Latest / Nate's Daily Wager / Nate's NFL Week 18 Football Wager
Transcript
- 0:06Welcome to nature. Daily wager.
- 0:08I ain't picking winners, but I am making wagers.
- 0:12Time to put my money where my mouth is.
- 0:18This is Nate's daily wager for January 4th, 2025.
- 0:24Damn, 2026. I only made it three days in and
- 0:28I messed up on the 4th day. I thought I'd make it deeper
- 0:32into the year, but, well, I also didn't think it would take me
- 0:34this long to get a win, but all right.
- 0:37Oh, for three on the year with wins, and three and one on the
- 0:42year for dates. So let's see if I can turn this
- 0:45around on the winds and get back on the right track tomorrow.
- 0:48The date. So last night didn't go well.
- 0:52As I mentioned Javi and I lost some money, but that's the way
- 0:55it goes. And I'm not sure if it was me
- 0:58that jinxed Javi or Javi that jinxed me, but either way, both
- 1:01of us jinxed the Niners. So today we got a whole bunch of
- 1:04games that don't matter and a couple of games that do.
- 1:07And the one that matters the most, they're playing last.
- 1:10Smart thinking by the NFL on the flex we got, the loser leaves
- 1:14home and really it's the loser gets fired and ends up the coach
- 1:18of the New York Giants. At least that's what I'm
- 1:20thinking, right? Like both of these coaches been
- 1:23with their teams a while. Both of these teams realize they
- 1:25need to do something to get out of this 500 where they end up,
- 1:29don't do anything in the playoffs, Got to get over the
- 1:32hump, got to shake things up. And yet they're both still
- 1:34decent coaches. And Giants are going to be
- 1:37looking for something. So that's the way I see it.
- 1:39So looking at this game, it's currently 3 1/2.
- 1:42I don't know who's going to win. It's going to come down to the
- 1:44end. It's going to come down to who
- 1:46coaches the least worst between these two.
- 1:48So that 3 1/2 is about right, but it could be on either side,
- 1:52honestly. So I'm going to be getting
- 1:54points and I'm going to be getting the hook on the right
- 1:57side. That's what I want.
- 1:58I don't feel great about taking the Steelers, but I wouldn't
- 2:01feel great about taking the Ravens either.
- 2:04Having to give up 3 1/2, I don't feel great getting 3 1/2.
- 2:08I feel better getting that half. So this is where I'm at.
- 2:12And that's the making of a good sweat.
- 2:14A game that has stakes. The teams care.
- 2:17It should end up close and you're not exactly sure which
- 2:21way you should go anyways. So you throw it out there and
- 2:23you hope and you think that your bet has a chance and doesn't
- 2:27have a chance all at the same time as you're watching the
- 2:30game. So we're going to go Pittsburgh
- 2:32Steelers plus 3 1/2 against the Baltimore Ravens and tonight's
- 2:36NFL closeout game. Football Sunday night, end of
- 2:41the year playoff loser goes home action.
- 2:44See anything better than that? Pound it.
- 2:46That's my pick and I'm sticking to it.
- 2:47Vinnie, I know you boys got something for the crew.
- 2:51Give them what you got. Ladies and gentlemen, it's
- 2:56another Sunday English Premier League slate of games.
- 3:00Oh my gaffer coming at you from the island of Maui on vacation.
- 3:05Gaffer's got to get some time off once in a while.
- 3:08We got a terrific slate of games today.
- 3:10We already have a Man United tie with Leeds.
- 3:13But the best game, of course, is the last game.
- 3:15We got Manchester City, we got Chelsea.
- 3:18Arsenal got the three points yesterday.
- 3:19They stay up top but Man City's going to stay right behind them.
- 3:23They're going to take care of things against Chelsea, they're
- 3:25going to get the three points. Pep Guardiola squad is on fire,
- 3:29playing really well as of late. Chelsea can't hang with them.
- 3:32Man City's going to get the three points.
- 3:34Good luck, You're going to need. It it's called something.
- 3:38It's Week 18 and I'm back with my locks for the week because if
- 3:42Vinny's looking to round out the season strong with AW for you
- 3:45guys before we head into the playoffs next week.
- 3:48Speaking of the playoffs, there's really not a lot of
- 3:51action on the schedule today that has playoff implications,
- 3:54and the two best games with playoff implications happened
- 3:56yesterday. While the AFC North is on the
- 3:59line tonight between the Steelers and the Ravens, I have
- 4:01no interest in touching that game.
- 4:03The winner of that game will go on to win a division and get
- 4:06knocked out of the first round of the playoffs.
- 4:09And of course, Cosimini is tracking his Birds as they host
- 4:12the Washington Commanders with playoff implications on the
- 4:15line. And yeah, Nick C Ariani came out
- 4:17and said he's going to rest most of his starters and start our
- 4:22beloved backup quarterback Tanner McKee.
- 4:25And while Cosimini never likes making his lock a week, lock of
- 4:29the week have anything to do with the Birds or Birds players.
- 4:32Cosimini just can't resist a backup quarterback, just like
- 4:36the Philadelphia Eagles fan base cannot resist a backup
- 4:40quarterback. And if there's one thing we know
- 4:43in Philadelphia is that for whatever reason, backup
- 4:46quarterbacks just seen the thrive.
- 4:49Let's not forget a fighter fights Jeff Garcia, Big Dick,
- 4:52Nick Foles, and now Tanner. Yet to have a nickname McKee.
- 4:57So. So given Cousin Vinny's and the
- 5:00rest of the fan base is natural infatuation with backup
- 5:04quarterbacks, the first thing Cousin Vinny did this week was
- 5:07look at the over under on passing yards for Tanner McKee,
- 5:10which sit around 223 two 24225 range depending on what book he
- 5:15used and when he looked at it. So let's have a discussion about
- 5:18Tanner McKee. Let's try to objectively look at
- 5:21this. Let's Cousin Vinny's going to
- 5:22break this down and pretend for a second that he's not a Birds
- 5:25fan who's infatuated with backup quarterbacks.
- 5:28Couple points here. One, it's been confirmed all
- 5:31week, known all week that Tanner McKee is getting the start.
- 5:35So Sirianni, Patulo, McKee, they've had all week to look at
- 5:40the playbook and open it up and there's going to be a Tanner
- 5:44McKee game plan. And if I had to guess, if I had
- 5:47to guess, that game plan is going to involve him throwing
- 5:50the ball because why not? Tanner McKee plays well and all
- 5:54of a sudden you have Howie looking on the offseason and
- 5:56draft night to flip this guy for a second round pick.
- 5:59So that being said, I don't think they're going to be afraid
- 6:01to throw the ball today #2 the Commanders are a team that McKee
- 6:06can attack. The Washington Commander's
- 6:08defense is old and checked out and and on the other side of the
- 6:13ball the Commanders are starting their third string journeyman
- 6:17quarterback Josh Johnson, who I could argue is much worse than
- 6:22Tanner McKee and even up against the Eagles backups on defense
- 6:27might not move the ball that much.
- 6:30That being said, Tanner McKee is going to have ample
- 6:33opportunities to throw the rock and lastly, McKee has shown he
- 6:38can produce a week 18 to the 2024 season.
- 6:41Last year McKee threw for 269 yards and two TDs in a
- 6:46meaningless start against the Giants.
- 6:48That performs alone shows that he has the baseline capabilities
- 6:52to top the over easily in this game even as a young developing
- 6:57QB. So all that being said, Cousin
- 7:00Vinny is absolutely pounding me over on the passing yards for
- 7:05Tanner McKee. So enjoy this final week at the
- 7:09NFL season, enjoy watching Tanner McKee throw all over
- 7:13Washington and I hope you pound me over and take it to the bank
- 7:17and lock it up until next week Playoffs.
- 7:21This is Cousin Vinny with your luck of the week.
- 7:30Don't forget to rate, review, subscribe, follow on Spotify,
- 7:34iTunes, or your favorite podcast application, and check out the
- 7:37show notes for some other great podcasts.
- 7:40Whether you're looking for general sports discussion,
- 7:42something team specific, or good old wrestling, you're sure to
- 7:45find something you'll love. Check them out and I'll see you
- 7:48tomorrow with another wager.