Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 397 - 11/17/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 397 - 11/17/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to. Episode. 390.
• 0:17
  Seven of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast
• 0:21
  powered. By rhythm, I'm your host.
• 0:24
  Josh. Applebaum, what's going on?
• 0:30
  Everyone? Happy Monday, a new week begins.
• 0:33
  As we're heading down the home stretch in the month of
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  November. So.
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  Thanksgiving not too far away. Before you know it, it'll.
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  Be the holiday. Season and then the new.
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  Year. And man.
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  You blink. Blink of an eye here, guys.
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  We'll be looking at bowl games. Before you know it.
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  So a lot to get to as we get back.
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  Into the swing of things on a big Monday.
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  I do have for you tonight a. 3 pack of sweats.
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  I got to play, of course, on the big Monday Night Football game.
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  Dallas Cowboys. Las Vegas Raiders.
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  You might have heard me. Put this play in I.
• 1:00
  Think it was. Thursday or Friday of last week,
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  so same spot, but if you didn't hear it, I'll give you the
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  updated. Same play but the updated.
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  Numbers and stats and everything.
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  We're seeing for this big. Showdown here in Las Vegas.
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  And then also I have a couple basketball plays for you.
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  So 1 is a college basketball play as we love to talk about
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  those obscure added extra games with sharp line moves.
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  So I'll give you a. A-Team that I almost could.
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  Guarantee you don't. Know the mascot to.
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  I might not even ever. Ever heard of this team?
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  But pros are hitting it lines moving so give you a play in
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  college. Hoops.
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  And then a play in the NBA. But it is an NBA.
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  Player prop. Because I was looking at.
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  Some of the props here in rhythm.
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  And noticed a really big. Edge on one.
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  Player in particular to go. Way over his points in rebounds.
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  And it kind of makes sense with the opponent that.
• 1:46
  That he's facing here tonight. So 2 basketball plays college
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  basketball side. NBA player prop.
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  And a Monday night. Football play here.
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  For tonight, for Raiders and. Cowboys Now.
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  Looking back toward the weekend, guys, Pretty Good Weekend kicked
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  it off on Friday. 2 and 1 + 0 point. 8 units if you remember.
• 2:04
  We played Clemson I. Was kind of worried.
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  Hey. Can't get the three, It's down
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  to 2 1/2. But Clemson won the game
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  outright and actually closed at plus 1 1/2.
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  So even though. Didn't get the key number. 3
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  still beat the. Closing line with Clemson.
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  Coming through. Also in the college basketball.
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  Arena. Colorado at home against
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  Providence. Dog to fave line move open as a
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  dog flipped to. A favorite The buffs.
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  Got it done for the team. Only loser was Minnesota plus.
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  25 1/2 knew that would be a tough one to sweat and.
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  They're actually a couple touchdowns.
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  Where? 1.
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  The guy scored but bobbled. It and didn't really have
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  possession and the other one I thought the guy.
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  Was out of bounds. They called both of them.
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  Touchdowns. They end up losing by I think
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  20. 9 SO came up short there. But still a 2 and 1 + 0 point. 8
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  unit. Friday.
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  Saturday. Kind of a frustrating day.
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  O and. 3 -, 3 units so. You could just say hey.
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  Swung and miss. There it struck out, but look at
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  the closing line value. We got UNC +6.
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  They closed at Plus. 3 1/2 they don't cover the number so we did
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  our. Part Belichick let us down
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  Texas. That was a late.
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  Addition for me. Plus 5 1/2.
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  They were contrarian. They closed at 3 1/2.
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  Huge, huge game day. Movement on the Longhorns.
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  They're covering the number entering the fourth quarter and
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  then got. Their doors blown off, so that
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  wasn't fun. Then Michigan State Plus. 7 1/2
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  they. Actually.
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  Had a lead there early and it was.
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  Pretty close until the 4th. Quarter and they got.
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  Blown out there as well. Or ended up losing by 14.
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  So O and three Saturday. But beat the closing line on 2.
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  Of the three games, but. Usually you'll say O.
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  And three man. That was the tale.
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  Of the weekend. But Nope.
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  Guys, Little Golf Club. We had our best NFL.
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  Sunday of the year. Five and O and you might have
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  even gone 6 and O, but remember. We've talked about these plays.
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  On Friday's POD. Ended up adding another one and
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  you might might. Have even added.
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  Another play here, but. 5 and O + 4. .27 units.
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  Was nice to see these. Dogs bark.
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  Denver Broncos. Getting it done, winning
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  outright. Remember that was a divisional
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  dog. Good rhythm system edge Think
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  rhythm. Had that around a 1 1/2.
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  Or two point. Game they went outright getting.
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  +4 Carolina Panthers plus 3 1/2 winning outright.
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  Needed a late. Score Rico Dowdell touched out
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  of bounds. On the go here.
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  We go now. They're not going to.
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  Score. We're going to.
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  You know, lose, I think. At the time you're down by like.
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  4 or maybe. 5 So they weren't. Covering the number, but Ted
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  McMillan, touchdown catch. They went in overtime, so
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  Carolina came through. Chicago Bears came through plus.
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  Three got down to. 2 1/2. All movement liability on the
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  bears another divisional dog. Philly on the money line?
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  Fading a very trendy. Dog with the Lions.
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  Everyone playing the Lions. But the line move toward Philly?
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  Absolute. Just a Hall of Fame.
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  Fade the trendy dog. Reverse line move play.
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  I added the Jaguars. I don't know if you read the
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  Sharp report or sign up to get the all systems go best but.
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  Picks on juice field but. What I liked about the Jags is.
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  Just they are super contrarian. Everyone is playing the
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  Chargers. But the line keep getting.
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  Juiced toward the Jags Plus. 3 -, 115 -, 120.
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  I think rhythm had around a 2.3 game.
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  So I added the Jags and they came through.
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  And you may have even added. The Tennessee Titans.
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  I wrote about them in the Sharp report.
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  But the Titans had that line move all week long and I had
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  someone. DM me or tweet me and say.
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  Yeah, it's because CJ Stroud is out.
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  I'm like, OK, yeah. He is out.
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  It's going to be Davis Mills, but that.
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  Line kept moving. Further toward the Titans, even.
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  After days after it was. Ruled out that CJ Stroud.
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  Would not play, so the fact that we saw.
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  Tennessee Titans go from. As high as +7. +8 all the way
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  down to 5 1/2. Then up losing by three.
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  So just a great weekend. Or a great.
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  Sunday, I should say. 5 and O + 4. .27 units always nice to bust
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  out. The broom.
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  And you may have even gone 6 and O or.
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  Better. If he added the Titans.
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  So overall. Not.
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  Too bad since we last talked on Friday so.
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  Let's. See if we can keep the good
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  vibes going guys. We'll start by trying to finish
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  off week what is it, Week 11 in the NFL?
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  6 and O this week. If you remember, we had The Jets
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  covering by the skin of their. Teeth 13 and a.
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  Half on that Thursday. Game.
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  So let's see if we can maybe get have a. 7 and O.
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  NFL. Week.
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  That'll be pretty awesome. So let's set the stage here.
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  Of course, Monday Night Football.
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  Get your ESPN ready here to go. To, to, to go.
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  Tonight we got the Cowboys visiting.
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  The Raiders. Now setting the stage for.
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  This one, the boys. Come in three, five and one.
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  Remember, they lost to the. Cardinals 27 to 17.
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  I'm still kicking myself for not playing the Cardinals there.
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  But they did lose. That game out right as a 3 1/2
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  point home favorite. Meanwhile, the raid is.
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  Two and seven came up. Short against the Broncos. 6:50.
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  Covered easily though, as a nine and a half.
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  Point Rd. Dog and we lean there as well
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  and I for some reason I didn't pull the.
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  Trigger on the Raiders so. Going in this one, we have the
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  line opening. Dallas around a 3 1/2 point Rd.
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  favorite. Now, the first thing you notice
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  about this game is that everybody and the mother.
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  Is on the. Cowboys.
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  So Cowboys are coming. Off a bye.
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  Cowboys have a better record. Raiders have a terrible record.
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  Cowboys are going to debut. Quinn and Williams, who they
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  picked up at the. Deadline against The Jets.
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  So public says this line is way too short.
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  It should be Dallas. You know -7 or some higher
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  number than 3 1/2. And right now?
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  82. Percent of spread bets at
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  DraftKings are laying it with Dallas on the road.
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  So it used to be America's team. Some say it's still America's
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  team. You know, questionable on my
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  end. Here but everyone.
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  'S playing Dallas tonight. 82% of bets.
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  And a heavily bet. Primetime game now.
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  Just from a contrarian standpoint, you had me at 18% on
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  Vegas. So right.
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  Automatically I'm going to say. Give me the three.
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  And a half on Vegas. But sometimes what we always try
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  to talk about or I try to. At least stress is that going
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  contrarian is a great foundation.
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  It's a great starting. Point, but it's not your end all
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  be all. You want that?
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  Contrarian value just because more often than not, the public
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  loses. Again, House always wins.
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  Public spending based on gut instinct.
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  And bias, usually gut instinct and bias is.
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  Wrong. So when all the masses are on
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  Team A, or Dallas in this case, we.
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  Want to be on Team B? Which is Vegas.
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  The other angle is, of course, it's a Monday night game, so
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  it's an incredibly. Heavily bet game so you got a
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  lot of contrarian. Value on Vegas in this.
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  Spot only getting 18%. Of spread bets at DK.
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  But. Not just contrarian, we want.
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  Some element. Ideally of smart money, it's.
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  Not enough to be just. Against the masses.
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  We also want to be. With the.
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  Pros who have the respect to the books.
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  You know are. Betting based on their
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  discrepancies. Have a high win rate?
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  Have a track record of. Success, and I think you're
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  seeing that here. In the form of a line.
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  Freeze so. Normally if a team is getting.
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  82% of spread bets you. Would think oh they open -3 1/2
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  OK odds makers will Jack. Them up to -4 -, 4 1/2 - 5.
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  That's normally what would happen.
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  Because if you have such heavy betting on one.
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  Side odds makers. Are going to move that?
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  Number further toward the popular side because they got to
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  make it more expensive because that's a side.
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  Getting in all the action and they also want to move that
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  number. To make it a.
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  Better number to entice. Betters to take the dog.
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  At a better price. But that didn't happen.
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  We didn't see the Cowboys get up. 3 1/2 to 4 1/2 to 5 1/2.
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  No the. Line has stayed right where it's
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  at. And this has been.
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  Really the same ever since I think like Thursday or.
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  Friday of last week. So never got to four at times.
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  Throughout the week, it's gotten down to.
• 9:09
  Three and come back to 3 1/2. But look at the juice of course
• 9:13
  the odds logic live odds page I always.
• 9:15
  Mention it because I think. It's a great tool for sports
• 9:17
  betters. But again you can get.
• 9:18
  Your 7 day free trial. 50% off your first.
• 9:21
  Month by going to. Oddslogic.com slash.
• 9:24
  Josh, 123. But the.
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  Angle here is that. All the juice liability.
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  Is on the Vegas. Side so it's not. -3 1/2. -115
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  -. 120 Dallas Which? Would make.
• 9:34
  Sense because they're so popular.
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  No, it's just on the Vegas side. Plus 3 1/2. -1. 15 -, 120 So not
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  only is the line not moving. But it's juiced toward Vegas.
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  The. Far more unpopular.
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  Side so that tells. Me, maybe we get down to three.
• 9:49
  Between now and kick off. But even if we don't, we stay 3.
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  And 1/2. The odds makers are paying.
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  Making you pay a more. Expensive price to take the
• 9:56
  gross. Hazmat dog not.
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  To take the very popular favorite here.
• 10:01
  So we got some liability, some reverse line movement in the way
• 10:03
  of a juiced up Vegas side. Then you also look at the splits
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  here, Vegas. Only 18% of spread bets but. 34%
• 10:13
  of spread dollars. So good low bets, higher dollar
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  split system match wise primetime.
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  Dogs 18 and 15. Against the spread 55%. 4% ROI
• 10:22
  this year. They're 159 and 141 ATS, 53%
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  two. Percent ROI since 2020.
• 10:29
  You also have Monday night. Football dogs in particular, six
• 10:32
  and four against the spread this year 60% and they are 54 and. 48
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  TS 50. 7 percent, 10% ROI. Since 2020.
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  So just taking. The points on Monday night.
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  Has been a pretty good angle for about the last half decade or
• 10:45
  so. Doesn't hurt Brad Allen, lead
• 10:48
  ref. Again, not the.
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  Main reason I'm playing this. Game, but it does line up.
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  He's pretty good to the home team.
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  Historically about 53%. Now.
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  Pete Carroll, remember his time. Obviously with the Seahawks, but
• 10:59
  he is now. 55 and 38 against the spread. 59 percent. 15% ROI as a
• 11:05
  dog. Second best.
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  Active regular season dog coach. Only behind Mike Tomlin.
• 11:10
  Then if you look at the Cowboys. They're three and one.
• 11:12
  Against the spread as a dog this year.
• 11:14
  But they're not a dog tonight. They're a favorite as a
• 11:16
  favorite. They're just one and four.
• 11:18
  Against the spread this year. They're O and two against the
• 11:20
  spread as a Rd. Favorite and they also look home
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  Rd. Dallas 2/1 and.
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  One at home. One and. 4 on the road straight
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  up. So Dallas is being incredibly
• 11:29
  credibly popular. Heavily bet public team.
• 11:32
  Tonight. But.
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  Line movement, liability, line freeze, RLM all moving back
• 11:37
  toward Vegas. We have of course a super
• 11:40
  contrarian play and heavily back game.
• 11:42
  We also have rhythm. Saying that Vegas should be +2
• 11:45
  point. 9 So if we're getting that 3 1/2.
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  With the hook, lose, right? You know, lose by.
• 11:50
  Three, you can. You can.
• 11:51
  Cover this. Bet and win your bet.
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  I also popped open juice. Reel.
• 11:55
  Noticed a 26% sharp mush edge on Vegas.
• 11:59
  So that is a pretty sizable like sharp, sharp mush, which again
• 12:03
  calculates all the people like you guys listening to have
• 12:06
  downloaded Juice Reel and synced up your books.
• 12:08
  They track your record. If you win at a high rate,
• 12:10
  you're part of the sharps. If you are.
• 12:12
  Struggling better you don't. Win as much.
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  Less than sub 50%. You're a part of the mush
• 12:17
  category, so it basically looks at everyone who's bet the game
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  and kind of gravitates toward letting you know OK who's
• 12:23
  where's the discrepancy Where the.
• 12:25
  Quote UN quote. Better, better is going.
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  So they're going Vegas in the. Points here 26.
• 12:28
  Percent sharp mush. Edge, which is definitely
• 12:31
  notable. So I jumped on.
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  Vegas Plus. 3 1/2 I believe it was Thursday or Friday at. -110.
• 12:38
  Looks like the best price now is.
• 12:39
  Plus 3 1/2 -. 112 at DraftKings. And then all the other.
• 12:43
  Books are -1. 15 -, 120. So I'm taking the points.
• 12:46
  Here we've had dog dog's bark pretty good for us this week.
• 12:49
  It'll be nice if we could cap it off.
• 12:51
  With a Raiders cover. So I'm on Raiders plus 3 1/2.
• 12:55
  Now I will say my only play is the side but.
• 12:59
  Looks like the under. Got hit under looks.
• 13:01
  Pretty sharp but open around. 51 down to 50. 50 and a half fifty
• 13:05
  earlier today. Now I'm seeing 49 1/2. 40 on
• 13:08
  game day so pretty clear the unders getting.
• 13:10
  Hit prime time unders have done very.
• 13:12
  Well, this year. 21 and 1550. 8% eleven percent ROI.
• 13:17
  They are 58. Percent 12.
• 13:19
  Percent ROI since 2019. You'll get these high.
• 13:21
  Totals 47 1/2 or more in prime time.
• 13:25
  The under is 9 and five this year.
• 13:26
  That's a 64% win rate and it is 59% since 2017.
• 13:31
  And this no longer. Applies because it's down to. 49
• 13:34
  and F49 but. When the total is. 50 or more
• 13:36
  the under. Get a load of this. 8:00 and
• 13:38
  6:00. This year and 47.
• 13:41
  And. 2764%. Since 2022.
• 13:45
  So again, if you make me pick a side, I'm.
• 13:47
  Definitely leaning prime time. Under here it definitely has.
• 13:50
  Fallen I just. Wish you would have, you know,
• 13:52
  jumped on the. 50 and a half 51. But definitely looks like the
• 13:55
  under is the sharp play. But for me, give me the Raiders
• 13:58
  here, hopefully to cap. Off a big dog week.
• 14:01
  Plus 3 1/2. Vegas.
• 14:03
  Lose by three everyone's. Happy or just?
• 14:05
  Win the game outright? Wouldn't that be nice?
• 14:08
  Now couple plays here in. Basketball, both pro and
• 14:12
  college. The first one I want to mention.
• 14:14
  Added Game Extra game Obscure. Sharp line move.
• 14:17
  We love this play because even though the public doesn't care
• 14:19
  about it based on the market movement.
• 14:21
  We can tell. Pros have taken a liking.
• 14:24
  It is game 306-601-3066, O2 West.
• 14:29
  Georgia, the Wolves. Against the Tennessee Tech.
• 14:32
  Golden Eagles Now both teams are two and O.
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  We have West Georgia. Having just beat the Citadel.
• 14:39
  100 to 92 and then Tennessee Tech.
• 14:42
  They just beat Brea Mountaineers or Barrier.
• 14:46
  I've never even heard of this team anyway.
• 14:48
  They beat them 86 to 64. So both 2 and 2.
• 14:51
  This is a match up. Between the a sun.
• 14:54
  And the Ohio Valley. But it's pretty clear.
• 14:56
  Even though this is a added game, extra game, very low bet
• 14:58
  public can't tell you the. Mascots, I told you, the
• 15:01
  mascots. The wolves and the Golden
• 15:02
  Eagles. But prior to this, had you ever
• 15:04
  heard of West Georgia? To be honest.
• 15:06
  And Tennessee Tech you probably. Heard of them, but did you know
• 15:08
  their mascot? I doubt it unless you're one of
• 15:11
  those crazy like jeopardy people who can which usually I can give
• 15:14
  you the mascots of a lot of most schools but I didn't remember
• 15:17
  they are the golden. Eagles anyway, low back game.
• 15:20
  Added obscure game. But we're seeing line movement.
• 15:22
  Because. Tennessee Tech open this game.
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  Around a short. 2 1/2. Point home Favorite Tennessee
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  Tech. Has now been bet up.
• 15:29
  To -4. -4 1/2. So we know the.
• 15:33
  Public doesn't care about this one.
• 15:34
  But because that line move looks like pros are.
• 15:36
  Really taking a position here. On Tennessee Tech.
• 15:39
  Now they have a. Pretty good bet split here if
• 15:43
  you look at the Let me just dial this up for you guys.
• 15:47
  The updated bet splits. For this match up.
• 15:50
  As I pull up my visen.com which? Remember, I always give you
• 15:53
  these splits. But you can get them.
• 15:55
  Yourself from visen.com. If you become a pro member, I am
• 15:59
  a very proud. Of Visen sports betting analyst.
• 16:01
  But if you get the the. Splits on this one even though.
• 16:03
  It's a low back game. 72% bets 81.
• 16:06
  Percent spread dollars on Tennessee Tech at DraftKings.
• 16:10
  84% bets 89%. Dollars, Tennessee Tech,
• 16:13
  DraftKings. Money line so you're.
• 16:14
  Getting a lot of. Bets here.
• 16:16
  Even though it's not public. Like you normally you would say
• 16:19
  O80. Percent bets in dollars, that's.
• 16:21
  Public, right? Well, no, because it's a very.
• 16:23
  Low, tiny little. Game so we know it's not the.
• 16:25
  Public, even though it's a majority of.
• 16:26
  Tickets, but the line is. Moving toward Tennessee Tech.
• 16:30
  Ken Palm predicts Tennessee. Tech to win by two.
• 16:33
  They have the better effective field goal percentage. 54%
• 16:36
  versus 50. Percent Better defensive
• 16:38
  efficiency 3 O 8th in the country versus 353rd.
• 16:42
  They're both scoring about. 84 points a game, but defensively.
• 16:45
  Tennessee Tech giving up 69. Versus 80?
• 16:48
  6 For the West Georgia Wolves, they rebound better.
• 16:52
  Better. 42 a game versus. 37 Home Road 2 and O at home for
• 16:57
  Tennessee Tech O and two on the. Road for West.
• 16:59
  Georgia also a little. Bit of a rest advantage.
• 17:03
  Tennessee Tech last played on the 13th versus West Georgia.
• 17:06
  Having last played on the. 14th. And now obviously having to
• 17:09
  travel the. Other thing I like about.
• 17:11
  Tennessee Tech is their third. Straight home game so.
• 17:13
  They started 2 on the road, now they.
• 17:15
  Have two at home. And now the third on the road.
• 17:17
  So no travel involved. So you add it all up.
• 17:21
  Home Rd. Split obscure sharp line move
• 17:24
  better. Field goal percentage better.
• 17:25
  Defense This smells like a money line.
• 17:28
  Short favorite play to me so it's a little bit pricey.
• 17:31
  I was able to get. Tennessee Tech.
• 17:33
  Win the damn game on. The money line at minus. 170.
• 17:36
  That's still available at ESPN. Bet, but definitely shop around.
• 17:40
  Because I'm seeing -175 -, 180 I see a minus. 185.
• 17:44
  South, of course, I really don't like to go.
• 17:46
  Above -150 -, 175. You know 200 or.
• 17:49
  More. You're just getting to be too
• 17:50
  expensive there. But if you can.
• 17:52
  Still find that -170 Again, anything less than minus. 180
• 17:56
  you should be able to find it. I played the Tennessee Tech.
• 17:59
  Golden Eagles to. Win the damn game.
• 18:01
  Straight up on. The money line again.
• 18:03
  They're 4 1/2. 4/4 and 1/2 you'd need to see them win.
• 18:05
  By 1-2 or three, you lose. For you push, for you lose.
• 18:08
  So let's just get a winner. Win the damn game, Tennessee.
• 18:11
  Tech -170 on the money line now. Player prop for you we.
• 18:17
  Cast our Jeremy Grant. I don't know what was that two
• 18:19
  weeks ago? I remember.
• 18:20
  My buddy Da Roush remembers that one because he had a
• 18:22
  game-winning free throw to win the game and to give us the
• 18:25
  winner with that prop. But I was looking at the.
• 18:28
  Props and I really. Found one that.
• 18:32
  Kind of really jumped out to me. Let's look at the.
• 18:34
  Pacers and the Pistons. Tonight, Game 5. 47548.
• 18:39
  So obviously we have, you know, Tale of 22 cities here, Tale of
• 18:43
  Two. Teams because the.
• 18:46
  Pistons are great. They got a young.
• 18:48
  Core, it's really coming together.
• 18:49
  They're 11:00 and 2:00 to. Start the year Pacers have.
• 18:51
  Completely cratered, remember? You had Halliburton get hurt.
• 18:55
  They went to the finals. But really, nothing's gone their
• 18:57
  way. They're.
• 18:58
  One in 12 this year, so it's a big.
• 19:00
  Number Pistons like minus. 10 1/2 minus. 11 Probably Pistons
• 19:05
  in a. Blowout.
• 19:05
  We shall see. We did see the total.
• 19:07
  Tick up to 30, up to two. 31 1/2.
• 19:10
  And it got me thinking, you know?
• 19:12
  What does it say for some of these Pistons?
• 19:14
  Guys, in terms of some. Some player props.
• 19:17
  So I landed on one player prop. That has a really good rhythm
• 19:21
  edge and kind of a good theory. Behind it, so knock.
• 19:23
  On what I hope it cashes. He landed on Duncan.
• 19:26
  Robinson, Remember the three. Points shooter for the Heat.
• 19:29
  All those years if you're if you.
• 19:30
  Remember him in college? He played for Michigan.
• 19:32
  But Duncan Robinson over. 16 1/2 points and rebounds so combined.
• 19:38
  Points and rebounds, you know. He could get a. 17 points in
• 19:41
  cash this. He.
• 19:42
  Could get us, you know. 14 points and three.
• 19:44
  Rebounds to cash it. Just some combination, it's got
• 19:46
  to be. 17 or more. What I noticed is that rhythm.
• 19:50
  Is predicting Duncan Robinson with. 28.7.
• 19:53
  Points and rebounds. That is a very, very big. 12.2
• 19:58
  discrepancy. Now he's gone over this number
• 20:01
  in three. Of his last four games.
• 20:03
  Indiana, by the way, allows the second most rebounds.
• 20:05
  Per game in the NBA, they just. Do not defend the glass.
• 20:08
  They're giving up. Nearly 60 rebounds a game.
• 20:11
  So hopefully that's some. Cheapy rebounds for Robinson.
• 20:14
  But also, it's a play. In the affirmative on Robinson.
• 20:17
  Because they've played 13 games. Or he's played thirteen games.
• 20:21
  He started all. 13, so he's a starter.
• 20:23
  If you're playing a guy to the over, you need him to get the
• 20:26
  minutes you know to be. Able to.
• 20:27
  Cash it, but he's averaging. 32.1.
• 20:29
  Minutes per game? That's third most on the team.
• 20:32
  He leads the team in three pointers.
• 20:34
  So he averages. 3A game at home. 13 points a game 3. .1 Rebounds.
• 20:39
  At On the Road. 10.8 points 1. .8 rebounds so he's.
• 20:42
  Been better at home. And then?
• 20:46
  Again, this is a. Play on a great discrepancy, so
• 20:49
  rhythm saying. Should be around 2829.
• 20:52
  We need 17 to go over. 16 1/2. I'm playing Duncan.
• 20:55
  Robinson over points and rebounds.
• 20:57
  Over 16 1/2. Now lastly, it's the job as the
• 21:00
  better as us. To find the best number.
• 21:02
  So it's 16 1/2 everywhere. But let me just.
• 21:06
  Kind of give you an. Example.
• 21:07
  Of what I like to. Do and you can always.
• 21:08
  Easily you can go book. By book, like if you have the
• 21:10
  apps downloaded. On your phone, you just.
• 21:12
  Pop open each one. Check it out.
• 21:13
  Write. It on a piece of paper.
• 21:15
  Like I have a notepad. That I use everyday.
• 21:17
  But also you can use. Juice Reel.
• 21:18
  So Juice Reel will give you. Player props, different futures.
• 21:22
  And just tell you automatically. Which book?
• 21:24
  Gives you the best number. But here's what I looked at all
• 21:27
  the books I have. Accounts at in Massachusetts.
• 21:30
  Caesar's over. 16 1/2 - 120 bet MGM over 16 and F minus. 118
• 21:36
  ESPN bet. Over 16 F -115 DraftKings over
• 21:39
  16 1/2 -, 114 Fanatics over 16 1/2 - 115 but.
• 21:44
  Then the one. That I played.
• 21:45
  FanDuel over 16. And 1/2.
• 21:48
  Duncan Robinson points and rebounds -113 so again.
• 21:53
  This these props can vary. Especially by the number like
• 21:58
  sometimes 16 1/2 you'll find a 17 a 15 1/2.
• 22:01
  They're juiced differently. But even if they're all the
• 22:03
  same. Number.
• 22:04
  Just spend the five. Minutes it takes to.
• 22:07
  Get find the book giving you the best and cheapest juice price
• 22:09
  which was FanDuel. Over 16.
• 22:11
  And a half points and. Rebounds at -113 for our guy
• 22:15
  Duncan Robinson. So let's hit some.
• 22:17
  Threes. Let's score some points.
• 22:20
  Let's grab some boards. Duncan Robinson over. 16 1/2.
• 22:23
  Points and rebounds. Remember rhythm. 28.7.
• 22:26
  So that is a. Pretty good discrepancy as our
• 22:31
  guy LD would like to say. So Robinson over. 16 1/2 Raiders
• 22:35
  plus 3 1/2 Tennessee Tech Money Line 3 Pack here tonight guys.
• 22:39
  Let's try to scratch and claw. Find a way to get two out of the
• 22:41
  three and hopefully keep this little hot streak going.
• 22:44
  So as always guys, that about does it for episode 390.
• 22:47
  Seven of the ASG pod. Powered by rhythm, this is the
• 22:50
  part. Of the pod where we wrap things
• 22:51
  up, I always start. First by saying thank you.
• 22:54
  Thank you for tuning in. Thank you for.
• 22:56
  Listening, thank you for. Grinding in the arena with us
• 22:58
  and. Again, it's always nice when.
• 23:00
  Our hard work pays off with a huge Sunday in the NFL like
• 23:02
  yesterday. But anyway if.
• 23:04
  You enjoy the pod? Please would you?
• 23:06
  Help support the pod. By doing one basic simple.
• 23:09
  Easy thing. Just give it a 5.
• 23:10
  Star Review in the app. Store.
• 23:12
  Whether you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, five stars
• 23:15
  would go a. Long way to helping us to
• 23:16
  continue to grow the pod if I. Want to click the follow button?
• 23:19
  Leave a nice comment. Recommend the pod to a.
• 23:21
  Friend, that would also be very much appreciated next.
• 23:24
  If you enjoy the style of betting.
• 23:26
  Breakdown. Data-driven Sharp.
• 23:27
  Contrarian betting focusing on line movement split.
• 23:30
  System matches taking a contrarian.
• 23:31
  Approach monitoring the market. Betting based on the numbers.
• 23:35
  Not the teams betting based. On our head, not our heart, if
• 23:38
  that. Style of betting has.
• 23:39
  Appealed to you. You've been provided A blueprint
• 23:42
  how to interpret and read the market and make.
• 23:44
  Sharp bets. Hopefully you're beating
• 23:45
  closing. Lines getting some winners.
• 23:47
  Well, if you'd like. To learn more about.
• 23:48
  Data-driven betting. You know the.
• 23:50
  Holidays are coming up and you. Need to find a stocking.
• 23:52
  Stuffer, you know what do they call?
• 23:53
  It the white elephant. The grab bag.
• 23:56
  We don't. You should do.
• 23:57
  You should go to. Amazon.com and Type.
• 23:59
  In the NFL, sharp. Betting playbook it's my new.
• 24:02
  Book it's not about 3 months old but.
• 24:05
  It's got everything. I've learned in the industry
• 24:07
  specifically. How to bet the N?
• 24:08
  FL. I wrote another book called The
• 24:09
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting if you'd like to get one
• 24:12
  or both of them. It would.
• 24:13
  It would mean a lot to me. I'd very much appreciate it.
• 24:16
  If you want to really be a hero, give it a five star review.
• 24:18
  Nice comment in the App Store. Or in.
• 24:21
  Amazon, I should say. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
• 24:24
  and Juice Reel yet? Well, rhythm love the fact.
• 24:26
  They power this pod, give us these great AI backed.
• 24:28
  Models and predictions. For game bets and player.
• 24:30
  Props, of course. Juice Reel.
• 24:32
  A lot of great features, but. If you'd like to support the
• 24:34
  pod. If you had a great Sunday.
• 24:36
  And you want to you. Know tip your podcast host.
• 24:39
  I would be very much honored if you wanted to get the all.
• 24:41
  Systems go best bet picks. From exclusively and only posted
• 24:46
  aside from me, you know, explaining the plays, you know.
• 24:49
  Verbally at each. Podcast if you want to get the
• 24:51
  plays. Earlier get them as soon.
• 24:53
  As I bet them support the pod you can get.
• 24:55
  The best bet? Picks from Juice.
• 24:56
  Reel for $4.99. Cents a week, 5 bucks for a week
• 25:00
  of plays. A lot of you, I recognize some
• 25:03
  of your your screen names on Juice Reel, so I appreciate you
• 25:05
  guys, but. Also you'll get the Robo Jackson
• 25:07
  best bet picks the sharp mush indicator.
• 25:10
  The arbitrage plays the shop for the best line features.
• 25:12
  All available when you downloaded.
• 25:14
  Juice Reel so. Download rhythm, download juice
• 25:16
  reel, give them a 5 star. Review.
• 25:18
  In the App Store next. Do you have a live odds?
• 25:21
  Page. If you don't have one, you need
• 25:22
  one. And you really don't notice.
• 25:24
  You don't know what you have, what they say.
• 25:25
  You don't know what you got till it's gone.
• 25:27
  Well, you don't know what you were missing until you have it,
• 25:29
  because the live odds. Page from odds logic it's.
• 25:31
  Fantastic operates in real time. I change my my my layout to the
• 25:36
  dark mode, which I think is really cool because I'm going to
• 25:39
  like that, but it just looks sleek and dark and I love the
• 25:42
  way it looks. But you'll you'll be able to
• 25:43
  track the market. What I love is the opening.
• 25:46
  Number column never changes. Then you get all the current
• 25:48
  odds. You can immediately see which
• 25:50
  direction the line is. Moved that kind of.
• 25:52
  Kicks off your handicapping. But also shopping for the best
• 25:54
  price. Finding the book offering the
• 25:56
  best number. You don't need to remind me or I
• 25:58
  don't need to remind you, I should say.
• 26:00
  The Jets. Thursday night plus 13 1/2 other
• 26:03
  books were 1312. 1/2 Jets lose by 13.
• 26:06
  Because odds logic. You found the ESPN.
• 26:08
  Bet 13 after you won your bet. So give Odds logic a shot.
• 26:11
  Just go to. Oddslogic.com/josh 123 for a 7
• 26:16
  day free trial and 50% off your first.
• 26:18
  Month of service next. Have you downloaded Novig yet?
• 26:23
  Novig. Is a betting exchange.
• 26:25
  Not a sports book. Big advantage though is that.
• 26:27
  You're going to get way better juice prices.
• 26:29
  So instead of the book jacking you and jacking.
• 26:31
  You up and making you pay -115 -, 120 You know what Novig's
• 26:35
  going to make you pay -110 minus one O 6 plus one O 2. -1 O 3.
• 26:41
  Why? Because they're an exchange.
• 26:43
  Where you're. Betting against other betters?
• 26:44
  Taking the opposite position. Not going against the.
• 26:47
  House who can just raise the juice because you got no other
• 26:49
  choice and if you want to place the bet, you got to pay the
• 26:51
  juice. Also what I like about.
• 26:52
  Novig if you win. You're not going to get.
• 26:54
  Limited or booted? So download Novig and.
• 26:57
  When you fund your account, there's a little.
• 26:58
  Promo code put in Josh 1/2. 3. For 100% deposit.
• 27:02
  Match up to 25 bucks. So that about does it for
• 27:06
  episode 397 getting back into. The swing of things on a Monday.
• 27:09
  As always guys 2. Final thoughts whether I see?
• 27:11
  You at the Borgata? In Atlantic City, Twin River in.
• 27:14
  Rhode Island. The Brooklyn.
• 27:15
  New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut.
• 27:18
  The Encore in Boston plainridge park casino MGM Springfield the
• 27:21
  Nash. And my neck of the woods on the
• 27:23
  border of. Mass in New Hampshire or out in
• 27:25
  the desert, where the true grinders.
• 27:26
  Get down where, Billy Walters? Sends his number.
• 27:28
  Runners where the lowest juice possible.
• 27:30
  Is found at the South. Point or jumping?
• 27:32
  In the stadium swimming pool. Cashing a big ticket at Circa.
• 27:35
  Whatever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 27:37
  Show me from Friday, Clemson. Colorado dog to fave in college.
• 27:41
  Hoops, but man, what a great Sunday.
• 27:43
  We had an O and five Sunday couple weeks ago.
• 27:46
  Well, five and O. That's great to see.
• 27:48
  Jaguars, Denver, Carolina, the Bears, The Bears.
• 27:53
  Philly Fade the trendy dog, maybe?
• 27:54
  Added Titans. Well guess what, first ones on
• 27:57
  me next. Ones on you'll.
• 27:58
  Post about the book and hopefully, hopefully get another
• 28:00
  winner here with with the Raiders tonight.
• 28:03
  But as always, guys coming off A5 and O Sunday or an O and five
• 28:06
  Sunday at 2:00 and. 3A3. And two A4 and.
• 28:09
  One A1 and four. Whether we're hot, whether we're
• 28:11
  cold. Things are going our way.
• 28:13
  Nothing's going our way. We just got to stay.
• 28:15
  Even keeled, stay grinding. Don't get too high.
• 28:18
  When things are good, don't get too low.
• 28:20
  When things are bad because. Betting it's crazy it.
• 28:22
  Really is a wave. You just got to ride the wave.
• 28:25
  And just keep grinding and keep your head down and not overreact
• 28:27
  one way or the other. So we can do that.
• 28:30
  Play our system matches, Bet with our head and nod our heart.
• 28:32
  Stay disciplined with our bankroll.
• 28:33
  Management flat bet. If we can find the.
• 28:36
  Games that fit our model. Against the public.
• 28:38
  With the house with the pros flat bet.
• 28:41
  Avoid parlays and get that. CLV If we can do that, we're.
• 28:44
  Going to be successful sports bettors so have.
• 28:46
  A great Monday night, everybody. Go Raiders.
• 28:49
  We'll be right back at it tomorrow.
• 28:50
  For episode 398 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
• 28:54
  podcast. Powered.
• 28:56
  By rhythm. Good luck everybody.
• 28:57
  And have a great. Monday night.