Trump just lost a key piece of his MAGA coalition: data expert

Systemic Error Podcast · Aug 13, 2026 · 3m

The Coalition That Bought Cruelty Is Starting to BailThe Numbers Are the SymptomHarry Enten’s point is simple: Trump’s core non-college electorate is slipping, and with it the Republican grip on the House. That is the whole story in polling terms. But the deeper story is not that Trump is “in trouble.” It is that the coalition built around him is fraying at the exact point where it was always most fragile: among voters who were told that grievance would be converted into power and delivered results.Who Actually Holds PowerTrump is not just a noisy figurehead in this story. He remains the…