Latest / The SME Stream / The Country 22/01/26: Peter Newbold talks to Jamie Mackay
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Monthly here on the country, we tell you how much
- 0:03Speaker 1: your farm is worth, and it's a fair bet to say,
- 0:05Speaker 1: Peter Newbold GMFPGD rights in real estate, is it worth
- 0:09Speaker 1: a bit more this month than it was last month?
- 0:12Speaker 2: Yeah, it's interesting, Jamie. You know, the last probably eight weeks,
- 0:16Speaker 2: we've seen a lot of momentum and probably some of
- 0:19Speaker 2: the sales and the actual results I think all through
- 0:22Speaker 2: the country have been well ahead of where everyone anticipated.
- 0:26Speaker 2: And I see the momentum continuing. And when you look
- 0:31Speaker 2: at a look ahead at all the listings come into
- 0:35Speaker 2: the market, and I guess we're buyers headspaces. I think
- 0:39Speaker 2: it's looking really really good.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Traditionally, autumn is the best time, well the most favored
- 0:45Speaker 1: time to sell your farm, list your farm, So if
- 0:47Speaker 1: you're thinking about doing that, you really need to be
- 0:49Speaker 1: getting prepared right now.
- 0:52Speaker 2: Yeah, well that's right, And that's one thing we have
- 0:54Speaker 2: seen is a lot of activity in that with autumn
- 0:57Speaker 2: sales being prepared. And I think we'll see your number
- 1:01Speaker 2: come to the market early and I think that's where
- 1:04Speaker 2: we're going to see some real momentum in and around
- 1:07Speaker 2: the sheep and beef sector. And you know, if you
- 1:09Speaker 2: look On the other side, all those farm returns are
- 1:11Speaker 2: looking really strong and that's only going to assist that
- 1:14Speaker 2: segment which has been I guess, you know, pre November
- 1:17Speaker 2: has been a little bit quiet, but we've seen over
- 1:20Speaker 2: the last couple of months some real activity there.
- 1:22Speaker 1: I heard one of your agents down on Southland speaking
- 1:25Speaker 1: on the local Hokkanui show talking about dairy farms. He
- 1:28Speaker 1: can't get enough, he said, he hasn't got any to sell.
- 1:31Speaker 1: As soon as they come to the market, they're selling.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Is that correct, Yeah, pretty much so, and especially the
- 1:37Speaker 2: quality ones. There's a lot of interest. You know, I
- 1:41Speaker 2: guess that buyer paul is strong and you know you've
- 1:45Speaker 2: just seen recently, you know, the dairy price is firming again.
- 1:49Speaker 2: So look, that market strong and there's a lot of
- 1:52Speaker 2: people that are wanting to get into it. So yet, no,
- 1:55Speaker 2: he's one hundred percent right.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Sheep and beef of course on a bit of a
- 1:59Speaker 1: high at the moment, in fact, on a real high.
- 2:01Speaker 1: Is sheep and beef prices have never been this high?
- 2:03Speaker 1: Is that reflecting an interest in farms and farm values?
- 2:08Speaker 2: Oh? Look, I think it's one of the key drivers
- 2:10Speaker 2: at the moment is that you know, you know yourself.
- 2:13Speaker 2: You go out into the field now and you know
- 2:15Speaker 2: a lot of farmers have got a you know, a
- 2:17Speaker 2: big smile in their face. They're enjoying things and long
- 2:20Speaker 2: mat continue, And definitely it's having impact on people wanting
- 2:25Speaker 2: to either you know, expand their current footprint or get
- 2:29Speaker 2: into that industry. And if you look ahead, you know,
- 2:32Speaker 2: all those indicators look really strong. So yeah, it's had
- 2:35Speaker 2: a big impact on the sheep and beef sector and
- 2:37Speaker 2: I think it will continue, which is great.
- 2:40Speaker 1: I was in the Bay of Plenty last week and
- 2:42Speaker 1: doing a bit of talking about key we fruit see
- 2:45Speaker 1: there's an industry on a bit of a high at
- 2:46Speaker 1: the moment.
- 2:48Speaker 2: Yeah it is, and you know we've often talked about
- 2:50Speaker 2: it and we're just starting to see science now of
- 2:54Speaker 2: properties come to the market and interest from buyers. So
- 2:59Speaker 2: it's been you know, probably slow that in that respect,
- 3:02Speaker 2: but now I think everything's settled and I think we're
- 3:04Speaker 2: going to see quite a bit of activity in that.
- 3:07Speaker 2: So if you add up all the various sectors you know, sheep, beef, dairy, hot,
- 3:11Speaker 2: they are all in a fantastic space and I believe
- 3:14Speaker 2: the future looks really good and it'll help a lot
- 3:16Speaker 2: of those farmers who want to retire or they've got
- 3:19Speaker 2: succession or want to expand. Things are looking great.
- 3:23Speaker 1: What about the elephant in the room? Is this a
- 3:25Speaker 1: past thing? Is it history now? The carbon farming, the
- 3:29Speaker 1: forestry conversion.
- 3:31Speaker 2: I'm gotta be careful here, but I'd like to say
- 3:33Speaker 2: hopefully it is. We can't afford any more of our
- 3:37Speaker 2: good land to go out to trees. Definitely, though to
- 3:40Speaker 2: answer your question, yes, things have slowed. We're not seeing
- 3:43Speaker 2: a lot of activity or very little activity in that space.
- 3:47Speaker 2: So it's at the moment i'd say it's a bit
- 3:49Speaker 2: of a non event.
- 3:50Speaker 1: So things are certainly looking positive. And I think the
- 3:52Speaker 1: really positive thing about farm seals these days, and it's
- 3:55Speaker 1: long over you as well, people are now buying on
- 3:58Speaker 1: yield to make rather than for capital gain, and that's
- 4:02Speaker 1: long been a bit of a bugbear for farming.
- 4:05Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think it's really clear that's what's happening
- 4:08Speaker 2: at the moment. And I think the other thing that
- 4:10Speaker 2: helps that is if you look at the future, you know,
- 4:12Speaker 2: all those indicators look really strong over the next couple
- 4:15Speaker 2: of years, So that helps people make decisions and gives
- 4:19Speaker 2: them some I guess good feelings about what's ahead, so
- 4:24Speaker 2: they're happy to go and invest, and as you said,
- 4:27Speaker 2: they're definitely investing on a yield basis rather than a
- 4:30Speaker 2: capital gain, so which is good I think long term.
- 4:33Speaker 1: Peter Newbold, thanks for time. We'll catch you again next month.
- 4:36Speaker 2: Cheers, Jamie