Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - UFC 305 | August 17, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

MMA DFS - UFC 305 | August 17, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Fall system's going clear the lift.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, pay per view season.
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: Baby, definitely way more excited for this card than last week's.
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: Only time fights last week we were a little disappointed
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: talking about them, but hey, I'll take that card every
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: single day of the week if it means ship a
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: nation has exact week, we had so many shippers, so
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: many people chopping first place and the three dollars, fifteen dollars,
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: the five to fifty five two way chop, both of them.
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: Ship the Nation. Gary and Hoop absolutely spot on over here.
• 1:07
  Speaker 3: Last week feels good to run pretty good sometimes ten fights,
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: we got the job done.
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: This week awesome, awesome stuff. Twelve fights pay per view season.
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: Is it the best pay per view?
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: No? I just definitely plenty better pay per views on
• 1:21
  Speaker 3: the card. But hey, Prize Pool's absolutely massive. That's what
• 1:24
  Speaker 3: we care about. Is he coming back after a year
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: layoff getting beat up by strict Daddy. Interesting main event,
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: twelve fights. Excited to talk about with you. We're in Australia,
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: which means fans, good fans. They got to get out
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: of the apex Man MMA. It's a live fans sport
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: super pump for that six thirty am start time over there,
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: six thirty pm Eastern start time for us over here
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: and Pete in here, Ben in here, Cody, Michael Peterson,
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: Hebrew Cheetah. What's going on before I throw it to
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: Big Marley? Hebrew Cheetah? My man, Rio will be going
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: live with me right after this show. Him and I
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: gonna hit a Best Ball Draft live for Drafters. If
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: you're not a matter, if you don't know about drafters,
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: don't know what you're doing, use that promo code chip it.
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: They will match one hundred percent up to one hundred dollars. Again,
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: I said it last week. I'm not promising overlay, but man,
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: it looks like there's gonna be some overlay over there.
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: So no better time, get in, no better spot. Two draft.
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: You're probably wondering why is Big Marley not on the
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: Best Ball Show? Big Marley feels like shit. There ain't
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: no way around it. We're gonna try and spare his
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: voice as much as possible. Again, He'll give his breakdowns
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: as always, but you want his real thoughts. Get to
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: the fight rankings over at Shipingnation dot com. We'll get
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: to that little promo video in a sec, but I'll
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: bring you in quickly, Big Marley twelve fights pay per
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: view season.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: Hope you feel better though, How you doing?
• 2:45
  Speaker 4: Yeah? I've been better? But good card man. I'm glad
• 2:48
  Speaker 4: we got twelve fights. Hopefully we keep all twelve. I'll
• 2:51
  Speaker 4: be short and sweet on this podcast, but yeah, all
• 2:54
  Speaker 4: my stuff has already posted over at shippingnation dot com,
• 2:56
  Speaker 4: so you can go check it out. You can hit
• 2:57
  Speaker 4: me up in discord with any questions.
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: Yeah, hopefully we'll knock it out for you guys on
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: this shorter podcast.
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a lot easier for Big Marley to be
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: using the fingers and type in than it is to talk,
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: so maybe a little shorter. I'll carry the load a
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: little bit before we get into all that though. Man.
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: I don't know if you guys saw our Twitter video
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: came out like a minute and a half video we
• 3:18
  Speaker 3: just posted like two hours ago. I mean, always hype
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: for football, but that video definitely got me pumped. Shout
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: out to our social media team over here at Chippinnation
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: dot com. You guys know what time it is. Hey,
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: let's listen to the big guy. We don't you guys know,
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: we like to keep our marketing short and sweet. We
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: knock it out right in the beginning. We have a
• 3:37
  Speaker 3: video from the Big Guy, super super awesome stuff about
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: four and a half minutes. I'm gonna play it right
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: now and we're gonna get into talking some MMA, but
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: very excited to listen to this.
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: I think you guys will like it a lot. Let's
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: roll it.
• 3:49
  Speaker 5: I just checked my calendar, and you know what, It's August,
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: which means one thing, Football's back. And if you can't
• 3:54
  Speaker 5: get excited for football in August, I got nothing for you.
• 3:56
  Speaker 6: Big guy.
• 3:57
  Speaker 5: The Big Guy is excited, guy in the back excited.
• 4:00
  Speaker 5: Ship It Nation is excited, and darn it, you better
• 4:02
  Speaker 5: be excited too. So let's get started. Everything that ship It.
• 4:05
  Speaker 6: Nation has to offer you in twenty twenty four.
• 4:07
  Speaker 5: I hope you saw what incredible year was at Shipping
• 4:09
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• 4:12
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• 4:14
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• 4:31
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• 4:33
  Speaker 5: Djen seventy five is now over.
• 4:35
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• 4:36
  Speaker 5: I told you were gonna get everything we offered, and
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• 4:54
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• 4:57
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• 4:59
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• 5:01
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• 5:10
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• 5:12
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• 5:14
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• 5:33
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• 5:35
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• 5:39
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• 5:42
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• 5:44
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• 5:46
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• 5:48
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• 5:49
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• 5:52
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• 5:57
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• 5:58
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• 6:02
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• 6:04
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• 6:07
  Speaker 5: this over to ship at Nation so people can see
• 6:09
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• 6:12
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• 6:14
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• 6:17
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• 6:20
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• 6:22
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• 6:24
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• 6:26
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• 6:29
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• 6:31
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• 6:36
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• 6:39
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• 6:42
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• 6:44
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• 6:46
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• 7:24
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• 7:39
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• 7:42
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• 7:46
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• 7:49
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• 7:52
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• 7:54
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• 7:56
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• 7:58
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• 8:01
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• 8:03
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• 8:12
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• 8:16
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• 8:18
  Speaker 5: be special in twenty twenty four. I'm out you, mother, fathers.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: I just checked my Oh my goodness.
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: That gives me so pumped the energy he can put
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: in with everything going on in life. Shout out to Gjen,
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: the only one out there that can do it like him,
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: the big guy. He said all he had to say
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: better than I can say. It's the one thing I
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: will mention. We also do real real quick that We're
• 8:41
  Speaker 3: gonna talk some fights. Have a monthly football package as well,
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: so obviously our best deal. Hold On got a host
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: to all that. Obviously, the best deal is there. We
• 8:52
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• 8:56
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• 8:58
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• 9:01
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• 9:02
  Speaker 2: You content for that.
• 9:03
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• 9:06
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• 9:08
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• 9:12
  Speaker 3: go back to this quick ship a nation the website,
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: click that, then join the nation. This is the best
• 9:18
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• 9:21
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• 9:23
  Speaker 3: single sports. We have annual deal, which is the best
• 9:26
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• 9:28
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• 9:31
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• 9:34
  Speaker 3: was added to the site.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: Again.
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: You see it does include college football five fifty four
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: bucks per month. You want to have the ship Demiser
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: an extra ten bucks for NFL as you see, we
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: have PGA, we have MLB. If you just want our
• 9:46
  Speaker 3: projections as well. Have to show this off too much.
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: You can get data only ownership and projections on here
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: as well. But we did add the single sport football
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: and if you do this again, the twent or ninety
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: nine Early Bird Special a way better deal gets you
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: locked in for the year. But this football, if you
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: sign up right now monthly you do, it'll start September fifth,
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: but you also get all of our access.
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: You'll get MMA this week, you'll get PGA, et cetera.
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: So you sign up, You're like, why would I sign
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: up for monthly football and it doesn't start till September fifth.
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: You do still get all access to the site. Then
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: that will start September fifth. So just wanted to call
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: that out. Dj couldn't have said it any better. Pay
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: less for content, play more in your contest. Shout out Djen,
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: the absolute man, always thinking of you. Let's saw some fights,
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: Big Marley, what do you say? Twelve fights, big boy
• 10:32
  Speaker 3: prize pools super super pumped for this card.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: Let's start it off with a pretty good fight right here.
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: Stuart Nickel taking on Jesus ag You are minus two
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: twenty nine Nickel plus one ninety five is agger this
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: why plus one hundred flip the coin for it to finish?
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: Nickel inside the distance plus two hundred egg R plus
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: three fifty, so the only debuting fighter USC debuting fighter
• 10:57
  Speaker 3: on the card is Nickel eight to oh. He looks
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: like some fun on tape man. He looks good. He's
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: twenty nine, so it's not one of those twenty three
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: year old still growing into his body getting better bodies
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: in prime shape. Looks really good. The level of competition
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: is the biggest concern. Very interesting in this one as well.
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: He opened the dogs. We had Agar open minus one
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: fifty five. Now Nickel got money right away to pretty
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: much a coin flip and has steadily taking money ever since.
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: Looks like he has a good style for dfs too.
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: A really solid wrestler. Mendonka just took down a Yar
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: four times, controlled them for eight minutes, so I'm right
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: away obviously have interest in the Nickel side. I do
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: think you can leave money playing him. He is nine
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: k like I think he does have one hundred and
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: twenty point upside in his best performance. Nolan Jenkins, We'll
• 11:46
  Speaker 3: get to some big favorites up there. You leave eight
• 11:48
  Speaker 3: hundred or something like that. That's a way to get different.
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: And I'll say it right now, I don't like too
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: many dogs on this card. If Egg yar wins. I
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: think he has some of the best upside on the slave,
• 11:58
  Speaker 3: solid inside the distance, probably in plus thirty fifty a
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: nasty Gigatine had it pretty tight on Tyra early only
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: one knockouts, so I don't think he's really knocking him out.
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: But I think the fight plays out on the matt
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: a decent amount, which means reversals, et cetera. And at
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: the end of the day, you really just don't know
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: how good a UFC Debuter is making his biggest step
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: up in competition, so it's a fight right off the bat.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have ownership on both sides. What do you see?
• 12:24
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with everything you said. I'm cool with
• 12:28
  Speaker 4: either side of this fight as well, Nicol. I mean,
• 12:31
  Speaker 4: I haven't really seen any flaws from him, but his
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: level of competition has been pretty weak so far, so
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: I do think this is his toughest fight to date.
• 12:40
  Speaker 4: And if Aguilar is gonna win this fight, I think
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: it has to come on the ground. So if Aguilar
• 12:44
  Speaker 4: does win on the ground, I think he's gonna put
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: up more than ten x here with like ninety plus
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: point upside. So I think Aguilar is a solid punt
• 12:54
  Speaker 4: play if we need one. But I did like what
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: I saw from Nicol. I thought he's gonna have the
• 13:00
  Speaker 4: striking edge here. I like his leg kicks. He also
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: has some pretty solid wrestling, mean ground and pound. My
• 13:06
  Speaker 4: issue with him is just that I don't know if
• 13:08
  Speaker 4: he wants to take it to the ground against a
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: guy like Aguilar, especially if he is winning the fight
• 13:12
  Speaker 4: on the feet, and if he's gonna strike for three rounds,
• 13:15
  Speaker 4: I just don't think that's gonna cut it at nine K.
• 13:18
  Speaker 4: So the way I put it in uh in the
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: fight rankings is I'd be fine with like ten to
• 13:25
  Speaker 4: thirty thirty five percent of either side of this fight
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: with the lineups that I create in the ship to Miizer.
• 13:31
  Speaker 4: But if I'm making just a couple, my preferred click
• 13:33
  Speaker 4: is gonna be Nickel. I'll pick him to win twenty nine,
• 13:36
  Speaker 4: twenty eight, maybe thirty twenty seven.
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that was my one concern too, Like if he's
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: already outstriking him on the feet, like he's not really
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: worried about the power hegeahs only knockout Shannon Ross, no
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: Chim Shannon. So if he's already getting better exchanges on
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: the feet, like will he take it to the mat,
• 13:52
  Speaker 3: and if he doesn't, he more than likely won't be optimal.
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: So yeah, it's not a fight by any means I want.
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: Like, if I have fifty percent nickel, I'm probably gonna
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: him down a little bit. A lot of good fighters
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: in the top tier thirty five or something would be solid.
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: But I mean if he gets takedowns early and just
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: knows he's way better like Madonka going four times showed
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: aguilar one I didn't think. I didn't really see it
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: that way, and he controlled them. I think Nichol's a
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: better wrestler, so definitely has upside. And yeah, I go
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: to catch him a gioteene plus three fifte inside the distance.
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: Somehow the tape isn't like the biggest step up in
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: competition right here, debuting like at home, it's a lot
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: to be nervous about. People are human beings. Some people
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: have off days. You want dog wins, like eighty from
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: a dog this week could be enough to be on
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: the winner. He's a live dog right here. I'll be
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: fading some so yeah, fight right away. I'm I'm gonna
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: have some in a single entry. To be honest, I'd
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: be fine with either side to start it off, ownership
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: should relatively be in check on both. You don't hear
• 14:51
  Speaker 3: that fan in the background, right, No good? I mean
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: Alsie in so hot. I had to crank that thing on,
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: all right, get to the next fight the card, another
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: fight I'm gonna be playing some of one of the
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: closer line fights. Song canon taken on Ricky Glenn minus
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: one eighty is song plus one fifty five is Glenn
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: minus one eighty for this fight to finish song canon
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: minus one fifteen Ricky Glenn plus four to twenty five
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: inside the distance. So my thought process on this one is,
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: I mean, you look at Ricky Glenn at seventy five hundred.
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: We're gonna get to favorites that are minus one thousand
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: plus minus eight hundred plus minus three eighty. So there's
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: already some cheap dogs that like right away, I'm gonna
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: be xing out. So my dog player pools already shrunk
• 15:35
  Speaker 3: to an extent. And again, seventy five to eighty could
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: be enough, Like we could see ten out of twelve
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: favorites win on this card, is what the money lines
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: are telling me. And if that's the case, you want
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: seventy five. We just saw Tululand two weeks ago on
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: the winner on a twelve fight card. It was sixty one,
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: so like crazy things can happen. Glenn at plus one
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: fifty five is a live dog. Other than that, there's
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: really not many pros that can say about him like
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: he's I'm up away class to one seventies, thirty five
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: years old, but knocked out in the first round in
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: the past two fights, like not too much as lining
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: up song Kanan dropped Ian. Gary has power in his hands,
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: but he's not the highest volume guy. He doesn't have
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: takedown upside in this one. If he doesn't get the
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: knockout or even like a third round knockout, I'm really
• 16:19
  Speaker 3: not sure he gets there eighty seven hundred, so he's
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: live for an early bonk. Glenn been finished twice and
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: the first round is last two. If he does that, sure,
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: I'll take that at eighty seven. All day ownership and
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: check at least allows you to leave money easier. But again,
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: it's not like a fight to fight. I'm fine, it's
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: pretty similar to that last fight. If I had fifty
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: percent of one of these guys.
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: I'm not doing that.
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: I'm bumping that down for sure, But if I had
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: thirty percent either side, I think I'm fine rolling with
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: it if I like everything else, so a fight, I'm
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: definitely gonna have both sides of You can make cases
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: for it, but it's also just like man, I can
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: also make cases why it busts. So how do you
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: see it?
• 16:57
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Song is my preferred play because I
• 17:02
  Speaker 4: am picking him to get a TKO. I just think
• 17:04
  Speaker 4: he's more dangerous, probably a little bit more durable with
• 17:07
  Speaker 4: Glenn coming off of two back to back knockout losses.
• 17:10
  Speaker 4: But yeah, at eighty seven hundred dollars, we need Song
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: to get a finish. He is minus one fifteen to
• 17:16
  Speaker 4: win inside the distance, so that's good. That makes me
• 17:18
  Speaker 4: like I'm a little bit more. But if he doesn't
• 17:20
  Speaker 4: win inside the distance, I don't think he's hitting ten
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: x here, So I also don't love clicking on him.
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: I think you're you're right in the ten to thirty
• 17:28
  Speaker 4: percent range as well. I'm cool with that. And then
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: Glenn on the other side, I think he's in play,
• 17:32
  Speaker 4: is just a live dog. But I don't see a
• 17:35
  Speaker 4: whole lot upside from him either. I think if he wins,
• 17:37
  Speaker 4: he's probably playing for more like sixty to seventy five points,
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: which maybe he can get it there if he's won
• 17:43
  Speaker 4: a few underdogs to win, or if like you need
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: one of those really expensive guys to be on your team.
• 17:47
  Speaker 4: But I just don't have a whole lot of interest
• 17:49
  Speaker 4: in Glenn, So my preferred play is gonna be Song.
• 17:51
  Speaker 4: If I had to fade one of them, it would
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: be Glenn, but I'd probably be closer to like twenty
• 17:55
  Speaker 4: five percent Song, ten percent Glenn something like that. Really
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: just don't have a ton of interest in this fight,
• 18:01
  Speaker 4: which we need that finish from really either one for
• 18:04
  Speaker 4: a one hundred point outside.
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna try and live in my follow up questions
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: for you because the voice and everything, well this is
• 18:10
  Speaker 3: an important one. Do you see it similar to me,
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: like like I'm playing live dogs, Like if you tell
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: me Ricky Glen gets seventy five, I'll be overweight, like
• 18:19
  Speaker 3: and the end like may if five dogs win on
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: the card, seventy five is probably not enough, But I
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: like a lot of favorites, Like you pencil in seventy
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: five for guys seventy five hundred or lower. I am
• 18:29
  Speaker 3: one hundred percent at least double the field on this card.
• 18:32
  Speaker 3: Do you see it similar or not?
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Really?
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm looking for really any dogs. I just have
• 18:37
  Speaker 4: a couple that I like to click. More So, if
• 18:40
  Speaker 4: if the Ship to Miser gives me those guys instead
• 18:43
  Speaker 4: of Glenn, then I'd be fine fading them. But I
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: do I do feel like Glenn will have to be
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: in my playpool, just as a live dog who could
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: score around ten X.
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I like it, so you see it similar? I
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: want to shout this out one hundred twenty five case
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: kingis man. Come on man, what a flex awesome, awesome stuff.
• 18:59
  Speaker 3: Looking another great great year. DJ and the go absolutely
• 19:02
  Speaker 3: we all know that. Good to see you as well.
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: Jason Turner always in here, always appreciates your support. Appreciate
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: everyone out there, watching, watching, live, watching on playback. Thumbs out,
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: take two seconds out your day right now hit that
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: thumbs up. Pops us out a ton if you want
• 19:16
  Speaker 3: to drop a comment some full prediction. Also really main event,
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: flip a coin. We'll get there in a little bit.
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: Drop who's gonna win in the main event on bow.
• 19:24
  Speaker 3: I'm really excited to see where it goes. Is he
• 19:27
  Speaker 3: the big name DDP? Even taking some steams, So yeah,
• 19:30
  Speaker 3: drop your main event prediction down there. It's a it's
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: a good one. We'll get to that in a little
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: bit though. Let's keep it rolling with the biggest favorite
• 19:37
  Speaker 3: on the cards. These next two we're gonna talk about
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: in a tier of their own. We have ninety eight
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: hundred Tom Nolan. Then we'll talk about Jack Jenkins, who's
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: ninety six hundred going against the bum brothers, Alex Reyes,
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: Donic Ray's brother, and then Herbert Burns Gilbert Burns brother.
• 19:52
  Speaker 3: But this one right here, minus eleven fifty for Tom Nolan,
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: plus seven to fifty for Alex Rayes, minus sixteen hundred
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: for this fight to finish under one and a half
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: is minus two ninety. Tom Noan is minus one thousand.
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: Inside the distance, Reyes is plus nine hundred and Tom
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: Noan is minus one eighty five.
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: In round one, he.
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: Throws nine significant strikes per minute, Like obviously he's.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: A very good play. I'm penciling him in for one
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: hundred plus.
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: But it comes back to if ten favorites win, eleven
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: favorites win, is one hundred and fifteen enough at ninety
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: eight hundred, even if that's the highest score on the slate.
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: A couple others score one hundred, one hundred and four,
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: one hundred and six, but they're six hundred cheaper and
• 20:35
  Speaker 3: stuff like that. It might not be enough. So he
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: does have that one hundred and thirty point upside, Like
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: we saw a Chape Merrisco last week, like you need
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: that regardless. Kind of reminds me of the bow Nickel
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: card who headlined that one. I think that was like, yeah,
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: you're Rodriguez Involk that card where bol Nickel was taken
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: on val Woodburn. He was way way up there and
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: there's a lot of good guys in like, oh, but
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: he got a quick one minute bonus. He put up
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: a one thirty piece and like, yeah, you just needed
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: to jam that top guy Peyton Talbot a little while ago,
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: same type of stuff and a tier of his own
• 21:11
  Speaker 3: above first minute bonus. Absolutely nuke this late, like that's
• 21:14
  Speaker 3: in play here. A lot of significant strikes knock down
• 21:17
  Speaker 3: first round, so I'm definitely gonna have them. But I'm
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: really curious what you're gonna say, Like he's someone if
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: I had twenty percent and loved everything, fine, because that
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: means other lineups I can have for cheaper fighters. If
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: they outscore him, you can leave money on the table
• 21:32
  Speaker 3: more and then you can solo ship a lot more likely.
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: It's harder to go Tom Nolan leave a lot of salary.
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: You zero out Tom Nolan lineups. It's like then you
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: have to get different elsewhere, which maybe I'll have some
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: of those lineups as well. But game theory wise, twelve fights,
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna play it. There's no doubt about that. How
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: much though, I really don't know, so, yeah, talk to
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: me about this one.
• 21:57
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, it's definitely Nolan or pass for me.
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: It's just a setup fight for him to win in
• 22:01
  Speaker 4: his home country. Reyes hasn't won since twenty seventeen. I
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: don't even know why he's still in the UFC. It's
• 22:09
  Speaker 4: just to lose right to a guy who's gonna probably
• 22:12
  Speaker 4: knock him out in the first round and finally have
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: a solid highlight reel here. But I mean, if you
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: want to play Reyes, it's because Nolan was knocked out
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: in his first UFC fight and then he was dropped
• 22:24
  Speaker 4: in his previous UFC fight two, So he.
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: Did mass a favor as a massive favorite.
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: He was dropped, but he didn't look great and then
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: he turned it around pretty quick after.
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: But yeah, yeah, big favorite in the one where he
• 22:34
  Speaker 4: was knocked out too, So like, if you want to
• 22:36
  Speaker 4: play Reyes, nobody else is gonna, so maybe he could
• 22:39
  Speaker 4: be your chance to a solo shipper. I just don't
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: see me getting there. I'm probably gonna x him out.
• 22:44
  Speaker 4: And then the only issue with Nolan is that ninety
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: eight hundred dollars price tag. That's just that's really steep
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: if we're especially for hunting for underdogs on this one.
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: So you said he was minus one eighty five in
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: round one, Yeah, but on DraftKings they have him minus
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: three sixty by round one knockout. So I mean I
• 23:04
  Speaker 4: like that one a lot more and that makes me
• 23:06
  Speaker 4: want to get a little bit more exposure to them.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Wow, yeah, that's why you always pray shop.
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: I'll just say that, like minus one eighty five on
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: one site and then minus three sixty literally by a
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: certain method, like don't bet that.
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: I'll just say that.
• 23:19
  Speaker 4: But yeah, yeah, but it does make me like I'm
• 23:22
  Speaker 4: a little bit more for DraftKings, So yeah, I agree.
• 23:24
  Speaker 4: I'd be fine with twenty percent if that's all I
• 23:26
  Speaker 4: can afford because I'm okay, going down to Jenkins for
• 23:29
  Speaker 4: two hundred dollars cheaper, But at the same time, I
• 23:32
  Speaker 4: want as much Nolan as I can afford. If there's
• 23:34
  Speaker 4: hunderdogs that I'm feeling good about, let me start with them,
• 23:37
  Speaker 4: throw Nolan in, see if I can complete the lineup
• 23:39
  Speaker 4: from there. But yeah, anywhere from like twenty five to
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: seventy five percent I'd be fine with on the Nolan side,
• 23:45
  Speaker 4: and then I'll just x ol Rais.
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: I mean, if I could build one hundred lineups or
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: like and feel really good about low dupes with all
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: Nolan like, sure, but with the lack of dogs that
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: I like and stuff like that, it's harder.
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: What's up, Dwayne, I missing man. Hope you're doing out there.
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: I will say, though it's completely different, like Reyes is
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: plus eight hundred, Kazama last week was plus two to ten.
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: A lot different scenario there. I will say, though, the
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: core we don't like want people just following the core
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: reports stuff like that. But we're all over Kazama last week,
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: and yeah, did that payoff in heaps? I mean six
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: percent in some contest thirteen in the flag Ship on
• 24:22
  Speaker 3: a ten fight card, as it was really really good
• 24:24
  Speaker 3: stuff over here. Kazama was the difference maker who you
• 24:27
  Speaker 3: needed him and Chepe all over and over here. Number
• 24:30
  Speaker 3: one in the tier rankings was Chefe last week Kazama
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: in the Core report. So very very big week for
• 24:36
  Speaker 3: the members. But hey, it's daily fantasy sports. Whether you
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: shifted all the cheese one day, you lost all the cheese, clear,
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: clear mindset next day, move on. Don't get two highs
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: on your highs, two lows on your lows. That's the
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: way to live, Lize. So what's going on though, Dwayne,
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: Hope you're doing well?
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: Man. Let's keep it rolling to the second biggest favorite
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: on the cards. You had ninety eight hundred No. One.
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: Now we go ninety six hundred Jack Jenkins taking on
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: Herbert Burns minus seven hundred. Jack Jenkins plus five hundred
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: is Herbert Burns minus six hundred for this fight to
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: finish under one and a half minus one ten Jack
• 25:09
  Speaker 3: Jenkins minus three fifty inside the distance, Herbert Burns plus
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: five seventy five inside the distance Round one prop for
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: Jenkins plus one point forty.
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: So I mean Herbert.
• 25:21
  Speaker 3: Burns isn't a bum for the first couple minutes of
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: the fight. Like before he dies, like his cardio falls
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: off a cliff and or he faces some type of adversity.
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: He's not that bad, which kind of concerns me with
• 25:33
  Speaker 3: Jack Jenkins, because I mean, you're competing with Tom Nolan
• 25:36
  Speaker 3: up there. Otherwise you're competing with some song Kanong's nine
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: hundred cheaper, Like we're gonna get to other fighters where
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: you can leave more money on the table and stuff
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: like that. Jack Jenkins can wrestle, but I don't think
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: he's wrestling in this fight like Herbert Burns is best
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: on the mat. I think he kicks the legs, he
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: chops away eventually gets a knockout. I don't love Jack
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: Jenkins this week because I like Tom Nolan's so much
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: much more. But in my Jack Jenkins lineups, I think
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna be leaving at least two hundred in almost
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: every single one and not play Tom Nolan. So if
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: Jenkins does outscore Nolan, all my Jack Jenkins teams are
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: live and the Dukes should be less. So that's kind
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: of how I'm approaching it. I don't love zeroing out
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: Jack Jenkins lineups. I don't love Jack Jenkins period, but
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: it makes sense game theory wise, if he does put
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: up a big score, he outscores Nolan, leaving that two hundred.
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: Those lineups are a lot more live to split with
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: a lot less people. So that's how I'm approaching it.
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: I'm exit Burns and twenty and below. But if I'm
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: making like one hundred lineups, seventy five lineups something like that,
• 26:41
  Speaker 3: I think I'll play a little Herbert Burns, probably because
• 26:43
  Speaker 3: a lot of his win equity is in round one.
• 26:46
  Speaker 3: He's dangerous there plus five seventy five inside the distance
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: and like plus five four fifty as a dog shows
• 26:51
  Speaker 3: if he wins, he'll put up a big score again.
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Twenty in below.
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna get there one hundred something, though I
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: probably will add him to the pool personally.
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: But yeah, that's all I see this fight. What about you?
• 27:04
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I would prefer Burns of Arayas because he does
• 27:07
  Speaker 4: have round one upside. He's the better submission grappler, but
• 27:12
  Speaker 4: for one round after round one, he's probably dead in
• 27:15
  Speaker 4: this one, and I think Jenkins could wrestle after round
• 27:18
  Speaker 4: one and do whatever he wants to on the ground
• 27:20
  Speaker 4: in this one. Jenkins is also plus plus one twenty
• 27:28
  Speaker 4: one in round one on one site, plus one forty
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: on another. He's minus one sixty in rounds one or
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: rounds two on DraftKings. So I do like Jenkins. I
• 27:39
  Speaker 4: think he could knock him out in the first round.
• 27:41
  Speaker 4: I think he could win the first round, go into
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: the second, and then just dominate in the second, just
• 27:47
  Speaker 4: rack up points en route to a finish in that
• 27:49
  Speaker 4: second round and still put up a big score. So
• 27:52
  Speaker 4: I like Jenkins. I'd probably prefer Nolan if I can
• 27:55
  Speaker 4: afford it, But if I can't afford it, then I'm
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: just I'm cool going down to Jenkins. So Burns would
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: be another one where I'm close to fading him, but
• 28:02
  Speaker 4: I'd be okay putting him with like a five to
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: ten percent max with one hundred and fifty lineups. I
• 28:07
  Speaker 4: prefer closer to that five. But uh, somewhere in that
• 28:10
  Speaker 4: range would be fine with me. And then with Jenkins,
• 28:12
  Speaker 4: I'd be cool getting around forty percent. To be honest
• 28:14
  Speaker 4: with you, Uh, somewhere around there. I mean give or
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: take fifteen either way. Yeah, give me Jenkins to finish
• 28:21
  Speaker 4: this guy in the first eight minutes.
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: Sheets the absolute man always this is the last bunch
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: alive due to the day and time change, but man
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: is sneaking for a minute. Keep out the great work
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: and give someone a free month. We'll get you some
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: of a free month. No idea, how to side up
• 28:36
  Speaker 3: to you? Well, the always my go to Sheets is
• 28:39
  Speaker 3: because this show is definitely watched way more on playback
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: and a lot of the people that are watching our members,
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: and to keep it fair, the easiest thing is say
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: total I thought we were I thought that was coming
• 28:49
  Speaker 3: out big Marley, so joke, it's total significant strikes in
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: the main event, because like, they're so many different numbers
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: you can pick. So if that works for you, Sheets,
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: but then that means we obviously give it away next week.
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: You tell me if you have a different idea though
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: obviously we're all ears, but that's what I can think of.
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: If you don't tell me something different, we'll go YouTube comments.
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: Closest total significant strikes in the main event you've got
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: something different, they'll let me know. Obviously you'll be looking
• 29:20
  Speaker 3: at the comments, but shout out to you, hey, and
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: I've been whatever you want, all right, So we're gonna
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: do that total significant strikes in the main event. Drop
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: it in the YouTube comments. Next week we will find
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: that winner. I'll keep the YouTube comments be watching it,
• 29:34
  Speaker 3: and then we will do it on Sheets and shout
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: out to you Sheets. You've absolutely been a fire in
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: so many sports I've been following. Man, I'm allbe legal legends,
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: all of them. So congrats on the heater. You're on
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: much much deserve, my man. One of the sharpest out
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: there in the industry, no doubt about that.
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: Let's keep it rolling.
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: Next fight on the card, Luana Sentos taking on case
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: O'Neil minus one forty plus one twenty. It's Casey O'Neill
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: plus one sixty for this to finish, or plus two
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: to fifty Santos inside the distance plus four to seventy
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: five is Casey.
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: So this is the fight where if you just.
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: Look at props, it's obviously not a fight you're really
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: gonna want to target. Most of these fights are expected
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: to finish. One of the most likely to go the
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: distance is this fight at minus two hundred. Then you
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: dig into the prop, or to dig into the numbers.
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: Casey O'Neill a volume monster, eight point four to one
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: significant strikes per minute, one point seven to seven takedowns
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: per fifteen minutes, Santos on the other side five point
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: three three significant strikes per minute two point zero three
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: takedowns per fifteen. I'm looking at this not a clash
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: of styles necessarily because I think they're relatively close and stuff.
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: But I think Santos is more likely to get takedowns.
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: Casey O'Neal is more likely to throw more volume eighty
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: six hundred seventy six hundred. I definitely have interest in
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: both eighty six hundred fighter. Santos has more takedown upside,
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: control time upside, fits DK scoring more CaCO O'Neil. If
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: she wins, I'm expecting one hundred plus significant strikes. Dogs
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: are tough on this card, so I think my preferred
• 31:06
  Speaker 3: play is Casey. But I mean, if I really had
• 31:11
  Speaker 3: to pick, like, I think Santos can ever weigh with
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: her on the mat a little bit and she has
• 31:15
  Speaker 3: big boy upside. I also always like to follow the money.
• 31:19
  Speaker 3: Casey opened minus one fifty Santos plus one thirty, and
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: the line pretty much flipped. I like file following live movements,
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: so I'm kind of torn. I'm gonna be playing both
• 31:29
  Speaker 3: of this side, no doubt. When we get to the
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: main event, I'm not gonna have one hundred percent of
• 31:34
  Speaker 3: that fight, and when I don't have that fight, I'm
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: more than likely gonna play this fight in most of
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: them since I can see the winner outscoring the main
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: event in an easy decision.
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: So that's my breakdown on this one. What about you?
• 31:46
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I like this fight. I think it's Santos on
• 31:49
  Speaker 4: the ground or Neil and the striking. O'Neill's probably she's
• 31:55
  Speaker 4: the better overall striker, but she could put up a
• 31:57
  Speaker 4: one heck of a pace on the feet too. She
• 31:58
  Speaker 4: could score ninety plus in a striking decision alone. So
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: I like her a lot as an underdog, but I
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: am picking Santos to win. I just think she has
• 32:07
  Speaker 4: a bigger edge on the mat. It could just be
• 32:09
  Speaker 4: one way traffic on the mat with Santos landing takedowns here.
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: So I just I want this fight in most of
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: my lineups one way or the other. But I think
• 32:17
  Speaker 4: the way that it doesn't make the optimal would be
• 32:21
  Speaker 4: and a Santos wins, she just spends too much time
• 32:24
  Speaker 4: on her feet, maybe pulls out the win with a
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: couple of takedowns here and there, and then on the
• 32:29
  Speaker 4: O'Neill side, if she wins, it's that she spends too
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: much time on her back and then wins the rest
• 32:34
  Speaker 4: of the fight on her feet. In either way, they
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: could score a little less than ten X. So definitely
• 32:38
  Speaker 4: not an all in fight, but one that I like
• 32:41
  Speaker 4: as a top like three or four fight on the
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: car just overall, and I would say that Santos is
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: my preferred play, but I have no issues getting more
• 32:49
  Speaker 4: exposure to O'Neil if that's what the Ship to Miser
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: gives me.
• 32:52
  Speaker 3: Hey, yeah, we group, we've agreed on too much to
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: start the card. I always do enjoy that though, but
• 32:57
  Speaker 3: we see it pretty much the same way.
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: Made a lot of the same point, Ak, Jeff, what's
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: going on? I haven't seen this name pop up too much,
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: so appreciate you watching. How often do ninety four hundred
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: plus fighters hit value? So that's a tough question because
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: everything's slate dependent. Like a twelve fight card compared to
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: a ten fight card compared to a fourteen fight card
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: are obviously all different. A card where there's only two
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: or when there's ten, of the twelve favorites are over
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: minus three hundred and DraftKings has people priced differently. Every
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: tier like they're way less.
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: Likely to hit hit the optimal when they're ninety four
• 33:33
  Speaker 3: hundred or plus that way. So like, yeah, I don't
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: have the numbers on it, and even if I did,
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: I don't really look at it like that because it's
• 33:40
  Speaker 3: really slate dependent, is mma. So yeah, I guess really
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: that's all my answer. I don't have the numbers to
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: do it. Everything slate dependence. If there's anything you want
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: to add, big Marley, But it's really hard to answer
• 33:51
  Speaker 3: that question, and I hope I explained why.
• 33:54
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I want to say that, well, I mean value. Yeah,
• 33:57
  Speaker 4: it's different. They mostly hit value. I would say, but
• 34:00
  Speaker 4: take like ninety four hundred and ninety five hundred dollars
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: have a much more likelihood of being on the optimal
• 34:06
  Speaker 4: lineup than it is like ninety six and higher, because
• 34:09
  Speaker 4: those kind of those are just priced out of the
• 34:11
  Speaker 4: optimal lineup sometimes. But if you want exact numbers, you
• 34:14
  Speaker 4: can go follow my guy Mma Monk on Twitter. He
• 34:17
  Speaker 4: could tell you the numbers.
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: There you go. But yeah, like, yeah hit that. Yeah,
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: that's I'm saying optimal.
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: So when I was taught, like, to me, value means optimal,
• 34:26
  Speaker 3: Like you score thirty, what did you ship with them
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: with Martik Man eighteen?
• 34:30
  Speaker 4: Uh shit, she had listened. She had like ten or
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: something ten.
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: Not value, but it was on the winner like it
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: was what it got you. That's the MMA is such
• 34:39
  Speaker 3: a unique sport. It's only like tennis when it comes
• 34:41
  Speaker 3: to DFS because there's twelve fights. They fight against each other,
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: so more than likely there's not a stat There's only
• 34:47
  Speaker 3: so many combinations.
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: It's a salary sport.
• 34:49
  Speaker 3: So like a ninety four hundred fighter could theoretically put
• 34:52
  Speaker 3: up one hundred and twenty be the highest score, but
• 34:55
  Speaker 3: an other scored one fifteen, one twelve, one ten, and
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: then we're cheaper.
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: They could be left off. So that's the reason there.
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: I like this sheets, I really do like this because
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: we're doing YouTube comments one hundred percent. Let's do this.
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: I think a more interesting contest for the free month
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: is what will the winning DFS contest be in the throwdown?
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: Which is the big I want to say twenty five
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: bucks this week. I don't know for sure, but the
• 35:16
  Speaker 3: big flag ship contest. So in the YouTube comments, scratch
• 35:20
  Speaker 3: that if you if you're tuned out after sheets of
• 35:23
  Speaker 3: the significant strikes and you comment that, hey, you don't
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: deserve it anyway. The real ones keep watching comment below,
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: not Kingusmack. You're not listening YouTube comments after or you
• 35:34
  Speaker 3: can do it now, but after the show. So we
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: will give it away next week right there. What will
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: the winning score be in the throwdown? So that's whatever's
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: closest gets it. I would go to the decimal points too,
• 35:45
  Speaker 3: because someone says six sixty, someone says six to sixty
• 35:49
  Speaker 3: point four, and is six to sixty point five. The
• 35:51
  Speaker 3: point four wins, So I like that idea sheets too sharp.
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: We'll get to that fight in a little bit. Cloud,
• 35:58
  Speaker 3: Let's keep it rolling. Next fight on the card, Joshua
• 36:01
  Speaker 3: cool about taking on Ricardo Homos minus one fifty cool
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: about actually hold on? Right when I was typing that,
• 36:08
  Speaker 3: some money just came in on Homos. So I'm seeing
• 36:10
  Speaker 3: on bet online just went from one to fifty. Now
• 36:13
  Speaker 3: it's minus one thirty five. Pretty big line, Chaine, a
• 36:15
  Speaker 3: big bet musta just came in on Homos, so minus
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: won thirty five. Coolibo plus one fifteen. Homos minus won
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: twenty five for this fight to finish. Cool About plus
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: one ninety five, Almos plus two sixty five and that
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: was plus Wow. So open plus three fifty. It was
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: literally just plus three hundred, and now it's plus two
• 36:38
  Speaker 3: sixty five for Homos inside the distance. I like all
• 36:40
  Speaker 3: this because Homos was my preferred play anyway. The eight
• 36:43
  Speaker 3: hundred savings averages three takedowns per fift fifteen minutes. Excuse me,
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: has the wrestling upside, has big boy upside in a win.
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: Cool about?
• 36:54
  Speaker 3: I mean he wants to keep it on the feet,
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: like I look at as a clash of styles. But
• 36:58
  Speaker 3: Homos can still hang on the feet too. I'll never forget.
• 37:00
  Speaker 3: One of the most vicious knockouts I've ever seen in
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: person was a spinning elbow against Danny Chaves Austin Texas.
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: I've been at five or six UFC events that Austin
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: Texas card. Nothing will ever beat that. The Dran win
• 37:13
  Speaker 3: Phil Hawes murder that we watched, I mean, Doucas Delitze
• 37:17
  Speaker 3: breaking Dowcas's nos giving one of the most brutal beatdowns.
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: I was khied for that insane card. The best card
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: will probably ever watch in my life. You need a
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: card to go back and your board. That Austin Texas
• 37:29
  Speaker 3: card probably like twenty twenty one cater and Emmett, which
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: was the most boring cart fight on the card.
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: Go back and watch that. But anyway, howmost can strike,
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: almost can wrestle. But man, when the going gets tough,
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: that man has no he has no dog in his game.
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: He UFC fighters, I compared to UFC fighters, but he's
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: he's a whimp. He's a quitter, like relatively speaking, Yes,
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: he beat my ass, of course, but like, come on,
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: Charles Jordaine submitting you like, I don't know, Man almost
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: my third play because he's cheaper, has the wrestling upside,
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: and you know he has the skill.
• 38:06
  Speaker 3: But I will say on the Kolibou side, we have
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: him at fifteen percent on that's one of the lowest
• 38:11
  Speaker 3: on the card. I'm gonna use him in chalk your lineups.
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: But Homos is definitely my preferred play. I love seeing
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: that money just literally this second came in on him
• 38:20
  Speaker 3: inside the distance prop keeps going down. So yeah, it's
• 38:22
  Speaker 3: Homos for me. You can leave money, and Amos does
• 38:26
  Speaker 3: have more like he could outscore that main event if
• 38:30
  Speaker 3: is he wins a decision that fight.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: We've seen it so many times.
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: We'll talk about me get there playing Homos over the
• 38:36
  Speaker 3: main event leaving a little money and it works out
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: like that's how you solo ship on this card.
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: So that's what I got.
• 38:43
  Speaker 3: And Josh you and this in either my man YouTube comments,
• 38:46
  Speaker 3: I want you to have a chance to win YouTube comments,
• 38:48
  Speaker 3: like on the actual video, not in the youth like
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: the chat, so like below the actual video.
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: Yeah after the live show. Yes, all right, yeah, I
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: mean I agree. I just like Ron. That's one of
• 39:00
  Speaker 4: my favorite underdogs on the card. I think he can
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: hang in the striking. He could knock out Kouliboo, but
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: he's gonna have the wrestling edge. He's the better grappler
• 39:09
  Speaker 4: in this one. You just can't. You can't really trust
• 39:12
  Speaker 4: him with too many lineups because he has no heart.
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: So I'm gonna get him in a good amount. I
• 39:17
  Speaker 4: will get some leverage over the field, but i'd probably
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: like maxim around forty percent or something like that. Kooliboo
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: should be the more technical striker, and mostly because Ricardo
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: throws all that spinning shit that I hate. But it's
• 39:31
  Speaker 4: worked for him twice, so I mean it could work again.
• 39:34
  Speaker 4: I would just prefer him get rid of that and
• 39:36
  Speaker 4: just look to wrestle more. But if Romost does win,
• 39:40
  Speaker 4: I think he's got a good chance of scoring more
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: than ten x with the hundred point upside, whereas if
• 39:46
  Speaker 4: Kulibou wins, if he doesn't finish, I don't think he
• 39:48
  Speaker 4: has really much of a chance at all of hitting
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: ten x and he has to finish to have any
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: hundred point upside.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: So ill though first fifteen ownership plus one ninety five
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: inside the distance isn't terrible.
• 40:01
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think he's like an okay ownership play. Yeah,
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: but just since I'm picking Ramos to win, I'll be
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: clicking on other other favorites more with my handbuilds, and
• 40:11
  Speaker 4: then Koliba will be more of like a ship de
• 40:13
  Speaker 4: miser play where I'd be okay getting like ten to
• 40:16
  Speaker 4: fifteen percent if that's what he gives me. But I
• 40:19
  Speaker 4: doubt I get him in any handbuilds. Give me right, I.
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: Agree with you, Like, if I'm playing like, I'm not
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: handbuilding and picking cool about if I'm playing him, it's
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: more than likely I'm playing d d PA chalk. Maybe
• 40:30
  Speaker 3: Tom Nolan was zero dollars left, like really talking lineups
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: like that, That's what I'd more than likely be. Like,
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: I don't like the idea of leaving six hundred with
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: Kolibo in your lineup, or like like playing Reis or
• 40:42
  Speaker 3: Herbert Burns and Kooliboo. I don't like that idea. He's
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: got to be the difference maker in that lineup. Let's
• 40:49
  Speaker 3: keep it going. Next fight on. I'm like getting sick
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: through Big Marley. I'm coughing a little bit through the mic.
• 40:56
  Speaker 3: So yeah, still a decent amount left. We'll get it
• 40:58
  Speaker 3: moving though. Junior to Walter Walker minus one twenty three
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: is to plus one h three is Walker minus two
• 41:05
  Speaker 3: hundred for this fight to finish?
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: Why did I think I must have rode it wrong?
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: Minus two hundred for this.
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: Fight to finish, plus one ten inside the distance for Tafa,
• 41:15
  Speaker 3: plus two eighty five for Walker. This is what Claude
• 41:19
  Speaker 3: was saying, how much ass is Walker striking? So it
• 41:22
  Speaker 3: literally seems all right, it is Junior top of the striker,
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: Walter Walker wants to take him down class the styles
• 41:29
  Speaker 3: big boys in there, Which prevails?
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: Who do you got?
• 41:34
  Speaker 4: Yeah? I think it's one of the best fights, if
• 41:36
  Speaker 4: not the best fight to target on the card because
• 41:39
  Speaker 4: I think uh Tafa's got the striking edge, but it's
• 41:42
  Speaker 4: most likely that he's gonna knock out Walker, and it
• 41:46
  Speaker 4: could be early, it could be the first sixty seconds.
• 41:48
  Speaker 4: He could get that slate breaking bonus. But if he
• 41:51
  Speaker 4: gets the first round knockout, he's on the optimal lineup.
• 41:54
  Speaker 4: If he gets a second round knockout, he's still flirting
• 41:56
  Speaker 4: with him maybe. But if he doesn't get early knockout,
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: I just think it's Walker getting take downs and laying
• 42:03
  Speaker 4: on a guy who doesn't know how to get up.
• 42:05
  Speaker 4: So my preferred play is gonna be the grappler. I
• 42:07
  Speaker 4: usually prefer grappler over the striker, and I think Walker
• 42:11
  Speaker 4: could score ninety plus points in a decision where Tafa,
• 42:16
  Speaker 4: I mean, he's not even scoring seventy plus points in
• 42:18
  Speaker 4: a decision, I don't think unless he's getting a couple
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: of knockdowns along the way. So yeah, give me Walker
• 42:23
  Speaker 4: to go out there, land a couple of takedowns, probably
• 42:25
  Speaker 4: like one takedown each round, and then just let his
• 42:29
  Speaker 4: way to a decision and hopefully do enough on the
• 42:32
  Speaker 4: ground to add up the points. But I do think
• 42:34
  Speaker 4: we're gonna get a pretty solid score either one, I
• 42:38
  Speaker 4: mean either way in this fight, so I'll have it
• 42:40
  Speaker 4: in majority of my lineups. But Walker is my preferred play.
• 42:46
  Speaker 3: It makes a lot of sense. I'm on the Tafa side.
• 42:49
  Speaker 3: I mean I don't feel confident at all, Like I
• 42:51
  Speaker 3: don't think both of these guys are really UFC caliber,
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: like Junior Tafa, Justin Taffa's brother, Walter Walker, Johnny Walker's brother.
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: Kind of the reason I did side with Tafa though,
• 43:04
  Speaker 3: is like on the feet, I think the light kicks
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: will be good. But the money, the money has came
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: in on Tafa. He open plus one thirty five, so
• 43:13
  Speaker 3: is plus one minus one fifty five Walker plus one
• 43:16
  Speaker 3: thirty five Tafa. Now Tafa the favorite has taken a
• 43:19
  Speaker 3: decent bit of money. I like following the money, I
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: think the light kicks will be there. Walker concerning gas tank,
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: but I say, like, oh, Tafa's kickboxing background Salad striker,
• 43:30
  Speaker 3: Like the dude didn't want to check a light kick
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: to save his life against the Lima, my man, Hebrew Cheetah.
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: We were there in California watching that one live. Was
• 43:39
  Speaker 3: just screaming like kick like kick, I mean it was
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: so so free. Got a takedown in there, didn't need
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: it eventually Tko from light kicks, but yeah, I mean,
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: so he's a solid striker. Walker's a massive human though
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: six to six of a three inch ti abandage three
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: inch each advantage in this one. But the striking, what
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: do they say, the bigger they are, the harder they fall.
• 43:58
  Speaker 3: I think Tafa can knock him out. Just got to
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: keep it on the feet. Let's keep it going. Next
• 44:04
  Speaker 3: fight on the car Carlos Protest taking on the Leach
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: Lee Jingling Lee minus four hundred. Protest plus three hundred
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: is the Leach minus two hundred for this fight to finish,
• 44:15
  Speaker 3: Protess minus one p fifty the Leach plus six hundred.
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: I don't love this fight because Protess is mine. There's
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: ninety two hundred, the Leach is seven k. Protess keeps
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: taking money, which makes me like the Leach a little less.
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: But when we're talking about prote is like I definitely
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: like Nolan Moore, Jenkins More gam rot More. Protest needs
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: a first or second round knockout, and even a second
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: round knockout might not get there. Like he has no
• 44:42
  Speaker 3: takedown upside, his volume isn't great. I mean he is
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: slick on the feet, though he is technical. He has
• 44:47
  Speaker 3: power so he can get a first round knockout. He's
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: expected to finish. The Leach has never been knocked out,
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: though big Boy Head really hard to put away. Lois
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: Volume needing a f or maybe second round nackout to
• 45:02
  Speaker 3: get there. I just like others in the upper tier more.
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: I think they have more pass to get there, is
• 45:06
  Speaker 3: how I see it. So I'm gonna keep them in
• 45:09
  Speaker 3: the pool. But I'm definitely gonna camp his ownership. I
• 45:11
  Speaker 3: prefer others in his range. The Leach, I'm gonna play
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: a little bit because I think there could be takedown offside.
• 45:17
  Speaker 3: I think that's his best chance to win, but two
• 45:20
  Speaker 3: year layoff has battled some injuries. I don't love either side.
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: I'll be underweight on this fight. What about you?
• 45:28
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I really don't want too much protaste because that
• 45:33
  Speaker 4: ninety two hundred dollars salary is just a little bit
• 45:36
  Speaker 4: too high for me for a guy who shouldn't be
• 45:37
  Speaker 4: looking for too many takedowns in this fight. I actually
• 45:40
  Speaker 4: give Jing Liang the wrestling edge in this one, and
• 45:45
  Speaker 4: if Protase doesn't get an early knockout, I just don't
• 45:48
  Speaker 4: think there's any way he's gonna pay off ninety two
• 45:50
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars winning a decision in this one. I think
• 45:52
  Speaker 4: the line is too wide, so my prefer play is
• 45:56
  Speaker 4: gonna be jing Liang. I think he is uh in
• 45:59
  Speaker 4: play as a punt to get those Nolans and Jenkins
• 46:02
  Speaker 4: in your lineups. I think he could win by any method.
• 46:06
  Speaker 4: He could get a knockout, he could go out there,
• 46:08
  Speaker 4: get a submission, he could lay in volume laying takedowns,
• 46:11
  Speaker 4: score well in a decision, and when he wins, he
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: usually does score well. I just that we haven't seen
• 46:17
  Speaker 4: him in two years now. He's thirty six years old,
• 46:19
  Speaker 4: so I just don't know what to expect from jing Liang.
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: I don't have any real confidence in him winning. I'm
• 46:24
  Speaker 4: picking Protests to go out there and win twenty nine
• 46:26
  Speaker 4: to twenty eight on the scorecards. But if that's the case,
• 46:30
  Speaker 4: Protest isn't going to be making the optimal lineup, so
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: I'll just be underweight to Protest. Maybe I'll get up
• 46:35
  Speaker 4: to like ten percent or so, and then jing Liang
• 46:38
  Speaker 4: I'm more interested in. I'll probably get like, I don't know,
• 46:42
  Speaker 4: ten to twenty five percent on the Jinglang side. I
• 46:46
  Speaker 4: don't feel good about him winning, but I feel pretty
• 46:47
  Speaker 4: good about him scoring well if he does win, and
• 46:49
  Speaker 4: I think the line should be much closer than it is.
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I could agree more.
• 46:53
  Speaker 3: He's my preferred side as well, but I think Protis
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: wins a decision.
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: I want to be underweight on this fight.
• 46:59
  Speaker 3: I will say, it's pretty hard to find like enough
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: fades and underweight tags like that. I try and have
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: four fades and three underweight tags. Usually on a twelve
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: fight card, I have three fades and five underweight tags
• 47:10
  Speaker 3: because I had four and four. We'll get to another
• 47:12
  Speaker 3: one I changed in a second. But it's pretty tough.
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: We're saying to go underweight on a guy minus one
• 47:19
  Speaker 3: fifty to finish, like, yeah, I mean he's favored to
• 47:22
  Speaker 3: finish the fight.
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: It's sorry striking slick.
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: He could obviously put up one ten and wouldn't be surprised,
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: and he will have a little ownership discount in the
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: top tier as well. So when I do play Protests,
• 47:34
  Speaker 3: I'll probably like, I'm way more likely to play Adrikis.
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: I'm way more likely to leave zero dollars stuff like that,
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: because I'm already getting different with him, Like I doubt
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: I don't want too many cool about Protest lineups. If
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: I do, then I'm probably jamming in chalk in the
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: rest of the four spots.
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: Keep it rolling, Bay Marley, You're doing great. Tie two week.
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: Actually mean I always start with the favor am I
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: doing Drazeno Rosenstrike tie two Weevasa minus six to finish,
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: minus one fifty five inside the distance for Rosenstruke, plus
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: two point fifteen inside the distance for tie tie on
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: a four fight losing streak, but he gets the fight
• 48:12
  Speaker 3: he wants. He's not gonna get taken down, which is
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: a thing of this one. So it's minus six hundred
• 48:18
  Speaker 3: to finish. It's minus two hundred under one and a half. Obviously,
• 48:23
  Speaker 3: I never will fade those props, but it's not an
• 48:27
  Speaker 3: all in fight, like if they threw Casey O'Neil volume
• 48:31
  Speaker 3: and there's these props like you just it's really really
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: hard to fade. Both guys pretty low volume. I think
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: they'll respect each other's power. It could go to decision,
• 48:40
  Speaker 3: and if it does, it's not going to get there.
• 48:42
  Speaker 3: If it gets outside the second round, it's probably not
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: going to get there, especially on the Rosenstrug side. So
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: both that big boy power. I think Rosenstruke wins because
• 48:52
  Speaker 3: I think he's more technical ties more of a brawler,
• 48:57
  Speaker 3: but man like. I like this fight, but hesitant on
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: it a little bit when comparing it versus the props,
• 49:03
  Speaker 3: which is like slam dunk.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: You can't fade this fight.
• 49:06
  Speaker 3: I don't necessarily see it like that because I could
• 49:09
  Speaker 3: see them respecting each other now at range no wrestling upside,
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: and yeah, I won't get there at that point.
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: So Rosenstrouke for me, though, what about you?
• 49:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah, Rosenstrouke's my preferred play, just because I think he
• 49:21
  Speaker 4: is the much better striker. I actually think the only
• 49:24
  Speaker 4: way Touivasa wins this fight is by knockout, and the
• 49:27
  Speaker 4: longer that it goes, the less likely. I think that
• 49:30
  Speaker 4: knockout is gonna come, but it should be a striking
• 49:33
  Speaker 4: match for the most part. But Tui Vasa can absolutely
• 49:37
  Speaker 4: break the slate with the first round knockout, and if
• 49:41
  Speaker 4: this fight goes past the first round, I don't know
• 49:43
  Speaker 4: that Rosenstruck can make it even with the second round
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: knockout because he's not gonna have a whole lot of volume.
• 49:48
  Speaker 4: He shouldn't be going for any takedowns, so we could
• 49:51
  Speaker 4: see a second round knockout from Rosenstruck and still not
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: even hit ten x so I think my plan is
• 49:56
  Speaker 4: going to be to max him around his first round
• 50:00
  Speaker 4: finish odds, which is like a right around forty percent
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: right now. So I think I'll probably max him at
• 50:07
  Speaker 4: forty and prefer him closer to like thirty or so,
• 50:10
  Speaker 4: because I do think he gets the first round knockout
• 50:13
  Speaker 4: and then twet Vasa. I mean, I have to get
• 50:15
  Speaker 4: some of him to help me with those Nolan and
• 50:17
  Speaker 4: Jinking lineups because he could, I mean, he couldnock him
• 50:20
  Speaker 4: out and score one hundred and ten points and it's
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: a no twee Vasa, no cash type of week, so
• 50:25
  Speaker 4: I'll definitely hedge with with uh tweet Vasa as well.
• 50:29
  Speaker 4: But my prefer my preferred leverage play is going to
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: be rosenstroke, and I think his lack of volume and
• 50:35
  Speaker 4: takedowns will keep his ownership down a little bit too,
• 50:37
  Speaker 4: so I'll probably be over it.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: No, I like what you said a lot because I agree.
• 50:42
  Speaker 3: So we have tie twee Vasa again. Ownership. Everything will
• 50:45
  Speaker 3: be up tomorrow. Ownership, projection, slave plan, Big Marley's fight
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: rankings are up, so if you want a little sneak peek,
• 50:51
  Speaker 3: you can check that out. All the other content will
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: be up tomorrow. We do have Tie Tweet Vasa as
• 50:57
  Speaker 3: the highest owned fighter seventy five hundred and below, and
• 51:01
  Speaker 3: I agree with that I wrote up in the Sleigh Plan.
• 51:03
  Speaker 3: I think he will be over owned for not only
• 51:06
  Speaker 3: the props but the name value as well, and just
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: dogs are tough on this card, Like if he wins,
• 51:11
  Speaker 3: he's doing that, so which makes me want to go
• 51:14
  Speaker 3: more rosan stroop for some leverage. People like you said,
• 51:17
  Speaker 3: we'll see no take down upside, low volume other solid
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: fighters in his range. So all of that makes me
• 51:23
  Speaker 3: like Rosenstrup even more. But it's not like you can
• 51:27
  Speaker 3: faye Tie. That's why Like if I play Coolibao, maybe
• 51:29
  Speaker 3: ties in that lineup. If I play Proctest, maybe ties
• 51:32
  Speaker 3: in that lineup. If I'm playing Nolan DDP Case O'Neil,
• 51:37
  Speaker 3: Tie's probably not in that lineup. So that's where I'm
• 51:40
  Speaker 3: at in this one. But yeah, solid fight to target
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: Tye probably over owned. But even though because you're over owned,
• 51:47
  Speaker 3: yeah he goes up and puts out one hundred, Yeah
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: you need him. He's under owned at that point obviously,
• 51:52
  Speaker 3: so time for a shoey chewey Vasa. He will definitely
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: be doing a shoey. If he gets the win, he
• 51:58
  Speaker 3: can bank on that one. Keep it rolling, Big Marley.
• 52:02
  Speaker 3: Three fights left, three solid fights. I mean at least,
• 52:06
  Speaker 3: I mean definitely high level fights, no doubt about that.
• 52:10
  Speaker 3: I don't know how many people like to see Mateo
• 52:12
  Speaker 3: Scamrot's name, but Mateyo Scamart taking on Dan Hooker minus
• 52:16
  Speaker 3: three fifty. Gamro plus two to eighty five is the
• 52:19
  Speaker 3: Hangman plus one eighty inside the distance. This one is
• 52:23
  Speaker 3: gam Rock plus two sixty five inside the distance Hooker
• 52:26
  Speaker 3: plus five hundred. So I will say I kind of
• 52:31
  Speaker 3: surprised that Gamrock inside the distance keeps taking money, and
• 52:35
  Speaker 3: I like to see that too. He was plus three
• 52:37
  Speaker 3: hundred just a couple of days ago. Now it's plus
• 52:40
  Speaker 3: two sixty five. Interesting Gamrock. What you know about him
• 52:45
  Speaker 3: is he chained wrestler. He'll chain wrestle for days. He
• 52:48
  Speaker 3: just put up eleven takedowns last fight for one hundred
• 52:50
  Speaker 3: and thirty one DK points. Even in a decision. He
• 52:53
  Speaker 3: has as much upside as anybody, which is like why
• 52:56
  Speaker 3: I can never x him out of the pool. The
• 52:59
  Speaker 3: thing is, and this is what I was talking. I
• 53:00
  Speaker 3: had four fades and I moved it to three. I'm
• 53:03
  Speaker 3: keeping Hooker in the pool because a I mean, he's
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: dann like. He's a very very very good fighter, like
• 53:10
  Speaker 3: dogs that I want to back are at least very
• 53:13
  Speaker 3: elite fighters, Like even though I had no Poorier against Islam,
• 53:17
  Speaker 3: it's Dustin Poorier, Like, you know he's gonna fight for
• 53:19
  Speaker 3: your dollar. You know he's a good fighter. Alex Ray
• 53:21
  Speaker 3: is his cheeks. It's harder to back a guy when
• 53:23
  Speaker 3: you know he's cheeks. Regardless he's fighting a little worse fighter.
• 53:27
  Speaker 3: I mean he looks career best too, like grown ass
• 53:30
  Speaker 3: man Dan Hooker. I don't know if he's on the
• 53:32
  Speaker 3: juice what he's doing. He's in the weight room. There's
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: no doubt about that. He looks good. He has a
• 53:37
  Speaker 3: striking advantage. Gamck's not a bum by any means, Like
• 53:40
  Speaker 3: he was standing with a zeb like he can. He's
• 53:42
  Speaker 3: an underrated striker. I think for many people call him
• 53:45
  Speaker 3: the crotch sniffer boring all that. Sure, no damage on
• 53:48
  Speaker 3: the mat, but he's a fine striker. He ain't gonna
• 53:51
  Speaker 3: be an optimal if he strikes, so Gamrack with the
• 53:54
  Speaker 3: wrestling upside, if Hooker can stuff takedowns, or if he
• 53:58
  Speaker 3: can at least get back up, get at range, make
• 54:00
  Speaker 3: him work. I mean it's a hangman like the first
• 54:03
  Speaker 3: Like Dan Hooker against Lson Pourier in the Apex is
• 54:07
  Speaker 3: one of the best fights you will ever see. Like
• 54:10
  Speaker 3: he has had a lot of war. But man, that
• 54:12
  Speaker 3: dude will come and he'll fight for your dollars. So
• 54:14
  Speaker 3: I wanted to fade cuz just say Dan Hooker somehow
• 54:18
  Speaker 3: gets a third round knockout. Well, if he was controlled
• 54:20
  Speaker 3: the whole first two rounds and didn't do anything, it
• 54:22
  Speaker 3: still might not be enough. But if I'm saying any
• 54:25
  Speaker 3: win at seventy, I'll take as a dog. He's below
• 54:28
  Speaker 3: seven k, so he's a live dog, no doubt about it.
• 54:31
  Speaker 3: Gamrack's still my preferred play because he showed that one
• 54:34
  Speaker 3: thirty plus upside.
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm excited for this one. I'm excited to
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: hear what you gotta say too.
• 54:40
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Gamera has one of the highest ceilings
• 54:42
  Speaker 4: on the card with his takedown upside. He could go
• 54:46
  Speaker 4: out there and land seven plus takedowns and score one
• 54:49
  Speaker 4: hundred and ten in a decision win here. But my
• 54:53
  Speaker 4: thing with Gamera is that he like he's really good
• 54:55
  Speaker 4: at getting takedowns, but he only he averages less than
• 54:58
  Speaker 4: a minute of control time per takedown. So if he
• 55:00
  Speaker 4: does get seven takedowns here but controls the fight for
• 55:04
  Speaker 4: six minutes, that could mean that Hooker's winning the other
• 55:09
  Speaker 4: nine minutes on the feet. Because I do like him
• 55:10
  Speaker 4: to have the striking edge. I like him to be
• 55:12
  Speaker 4: more dangerous on the feet as well, So this line
• 55:15
  Speaker 4: I thought was a little bit too high, which talked
• 55:16
  Speaker 4: me into Hooker as my pick. I'm picking Hooker to
• 55:20
  Speaker 4: win here, so I still want a good amount of gamera.
• 55:25
  Speaker 4: I don't want to get too burned on him like
• 55:27
  Speaker 4: I did the last card, because I don't know if
• 55:28
  Speaker 4: I faded him, but I was definitely low on him
• 55:30
  Speaker 4: in the last card, and he put up that one thirty,
• 55:32
  Speaker 4: so I don't want to miss that. So I'll still
• 55:34
  Speaker 4: get it like at least twenty percent game right here.
• 55:36
  Speaker 4: But I'm going to be more overweight to the field
• 55:39
  Speaker 4: on Hooker in this fight. I don't feel good about
• 55:42
  Speaker 4: him putting up a big score because you're already could
• 55:44
  Speaker 4: get taken down seven times still win and just not
• 55:46
  Speaker 4: have a big score in that win. But I think
• 55:50
  Speaker 4: the knockouts in play too so I'll probably get like
• 55:53
  Speaker 4: twenty twenty five percent of each side of this fight, really,
• 55:56
  Speaker 4: but that'll put me more overweight on the hooker side,
• 55:58
  Speaker 4: and I'll pick him to win by split the seat.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: I like it.
• 56:01
  Speaker 3: This is yeah, we have to touch on this. We
• 56:03
  Speaker 3: would talk about in the discord a little bit earlier.
• 56:06
  Speaker 3: Me he Brew Cheeta a couple members. My thought is,
• 56:10
  Speaker 3: like Makaya getting cut, I think had a lot more
• 56:13
  Speaker 3: to do with just he's a dumb ass. He's not,
• 56:15
  Speaker 3: I guess respectful. There's a lot of things behind the
• 56:17
  Speaker 3: scenes that seemed like he was. I mean, he's still
• 56:20
  Speaker 3: talking like nonsense, so I think it had more to
• 56:22
  Speaker 3: do with that. Now, he did come out and verbally
• 56:24
  Speaker 3: say the matchmakers told him not to wrestle as much.
• 56:28
  Speaker 3: I don't know if they said that like before the fight,
• 56:30
  Speaker 3: like we know already we already want to cut you,
• 56:33
  Speaker 3: like you're already boring, Like give us another reason to
• 56:36
  Speaker 3: get you out here. The Karl Williams last week was
• 56:39
  Speaker 3: very interesting as well. He got hurt and then he
• 56:42
  Speaker 3: tried to wrestle, to be honest, like his leg was
• 56:45
  Speaker 3: so cooked, Like I don't even know if he used
• 56:47
  Speaker 3: as excuse more so or maybe so, but Carl Williams
• 56:51
  Speaker 3: is way down the list.
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: I don't look at it really in this fight.
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: Because I mean, gam Rout's what twenty four and two,
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: he's on a big winning streak, Like I think he's
• 57:00
  Speaker 3: the fight a title fight. Unfortunately, like people don't like that,
• 57:04
  Speaker 3: like blah mohammed. If you keep winning, eventually Dana like
• 57:08
  Speaker 3: has to give it to you, almost. But when you're
• 57:10
  Speaker 3: in a war with someone and like you're getting outstruck,
• 57:13
  Speaker 3: like you're gonna shoot, Like I don't think you're like,
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: oh shoot, I might lose my job if I just
• 57:17
  Speaker 3: get my like strike and then I'll get my ass beat.
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: Like I mean, he's been KSW the UFC, he's been
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: so good, Like I think he.
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: Can make money anywhere.
• 57:27
  Speaker 3: I think when it all said and done, give me
• 57:30
  Speaker 3: my I don't know what he gets paid, one hundred
• 57:31
  Speaker 3: and twenty thousand, give me my one hundred and twenty
• 57:33
  Speaker 3: thousand win bonus. I'm gonna wrestle because I know that's
• 57:36
  Speaker 3: the easiest path and it probably is baked into a
• 57:39
  Speaker 3: line maybe a little bit, but I think it's getting
• 57:41
  Speaker 3: overblown to the public. But this is all speculation. I
• 57:44
  Speaker 3: don't have ties with Dana White. I don't have inside
• 57:47
  Speaker 3: info on the UFC. This is literally me just thinking
• 57:50
  Speaker 3: I could be so wrong, but I'm not really changing
• 57:53
  Speaker 3: my approach necessarily, especially when you're higher up in the
• 57:56
  Speaker 3: ranks like Mitay scam Rot.
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: So I hope that answers the question there. What about you?
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: Any thoughts on that?
• 58:04
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I didn't even consider it. And then like, uh,
• 58:07
  Speaker 4: with the whole Makaya saying that they told him not
• 58:11
  Speaker 4: to wrestle thing, like, it's it brings me back to
• 58:14
  Speaker 4: that Seth the Pozinski versus Kimbo slice fight, where like
• 58:18
  Speaker 4: they told Seth to not wrestle Kimbo on live TV,
• 58:23
  Speaker 4: and then Dane was like, that's fucking illegal.
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's maybe for my time.
• 58:29
  Speaker 4: Yeah, So I just don't think that they could tell
• 58:31
  Speaker 4: these fighters not to wrestle, especially if that's the best
• 58:35
  Speaker 4: way to win. So I I didn't take it into
• 58:39
  Speaker 4: account at all. I do think Gamrock's gonna go out
• 58:41
  Speaker 4: there and wrestle, but it's I mean, it's bad for
• 58:43
  Speaker 4: Gamra if he doesn't go out there wrestle, then he's
• 58:44
  Speaker 4: relying on a knockout at that point. So that would
• 58:47
  Speaker 4: like Gamro even less.
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think it's more a speculation.
• 58:51
  Speaker 3: People talking seeing there's low IQ fighters out there at
• 58:54
  Speaker 3: the end of the day, and like watching that Carl
• 58:56
  Speaker 3: Williams fight, Denise chopped that leg early, and often when
• 58:59
  Speaker 3: your legs chopped it's harder to plant get explode out
• 59:03
  Speaker 3: like he was at range too much. Any of his
• 59:05
  Speaker 3: shots were like at at distance telegraphs. So that's I
• 59:11
  Speaker 3: got a little bit of inside and they aren't telling
• 59:13
  Speaker 3: people how to fight. Hey, what's going on, Shark? There
• 59:15
  Speaker 3: you go, Shark man inside info. I need to see
• 59:18
  Speaker 3: what you're getting that inside info. But yeah, I hope
• 59:20
  Speaker 3: you're doing well, Shark, And yeah, I'm on the same page.
• 59:24
  Speaker 3: But again I'm just speculating. I got an inside info and.
• 59:27
  Speaker 4: I definitely said that seth guys, And I think it's
• 59:28
  Speaker 4: like Petres l E or so. I don't remember what
• 59:30
  Speaker 4: the heck his name was, but the Dana quote with
• 59:32
  Speaker 4: that's fucking illegal, that's what I Yeah.
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: Yeah, they can definitely get in a lot of trouble
• 59:39
  Speaker 3: if that comes out and someone records that or some
• 59:41
  Speaker 3: some shit.
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's bad. Two fights left comin event time.
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: Steve Ersek taken on Kay Car France minus one seventy
• 59:49
  Speaker 3: earth se plus one forty five is Kai uh plus
• 59:53
  Speaker 3: two sixty five inside the distance Kai plus five hundred. Yeah,
• 59:58
  Speaker 3: hard to believe anything that Kay says at this point
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: is right, no doubt about that. I don't love this
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 3: fight much. I actually I think Ersk wins a decision.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 3: But I don't think unless you tell me you think
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 3: he's gonna wrestle a lot, which KAIKR fans is really
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 3: good take down defense. I don't really just see eighty
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 3: eight hundred erseg getting you a ninety plus on this slate.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 3: So I actually have him as a fade in twenty
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 3: and below, and Kai's my preferred play. I don't love Kai,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 3: but this comes back to like seventy three in A
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 3: win at seventy four hundred could be enough. If we're
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 3: going in this fight and no dogs have won, or
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 3: only one dog is like one Tom Nolan puts up
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 3: one thirty seventy could be enough. That's just like how
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 3: this we play a salary based game. Plus one forty
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 3: five in or money line isn't bad. I don't you
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 3: tell me five dogs win on this card. I would
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 3: have zero Kai Car France because I don't love the
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 3: upside there, so I'm definitely capping his ownership. He's my
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 3: preferred play because I don't love ersex upside at ers
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 3: He has upside, I will say, like, he's a very
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 3: good fighter. He was one round away from beating Pantosia.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 3: I think he wins this fight, which also why I
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 3: don't like Kai much, but eighty eight hundred I prefer
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 3: others a.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: Lot more so, not a fight I like much.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 3: I got Erseeg winning, though Kai my preferred play just
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 3: because of money line and price value.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's gonna be a fun fight to watch,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 4: but it's my least favorite fight for DFS. I think
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 4: Ersik does have the higher ceiling, probably more finishing potential,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 4: more wrestling potential, but I just don't think it's a
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 4: likely ceiling. I think he probably scores under ten X
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 4: in a win here. So yeah, I'm fine with France
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 4: being the preferred play just from being a live dog.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 4: But yeah, he might not hit ten x either, so
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 4: most of my lineups will avoid this fight. I'd be
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 4: okay with like up to ten to fifteen percent on
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 4: each side with the ship Demeser lineups.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: Main event time. Boys, let's go again.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 3: Appreciate every single person out there watching, want to shout
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 3: out again sheets he is giving away a monthly membership.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 3: How you do that YouTube comments, not the YouTube chat,
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 3: the YouTube comments, that's the wrong one. Guess the winning
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 3: DFS score in the throwdown, which is the fifteen to
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 3: twenty five whatever they're running this week the big flagship.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 3: Whoever gets closest to that gets a month at Chipinnation
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 3: dot com. If you're not a member, though, as you see,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 3: no better time to get in NFL season Right around
• 1:02:21
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• 1:02:24
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• 1:02:28
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• 1:02:31
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• 1:02:32
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• 1:02:35
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• 1:02:38
  Speaker 3: contents three oh five big boy prize pools coming off
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 3: a massive week. Also get PGA showed on content, NASCAR
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 3: big wins in the NASCAR streets, MLB still rolling, no better.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: Time to get in.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 3: Ship a Nation dot com and of course shutout drafters,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 3: Rio and I We'll be going live right after the show.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: Jumping in the drafters draft looks like potent overlay ship.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: It is the promo code.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 3: They will match one hundred percent up to one hundred dollars.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 3: How many points will Marley score in the top lineup?
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 3: Answer will be the same, Hey, come on, where's my
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 3: love sheets? Right? Main eventime, Baby Israel out of SOIGNI
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 3: taking on Dricis duo plus the minus one time a piece, Baby,
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 3: flip a coin, flip a coin. Nothing better than that
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 3: minus one forty five for this fight to finish, plus
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 3: one seventy inside the distance for drikis plus two forty
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 3: inside the distance for Izzy. My quick thought, actually, take
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 3: away big Marl. I've gone first almost every time I've
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 3: tried to spare your voice. I'll let you take this
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 3: one first.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 4: See. I think if DDP wins this fight, he is
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 4: on the optimal lineup. He can land volume, he can
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 4: land takedown, so he could get a knockout. But any
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 4: win from him I expect a big score. Whereas if
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 4: is He wins, I think it's possible that this fight's
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 4: not on the optimal line up, especially if it goes
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 4: past like the third round. I think a fourth round
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 4: or a fifth round knockout from Izzy could possibly not
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 4: make the optimal lineup, and then a decision from Izzy
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 4: could also score like right around ten x and not
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 4: get there. I think it does help that this is
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 4: in the mid range, so you don't really need one hundred,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 4: one hundred and ten points from it. But to get
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 4: different from the field, I'll probably be underweight to this
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 4: fight as a whole. I also have DDP projected with
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 4: higher ownership, so that makes me like Easy Moore, but
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna pick Easy here. I think that the sloppiness
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 4: from DDP somebody like Izzy could really make him pay
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 4: for that. He just he's so sharp on the feed,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 4: he's so technical. It could just be one mistake from
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 4: DDP and then it lights out. So give me Easy
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 4: by knockout. I don't know what round, but he is
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 4: my preferred play. I will be underweight to DDP, but
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 4: I'll still get some exposure. Hell i might even be
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 4: underweight to Izzy too, but I'm more likely to get
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 4: let on his side, I think, and the more this
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 4: line closes, the lower his ownership will be.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: First of all, I want to say hi to Joanne.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 3: I forgot earlier I apologize always saying Hi, bringing good Mojoe.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 3: I appreciate that, Joanne. Good luck to you this week.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 3: I'm glad you went first. You say my voice I
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 3: could not agree with like I agree with everything you said.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 3: I think DDP will be higher owned because he's lower
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 3: owned in almost every DDP win. I think he's optimal
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 3: over six significant strikes, three takedowns. He just has so
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 3: many paths to win, even in the decision. Izzy, on
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 3: the other hand, has been a notorious poor score for dfs.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 3: Everybody knows it. If he wins the decision, it can
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: be counter punching all day. Eighty points not enough. However,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 3: I agree with you. If I have to make a pick,
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 3: it is easy because I do think you said the
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 3: counter punching shark's talking about counterpunching just way more technical.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 3: I think he has something to prove, like I bet you.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 3: He is so locked in against speculation whatever, like you,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 3: they're always locked in for training camps. Just got embarrassed
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 3: by Sean Strickland talking about maybe taking years off all
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 3: this there's bad blood. I think we get the best
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 3: one of the better Izzies we see. However, if he's
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 3: counterpunching all night and gets let's say a third round
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 3: knockout that could be eighty could be eighty five. Decision
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 3: win could be eighty, could be eighty five. We're talking
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 3: This fight could have like ninety percent combined ownership because
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 3: it's in the mid tier.
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: I like that it's in the mid tier for that reason.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 3: We have other good fights in the mid tier, like
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 3: song Canon fights expected to finish, Juana Santos, O'Neil. We
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 3: make cases for the Kolibaojamos. We like Tomos to an extent.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 3: Tafa Walker right there, like there is Kate. The mid
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 3: tier is good this week, so excuse me. Eighty eighty five.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 3: Like if I knew they would score that, it's a
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: full fade at ownership, so I will have fates in
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 3: this fight. I think ownership's gonna be on DDP, and
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 3: it could be like fifty two percent DDP, thirty eight
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 3: percent Atisania and point. It's like, yeah, that's that's interesting.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I won't have one hundred percent. I'm picking eazy,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 3: but not every easy wins optimal, whereas a lot of
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 3: ddp's wins are optimal. So it's kind of like if
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 3: I'm playing protest, We're likely to play DDP, I play
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 3: Cool about more likely to play DDP, I play Nolan
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 3: Casey O'Neil, probably more likely to play Izzy or fade.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 3: So kind of gonna go about what my other pieces are,
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 3: how much money I'm leaving, and that determines what side
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 3: or if I fade the main event. If iasy is
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 3: projecting remotely close eight percent thirty percent, I have zero,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 3: I will say we haven't projected pretty close to thirty
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 3: eight percent.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: Sheets. Appreciate that, Cody Barry, appreciate those words. Appreciate everyone
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: out out there again.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 3: Hit that like, hit that subscribe button, head over ship
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 3: in nation, no better time, no better price, and get
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 3: in the comments if you want to try and win
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 3: a free membership on Chets.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: Get's the closest score to the throwdown.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 3: The winner that does get a free month on Sheets
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 3: next week, Big Marley.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: Final thoughts for the people.
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 4: Now man, Thanks Sheets for the don no, thanks Rio
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 4: for taking my spot in the Best Ball Podcast. Good
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 4: luck to you title, goodluck to everybody listening.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: Go get some sleep.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 3: Real I'll see in a couple of seconds we're going
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 3: to the Best Ball Streets We'd love for you to
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 3: join us on the YouTube channel. We will see you there.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 3: Good luck, everybody, appreciate all you be safe this weekend.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 3: Let's make some cheese for Big Marley. I'm titled telling Pace.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: Mother any uns.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 4: And then the Netherst most pens.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: Mother with many pounds and mounds, then neether with many
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: friends
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 3: Must have ten still