Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 540 - 7/1/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All Systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 540 of the all systems Go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh.
- 0:24Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:31Happy hump day. It's officially Wednesday, guys,
- 0:34another day in the arena, but of course a special day because
- 0:37it's the first day and the month of July.
- 0:40That's right, June is over. July is here guys.
- 0:43I feel like when you get to July, it like really is
- 0:45officially the summer. I know again, you know June,
- 0:47June feels like summer again. You get summer, you know, hot
- 0:50days, but you know July 1st of July, 4th of July is only three
- 0:54days away. Now we got the Nathan's hot dog
- 0:56eating contest coming up on Saturday with the fireworks and
- 0:59the backyard barbecues and actually have believe it or not,
- 1:02a a big sharp move that you're going to be very happy about if
- 1:05you locked in a good number like I suggested with the over
- 1:08underdogs by Joey Chestnuts. So an update there for the hot
- 1:11dog eating contest, but then we're going to get to what we do
- 1:14love to do, which is sweating. Major League Baseball had a
- 1:17little tough stretch there over the weekend and starting they're
- 1:21looking toward yesterday, which was a really, really frustrating
- 1:24what was it O and three. Well, guess what got back into
- 1:27the groove last night, busting out the brooms 3 and O + 2 point
- 1:31O2 units. We had the rays coming through
- 1:3310 to 4 over Kansas City, the Mariners eight to three over the
- 1:37Angels, the Dodgers nine to three over the A's.
- 1:40So it's. It's always nice when you go.
- 1:41Three and O and the margin of victory is like 6-7 runs or
- 1:44more. So it's great to to stay, you
- 1:47know, even keeled, not get too low when things aren't going our
- 1:49way or not get too high when you know everything's going our way
- 1:53again, because that's life. That's betting you're going to
- 1:55have streaks of going 10 and O&O and 10.
- 1:58That's just part of the game. That's part of baseball in
- 2:00particular, a long sport, big sample size.
- 2:03So it's great to see a good bounce back night last night and
- 2:06again, trying to finish off June, though with the winning
- 2:10note, which is what we did. Now the challenge is to kick off
- 2:12the month of July, hopefully on a winning note.
- 2:15So for today, guys, once again, three Major League Baseball
- 2:19bets, most of which are pretty relative, you know, short,
- 2:22modest favorites here with some good sharp mush edges, some good
- 2:25rhythm system matches, sort of see if we can of course, go 2
- 2:29and 1, eek out a winning day. And then I actually want to
- 2:32share a little story, something really cool that happened on
- 2:35Twitter today and once again proving that this person is
- 2:38awesome because they did another great deed for somebody today.
- 2:41So we're going to hit on it all and hopefully we're going to,
- 2:44you know, start off the month of July on a winning note.
- 2:47So before we get to our three Major League Baseball bets for
- 2:50tonight, just some odds and ends.
- 2:52First thing I wanted to mention was the Nathan's hot dog eating
- 2:55contest because guys, we were talking and again, I'm like a
- 2:59broken record here, but I think it's important because as absurd
- 3:02as as it is, you know, looking at line movement on a hot dog
- 3:05eating contest over under total dogs eaten by Joey Chestnut.
- 3:09I think it proves that, you know, if you can read the market
- 3:12and if you can identify line movement and track line movement
- 3:15and play different books off each other, it doesn't matter if
- 3:17it's the hot dog eating contest, the Little League World Series,
- 3:20the, you know, seventh game of the World Series NFL Sunday.
- 3:23It doesn't matter. That is a skill that hopefully
- 3:25you can apply to all different avenues and all different, you
- 3:28know, ways of betting on any kind of sport basically.
- 3:31So we were talking about the over underdogs and I was
- 3:34mentioning how a few days ago, you know, or even go back to
- 3:37last week, you know, we're looking at a lot of books that
- 3:40were pretty much, I think it was 72 1/2 juiced under.
- 3:44At one point it was actually just over and we saw that
- 3:47movement at DraftKings get get juiced under.
- 3:49And then DraftKings had dropped their over under for dogs eaten
- 3:54down to 71 1/2. And the important thing there
- 3:58was at the time DraftKings 71 1/2.
- 4:01Well, it was just 72 1/2 the day before, so that told us that
- 4:04there was some under money coming in on Joey Chestnut going
- 4:08under that number. Of course, we tried to play some
- 4:11books off of each other and we noticed that at the time,
- 4:14Caesar's, Caesar's was hanging 73 1/2 and Caesar's 73 1/2 was
- 4:20really juiced under -130 That's when I jumped on it, got the
- 4:24under 73 1/2 because again, other books were dropping down
- 4:28as low as 71 1/2. We saw the juice on that 73 1/2
- 4:32actually fall all the way to 72 1/2 yesterday.
- 4:36So yesterday it got down to 72 and 1/2.
- 4:38It was -115 then it was -130 And I, I made the joke.
- 4:43I always make the little, the Tutu, the train leaving the
- 4:45station. That's like, hey, if you want to
- 4:47play it, you better do it now because it's almost like a line
- 4:50predictor or, or or, you know, kind of seeing the way the
- 4:52market is moving, thinking, hey, this might be the time to pounce
- 4:55because it's really trending in this direction.
- 4:58If you like it, you want to get it now because if you wait too
- 5:00long, it's probably going to pass you by.
- 5:02That train's probably going to leave the station and you will
- 5:04be sitting there at the station when everyone on the train is
- 5:07waving to you because they got a good number.
- 5:09So mentioned yesterday how it was probably your last chance to
- 5:12get that under 72 1/2 again. So if it lands on 72, you can
- 5:17still cash with the hook. That was -130 well, guess what?
- 5:21I opened up Caesar's today. It's down to 71 1/2.
- 5:26So now we are seeing Caesar's 71 1/2 under -150 So we've seen a
- 5:32huge adjustment here. We're down to 71 1/2 -, 150
- 5:36again, kind of these good numbers are leaving you guys.
- 5:38I really don't want to, you know, recommend too much betting
- 5:41these numbers. Now, this is one of those bets
- 5:43where if you listen to the POD and you get the best bets from
- 5:47the Juice Reel app, you're feeling good because you've
- 5:49locked in a good number. So I'm sitting under 73 1/2 -,
- 5:52130. Again, you might be 72 1/2 -,
- 5:55115 -, 130, but now it's 71 1/2. And I actually looked at
- 5:59DraftKings, they're down to 70 1/2.
- 6:02So a lot of movement here. And again, chestnuts going to
- 6:06get somewhere close in this range.
- 6:08So I guess you could make the case, maybe you could consider
- 6:12going the other way and going over 70 1/2 and hoping he lands
- 6:15on 71. But I just love the fact that
- 6:18Caesar's when we got 73 1/2 under or 72 1/2 under, it's now
- 6:2371 1/2 under -150. So again, those of you are
- 6:27holding a 72 or better under ticket.
- 6:31This is great, great news for us.
- 6:32So hopefully that is at least a few out there listening.
- 6:35And you know what I'll be sweating on on 4th of July
- 6:38morning. So I think it's around 11 AM or
- 6:40noon. Second piece of information that
- 6:42I wanted to mention was Rhythm. Rhythm does a great job of
- 6:46powering this pod. Rhythm is just a fantastic
- 6:48product that I'm so proud of partnering with you guys.
- 6:51Remember, we did the Rhythm rundowns every Thursday night.
- 6:53Obviously, it's a little bit slow here in the summer.
- 6:55Hope to get back to those rundowns here in the fall.
- 6:58But Rhythm unveiled a new desktop version.
- 7:02So Rhythm, you might use it a lot on your phone as an app on
- 7:04your phone when you used to go to a desktop or a computer like
- 7:08I work in my work from Home Office here.
- 7:10And again, it's a little wonky there at the time because it
- 7:14looks like an app, but it's on your computer screen.
- 7:16Well, not anymore. If you want to check it out,
- 7:18just go to rhythm.com RITHMM. And if you now look at the
- 7:23layout, it's a beautiful made for a desktop computer layout.
- 7:28It's totally revamped. It's got all your
- 7:30recommendations with with with them.
- 7:32Very easy to view and a totally revamped manner.
- 7:35So I just want to give a shout out to rhythm because that's a
- 7:38fantastic product that, you know, if you're, if you're using
- 7:40it on the app, which most people are, there's no difference.
- 7:42But if you were someone who liked to use rhythm on a desktop
- 7:45computer, a laptop, a tablet, now you have this beautiful
- 7:48layout, which makes it way easier to view.
- 7:50So shout out to Megan and Brian and the whole crew because
- 7:53that's a huge advancement. Lastly, a little story of
- 7:57something really cool that happened today.
- 7:59I just wanted to mention this because I, I, I want to give a
- 8:01shout out to someone that I consider a friend, a mentor, and
- 8:04just a great overall human being.
- 8:06And it happens to be my guy Thomas Gable at the Borgata.
- 8:10Now, Long story short, you guys, I don't know if you have been,
- 8:14how long you've listened to the pod or how long you'd, you know,
- 8:16bet been betting with me. But I was hired by VSON in 2019.
- 8:21And my first job at VSON was I was the third man in on the
- 8:24Lombardi line. So it was Michael Lombardi, my
- 8:26guy Patrick Maher. And I was kind of the nerd, you
- 8:28know, analytics guy who would come in and tell you where the
- 8:30bet splits in the line, moves in the system matches are going.
- 8:33But anyway, my first year at VSON my it was my second year.
- 8:37I think it was yeah, it was before COVID around their 2020,
- 8:41maybe right before or maybe 2019.
- 8:43Anyway, I remember it was the Super Bowl, the one with Jimmy G
- 8:48and the 49ers against the the Chiefs and Jimmy G had the lead.
- 8:51He blew it. The 49ers lost to the chiefs.
- 8:54But anyway, they sent me out to the Borgata.
- 8:57Went there a few times, fell in love with the Borgata.
- 9:00It's in New Jersey. If you ever have a chance, you
- 9:02definitely should go. I love the Money Line bar and
- 9:05book, which was the just awesome, you know, kind of just
- 9:10great place to get food, get wings, get drinks.
- 9:12And then of course, I made a great friendship with Thomas
- 9:15Gable. Now TG, as we like to call him,
- 9:17is just an awesome person, an awesome human being.
- 9:22And it proved he proved it once again today because I got a
- 9:25tweet and I want to give a shout out to John Scavo or John Scavo
- 9:30because John Scavo tweeted me with a picture of the Borgata
- 9:35with all the beautiful people at the at the pool and which again,
- 9:38it must be hot down there. It's like it's like literally
- 9:40100° Ryman in Massachusetts. We got a heat wave right now,
- 9:43but John Scavo tweeted at Josh Insight under score insights
- 9:47celebrating my 26th wedding anniversary with my wife
- 9:50poolside at the Borgata this morning after hearing you
- 9:53promote the location for years, it does not disappoint.
- 9:56So love it. John's enjoying the Borgata, but
- 9:58here's where it gets fun and awesome.
- 10:01I quote tweeted it and I said what did I say?
- 10:04Let me give you my exact words here.
- 10:07I said happy anniversary. Head to the Sports.
- 10:10Book and ask for Thomas Gable at T Gable Sports.
- 10:13He's the best in the business. He will take care of you.
- 10:17Then I get an even better tweet because I then see that Mister
- 10:22TG tweeted back and said happy anniversary John to you and your
- 10:26bride. We will be sending some poolside
- 10:28beverages your way. Ask for Mr. Jackson.
- 10:32Then John Scavo tweets and says thank you.
- 10:37Tom and his staff are amazing. You've given us an amazing
- 10:40experience. And then there's a great picture
- 10:41of Tom with his beautiful bride on their 26th anniversary with a
- 10:46big bottle of ice cold Prosecco. So I just thought this was great
- 10:51because it proves that good people do good things.
- 10:55Again, TG didn't have to reply. He didn't have to send him a
- 10:58free bottle Prosecco, but he said congratulations.
- 11:02He sent them a bottle. So their poolside enjoying their
- 11:04Prosecco. It was a cool thing that made
- 11:06John Scavo's anniversary even better.
- 11:09And it's another example of of of again, Tom Thomas Gable being
- 11:13the man and the Borgata being a place that you should, if you're
- 11:16ever around Atlantic City again, go to the boardwalk, hang out,
- 11:22go to the beach, you know, blast some Springsteen, but go to the
- 11:25Borgata, you know, place a couple bets, go hang out at the
- 11:28pool. I just thought that was super
- 11:29cool. So John Scavo, happy anniversary
- 11:33and Thomas Gable in the Borgata once again proving that they are
- 11:35the best sports book around. So that was pretty awesome.
- 11:39I guess it also tells you the power of Twitter because Twitter
- 11:42allowed that to happen. So that's pretty awesome.
- 11:45Now, without further ado, that's all I got for odds and ends.
- 11:48Let's get back to do what we love to do, which is betting on
- 11:50sports and hopefully cashing some tickets and eking out a
- 11:53winning night. So first one on the board with
- 11:56three MLB plays on tap. Let's look at a 7:15 PM Eastern
- 12:00Time first pitch between the Saint Louis Cardinals and the
- 12:03Atlanta Braves. Talk, line, move, split system,
- 12:06matches. I'll give you my play for this
- 12:08one. So the Cardinals come in 44 and
- 12:1038 on the year. They won last night's series
- 12:13opener 5 to 3 over the Braves. They hung on as a + 125 road
- 12:17dog. In tonight's rematch, the Cards
- 12:19are going with the ready Michael Mcgreevy.
- 12:21He's three and six with a 3.12 ERA.
- 12:24Braves who are 49 and 34, they're going to go with the
- 12:27ready Reinaldo Lopez. He's three and one with a 3.47
- 12:31ERA now. What do we sit across the market
- 12:33for this one? Well, this game open, Braves
- 12:35listed around a -, 125 home favorite with Saint Louis around
- 12:39a plus one O 5 road dog and we've seen nothing but movement
- 12:42in favor of the Braves. We've seen the Braves go from
- 12:45around -125 now up to around -130 some shops now as high as
- 12:50-135 S. All movement liability has been
- 12:53on Atlanta and Atlanta's struggle.
- 12:54I think they're like one and seven, their last eight.
- 12:56So hopefully a bounce back spot here at home.
- 12:59But listen to the bet splits on this one.
- 13:00We got a line move toward the Braves about 5 to $0.10.
- 13:03Then we look at DK 75% money line bets, 86% money line
- 13:08dollars on the Braves. Then we look at Circa, only 45%
- 13:13money line bets, but 58% money line dollars on the Braves.
- 13:17So line move and low bets, higher dollars bet splits, both
- 13:20lighting up here on Atlanta. Then we get to our system
- 13:23matches. If you're a home favorite price
- 13:25-140 or less receiving line movement in your favor, the
- 13:29Braves would match that situation.
- 13:31Those teams are 140 and one O one.
- 13:33That is a 58% win rate, 4% ROI this year if you're a home
- 13:37favorite priced -140 or less who missed the playoffs the the
- 13:41previous year facing an opponent who also missed.
- 13:44The playoffs? The previous.
- 13:45Year, those teams are 102 and 6362% win rate, 12% ROI.
- 13:51This year, Braves in particular, they're one of the better bounce
- 13:54back teams in baseball. Coming off a loss, they are 20
- 13:57and 13. That is a 61% win rate, 9% ROI.
- 14:01That's actually the seventh most profitable bounce back team in
- 14:04MLB. Cardinals.
- 14:05Meanwhile, just one in six In Mcgreevy's last seven starts,
- 14:09he's posted a 4.36 ERA on the road versus 1.96 at home.
- 14:14He's been great at home, not so good on the road.
- 14:16He's on the road tonight. Braves better bullpen as well if
- 14:19we got to grind this one out. Hey, let's hope the bullpen of
- 14:22the Braves comes through for us because they have a 2.76 ERA.
- 14:26That is the best in baseball compared to 4.37 for Saint
- 14:29Louis. That ranks 20th.
- 14:31Lastly, we have the Braves 24 and 15 at home this year.
- 14:35That is a 62% win rate. That is the 6th best home record
- 14:39in baseball. So a little bit of movement
- 14:41toward the Braves, about 5-10 cents.
- 14:43We've got some good system matches, good bet splits.
- 14:46Hopefully we can fade Mcgreevy here and back the Braves in a
- 14:49bounce back spot, which typically they've done well in.
- 14:51So first bit on the board from you guys, took the Atlanta
- 14:54Braves, I got them -134 at FanDuel.
- 14:58Next one for you, let's look at a couple 810 games.
- 15:01We'll start off with a match up here, Minnesota Twins at the
- 15:05Houston Astros. Now this is the rubber match of
- 15:08a three-game set. We got the Twinkies 41 and 46 on
- 15:11the year. They won the opener 5 to 4.
- 15:14Came through as a + 115 row dog. Then the Strohs. 43 and 45 they
- 15:19bounce back with a six to four win.
- 15:20Yesterday came through as a - 110 home pickup.
- 15:24Now, tonight's series finale, the twins are going with the
- 15:26ready Taj Bradley. He's six and three with a 3.98
- 15:30ERA. Stroh's meanwhile, going to
- 15:32ready Tatsuya Eme. He's five and three with a 5.36
- 15:36ERA. So what we've.
- 15:37Seen across the board here. Well this game open with Houston
- 15:41listed around a -, 120 home favorite Minnesota around a +
- 15:45100 Rd. dog. So a short number here.
- 15:47Again, two teams both below 500. We've seen smart money get down
- 15:52on Houston taking advantage of a low, low chalk price, cheap
- 15:56chalk price on the Astros at home because we've seen Houston
- 15:59get steamed up -120 now up to -135 and I'm seeing some shops
- 16:04even hover around -140 So very similar to Atlanta, kind of a
- 16:09short chalk favorite becoming more of a favorite.
- 16:12Kind of annoying if you're having to pay more juice now,
- 16:14but a good thing because you're paying more juice because that
- 16:17typically means that big money's coming in, causing that number
- 16:19to go further toward that favorite.
- 16:22I want to mention this. I just went Houston on the money
- 16:24line -134 at FanDuel. But if you're looking to be a
- 16:28little bold -1 1/2 at plus 155. We are seeing some run line
- 16:32action on the Astros. 41% spread bets, 74% spread dollars at DK.
- 16:38Here's a really good system match on Houston when both teams
- 16:41are below 500, take the home favorite if they're -140 or
- 16:45less. Those teams are 68 and 4461% win
- 16:49rate, 10% ROI this year. Another system match.
- 16:53This was just on Atlanta, but a home favorite -140 or less.
- 16:56Missed the postseason the previous year.
- 16:58Facing an opponent who also missed the postseason the
- 17:00previous year. Again, that system is 62% this
- 17:03season. 12% ROI. Emails got a 55.3.
- 17:08Was it 5 point? It was like 5 and a half. 5.36
- 17:12ERA. Not great, but Houston's played
- 17:14well behind him. They're four and O in his last
- 17:16four starts and Taj Bradley, he started out great.
- 17:19His numbers still look pretty good overall.
- 17:22Again, six and three, you know, sub four ER a but he's really
- 17:26tailed off of it. I mean, if you look at the month
- 17:28of June, he made 5 starts, posted a 5.53 ER a give up 17
- 17:33earned runs and 27.2. And he's pitched and during the
- 17:36day pretty good ER a three-point O2 at night 5 point O 8.
- 17:42So I want to fade Bradley. I want to follow this sharp line
- 17:46move in favor of Houston and again, one of my favorite
- 17:48systems is this below 500 take to home favorite with a short
- 17:52number. So I played stroh's -134 at
- 17:55FanDuel. I also noticed a 20% sharp mush
- 17:59edge from our friends at Juice Reel on Houston and also noticed
- 18:03a rhythm system match lighting up on Houston.
- 18:05So add it all up here guys. See if the Stroh's can get a win
- 18:08for us at home. Get a win and take the series.
- 18:11I'm on Houston -134 last bit of the night.
- 18:16Let's go to Old Milwaukee, 8:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch
- 18:20with a match up between the Milwaukee Brewers and the
- 18:23visiting Cincinnati Reds. Now the Brewers come in 52 and
- 18:2831. They have won the first two
- 18:30games of this four-game series. They won the opener 5 to 3 as a
- 18:34-140 home favorite. They won again yesterday, 7:00
- 18:37to 2:00 as a -, 170 home favorite.
- 18:40So for tonight's rematch, the Reds, who are 39 and 45, they're
- 18:44going to go with the lefty Andrew Abbott.
- 18:46He is five and four with a 3.9 O ERA.
- 18:49Brewers, meanwhile, going with the lefty Shane Johan, he's
- 18:52three and two with a 3.12 ERA. So what are you?
- 18:55Seeing across the market. This game opened with Milwaukee
- 18:59list around a -, 150 -, 155 home favorite, Cincinnati around a +
- 19:04135 road dog and sharps. They're not worried by the
- 19:08about. The big number here, the ride in
- 19:10the hot hand landed with Milwaukee because you've seen
- 19:12Milwaukee get steamed up -150 -, 155 now to -160 and we're now
- 19:18seeing a lot of shops at -165 S. The line is clearly creeping up
- 19:22here in favor of Milwaukee. If we also look at some bet
- 19:26splits here, look pretty good on the Brew Crew.
- 19:28Milwaukee is getting 86% of money line bets, 96% of money
- 19:33line dollars that is coming from DraftKings.
- 19:36So Big Heavy Pro and Joe split in their favor.
- 19:39Going to bank on Milwaukee's bats.
- 19:40Hopefully getting to the Reds and getting to Abbott here
- 19:44because Milwaukee's hitting 255, they've scored 430 runs.
- 19:48Reds are hitting 227, they've scored 355 runs.
- 19:52Shane Drohan, he has a 2.48 ERA in night games versus 3.91
- 19:58during the day. Luckily for him, it's a night
- 20:00game and get a load of this Abbott. 3.66 era during the day,
- 20:04not bad. 4.15 at night. So Johan's been better at night,
- 20:08Abbott's been worse at night and again we got an 810 game here
- 20:11tonight. Brewers have the better.
- 20:13Bullpen 3.64 ERA that is 7th best in baseball. 4.87 for the
- 20:19Reds that ranks 25th. Milwaukee is also one of the
- 20:22better home teams in baseball. Hopefully we can go down the
- 20:24Brewers slide together tonight, but they are 28 and 17 at home.
- 20:28That's a 62% win rate. 5th best home record in baseball since he
- 20:32is a losing team on the road. 20 and 23.
- 20:35And lastly, knock on wood, but we have seen the Brew Crew have
- 20:39the number of the Red legs. Brewers are five and O against
- 20:42the Reds this season. So add it all up here guys.
- 20:45They won the first two games. They're sharp again tonight.
- 20:48Line move, split system matches going right back to the wall
- 20:51with the Brew Crew. See if we can chug a beer
- 20:53together and go down the slide. I got Milwaukee -155 at the
- 20:57score, but definitely shop around most books now -160 even
- 21:01-165 S Braves, Astros, Brewers, so you can get two out of three
- 21:08and start off the month of July, hopefully on a winning note.
- 21:11So that about does it for episode 540 of the All Systems
- 21:14Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 21:17This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
- 21:20always start first by saying thank you.
- 21:22Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for
- 21:24grinding in the arena with me every single day through the
- 21:27good and the bad, the UPS and the downs, the hot streaks, the
- 21:29cold streaks. If you do enjoy the insights,
- 21:32hopefully you find them valuable.
- 21:33Whether you, you know, play every game I mentioned or tail
- 21:36fade, pick and choose. You just like to break up.
- 21:39The you know the. Craziness of life to tune in for
- 21:41about 20 minutes or so and listen to some sharp breakdowns
- 21:44and stay tuned to the market. Well, either way, guys, if you'd
- 21:47like to learn, if you'd like to support the pod, I should say I
- 21:50would love for you to just do a couple things to to show some
- 21:53love to the pod. Give it a five star review on
- 21:55Spotify or iTunes. Recommend the pod to a friend,
- 21:58click the follow button, leave a comment if you feel so inclined,
- 22:02retweet the pod when I put it on Twitter, give it a like any or
- 22:04all those things would be very much appreciated.
- 22:07Next, if you enjoy this style of sports betting, data-driven
- 22:10sharp contrarian betting, focusing on not what our gut,
- 22:13our bias, our instinct is telling us, no focusing on what
- 22:16the market is telling us, learning how to read the
- 22:18numbers. If this style of betting has
- 22:20appealed to you, you want to learn more about data-driven
- 22:23betting or you have someone in your life who could use some
- 22:25data-driven tips and be introduced to the sharp
- 22:28contrarian philosophy. Well, I'd love for you to go to
- 22:30Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to sports
- 22:34betting or type in the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
- 22:37Grab one or both of my books, bring them the sports book.
- 22:41I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
- 22:43ale. I'll sweat some games together
- 22:45next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
- 22:47Juice Real yet? Well, they'll get if you.
- 22:49Haven't heard me say before. I'm sure you have because I
- 22:51mentioned everyday, but these are my two favorite sports
- 22:53betting apps because I consider them just another little box to
- 22:56check off when you're going through your checklist, whether
- 22:59to decide if if you have an edge or not, whether whether or not
- 23:02you're going to get down and and place a bet and then fire on a
- 23:05play. But rhythm is great for their AI
- 23:07backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 23:10Their desktop version is now available on a tablet.
- 23:12You know, laptop computer, desktop or conventional
- 23:15computer. Or you got rhythm.
- 23:19Or sorry, not rhythm, but juice reel.
- 23:20Juice reel is the second great app that I love to use.
- 23:23Juice reel is fantastic for again, getting Robo Jackson.
- 23:27Best bet picks, sharp mush indicators, arbitrage plays.
- 23:30Shop for the best line features, syncing up your sports books and
- 23:33get a running report card of your action.
- 23:35Getting your CLV meter after you place a bet.
- 23:37See where that lines going. Hopefully it's green and you're
- 23:40you're beating the closing line with so many great features.
- 23:43You can also support the pod through the Juice Reel app.
- 23:47You can sign up to get the all systems go.
- 23:49Best bet picks directly from Juice Reel.
- 23:51It'll cost you $9.99 a week or $24.99 a month.
- 23:57Again, that's what I would consider a tip jar.
- 24:00This pod is free. It cost you nothing to listen.
- 24:02If I've helped you cash some tickets or you want to
- 24:04contribute to my daughter's childcare fund, which we're
- 24:08saving toward right now, then I'd love for you to sign up for
- 24:11a week or a month or, you know, forever if you really want to be
- 24:13a hero to get those plays. And for those of you who already
- 24:16have sign up to get the best bets.
- 24:18Thank you. I appreciate you.
- 24:20Download rhythm, download juice real.
- 24:21Give them both a five star review in the App Store.
- 24:24Lastly, do you have a live odds page?
- 24:27If you don't have one, you need one.
- 24:28You got to be able to track the market, got to be able to see,
- 24:31OK, what? What did the line open at?
- 24:32Where is it now? Pull up the line history, shop
- 24:35for the best number, identify Steam, get those live in game
- 24:38wagering odds. It's all available to you with
- 24:40the best live odds page around Odds Logic.
- 24:43If you haven't given it a shot, I highly recommend it.
- 24:46Either you don't have a live odds page and you need one, or
- 24:49you use a free one but it's slow and it's unreliable.
- 24:52You don't know where the data is coming from, or you have one and
- 24:54it's pretty good but it's just really expensive.
- 24:56Give Odds Logic a shot. Use this special link Odds
- 24:59logic.com/josh 123. That's going to give you a 7 day
- 25:04free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
- 25:08So that about does it for episode 540 of the ASG Pod on a
- 25:12big Wednesday. First first day of July here
- 25:14guys. As always, two final thoughts.
- 25:16One, whether I see you at the Borgata like my guy John Scavo
- 25:20down in Atlantic City at the Encore in Boston, Plainridge
- 25:24Park Casino, MGM Springfield, or the Nash in my neck of the woods
- 25:27on the border of Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
- 25:29You're out in the desert where the true grinders get down or
- 25:32Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest juice
- 25:34possible is found at the South Point.
- 25:36Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 25:39swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 25:41Circa, you're going to walk up to me.
- 25:43Actually, we're going to see each other from across the
- 25:44sports book floor. We're going to knock on the
- 25:47janitor's closet, say, hey, mind if I borrow your your broom for
- 25:50a second? We're going to a little Fred
- 25:51Astaire dance on the sports book floor.
- 25:53Nice little sweep last night, guys.
- 25:54Nice little bounce back. Show me your Rays ticket, a
- 25:57Mariners ticket, a Dodgers ticket.
- 25:59First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 26:01We'll post about the book. Sweatsharp contrarian plays all
- 26:04night long. So as always, guys coming off a
- 26:06three and O or an O and 3A2 and one or A1 and 2A winning night,
- 26:10a losing night, a hot streak, a cold streak.
- 26:12We just got to stay even keeled. When we go O and three, we can't
- 26:15punch a hole in the wall. We go 3 and O.
- 26:17We can't go out to the club and blow all our money.
- 26:20We just got to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint,
- 26:22find the games that fit that philosophy, games that are
- 26:25against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
- 26:28avoid parlays and getting some CLV.
- 26:30If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 26:33So happy July, everybody stay cool out there.
- 26:36If you're like me in the middle of a heat wave, let's see if we
- 26:38can stay hot here on the diamond, get a couple winners
- 26:41and MLB. So as always, guys, thank you
- 26:43for listening and we'll be right back at it tomorrow.
- 26:46That'll be a big Thirsty Thirsty Thursday edition episode 541 of
- 26:50the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
- 26:54Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 26:56great Wednesday night.