Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 12/10/25

Transcript

NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 12/10/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape. Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: possibly have with you, as I always am until I
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody's sewed? Back with you TOATSAL Sports, Wednesday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: December tenth, yesterday, the win versus loss all depended on
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: what number you got on the Yukon game, man, I mean,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: this is like we're talking about some razor thin margins here.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: The Ohio State one did not get there. They were
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: in that game kind of, but they were down six
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: to eight points the majority of the game, pretty much
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: hanging in there. They cut it to one in the
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: middle of the second half, it was looking like they
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: were headed in the right direction, and then they still
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: fell short. There was a little bit too far behind,
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: couldn't stay within it, and I think they probably had
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: some intentional fouls at the end, so that didn't get there.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: And for the Connecticut game, they probably should have covered
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: every number, but it all depended on what number you got. Man.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: It was four and a half when I gave it
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: on my show. This morning, and then when I went
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: to like put it into Action Network to track it
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: was already down to like four three and a half.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh boy, So I wasn't sure which way
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: the line was gonna go. It looked like the market
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: actually moved against me as the day went on on
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: that one, which I wasn't sure that was gonna be
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: the game. Basically, I thought the public would be on
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: Yukon along with pretty much the professional so I didn't
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: really think the number is gonna move the other way.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: So I guess we have to track it as a
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: loss and a losing day on the show here. But
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: some people that got to it later in the day
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: probably won on the three and a half or pushed
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: because they won by four, they probably should have won
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: by more than that. I mean, yeah, it was a
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: low scoring game, but I said that Yukon, if they
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: control the pace, it was gonna be low scoring, which
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: is what they want to do. They were up, I
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: think around eight points with a few minutes left in
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: the game, looking like they were ready to cover that thing,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: and then Florida cut the lead back down and Yukon
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: want up winning by exactly four. Pretty brutal, but again
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: it's the importance of getting the best number that you can.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: And then we won a close one in hockey where
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: Anahim kind of got outplayed in that game statistically, but
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: they won I think in overtime. But a close game
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: is an underdog. I mean it kind of you can
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: argue it's the right play. The situational read was why
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: I did that play. Obviously I almost didn't add it,
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: but it was the win that we had yesterday. I mean,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: it was a win if you got a win on
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the Connecticut one too, but yeah, it was a win,
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: so I'll take it. They were winning. There was no
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: point where they were losing the game, except when they
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: fell behind three to two late in the game and
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: it looked it was over, but as Anaheim tends to do,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: they tied it in the final minutes and then won
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: and overtime. So I've been on the bad side of
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: that and now I'm on the good side of that.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: So maybe I need to get a ducks Chris Crider, Jersey,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know, let's getting into today. I don't love
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: this board today. Man, It's a pretty small board. Mostly
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: college basketball. My two players are both going to be
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: in college basketball. There's not a whole lot else going
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: on here could jump right into it. Here, we do
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: have a game at noon on ESPN Plus between Norfolk
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: State and Baylor. Kind of a weird match up here
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: on Norfolk State is coming off a couple other fairly
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: big games. They had to go to Arizona, and obviously
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: that was a mismatch. They couldn't really compete against Arizona.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: But then they came back to the Virginia area and
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: they played in what I think they considered to be
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: an in state bigger brother James Madison, and as an underdog,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State took that game to the wire. Basically they
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: only lost by one point. Big game for Norfolk State,
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: and that's they're coming off of. Now. I don't know
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: exactly what the line was in this game. They probably
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: weren't a huge underdog, but they were definitely an underdog
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: in that game. So now Norfolk State gonna have to
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: keep up that level of effort multiple games in a row.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Might be a little bit difficult, even though generally you think, well,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: they will try to step it up for Baylor, but
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: that game against JMU might have taken a lot out
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: of the man name with the travel to Arizona before that.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: Baylor is coming up of a fairly big game as well,
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: though it was their first true road game. They lost
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: at Memphis, which is a big game. Memphis still has
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: that name surrounding them and they're not exactly a great team.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Though maybe Baylor does bounce back from that. After Baylor
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: took their first loss to a better Saint John's Seeing,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: Baylor actually did bounce back fine with a win against
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: San Diego State, So I'm leaning towards Baylor bouncing back here.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards laying it with Baylor. Not
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion here, but they're up from twenty five
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: to twenty seven now, tickets seventy four percent of the
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: cash on them pretty low tall one hundred and forty
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. Although it has gone up for Baylor.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: I think they actually play faster this year than they
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: have in recent years. Yeah, their tempo was a bit
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: faster than I'm used to. I'm used to Baylor being
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: a slow team over the last couple of years. They're
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: not really this year. Yeah. Overall, I would lean slightly
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: towards Baylor in that one. As far as some of
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: these other games, Merrimack and Princeton, which is kind of
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: at a weird time at five pm Eastern on ESPN
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: Plus as well. Princeton, they're coming out of a game
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: where they went to Loyola Chicago, and I know Loyol Chicago.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: I've talked about how they've been really, really underperforming this
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: year and we have to decide whether we might have
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: had them like severely overvalued coming into this season, or
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: maybe they're better than their start would indicate. And maybe
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: that's the case here. Loyola was a fairly big favorite
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: in this game on Princeton, who's kind of down this year,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: especially because they lost Zavian Lee, who's one of their
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: best players. He's on Florida now not doing particularly great
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: with Florida. But Princedon played pretty close, is a pretty
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: big underdog there against Loyola, and now they're coming off
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: of that game, now they get Merrimack, and up next,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: they got a pretty big game against Temple, though I
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: know it's not for twelve days, but they might consider
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: that to be a bit of a bigger game because
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: we're talking about Princeton, New Jersey, Temple, Philadelphia area. Maybe
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: they overlook this Merrimack team that looks like they're maybe
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: a little bit under the radar right now. I don't
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: think Merrimack is that good, but I would probably lead
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: towards taking the three and a half with Merrimack here
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the tickets, ninety six percent of the
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: cash on Princeton for now, but I think taking the
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: points somewhat makes sense in that one. The total is
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: up to a whopping one hundred and thirty seven and
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: a half, not a high total, so the points are
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: worth more in that game as well. SOB, what's up man? Yeah,
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: I was not good on the NBA yesterday. Spurs. Yeah,
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about those games. I don't love the games,
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: but I probably agree with you on the Spurs and
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: that one. I think you can get a better number
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: than five and a half right now too. I think,
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: all right, what else do we want to talk about here?
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio and Asheville unc Ashevial at six pm. Miami Ohio.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: They're eight to o to start the season, but they've
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: had a very very weak schedule, like even their Division
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: one opponents have been for the most part, pretty bad.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: So this Miami Ohio team. They may be one of
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the MAX still, but they're not
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: as good as this record looks. Now they're going back
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: out on the road. I know they did handle a
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: road game, having to go all the way out into
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: Elevation and play air Force. They handled that fine. Air
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: Force is pretty bad though, But unc Asheville looks like
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: they're really down this year two, So I don't really
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: know what to do with this game. You see Ashural's
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: coming up a pretty big step up game against NC
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: State on the road and in state, bigger brother NC State.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: You know unc ashtal is gonna get up for a
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: game like that, and they didn't play too poorly. They
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: only lost my twelve really year game to Handicap. Here,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is up to a four and a half
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: point road favorite, although I don't know. I mean something
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: in me tells me just slightly looking towards taking the
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: points there because I just see this week schedule that
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is played, and I kind of want to
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: go against it, even though I didn't do that with
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: Florida last night, even though, like I said, Florida is
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: better than the record indicates. But I still think Yukon
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: should have been the right side in that game and
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: was if you got the better number. Uh. The first
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: big conference game that we have, we have a Big
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: Ten matchup at seven pm on the Big Ten Network.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is at Purdue Perdue, who I think was number
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: one in the country because they get blown out in
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: one game, they have one really bad half against Iowa State,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: and now they're ranked sixth in the country. I think again,
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: these rankings makers, they overreact to one game, dude, Like
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: you do not want to overreact to one game. This
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: this game is like the poster child for that. And
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: I'm actually tempted to give out a play on this,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: although I have some reasons not to do it, but
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean towards laying the points with Purdue in
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: this one. We're looking at opposite sides of the spectrum here, basically,
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: like people are just gonna completely overreact to one result
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: for each team. Ken bum does have for Doe with
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: the sixth best team in the country right now as well.
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: But yeah, they lost to Iowa State, which is what
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: I'm referring to. Iowa State's very very good, but you
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: lose eighty one to fifty eight to anybody, you're gonna
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: be angry man, So I kind of expect for Due
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: to bounce back off of that. That was just a
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: disgusting loss. This game was at home too for Purdue,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: but everybody's just gonna be knocking Purdue, I think too
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: hard for this. If you look at what happened in
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: this game, and Iowa State shot crazy in the game
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: forty eight percent from three, fifty four percent from the field.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: Perdue had kind of a bad shooting game, especially Purdue
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: usually shoots pretty well, but twenty two percent from three
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: way lower than what you would expect. Purdue lost the
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: turnover battle, they actually won the rebounding battles. So a
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: lot of this is outlier stuff that I think indicates
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: to me the Purdue is gonna bounce back from this again.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: They're winning this game. I think they're winning almost close
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: to halftime in this game, or getting fairly close to
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: the end of the first half, and that everything just
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: imploded on them again, I think people are gonna overreact
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: to that. And on the other side of things, we
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: had Minnesota in their last game. They pulled off the
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: upset over Indiana. That was a nice win. In Minnesota's
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: conference home opener here man beating Indiana, that's a huge deal.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: Now they do have to go out on the road.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: I understand, yeah, Minnesota should be focused for a game
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: against Purdue, but they pulled off a ten and a
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: half point upset in that game Man against Indiana. We
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: got the nice, outright win on the show. With that one.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: They could be in a bit of a letdown spot here.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: And the last time they went out on the road,
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: they only had one true road game and they were
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: pretty bad against Missouri, losing by twenty three, and Purdue
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: was better than Missouri. Now my hesitation a Purdue plays slow,
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: so they're not really the style of team that I
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: really want to lay that many points with. And when
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: the team's coming off their first loss, sometimes they do
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: lose the game twice. Essentially, they could get hung over
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit. And I do think Minnesota will try
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: to show up for this. It's gonna be about like,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: is Minnesota gonna run out of gas after that huge
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: performance against Indiana. So those are my hesitations with it.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: I do lean towards Purdue because I do think this
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: is kind of that, Like I said, it's kind of
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: the overreaction game where you could overreact to each team's
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: outlier result that they just had. So I still lean
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: towards Purdue. You gotta lay twenty with Purdue now and
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: this if you really want to do it, ninety two
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: percent tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on them.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: It is a low total of one hundred and forty
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: three and a half with both teams. I think wanted
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: to play pretty slow here, so I do worry about that.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Although Minnesota not great, I mean, they're outside of Ken
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Bump's top one hundred, they play crazy slow three hundred
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: and fifty fifth out of three hundred and sixty five teams.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: But again, Purdue is only is three hundred and thirty third,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: so Purdue does play very slow as well. So an under,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: you know, might make sense in this game as well.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: Money looks like it's kind of coming towards the over
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: in that game though, for whatever reason, I mean maybe
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a hesitation there, because Purdue's offense
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: just had a really bad game in that last game.
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: You got to expect they're gonna shoot better this time
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota. So you're on the Utah mammoth. I do
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: not agree with that one. I don't think for actually,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I forget, Uh, no way we faded When did we
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: fade Utah in the previous game? I forget. I was
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: thinking they were turning over from a road trip, but
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: that was the last game. I still might not agree
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: with it, though, best bets already we have one coming up,
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: and I'm going to the dregs here. Man. This is
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: the absolute dregs of college basketball here. And I've been
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: on and against this team a couple of times, and
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: I think or probably about five hundred on it. But
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: we're gonna take NJIT plus two or two and a
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: half here against new Haven. I mean, first of all,
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: new Haven really deserving of laying points on the road
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: against anybody. I mean maybe if it's like Mississippi Valley State,
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: but I mean we're talking about two teams that are really,
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: really bad here. But new Haven is bad. Ken Bomb
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: has new Haven three hundred and thirty ninth in the country,
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: and then NJT is even worse, but only ten ranking
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: spots lower. So it's like, what are we doing here? Man?
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: And NJT will try to speed this game up, and
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: if they can kind of control the pace at home,
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: that will throw New Haven out of what they're trying
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: to do because New Haven wants to play slow. Both
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: these teams are miserable offensively, so taking the point seems
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: like the way to go, even if it's only two
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: points when you're expected to get very little offense, that
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: seems to be the way to going. Both these teams
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: are just bad overall, due I mean, what can I say,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: they're both bad. They're both pretty much. They're very very
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: comparable teams. So again, getting points at home with teams
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: that are almost evenly ranked, I think also does make
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: sense here. Both teams are fairly high in ken Bumb's
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: Luck Index as well, so I think that kind of
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: evens out as well. But this is really about the spot, man.
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, New Haven they're new to Division one. I
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: understand they played better than people probably thought they would.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: They've been pretty good, but look at what they just
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: did in their last game. Man. They went to bc
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: BC kind of the big boy in New England still
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: and new An I think they had to have been
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: at least double digit underdogs in this game. Man. I
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: don't know exactly what the line was, but New Aven
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: had chances to win this game, outright against BC, against
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: the big boy man. New even was winning this game
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: the majority of the first half. They were winning by
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: double digits. At halftime, they blew the lead, they got
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: it back, they still led, they fell behind, and late
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: in the second half came back again. They were within
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: one point in the final minute eighteen and fell just short.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a massive performance from new Haven.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: So I just don't I don't see how they're gonna
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: get up off the mat after that. Man, when you
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: have a giant underdog like that and they almost pull
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: off the huge upset, and that was only four days ago,
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they will fall flat in the
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: next game. And they do have a break after this,
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: and then they get Fordham and Vandy, which I think
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: are probably bigger games than nj T. I mean, nobody
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: really pays much attention nj T. They're at three and seven.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: They suck. We all know they suck, but nj T.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: They're on a six game losing streak. Every one of
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: those games was on the road, though, and now they're
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: back at home where they're actually one and one at home,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: with their one loss being a bad loss to Fairfield.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: I know Fairfield is an okay Matt Act team. I
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: guess they did win at home against Fairley Dickinson in
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: State little brother Fairly Dickinson. They beat them down. I
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: think we might have lost on that game too. But
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: NJIT back at home where they have only played those
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: two home games, so I think it'll be good for
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: them to be back at home. They've had an extra
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: day off compared to new Haven as well, so there's
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: an extra day of rest here. Although yes, NJT is
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: traveling back from wherever high Point is, South Carolina, North Carolina,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: wherever the hell it is. NJT. They were not horrible
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: in that game. They lost by seventeen to a much
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: better high Point team, so new Haven is a huge
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: step down in class here. Yeah, I like NJIT in
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: this one. It's a terrible spot for new Haven. That's
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: pretty much the handicap here. New Haven they don't even
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: get They still don't even get listed on pregame, they
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: don't even have their name yet. This line's already dropping
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: man from two and a half down to one and
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: a half. So I would try to probably jump on
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: this because I don't think it's gonna go back up.
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: But although who knows, but the public is just not
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be touching this game probably, so I like NJIT
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: plus the points there, and of course I still have
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: the timers on these because again I hate streamyard. I
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: am never gonna get used to this, man, But there
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: you go, n J, I T plus the points. Okay,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: more of basketball. Let's keep going, man, And I'm thinking
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: about maybe starting to jump into doing bracketology videos pretty
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: soon as well. Charleston in South Florida playing this is
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: an interesting game. It's a decent game. South Florida just
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: beat Utah State. That was a big win. Man. That
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: was at home. I believe for South Florida. Utah State
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: quite good and South Florida was an underdog at home
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: and they handle the game. They won by double digits.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: That's a very satisfying win. Now they get Charleston and
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: they gotta turn around and they gotta go to Alabama
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: in a week. That is a potential look ahead right there. Man,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: that's a big game having Alabama on deck. So this
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: does look like a sandwich spot that South Florida is
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: in here. Charleston is coming off getting blown out by Belmont.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: Belmont's a pretty solid team. But I do worry because
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: Charleston has only had a true O game once. It
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: was at Liberty. Liberty's a pretty solid team. Charleston didn't
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: perform well. They lost by fifteen. I think that was
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: in like a tournament that Liberty hosts. But yeah, it's
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: just my hesitation is just Charleston not really battle testing
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: on the road yet. But I do not like South
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Florida on this game, so I would lean towards taking
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: the points with Charleston in this one. Money seems to agree.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: South Florida is up to fifteen and a half, seventy
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets on them, seventy percent of
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: the cash coming back on the Charleston side. I do
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: not disagree with that. I would agree with the money
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: in that one. Charleston plus the points makes sense to me.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky at Marshall kind of interesting as well. Western
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: Kentucky decent start to the season. They just had a
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: really ugly performance against Evansville. Evansville a very weak team,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: and Western Kentucky at home only beat them by one.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: That's a pretty ugly outing man for Western Kentucky there.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: They were a pretty substantial favorite in this game, probably
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: double digits I would get and or close to double digits,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: and they almost lost the game. Maybe they were looking
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: ahead to Marshall a little bit, maybe coming off that
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: tournament that they had played in and beaten Wichita State
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: to finish the tournament after they actually played really close
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: against Vandy and South Florida in that tournament as well.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: So sometimes when teams go all out in tournaments like
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: that and they tend to come up flat in the
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: next team. I think that's what happened to Western Kentucky.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: I think they'll play better in this game at Marshall,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: though it is only their second true road game. They
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: played fine in the first one against their in state sibling,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Eastern Kentucky, who probably considers themselves to be a little
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: brother because Western Kentucky has the better history. But Western
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Kentucky handled their business in that one. Marshall is coming
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: off a fairly ugly loss themselves to Ohio. The Ohio
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: is an Okay team. That was a win for us
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: on Saturday. We had Ohio because Marshall was coming up
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: a huge performance against UNC Wilmington in the prior game.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: That would have been a big upset if Marshall pulled
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: out aff so Marshall was in kind of a bad
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: They were in a flat spot in that game against
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: High Another coming back home, I kind of expect them
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: to play better as well. I slightly lean towards Western
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Kentucky here. The money is disagreeing with me on this one.
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets on Western and ninety percent of
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: the cash on Marshall. Who have flipped from plus one
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: and a half dog to a pick them here. That's
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: a game. It's definitely a stay away for me, though, Pinzy,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right? We have
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: a New Mexico at VCU. This is an interesting one. Also,
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: gonna have to go to ESPN Plus for this. I mean,
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: this is the only reason I still have the Disney
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: Plus bundle is because you get all this ESPN It's
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: basically for college basketball. I mean, you get so many
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: college of basketball ESPN Plus games. That's pretty much why
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: I have it. Oh, thank you, Pinzy. Do they like
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: my picks? Hopefully? I don't know. I've been having a
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: good end to the season, although I've been a little
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: bit cool recently. But yeah, New Mexico VCU. This is
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: a crazy game, dude. VCU has gone for being like
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: a slow paced team back to a fast paced team.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: New Mexico also likes some way fast, So this game
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: I think is gonna be up tempo because both teams
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: are gonna want to do that. New Mexico off to
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: a solid start at seven and two. They're coming out
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: of a really good game against Santa Clara, or they
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: obliterated Santa Clara, and Santa Clara is not a bad team.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: New Mexico beating them, I assume at home in that
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: one by twenty seven points. That's a big win. And
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: now New Mexico has to go out to the East Coast.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: I think for the first time this season, they're gonna
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: be in the Eastern time zone. Might be a bit
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: of a difficult spot for them here man A VCU
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: sitting at six and three, maybe the public will kind
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: of be leaning towards New Mexico a little bit for
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: that reason. VCU is coming up a couple of real
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: satisfying wins. To man I mean, they beat Virginia Tech,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: who is still one of the big brothers in Virginia,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: even though VCU is probably the better team out of
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: the two right now, but that's still a big win
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: for them. That was in one of those tournaments as well.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: They came out of that and they had no let
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: down at all, and they crushed Samford in their most
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: recent game. That's a pretty nice win as well. Samford
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: not a bad team in their conference that they're in,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: the Soacon, or at least they have been one of
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: the better teams in that conference the last couple of years.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Now VC is coming up of all that, looks like
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a bad spot for both teams, although
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: I would kind of lean towards the fact that it's
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: just a weird travel spot for New Mexico. So I
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: kind of like VCU in this one. New Mexico looks
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: like they're taking the money though. VC was down from
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: ten and a half to nine. Here fifty tickets, ninety
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash coming back on New Mexico,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: So the money is on New Mexico. I don't really
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: agree with that. I would lean towards laying it, especially
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: when you think it's gonna be a higher scoring game,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: which I know I was wrong. I apologize I was
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: wrong about the BYU won. Like that game was Yeah,
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: by you never got anything going. They almost lost the
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: game it looked like they were gonna have no chance
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: to cover that game last night, and the wound up
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: winning by three. But it was definitely a Clemson paced game,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: so I apologize for that. Clemson control of the pace
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: of that game. I was kind of surprised by that,
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: although it was a weird venue for both teams like that.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: That game was somewhere on the East Coast, right, I
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: forget it was at Madison Square Garden. I think, very
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: very strange, which I think it was a double header there, right,
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: it was the Jimmy v thing in Yukon, Florida, was
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: the second game there. I forget something like that. Oh well,
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir. Let's say, yeah, let's turn turn more
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: people onto it and see if they can handle my
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: long winded explanations for everything here. Yeah, but New Mexico VC,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't disagree with it over in this one either,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: as where I was going with that. The total did
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: go up a little bit to one fifty five and
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: a half. I just think when you have two teams
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: that are probably gonna push the pace and they're both
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: somewhat I think it kind of iffy spots as well.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: I kind of think the defense might be a little
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: bit shoddy in that game, so I don't disagree with
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: it over in that one. Hopefully I'm correct on that
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: one this title, though, again I don't do that much
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: with totals. Bryant's at Iona, I don't love the spot
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: that Iona is in here. They're a decent team, but
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: they do have a pretty significant look ahead where they
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: have to play Saint John's in three days. That's a
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: huge game for Iona. Man. Because Iona is somewhere like
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: just outside of New York City, I think slightly north
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: of New York City, Saint John's is a big opponent
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: for them, man, Saint John's being a New York City team,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: that's like an in state, like an almost in city
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: big brother situation there. So I think Iona might overlook
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: Bryant in this one of the Iona's only coming off
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: beating Sacred Heart, which is not an impressive win Bryant.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: I don't really want to jump in on them either,
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: because they did just have a game against what I
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: think they considered to be an in state big brother
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: in Brown, although they lost pretty bad. They lost my
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: nineteen points at Brown, so I guess maybe you could
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: make the argument they will be in a bounce back here.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: I think the look ahead for Iona is the biggest
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: component there that Saint John's game is gonna be for them,
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: So I would lean towards taking the points with Bryan's
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: in that game. I own a up to ten and
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: a half. Although again, you know, I'm giving out all
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: these like very very weak leans here from me, Like
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: this is basically just kind of insight into how I
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: look at these games, you know what I mean. And
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: then the best bets are my strongest opinions, of course,
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: so obviously I think we have to weigh those higher
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: than everything else. But I'm just giving out my opinions
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: on basically everything here. Man, Idaho is gonna have to
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: go to Notre Dame here and playing self bend, very
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: very weird travel spot for Idaho. Man, although you think
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: they probably should step it up when they get to
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: play against a power conference seeming like Notre Dame. Yes,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: they were in a power conference in basketball. People are
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: knocking them for not being in a conference in football.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: They still got screwed by not being included in the playoff.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: But yes, Notre Dame is in the ACC in basketball
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: and used to be in the Big East when the
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: Big East was powerful. Idoh is coming off a big
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: game though, they just pulled off an upset at Santas.
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: Why do I keep seeing San Diego at celth Dakota
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: State the jack Rabbits. That was a big win for
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: Idaho up there, Man, they were definitely an underdog in
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: that game. Probably I would guess of about several points.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: Nice upset from them. Now they have to go to
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: self Bend, second straight road game, even though yes, ideally
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: they're gonna want to step it up playing a big
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: conference team, they just might run out of steam. Man
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: having to put in an effort two games in a
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: row like this problem is Notre Dame's coming off a
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: nice win at TCU. So Notre Dames pulled off. They've
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: had a nice run of games here, man, where they
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: played fairly close against Kansas out in Vegas. I think
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: they beat Rutgers after that, played pretty well against Houston,
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: only losing by ten to Houston. Then they beat Missouri
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: and then beat TCU in a true road game. So
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Notre Dames had a stretch of a lot of difficult
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: games as well. So both these teams are in bad spots.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: So I can't really do anything with this game as
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: far as the side is concerned. The money looks like
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: it's coming in an idahol, I'm not really sure i'd
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: want to deal with that. Notre Dame's down from my
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: from fourteen to fourteen and a half to eleven excuse me,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the ticket, sixty six percent of
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: the cash on Idaho, So the money does seem to
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: be indicating on Idaho. Total's fairly low, one hundred and
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: forty three and a half, and I know low totals
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: usually mean you're gonna get a low scoring game. Notre
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: Dame doesn't play fast, but they play really slow in fact,
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, Man, with both teams being in
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: very questionable spots, I kind of think that I would
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: see that game going over that total in that one,
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: even though usually I like going I would like you know,
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: usually I would prefer an under when it's a lower total.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: But yeah, it's an interesting one. Nonetheless, a Liberty is
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: playing NC State, you gotta think Liberty will step up
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: their game against a power conference team like NSTA State.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: Liberty from Virginia, NC State obviously North Carolina, so it's
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: not quite an in State sibling situation here, but Liberty
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: is probab is still gonna step it up for this.
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: Liberty is coming off an easy game against Coppon State,
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: where could have been a bad spot for Liberty because
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: they were coming off one of those multi team tournaments.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: The MTES is what they're called multi team events. A
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: lot of times the teams come back from that they
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: don't play well. But Coppon State is just horrendous, dude.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: And I think Coppon State missed on the cover last
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: night too, by like two points against Saint Joe's. So
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: it's a good thing I didn't add that because I'd
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: be really really angry about that one. That copp And
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: State team is horrific, but Liberty was able to crush
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: them that. Now they're coming into this game against ENDS State,
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: I think Liberty will show up focus here in this one.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: For NC State. NC State is coming off that game
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: that I mentioned against unc Asheville where they didn't play
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: that well. They won by twelve. But NC State does
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: have a fairly significant look ahead here where they have
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: to play Kansas in three days on Saturday on ESPN.
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be a big game for them. Man, so
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Liberty in this one. Overall, I
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: do think the spot sets up better for them in
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: NC State's up to a thirteen point favorite, but the
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: money does seem to be, at least for now coming
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: in on Liberty seventy percent of the tickets, seventy six
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Liberty. Not going to disagree
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: with that one. UMass and Boston College the big Massachusetts
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: game here, where I already pointed out BC just had
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: a horrendous game against New Haven and probably a bad
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: spot for BC, to be honest. I mean BC was
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: coming up a pretty big game against LSU where they
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: fell short by nine at home, big game against an
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: SEC team. I think BC just completely overlooked New Haven
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: here man, and maybe BC was even looking ahead to
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: this U mass game because it is a bigger game.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: I mean BC and New mass are kind of the
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: two big schools in Massachusetts and basketball, so I think
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: BC was kind of looking ahead to this. You got
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: to expect they're going to be more focused in this
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: one off of that horrendous game where they almost lost.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Is a huge favorite to New Have and U Mass
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: is gonna be up for this game too, though, and
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: this game is actually in Springfield, mass So it's closer
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: to you, Mass It's closer to Amherst than Boston. Here.
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: This is out in western mass It's about three hours
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: from Boston. Springfield is an absolute shithole. I can tell
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: you that I've been out there numerous times. It is horrendous.
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: You never want to go to Springfield. But they made
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: it so much better man by putting casinos in out
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: there in Springfield. Man, so now you can go degenerate
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: gamble while you're out there, while you're also dealing with
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: all the crackheads and meth heads that are on the
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: streets out there. Springfield is Oh god, it's got awful
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: stay away, man. But for you Mass, they're coming off
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: beating down their little brother in U Mass Lowell, who's
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: looking pretty awful this year. U Mass got the win there.
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: It's still satisfying when you beat down your little brother
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: like that. But you gotta think U Mass is definitely
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: gonna show up against the biggest brother are in the
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: state of Massachusetts and BC. I expect focus out of
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: both teams here, so usually that kind of means an
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: undermakes sense of the money is coming in on the over.
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: It looks like here it's up to one hundred and
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: forty two and a half on the total, fifty percent
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on the under, but it's seventy four
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over. So I'm not
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be recommending an under in this one. The money
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: looks like it's well the market read, let's say, looks
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: like it is indicating on laying the points with BC,
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: UMass looks like they're a public underdog here eighty eight
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on them, only seventy two percent
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: of the cash BC down from three and a half
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: to two and a half. I'm not gonna disagree. I
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: just think if both teams show up, focus BC being
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: the somewhat better team. If they show up, you know,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: and are really pissed off of that really bad performance
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: against New Aven, you should get the better effort out
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: of out of BC here. So I don't really disagree
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: with laying the points of BC. There. Yeah, those are
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that one ten leg NHL parlay yesterday,
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: NHL prop parlay every player to record one point. Hell yeah, man,
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: that's that's a huge That is a that is a
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: nice win on those parlays. Although you know what I
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: think about parlays. I think it's basically like playing the lottery.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: Although if you're only putting twenty five bucks on it,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: why not because you just got to be sort of
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: resigned to the fact that if you if you're gonna
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: lose that money, you're you're basically paying for entertainment value,
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Although my my family, dude,
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: we all get a little bit degenerate. Man, We have
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: a history of one of our traditions is scratch tickets
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: on on Christmas. We have like a bunch of different
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: family games that we do that include board games. One
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: year it was warm out and we did cornhole. I
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: think maybe we've done that a couple of years. Uh
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: so there we just have random weird events. Talent composition
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: one year, definitely board games. Uh find the Grinch like
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: a grinch hunt at this house that decor over decorates
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: and always hides the grint. We got a lot of
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: things going on, man, but we always do scratch tickets.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: We give each other scratch tickets. They're always stocking stuff
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: first and we all basically the winner of the scratch
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: ticket event is whoever gets the most money on the
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: out of the scratch tickets because we all we have
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: like an amount that we all spend on it. So
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: the amount that everybody gets out of the scratch tickets
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: is equal. So then so that's how it's fair. So
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: whoever wins the most out of the same amount of
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: scratch tickets wins. So yeah, we do that even though
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: you know you're gonna lose. Man, these the lottery is rigged.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: It is rigged towards politically connected. You can look it
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: up like there's a lot of a lot of evidence
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: that the politically connected win almost every state lottery you want.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: On the you played the BYU money line, there you go. Uh,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: hopefully you did it live when they were losing that
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: game in the second half. Man, you got a nice
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: play on the on the money line of that one.
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: If you did that, all right, What are the games
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: that I even want to talk about? I don't know.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: A lot of these games are not totally interesting. Here
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Houston is playing today against this Jackson State team that
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: considered I mean or they continue to excuse me, to
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: give themselves just a massive gauntlet to start out the season, man,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, they do it to battle test themselves, so
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: they're ready for conference playing, man, even though they didn't
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: win their conference last year. But I'm not gonna not
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: get It's like the extreme to Tom is a approach, right, Hey,
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: let's just play all of these really difficult schools. So
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: they are playing Houston today, Obviously, I'm not gonna expect
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: Jackson State to win that game, although Houston, I mean,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: do you want to lay forty and a half with
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: Houston in a game with a total as low as
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty six. Probably not. I mean, Houston
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: is just probably gonna get in, get out, win the game,
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: Like they can win this game by twenty without even
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: breaking a sweat. Probably, So that's probably the type of
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: thing you're gonna see in that game. Houston plays really
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: slow as well, as I point out a lot, but
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: not really an interesting game to me. U Team Martin
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: and Southern No on will. We had U Tam Martin
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: in their last game. We got a win with them.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Ut Martin's off to a nice seven and two start. Man,
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: they got the nice win and cover for us after
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: they started off pretty slow against Alabama State. Alabama State
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: ran out of steam, which was part of that handicap
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: was the potential that Alabama State coming off a huge game,
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: they were gonna lose steam by the end of this one,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: and that's what happened. Now U Team Martin going on
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: the road to Southern Illinois. UT Martin's been good on
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: the road though, if you look, they're true road games.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: They have wins on the road against UNLV and Bradley.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Those are nice road wins, man. I mean U Team
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Martin was obviously an underdog in those games and they
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: played well. And they didn't even do that badly on
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: the road against Florida State, only losing by fourteen. This
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: U Team Martin team, they're not bad, but ken Bum
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: does other of them really high up in the luck
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: index right now, so he is telling you that they're
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: not as good as their record looks right now. They've
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: gotten some good breaks so far. So that's the issue
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: that I have with this because I like U teamt
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: and again in this game, Southern Illinois in a terrible
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: spot in my opinion. Yes, this is a road game
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: for UT Martin, but again they've been really good on
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: the road so far. But the problem I have with
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: this is that I think the public is gonna look
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: at this game. If they look at it and see
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: UT Martin as a seven and two team is getting
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: eight and a half points from a five to four team,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: it just looks too easy to take the points here,
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean? Although sometimes it is the
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: correct side, and I I kind of think it is
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: here just because I don't like the spot for Southern Illinois.
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: But I have some hesitations about it because ken Baum's
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: telling you U T Martin's overperforming right now. But looking
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: at their schedule so far, I like how they've done
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: on the road so far. They've been actually really excellent
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: on the road so far. So I would still take
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: take UT Martin plus the points in this one if
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play him. Southern Illinois, as you know,
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you they are actually the better
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: team here. Southern Illinois is coming off a nice upset
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: win over High Point on the road. Man, they were
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: probably about an eight to nine point underdog in that game.
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: They pulled off a nice upset there. Now they're back
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: home and in three days I got to play this
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: Richmond team that's on fire right now. Richmond looking pretty
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: good so far this year. That's gonna be a bigger game,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: I think for Southern Illinois playing a team like Richmond
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: who's in a more respected conference, the A ten. So
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: I think it's kind of a sandwich spot here. I'm
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: gonna leave the game alone. I would lean towards taking
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: the points of the U team Martin.
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: The money does seem to agree with it. Southern Illinois
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: down from eleven to nine here, uh eighty three percent
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: to take his ninety eight percent of the cash on
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: utea margin. So it does look like a situation where
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: kind of like I said, was gonna happen here. It
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: looks like the public if they are getting involved in
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: this game, plus the professionals are kind of all coming
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: in on the U Tam Martin side. So that is
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: a number that I do not expect to move back
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: up unless it gets so low that some professionals just
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: decide there's some value in taking the in, you know,
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: the take back basically on the other side. And you know,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: like if the line gets down to like set Evan,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, then there might be some
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: play on Southern OI. I just from a purely numbers standpoint,
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: you know, But yes, other than that, yes, I agree
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: with the Tennessee Martin side there. And as a non
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: numbers guy, you know how I am. I like the situation.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: I just go all out with the situation. Try to
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: get the best number that you can. Man's that's the
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: way that it is. These losses stay with me, but
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: they fester, Jerry, I don't know. I just felt like
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: a drop. I don't have a drop really for that one.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: But all right, next up is my only other play today.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: So you get two plays from me today. They're both
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: in college basketball. Some of you guys aren't gonna like
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: this one because we're laying a giant favorite in this one.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points with Tulsa minus twenty two
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: and a half. I think this is the correct side
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: in this one. Tulsa up from twenty one and a
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: half to twenty two and a half at that in
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: that price range. Hopefully it doesn't matter. We have a
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: high total of one hundred and fifty nine and a half.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Part of this handicap is that it's expected that Tulsa
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: is gonna run the floor here and go up tempo,
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: at least to a decent extent enough to blow out Arkansas.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: Pine Bluff here. Hopefully that is what happens here. We're
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: not looking at a line that's like thirty plus here,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: so you know, it's one of those lines that's kind
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: of in range of Even if the team that's way better,
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: like Tulsa, doesn't even put in a full effort, they
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: still could cover this number. And I think should. We're
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: talking about Arkansas Pine Bluff here, and I mean this
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: is this is a bad team. They're like bottom ten
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: in the country. I think ken Bum must have them
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: way down there. Let me see he's got them. Where
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: is Pine Bluff? Where do you have them? Ken Bum?
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: He has them bottom twenty, so my mistake, But he's
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: got them fairly high in the luck index. Pine Bluff
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: actually plays fast as well, so they play even faster
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: than Tulsa actually, but they're just really bad on both
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: sides of the ball. They're like bottom thirty on both
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: offense and defense. Horrendous. He's got Tulsa in the top
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: one hundred, my mistake. Actually, Tulsa plays slower this year.
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: What am I talking about? So scratch that. But if
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: Tulsa can slow slow arcts up, ime Bluff down and
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: frustrate them, hopefully they can hold Pine Bluff, you know
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: down in this game. You could also maybe look towards
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: Pine Bluff going under their team total in this one.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: That might be a way to look as well, if
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: Tulsa's gonna frustrate them slow the game down. But the
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: thing that Tulsa does do, though, is they actually play
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: better offensively, So that does help us with laying the
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: points here, because that's why I was thinking. Tulsa plays
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: fast because they can score. Their defense is actually less
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: good than their offense. But it's just kind of a
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: It's one of those teams that plays a weird contrast
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: where they play offense and they don't really play defense,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: but they're also slow, very very strange. It kind of
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: like like Purdue does something like that, though, which is,
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: you know, it's not all bad, I guess, but the
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: spot is also just awful for Arkansas Pine Bluff. I mean, sure,
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: ideally they'll try to get up for a game against Tulsa,
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: but they're coming up a game against a big East
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: team in and hilariously, Arkansas Pine Bluff has played every
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: single game on the road so far, which is it's insane,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: but that has to take its toll. Dude, by the
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: end of this and four days ago or excuse me, yeah,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: well within the last week. Look at what they've done
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: since last Wednesday. Last Wednesday they beat Illinois Chicago on
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: the roads. They actually had two games this week in
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: the Chicago area. That was a huge upset. Illinois Chicago,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: I believe was a double digit favorite in that game
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: and Pine Bluff pulled off the outright upset for their
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: first win of the season. So yeah, I mean, I'm
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: not gonna argue that Pine Bluff isn't battle testa. They
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: certainly are, but they're like pretty much just not even
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: competitive in most of these games. But then they were
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: competitive on Saturday. They went into Paul Big East team
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: and they played really close against De Paul and I
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: think they were twenty two to twenty three and a
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: half point on somewhere like twenty two to twenty three
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: point underdogs in this game, and they almost won the
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: game outright against DePaul Man. So this was the game
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: where Pine Bluff like they went all out in this game.
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: They had the lead, like throughout the middle portion of
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: the game, They're winning this game outright by double digits.
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: In the second half, fell behind and then didn't go away,
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: and they played until the final buzzer. Man, they were
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: down by one possession in the final minute of the game,
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: within three points, and they lost by four. I just
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: don't see them having anything left off of those two games,
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: a double digit upset and then nearly pulling off a
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: twenty plus point upset. That's why when I handicapped that
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: to Paul game Man, I had a slight lean to
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: de Paul, but I left it off my card because
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: I thought Pine Bluff might still kind of get up
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: for that one. But now they're not gonna do it
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: three games in a row, Man, within a week span.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I just don't think it's gonna happen. Tolls of the
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: Spot is just way better for them. I mean, they're
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: just on cruise control right now. They're coming off an
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: easy win against Missouri State. They're staying at home. Sorry
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: to just in, Missouri State's not that good. Missouri State
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: hit fifty percent of their threes in that game and
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: Tulsa still won the game by twenty four, So that
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: kind of tells you something. Tulsa didn't have the greatest game,
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: or they kind of got unlucky, at least with the
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: Missouri State hitting a ton of threes and Tulsa still
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: absolutely handled them. So and they actually they covered the
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: twenty two and a half of that game against Missouri State,
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: so they should be able to cover against a much
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: worse Pied Bluff team. The only issue is are they
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: really Are they gonna be looking ahead to New Mexico
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: State here? I don't think so. I'm in New Mexico
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: State six and two teams, They're not in conference or
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: anything like that, so I don't really see that being
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: the case. We're gonna do it. We're gonna lay it
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: with Tulsa. And that is the last college basketball play,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: my last play of the day, because we don't have
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: a lot of hockey or NBA today. It's almost all
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: college basketball today, man, So those are my two plays.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: I'll reiterate them at the end of the show. Other
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: games that we have going on today. The other big
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: game that we have, Big ten gets the two biggest
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: games of the day, a big one at nine pm. Man.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Probably the best game of the day is Wisconsin at Nebraska.
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: This is in Lincoln, Nebraska. Nebraska now finds themselves ranked
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: twenty third in the country. But I'm gonna push back
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: on that. You have a ranked Nebraska team and you
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: have Wisconsin unranked. Yet if you look at what the
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: odds makers are telling you, they're kind of telling you
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin is the better team, even though it looks like
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: the line move initially came in on Nebraska, flipping them
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: from a two and a half point dog to a
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: two point favorite. But they're not getting full home court
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: advantage here, So the odds makers are telling you they
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: think Wisconsin is actually the slightly better team. And when
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: I show you Ken Bomb in a minute, he agrees
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: with that. Eighty percent of the tickets only seventy percent
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Nebraska. So Nebraska is kind of
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: a public side here. And I think the public is
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: gonna see a small line like this pick the winner,
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna go, oh, the ranked team at home.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna go with, right, I disagree. I
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: would take the points of Nebraska, especially if this line
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: it might keep going up. Man, because the public is
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: gonna be involved in a game tonight. They're gonna jump
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: in on this game because it's the big game of
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: the night. So if the public wants some action, it'll
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: be this And of course they're gonna play Nebraska. Nebraska's undefeated, like,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: that's what they're gonna do. It looks easy, right, they
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: just have to pretty much win the game. Again, when
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: something looks that easy, it's usually not Nebraska. They're coming
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: up beating Creighton. They beat them by twenty one points.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: That's a huge game for Nebraska, though, Man, I understand
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: this also is which is why I don't really want
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: to I can't really quite get there with wisconstant because
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: I just don't really want to fade Nebraska in what
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: is still a big match up in their Big Ten
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: home opener here, and I think they're Big Ten opener
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: as well overall. But they were coming up a huge
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: win over Creighton men, and that is a Nebraska rivalry
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: smacking down what is now your little brother pretty much
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: again in Creighton beating them by twenty one that is
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: very satisfying. And on Saturday they gonna turn around to
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: play Illinois, who's ranked thirteenth in the country. So that
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: could be a little bit of a cost for a
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: look ahead. So it is possible they're overlooking Wisconsin a
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: little bit here, Man, Wisconsin at seven to two right now, now,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: I worry about Wisconsin a little bit because they haven't
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: stepped up that well in class, like they're one true
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: road game. They lost by twenty eight at BYU. That
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: was bad, and especially because I gave out Wisconsin as
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: a play there. I thought the spot wasn't that good
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: for BYU and Wisconsin was looking for tournament revenge and
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: they just got obliterated. But the good thing for them
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: here is at least they're not going to be in
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: high elevation this time. They're playing in the flat lands
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: man the prairie, so it should be a little bit
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: better than them. Plus, Wisconsin's more familiar with this venue
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: because it's a big ten matchup. But Wisconsin they are
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: more They're pretty battle test. I mean, they're probably more
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: battle tested than Nebraska because they have played against BYU.
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: They did lose that game against TCU. Also, by the way,
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: a loss for US on Wisconsin, so Wisconsin has not
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: been kind to US. I faded TCU after they upset
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: Florida and Wisconsin could not get it done there, although
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: they were a favorite there. But then after that, Wisconsin's
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: looked good since then. They beat a Northwestern team that's
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: not bad, and then they beat Marquette, who, even though
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: they're down this year, could win against Marquette. But my
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: issue now is that, yeah, Wisconsin's going back out on
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: the road. They were not impressed in the last time
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: they were out on the road. They will still step
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: up their game for this game, though, man. But they
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: are coming up a very satisfying in state win themselves. Man.
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: So both teams are coming off beating down like they're
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: in state little brother essentially with Wisconsin beating Marquette by
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: twenty points. So both teams are kind of in a
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: letdown situation as far as that's concerned. Although again, I
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: don't think either team is really going to be in
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: a letdown mode in this game. It's still a big
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: game for both teams. For Wisconsin, it is not their
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: conference opener, though for Nebraska it is. Wisconsin did already
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: play at home against Northwestern, like I said, But again,
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: it kind of just becomes a numbers play when you
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: think both teams are gonna show up here. And I
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: think that the value is on the side of Wisconsin
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: again because I think Nebraska's over ranked right now, in
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin's under the radar because they're not ranked right now.
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: But Ken palm. He is telling you that Wisconsin is
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: the better team. He has them just outside of his
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: top twenty five at number twenty six, and he has
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: Nebraska all the way down at forty two. So he
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: has Nebraska actually the more lucky team, and he has
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin having faced the stronger strangth the schedules so far. Yeah, so,
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: and he has a Wisconsin is the better offense, but
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Nebraska is the better defense. To take from that what
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: you will. And yes, Nebraska is gonna try to speed
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: up the tempo here, but Wisconsin actually plays even faster
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: than Wisconsin, or excuse Wisconsin plays even faster than Nebraska now,
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: So the uptempo style of Nebraska is not going to
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: throw Wisconsin off now because we're used to Wisconsin being
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: this like slow paced team, but they're not now. So yeah,
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: all that being said, long winded there, but I would
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the boys with Wisconsin in that one.
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: But I'm just explaining some of the reasons why I'm
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: not getting there with it. And then Ducaine and Boise
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: State is actually a decent game in the night Slate here.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: Ducaine having to go to Boise is a weird spot though,
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: Man Their only true road game so far was at Villanova,
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: and Dukane played well in the game, they only lost
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: by ten. But now that they have to go all
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: the way out to Boise, seems like kind of a
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: difficult spot, man, even if they are gonna step up
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: their game. For a team like Boise that's been pretty
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: good in the Mountain West over the last couple of
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: seasons made the tournament. I think they missed it last year,
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: but the last couple of years they made it. Boise's
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: not in the greatest spot either though.
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Boise just went into Indianapolis and beat Butler in a
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: true road game, and now they're having to come back
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: home from that. That's a big win, man. You go
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: on the road to a big East team and you
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: beat them. Butler fairly down this year, but still that's
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: a big win for Boise. Now coming back home. But
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: in four days, Boise, He's got Saint Mary's. That's a
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: huge game. Saint Mary's very good team, so it is possible. Boys.
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: He kind of overlooks Ducaine here. Minute is looking sandwichy,
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: So you basically have Boise in a sandwich spot, and
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: you have to kind of weigh that against Ducaine being
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: in an unfamiliar travel spot, and it's like, well, which
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: one is gonna win out? I would say you want
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: to look towards taking the points. Boise is up to
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: a fourteen point favorite, seventy six percent of tickets, eighty
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: percent of the couch on Ducaine. Ducaine's not a bad
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: team this year. But now Boise slows the game down.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: So that's both good and bad. If you like Ducaine here,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: it's good as far as the fact that if you
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: want to take the points, the points might be worth
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: more because boys, he's gonna try to slow the game down.
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: It's bad because Dukine wants to speed the game up.
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: Although this total is not that low, a one hundred
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: and fifty one. Dukane wants to speed it up. But
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: if Boise is able to slow it down, that's going
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: to frustrate a team like Ducane, you know. So we
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: have some kind of a tempo collision here, so we'll
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: see which one wins out here. Man, I would slightly
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points, but don't have a strong opinion
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: there all right, NHL. Only a couple of games in
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: the NHL today. I don't love the board. We got
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: the Rangers at Chicago. The Rangers, of course, on the road,
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: the Rangers are really good on the road. Man, They're
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: twelve four and one on the road. So this Ranger team,
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: as I keep pointing out, they're excellent on the road
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: way worse at home. For whatever reason, this spot, though,
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I love the spot for the
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: Rangers here though. The Rangers, they just had two big games,
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: taking both Colorado and Vegas into overtime. Man, And now
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: this is a single game out on the road, so
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: it's not a road trip. So like the first game
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: on a road trip, a lot of times you'll be
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: more focused because you want to kick off the trip
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: the right way. But sometimes when you have a single
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: game road trip, it's a little bit weird, and sometimes
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: you just want be focused on it and coming up
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: those huge games they took both of those really good
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: teams into overtime. Maybe it is kind of a hangover
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: spot for the Rangers here, even though they haven't played
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: since Sunday, so they do have a couple of days off.
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I kind of worry about the
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: spot for the Rangers a little bit of Yes, they
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: are really good on the road typically Blackhawks. I mean,
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: this spot is hard to gauge too, because on the
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: one hand, the Blackhawks got obliterated in their last two
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: games out on the Pacific Coast. They lost by six
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: goals and two games in a row, which I talked
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: about the last two days we won playing both teams
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: off of those wins because they were both starting road
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: trips against teams returning from road trips, which I'm gonna
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: talk about the return from a road trip in a
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: second here. Chicago lost six to nothing to the Kings
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: and seven to one to Anaheim. So yeah, normally I
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: would say when a team loses that embarrassingly two games
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: in a row, they're gonna bounce back from that. The
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: problem is Chicago's returning home from a road trip. Man.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: Yes they have two days off, Yes they're coming off
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: some horrendous losses. But when the teams are turning over
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: from a road trip and they have to go back
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: out on the road and play on Friday at Saint Louis,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: when a team's only coming home for that one game,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: then they have to go back out on the road.
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: It's a difficult spot, man, Because again I always talk
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: about how the team could be distracted. They have to
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: get back to home life, as Chicago has been on
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: the road since last Tuesday, so it was a trip
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: that took them out to the Pacific time zone Pacific coast.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Haven't been at home for a while. When you get home,
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: you have stuff to do back at home, you can
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: get a bit distracted. So I don't love the spot
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: that Chicago is in either. So where do we land
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: on this game? Rangers are down for minus one thirty
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: eight of minus one thirty three on the road. So
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: the fact that the Rangers are a road favorite like
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: that does tell you something because people are probably gonna
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: look at it and think, well, the Rangers don't have
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: that much better of a record than Chicago does overall,
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: So why are they laying a price like this on
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: the road? Right? Well, the osmakers are telling you the
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: Rangers are the better team. They are also way better
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: on the road. Sixty per tickets seventy five percent of
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Rangers. I think because the strongest
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: part of the situational angle is fading the return home spot.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: That plus the Rangers being really good on the road,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: I would probably agree with the Rangers side here. Overall
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent taket seventy five percent of the cash
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: on the Rangers. So that is my uh, those are
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that one. We got Detroit at Calgary here,
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Detroit coming off a nice win over Vancouver four to
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: nothing a couple of days ago, continuing a road trip,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: but they're already two and one on the road trip.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: They might overlook Calgary though, man, because they got Edmonton tomorrow.
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: Edmonton is always going to draw more of your focus
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: than Calgary will, at least for the time being. So
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: with Edmonton tomorrow and coming off a shutout over Vancouver,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: even though Vancouver is down this year, I don't love
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: the spot for Detroit here Calgary, they're staying at home
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: and they're I don't know about this that they're in either.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: Even though they're staying at home, they're coming off a
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: blowout win basically over Buffalo or they won seven of four.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: But I still lean towards Calgary. I think Detroit is
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: in the worst spot. I do expect Calgary will still
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: show up focus here for a game against a team
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: like Detroit. The money seems to agree with that. Detroit's
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: up to minus one o eight on the money line
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the tickets on them in only
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of the cash. I agree with the
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: money in this one. I would lean towards Calgary there
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: Florida at Utah. This is a Soab's game. I might
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: have been wrong by the way I was thinking of
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: a different game. I think, let me see, I might
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: agree with SOB on this one. Actually, my apologies. I
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: was thinking about a different game Florida. Well, Florida is
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip with momentum here, so I don't
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: really want to fade Florida in a spot like this,
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: although I could see the argument for it because they
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: do have Colorado and then Dallas. They have to play
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: Colorado tomorrow and then Dallas after this, so I do
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: agree they might overlook Utah for that reason. But typically
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna kind of just hesitate a little bit to
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: fade a team starting a road trip here. But I
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: might not disagree with this Utah side here. Man. I
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: could definitely see Florida just focusing on that Colorado game tomorrow,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: so you might not even get Pebrovski in net in
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: this one. I would see if he's gonna play or
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: not in this one. They might use Tarasov again in
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: this one, but generally, starting a road trip, a team
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: is going to be focused both Colorado up tomorrow Mammoth
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: only being a five hundred team if you don't include
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: the overtime losses. Yeah, Sab, I think you're right. It
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: does look like they're gonna kind of overlook Utah, and
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: Utah is at least in a positive spot because they
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: were turned on from a road trip. We got the
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: win fading them in that road trip return spot, which,
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: as I always say, a team returns home from a
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: road trip, they can get caught, they can get in
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: a distracted spot. They're gonna be looking ahead to the
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: next game. Utah did drop that game, and well, they
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: might not be looking ahead to the next game, but
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: if that game is a big game, they'll be looking
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: ahead to it. In addition, the distractions that they have
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: in returning back to home life is what I meant
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: to say. But in this case, I do think Utah
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: was looking ahead to the returning champs Florida, and now
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: that Utah didn't play well in that first game back home,
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: that sets up a positive spot because when the team
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: doesn't do well in the return home spot, they do
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: play better in the next game, So yes, I agree
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: with Utah. In this game, Florida up for minus one
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: on nine to minus one twelve, seventy six percent of
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them, sixty six percent of the cash
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: coming back on Utah. I don't quite want to do
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: it with Florida starting a road trip, but I think
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: you're right. Florida will be in a look at edge
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: spot because that huge Colorado game is tomorrow, so and
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: Florida is coming up a pretty nice win over the
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: Islanders before starting the road trip. So usually I would
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: say that would give you momentum heading into the road trip,
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: but maybe they will consider maybe there will be kind
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot here. I guess. I don't consider
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: the win over the Islanders to be like that massive though,
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: so I'm just staying away. But yes, I do agree
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: with Utah, so my apologies. I do agree with that,
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: and in fact, actually it might actually be the best
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: out of the hockey place today. It probably is, actually,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: so sab I do not disagree with you. We're still
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: we're still on the same wavelength here for the La
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: Kings and Seattle. LA got us the other win at Utah,
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: with Utah returning on from a road trip. LA got
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: the win four to two Utah returning or that was
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: actually the game I was already talking about. Sorry, Utah
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: returno from the road trip, and LA got us the
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: win there. Now LA continuing, it's only a two game
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: road trip here. Don't know if this is the Dad trip,
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: But whenever I see a two game trip, I'm like,
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: is this the Dad trip? We never know anymore. But
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: they're going to Seattle, and you gotta think Seattle is
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: gonna show up with some focus though, man, I mean
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: LA having to come down out of elevation after two
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: pretty satisfying wins. Seattle's lost six games in a row.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: You gotta think Seattle's gonna show up here. Man. Four
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: of those games are yeah, four of those games have
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: been at home, but against Dallas, Edmonton, Detroit. I mean
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: you can kind of give them a pass for that.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: And they lost to Minnesota in their most recent game. Minnesota.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: They've been hot at least recently, even though I think
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: they're overrated. But now Seattle's still staying at home. You
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: gotta think they want to get at least one of
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: these games before they have to go back out on
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: the road. Decord should be back in net here, my
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: guy from Boston. Here. Seattle has a couple of Massachusetts
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: guys on their team. Man, one of their forwards is
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: from Boston as well. I forget who, but yes, Seattle,
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: I expect them to show up here. Should be their
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: better goalie back in net Lean towards Seattle. In this game,
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: LA is a minus one forty five on the money line,
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the tickets on LA, sixty two
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Seattle. So the money is
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: in agreement with that one as well. So I actually
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: agree with the market reading all four hockey games here. However,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: if you do like Seattle, you're fading what is a
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: very strong road team in the CAS ten two and
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: four on the road, and the Kings aren't exactly in
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: like the weakest situationals BOT either. So those are my
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: thoughts on that. Then we have the NBA only a
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: couple of games because we're in the the NBA break here,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: which basically is just the NBA Cup is going on
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: until it finishes, I think, which my apologies I never
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: even talk about how this is the NBA Cup, Man,
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: But I just usually just handicap it the same way.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: But now we're in the quarter finals in the NBA Cup. Now,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: the way that you want to handicap these games, I
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: think is that the teams that are like legit national championship,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: like legit championship contenders here, like the Thunder and the
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: Lakers who are playing tonight, I think you kind of
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: do want to look to fade them in the Cup
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: because these teams in the Cup that realize that they're
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: not gonna be championship contenders, like they're not gonna be
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: NBA Finals contenders, they put more effort into trying to
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: beat these teams in the Cup. But I mean that's
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: kind of just the case anyway, right, Like you see
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: Phoenix at Okay, see in San Antonio at LA. You know,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: Phoenix and San Antonio are both gonna get up for
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: these games anyway, you know what I mean. So it's
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: almost like you don't have to handicap these games any differently.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: It just kind of works out that way. Now for Phoenix,
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: they are coming off a nice win at Minnesota. I
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: believe they were a pretty big underdog in that game.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: Minnesota just has not done well against winning teams. Man,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: nice win for Phoenix, but they're not gonna overlook okay
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: See either of them, you know, so I expect effort
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: out of Phoenix in this game as well. They had
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: two days off before they played in Minnesota, so the
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: rest spot isn't that bad now for ok C there's
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: their situation isn't that bad either though, Man and Oka
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: See is just annihilating everybody for the most part. So
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know, do you really want to fade okay
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: See at home? And maybe okay See is just so
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: dominant they're like, yeah, fuck it, let's try to win
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: the cop as well. I mean, I don't really want
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: to fade okay See here. They're coming off a blowout
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: win in Utah, they've had a couple of days off,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: they're only returning over from a single game road trip.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: They did just beat Phoenix at home only by four,
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: which I can kind of see that going both ways,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: Like maybe okay C will actually like look at that
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: game and actually make adjustments because Phoenix covered the number
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: against them, so it was actually kind of a bad
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: game for okay See, So maybe they'll actually show up
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: with a better game plan this time. Now, the other
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: thing you have to be aware of is both teams
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: might be in a reverse injured player spot here, which
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: I would keep an eye on this and see who's
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: playing in this game because Booker has been out for
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: the Suns for a bit now, Devin Booker, he's their
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: best player. Of course he may be back in this game.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: He's a game time decision here, so that's one thing
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: to look at. So if he's coming back here, it's
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: gonna be a reverse injured player spot. Like I always say,
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: when your star player comes back, he's gotta get back
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: into the rhythm. The team's gotta like figure out their
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: roles again. They kind of take a step back sometimes,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: although I don't think they're gonna take a step back
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: when they're playing against the Thunder, but still it could
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a chemistry issue with Booker coming back.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: He last played on the first against LA against the Lakers,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: so that's an issue. But then Sga also has missed time.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: He's missed at least one game, and he's coming back
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: for the Thunder. Ut they're still gonna be without heart
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: and Stein, but everybody else's Hertenstein. I don't even pronounce
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: his name. Everybody steen Stein, whatever, everybody's coming back or
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: everybody else is gonna be back for Okay, see in
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: this game for the most part, as far as they're
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: like biggest names. So SGA missed the last game. I
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: think maybe they just rested him. I don't really know.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: I think it was maybe some fake injury. So he's
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be back, which is kind of technically a reverse
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: injured player spot because he missed their last game and
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: they blew out Utah. Anyway, he might have missed two games.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: Actually I'm not sure. Let me see. The last time
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: he played was December fifth against Dallas, so okay, see
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: how many games have they played since then? One? They
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: only played against Utah, So SGA missed one game. He's
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: back in this game. So both players, both teams might
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: be getting their best player back here. So it is
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: a difficult game to handicap. The money is indicating on
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: the on the Thunder, so the Sons look like a
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: public underdog here. Sixty percent tickets, sixty one percent of
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: the cash. I think the public kind of looking at
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: this thinking, I don't know that the line is big,
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: and seeing that the Sun's played the Thunder well the
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: last time I don't know, man, thunder down for fifteen
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: and a half to fourteen and a half, I would
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: not really want to play the Suns in this game, man.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: I think if Booker comes back, that makes it a
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: worse reverse worse reverse injured player spot for the Suns
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: because he's missed more time for the Thunder. It was
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: almost like just a day of rest for SGA. So
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: I think that is not as strong of a It's
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: not really a reverse injured player spot for that reason.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: So and I think the Thunder might actually make adjustice,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: so I actually slightly lean towards laying it with the
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: Thunder in this game. Then we have a SOB who
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: is not getting the best line value here if he
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: already played the game against with the Spurs. Here, you
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: already played the Spurs because the Lakers are up from
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: four and a half to seven here now. And I
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: actually don't know why because the Spurs, we know they
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: were without Wembin Yama. He's not coming back yet. He's
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: supposed to be out for like another week, So I
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: don't understand why the line moved like this unless the
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: Lakers had somebody that might have been questionable and now
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: he's back because I looked at the injury report. There's
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: nothing significant on there. So I don't really know why
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: the Lakers are up from four and a half to seven.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: Here eighty two percent of tickets, ninety five percent of
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Lakers, So the market is kind
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: of indicating on the Lakers right now. But correct me
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: if I'm wrong. But I believe the Lakers won the
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: Cup last year? Am I wrong about that?
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: So?
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: I mean it seems like kind of whole hum to them,
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: like whatever, like they want to win the actual NBA Finals,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: Like I don't really think they care as much about
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: the NBA Cup. And san Antonio did lose a heartbreaking
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: game at the Lakers back on November fifth, which was
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: a loss I think here on the show too if
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: I remember, Maybe it wasn't. I don't remember, but I
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: don't know because san Antonio probably covered that game because
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: they only lost by two. I don't think I gave
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: it out as a play at all, actually, but maybe
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: I had a correct lean in that game or whatever.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: When Ben Yama played in that game, of course that
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: was before he got hurt. But san Antonio only lost
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: the game by two, LA might be kind of of
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: the mindset, well, you know, we already beat san Antonio
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: with WEM, but we should be able to beat them
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: without him, right. They haven't played them since then, so
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: I see san Antonio maybe being overlooked here and maybe
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: making some adjustments here. They're having to play a fourth
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: straight road game, but they're coming off a game over
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: New Orleans where they really didn't play well. Finally, san
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: Antonio had a game that was a flat spot and
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: they almost lost to New Orleans. I assume san Antoni
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: were big favorites here, like probably even double digits because
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: New Orleans sucks, so I think san Antonio was definitely
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to this game. San Antonio had just played
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Cleveland the game before, then, beatn Orlando on the road
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: the game before that, and had been in a return
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: home spot in the game before that, so they played
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: a string of huge games. They finally had a flat
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: spot on Monday, so I expect san Antonio to come
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: in with a better effort here after that bad game
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: against New Orleans, I think they were looking ahead to this.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: For the Lakers. The Lakers are returning over from a
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: road trip or they went to Toronto, Boston, and Philadelphia,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: so even though they were gone for a little bit
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: less than a week, that's still difficult to return home
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: from an East coast trip like that where they beat
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: Toronto and Philadelphia and they got crushed by Boston. Of course,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: Luca and Lebron both missed time during that road trip.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: The Luca missed the games against Toronto and Boston. I think,
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: so that is something to keep in mind there that
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: he's a little bit more rested because he didn't he
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: didn't play those two games. But it is still a
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: return home spot, and it's one of those spots where
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: well I would say normally ye, like, yeah, they're returning
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: over for one game, they have to go back out
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: on the road, But if you look at it, they
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: don't have to go back out on the road until
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: next week, because I think there's some time allotted for
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: whoever's going to continue in the NBA Finals is going
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: to have to continue to play, or the NBA A
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: Cup I mean, excuse me, is gonna have to continue
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: to play where Eventually, by the way, uh, I think
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: these games are gonna be at a neutral location, but
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: for now, these games aren't the home team's arena. Enaugh
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: for now, up until I think the semifinals, I believe,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken, so a lot of a lot
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: going on in this game. But yes, it is a
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: return home spot, so yes, LA might be a little
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: bit distracted. Yes, I think san Antonio should show up
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: are more effort here. I do not disagree with SOB
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: on that side. But hopefully hopefully you didn't already play it, man,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: because I would have recommended against playing it that early,
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: because you pretty much know the public's looking for things
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: to play tonight. They're gonna be looking at the NBA,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: especially the Spurs Lakers game. I think that's gonna be
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: the game that gets more public play because it's a
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: more competitive game. The public's gonna be probably coming in
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: on the Lakers side here for the most part. So yeah,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: I would have probably weighed on this because I think
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: you could have already kind of expected the number to
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: move up with them, kind of surprise that moved up
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: this much already. But you can get that key number
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: of seven already with san Antonio. So if you like
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: san Antonio, I'll try to get seven even seven and
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: a half on this and that's gonna do it. Man.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: No football today again, We're gonna talk about football tomorrow
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: and going into the weekend, the Bulls are starting and
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: Army Navy is also on Saturday, so I have to
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: figure that game out. I rarely have a play in
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: the Army Navy game, though I know the professional betters
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: used to just blindly go unduring that game, but I
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: was not really one of those totals guys, so I
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: never really did that. But we'll talk about it all
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: on Saturday. We have that in the LA Ball I
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: actually kind of like I like it more than the
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: Army Navy game. That's gonna do it. The two plays there,
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: both college basketball were taking nj T plus the two.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: That line seems like it's on the move. I don't
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: think we're gonna get a better number than that at
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: this point. And then Tulsa. I don't know where that
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: line is going, but that line might be moving in
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: the Tulsa direction too, So we're laying the twenty two
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: and a half with Tulsa. That's gonna do it, man.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: I appreciate everybody hanging out here. Learn a tone on Instagram,
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: learn it tone on Twitter, like, subscribe to the channel here,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: do what mister Pinsy is doing and tell everybody about it.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: I hope Jeffrey is okay. Don't know where he is
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: this week. What else we got We're on audio, so
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: go listen on audio. Uh to Toadstool Sports are on Spotify,
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: Apple give me good reviews over there. We got my
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: ukulele project on YouTube. Is covered in yuke. You can
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: check that out. There's a Patreon, Patreon dot com, slash
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: and learn to toad, Yuke, Spotify feed there. I looked
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: at Charles's request finally, and they're not easy because I
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: don't really know them. So like, if I'm gonna do them,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: it's gonna take me a while. So Charles, if you're
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: out there, I apologize. I'm gonna try, but it's gonna
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: take me a bit to do with the man, I'm
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: in Christmas mode right now, so right now it's gonna
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: be pretty much the Christmas covers for the holiday season,
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: So allow me some time at least, but I'm gonna try.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: And then we have the newest comedy panel podcast with
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: the Loser Cast, which we had our second episode last night.
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: I think it was good. I had fun I think
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: it was funny. You go check check that out. It's
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: actually on the loser cast channel. I can check that out.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: We all nominate losers, make fun of them, make fun
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: of ourselves. You know. It's me Layton from Outlood Thoughts,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: Tyler from Liberty Podcast Review, and the former Tower Game producer.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: Some dudes. I apologize that I still don't know their names,
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: Brosif and the other guy who goes by Zennis to Meness.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: I forget what his actual name is because he sits
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: in Layton's room literally physically in kind of a gay
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: duo there. And Adam Nutter is supposed to be one
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: of the co hosts, but he's not because he hasn't
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: shown up for either episode. So we'll see what happens
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: with that show. Hopefully it takes off. We're using it
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: as we're doing this kind of a lesion of skanks
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: after show right now as well we do it after
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: and then at some point the Giants podcast with me
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: and Ben we are the EMO and Cap the g spot.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: At some point we're gonna be doing that, man, So
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: we may be doing like a live live watch party
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: of the Giants Redskins game on Sunday. We'll see what happens.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: We're supposed to do like a Giants like Bye week
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: episode to kick it off this week, but I didn't
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: hear back from him, so I don't know. He must
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: have been busy. He's got a baby, so he's busy.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: You know. Yes, that's gonna do it. I appreciate it.
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: Thank you guys for hanging out. I'll be back tomorrow
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: morning with the Thursday breakdown. It's gonna do and I
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: think hopefully it's another light poor tomorrow. And I'm gonna
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: tell you right now, mister Thursday Night might get that
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: Thursday Night game wrong this time, but I'm definitely not
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be interested to give it out a play on
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: the Thursday in a vel game this week. But we'll see.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: It's gonna do it for now, Peace until tomorrow