Latest / Pod Save America / MAGA Media Turns on Trump (feat. David Pakman)
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: There's a new book that I think is particularly timely.
- 0:02Speaker 1: It's called Control, Why Big Giving Falls Short. Author Glenn
- 0:05Speaker 1: Gallich offers a rare insider view exposing why billionaire and
- 0:08Speaker 1: millionaire donors move so slowly while communities battle urgent crises.
- 0:12Speaker 1: In Control, Why Big Giving Falls Short, Gallich reveals how
- 0:15Speaker 1: our philanthropic system and culture encourage excessive donor control and
- 0:19Speaker 1: keep over $ 2 trillion from reaching communities. By prioritizing wealthy
- 0:23Speaker 1: donor interest, power, and control, this system doesn't simply slow
- 0:26Speaker 1: social progress, it structurally prevents it.
- 0:29Speaker 2: This is a weird world where you have all these
- 0:31Speaker 2: billionaires who sign like giving pledges and talk about all
- 0:33Speaker 2: the money they give away and their foundations. I feel
- 0:36Speaker 2: like people didn't really think about whether they had ulterior
- 0:39Speaker 2: motives for a very long time and just kind of
- 0:40Speaker 2: like celebrated them. And then when you really dig into
- 0:42Speaker 2: the details, kind of controlling a lot of things. Yeah,
- 0:45Speaker 2: it's one of the reasons we have a progressive taxation
- 0:47Speaker 2: system in the country. And I don't rely just on
- 0:50Speaker 2: billionaire philanthropy. But I'm sure Gallich gets into that in
- 0:53Speaker 2: the book. If you care about how extreme wealth shapes
- 0:55Speaker 2: our society and how to fix it, this is the
- 0:57Speaker 2: book to read. Order your copy of Control, Why Big
- 1:00Speaker 2: Giving Falls Short by Glenn Gallich from your favorite indie bookstore.
- 1:03Speaker 2: That's Control, Why Big Giving Falls Short, out now.
- 1:27Speaker 3: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Dan Pfeiffer. You're about
- 1:30Speaker 3: to hear my conversation with progressive political commentator David Pakman,
- 1:33Speaker 3: someone I've long wanted to have on the show. David's
- 1:35Speaker 3: been covering the news and talking politics online longer than
- 1:38Speaker 3: just about anyone, hosting the self-titled David Pakman Show since
- 1:41Speaker 3: 2005 when it launches a radio program at a little
- 1:44Speaker 3: station in Massachusetts. We hopped on Zoom to talk about
- 1:47Speaker 3: the week's latest news, the Iran negotiations, and the White
- 1:50Speaker 3: House's attempt to pivot back to the economy, as well
- 1:52Speaker 3: as the growing revolt against the president among the MAGA media.
- 1:55Speaker 3: We'll get to that conversation in a moment. Before we do,
- 1:57Speaker 3: if you want to support independent media, I hope you'll
- 1:59Speaker 3: consider subscribing to Messagebox, my newsletter that gives you in-depth
- 2:02Speaker 3: political analysis and cuts through the BS to help you
- 2:05Speaker 3: understand what you can do to defeat MAGA in this
- 2:08Speaker 3: election and beyond. And I have a special deal for
- 2:10Speaker 3: Crooked fans. Go to crooked.com slash yes, we Dan for
- 2:12Speaker 3: 20% off your subscription. And I hope you'll consider heading
- 2:15Speaker 3: over to crooked.com slash friends to become a friend of
- 2:17Speaker 3: the pod. You can get this episode ad free and
- 2:19Speaker 3: get access to my subscriber show, Polar Coaster. Now here's
- 2:23Speaker 3: my conversation with David Pakman. David Pakman, welcome to Pod
- 2:31Speaker 3: Save America.
- 2:32Speaker 4: Thank you.
- 2:32Speaker 3: We've wanted to have you on the pod for a
- 2:34Speaker 3: long time. I'm very excited about this. I want to
- 2:35Speaker 3: talk to you about the media ecosystem, how Democrats should communicate,
- 2:39Speaker 3: your career, and how you got to be one of
- 2:41Speaker 3: the longest serving progressive political commentators, which is very impressive.
- 2:45Speaker 3: But because this is Pod Save America, before we do that,
- 2:46Speaker 3: let's get to some news. This morning, Friday, when we're
- 2:50Speaker 3: recording this, the Iranians announced that the Strait of Hormuz
- 2:53Speaker 3: was now open. Donald Trump very cheerfully truthed about how
- 2:59Speaker 3: This was a great deal. The Strait was open. There
- 3:02Speaker 3: would be a deal within a couple of days. We
- 3:04Speaker 3: were going to get all of the dust, although there
- 3:06Speaker 3: are reports that we're going to give the Iranians $ 20
- 3:08Speaker 3: billion for that dust. But it seems like things are
- 3:11Speaker 3: in a better place than they were a few days ago.
- 3:15Speaker 3: What is your take on this? Do you think this
- 3:18Speaker 3: is a big win? Should we just give Donald Trump
- 3:20Speaker 3: the Nobel Prize now? What do you think?
- 3:22Speaker 4: I say we wait a little on the Nobel prize maybe,
- 3:25Speaker 4: but no, I mean, listen, the, the theme is like
- 3:27Speaker 4: arsonists setting fires and then declaring victory when they partially
- 3:31Speaker 4: put the fires out after they've already done a bunch
- 3:33Speaker 4: of damage. And, uh, I, I was going back and
- 3:36Speaker 4: forth with some people on social media yesterday about how
- 3:39Speaker 4: can't I just say it's a great thing to open
- 3:42Speaker 4: the Strait of Hormuz or Strait of Vermouth, I think
- 3:45Speaker 4: Besant called it weirdly yesterday, which is a weird thing.
- 3:49Speaker 4: And of course, I want it open. There's no reason
- 3:52Speaker 4: to start pumping up the price of oil, which leads
- 3:57Speaker 4: to more expensive gas for no benefit whatsoever for the
- 4:01Speaker 4: average American who's just filling up their tank. Of course,
- 4:04Speaker 4: that's good. But I think if we just talk about that,
- 4:07Speaker 4: we lose sight of the fact that this was optional
- 4:10Speaker 4: to begin with, that even the objectives changed and didn't
- 4:13Speaker 4: make sense. And it all really goes back to Trump
- 4:16Speaker 4: getting out of the Iran nuclear deal in 2018. And
- 4:19Speaker 4: I played that clip for my audience this week of
- 4:21Speaker 4: Trump doing this big announcement where it's all presented as
- 4:25Speaker 4: if he's just so strong and powerful and smart saying,
- 4:29Speaker 4: we are getting out of this deal. That was really
- 4:32Speaker 4: the moment that led to 90% of what's taken place.
- 4:36Speaker 4: And I said at the time, I'm not an advocate
- 4:39Speaker 4: of the Iranian regime. I oppose right wing theocracies. Uh,
- 4:44Speaker 4: they regularly threatened the existence of other countries. And also
- 4:48Speaker 4: if I were them from like a basic game theory perspective,
- 4:51Speaker 4: it makes sense to go back to enriching uranium. Once
- 4:54Speaker 4: Donald Trump says we're out, if only to have leverage
- 4:57Speaker 4: for future negotiations. Great. It's open. I think that that's
- 5:01Speaker 4: a great thing, but it never should have been closed
- 5:03Speaker 4: in the first place. To quote Trump, it never should
- 5:05Speaker 4: have happened, as he likes to say. Right.
- 5:08Speaker 3: It's like where we're going to end up here. This
- 5:11Speaker 3: can go a couple of ways. This trade is going
- 5:14Speaker 3: to be open for the length of the ceasefire. Maybe
- 5:16Speaker 3: they're going to extend the ceasefire. Maybe they'll get a deal.
- 5:18Speaker 3: This optimism that they're going to get a deal in
- 5:20Speaker 3: the next three days seems a little skeptical to me.
- 5:23Speaker 3: These are hugely complicated negotiations. But If they're on a
- 5:26Speaker 3: path towards a deal, maybe they straight will stay open.
- 5:29Speaker 3: We will stop bombing. Importantly, there will be a ceasefire
- 5:32Speaker 3: in Lebanon with Israel like that. That is all important
- 5:35Speaker 3: and good. But Donald Trump's best case scenario is probably
- 5:40Speaker 3: a slightly lesser version of the deal that he ripped
- 5:42Speaker 3: up in 2018. So this was like, to what end
- 5:45Speaker 3: was all of this to just end up right where
- 5:47Speaker 3: we were before?
- 5:49Speaker 4: I'm so glad you brought that up because I did
- 5:52Speaker 4: a breakdown last week of what was in the original
- 5:55Speaker 4: 2015 deal, which was a terrible deal. According to Donald Trump,
- 5:59Speaker 4: it didn't make sense. Obama shouldn't have signed it, et cetera.
- 6:03Speaker 4: And the administration by their own admissions were struggling to
- 6:07Speaker 4: get even back to the full strength of that deal. Uh,
- 6:11Speaker 4: and it's, I mean, it's, it's beyond parody. It would be,
- 6:15Speaker 4: it would make sense to laugh if it weren't also
- 6:17Speaker 4: tragic and so serious. And at the end of this rainbow,
- 6:22Speaker 4: what we hopefully would have is something that resembles 80
- 6:25Speaker 4: or 90% of the original Iran nuclear deal. And so this,
- 6:29Speaker 4: this kind of goes back to something that's an important
- 6:32Speaker 4: prism when analyzing anything Trump does, which is he wants
- 6:36Speaker 4: to take Obama and Biden's names off of things. I mean,
- 6:39Speaker 4: we think about replacing NAFTA with the USMCA and there
- 6:43Speaker 4: are some differences in there about the percentage of vehicles
- 6:47Speaker 4: and parts that can be made and Canada, US and Mexico,
- 6:51Speaker 4: but it's basically a recreation of NAFTA with a different
- 6:54Speaker 4: name and slightly different parameters. This is the exact same
- 6:58Speaker 4: thing all over again. And, um, we, the, the priority
- 7:02Speaker 4: seems to be not really, um, uh, ballistic missiles or
- 7:07Speaker 4: regime change or nuclear. It's a race things that Obama
- 7:11Speaker 4: has done and put Trump's name on them, even if
- 7:14Speaker 4: they're operationally basically the same thing.
- 7:17Speaker 3: Even if a deal gets done, there are some longer-term
- 7:20Speaker 3: consequences here because there really was– like while the Iranian
- 7:25Speaker 3: regime is quite radical and quite anti-American, there was a
- 7:28Speaker 3: growing– there were whole generations of Iranians who were raised
- 7:32Speaker 3: to not necessarily hate America. They were looking for a
- 7:35Speaker 3: more modern version of their country. And we've now– we
- 7:40Speaker 3: blew up a girl's school. We've been bombing their country.
- 7:43Speaker 3: We've bombed their country a couple of times now. Like
- 7:45Speaker 3: we've set back the possibility that one day this regime
- 7:50Speaker 3: will leave and the one that comes in will be
- 7:53Speaker 3: a more friendly, one that's more friendly to America. It
- 7:56Speaker 3: has set the US back in that longer term effort,
- 7:59Speaker 3: once again, to go right back to where we were
- 8:01Speaker 3: in 2015.
- 8:02Speaker 4: I think that's right. And that applies in a lot
- 8:05Speaker 4: of areas. I mean, when we're in and then out
- 8:07Speaker 4: of Paris climate or WHO or WTO or whatever. one
- 8:13Speaker 4: aspect of it is, can we undo the practical changes
- 8:17Speaker 4: that these decisions make? And so like in this case,
- 8:19Speaker 4: we got out of a deal. Now we've bombed, they're
- 8:22Speaker 4: trying to recreate the deal.
- 8:23Speaker 5: Cool.
- 8:24Speaker 4: But there's the broader problem, which is the U S
- 8:26Speaker 4: as an increasingly not credible negotiating partner or signatory to
- 8:31Speaker 4: deals of all kinds. And this is why I say
- 8:34Speaker 4: that the effect of this, even if you undo a
- 8:37Speaker 4: hundred percent of it, which I don't think you can,
- 8:38Speaker 4: but even if you could, what about when the next
- 8:41Speaker 4: administration is here, but other countries remember that the United
- 8:45Speaker 4: States has had these circumstances where you make a deal,
- 8:47Speaker 4: you stick to it as far as anyone can tell.
- 8:50Speaker 4: And then on the whims of a president, they say, Hey,
- 8:53Speaker 4: we're out. I think this hurts our negotiating position even
- 8:57Speaker 4: beyond Donald Trump.
- 8:59Speaker 3: One thing I've heard from people over the last, since
- 9:02Speaker 3: Trump's been reelected from people abroad or people who work
- 9:05Speaker 3: in foreign policy is our allies, international organization of the world,
- 9:08Speaker 3: were willing to sort of accept the idea that Donald
- 9:10Speaker 3: Trump's first election was this black swan event that just happened.
- 9:15Speaker 3: He didn't even get the plurality or majority of votes.
- 9:18Speaker 3: There were all these crazy circumstances. It happened. The US
- 9:21Speaker 3: lost its mind for four years. And then we were
- 9:23Speaker 3: back to the sort of the core American values and
- 9:28Speaker 3: approach to foreign policy that has existed through both parties
- 9:32Speaker 3: since the end of World War II. But now that
- 9:34Speaker 3: that's happened a second time, in a 12-year period. Europe
- 9:39Speaker 3: is thinking differently. NATO is thinking differently. There's a real
- 9:42Speaker 3: question whether you can rely on the United States to
- 9:44Speaker 3: actually be the partner it has always been because we're
- 9:48Speaker 3: always four years away from someone like Donald Trump, I
- 9:51Speaker 3: think is the issue.
- 9:52Speaker 4: Well, even after President Biden won in 2020, we knew
- 9:56Speaker 4: we weren't out of the woods because tens of millions
- 9:59Speaker 4: of people had just voted for Donald Trump for a
- 10:01Speaker 4: second time. And then now we have tens of millions
- 10:03Speaker 4: of people who actually voted for him for him three times.
- 10:05Speaker 4: I think the rhetoric around NATO over the last few
- 10:08Speaker 4: weeks related to Iran is like a critical reminder of
- 10:12Speaker 4: the approach of this administration and why other countries are
- 10:15Speaker 4: right to be skeptical of Trump or the US's commitment
- 10:18Speaker 4: to those institutions. Trump spent years saying on NATO, nobody
- 10:22Speaker 4: else is paying enough. We might not come to their
- 10:26Speaker 4: defense under article five if they don't pay what Trump
- 10:29Speaker 4: believes they need to pay. And then Trump says, Hey, NATO,
- 10:34Speaker 4: they need to come to our defense by which he
- 10:37Speaker 4: meant we created a mess in the straight of Hormuz.
- 10:41Speaker 4: Now there's consequences. Please come and help. Now, of course,
- 10:44Speaker 4: article five doesn't cover that scenario. Article five is about
- 10:48Speaker 4: attacks on NATO allies, not problems you create in non
- 10:53Speaker 4: NATO bodies of water that you then are desperate for
- 10:56Speaker 4: help for. But on the one hand, Trump was saying,
- 10:59Speaker 4: even our commitment to, to article five for other countries
- 11:03Speaker 4: is a question mark. And then going, forget about article five,
- 11:06Speaker 4: come help us in the Strait of Hormuz. That's crazy
- 11:10Speaker 4: when you look at it from, from the point of
- 11:11Speaker 4: view of our allies and that has an impact.
- 11:14Speaker 3: And when you consider that just only a few months ago,
- 11:17Speaker 3: Trump was threatening to invade a NATO ally in order
- 11:19Speaker 3: to get Greenland. So that also is not going to
- 11:22Speaker 3: help things. Do you think, let's say this deal holds,
- 11:25Speaker 3: and by the time people hear this on Sunday, it
- 11:26Speaker 3: may not have held, but just let's live in the
- 11:28Speaker 3: hypothetical for a second here, which is, let's say straight
- 11:32Speaker 3: remains open. Maybe we have a deal. Maybe we are
- 11:35Speaker 3: in indefinite negotiations with the Iranians to seek a deal.
- 11:38Speaker 3: But price of oil starts to come down. The some
- 11:42Speaker 3: of the economic impacts are to come down. Do you
- 11:45Speaker 3: think that what happened over the last few months with
- 11:47Speaker 3: Iran is going to have a lasting political impact or
- 11:49Speaker 3: at least last long enough through November? Or will it
- 11:51Speaker 3: fade if we memory hold like so much else in
- 11:53Speaker 3: the Trump era?
- 11:54Speaker 4: Well, if you're asking as to the effect on the
- 11:57Speaker 4: November elections, I think that it very well could dissipate.
- 12:01Speaker 4: I mean, it's a crazy thing to think of. But Um,
- 12:04Speaker 4: primarily I think voters are going to be going off
- 12:06Speaker 4: of their perception of how the economy is probably in
- 12:09Speaker 4: the four to six weeks before the November election. Now
- 12:12Speaker 4: this isn't the Iran situation is interesting because it's both
- 12:15Speaker 4: foreign policy, but it directly affects the day to day
- 12:19Speaker 4: economy of people. Not to mention there's this ability to
- 12:22Speaker 4: compare and contrast. You know, Donald Trump spent a campaign
- 12:24Speaker 4: saying prices on everything will come down and he's talking
- 12:28Speaker 4: about the sort of stone that he'll be using on
- 12:31Speaker 4: the columns at his ballroom that no one asked for. Um,
- 12:36Speaker 4: the foreign policy decisions which affect oil and gas and
- 12:40Speaker 4: through transportation affect everything else that people are paying for.
- 12:43Speaker 4: His actions right now are very much indifferent to the
- 12:46Speaker 4: average effect on a family's, uh, economy. But it, I,
- 12:51Speaker 4: it pains me to say it, there is this sort
- 12:53Speaker 4: of relatively short memory on a lot of this stuff
- 12:56Speaker 4: as far as voters are concerned. And so if gas
- 12:57Speaker 4: prices do come back down by November, Um, and, and
- 13:01Speaker 4: inflation numbers improve a little bit. I think there's a
- 13:04Speaker 4: good chance that if Trump off ramps here over the
- 13:06Speaker 4: next four weeks, what we thought would be 40, 60
- 13:09Speaker 4: vote swing in the house of representatives might be much smaller.
- 13:14Speaker 4: Now I still think Democrats take the house regardless, but
- 13:16Speaker 4: it might be like a 15 seat swing or something
- 13:19Speaker 4: like that, which would not be the overwhelming blue wave
- 13:22Speaker 4: that is possible.
- 13:23Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 13:24Speaker 3: I look, I think if gas prices are not at
- 13:26Speaker 3: $ 4 a gallon, Trump will have avoided the worst case
- 13:28Speaker 3: scenario for him and his party. I do think there
- 13:30Speaker 3: is some lasting damage here from the war that will
- 13:35Speaker 3: affect him in November. One, he has any chance that
- 13:39Speaker 3: the economy was going to get significantly better than it
- 13:41Speaker 3: was pre-war was ruined by the war, right? Inflation is
- 13:45Speaker 3: back up. There is a long bottleneck on some of
- 13:48Speaker 3: these prices. We're already going to suffer in food prices
- 13:51Speaker 3: from the fertilizer cost because he did this during planting season.
- 13:55Speaker 3: So farmers were already making choices. They were already paying
- 13:57Speaker 3: more for fertilizer. and then making choices about how many
- 14:00Speaker 3: acres to plant based on that. Um, and so he's,
- 14:05Speaker 3: it's not going to be as good as it could
- 14:06Speaker 3: have been if he hadn't gone to war. So that
- 14:08Speaker 3: takes that off the table, you know, and it's like,
- 14:11Speaker 3: if we're being like totally like, brass tacks about this.
- 14:14Speaker 3: His approval ratings only dropped four points, basically, since the
- 14:16Speaker 3: start of the war. Now, the difference between 38 and
- 14:19Speaker 3: 42 probably matters a lot in some of these seats.
- 14:21Speaker 3: But I do think that this is one of those
- 14:25Speaker 3: high-profile things that affects people in two ways in how
- 14:28Speaker 3: they think about Trump. One is the idea that he's
- 14:31Speaker 3: out of control, and that's a problem for Republicans because
- 14:33Speaker 3: generally what people want is some balance in these elections.
- 14:37Speaker 3: That's sort of the thermostatic public opinion piece here. And
- 14:39Speaker 3: the other thing is, This is now the second thing
- 14:43Speaker 3: he has done. He has stood up, waved his arm
- 14:45Speaker 3: around Trump as high as he can say, I'm going
- 14:47Speaker 3: to raise your prices. And that hurts. So I think
- 14:52Speaker 3: the amount of the impact from this war depends a
- 14:56Speaker 3: lot on the price of gas. I very much agree
- 14:57Speaker 3: with that. But I think he has done damage to
- 14:59Speaker 3: himself and made things harder for the Republicans.
- 15:00Speaker 4: I think that's true. And I wouldn't understate the importance
- 15:03Speaker 4: of those four points because the lower you go, the
- 15:06Speaker 4: less there is left in the sense of there's some core,
- 15:10Speaker 4: I don't know if it's 22 or 28%, or I
- 15:13Speaker 4: don't know exactly what it is, but it's the shoot
- 15:15Speaker 4: people on fifth Avenue and they don't care kind of crowd.
- 15:18Speaker 4: So when you're at 42, losing four, I think is
- 15:22Speaker 4: actually quite significant. We're getting to the end of the, um,
- 15:26Speaker 4: convincible electorate, if that makes sense.
- 15:29Speaker 3: Yeah, that's right. I think, I don't know what his
- 15:32Speaker 3: floor is, but it's certainly below– we now know it's
- 15:36Speaker 3: below 42. And you want him to be as low
- 15:39Speaker 3: as possible because also if he's mired at 38, it
- 15:43Speaker 3: does– just there's like such a narrative of despair within
- 15:46Speaker 3: the party that it has to affect turnout.
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- 18:44Speaker 3: All right, let's pivot real quick here to the affordability
- 18:48Speaker 3: tour that Trump has been on. He was in Vegas
- 18:51Speaker 3: on Thursday night to do a roundtable to tout his
- 18:54Speaker 3: no tax on tips policy. This is the tax credit
- 18:57Speaker 3: they've pinned their hopes on to try to salvage the
- 19:00Speaker 3: midterm elections. Here's what Trump had to say to a
- 19:02Speaker 3: group of Las Vegas workers. Let's take a listen.
- 19:04Speaker 5: For the remainder of 2026, you're going to see a
- 19:06Speaker 5: big surge. The numbers are really tremendous. And that's why
- 19:10Speaker 5: I'm out here. If they were bad, I wouldn't be
- 19:11Speaker 5: here today. I'd be sitting home watching television. Don't forget,
- 19:15Speaker 5: we're having some Fake inflation because of the fuel, the
- 19:18Speaker 5: energy prices. Earlier this week at the White House, I
- 19:21Speaker 5: met a wonderful woman named Sharon Simmons, a grandmother driving
- 19:25Speaker 5: DoorDash to help support her husband's cancer treatment. She's got
- 19:29Speaker 5: serious cancer. She's going to be okay, I think. Sharon
- 19:32Speaker 5: delivered McDonald's to the Oval Office. It was a little
- 19:35Speaker 5: bit of a, you know, I mean, to be honest,
- 19:37Speaker 5: it was a little tacky. Millions of American small businesses,
- 19:40Speaker 5: including restaurants, dry cleaners, Corner stores, what is a corner store?
- 19:45Speaker 5: I've never heard that term. I know what a corner
- 19:47Speaker 5: store is, but I've never heard it described, a corner store.
- 19:50Speaker 5: Who the hell wrote that, please?
- 19:53Speaker 3: What do you think? Is this a winning economic message?
- 19:56Speaker 4: No, I mean, there's so there's this is so chock
- 19:59Speaker 4: full of things to talk about. You know, I mean,
- 20:01Speaker 4: to go back, there was this incredible moment with the
- 20:03Speaker 4: DoorDash grandma.
- 20:04Speaker 3: Yeah, I want to hear you talk about this.
- 20:06Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm sure you don't want men and women's sports rights.
- 20:09Speaker 4: And she goes, I don't really have an opinion on that.
- 20:11Speaker 4: I'm just here for no tax on tips. Like that
- 20:13Speaker 4: was very interesting because it was someone telling the president
- 20:16Speaker 4: this culture war stuff. I'm worried about what's happening in
- 20:19Speaker 4: my budget. That's what I care about. The most tragic
- 20:23Speaker 4: part of all of it though, is that there is no,
- 20:24Speaker 4: there is no, no tax on tips in the bill. Uh,
- 20:27Speaker 4: what this is is a deduction and it requires five
- 20:32Speaker 4: minutes of discussion, but this is something that it'll benefit
- 20:36Speaker 4: the average tipped worker at the most a couple hundred
- 20:40Speaker 4: bucks a year, which I'm not dismissing as nothing. But
- 20:43Speaker 4: when you're thinking about child tax credits of a couple
- 20:45Speaker 4: thousand bucks and different things, there's lots of other things
- 20:47Speaker 4: that can be done for working class people. Um, you
- 20:50Speaker 4: get to deduct up to $ 25, 000 in tips from your
- 20:54Speaker 4: federal income. Uh, the vast majority of tipped workers are
- 20:58Speaker 4: paying very little, if any federal income tax. So there's
- 21:01Speaker 4: actually not that much left to deduct. Same thing with
- 21:04Speaker 4: no tax on, on social security. Uh, Trump raised the
- 21:07Speaker 4: deduction a little bit, uh, for seniors, but these are
- 21:10Speaker 4: like not at all the policies that are being presented
- 21:14Speaker 4: with these one liners and people are doing their taxes.
- 21:17Speaker 4: Now we just passed the tax deadline of April 15th
- 21:20Speaker 4: and seeing that their tax liability really hasn't changed actually
- 21:23Speaker 4: that much because of these bills. Now, will they remember
- 21:26Speaker 4: that in November when they vote? I don't know. It
- 21:30Speaker 4: doesn't strike me as a winning message, at least the
- 21:32Speaker 4: way that he's presenting it. Yeah.
- 21:34Speaker 3: You hear the White House talk or you hear the
- 21:36Speaker 3: Republican strategists talk. They're like, we need to get back
- 21:38Speaker 3: on the economy message. Get back on the economy. Talk
- 21:40Speaker 3: about the economy. That is the key. And I'm sure
- 21:43Speaker 3: that talking about the economy is better than talking about
- 21:44Speaker 3: the ballroom, right? Or better talking about the war. But
- 21:48Speaker 3: Trump's a very bad economic messenger. That is something that
- 21:51Speaker 3: has– he is a good economic messenger when he's in
- 21:54Speaker 3: charge and the economy is good. And he is a
- 21:57Speaker 3: good economic messenger when he's out of power and the
- 21:59Speaker 3: economy is bad. But when he's in power and the
- 22:02Speaker 3: economy is bad, he's terrible because he can't admit fault.
- 22:07Speaker 3: He can't do the Bill Clinton feel your pain thing.
- 22:09Speaker 3: He can't say, you know, he just can't give the
- 22:11Speaker 3: honest answer. Like, I inherited a mess. We've made some progress.
- 22:16Speaker 3: People are still hurting. We need to do more. And
- 22:17Speaker 3: here are the things we're going to do. Like, that's
- 22:19Speaker 3: the message that works. It's the version of the message
- 22:21Speaker 3: Obama had to do in his first term after the
- 22:24Speaker 3: 2008 financial crisis. but Trump cannot, he just cannot do it.
- 22:29Speaker 3: And he's like, he's got to call it fake inflation.
- 22:31Speaker 3: He was interviewed by a bunch of reporters headed to
- 22:34Speaker 3: the helicopter at the White House on the way to
- 22:36Speaker 3: that event. And they asked about high gas prices and
- 22:38Speaker 3: he denied that gas prices were high and then attacked
- 22:40Speaker 3: ABC News for saying the gas prices were high. He
- 22:42Speaker 3: just can't do it. Like it's just, it's not a,
- 22:46Speaker 3: he's just like what people want to hear, he can't say.
- 22:49Speaker 3: And what he's generally says is either sort of nonsense
- 22:52Speaker 3: or it's the kind of thing that pokes people in
- 22:54Speaker 3: the eye. Like, In the gas prices question from yesterday,
- 22:56Speaker 3: he brought up the stock market. I remember sitting in
- 23:00Speaker 3: focus groups in 2009, 2010, and these are people, swing voters,
- 23:05Speaker 3: soft Obama voters, people hurting in that economy, as so
- 23:09Speaker 3: many people were. But if anyone brought up the fact
- 23:12Speaker 3: that the stock market was up, they would flip the
- 23:15Speaker 3: table over in anger because that to them signified that
- 23:18Speaker 3: all these other people were getting rich or they were
- 23:21Speaker 3: doing fine and the average person weren't. So Like he,
- 23:24Speaker 3: I mean, he is sort of a bad economic messenger
- 23:25Speaker 3: and that's a gigantic shift from his first term.
- 23:28Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 23:29Speaker 4: I mean, I don't think Trump realizes the degree to
- 23:31Speaker 4: which stock market holdings are highly, highly concentrated at the top.
- 23:36Speaker 4: And a lot of people do have 401ks and retirement
- 23:39Speaker 4: accounts that are, that are tagged to the market. But
- 23:41Speaker 4: in terms of holdings, it's a relatively small amount of
- 23:43Speaker 4: money compared to the very wealthy. It's interesting to see
- 23:46Speaker 4: that a message that they correctly, the Trump people correctly
- 23:51Speaker 4: identified during the Biden presidency. that simply repeating that everything's
- 23:55Speaker 4: awesome doesn't convince people if they don't feel that it's awesome.
- 23:59Speaker 4: Now I'm using the word feel because it may be
- 24:02Speaker 4: pretty good by most economic metrics, but perception really is
- 24:05Speaker 4: reality with the economy and how it feels when you're
- 24:07Speaker 4: looking at how much money is left at the end
- 24:09Speaker 4: of the month, what's, what's coming in, what's going out
- 24:12Speaker 4: and what are my expenses. The MAGA people stumbled upon
- 24:16Speaker 4: the reality that you can't convince people the economy is
- 24:19Speaker 4: good if they don't feel it. And they're kind of
- 24:20Speaker 4: doing the exact same thing now because they don't seem
- 24:22Speaker 4: to have any other ideas.
- 24:24Speaker 3: Yeah, he's doing exactly what Biden did. It's touting macroeconomic
- 24:30Speaker 3: numbers to convince people that what they were seeing personally
- 24:35Speaker 3: in their lives, their bank accounts, does not matter or
- 24:37Speaker 3: is not that important. You know, it was like the
- 24:40Speaker 3: people are always citing how low the unemployment rate was,
- 24:42Speaker 3: which is great. Like that is better than a high
- 24:45Speaker 3: unemployment rate. But it just doesn't change the fact that
- 24:47Speaker 3: people are just paying so much more money for the
- 24:51Speaker 3: things they need in their daily life. Groceries, gas, housing.
- 24:54Speaker 3: And people are getting hammered right now with utility bills.
- 24:57Speaker 3: Just absolutely hammered, particularly in this past winter as like
- 25:00Speaker 3: these cold spells all across the United States, heating bills
- 25:03Speaker 3: through the roof. And there's no actual attempt to try
- 25:05Speaker 3: to solve the problem for people or even just seem
- 25:07Speaker 3: like you're trying to solve the problem. Like in general
- 25:09Speaker 3: in politics, you either got to solve the problem or
- 25:11Speaker 3: you got to get caught trying to solve the problem
- 25:12Speaker 3: and Trump's they're doing neither.
- 25:14Speaker 4: It also sometimes is important to talk about what is
- 25:18Speaker 4: being measured. And the example I often give is, you know,
- 25:21Speaker 4: if you put Bill Gates in a room with nine
- 25:23Speaker 4: other people and you talk about the mean net worth
- 25:26Speaker 4: of that room, you would go, this is the wealthiest
- 25:29Speaker 4: group of people I've ever seen. But the mean would
- 25:32Speaker 4: be the wrong metric in that scenario. You could have
- 25:35Speaker 4: nine broke people and then bill Gates and it averages
- 25:37Speaker 4: out in that way to something that looks pretty good.
- 25:40Speaker 4: We know that you can mess with all of these
- 25:42Speaker 4: indicators and create a perception that is different. I'll just
- 25:45Speaker 4: give you one example that always comes back. They, when
- 25:49Speaker 4: the unemployment rate was low under Democrats, including Barack Obama,
- 25:54Speaker 4: the right was obsessed with talking about the labor participation
- 25:56Speaker 4: rate and they insisted that the labor participation rate is
- 26:01Speaker 4: really low. Therefore the economy is not actually good because
- 26:04Speaker 4: too many people are out of the economy now It
- 26:07Speaker 4: was true that the labor participation rate had been declining
- 26:10Speaker 4: But it's been declining for a long time as the
- 26:12Speaker 4: population ages and more people retire You could spin that
- 26:16Speaker 4: on its head and go hey listen the fact that
- 26:17Speaker 4: people can afford to retire is good and that's gonna
- 26:21Speaker 4: lower the labor participation rate the point I'm making is
- 26:24Speaker 4: is No matter what's going on with one metric, you
- 26:27Speaker 4: can pull some other metric out and go, this is
- 26:30Speaker 4: the one that really represents what's happening to the average person.
- 26:34Speaker 4: And as we learned under Biden, as we're seeing right now,
- 26:36Speaker 4: those macro indicators, as you said, don't really tell the
- 26:40Speaker 4: story of what is happening in terms of the median American.
- 26:43Speaker 3: What did you make of the DoorDash grandma event? Was
- 26:46Speaker 3: it a good press event, a good message? I can
- 26:49Speaker 3: kind of go both ways on this. I'm curious your take.
- 26:52Speaker 4: On the net, I mean, I think on the one hand,
- 26:54Speaker 4: I thought back to the Trump McDonald's thing.
- 26:57Speaker 3: Yeah, same. That's exactly.
- 26:58Speaker 4: And so like, I think Trump does well when it's
- 27:01Speaker 4: just pictures or video where you don't hear anyone talking, right?
- 27:05Speaker 4: So when you saw Trump wearing the headset and the
- 27:07Speaker 4: apron at McDonald's, it's like, okay, that, that imagery is
- 27:10Speaker 4: actually kind of useful to Donald Trump, Trump opening the
- 27:13Speaker 4: door to the oval office and greeting this grandmother and
- 27:15Speaker 4: taking the bags of McDonald's. I think there is a
- 27:17Speaker 4: significant part of the American population that sees that and goes, okay,
- 27:21Speaker 4: that's an, that's an image I can identify with. But
- 27:24Speaker 4: then the messaging around it, I think, was terrible. And
- 27:28Speaker 4: the event was pretty widely ridiculed. It even got Trump
- 27:31Speaker 4: to say when he talked about it on Thursday that
- 27:33Speaker 4: it was tacky, I think was the word that he
- 27:35Speaker 4: used at the end of the day. So I don't
- 27:37Speaker 4: think in the net it was a beneficial event.
- 27:40Speaker 3: Yeah, I had the exact same thought was every Democrat
- 27:44Speaker 3: ridiculed the McDonald's event. And like it seemed cheesy. And
- 27:48Speaker 3: what we did not calculate in a lot of the
- 27:51Speaker 3: Democrats talking about it didn't calculate in 2024 was that
- 27:54Speaker 3: It's the kind of thing that goes viral. And it
- 27:55Speaker 3: got so much attention. And it got viral because people
- 27:58Speaker 3: who love Trump were posting it. It got viral because
- 28:01Speaker 3: people who wanted clicks were posting it. And it went
- 28:03Speaker 3: viral because Democrats were making fun of it. But everyone
- 28:06Speaker 3: saw it. And this was poorly executed. I think Trump
- 28:10Speaker 3: should not have taken a bunch of questions from the press.
- 28:13Speaker 3: There was a way to do this probably close to right.
- 28:16Speaker 3: And it got a ton of attention. Everyone was talking
- 28:19Speaker 3: about it. every, you know, everyone mentions that it was tax,
- 28:22Speaker 3: no tax on tips was the reason for it. And
- 28:24Speaker 3: so like, to me, there was a little bit of
- 28:27Speaker 3: a lesson of like, we do have like for Democrats
- 28:30Speaker 3: is sometimes you got it. Like you have to lean
- 28:32Speaker 3: into the things that are going to get attention. And
- 28:35Speaker 3: this did get attention. Trump did not execute it well,
- 28:37Speaker 3: because as you mentioned, he spoke and that is often
- 28:39Speaker 3: a downside for him, but like, it's easy to like completely, um,
- 28:45Speaker 3: look at the cable coverage of it or even the
- 28:47Speaker 3: Twitter coverage of it and say this was a total
- 28:50Speaker 3: loss for him. And then if you go, like with
- 28:52Speaker 3: the McDonald's thing, if you go on TikTok or Instagram,
- 28:55Speaker 3: you see it's everywhere. What are the things you can
- 28:57Speaker 3: do that can break out of the bubble, the political
- 28:59Speaker 3: media bubble and get to those people? And this at
- 29:01Speaker 3: least had the potential to do it. Trump just kind
- 29:03Speaker 3: of stepped on it. Yep.
- 29:04Speaker 4: I think that that's right. But I think on balance,
- 29:07Speaker 4: the Maybe my feeling in two months will be different.
- 29:10Speaker 4: But looking back at the McDonald's thing, it seems that
- 29:12Speaker 4: that was pretty clearly a win for Trump.
- 29:14Speaker 3: Yes, I agree.
- 29:15Speaker 4: Whereas this one is seeming at best like a wash.
- 29:19Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it had the potential for a win
- 29:21Speaker 3: that Trump kind of fumbled the football here.
- 29:23Speaker 5: Yeah.
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- 31:47Speaker 3: All right, I'm going to spend some time talking to
- 31:48Speaker 3: you about what we're seeing inside the right-wing media ecosystem.
- 31:52Speaker 3: Last week in an extended rant on True Social, Trump
- 31:54Speaker 3: called out Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex
- 31:57Speaker 3: Jones by name. He did that again here on Friday morning.
- 32:00Speaker 3: He called them the opposite of MAGA. Although those four
- 32:03Speaker 3: aren't the only ones criticizing Trump, there have been many
- 32:06Speaker 3: more have been critical, including a bunch of really important
- 32:09Speaker 3: Trump supporters in 2024. Let's take a listen.
- 32:11Speaker 1: Here's a leader who's mocking the gods of his ancestors,
- 32:16Speaker 1: mocking the god of gods, and exalting himself above them.
- 32:20Speaker 4: Could this be the Antichrist?
- 32:22Speaker 3: Most people that voted for Trump or wanted Trump to
- 32:26Speaker 3: be in office, one of the things that was attractive
- 32:28Speaker 3: was this no more wars.
- 32:30Speaker 5: Sure, of course.
- 32:30Speaker 3: And now we're in one of the craziest ones. What
- 32:33Speaker 3: kind of delusional reality are we living in where he's
- 32:36Speaker 3: parading around the grandma that's working DoorDash so she can
- 32:38Speaker 3: afford to pay her husband's cancer bills? And he's like, see,
- 32:42Speaker 3: we're not doing tips. One of the features of most
- 32:45Speaker 3: of Trump's decade on the public stage here, on the
- 32:49Speaker 3: political stage, has been essentially no criticism from his media
- 32:52Speaker 3: allies at all. That has changed in the last couple
- 32:55Speaker 3: of months here. It started with the Epstein files. It's
- 32:57Speaker 3: gone into overdrive because of the Iran war. How significant
- 33:02Speaker 3: do you think this is? Does it really matter to voters?
- 33:05Speaker 3: Could it change the political dynamics or is this just
- 33:07Speaker 3: sort of like porn for Democrats?
- 33:09Speaker 4: I think it does matter, but maybe in a different
- 33:11Speaker 4: sense than some might think. I don't think that the comments,
- 33:15Speaker 4: for example, from Andrew Schultz and Rogan are going to
- 33:18Speaker 4: turn Trump voters into into midterm democratic voters, because I
- 33:23Speaker 4: think that that's just a difficult uphill battle. And you
- 33:26Speaker 4: have to remember that a lot of the people that
- 33:27Speaker 4: were activated by the manosphere and by Trump himself were
- 33:30Speaker 4: previous non voters. They were, they got involved in politics
- 33:34Speaker 4: because of Donald Trump and the manosphere movement around him.
- 33:38Speaker 4: So it's not, Oh, you know, I sometimes voted one way,
- 33:40Speaker 4: sometimes the other, I went Trump. Now I don't like this.
- 33:43Speaker 4: I'll go back to Democrats. I think a lot of
- 33:44Speaker 4: these folks, if they're not liking what they're seeing, they're
- 33:48Speaker 4: going to stay home. Now that still presents an opportunity,
- 33:50Speaker 4: I think for Democrats to do some damage in November,
- 33:52Speaker 4: but that kind of remains to be seen. The part
- 33:55Speaker 4: I find very interesting about a lot of these clips
- 33:58Speaker 4: is that there's no accounting for the role that they
- 34:03Speaker 4: played in getting Trump elected. And so there's been a
- 34:06Speaker 4: lot of the, one of these, I think it was,
- 34:09Speaker 4: I don't know if it was Schultz or which one,
- 34:10Speaker 4: but maybe even Rogan used the word betrayed when it
- 34:13Speaker 4: came to the war stuff where he said he was
- 34:15Speaker 4: going to be anti-war and then he does this stuff.
- 34:18Speaker 4: I've said to my audience, if you have interactions with
- 34:21Speaker 4: people who fell for it and now they're reconsidering, let's
- 34:25Speaker 4: welcome them back. Let's not make fun of them. This
- 34:28Speaker 4: is not how you get people out of cults. You say,
- 34:30Speaker 4: it's great that you're thinking for yourself. It's great that
- 34:32Speaker 4: you're rethinking previous mistakes you made. But I also want
- 34:36Speaker 4: to mention this was predictable. And the way that we
- 34:39Speaker 4: know it was predictable is that our entire ecosystem of
- 34:42Speaker 4: podcasts and was predicting that exactly this would happen. So
- 34:46Speaker 4: it wasn't this completely nobody could have seen it kind
- 34:49Speaker 4: of thing. And so I think that the approach has
- 34:51Speaker 4: to be awesome that Rogan and Schultz and whoever are
- 34:55Speaker 4: kind of changing their tone right now, but they're not
- 34:58Speaker 4: absolved of the fact that this was totally predictable and
- 35:01Speaker 4: expected and they pulled in arguably millions of people, uh,
- 35:05Speaker 4: into this, the sort of Trump world, softer Trump supporters
- 35:09Speaker 4: maybe than the hardcore mega base. And you want to
- 35:12Speaker 4: make sure that you don't allow that to happen again
- 35:14Speaker 4: to you next time around, because there will be whoever
- 35:17Speaker 4: is after Trump and they're the same sort of mechanism
- 35:20Speaker 4: is going to be at play again. So I think
- 35:21Speaker 4: that it's going to have an effect and it's having
- 35:23Speaker 4: an effect, but I want to do everything I can
- 35:26Speaker 4: to make sure that we say this was not an
- 35:28Speaker 4: unpredictable out of nowhere thing. We were saying these guys
- 35:32Speaker 4: were wrong all along and it turns out they were.
- 35:34Speaker 3: Yeah, and many of them– I think Andrew Schultz has
- 35:37Speaker 3: talked a little bit about where he erred in this process.
- 35:41Speaker 3: But for the most part, everyone else is– they are
- 35:43Speaker 3: just on to the next one. There's a few things
- 35:46Speaker 3: I find interesting about this. One is these folks, particularly
- 35:52Speaker 3: the political ones like Megyn Kelly and Tucker Carlson, Alex Jones,
- 35:56Speaker 3: they are– I'm sure they are conservative in their political views.
- 35:59Speaker 3: I don't doubt that. And I believe that they probably
- 36:01Speaker 3: genuinely liked Trump at some point, even if they don't
- 36:03Speaker 3: like him right now. But they are also people who
- 36:06Speaker 3: are responsive to an audience. And what has really driven
- 36:10Speaker 3: the growth in right-wing media from 2016 until now has
- 36:14Speaker 3: been just the simple fact that you were either pro-Trump
- 36:17Speaker 3: or you died, right? All the conservative entities that were
- 36:21Speaker 3: not pro-Trump but tried to remain conservative went away, right?
- 36:25Speaker 3: Weekly Standard, et cetera. So you either had to become
- 36:28Speaker 3: very pro-Trump or you had to become like a member
- 36:30Speaker 3: of the And if these people were seeing giant drops
- 36:38Speaker 3: in viewership or subscribers or advertisers, whatever else, they would
- 36:42Speaker 3: not– I suspect that we would hear a different tone.
- 36:45Speaker 3: And you're not seeing that. So I do think that
- 36:46Speaker 3: there is something that has changed in the economic incentive
- 36:49Speaker 3: structure of right-wing media, which I think is problematic for Trump.
- 36:53Speaker 3: Second thing here is– and it's worth separating the– like
- 36:58Speaker 3: the Megyn Kellys and Tucker Carlson's from the Joe Rogan's
- 37:00Speaker 3: and the Andrew Schultz's or the Theo Vaughn's or any
- 37:03Speaker 3: of the other manosphere– the Nelk Boys, any of those
- 37:06Speaker 3: other people, because I think the main audience of the
- 37:10Speaker 3: people actually like tune in to Megyn Kelly and Tucker
- 37:11Speaker 3: Carlson are political people, right? It's like the version, it's
- 37:14Speaker 3: the right-wing version of people who watch our shows. And
- 37:17Speaker 3: then the people who tune into these other things are
- 37:19Speaker 3: apolitical people who became interested in politics because the host
- 37:23Speaker 3: content creator influencer that they trusted talked to them about
- 37:28Speaker 3: politics and kind of pushed them on this. And for Republicans...
- 37:34Speaker 3: losing the apolitical people does hurt with turnout, as you
- 37:39Speaker 3: point out. I do not think those people are coming
- 37:42Speaker 3: out for congressional Democrats for the most part. Maybe the
- 37:46Speaker 3: right Democratic presidential candidate can get them in 2028. But
- 37:50Speaker 3: you don't see them just being like, Joe Rogan told
- 37:53Speaker 3: me to vote for Donald Trump. I voted for him.
- 37:54Speaker 3: Donald Trump kind of screwed me over. Maybe Joe Rogan
- 37:56Speaker 3: screwed me over too. And so now I'm going to
- 37:58Speaker 3: vote for.
- 38:00Speaker 4: Lauren Boebert or something.
- 38:01Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 38:01Speaker 3: Or I'm going to vote for John Ossoff or Janet
- 38:05Speaker 3: Mills or pick your Democrat. That seems unlikely to me.
- 38:08Speaker 3: But a Trump voter who does not turn out is
- 38:12Speaker 3: a net loss of one for the Republicans. And so
- 38:15Speaker 3: that is bad. And if they do not– if just
- 38:18Speaker 3: standard typical midterm voters turn out in this election– That's
- 38:21Speaker 3: very bad for Republicans because we dominate that space now.
- 38:24Speaker 4: The other thing is also, increasingly, Trump doesn't really have
- 38:27Speaker 4: that much to offer a lot of these people anymore
- 38:29Speaker 4: when at one point he did because he can't run again.
- 38:34Speaker 3: These people being the hosts, the content creators?
- 38:37Speaker 4: Yes, yes. Sorry, the Megyn Kellys and these sorts of
- 38:40Speaker 4: folks where the incentive to stick with him for future
- 38:45Speaker 4: goodies of whatever kind there might be, rides on Air
- 38:48Speaker 4: Force One or Trump rallies for the next campaign or whatever.
- 38:52Speaker 4: I think he's just got a lot less appetizing things
- 38:57Speaker 4: to offer a lot of these people at this point.
- 39:00Speaker 4: And so they're making the calculus, their audience is increasingly disaffected.
- 39:03Speaker 4: We see it in the approval ratings and they're kind
- 39:05Speaker 4: of trying something different.
- 39:06Speaker 3: You know, this whole thing has started a big sort
- 39:10Speaker 3: of debate about what MAGA means. And Trump's pollster, Jim McLaughlin,
- 39:15Speaker 3: talked to Politico on Friday and he said this, the
- 39:17Speaker 3: base doesn't consider Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, or Candace Owens
- 39:20Speaker 3: conservative anymore. My guess is most of their clicks are
- 39:23Speaker 3: from progressives. Now, I don't buy that, but what do
- 39:26Speaker 3: you think?
- 39:27Speaker 4: Well, no, I don't buy that either. Not at all.
- 39:29Speaker 4: I don't buy that at all. I think that there's
- 39:31Speaker 4: another aspect to this, which is, is Trumpism even conservative
- 39:35Speaker 4: by any traditional thread? I mean, the discussion of what's
- 39:37Speaker 4: conservative at this point, I don't think there's much conservatism
- 39:42Speaker 4: left anywhere in that movement. But No, the idea that
- 39:46Speaker 4: it's left-wingers that are watching this stuff as kind of
- 39:49Speaker 4: rage bait or for entertainment, I don't think that that's
- 39:53Speaker 4: the case at all. In fact, a lot of my
- 39:56Speaker 4: audience even says, hey, a lot of this stuff isn't
- 39:58Speaker 4: even really worth reacting to because these people are increasingly
- 40:01Speaker 4: on the margins of what we consider to be kind
- 40:03Speaker 4: of like the valid political discussion. And we don't even
- 40:07Speaker 4: care to hear from them that much. So I don't
- 40:08Speaker 4: buy that.
- 40:09Speaker 3: I think the interesting thing here is, so there is
- 40:11Speaker 3: a question of like, who is actually conservative? And you
- 40:13Speaker 3: were right, by any definition, Traditional definition of the term conservative,
- 40:17Speaker 3: Trump is not conservative. He is spending money. The US
- 40:21Speaker 3: government is taking over companies. We are taking stake in companies.
- 40:25Speaker 3: Not a ranking conservative by any stretch of the imagination.
- 40:27Speaker 3: Then there's a question like, what is MAGA? Is MAGA
- 40:31Speaker 3: an actual ideology that is– and this sort of presumes
- 40:37Speaker 3: this idea that prior to 2016, there was this group
- 40:41Speaker 3: of Republicans or this large group in America who were anti-immigrant, nativist,
- 40:47Speaker 3: populist on economics, anti-system, who were just waiting for someone
- 40:52Speaker 3: to lead their movement and Trump showed up? Or is
- 40:55Speaker 3: MAGA just another word for Trump fan? And I think
- 41:00Speaker 3: it's– I don't know whether it started as the former,
- 41:02Speaker 3: but it's definitely the latter now. Like, yes, they are
- 41:04Speaker 3: not– Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly are not MAGA because
- 41:07Speaker 3: they're not pro-Trump. But that doesn't mean that they– I
- 41:11Speaker 3: think that's an important distinction for people to understand, especially
- 41:14Speaker 3: when you look at the polling. Because the thing you
- 41:16Speaker 3: hear all the time is, yeah, all these quote-unquote MAGA
- 41:19Speaker 3: influencers have turned against Trump, but 92% of MAGA voters
- 41:22Speaker 3: support the Iran war. Well, it's like, no, 92% of
- 41:25Speaker 3: Trump fans support Trump's war. No shit, right?
- 41:30Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 41:31Speaker 4: I think there's a few characteristics at this point to MAGA.
- 41:33Speaker 4: I mean, one of it is It relies on what
- 41:36Speaker 4: I call faux populist rhetoric. You might just call it
- 41:39Speaker 4: populist rhetoric because it's not policy, it's rhetoric, but I
- 41:42Speaker 4: call it faux populist rhetoric is number one. Um, it
- 41:45Speaker 4: is reactionary at its core and it's quite authoritarian as well.
- 41:49Speaker 4: So if you think about libertarian Republicans like Rand Paul
- 41:54Speaker 4: and authoritarian Republicans like Trump, they land in very different
- 41:58Speaker 4: places on policy. So I think that when we actually
- 42:01Speaker 4: look at policy for within MAGA, It's extraordinarily authoritarian. It's
- 42:06Speaker 4: authoritarian when it comes to its regulation of businesses. When
- 42:09Speaker 4: we don't like the decisions Twitter's making about what can
- 42:11Speaker 4: be published, we say the government now tells Twitter that
- 42:14Speaker 4: they have to publish certain things like during the pandemic,
- 42:17Speaker 4: for example, or whatever the case may be. So I,
- 42:20Speaker 4: I think that those are kind of the building, the
- 42:22Speaker 4: most important building blocks right now, but it's an authoritarian
- 42:25Speaker 4: movement far more than republicanism was for really for, for
- 42:30Speaker 4: the last 20 to 20 years prior to Trump.
- 42:31Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 42:34Speaker 3: Let's widen the aperture here a bit because I want
- 42:36Speaker 3: to talk a little bit about your career. You've been
- 42:38Speaker 3: making political content longer than I have, longer than most
- 42:41Speaker 3: people doing it online. You've been hosting your show in
- 42:44Speaker 3: some capacity, which originally started as a radio program, I believe,
- 42:48Speaker 3: since at least 2005. Talk a little bit about how
- 42:52Speaker 3: you ended up in this space and how the media
- 42:55Speaker 3: ecosystem has changed in that time period.
- 42:58Speaker 4: I really started just out of boredom. A community radio
- 43:01Speaker 4: station when I was in college started up. And at
- 43:03Speaker 4: that point you just had to sign up and you
- 43:05Speaker 4: got a show. It was like a very low barrier
- 43:07Speaker 4: to entry. So it was easy to get a show.
- 43:09Speaker 4: But very quickly, you know, I came up when podcasts
- 43:12Speaker 4: were growing and then YouTube for news and politics content
- 43:16Speaker 4: got going. And so I got involved in that. The
- 43:18Speaker 4: biggest difference now from when I started was when I started,
- 43:23Speaker 4: the pie was getting bigger so fast. that as there
- 43:27Speaker 4: were new entrants creating content, it had no importance whatsoever
- 43:33Speaker 4: on your audience because the pie was growing so quickly
- 43:36Speaker 4: as people transitioned from cable and broadcast radio to podcasts
- 43:42Speaker 4: and online video. That's changed now because a lot of
- 43:45Speaker 4: that transition has slowed down. There's sort of like a
- 43:49Speaker 4: critical mass that was reached and then growth slows down.
- 43:52Speaker 4: So a lot of the people who did transition over
- 43:56Speaker 4: to digital media have done so already. And there's sort
- 44:00Speaker 4: of like a smaller opportunity for the pie to grow.
- 44:02Speaker 4: And so many people are now doing this. So I
- 44:05Speaker 4: think I benefited a lot from timing in the sense
- 44:08Speaker 4: that I got in early enough to build an audience.
- 44:12Speaker 4: And I was recently talking to some Canadian journalists who
- 44:14Speaker 4: were just getting going in this. And I said, I,
- 44:17Speaker 4: it would be very difficult to start right now because
- 44:19Speaker 4: there are so many more people doing this than, than
- 44:22Speaker 4: there were. I think that that's great in terms of democratization.
- 44:26Speaker 4: And also it does put a little bit more of
- 44:27Speaker 4: the onus and responsibility on the audience when it comes
- 44:30Speaker 4: to media literacy and determining what exactly am I getting here?
- 44:34Speaker 4: Is this trustworthy? Do I understand the difference between news
- 44:37Speaker 4: and opinion, et cetera? But it's a very different feel now.
- 44:41Speaker 4: And then the other thing is it's starting to get
- 44:43Speaker 4: very corporate, even in the online independent media space for
- 44:47Speaker 4: two reasons. One legacy in corporate media all have a
- 44:51Speaker 4: presence in podcast and YouTube, CNN, has podcasts and CNN
- 44:55Speaker 4: has a massive YouTube channel. So I think that's one difference.
- 44:58Speaker 4: And then the other is private equity and investment firms
- 45:02Speaker 4: are getting involved in a lot of what was previously
- 45:06Speaker 4: completely independent media. So all of that is really changing
- 45:09Speaker 4: the feel of the space.
- 45:11Speaker 3: Do you think that's the, do you take it as
- 45:13Speaker 3: a negative that it's becoming more corporate?
- 45:17Speaker 4: I think that there are negative and positive aspects to it.
- 45:20Speaker 4: I think the negative can be Sometimes when money comes in,
- 45:25Speaker 4: it kind of flattens things. So a lot of stuff
- 45:28Speaker 4: starts looking kind of the same. And I, I, on
- 45:30Speaker 4: my show this week, I talked about how some nonpolitical
- 45:34Speaker 4: YouTube channels have been sort of bought up by private equity. And, um,
- 45:40Speaker 4: that hasn't necessarily been disclosed by the creators. And so
- 45:43Speaker 4: a lot of the same changes start being instituted across channels.
- 45:47Speaker 4: And so things kind of start to look more similar.
- 45:50Speaker 4: I don't think that that's good because I think part
- 45:52Speaker 4: of what makes the space interesting is that everybody has
- 45:55Speaker 4: their own presentation style. The studios look different. The approach
- 45:58Speaker 4: looks different. Losing that, I think, is bad. I do
- 46:02Speaker 4: think that there is this reality that the right in
- 46:05Speaker 4: the independent space has been so well funded for years
- 46:10Speaker 4: that they've grown to dominate some aspects of it. And
- 46:14Speaker 4: that money was much later coming in to the left.
- 46:17Speaker 4: And so I don't want to unilaterally disarm either. And
- 46:21Speaker 4: so I recognize that sometimes you do have to fight
- 46:24Speaker 4: fire with fire. And some of that money coming in
- 46:26Speaker 4: may be necessary from a political perspective to fight the right.
- 46:30Speaker 3: There is finally money coming in to progressive content creators
- 46:34Speaker 3: that has been many, many, many, many years after it's
- 46:38Speaker 3: been coming into the right and still at a much,
- 46:41Speaker 3: much lower volume. I've spent... honestly, much of the last
- 46:45Speaker 3: 10 years going to meetings with donors to try to
- 46:48Speaker 3: convince them that to take some of that money they
- 46:51Speaker 3: were spending on TV ads that were largely being shown
- 46:54Speaker 3: to people over the age of 65 and put it
- 46:56Speaker 3: into any form of content creation that could be influencers,
- 47:02Speaker 3: independent media, podcasts, etc. But it's still, even after all
- 47:08Speaker 3: of that, you know, really took after the 2024 election
- 47:10Speaker 3: for there to be like a real, or at least
- 47:12Speaker 3: a little bit in the run up to 24. And
- 47:14Speaker 3: then after that, more interest in it. What do you
- 47:16Speaker 3: think the hesitancy has been among the Democratic Party establishment,
- 47:21Speaker 3: the funding base to actually get behind independent journalism, aggressive
- 47:25Speaker 3: content creation?
- 47:26Speaker 4: I think that the donors on the left are have
- 47:29Speaker 4: been very attached to institutions as a concept. And so
- 47:33Speaker 4: when you go to them and you go, Hey, forget
- 47:35Speaker 4: about a big institution. Here's the 10 biggest progressive shows.
- 47:39Speaker 4: They don't have anything to do with each other, but together,
- 47:42Speaker 4: here's the audience they command. What about dumping in a
- 47:46Speaker 4: bunch of ad money, for example, which the right does
- 47:49Speaker 4: where they go, Hey, listen, we're not involved in your production.
- 47:52Speaker 4: We're just going to do ad spend. So we're going
- 47:55Speaker 4: to put your content in front of people on Facebook.
- 47:57Speaker 4: And on YouTube, we're just going to dump money in
- 47:59Speaker 4: that way. You could do that on the left and
- 48:02Speaker 4: you could say, Hey, I don't have to create any
- 48:03Speaker 4: content here. The 10, the 15, the 20 biggest shows
- 48:06Speaker 4: they're proven already. They have an audience. Let's just leverage
- 48:10Speaker 4: that with ad dollars. For example, I it's, and I've
- 48:14Speaker 4: pitched that to some people and they don't really seem
- 48:17Speaker 4: to get it. They're just, they still think that doing
- 48:20Speaker 4: the four minute hit on, on cable news, is better
- 48:24Speaker 4: for an elected official than long-form conversations. And all of
- 48:27Speaker 4: this stuff is changing. So I may be more critical
- 48:29Speaker 4: than where we are right now in 2026. But I
- 48:31Speaker 4: think it's just like there's this deference to the big conglomerate.
- 48:37Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 48:38Speaker 3: My experience has been a couple of things similar. One,
- 48:40Speaker 3: the first problem is most of the people who are
- 48:43Speaker 3: writing these checks don't consume YouTube, TikTok. It's like it
- 48:48Speaker 3: is a foreign world to them. They do not understand it.
- 48:51Speaker 3: So you're asking them to give money to something they
- 48:55Speaker 3: don't know what is. What they do know is television ads.
- 48:58Speaker 3: And they've been writing checks for television ads for however
- 49:00Speaker 3: long they've had money. And they see those television ads
- 49:02Speaker 3: because they watch 60 Minutes or the football game or
- 49:04Speaker 3: whatever else, and they see them. And someone will email
- 49:06Speaker 3: them the link to the ad that they essentially paid for.
- 49:10Speaker 3: And then the second problem is, and this really started
- 49:15Speaker 3: in my era, in the Obama era,– that as a party,
- 49:18Speaker 3: we became incredibly data-driven, which is good. I'm not against that.
- 49:23Speaker 3: But we really decided we could figure out the exact
- 49:26Speaker 3: ROI on every dollar spent. And so it's like if
- 49:30Speaker 3: you are running– a television ad, you can at least
- 49:33Speaker 3: say it's this many ratings points. It's going to, this
- 49:36Speaker 3: is what the audience is. This is how many people
- 49:38Speaker 3: we're going to, your dollars are going to reach. It
- 49:40Speaker 3: is just a lot. Let like, these are not to
- 49:42Speaker 3: the extent you have metrics. If you were investing in
- 49:44Speaker 3: like your ad idea, it's except that you have metrics
- 49:47Speaker 3: that are not metrics that are particularly familiar to the
- 49:49Speaker 3: people who are paying for television ads. And then if
- 49:51Speaker 3: you're just saying, invest in content creators themselves, right? Let's
- 49:55Speaker 3: give some of them a stipend. Let's you know, let's,
- 49:59Speaker 3: you know, have some sort of funding that helps people
- 50:01Speaker 3: get started or lets them level up. That's a venture bet.
- 50:07Speaker 3: It's not a specific. It's not a stock. You're not
- 50:09Speaker 3: buying an equity, right? So people I've talked to have
- 50:11Speaker 3: really struggled with that because they became used to this
- 50:13Speaker 3: idea that there's this very specific formula that your dollars
- 50:16Speaker 3: are going to reach this many voters. We need this
- 50:18Speaker 3: many voters to win. And now you're asking them to
- 50:21Speaker 3: invest in something they don't fully understand in a way
- 50:25Speaker 3: in which without the certainty of impact that they've had before.
- 50:29Speaker 3: Because You're not exactly investing– and this is, I guess,
- 50:32Speaker 3: the third reason that's tied to it is short-termism. Every
- 50:35Speaker 3: Democratic donor wants to win the next election. How– and
- 50:37Speaker 3: I understand that. Every one of them has been existential
- 50:39Speaker 3: for a long time now. So it's like we absolutely
- 50:41Speaker 3: have to win the House. How do we win the House?
- 50:42Speaker 3: We might always have to win the House. But what
- 50:44Speaker 3: we're saying is we have to build something that is
- 50:48Speaker 3: going to sustain a progressive pro-democracy movement for the future,
- 50:54Speaker 3: for 26, for 28, for 30, for 32– And that
- 50:57Speaker 3: we just have always been like, we don't have the
- 51:00Speaker 3: version or haven't had the version of the Koch brothers
- 51:03Speaker 3: who were investing for the long term for decades.
- 51:05Speaker 4: That's right. I think that that long term thinking is
- 51:08Speaker 4: what's missing. And I've had a couple of conversations with
- 51:10Speaker 4: people who they weren't really looking to invest in anything
- 51:14Speaker 4: in particular, but they were trying to understand the space
- 51:16Speaker 4: a little more, which I appreciate. And I said, here's,
- 51:18Speaker 4: they said, how would I know whether my dollars are
- 51:20Speaker 4: working and how quickly? And I said, here's the way
- 51:22Speaker 4: you kind of have to think about it. Imagine that
- 51:24Speaker 4: when you identify the 20 largest progressive shows and we
- 51:27Speaker 4: figure out, Hey, cumulatively, this is a billion and a
- 51:31Speaker 4: half views per month and a hundred million subscribers. I'm
- 51:35Speaker 4: just making up numbers. It's probably, it probably would be
- 51:37Speaker 4: like 30 million subscribers and 1.5 billion views a month.
- 51:40Speaker 4: Imagine if over the next two years by investing in,
- 51:44Speaker 4: in the ad programs using ad spend to boost these
- 51:48Speaker 4: shows that triples to four and a half billion views
- 51:52Speaker 4: a month and 90 million subscribers. As candidates come forward
- 51:57Speaker 4: in future elections, as there are movements to support, whether
- 52:00Speaker 4: it's prop 50 or whatever, isn't it mathematically obvious that
- 52:05Speaker 4: three X-ing the audience and viewership of these largest 20
- 52:08Speaker 4: shows is going to create a much more powerful apparatus.
- 52:12Speaker 4: And they kind of get that. And I tell them,
- 52:14Speaker 4: you won't know how much of it is because of
- 52:16Speaker 4: your money. You will not.
- 52:17Speaker 3: That's, that's the exact problem is here.
- 52:19Speaker 5: Yes.
- 52:19Speaker 4: And they don't like that. They don't like that.
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- 54:17Speaker 3: Over the course of your career here, you've learned a
- 54:19Speaker 3: lot about the media environment. You've written a book about it.
- 54:21Speaker 3: You've written a second book about it that's coming out
- 54:23Speaker 3: this fall about the power of algorithms. Talk a little
- 54:25Speaker 3: bit about your book and what it's about.
- 54:29Speaker 4: So the concept is pay attention, which of course has
- 54:32Speaker 4: a double meaning. We're paying attention to stuff. We're also
- 54:34Speaker 4: paying for attention. And it's not political in the partisan
- 54:37Speaker 4: sense like my first book was. And it's really just
- 54:40Speaker 4: a look at how these platforms developed and how they
- 54:43Speaker 4: actually do come from earlier forms of media. Uh, even
- 54:48Speaker 4: though it might not be completely obvious how that is,
- 54:51Speaker 4: how algorithms today are dictating how people can exist in
- 54:55Speaker 4: the same country, but have completely different beliefs about not
- 54:58Speaker 4: what should be, but, but even what is and what
- 55:00Speaker 4: is taking place right now. Um, AI is a part
- 55:03Speaker 4: of it and how that's going to affect the space
- 55:05Speaker 4: that we occupy probably significantly. And, and it already is
- 55:09Speaker 4: in fact, in some ways and probably will, uh, even more, uh,
- 55:12Speaker 4: with some ideas of, of how to have a more
- 55:15Speaker 4: balanced and healthy approach. especially to news consumption, but to
- 55:18Speaker 4: media consumption of, of all kinds. And I've learned a
- 55:22Speaker 4: crazy amount even in researching the book. Uh, but I
- 55:26Speaker 4: think that really right now for anyone who either is
- 55:30Speaker 4: on these digital platforms has to make decisions at some
- 55:34Speaker 4: point about kids being on these platforms, which is not
- 55:37Speaker 4: a decision I have to make right now. It's probably,
- 55:38Speaker 4: I don't know, seven, eight years away or something like that.
- 55:42Speaker 4: I think we really have to understand how we got
- 55:45Speaker 4: to where we are and why I see certain things
- 55:48Speaker 4: when I look at Facebook or TikTok and you might
- 55:51Speaker 4: see something different and the effect that this has socioculturally
- 55:55Speaker 4: and on the economy. So it's kind of broad in
- 55:58Speaker 4: that sense, but it's specifically focused on digital platforms and
- 56:02Speaker 4: why they look the way they look today.
- 56:04Speaker 3: Your book is not political, but the most powerful... players
- 56:09Speaker 3: in American politics and world politics right now are the
- 56:11Speaker 3: algorithms themselves.
- 56:12Speaker 5: Yes.
- 56:13Speaker 4: Right.
- 56:13Speaker 3: They are determined. They have played such a gigantic role
- 56:16Speaker 3: in polarization, news consumption, what breaks through. And like it is,
- 56:25Speaker 3: this may not be a part of your book, but
- 56:26Speaker 3: it is just worth noting that the most, the algorithms
- 56:30Speaker 3: that matter most are all owned by, or most of them,
- 56:33Speaker 3: all but one of them are owned by pro Trump billionaires.
- 56:36Speaker 5: Right.
- 56:37Speaker 3: Mark Zuckerberg and Meta control Instagram, Facebook, WhatsApp. And then
- 56:44Speaker 3: you have Elon Musk controlling Twitter. We now have a
- 56:47Speaker 3: pro-Trump billionaire in charge of TikTok US. What level of
- 56:51Speaker 3: concern does that give you beyond just the dangers of
- 56:54Speaker 3: these algorithms to begin with?
- 56:56Speaker 4: It's a huge level of concern. But one of the
- 56:58Speaker 4: things I do talk about in the book is that
- 57:00Speaker 4: It might seem as though the causality goes one way,
- 57:03Speaker 4: which is, Hey, pro Trump billionaires control the algorithms. Therefore
- 57:06Speaker 4: the algorithms promote a lot of this right wing stuff.
- 57:10Speaker 4: I actually think it's the opposite way, which is that
- 57:13Speaker 4: the rights sort of argumentation is built for what performs
- 57:17Speaker 4: best in these algorithms in the sense of divisive content
- 57:21Speaker 4: performs better. Simple ideas with a clear scapegoat or someone
- 57:26Speaker 4: to blame perform better. You can go through this list
- 57:29Speaker 4: of five or six things and you kind of realize
- 57:32Speaker 4: you don't have to build it in a way that
- 57:35Speaker 4: it helps the right. There's something more structural in there.
- 57:39Speaker 4: And George Lakoff has written a lot about this when
- 57:41Speaker 4: it comes to political messaging. You know, you think about
- 57:43Speaker 4: the concept of tax relief. It's my money. It's better
- 57:47Speaker 4: and it's relieving when I get to keep it. And
- 57:50Speaker 4: on the left, we're not the opposite of that. We're
- 57:53Speaker 4: not going around saying the higher the tax, the better.
- 57:56Speaker 4: Let's rate. We're kind of saying, Hey, we're in a society.
- 58:00Speaker 4: If we want to have certain public services, we need
- 58:03Speaker 4: to set a tax level. That's like a structural thing,
- 58:06Speaker 4: which social media explodes. And then that's how you get
- 58:11Speaker 4: the disinformation. That's really simple with a clear scapegoat. You know,
- 58:14Speaker 4: they're eating the cats and the dogs and all of
- 58:16Speaker 4: this stuff it's built for these digital platforms. I don't
- 58:20Speaker 4: deny that the pro-Trump biases of the people in charge
- 58:25Speaker 4: matter and are important, but I actually think it's slightly
- 58:28Speaker 4: less important than it might seem because there's such an
- 58:31Speaker 4: algorithmic bias to the sort of stuff that the right
- 58:33Speaker 4: is putting out.
- 58:34Speaker 3: That's an important point because the Facebook algorithm became a
- 58:40Speaker 3: vehicle for right-wing content when Mark Zuckerberg was still a
- 58:45Speaker 3: Barack Obama supporter. It's that Steve Bannon... Tucker Carlson, the
- 58:51Speaker 3: folks at Breitbart and Daily Caller sort of figured out
- 58:53Speaker 3: early on how to hack the algorithm, like what are
- 58:56Speaker 3: the things that worked. And I remember sitting in the
- 58:59Speaker 3: White House in 2014 when really Facebook really sort of
- 59:04Speaker 3: blew up both as a major source of news for people,
- 59:08Speaker 3: as the news feed became a certain way. and as
- 59:11Speaker 3: right-wing messaging really sort of surfaced a lot. I remember
- 59:15Speaker 3: sitting in focus groups after– do you remember the IRS
- 59:19Speaker 3: scandal when there was these– which turned out to be
- 59:21Speaker 3: a bunch of bullshit, but that there was this accusation
- 59:23Speaker 3: that Obama had some of gotten a bunch of people
- 59:25Speaker 3: in a Cincinnati IRS office to scrutinize Tea Party groups?
- 59:29Speaker 3: And I thought it was one of those things, when
- 59:30Speaker 3: it blew up in Washington, and I understood why it
- 59:32Speaker 3: blew up. It's like the IRS involved in politics that
- 59:34Speaker 3: has echoes of Watergate. It's going to get attention. But
- 59:37Speaker 3: prior to that, we would always in the White House
- 59:39Speaker 3: have these situations where it's like there'd be this big
- 59:41Speaker 3: thing that like dominate Politico and CNN. Then we would
- 59:44Speaker 3: do focus groups and people in and around the country
- 59:45Speaker 3: would have no idea what we were talking about, right?
- 59:47Speaker 3: Just not a clue. We did focus groups on the
- 59:50Speaker 3: IRS thing and everyone knew. And then there was like
- 59:54Speaker 3: a VA scandal, which is the kind of thing that
- 59:56Speaker 3: doesn't really blow up in the same way. we did
- 59:58Speaker 3: focus groups again, everyone knew. And every time they were
- 1:00:01Speaker 3: sort of reading back, they were framing it to us
- 1:00:04Speaker 3: in right-wing terms. And when the moderator asked people why,
- 1:00:08Speaker 3: like where they got this information, the answer was Facebook.
- 1:00:11Speaker 3: And it's like, and they had sort of, and the
- 1:00:13Speaker 3: right had sort of figured out how to like, you know,
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: it was like those Breitbart headlines that were just like
- 1:00:20Speaker 3: so offensive that they would generate so much outrage, which
- 1:00:22Speaker 3: would generate so many comments, which would generate so much engagement.
- 1:00:25Speaker 3: The right has been very good at And it stayed
- 1:00:29Speaker 3: ahead of the curve, which is– it's almost shocking how
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: fast they got good at it considering how bad they
- 1:00:33Speaker 3: were at the internet in 2008, 2012. Do you think
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: Democrats are– we have a more complicated message. We have
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: a bigger tent. Things are, I think, harder for us
- 1:00:45Speaker 3: in some ways. But we're obviously not maximizing our opportunities here.
- 1:00:48Speaker 3: Why do you think Democrats struggle with the sort of
- 1:00:50Speaker 3: messaging that would do better on the platforms? Yeah.
- 1:00:54Speaker 4: I mean, I think part of it is just the
- 1:00:56Speaker 4: messages are inherently a little more complicated. And I say
- 1:00:58Speaker 4: that without even a value judgment, like they could be
- 1:01:00Speaker 4: more complicated and better or not. I happen to think
- 1:01:03Speaker 4: most of them are better, but that doesn't necessarily have
- 1:01:07Speaker 4: to be the case. I think that being late to
- 1:01:10Speaker 4: the game to some degree and skepticism about some of
- 1:01:13Speaker 4: us as creators and being slower to adopt that and
- 1:01:17Speaker 4: being more risk averse as well. I mean, none of
- 1:01:19Speaker 4: these are new sort of insights, but if you put
- 1:01:22Speaker 4: them all together, it has really slowed Democrats down quite
- 1:01:26Speaker 4: a bit. I mean, only after Kamala Harris lost the
- 1:01:32Speaker 4: 2024 election in December, the Biden White House said, let's
- 1:01:36Speaker 4: have a bunch of creators here to kind of talk
- 1:01:38Speaker 4: to us about how to work with them and this
- 1:01:41Speaker 4: sort of thing. And then the other thing is, I
- 1:01:43Speaker 4: can't speak to whether this is unique on the left
- 1:01:45Speaker 4: because I'm not in touch with the staffers of any Republicans.
- 1:01:49Speaker 4: But one thing that does happen often is, The communication
- 1:01:52Speaker 4: I have with staffers from Democratic elected officials sometimes is
- 1:01:56Speaker 4: really weird in the sense that it completely seems to
- 1:01:58Speaker 4: miss kind of like what I do. Like I will
- 1:02:00Speaker 4: get text messages from staffers that go, hey, our principal,
- 1:02:05Speaker 4: whoever it is, just put out this letter about what
- 1:02:10Speaker 4: should happen. And if you want to signal boost it,
- 1:02:13Speaker 4: and it's like, no one in my audience cares about that.
- 1:02:16Speaker 4: That would immediately raise red flags as why is David
- 1:02:19Speaker 4: reposting press releases from elected officials. And so there's sort
- 1:02:24Speaker 4: of like, we don't exactly totally know how to work
- 1:02:26Speaker 4: with you yet. Doesn't apply to everybody, but that's something
- 1:02:29Speaker 4: that happens a shockingly high amount of time.
- 1:02:32Speaker 3: In 2025, I went and I spoke at the request
- 1:02:35Speaker 3: of the House. I went and spoke to the House
- 1:02:36Speaker 3: caucus about sort of the new media environment and podcasting
- 1:02:39Speaker 3: and how to think about content creators as part of
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: your messaging. I did the same thing for the Senate.
- 1:02:45Speaker 3: You know, and it's like, it's sort of as you
- 1:02:48Speaker 3: would expect. And this is a broad generalization, but the
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: younger members get it more than the older members do.
- 1:02:54Speaker 3: And younger doesn't necessarily– sometimes that means– sometimes it just
- 1:02:57Speaker 3: means how long you've been in the house, right? I
- 1:02:59Speaker 3: always sort of argue that politicians, like understanding the media environment,
- 1:03:04Speaker 3: freezes in amber the moment they get elected to office, right?
- 1:03:06Speaker 3: Which is like the last thing they ever knew was
- 1:03:09Speaker 3: what they– how they consumed the media as a normal human,
- 1:03:11Speaker 3: and then that's it. You know, they're like– Bernie Sanders' team,
- 1:03:16Speaker 3: he's not the youngest, is very good at this stuff.
- 1:03:17Speaker 3: There are exceptions to it. The staffers, I met with
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: the staffers, with a group of staffers, and what was
- 1:03:26Speaker 3: interesting was a lot of them get it. They're in
- 1:03:29Speaker 3: their 20s, early 30s. They consume media the way you
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: and I consume media. They listen to you. They listen
- 1:03:35Speaker 3: to Ponce America. They subscribe to a lot of sub stacks.
- 1:03:40Speaker 3: But it's just very hard for them to explain convince
- 1:03:45Speaker 3: their bosses, who all still live in the old media world,
- 1:03:48Speaker 3: both the members of Congress or the chiefs of staff,
- 1:03:50Speaker 3: in some cases, particularly in the Senate, of why these
- 1:03:52Speaker 3: things matter. And so they're being told to bring an
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: old world idea to a new media world. We also,
- 1:04:01Speaker 3: as a party, became obsessed with signal boosting at some point,
- 1:04:03Speaker 3: like around 2012, where it's like, hey, retweet this thing
- 1:04:07Speaker 3: I'm going to send you and let's drive engagement to it.
- 1:04:10Speaker 3: And that was before there were– I mean, you were
- 1:04:12Speaker 3: doing it, but there weren't as many content creators who
- 1:04:14Speaker 3: were actually media figures who you could go on their
- 1:04:16Speaker 3: show or have a conversation with or work it into
- 1:04:18Speaker 3: the coverage that you would sort of treat as a media,
- 1:04:22Speaker 3: as a member of the media, not a– fellow Democrat
- 1:04:26Speaker 3: with a large Twitter following. And I think that they
- 1:04:28Speaker 3: have struggled to adjust from that. The term signal boost
- 1:04:31Speaker 3: drives me insane.
- 1:04:32Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah. The other one that I don't like is, hey,
- 1:04:34Speaker 4: I wanted to send you a couple of flags. And
- 1:04:36Speaker 4: I'm like, don't send me any flags. I don't need
- 1:04:38Speaker 4: any flags right now. Just let me know if your
- 1:04:41Speaker 4: boss wants to do an interview and then we can
- 1:04:43Speaker 4: actually have a conversation. But to your point, there are
- 1:04:46Speaker 4: increasingly more and more, I find it to be especially
- 1:04:49Speaker 4: governors whose teams do really get it. and our understanding
- 1:04:54Speaker 4: that kind of like long form don't overmanage, certainly don't
- 1:04:59Speaker 4: say only talk about these three things. Just like if
- 1:05:02Speaker 4: you can trust the principle, let them do their thing
- 1:05:06Speaker 4: and it's going to be far more authentic. And when
- 1:05:08Speaker 4: you think about that, it reminds me of when Trump
- 1:05:11Speaker 4: sat down with the Nelk boys. I mean, he told
- 1:05:13Speaker 4: 150 lies during that thing, but it didn't matter because
- 1:05:17Speaker 4: you got the sense that he was kind of hanging
- 1:05:19Speaker 4: out giving his genuine, authentic opinion about things, which is
- 1:05:24Speaker 4: a deplorable opinion in so many different ways. But the
- 1:05:27Speaker 4: feel of it is something voters just identify with in
- 1:05:30Speaker 4: a much more direct way. Yeah.
- 1:05:32Speaker 3: One of the pieces of advice I try to give
- 1:05:34Speaker 3: politicians or their staff is like, the goal when you
- 1:05:40Speaker 3: go on a show is not to just say the
- 1:05:43Speaker 3: words your pollster told you to say. You have seven minutes.
- 1:05:48Speaker 3: No matter what happens, you have to get all your
- 1:05:49Speaker 3: message out in that seven minutes. Don't answer the question.
- 1:05:52Speaker 3: Deliver your answer. And it's like that's not how the
- 1:05:54Speaker 3: world works anymore for a couple reasons. One, people are
- 1:05:56Speaker 3: very skeptical of politicians. So if you sound like a politician,
- 1:05:58Speaker 3: you're fucked. It's over. So if you're doing talking points,
- 1:06:02Speaker 3: you've lost. I don't care if you're doing it on CNN,
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: you're doing it on your show, you're doing it on
- 1:06:05Speaker 3: our show, anywhere else. You sound like a politician, you've
- 1:06:07Speaker 3: lost everyone. The second thing is that because people hate
- 1:06:10Speaker 3: politicians and they're very skeptical of them, like you're starting
- 1:06:12Speaker 3: at a deficit. So you have to convince them you're human.
- 1:06:14Speaker 3: So like what is the thing you authentically care about
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: that's not politics, right? Like what– and like you find
- 1:06:22Speaker 3: a way to talk about that somewhere, right? That could
- 1:06:24Speaker 3: be sports. Like you hear Josh Shapiro always talking about
- 1:06:28Speaker 3: Philly sports. He cares a lot about Philly sports. You
- 1:06:30Speaker 3: hear J.B. Pritzker cares– he is a Star Wars nerd
- 1:06:35Speaker 3: and he will talk about Star Wars until the you know,
- 1:06:38Speaker 3: to the Caliscom home. And he did an interview where
- 1:06:40Speaker 3: he came up on St. America with Lovett and they
- 1:06:42Speaker 3: talked about their favorite Star Wars characters. They ranked the
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: Star Wars movies. Like that, like you just seem like
- 1:06:47Speaker 3: a normal human. And people are just like afraid to
- 1:06:50Speaker 3: do that. Because, and you can only do that in
- 1:06:52Speaker 3: a long form conversation.
- 1:06:54Speaker 4: That's right. And that's the other thing which I think
- 1:06:56Speaker 4: you're sort of alluding to, which is the talking points
- 1:06:59Speaker 4: can't fill a long term, a long form conversation. So
- 1:07:02Speaker 4: you all of a sudden have a 53 minute hole
- 1:07:04Speaker 4: to fill.
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:07:05Speaker 3: And you gotta, you gotta talk, you gotta talk about things.
- 1:07:07Speaker 3: Are there, Are there Democrats out there who you think
- 1:07:11Speaker 3: are doing it right, who understand this media environment and
- 1:07:14Speaker 3: are sort of communicating the right way? And I'll stipulate
- 1:07:17Speaker 3: AOC and Zoran right away, but are there others?
- 1:07:20Speaker 4: Yeah, I think there's no one person that does it
- 1:07:24Speaker 4: all perfectly. But in the last year, definitely. I mean,
- 1:07:27Speaker 4: I think Gavin Newsom's team definitely seems to understand how
- 1:07:31Speaker 4: to use a lot of these platforms. I think JB
- 1:07:33Speaker 4: Pritzker is pretty good. I was with him a few
- 1:07:35Speaker 4: weeks ago in Chicago and did an interview with him
- 1:07:38Speaker 4: and he was pretty freewheeling and was up for talking
- 1:07:40Speaker 4: about whatever. And his team seemed to understand who everybody was.
- 1:07:43Speaker 4: And I think that that, that was a great thing.
- 1:07:46Speaker 4: Not in more of an interview format, but Adam Schiff
- 1:07:49Speaker 4: is pretty good at putting out reaction videos to things
- 1:07:53Speaker 4: that are happening in the Senate and sort of like
- 1:07:56Speaker 4: explaining how these relate to what people are experiencing and
- 1:07:59Speaker 4: they get a huge amount of traffic. So I think
- 1:08:02Speaker 4: that that's strong. I think Wes Moore has been quite
- 1:08:06Speaker 4: good and his team seems to understand. There's really a
- 1:08:09Speaker 4: lot that are getting better and better at it. Cory
- 1:08:11Speaker 4: Booker's team also is pretty on the ball in terms
- 1:08:15Speaker 4: of being proactive, but not in a way where they're
- 1:08:17Speaker 4: asking you to cover press releases. They're actually giving you, hey,
- 1:08:20Speaker 4: he's doing this thing. Here's what's interesting about it. we
- 1:08:25Speaker 4: would love for you to talk about it or whatever
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: kind of thing. So I think there's a growing list
- 1:08:29Speaker 4: of people who get it.
- 1:08:32Speaker 3: If you were giving it, like we're going to have
- 1:08:34Speaker 3: somewhere between 12 and 200 Democrats running for president in 2028.
- 1:08:38Speaker 3: If you had a chance to sit down with them
- 1:08:40Speaker 3: and give them some advice about how to be a
- 1:08:43Speaker 3: more effective, more authentic communicator in that presidential election, what
- 1:08:47Speaker 3: would you tell them?
- 1:08:47Speaker 4: The primary thing would be get your staff out of
- 1:08:50Speaker 4: the way. You've got to make sure that you are
- 1:08:54Speaker 4: not trying to have an authentic conversation with two weeks
- 1:08:59Speaker 4: of forced interaction communication between producers and staff in between,
- 1:09:04Speaker 4: because that, that just really kills things. I mean, I
- 1:09:06Speaker 4: think that that obviously know what you stand for, understand
- 1:09:10Speaker 4: what is important to you, know who you're talking to.
- 1:09:14Speaker 4: All of those things are important, but I think the
- 1:09:15Speaker 4: most important thing is don't allow staff to get in
- 1:09:19Speaker 4: the way of what can be really good conversations.
- 1:09:22Speaker 3: David Pakman, I think we'll leave it there. Thank you
- 1:09:24Speaker 3: so much for spending the time with us today. Hope
- 1:09:26Speaker 3: to talk to you again soon.
- 1:09:27Speaker 4: My pleasure.
- 1:09:32Speaker 3: That's our show for today. Thank you to David Pakman
- 1:09:34Speaker 3: for joining the show. Love it. Tommy and John will
- 1:09:36Speaker 3: be back in your feed on Tuesday.
- 1:09:38Speaker 5: Bye everyone.
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