Latest / 360 with Katie Woolf / Katie Woolf spoke with Real Estate Institute NT CEO Quentin Kilian
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Joining us on the line right now. Real Estate Institute
- 0:03Speaker 1: of the Northern Territory CEO Quentin Killian, Good morning to you, Quentin,
- 0:08Speaker 1: Morning Katie. Sorry for our tardiness this morning. Quentin, running
- 0:11Speaker 1: a little bit late mate. Talk us through the latest
- 0:15Speaker 1: You've released the June twenty twenty one quarter data, and
- 0:19Speaker 1: it's big news for the property market, certainly for those
- 0:23Speaker 1: if you're already a home or unit owner.
- 0:27Speaker 2: Well look, it's finally starting to show some signs of recovery.
- 0:31Speaker 2: It's been a long time coming. We've probably suffered through
- 0:36Speaker 2: the best part of five to six years of a
- 0:39Speaker 2: market downturn and we stare it start to turn around
- 0:42Speaker 2: from about June last year, but really pick up in
- 0:45Speaker 2: March quarter. This quarter, however, we've actually seen quite a
- 0:49Speaker 2: substantial jump both in sales volume and in the median price.
- 0:54Speaker 2: So we saw almost around about an eighty percent jump
- 1:00Speaker 2: in a sales volume in the houses and in the
- 1:04Speaker 2: unit market is where we saw the real movement. It
- 1:07Speaker 2: was the median price lifted about twenty point two percent
- 1:12Speaker 2: for this quarter, which is fabulous news. It basically means
- 1:16Speaker 2: that there's a lot more sales and the higher end
- 1:18Speaker 2: of the market and the more expensive end of the
- 1:20Speaker 2: market than under the three point fifty bracket.
- 1:23Speaker 1: Quentin, are we back at those sort of pre impecs
- 1:27Speaker 1: dollars or still not quite there yet?
- 1:29Speaker 2: No, we're We're still about twenty percent below the impax heights.
- 1:37Speaker 2: We are certainly showing healthy signs of recovery. But the
- 1:42Speaker 2: big thing for me is that this market growth is
- 1:46Speaker 2: driven by what I class is organic growth, So it's
- 1:49Speaker 2: more driven by demand from people moving here or investors
- 1:53Speaker 2: that are looking at this market, rather than by a
- 1:55Speaker 2: project imperative, which was essentially to house a lot of
- 1:59Speaker 2: people for a short period or for a defined period
- 2:02Speaker 2: of time. So I'm hopeful, very hopeful that this growth
- 2:07Speaker 2: is longer term, more sustainable growth for the marketplace.
- 2:11Speaker 1: Yeah, that would be a good thing, Quentin. Who are
- 2:13Speaker 1: we seeing by most of our units to begin.
- 2:17Speaker 2: With, Look, it's a mixture. The good thing is that
- 2:22Speaker 2: we're actually seeing interstate investors coming back into the market.
- 2:25Speaker 2: They've been absent from our market for a long time
- 2:29Speaker 2: for a number of reasons. But one of the big
- 2:33Speaker 2: things with our marketplace is that we still have the
- 2:36Speaker 2: highest rental yields of any capital city in Australia. Sitting
- 2:40Speaker 2: at around five to five and a half percent, and
- 2:43Speaker 2: that compares to say two to three percent in Sydney
- 2:45Speaker 2: and Melbourne markets. So for inter state investors, this is
- 2:49Speaker 2: still a primary market where they can get good returns
- 2:52Speaker 2: on their investment into the rental market and with rents
- 2:55Speaker 2: being the rental market thing very very tight, so we're
- 2:58Speaker 2: down around about one point three percent, which is extremely tight,
- 3:03Speaker 2: so they're pretty much guaranteed of good rental returns and
- 3:08Speaker 2: tendencies going forward.
- 3:10Speaker 1: And Quentin, those interstate investors are they people wanting to flee,
- 3:13Speaker 1: you know, locations like the New South Wales and Melbourne
- 3:17Speaker 1: obviously where we've seen lockdowns recently.
- 3:22Speaker 2: Look, Anikdotley, I couldn't support this with hard and fast,
- 3:27Speaker 2: harded But Annik Dodley, what I am hearing is that
- 3:29Speaker 2: there is a good mixture of investors who are just
- 3:32Speaker 2: looking for good investments, but also people that not just
- 3:35Speaker 2: people who are looking to get out of Melbourne or
- 3:37Speaker 2: Sydney because they're sick of the lockdowns, but also Territorians
- 3:41Speaker 2: who had moved south set up home and are now
- 3:45Speaker 2: wishing to move back to Darwin. And one of the
- 3:48Speaker 2: trends that is emerging that I've heard a number of
- 3:50Speaker 2: times is previously we would see mom and dad go
- 3:54Speaker 2: down to the kids as grandma and grandpa. What's happening?
- 3:58Speaker 2: In many cases, mom and dad have decided to stay
- 4:01Speaker 2: in Darwin and the kids are returning to them.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Yeah, right, well that's a good thing. Hopefully we see
- 4:06Speaker 1: a bit of a boost to our population as well. Quentin,
- 4:09Speaker 1: how about how are things obviously, you know the figures
- 4:12Speaker 1: that you've just given me, then I'm assuming of the
- 4:14Speaker 1: Greater Darwin region, But how are things out in Palmerston,
- 4:17Speaker 1: which we know is a location where a lot of
- 4:19Speaker 1: our first time buyers generally go, you know, to get
- 4:23Speaker 1: their first time yep.
- 4:25Speaker 2: Well, look, Palmerston had a nice kick in this quarter.
- 4:28Speaker 2: Its sales volumes jumped about thirty six percent, but when
- 4:32Speaker 2: you compare that to this time last year, that's ninety
- 4:35Speaker 2: eight point seven percent higher and sales volume, so it's
- 4:38Speaker 2: double what we were selling at the same time last year.
- 4:41Speaker 2: And the median price is starting to kick up as well.
- 4:44Speaker 2: It moved up not as substantial as Great Darwin, but
- 4:48Speaker 2: three point six percent increase, and the unit sales are
- 4:52Speaker 2: also on the move out there as well. With the marketplace,
- 4:56Speaker 2: the medium drifted down slightly, sales are still ticking along
- 5:02Speaker 2: very nicely, about thirty percent higher than what they were
- 5:04Speaker 2: last year, and we're sort of seeing similar activity in
- 5:09Speaker 2: Alice Springs as well. The Alice Springs market was one
- 5:13Speaker 2: hundred and twelve percent more than this time last year
- 5:16Speaker 2: in house sales. So yes, look, it's a healthy market.
- 5:21Speaker 2: The only real concern for us, Katie, is that what
- 5:25Speaker 2: we are seeing now. We won't see this substantive data
- 5:28Speaker 2: until the September quarter, but we are seeing anecdotal evidence
- 5:32Speaker 2: already that the first home buyer market is drying up,
- 5:36Speaker 2: and that's largely because the incentives have been taken away
- 5:39Speaker 2: from the marketplace, and it's now costing first home buyers
- 5:43Speaker 2: the best part of thirty odd thousand dollars extra to
- 5:45Speaker 2: get into their property because they don't have that stampedity
- 5:48Speaker 2: concession anymore.
- 5:49Speaker 1: Right, So really, again, again, that is something that you're
- 5:53Speaker 1: pretty concerned about, oh very much.
- 5:56Speaker 2: So, Look, we think it was a very ill advised
- 5:59Speaker 2: decision to remove that, and we call on the chief
- 6:05Speaker 2: of the Slash Treasurer to review that decision and bring
- 6:10Speaker 2: back first home buyer and said it was as quickly
- 6:12Speaker 2: as possible.
- 6:14Speaker 1: Quentin Killian, we are going to have to leave it there.
- 6:16Speaker 1: Always appreciate your time. Thank you very much for having
- 6:18Speaker 1: a chat with us today.
- 6:20Speaker 2: Always happy to come on, Katie, thank you.
- 6:23Speaker 1: That's Quentin Killian there. The see of the Real Estate
- 6:26Speaker 1: Institute of the Northern Territory.