Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / 🚨 BIG WARNING for SILVER 🚨 ESTABLISHING the Gold and Silver Price
Transcript
- 0:02The sky is falling, the silver rally is over.
- 0:05It's the end of the rally for silver.
- 0:07Are you hearing a few people say that?
- 0:09I say no. However, there is a warning, a
- 0:13big caution that we need to pay attention to.
- 0:15But also, my friends, basement dwellers, there's also big, big
- 0:20reasons why we can continue to be optimistic about silver as we
- 0:25head into the second-half of the year.
- 0:27I think that we can be more optimistic than ever, but first
- 0:31we'll talk about the big warning.
- 0:32But first, we'll have a little fun and check this out.
- 0:35I thought this was a great little graphic video that I want
- 0:38to share with you from Solve Nettug and take a look at this.
- 0:46I think this sums it up nicely. Hold on, I'll put it up full
- 0:49screen for you. My fellow silver fanatics got
- 0:56silver silver plain. OK, And what does he mean by
- 1:04that? What does he mean by that?
- 1:07What he means silver got some years of catching up.
- 1:10Catch up to do. Quite simply, what they're
- 1:13saying is that the silver price is not kept up with the gold
- 1:16price. A quick review, we're talking
- 1:18about the gold to silver ratio, the number of Oz of silver that
- 1:22it would take you to buy one ounce of gold.
- 1:24I remember like a year ago, we sat down here and talked about
- 1:27how crazy it was that it would take, what, four of these to buy
- 1:32one ounce of gold. That number got to almost five
- 1:36of these. There's 20 American Silver
- 1:38eagles inside there that would take, you know, 80 to 100 ounces
- 1:43of silver to get one ounce of gold.
- 1:45Now it got to 100. It's now back to 90 to one.
- 1:49That is still historically high. We're not going to do a deep
- 1:51dive into the gold to silver ratio, but, you know, it's not
- 1:55out of question that that could go as low as 5060 ounces of
- 2:00silver historically. I think it gets mined out of the
- 2:03ground at what, 7 to 1, right? How can the how can silver be
- 2:07mined at a 7 to 1 ratio but the price be closer to 100 to 1 or
- 2:1290 to one ratio? Does that make any sense?
- 2:15And a lot of that silver, half of it now that gets dug up out
- 2:18of the ground or more gets consumed by, yeah, solar panels,
- 2:22electronics, all that crazy stuff.
- 2:24You know, the whole story. Anyway, silver does have
- 2:27catching up to do. But what about this big warning,
- 2:31right? I mean, you know, look, nothing
- 2:33goes straight up including the price of silver.
- 2:36We have been on an epic run, but we do have a big caution area
- 2:41that we are approaching or could be approaching soon.
- 2:44Let's dig into that right now. But let's also talk about
- 2:47reasons why we can be so optimistic.
- 2:49Let's just go out here to one of our favorite charts.
- 2:54We got several favorite charts. I pre prepared this with a, what
- 2:58do you call that turquoise colored line on the screen guys?
- 3:02That line is hold on, let's get a different color so it shows up
- 3:07better. 35 Hold on, here we go 35 as I have circled here,
- 3:16dollars per oz. This is a one year chart as you
- 3:20can see of silver looks like silver's up 25% over the course
- 3:24of the year. But that $35 level as we had
- 3:27talked about ad nauseam is so critical because we've tried
- 3:31several times and I think even once prior to this to
- 3:35breakthrough it. This breakout that we had just a
- 3:38little while ago was the third attempt.
- 3:41OK, that would have been a triple top.
- 3:43This was a double top. That would have been a triple
- 3:45top, which is extremely statistically rare.
- 3:48However, however, let's take some of that off the screen
- 3:51here. What we need to be very
- 3:54concerned about right now is again, this $35 level, because
- 3:59if we break down here below it, that will not be a good thing
- 4:04for the price of silver. We are still rather, you know,
- 4:06in a healthy spot above it, $36.25.
- 4:09But you know how crazy the silver market can move.
- 4:14The good news is if we do indeed go down here, I don't even want
- 4:18to talk about $30 silver. But if we do right, then the
- 4:22fourth time that we breakthrough, we will be.
- 4:25It's almost statistically impossible based upon decades
- 4:30and Millennium of chart analysis that we would go back below $35
- 4:35again. So that's what we're that's what
- 4:37we're up against right now in the silver market.
- 4:40Now the other thing we need to remember, let's be optimistic
- 4:43guys. Let's look at a couple other
- 4:44charts that give us big reason for optimism.
- 4:49This is a long term chart of the silver price.
- 4:52And remember right, 19, eighty, $50, 2011, $50.00, that is
- 4:59called a cup. Do you see how it looks like a
- 5:01cup up and this is the handle? And right now we are right here
- 5:09at $36 per oz. If we break above that $50
- 5:14level, they're saying this is one of the longest, most
- 5:17beautiful cup and handle patterns in the history of the
- 5:19universe. On top of that, the longer
- 5:23period of time and we're talking about what 45 years that this
- 5:29has been building, that's one of the longest, most pure, most
- 5:33beautiful cup and handles that we've ever seen.
- 5:35The longer the period of time that it develops over the more
- 5:38reliable it is and the more powerful the breakout.
- 5:42So that's what gets us to $60.00 silver by April 1st of 2026, as
- 5:48I have stated as my prediction several times.
- 5:52And we're going to have a big party down here in April Fool's
- 5:55Day party. But let's now go to the next
- 5:57chart that gets even more interesting.
- 5:59This is from Tavi Costa a while, 257,000 followers.
- 6:04Wow, everybody knows Tavi, super smart guy down in Brazil.
- 6:08But take a look at this. This is interesting because this
- 6:12looks at the silver price on a quarterly basis, see where it
- 6:16says quarterly and we are almost at the end of the quarter, OK.
- 6:21So on a quarterly basis, the cup and handle is formed at this $37
- 6:27range. As I'm circling, hold on here,
- 6:31make sure we're still alive. Yeah, because I'm circling over
- 6:33here on the right, right there, $37.00.
- 6:36So these are the end of the quarter.
- 6:38So would it be March, June, September and December?
- 6:42That's where we landed. So this cup and handle goes from
- 6:45$37 to $37. If we are able to close out the
- 6:51quarter and we have what 11 days above that $37 on a quarterly
- 6:55basis, the cup and handle would have broken out.
- 6:58And we've seen unbelievable evidence that silver can break
- 7:02out. Because remember something very
- 7:04critical when you look at silver priced in Canadian dollars,
- 7:07Australian dollars, it is at all time highs.
- 7:10That's the exact same thing that we sat down here basement
- 7:14dwellers and talked about like a year and a half two years ago
- 7:18was happening in the gold market.
- 7:20We said look, gold's at all time highs and all these foreign
- 7:22currencies, the US dollar will be next.
- 7:25I believe that's the same thing. Do you believe that That'll be
- 7:28the same thing that happens for silver.
- 7:29I am a silver believer. I love silver, you know that.
- 7:33OK, Speaking of which, we're very lucky to have First Mint
- 7:37sponsoring our gold and silver content here in the basement.
- 7:40First Mint is a mint in Las Vegas, NV.
- 7:43They are owned by First Majestic Silver Keep, New Myers
- 7:47Juggernaut silver mining company.
- 7:49So with First Mint, it's a very unique proposition.
- 7:52They actually dig up the silver from their mines in Mexico, ship
- 7:57it directly to Las Vegas where it's made into made in the USA,
- 8:02made into world class silver bullion products and then it
- 8:06goes straight to you. Did you notice we missed
- 8:08something during that process? If you don't like the LBMA, the
- 8:12London Bullion Market Association, if you don't like
- 8:14the COMEX, Some people claim they've manipulated the price of
- 8:18silver over the years. When you buy silver from First
- 8:21Mint, it is free. It never gets touched.
- 8:24It goes from the mine to the mint to you.
- 8:28They've got a great selection. They're all unique products.
- 8:31This one here. I've been showing this, I need
- 8:33to switch this out, but this is the Dragon round.
- 8:36These are all unique to 1st Mint.
- 8:39Absolutely beautiful products. They also have a Buffalo round
- 8:44with an awesome American Indian image on the back.
- 8:47And then there's a few other products as well, including
- 8:51bars, 5 oz bars, kilo bars. Check them out first. mint.com.
- 8:57Hold on here. Let's see who doesn't like to
- 9:02look at that cup, quarterly cup and handle.
- 9:03But what we want to go to is First Mint's website,
- 9:07firstmint.com. They have a discount code for
- 9:10basement dwellers. VIPRB.
- 9:13OK, VIPRBVIP, Ron's basement. There's the Buffalo Round, and
- 9:20there's the Year of the Snake. That's the one.
- 9:22I said dragon. I apologize.
- 9:24These are unique to 1st Mint. And there.
- 9:28Oh, yeah, there's the Year of the Dragon.
- 9:29Hold on. I was right.
- 9:31There's the snake, there's their Buffalo round, there's their
- 9:35bars. OK, 5 oz, 10 oz and 1K bars.
- 9:39Check them out. Thank you First Men for
- 9:40sponsoring the basement. Thank you to Keith Newmeyer for
- 9:43everything he does in the precious metal sector.
- 9:46Where was I? Where was I?
- 9:4701 more chart. One more reason to be excited
- 9:52about silver in this one. Let's look at that one more
- 9:57time, guys. If we close about $37 in 11
- 10:00days, we will have broken out of the cup and handle on the
- 10:05quarterly silver chart. But that's not what we're here
- 10:07to look at right now. Nope.
- 10:09We are going to look at this one.
- 10:10And I want to give proper credit.
- 10:12This is from Still silver stocks.
- 10:14Great. Oh, boy.
- 10:38OK, Sorry, guys, I had the microphone muted, so we're going
- 10:41to go back. And thank you, Susie.
- 10:44Susie upstairs. Susie saved the day yet again.
- 10:48Wait a minute. Wait a minute, basement
- 10:51dwellers. Are you saying it's kind of nice
- 10:54when you don't hear me for a few seconds?
- 10:56I apologize for the technical difficulties.
- 10:59We're going to go back to this chart which shows in no
- 11:03uncertain terms over the last year we've had several periods
- 11:06right where the silver price has done very well during these
- 11:11eleven week spurts. We're about halfway through.
- 11:13See the rocket, right, see where it goes, $46, he says follow the
- 11:18green line. That would get us into breakout
- 11:22territory on the silver chart on a quarterly basis, a breakout of
- 11:28the cup and handle pattern. Why can I not not hold on here?
- 11:33There we go. OK.
- 11:35And that again was from silver stocks.
- 11:37Great. So what's going on now?
- 11:39I'm going to preach. Let's let's talk some more about
- 11:42what we have to look forward to. Excuse me, the microphone is on.
- 11:48And guys, think about this. The stock market wrong screen.
- 11:53Yes, think about this. Welcome to live streaming.
- 11:57You never know what's going to happen.
- 11:59The stock market is at all time highs.
- 12:01Bitcoin is at all time highs essentially.
- 12:04Gold is at all time highs. Silver will be next.
- 12:08OK, silver would have to be close to $150.00 per oz right
- 12:13now just to match its all time high that it had in 1980 when
- 12:18you adjust the 1980 high for inflation.
- 12:20And that's using the official government numbers.
- 12:23Who knows the real numbers probably closer to like 200 or
- 12:26$250, OK, Right now we've got a massive short position in the
- 12:32silver market. They're saying that this Friday.
- 12:35Now we'll see what happens this week, right?
- 12:37Because excuse me, they're smashing the silver price down.
- 12:42Mini smash, right? But nonetheless, we are still
- 12:46last week we were at the second highest short position ever in
- 12:49the silver market. Short positions get fixed one of
- 12:52two ways, right? Either they smash the price down
- 12:55so they can cover their shorts or there could be a silver
- 12:59squeeze. How do you like those apples?
- 13:02Silver squeeze, right? It could get super exciting in
- 13:05that regard. Next, we're going to talk about,
- 13:09well, let's just talk about now, silver.
- 13:11The silver price is like a beach ball underwater because of
- 13:14manipulation. We're going to talk about two
- 13:16ways that you can see the manipulation.
- 13:18But first, I do want to say thank you to 1st Mining Gold for
- 13:22sponsoring the gold and silver content here in the basement.
- 13:25They are a Canadian gold development stage company.
- 13:30They have two huge projects, millions of Oz of gold in the
- 13:34ground. It's been defined, drilled, all
- 13:36that great stuff. They have the Du Parquet project
- 13:38in Quebec, in the Spring Pole project in Ontario.
- 13:42Both of those projects are massive.
- 13:44The Spring Pole project is working its way through the
- 13:47permitting process and guess what?
- 13:50They've got another project 1/3 project, the Cameron project,
- 13:54also in Canada. That's about a million ounce of
- 13:57gold in the ground as well. I love these development stage
- 14:01gold and silver companies because it's like you're buying
- 14:04the metal, but it's in the ground, right?
- 14:06Probably the safest bolt that you could ever ask for in the
- 14:09value proposition is really incredible.
- 14:12So thank you First Mining Gold for sponsoring the gold and
- 14:16silver content. It's a stock that I've owned for
- 14:18years and years. You know, I'm not a financial
- 14:21advisor, whether we're talking about physical silver, gold or
- 14:24silver mining stocks, always talk to a financial advisor.
- 14:28But I do want to disclose to you that I do own First Mining Gold
- 14:31and like I said, I've done that for years now.
- 14:34How is silver manipulated? Two ways.
- 14:36OK, Part of it happens in the middle of the night.
- 14:39We had that happen a couple weeks ago.
- 14:41There will be massive dumps of silver when the volume in the
- 14:45markets is very, very low, right when people are sleeping.
- 14:49When you're sleepy, sleep, when you're all cuddled up right in
- 14:52your bed with your silver hat on, sleeping.
- 14:54The other way they're doing it is by spoofing.
- 14:57This has been proven. That's by putting fake orders,
- 15:00either fake buy orders or fake sell orders when they want to
- 15:03make the price go down. What they do is put a bunch of
- 15:08fake sell orders out into the market.
- 15:11That scares people who really want to sell into selling sooner
- 15:16because they think, Oh my gosh, look at all these people who are
- 15:18showing up to sell. It wouldn't be unlike this very
- 15:21easy way to understand it. If you own a home and you decide
- 15:25you want to move and you put your house on the market, OK,
- 15:28And you're the only house in the neighborhood on the market.
- 15:31So you're thinking, hey, I'm in pretty good shape, right?
- 15:33Trying to sell my house and then suddenly some guy wants to buy,
- 15:37push down the price of your house, the value of your house,
- 15:41right? Like they would want to do with
- 15:42silver. So in the middle of the night,
- 15:44he goes around and puts out a bunch of fake for sale signs on
- 15:47other houses in your neighborhood.
- 15:49And then your spouse calls you and says, Oh my gosh,
- 15:51everybody's selling, everybody's selling.
- 15:54You would be more inclined to take a lower price for your
- 15:56house. That's exactly what spoofing is.
- 15:58I hope that made sense, right? It's manipulation.
- 16:01It's been proven wrong. There's been people that have
- 16:03gone to jail over it and that's why silver is like a beach ball
- 16:08held underwater. The other interesting thing
- 16:11going on right now in the silver market, guys, is there is a huge
- 16:14disconnect between retail investment, in particular in the
- 16:19West and industrial purchasing. Retail investment is basically,
- 16:24let's say, weak, not potent, not very strong.
- 16:28OK, I know not us, right? We know.
- 16:30We know what's going on, but industrial purchasing of silver
- 16:35is still extremely strong. They're stockpiling silver right
- 16:40now. Now there's a big reason why we
- 16:42want to pay attention to this because guys, think about this
- 16:45when, when retail, it's, it's like the silver lining when
- 16:49retail investment does come back to even just average levels, OK,
- 16:55that will create an even bigger, it'll, it'll be a bigger impact
- 16:59than anything right now in the market.
- 17:01When people wake up, when your neighbors wake up, right?
- 17:05I told you the story. I have a neighborhood swimming
- 17:07pool. If I'm at the neighborhood
- 17:09swimming pool and somebody wants to talk to me, which does
- 17:12occasionally happen, but I don't feel like talking to them, all I
- 17:15got to do is start talking about silver or gold and they swim
- 17:18away. OK, When those people are all
- 17:20swimming up saying, Hey, Ron, tell us more about silver and
- 17:24gold, right? That's that's when we know that
- 17:27the retail, the true retail investor is back in the game
- 17:32will come. It's kind of sort of started to
- 17:34happen. You know, a lot of my neighbors
- 17:37who know that I'm into gold and silver that that that you know,
- 17:41I've talked to over the years now they're they they all seem
- 17:44to be getting more and more interested.
- 17:46We'll see if that trend continues.
- 17:48The other thing, the big sleeper right in this one, this one I
- 17:52think is a big reason why we can be optimistic again about silver
- 17:56into the future is jewelry. I in my gut know that silver
- 18:01jewelry is growing and the statistics show that.
- 18:04Also, I have a feeling that over the next five years, like for a
- 18:08while it was platinum, like this ring that is a symbol of my love
- 18:12for upstairs. Susie, my wife, right, is
- 18:15platinum back 20 years ago, platinum.
- 18:17Platinum was the big thing for jewelry then gold, right?
- 18:21Gold's always been probably gold is so expensive demand and
- 18:24silver, The latest data we saw, I didn't realize this, but
- 18:29silver jewelry even right now accounts for like 2025% of all
- 18:34the silver that's mined every year.
- 18:36If that continues upward and silver jewelry continues to gain
- 18:41favor, that could be that with the retail investors, guys,
- 18:45that's all we need, right? Because we know, right, The
- 18:48inventories of silver have been depleted because of the deficits
- 18:52that we've had over the last years.
- 18:53Let's talk about the Costco gold, right?
- 18:56Big article CN What does it mean when CNBC why is it a big deal
- 19:00when CNBC talks about gold and they talk about the Costco gold
- 19:05situation and here we go OK from CNBC.
- 19:12Yeah, see right there they all right.
- 19:14Gold is near an all time high. Here's how much a Costco bar
- 19:19right. Remember the Costco dads?
- 19:20Those are the people at the pool right that I was just talking
- 19:23about how much a Costco bar bought a year ago is worth
- 19:28today. This is interesting.
- 19:30I'm going to read this to you like 4 paragraphs.
- 19:32Costco's gold bars are worth a lot more than they were a year
- 19:34ago and demand is soaring. The bars have been a steady draw
- 19:38since Costco and selling them in 2023, and a sharp rise in Spot
- 19:43gold prices seems to have boosted their appeal.
- 19:46In May, the retailer Titan purchase restrictions, I think
- 19:50limiting it to two at a time, limiting oh, limiting members to
- 19:531 transaction capped at a maximum of two bars per day.
- 19:56I was right. After all, As of Tuesday
- 19:59morning, gold traded around $3390.00 per oz, near a recent
- 20:03record high in roughly 45% higher than it was at the at
- 20:07this time last year. Historically, investors tend to
- 20:11flock to gold during periods of geopolitical instability,
- 20:15inflation, and concern over the strength of the US dollar.
- 20:18Here's how much more A1 oz bar purchased at Costco in June of
- 20:24last year would be worth today based on the listed purchase
- 20:29price and Tuesday's opening spot price.
- 20:31Purchase price in June of last year 2400 dollars Spot price
- 20:39three today 3390 unrealized gain almost $1000 Percentage increase
- 20:4840%. Wow.
- 20:50So that tells us a couple things that shows us in no uncertain
- 20:53terms. Did you just gone to Costco a
- 20:55year ago? Like I was telling you guys, I
- 20:57did all kinds of Costco videos. You could have made 1000 bucks
- 21:00on each ounce of gold. Honestly, I didn't do it myself,
- 21:03so don't beat yourself up too bad.
- 21:05But the other big key take away here is this is on CNG, NBC,
- 21:10this is mainstream media. You know, when they're not
- 21:13talking about whatever BS they talk about, what Jerome Powell,
- 21:17the Federal Reserve is doing now, they're talking about gold.
- 21:21I believe we're in for a very good run in the gold price and
- 21:24the silver price. Undoubtedly so many factors are
- 21:28at play. Silver, I believe even looks
- 21:30brighter and shinier right now. But guys, gold is high and is.
- 21:34And if gold can go, people are talking about $4000 gold.
- 21:38Big banks, JP Morgan, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs are
- 21:42saying $4000 gold. If that goes up, silver will
- 21:46follow. And if that gold to silver ratio
- 21:49comes back to a reasonable level, the silver price could be
- 21:52off to the moon. And you already know all the
- 21:55other factors that are making silver so appealing.
- 21:58I want to say thank you also to channel sponsor Ledger and Moon
- 22:02Pay for making these live stream possible.
- 22:04Ledger is the cryptocurrency hardware wallet security
- 22:09security leader and Moon Pay is the Fentech leader in the crypto
- 22:13world. Both great companies.
- 22:15Big honor to have them as sponsors.
- 22:17Big honor to have you here with me in the basement.
- 22:20Guys, be well, take care of yourself.
- 22:22Don't forget, please subscribe to the channel, give the video a
- 22:25thumbs up and I will see you soon.
- 22:28Thank you.