Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Have We Reached the Bottom of the Stock Market Pullback?

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Have We Reached the Bottom of the Stock Market Pullback? · Earn Your Leisure

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• 0:54
  Speaker 2: I guess one of those the questions that were getting
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: in kind of going over is people want to know
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: where the bottom is right, So like, if we look
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: at the EMA's, if we look at the trends, is
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: there a bottom in sight that we near it? I
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: guess in like twenty twenty it was the same type
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: of question when we looked at COVID and it was like,
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: wait the market hit thirteen thousand. I'm like, wait, this
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: thing could fall. Where could it reach? So, like, are
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: we near it? Based on like what you're seeing? I
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: guess some of the things I'm looking at. Have we
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: hit a trend line near the bottom? No?
• 1:25
  Speaker 4: Five forty five thirty could be the bottom? Who want
• 1:29
  Speaker 4: spy fifty four hundred?
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: So tom Lee? Tom Lee predicts he said that this
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: is the best time in bot stocks now and the town.
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: You know, he's predicting a massive rally in a couple
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: of months.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: What do you think?
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: I agree all the money's gonna flow in, Like, listen,
• 1:46
  Speaker 4: while okay, something I want everyone to take a look at.
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: When the market is in triage, notice who isn't speaking
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: Buffett to the Jones, drunken Miller. All the greats are
• 2:01
  Speaker 4: being quiet and executing. All the grades in private equity
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: are executing. They're buying right. So if we get to
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: like we are really at a point where if the
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: market is off fifteen to thirty percent in some markets,
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: now is the time to buy. We would have a
• 2:17
  Speaker 4: nice rally, probably come into app right after invest Festa
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: the same way it did last year. So if I'm
• 2:23
  Speaker 4: buying now, this should be the strategy. Buy in February
• 2:28
  Speaker 4: and hold through October November. You're going to get the
• 2:31
  Speaker 4: best return term of the day asymmetric risk to reward.
• 2:36
  Speaker 4: So if I buy now, I have a higher probability
• 2:39
  Speaker 4: chance of getting a fifteen percent or twenty percent return
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: now then opposed it if I did it two months ago.
• 2:46
  Speaker 4: The market has come down to a level where.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: I would want to invest.
• 2:50
  Speaker 4: So if I'm getting in at on a spy five
• 2:54
  Speaker 4: point fifty or five forty five, I can see probably
• 3:01
  Speaker 4: about August or early September, US being back at six hundred.
• 3:05
  Speaker 4: Now it's definitely a time to buy if you're looking
• 3:07
  Speaker 4: a hold for the long term long term investing only.
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: There you have it, Okay, is it time to ditch
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: the chase of big gains and bunker down to safe
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: value stocks only?
• 3:23
  Speaker 4: The real value is buying great companies that are at
• 3:25
  Speaker 4: a great price. I know a lot of times we
• 3:28
  Speaker 4: talk about sector rotation, and this argument is coming up again,
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: tech versus value. The real value is to buy at
• 3:35
  Speaker 4: the right price. Are there some value stocks that I like?
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: For sure?
• 3:41
  Speaker 4: Waste Management being one, tint a pillar being another home,
• 3:45
  Speaker 4: deep wet being another great. But if you think that
• 3:48
  Speaker 4: you're going to be able to get away from technology
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: stocks when it's the only thing really dry well, not only,
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: but one of the main things driving GDP in America,
• 3:56
  Speaker 4: deat in healthcare, you're poorly mistaken value is to buy
• 4:01
  Speaker 4: at a deep discount and then concentrate.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: Warren Buffet's qute going to another quote.
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: If you're a professional investor, I will focus on hyper concentration.
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: I want to remind you you only need four or
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: five good stocks, and technically if you need if you
• 4:17
  Speaker 4: have bitcoin, Like how some of your big bitcoin maxes,
• 4:20
  Speaker 4: you only need three good stocks actually have bitcoin. So
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: I don't think it's time to rotate into value. But
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: if you buy great companies at a deep value, you'll
• 4:31
  Speaker 4: get a better return that way.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: What value in Dexas?
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say, like gross stocks value stocks.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: I know the percentage for depreciation is something that people
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: try to figure out and we'll create their own strategy.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: Is it do you keep it the same for both? Right?
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: So I know I think you you had like a
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: twenty five percent depreciation. I always like to be between
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: fifteen to twenty y'ah like twenty five is there where
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: is there a difference between value and growth or is
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: it does it stay steady for both?
• 5:05
  Speaker 4: I think every sector is different, but a good exercise
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: for everyone is go look at from the high of
• 5:12
  Speaker 4: the market over a fifteen year period, how far it
• 5:15
  Speaker 4: is a fall, because every healthcare is different from let's
• 5:18
  Speaker 4: say energy. Energy is different from utility companies.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: But for tech, I usually earners. What's up?
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  Speaker 5: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
• 7:18
  Speaker 5: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from al Salvador
• 7:22
  Speaker 5: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with
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  Speaker 5: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
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  Speaker 5: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly
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  Speaker 5: never return. But if you register using our CBP home
• 8:01
  Speaker 5: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.
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  Speaker 4: Be protected sponsored by the United States Department of Homeldsecurity.
• 8:15
  Speaker 4: Like if I get a twenty five percent drop in
• 8:17
  Speaker 4: the sector or emulated if it's a high quality company,
• 8:22
  Speaker 4: if you're looking at value companies, maybe ten to eighteen
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: percent somewhere, I would like to get in. But if
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: you listen to the show like I'm literally giving you
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: guys the prices and companies of where to get in,
• 8:33
  Speaker 4: and if you join stock Club, we get all sectores
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: across the board. But yeah, twenty five percent in tech
• 8:40
  Speaker 4: is why I usually like to get in.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: For sure.
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: I know somebody's going to like I was looking at
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: Apple's chart. I was looking at it on Friday as well.
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: It's like, will this thing drop twenty percent?
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: It could?
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: It could, But how many times I think looking at
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: that from a historical perspective is key. How many times
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: in this history has a drop twenty five percent?
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: Right?
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: And then so the homework all you're gonna chage. You
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: be to your claw and the researchers in his art now.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: And it will tell you.
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: So when you see a rare moment like that happen,
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: then you know this is this is probably a prime
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: time to start executing. So if you're looking at where
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: the bottom is with how many times does the drop
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: of twenty percent, we're in video. We watched it drop
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: twenty percent twice this year? Yeah, for sure, right and
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: even lower. So taking a look from a historical perspective,
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: how that stock has performed, especially some of these these
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: megacap and these strong companies, look at their historical perspective,
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: so you can start getting the inkling of all right,
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: this might be a good point of entry.
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: Okay, the nastag is flirting with twenty four hour trading.
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: Will this be a game changer or will this be
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: another thing to give Wall Street more power?
• 9:53
  Speaker 4: It's a mistake for most people. The prime times are
• 9:56
  Speaker 4: going to remain as prime times to invest. Open America,
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: an open American Clothes, London open. I know the illusion
• 10:05
  Speaker 4: of having more access, because the futures market has always
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: been with twenty three hours, there isn't as much liquidity
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: during certain times of day, so you're not going to
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: get a great trade at eight pm on a Tuesday night.
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: I know they're trying to sell the illusion of inclusivity,
• 10:25
  Speaker 4: but in a world that has been created around exclusivity,
• 10:29
  Speaker 4: please don't offer this trap and be very careful. Your
• 10:35
  Speaker 4: trading plan as a results should not change. I commend
• 10:39
  Speaker 4: them for trying to keep up with innovation. We have
• 10:40
  Speaker 4: to give Robinhood a lot of credit for making these
• 10:44
  Speaker 4: innovations come through faster than ever because prior to them,
• 10:47
  Speaker 4: Nasdaq or any other exchange had no reason to do this.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: But your plan should not change at all.
• 10:55
  Speaker 4: Like it Also, if you see spikes in like the
• 10:59
  Speaker 4: noon session or a seven pm trade, it's probably going
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: to be smaller firms who can't compete with Piper Goldman,
• 11:09
  Speaker 4: Citadel State Street that is finding arbitrage in the market.
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: And you don't want to go against those whales that
• 11:15
  Speaker 4: are in the market, So be very careful, but your
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: trading plan should not change at all.
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is it's interesting, right.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: This speaks to the retail investor, right because everything that
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: you just named was institutional, so it speaks to the
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: retail investor. And again it speaks to innovation and how
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: are the new retail investors doing this If they're trading
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: grypto they've already been in.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Twenty four hours for sure.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: A lot of the new retail investors have used platforms
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: like robin Hood because of the use case, and they
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: say it's a lot easier and they use gamification allegedly
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: to help make those people in. And so that's the
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: interesting to standpoint of it. But one of the things
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: when we talk about trading is value, right, So if
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: you want to know like when it should be, look
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: at the value and look at the times that volume
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: is increasing versus the times, that volume is decreasing. And
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: so if you have it for twenty four hours but
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: nobody's trading, and you're doing some of these deridor of
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: trades like where the futures.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: I know options doesn't do twenty four hours.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: Full Yo, it could get real scary, really quick, and
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: that only helps.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: The brokerage, right, because this is one of those things.
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: I know we're not using gambling as a as a focus,
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: but like, yo, the house is going to win in
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: that scenario when there's no valua and you're trying to
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: figure out how to get a trade in. If you're
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: not season at this, I don't recommend it. It's just
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: like I didn't recommend same day option trading, Like, yeah,
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: can you make money doing it?
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: Will a lot of people lose money? Yeah?
• 12:43
  Speaker 5: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador
• 12:51
  Speaker 5: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with
• 12:55
  Speaker 5: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
• 13:03
  Speaker 5: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman the United States
• 13:06
  Speaker 5: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
• 13:11
  Speaker 5: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
• 13:15
  Speaker 5: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you
• 13:18
  Speaker 5: are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will
• 13:26
  Speaker 5: never return. But if you register using our CBP home
• 13:30
  Speaker 5: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.
• 13:34
  Speaker 5: Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,
• 13:38
  Speaker 5: border and families will be protected.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,