Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 430 - 1/12/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 4. 30 of the all.
- 0:18Systems go. Sports betting podcast powered
- 0:21by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
- 0:24Applebaum, what's going on everyone?
- 0:31Happy Monday. A new week begins as we roll
- 0:34through the middle part of January, and we are one.
- 0:37Week. Closer to the Super Bowl, but
- 0:39boy, do we have a lot to get to, a lot to talk about, a lot to
- 0:42update everybody. On here for today because we
- 0:45just went. Through a pretty decent first
- 0:47round of the playoffs Wild card weekend.
- 0:50We did see. Dogs go.
- 0:51Four and one against. The spread.
- 0:52So why is that important? Because heading.
- 0:54Into the postseason or talking about the fact that you know
- 0:57this is a great time of year to bet on dogs.
- 1:00Big part of it is again, you're getting.
- 1:02A really big influx of public. Betting they're going to really
- 1:05play a lot of these favorites. Also, these lines are really
- 1:07sharp, so taking a contrarian approach, playing these dogs
- 1:10really has never been a bad thing when it comes.
- 1:12To the postseason and going into it, we did have.
- 1:15These dogs with a record if I can just pull it up for you.
- 1:20Of yadda yadda yadda wild card dogs. 27 and 15 against the
- 1:24spread 64% since 2017. Dogs 60 and 38 TS 61% since
- 1:302017. And we had dogs go four and one
- 1:32eight TS. So we do have one more game here
- 1:35for tonight. We got the.
- 1:37Steelers, we got the Texans. And hopefully you guys put in
- 1:40this play a little bit earlier. Last week because this line
- 1:42continues to move. Great sign that it's.
- 1:44Going in the direction that we already played and I'll give you
- 1:46a full update, full breakdown of it, but if you didn't play it.
- 1:49There's still an opportunity to get a key number here, so.
- 1:51One play for tonight. Going to try to finish off wild
- 1:54card weekend on a hot winning note here with the Steelers and
- 1:58the Texans. Also includes a good.
- 2:01Rhythm edge and a good robo. Jackson best bet pick from our
- 2:04friends at Juice Real. Now officially, guys.
- 2:06Weekend 3 and 2. Plus 0.55 units had a great
- 2:11Saturday 2 and O. Plus 1.72 units.
- 2:14First play was the Panthers. Panthers.
- 2:16Played great, almost won that game.
- 2:18But easily. Covered the 10.
- 2:19And a half loss by three. That was that system.
- 2:22Not only a wild card dog, but a dog who missed the postseason.
- 2:25The previous year, that system was 41 and 21 against the
- 2:28spread. Even better now with that cover
- 2:31by the Panthers and shout out to Rhythm because Rhythm had, if
- 2:33you remember, like a 3.8 and a 6.4.
- 2:36So they're around a three, six point game.
- 2:38Ended up 3. And we had a nice winner there
- 2:41with the Panthers to start the weekend.
- 2:43Also the Chicago Bears. I tell you what guys, If there
- 2:46is one team that I love betting on this year that I.
- 2:48Feel like, and I don't want to jinx it because maybe what?
- 2:50We'll be playing them again here next week.
- 2:52But it's the. Chicago Bears.
- 2:53Da Bears. Down Big Claw on their way back.
- 2:56That fourth down play where Caleb Williams.
- 3:00Made that incredible. On the run, throw.
- 3:03To who was it? Was it Loveland?
- 3:05I forgot who was but got to have it 4th and 4th down and your
- 3:09whole. Season.
- 3:10'S on the line. They convert, they score.
- 3:12Bears came through with that plus 1 1/2.
- 3:15So great Saturday 2 and O + 1.72 units yesterday little annoying
- 3:201 and 2 -. 1.17 units because this is kind of the test case
- 3:24of. You know how betting is kind of
- 3:26crazy and unpredictable on the one hand?
- 3:28That first game, Jaguars. Bills, we got the Jaguars.
- 3:31Plus. 1 1/2 Did you guys notice where that line closed?
- 3:35It closed Jags -1 1/2, so we had a + 1 1/2 close -1 and. 1/2.
- 3:41A a full 3 point closing line value play.
- 3:43We got the best of it. Dog to fave.
- 3:46Feeling great about the Jags. Jags have a lead there late,
- 3:49what do they do? They allow Josh Allen to go down
- 3:50and score so we lose our Jags play ironically because that
- 3:54flip dog to fave. That was.
- 3:56Graded as a winner as a dog with the Buffalo Bills, but again
- 4:00annoying that a dog to fave winner especially when you get a
- 4:021 1/2 and it closes minus. 1 1/2.
- 4:05Pretty frustrating there. However, we did get a little bit
- 4:08of luck on our side with the 49ers.
- 4:10If you remember the 49ers. I got them at a.
- 4:13Really bad plus 4 1/2 they open -3 1/2 with the Eagles.
- 4:18And got bet. All the way up to -6 but some of
- 4:21those sixes game day came back down to 5 1/2, so.
- 4:24I always joking my buddy Darush, and you might have heard me say
- 4:26this before but. You dance with the one who brung
- 4:28you. I was going to say to myself,
- 4:30OK, if I lose, you know, 49ers plus 4 1/2 they lose by. 5 or 6.
- 4:35I was an idiot. I bet the game too early, but
- 4:37maybe I'll get. Lucky and they'll cover the
- 4:39number anyway. Well, 49ers won that game
- 4:41outright, 23 to 19. That was also a sharp windy
- 4:44under that stayed under as well. And ironically, that Buffalo
- 4:48Jacksonville game stayed under 2.
- 4:49That was a 52 down to 51 1/2 related 51 so.
- 4:53Bad beat with Jags, but a nice hit.
- 4:55With San Fran, even though he didn't get the best of it.
- 4:57And then unfortunately, it was a tough watch for me because I'm a
- 5:00Patriots fan, so my Pats punched their ticket and go to the
- 5:03second round. But I did have Chargers plus 3
- 5:051/2. And it was looking decent, like,
- 5:08you know, Drake May's turning it over.
- 5:10Of course, Harbaugh, like an idiot, doesn't just take 3.
- 5:12Points when it's like. I don't get it.
- 5:14Analytics is out of. Control like.
- 5:15You get that? Drake may you know tipped
- 5:18interception. Like just take the points why
- 5:20you going for it on 4th? Down you could have had a three
- 5:22nothing lead, but either way. Patriots, turn it on.
- 5:25In the fourth quarter, 116 to 3 and boy, Justin Herbert, he is
- 5:29just I, I don't know what to say about Justin Herbert.
- 5:31He just. I get his old line stinks.
- 5:34But that guy is a loser. So either way guys.
- 5:37Couldn't get the chargers. But did get the Jags or sorry
- 5:41couldn't get the charger of the. Jags but did get the Niners, the
- 5:43Bears and the Panthers. So winning weekend overall 3 and
- 5:462 + 0.55 units. So let's see if we can make it.
- 5:494:00 and 2:00. And have A1 hell hopefully of a
- 5:53wild card weekend now. I want to just mention as
- 5:57always, thank you to everyone. Who joined the survivor pool?
- 6:01Ended up with a. 132. Entries.
- 6:03So pretty awesome that a lot of you guys participated and I know
- 6:06some people got knocked off but but my buddy fed who joined the
- 6:10league. He had.
- 6:11Who was at the Rams and the Patriots?
- 6:13So he he's happy, he advanced. So condolences to anyone who got
- 6:16knocked off. Maybe you had the Eagles or or
- 6:18or one of those matchups, maybe the Jags, but hopefully we'll
- 6:22have a winner here coming from the pod group of listeners.
- 6:25So thank you all for. Tuning in to of.
- 6:27Course or list or joining, I should say the survivor pool.
- 6:31And I'm already thinking about the next one.
- 6:33March Madness. March is not too far off.
- 6:35We're going to be. Huge Splash Sports.
- 6:38Bracket, pool, bracket contest. So I'll get ready for that.
- 6:41But anyway guys, I know there are a bunch of college games,
- 6:44there's some NBANHL but as I like.
- 6:46To, you know, say, before. Football, this is the best time.
- 6:49Of year to bet it. And I'm one of those people that
- 6:51says, hey, you know, the strike while the iron's hot.
- 6:54Pretty soon, football. 'S going to be.
- 6:55Over with. So yeah, I could have forced a.
- 6:57College basketball play. But I'm thinking we got a good
- 6:59opportunity here, so let's double all of our attention.
- 7:02To. Houston and Pittsburgh.
- 7:05That being said, let's set the stage.
- 7:06Talk splits line movement system matches, rhythm, Juice Reel and.
- 7:09I'll give you my play here for the final Wild Card weekend
- 7:11game. Now, 8:15 PM Eastern Time
- 7:14tonight on ESPN. So I think.
- 7:16It's Buck and Aikman, but a little background on these
- 7:18teams. Texans. 12:00 and 5:00.
- 7:20Red hot. They've won nine straight games,
- 7:22just outlasted. The Colts. 38 to 30 and the
- 7:24regular season finale, but did not cover as a 9 1/2 point home
- 7:27favorite. You know the Steelers 10 and 7.
- 7:29We all remember. One for their last five.
- 7:32But was that last game was that incredible Ravens come back when
- 7:35where that rookie kicker missed it to punch the ticket for the
- 7:38Steelers to the postseason they won. 2620. 41 outright as a 4
- 7:421/2 point home dog. So let me sit across the market
- 7:45here. Well, this came open Houston
- 7:47mostly a three-point Rd. favorite.
- 7:49Some books were 3 1/2. But mostly threes.
- 7:51And the public says? Texans all day.
- 7:54Texans have won nine. Straight.
- 7:56They have the better record. It's a short spread.
- 7:58Probably just, you know, maybe don't believe in Pittsburgh and
- 8:01Rogers. That's OK Public is all over
- 8:03Houston right now. Nearly 65.
- 8:05Percent of spread bets are laying the points of the Texans.
- 8:08Now, early in the week, we did see the sign tick up toward
- 8:10Houston. Houston went.
- 8:11From -3 up to 3 1/2. Again, some books were 3 1/2 and
- 8:14just stayed 3 1/2. A lot of books.
- 8:16Were three up to 3 1/2 and once that took place, this is
- 8:20something that I mentioned. Early on the pod last week.
- 8:23I decided, hey, let's jump on Pittsburgh.
- 8:25Right there to make sure we get the hook because.
- 8:27Once it went from 3 to 3 1/2, I did notice that even though it
- 8:31ticked up to 3 1/2, it was never like -3 1/2. -115 like it may go
- 8:35to 4. Any time it got up to the hook,
- 8:39it was plus 3 1/2. You know -115 so that told.
- 8:42Me, I don't. Know how much longer this this
- 8:44hook is going to last here and it.
- 8:46Didn't last very long because those 3 1/2's.
- 8:48Have gotten down to three, so you might be kicking yourself
- 8:51saying. Man, I missed the hook on the.
- 8:52Pittsburgh Steelers Plus 3 1/2. Do I still play them?
- 8:56I would argue yes. Now this is.
- 8:57Me. Easy for me to say.
- 8:59I'm holding the hook plus 3 1/2. I'm loving the fact that this
- 9:02line is down to three. But here's the thing, if you
- 9:04missed the 3 1/2 and you're only sitting at three, you might be
- 9:07saying to yourself, OK, let me wait it out between now and
- 9:09kick. Off You know, Houston's a
- 9:11popular play. It might just naturally tick
- 9:13back up. To three.
- 9:14And 1/2. This is a good thing and a bad
- 9:15thing. The bad thing is I don't think
- 9:17it's getting back to 3 1/2. But the good thing is it may
- 9:20even get down to 2 1/2. Like I don't know if it does get
- 9:23down to 2 1/2 but look at the juice Always pay.
- 9:25Attention to the juice. A lot of betters.
- 9:27Just think the juice. The vague, the vigorous,
- 9:29whatever you want to call it. The tax, the Commission.
- 9:31We have to pay the books for them to accept our bets.
- 9:34A. Lot of people just think of it
- 9:35as. OK.
- 9:35That's the price I have to pay. I want you guys to think about
- 9:39the juice as kind of telling you where the wind is blowing.
- 9:43So depending on and, there's a. Question betters always ask
- 9:45themselves, should I bet? A game now?
- 9:47Because the line is going to get worse.
- 9:48Or wait because the line might get better.
- 9:50When you look at the juice and it's juiced up all on one side,
- 9:54that to me, if you're on that. The.
- 9:55Side getting juiced up. You want to grab that now?
- 9:57Before it falls. So for example. 3 1/2's got down
- 10:00to. 3. But today, on game day, the
- 10:03juice is. Still on the Pittsburgh side.
- 10:05Plus. 3 -, 115. So that's telling you it's as of
- 10:09now at least more likely to get down to 2 1/2 then a tick back
- 10:12up and. Get to 3 1/2 now I would love.
- 10:15See this thing get down to 2 1/2 because I'll just be.
- 10:17More and more smart money pouring in here on Pittsburgh.
- 10:20But for the people again, who? Who didn't?
- 10:22Subscribe to get the all. Systems go best bet picks from
- 10:24Juice Reel. Shameless Plug 490. 9 a week
- 10:28you'll get. All those plays and that's $4.99
- 10:31a week. 5 bucks not 490. $9 a week.
- 10:34But again, did mention this on the pod early last week, holding
- 10:38the 3 1/2, which is what I'm excited about.
- 10:41But even if you didn't get it, I still think there's value here
- 10:42to go. +3 That's my whole long winded way of explaining that
- 10:45with the juice. Seemingly pointing toward 2.
- 10:48And 1/2. You know, you might still beat
- 10:50the. Closing number here.
- 10:52So the fact this line has gone back down toward Pittsburgh?
- 10:54Even though Publix on. Houston tells me we have a line
- 10:57freeze whether you're 3 and still. 3 despite public Houston,
- 11:00that's a line freeze. Pittsburgh or your three and
- 11:02half? Down to three and juice toward
- 11:03Pitt. That's a true reverse line move.
- 11:06So an indicator of smart money with the line going.
- 11:08To Pittsburgh, even though Publix Houston.
- 11:10Secondly, even if you take away like, if this was still sitting
- 11:133 1/2, you'd like the fact you get the hook.
- 11:16But again, in a way, it's sharper because it's gotten down
- 11:18to three. But still, this is a contrarian
- 11:20play. This is a bet against the public
- 11:22play. It's Monday night.
- 11:23Football, it's the last game of the week before we obviously get
- 11:26to the divisional round, but the big angle for me is, you know.
- 11:31You are still betting against the public here.
- 11:33Because only about 1/3 of tickets are on Rodgers and.
- 11:35Pittsburgh so even. If you don't have that smart
- 11:38money line freezer RLM you're still just a great fade the
- 11:40drunk guy at the bar play Next we layer in a.
- 11:43Bunch of system matches on Pittsburgh.
- 11:45I started off the pod telling you just as we we had
- 11:48highlighted. Dogs four and one against the
- 11:50spread. The only dog I'm mad about, of
- 11:51course, is the the Bills man Josh Allen, by the way.
- 11:55Just got beat. Up and beat up and just let his
- 11:57team to victory. Josh Allen is a stud.
- 11:59He's a freaking stallion anyway. We have a lot of.
- 12:02System matches lighting up on Pittsburgh.
- 12:04So incorporating what happened this weekend, we now have.
- 12:06Playoff dogs. Four and one against the spread
- 12:09this postseason. They are now 64 and 39 against
- 12:12the spread. 62 percent, 21% ROI since 2017 if you just locate or
- 12:17isolate. The wild card dog.
- 12:19Specifically, dogs. This round are now 31 and 16 ATS
- 12:2366%. Twenty 8% ROI since 2017.
- 12:27And then the short playoff dogs. The short Playoff Dogs +3 or.
- 12:32Less they are now 2 and O against the spread this
- 12:34postseason. 28 and 10. Against the spread 74% with a
- 12:3844% ROI since 2017. That short dog was the Bears and
- 12:44unfortunately again, the Bills. Then again, I can't believe I
- 12:49haven't. I haven't highlighted this yet.
- 12:51We got a Tomlin as a dog system match, Mike Tomlin as a dog in
- 12:55his career. Again, if you've been doing pods
- 12:57with me, whether it's all systems go or the previous pods
- 13:00that I've done, you know we love playing Mike.
- 13:02Tomlin as a dog, his stats. Are very very.
- 13:06Jekyll and Hyde, like he's bad as a favorite but great as a
- 13:09dog, kind of speaks to the way he motivates his players.
- 13:12And I was watching a video on ESPN about Bill Cower talking
- 13:16about how Mike Tomlin is just really good at motivation.
- 13:19When he's a dog. But anyway, the numbers.
- 13:21Prove it out, Mike Tomlin as a dog.
- 13:24Both pro both regular season and postseason 70 and. 42 against
- 13:29the spread 63 percent 21% ROI. Now let's look at.
- 13:33These quarterbacks, Aaron Rodgers. 40 and 30. 2 ATS. 56%.
- 13:388% ROI as a dog in his career. Including six and three ATS 67%.
- 13:44As a dog. In the postseason, meanwhile,
- 13:46it's flip. It CJ.
- 13:47Stroud, CJ. Stroud as a dog pretty good. 14
- 13:51and 9 against the spread 61% CJ Stroud as a favorite.
- 13:55Just 11 and 16. Against the spread, that is just
- 13:59a 41% cover rate as a. Favorite Pittsburgh lastly would
- 14:04be a correlative betting value play dog low total.
- 14:07Total this one is 38 and a half 3038, so fair amount of expected
- 14:11points scored. Harder for the favorite to
- 14:13cover. Also doesn't hurt Steelers.
- 14:15Getting back DK Metcalf. Member He got in a fight with
- 14:19the the. The Lions.
- 14:21Fan in the stands. Got suspended 2 games but he is
- 14:24good to go. So Metcalf back in the lineup.
- 14:27And then lastly, we go to rhythm.
- 14:29Rhythm has three recommended plays on the Steelers plus 1.3
- 14:34-, 1.4 + 1.1. So again, even if you missed
- 14:38that on the 3 1/2, the three is juiced toward.
- 14:40Pittsburgh and Rhythm has basically a pick em or a one
- 14:43point game either way. So hopefully that's still an
- 14:45edge off the three. And then, oh.
- 14:47By the way, popped open Juice Reel and Juice Reel, one of the
- 14:51two Robo Jackson best bet picks. Are on Steelers plus 3 1/2.
- 14:55So you add it all up here guys. Again, if you are a devoted
- 14:58listener, which I hope you. Are to the ASG pod.
- 15:01This is a play we highlighted last week.
- 15:03Steelers plus 3 1/2. I am loving the fact that it's
- 15:06down to three. So public Houston lines going to
- 15:08pit system matches super. Contrarian rhythm and Robo
- 15:12Jackson juice reel edges. So again, I'm on Pittsburgh Plus
- 15:153 1/2, hopefully got the 3 1/2. If not, definitely can still get
- 15:20the three now in terms. Of the total.
- 15:21Just wanted to mention this, I didn't play it.
- 15:23But it does look pretty sharp to the under.
- 15:25It opened at 39 1/2. It's down to 38 1/2, even 38.
- 15:30Why is that important? Because totals falling even
- 15:33though at. DraftKings tickets are right
- 15:35right down the middle 5050. But nearly 60% of the money is
- 15:38on the under. And over at Circa. 58% bets, 76%
- 15:43dollars are on the under. So good.
- 15:44Splits total dropping. We have some.
- 15:47System matches. Here, wild card weekend unders
- 15:50they went. Three and two so far this
- 15:52weekend. They're now 28 and 1960 percent,
- 15:5515% ROI since 2017. Prime time unders like that
- 16:00Patriots game really just sailed under 16 to 3 game.
- 16:04Bears game did go over though, but still you're looking at
- 16:07prime time unders now 142 and one O 358 percent, 11% ROI since
- 16:132022. But post season?
- 16:15Prime time unders 10 and 471 percent, 36% ROI now.
- 16:20The weather doesn't look as bad as I.
- 16:22Kind of. Hoped that it would.
- 16:24You are looking. At right now about. 30° but.
- 16:28Clear skies, about 7 to 10 mile per hour winds.
- 16:30I did see some gusts, maybe up to around 20 mph, but it's not
- 16:34like a, you know, 10°, thirty mile per hour winds and a
- 16:38snowstorm. So it's not quite bad weather,
- 16:40but still. You are Houston a warm.
- 16:43Weather, Southern Dome team going into the elements in
- 16:46Pittsburgh. So hopefully that is a little
- 16:47bit of an edge there in favor of the Steelers.
- 16:50Seattle up here guys, I'm I'm holding the Steelers plus. 3
- 16:541/2, hopefully you got the hook, if not the three.
- 16:57I do lean under pretty hard, but if I got a 3 1/2, it's down to
- 17:00three. I'm going to ride out again.
- 17:02We're doing our part. Getting the.
- 17:04The closing line value, I do lean hard on the under, but I'd
- 17:08hate to, you know, win Pittsburgh.
- 17:10But then, you know, it's a what, a 2420 game?
- 17:14It sails over. I win my Pittsburgh, lose my
- 17:16under. So again, it's up to you how you
- 17:18want to play it. Under does look pretty sharp to
- 17:20me. But my one bet here is is the
- 17:22Pittsburgh Steelers plus the points.
- 17:25So lose by two or less. Or or win the game so everyone's
- 17:29happy. So that about does it for
- 17:31episode 430 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
- 17:35powered by. Rhythm.
- 17:36This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 17:38And I always start first by saying thank you.
- 17:40Thank you for tuning. In.
- 17:41Thank you for listening, thank you for grinding in the arena
- 17:44with me every single day through the.
- 17:46UPS and the downs, the wins. And the losses, just like in
- 17:49life, you know, there's ups and downs just like in bedding.
- 17:52But the fact that we have a positive attitude and go off the
- 17:55data and the numbers are not our heart.
- 17:57I think that's what sets us apart.
- 17:59So if you do enjoy the pod, hopefully it's it's giving you
- 18:02some good insights. You value the.
- 18:03Information please could you give this podcast a five star
- 18:07review on Spotify or iTunes if you want to leave a comment or
- 18:11click. The follow button or.
- 18:12Retweet the pod. When I tweet it out.
- 18:14At Josh under Score Insights, I would very much appreciate that
- 18:17as well. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 18:20betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp, contrary and betting.
- 18:23Focusing on the numbers and what they.
- 18:25Say and what they mean. And how the market is reacting?
- 18:28Line movement bet split system matches taking a contrarian
- 18:31approach looking for edges based on AI models.
- 18:34If this type of betting has. Appealed to you.
- 18:36You've kind of seen the, you know the importance of it and
- 18:39you want to learn more. About data-driven betting Or you
- 18:42have someone in your life who could use some data-driven.
- 18:44Tips I would love for you. To go to.
- 18:46Amazon.com and Type. In the NFL sharp betting
- 18:50playbook. Or the Everything Guide to
- 18:52Sports Betting. Those are the two books that
- 18:53I've written. Very, very proud of both of
- 18:55them. But I got a.
- 18:56Lot of Nuggets in the NFL. Sharp betting playbook on how to
- 18:59bet the postseason, How to bet the Super.
- 19:01Bowl so again, win. Totals are not far off.
- 19:04There's also talk about NFL Draft in there.
- 19:06So if you would like to brush up and get yourself prepared and do
- 19:10some reading for this week, highly recommend picking up the
- 19:12NFL Sharp Betting Playbook on Amazon next.
- 19:16Have you downloaded Rhythm in Juice?
- 19:18Real yet? My 2.
- 19:19Favorite sports betting apps? They help me win.
- 19:21I'm confident that they're going to help you win.
- 19:23So if you haven't done it yet, go download Rhythm.
- 19:26Fantastic for their AI backed models and predictions for game
- 19:29bets and player props. And then of course, we.
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- 20:17The Shop. For the best line futures, all
- 20:19available when you download Juice Reel.
- 20:22So download rhythm, download juice reel.
- 20:24Give them a five star review in the App Store while you're at
- 20:27it. Next you have a live odds page.
- 20:29Well, if you don't, you need one.
- 20:31Got to be able to track the market, get all the games
- 20:33available to you that. Day in front of your face.
- 20:36Get the live scoring, live in game wagering odds, but more
- 20:39more importantly, you can track the market.
- 20:41There's also these awesome new sharp signals that have been
- 20:44added to odds logic. But it's going.
- 20:46To be all the games opening column never changes all the.
- 20:49Current odds to the right, you can see which.
- 20:50Direction, the lines going, you can pull up the line history,
- 20:53you can shop for the best price, find the best number.
- 20:56Very, very important. And I'll give you an example.
- 20:58Like that Jaguars game, it landed on 50.
- 21:00One the total was. 5151 and a half, 51 under.
- 21:04Or over you push under 50. 1 1/2 you win over 51 1/2 you lose.
- 21:09That's how important it is, getting the best of the number.
- 21:12And that's what odds logic. Is going to do for you, so if
- 21:15you'd like to give Odds logic a shot.
- 21:17Make sure you go to this special link adslogic.com/josh 12. 3
- 21:24Lastly, have you downloaded Novig yet?
- 21:27Novig. Is a sports.
- 21:28Betting Exchange. It's not a.
- 21:30Sports book If you log in, the app looks just like a sports
- 21:33book. But the cool thing about it is
- 21:34you're not going up against the house, you're going up against
- 21:37other betters. So again.
- 21:39If I lose. Money.
- 21:39I'd rather another better like me gets it than the house.
- 21:43But we're going to get better juice prices because we don't
- 21:45have to pay. That big -115 -, 120 the odds
- 21:49makers forced us to pay. We're going to pay minus one O 2
- 21:52- 1 O 6 + 1 O3. Therefore we can.
- 21:55Win at the same rate we would at FanDuel or DraftKings, but make.
- 21:58More money because we're risking less.
- 22:00Juice so download Novig and when you.
- 22:02Fund your account. Make sure you put in Josh 123 in
- 22:06the promo code. So that about does it for a
- 22:09getting back into it, back into the swing of things Monday
- 22:11Edition episode. 4:30. Of the ASG pod as always, I'm
- 22:15leave you with two final thoughts one whether I see.
- 22:17You at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode
- 22:20Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
- 22:22Foxwoods or Mohegan? Sun down in Connecticut at the
- 22:24Encore in. Boston Plain Ridge Park.
- 22:26Casino MGM Springfield the Nash. And my.
- 22:29Neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts and Nashville,
- 22:31New Hampshire, around the desert where.
- 22:33The true grinders get down where, Billy?
- 22:35Walters sends his number runners where the lowest juice possible
- 22:37is found at the South Point or Sweat and Sharp and Train plays.
- 22:41Jumping. In the stadium swim pool when
- 22:43you cash a big ticket at Circa. Whatever it may be, you're going
- 22:46to walk up to me, you're going to show me.
- 22:47A nice Panthers plus 10 and a. Half a beautiful bears.
- 22:52Plus one and a half a. 49ers a bad 4 1/2, but we still won the
- 22:56game. Whatever you do that.
- 22:57Jaguars, man, if the Jags had just come through, that's a
- 23:00four. In one weekend against versus a
- 23:02three and two weekend so. Jags, that was annoying.
- 23:04Especially when you beat the Seal, get the CLV dog to fave
- 23:08and they come up short for you. But what are you going to do?
- 23:10That's the playoffs for you. That's Josh Allen just just just
- 23:13cowboying up and and crushing us there.
- 23:15But I got to respect him. But anyway, guys, first one's on
- 23:18me, next one's on you. Will post about the book
- 23:20Sweatshirt Contrarian plays all night long.
- 23:23So of course guys coming off a three and two weekend or A2 and.
- 23:263A5 and OO and 5A4 and 1A1. And four, a winning weekend,
- 23:30losing weekend, a great weekend, a terrible weekend.
- 23:33Whether? We're hot whether we're cold,
- 23:35whether we feel like we can't miss or we feel like just
- 23:37everything's going. Against us, we can never get too
- 23:39high or too low when things are going.
- 23:41Great, don't get cocky and arrogant.
- 23:43When things are really bad and struggling, don't get down on
- 23:46yourself, just got to stick with it and keep grinding and being
- 23:49disciplined with our bankroll and playing the system matches
- 23:52when those system matches pop. Up games that are.
- 23:54Against the. Public with the House.
- 23:56With the pros flatbat. Avoid parlays and get that COV.
- 23:59If we can do that, we're. Going to be successful sports
- 24:01bettors. So have a great money on
- 24:03everybody. Let's go Steelers, and no matter
- 24:07what, I will see you. Tomorrow for episode 431 of the
- 24:10All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 24:15I'll see you guys tomorrow. And let's go Pittsburgh.
- 24:18Get your Terrible Towel ready. Good luck.