Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 03/19/26
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: All system's going clear.
- 0:07Speaker 2: We lift on what's going on.
- 0:37Speaker 3: Everybody happy Thursday, talking hoops, March nineteenth, March madness. That's
- 0:42Speaker 3: what today is today. There's hoops, there's money to be made.
- 0:45Speaker 3: That's what we're talking. Badgers a minute too late because
- 0:50Speaker 3: I was finishing watching the Badgers lose to high point.
- 0:53Speaker 3: Disappointing indeed, Michael W I know you're pretty sad as well. Yeah,
- 0:58Speaker 3: I mean we got it. Duke's losing. Got ourselves good
- 1:01Speaker 3: start to the college day. Excited for this six game
- 1:04Speaker 3: NBA slate. You can see it all locks within an
- 1:06Speaker 3: hour seven pm Eastern, eight pm Eastern. You probably can
- 1:09Speaker 3: hear my dog in the background, hopefully camp but real,
- 1:12Speaker 3: how are we doing today?
- 1:13Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm doing pretty good. I'm I'm pretty happy to
- 1:16Speaker 1: see the Duke is losing right now. Hate those hate
- 1:19Speaker 1: those guys, but uh yeah, pretty fun. Six games late today,
- 1:24Speaker 1: got a nice little hour between the first and the
- 1:26Speaker 1: last game, so be nice to kind of sit there
- 1:29Speaker 1: and watch the Orlando Charlotte game. Pretty excited about that one.
- 1:33Speaker 1: But yeah, pretty pretty solid, straight, pretty solid slate. Looks
- 1:36Speaker 1: like tonight a.
- 1:37Speaker 2: Lot of Q tags I'm seeing.
- 1:38Speaker 3: Is there any of them that you're like really concerned
- 1:41Speaker 3: about or do you think most of them play?
- 1:44Speaker 1: I feel like a lot of them are probably out,
- 1:46Speaker 1: Like the the Lakers didn't get into Miami last night
- 1:49Speaker 1: until like four am. They had the game against Houston.
- 1:52Speaker 1: There was another really good performance by them. They have
- 1:55Speaker 1: all those main three guys, Luca, Reeves and Lebron are questioned,
- 1:58Speaker 1: but I feel like some combination, if not all three
- 2:01Speaker 1: of them, are gonna miss. And then the Donovan Mitchell
- 2:04Speaker 1: downgrade with the eye contusion not great either. So yeah,
- 2:09Speaker 1: I feel like there's the only one I feel kind
- 2:12Speaker 1: of confident in playing is probably Kawhi just because they
- 2:15Speaker 1: lost last night and Daris Garland is out, so I
- 2:18Speaker 1: feel like they probably want him to play tonight because
- 2:21Speaker 1: it is a pretty big game or just like kind
- 2:23Speaker 1: of a they just need to win because they are
- 2:25Speaker 1: They do have the Warriors and the Blazers kind of
- 2:28Speaker 1: on their heels right now.
- 2:30Speaker 3: Great breakdown, I mean that's pretty important talking about the
- 2:32Speaker 3: Lakers stuff. That game's at five Eastern, two games at four,
- 2:36Speaker 3: so yeah, I mean two windows right here. But definitely
- 2:39Speaker 3: some appeal in his first couple of games, at least
- 2:41Speaker 3: the first game you mentioned a good real life game
- 2:43Speaker 3: close spread at five and a half. We have a
- 2:45Speaker 3: couple like usual in March big ones, thirteen and a half,
- 2:48Speaker 3: nine and a half, ten and a half, and then
- 2:50Speaker 3: a couple close ones. So that's the broad slate. I
- 2:53Speaker 3: appreciate everyone hanging out. Jordan pair by William wins a lot,
- 2:57Speaker 3: wins lop and an absolute fire in multiple sports.
- 2:59Speaker 2: Coach have Brandy.
- 3:01Speaker 3: We also got golf going on a lot of sports
- 3:04Speaker 3: right now, even though no NFL, MLB will be back
- 3:07Speaker 3: real real soon.
- 3:08Speaker 2: Excited for that World Baseball Classic was a lot of fun.
- 3:11Speaker 2: NBA is still.
- 3:11Speaker 3: Going, PGA going showdown content as well. MMA this week
- 3:15Speaker 3: fourteen fights in London, NASCAR, good prizes, NHL. We would
- 3:19Speaker 3: love to have you Survivor content loving that from our
- 3:22Speaker 3: guy sheets so great time of year. We'd love to
- 3:25Speaker 3: have you at the Nation Daily past nine dollars five
- 3:27Speaker 3: days for nineteen dollars. Also single sport NBA packages if
- 3:32Speaker 3: you would like that as well. Let's go for the
- 3:34Speaker 3: first game of the night you mentioned. It's Orlando Magic
- 3:37Speaker 3: five and a half point underdogs to the Charlotte Hornets
- 3:40Speaker 3: two twenty seven and a half total in this one
- 3:42Speaker 3: no injuries on the Charlotte side as far as Orlando.
- 3:46Speaker 3: Wendell Carter is out, so that is the new news there.
- 3:49Speaker 3: Take it away again a couple big spreads, this is
- 3:52Speaker 3: not one of them. Sorting my ownership though not too
- 3:54Speaker 3: much going to the Orlando side besides obviously the big
- 3:57Speaker 3: men with no Wendell Carter, I.
- 4:00Speaker 1: Think that this is a game that is pretty big
- 4:02Speaker 1: for the standings in the East. The Hornets are I believe,
- 4:05Speaker 1: three games back on the Magic right now, so they
- 4:07Speaker 1: definitely could catch up to them, and to win here
- 4:09Speaker 1: would go a long way for that. So I kind
- 4:11Speaker 1: of expect playoff like rotations. Not too sure exactly what
- 4:17Speaker 1: the Magic will do with the front court stuff with
- 4:20Speaker 1: Winnoccarter Junior out, because obviously one of Goga and Mo
- 4:23Speaker 1: will start. It's probably gonna be Goga because we've seen
- 4:26Speaker 1: that recently. But for a team like the Hornets, who
- 4:30Speaker 1: are so good at rebounding and have two pretty solid
- 4:33Speaker 1: big men with the Abatan and Kochbrenner, I feel like
- 4:35Speaker 1: there's a chance that we get full forty eight minutes
- 4:38Speaker 1: out of Goga and Mo, but there's also a small
- 4:40Speaker 1: chance that they go with more small ball, which would
- 4:43Speaker 1: help help Pollo just help about his rebounding racks. I
- 4:47Speaker 1: would expect him to be the small ball five in
- 4:50Speaker 1: that instance. But I think it's gonna be pretty exciting
- 4:53Speaker 1: games to kick things off. So I'm definitely looking forward
- 4:56Speaker 1: to watch watching this one and looking forward to probably
- 4:58Speaker 1: having a couple of rosters do stack up this game
- 5:01Speaker 1: with like two to three players. But over the last
- 5:04Speaker 1: couple of weeks, the Magic are fifth and d rating
- 5:06Speaker 1: Charlotte's thirteenth. The Magic have they were on a nice
- 5:08Speaker 1: little win streak and then kind of lost the last
- 5:11Speaker 1: two games against some better opponents. They had a pretty
- 5:13Speaker 1: soft schedule, but yeah, the Magic I've actually been given
- 5:17Speaker 1: up a lot more three point volume as of late,
- 5:19Speaker 1: which isn't great for this matchup, in particular because the
- 5:22Speaker 1: Hornets are top two and three point frequency over the
- 5:25Speaker 1: last two weeks and first in threes made per game
- 5:27Speaker 1: this season. Magic are also a below average pick and
- 5:30Speaker 1: roll defense. I think it sets up pretty well for
- 5:33Speaker 1: the Charlotte guys. Mainly, LaMelo had a huge game last
- 5:37Speaker 1: time out. Minute should be pretty full. I think he's
- 5:39Speaker 1: a pretty decent spent up option in this matchup. I
- 5:41Speaker 1: don't really never too worried about the Sugs matchup as much,
- 5:45Speaker 1: so I think that he's a really good defender. They
- 5:48Speaker 1: just don't really send enough help his way. So teams
- 5:50Speaker 1: like we see it against guys like Asar Thompson and
- 5:53Speaker 1: Amen Thompson are really good defenders, teams could still have
- 5:56Speaker 1: guys that put it pretty big games against them because
- 5:58Speaker 1: they just don't get a lot of help. So I'm
- 5:59Speaker 1: pretty fine with LaMelo here. The rest of the Hornets
- 6:04Speaker 1: are just good and not great in my opinion, Like
- 6:07Speaker 1: Brandon Miller is getting up there in price and pretty
- 6:10Speaker 1: cold right now. I think Con is an interesting option
- 6:13Speaker 1: in seven point two K, where they'll definitely need some
- 6:15Speaker 1: more of his shooting and if the Magic are going
- 6:17Speaker 1: to continue to give up more threes than He's a
- 6:19Speaker 1: guy that I have interest in, But he's also pretty expensive,
- 6:22Speaker 1: so you need like fifty plus from him at this
- 6:24Speaker 1: price tag and not too confident in him doing that
- 6:27Speaker 1: more often than not. So probably a around the field
- 6:31Speaker 1: to blow underweight position on both Miller and Con. But
- 6:35Speaker 1: I think Miles Bridges is pretty good here at six
- 6:37Speaker 1: point two K because they're going to need a lot
- 6:39Speaker 1: of minutes out of him for the polo matchup. He's
- 6:43Speaker 1: done a really good job against Paulo in the past
- 6:45Speaker 1: as well, so I think that they really trust him here.
- 6:46Speaker 1: And he hasn't done great in this matchup in particular
- 6:51Speaker 1: from a fantasy output, but he did have forty eight
- 6:54Speaker 1: DK points against him earlier this season, so I think
- 6:56Speaker 1: there's definitely upside for him, and he's been playing a
- 6:58Speaker 1: little bit better as of late. And then I do
- 6:59Speaker 1: think Kobe White at four point seven is a good price.
- 7:02Speaker 1: Like he's had really really good usage rates off the bench,
- 7:05Speaker 1: so I think he's a pretty solid option. And then
- 7:09Speaker 1: he asked for the magically unbe waiting to see what
- 7:11Speaker 1: they do with the starting lineup, but I think Goga
- 7:13Speaker 1: and Mo are both pretty solid options, and if we
- 7:16Speaker 1: do run into a spot where they are splitting the
- 7:18Speaker 1: full forty eight between the two of them, then I
- 7:20Speaker 1: wouldn't be too opposed to playing both of them in
- 7:24Speaker 1: the same lineup. If you like what the rest of
- 7:27Speaker 1: the lineup looks like, if you like your spin ups
- 7:28Speaker 1: at power forward and at the guard spot, then I
- 7:31Speaker 1: think that does make a little bit of sense. But
- 7:33Speaker 1: I think Paulo is a pretty okay option here at
- 7:36Speaker 1: nine point four K should see more of a rebounding
- 7:40Speaker 1: increase here, so he does have that triple double upside.
- 7:42Speaker 1: But I do think mos Bridges is a pretty good
- 7:45Speaker 1: defender and matches up pretty well against him. So I'm
- 7:48Speaker 1: not in love with the spot for Paulo, but I
- 7:50Speaker 1: think Suggs and Bain should be in play here, and
- 7:52Speaker 1: Sugs in particular, I think is pretty good at seven K.
- 7:55Speaker 3: So I mean, yeah, it definitely seems like you're wanting
- 7:57Speaker 3: to be overweight to this game at ownership too much
- 8:00Speaker 3: is getting it.
- 8:01Speaker 2: In this game.
- 8:02Speaker 3: Let's say Goga starts Mo's off the bench kind of
- 8:04Speaker 3: like expected, Like I'm not I don't believe this thirty
- 8:08Speaker 3: thirty three twenty six split. I think Goga would be
- 8:11Speaker 3: like whoever the starter is almost always gets a lot
- 8:13Speaker 3: more ownership and the price is right there next to
- 8:15Speaker 3: each other. Do you think it'd be like a sixty
- 8:19Speaker 3: twenty or something like that. And then if that is
- 8:21Speaker 3: the case, does that make you lean the I mean,
- 8:24Speaker 3: you're gonna obviously play a lot of Goga like the NBA,
- 8:27Speaker 3: you eat a lot of chalk, But it's a lot
- 8:29Speaker 3: easier to get overweight to the field on MO than
- 8:31Speaker 3: it is Goga and you're fine with both in the
- 8:33Speaker 3: same team, So do you see ownership that way?
- 8:34Speaker 2: And if so, would you lean more MO to the field?
- 8:38Speaker 1: Now, I'd probably still lean Goga because I feel like
- 8:40Speaker 1: there's a better chance that there's like a more more
- 8:44Speaker 1: likelihood of MO playing sixteens eighteen minutes versus like twenty four.
- 8:49Speaker 1: I just think that there's a chance that they could
- 8:50Speaker 1: split the full forty eight. But we know that Goga
- 8:53Speaker 1: is probably playing twenty plus here.
- 8:55Speaker 3: Yeah, I do think he will be over thirty three though,
- 8:58Speaker 3: and then MO will be less than twenty six, Like
- 9:00Speaker 3: it'll be a lot more of a split.
- 9:02Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean singing lunch or stuff. It's probably like
- 9:04Speaker 1: fifty plus percent for Goga and maybe like fifteen for Mo.
- 9:08Speaker 3: Yeah, what's like too many in this game? I guess
- 9:11Speaker 3: if you said on Orlando you're fine with Sugs, you're
- 9:13Speaker 3: fine with Paulo, and you're fine with the cheap Goga Mo,
- 9:16Speaker 3: that'd be three miles bridge is Kobe White that's five?
- 9:20Speaker 3: I mean that feels like a lot with the q taggs,
- 9:22Speaker 3: but you're fine?
- 9:23Speaker 1: Is that?
- 9:24Speaker 2: Would that be good?
- 9:25Speaker 1: I think three to four is probably where i'd want
- 9:27Speaker 1: to be probably like one to two Charlotte pieces, and
- 9:31Speaker 1: I think it like, if you really want to get
- 9:34Speaker 1: the upside, then it's gonna be like LaMelo plus Goga
- 9:37Speaker 1: and then one other Orlando piece, like probably not Sugs
- 9:40Speaker 1: in that instance, probably be like Paulo or Da Silver
- 9:43Speaker 1: or something like that.
- 9:44Speaker 3: All Right, Yeah, that's all I got for the first game.
- 9:47Speaker 3: Let's go to the second game. I mean, first says
- 9:50Speaker 3: he's heavy and Detroit. This is talking to Detroit Pistons,
- 9:52Speaker 3: big favorites. They're thirteen and a half over the Wizards,
- 9:56Speaker 3: two thirty one and a half total in this one.
- 9:57Speaker 3: On the Wizard side, No Trey, no no Leaky Black.
- 10:01Speaker 3: On the Detroit side, no Kaid. That is why some
- 10:05Speaker 3: of the value is popping on the Detroit side still
- 10:07Speaker 3: implied for one hundred and twenty two points, some of
- 10:09Speaker 3: the most on the slate, Jenkins, LeVert, Duran all gonna
- 10:14Speaker 3: get some ownership prices are good. Obviously, Kay leaves a
- 10:17Speaker 3: big role on the Washington side. I mean at least
- 10:19Speaker 3: no Kola Balle and when he's been on the court,
- 10:21Speaker 3: he takes up a good amount of usage. It's still
- 10:24Speaker 3: the Wizards at the end of the day, though I
- 10:26Speaker 3: think Champenny might get a little bit of ownership, but
- 10:29Speaker 3: I think he feels he looks to be the biggest
- 10:32Speaker 3: beneficiary without Kuliballe.
- 10:34Speaker 2: How do you see Pistons in the Wizards? With the
- 10:36Speaker 2: Pistons big favorites.
- 10:38Speaker 1: Starting the Wizard's side, because I think it's easier to
- 10:40Speaker 1: talk through. But I'm only really considering two guys tonight
- 10:43Speaker 1: on that side of things, and that's gonna be bub
- 10:45Speaker 1: Carrington and Justin Champenny with Alex Saraback. That really takes
- 10:48Speaker 1: off all the upside, the playing time upside for guys
- 10:51Speaker 1: like gil And and Tristan Vuksovic and Julian the Reeve
- 10:55Speaker 1: is probably not even playing tonight. And then the rest
- 10:58Speaker 1: of the guys I just don't think have enough side
- 11:00Speaker 1: even at their price tag. So Bob, a guy that
- 11:02Speaker 1: did find himself on the Ultimore lineup last week, is
- 11:05Speaker 1: in play at four point nine K and a pretty
- 11:08Speaker 1: decent pivot off of some of There's a lot of
- 11:10Speaker 1: really good point guard shooting guard options at that same
- 11:12Speaker 1: price rang, so I think that he's an interesting pivot there.
- 11:16Speaker 1: And then Champagne, less confident in his minutes, I think
- 11:21Speaker 1: that the the range of outcomes for him is pretty wide,
- 11:24Speaker 1: but he does match up pretty well here. I liked
- 11:26Speaker 1: him a lot in that last game and he did
- 11:28Speaker 1: really well there with getting the starts. I think that
- 11:31Speaker 1: he's solid, but really just a probably max one. Washington
- 11:35Speaker 1: and just those two guys are really in play for me.
- 11:38Speaker 1: But yeah, for Detroit with Kate out, the guys that
- 11:41Speaker 1: you mentioned Jalen Duran, Dannis Jenkins, Lavert are gonna be
- 11:45Speaker 1: the guys that are the biggest beneficial beneficiaries. I think
- 11:47Speaker 1: that Jenkins is the number one option obviously because he
- 11:51Speaker 1: will probably beginning the start, and I would say is
- 11:55Speaker 1: one of the best value players in the slate in
- 11:57Speaker 1: a good matchup. He's averaged thirty four DK points a
- 12:01Speaker 1: game without kid this season, but there are a few
- 12:03Speaker 1: games in there where he would have hurt you for
- 12:05Speaker 1: him for playing him at this price Seg in particular,
- 12:08Speaker 1: so I think that there is He's not like a
- 12:11Speaker 1: must have by any means at five k now, but
- 12:14Speaker 1: pretty good starting spot for seeing lntry contest. I don't
- 12:16Speaker 1: really know if there's enough leverage in playing like Sasser
- 12:20Speaker 1: or even Karasliff over him. I think that it's probably
- 12:24Speaker 1: just fading him for some of the other guard options,
- 12:28Speaker 1: but I do think that Duran and Asar Thompson are
- 12:30Speaker 1: two pretty interesting options For Duran. He sees a very
- 12:34Speaker 1: meaningful usage increase with Kate off the court the season,
- 12:37Speaker 1: and he's right around one point six fantasy points for
- 12:40Speaker 1: minutes fantasy points for minute. So with the matchup, the price,
- 12:44Speaker 1: and the role all in consideration, I think that he's
- 12:46Speaker 1: one of the best spind ups on the entire slate.
- 12:49Speaker 1: I think that there's a better chance that the Wizards
- 12:50Speaker 1: can keep this game closer tonight with Kate out, but
- 12:55Speaker 1: either way, we're probably getting twenty eight to thirty minutes
- 12:57Speaker 1: from Duran. I think that's plenty for him to reach
- 12:59Speaker 1: value in a really good matchup. So I'm pretty interested
- 13:01Speaker 1: in him. And then for a SAR, I think that
- 13:04Speaker 1: the minutes there was like I don't think there was
- 13:06Speaker 1: ever like a true minutes limitation for him. He was
- 13:08Speaker 1: just returning from the ankle injury. But we've seen at
- 13:12Speaker 1: times this season where more of the offense will flow
- 13:15Speaker 1: through him with Kate off the court, and I think
- 13:17Speaker 1: that this would be a pretty good spot for him
- 13:20Speaker 1: just to kind of rack up all the peripheral stats
- 13:22Speaker 1: and has also have a chance to get some steals
- 13:24Speaker 1: and blocks against say, pretty the team with not a
- 13:29Speaker 1: ton of experience and not really a lot of talent
- 13:31Speaker 1: on it right now. So I think that he's a
- 13:33Speaker 1: pretty interesting spind up or midteriy option six point two K.
- 13:36Speaker 1: But during Asar Jenkins are all guys I'm playing a
- 13:40Speaker 1: good amount of tonight. Don't really like Tobias. I don't
- 13:44Speaker 1: really think I want to get to sass Or either.
- 13:46Speaker 1: I honestly don't want to play Lavert, especially at ownership,
- 13:48Speaker 1: because I just don't think he's very good and I
- 13:51Speaker 1: think there are ways to get away from him. So yeah,
- 13:53Speaker 1: that's it's going to be a lot of during Asar
- 13:56Speaker 1: and Jenkins for me. Yeah, I know.
- 13:59Speaker 3: The thing is Detroit's definitely gonna get a good get
- 14:02Speaker 3: a good amount of ownership. And for the Lakers with
- 14:04Speaker 3: these Q takes, do you think at least a couple
- 14:05Speaker 3: of them miss like they're gonna have value open that's
- 14:08Speaker 3: not really in projections right now, and a lot of
- 14:10Speaker 3: people will go to some of this Detroit. Like you
- 14:12Speaker 3: mentioned Carris Lavert, you don't need to play him at
- 14:14Speaker 3: three to nine obviously, Jenkins is there for value at
- 14:17Speaker 3: five K. We talked about mid tier options, but I
- 14:20Speaker 3: mean this Lakers spot. If multiple miss, we're gonna see
- 14:23Speaker 3: some value there. I mean, Washington's definitely tough to get to.
- 14:27Speaker 3: I like your max one rule there. Would you be
- 14:29Speaker 3: fine playing Duran, Jenkins and Thompson? Is that too much
- 14:32Speaker 3: in this thirteen and a half? I mean, if you
- 14:34Speaker 3: think they can keep it close when they get full rotation,
- 14:37Speaker 3: I think they can get there, all three of them.
- 14:39Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's fine.
- 14:41Speaker 2: All right? Do you think Duran or Mobile? If having
- 14:46Speaker 2: to choose, probably Mobile? Okay, right in the same price
- 14:55Speaker 2: price range.
- 14:58Speaker 3: All right, let's keep it rolling to next game on
- 15:00Speaker 3: the slates, good real life game. The Phoenix Suns and
- 15:03Speaker 3: the San Antonio Spurs nine a half point favorites are
- 15:05Speaker 3: the Spurs two twenty seven and a half total in
- 15:07Speaker 3: this one. On the Phoenix side, Royce O'Neill out, Hayward Heigh,
- 15:13Speaker 3: Smith and Grayson Allen questionable. The Spurs remain fully healthy.
- 15:17Speaker 3: I mean, man, these sons continue to fight. They can
- 15:20Speaker 3: choke the end of games. But shout out to Matt
- 15:22Speaker 3: When we were on the show on Monday, he would
- 15:25Speaker 3: talk about Devin Booker at low ownership, had a forty
- 15:28Speaker 3: piece good game there. This game, as you saw, by
- 15:31Speaker 3: ownership not getting much at all. Wemby center play contrarian
- 15:34Speaker 3: spend because people are gonna go go go, or they're
- 15:37Speaker 3: gonna go Duran Bam. There's enough good plays at center
- 15:40Speaker 3: that are cheaper that he's gonna be pretty low owned.
- 15:43Speaker 3: I mean, you can always have interests, at least I
- 15:44Speaker 3: always have interest in Wemby anytime he's looking at this
- 15:47Speaker 3: type of ownership. D book Jalen Green, Dan Jalen Green's
- 15:51Speaker 3: price tag he's chucking, no doubt about that. But that
- 15:54Speaker 3: price tag is definitely crept up since he's came back.
- 15:58Speaker 3: I'm not seeing any value in this one with these
- 16:00Speaker 3: teams pretty healthy, so what do you see?
- 16:03Speaker 1: Definitely think that some value could open up on the
- 16:05Speaker 1: Sun's side if those questionable texts do miss, probably getting
- 16:09Speaker 1: into like the Jordan goodwins, I would think. I mean
- 16:12Speaker 1: there's a chance that Heywo high Smith is the value
- 16:14Speaker 1: play for the Suns right now, because if Grace Allen misses,
- 16:18Speaker 1: there's a chance that he could start and he's only
- 16:20Speaker 1: three point one k, so kind of like how bad
- 16:22Speaker 1: could it be. I'd much rather play him over Kros
- 16:24Speaker 1: the vert if he is starting. But I do think
- 16:27Speaker 1: that this game environment as a whole shit.
- 16:28Speaker 3: If they're both out, I'm saying, Heywood high Smith Q
- 16:31Speaker 3: is that is that right?
- 16:32Speaker 1: Yep, that's that's right.
- 16:35Speaker 3: If they're both out, then are you interested in I mean,
- 16:41Speaker 3: I know Fleming's getting some mena seated nothing Ryan Dunn,
- 16:44Speaker 3: it would just be good win.
- 16:45Speaker 2: Even more with ball handling, I.
- 16:47Speaker 1: Think you could probably get it to a little bit
- 16:48Speaker 1: of Ryan done, but yeah, it would be it'd be
- 16:51Speaker 1: a good win for sure. But yeah, I do think
- 16:55Speaker 1: that the game environment as a whole is pretty decent here.
- 16:58Speaker 1: I think that Phoenix can hang around with I mean,
- 17:00Speaker 1: they've been playing some really good teams as of late
- 17:02Speaker 1: and been playing much better, and the Spurs haven't necessarily
- 17:05Speaker 1: necessarily been unstoppable. On defense. They're eleventh over the last
- 17:09Speaker 1: two weeks, which is obviously good, but they're like one
- 17:11Speaker 1: of the top four defenses in the league on the season.
- 17:14Speaker 1: They are number one in offensive raiding, the Suns are
- 17:16Speaker 1: seventeenth and d rating eleventh and offensive rating over the
- 17:19Speaker 1: last two weeks. So definitely think that they can hang
- 17:21Speaker 1: around here. As the stands right now, it's really just
- 17:24Speaker 1: Booker and Green that I'm considering. Booker is gonna see
- 17:27Speaker 1: a lot of Stefan Castle, which I think is a
- 17:29Speaker 1: tough matchup for him, but not one that he can't beat.
- 17:32Speaker 1: He did go for fifty two and forty seven DK
- 17:34Speaker 1: points in the first two meetings versus San Antonio, then
- 17:37Speaker 1: picked up an injury the last time that these teams
- 17:39Speaker 1: faced off, which led to Jalen Green stepping up in
- 17:42Speaker 1: a big way with twenty six points thirty nine DK points,
- 17:45Speaker 1: and both these guys have flash tournament winning upside at
- 17:47Speaker 1: these price tags, I'm cool with both of them. I
- 17:50Speaker 1: think that Green's probably easier to get to with the
- 17:52Speaker 1: shooting guard, small Ford eligibility and similar upside, But yeah,
- 17:57Speaker 1: I think that both these guys are totally fine here.
- 18:00Speaker 1: If Allen does miss, then you can consider Coln Gillespie,
- 18:03Speaker 1: But I just don't really know if there's enough of
- 18:05Speaker 1: a role for him on the offense right now with
- 18:07Speaker 1: Booker and Jalend Green taking on so much usage. And
- 18:10Speaker 1: then I like Jordan Goodwin. If Grayson Allen or you
- 18:14Speaker 1: probably need Grayson Allen out to get to Jordan Goodwin,
- 18:18Speaker 1: and then if Allen is out, high Smith is in.
- 18:20Speaker 1: Like I said, I think that he is in play
- 18:22Speaker 1: on the Sun side. I think that Wemby definitely goes overlooked,
- 18:25Speaker 1: like you said, just because the price tag is way
- 18:27Speaker 1: up there and there's some really good center options, So
- 18:31Speaker 1: I think that the ownership as low as it is has
- 18:34Speaker 1: to make him an interesting option. But I don't necessarily
- 18:36Speaker 1: think that he's great by any means. A lower point
- 18:38Speaker 1: two K pretty big price tag, but I think that
- 18:42Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw the quotes from him,
- 18:44Speaker 1: but he said that he wants to win MVP and
- 18:46Speaker 1: DPOY this year. MVP feels like a stretch with how
- 18:49Speaker 1: well that Luca and Shaye are playing right now, but
- 18:52Speaker 1: still are getting a highly motivated Winbys and a matchup
- 18:56Speaker 1: that should be good for him with the Suns giving
- 18:59Speaker 1: up more stuff around the RAM game should be close enough.
- 19:01Speaker 1: I think that he is for sure in play as
- 19:03Speaker 1: a spend up option, but we really need like sixty
- 19:06Speaker 1: five to seventy from him. I think Castle is pretty
- 19:11Speaker 1: good though at seven point seven K. He's been really
- 19:14Speaker 1: good in this matchup, and they're gonna need more minutes
- 19:17Speaker 1: from him for the Devin Booker defensive assignment. The Suns
- 19:21Speaker 1: have generally been pretty good at limiting big games from
- 19:23Speaker 1: opposing guards, but Castle has done really really well. Gets
- 19:26Speaker 1: some I have I do have interesting Castle here, but yeah,
- 19:29Speaker 1: I think the Sun side is probably easier to get
- 19:31Speaker 1: to with the questional tags and it's really just when
- 19:34Speaker 1: being Castle for me on the Spur side.
- 19:38Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean totally agree, Like you have to make
- 19:40Speaker 3: it a point to play Wemby, like your optimizers and stuff.
- 19:44Speaker 3: It's not gonna pop much, but he always has sixty
- 19:46Speaker 3: five to seventy point upside.
- 19:48Speaker 2: Definitely a stretch.
- 19:49Speaker 3: MVP wise, at least looking at the odds, Shay pretty
- 19:51Speaker 3: much has that lock. It seems Wemby is Defensive Player
- 19:55Speaker 3: of the Year con still the favorite minus two fifteen
- 19:58Speaker 3: for the Rookie of the Year.
- 19:59Speaker 2: That's a close one.
- 20:00Speaker 3: But yeah, it just feels like, I mean, this slate
- 20:04Speaker 3: more than most six games slates. I feel like most
- 20:06Speaker 3: of them like there's one game and you can get
- 20:08Speaker 3: like five pieces in it and feel good about it.
- 20:11Speaker 3: This feels like a slate that's not not so much
- 20:13Speaker 3: like that you're picking a couple here, a couple there.
- 20:15Speaker 3: You have mentioned in the past, like two players on
- 20:18Speaker 3: the same team have correlated pretty well on winning lineups.
- 20:21Speaker 3: But it doesn't seem like a slate to just go
- 20:23Speaker 3: overboard on, at least for these first three games that
- 20:26Speaker 3: we've talked about. Another eight pm Easter game and decent
- 20:30Speaker 3: sized favorites the Cleveland Cavaliers taking on the Chicago Bulls.
- 20:34Speaker 3: Ten and a half point favorites are the Calves two
- 20:36Speaker 3: thirty eight and a half total in this one big
- 20:38Speaker 3: total on the Chicago side. No Okoro, and then Jalen
- 20:42Speaker 3: Smith is questionable for the Calves, No Jared Allen, no
- 20:46Speaker 3: Craig Porter. Donovan Mitchell is questionable. Another game not really
- 20:51Speaker 3: showing to get too much ownership. Obviously that would change
- 20:55Speaker 3: if Donovan Mitchell was out, and then Jalen Smith. I
- 20:58Speaker 3: think that's I mean, he's a good point a primintic
- 21:00Speaker 3: guy when he's on the court, so maybe that is
- 21:02Speaker 3: a little interesting if he is out as well. Nick
- 21:05Speaker 3: Richards possibly forty one hundred. I mean, center's really good
- 21:08Speaker 3: though on this lad, So what are your thoughts there,
- 21:11Speaker 3: even if he's out, How good of a play is he?
- 21:13Speaker 2: Honestly, like this probably not that great.
- 21:18Speaker 1: We've seen times before when Jalen Smith misses, they're not
- 21:21Speaker 1: necessarily given him the full workload. They're splitting between him
- 21:24Speaker 1: and Yabu. I do think that there's a good chance
- 21:28Speaker 1: Jalen Smith miss misses this one because they did call
- 21:30Speaker 1: up Olbrick from the G League. They sent down Yuki
- 21:33Speaker 1: Kawa Mora. So there's a really good chance that the
- 21:36Speaker 1: Bulls run thing is really tight, like we've seen from
- 21:37Speaker 1: them over the last week or two. So I do
- 21:39Speaker 1: think that they have enough to keep the game close,
- 21:43Speaker 1: especially if Donovan Mitchell were to miss. So very interested
- 21:47Speaker 1: in this game environment as a whole. Obviously, the Cleveland
- 21:50Speaker 1: side looks really good. If if Mitchell is out, he
- 21:53Speaker 1: got the mid day down grades, so we're going to
- 21:55Speaker 1: be on let him know, watch, got to have your
- 21:57Speaker 1: Twitter notifications on and follow Donovan Mitch'll usually get that
- 22:02Speaker 1: probably two hours before tip off, so he hasn't tweeted
- 22:05Speaker 1: by then and he's probably missing the game. But yeah,
- 22:08Speaker 1: Mobley already going to be in a really good spot.
- 22:11Speaker 1: But if Mitchell is out, I just don't see how
- 22:13Speaker 1: you don't play him in seeing leuntry stuff like you'd
- 22:15Speaker 1: be kind of like almost unavoidable for me. At eight
- 22:18Speaker 1: point seven K, just because the usage is going to
- 22:20Speaker 1: see a really big uptick. The matchup is great, He'll
- 22:24Speaker 1: have some really weak defenders on their side with Yabu
- 22:27Speaker 1: and Richard's down there. I think that Jalen Smith is
- 22:30Speaker 1: actually pretty decent as a defender, but without him, they're
- 22:33Speaker 1: just gonna be undersized and under talented. So I think
- 22:35Speaker 1: that Mobley is really good, and then James Harden would
- 22:37Speaker 1: have to be a much better option if Mitchell miss,
- 22:42Speaker 1: I think that would be a good chance to get
- 22:44Speaker 1: Max Shruce in the starting lap. Don't necessarily think that
- 22:46Speaker 1: he'd be in play, because I would imagine the minutes
- 22:48Speaker 1: limit is going to be in like the mid twenties
- 22:51Speaker 1: for the foreseeable future. But some of the usage has
- 22:54Speaker 1: to trickle down a little bit to guys like Merrill
- 22:56Speaker 1: to Schroeder to Dean Wade. Don't necessary I think that
- 23:00Speaker 1: these guys are great plays by any means. I'm really
- 23:02Speaker 1: just focusing in on hard And and Mobley. If Mitchell is out, Yeah,
- 23:07Speaker 1: and I guess Dean Wade is an option at three
- 23:09Speaker 1: point five K, like he's pretty comparable to Karros Lavert.
- 23:13Speaker 1: I would say a little bit cheaper small Ford eligibility,
- 23:16Speaker 1: but I obviously never never really like playing him.
- 23:21Speaker 3: D Mitch is in can you get to him? And
- 23:23Speaker 3: then like, what is that makes hard and tough? What
- 23:25Speaker 3: about Mobiley?
- 23:27Speaker 1: Sometithing? Mobiley is good regardless, I think I just really
- 23:29Speaker 1: like the matchup for him starting to flash a little
- 23:31Speaker 1: bit upside too alongside of hard and and Donovan Mitchells.
- 23:35Speaker 1: I think that he's pretty good regardless both side. I
- 23:41Speaker 1: guess it's just Giddy and Matas for me, Giddy will
- 23:44Speaker 1: see a lot of Dean Wade tonight, so if there
- 23:46Speaker 1: was a chance to be to fade him, I think
- 23:48Speaker 1: that this would be the one. Kind of similar to
- 23:50Speaker 1: last night, it was a pretty tough matchup against the Raptors.
- 23:53Speaker 1: Dean Wade is a pretty good defender. I think that
- 23:55Speaker 1: he actually matches it pretty well with Giddy sides wise,
- 24:00Speaker 1: and ten K is no longer a value price tag
- 24:03Speaker 1: for him. When he was in like the nine k's,
- 24:05Speaker 1: it was much more reasonable to get to him because
- 24:08Speaker 1: even like a good game from him, I would say,
- 24:11Speaker 1: it's like fifty one would not be enough at this
- 24:13Speaker 1: price tag. I don't think but a couple of those
- 24:15Speaker 1: sixty point games would definitely be good at this price tag,
- 24:18Speaker 1: but I just kind of think I would rather take
- 24:20Speaker 1: an underweight position on Giddy and maybe over on some
- 24:22Speaker 1: of the secondary guys like Matzas should be in a
- 24:25Speaker 1: better spot because he'll avoid Dean Wade playing really well
- 24:28Speaker 1: right now. I mean, even like guys like Trey Jones,
- 24:31Speaker 1: Collin Sex, and Leonard Miller are somewhat interesting because I
- 24:33Speaker 1: think that if the game does stay close and Giddy
- 24:36Speaker 1: is getting locked down, they're gonna need more from these
- 24:38Speaker 1: secondary options. I just don't know if there's necessarily enough
- 24:42Speaker 1: upside in these guys. I feel like the Cleveland side
- 24:45Speaker 1: just gets a little bit better if these guys are
- 24:46Speaker 1: doing well because you're getting full minutes and the game
- 24:48Speaker 1: is high scoring and closed. So I don't really see
- 24:51Speaker 1: myself needing a ton of Chicago guys, but keeping all
- 24:54Speaker 1: of them him the playerpool for sure, all.
- 24:57Speaker 3: Right, Yeah, I mean, as you can see, just keep
- 24:59Speaker 3: it on the playerpool. If you do play some chalk
- 25:02Speaker 3: on this slate, like this is a way.
- 25:03Speaker 2: To get different. For sure.
- 25:04Speaker 3: We're showing three percent as the highest owned Bulls guy,
- 25:08Speaker 3: and it definitely makes sense if you are playing a
- 25:11Speaker 3: James Harden or Donovan Mitchell assuming he does play something
- 25:14Speaker 3: like that to correlate it with a giddy or matas
- 25:17Speaker 3: if they do keep it closer. Obviously, big favorites are
- 25:20Speaker 3: the Caves at ten and a half. Mobley's definitely gonna
- 25:23Speaker 3: get ownership even if Mitchell's in. If he's out, yeah,
- 25:26Speaker 3: probably one of the highest on the slate. But like
- 25:29Speaker 3: you said, I mean you'd still play him. Eating chalk
- 25:31Speaker 3: and basketball is definitely something that you have to do.
- 25:36Speaker 3: Dean Wade man, so you like, you'd like Dean Wade
- 25:38Speaker 3: for a couple hundred less and less ownership than actually no,
- 25:43Speaker 3: I don't know if he'd be less owned if Dean
- 25:45Speaker 3: Mitch was out then Carriss.
- 25:46Speaker 2: But how would you rank those two?
- 25:49Speaker 1: Uh, I would probably rather play Wade.
- 25:52Speaker 2: I guess you're probably not going to get too much,
- 25:55Speaker 2: so I take it.
- 25:56Speaker 1: I mean I would prefer to not play either of
- 25:58Speaker 1: them if I had my choice.
- 26:00Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's why I like go You don't need
- 26:02Speaker 3: to go go Mo. And then again some Lakers stuff.
- 26:05Speaker 3: We're gonna get to this last game, but I mean
- 26:08Speaker 3: in two more games. But assuming Luca or some of
- 26:11Speaker 3: these Q tags are out, the Lakers will have some
- 26:13Speaker 3: cheap value.
- 26:14Speaker 2: Detroit already has some as well.
- 26:17Speaker 3: All right, two games left on the slates and definitely
- 26:20Speaker 3: get a little ownership in this one the Pelicans and
- 26:23Speaker 3: the Clippers too, and that point favorites of the Pelicans
- 26:25Speaker 3: two thirty and a half total in this one. Clipper side,
- 26:28Speaker 3: no Garland, no Mathron, and Kawhi is questionable. On the
- 26:31Speaker 3: Pelican side, Dejonte is out. The ownership is going mainly
- 26:36Speaker 3: to some of these cheaper Clippers. I mean, I guess
- 26:40Speaker 3: they have Repelicans have some value too, but I guess they.
- 26:44Speaker 2: Have a.
- 26:46Speaker 3: Collins Jones herb. Yeah, not as much as I was expecting.
- 26:50Speaker 3: Chris Dunn is going to be one of the more
- 26:51Speaker 3: popular value plays on the slate. But after that you
- 26:53Speaker 3: expect Kawhi to play. No Garland, no Mathern. That is
- 26:57Speaker 3: a huge bump to him. Pelicans side, no Dejonte, open
- 27:00Speaker 3: up some stuff. I like Bay always at this price tag,
- 27:03Speaker 3: curiously your take on like MESSI versus other centers on
- 27:06Speaker 3: this late and then yeah it's Trey Murphy's price tag
- 27:11Speaker 3: zion at this those aren't contray and spends that I'm
- 27:14Speaker 3: going to I'd rather go giddy like we just talked about.
- 27:16Speaker 2: It was gonna be really low owned anyway.
- 27:19Speaker 1: Yeah, the Clippers side, I think is definitely a spot
- 27:23Speaker 1: to look to for value, especially if Kawhi were a miss.
- 27:25Speaker 1: But I do think that he plays, and even more
- 27:27Speaker 1: so now that they lost the game last night. They
- 27:30Speaker 1: just really need to rattle off some wins as they
- 27:33Speaker 1: as a season winds down because they do have a
- 27:34Speaker 1: couple of teams right behind them. But it's still tough
- 27:39Speaker 1: to play Kawai at this price seg because the minutes
- 27:42Speaker 1: are being managed so much. It's not really like he
- 27:44Speaker 1: has a true minutes limitation, but they'll just kind of
- 27:48Speaker 1: pull him out at times, like he has a very
- 27:51Speaker 1: odd rotation. I don't think he even closes the first
- 27:54Speaker 1: half most times. But I mean if you take him out,
- 27:58Speaker 1: like even taking away Ben Matherin in Garland makes the
- 28:03Speaker 1: value plays much better because they don't they will have
- 28:06Speaker 1: basically no secondary ball handling in the second unit or
- 28:09Speaker 1: I guess primary ball handling in the second unit. So
- 28:12Speaker 1: that's kind of why I think Jordan Miller is a
- 28:14Speaker 1: very very solid value played for P a K because
- 28:16Speaker 1: he is a guy that can take on usage and
- 28:19Speaker 1: can create plays by himself, Christill.
- 28:22Speaker 3: That ownership like, I mean, Done's gonna be popular, Miller
- 28:25Speaker 3: seems under owned, or like John Collins like, it feels
- 28:29Speaker 3: like people would play more of these guys, especially depending
- 28:32Speaker 3: on Lakers stuff.
- 28:33Speaker 2: But six percent Jordan.
- 28:34Speaker 1: Miller, No, he'll be higher than that for sure.
- 28:37Speaker 3: Yeah, John, Like, it seems like all right, keep going
- 28:40Speaker 3: because I mean, yeah, they look like strong plays for sure.
- 28:42Speaker 3: That's two big guys off the court, even if Kawhi plays.
- 28:45Speaker 2: Like you're expecting.
- 28:46Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. Miller is my favorite of the bunch, though.
- 28:50Speaker 1: I just think that he's got enough of a offensive
- 28:53Speaker 1: game that they'll need his type of creations. I think
- 28:56Speaker 1: that he's good Done to a lesser extent, can do stuff,
- 28:59Speaker 1: but more of like a defensive minded guy. And then
- 29:02Speaker 1: Derek Jones Junior, same thing, kind of like a three
- 29:04Speaker 1: and D guy. These guys are all solid plays. I
- 29:07Speaker 1: would say that Dunn and Jones and Collins are all
- 29:09Speaker 1: solid plays, but not great by any means. Collins, probably
- 29:13Speaker 1: still on a minute's restriction, hasn't played more than twenty
- 29:17Speaker 1: six in the game in his last three games, so
- 29:19Speaker 1: I wouldn't expect that to happen here. I guess like
- 29:24Speaker 1: brook Lopez and Isaiah Jackson are should be in the playerpool.
- 29:28Speaker 1: Don't ever really love playing brook Lopez, but if there
- 29:31Speaker 1: was a spot for him, it would be against the
- 29:33Speaker 1: Pelicans because they do give up a lot of three pointers.
- 29:36Speaker 1: I think Isaiah Jackson is kind of interesting though, definitely
- 29:38Speaker 1: a guy I want to get to an MM because
- 29:41Speaker 1: his minutes are going to be lined up with Derrek
- 29:44Speaker 1: Queen and like Carlomankovich in the second unit, and Derrek
- 29:47Speaker 1: Queen is a awful defender and just gives no effort on
- 29:51Speaker 1: defense and Isaiah Jackson really high motor, high energy guy.
- 29:54Speaker 1: I could see a very efficient game for him in
- 29:57Speaker 1: like eighteen to twenty minutes. Gonna be tougher to get
- 30:01Speaker 1: there with Moe Wagner and Gogobaitase projecting better and possibly
- 30:06Speaker 1: even the Bulls guys, but I do think that he's
- 30:09Speaker 1: a guy want to keep in the playpool for sure.
- 30:12Speaker 1: Pelican side, we saw a missy start last game for
- 30:15Speaker 1: Desjohntay Murray when he missed got there with stocks and
- 30:19Speaker 1: he had five blocks in that game, very low shot volume.
- 30:23Speaker 1: But I still think that he's a decent play because
- 30:25Speaker 1: he can get there just off of rebounding efficiency. I
- 30:28Speaker 1: think Carlo Makovich is kind of an interesting pivot off
- 30:31Speaker 1: of him because he's a I would say a better
- 30:34Speaker 1: I don't know necessarily better per minute, but definitely has
- 30:36Speaker 1: more of an offensive game. And he even put up
- 30:38Speaker 1: a double double off the bench last time that Desjontey missed.
- 30:43Speaker 1: As as far as it goes between like the Murphy,
- 30:47Speaker 1: Zion and Bay stuff, I do have Murphy as my
- 30:49Speaker 1: number one, then Bay two and Zion three. Zion's just
- 30:53Speaker 1: you're just not getting big games from anymore. And I
- 30:55Speaker 1: don't necessarily think that a matchup against the Clippers is
- 30:58Speaker 1: one where he would do it. They do have pretty
- 31:00Speaker 1: decent room protectors down low. Murphy didn't really see much
- 31:05Speaker 1: of a usage rate increase the last time that uh
- 31:08Speaker 1: dejonte missed, but did kind of flirt with the triple double.
- 31:12Speaker 1: Had seven rebounds, seven assists in that game. But Bay
- 31:16Speaker 1: is he'll definitely move up in the pecking order for
- 31:19Speaker 1: offensive workload, and he was trending for like forty minutes
- 31:23Speaker 1: the last time that Desjontey missed. He checked out like
- 31:25Speaker 1: the I think it's like the four or six minute
- 31:27Speaker 1: mark somewhere around there. And still hit thirty five minutes,
- 31:31Speaker 1: so his man's gonna be way up there. And he's
- 31:32Speaker 1: definitely a guy that I could see myself getting to
- 31:34Speaker 1: agree with you. I think that's a good price sage
- 31:36Speaker 1: for him, not into herb Jones. And then I don't
- 31:40Speaker 1: think that Fears is great at his ownership, and you
- 31:42Speaker 1: see what what a saber half him at fourteene. Okay,
- 31:46Speaker 1: I feel like that's still that's probably a little too
- 31:48Speaker 1: low as well. I think people are going to be
- 31:51Speaker 1: excited to play Jeremiah fear Is just because they saw
- 31:53Speaker 1: what he did last game. But I don't necessarily think
- 31:56Speaker 1: that this is a smash play like he's a smash
- 31:58Speaker 1: play by any means, because his role didn't change as much.
- 32:01Speaker 1: He did see more minutes obviously got to twenty five
- 32:03Speaker 1: in that game, but still sharing usage with guys like
- 32:06Speaker 1: Jordan Poole in the second unit with Zion and Murphy Uh.
- 32:10Speaker 1: He was really good in that game, but it was
- 32:12Speaker 1: also against uh Dallas, so take it with a grin
- 32:15Speaker 1: of salt. But I think that Jordan Miller is comparable
- 32:18Speaker 1: for the price tag and positional eligibility. I think that
- 32:21Speaker 1: he's a much better play, especially if he comes in
- 32:24Speaker 1: lower owned.
- 32:26Speaker 3: Gets from the same ownership, because I'm not convinced that
- 32:29Speaker 3: I think they might both be under projected or under
- 32:32Speaker 3: projected in terms of ownership like these Clippers guys. Like
- 32:35Speaker 3: I said, I think my initial instincts more right that
- 32:37Speaker 3: these value guys are going to get more ownership than
- 32:40Speaker 3: than projected right now. But you still like Miller straight
- 32:43Speaker 3: up over fears.
- 32:44Speaker 1: I do. Yeah, I think that's the thing, that's all
- 32:54Speaker 1: Kawhi probably, Yeah, I think I think I'm a little
- 32:59Speaker 1: worried about him, though he was grimacing last game with
- 33:02Speaker 1: the injury, so I'm you know, I'm a little worried
- 33:05Speaker 1: about his minutes right now because they obviously need him
- 33:07Speaker 1: in the playoffs. So just I don't know if they're
- 33:09Speaker 1: gonna if they're going to continue to manage him as
- 33:11Speaker 1: strictly as they did last.
- 33:12Speaker 2: Night, sounds good.
- 33:17Speaker 3: So yeah, tying this like Lakers stuff in if two
- 33:20Speaker 3: of Lebron Reeves and Luca miss then like his the
- 33:25Speaker 3: ruies the smarts, I guess that's my question this game.
- 33:29Speaker 3: I'll mention the spread in the total two forty and
- 33:31Speaker 3: a half Monster total five in that point favorites are
- 33:34Speaker 3: the Heat so good game in that aspect.
- 33:36Speaker 2: Timy Hotk has out for.
- 33:37Speaker 3: The heat and like I said, Reeves, Luca Lebron all questionable.
- 33:41Speaker 3: You said you wouldn't be surprised if two of them miss.
- 33:44Speaker 3: Do these guys then just overtake? I mean DeAndre eighton
- 33:47Speaker 3: would be another strong center play. I still think he
- 33:49Speaker 3: might be in play a fifty one hundred even if
- 33:51Speaker 3: all three of them are in. But yeah, like that
- 33:54Speaker 3: just shows how loaded center is on this slates. And
- 33:56Speaker 3: then and I like your Isaiah Jackson call. Actually one,
- 34:00Speaker 3: let me go back to that quick because I was
- 34:01Speaker 3: gonna ask, would you play him like in just goga
- 34:04Speaker 3: lineups or could you tell yourself a story like he's
- 34:07Speaker 3: outscoring goga and you're playing Jackson and Wemby or Jackson
- 34:10Speaker 3: in eight or Jackson in BAM or whatever Duran or
- 34:13Speaker 3: whatever it is.
- 34:15Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that he's probably better as a pivot, okay.
- 34:19Speaker 2: Than two punts.
- 34:20Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, back to this game though, So, like,
- 34:24Speaker 3: how would the value on the Lakers assuming two of
- 34:25Speaker 3: these guys miss. Obviously Luca misses is the biggest, but
- 34:29Speaker 3: compared to the other value that we're talking.
- 34:32Speaker 1: Uh, probably be the best I would say, I feel
- 34:36Speaker 1: like it's it seems like Luca is probably the most
- 34:39Speaker 1: likely to play just because of the award stuff. I
- 34:42Speaker 1: don't necessarily think that he's I feel like Shay's probably
- 34:46Speaker 1: got the MVP locked up, but there's an outside chance
- 34:49Speaker 1: that Luca could still win it, but he seems like
- 34:51Speaker 1: the most likely to play here. I would think that
- 34:54Speaker 1: the spread is much larger if all three of them
- 34:56Speaker 1: were to miss than just five and a half. So
- 34:58Speaker 1: I feel like somebody is playing, I just I only
- 35:00Speaker 1: know who, so it makes it really tough to talk through.
- 35:03Speaker 1: But I think we can probably all guess that Lebron's
- 35:05Speaker 1: gonna miss just because he's older, played a good amount
- 35:08Speaker 1: of minutes, and they did have to travel pretty late
- 35:11Speaker 1: last night. So I feel like he's a guy that
- 35:14Speaker 1: is very likely to miss. It just depends on whose
- 35:19Speaker 1: starts for him. I guess it would probably. I mean
- 35:22Speaker 1: Ruy is the clear cut answer. I feel like so
- 35:25Speaker 1: him at three point ak got to be one of
- 35:28Speaker 1: the better value plays that at forward. For sure, I
- 35:32Speaker 1: would want Reeves to miss because now I could get
- 35:34Speaker 1: into like the market smarts, and maybe even Luke Nard,
- 35:37Speaker 1: who I think is in a pretty good spot. Regardless,
- 35:39Speaker 1: and then la Ravia is a guy that I feel
- 35:41Speaker 1: like could take on more usage is always a guy
- 35:43Speaker 1: I really like to play for value when he gets
- 35:45Speaker 1: more minutes, but I don't really have much to say
- 35:49Speaker 1: about the Lakers, so because if he don't really know
- 35:51Speaker 1: who's in or who's out, so I would probably just wait.
- 35:53Speaker 3: But the good thing is it's easy too, because there's
- 35:56Speaker 3: only two games at seven eastern. The rest are at
- 35:59Speaker 3: eight eastern, so as long as you're not going like two.
- 36:01Speaker 3: That's why you mentioned Carris Laver. He's even a worse
- 36:03Speaker 3: play probably than Dean Wade because you're locking up the
- 36:06Speaker 3: early stuff assuming you don't get the news prior if
- 36:09Speaker 3: you get all the news before the slate locks and
- 36:11Speaker 3: ownerships efficient, and then maybe Carris is better that way,
- 36:15Speaker 3: just because you're not expecting too many changes late.
- 36:18Speaker 2: But I mean, yeah, you're gonna have more than likely have.
- 36:20Speaker 3: A lot of roster spots to be able to mess
- 36:23Speaker 3: around with stuff like this, and then that would make
- 36:25Speaker 3: Jordan Miller fears all those guys less popular. Whereas if
- 36:29Speaker 3: all three of these guys play, but even two of
- 36:31Speaker 3: the three, some value would open on the Lakers.
- 36:33Speaker 2: But wouldn't be nearly as strong.
- 36:35Speaker 3: Like you said, if there's no Reeves in Loot and
- 36:37Speaker 3: no reeves in Lebron, could you play four Lakers? Obviously,
- 36:41Speaker 3: Luca would then just be a smash like in almost
- 36:43Speaker 3: every single team, he'd be one of the most popular.
- 36:46Speaker 3: But then after that, would you be fine playing like
- 36:48Speaker 3: three of the value eight and and then Smart Canard,
- 36:53Speaker 3: Smart Ruie something like that.
- 36:57Speaker 1: Would definite to see what the projections like pluck on them.
- 37:00Speaker 1: I think four might feel like a lot, but if
- 37:04Speaker 1: they I mean, these guys are all cheap enough, they
- 37:06Speaker 1: definitely could get there. So yeah, I think four is
- 37:08Speaker 1: probably in play, Like yeah, like you said, Luca and
- 37:10Speaker 1: then two or like yeah, three of I guess eight
- 37:14Speaker 1: and Smart Ruined Canard. I feel like you probably want
- 37:17Speaker 1: like Ruining Canard and Aighton just because they're the cheapest.
- 37:22Speaker 1: But yeah, I could definitely see that happening. Just feels
- 37:25Speaker 1: like a lot. But until we see the projections change,
- 37:27Speaker 1: then I don't really have a clear cut answer.
- 37:30Speaker 3: Yeah, just because lucas so expensive, and then there's I mean,
- 37:34Speaker 3: if you're not playing eight and you're probably not going
- 37:36Speaker 3: during but like there's there's so much there'd be enough
- 37:38Speaker 3: value on this lad and you can jam two spends.
- 37:40Speaker 3: It probably wouldn't be at the end of the day Wenby,
- 37:43Speaker 3: but like a Giddy a Kawhi Apollo, if there's no
- 37:46Speaker 3: D match like Harden and MOBILEI look better, so like
- 37:48Speaker 3: Hard and Mobili Luca and then you go Stars and
- 37:51Speaker 3: Scrubs more so than mid tier something like that.
- 37:54Speaker 1: Yeah. As for the heat side, no Wiggins and no
- 38:01Speaker 1: who else is out tonight for them Hawkaz Yeah, so
- 38:04Speaker 1: that will condense the second unit usage a little bit more.
- 38:08Speaker 1: I think that it's a pretty good thing for Norman
- 38:11Speaker 1: Powell in particular because he does overlap a good bit
- 38:14Speaker 1: with Homy Hawks, and Hawkins is a guy that does
- 38:17Speaker 1: kind of demand a good amount of usage, and the
- 38:19Speaker 1: price sag very good for norm fully back as well.
- 38:24Speaker 1: The minutes even strong since returning from injury, so you
- 38:26Speaker 1: should expect like thirty one to thirty three from him
- 38:28Speaker 1: in a pretty good matchup. Lakers generally been playing good defense,
- 38:32Speaker 1: but they don't really have great lockdown defenders per se,
- 38:36Speaker 1: just kind of getting more getting there on effort. But
- 38:40Speaker 1: I think Norman Norman Palace is a pretty good option
- 38:42Speaker 1: here at six point seven K one of the better
- 38:44Speaker 1: plays in the mid tier, and then BAM, now with
- 38:47Speaker 1: power forward eligibility, is much easier to get to. It
- 38:49Speaker 1: was just tough to play him at these elevated price
- 38:51Speaker 1: tags with only center eligibility when you had much better
- 38:55Speaker 1: value plays. He looks like a decent pivot off of
- 38:57Speaker 1: Evan Mogley. Choosing just one with power forward center eligibility
- 39:02Speaker 1: would be mobiley, But I think Bam is a pretty
- 39:06Speaker 1: solid option here, and the fact that he returned after
- 39:08Speaker 1: only missing one game tells me that he probably wasn't
- 39:11Speaker 1: too badly injured, so I think that he's probably back
- 39:14Speaker 1: to full full minutes tonight. I don't really think I'm
- 39:17Speaker 1: gonna get too much hero here at eight point two K.
- 39:19Speaker 1: Just tougher for him in the first unit alongside Norman
- 39:23Speaker 1: Powell to really dominate usage, and now that Bam is back,
- 39:26Speaker 1: kind of double down on that point. Probably it though
- 39:30Speaker 1: you haven't really been getting enough from these secondary guys
- 39:32Speaker 1: like Pelly Larson has hit before in the past, but
- 39:37Speaker 1: I don't necessarily think that you need to go there.
- 39:39Speaker 1: I think Jackashonas is an interesting point guard option at
- 39:43Speaker 1: three point five K because I think that he will
- 39:45Speaker 1: take on some of that secondary ball handling with Hawk
- 39:48Speaker 1: is out, but really just focusing on like Norman Powell
- 39:52Speaker 1: have to see what they do with the starting lineup.
- 39:53Speaker 1: I think that there's a good chance that Where is
- 39:56Speaker 1: back in the second unit, But there's also a chance
- 39:58Speaker 1: they could go back with one of Norm or Hero
- 40:01Speaker 1: back in the second unit, just to kind of sagger
- 40:03Speaker 1: them away with Hawk Azel because you are losing a
- 40:07Speaker 1: good amount of playmaking in that second unit.
- 40:09Speaker 3: Would that make you like Norm or Bam even more
- 40:12Speaker 3: if Norm went, Like like if Hero went to the
- 40:15Speaker 3: second unit, Norman Bam get more usage. If Norm goes,
- 40:19Speaker 3: I guess that's a bigger question because it still feels
- 40:21Speaker 3: like it's tough to get to Hero.
- 40:22Speaker 2: What eighty two hundred?
- 40:24Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it would just make those make the
- 40:27Speaker 1: Powell and Bam much better. It's really just a pricing
- 40:29Speaker 1: thing for a Hero because if he was the same
- 40:31Speaker 1: price as Norm, then I'd have interest in him.
- 40:33Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, Bam looks really strong.
- 40:37Speaker 3: I think, I mean, no one on the Lakers like
- 40:40Speaker 3: he's the offensive feeds through him.
- 40:41Speaker 2: We've seen his upside.
- 40:43Speaker 3: Big boy total close spread makes a lot of sense
- 40:46Speaker 3: in this late and that power forward elgibility helps a ton.
- 40:50Speaker 2: Would it be mobilely Bam.
- 40:54Speaker 3: Duran for you if you had a rank those three
- 40:55Speaker 3: frontcore guys right in the same eight point nine to
- 40:58Speaker 3: eighty seven range or yeah, ninety seven.
- 41:01Speaker 1: I would say mobile during Bam Okay, I think ownership
- 41:06Speaker 1: is going to be that way too.
- 41:07Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't really have too much more to add. Again,
- 41:12Speaker 3: I think right now the story is obviously the news
- 41:15Speaker 3: late the Lakers stuff. If two of the three are out,
- 41:17Speaker 3: projections definitely will change. The value becomes a lot stronger.
- 41:21Speaker 3: But it feels like it's slate where you're not like
- 41:23Speaker 3: overstacking a game. If you do, it's the Lakers because
- 41:26Speaker 3: two people are out or something like that. But it
- 41:28Speaker 3: feels like you're getting a couple of pieces from a
- 41:30Speaker 3: multiple different games.
- 41:31Speaker 2: And yeah, me, I hope you have the right combo there.
- 41:35Speaker 2: We talked about it.
- 41:35Speaker 3: Wizard stuff doesn't look too great. This first game sounded
- 41:40Speaker 3: like more so Max three. Both sides pretty tough to
- 41:44Speaker 3: get to Phoenix. We're waiting on some injury news there.
- 41:46Speaker 3: But injury news at a PM Eastern Kawhi if he
- 41:49Speaker 3: was ruled out changes the slate. I wouldn't go too
- 41:51Speaker 3: overboard on these first two games, I think is the
- 41:53Speaker 3: main takeaway leaving the slate. What are your thoughts before
- 41:57Speaker 3: we wrap it up?
- 41:59Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with that, and I guess kind
- 42:00Speaker 1: of talking a little bit more about the Lakers stuff.
- 42:03Speaker 1: The wins over Houston really put them in a good
- 42:06Speaker 1: position to kind of give their guys some rest moving forward,
- 42:10Speaker 1: because they do have I believe they have like four
- 42:12Speaker 1: winnable games against tanking teams in their last thirteen I
- 42:16Speaker 1: don't know how many games they have left, like thirteen
- 42:18Speaker 1: or fifteen, so they can kind of afford to give
- 42:22Speaker 1: guys nights off on a game like this against Miami
- 42:25Speaker 1: Eastern Conference team. They'll be playing the Jazz. I think
- 42:27Speaker 1: they play the Pacers once as well, so pretty favorable
- 42:31Speaker 1: schedule for them to kind of it just makes a
- 42:35Speaker 1: lot of sense for me to give these guys a
- 42:36Speaker 1: night off then, for sure, Lebron and possibly even Luca
- 42:39Speaker 1: two cool.
- 42:41Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, that's important. But even if you were wrong,
- 42:44Speaker 3: let's say, let's say, shouldn't you shouldn't be affected too
- 42:47Speaker 3: much just with how the times are only two games
- 42:50Speaker 3: and then four games, like I think you should probably
- 42:52Speaker 3: build with that pre flop with how confident Rio is
- 42:55Speaker 3: and doing so will then leave you lighter on the
- 42:57Speaker 3: first two games. But even if you get it wrong,
- 43:00Speaker 3: being the lighter in the first two games more than
- 43:02Speaker 3: likely won't kill you, at least you hope not. And
- 43:04Speaker 3: then you have a lot of swaps and stuff for
- 43:06Speaker 3: the Lake games. Again, maybe Qui's out Grace and news
- 43:10Speaker 3: like that. So yeah, I think it's a solid slay
- 43:12Speaker 3: for sure. Prize are solid. I want to shout out.
- 43:13Speaker 3: I don't know why it took so long. Our man, Sheets,
- 43:16Speaker 3: dude is on an absolute heater, five hundred thousand big
- 43:19Speaker 3: ones taking on the fan to a live final with
- 43:22Speaker 3: a bust from KD two.
- 43:24Speaker 2: But yeah, one of the sharpest guys out there, no
- 43:26Speaker 2: doubt about that.
- 43:27Speaker 3: I want to congratulate you, Sheets, I mean, had a
- 43:29Speaker 3: great day on DraftKings last week. I think it was
- 43:32Speaker 3: like eighty thousand two tickets something like that. So is
- 43:36Speaker 3: there still still live finals reo? Is there like one
- 43:38Speaker 3: or two days left? They're all it's all full now,
- 43:41Speaker 3: it's all full. Yeah, best traveling today.
- 43:45Speaker 2: Is it for Friday or Saturday?
- 43:47Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is. Actually they did
- 43:49Speaker 1: Friday last year, but I think that was because of
- 43:51Speaker 1: the scheduling that the NBA did, but it's normally on Saturdays. Yeah,
- 43:55Speaker 1: shout out to Sheets, been crushing it as of late.
- 43:58Speaker 1: Always helps out in our disco. Does a lot of
- 44:01Speaker 1: educational videos for us. So nice as you him get
- 44:04Speaker 1: a win and hopefully you can parlay that into even
- 44:06Speaker 1: more this weekend. I think I don't know how many
- 44:08Speaker 1: tickets he has, like two or three, but yeah, good
- 44:11Speaker 1: mot you're heading into the weekend for sure.
- 44:13Speaker 3: Yeah, good luck to Sheets in there. Win's a lot
- 44:15Speaker 3: spent on fire. We'd love to have all of you
- 44:17Speaker 3: at the Nation. How you join If you want to
- 44:20Speaker 3: get see shippinnation dot com. If you go to the
- 44:22Speaker 3: bottom left join the Nation. You can check out all
- 44:24Speaker 3: of our different packages and all above. These are the
- 44:27Speaker 3: sports we cover. NBA, PGA, MLB will be going on soon, MMA, NASCAR, NHL,
- 44:32Speaker 3: so a lot going on right now. We do have
- 44:35Speaker 3: college basketball just in the discord if you want to.
- 44:37Speaker 2: Talk about that. Survivor Streets always good stuff for the day.
- 44:40Speaker 3: You can get as low as nine dollars with sabersim
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- 44:45Speaker 2: We'll take you through the weekend for.
- 44:46Speaker 3: MMA and NASCAR content of course, PGA Showdown, MBA stuff,
- 44:51Speaker 3: Get the Discord, Get Sabor SIM. If you do just
- 44:54Speaker 3: want NBA content though single sports NBA, you can check
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- 45:00Speaker 3: if you just want that all access. The longer you're
- 45:05Speaker 3: with us, the more lineups you want to build, the
- 45:07Speaker 3: more powerful you want Saber SIM to be. That get
- 45:09Speaker 3: their projections. See contest flashback, what Sheets does, what Rio
- 45:13Speaker 3: does in certain contests. You can find all of our
- 45:15Speaker 3: different packages and options at chipinnation dot com. That is
- 45:19Speaker 3: going to do it for us. No FanDuel, I mean
- 45:20Speaker 3: a lot of stuff. Parts is very similar from FanDuel
- 45:23Speaker 3: to DraftKings. You can check out NBA projections FanDuel right here.
- 45:27Speaker 3: You can check out GPP Core Report Cash Report where
- 45:30Speaker 3: we have FanDuel. The stone shows different prices for FanDuel
- 45:34Speaker 3: projections for fandel all that the prizes are a lot less,
- 45:38Speaker 3: a lot more of our watchers are playing on DraftKings.
- 45:40Speaker 2: But again we do have FanDuel content Core reports and
- 45:44Speaker 2: cash Core Report GPP Core Report.
- 45:46Speaker 3: If you want to ask something the discord, we have projections,
- 45:48Speaker 3: we have ownership, so we do cover FanDuel behind the
- 45:51Speaker 3: pay Well, that's.
- 45:52Speaker 1: Going to do it.
- 45:52Speaker 3: Awesome stuff as always, Rio, Matt and Ham will be
- 45:55Speaker 3: back tomorrow talking some hoops for Rio untitled N Be Safe,
- 45:59Speaker 3: Good Luck.
- 46:00Speaker 4: Lust has.
- 46:18Speaker 5: As Still Mother has ms, step Mother and step
- 46:37Speaker 2: And dos