. Make me more confident.
20:52
By telling me, oh, I'm, I'm on the right side or you know,
20:55
their data says that they agree. Or maybe.
20:57
Makes me take a step back and say oh I like this dog plus 3
21:00
1/2 a rhythm says they should. Be like +5 OK, maybe I'll, you
21:04
know, see what I'm missing here. Makes me decide to maybe layoff
21:07
or, you know, figure that thing out.
21:08
So. Again, rhythm and juice.
21:10
Reel are great rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions
21:12
for game bets and player props. Juice Reel where?
21:15
You can get the. Official best bet picks for
21:17
$4.90. $0.09 a week on the Juice Reel app as well as the.
21:21
Robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
21:23
The arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures.
21:26
All located within juice. Reel so download rhythm download
21:30
juice. Reel it'll be off.
21:31
And running making. Sharper plays and again give.
21:35
Him a five star view in the App Store, they would really.
21:36
Appreciate that. Next you have a live odds page.
21:39
Well, if you don't, you need one.
21:41
You got to be able. To check the market.
21:42
If you're betting a game and you like.
21:45
The dog plus 7 1/2, Well, did they open at 7:00 and they're up
21:48
to 7 1/2? Do they open at?
21:49
8 and they're down to 7 1/2. Is the juice.
21:52
Leaning toward the dog like it's going to.
21:53
Fall and you should bet it now. Or is the juice leaning toward
21:56
the favorite like it's going to? Go up and.
21:57
You should wait. These are answers that you need.
22:00
It's going to, really. Help you to identify.
22:02
Where the smart money's AT and odds logic.
22:04
Helps you? Does it helps you do that?
22:06
So odds logic. It can give you.
22:08
A7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
22:11
By going to odd. Oddslogic.com slash.
22:15
Josh, 123. Next.
22:17
Have you given Novig? A shot yet?
22:19
Well, Novig. Is a sports betting.
22:21
Exchange novig is. Instead of a sports book, you're
22:24
going to bet against other betters, not the house.
22:26
And when you win, you're not going to get limited.
22:28
But the beauty of Novig is that you're getting better juice
22:30
prices. You're almost always getting
22:32
plus one O 5 -, 1 O 5. -1 O 2. Plus one O 3 you're almost never
22:37
laying. -110 -, 115 because you're not going against the
22:41
book who's. Going to Jack up.
22:42
The vig on you. So if you want to give Novig a
22:44
shot, all you got to do is. Download the Novig app.
22:47
NO. VIG just.
22:49
Spell just the way it sounds and when you deposit some money
22:52
there's a promo code put in. Josh 123 that'll give you an
22:55
extra 25 bucks to help fund your account.
22:59
So that about does it guys. As always, finishing up with a
23:02
couple final thoughts here. Whether I.
23:04
See you at the. Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
23:06
River in Rhode Island, the brook of New Hampshire.
23:08
Foxwoods or Mohegan? Sun at the Encore in Boston
23:11
Plainridge. Park Casino MGM.
23:12
Springfield, the Nash and National New Hampshire route in
23:15
the desert where the true grinders get down or Billy
23:17
Walters sends his number runners where the lowest.
23:19
Juice possible. Is found at the South point or
23:21
sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
23:23
Jumping in the stadium swim pool when he catch a big ticket at
23:25
Circa you. Know what we're going to do
23:27
We're. Going to take a shot, maybe a
23:29
couple shots. We're going to pound a beer and
23:31
I don't know what are we going to do, Maybe.
23:33
Maybe go play some. Roulette or something because we
23:36
unfortunately don't have any winning place to celebrate this
23:39
past weekend so. Hey, sometimes that happens.
23:41
We're. Going to keep grinding.
23:43
This is why sports. Betting is the ultimate.
23:45
Humbling. Experience because when you're.
23:47
Hot it gives you confidence and when you struggle.
23:50
And even though you beat closing lines and you know team on the
23:52
field blows it for you. Don't kill.
23:54
Yourself over it again, don't beat yourself up because there's
23:57
highs and lows and we just got to.
23:59
Weather the storm, so as always, guys coming off an O and six or
24:03
six and OA terrible. Weekend where you can't.
24:05
Get a winner. You know if your life depends on
24:08
it or you're hot. As you know what and you can't.
24:11
Miss no matter what. Never get too high or too low
24:14
again. We got to stick to the model.
24:15
Stick to the. Blueprint and again.
24:17
Tough times they happen. You just got to you.
24:19
Got to work your way through it. Just keep fighting, don't give
24:22
up. Because this is a.
24:23
Strategy that works long term but in these tiny little.
24:26
You know. Weekends or days?
24:28
You know you can. Get cleaned out.
24:29
That happens. That's why betting is.
24:30
Hard. That's why it makes it.
24:32
Rewarding when you're able to cash some tickets.
24:35
So as always, guys, we're going to stick to the model in the
24:37
blueprint against the public, with the house, with the pros,
24:39
flat bet, avoid parlays. And get that CLV.
24:42
If we can do that, we're going to be.
24:43
Successful sports betters. So have a great Monday night
24:46
everybody. Be right back at it tomorrow.
24:48
For a big Tuesday. That'll be episode. 383.
24:51
Of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast.
24:54
Powered by rhythm. Good luck and go commanders.