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Episode 259 - 4/17/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to episode 259 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:25
  betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy thirsty Thursday our work week rolls on almost the weekend
• 0:41
  guys. We got a couple days here to
• 0:43
  wrap up this week and we got another big day of Major League
• 0:47
  Baseball. Now the slate is a little bit
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  smaller than usual, only a 10 game slate as Thursday is
• 0:52
  usually getaway day. But I did find some some games
• 0:55
  here tonight that I'm looking forward to breaking down with
• 0:57
  you. So a three pack overall of Major
• 0:59
  League Baseball. We got a play that's technically
• 1:02
  a dog becoming kind of a pick em type play and then got a couple
• 1:06
  favorites with good steam. So I'm hoping to grind out A2 in
• 1:09
  one day, eek out a winning a profitable day, which is always
• 1:12
  the goal. Now I do want to remind you
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  guys, if you want to tune in tonight, I will be on Veeson
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  live with my two my 2 good buddies, the Wolfpack, my guy
• 1:20
  Dustin Swedelson, of course, my guy Patrick Maher.
• 1:23
  So if you're on SiriusXM, you can check that out. 8:00 tonight
• 1:26
  we get into all kinds of different subjects.
• 1:28
  I tell you one thing I love about jumping on the Thursday
• 1:31
  show with Patrick and Dustin is it's probably like 60% betting,
• 1:35
  but then 40% like random things life, you know, we talk aliens,
• 1:39
  we talk all kinds of stuff. So if you want to tune in and
• 1:42
  reminder V sin, your favorite sports betting network is now
• 1:45
  back on SiriusXM. So look forward to seeing that
• 1:48
  or look forward to seeing you hopefully tonight or hearing you
• 1:50
  or listening on SiriusXM 8:00 V sin live.
• 1:54
  Now the other thing I want to mention is that a week from
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  today we have the NFL draft. So I will be looking at some NFL
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  draft betting opportunities here.
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  And really this last week is important because what I like to
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  do, and you can do it yourself, is just go to a sports book, you
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  know, whether it's, you know, FanDuel or DraftKings, or just
• 2:11
  pick one and screenshot the odds.
• 2:14
  Screenshot the odds, not just who's going to go 1-2 or three.
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  I'm going to give you the updated odds right now because a
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  lot of these lines are kind of becoming unbedable.
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  They're such a big favorite. But looking at like over under
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  draft position, like this guy's 8 1/2 / -, 110 or -110 both
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  sides are over -150 a lot of times if you can see the way
• 2:33
  that that juice movement develops in the final week,
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  because the final week is when the best mock drafts come out.
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  But really it's when Intel and information from these teams
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  leaks out in terms of who they like or where big bets come in.
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  And big bets are typically from sharper betters who have
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  informed, you know, insights or, or kind of source plays.
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  So between now and Thursday, we're really going to focus in
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  on NFL draft betting. And and one thing that I always
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  like to go back to is if you listen to the odds makers, the
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  bookmakers, and there was a great interview with Derek
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  Stevens who runs Circa and own Circa with with Visa last year.
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  And he says I hate booking the NFL draft because the lines can
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  really move. And it's kind of a loser for the
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  book overall because sharp betters who focus on the mock
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  drafts, focus on the movement. They can really make some money,
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  whereas the public may not even know you can bet the draft or
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  isn't really maybe that interested in betting the draft.
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  So those of you who've been reaching out to me saying you
• 3:27
  got any NFL draft bets, guess what?
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  We will have them coming before you know it.
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  I want to mention real quick before dive in our three
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  baseball plays for today. I did get an updated e-mail from
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  my buddy John Ewing today, this morning actually from Bet MGM.
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  And here are the updated numbers.
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  Expecting what's going to happen in the draft.
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  So first pick, most likely almost a shoe in at this point.
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  Cam Ward going to the Titans. He is now -10,000.
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  Second pick, Travis Hunter to the what is it the the Cleveland
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  Browns. He's now -400 Third pick, Abdul
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  Carter looking like he's going to go to the Giants.
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  He's -275 I'm a Patriots fan. I'm interested what they'll do
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  with the 4th pick. It looks like it's going to be
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  Will Campbell -250 unless the Patriots trade out of that play.
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  I can just tell you from the sports talk radio in Boston,
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  it's all about he's got short arms and he won't be a good
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  tackle. He's got short arms.
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  And I'm like, OK, Patriots have a terrible offensive line.
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  This guy dominated the SECI don't care if his arms are point
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  8th of an inch shorter than they should be.
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  So we'll see what it looks like. Campbell 5th pick to the Jags.
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  Mason Graham -155 sixth pick is Ashton Genti.
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  I believe that is the Raiders minus 157th pick.
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  Armand membu -120 eighth pick, This is when you can kind of
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  really track these numbers because once you get to like
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  7th, 8th, then it depends on what happens and the
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  permutations of 8th pick. Jalen Walker plus 1:45.
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  This is where you can make money to like Walker 8th pick plus
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  145. Do we start to see that plus 145
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  get down to plus 1/20 to even money flip to -120 You can kind
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  of follow the odds movement and specific players and that's why
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  you want to screenshot the odds and see how they develop.
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  Then you can also make money on the 1st position drafted like
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  first wide receiver drafted Ted McMillan -250.
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  This is important because it doesn't include Travis Hunter
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  because he plays both ways. First offensive lineman drafted
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  Will Campbell minus 201st tight end Tyler Warren -1000.
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  First running back Ashton gentie -5000.
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  First defensive back again doesn't include Travis Hunter,
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  Will Johnson -200 First defensive lineman drafted Mason
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  Graham -700 So this is not to say go bet this or you know,
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  this is more informative of, hey, this is where we stand a
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  week out. You know, let's look at some
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  numbers that maybe still have that value.
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  Like to me, if I'm playing an NFL draft like favorite, I don't
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  really want to go more than like -200 beyond that, it's just
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  juice isn't worth the squeeze. But we can pick off some, you
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  know, plus money numbers and we can get some decent -120 -, 1
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  fifties. That's really how we can bet the
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  NFL draft. And also like over under draft
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  position. Like Jackson Dart, I don't know
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  what he is currently, but I remember he was like 24 1/2 and
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  he was juiced under, you know, those, those kind of type draft
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  position bets we can make some money on.
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  So let's put a pen in it. Let's screenshot the odds.
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  Let's see how they develop. You're going to see a lot of
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  movement between now and next Thursday.
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  So with that being said, a little bit of draft talk to get
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  you going a week away from the big draft.
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  But let's get right back to what we love doing Major League
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  Baseball. Before we do it though, recap a
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  last night 2 and 2 -, 0.4 units. So we did have a great hit
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  buying low on that playoff over. We were looking at a bylaw
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  opportunity. Remember the Mavs and the Kings
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  total open as high as like plus 220 got all the way down to 213
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  1/2. We played the over rhythm nailed
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  it. All three models, you remember
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  we're like 216, two 17219 and it actually closed, I believe, two
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  14214 half. So we really got the best number
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  there. We also got the Athletics, which
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  was nice because they were down 1, nothing going into like the
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  5th or 6th inning. What was frustrating were the
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  Angels and the Phills, Phillies, just once, they tied it up on a
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  Homer by Bryce Harper 4:00 to 4:00.
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  And then their bullpen just absolutely imploded and the
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  Giants tacked on a ton of runs and they got pretty much blown
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  out 11:00 to 4:00. So that wasn't fun.
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  And then the one that was all I could do was laugh and almost
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  kind of feel happy for the guy, even though we lost our bet.
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  I lost my bet. But fading Patrick Corbin, it's
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  the gift that has given us so much over the years.
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  But Corbin, he got some revenge last night.
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  He pitched a good game, 5.1 innings pitched, only give up
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  one run. He's got 6K.
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  He had six KS and Texas won three to 1.
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  So what are you going to do either way?
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  We pretty much, you know, little, little bit of juice
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  giving back 2 and 2 -, 0.4 units.
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  So let's see if we can get some winners here and eke out A2 in
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  one day today in Major League Baseball.
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  I also mentioned we do have no NBA today.
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  There is another batch of playing games for tomorrow and
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  then on tomorrow on Friday, I should give you maybe a series
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  price or two in the NBA and also maybe the NHL as well because
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  it's the final game of the regular season tonight in the
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  NHL. So stay tuned for some series
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  bets. But with that being said, let's
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  get right back to MLB because even though you know, the Angels
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  and the Phils let us down last night, I still love waking up,
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  seeing a big slate of games and being able to pick and choose
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  games that fit our model. So the first one I want to get
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  down on mention and break down with you guys is a 6:40 PM
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  Eastern Time. First pitch, let's go to the
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  Motor City Detroit Tigers hosting the Kansas City Royals.
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  Let's talk line movement, pitching matchup, what we've
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  seen with these splits and system matches.
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  And I'll give you my play for this one.
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  So going into it, we have the Royals 8:00 and 11:00 on the
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  year, just got swept by the Yankees in the Bronx.
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  They lost yesterday's series finale 4 to 3 as a + 130 Rd.
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  dog. Meanwhile the Tigers 10 and
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  eight did however just lose two or three against the Brewers.
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  They fell 520 yesterday as a + 130 Rd. dog.
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  So pitching match up for this series opener between these AL
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  Central opponents, we have the Royals going with the ready
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  Michael Lorenzen. He's one and two with a 3.71
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  ERA. Meanwhile, the Tigers are going
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  to go with the ready Reese Olson.
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  Rhys Olson is 1 and one with an area of 6.
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  So what do we see across the market?
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  Well, big movement toward the Tigers.
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  Tigers open this game around -130 we've now seen the Tigers
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  get bet up to around -145 -, 150.
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  I jumped on tigers -145 earlier today.
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  Put that in the Juice Reel app if you want to track those plays
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  and maybe get them in a little bit earlier before the pod and
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  hopefully get a better price. But now I think your best number
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  is Detroit around -150 at Bet MGM.
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  But a couple reasons to like the Tigers won just good steam in
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  their favor -130 up to -150 twenty cents of movement in
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  their direction. Tells me a lot of smart money
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  came down on the Tigers. If you look at the splits on the
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  Tigers look pretty good at DraftKings.
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  Detroit's getting 73% of money line bets, 75% of money line
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  dollars. And if you look at Circa out in
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  Vegas, 84% of money line bets, 99% of money line dollars.
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  So both the National DraftKings book and of course the Circa
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  Sharp book in the desert showing heavy one way action pro and Joe
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  support in favor of the Tigers at home.
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  Now the Tigers are lighting up a lot of system matches here for
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  tonight. Let's start with home favorites.
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  It's chalky. It feels obvious, but it keeps
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  cashing even though it didn't come through with the Phils last
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  night. But home favorites are 119 and
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  60 this year, 67 percent, 11% ROI.
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  Home favorites with a winning record 57 and 2272% with a 16%
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  ROI. Favorites with line movement in
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  their direction, 113 and 6464 percent, 6% ROI.
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  Favorites off a loss 74 and 3767% with a 13% ROI.
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  And lastly, layering on a couple of these systems on top of each
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  other, home favorites off a loss 46 and 2070 percent, 18% ROI.
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  So I got a ton of matches here lighting up on Detroit.
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  Now the Tigers have a couple other things we like. 1 would be
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  the favorite low total, some correlative betting.
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  This total was 8 1/2 down to 8. Now it's down creeping down to 7
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  1/2 at some shop. So it tells me lower scoring
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  game more basically benefits the favorite fair amount of expected
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  run scored more likely never guarantee, but more likely to
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  come from quote UN quote the better team who's expected to
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  win. I'm going to bank on Detroit's
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  bats. Hopefully Olson pitch as well,
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  but hopefully their bats get going.
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  Detroit on the years hitting 238, 20 homers, 81 runs scored.
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  KC is only hitting two O 610 homers and 58 runs scored.
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  Now. The Tigers meanwhile are five
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  and one at home. They've played well at home and
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  the Royals have really struggled on the road.
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  They're just two and seven on the road.
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  Lastly, I did notice in the juice real app a 9% sharp mush
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  edge in favor of the Tigers. Nothing crazy, but 9% more of
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  the sharper winning betters are playing the Tigers as opposed to
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  the the profit deficient betters who are leaning more Kansas
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  City. So Long story short, Detroit big
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  steam in their favor. They got a ton of system
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  matches, good bet splits, better bats, correlative betting
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  favorite, low total home Rd. advantage.
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  I'll see if Detroit can hopefully get a win for us
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  tonight. I am on the Tigers.
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  I got a -, 145 earlier today. Again, right now I think your
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  best number is around -150 at Bet MGM.
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  Next one for you, let's go to Steinbrenner Field.
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  But it ain't the home stadium of the Yankees.
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  It's the home stadium of Tampa Bay.
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  Looking at this match up here tonight, we got the Yankees
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  visiting the Tampa Bay Rays. Now setting the stage, we got
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  the Yankees coming in 11 and seven.
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  By the way, this is 7 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time.
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  First pitch, 11 and seven. Yankees just swept the Royals.
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  As we mentioned, they won yesterday's series finale 4 to 3
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  as a -, 155 home favorite. Now the Rays on the other hand,
• 12:58
  8 and 10 just dropped two or three against the Red Sox.
• 13:00
  Good for the Red Sox win total over if you're like me on over
• 13:03
  85 1/2. But they did just fall 1 nothing
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  to Boston yesterday as a -, 135 home favorite.
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  So pitching match up here, we have the Yankees sending out the
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  Rady Will Warren. He's one and O 5.14 ERA.
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  You know, all the Rays are going to go with the fellow Rady Taj
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  Bradley. He's 2 and O 3.71 ERA.
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  So what have you seen across the market here?
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  Well, this game open Tampa Bay around a -, 120 -, 125 home
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  favorite Yankees are around plus one O 5, basically even money.
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  And we've seen nothing but this line plummet away from Tampa
• 13:36
  toward the Yankees. So Tampa Bay opening -120 -,
• 13:40
  125. They're basically down to -110
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  -, 1 O 7, basically. Yankees, meanwhile, going from a
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  little bit of plus money plus one O 5 to now minus one O 5 - 1
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  O 7. And some books are actually at
• 13:52
  -110 both sides. So what does that tell us?
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  It tells us that this game is basically becoming a pick em.
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  And why is that important? Because it didn't open a pick
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  em. And that's then you know, it
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  hasn't moved. It's right where it started.
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  It opened with Tampa Bay as a favorite -120 -, 125.
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  So this isn't that dog to fave line move, but it looks like a
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  kind of dog to pick them. Sharp line move in favor of the
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  Yankees. So I'm going to take a shot here
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  on New York. I got Yankees at -1 O 5.
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  You're basically a, you know, coin flip price.
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  I did notice as well. Yankees, you know, technically
• 14:25
  it's pick them. You can.
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  They're definitely not favored. But some books are like -1 O 4 -
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  1 O 7 - 110. But technically, Yankees are
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  still kind of the dog here. In that case, you would be a
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  divisional dog with the built in familiar familiarity, leveling
• 14:40
  the playing field, benefiting the team, getting plus money and
• 14:43
  a dog high total total. This one is 9 more expected run
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  scored, more variance, more upset opportunities.
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  In particular, I'm going to bank on the Yankees offense hopefully
• 14:52
  getting to Bradley here. Also.
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  Also warm weather down in Tampa Bay.
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  Yankees are familiar with this stadium.
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  It is their minor league stadium.
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  Maybe there's some, some, I don't know, some animosity
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  because it's like, hey, you know, why are you playing in our
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  stadium? I don't know, maybe I'm maybe
• 15:05
  I'm pushing that too far. But anyway, New York does have
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  the better bats. Let's hope they get to Bradley
• 15:10
  tonight. They're hitting 33 homers or
• 15:13
  they have hit 33 homers, scored 107 runs raised, have only hit
• 15:17
  19 homers and scored 81 runs. Also, we can get to the bullpen.
• 15:21
  Hopefully the Yankees can shut the door better than Tampa.
• 15:24
  They have an ERA of 3.21 versus 3.68 for the Rays.
• 15:29
  And then also when I popped open my rhythm app, I noticed that
• 15:33
  all three of my models, my MLB prebuilt model from rhythm and
• 15:37
  my 2 Josh models, one looks at, I think it's power and walks.
• 15:42
  The other one is more of a ground ball pitching model.
• 15:44
  But all three are lighting up on the Yankees.
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  So it's always nice if you can get like a sharp mush edge from
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  Juice Reel or you can get, you know, all rhythm matches on one
• 15:52
  side. But looking at this game again,
• 15:55
  we open Tampa -125 -, 120 and it's basically down to a pick em
• 15:59
  tells me a lot of money is pouring in on the Yankees.
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  So of course I am a Sox fan, but I'm rooting hard for the Bronx
• 16:05
  Bombers tonight. Give me the Yankees.
• 16:07
  I got them at -1 O 5. You can find that I believe
• 16:10
  either Caesar's or FanDuel or maybe bet MGM.
• 16:15
  Last play of the night. Let's see if we can get a sweep
• 16:19
  down in Texas. Let's go to eight O 5 first
• 16:22
  pitch LA Angels and the Texas Rangers.
• 16:25
  So you've been following the series, the Rangers 11:00 and
• 16:28
  7:00 on the year. They've taken the first two
• 16:29
  games of the three-game set. They won the opener for nothing.
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  Remember we played them the cash -130 at home.
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  But then I was an idiot, went against Corbin who again has
• 16:39
  been a cash cow. Corbin got the last laugh as a
• 16:43
  play as a guy who played the Angels last night wasn't great,
• 16:46
  but you had the Rangers win again 3:00 to 1:00 as a + 115
• 16:49
  home dog. So pitching match up for this
• 16:51
  one. We have the Angels who are 9 and
• 16:53
  8 go with the righty Jack Kochanowitz.
• 16:57
  I believe that's how you pronounce it, one in one 5.74
• 17:00
  ERA. Rangers, meanwhile, are going to
• 17:02
  go with the fellow righty Kumar Rocker O and two 7.94 ERA.
• 17:06
  If you remember Rocker, I want to say he was like a top one or
• 17:09
  top two pick in the draft a couple years ago.
• 17:13
  So what are we seeing across the market for this one?
• 17:15
  We have the line opening with the Texas Rangers listed around
• 17:18
  a -, 130 -, 135 home favorite. And wouldn't you guess it, big
• 17:23
  pro money going on the Rangers to complete the sweep.
• 17:26
  I'm going with the Rangers tonight, guys.
• 17:28
  We've seen the Rangers go from -135 now up to -150 some books
• 17:33
  even higher, like -155 I jumped on Texas -150 at ESPN bet
• 17:38
  earlier today. But look at the bet splits
• 17:40
  pretty good, especially at Circa on the Texas Rangers.
• 17:43
  Very sharp. The Rangers at Circa are only
• 17:45
  getting 58% of money line bets, but 91% of money line dollars.
• 17:50
  So a big low bets, higher dollar slit.
• 17:53
  Again, the bigger sharper wagers out at Circa.
• 17:55
  Going with the Rangers here. Rangers match a lot of systems.
• 17:58
  A lot of them that we talked about with Detroit also match
• 18:01
  with Texas. Home favorites, 67 percent, 11%
• 18:05
  ROI this year. Home favorites with a winning
• 18:07
  record, 72% with a 16% ROI. Favorites with a line move in
• 18:11
  their direction, 64 percent, 6% ROI.
• 18:15
  And favorites -150 or more, 74 and 3469 percent, 5% ROI.
• 18:21
  So you got a lot of matches lighting up here on Texas.
• 18:24
  I'm also going to bank on Texas. You know, hopefully Rocker can
• 18:27
  pitch well because he's got a lot of talent, but he's a young
• 18:29
  kid. But you have the better bullpen
• 18:31
  as well. 3.94 ERA. The Angels actually have the
• 18:34
  second worst bullpen in baseball. 6.11 ERA.
• 18:38
  Texas also has done well at home, 8 and one at home this
• 18:41
  year. Rangers are also six and two as
• 18:43
  a favorite. So when they're chalk, they've
• 18:45
  typically come through the season, which I'm hoping will
• 18:47
  happen again here tonight. Lastly, nothing crazy, but a 4%
• 18:52
  sharp mush edge on the Rangers from juice reel.
• 18:55
  So a little bit more of the sharper winning betters going
• 18:57
  with the Rangers as opposed to some of the more again, profit
• 19:00
  deficient betters. I don't want to I don't want to
• 19:02
  call anyone a losing better because it's not like you know,
• 19:04
  you're a loser. No betting is hard.
• 19:06
  But anyway, the winning betters leaning more here toward the
• 19:09
  Rangers. What's which lines up with the
• 19:10
  bets split in the line move. So let's go.
• 19:12
  Rangers got them at -150 again, some shops as high as -155 S
• 19:18
  Tigers, Yankees and Rangers. Can we get 2 out of 3 eek out a
• 19:22
  winning night? That is the goal.
• 19:24
  So that about does it for episode 259 of the All systems
• 19:27
  go sports betting pod powered by rhythm.
• 19:30
  Of course. This is the part of the pod
• 19:31
  where we wrap things up and I start first by saying thank you.
• 19:35
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 19:37
  busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar.
• 19:40
  And so it's some sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
• 19:42
  If you do enjoy the pod and you want to let me know you
• 19:46
  appreciate the pod and help me grow this podcast, could you
• 19:49
  please do something very, very easy and simple?
• 19:51
  It's painless, I promise. Just give the pod a five star
• 19:54
  review. It takes you just a click of the
• 19:56
  of the finger of a five stars would go a long way to help us
• 19:59
  continue to grow the pod. If you want to leave a nice
• 20:02
  comment in the review section, hey, that's great as well.
• 20:04
  If you want to click the follow button, that way you get alerted
• 20:07
  as soon as it drops each day. That's also much appreciated.
• 20:10
  And if you want to recommend the pod to a friend or fellow
• 20:13
  better, I'm not going to argue with that either.
• 20:16
  Next. If you enjoy the style of
• 20:18
  betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
• 20:21
  learning to read the market, embracing the challenge of
• 20:23
  trying to figure out, hey, not what I think or want or hope
• 20:26
  will happen in in a specific game, but what the market is
• 20:28
  telling me. Trying to align ourselves with
• 20:30
  the wise guys, the sharp betters who win at a high rate.
• 20:33
  Trying to be with the house. You know, people are always
• 20:35
  like, well, let's kill the books.
• 20:36
  No, as a data-driven contrarian better, you're kind of with the
• 20:38
  books. When the books do well, you do
• 20:40
  well, which is the whole point of going against the grain and
• 20:43
  going against the public. But anyway, if you want to learn
• 20:45
  more about data-driven betting or let me know you appreciate
• 20:48
  the pod or you know someone in your life who could really use
• 20:51
  some data-driven insights, you know what you should do.
• 20:53
  You should go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to
• 20:58
  sports betting. Pick up a copy for you or for
• 21:00
  France. The first book I ever wrote.
• 21:02
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are
• 21:05
  set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
• 21:08
  locate sharp action, how to go contrarian, how to set up a
• 21:10
  bankroll management plan, how to place a bet in person or online,
• 21:13
  all included in the everything guide to sports betting.
• 21:17
  If you want to really be a favorite of mine, you know you
• 21:20
  should also do you should pre-order my new book.
• 21:22
  It comes out August 12th. It's called the NFL Sharp
• 21:25
  Betting playbook and you can pre-order a copy same place you
• 21:29
  got the everything guide to Sports betting on Amazon.com.
• 21:32
  And who knows, maybe, maybe they'll be a book tour event at
• 21:36
  A at a sports book near you or a Barnes and Noble near you.
• 21:39
  But seriously guys, if you want to pick one or both of those
• 21:41
  books up, it would make my day. And when I see you at the sports
• 21:44
  book, I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 21:47
  ale, or we'll get some nachos and sweat some games together.
• 21:50
  Next, if you haven't done it yet, go download my two favorite
• 21:53
  sports betting apps, Rhythm and Juice Reel.
• 21:56
  Rhythm obviously does a great job powering this podcast,
• 21:59
  giving us AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
• 22:02
  player props for all the major sports.
• 22:04
  Rhythm absolutely crushed it last night again with our Bilo
• 22:07
  over in the NBA game. Rhythm said it should be around
• 22:10
  216 two 17219 and wouldn't you know it, we cast her over 213
• 22:15
  1/2 and it landed at actually it was 126.
• 22:18
  But again, their prediction pulls to play the over we did.
• 22:21
  We cast it. So that's really the power of
• 22:23
  rhythm. Also go download Juice reel.
• 22:26
  I love Juice Reel as well. If you enjoy this pod and you
• 22:30
  want to tip your bartender, your podcast host, I would love it if
• 22:34
  you could sign up for the $4.99 a week best bet picks from the
• 22:38
  All Systems Go pod. You get them right on the juicer
• 22:39
  lap. You can pop it open, see the
• 22:41
  plays even before the pod. But really, again, if you enjoy
• 22:44
  the pod, that's how I would. I would love for you to show
• 22:47
  some appreciation by getting those plays.
• 22:50
  Also, you're going to get the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
• 22:52
  The sharp motion indicators, the arbitrage opportunities,
• 22:55
  shopping for the best line futures, you sync up your sports
• 22:58
  books and you can also get the dollar breakdowns on the spread
• 23:02
  money line in total for all the games based on who has synced up
• 23:05
  their books. And if you are a successful
• 23:07
  sports better and you feel like, hey, I got some really good bets
• 23:10
  I want to share with people, you can go post your place for a
• 23:13
  dollar or five bucks or 10 bucks a a month or a week.
• 23:17
  And you can do that from the buy sell page on the social media
• 23:20
  tab or the social tab in the juice real app.
• 23:22
  So download rhythm, download juice real, give him a five star
• 23:25
  review in the App Store. It'll be off and running with my
• 23:27
  two favorite sports betting apps.
• 23:30
  Next, if you're betting on sports, I say it all the time,
• 23:33
  but we got new people listening. You have to have a live odds
• 23:37
  page. This is like if you're a
• 23:38
  Carpenter, you got to have a hammer, you got to have some
• 23:41
  screwdrivers. You need good data information.
• 23:44
  If you're going to be a data-driven better, you got to
• 23:46
  have data. That's where the live odds page
• 23:48
  comes in, shows you every game scheduled to play that day,
• 23:52
  gives you all your options of what games you can choose from
• 23:55
  and the start times and the live scoring in the live lines if you
• 23:58
  want to get down on a live line. But really what it does is it
• 24:01
  gives you not just the games but the odds, obviously.
• 24:03
  So it'll show you a column that never changes called the opener.
• 24:06
  Then you can compare that to all the current numbers quickly see
• 24:09
  which direction the line is moving.
• 24:10
  You can pull up the line history.
• 24:12
  You can track really sharp books like Pinnacle and Chris or
• 24:16
  Pinnacle in Circa and a lot of the other, you know, live odds
• 24:19
  pages. You see they won't have those
• 24:20
  books. They'll have like DraftKings and
• 24:22
  FanDuel. But you want those market
• 24:24
  centers because they move first, and when you see them move, then
• 24:27
  you can jump on a book that hasn't moved yet.
• 24:28
  Like if you see, you know, let's say Pinnacle go from -150 shoot
• 24:33
  up to -160 you're going to have a couple minute window where all
• 24:38
  the other books are still at -150 And you can hit that at,
• 24:41
  you know, ESPN BET or Caesar's or Bet MGM or wherever and get a
• 24:45
  better number of four moves. It's big for money lines, but
• 24:47
  it's huge for spread sports. Like if you like a dog, you
• 24:50
  know, plus 3 1/2 in the NFL, you know, Circa is juiced up and
• 24:54
  falling 3 1/2 down to three. You can go jump on a book that's
• 24:57
  still plus 3 1/2 -, 110. That is a slow moving book that
• 25:01
  hasn't adjusted yet. So shopping for the best line is
• 25:03
  huge. And the best live odds page to
• 25:05
  do everything I just mentioned is Odds Logic.
• 25:09
  Make sure you go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 25:13
  And when you sign up for Odds Logic, you're going to get
• 25:15
  again, all those great features and when you use that link,
• 25:19
  oddslogic.com/josh 123, you're going to get a 7 day free trial.
• 25:22
  Make sure you like it. If you let it renew, which I
• 25:25
  think you're going to enjoy it, it's going to become one of the
• 25:28
  most frequented websites you're going to go to each day.
• 25:30
  It's basically your Bible. If you bet on sports, I pretty
• 25:32
  much stare at my live odds page all day every day.
• 25:35
  But you will also get 50% off your first month if you enjoy it
• 25:39
  and you want to keep it. So again, that's Odds
• 25:41
  logic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
• 25:45
  today's podcast, episode 259 of the ASG Pod.
• 25:49
  As always, I'm gonna leave you with this.
• 25:51
  Whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 25:54
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 25:57
  Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
• 26:00
  Park Casino, REMGM Springfield or the Nash and National New
• 26:03
  Hampshire in my neck of the woods.
• 26:04
  Or of course, out in the desert. Or the true grinders get down.
• 26:07
  Or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest choose
• 26:10
  possible is found at the South Point.
• 26:12
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 26:15
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 26:17
  Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 26:19
  You're going to show me a beautiful buy low over in the
• 26:22
  NBA, Dallas, Sacramento, over 213 F going to show me an
• 26:26
  Oakland A's ticket or the Sacramento A's.
• 26:28
  I guess whatever you do, Phil's Angels, we'll tip our cap to
• 26:32
  Patrick Corbin. He got us.
• 26:34
  What are you going to do? He deserved to win.
• 26:35
  He had struggled so much. I'll be the way guys.
• 26:38
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 26:39
  We'll post about the book, sweatshop and train plays all
• 26:42
  night long. So wish you the best luck
• 26:44
  everyone enjoy your thirsty Thursday.
• 26:45
  I'll see you tonight at 8:00 on V some live on SiriusXM with
• 26:49
  Patrick and Dustin. And I'll be right back at it for
• 26:52
  tomorrow, which will be episode 260 of the ASG pod.
• 26:56
  As always, two and two, four and OO, and four, one and three,
• 27:00
  three and one, regardless of the previous day's record, good or
• 27:03
  bad, we never get too high. We never get too low.
• 27:06
  When we're red hot, we're never as good as we think.
• 27:08
  When we're ice cold and nothing's going our way, we're
• 27:10
  never as bad as we think. We got to keep grinding.
• 27:13
  And that's really the mentality you got to have because sports
• 27:16
  betting ain't easy. You got to have thick skin.
• 27:18
  But I can tell you one thing, if you stick to the model, stick to
• 27:20
  the blueprint against the public with the house, with the pros,
• 27:23
  flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value, we can
• 27:27
  make bets with our head and out our heart and stay true to that
• 27:29
  system. Then you know what, we're going
• 27:32
  to make sports betting a successful endeavor.
• 27:34
  So have a great night everyone. Again, enjoy the MLB here
• 27:37
  tonight. Let's get some winners on the
• 27:39
  diamond and we'll be right back at it tomorrow for Big Friday
• 27:41
  edition of the ASG Pod powered by Rhythm.
• 27:45
  That'll be episode 260. I'll see you guys then.
• 27:47
  Have a great night. Take care.