Latest / Pod Save America / “Transition to greatness!”
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey guys!
- 0:20Speaker 2: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 1: I'm Jon Lovett. I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 0:24Speaker 2: On today's pod, I talked to Chuck Rocha, who ran
- 0:26Speaker 2: Latino outreach for Bernie Sanders and other Democratic groups about
- 0:29Speaker 2: 2020 and beyond. Before that, we'll talk about how outgoing
- 0:32Speaker 2: President Trump is consuming attention that should be focused on
- 0:35Speaker 2: the pandemic. and how President-elect Biden is planning to address
- 0:38Speaker 2: some of the country's biggest challenges with or without a
- 0:40Speaker 2: Democratic Senate. But first, to help make sure the President-elect
- 0:44Speaker 2: has a Democratic Senate, we have launched Adopt-A-State Georgia. Go
- 0:48Speaker 2: to votesaveamerica.com slash Georgia to find opportunities to donate, volunteer,
- 0:52Speaker 2: and elect John Ossoff and Reverend Raphael Warnock on January 5th.
- 0:56Speaker 2: It's our last chance to take away Mitch McConnell's Senate majority.
- 1:00Speaker 2: Thousands and thousands of you have already signed up, so
- 1:03Speaker 2: thank you. If you can donate, we would love that.
- 1:06Speaker 2: To split, you can go to votesaveamerica.com slash getmitch and
- 1:10Speaker 2: split your donation between Ossoff and Warnock. They need the cash,
- 1:14Speaker 2: so to organizations on the ground, this is very, very important.
- 1:18Speaker 2: Thank you to everyone who's signed up to help. We
- 1:21Speaker 2: could use more of you.
- 1:23Speaker 1: Finally, love it.
- 1:23Speaker 2: How was the show this weekend?
- 1:25Speaker 1: Great, love it or leave it. That's it.
- 1:29Speaker 3: No, it was great. I talked to Michael Beschloss about
- 1:39Speaker 3: Trump's unprecedented anti-democratic murmurings since he lost the election. I
- 1:45Speaker 3: talked to Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, John Fetterman. And then
- 1:49Speaker 3: in the monologue, Naomi Ekperigan, returning champion, was there. It
- 1:51Speaker 3: was hilarious. So check it out.
- 1:54Speaker 4: Remember early on when you guys would make fun of
- 1:56Speaker 4: me and call me Tommy Beschloss if I dared to
- 1:59Speaker 4: mention an event before the year 2008?
- 2:00Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good reminder to use that.
- 2:05Speaker 3: I forgot about that.
- 2:07Speaker 2: I can't believe you had two guests who were so similar,
- 2:09Speaker 2: like Michael Beschloss and John Fetterman.
- 2:11Speaker 1: Yeah, created some weather.
- 2:12Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 2:15Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the news. So there are
- 2:18Speaker 2: two major stories competing for media attention right now. First
- 2:21Speaker 2: story is the pandemic, which is more out of control
- 2:24Speaker 2: than it's ever been. Every day brings record cases, record hospitalizations.
- 2:29Speaker 2: We're back over a thousand dead per day. Some healthcare
- 2:32Speaker 2: systems are at capacity, especially in the Midwest. It's only
- 2:35Speaker 2: getting worse as people spend more time indoors for the
- 2:37Speaker 2: winter and prepare to travel for the holidays. Meanwhile, other
- 2:41Speaker 2: stories about Donald Trump, who has completely given up on
- 2:44Speaker 2: the pandemic in order to focus exclusively on trying to
- 2:47Speaker 2: make people believe the lie that the election he lost
- 2:50Speaker 2: was rigged against him. Trump did seem to acknowledge in
- 2:54Speaker 2: a Sunday morning tweet that Biden won, but then quickly
- 2:57Speaker 2: followed up by tweeting, I concede nothing and has spent
- 3:00Speaker 2: the rest of yesterday and this morning ranting and raving
- 3:02Speaker 2: about his usual nonsense. Tommy, at what point is it
- 3:06Speaker 2: OK to stop paying so much attention to everything Donald
- 3:10Speaker 2: Trump says and does, particularly since he refuses to accept
- 3:13Speaker 2: the reality that he lost?
- 3:14Speaker 1: Two weeks ago, three weeks ago.
- 3:17Speaker 4: I mean.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Here's a thought experiment.
- 3:19Speaker 5: 2015?
- 3:20Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 3:21Speaker 1: Here's a thought experiment for everybody. Would be good.
- 3:24Speaker 4: Imagine if ISIS was executing 1,000 Americans a day. And
- 3:28Speaker 4: in response, the president did nothing. He watched TV, he golfed,
- 3:32Speaker 4: and he tweeted. And then imagine if 90% of those
- 3:36Speaker 4: ISIS attacks could be stopped by putting a tiny piece
- 3:40Speaker 4: of fabric on your face. That's the reality we're living in.
- 3:43Speaker 4: There's a daily massacre happening. of American citizens. And yet
- 3:46Speaker 4: the news of the day is being driven by these pathetic,
- 3:50Speaker 4: last gas tweets from Trump, where he pretends that there's
- 3:54Speaker 4: some way to overturn the election. So I think we
- 3:57Speaker 4: have to take these anti-democratic threats from Trump seriously, because
- 4:00Speaker 4: there is no doubt in my mind that he would
- 4:03Speaker 4: usurp power and stage a coup if he could figure
- 4:06Speaker 4: out a way to do it. But I think it's
- 4:08Speaker 4: time for the press and for Washington generally to just
- 4:12Speaker 4: break its addiction to Trump outrage and focus more on
- 4:15Speaker 4: the much bigger problems we have to deal with. Not
- 4:18Speaker 4: every question has to be a response to something Trump
- 4:21Speaker 4: did or said that day, which is what the Sunday
- 4:23Speaker 4: shows have been for four years. And that includes the pandemic,
- 4:25Speaker 4: both the immediate mitigation and the need to pass a
- 4:28Speaker 4: coronavirus relief package. a bunch of states are about to
- 4:31Speaker 4: go into lockdown again to prevent more deaths. Like we
- 4:33Speaker 4: need to figure out a way to help those people.
- 4:35Speaker 4: It includes more coverage of climate. There's a category four
- 4:38Speaker 4: or five hurricane barreling down on Nicaragua right now as
- 4:41Speaker 4: we speak. That comes at the end of Atlantic hurricane
- 4:44Speaker 4: season with the most named storms ever, right? So like
- 4:48Speaker 4: Trump's a lame duck. The stench of loser is wafting
- 4:51Speaker 4: off of him. It is getting stronger every single day.
- 4:54Speaker 4: We just can't let him be our assignment editor anymore,
- 4:56Speaker 4: which is what he is tried to be, it's the
- 4:57Speaker 4: only part of the job he really enjoys and has
- 4:59Speaker 4: been doing for, what, four years now.
- 5:03Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, like, his legal challenges are failing in
- 5:06Speaker 2: just about every case. There was an AP story over
- 5:10Speaker 2: the weekend about how Republican legislators in some of the
- 5:14Speaker 2: critical battleground states have said they're not going to go
- 5:17Speaker 2: along with his fucking harebrained plan to send a slate
- 5:20Speaker 2: of Trump electors. Like, the coup attempt is just about over.
- 5:24Speaker 2: He's failing at it. I like turned off Trump notifications
- 5:28Speaker 2: finally for a new tweets. And it's funny because like you,
- 5:32Speaker 2: you know, you spend all day not paying much attention
- 5:34Speaker 2: to Twitter as I did yesterday. And last night, you know,
- 5:36Speaker 2: like I'm going through Trump's tweets and I was just like, wow,
- 5:39Speaker 2: he sounds like a really fucking desperate, sad loser. And
- 5:42Speaker 2: I don't really care anymore.
- 5:43Speaker 1: Love it.
- 5:43Speaker 2: What do you think?
- 5:44Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 5:45Speaker 3: I mean, look, I think, um, I feel as though
- 5:47Speaker 3: we are learning this lesson a bit late in the
- 5:50Speaker 3: Trump cycle, which is that his words don't matter. They
- 5:53Speaker 3: never really have, right? He's all over the place. It's
- 5:57Speaker 3: just such a sad part of our reality, right? Trump tweets,
- 6:03Speaker 3: Joe Biden won because of a bunch of lies. And
- 6:05Speaker 3: everyone's like, ah, he said Joe Biden won.
- 6:07Speaker 5: That's cool.
- 6:07Speaker 3: Can we use that for an hour? Right.
- 6:09Speaker 1: Got him.
- 6:10Speaker 3: And then, you know, it's read to Ron Klain on
- 6:13Speaker 3: Meet the Press who responds, well, it doesn't really matter
- 6:15Speaker 3: what Trump says because it's not really up to him,
- 6:17Speaker 3: which is, of course, correct.
- 6:21Speaker 1: But I do.
- 6:21Speaker 3: Think maybe now at long last, we can finally decide
- 6:26Speaker 3: to focus on Trump's actions as the only piece of
- 6:30Speaker 3: what Trump can do that actually matters. And what matters
- 6:33Speaker 3: is not the kind of stages of grief Trump is
- 6:36Speaker 3: going through on Twitter. What matters is what is his
- 6:39Speaker 3: administration doing or not doing? And so you can basically
- 6:42Speaker 3: just disregard Trump, the Twitter persona, Trump, the the mouthpiece
- 6:46Speaker 3: and you can just focus on whether or not Joe
- 6:49Speaker 3: Biden is getting his briefings, which he is not, whether
- 6:51Speaker 3: or not the coronavirus task force that Joe Biden as
- 6:55Speaker 3: president elect has assembled is able to communicate with the administration.
- 6:58Speaker 1: It's not.
- 6:58Speaker 3: They're forced to go around the administration to talk to
- 7:01Speaker 3: CVS and Walgreens directly, to talk to governors, to find
- 7:04Speaker 3: out if there's anything they need to be prepared to
- 7:06Speaker 3: do about the supply chain of vaccines because they don't
- 7:09Speaker 3: have access to the resources that they should have from
- 7:11Speaker 3: the transition. They're not allowed to communicate officially with members
- 7:15Speaker 3: of the administration, with members of, you know, with Fauci
- 7:19Speaker 3: or with HHS or any of the other agencies that
- 7:21Speaker 3: are working on this. So to me, I would just
- 7:24Speaker 3: disregard Donald Trump as a person and really just focus
- 7:28Speaker 3: entirely on what the administration is or is not doing.
- 7:32Speaker 2: Tommy, is there anything the incoming Biden administration can do
- 7:35Speaker 2: here in this sort of transition purgatory around COVID? Or
- 7:40Speaker 2: is there anything else they should be doing that they're
- 7:41Speaker 2: not already doing?
- 7:43Speaker 1: I don't think so. No. I mean, they're not in power.
- 7:47Speaker 1: I'm not sure what the recommendation would be.
- 7:51Speaker 4: Right.
- 7:51Speaker 2: I mean, there's a, you know, we always used to
- 7:53Speaker 2: say this during the transition, right? There's one president at
- 7:56Speaker 2: a time. Joe Biden is not the president right now.
- 8:00Speaker 2: I do think like, you know, as they get set up,
- 8:02Speaker 2: like more, you know, daily briefings about COVID with his
- 8:04Speaker 2: task force, you know, he can keep talking about the
- 8:07Speaker 2: steps he's going to take once in office. He sort
- 8:09Speaker 2: of did. He gave a speech last week, which was
- 8:11Speaker 2: a great start on this. Yeah. But it's a unique
- 8:15Speaker 2: situation in that we are in the middle of an emergency.
- 8:17Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I think he should start by changing
- 8:19Speaker 4: his Twitter tandal to Joe wear a mask Biden and
- 8:22Speaker 4: then take pictures with a telephoto lens to scold people
- 8:25Speaker 4: he sees gathering in groups.
- 8:27Speaker 1: I'm just kidding.
- 8:28Speaker 4: I think all that self-righteous scolding was probably counterproductive. I mean,
- 8:31Speaker 4: I think what Joe Biden and his team could do
- 8:33Speaker 4: would be to offer helpful, actionable advice. Like, here's what
- 8:37Speaker 4: I've noticed in my own life. From March until August
- 8:39Speaker 4: of last year, my quarantine was very strict. I saw
- 8:42Speaker 4: a tiny group of people We basically only saw each
- 8:44Speaker 4: other in houses or backyards, mostly with a few exceptions.
- 8:47Speaker 4: And then in August, I took a couple of days off.
- 8:49Speaker 4: I traveled up to the Santa Barbara area with my
- 8:52Speaker 4: wife for a little vacation. And we were walking around
- 8:55Speaker 4: town and we saw senior citizens out everywhere living their lives.
- 8:58Speaker 4: It was this weird realization that there is a scary
- 9:03Speaker 4: in-your-house quarantine reality that is all cable news and Twitter threads.
- 9:06Speaker 4: And you can sometimes just miss the fact that lots
- 9:09Speaker 4: of people either are living their lives or have no
- 9:12Speaker 4: choice but to be out because they have to work.
- 9:14Speaker 4: And I'm not saying that like moving on is the
- 9:17Speaker 4: right answer. What I'm saying is I think the conversation
- 9:19Speaker 4: has to be about risk mitigation and not about like
- 9:22Speaker 4: lockdown and draconian things. And it has to be proportional
- 9:25Speaker 4: and it has to be actionable. So that obviously starts
- 9:27Speaker 4: with masks and encouraging people to wear masks. But I
- 9:30Speaker 4: also think, you know, short of shutting down everything, You
- 9:33Speaker 4: could start to piecemeal shut things down, like in-room dining
- 9:37Speaker 4: or bars, etc. Obviously, that is brutal for the proprietors
- 9:41Speaker 4: of these places and has to be coupled with some
- 9:42Speaker 4: sort of economic relief for restaurants or bars or others.
- 9:46Speaker 4: But the messaging was so fucked up on the first
- 9:48Speaker 4: lockdown that I don't think you're going to convince people
- 9:51Speaker 4: to do it again, especially when the White House refuses
- 9:54Speaker 4: to even try.
- 9:55Speaker 2: What are some of the challenges, Lovett, that President-elect Biden
- 9:58Speaker 2: will face again? this pandemic under control once the transition
- 10:02Speaker 2: actually happens?
- 10:04Speaker 3: So I think you have to talk about, let's say,
- 10:05Speaker 3: the politics, the culture, and then the policy. What you
- 10:08Speaker 3: see in terms of what they're doing on policy is
- 10:12Speaker 3: they have they've put out, obviously, a cogent plan, which
- 10:15Speaker 3: is a huge, you know, a low bar to clear.
- 10:18Speaker 3: But they've gone well above that bar.
- 10:19Speaker 4: Right.
- 10:19Speaker 1: They have a plan.
- 10:20Speaker 3: You kind of reading between the lines in what the
- 10:23Speaker 3: what they're trying to do right now is you seem
- 10:25Speaker 3: to see a team that is trying to find out
- 10:29Speaker 3: what has been fucked up that will make getting the
- 10:31Speaker 3: vaccine out harder. And what would they be doing right
- 10:35Speaker 3: now to try to expedite the manufacturing and the distribution
- 10:39Speaker 3: and the complicated the supply chain questions? What would they
- 10:41Speaker 3: be doing to make that work better now if they
- 10:44Speaker 3: were in power so they can be prepared to take
- 10:47Speaker 3: those kinds of steps? I think on policy, they've been right. Obviously,
- 10:50Speaker 3: we need a relief bill. And Tommy, you're right. The
- 10:54Speaker 3: messaging has been completely fucked up. And at this point,
- 10:57Speaker 3: people aren't willing to do a lockdown. However, at this point,
- 11:01Speaker 3: I try to imagine what it would have been like.
- 11:04Speaker 3: Forget the absence of the kind of evil anti-leadership from Trump. Like,
- 11:09Speaker 3: or just the absence of that would have been an improvement.
- 11:11Speaker 3: But if there had been a consistent message of taking
- 11:14Speaker 3: this seriously as being bipartisan, if we had had that
- 11:17Speaker 3: from a Republican or a Democratic president from the beginning.
- 11:20Speaker 3: Right now, you could imagine a president in concert with
- 11:24Speaker 3: governors across the country basically saying, I know this is terrible.
- 11:27Speaker 3: I know how long this has been. I know how
- 11:30Speaker 3: much you want to see your families. We're so close
- 11:32Speaker 3: to the end.
- 11:32Speaker 1: Yes.
- 11:33Speaker 3: We're so close to the end. We are potentially weeks
- 11:36Speaker 3: away from the first round of these vaccines going to
- 11:39Speaker 3: high risk people and frontline responders. We are within a
- 11:42Speaker 3: few months of being able to vaccinate on a mass
- 11:45Speaker 3: scale if everything goes according to plan. And And at
- 11:48Speaker 3: that exact moment, when what we really should do is
- 11:50Speaker 3: kind of send everybody a message like, stay home. I
- 11:55Speaker 3: know that these lockdowns are terrible. We should have paid
- 11:57Speaker 3: people to not work. We should have paid people to
- 11:59Speaker 3: not have to run their restaurants. We should have paid
- 12:01Speaker 3: people to not have to do these kinds of things
- 12:04Speaker 3: and just told people we're so close to the end,
- 12:06Speaker 3: just stay home, just make it to the end, do
- 12:08Speaker 3: your duty. But instead we're in this kind of kinetic,
- 12:11Speaker 3: like bouncing back and forth. Some governors say one thing,
- 12:14Speaker 3: others say another. There's complete inconsistency. It takes hospitals being
- 12:18Speaker 3: nearly overrun for some conservative and some Republican governors to
- 12:21Speaker 3: finally take it seriously. So I think that that's sort
- 12:24Speaker 3: of an epic tragedy, obviously. But in terms of the cultural...
- 12:29Speaker 3: job of president, I mean, that's the biggest thing that
- 12:33Speaker 3: he should do right now. Tommy, you said it. The
- 12:35Speaker 3: job of president in terms of being a moral leader
- 12:37Speaker 3: for the country is open.
- 12:39Speaker 1: Do the job.
- 12:40Speaker 3: That's the one place Donald Trump conceded years ago. That
- 12:43Speaker 3: job's open.
- 12:44Speaker 5: Take that one. He's not trying to keep that one.
- 12:46Speaker 4: The challenges are winter, the Republican Party, And Mitch McConnell
- 12:49Speaker 4: refusing to do anything to help the economy with a
- 12:52Speaker 4: COVID relief bill. But yeah, I agree. Initially, it was
- 12:55Speaker 4: like 15 days to stop the spread. And then it
- 12:57Speaker 4: was like, and dot, dot, dot. And then 15 days
- 13:01Speaker 4: to lock down indefinitely because we don't know what's going
- 13:02Speaker 4: to happen next. And now there is this vaccine light
- 13:04Speaker 4: at the end of the tunnel. And my God, it's
- 13:06Speaker 4: unconscionable to let people die in this window.
- 13:10Speaker 2: I mean, I do think that the part of the
- 13:13Speaker 2: fucked up public messaging is a consequence of policy choices.
- 13:18Speaker 2: which is that like, and we've seen this here in
- 13:20Speaker 2: Los Angeles, like, you hear Mayor Garcetti or our public
- 13:24Speaker 2: health commissioner be talking about like, don't see even close
- 13:27Speaker 2: friends and family.
- 13:28Speaker 5: It's absurd.
- 13:29Speaker 2: Cancel all gatherings. It's ludicrous messaging. And then you see
- 13:33Speaker 2: restaurants are open, gyms are open, right? And the reason
- 13:37Speaker 2: that those businesses are open is because there's a huge
- 13:40Speaker 2: economic cost to this. And we decided not to pay restaurants, bars, gyms,
- 13:47Speaker 2: places that like really you can only... you know, you need,
- 13:51Speaker 2: you need to be indoors. We decided not to pay
- 13:53Speaker 2: them to not to stay home and to not have customers.
- 13:56Speaker 2: And so like the fact that we chose not to
- 13:59Speaker 2: reimburse these businesses means that there was more pressure to
- 14:02Speaker 2: keep them open, which fucks up the public messaging again.
- 14:05Speaker 4: I agree with that, except that it's been particularly egregious
- 14:09Speaker 4: in LA when you had Democratic officials, Garcetti, the governor, others,
- 14:14Speaker 4: like criticizing people for going to the beach, right? There
- 14:17Speaker 4: were very dumb early messages about like outdoor gatherings.
- 14:21Speaker 3: Totally.
- 14:21Speaker 4: Like condescending and sneering at people being like, don't get
- 14:25Speaker 4: together with your family, yada, yada, yada.
- 14:27Speaker 1: And it's like, no, stop with that shit. That is over.
- 14:30Speaker 4: It didn't work then, it won't now. Give me specific, concise,
- 14:33Speaker 4: actionable things that are practical that I can implement in
- 14:36Speaker 4: my own life that might actually help mitigate this thing
- 14:39Speaker 4: at scale. But like, hey, telling everyone that Thanksgiving and
- 14:41Speaker 4: Christmas is over, it's not gonna work.
- 14:44Speaker 1: It's just not gonna work.
- 14:47Speaker 2: Well, the problem is because like at the, because of
- 14:51Speaker 2: that messaging being fucked up, now when it seems like
- 14:55Speaker 2: it's the worst emergency yet, people are going to be
- 14:58Speaker 2: less likely to take that advice. That's the problem is
- 15:02Speaker 2: like now I've seen people who were not very alarmist
- 15:05Speaker 2: back in the spring and summer be very alarmist right now.
- 15:09Speaker 2: Like I have never seen so many public health experts, epidemiologists,
- 15:13Speaker 2: everyone else say that like, this is seriously, we are
- 15:15Speaker 2: about to go into a really, really bad place. And
- 15:18Speaker 2: I worry that a lot of the public won't take
- 15:20Speaker 2: that as seriously because of how the messaging wasn't as
- 15:23Speaker 2: good in the spring.
- 15:25Speaker 3: Well, you know, part of this is though, part of this,
- 15:27Speaker 3: obviously like we keep coming back to this, but so
- 15:30Speaker 3: there are going to be mistakes, right? We've never been
- 15:32Speaker 3: in a pandemic like this before. There was a, there
- 15:34Speaker 3: was a big mistake made on masks early on. It
- 15:37Speaker 3: was surfaces, not airborne. Then we find out that Basically,
- 15:40Speaker 3: Trump and Bob Woodward were kibitzing about how it was airborne,
- 15:43Speaker 3: but the rest of us didn't know. But there was
- 15:45Speaker 3: a deeper mistake, I think, that was never rectified. And
- 15:48Speaker 3: it was that the whole posture from the federal government
- 15:52Speaker 3: to local government was, we need to pause life for
- 15:55Speaker 3: a very brief period of time, and then things will
- 15:58Speaker 3: be okay. And there was never a moment where anyone,
- 16:03Speaker 3: because there was no leadership from the White House, And
- 16:05Speaker 3: there is no one who could fill this vacuum other
- 16:07Speaker 3: than people like Anthony Fauci, who carefully measured how critical
- 16:14Speaker 3: he could be of the administration's failures. That basically said
- 16:17Speaker 3: we're now transitioning from a short period of time to
- 16:20Speaker 3: try to control this to the fact that it is
- 16:21Speaker 3: now widely spread and in our communities. And it is
- 16:24Speaker 3: about actually finding a way to live sustainably. in a
- 16:29Speaker 3: way that prevents the disease from spreading, which is like,
- 16:31Speaker 3: to your point, Tommy, like we went from like criticizing
- 16:33Speaker 3: people to being on the beaches, which felt incredibly draconian
- 16:36Speaker 3: and about being outside, which we now know is like
- 16:38Speaker 3: really safe. And by the way, part of what makes
- 16:40Speaker 3: this fucking sustainable is being able to go outside and
- 16:43Speaker 3: be six foot apart from somebody you care about and
- 16:45Speaker 3: having a conversation and catching up. There is never a
- 16:47Speaker 3: moment where they said, here are the things that you
- 16:49Speaker 3: can do to make your life sustainable and okay during
- 16:51Speaker 3: this time. And so now we come to the holidays,
- 16:54Speaker 3: everyone is burnt out. Nobody knows exactly what's right. Everybody's
- 16:58Speaker 3: been kind of thrown to the wolves of their own
- 17:00Speaker 3: version of risk mitigation. And it's actually never been worse.
- 17:05Speaker 3: It is less safe to go out of your house
- 17:07Speaker 3: in most of the country right now than it was
- 17:08Speaker 3: in March or April when we were at our most draconian.
- 17:11Speaker 3: And that inconsistency isn't addressed. It isn't part of the conversation.
- 17:17Speaker 3: Nobody really wants to be honest about what's happening.
- 17:23Speaker 2: Yeah. And back to our original conversation about sort of
- 17:27Speaker 2: news coverage. I think for casual news consumers, a lot
- 17:31Speaker 2: of coverage about a very dangerous, deadly spike could help
- 17:34Speaker 2: shape behavior and stop the spread. You know, public health
- 17:36Speaker 2: is obviously primarily about communication and education. And I think,
- 17:43Speaker 2: you know, if all we're talking about is Donald Trump
- 17:45Speaker 2: and his crazy tweets, that doesn't happen as much. So
- 17:48Speaker 2: I think that's one thing that could help the situation.
- 17:50Speaker 2: And the other big thing that could help the situation
- 17:52Speaker 2: is a COVID relief bill. So negotiations over the relief
- 17:57Speaker 2: bill in Congress still haven't gone anywhere. Biden, Schumer, and
- 18:01Speaker 2: Pelosi all back the House's two-plus-trillion-dollar bill. McConnell won't go
- 18:06Speaker 2: for anything over $ 500 billion. And then on Saturday, Trump
- 18:10Speaker 2: urged Congress to pass a, quote, big and focused bill
- 18:12Speaker 2: all of a sudden. Here's Donald Trump again. Tommy, what
- 18:15Speaker 2: are the chances of passing a COVID relief bill in
- 18:17Speaker 2: the lame duck session, and how much should Democrats be
- 18:19Speaker 2: willing to compromise?
- 18:20Speaker 4: I mean— I have literally no idea what the chances are.
- 18:23Speaker 4: It is impossible to follow where anyone is on this.
- 18:27Speaker 4: I know that the difference between the McConnell proposal, which
- 18:30Speaker 4: was like half a trillion, and the largest Pelosi proposal,
- 18:36Speaker 4: which was three trillion, seems very difficult to surmount.
- 18:39Speaker 1: But I don't know.
- 18:40Speaker 4: I'm hopeful maybe that these guys will find some sort
- 18:43Speaker 4: of responsibility, Gene.
- 18:44Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 18:46Speaker 4: We're in a very tough place once again, which is
- 18:49Speaker 4: you don't want to pass something that is woefully insufficient
- 18:53Speaker 4: to meet the moment and then have Mitch McConnell spend
- 18:55Speaker 4: the next six months to a year saying, no, we
- 18:57Speaker 4: already did something. I'm not going to pass anything else
- 19:00Speaker 4: in a naked attempt to sabotage the economy in the
- 19:04Speaker 4: Biden administration. But I do think the obvious public policy
- 19:08Speaker 4: answer right now would be to pass something that gave
- 19:11Speaker 4: people money for at least six months that also led
- 19:15Speaker 4: to the closure of indoor dining and in bars, in
- 19:19Speaker 4: things that are high risk until we get to a vaccine.
- 19:22Speaker 4: It seems like the obvious thing to do. The fact
- 19:24Speaker 4: that the two parties can't come together to pass that
- 19:28Speaker 4: shows primarily how broken the Republican Party is, even in
- 19:30Speaker 4: the face of a pandemic, but also just like why
- 19:33Speaker 4: people have all but given up on politics in this country.
- 19:36Speaker 4: Because again, it seems very obvious what we have to do.
- 19:39Speaker 4: And the fact that we can't seem to meet the
- 19:40Speaker 4: moment is absurd.
- 19:43Speaker 1: It's absurd.
- 19:45Speaker 2: I think I would be more open to a compromise
- 19:49Speaker 2: than I even was. before the election at this point
- 19:52Speaker 2: on behalf of Democrats, because I sort of worry that
- 19:55Speaker 2: you don't get anything done in the lame duck, which again,
- 19:58Speaker 2: we have no idea if we can. But if we don't,
- 20:01Speaker 2: we could get to a Biden administration where Mitch McConnell
- 20:03Speaker 2: is just going to block everything. And maybe Mitch McConnell
- 20:08Speaker 2: has more of a chance to pass something with Donald
- 20:11Speaker 2: Trump as president than Joe Biden as president just because
- 20:14Speaker 2: of his politics. But I think that people are struggling
- 20:18Speaker 2: and they're going to be struggling even more as the
- 20:20Speaker 2: economy gets worse because the pandemic gets worse. And I
- 20:23Speaker 2: would be sort of for passing something rather than nothing
- 20:26Speaker 2: in this lame duck if it's possible. But what do
- 20:28Speaker 2: you think?
- 20:30Speaker 3: So first of all, it's actually really hard to totally
- 20:32Speaker 3: understand what, the transition from a Donald Trump to a
- 20:36Speaker 3: Joe Biden presidency does to Mitch McConnell's calculus. Donald Trump
- 20:41Speaker 3: is a non-factor right now. He's just not, he'll sign,
- 20:43Speaker 3: if something passes, he'll sign it. He's not going to
- 20:45Speaker 3: veto something passed by the Congress. And, you know, he
- 20:49Speaker 3: can claim he wants this or wants that. But like,
- 20:51Speaker 3: you know, we talked about this before the election that
- 20:55Speaker 3: Mitch McConnell was getting away with murder, allowing this to
- 20:57Speaker 3: become Donald Trump's problem when he has been the main
- 20:59Speaker 3: obstacle for the past six months. you know, the only,
- 21:02Speaker 3: you know, politically, like what, what are the, what are
- 21:04Speaker 3: the places where we could see ramifications of this quickly?
- 21:06Speaker 3: It's Georgia. I don't know what they are. I don't
- 21:09Speaker 3: know what happens if you pass it. I also think
- 21:11Speaker 3: it shouldn't be a concern.
- 21:12Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 21:12Speaker 3: I'm kind of where you are now. It's like, you know,
- 21:15Speaker 3: the midterm elections are now two years away. The politics
- 21:18Speaker 3: really have, have changed. I'm kind of where you are. Like,
- 21:22Speaker 3: you know, I understand the posture that, that Democrats are taking.
- 21:25Speaker 3: I think we should get the biggest deal humanly possible, but,
- 21:28Speaker 3: but man, I mean, it's just, it's just hard to
- 21:32Speaker 3: keep going month after month without getting relief to people.
- 21:35Speaker 3: It's just, it's horrible.
- 21:37Speaker 1: The question just is, what is it? You know what
- 21:38Speaker 1: I mean? Like, what is the bill?
- 21:39Speaker 4: If it's liability for businesses that stay open, a little
- 21:43Speaker 4: bit of relief to states or for hospital systems that
- 21:46Speaker 4: does nothing, and like some more money for the PPP
- 21:50Speaker 4: program that wasn't particularly effective. I just think that's insufficient.
- 21:54Speaker 4: I mean, something is better than nothing, but man, that's
- 21:58Speaker 4: a tough bargain to have to swallow. I would also
- 22:00Speaker 4: say like, Trump, again, Trump is a non-factor. He's given
- 22:04Speaker 4: up on the job of president. But I wonder if
- 22:06Speaker 4: he also understands that he might be president if Mitch
- 22:09Speaker 4: McConnell had worked with Pelosi and passed another significant coronavirus
- 22:13Speaker 4: relief bill. It's pretty clear from the anecdotal evidence from
- 22:16Speaker 4: the exit polling, et cetera, that people liked getting a
- 22:19Speaker 4: check with Donald Trump's name on it. And they screwed
- 22:22Speaker 4: up massively by not more seriously pursuing something that would
- 22:26Speaker 4: have been significant in advance of the election.
- 22:30Speaker 2: Well, I sort of wonder if it's, you know, you
- 22:32Speaker 2: could play to Trump's ego a little bit, give him whatever,
- 22:34Speaker 2: give him a win on the way out the door
- 22:36Speaker 2: since he thinks he's fucking, you know, going to run
- 22:38Speaker 2: again in 2024. So maybe that's sort of an incentive.
- 22:41Speaker 2: I think to your point, Tommy, about what's in the bill, like. look,
- 22:43Speaker 2: you need to have some kind of unemployment relief, an
- 22:46Speaker 2: extension of unemployment relief. You need to have some money
- 22:49Speaker 2: for state and local governments, even though I'm sure it
- 22:50Speaker 2: will be woefully insufficient for what the Democrats proposed versus
- 22:54Speaker 2: what they will get from Mitch. And I think the
- 22:58Speaker 2: PPP program did have some success after a while, but
- 23:02Speaker 2: you're right. I think unemployment and sort of state and
- 23:04Speaker 2: local relief are the most important parts of that bill.
- 23:08Speaker 3: One just other piece of this that I don't, I
- 23:10Speaker 3: feel like I know enough about, which is I'd be
- 23:13Speaker 3: curious what smart people who are thinking about this imagine
- 23:18Speaker 3: is going to happen when we get to certain kind
- 23:20Speaker 3: of must-pass bills as the year goes on, because we
- 23:23Speaker 3: will finally have an actual president. I mean, it's not
- 23:25Speaker 3: just that Donald Trump was a Republican. He was an
- 23:27Speaker 3: absentee president for so much of the time that a
- 23:30Speaker 3: lot of this was outsourced to Congress. But what happens
- 23:32Speaker 3: when you have a Democratic president who's part of these negotiations,
- 23:35Speaker 3: who is using, you know, budget negotiations, government funding negotiations?
- 23:41Speaker 2: He has a drink with Mitch McConnell and then it
- 23:43Speaker 2: gets fixed.
- 23:43Speaker 1: It's all solved.
- 23:44Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 23:44Speaker 3: I mean, look, look, we have said this for years.
- 23:46Speaker 3: It is time. No, you, Joe Biden, get a drink
- 23:49Speaker 3: with Mitch McConnell.
- 23:51Speaker 5: It's time.
- 23:52Speaker 1: Get that drink.
- 24:01Speaker 2: Let's talk about Biden's transition, which we're going to try
- 24:03Speaker 2: to make a regular feature here through the inauguration. The
- 24:07Speaker 2: pandemic and the recession are the two most immediate issues
- 24:09Speaker 2: the incoming administration will face. But they're also going to
- 24:12Speaker 2: try to make quick progress on several others, including climate change, immigration,
- 24:16Speaker 2: potentially student debt. How much progress Biden can make, of course,
- 24:20Speaker 2: depends on whether or not he has a Democratic Senate,
- 24:23Speaker 2: which will be decided by the two Georgia Senate runoffs
- 24:25Speaker 2: in January. But let's start with climate. Tommy, what could
- 24:28Speaker 2: Biden do about climate change on his own and what
- 24:31Speaker 2: would he need a Democratic Senate for?
- 24:33Speaker 4: So there was a great piece in The Washington Post
- 24:36Speaker 4: about how Biden is planning to set up his entire
- 24:39Speaker 4: government to tackle climate change. And so what that means
- 24:42Speaker 4: is you don't just have the EPA involved and you say, hey, EPA,
- 24:46Speaker 4: you're handling climate. You tell the State Department, you tell
- 24:49Speaker 4: the Treasury Department, you tell Commerce that you have to
- 24:52Speaker 4: figure out actions and things you can do to address climate.
- 24:55Speaker 4: And they have a big plan that helps you work
- 24:56Speaker 4: through all of this. So that's a good thing because
- 24:58Speaker 4: to your question about Congress, the odds of passing a
- 25:02Speaker 4: big cap and trade bill through a Republican Senate are
- 25:06Speaker 4: next to zero. It might even be hard if we
- 25:07Speaker 4: won both Georgia seats. So Biden is going to have
- 25:10Speaker 4: to figure out how to use executive orders and executive
- 25:12Speaker 4: action to do it. Some of the recommendations that have
- 25:16Speaker 4: been put forward to him include creating a White House
- 25:19Speaker 4: National Climate Council, which is sort of like the Domestic
- 25:22Speaker 4: Policy Council or the National Economic Council within the White House.
- 25:25Speaker 4: You make that a very senior that speaks to the
- 25:28Speaker 4: importance of the task. You could establish a carbon bank
- 25:33Speaker 4: with the USDA and that would pay, you could pay
- 25:36Speaker 4: farmers basically and forest owners to store carbon in their
- 25:40Speaker 4: soils and lands. You could use the Department of Transportation
- 25:43Speaker 4: to accelerate the purchase of electric vehicles and just use
- 25:46Speaker 4: the purchasing power of the government. There was a great
- 25:49Speaker 4: op-ed last week by the former Secretary of the Navy,
- 25:52Speaker 4: Ray Nabus, who actually tried to change the Pentagon and
- 25:56Speaker 4: do more on climate when he was at the Navy.
- 25:59Speaker 4: But he pointed out in this op-ed that the Department
- 26:02Speaker 4: of Defense uses more fossil fuels than any other organization
- 26:05Speaker 4: on Earth. So there's ways within the government that you
- 26:08Speaker 4: can implement things. You can roll back Trump-era regulations that
- 26:11Speaker 4: made cars less fuel-efficient. you could roll back ways they
- 26:15Speaker 4: allowed more oil and gas exploration or Trump allowed companies
- 26:18Speaker 4: just to like pour methane into the atmosphere. You can
- 26:21Speaker 4: fix that. There's the international piece of this as well.
- 26:24Speaker 4: Like he'll get back into the Paris Climate Accords on
- 26:26Speaker 4: day one. A bunch of his Biden's early calls with
- 26:29Speaker 4: European leaders have focused on negotiating a stronger agreement through Paris.
- 26:34Speaker 1: And that's critical, right?
- 26:36Speaker 4: Because only 15% of global emissions come from the US.
- 26:39Speaker 4: The rest are abroad. You have to deal with all
- 26:41Speaker 4: of that if you actually want to deal with climate. Now,
- 26:43Speaker 4: the scary thing is the courts and what they may
- 26:46Speaker 4: or may not strike down when it comes to regulations,
- 26:48Speaker 4: but we'll cross that bridge when we get there.
- 26:50Speaker 2: Yeah, it seems like the two biggest levers they have
- 26:53Speaker 2: are sort of the purchasing power of the federal government
- 26:57Speaker 2: and just the federal government in general, the cars they buy,
- 26:59Speaker 2: the buildings that we have, right? Like that you can
- 27:02Speaker 2: do a lot without Congress to sort of reshape what
- 27:06Speaker 2: the federal government does. And then In 2007, the Supreme
- 27:11Speaker 2: Court ruled that the Clean Air Act applied to carbon emissions.
- 27:14Speaker 2: And so that means the EPA has the power to
- 27:16Speaker 2: regulate them. So there's a lot you could do there.
- 27:18Speaker 2: But again, the big challenge is the courts right now
- 27:22Speaker 2: are not necessarily friendly to the executive branch regulating a
- 27:27Speaker 2: lot of things on its own without Congress, to say
- 27:30Speaker 2: the least, to say the least.
- 27:32Speaker 3: Tommy talked about going through different parts of the government.
- 27:37Speaker 3: The Defense Department, recognizes that climate change is a threat
- 27:40Speaker 3: in their, you know, look at like long term planning,
- 27:42Speaker 3: they acknowledge that one of the biggest risks to facilities
- 27:46Speaker 3: to the security of the country is climate change and
- 27:48Speaker 3: the instability could cause as climate change has been internalized by,
- 27:51Speaker 3: you know, the progressive movement, certainly, but industry as well, right?
- 27:55Speaker 3: Insurance companies understand that climate change is a real threat
- 27:57Speaker 3: when they when they model out what they're going to
- 28:00Speaker 3: charge people in flood zones and storm areas, right? For example,
- 28:03Speaker 3: you know, David Roberts, who's been a great climate writer,
- 28:05Speaker 3: he wrote about how the presidency has an extraordinary amount
- 28:08Speaker 3: of power around systemic risk to the economy through the Dodd-Frank.
- 28:12Speaker 1: Act, right?
- 28:13Speaker 3: Well, climate change is a tremendous systemic risk to the economy.
- 28:17Speaker 3: And so I think one other piece of this is
- 28:18Speaker 3: just what I would like to see is just an
- 28:20Speaker 3: administration that is honest about the threat posed by climate change,
- 28:24Speaker 3: which demands that you use all the levers of the presidency,
- 28:27Speaker 3: maybe in creative and experimental ways, especially when we're going
- 28:30Speaker 3: to have to throw a bunch of shit against the
- 28:31Speaker 3: wall to see what Amy Coney Barrett thinks is originalist,
- 28:34Speaker 3: you know? So.
- 28:35Speaker 2: No, I was going to say like creative and ambitious,
- 28:39Speaker 2: and then the court will strike down what it strikes down.
- 28:42Speaker 2: But like, you got to just, you got to move.
- 28:43Speaker 2: And look, this is, I want to talk about immigration.
- 28:45Speaker 2: This is sort of what happened to us on immigration
- 28:49Speaker 2: is how long did it take the Obama administration to
- 28:52Speaker 2: finally take an executive action on DACA, on the Dreamers
- 28:57Speaker 2: to reprioritize deportations didn't happen until the second term. And
- 29:02Speaker 2: a lot of it was because a lot of lawyers
- 29:04Speaker 2: and a lot of policy people say, oh, I don't
- 29:06Speaker 2: know if we have the authority to do this or
- 29:07Speaker 2: we're not sure. And the lesson is, like you said, Levitt,
- 29:10Speaker 2: you sort of just try everything, see what the courts
- 29:13Speaker 2: strike down and what they don't strike down, it's a win.
- 29:15Speaker 2: But you can't really wait on this kind of stuff.
- 29:17Speaker 2: What do you think on immigration, Levitt, the Biden folks
- 29:21Speaker 2: can do both with Congress and without Congress?
- 29:24Speaker 3: Yeah, it's worth noting too that I think today, as
- 29:26Speaker 3: we're recording this, a court in New York ruled that
- 29:30Speaker 3: acting Chad Wolf at the Department of Homeland Security is
- 29:33Speaker 3: not technically authorized to make the decisions he's making around DACA.
- 29:36Speaker 3: So the decision to create DACA that has been moving
- 29:40Speaker 3: through the courts for years, that was contentious, that was
- 29:43Speaker 3: attacked for being illegal by conservatives, and that is even
- 29:45Speaker 3: recognized as being a stretch for presidential power has kind
- 29:49Speaker 3: of survived to this point, despite the onslaught that the
- 29:52Speaker 3: Republican administration waged against it, though largely it survived thanks
- 29:56Speaker 3: to the incompetence of the administration and their reasoning they
- 29:59Speaker 3: offer to the court. But that said, they can immediately
- 30:02Speaker 3: protect the dreamers. They can immediately suspend the Muslim ban.
- 30:06Speaker 3: They can immediately move to reverse some of the Stephen
- 30:09Speaker 3: Miller policies around refugees. They can immediately halt deportations of
- 30:15Speaker 3: everyone except violent offenders. There's a whole host of things
- 30:18Speaker 3: that they can do on immigration. On day one, it's
- 30:21Speaker 3: a lot of reversing the you know, nativist policies that
- 30:26Speaker 3: Stephen Miller and Donald Trump have put forward, but they
- 30:28Speaker 3: also have some places where I think they can move
- 30:29Speaker 3: things forward too.
- 30:31Speaker 2: Tommy, what about you? What do you think?
- 30:32Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 30:33Speaker 4: Listen, Biden is going to erase everything Stephen Miller ever did.
- 30:38Speaker 4: You can't undo the damage.
- 30:39Speaker 1: That is permanent.
- 30:40Speaker 4: But all of the immigration policies that they put forward
- 30:43Speaker 4: were pretty much through executive action and not through Congress.
- 30:46Speaker 1: So Biden can unwind it.
- 30:47Speaker 4: So I'm very excited for someone on that administration to
- 30:51Speaker 4: to write an op-ed that says, Stephen Miller, you are canceled,
- 30:54Speaker 4: you are erased, you are gone. Yeah, so like, you know,
- 30:57Speaker 4: Lovett's got the big ones, DACA, the Muslim ban. You
- 31:00Speaker 4: can get rid of the public charge rule that basically
- 31:03Speaker 4: allowed the U.S. to discriminate against people from coming to
- 31:06Speaker 4: the U.S. based on whether they might conceivably fall on
- 31:09Speaker 4: hard economic times in the future and need, you know, assistance.
- 31:13Speaker 4: The list goes on and on. Um, but yeah, it's,
- 31:16Speaker 4: it's a place to be. And obviously family separations.
- 31:18Speaker 1: Family separation.
- 31:19Speaker 4: Done, right?
- 31:19Speaker 1: Of course.
- 31:20Speaker 5: Sorry. No, no, no.
- 31:21Speaker 3: Of course.
- 31:21Speaker 1: I mean, get rid of it forever.
- 31:23Speaker 4: But like, look, you could also put decent human beings
- 31:25Speaker 4: in charge of these policies. That's a, that's going to
- 31:28Speaker 4: be a huge piece of this. Which is huge, which
- 31:30Speaker 4: is huge. I mean, I do think, you know, and
- 31:32Speaker 4: some of these.
- 31:33Speaker 2: On some of what Trump did on both climate and
- 31:35Speaker 2: the environment and immigration, one challenge is, and I know
- 31:37Speaker 2: the public charge rule is one of them, it's actually
- 31:40Speaker 2: going to take some time to undo them because you
- 31:42Speaker 2: have to go through this like fucking regulatory process. And
- 31:45Speaker 2: Trump really fucked it up so bad that it's going
- 31:47Speaker 2: to take a couple of years, but best to start immediately.
- 31:51Speaker 2: The real challenge on immigration is that the main policy
- 31:55Speaker 2: objective is that we've been trying for for the last 10,
- 31:59Speaker 2: 15 years, ever since Obama took office, which is a
- 32:01Speaker 2: pathway to citizenship for every undocumented immigrant in this country,
- 32:05Speaker 2: that you can only do with a Democratic Senate. And
- 32:08Speaker 2: that is just yet another reason to focus on winning
- 32:12Speaker 2: those two seats in Georgia, because without a Democratic Senate,
- 32:15Speaker 2: you will not be able to do anything on citizenship
- 32:18Speaker 2: for undocumented immigrants. You'll be able to protect the dreamers.
- 32:21Speaker 2: And that's about it. Tommy, are there other executive actions
- 32:24Speaker 2: that you were looking at that Biden can take quickly
- 32:28Speaker 2: and make some real progress with?
- 32:29Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, look, a few quick ones. And like,
- 32:32Speaker 4: this sounds simple, but it's a huge deal. Like just
- 32:34Speaker 4: putting competent people in charge is going to make such
- 32:37Speaker 4: a difference. I mean, watching Ron Klain do interviews over
- 32:41Speaker 4: the weekend was just such an unbelievable relief. It was like, oh,
- 32:44Speaker 4: a pandemic expert is now the chief of staff, especially
- 32:47Speaker 4: as we're reading stories about Trump's like, 30-year-old meat jockey
- 32:52Speaker 4: body guy who is now leading a purge of people
- 32:56Speaker 4: across agencies, despite the fact that he was fired for
- 32:59Speaker 4: gambling on the job or whatever in 2018 and came back.
- 33:02Speaker 4: Then Biden can undo a bunch of Trump-era policies.
- 33:06Speaker 1: Wait, I'm sorry.
- 33:06Speaker 4: I'm sorry.
- 33:07Speaker 1: I don't mean to interrupt. I don't mean to interrupt.
- 33:08Speaker 3: I just have a quick follow-up question.
- 33:10Speaker 5: Did you say meat jockey?
- 33:12Speaker 1: Oh, yeah. That's worse than a meathead.
- 33:15Speaker 3: What's a meat jockey?
- 33:16Speaker 1: So like, you know... Chris Cuomo, basically.
- 33:21Speaker 4: Wow.
- 33:22Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 33:23Speaker 5: Cool.
- 33:23Speaker 2: Okay.
- 33:24Speaker 1: Got it.
- 33:24Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 33:25Speaker 1: Thank you.
- 33:25Speaker 3: Thank you.
- 33:26Speaker 1: Thank you, Tommy. Thank you.
- 33:27Speaker 2: If you're posting your workouts on Instagram, if you're posting
- 33:30Speaker 2: a picture of yourself lifting weights, that's your meat.
- 33:33Speaker 4: Specifically deadlifting. You know what I mean? There's a hierarchy
- 33:36Speaker 4: of meathead workouts, right? Like the clean and jerk is
- 33:40Speaker 4: way up there. You know, like anything sort of glute forward.
- 33:46Speaker 5: Go on. I should stop.
- 33:47Speaker 1: I had you aglut.
- 33:49Speaker 3: It's so stupid to post a deadlift. You look so stupid.
- 33:52Speaker 3: It doesn't look cool. Every deadlift looks exact.
- 33:55Speaker 5: Wow. A deadlift.
- 33:56Speaker 1: You leaned over.
- 33:57Speaker 5: No.
- 33:58Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 33:58Speaker 1: Well, no, no workout.
- 33:59Speaker 4: Instagram looks cool is the truth here.
- 34:02Speaker 1: But look, I know.
- 34:03Speaker 4: So Trump had a bunch of policies that restricted reproductive choice, right?
- 34:06Speaker 4: There's the global gag rule that prevents nonprofits receiving USAID
- 34:10Speaker 4: from even discussing abortion.
- 34:13Speaker 1: If they want federal funding, that can go away.
- 34:15Speaker 4: There's all this discussion now about Biden canceling up to.
- 34:19Speaker 1: $ 50, 000.
- 34:20Speaker 4: Worth of student loan debt. We talked about getting rid
- 34:23Speaker 4: of the ban on transgender people serving in the military,
- 34:27Speaker 4: get back in the Iran nuclear deal, and support for
- 34:30Speaker 4: the Saudi-led war in Yemen. I mean, there's a million
- 34:32Speaker 4: things that Biden can do quickly that will be enormously
- 34:37Speaker 4: beneficial that I'm very excited about. I just cannot wait
- 34:40Speaker 4: for this transition purgatory to end.
- 34:44Speaker 1: Love it.
- 34:44Speaker 2: You have some favorite executive actions you want to throw
- 34:47Speaker 2: in there?
- 34:48Speaker 3: No, I would also just add too on the lifting
- 34:51Speaker 3: of the trans ban for the military, that's something that
- 34:53Speaker 3: can happen right away. That's just something that they can
- 34:55Speaker 3: do pretty quickly without having to go through a long
- 34:58Speaker 3: process because it was already policy and it was already
- 35:01Speaker 3: kind of put through those paces. So I'm glad about that.
- 35:04Speaker 3: I'm trying to think if you missed any off the
- 35:07Speaker 3: top of my head. It's like, it's an article two quiz. Yeah.
- 35:09Speaker 2: I was gonna say, I have a few from our friend,
- 35:12Speaker 2: Elizabeth Warren, who wrote in the Washington Post in addition.
- 35:15Speaker 2: in addition to student loan debt, which she just wrote about.
- 35:19Speaker 2: There's also apparently the ability to bypass patents to bring
- 35:23Speaker 2: down some drug prices that you can do through executive authority,
- 35:25Speaker 2: or should, so she says. Health and safety standards, so
- 35:29Speaker 2: the companies can't force employees to work in unsafe conditions
- 35:32Speaker 2: during COVID. Um, one of the concerns of course, is
- 35:35Speaker 2: these liability protections we're talking about in the COVID relief bill,
- 35:37Speaker 2: but it seems like you might be able to do something, uh,
- 35:39Speaker 2: through executive action on that and minimum wage for all
- 35:43Speaker 2: federal contractors. Uh, you can increase it to $ 15 an
- 35:46Speaker 2: hour for anyone who contracts with the federal government, which
- 35:49Speaker 2: is a lot of people.
- 35:50Speaker 3: I'll add from Elizabeth Warren's list, which, uh, heaven for offend,
- 35:54Speaker 3: I briefly forgot, uh, and shame on me, shame on
- 35:57Speaker 3: all of us. Uh, but, but she also mentions. that
- 36:00Speaker 3: we can refocus on having antitrust regulators that actually care
- 36:06Speaker 3: about stopping monopolies and the effects of monopolies. I continue
- 36:10Speaker 3: to believe that that is one of the biggest and
- 36:14Speaker 3: most important challenges facing the country is the consolidation in industries,
- 36:18Speaker 3: not just in tech, which we talk about all the time,
- 36:19Speaker 3: but across our economy that has created a lot of
- 36:23Speaker 3: the inequality and inequities. And I think also just the
- 36:25Speaker 3: kind of lack of agency and control that has created
- 36:29Speaker 3: so many... sort of economic challenges, not just sort of
- 36:32Speaker 3: in a broad macroeconomic way, but in the way that
- 36:34Speaker 3: it impacts actual people's lives on a daily basis.
- 36:37Speaker 1: Box jumps too.
- 36:38Speaker 2: Box, oh, we're back to that. I know we're, it's
- 36:41Speaker 2: tough to pivot back and forth between workouts that are
- 36:45Speaker 2: acceptable to post on Instagram and executive actions that Joe
- 36:48Speaker 2: Biden takes.
- 36:48Speaker 1: None are acceptable.
- 36:49Speaker 2: That's what we do here in this podcast.
- 36:50Speaker 1: None are acceptable for Instagram.
- 36:51Speaker 2: That's what we do here. So, Lovett, we talked a
- 36:54Speaker 2: lot about the executive actions, but obviously there is like,
- 36:57Speaker 2: you know, much of Joe Biden's agenda requires legislation, which
- 37:01Speaker 2: requires a Democratic Congress. How does all of this affect
- 37:05Speaker 2: how Democrats should frame these Georgia races? Like how much
- 37:08Speaker 2: should Ossoff and Warnock talk about what's at stake nationally
- 37:11Speaker 2: versus sort of making the race about Georgia?
- 37:15Speaker 3: Well, I mean, I don't know what it means to
- 37:17Speaker 3: make the race... On policy, I think making it about
- 37:19Speaker 3: Georgia and making it national are not that different. I
- 37:23Speaker 3: do think it's, you know, given that we saw, you know,
- 37:26Speaker 3: places like Florida raise the minimum wage, we saw weed
- 37:28Speaker 3: expansion in Montana, we've seen Medicaid being popular in red
- 37:32Speaker 3: states across the country, I do think focusing on the
- 37:34Speaker 3: kind of policies we could have in a Democratic Senate,
- 37:37Speaker 3: maybe not focusing so much on the kind of political
- 37:40Speaker 3: process of who controls the Senate, but the fact that
- 37:43Speaker 3: if we win these two seats... We not only remove
- 37:46Speaker 3: two of the most corrupt members of the Senate, and
- 37:47Speaker 3: I do think corrupt is the word for them, right?
- 37:49Speaker 3: These are two people that play down the pandemic while
- 37:53Speaker 3: trying to profit on it personally. I think there can't
- 37:55Speaker 3: be anything more corrupt than that. And they've been incredibly
- 37:57Speaker 3: craven in trying to serve their party over their country,
- 37:59Speaker 3: et cetera. I think that all can be part of
- 38:01Speaker 3: the negative messaging. But the possibility of raising the minimum
- 38:04Speaker 3: wage hangs on these two races, the possibility of expanding
- 38:07Speaker 3: health care. of giving people a public option, expanding protections
- 38:11Speaker 3: for preexisting conditions, all hinges on these two races, investing
- 38:14Speaker 3: in infrastructure, investing in the kind of clean energy jobs
- 38:18Speaker 3: that we want. Those things hinge on these two races.
- 38:20Speaker 3: So I think like, I don't, look, I'd be curious
- 38:22Speaker 3: what polls say, but like my instinct is to make
- 38:25Speaker 3: it about those issues that the balance of the Senate
- 38:29Speaker 3: will determine, less about Mitch McConnell as a person, less
- 38:32Speaker 3: about national politics.
- 38:34Speaker 2: Polls, who cares about polls anymore?
- 38:36Speaker 1: Well, that's the other thing.
- 38:37Speaker 5: What's a fucking poll? I'll go.
- 38:39Speaker 3: I'm going to start my own Trafalgar. I'll start my
- 38:42Speaker 3: own Trafalgar. And whatever we want the polls to say,
- 38:44Speaker 3: they'll say it. They'll say whatever we need them to say.
- 38:47Speaker 2: Tell me, what do you think? What's your gut tell you?
- 38:49Speaker 2: Forget the polls.
- 38:50Speaker 4: I mean, look, my gut tells me I want to
- 38:52Speaker 4: look at some polls. I would pull the shit out
- 38:56Speaker 4: of these races and see what Georgians want to hear about. Now,
- 38:59Speaker 4: if you told me like, okay, you have to nationalize this,
- 39:01Speaker 4: like make the case for some things. I agree with
- 39:04Speaker 4: Lovett that a $ 15 minimum wage would be way up
- 39:07Speaker 4: high on my list. I would think about whether talking
- 39:10Speaker 4: about marijuana legalization, at least for medical uses, is something
- 39:13Speaker 4: you want to talk about because it's an incredibly popular policy.
- 39:16Speaker 4: I would talk about how to deal with price gouging
- 39:21Speaker 4: credit card companies that give you high interest rates if
- 39:25Speaker 4: you default. I would look for as many populist bread
- 39:28Speaker 4: and butter economic issues as I could possibly find. Then
- 39:31Speaker 4: if you wanted to make a broader argument, the case
- 39:34Speaker 4: is pretty simple, which is if we win these two seats,
- 39:37Speaker 4: we can do all of these things. If we don't
- 39:38Speaker 4: win these two seats, we can do none of these things.
- 39:40Speaker 4: It becomes very binary and I think easy to sharpen
- 39:43Speaker 4: for people. I also am quite compelled to by the
- 39:48Speaker 4: videos circulating on Twitter and elsewhere about just how corrupt
- 39:51Speaker 4: Kelly Loeffler is and just how corrupt Perdue is. They
- 39:53Speaker 4: are the exact elite, super rich aristocracy of America that
- 40:01Speaker 4: it is very easy to make people hate, and we
- 40:04Speaker 4: should try to do that more often.
- 40:07Speaker 2: I very much agree with you that I think a
- 40:09Speaker 2: simple binary choice between two years of complete gridlock Versus
- 40:15Speaker 2: progress on issues that could actually improve your life in
- 40:18Speaker 2: a tangible way is probably the best way to go here.
- 40:21Speaker 2: I also don't know that Democrats have a choice between
- 40:24Speaker 2: nationalizing it or not, because what we know so far
- 40:27Speaker 2: from the Republican messaging is that they have decided to
- 40:30Speaker 2: nationalize the race and they're saying Loeffler and Perdue and Trump.
- 40:34Speaker 2: And every other Republican who's now fucking gone down to
- 40:37Speaker 2: Georgia and held an indoor rally without masks, like Marco
- 40:41Speaker 2: Rubio and the rest of the gang, they're basically saying,
- 40:44Speaker 2: this is your chance to save the Senate. This is
- 40:46Speaker 2: your chance to stop the radical left Democrats from taking
- 40:48Speaker 2: over the world and socialism and all this stuff. They've
- 40:50Speaker 2: nationalized the race. So I think Loeffler, I mean, so
- 40:54Speaker 2: I think Ossoff and Warnock need to have a response
- 40:57Speaker 2: to that that's also national, which is like, look, you
- 41:01Speaker 2: elect us, we're going to have progress for the first
- 41:03Speaker 2: time in a long time. We're going to have health corruption.
- 41:05Speaker 2: We're going to have a higher minimum wage. We're going
- 41:07Speaker 2: to have all this stuff. You don't, we're going to
- 41:08Speaker 2: have shit.
- 41:09Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 41:10Speaker 4: I'm super interested to see if Trump actually cares about
- 41:12Speaker 4: these races, right?
- 41:14Speaker 1: Me too.
- 41:14Speaker 4: He's trying so hard. to get four more years of
- 41:18Speaker 4: a job that he hates and doesn't do. So why
- 41:21Speaker 4: then do we assume that he cares about the United
- 41:23Speaker 4: States Senate? He's the most selfish person in the history
- 41:25Speaker 4: of the world. I have more faith in him parking
- 41:28Speaker 4: his lazy, slobbily ass at Mar-a-Lago for a couple of
- 41:32Speaker 4: weeks than actually campaigning for these guys. Like I could
- 41:34Speaker 4: be proven wrong. But like, can you imagine what that
- 41:37Speaker 4: rally speech would be like? It would just be like
- 41:39Speaker 4: one long, whiny grievance.
- 41:41Speaker 2: Well, I've thought about this too. The only thing that
- 41:44Speaker 2: might compel him to campaign hard is... He might think
- 41:48Speaker 2: to himself, if I get a win in Georgia, if
- 41:50Speaker 2: we win these two Republican races, I can leave office
- 41:53Speaker 2: bragging about how I won.
- 41:55Speaker 1: That's true.
- 41:56Speaker 2: Like one more fake win for Donald Trump on his
- 41:58Speaker 2: way out just to sort of, you know, feed his ego.
- 42:02Speaker 2: And then he can start talking about how he wants
- 42:03Speaker 2: to run again in 2024 because he saved those Senate
- 42:06Speaker 2: seats in Georgia.
- 42:07Speaker 1: But he is lazy.
- 42:09Speaker 2: He is lazy.
- 42:10Speaker 5: He is lazy.
- 42:10Speaker 3: Well, I do think, well, yeah, he's lazy, but, you know,
- 42:14Speaker 3: he's also... incredibly disciplined when it comes to seeking out applause.
- 42:19Speaker 3: I agree. I actually think he'll watch. If it looks
- 42:21Speaker 3: like they'll win, he'll want to go. He'll want to
- 42:25Speaker 3: rail against Joe Biden. He'll want to be on television.
- 42:27Speaker 3: He'll want to claim that he did it. I do
- 42:29Speaker 3: think he will be talking immediately about 2024, not least
- 42:33Speaker 3: of which because of his legal problems. And I do
- 42:36Speaker 3: think him being a potential candidate in 2024 will be
- 42:42Speaker 3: one of the things he will be saying, which is
- 42:45Speaker 3: my people yell, lock her up. And everyone tells me
- 42:47Speaker 3: I'm so terrible. Look at Joe Biden trying to put
- 42:49Speaker 3: me in jail because he doesn't want to run against me. Uh,
- 42:52Speaker 3: so like, I do think that that's coming for all
- 42:54Speaker 3: of us. Um, him being political is like one of
- 42:57Speaker 3: the only ways I think he can talk his way
- 43:00Speaker 3: through at least some of the legal challenges that will
- 43:02Speaker 3: likely face him after he leaves office. So, uh, you know,
- 43:05Speaker 3: that'll be fun.
- 43:06Speaker 1: Well, Yeah.
- 43:08Speaker 4: He'll probably go campaign down at the Augusta National Golf
- 43:11Speaker 4: Club and leave it at that. Just hang out, hit
- 43:13Speaker 4: balls for a few weeks, call back campaigning.
- 43:17Speaker 2: Okay. When we come back, we will have my interview
- 43:20Speaker 2: with Chuck Rocha. Chuck Rocha is president of Solidarity Strategies
- 43:33Speaker 2: and Nuestro PAC. He was also a senior advisor to
- 43:35Speaker 2: Bernie Sanders' 2020 presidential campaign and the author of the book, T.O. Bernie,
- 43:40Speaker 2: the inside story of how Bernie Sanders brought Latinos into
- 43:43Speaker 2: the political revolution. Welcome to Pod Save America, Chuck.
- 43:46Speaker 5: Hey, thanks for having me.
- 43:48Speaker 2: So among Latinos who voted in the Democratic primary, Bernie
- 43:51Speaker 2: Sanders did well in 2016. He did phenomenally well in 2020,
- 43:56Speaker 2: especially with younger Latinos. Can you talk us through your
- 44:00Speaker 2: very successful strategy that helped increase Bernie's vote share with
- 44:03Speaker 2: Latinos between 16 and 20? And also, I should ask
- 44:06Speaker 2: just to start off, like, given the huge diversity within
- 44:09Speaker 2: the Latino population, is there a better way to be
- 44:12Speaker 2: talking about the Latino vote in general?
- 44:15Speaker 5: You know, John, I appreciate you asking. I recognize that
- 44:17Speaker 5: you asking that because we all go by so many different,
- 44:20Speaker 5: you know, what we call each other, you know, Latinos, Hispanic, Latinx,
- 44:25Speaker 5: and all of those for all of you at home.
- 44:26Speaker 5: They're all right. It all depends on who you're talking
- 44:29Speaker 5: to and where you're at. The way I like to
- 44:31Speaker 5: think about is I say Latino. So I'd like for
- 44:33Speaker 5: us to use Latinos today for everybody. When I walk
- 44:35Speaker 5: into a space and they want to use Latinx out
- 44:37Speaker 5: of respect, that's what I do. Non-gender bias. I get
- 44:40Speaker 5: all of that point. And so I like to reflect
- 44:42Speaker 5: however somebody else is talking about it that way. I
- 44:44Speaker 5: don't make nobody upset. But thanks for asking the question
- 44:47Speaker 5: about 15 and 16 and 20. I think the biggest things,
- 44:52Speaker 5: I think the biggest reasons why we had such a
- 44:54Speaker 5: success was we had included Latinos into the operation of
- 44:58Speaker 5: the overall campaign. You know, I've been doing this for
- 45:01Speaker 5: 31 years. And what I've always seen is Black people,
- 45:04Speaker 5: Brown people, Asian people, even women, siloed off into their
- 45:08Speaker 5: own departments, given no budget, given no say-so, where they
- 45:10Speaker 5: really don't know the overall strategy of the campaign. So
- 45:13Speaker 5: they never can really intersect in the overall messaging field apparatus,
- 45:17Speaker 5: political work that's done. And so since I got to
- 45:19Speaker 5: be a senior advisor, and in my book, I wrote
- 45:21Speaker 5: about this, about getting to build out literally the infrastructure
- 45:24Speaker 5: of the campaign, I very purposefully put women and people
- 45:27Speaker 5: of color in positions of power so that I knew
- 45:29Speaker 5: that they would be intersectionality within every aspect of the campaign.
- 45:33Speaker 5: And what that led to was us starting our Latino
- 45:36Speaker 5: outreach six, seven, eight months before that caucus. It was
- 45:39Speaker 5: very culturally competent. So there were Latinos making every bit
- 45:43Speaker 5: of the products, all Latino consultants, Latino staffers. We ended
- 45:46Speaker 5: up having over 200 Latino staffers on the campaign. And
- 45:50Speaker 5: I think Bernie's message also really helped because it really
- 45:53Speaker 5: is a working class message that as you look at
- 45:56Speaker 5: what happened this year, and I know we'll get into it,
- 45:58Speaker 5: Latinos are a very working class group of folks, no
- 46:01Speaker 5: matter if they're Cuban, Dominican, Puerto Rican. There's lots of
- 46:04Speaker 5: us since we're such a young demographic that still have
- 46:06Speaker 5: to work a lot of our jobs, hourly jobs. So
- 46:09Speaker 5: that economic populism is something that really works. So it
- 46:12Speaker 5: was the perfect storm of having a good candidate who
- 46:15Speaker 5: always stays on message, starting early, having a Latino in
- 46:19Speaker 5: the room where they happen, me, John, me and Jeff
- 46:22Speaker 5: Weaver and Faz and the Senator. So I was in
- 46:25Speaker 5: the room. So I could say, let's make sure we
- 46:26Speaker 5: keep this funding going and do this work. So I
- 46:29Speaker 5: think that all grew into having the most historic Latino
- 46:32Speaker 5: outreach in the history of American politics.
- 46:35Speaker 2: So in the general election, your group, Nuestro PAC, helped
- 46:39Speaker 2: persuade Latino voters in key battleground states to turn out
- 46:41Speaker 2: for Joe Biden. Can you talk about the difference between
- 46:45Speaker 2: Latino voters who turn out in a primary and those
- 46:47Speaker 2: who might turn out in a general election?
- 46:50Speaker 5: It's not that much different than white primary voters. They
- 46:54Speaker 5: have more information, so they're more high information voters, right?
- 46:57Speaker 5: So they're regular voters. But what we proved in Nevada
- 47:01Speaker 5: specifically with Bernie is that if you'll go out and
- 47:03Speaker 5: talk to non-primary Latinos, they'll actually show up and vote.
- 47:07Speaker 5: What the problem is and the larger problem with the
- 47:09Speaker 5: overall democratic infrastructure is that we've become so reliant on
- 47:14Speaker 5: data and micro-targeting is we leave out huge swaths of
- 47:17Speaker 5: voters who would participate if we would literally ask them.
- 47:21Speaker 5: So a targeting became a big part of Bernie's success
- 47:24Speaker 5: and the success we had with Nuestro because we expanded
- 47:26Speaker 5: that target beyond what we call a prime voter to
- 47:29Speaker 5: a non-prime voter and even put in newly registered Latinos
- 47:33Speaker 5: in every state and every aspect of what we did
- 47:35Speaker 5: with the Bernie campaign. And then we did the exact
- 47:38Speaker 5: same thing with Nuestro PAC because we wanted to build
- 47:40Speaker 5: off of what we had just tested in real time.
- 47:43Speaker 2: So you warned months ago that the Biden campaign might
- 47:46Speaker 2: underperform with Latino voters. What were your concerns at the time?
- 47:51Speaker 5: They didn't know who he was. They know of him,
- 47:53Speaker 5: but they didn't know who he was. And at a
- 47:56Speaker 5: time when we started doing focus groups right after the primary,
- 47:58Speaker 5: even during the primary, let's go back because we spent
- 48:01Speaker 5: a ton of money on polling and focus groups then.
- 48:03Speaker 5: Folks like Joe Biden, and I like to tell people,
- 48:06Speaker 5: and you'll love this, you're such an animal on this,
- 48:08Speaker 5: is that when we did the first political poll in Nevada,
- 48:12Speaker 5: Joe Biden was beating Bernie Sanders with Latinos by five points.
- 48:15Speaker 2: That was in September.
- 48:16Speaker 5: Oh, wow. of 19. So I had six months to
- 48:21Speaker 5: move Latinos that were supporting Joe Biden. And by the end,
- 48:23Speaker 5: get this, we won 73% of those Latinos. So when
- 48:27Speaker 5: folks say that Latinos aren't a persuadable audience, I was like,
- 48:30Speaker 5: I've done this in real time. They are persuadable if
- 48:32Speaker 5: you'll spend a whole lot of money to go talk
- 48:34Speaker 5: to them where they're at.
- 48:36Speaker 2: So what's your take then on getting to 2020 in
- 48:39Speaker 2: the general, what happened in the election itself? I'd love
- 48:42Speaker 2: to hear your thoughts because I know They've got to
- 48:44Speaker 2: be very different in each area. But I'd love to
- 48:46Speaker 2: hear your thoughts on what happened in Florida, what happened
- 48:48Speaker 2: in the Rio Grande Valley. And then maybe you can
- 48:51Speaker 2: talk about where or if you saw some bright spots
- 48:54Speaker 2: in terms of Biden's performance with Latinos.
- 48:56Speaker 5: Look, I break this down in a couple of different levels.
- 48:58Speaker 5: I've been doing this a long time. This is my
- 49:01Speaker 5: 31st year of doing it. And for all you folks
- 49:02Speaker 5: that are listening at home, I sound like an old
- 49:04Speaker 5: white man, but I swear to God, I'm Latino. I
- 49:06Speaker 5: just sound like an old white man when I talk.
- 49:08Speaker 5: So I've been doing and watching our community evolve. And
- 49:11Speaker 5: there's lots of Latinos like me who sound like an
- 49:13Speaker 5: old white man who grew up in East Texas hunting
- 49:15Speaker 5: and fishing since I was a little boy who actually
- 49:17Speaker 5: worked for Bernie Sanders. That seems like a lot of
- 49:19Speaker 5: conflict things, but that's just a really good representation of
- 49:23Speaker 5: who our people are. In the presidential campaign, Joe Biden
- 49:27Speaker 5: did a good job with Latinos. He spent a lot
- 49:29Speaker 5: of money, he started relatively early, and he had a
- 49:32Speaker 5: pretty decent operation in a time of COVID on what
- 49:35Speaker 5: he could accomplish. And because he threw so much money
- 49:38Speaker 5: at Latinos advertisement, at least in Spanish in Florida, Arizona,
- 49:42Speaker 5: and other places, He did good. Could he have done better?
- 49:46Speaker 1: Sure.
- 49:46Speaker 5: We could have started earlier. We couldn't have had COVID.
- 49:49Speaker 5: There was a lot of little things you could have done,
- 49:51Speaker 5: but overall, Joe Biden and his team did a good job.
- 49:53Speaker 5: The problem is below that, below that at the Senate level,
- 49:57Speaker 5: at the congressional level, and at the state Senate level,
- 50:01Speaker 5: you saw a huge dramatic shift in the Latino vote
- 50:03Speaker 5: because there's nobody actually having a conversation with those voters
- 50:07Speaker 5: at that level. They knew who Joe Biden was, and
- 50:09Speaker 5: of course they knew who Donald Trump was, not depending
- 50:11Speaker 5: if they were a conservative candidate like a Cuban in Miami,
- 50:14Speaker 5: or if they were a Mexican who'd been fighting Joe
- 50:16Speaker 5: Arpaio in Arizona for 10 years, they acted much differently.
- 50:19Speaker 5: But below that, because the party infrastructure just assumed that
- 50:22Speaker 5: Joe Biden and the DNC would take care of Latino outreach,
- 50:25Speaker 5: there was not a lot of work done there. So
- 50:28Speaker 5: you saw this dramatic difference between the ways Latinos acted
- 50:31Speaker 5: in the border towns of Texas, in Miami, or in
- 50:35Speaker 5: Tucson or Phoenix, where there was dramatic differences. You saw
- 50:39Speaker 5: Joe Biden so underperformed in Miami-Dade by 20 points. You
- 50:43Speaker 5: saw him overperform in Phoenix and get almost 72% of
- 50:46Speaker 5: the Latino vote. And then in rural Texas in the Valley,
- 50:50Speaker 5: you saw unprecedented underperformance where neither one of the candidates
- 50:53Speaker 5: spent $ 1 talking to Latinos.
- 50:56Speaker 2: So the single biggest divide among white voters for quite
- 50:59Speaker 2: some time now has been education, with Democrats winning larger
- 51:02Speaker 2: and larger margins with college-educated white voters, and Republicans, especially
- 51:06Speaker 2: in the Trump era, doing better and better with non-college whites.
- 51:09Speaker 2: Do you see any kind of educational divide occurring among
- 51:13Speaker 2: Latino voters?
- 51:15Speaker 5: Not as much educational as you do demographically. Let me
- 51:18Speaker 5: start by saying that the average age of a Latino
- 51:21Speaker 5: in America is 27. So we're just so much younger
- 51:24Speaker 5: because we haven't been in America as long. So you
- 51:27Speaker 5: have these old school Mexicans like me or my father,
- 51:30Speaker 5: who's passed away now, who are good Democrats who came
- 51:34Speaker 5: up under a system, knew that Democrats kind of were
- 51:36Speaker 5: for working class people. But then you have this whole
- 51:38Speaker 5: new demographic of people who have come of age. Let's
- 51:41Speaker 5: make a point in Texas that 69% of every school
- 51:44Speaker 5: child in Texas is non-white. There's just this huge explosion
- 51:48Speaker 5: in Texas and Georgia, places of Latinos coming of age
- 51:51Speaker 5: so quickly. And when they're coming of age, because we
- 51:53Speaker 5: have micro-targeted these universes out of talking to them, they're
- 51:56Speaker 5: all registering as no party preference voters. They don't really
- 52:00Speaker 5: like the Republicans because of Donald Trump. They really don't
- 52:02Speaker 5: like the Democrats because they're most socially progressive. They're kind
- 52:05Speaker 5: of a Bernie Democrat. So they're just registering as no
- 52:07Speaker 5: party preference. And that's the biggest divide right now is
- 52:10Speaker 5: the younger Democrats compared to the older, not really on
- 52:14Speaker 5: an education level, because so many of our people don't
- 52:16Speaker 5: go to college.
- 52:18Speaker 2: What about a potential gender divide? There's been a lot
- 52:20Speaker 2: of analysis about how Trump's appeal to some non-white voters,
- 52:23Speaker 2: particularly Latino men, had to do with a certain machismo.
- 52:27Speaker 5: You are so right about that. The gender divide is
- 52:29Speaker 5: very real. And let me go on record now to
- 52:31Speaker 5: once again, say for the 10th time, women are smarter
- 52:34Speaker 5: than men. And it continues to be proven over and
- 52:36Speaker 5: over again. And again, it's proved that brown women are
- 52:39Speaker 5: smarter than brown men. So let's start with that synopsis.
- 52:42Speaker 5: But what you're saying is there's a dramatic underperformance in
- 52:46Speaker 5: non-college educated brown men. And as a non-college educated brown
- 52:50Speaker 5: man myself, I'm one of the few national political consultants
- 52:53Speaker 5: who do this work. who've never been to college a
- 52:55Speaker 5: day in my life. You can tell by the way
- 52:57Speaker 5: that I talk, but also how I run campaigns. I'm
- 52:59Speaker 5: an emotional beast. And what we've done is taken emotion
- 53:02Speaker 5: out of the way we've done campaigns. If I've got
- 53:04Speaker 5: to watch one more ad about preexisting conditions, that wasn't
- 53:08Speaker 5: moving a Latino man. Because we still have the same
- 53:10Speaker 5: group of pollsters, the same group of consultants, and the
- 53:13Speaker 5: same group of people running every one of these cookie
- 53:15Speaker 5: cutter congressional campaigns. And there's nothing that really motivates a
- 53:20Speaker 5: brown man who's not getting a bunch of information, who
- 53:23Speaker 5: is a little sexist, who is a little machismo, right?
- 53:26Speaker 5: And he likes that Donald Trump is a tough guy,
- 53:29Speaker 5: even though it's just ignorant as hell. But they do
- 53:31Speaker 5: get drawn to that, not the majority of them, but
- 53:33Speaker 5: enough of them to make a difference. We could have
- 53:36Speaker 5: a counter narrative to people who were like me when
- 53:39Speaker 5: I was in my 30s, a single father, trying to
- 53:42Speaker 5: make it with my son who's never been to college,
- 53:44Speaker 5: who is a rough and tough kind of person. Like
- 53:46Speaker 5: I have gotten in a way more fistfights than I
- 53:48Speaker 5: have gotten fights on Twitter in real life. That's how
- 53:51Speaker 5: these folks are. And they like somebody who's going to
- 53:53Speaker 5: compete and fight for them. And sometimes we leave that
- 53:56Speaker 5: out when we've had this same group of consultants writing
- 53:59Speaker 5: another ad about preexisting conditions.
- 54:01Speaker 2: So here's one thing I've been trying to figure out.
- 54:03Speaker 2: It appears that Bernie had some real success with his
- 54:07Speaker 2: very economically populist message, particularly among Latinos. On the other hand,
- 54:12Speaker 2: you have people after this election like, you know, Donna Shalala,
- 54:15Speaker 2: who lost her House seat in a heavily Latino district
- 54:17Speaker 2: in Florida, said the party didn't do enough to rebut
- 54:19Speaker 2: Republican claims that we're all socialists. You hear a lot
- 54:22Speaker 2: of concerns about rebutting the socialist charge. And yet Bernie, who,
- 54:27Speaker 2: you know, identifies as a Democratic socialist, had a lot
- 54:30Speaker 2: of success in the primary with an economic message. How
- 54:33Speaker 2: do you sort of square that circle? Where do you
- 54:35Speaker 2: come down on the whole socialism debate here?
- 54:38Speaker 5: It's just so different, you know, this state by state.
- 54:41Speaker 5: Did it really have effect in Miami-Dade? Yes. And also
- 54:44Speaker 5: because there was this huge campaign down there with this
- 54:46Speaker 5: misinformation about that, just in Spanish, just to this huge
- 54:50Speaker 5: group of people. Everybody listed this podcast. Loves politics. Miami-Dade
- 54:54Speaker 5: is just a different county. There's a ton of Cubans
- 54:56Speaker 5: and they're all registered as Republicans. Their sons and their
- 54:59Speaker 5: daughters vote as Democrat and the mothers and the grandmothers
- 55:02Speaker 5: vote as Republican. So it's different there. But let me
- 55:04Speaker 5: draw something out here that many of you may not know.
- 55:06Speaker 5: We're going to end up losing like 10 congressional seats
- 55:09Speaker 5: from last week's election of those six of them. are
- 55:13Speaker 5: in districts where people of color make up 30 to
- 55:17Speaker 5: 80% of the electorate. That means that there is a problem.
- 55:20Speaker 5: And it's much different with Donna Shalala and with Debbie
- 55:23Speaker 5: Mercosel Powell in South Florida than it is with Gil
- 55:26Speaker 5: Cisneros in Orange County or TJ Cox in the Central Valley.
- 55:30Speaker 5: All Latinos, all 70 percent Latinos. And we lost him
- 55:33Speaker 5: dramatically because we're not having the right conversations. A little
- 55:36Speaker 5: part of that is about socialism in South Florida. But
- 55:39Speaker 5: the other part is culturally connecting to people in these
- 55:42Speaker 5: other places, these working class brown, black and Asian voters
- 55:45Speaker 5: who Democrats aren't doing a good job at talking to.
- 55:49Speaker 2: So I want to get to the disinformation campaign in
- 55:51Speaker 2: a second. But even before that, what do you think
- 55:54Speaker 2: the more effective conversations sound like? What are the issues
- 55:58Speaker 2: that should be emphasized? How do you sort of cut
- 56:00Speaker 2: through the socialism attack? What's been going on there?
- 56:05Speaker 5: The key is starting early. Let me tell you what
- 56:07Speaker 5: we did with Bernie Sanders. You don't think of Bernie
- 56:09Speaker 5: Sanders as the second coming of Cesar Chavez when you
- 56:11Speaker 5: think about Bernie Sanders. So it started. We needed some
- 56:14Speaker 5: time to tell people who Bernie was and that he
- 56:16Speaker 5: liked Latinos. So six months in advance, the first TV
- 56:19Speaker 5: commercial I ran, the first mail piece, the first digital
- 56:22Speaker 5: ad was all the same piece. And it said, my
- 56:24Speaker 5: name is Bernie Sanders. My father came here from another
- 56:26Speaker 5: country and could not speak English and didn't have any money.
- 56:29Speaker 5: I won't forget my immigrant experience when I'm in the
- 56:31Speaker 5: White House or growing up in the projects of this
- 56:33Speaker 5: building in New York City. Now, what I just did there, John,
- 56:36Speaker 5: and you know this, is I just built some commonality
- 56:38Speaker 5: between you and Bernie. He's one of us. Like, he
- 56:40Speaker 5: don't look like us. He don't sound like us. But
- 56:42Speaker 5: housing project, couldn't speak English, didn't have any money. The
- 56:45Speaker 5: walls come down. Let's have a conversation. And because I
- 56:48Speaker 5: didn't do this in the last two weeks, I could
- 56:49Speaker 5: then say, let me tell you about Medicare for all.
- 56:52Speaker 5: Let me tell you about college affordability and get rid
- 56:54Speaker 5: of your student debt. Let me tell you what $ 15
- 56:56Speaker 5: an hour would mean to we could do this right now. Oh, well,
- 56:59Speaker 5: the key and what Democrats forget is if you'll treat
- 57:02Speaker 5: Latinos like a persuadable white woman in the suburbs to
- 57:04Speaker 5: start talking to them six and eight months in advance,
- 57:07Speaker 5: you can get 70 and 80 percent of that vote.
- 57:09Speaker 5: But you can't start that conversation three, four weeks in
- 57:12Speaker 5: advance and say pre-existing condition health care. We know health
- 57:15Speaker 5: care is your number one issue. So now we're going
- 57:17Speaker 5: to talk to you about health care in Spanish.
- 57:20Speaker 1: I mean, it makes sense.
- 57:22Speaker 2: It makes sense. So how do you how do you
- 57:24Speaker 2: battle some of the disinformation campaigns that we've seen? You know,
- 57:28Speaker 2: the Republicans directed them against Latinos, especially Spanish speaking Latinos.
- 57:32Speaker 2: They were lies and conspiracies about Joe Biden, about Black
- 57:35Speaker 2: Lives Matter. You know, the Republicans love to sort of
- 57:37Speaker 2: turn brown people against black people. They've done that for
- 57:40Speaker 2: a long time. Lies about socialism. What do we sort
- 57:43Speaker 2: of do about that in the future to try to
- 57:45Speaker 2: combat these sort of crazy conspiracies that are floating around
- 57:49Speaker 2: out there?
- 57:50Speaker 5: You need to have brown validators. You need somebody that
- 57:52Speaker 5: somebody knows who says that old white man is with
- 57:55Speaker 5: us and don't believe this crazy shit these people are
- 57:57Speaker 5: trying to tell you because it's a lie. If Joe
- 58:00Speaker 5: Biden does that, it's natural that he's defending something that
- 58:02Speaker 5: he's wrong about. So that's why I created New Estro Pack,
- 58:05Speaker 5: because I wanted to validate Joe Biden with people like
- 58:08Speaker 5: Kristen Urgesa, whose father had died in Arizona of COVID,
- 58:11Speaker 5: who you saw at the convention. She's on our team.
- 58:13Speaker 5: We made an ad of her. She was validating that
- 58:16Speaker 5: Donald Trump is bad and Joe Biden is good. What
- 58:18Speaker 5: you needed was Democratic Miami Cubans pushing back on their
- 58:22Speaker 5: radio stations and pushing back on their YouTube stations, at
- 58:25Speaker 5: least taking them on face to face going, you're wrong.
- 58:28Speaker 5: You're right. You're wrong. Let's have an argument. The Democrats
- 58:30Speaker 5: left that on the table and wouldn't have that argument. Right.
- 58:33Speaker 5: I remember a former congressman from Miami calling me four
- 58:36Speaker 5: months before the election going, Chuck, you got to get
- 58:38Speaker 5: people on TV down here. You got to get people
- 58:39Speaker 5: on these radio stations. pushing back on this. And I'm like, look,
- 58:42Speaker 5: I don't run Joe Biden's campaign. I run a super PAC.
- 58:45Speaker 5: We're going to do a lot of mail, a lot
- 58:46Speaker 5: of TV and a lot of digital, but I ain't
- 58:47Speaker 5: in charge of staff on the ground. So I knew
- 58:50Speaker 5: that there was some things down there. So the way
- 58:52Speaker 5: you kind of take it on is you have a
- 58:54Speaker 5: trusted messenger who looks like the community, sounds like the
- 58:57Speaker 5: community going, them some bitches is lying.
- 59:02Speaker 2: You've talked a lot about sort of the need to
- 59:04Speaker 2: have these conversations and to have them many months out.
- 59:07Speaker 2: How much did COVID and the inability to campaign in
- 59:14Speaker 2: person and to do door-to-door organizing, how much did that
- 59:17Speaker 2: stifle our strategy here?
- 59:19Speaker 5: I think it hurt some, but don't let people let
- 59:22Speaker 5: you think that because of COVID and because we weren't
- 59:24Speaker 5: knocking on the doors for six months that it affected
- 59:26Speaker 5: that much. Anybody who's really worked in campaigns... knows that
- 59:29Speaker 5: your field operation can make up one to three points.
- 59:32Speaker 5: And that we all know that real field operations talking
- 59:34Speaker 5: to everybody can never be scaled at the level. And
- 59:36Speaker 5: what I'm doing is getting really deep with you for
- 59:38Speaker 5: somebody who does this for a living. Field is great.
- 59:40Speaker 5: Don't let me tell nobody that field's not great. Is
- 59:42Speaker 5: it the most persuasive? Absolutely. Is it the most inefficient? Absolutely.
- 59:47Speaker 5: So it's just one piece of a pie that's very important.
- 59:51Speaker 5: It's one cog, but losing that cog does affect your
- 59:54Speaker 5: operation and where the races are super tight, it can
- 59:57Speaker 5: have an effect. The problem is, is many times, and John,
- 59:59Speaker 5: you know this, They'll take all the brown voters and
- 1:00:01Speaker 5: all the black voters and put a bunch of money
- 1:00:03Speaker 5: into putting kids into those neighborhoods just in the last
- 1:00:06Speaker 5: three weeks for GOTV when they could have been there
- 1:00:08Speaker 5: year round with grassroots organizations that are doing more community
- 1:00:11Speaker 5: service and then transitioning into politics, which is the great
- 1:00:14Speaker 5: example of why Arizona was so good and why what
- 1:00:17Speaker 5: Stacey Abrams built in Georgia end up helping them win
- 1:00:20Speaker 5: the entire state.
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: Well, speaking of Georgia, you've written that there's about 300,000
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: persuadable Latino voters in Georgia who are registered but don't
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: identify with either party. In addition to that, Georgia has
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: a lot of younger Latinos. What's the best way to
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: turn these voters out in the January runoff?
- 1:00:36Speaker 5: This is not an operation about persuasion. It's how we
- 1:00:38Speaker 5: get those folks back. And what we have estimated now
- 1:00:41Speaker 5: is about one hundred eighty five thousand of these Latinos
- 1:00:43Speaker 5: showed up and voted in November. So we got to
- 1:00:45Speaker 5: go get them and get them back. That means we
- 1:00:47Speaker 5: need to make sure that they ask for a ballot,
- 1:00:49Speaker 5: get a ballot like we feel like we can do that.
- 1:00:51Speaker 5: But the problem, what none of us knows is that
- 1:00:53Speaker 5: a lot of Latinos, a lot of Asian-Americans, a lot
- 1:00:56Speaker 5: of black people showed up not because of Ossoff or Warnock.
- 1:00:59Speaker 5: They showed up because they hated Donald Trump. Our big
- 1:01:01Speaker 5: thing now is how do you get them back to
- 1:01:03Speaker 5: vote for two Senate races and how you get them
- 1:01:07Speaker 5: to come back to let them know that the majority
- 1:01:08Speaker 5: in the Senate can affect their everyday life. Do you
- 1:01:11Speaker 5: know that the state minimum wage in Georgia is $ 5
- 1:01:14Speaker 5: an hour? That is crazy. If you can go in
- 1:01:16Speaker 5: there now and have a debate about just the minimum
- 1:01:19Speaker 5: wage with working class Latinos, and that would turn out
- 1:01:22Speaker 5: a lot of people. The reason there's so many Latinos
- 1:01:24Speaker 5: in Georgia is Georgia has exploded over the last 20
- 1:01:26Speaker 5: or 30 years And what you're seeing now are the
- 1:01:29Speaker 5: sons and daughters of all of these Mexicans who came
- 1:01:31Speaker 5: to Georgia to literally build all of these houses 20
- 1:01:34Speaker 5: years ago, who are all now between 18 and 30
- 1:01:36Speaker 5: years old, who are high information voters. They're more progressive.
- 1:01:39Speaker 5: They're more liberal. They're voting Democrat. So these are the
- 1:01:42Speaker 5: ones we got to get back. And me and you
- 1:01:43Speaker 5: both know, John, younger voters are just harder to get
- 1:01:45Speaker 5: back to the polls sometimes.
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: So really, I mean, a very simple message, it sounds like,
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: you know. these two senators are the difference between a
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: $ 15 minimum wage and five and five, what you have
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: right now.
- 1:01:56Speaker 4: And that's it.
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: That's the, that's the election, man.
- 1:01:58Speaker 5: But I'll bet your ass. We run more ads about
- 1:02:01Speaker 5: preexisting conditions. You just wait.
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: I mean, you've talked about the preexisting condition thing a
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: few times. How do you think, or do you think
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: healthcare should be part of the message and how should
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: it be part of the message?
- 1:02:11Speaker 5: Look, I, I, I, I joke in gist that, And
- 1:02:14Speaker 5: my thing is, is that I really feel like we
- 1:02:16Speaker 5: can have a two hour conversation, John, when you have
- 1:02:18Speaker 5: me back about what we need to do to fix
- 1:02:20Speaker 5: the party overall.
- 1:02:21Speaker 4: Right.
- 1:02:21Speaker 5: And what I'm getting at is that there's there's just
- 1:02:24Speaker 5: not anybody in there putting emotion back into politics on
- 1:02:27Speaker 5: the Democratic side. We need people who are stand up
- 1:02:29Speaker 5: and start having an offensive message instead of always figuring
- 1:02:32Speaker 5: out how we're going to react to them. And because polling,
- 1:02:35Speaker 5: who we've all seen is broken. says that healthcare, and
- 1:02:37Speaker 5: it is the number one issue, talk about it as
- 1:02:40Speaker 5: if you want to take care of your own children.
- 1:02:42Speaker 5: Bernie Sanders made Medicare for all popular because he would
- 1:02:44Speaker 5: talk about what that means to your life. And if
- 1:02:47Speaker 5: you don't have to pay a copay, let's pay for
- 1:02:48Speaker 5: this other thing. However, Democrats want to talk about healthcare.
- 1:02:51Speaker 5: If you talk about giving people healthcare and having more
- 1:02:54Speaker 5: access to healthcare, it's all a winning message. But why
- 1:02:56Speaker 5: can't we roll that into healthcare, a minimum wage and
- 1:02:59Speaker 5: standing up and fighting for a community that nobody cares about?
- 1:03:03Speaker 5: One thing that we learned with Bernie Sanders is this
- 1:03:05Speaker 5: thing about the rigged system Latinos really do get. Latinos
- 1:03:08Speaker 5: feel like, and they've all come from countries where they're
- 1:03:10Speaker 5: a corrupt government, so they get this shit, right? If
- 1:03:13Speaker 5: you say the government is supposed to work for us,
- 1:03:15Speaker 5: but just the people at the top are getting these breaks,
- 1:03:17Speaker 5: they get that connection. And that was one of the
- 1:03:19Speaker 5: secret weapons we used with Bernie Sanders to make connectivity.
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: Chuck Rocha, thank you so much for your insights, your
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: heart and wisdom. And I will take you up on
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: the offer to come back. And so we can talk
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: even more about how to fix the party. One of
- 1:03:32Speaker 2: my favorite topics.
- 1:03:33Speaker 5: Thanks, John.
- 1:03:39Speaker 2: Thanks to Chuck for joining us today. And we will
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: talk about the rest of the schedule, what you can
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: expect from us. This week, Dan and I will have
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: a Thursday pod. And then for Thanksgiving week, we'll have
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: two pre-recorded pods that we're going to do this week.
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: One's a mailbag and one's a very special episode of
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: Campaign Experts React that Dan and I are going to
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: record this week.
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: Bye, everyone. Bye. Bye, everybody.
- 1:04:09Speaker 2: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. The executive
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: producer is Michael Martinez. Our associate producer is Jordan Waller.
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: It's mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin is
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: our sound engineer. Thanks to Tanya Somenator, Katie Long, Roman Papadimitriou,
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: Caroline Rustin, and Justine Howe for production support. And to
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: our digital team, Elijah Cohn, Nar Melkonian, Yale Freed, and
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