Latest / CattleUSA Daily / 210: Weather Patterns, Drought Risks, and the Forecast Ranchers Actually Need with Gary Lezak

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210: Weather Patterns, Drought Risks, and the Forecast Ranchers Actually Need with Gary Lezak · CattleUSA Daily

• 0:00
  In today's Cattle USA Daily podcast episode with Gary Lezak,
• 0:04
  we are chatting all things weather right now.
• 0:07
  The weather pattern is setting up and it is a really exciting
• 0:11
  time around here. Gary has been able to come on
• 0:14
  and discuss with us for the past few weeks what that weather
• 0:16
  pattern is looking like as it is setting up and some concerns
• 0:20
  that he has going forward for what we have seen is the drought
• 0:23
  growing? Is the drought shrinking?
• 0:24
  He doesn't give us that answer today, but we do kind of chat
• 0:27
  about it and some potential risk that we are going to be seeing
• 0:31
  going forward for this weather pattern as it sets up and the
• 0:35
  excitement of what next week has to offer as the weather pattern
• 0:38
  full report will be coming out then as well.
• 0:40
  But Gary chats about everything else in between and it's just a
• 0:44
  really great podcast to hear about as we finalize the setting
• 0:49
  up of the weather pattern. So without further ado, let's go
• 0:51
  ahead and hop into this episode with Gary.
• 0:53
  But before we do, if you're watching on YouTube, make sure
• 0:55
  that you are subscribed to our channel and that you like this
• 0:58
  episode. And if you are listening on any
• 0:59
  of or other podcast platforms, make sure that you are following
• 1:02
  the show and take a second to go rate and review it as well.
• 1:05
  Thank you for being here. And let's go hear from Gary.
• 1:11
  Welcome to the Cattle USA Daily podcast, your go to source for
• 1:14
  the latest livestock markets, industry insights and the update
• 1:18
  shaping agriculture today. I'm your host, Lauren Moylan, a
• 1:21
  passionate advocate for agriculture here to keep you
• 1:24
  informed and connected. Now let's dive into today's
• 1:27
  episode. Good morning, Gary, welcome back
• 1:38
  to the podcast. I feel like I haven't talked to
• 1:40
  you in so long, but it's literally just been a week, but
• 1:43
  it's been a really busy week. So I feel like I've lived like 4
• 1:46
  lives between now and last week. You make a good point.
• 1:49
  Good morning or good afternoon, whatever time it is, wherever
• 1:52
  you're listening to this. But you're right, it does seem
• 1:55
  like it's been like 3 or 4 weeks and it's only been a week.
• 1:58
  It may be the holiday that is. It's interesting, I have the
• 2:02
  same perspective. I feel like I haven't talked to
• 2:04
  you in weeks. I know it's crazy.
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  I think we've both just had really busy weeks and so it
• 2:09
  feels like we've lived like 5 lives between now and last
• 2:12
  Tuesday when we chatted. So I I think the holidays are
• 2:16
  definitely a factor in it. We're probably going to be
• 2:17
  saying that for the next month and 1/2 as we go through the.
• 2:20
  Crazy you just you just got back from a five day trip, but I
• 2:23
  understand you had some some problem where you got some
• 2:26
  exercise in at the airport. Yeah, absolutely.
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  So we were coming back from Tucson on Monday evening, which
• 2:33
  I hate evening flights just to begin with.
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  Like I am a first flight out person if I can get it every
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  single time. But we were hosting a retreat
• 2:42
  and so we couldn't leave before everyone else and get the 6:00
• 2:44
  AM flight out. It's only 6:00 AM or like 4:00
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  PM. So we got the 4:00 PM flight out
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  and we get delayed about 30 minutes before we even get to
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  the airport, which, fine, whatever.
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  We had an hour and a half layover in DFW.
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  We get on the plane and we're sitting on the tarmac and they
• 3:00
  let us know that it's a full ground stop in DFW.
• 3:03
  We sit on the tarmac for 40 minutes and then once we get
• 3:07
  ready to go, get taken off all of that jazz.
• 3:10
  Now we are delayed 30 minutes and then another 40 minutes.
• 3:13
  So 70 minutes delayed in our hour and a half layover.
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  We land, they make up about 5 minutes in the air for us.
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  So we land and then by the time we land Gary, they don't have
• 3:23
  our terminal ready for us either.
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  There's still another plane at our.
• 3:26
  Terminal so then. We're sitting on the tarmac.
• 3:28
  Once you're stressed because your plane is, your other plane
• 3:30
  is going to take off, right? Literally I'm like, I can see
• 3:33
  our other plane. Can we?
• 3:34
  Just like, can you let us out real quick?
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  Like I'll catch a ride with my bags if that works for you.
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  I can just, you know, hop down the slide, get a ride with my
• 3:43
  bags and you can even put me in the undercarriage.
• 3:46
  Just get me to Manhattan, right? Because we've been gone for six
• 3:49
  days now. Like I'm ready to get home.
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  All of I'm ready to be home. Well, I'm like, OK, we have I
• 3:56
  think 20 minutes between now and the time we take off.
• 4:00
  By the time we get off the plane, like we get off the
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  plane, I'm like, we're going to try, but we have to switch
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  terminals, not just next to each other terminals, terminals
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  across the airport from each other, Gary, like you get on the
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  sky tram and it's like 5 stops type of thing.
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  So Ally and I, my employee, get off and we are sprinting through
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  the airport. And guys, I just need to paint
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  the picture for you real quick. Ally and I are in our Lululemon
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  leggings and sweatpants, full sweat sets, dunks and cowboy
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  hats pushed all the way down, sprinting through the airport
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  with our carry on luggage. I need to see surveillance
• 4:38
  camera. I need to see surveillance
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  cameras of this or I need to see the 14 year old that had his
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  phone walking through the airport that took a video of us.
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  I really hope it goes viral on TikTok for you bud.
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  Because we were a sight to behold running through that
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  airport. Not like we would be a sight to
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  behold just in a general day, but running through the airport
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  dressed like that was just hilarious.
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  We Sprint to our terminal. We get there and we our plane is
• 5:06
  still there. Like I cannot.
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  We're coming down the skywalk. I can see our plane still there.
• 5:09
  I'm like Allie, our plane still there.
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  We made it. We turn the corner and the door
• 5:13
  is closed. My heart goes immediately out.
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  I'm like. They wouldn't go on.
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  The door was closed. I was like, we there's no way
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  they're going to let us on. The door is closed.
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  I don't care who you sweet talk, who you flash your boobies to
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  like you're not going to get on like this is not happening.
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  And we sit there and we watch our baggage get loaded and I'm
• 5:33
  like, yeah, so our bags made it. We didn't.
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  Yeah, I was. So they.
• 5:38
  Would not open the door. They would not let you on.
• 5:40
  No, no, they would not let us on.
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  Once they close the door, it's like federal policy.
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  They won't open it up, back up again.
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  Yeah, so we did make it to the, the only advantage of sprinting
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  through the airport is we made it to the American help desk
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  first. So we got our flight switched.
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  And of course, the flight the next day, the next morning was
• 6:00
  fully booked. The 10 AM flight back to
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  Manhattan was fully booked. So we didn't get on that one.
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  So they put us on the 4:00 PM one standby for the 10:00 AM
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  one. And I kind of look at Allie, and
• 6:09
  this is due to weather too. And so they're not going to book
• 6:11
  us a hotel. I kind of look at Allie and I'm
• 6:13
  like it's 7 1/2 hours home and Granite, it is like 9:00 PM at
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  night right now. You didn't.
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  You did not rent a car. Yeah, we did.
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  We. We went to the.
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  Rental car place. We went to the rental car place
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  and I didn't even like look online because everything I saw
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  online said that everyone was fully booked for the day, all of
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  that jazz. So I was like let's just go to
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  the rental car place and let's try and get a car.
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  And so I literally counter hopped until I found a place
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  that would give us a car to. Drive You drove 7 1/2 hours.
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  I drove 7 1/2 hours and Ally only drove 1.
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  I would like to make that known. She drove, so I drove us out and
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  then she drove. We got to Bucky's and we got our
• 6:50
  brisket sandwiches and I was a brisket sandwich and some energy
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  drinks and I was ready to conquer the world.
• 6:56
  Guys like give me a 5 hour energy and a brisket sandwich
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  from Bucky's and give me the nuclear codes.
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  Like I am ready to rock'n'roll at that point.
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  And so we stopped. Allie drives for an hour and
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  she's like, then she pulls over and she's like, Lauren, I'm
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  falling asleep. And I'm like, you brat.
• 7:14
  Once Allie's done driving, like she's done driving, and which I
• 7:18
  fully anticipated, I was, I was ready to have to drive the whole
• 7:21
  thing. And we drive back to Manhattan.
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  We get back at, I think 6:30 in the morning.
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  You didn't have to take the train.
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  No trains. No, there's none.
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  Of them, the other one we have the whole episode of Planes,
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  Trains and Automobiles. There were no trains.
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  Unfortunately, I think that I don't.
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  Is there even a train that goes from Kansas City to Dallas?
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  That would be cool if there was. Be cool if there was.
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  Well, anyway, yes. That was.
• 7:47
  My weekend adventure main home that that is that is just just
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  crazy and I guess it makes sense to to do the rent a car version
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  because you weren't sure what plane you were going to be on
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  so. We weren't sure what plane we
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  were going to be on and honestly, the rental car was
• 8:01
  cheaper than getting a hotel at the airport anyway.
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  And so I was like, let's just get home because both of us are
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  ready to be home. We were we've been gone for
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  almost a week at that point. Like we were like, let's just
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  let's push through. I put some Hard Rock on and I
• 8:16
  was there you go. I was like, it was like my non
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  flashbacks to like ranching, going on the road with my dad
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  when I was 10 years old and he'd like have his coffee and his I
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  was had his little TV cassette tape shapes and all the things
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  with all the different playlists that we play.
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  And I was playing some Hard Rock and I was ready to.
• 8:35
  Go. I had one real brief story.
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  I had an I in Arizona at the Phoenix airport.
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  There's a terminal ABC and they're A and C are like a mile
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  apart. OK.
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  And, and so I landed and I looked up and I saw it.
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  My next I was in C My next flight was at a something.
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  So I sprinted and ran and I probably felt, I felt like I was
• 9:00
  getting a heart attack. This is a long time ago, 30
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  years ago, and I was about 30. And so I'm running through the
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  airport. I have to catch this plane.
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  I get all the way to the seas and do the C whatever was C20,
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  let's say, and I look at when it wasn't to where I was going.
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  So I looked up again and was like, Oh no, it's actually an A.
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  OK, so I had to run all the way back again close to having a
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  heart attack and I made it but I was out of breath.
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  That's impressive. I'm so happy that you made that
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  flight. I would have been so ticked if I
• 9:36
  had gotten there and realized it was.
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  Back in the terminal that I just printed, I just, when you're
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  looking at the board, Oh my gosh, yeah.
• 9:43
  I just, I looked at it wrong or something, but whatever.
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  There's a few flight delays today.
• 9:48
  There's a few, there should be no problem.
• 9:50
  Saturday and Sunday there may be flight delays for people.
• 9:53
  Just so you know, that's why we're talking about this because
• 9:55
  we're talking about this is still weather related.
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  It is still weather related. The reason I was delayed and DFW
• 10:01
  was because of the weather that Texas was having.
• 10:03
  They were having thunderstorms, so.
• 10:05
  Yes, full roundabout there, and my only qualm was the fact that
• 10:10
  I had to drive the entire way back to Kansas in fog.
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  The whole 7 1/2 hours. Wow.
• 10:15
  I think there was maybe one hour of it that I wasn't in fog.
• 10:18
  It was 10 terrible, Absolutely terrible.
• 10:20
  I would rather drive in a Blizzard than I would.
• 10:23
  Fog. Fog is the could be the most
• 10:26
  scary and deadly thing because if there is an accident and if
• 10:30
  the visibility is really low, could bump if you're in the
• 10:33
  wrong place at the wrong time. That's how it could be a
• 10:35
  disaster. Yeah, yeah, absolutely.
• 10:37
  So that was my only true weather qualm this week was that.
• 10:41
  But hey, we got rain here in Kansas while I was gone.
• 10:44
  So maybe I just need to leave a little bit more often and Kansas
• 10:48
  will get some rain and we'll be hi ho Cheerio going to bomb
• 10:52
  about our way. That was a nice little storm a
• 10:54
  few days ago that it actually was a dying storm.
• 10:58
  The weather pattern we're in and you know, welcome to our Cattle
• 11:01
  USA podcast here. I'm just telling you this
• 11:04
  weather is really, really tough. Here's what's going on.
• 11:08
  Remember, if you're new to the LRC, the weather pattern is
• 11:12
  cycling and regularly and we've been patient.
• 11:15
  You've been patient and thank you to Cattle USA.
• 11:17
  We've got a couple new customers because of you guys.
• 11:19
  We have a weather tool we'll tell you about later that I
• 11:23
  think every farmer should have, every dairy farmer should have,
• 11:26
  etcetera, cattle farmer. And let me just tell you the
• 11:30
  pattern is tough here. The pattern is cycling regularly
• 11:34
  and it is November 26th as we're recording this and we're going
• 11:42
  to going in early December. We are likely still in the first
• 11:47
  cycle of this year's pattern. I think it's a very long cycle,
• 11:49
  just little hint there not confirmed that yet.
• 11:52
  We'll confirm that in a couple weeks.
• 11:54
  But let's say it's a 2 month cycle, 6062 days, 64 days maybe
• 12:00
  we're we're starting to identify it could be something like that.
• 12:03
  So that's a top secret situation here.
• 12:05
  But I guess as I can't confirm that what has happened in
• 12:08
  Denver, Co. OK, here is this first full
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  cycle. I think you know, is it has not
• 12:14
  snowed here yet. It hasn't snowed here.
• 12:16
  Aspen, Breckenridge, you know, Keystone, Winter Park Vale, all
• 12:22
  the ski areas have basically man made snow and no real snow on
• 12:29
  top of that for for a week or two now is crazy.
• 12:33
  You can see the tops of the mountains have a little bit of
• 12:35
  snow in them, but just a little bit.
• 12:36
  So the pattern that has set up is producing that.
• 12:40
  So maybe in the next few days the first snow is going to
• 12:43
  happen. Why?
• 12:44
  I live here in Golden, Co. It's already the latest first
• 12:47
  snow that has ever happened. So what causes that?
• 12:52
  I mean, it is a whole LRC reasoning.
• 12:54
  There are 4 core principles of the discovery I made 40 years
• 12:58
  ago. One of them is that a unique
• 13:00
  weather pattern sets up every fall and we're in that setting
• 13:04
  up period. Unique means it's unlike any
• 13:07
  other because unique, it's a one-of-a-kind.
• 13:10
  This year's pattern is unlike any pattern I've ever
• 13:13
  experienced. And here it is producing the no
• 13:16
  snow, the flight delays that you have in Dallas from
• 13:19
  thunderstorms. What is this pattern?
• 13:21
  What does it mean for planting, growing, harvest for your
• 13:25
  activities on your farm or ranch coming up here in the next year?
• 13:30
  The good news is that we will have that weather equation
• 13:35
  solved for you on some level within a few weeks.
• 13:40
  And by January you're going to be able to look at the forecast
• 13:45
  March through the summer into September as we get to close to
• 13:51
  harvest and be able to plan week by week what's going to happen
• 13:55
  right now we aren't sure because we need to identify with that
• 13:59
  cycle length is and then our model, the only model in the
• 14:03
  world that uses cycling weather patterns to predict the weather
• 14:08
  will accurately planned the weather for you.
• 14:12
  So if it shows three weeks of what weather at the end of
• 14:15
  March, then you know you might want to plant before that or
• 14:18
  right after that, OK. So if it shows 3 or 4 dry weeks
• 14:22
  at that period of time, you can plan accordingly.
• 14:24
  So is a drought going to develop?
• 14:27
  We'll be analyzing and producing that forecast for you in the
• 14:30
  next few weeks. On December 5th, we're going to
• 14:33
  be issuing our winter forecast. So that will be something that
• 14:38
  starts to lay out the blueprint for your, for your planning
• 14:42
  purposes. So just know that the pattern is
• 14:47
  setting up. Lauren, it's fascinating.
• 14:50
  Do you have any questions? I.
• 14:52
  Don't, no, I think that it's just so crazy that like we've
• 14:56
  been talking about this pattern setting up for the past, I don't
• 14:59
  know, since October pretty much right.
• 15:01
  And we're finally to the point where it's like, OK, we think we
• 15:05
  have a semblance of an idea of what is happening, what is going
• 15:09
  on. And it is like what is going to
• 15:12
  happen in Colorado, in Vail, all of those places that haven't had
• 15:16
  that moisture over the past few weeks in this pattern.
• 15:21
  What does that kind of look like from a drought standpoint that
• 15:24
  if people are listening to this and they're like, OK, I'm not in
• 15:26
  like that section of Colorado, but I'm in this section of
• 15:28
  Nebraska and we haven't gotten rain in 5678910 weeks or not
• 15:33
  like a significant amount. How does that reflect into the
• 15:37
  patterns? Well, we're going to watch the
• 15:39
  drought monitor to see if the drought's expanding.
• 15:41
  Last year the drought was contracting and we made the
• 15:43
  accurate prediction for the fourth year in a row for the
• 15:46
  corn and agriculture and cattle ranchers belt across the nation.
• 15:51
  It's four years in a row. So is the droughts are usually
• 15:55
  expanding or shrinking and I'll be able to take you through that
• 15:58
  right now. We'll have to monitor that.
• 16:00
  We'll have an update on that here pretty soon.
• 16:02
  So we'll be able to forecast that, but that's one thing we'll
• 16:05
  be able to know. What's going to happen is are
• 16:07
  you going to really need some more increased drought
• 16:09
  insurance, you know, and so that's something we'll we'll try
• 16:12
  to get to you by January or February so you can plan that.
• 16:15
  Secondly, the outlook for what we're seeing right now with
• 16:19
  this, the lack of snow in Colorado, what does that mean?
• 16:23
  It means fires. There's there hasn't been a fire
• 16:26
  season in the Rocky Mountains, believe it or not for the first
• 16:29
  two to three years I've been here.
• 16:31
  But next summer, I can predict probably right now, there's
• 16:36
  going to be a problem. There's going to be increased
• 16:38
  fires. I haven't got this beautiful
• 16:41
  view out here in Golden, Co. I can see the mountains and I
• 16:44
  can see the foothills and and there has been hardly any smoke
• 16:47
  the first three years I've been here.
• 16:49
  I can almost guarantee that's not going to be the case this
• 16:52
  summer. We're going to have smoke and
• 16:55
  fire danger. And that's one thing for
• 16:58
  Colorado and Wyoming, that is almost for sure.
• 17:01
  OK, I'm not making a call yet, but that's one of the things I'm
• 17:04
  analyzing and it's an important factor.
• 17:06
  The forestry service out there needs these forecasts advance so
• 17:10
  they know to plan ahead of time. So if if you wonder what, what
• 17:14
  can you do for a long range forecasting, you can plan what
• 17:17
  type of seed you're going to put in your, in your can plan for
• 17:21
  what type of pests might come out this summer.
• 17:24
  If it's hot and dry or hot and moist, there's lots of different
• 17:28
  applications to applying long range weather forecast to your
• 17:34
  plans that will help save you time and money going forward.
• 17:38
  That's our goal for a very small cost that we have for.
• 17:42
  You'll get some of that information here for sure, but I
• 17:44
  highly recommend our Weather 2020 Vision dashboard that a few
• 17:49
  of you do have now and, and it gives you that forecast day by
• 17:53
  day, week by week, month by month.
• 17:54
  We'll show you how to use it and we plan on improving that
• 17:58
  product. It's not that much, not that
• 18:00
  expensive for for, but everyone should have it.
• 18:03
  But, but these are the advantages of long range
• 18:06
  forecasting and we've cracked the code.
• 18:10
  It's not 100% accurate. We're predicting the future.
• 18:14
  If you're predicting the stock market and you're 51% accurate,
• 18:18
  you're probably going to make some money.
• 18:19
  And if you're 60% accurate, you're really going to make a
• 18:22
  killing on the stock market. The same thing with the weather.
• 18:25
  If we're 51% accurate, it's good.
• 18:27
  And 60% accurate is really good when it comes to severe weather
• 18:31
  outbreaks, when hail and tornadoes are going to threaten
• 18:34
  your area, Our forecasts are 90% accurate.
• 18:37
  So somewhere in that 50 to 90% ranges are accuracy.
• 18:41
  And if you're just wondering, other systems out there are not,
• 18:44
  either they don't do it because they can't or their accuracy is
• 18:47
  about 25% like the European model at day 15 when you see
• 18:51
  there's a snowstorm showing up. So there's a 20 to 25% chance
• 18:55
  that's right. So are you going to count on
• 18:57
  that? No, because there's a 75 to 80%
• 18:59
  chance it's wrong or it'll move by 5 days.
• 19:02
  So our accuracy is much better than that.
• 19:07
  So pretty interesting. Absolutely.
• 19:10
  Is there anything else that you're kind of keeping your eye
• 19:13
  on as this weather pattern is setting up?
• 19:16
  We kind of talked about drought. We talked about the potential
• 19:18
  for fires, especially in the mountains this next summer.
• 19:21
  You're kind of touching a few other things.
• 19:22
  Is there anything else that you're keeping your finger on
• 19:24
  the pulse for? Yeah, Just just all regions of
• 19:28
  the world, how it's going to impact the southern hemisphere.
• 19:31
  They have their own cycle down there, believe it or not, it's a
• 19:33
  different cycle. But the past cycle down there,
• 19:35
  how does it impact Argentina and Brazil and how does that
• 19:38
  influence impact soybean and corn prices?
• 19:41
  We'll always be looking into that.
• 19:43
  We have a daily report that we provide as well that goes into
• 19:47
  the Southern Hemisphere a lot. And then just I'm still
• 19:50
  analyzing this weather pattern to see what's going to happen.
• 19:53
  And so we're going to learn a lot more by December 5th.
• 19:56
  I'm ensuring that winter forecast, it's really a year
• 19:59
  ahead forecast and we'll publish that on our site.
• 20:03
  We also have the severe weather guys that we track for you as
• 20:05
  well, severe weather, winter weather and tropical weather.
• 20:08
  So for a low cost, that's all on there.
• 20:11
  And when you do, if you do purchase any of these things, it
• 20:13
  does support what we're doing because remember, we're not
• 20:15
  funded by government grants like some of this BS that's out
• 20:19
  there. In fact, let's let's talk about
• 20:21
  some of that. OK, One thing I want to talk
• 20:23
  about there you may have heard. This hype of what's called
• 20:28
  sudden stratospheric warming, I think we might have talked about
• 20:32
  that in the last couple podcasts, but sudden
• 20:35
  stratospheric warming, the stratosphere is very stable, way
• 20:38
  up above us, OK, 40,000 feet, up to 100,000 feet.
• 20:42
  No weather happens in the stratosphere.
• 20:45
  It is completely calm up there. So when you hear sudden
• 20:49
  stratospheric warming is going to displace the polar vortex,
• 20:52
  which is going to allow for an Arctic blast to come down in the
• 20:55
  United States, well, they've been saying that for three
• 20:57
  weeks. There's no Arctic blast.
• 20:59
  There's a cold blast coming down, but it's not really an
• 21:01
  Arctic blast coming down right now and it's going to warm right
• 21:03
  back up again. So these you have sudden
• 21:06
  stratospheric warming, you have polar vortex, you have
• 21:09
  atmospheric river, you have bomb cyclone.
• 21:11
  Here's what a bomb cyclone is. It's a very strong storm system,
• 21:16
  a powerful storm in the Pacific that's heading towards Seattle
• 21:19
  or San Francisco. Do you have to call it a bomb
• 21:21
  cyclone? And I say no, do not.
• 21:24
  It's just a very strong storm system.
• 21:26
  What's wrong with saying you won't believe in this powerful
• 21:28
  storms coming into California? No, we have to say it's a bomb
• 21:31
  cyclone. I won't say it.
• 21:33
  OK, The atmospheric river, the LRC, the River Verabama cycling,
• 21:37
  that's an atmospheric river. When somebody says the
• 21:40
  atmospheric river producing rain and snow in California, no,
• 21:44
  that's a series of storm systems coming in to California.
• 21:48
  It's a series of storms. It's not an atmospheric river.
• 21:52
  You have to say atmospheric river just to get clicks.
• 21:55
  So you have atmospheric river. You have stratospheric warming.
• 21:58
  What's stratospheric warming? Does that mean anything to any
• 22:01
  one of you? It means nothing to me, and I
• 22:04
  know it's wrong. OK, it's sudden stratosphere and
• 22:06
  lowering if anything. But what does that mean for you?
• 22:09
  It doesn't mean anything. Here's what it means to you.
• 22:11
  There's going to be an Arctic blast.
• 22:13
  Let's prepare. An Arctic blast is forming,
• 22:16
  sudden stratosphere warming, the earliest that's ever happened
• 22:19
  ever. Number one, I don't believe that
• 22:21
  either. And #1 it's not even happening.
• 22:23
  Their forecasts were wrong. So not only were they hyping
• 22:27
  things up, they're wrong. They're wrong and they're hyping
• 22:31
  things up. That's horrible.
• 22:33
  It's one thing to hype up. There is a bomb cyclone and then
• 22:36
  there's a very strong storm that comes in.
• 22:38
  No, there's going to be a stratosphere warming.
• 22:40
  It didn't even happen. OK, sorry I had to ignore.
• 22:45
  No, I love it. I love it.
• 22:48
  I agree with that. That like, if you're going to
• 22:50
  hype it up to that degree, it better happen.
• 22:54
  Or at least it better get close to happening, right?
• 22:57
  Like we better be on the brink, like the whole time, Like, Oh
• 23:01
  yeah, this is totally hitting. This is totally happening.
• 23:03
  And then all of a sudden the last second something changes
• 23:05
  and something shifts, right? If you're going to be wrong, but
• 23:08
  you can't be wrong and try to hype it up for clicks and media
• 23:13
  coverage and all of those things at the same time.
• 23:15
  And I think that that goes back to like so many different
• 23:17
  industries deal with that of media push and trying to get the
• 23:22
  clicks, trying to get the views, trying to get people interested
• 23:25
  in what they are saying. And so they have to, instead of
• 23:28
  saying really strong storm system coming through, they got
• 23:31
  to say cyclone bomb coming through in.
• 23:34
  Order because. People are like, what's that?
• 23:36
  What is that? I've never heard of that before.
• 23:38
  Well, you've heard of it before. You've experienced it, They just
• 23:40
  put a new name on it. Right, exactly.
• 23:44
  And you know, there, you know, this is a whole different
• 23:46
  subject. My minds going all over the
• 23:48
  place right now, but ice storms, there was one time where I
• 23:52
  didn't think there would be an ice storm in Kansas City and I
• 23:54
  was it's very difficult because what if I'm wrong?
• 23:57
  You know, I thought it would warm up to 33°.
• 24:00
  It was like 28° and raining and the ice is starting to
• 24:03
  accumulate oh boy. And, and is warm infections up
• 24:06
  to 29, it's up to 30, it's up to 31, it's up to 32.
• 24:09
  And the ice is just starting to get thick enough where there's
• 24:12
  power outages and it warmed up to 33 and it's amazing that 1°
• 24:18
  all of a sudden everything starts melting.
• 24:20
  So on my way home I saw a power flash.
• 24:23
  I like, Oh no, here we go. I'm going to be wrong.
• 24:25
  But there might have been one or two.
• 24:28
  But 133, we were like, I was so precise and I was right.
• 24:33
  The ice storm failed to really materialize because it warmed up
• 24:38
  to 33° and everything melted as I thought it would.
• 24:42
  But crazy, it's very close. I try to be too precise
• 24:47
  sometimes. That one I I was right.
• 24:50
  I didn't get any accolades. I didn't get up in the morning
• 24:52
  and everyone was like, wow, Gary, you were right.
• 24:54
  Everyone else is wrong. No, you don't hear that.
• 24:57
  They only tell you when you're wrong.
• 25:00
  Yeah, for sure, for sure. Well, I am very excited for next
• 25:04
  week to be able to chat more about everything setting up and
• 25:09
  kind of breaking down that full weather report and the full LRC
• 25:13
  report that you're hopefully going to have by next week as
• 25:16
  well to share with all of us in our audience.
• 25:18
  And so that we can come here to you guys and be able to talk
• 25:22
  about the weather for the next year based off of the cycle that
• 25:25
  is setting up right now. So I'm very excited for that,
• 25:28
  Gary. I cannot wait.
• 25:30
  We will make a whole bunch of conclusions next week.
• 25:33
  The full report will be out on the 5th so.
• 25:35
  Yes, I cannot, cannot wait. To all of our listeners out
• 25:39
  there, thank you for listening to another episode.
• 25:41
  If anything that Gary and I chatted about interest you, make
• 25:45
  sure you check out the show notes down below.
• 25:46
  We've got an exclusive Cattle USA link for Weather 2020.
• 25:49
  So you can get all of that that we talked about at a pretty
• 25:53
  significant discount for all of our listeners.
• 25:55
  So make sure you go check that out.
• 25:56
  Gary, thank you for your time. Thank you for your knowledge and
• 25:59
  to all of our listeners. We will see you all tomorrow on
• 26:01
  another episode. Have a good one y'all.