Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 193 - 1/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 193 - 1/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:17
Hello, and welcome to episode 193 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:26
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
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week and we got a lot to talk about on today's podcast.
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As always, stepping right back into the arena, flat betting
0:42
risk in a unit trying to eke out winning days.
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That's the motto of the pod, making data-driven bets with our
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head and not our heart. So looking for today, guys, I
0:50
have a four pack of sweats for you.
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We're getting right back to college hoops.
0:55
Who's loving college hoops? I know I am.
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But we have 3 very sharp line moves, interesting matchups,
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really good edges here with rhythm as well as percentage,
1:04
low bets, higher dollars and system matches.
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So three big plays here in college basketball and then a
1:10
play in the NHL. And my original bet in the NHL
1:13
was I was going to take the LA Kings.
1:14
I know it was a big number, but it was a great rest for his
1:17
tired advantage. But then right as the pod was
1:19
out to start, the LA Kings game just got postponed.
1:22
Now I want to quickly just say, anyone who's listening in Los
1:26
Angeles, I hope you guys are all right.
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I saw this breaking on Twitter last night when I was going to
1:31
bed. But there are terrible,
1:32
horrific, basically apocalyptic fires that are taking place in
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Palisades in LA. So hope everyone's all right.
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I actually saw a video of a guy. Basically he's got glass windows
1:44
all around his house. This video went viral, but
1:46
there's flames everywhere you look outside the window.
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It's literally an inferno. And I think he's got a black lab
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or I think maybe a chocolate lab that was with him in the
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kitchen. He's like, it's OK, it's OK,
1:57
boy, we'll get out of here. So it got to me, obviously
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people losing their homes is terrible, but I got a dog at
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home too. I got AI, got a yellow lab.
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So that one really kind of got to me.
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And man, I just hope everyone's OK in LA Hopefully they can get
2:11
these fires under control. But for that reason, the Kings
2:14
game cancelled tonight. But I do have a another bet here
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in the NHL, which is the same system match that we played with
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the Dallas Stars last night. What a win it was with Dallas.
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So shout out to all of every all you guys who are out in LA stay
2:27
safe. Hopefully we can get these fires
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under control. So a four pack overall, 3
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college one NHL. Now looking back to her last
2:34
night, guys kept our winning streak going. 3 and 1 + 0.88
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units had an epic comeback. As I mentioned with the Dallas
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Stars, they got down three O to the Rangers and I'm like Jesus,
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are they going to, are they going to get blown out on the
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road against the Rangers? But they battled back.
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They were down three O and tied it.
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They were down 4, three late and tied it again.
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They won in overtime. So great sweat there with the
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Dallas Stars and also the Oklahoma State Cowboys getting
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it done. Short home favorite with a line
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move. Best play of the night though.
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Chomp chomp baby the Florida Gators 2 ranked teams take the
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home favorite Gators with a super sharp line move everybody
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and their mother on Tennessee, yet the line move to the Gator.
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So that's the kind of play where if you were a data-driven
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better, your eyes light up when you see that when you see the
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public all over one side yet contrarian sharp RLM going
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toward the unpopular side. So it's an auto bet every time
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Gators that was a great, great, great game to watch because man,
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they just rolled from start to finish.
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So it's it's pretty rare in sports betting.
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You know you'll take any win any way you can get it.
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Like we had to sweat the stars. There was no sweat with the
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Gators getting it done in the swamp.
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Only loser was UCLA. They actually had a one point
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lead like halfway through the second-half and then they got
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absolutely curb stomp. So UCLA ended up losing to
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Michigan. But either way, guys, another
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winning night 3 and one plus a 0.88 units reminder.
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I'm starting to put in some best bets from the all systems Go pod
4:01
a little bit earlier in the day. So if you want to get a leg up
4:03
on some of these plays, you can always follow every all systems
4:06
go best bet via Juice Reel. So you go to Juice Reel, you go
4:10
to the social tab, click find juicers, search ASG under score
4:14
podcast. Boom, all the plays from the
4:16
pod. They're the same plays.
4:18
We're talking on the pod, but you're getting a little bit
4:20
earlier or if you missed the pod, you can't listen, you're
4:22
busy. You can get the plays from Juice
4:24
Reel and reminder. That's 499 a week.
4:26
It's 5 bucks. It's not $499.
4:29
It's literally $5 or literally 499.
4:32
So do these insights provide you a dollar's worth of, of
4:36
information each day? I would like to think yes.
4:38
Support the pod, consider it a tip jar reminder.
4:40
You can always get those plays a little bit earlier by following
4:44
on Juice Reel and I'll tweet that out every afternoon, which
4:47
I have been doing for my Twitter account at Josh under score
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Insights. So that being said, let's get
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right back to college basketball guys, because I'm loving college
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hoops. Obviously, you know football is
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probably one of the best sports to sweat most popular.
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But when it comes to college hoops man, I don't know what it
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is this time of year, but I love playing college basketball.
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So let's see if we can eke out a winning night 3 bets.
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Let's try to get two of these. First one that jumped out to me
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on my favorite plays of the night.
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Always mention this when I say favorite player.
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I can't wait to sweat it. It doesn't mean you're risking
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10 units, doesn't mean you're putting your whole bankroll on
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it. Every play that we always talk
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about on the pod is flat betting.
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You're betting to risk one unit, whatever that is for you, 3% of
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your bankroll per play. But that being said, I can't
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wait to sweat the Villanova Wildcats tonight.
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Now this is a 6:30 PM Eastern Time game on Fox Sports 1, so
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make sure you get it in early because it's not a 7:00 tip.
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Little bit earlier here, but I'm OK with that because we're going
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to space out some of our games here so we can hopefully devote
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each game on the main TV tonight or however you want to play it.
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But anyway, going into it, we have Connecticut 12 and 3 ranked
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9th in the country. They've won eight straight
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games. Remember they had those three
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straight losses in those tournaments and you know it was
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Hurley going going nuts, but they turned it around 12 and 318
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straight. Just took down Providence 8784,
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but they're a 14 point favorite in that one.
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Didn't cover, but they won. Meanwhile, Nova, they're
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unranked. They're ten and five.
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They've won seven of their last eight.
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They just crushed DePaul 100 to 54, easily covering as a nine
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point home favorite. So going into it, you would
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expect Connecticut's favorite in this one, right?
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They're 12 and 3 ranked 9th Nova's unranked guys.
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Nova is in the same spot as the Gators last night.
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Let's go Nova. This game opened Connecticut as
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a 2 1/2 point Rd. favorite and the public is rushing to the
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window to play the Huskies. You have the bias and favoritism
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because they've won, you know, back-to-back championships and
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been a really good team. They're ranked again.
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Nova's unranked. You know that 2 1/2 lay it all
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day back Connecticut. However, despite 72% of bets at
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DraftKings going UConn. What's the line done guys?
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The line is flip dog to fave in favor of Nova.
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This went from Nova getting 2 1/2 to now Nova -1 1/2.
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Some books minus one, 1 1/2. Why is that important?
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Number one most heavily back game of the night, top
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contrarian play. You're only getting 3028% of
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bets on Nova, yet the line moved in their favor.
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And of course, dog to fave. We love that flip anytime we see
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it. Dog to fave really tells you,
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hey, you're open getting points now you're laying them.
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You would assume most of the times correctly that hey, takes
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a lot of smart money to to flip a line like that.
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So dog to fave in favor of Nova, one of the top contrarian plays
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of the night. They're only getting 28% of bets
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but 37% of dollars at DraftKings.
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So a little bit of a low bets, higher dollars bets split.
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Also, you guys know the drill at this point.
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Hopefully I'm not laying a 1 1/2 or A1 with Nova.
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It's a money line play. Just win the damn game.
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I would hate to see Nova win by 1.
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You lose cuz you late a 1 1/2 or you push cuz you late A1.
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So I took Nova, I got them at -114 on the money line at
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FanDuel. I like the split at Circa Wise
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guys out in Vegas. Only 33% of money line bets are
8:00
on Nova, but they're taking an 89% of money line dollars.
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So huge low bets, higher dollars bets, but tells me the wise guys
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out in Vegas like Nova to win this game.
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One of our favorite system matches, unranked home favors
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ranked opponent. That system has been really good
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historically on the money line. It's about 60% ATS.
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It's about 59% over the last three or four years.
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Also you have a one day rest advantage for Nova.
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So they last played on Saturday, Huskies played on Sunday.
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Again, these kids are young. Remember when we were young, I'm
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37, you could play all day, all night.
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But with college it's more of extra time in the gym, extra
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practice. But then also Nova, I'm going to
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bank on their three-point shooting, 42% versus 37% for
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UConn. Offensive rebound percentage,
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36% versus 34%. Wildcats, by the way, are 8 and
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one at home should be rocking at home here in in Philly.
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And then also I'll take this is probably why you see saw this
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line move a little bit toward Nova.
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One of the best players on UConn is out tonight.
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Liam Mcneely, the big seven footer, he's their second
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leading scorer. He's averaging about 14 points a
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game. He's out with an ankle injury to
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to solidify our play here, we have Ken Palm predicting Nova to
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win by one point and we have rhythm Nova -0.8.
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So another reason why I'm going money line here just on the off
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chance they do win by one. Add all up here, guys.
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Publix Connecticut lines going note to Villanova here.
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Dog to fave. Great bet.
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Split injury on Yukon. Unranked home fave ranked
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opponent. I love the Nova Wildcats here
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tonight. I got Villanova on the money
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line again -114 at FanDuel. Next bet for you, Let's go to a
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7:00 game, Mississippi and Arkansas.
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So going into this one, by the way, this game is on ESPN 2.
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Mississippi comes in 12 and two. They're ranked 23rd in the
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country. They've won six of their last
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seven playing. Well, they just took down
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Georgia, 63 to 51, covered as a 5 point home favorite.
10:00
Arkansas, by the way, 11:00 and 3:00, but they're unranked.
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They did just see their six game win streak come to an end.
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They got rolled by Tennessee 76 to 52, did not cover as an 11
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1/2 point Rd. favorite their last game.
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So what have we seen across the market?
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Well, this game opened. Arkansas listed as a three-point
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home favorite. Now right off the bat, again, I
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love looking at line moves and trying to figure out what they
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mean, but also opening lines can tell you a lot.
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Arkansas open -3 at home. Why is that important?
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Because Mississippi, Ole Miss, they're ranked, Arkansas is not.
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And Arkansas just got blown out. So that -3 tells me that hey,
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this is a little bit of favoritism, at least a good
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power rating advantage in favor of Arkansas.
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Cuz you would think, hey, maybe it's a pick em.
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Of course we have to apply homecourt.
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But Mississippi better record, better ranking.
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And they they're on a good, good winning rate right here.
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Arkansas just lost yet that opened Arkansas -3 So you would
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assume, hey, Publix loading up on Mississippi, maybe this
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line's falling down. No, it's gone the other way.
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This line has gone further toward Arkansas.
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Arkansas open -3 they're up to -3 1/2.
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Some shops have even gotten up to -4 throughout the day.
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So all movement liability has been in favor of the Razorbacks.
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Tells me we got sharp money here on Arkansas.
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Now, if we look at Arkansas DraftKings, they're getting 67%
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of spread bets. So I don't love that.
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It's a little public, but 95% of spread dollars.
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So what I would call a pro and Joe play.
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And even though two out of three public plays, you're getting
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heavy, heavy smart money. And remember, the pros don't
11:33
care what the public's doing. They're they're betting their
11:35
games based on their edge, their advantage over the sports books
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based on like for for example, maybe they had this game -4 to
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begin with. So when it opened three, they
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hammered Arkansas. And they're not going to say,
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oh, public is also leaning Arkansas, so I'm going to lay
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off or I'm going to go the other way.
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No, they don't care what the public's doing.
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Remember wise guys, true sharps. The other thing is the true
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pros, they're not tweeting out their place.
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I see a lot of these quote UN quote any I always get skeptical
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when I see a person with a Twitter profile at the top.
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It says professional better or pro better.
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It's like, come on, you think Billy Walters has a Twitter
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account? No, you don't want to be known.
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You want to you want to operate in obscurity.
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You give away an edge if you're a if you're known a celebrity
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anyway, hold another note there. But pro and Joe move toward
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Arkansas. Now I money lined Arkansas.
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It's a little bit high. Now you can shop around and find
12:21
Arkansas around like -170 -, 180.
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I got Arkansas a little bit earlier today -175 Now I did see
12:30
them as low as -166 So of course, shop around, have
12:33
multiple books. But once again, Arkansas wins
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this game by 1-2 or three. I got to win my bet.
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I'm not going to. I'm not going to have a
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nightmare because I, I was, I want to save the juice.
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And again, this is up to you. You want to lay the 3 1/2 with
12:45
Arkansas. I hope you win because I'll be
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rooting for you. But there's a money line play
12:49
for me. Just win the damn game basically
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around -170 At this point Arkansas is a really good bet
12:55
split on the money line. They're getting 75% of money
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line dollars or sorry money line bets and 92% of money line
13:02
dollars out at DraftKings Tells me again big smart money is on
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the Razorbacks. Arkansas also that buy low
13:09
unranked home favors ranked opponent.
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So that same system match that just matched on Nova also
13:15
matches on Arkansas and also a favorite off a blowout loss like
13:19
him in a bounce back spot after they got humbled there by
13:22
Tennessee. Arkansas has a lot of advantages
13:24
offensively. They have the much better
13:26
effective field goal percentage, 57% versus 53%.
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They've been really good at home, 8 and O at home.
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And then also we look at Ken Palm and Rhythm.
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Now. Ken Palm has Arkansas winning by
13:37
two, which is why I don't want to lay the three and half at
13:39
this point. It's a money line play.
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But then Rhythm has a -, 2.8 prediction and a - 3.6.
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So again, not a huge edge off the spread, but both of the two,
13:50
you know, places that I respect the most for their predictions.
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Ken Palm and Rhythm both have Arkansas winning this game by a
13:56
bucket, Bucket and a half. So money line, Arkansas, let's
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go. Razorbacks, good sharp move.
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I'm on Arkansas. I got him at -176 at FanDuel.
14:06
Last bit of the night, again, we got three of them.
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Can we get 2 out of three? Texas A&M and Oklahoma?
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This is a 9:00 game. It's on, I believe SEC Network.
14:15
Like, come on, you can't give me ESPN or anything.
14:18
Maybe I'll have to scratch and claw find a way to to watch it.
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But anyway, A&M at Oklahoma, little background here, line
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movement and I'll give you the play.
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A&M comes in 12 and two. They're ranked 10th in the
14:29
country. They've won eight straight.
14:31
They just crushed Texas 80 to 60.
14:33
They covered as a 6 1/2 point home favorite.
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Meanwhile, Oklahoma 13 and one having another good year, 17th
14:40
in the country. But they did just suffer their
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first loss of loss of the year. They started 13 and O first
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defeat just fell to Alabama. One O 7 to 79 did not cover as a
14:49
13 point Rd. dog. So what have we seen across the
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market here? Well, Texas A&M opened as around
14:56
A2 point Rd. favorite and we have seen a big adjustment
15:00
toward Oklahoma. Oklahoma went from getting two
15:02
points to now laying three points.
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So right off the bat dog to fave line move in favor of Oklahoma.
15:09
Now, one thing I also noticed is that the public's basically
15:11
split 5050 bet splits in a vacuum.
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Theoretically, line shouldn't move at all if the tickets are
15:16
split. So it tells me, again, a lot of
15:19
big money here is poured in on Oklahoma.
15:21
Good sharp dog to fave line move.
15:23
Now, one reason why you are seeing this big move toward
15:27
Oklahoma is there's a big injury here.
15:29
So, again, you know, sometimes it's pure smart money, sometimes
15:33
injury adjustment. But Wade Taylor, he is the top
15:37
scorer for the Aggies. He averages about 16 points a
15:39
game. He's out for this game, so I
15:42
think that's part of the reason why you saw a lot of big money
15:45
pour in on the Sooners as well as that big line adjustment
15:48
toward Oklahoma. So I want to bet against Texas
15:50
A&M without their best player. Now if you look at DraftKings,
15:54
so this is a money line play for me.
15:56
I got Oklahoma money line at -155 ESPN bet again.
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I'm willing to pay the juice just to win the game.
16:04
Sometimes laying the points would we'll cover anyway, but
16:07
sometimes you lose and that's something that I'm not willing
16:09
to to suffer with. I'll I'll I'll get a win with a
16:12
little less of a payout versus possibly a straight up loss.
16:16
Again, that's up to you as a better points versus money line.
16:19
But I'm a money line short favorite guy DraftKings, though,
16:23
money line 56% bets 80% dollars on Oklahoma.
16:27
So tells me the bigger sharper wagers there again are going
16:30
with Oklahoma straight up to win on the money line now.
16:33
Oklahoma home favorite off a blowout loss, sell High Road dog
16:37
on a win streak. But then also this is the same
16:40
system match which last night was on Florida. 2 ranked teams
16:47
take the home favorite. So 2 ranked teams take the home
16:50
favorite. Straight up is now 12 and four
16:51
this year 75% and it is now 146 and 4078%, almost 79% since
16:59
2021. So again the Florida system is
17:02
matching with Oklahoma here. In addition to that dog to fave
17:05
line moving the injury for A&M also Oklahoma a lot of offensive
17:09
advantages. Hopefully they have a big edge
17:11
scoring. Oklahoma has the better
17:13
offensive efficiency, 24th versus 39th, better effective
17:17
field goal percentage 56% versus 49%.
17:21
They shoot the three better 36% versus 31% and they are better
17:26
at the free throw line. Again, important in a tight
17:28
game, 81% versus 70%. Oklahoma, by the way, 8 and O at
17:33
home this year. A&M, they've only lost one one
17:35
game or they've lost 2, but they're O and one on the road.
17:40
So we got a home cooking advantage here.
17:42
We have one one of the best players or the best player on
17:44
the Aggies that's out. I got to go with the sharp move
17:47
on Oklahoma at home with a really good system match.
17:49
I am on Oklahoma Sooners money line.
17:51
I got them at -155 so Villanova, Arkansas, Oklahoma, all three
17:56
money lines. Let's try to get two out of
17:58
three. Now over to the NHL because
18:02
there are two games I was looking at.
18:03
I, I like the Kings. I got actually think I got them
18:06
at -215 it was a little high, but really good.
18:08
Rest for rest for his tired system match.
18:11
And then when that game was postponed, I said, oh, there's
18:13
another game I liked, so let's play that one.
18:16
So the replacement game is Florida and Utah.
18:20
The Panthers visiting the hockey club.
18:23
And by the way, they should change their name to the Utah
18:25
Yeti. I think that would be badass.
18:28
Anyway, Florida comes in 24 and 15 or 2415 and two.
18:33
Utah comes in 1715, and seven Panthers have rotated wins and
18:37
losses their last handful of games.
18:39
The hockey club has struggled a bit.
18:41
They've lost for their last five.
18:43
But it's pretty clear that we got a good Steam move here and
18:45
it's the Steam move on the Panthers.
18:48
This game opened with Panthers around a -, 130 Rd. favorite
18:52
Panthers now up to -145 S about a 15 cent steam move in favor of
18:57
the Panthers. Now I looked at the bet splits
19:00
from DraftKings and Circa. And again, I mentioned this
19:02
before. To me, bet splits aren't that
19:04
important in hockey because there's really no contrarian
19:06
value. There's not enough public
19:07
betting hockey. But I want some low bets, higher
19:10
dollars to at least tell me hey, the people that are betting this
19:13
game, hopefully the bigger wagers are in your favor.
19:16
So I did notice that DraftKings on the money line 85% bets, 95%
19:20
money is on Florida and at Circa 54% bets, 91% dollars are on
19:26
Florida. So both DraftKings and Circa
19:29
have good bet splits on Florida along with that steam move in
19:31
their favor. Now, couple of or quite a few
19:34
advantages in favor of Florida offensively, averaging 3.2 goals
19:38
a game versus 2.9 for Utah. They have the better power play,
19:42
25% versus 22% on the road. Florida is 12, seven and one.
19:48
Utah at home, 5-7 and four. So this is Utah's first year,
19:52
you know, remember they were the Arizona Coyotes.
19:53
So again, maybe not a huge home, home ice because you're in a
19:57
brand new, you know, environment.
20:00
So again, you probably don't have that that beloved following
20:04
that's been accrued over years and years.
20:06
You know, they're hopefully building something in Utah, but
20:08
still early. So not a huge home ice
20:10
advantage. Now in terms of the goalies, we
20:12
got Babrovsky against Karen Vermelka, Babrovsky on the year
20:16
2.76 goals against, nine O 1 save percentage for Milka 2.45
20:21
and a 9/14 save percentage. So on the year Vermilka's
20:25
numbers are better, but in the month of January they both made
20:27
two starts. Babrovsky has a 2 point O six
20:30
goals against Ramilka 2.95 S Hopefully the recent performance
20:34
here Babrovsky will hopefully get the better of Ramilka.
20:38
And then cherry on top is the Florida Panthers are in the same
20:41
spot as the Dallas Stars last night.
20:44
Now hopefully Florida doesn't get down 3 nothing and have to
20:47
call their way back. Wouldn't it be nice if you got a
20:50
lead and kept it? Whatever it takes though to cash
20:52
a ticket. But that same system from last
20:55
night a sweet spot Rd. favorite with steam.
20:59
So if you are a road favorite and the majority of -150 to -200
21:04
so I gave you -145 Florida, that's my play.
21:07
It's at Caesar's. But other books are like -150 -,
21:10
152. So shop around, get the best
21:12
number. But that's sweet spot -150 to
21:15
-200 Rd. favorite $0.10 of steam or more.
21:18
Again, cashed with the stars last night.
21:21
And that is on the year now 39 and 2165%.
21:26
I have another system here that's on Florida Rd. favorite
21:29
with steam against an opponent who missed the playoffs the
21:31
previous year. That's actually been even better
21:33
46 and 2565 percent 7% ROI and or last let me see, I think
21:40
since 20. Let me double check the number
21:43
here since 20 since 2019. That system is three O 9 and one
21:48
9162% with over 25 units 1. So that's all matching on
21:53
Florida also kind of like the fact that you know Florida, like
21:57
basically this is what you've seen from Florida the last few
22:00
games. Loss, win, loss, win last game,
22:03
loss again. Hopefully tonight's a win.
22:07
So they're bouncing back when they lose.
22:08
Hopefully after coming off a loss 3, three to one to
22:11
Colorado. They play well here tonight.
22:14
So I'm on Florida. Let's go.
22:15
Panthers got Florida at -145 So that about does it for episode
22:22
193 of the ASG pod. Again, 4 plays tonight.
22:26
Can we find a way to get three again?
22:27
That would be nice. I do want to mention I did
22:30
notice with college football there's some buyback on Penn
22:33
State. So I played Notre Dame already
22:35
-132 on the money line at the time, Notre Dame was -1 1/2 to
22:39
-2 1/2. They're down to 1 1/2 or 1.
22:42
So I got to admit, looks like there's some money here coming
22:44
back on Penn State. So it got me a little nervous.
22:47
I'm going to dance with the one who brung me.
22:48
I'm sticking with the Irish, but one thing we can hopefully bank
22:52
on is rhythm still has -2.6 -, 4.4 for Notre Dame.
22:57
And we have seen these chalk favorites again, 8 and O
22:59
straight up 7 and 18 TS. But I'd have some people mention
23:02
like, hey, you still like Notre Dame?
23:04
That line just fell again. I don't love seeing that, but
23:08
I'm going to dance to the one who brung me.
23:09
I'm going to stick with the Notre Dame Irish.
23:12
I'm very close to firing on the Houston Texans.
23:15
Everyone's playing the Chargers. This game is the early Saturday
23:18
game -3 LA, but a lot of these books are juiced up and even
23:22
falling to 2 1/2 the threes are still available.
23:26
I'm waiting to see if there's any buyback, but I'm very I'm
23:29
thinking maybe I should just play Houston +3.
23:31
Get it out of the way, but you'll still have a tease
23:34
opportunity. But remember Wild Card Dogs 24
23:37
and 12 ATS 67% since 2017 when they play an opponent who missed
23:42
the postseason 93%. So you still have got have these
23:45
matches on Houston. The other one that I was looking
23:48
at was the Rams. We have some time.
23:51
That's a Monday night game. But remember, that was that
23:53
sharp move toward the Rams plus two 2 1/2 down to one 1 1/2.
23:58
That could be a teaser play. And then also there has been a
24:01
big move back toward Green Bay. Like Green Bay, Philly is
24:04
getting interesting because at one point, Philly opened as low
24:07
as like -4 it got all the way up to like 5 1/2.
24:10
It's back down to 4 1/2. So is that just some sharp
24:14
contrarian buyback RLM toward Green Bay or is something up
24:18
with Justin Hertz or Jalen Hurts?
24:22
Because remember, he missed the last game with a concussion.
24:25
And there was a report that like I want to say Sirianni said,
24:27
like I'm hopeful Hertz can play. So is there something up with
24:32
Hertz? Is that why I've seen the line
24:33
come back? But did notice some buy back
24:35
there toward Green Bay? So of course I'll give you
24:38
updates between now and and and Friday's pod, but just wanted to
24:42
hit on a couple games there that I'm getting some questions
24:44
about. But anyway guys, another pod in
24:46
the books here. This is the part of the pod
24:48
where we wrap things up and I start by saying #1 thank you.
24:52
The pod is only as good as the great crew that we've created
24:55
here. You guys taking the time out of
24:56
your busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar.
24:59
Sweat sharp contrarian breakdowns.
25:02
I always feel like hey, I'm amongst friends who are not
25:04
betting, you know, drunk trying to be old.
25:06
They got to win old that you know, bias opinion.
25:09
No, these are we are like minded data-driven betters and I'm just
25:14
honored to host the pod and I want to thank you all for
25:17
listening each day. Secondly, if you do enjoy this
25:20
pod, could you please do me a solid give it a five star review
25:23
on Spotify or iTunes. It would make a a big difference
25:26
here to help us to continue to grow the pod.
25:29
If there's an option to leave a nice comment that'll be great or
25:32
click the follow button or recommend it to a friend, that
25:35
would also be amazing. Secondly, if you enjoy the style
25:39
of betting breakdown, you want to learn more about data-driven
25:41
betting. Maybe you're new to betting.
25:43
Maybe you know someone who is just getting into betting for
25:46
the first time. Maybe you want to gift it to a
25:48
friend. Maybe you just want to support
25:49
the pod. Let me know you appreciate the
25:51
pod. Well, there's one thing you can
25:52
do. You can buy my book.
25:54
That's right, I'm an author. I'm not just a sports betting
25:57
analyst, I'm an author. I wrote a book called the
25:59
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
26:00
If you go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
26:04
Sports Betting, I can pick one up.
26:05
It's less than 20 bucks and again, you can gift it to that
26:09
friend of yours who maybe loses a lot, has no strategy.
26:12
Just you know, you know, flips a coin.
26:14
Teach them how to how to read the market.
26:16
It'll be a big advantage. But it's got everything I've
26:18
learned in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they
26:20
move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how
26:23
to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
26:26
line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, how to go
26:28
contrarian, all included in the everything guide to sports
26:31
betting. So buy a copy, give it to a
26:34
friend, a colleague, buy one for yourself.
26:37
I'll bring it to the book, I'll sign it for you.
26:38
I'll buy a beer or ginger ale next.
26:41
Have you taken advantage of a 7 day free trial of Juice Reel or
26:44
Rhythm yet? My two favorite sports betting
26:46
apps, They help me win. I'm confident they're going to
26:49
help you win. So Rhythm, obviously, fantastic
26:51
job providing us AI backed models and predictions for
26:55
player props and game bets. And then of course, Juice Reel
26:58
where you can get all the all systems go best bets each day.
27:03
You can also get the Robo Jackson best bets.
27:05
Robo's been Robo's been hot. I think he's up 20 units over
27:07
the past month, really killing. If you just want to tail those,
27:10
then also the arbitrage indicators, sharp mush
27:13
indicators, betting dollar breakdowns for every single
27:17
game. Also shopping for the best line,
27:19
especially with futures juicer was a great job.
27:22
Just immediately telling you, hey, you know you want to play
27:25
chiefs to win the Super Bowl. Hey, here's the book giving you
27:27
the best number right now. So big advantage there.
27:30
You can go to the App Store wherever you get your apps,
27:33
download Juice Reel, download Rhythm, recommend it to a friend
27:36
and you'll be off and running. So that about does it, guys.
27:40
As always, I'll leave you with two final things.
27:42
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
27:45
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods
27:48
or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
27:50
Boston or Plain Rich Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of
27:54
the woods in Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true
27:57
grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners,
28:00
where the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point or
28:03
sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
28:06
pool. When you catch a big ticket at
28:08
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
28:10
You're going to flash me a Dallas Stars come from behind
28:14
winter. You're going to show me an
28:15
Oklahoma State Cowboys ticket. But most of all, we're just
28:19
going to look at each other. We're going to say chomp, chomp
28:21
baby. The Florida Gators getting it
28:23
done. When you look at the data-driven
28:27
Hall of Fame, you're going to see that Gators line public
28:30
Tennessee low bets higher dollars Gators sharp RLM system
28:33
matches galore. Chomp chomp came to play.
28:36
So that was a great hit for us. But as always, guys, first one's
28:39
on me, next one's on you will post about the book and sweat
28:41
some games together. As always, reminder win, lose or
28:45
draw. Stick to the model, stick to the
28:47
blueprint. Never get too high when you're
28:48
hot. Never get too low when you're
28:49
cold. Remember, betting is very
28:51
difficult. Gives you confidence when you're
28:53
winning, gives you perspective when you're struggling.
28:56
But as always, it doesn't mean sports betting is impossible.
28:59
So if we can stick to the model in the blueprint data-driven
29:02
betting against the public with the house, with the pros, flat
29:04
bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
29:07
If we can do that long term, we're going to be successful
29:09
sports betters. So have a great Wednesday,
29:11
everybody be right back at it for tomorrow on a big thirsty
29:15
Thursday, which will be episode 194 of the all systems go sports
29:19
betting podcast powered by rhythm.
29:22
Good luck everybody, have a great Wednesday night.