Latest / Come Together with Ephraim Herschmann / #139: James Thurber / Political Polarization / Elite vs Americans / Understanding Lobbying / Gov’t
Transcript
- 0:01Welcome to another episode of Come Together,
- 0:15Jim Thurber. Professor Jim, how are you?
- 0:18Good to good to be speaking with you today.
- 0:19Thank you for taking the time. Good to speak with you.
- 0:22Thank you for having me on your podcast.
- 0:24I'm really, I'm really excited to talk.
- 0:26As I mentioned, while we were talking on our phone call the
- 0:28other day, I, I came across your name and the references of some
- 0:32of the work that you've done in John Perkins book.
- 0:35And I reached out and, and then I did a little bit of homework
- 0:38about your career and the work that you do and the research
- 0:41that you do. And I, I knew that I, I knew
- 0:44that I wanted to hear and learn as much as I can from you in the
- 0:47time that you have. So I would love to dive into
- 0:50things. It's an honour to be invited.
- 0:52Thank you. Very much sure, sure.
- 0:53Of course. So, so we have a lot of
- 0:55different directions that we can go because you've had quite a
- 0:58career and there's, and there's quite a bit that I think that I
- 1:01want to educate the audience on as far as the way that the, our
- 1:05government works and, you know, practicality, reality, your
- 1:09experiences. And I know that one of the main
- 1:13things that you, that you work on is, is understanding the
- 1:16roots of political polarization and methods that are used to
- 1:19kind of keep us at one another's throats.
- 1:21And nothing feels quite as prevalent as, you know, it does
- 1:25today. Even though I feel like every, I
- 1:26feel like every time I read in, in the history book, they, they
- 1:29say that every time, you know, at the date of publishing too.
- 1:32So I'm not sure if that's something new or not.
- 1:36The polarization has been here since the founding.
- 1:39Obviously, we had a revolution. Yeah, I.
- 1:43Guess the king and we were highly polarized then and and
- 1:48sometimes we forget that we are polarized not only by the
- 1:53colonies, but between the colonies and England, United
- 2:00Kingdom, but also within the colonies.
- 2:03We were polarized because of the the stain of of slavery and the
- 2:10fact that African Americans did not have the vote, women did not
- 2:15have the vote. But also sometimes we forget
- 2:17about the polarization with the people who lived on the land
- 2:21when we came here, indigenous people in all of the colonies,
- 2:25especially east of the Appalachian Mountains.
- 2:29But let's bring it up to date. We had a highly polarized
- 2:37democracy when we had a serious disagreement between the South
- 2:42and the North over the question of slavery in an economic system
- 2:45based upon owning people who would work for you in the South.
- 2:50And that polarized period stays with us today.
- 2:56It broke out in war, hundreds of thousands of people died.
- 3:00But today we still have a form of polarization based upon
- 3:06geography, the based upon personal values, based upon the
- 3:13way our leaders lead in terms of sometimes pulling us apart
- 3:20rather than pulling us together. But let's go through a few of
- 3:22those things right now. One is there's very differences
- 3:25between great differences between the traditional South
- 3:30and the Rocky Mountains. They are basically red areas
- 3:36except for Colorado in New Mexico and the urban areas in
- 3:44rural areas, rural areas in America, 94% of them voted for
- 3:51for President Trump. And the, the polarization within
- 3:56the Republican Party is important to focus on also
- 3:59because there's MAGA people, but then there's conservative
- 4:02Republicans and they're very different.
- 4:05And many traditional Republicans feel a little alienated from
- 4:10what's going on with this president now, especially in
- 4:15terms of his actions with respect to Minneapolis, but
- 4:24also. Iran and Venezuela has been a
- 4:27been a point of conflict between the Republican Party for sure.
- 4:31Yeah, and the rural areas are very different in terms of their
- 4:37values. They're there for, they aren't
- 4:40for gun control. They they want responsible use
- 4:43of guns. They need guns in Montana and
- 4:45Wyoming elsewhere for a variety of reasons.
- 4:48That's one source of polarization.
- 4:51But also they have more traditional values when it comes
- 4:54to religion and and other values, the role of government.
- 5:01It's, it's OK to, to debate and go and have a strong opposition
- 5:08to the size of government and these and the amount of taxes we
- 5:12have. And no one likes taxes.
- 5:16But people in rural areas are struggling and they, they would
- 5:19like to have lower taxes. They'd also like to have good
- 5:22health care. And that's that's another
- 5:24problem. Can I ask, I'm sorry, do you
- 5:26think that it's an issue of paying taxes or feeling like the
- 5:29money that the taxes are going isn't being well enough spent?
- 5:32Well, there's always that. Better, no matter who you are,
- 5:35Democrat or Republican, you. Well, Sir.
- 5:38You worry about how the money. Is being spent whether it's.
- 5:41Being wasted, whether it's corrupt, whether you're spending
- 5:45too much on on national security and war and not enough on other
- 5:52things, or maybe that you feel it's not the role of government
- 5:55to be involved in in healthcare or retirement, etcetera.
- 6:00The the voters are are polarized and when voters are polarized
- 6:05based upon some of these values that are mentioned, then leaders
- 6:08take advantage of that polarization frequently.
- 6:12But it also is a structural phenomena in America where the
- 6:15real election for the House of Representatives, for example,
- 6:19but also in many state legislatures is the primary
- 6:22election. Whoever gets, whoever wins in
- 6:24the primary basically will win in the general election because
- 6:29there are very few competitive districts right now.
- 6:33We're going into a midterm election this year in November
- 6:37and it's estimated that there's probably only 30 seats in the
- 6:41House of Representatives that are competitive where you win by
- 6:44by less than 5%. That may go up.
- 6:49It does in certain years when there's looks like there's going
- 6:53to be a huge turnover and when there's a lot of retirements.
- 6:56There are 41 retirements so far. So the point is that if you want
- 7:01to get elected, you appeal to the far right and far left,
- 7:05depending on the nature of your district or some other issue
- 7:09that takes you away from the from the middle, from the norm.
- 7:14Sure. In America, so when you do that
- 7:16and you have people elected, say to the House of Representatives,
- 7:20but also the Senate, you have people that are that in order to
- 7:25get elected, they're pretty far left or right.
- 7:27And then when they come together, it's very hard to
- 7:30compromise. And our, our whole democratic
- 7:32system is based upon compromise. Our foundation of our Republic
- 7:38is based upon compromise. Wasn't very nice about the way
- 7:43we treated African Americans and Native Americans, but that's,
- 7:48you know, that's the foundation. And we, we've evolved, we're
- 7:52better. But when you get elected in the
- 7:54far right, far left, it's very hard to come together and agree
- 7:58on things like right now we may have another short term shutdown
- 8:04a government. And as you know, we had a very
- 8:07long term in the fall. And one of the reasons is that
- 8:11the that if you're a hardcore Democrat or Republican and
- 8:15you're elected by people on the far right or far left, it's very
- 8:17hard to come together and say, OK, we'll take care of your
- 8:21issues of pro-life right now, or we'll take care of try to
- 8:27improve ICE and what they're doing.
- 8:32But if you come from a district that disagrees with that and you
- 8:35want to get re elected, that's the big drive.
- 8:38You're going to appeal to your base.
- 8:41So polarize voters, create a situation where leaders make it
- 8:47makes it very hard for leaders to come together and compromise.
- 8:50Now there are very few people in the middle.
- 8:54There used to be Blue Dog Democrats, moderate Democrats in
- 8:57the middle. They're gone.
- 8:58Really. There used to be.
- 9:01Would you call a gentleman like Ro Kahana one of those type of
- 9:05guys or the Thomas Massie's or the Paul's on the on the
- 9:08Republican side or you wouldn't even call them that?
- 9:10Yeah, they they're more in the middle.
- 9:12They are more in the middle. Yeah, there's some issues where
- 9:15they're not in the middle, but they're in the middle.
- 9:16They're willing to compromise it really to come together.
- 9:20And that's a problem for our democracy.
- 9:22It creates difficulties for the leadership to get people
- 9:26together to lead. So we have polarized voters,
- 9:29polarized members getting elected, and then we have
- 9:32polarized leaders because the leaders are the people that the
- 9:37caucus wants in the House and the Senate.
- 9:40They get the leadership that they want.
- 9:41And if they don't, they're out like McCarthy or or others in
- 9:46the past, riot, etcetera. They fire them, they get rid of
- 9:49them because quote they were too moderate.
- 9:53Really. Yeah.
- 9:54And so like Ryan, former speaker from Wisconsin, had 28 bills
- 10:01when he was speaker that where he needed Democratic votes.
- 10:05He got roundly criticized and pushed out of office for being
- 10:09too moderate by his caucus. People saw that McCarthy had a
- 10:15similar situation, even though even though he criticized Trump,
- 10:20at the end, he flew down to Mar a Lago and said, you know, we're
- 10:23going to support you and everything because he was the
- 10:26elected person. Then he got pushed out.
- 10:29So you have these polarized leaders that come from districts
- 10:34that are safe. And we redistrict usually every
- 10:3810 years, but now we're having mid, mid densest drawing right
- 10:45now in Texas, California, maybe Virginia, maybe Illinois, maybe
- 10:51maybe Florida that put they draw lines around the source.
- 10:57Yeah. I redistricted the state of
- 10:59Washington many years ago, in 1972.
- 11:03I was a statistician then. I merged census data with
- 11:06election data and I wanted more competitive districts because
- 11:11there's empirical evidence that if you have more competition in
- 11:15the general election, you get more moderation by the people in
- 11:19office. Makes sense?
- 11:21We're going in the opposite direction.
- 11:23Yeah. I became a reformer after that
- 11:25because the people who hired me to redistrict where the state
- 11:28legislature run by Democrats and I said I kept pushing, no, we
- 11:34need more competitive districts. They wanted more.
- 11:36They wanted more districts that were non competitive.
- 11:39So I pushed in my career for for commissions to do redistricting
- 11:46with the idea that most of those commissions, there are seven
- 11:50true commissions now in the United States and a bunch of
- 11:52others that say they're commissions, but they're highly
- 11:54partisan. I pushed for them to draw the
- 11:58lines. We'd have more competition and
- 12:02we have more competition in some states.
- 12:04But now we have this mid census drawing in California to create
- 12:11even more districts that are safe for the Democrats out there
- 12:14and in Texas more for the Republicans.
- 12:17So it's going in the opposite direction.
- 12:19So the foundations of political polarization come from the
- 12:22voters, the leaders, regional differences, urban, rural
- 12:28differences that are very different.
- 12:30And we have partisan sorting, meeting people sort and they
- 12:36live in places where they agree with people.
- 12:38And if they don't, they keep their mouth shut or they change.
- 12:42If you're if, for example, if you're a union member, pro pro
- 12:47Democratic and you come out of Detroit, MI and you're a strong
- 12:52Democrat, you move to to the suburbs of Phoenix or some or
- 12:57South Florida. You don't go around knocking on
- 13:01doors, getting people to try to vote Democratic.
- 13:04You, you shut up. You reduce cognitive dissonance
- 13:07with your neighbors by not saying much except people who
- 13:11are real community organizers. They'll do it and they'll do it.
- 13:14They keep doing it. But, but most people just want
- 13:17to have peace. And so they sort, they agree
- 13:21with the people around them. In rural America, in urban
- 13:25America, it's primarily Democratic.
- 13:28And in the suburbs, that's where there's a lot of battle and, and
- 13:31there are a lot of people who are becoming independents.
- 13:33They're more independents in the United States now, if you ask in
- 13:37surveys than there are Democrats or Republicans.
- 13:41Those people are not voting. They're young.
- 13:45Maybe they'll change. I hope they change because the
- 13:48way out of this is to vote and to vote people, and that you
- 13:51think will represent your interests.
- 13:54We also added to it. I'm sorry, there's a lot.
- 13:57No, I love this is this is wonderful.
- 13:59This is wonderful. There's a lot in the foundation
- 14:02of polarization. We also have a polarized media.
- 14:06Yeah. Podcasts, social media,
- 14:12Newspapers, radio programs, all kinds of things are highly
- 14:18polarized. And, and frequently these
- 14:23sources of media media are, you know, on multiple levels.
- 14:26There's different kinds of media, but, but many of them are
- 14:29polarized and they, they're polarized to attract more
- 14:33eyeballs if people are watching it or more ears if they're
- 14:35listening to it. And they ream podcasts
- 14:39sometimes, for example, you know about them.
- 14:42I don't think this is one of those.
- 14:44That's why I said yes to the podcast.
- 14:47I try not to let it be. Yeah, I think it's more
- 14:50objective than you looked at some of them.
- 14:52You have people all over the map in terms of ideology and their
- 14:57values and their research. That's important.
- 14:59That's not always the case. The polarized media reinforces
- 15:04the polarization of the of the people elected and the voters
- 15:08and it makes it more difficult. And then we have this phenomena
- 15:12that's been going on for 30 to 40 years.
- 15:15The missing moderates. There used to be many moderates.
- 15:20I, as you know, I work in the US Senate for then Senator Hubert
- 15:25Humphrey from Minnesota and his, his best friend was Dirksen, a
- 15:30Republican who's the Republican leadership.
- 15:33They used to get together, have a little Scotch, figure out what
- 15:36they agreed on, what they didn't agree, go to the floor and very
- 15:39respectfully debated an issue. Not attacking them, their
- 15:45family, but with respect to base, and they knew where the
- 15:50votes were. They'd have the vote and then
- 15:52leave the floor with their arms around each other, chatting,
- 15:56going back for a little more Scotch.
- 15:58That's beautiful, but when's the last time you saw people do
- 16:00that? Very rare.
- 16:03There are some issues that are bipartisan, but very few.
- 16:11There's some. It used to be that we had
- 16:14bipartisanship when we left the United States and hit the water.
- 16:18In other words, when there was a when there was a a threat to the
- 16:23United States, when there was a war and then Vietnam happened
- 16:29and Iraq and Afghanistan and they ever named wars in the
- 16:34Middle East and all those things ripped the parties apart.
- 16:38And that you've seen that right now you'll see it in in the run
- 16:43up to the midterm elections and and in 2028 for the presidential
- 16:47election. Back to the point, moderates are
- 16:50not around anymore. People don't run and say I'm a
- 16:53moderate elect me now when when Obama ran, he said I want to
- 16:57change the way Washington works. He was referring to corruption,
- 17:02but also he wanted to change it by bringing people together.
- 17:07And he had people together because he had a huge majority
- 17:12the first two years together in the Republic and the Democratic
- 17:15Party. But then he lost overwhelmingly
- 17:18the midterms, and he couldn't really bring people together.
- 17:22I think all modern presidents, from FDR to, to to Trump's first
- 17:30four years in office said those things.
- 17:33We want to bring Americans together.
- 17:35We all believe in freedom. We all believe in in our
- 17:38democracy, in our in our capitalist system.
- 17:43But Trump did not have that message.
- 17:46He didn't say, I want to bring people together.
- 17:49And he never has that message, which is a problem that is
- 17:53throwing gasoline on the embers of polarization.
- 17:57And his base likes it about a third.
- 18:00And then others didn't like Biden that much or they didn't
- 18:04vote. And and he won overwhelmingly,
- 18:07OK, for the second time around, but he won with a highly
- 18:11populist and polarized message. Now he's governing on that also.
- 18:17And support for him keeps going down in the polls because
- 18:21Americans are, I think, getting tired of the chaos.
- 18:25Tired, tired of the polarized language.
- 18:29They care about cost of living, whether the kids can go to
- 18:35college or not, whether they whether the kids can have
- 18:38housing, whether they can have housing.
- 18:41They care about these bread and butter issues.
- 18:43And in the polarized world, polarized rhetoric, that is not
- 18:52always the case. And there's extreme statements
- 18:55on the left and on the right. And we have a president that has
- 18:59some pretty extreme, extreme statements.
- 19:02And that's very hard. He is not saying let's all pull
- 19:05together. Can I can I ask if you don't
- 19:08mind? I just have a couple of follow
- 19:09up questions because I think that I think a lot of what you
- 19:13said really clarifies a lot and explains a lot, especially as to
- 19:18why it feels like everywhere you look, people are just so extreme
- 19:23and obviously that's being fed to us.
- 19:26I, I think that I have so many the problem.
- 19:32I think that potentially, and I'm curious what your thoughts
- 19:36are on this as someone that I guess I just turned 30 and I
- 19:41think I mentioned to you that I mentioned that to you as well.
- 19:43And, and there are a lot of concerns or issues that Trump
- 19:48ran on that it felt like was unilaterally appreciated and
- 19:57cared about by everyone, right? For example, the Epstein, I
- 20:01think was a problem with that, that whole being swept under the
- 20:05rug and this whole operation just constantly being, you know,
- 20:09I, I mean, there's no solid story for anything.
- 20:11And everyone left and right wants to hear, and you hear
- 20:14situations where the House and Congress passed, sorry, the
- 20:18Congress and the Senate passed, you know, this remarkable vote
- 20:23where they want to allow everything out and.
- 20:26Everything becomes redacted. And I feel like anyone that had
- 20:30hoped that this was going to be the case is now disappointed.
- 20:33And the same thing applies, I feel perhaps to the to the
- 20:36economy, right? Trump and Biden both walked
- 20:39around saying the economy is great, the economy is great.
- 20:43The America everyday Americans, from my understanding, didn't
- 20:46feel that way. And then, and one thing that
- 20:49John Perkins pointed out in in his newest revision of
- 20:53Confessions of the Economic, Economic Hitman was that if
- 20:57there's three people with approximately half the wealth in
- 21:00America and they make 10% on their investments and everyone
- 21:03else loses 3% or stays at stays, you know, just about the same,
- 21:08then as a whole, the economy went up, you know, And so
- 21:11they're always, you know, there are always ways to, for, for
- 21:16leadership or politicians to be able to say that things are good
- 21:20and to able to try and convince the audience or convince their
- 21:23bases or convince anyone that things are the certain way.
- 21:26But I think that it's become so blatant recently that the
- 21:33conversation for a lot of people isn't a question as to whether
- 21:36or not politics are left and right.
- 21:38It feels more elite versus everyday people, you know?
- 21:43Yeah. Yeah, I think that's a good,
- 21:46that's an accurate position. Let me reflect on some of the
- 21:49things that you said, Sir. Trump ran, ran on the economy.
- 21:54He ran against Biden being too old and not with it.
- 21:59He ran on immigration and many immigrants, recent immigrants
- 22:06agreed with him that there should be a a legal pathway to
- 22:11citizenship. That's changed a little bit in
- 22:14terms of his implement, serious implementation of it now.
- 22:19But he also ran on a strong defense, but not getting into
- 22:27wars around the world that were directly related to us.
- 22:30So this is a lot of popularity there.
- 22:33But he also said things about when it came to the economy, the
- 22:41division, the difference of wealth in the United States.
- 22:47But he didn't hit it real hard. And then he forgot about it once
- 22:50he got into office and brought in all kinds of CE OS.
- 22:54And. Basically, they gave him all
- 22:57kinds of contributions, not only Musk but others for his
- 23:01campaign, but also for for the ballroom, all kinds of ways to
- 23:05to be in a transactional situation.
- 23:09Politics is transactional, but not as blatant as his
- 23:13transactional things. Behind that is what I call the
- 23:18norm of reciprocity. Now, what's the largest, what's
- 23:22the most important norm in one's life?
- 23:24Love. OK, in my opinion, it's behind
- 23:27all kinds of religions, love and caring for each other.
- 23:31But behind that is reciprocity. I'll help you if you'll help me.
- 23:35You hurt me. I may not get mad, but I'll get
- 23:38even. He is very blatant about that.
- 23:42And that affects our relationships with the world,
- 23:45but also people's relationships when they see this in the United
- 23:51States. There's a lot of transactional
- 23:52things with respect to lobbying. There always has been, but this
- 23:56is much of it, in my opinion. I write about ethics and
- 24:00lobbying a lot A. Lot of it is, I hope after.
- 24:04It's it's it's ill. Many things are illegal in my
- 24:08opinion. If you look at the standard
- 24:11laws, which I know pretty well back to the point he ran on
- 24:14things that were popular. He but most importantly,
- 24:17remember there were 3rd of America are a lot or more felt
- 24:23left out. That's related to the division
- 24:25of wealth. They felt left out.
- 24:27They thought he would come in and help them.
- 24:30They felt that the elite in the media and he attacks the media,
- 24:36the elite in the media, the elite in in elite institutions
- 24:41of higher education. The elite in government were not
- 24:46to be trusted. And he went after them.
- 24:49Yeah, in a very populist way. And that was popular.
- 24:54Yeah. But that's related to your point
- 24:57of this distribution of wealth. It's getting worse and worth.
- 25:02Very few people are in the billionaire category and they
- 25:08owned, you know, half the wealth or more in the United States and
- 25:12others are struggling and some are not struggling that much,
- 25:17but they're, they see their kids struggling, they're adult
- 25:19children that people want to go to college, etcetera.
- 25:23So then when Biden, but also Trump says, well, geez, the
- 25:29stock market's doing really well.
- 25:31Look at the data on unemployment.
- 25:33It's well baloney. It's, it's what it costs to buy
- 25:39some eggs. It's what whether you can have
- 25:41healthcare, whether you're going to afford healthcare insurance,
- 25:45whether your kids are going to have a future and most of them
- 25:49are are saying, well, we're our future is not going to be as
- 25:52good as what you had. That's a very serious problem in
- 25:58our democracy. And I think the same language
- 26:02from Trump going further now about, oh, the economy is good,
- 26:06don't worry about it. It's similar to Biden's he but
- 26:11but the strategy of Trump is to flood the zones with zone with
- 26:14all kinds of issues every day. I don't know what they'll be
- 26:17today. And that controls what the media
- 26:23are doing to a great extent, you know, the general media.
- 26:26And that's a strategy. He's he's not stupid that way.
- 26:31But the question is where does this strategy lead us as a
- 26:35democracy? And I think it's leading us in a
- 26:38way that is not very democratic, it's not very equitable in.
- 26:44Terms of quite frankly. Pardon me.
- 26:46It's terrible, quite frankly. Yeah, it's terrible.
- 26:49I mean, I, it's, it's and, and I think, and I think something,
- 26:54I'm sorry to interrupt, but something as glaring as Epstein,
- 26:56which is an like an exact, exact example of literally the will of
- 27:01the people that are supposed to be keeping the executive branch
- 27:05in check. That is the checks and balances
- 27:07in checks and balances is that every single person except for
- 27:10literally one person in Congress and the, and the Senate voted
- 27:14for something and for the people not to have that and for 50 days
- 27:18or 45 days, whatever it's been to go by without any
- 27:20repercussions. And with the fact that Bill and
- 27:23Hillary and Hillary Clinton had just decided they got subpoenaed
- 27:26and just didn't show up shows that the institutions don't
- 27:29really have one tier of justice. And I think that it's so blatant
- 27:34now that it's, it's really, it's upsetting.
- 27:37But I think a lot of people just throw up their hands and say,
- 27:40yeah, you know what? It's not really democracy
- 27:41anyway. You call it whatever you want,
- 27:42but like, no one really feels like they're getting what they
- 27:45voted for at the end of the day a lot of times.
- 27:47Well, the Epstein situation is terrible.
- 27:54I mean, if you had a daughter that got caught up in this,
- 27:57you'd be furious. You'd, I'm curious, just
- 28:00thinking about what happened. And in your in your statement,
- 28:06you refer to the Congress article one of the Constitution
- 28:11creates a very strong Congress, but it has to act.
- 28:15It hasn't acted. And one of the reasons it hasn't
- 28:18acted very, very firmly is that we've got a president who's
- 28:22dominating it in terms of what he wants.
- 28:25Yeah. Now LBJ did that, Johnson did
- 28:28that. Lots of people do that.
- 28:30I've written a whole book on called Rivals book, our
- 28:33President of Congress and it it changes.
- 28:36But this is to the extreme in terms of really forcing the
- 28:42Republicans in the House and the Senate not to challenge him on a
- 28:47variety of things, even even on Epstein and what happened with
- 28:51Epstein and, and, and the papers there, he has said terrible
- 28:58things about it, like, oh, it's, it's an extraction.
- 29:00This is distraction. Pardon me.
- 29:04It, it, it doesn't, it, it doesn't help us address the real
- 29:09problems of immigration. The criminals that are
- 29:14immigrants, well, they're very few criminals that are
- 29:17immigrants. There are some, in my opinion.
- 29:20I mean, the data show that. So we have a democracy that's a
- 29:25pluralist democracy, meaning groups are very powerful.
- 29:28If they organize and push things, they have some impact,
- 29:34but our pluralist democracy sings with an upper class
- 29:38accent. Yeah.
- 29:42Pluralism sings with an upper class accent.
- 29:45It's and it has a patina of elitism and certainly Epstein is
- 29:51about that. It's about the elites.
- 29:53We have another world that can do anything they want.
- 29:55They can do disgusting things with with young women that are
- 30:00underage and get away with it. Black market deals between
- 30:05governments and, and I mean, I mean, you know, arms deals
- 30:09between governments. I mean, we know that Epstein was
- 30:11related to Iran Contra and we know that I mean, there was
- 30:13quite a bit that he was that he participated in as far as as far
- 30:17as Internet global politics, you know, and.
- 30:20Yeah, but it's not only Epstein. It's it's we have a history of
- 30:23that, Yeah. Certainly.
- 30:26Under Reagan, you know, under every president, yes.
- 30:31Therefore, there's distrust of the elite in Washington.
- 30:34By some, they're not, you know, a core of his supporter.
- 30:39Trump's supporters distrust Washington totally.
- 30:42He distrust professors like me. It's good, even though I come
- 30:47from a small rural community in Oregon, you know, they, they
- 30:53think I'm an elitist that went to one of the Ivy League
- 30:55schools. And by the way, many of the
- 30:58people in his cabinet went to Ivy League schools, as you know,
- 31:01and they don't talk about it. If there are elites, there are
- 31:05elites always in government because we have a meritocracy.
- 31:09If you do well in a particular area, you get selected.
- 31:13And that's still true. Yeah.
- 31:16Under. Under Trump, Although you have
- 31:18to he totally loyal to Trump, there's nobody really standing
- 31:22up to him. You saw it happen with Marjorie
- 31:24Taylor Green. The second she stood up to him,
- 31:26she was she was out. That was it.
- 31:27Yeah, but she may, she may not be out.
- 31:29The party is splitting a little bit.
- 31:31And she's America first type. And he's getting us involved in
- 31:35a variety of external things. Bombing.
- 31:39Yeah. Iran going into Venezuela.
- 31:43I'm not making a value judgment about those things.
- 31:45But he's, you know, he's, he's expanding.
- 31:48You believe that he should have had to go to Congress in order
- 31:51to do in order to do the Venezuela strike to kidnap
- 31:54Maduro? Do you think he needed
- 31:55Congress's approval? I think under the War Powers Act
- 31:59he should have gone to Congress more quickly.
- 32:04He should have had a, He should have met with the 8 leaders,
- 32:09House and the Senate in a top secret meeting to let them know
- 32:16what was happening. And then he, and then he should
- 32:19go forward with Congress to approve or not approve the
- 32:24continuation of the use of force against another nation.
- 32:29I, I think that we have a major drug problem in the United
- 32:33States. But those boats that he's
- 32:34bombing were not going, You know, they, they let me put that
- 32:39in perspective. My son has lived in Ecuador for
- 32:4230 years. OK.
- 32:43So he's seen what happened to Ecuador.
- 32:45He'd like to have a stronger force going after the six major
- 32:49gangs that really transformed that country into a very
- 32:52dangerous place on the especially Guayaquil and all the
- 32:56coast. And he's influenced me.
- 32:59I've been there many times. I can see what it's done.
- 33:02They shoot mayors, all kinds of things.
- 33:04There should be some action inter, you know, inter
- 33:11interjecting our force with the approval of Ecuador that Ecuador
- 33:15wants it to deal with that. But to but to go after these
- 33:19boats the way they are without due process, in my opinion,
- 33:25without the rule of law is not right.
- 33:30We had the Coast Guard stopping these boats for many years and
- 33:34submarines and and arresting people when they saw evidence
- 33:38and due process with those people.
- 33:40But but if you're going from Venezuela to Trinidad in a
- 33:46little fishing boat. With some trace amounts of
- 33:49marijuana and like, nothing to do with fentanyl or heroin or
- 33:51cocaine or anything like that. That's right.
- 33:54Used to be it was fentanyl, but it wasn't.
- 33:56None of it was fentanyl. Then it was cocaine.
- 33:59Oh no, it's not cocaine. It's something else.
- 34:01It's. It's just something's legal in
- 34:04half the states of the country and medicinally available and
- 34:06like that and like another 10 states.
- 34:08It's it's, it undermines trust in government, It undermines
- 34:14what's going on. Although there are a lot of
- 34:15people say, yeah, we got to go after drugs.
- 34:17This is going after drugs. It's symbolic more than real.
- 34:21Right back to the point. Yes.
- 34:23Where we were about what he ran on and what he's doing.
- 34:27I think that he most importantly, he didn't run on
- 34:31this. He's really wiped out Article
- 34:33one of the Constitution primarily on the on the power of
- 34:38the purse. And we still don't have a major
- 34:40case before the Supreme Court decided yet about whether it is
- 34:46OK for him to impound money unconstitutionally, in other
- 34:52words, not spend it. That's been authorized and
- 34:54appropriate. Congress needs to get together
- 34:57to push back on that. But the Republicans are not with
- 34:59the Democrats on that. So that's the problem.
- 35:02I helped draft part of the Budget Impoundment Control Act
- 35:05of 1973. Title 10 of that act is on
- 35:08impoundment. There's ways to impound money
- 35:10legally. Recisions and deferrals.
- 35:13Recisions rescinded completely. Deferrals defer for a year.
- 35:17He's only had one rescission message that went to the Hill.
- 35:21It barely passed by one vote the rest of the time.
- 35:25Vogt, who's head of the OMB, executive director of OMB and
- 35:29and editor and author of many chapters of the Heritage
- 35:34Foundation's 2025 plan, has done it unilaterally.
- 35:40He has cut off money for AID Luke unilaterally.
- 35:44You may disagree with the AID, but there's a way to change it.
- 35:48There's a way to change the law. They've shut down the Peace
- 35:52Institute created through a partnership by legislative
- 35:57action and private sector support and cut off money for it
- 36:03illegally under Article One of the Constitution.
- 36:07The power of the purse belongs with Congress.
- 36:09The Congress currently has had no oversight hearings on these
- 36:14things. They have no, they have no guts
- 36:17to stand up against him behind the scenes and I know this
- 36:21because I have over 200 former students working on the Hill.
- 36:25Wow. For years and four members of
- 36:28Congress behind the scenes, the Republicans poor mouth him all
- 36:32the time and they, you know, they say he's terrible, he's a
- 36:35dictator, he's fascist, He's not doing Republicans are saying
- 36:39this, but they're not willing to stand up against him because
- 36:43they're worried they'll get primary.
- 36:44They're worried that the base, which is far right in their
- 36:48case, will come out against them.
- 36:50Sure. Like with Congresswoman Green.
- 36:55And so they don't do anything about it.
- 36:57So I see cracks in that right now in terms of what he's doing
- 37:02and how he's behaving. I think most Americans you'll
- 37:06see did not want us to invade or buy Greenland.
- 37:11I mean, that's that's gone now. Maybe they don't want us to
- 37:17break up at 80 year successful coalition of western
- 37:24democracies. Under NATO.
- 37:26Under NATO. OK, OK.
- 37:29I could hear, I could hear arguments both way about that
- 37:31for sure. Sure, but but this, I'm saying
- 37:33this, polls show that most Americans want to continue.
- 37:36OK, cool. OK.
- 37:38And then also change it, you know, but not blow it apart.
- 37:41So we're sorry. So we end up with partners from
- 37:46China and Russia. Some people say, I don't think I
- 37:48think that's an extreme, although his position with Putin
- 37:52certainly is very different than previous presidents.
- 37:54Sure. But where am I going with this?
- 37:58Not only the Poor Powers Act is being ignored by the executive,
- 38:02the power of the purse is being ignored, and also the power of
- 38:06Congress over. Over.
- 38:08Trade policy over. Tariffs.
- 38:14Tariffs with our friends as well as with our enemies like China.
- 38:21They have the right, but they also have the responsibility to
- 38:25stand up and do something. They haven't.
- 38:27The Supreme Court's going to come up with a decision about
- 38:29that. It looks like from the
- 38:31questioning about the tariff issues and the role of Congress
- 38:36that they're leaning against this president's position,
- 38:38although they've been very timid about about challenging, right.
- 38:47But he didn't run on getting rid of article one of the
- 38:51Constitution. Although Congress is always a
- 38:53very unpopular institution generally except for their
- 38:57member, you know, if you come from a district.
- 39:00Oh yeah, we love our member, but Congress is the problem.
- 39:03Because how much blame corruption that people just see
- 39:05it? Yeah, and it's the corruption.
- 39:09You're not going to like this, but the corruption is not as
- 39:13deep and as extensive as it seems.
- 39:16Because the headlines When you see headlines about what ICE is
- 39:20doing or headlines about FEMA's mismanagement, that doesn't mean
- 39:27the whole thing is that way. Sure.
- 39:29So I know many, many members so who certainly never crossed the
- 39:35line in a shade of grey ethically or any other ways, but
- 39:39there are some, they're really pushing it.
- 39:41There's some people that it seems to be not the sharpest
- 39:45tool in the shed that you know, you know, that speak out.
- 39:50And those are the ones that speak out frequently.
- 39:51You don't know the the workhorses behind the scenes.
- 39:54So it's unpopular for me to do this, but I'm going to stand up
- 39:58for the institution. I love the institution, OK.
- 40:00We just need to have better ways of getting more moderate
- 40:04selected and better ways for them to get some guts and stand
- 40:09up. Yes.
- 40:10For the rights of the people through Congress, and they're
- 40:14not doing it right now. OK, wonderful.
- 40:16I think that's and I actually, I really do appreciate your
- 40:19optimism. And I like that because I've
- 40:22spoken to a couple of people, for example, after, you know,
- 40:26Trump had gotten shot at and after Charlie Kirk got
- 40:28assassinated. And I was asking, you know,
- 40:31everyone's making a big deal. What's Secret Service doing?
- 40:34And it's the failed year of security.
- 40:35And I said for every, every failure, think about how many
- 40:38hundreds of thousands of cases that they had prevented that you
- 40:40don't hear about, that you don't know anything about, you know,
- 40:43and the same thing goes with our institutions.
- 40:44Think about, you know, that, that the, the, and this also
- 40:47goes with polarization, I suppose that polarization is the
- 40:51stuff that grabs people's eyes. And so the people that are doing
- 40:53the good, quiet, healthy work aren't getting that same level
- 40:56of of speculation, I suppose. Yeah, they don't get the news.
- 41:01No, they. Don't get the headlines.
- 41:03And I'm glad you said that about the Secret Service.
- 41:05They they've had some problems. I used to be an outside speaker
- 41:11that came in to speak at the Secret Service Academy.
- 41:14I did that for 15 years. So I've met a lot of those
- 41:18people. I learned from them about what
- 41:20they're doing. You are absolutely right.
- 41:22There are 10s of thousands of threats every month just on
- 41:30presidents and former presidents.
- 41:32And now there are thousands of threats on members of Congress.
- 41:36They're overwhelmed. They're under budget.
- 41:40They have a, a new world of threats coming online that they
- 41:45have to deal with, a huge bureaucracy to deal with that.
- 41:48It's amazing that we haven't had other really tragic situations
- 41:52and we may have more. So I, you know, most of them are
- 41:57doing, doing a very good job, but sometimes one or two don't
- 42:03and then that becomes the headline.
- 42:05That's my point. Yeah, excellent.
- 42:08Can you actually explain for anyone that doesn't understand?
- 42:10You mentioned this a couple of times the midterms and how that
- 42:12works please? Sure, the midterms are elections
- 42:16between the elections of presidents.
- 42:19They come up every two years. Every member of the house is up
- 42:24for for re election and 1/3 of the Senate.
- 42:27There are 34 this time that are up for election, and this time
- 42:36we have a situation where the incoming party controlling the
- 42:42House and Senate and the presidency, unified party
- 42:44government is under threat of a huge turnover of of New
- 42:51Democrats. So on average from 1946 to
- 42:54present, the midterms have shown that in this situation, there's
- 43:00a turnover of 27 seats to the out to the out party 27.
- 43:06This time there'll there'll be a huge turnover unless things can
- 43:11happen. I mean, things can happen with
- 43:13this president every day. It may help him, it may not help
- 43:17him. And with respect to ICE and a
- 43:21variety of other things, right now he's his popularity is, is
- 43:25going down. He's very His popularity has
- 43:29gone down, as most presidents do the first term.
- 43:32They've just gone down. Yeah, Obama happened to Obama
- 43:35too. Yeah, that's right.
- 43:37And in the midterm, he lost over 50 seats, and so that's set a
- 43:45record. What?
- 43:46What causes that what causes something such dramatic turnover
- 43:49is that policy is that impressions is that, you know,
- 43:52running based on idea and not being able to quite didn't
- 43:56happen yet and so you lose people become disenchanted.
- 43:59What causes such a dramatic overturn?
- 44:01All of those things, Obama's case, it was a perceived
- 44:05overreach in terms of new policies that he was pushing
- 44:10through like the Affordable Care Act, so-called Obamacare.
- 44:16People didn't understand it and, and the opposition went against
- 44:20it in simple ways. They like certain things.
- 44:23But for example, right now, if you call, if people say do you
- 44:27like Obamacare, there's a huge percent say no, but it's the
- 44:32same thing as the Affordable Care Act.
- 44:34And they say, Oh, yeah, we're for the Affordable Care Act, you
- 44:37know? So that's right.
- 44:37We don't like surveillance, but we like the Patriot Act.
- 44:40Right, exactly. So you've got it.
- 44:42So it's policy, it's it's also style of leadership that maybe
- 44:51people don't like. It's Vince internationally, it's
- 44:55the economy stupid. If the economy doesn't don't go
- 44:59well, you're going to it's going to hurt you.
- 45:01There are a variety of reasons for for the in, in party in the
- 45:08White House losing seats in Congress.
- 45:12Now, right now, it's all of those things with respect to
- 45:15Trump. And I'm not going to predict
- 45:18what's going to happen, but all of the data show that it's that
- 45:22he's in he's in serious trouble and he's he's flooding the zones
- 45:26with all kinds of new ideas and things to get people to focus on
- 45:31that, not focus on Epstein, although he gave in on that, but
- 45:37now he doesn't. Oh, why are we still talking
- 45:40about that? Focusing on things like
- 45:42Greenland, which, you know, why don't we?
- 45:46Why don't we? You know, I go to Iceland often
- 45:47because I knew the ambassador, he invites me to give speeches.
- 45:50This thing, we gave up a base in Iceland and they protested us
- 45:56leaving. They wanted us to stay.
- 45:59And now I know from briefings that the Soviet, pardon me, the
- 46:03Russians are fishing in their in their fishing area.
- 46:09They have overflights. They have military ships that
- 46:12come within their boundaries, have all kinds of problems.
- 46:16But we're talking about Greenland.
- 46:18Why don't we talk about Iceland? You know, and that happened
- 46:21under a long time ago. It happened under George W Bush
- 46:25when we got rid of that base. But at Keflevic is the name of
- 46:29the base. So that doesn't come up in the
- 46:31press. At all, Not at all.
- 46:34And if you're if you're what's now known, like what's now, it's
- 46:38almost a derogatory term these days, but a neo con and you're
- 46:41making an argument for, hey, if America is not the Big Brother,
- 46:44then like you know, then there's a power vacuum.
- 46:46This would be a case in point for them, wouldn't it?
- 46:49Yeah, well, yeah, Neo Con made a lot of difference when we had
- 46:57the Soviet Union. Yes, a huge threat.
- 47:00Sure, now Russia is a threat. Certainly, I have 21 former
- 47:06students that are Ukrainians that are suffering in Ukraine
- 47:09right now. Some of them have been fighting
- 47:12since 2014. I get emails from them so I'm
- 47:15biased about Ukraine. OK.
- 47:17I, I want to, I think we should help them and NATO should help
- 47:21them stand up against, against a bully against, against Putin or
- 47:28he'll go after Lithuania. I've been to Lithuania also, and
- 47:321/3 of their population is ethnic Russian.
- 47:34And he's going to say, oh, just like in your game, we're going
- 47:38to go for that. Back to the point, we can't be
- 47:42the cop everywhere in the world, but we can set up certain
- 47:48positions where we should, where we should stop aggression.
- 47:55And that's certainly happen happening in Ukraine.
- 47:58I I certainly hope that we have peace there because the people
- 48:01that I know have families, Yeah, they've been seriously hurt.
- 48:04Their property's been blown up. And of course, we don't hear
- 48:08about Ukraine anymore. No, it's that no white light.
- 48:12Anymore. The white light of of the media
- 48:17is was on Greenland. It's on, you know, it's on
- 48:22Minneapolis, it's on a variety of other things, but they're
- 48:25still fighting and suffering. Yeah, yeah, it's terrible.
- 48:28Where? Was I going with that?
- 48:29I'm sorry I slipped off. That's OK.
- 48:30We were talking about how the neocons would would the neocons?
- 48:34Yeah, as as Iceland as as a case in point for their philosophy.
- 48:39Yeah, Wait a minute, neocons. Yeah, it's it's an unpopular
- 48:45position. It is the.
- 48:46Position within the jail track part pre to a certain extent was
- 48:52the neo body was tough on communism and tough on on Cuba,
- 48:57tough on on Soviet Union. Now it's different.
- 49:03It's really people that say, OK, if you don't stand up now with
- 49:11bullies like this one circumstance in in Ukraine, then
- 49:18then he will then take over another country.
- 49:24Now sometimes that's right, sometimes it's wrong.
- 49:27In the the Domino's theory in in Vietnam was wrong.
- 49:32Yeah. And we lost a lot of American,
- 49:37Great American soldiers there for what?
- 49:39So they can sell Coca-Cola and build our Nike shoes?
- 49:43I mean help, I mean so. That's that's always the
- 49:49consequence post war. You know, throw a dart at a map
- 49:53and you can find out where we put, you know, we're even to 1
- 49:56where Nike and Coke and and Chevron have all filled in the,
- 50:00you know, the empty areas that got bombed out.
- 50:03And where? And then in Washington, DC area,
- 50:06we get all kinds of great restaurants, Vietnamese
- 50:10restaurants. Oh my goodness.
- 50:13Iranian restaurants. Can I ask?
- 50:17Afghan restaurants. I'm serious.
- 50:18You. Know.
- 50:18Yeah, Yeah. Can I ask your opinion?
- 50:22And this can be brief, but I just want to know your thoughts.
- 50:24I know that it's it's a famous story or relatively, I guess
- 50:28infamous, depending what perspective you're looking at it
- 50:30from, but that Putin actually asked to join NATO.
- 50:35He asked George Bush to I think junior to join NATO.
- 50:38And what do you think would have happened if he if that if that
- 50:41was accepted? I'm not capable of.
- 50:46That's not my area of expertise. I don't know what would have
- 50:48happened. OK, that's fine.
- 50:50Watching his behavior, he's broken all kinds of treaties and
- 50:56agreements, First taking, you know, 1/3 of Ukraine in 2014.
- 51:05There were agreements, you know, that he wouldn't do that.
- 51:08So I wouldn't trust him. OK, bottom line, I wouldn't
- 51:10trust him, but I don't, I don't know what would happen.
- 51:13I know that war is is absolutely terrible and you should try to
- 51:19avoid it. And I think that maybe Obama was
- 51:23trying to do that by not pushing back on Russia 2014 because
- 51:32absolutely that's that was their major naval base that that for
- 51:38Russia. And that would have maybe
- 51:43triggered a major war. And I think he was being very
- 51:46careful. But also, you got, you know,
- 51:49looks what look what happened. I mean, it continues and tragedy
- 51:53continues. Yeah, for Ukraine, but also for
- 51:56Russia and Russian troops. Yeah, certainly.
- 52:00But this is an area that I'm not an expert on.
- 52:02No problem. I was just curious.
- 52:05Yeah, sure. From the perspective of former
- 52:07students, I've been to Ukraine four times, OK?
- 52:10I'm very concerned about corruption in Ukraine and I have
- 52:14been involved in in with Ukrainians in trying to try to
- 52:21go after corruption. And now that the war has been
- 52:24going on, people haven't thought about it.
- 52:26But you know, it's it's still corrupt.
- 52:28Sure. Not everywhere, but it's pretty
- 52:31corrupt. And that issue will come back
- 52:34once the war is over with no matter what.
- 52:37Yeah, and we should not forget that.
- 52:42We need to clean up, no matter what kind of regime it is.
- 52:46We need to clean up corruption because then the people don't
- 52:50trust government and you know, you have huge problems, turmoil
- 52:53as you know. Yes, as I do.
- 52:55And that's where actually I want to lead into, if you don't mind.
- 52:58I think there's a perfect time to lead into lobbying and ethics
- 53:01because I think everyone hears the word lobbying, you know,
- 53:05lobbyists and lobbying in the news and people, I don't know
- 53:08people really how it works or what it means.
- 53:11Or, you know, and people hear about this evolving door that
- 53:15happens between all sorts of industries that an industry that
- 53:19has relation any kind of regulation and, and you'll see,
- 53:22you'll see a revolving door there.
- 53:24So can you maybe explain in a little bit of depth how lobbying
- 53:28and ethics works, especially, you know, within the political
- 53:31system? Yeah, a lot of people laugh when
- 53:33I say that I teach a workshop, a research workshop.
- 53:37I'm teaching now on ethics and lobbying and students are
- 53:41looking at ethical problems and what the law is and how to
- 53:45improve it. I've been doing this for 16
- 53:48years. I've had a grant to do this and
- 53:51even though I'm Meritus, which means I'm retired, I've the Dean
- 53:55said no one can teach this class.
- 53:57You have a grant. We're going to lose the grant
- 54:00unless you do it. So I'm doing it and I enjoy it.
- 54:02Great. Lobbying throughout the world is
- 54:06a dirty word. In France, it's a dirty word.
- 54:09In Italy it's a dirty word. It's not a nice word in the EU.
- 54:14And I've taught for 16 years on the European Public Affairs and
- 54:18Advocacy Institute, lobbying in in a workshop there for two
- 54:25weeks every year. So I got to know the problems of
- 54:32advocacy lobbying there. But you know, lobbying is a
- 54:37necessary function in democracy. It is protected under the 1st
- 54:44Amendment of our Constitution. We have freedom of speech,
- 54:47freedom of assembly freedom, freedom to petition government
- 54:50for grievances without being arrested and thrown in jail.
- 54:55That's under freedom of speech, all that.
- 54:57Freedom of speech, freedom of religion.
- 55:00It's it is there. It's it's protected.
- 55:05But when you look at the norm of reciprocity that I talked about
- 55:09before, scandal is often related to lobbying.
- 55:16The norm of reciprocity often drive scandal and then therefore
- 55:21reform. What is the norm of reciprocity?
- 55:23It's quid pro quo, a favor or advantage granted or expected in
- 55:29return for something, something for something.
- 55:32Now we have the perception that, oh, you give a lot of campaign
- 55:36contributions to somebody, they're going to do something
- 55:39for you. And it's blatant.
- 55:41Right now with the president, with many members of Congress,
- 55:49there are rules and regulations, but some of those rules and
- 55:53regulations are very, very vague.
- 55:57We have super PACs that are secret.
- 56:00You don't know who's giving money to them or how the money
- 56:02is spent until later. It's controlled.
- 56:05It's regulated under the IRS, not under the Federal Election
- 56:08Commission. And so we have the perception
- 56:14as, oh, all you have to do is bring in like Musk, bring in
- 56:17$250 million and you're going to buy an election.
- 56:20Well, even he even he failed in many cases where he was
- 56:24supporting people in primaries that that lost money is not
- 56:29always power. Political power in America is
- 56:34taking resources. It could be money, it could be
- 56:37mobilizing people, it could be knowledge, it could be a variety
- 56:43of things. And being able to transform
- 56:47those resources into an action that you want, minus a
- 56:53resistance. Frequently in a pluralist
- 56:55system, you have people on either side fighting each other
- 57:00with lots of money, and they're fighting each other to gridlock.
- 57:04Now we have gridlock, much of it is partisan gridlock between the
- 57:09two parties, but we have gridlock between, between
- 57:12hospitals and doctor associations and insurance
- 57:16companies. We have gridlock of the, the
- 57:19cane sugar growers in Florida and the beet sugar growers in
- 57:24Idaho. You know, it's, it's throughout
- 57:28our system. And when you throw in the
- 57:31question of reciprocity, well, we're going to give you a lot of
- 57:34money to run because you're doing the right thing for us
- 57:40legally. We're going to do this.
- 57:42Then the public begins to think, well, it's all about money.
- 57:46It's all about these guys. No, you can more money's wasted
- 57:50in Washington, DC of the of the $5 billion or more.
- 57:58It's no, wait a minute, it's 14 billion now in lobbying then is
- 58:03used appropriately. Money just flows in here, but
- 58:08it's on either side of the of the issue.
- 58:10And many times firms take it's, I think it's unethical.
- 58:15They take people on either side of an issue and they take the
- 58:18money. Now, there was a guy by the name
- 58:20of Jack Abramoff. Now, Jack Abramoff was a guy who
- 58:24did a whole bunch of illegal things and went to jail for for
- 58:28five years and 10 months, who triggered ethics and lobbying
- 58:34reform in 2006 and seven. I worked with then Senator Obama
- 58:38on the reforms, helped draft some of them and it stemmed from
- 58:42Abramoff, but lots of other people who were doing things
- 58:46that were illegal or in a shade of grey ethically.
- 58:51What would be the? Example One example is there are
- 58:55two Native American tribes in the South.
- 58:59One had a had a a license for a gambling Oregon, a gambling
- 59:06institution, which they had and it was doing very well.
- 59:09And then these are ways to make a lot of money for tribes and
- 59:12they use it in a variety of ways.
- 59:15Another one was geographically close to this tribe in Louisiana
- 59:22and it wanted a license. Jack Abramoff took both of those
- 59:27as clients. Unethical, he said.
- 59:31Well, there was a Chinese wall between the two.
- 59:36We didn't, you know, we had different people in the firm
- 59:40dealing with it. Well, baloney.
- 59:42They had a conflict of interest. I had, I taught for 40 years a a
- 59:49seminar called Public Affairs and Advocacy Institute.
- 59:55It was an institute about treating, teaching people how to
- 59:59do ethical lobbying and all the strategies and tactics of direct
- 1:00:03lobbying, grassroots social media, all kinds of elements in
- 1:00:09it. I had a student who told me at
- 1:00:11the end of this two week thing, he said.
- 1:00:14Professor Thurber, if I'd only known what lobbying really was,
- 1:00:17we would not have given Jack Abramoff $25 million to support
- 1:00:24our our cause. The one who wanted a.
- 1:00:29A license. Now this is interesting because
- 1:00:31Abramoff used that money not for them, but to illegally fly a
- 1:00:38delegation of people paid for by Abramoff to London and then to
- 1:00:43play golf in Scotland and back, paying for everything on the
- 1:00:48trip as long as well as other things not related to the
- 1:00:52lobbying for the Indian tribe, the Native American tribe.
- 1:00:58He that's what got him in trouble and got members of
- 1:01:00Congress in trouble. In fact, just one example, there
- 1:01:03was a conviction of Representative Bob nay Nye,
- 1:01:08pardon me, He was chairman of a committee.
- 1:01:11He went on this trip, everything was paid for.
- 1:01:14That's illegal. He and then the, the laws were
- 1:01:19changing even more, but he wasn't allowed to receive more
- 1:01:23than $50 a year from one source. And this was thousands.
- 1:01:27He went to jail, got convicted, went to jail.
- 1:01:30And it was related to Abramoff bribes also directly to him.
- 1:01:36So back to the point, the norm of reciprocity often drives
- 1:01:42reforms, OK? Abramoff would help members with
- 1:01:48campaigns, give them things, these trips and things, but they
- 1:01:52would give him information about what was going on on the
- 1:01:56committee. He would offer them jobs also
- 1:01:59before they left the Hill, which now is ill.
- 1:02:02You can't do it. You got it.
- 1:02:05The Ethics Committee is watching this theoretically, and there
- 1:02:09the reciprocity was. OK, Chief of staff of the
- 1:02:14Appropriations subcommittee, you can have a job with me.
- 1:02:17Just help me out a little bit on this.
- 1:02:19OK, So that triggered a lot of scandal.
- 1:02:25One more scandal and then I'll get back generally to ethics and
- 1:02:29lobbying. Another example was a was
- 1:02:32Representative Duke, his nickname Duke Cunningham.
- 1:02:36OK, Duke Cunningham came from San Diego.
- 1:02:39He was chairman of the defense subcommittee of Appropriations.
- 1:02:44They used to call it the candy store, meaning most of the
- 1:02:48earmarks setting aside money out of that committee for
- 1:02:53corporations, for example, within members districts came.
- 1:02:58Most of the earmarks came out of that subcommittee.
- 1:03:02He was chairman of that committee.
- 1:03:04He set aside a $250 million earmark for a corporation in San
- 1:03:13Diego to do what to digitized top secret material for the
- 1:03:22Army. I had students who were in that
- 1:03:25division in the Army. They didn't want it done.
- 1:03:29He asked that this corporation do it and they got a sole source
- 1:03:35contract for that. The corporation bought his house
- 1:03:40in San Diego for $750,000 over market.
- 1:03:46They also got him. They bought him a Rolls Royce
- 1:03:49used, but a Rolls Royce and a lot of antiques and things.
- 1:03:53Well eventually a local reporter from the San Diego Union saw the
- 1:04:00sale. This is weird.
- 1:04:02What's this corporation? Well the corporation got this
- 1:04:05sole source contract and therefore there was publicity
- 1:04:10about it. So therefore, the US District
- 1:04:13Attorney was forced to do something about it.
- 1:04:16They didn't want to do it, but they they indicted him.
- 1:04:19He was convicted. He went to jail.
- 1:04:20Good I. Don't even.
- 1:04:23Think that the digitizing necessarily a problem, you know,
- 1:04:25I mean I, I, I, I'm sure your your army contracts would
- 1:04:28probably know better than I do, but.
- 1:04:31Well, they didn't want it. They didn't want it done.
- 1:04:33It wasn't needed. It was marginal stuff to
- 1:04:36digitize a bunch of old army top secret stuff.
- 1:04:43They had other priorities. What it did is it took other
- 1:04:46priorities that were more important in their in their
- 1:04:49division away from them and they had to do this other thing thing
- 1:04:53with a sole with a sole source contract.
- 1:04:55No, yeah, that's. That's more of a problem.
- 1:04:57That's more of a problem to me. Serious problem.
- 1:04:59So anyway, there were lots of causes for reform, but much of
- 1:05:03it dealt with reciprocity and scandal.
- 1:05:07I won't go through all of them. The latest, I'll go through one
- 1:05:10more. Senator Menendez, New Jersey.
- 1:05:13Yes. Yeah.
- 1:05:15He broke rules of the Foreign Agents Registration Act.
- 1:05:19He broke rules of not paying taxes.
- 1:05:22He had bars of gold hidden throughout his house.
- 1:05:27And he blamed his wife, you know, for it, for setting this
- 1:05:31up. The connection was with
- 1:05:33Egyptians who were. Who were importing beef?
- 1:05:39I won't go through all the details, but he.
- 1:05:42I remember this story. Yeah, he's convicted just
- 1:05:45recently, and his wife was convicted.
- 1:05:48He's asking for a pardon now from Trump, even though he was
- 1:05:53the Democrat. He was chair of the Foreign
- 1:05:55Foreign Affairs Committee in the Senate.
- 1:05:56It was a big deal. Yeah.
- 1:05:59So it continues. It's not widespread in my
- 1:06:03opinion, from knowing the institution really well, but it
- 1:06:07continues and people never learn and they get they get corrupted
- 1:06:12because frequently an elected public official doesn't have a
- 1:06:15lot of money. You.
- 1:06:17Know and they're living on the margin and they have this
- 1:06:19opportunity to help somebody and that person will help them So
- 1:06:25one more. Yes.
- 1:06:29One more is that there were dozens of people that should
- 1:06:34have registered under the Foreign Nations Registration
- 1:06:37Act. There are two there are two laws
- 1:06:40that apply primary laws that apply to lobbying in the United
- 1:06:43States. One is the Lobby Disclosure Act
- 1:06:46as amended in 2007 and the Foreign Agents Registration Act.
- 1:06:50Manafort Paul Manafort was was chair of Trump's campaign
- 1:06:58committee. He was campaign director.
- 1:07:00He had clients in Ukraine but also several in Africa.
- 1:07:05He did not register on the foreign as Foreign Agents
- 1:07:09Registration Act. That is a felony.
- 1:07:11OK. He was convicted and convicted
- 1:07:17of a felony. Then Trump pardoned him
- 1:07:22afterwards. Manafort is still around and
- 1:07:24lobbying, but he was convicted of felony what's what's the
- 1:07:27Foreign Agents Registration Act. It started in 1938 because there
- 1:07:31were Nazis in the United States around lobbying to keep us out
- 1:07:34of World War 2. And they had rallies at Madison
- 1:07:41Square Garden, all kinds of things.
- 1:07:42We didn't know what was going on.
- 1:07:43So this requires them to show who they are, how much money
- 1:07:48they're spending on what. And that's what we have now.
- 1:07:51But now the president has said, Trump has said, well, we're not
- 1:07:55going to enforce the Foreign Agents Registration Act except
- 1:07:59in cases of espionage, not in not in cases of of lobbying,
- 1:08:06only espionage. So now the Saudis have over 100
- 1:08:10firms in the United in Washington, DC that they've
- 1:08:13hired, including Ballard from from Florida, hired to represent
- 1:08:18them. And they're not registering
- 1:08:20under the Foreign Registration Act.
- 1:08:22So the the ethical issues and law illegal activities continue
- 1:08:30anyway. We still need it.
- 1:08:31We just need to enforce the law under the LDA and, and, and
- 1:08:36Farah and have more transparency about what's going on and clean
- 1:08:42things up because we need the expertise and information coming
- 1:08:47from lobbyists in the process of making decisions in a democracy.
- 1:08:53So a lot of people say no on that unless it's about their,
- 1:08:57their, their group like AARP. No, no, they aren't lobbyists.
- 1:09:01They're lobbyists. The Catholic Church is a
- 1:09:03lobbyist. Sure, sure.
- 1:09:05You know, we have 10s of thousands of lobbying
- 1:09:07organizations. We need them.
- 1:09:09We just need to enforce the law with respect to what they're
- 1:09:13doing. I'll probably talk too much
- 1:09:15about things that you don't want to hear.
- 1:09:17But no, not at all. Not at all.
- 1:09:18These are great. These are great case and points.
- 1:09:22But I would, I think it would be remiss to to point out that and
- 1:09:27perhaps we need some kind of like middle ground or solution,
- 1:09:30just like we don't live in a pure capitalist society, because
- 1:09:33that would be just a mess. We need to, yeah, there has to,
- 1:09:40yeah. Lobbying.
- 1:09:42Lobbying as it stands continues down that same issue that we
- 1:09:46discussed earlier with with the elite versus the regular folk,
- 1:09:49which is that if it's just going to be a matter of dollars and
- 1:09:52cents, then then you can just keep looking the other way as
- 1:09:56long as you know, as long as people are.
- 1:09:58Corporations and unions and individuals can give an
- 1:10:02unlimited amount of money to campaigns if the if, it's if,
- 1:10:10if, if it's regulated under the IRS.
- 1:10:14So what's happened is that that just opened the doors.
- 1:10:17It's like a Mississippian flood stage that people stopped giving
- 1:10:21regulated money they'd still given.
- 1:10:25There's limits on what an individual can give and limits
- 1:10:28what political action committee can give.
- 1:10:31And I won't go through all of those.
- 1:10:33And it was working pretty well until the Supreme Court said,
- 1:10:35wait a minute, corporations can can give them and unions and
- 1:10:41individuals can give an unlimited amount in a different
- 1:10:45regulatory process through the IRS, OK, through the Internal
- 1:10:50Revenue Service, that opened the gates to super PACs, huge PACs
- 1:10:56that had hundreds of millions of dollars.
- 1:10:59And you don't know where the money came from.
- 1:11:01It could come from Soros on the left or come from Musk now.
- 1:11:07Now they're openly saying how much they're giving, like Musk
- 1:11:11did it and he gets credit for it.
- 1:11:13With Trump, it's no longer a controversy.
- 1:11:16We're going in the opposite direction now.
- 1:11:18I feel that there should be limits on contributions, as we
- 1:11:22had for many years under the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act.
- 1:11:27It was bipartisan, and that's what that's what got changed by
- 1:11:31the Supreme Court. I think that needs to be
- 1:11:33clarified. So with respect to money, it's
- 1:11:39not only money. We have shadow lobbyists there.
- 1:11:44There about 14,000 federal registered lobbyists.
- 1:11:48And by some estimates, the metropolitan area, Washington
- 1:11:52has as many as 80,000 people involved in advocacy because
- 1:11:57there are many things that are not regulated under the Lobby
- 1:12:02Disclosure Act. So the question is, what is a
- 1:12:05lobbyist? And it's it's defined clearly in
- 1:12:12the LDA. And there's lots of loopholes if
- 1:12:16you, if you are a strategic advisor, if you're a grassroots
- 1:12:20organizer, if you're a coalition builder and you need all those
- 1:12:23things to win, if you're a pollster, if you run an
- 1:12:28association here, if you are in a law firm and you're doing
- 1:12:33regulatory lobbying before, before an agency or you're a
- 1:12:37think tank in the think tank like Heritage Foundation or AAI
- 1:12:42or Brookings or others are advocating, you don't have to
- 1:12:45register under the law. So 14,000 registered lobbyists
- 1:12:50has been a level for many, many years, for 20 years, but we have
- 1:12:57huge amounts of lobbying going on.
- 1:13:00Yeah, far more than 14,000, yeah.
- 1:13:03Yeah. And so it's the tip of the
- 1:13:06iceberg and the money is the tip of the iceberg cause only those
- 1:13:09who register. So how much money that they're
- 1:13:11spending? It's a lot of money.
- 1:13:15So we need, I think, a little more regulation over who's
- 1:13:21lobbying, who isn't lobbying. Now the definition of a
- 1:13:24lobbyist. I'll go.
- 1:13:26You know, I go through it very quickly under the LDA.
- 1:13:28It's two contacts with members of Congress and staff, anybody
- 1:13:32on the Hill that's paid. It's two contacts with political
- 1:13:36appointees in the executive branch.
- 1:13:38It's about 8000 people and it's spending 20% of your time on
- 1:13:44lobbying in contacts and efforts to support those contacts
- 1:13:50quarterly. Well, so there's this phenomenon
- 1:13:53in Washington and it's called the 19% club.
- 1:13:56OK. If you meet these other criteria
- 1:13:59and then you only are spending 19% of your time, you don't have
- 1:14:04to register. So there's a whole lot of people
- 1:14:06not registering and they watch that very carefully because it's
- 1:14:09audited by the GAO and there's a limit 3500 income per lobbyist
- 1:14:18quarterly and 16,000 for an organization quarterly.
- 1:14:22Look at Ballard, it's a firm, you know, out of Florida,
- 1:14:29$16,000 quarterly is nothing. You know, there's billions
- 1:14:35flowing and including from Harvard.
- 1:14:37I had a call from people at Harvard saying students for the
- 1:14:41Harvard Crimson. They said, well, you know, why
- 1:14:45are they hiring Ballard? Because it's associated with
- 1:14:50with Susie Wiles and the chief of staff and the president.
- 1:14:55That seems crazy. And I said, well, half of
- 1:14:57lobbying is figuring out what's going on.
- 1:15:00Yeah, sounds like it. And that's they hire people,
- 1:15:04hire firms just to tell you what's going on.
- 1:15:06And then you can make a decision about what you're going to do.
- 1:15:10Most people think lobbying is you're going and out of the
- 1:15:13lobby. You go in and talk to a member
- 1:15:15and try to persuade them. Well, no, it's, it's figuring
- 1:15:19out what's going on. It's doing policy analysis, it's
- 1:15:23doing opposition research. It's grassroots, it's coalition
- 1:15:26building. It's using social media.
- 1:15:29You have to have all those things now.
- 1:15:31Probably what Harvard was doing is they just wanted to figure
- 1:15:34out what the hell was going to go go on in the department of of
- 1:15:38Education with respect to higher education.
- 1:15:40Boy, me on the mind. Yeah, right.
- 1:15:43Yeah. So I can go on and on.
- 1:15:47I just gave you half of a semester of a seminar.
- 1:15:51I love you. That's amazing.
- 1:15:54It's amazing. We're going to have to quit here
- 1:15:55in a second, right? Yeah, yeah, definitely.
- 1:15:59If I can ask for your last thoughts on positive steps or
- 1:16:04helpful steps that you think people can take to try and to
- 1:16:07try and have a positive influence or impact.
- 1:16:09Can I, can I, can I bother you to for your thoughts on that
- 1:16:12before you go? Well, first and foremost,
- 1:16:14everybody should get out and vote no matter what.
- 1:16:17Even though they think it's a fixed deal is not It isn't
- 1:16:20always a fixed outcome in the primary of the general election
- 1:16:24vote OK. And so people your age and and
- 1:16:28younger that are eligible vote they're voting at very low
- 1:16:31rates. They're they're alienated.
- 1:16:33My granddaughter, by the way, goes to school at Eckert College
- 1:16:37in Tampa and she is a political science major.
- 1:16:44She's going on to law school. I tried to talk her out of it,
- 1:16:46but she's law school always by beta capital all that.
- 1:16:51So anyway, she in the last election when Biden was running
- 1:16:56against Trump, she said I can't vote for those two old men.
- 1:16:59They don't represent what I want.
- 1:17:01So there's a whole lot of that. She eventually voted, I think,
- 1:17:06you know, but but there's there's an alien nation that's
- 1:17:11there breakthrough the alienation, have hope, have
- 1:17:15faith that it makes a difference.
- 1:17:17That's the that's the most important thing.
- 1:17:19I also think hope comes from there are guardrails in our
- 1:17:24democracy still, even though it seems like there isn't, even
- 1:17:27though a lot of people saying our democracy is failing,
- 1:17:30certainly it's challenged. Guardrails are the courts, the
- 1:17:34federal courts, but also the Supreme Court, but also the
- 1:17:37guardrails are to organize, organize, organize.
- 1:17:40Saul Alinsky of Organizer in Chicago in the 30s forties said
- 1:17:48organize, organize, organize, and he helped do community
- 1:17:53organizing to push back, to change things.
- 1:17:57Become involved. Don't become so alienated that
- 1:18:00you're not involved and you just say it doesn't make any
- 1:18:03difference. It's all bad to become
- 1:18:06organized. Also, make sure that you go and
- 1:18:12it sounds silly, but go to the town meetings.
- 1:18:15Stand up to people who are who are running that maybe you
- 1:18:19disagree with in a respectful way.
- 1:18:21Don't squirt things on them. You know, don't be violent, but
- 1:18:26stand up and in a respectful way and push back.
- 1:18:28That makes a difference. I hope so come.
- 1:18:30Back from those town meetings and say, well, wait a minute,
- 1:18:33there are a whole lot of people who had good questions.
- 1:18:35Humphrey used to get a lot of good ideas from going to town
- 1:18:39meetings in Minnesota but also around the United States.
- 1:18:42And Thurber, take care of that. That's a great idea.
- 1:18:46And so we go with an amendment or something.
- 1:18:48So get involved that way. Also there was the phrase all
- 1:18:56politics is local by Tip O'Neill, former speaker, speaker
- 1:19:00of the House from Massachusetts. Well, now all politics seems to
- 1:19:04be national. These national things overwhelm,
- 1:19:07but all politics, in the end, it's it's local.
- 1:19:11Yeah, there are these national issues.
- 1:19:13And so get involved locally with elected public office.
- 1:19:19That's where the hope comes from.
- 1:19:21Or people like you and people your age.
- 1:19:24It's time for you to take over from the old white men or now
- 1:19:29women in many cases, or African Americans that are in their 80s.
- 1:19:34It's time to push them out and and change things.
- 1:19:38I think our democracy is being challenged, especially article
- 1:19:45one of the Constitution. The Republicans have to stand up
- 1:19:49and and go forward with what they believe in.
- 1:19:52And they are now they're cracks with respect to the shootings in
- 1:19:59Minnesota. They are with a variety with
- 1:20:03respect to Greenland, a variety of other things, but they got to
- 1:20:06do with respect to the bombing of ships.
- 1:20:12Off of Venezuela, there are little things here and there,
- 1:20:16but behind the scenes, quietly, there are the workhorses that
- 1:20:19are coming together and working together.
- 1:20:22We have a grant from the Hewlett Foundation to train people on
- 1:20:26the Hill about how to how to come together when you disagree
- 1:20:32and go forward. It had a major impact on the
- 1:20:35infrastructure bill when Democrats and Republicans came
- 1:20:38together, quietly compromised and went ahead with a bill.
- 1:20:42Now, you may not like the bill, but it was an example of of some
- 1:20:46bipartisanship. There's some of that going on
- 1:20:48now with respect to China and a variety of other things.
- 1:20:51So, so reward people who are moderate and reward those who
- 1:20:59stand up for the institutions that are guardrails in our
- 1:21:03democracy, I think will overcome some of the things that have
- 1:21:08that are happening now. I think the midterm election is
- 1:21:12going to put a big check on some of those things.
- 1:21:15There'll be oversight hearings. Maybe they'll be too extreme,
- 1:21:18maybe they won't. But the next presidential
- 1:21:21election is going to be very important in terms of whether we
- 1:21:24get it, get candidates or say that, say, wait a minute, let's
- 1:21:28bring us together. Let's work together, Let's work
- 1:21:31in the middle to solve problems. That's what America wants.
- 1:21:34That's what Americans want. They don't want to be preached
- 1:21:37to like I'm doing right now, but they they want you to listen to
- 1:21:41them. And then they want you to come
- 1:21:42together and come together with solutions to serious problems.
- 1:21:46It almost feels like it that that this past, the reason why I
- 1:21:50was hopeful this past time was because I felt like people that
- 1:21:53were historically left like Tulsi and RFK and and even Elon,
- 1:21:57You know what historically I think voted more left than
- 1:22:00right, He. Was a Democrat, yeah.
- 1:22:02Yeah, you know, I think. And Trump was a Democrat.
- 1:22:05Too. Yeah, that's right.
- 1:22:06That's right. That's right.
- 1:22:06But but my point, but my point being that, you know, you have,
- 1:22:11you have a you have a you have, you have a, you have a guy
- 1:22:15running for president that seems like he is trying to unify the
- 1:22:18two sides. And you have people jumping from
- 1:22:20one side to the next to be part of this quote UN quote populist
- 1:22:22movement. It didn't happen.
- 1:22:24So, I mean, I hope it does in the future and I hope that we
- 1:22:26can keep on doing that. But I'm I I was that's really
- 1:22:30what's been the hardest about the part about all this for me
- 1:22:32was I was so hopeful and I was so excited.
- 1:22:34And then if and then, you know, like I heard it put very
- 1:22:37astutely. It's funny.
- 1:22:37It is. You would never have guessed the
- 1:22:39RFK is the least controversial member of Trump's cabinet at the
- 1:22:43moment. You know, and you're so you're
- 1:22:45right. I wouldn't have, I wouldn't
- 1:22:46never have thought that. But that, yeah, that's, that's
- 1:22:48what we are saying. Don't give up hope.
- 1:22:52OK, OK. Good for you to.
- 1:22:55Have hope and to continue to stay engaged like you are.
- 1:22:59That's very important to get information, different views out
- 1:23:03and get people to talk. And thank you very much.
- 1:23:06Professor J, Thank you. This is such a pleasure.
- 1:23:08Yeah. Good luck.
- 1:23:10I appreciate this. Take Care now.
- 1:23:11All the best, bye.