Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / Why Saskatchewan's premier says Trump's potash threats are 'not realistic'
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: U.S. President Donald Trump met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky
- 0:03Speaker 1: in New York today on the sidelines of the United
- 0:05Speaker 1: Nations General Assembly. He told reporters he's still looking elsewhere
- 0:10Speaker 1: for potash. Belarus has a lot of potash, and our
- 0:14Speaker 1: farmers need good prices, and we want to get.
- 0:16Speaker 2: A lower price than Canada.
- 0:18Speaker 1: We'll continue to go with Canada, but Belarus would like
- 0:22Speaker 1: to sell it for a much lower price. Well, this
- 0:25Speaker 1: latest threat had sparked some concern from politicians on both
- 0:28Speaker 1: sides of the border. As outlined in a report released today,
- 0:31Speaker 1: such a move would financially cripple the U.S. agriculture sector.
- 0:35Speaker 1: And the report from Agri-Food Economic Systems shows that when
- 0:38Speaker 1: the West functions as a united bloc, it holds a
- 0:41Speaker 1: dominant global position in potash over the China-Russia bloc. However,
- 0:47Speaker 1: if the U.S. stops buying from Canada, American farmers face
- 0:50Speaker 1: an immediate massive shortage, which is why the president backed
- 0:53Speaker 1: away from that threat today. Not surprising. Not surprising.
- 1:21Speaker 2: The comments made by the president on shifting purchases to Belarus, one,
- 1:25Speaker 2: aren't made by him, two, not realistic, and three, it
- 1:29Speaker 2: really begs the question as to why. Over 40 countries
- 1:31Speaker 2: have sanctions on Belarusian potash for a good reason, because
- 1:35Speaker 2: of the very direct link and support that Belarus is
- 1:40Speaker 2: showing and providing to Vladimir Putin and the Russian invasion
- 1:44Speaker 2: of Ukraine and the aspiration likely to go beyond the
- 1:47Speaker 2: Ukrainian borders as well. And then the second, so it
- 1:50Speaker 2: wasn't realistic. They're shipping all of their potash east, not
- 1:53Speaker 2: to the Western world. And that's been indicated to be
- 1:56Speaker 2: the case. Second is, why would you consider it? With
- 1:59Speaker 2: 40 countries having sanctions, Canada, not a geopolitical adversary of
- 2:04Speaker 2: the U.S., yes, having a very difficult trade discussion at
- 2:07Speaker 2: the moment, but longstanding ally of the U.S., part of NATO,
- 2:11Speaker 2: part of NORAD, part of the Five Eyes. It really
- 2:14Speaker 2: begs the question as to why you'd ever consider something
- 2:16Speaker 2: like that in the first place. So it was never realistic,
- 2:19Speaker 2: not surprising with the outcome. And I hopefully would lead
- 2:24Speaker 2: to maybe some more substantial opportunities for conversation for us
- 2:29Speaker 2: to strengthen our North American trade agreements rather than talk
- 2:33Speaker 2: about these types of things that aren't real in any way.
- 2:36Speaker 1: So why do you think he even considered it, mused
- 2:38Speaker 1: about it, proposed it? I mean, you've called the Belarusian
- 2:41Speaker 1: fertilizer blood potash. because of the proxy nature of Lukashenko
- 2:47Speaker 1: to Vladimir Putin in Russia and all of that. I mean,
- 2:49Speaker 1: why do you think the U.S. is looking at a
- 2:50Speaker 1: proxy state of Russia as a viable alternative to Canada?
- 2:55Speaker 2: I don't know why the President of the United States
- 2:58Speaker 2: takes a number of policy positions. And so that would
- 3:02Speaker 2: be very difficult for me to surmise outside of, you know,
- 3:05Speaker 2: maybe some pressure in the midterms from some of the
- 3:08Speaker 2: Midwestern agricultural states or or what that might be. However,
- 3:13Speaker 2: the statement wasn't realistic from the very beginning, or the
- 3:17Speaker 2: initiative wasn't realistic, nor was it ethical. When you look
- 3:20Speaker 2: at sourcing a product like potash from a trustworthy trading
- 3:25Speaker 2: partner like Canada and Saskatchewan, provides a reliable supply, has
- 3:30Speaker 2: all of the infrastructure set up to provide that supply,
- 3:33Speaker 2: and is going to have more potash available in the
- 3:36Speaker 2: years ahead, it only makes sense to do to do
- 3:39Speaker 2: business not only with potash, I would say, but with
- 3:41Speaker 2: many other products as well that are covered under the
- 3:45Speaker 2: current KUSMA deal and hopefully what will be a renewed
- 3:49Speaker 2: KUSMA deal in the weeks and months ahead. So I
- 3:52Speaker 2: don't know why those statements are made. They weren't realistic
- 3:54Speaker 2: from the beginning. They aren't ethical. That initiative is not
- 3:57Speaker 2: ethical in any way. Forty countries have realized so. Maybe
- 4:00Speaker 2: the U.S. has today.
- 4:02Speaker 1: It is a remarkable thing to see, though, that, you know,
- 4:05Speaker 1: the man holding the office that people historically have described
- 4:08Speaker 1: as the leader of the free world, biggest trading partner,
- 4:11Speaker 1: most powerful country in NATO, musing about an economic arrangement
- 4:16Speaker 1: that could ultimately lead to the funneling of cash to
- 4:19Speaker 1: Russia to help with the war effort, right? I mean,
- 4:23Speaker 1: it is an alarming and telling moment when you look
- 4:27Speaker 1: beyond sort of whether or not Belarus could even supply
- 4:29Speaker 1: the potash if it wanted to. It really is.
- 4:33Speaker 2: And in this case, you know, we're aware that it
- 4:34Speaker 2: wasn't a realistic initiative from the very beginning, but it
- 4:38Speaker 2: is cause for us as Canadians to, you know, constantly
- 4:41Speaker 2: be looking in the mirror at, you know, how are
- 4:43Speaker 2: we accessing our allied nations around the world, you know,
- 4:46Speaker 2: providing what we provide, whether it's energy security, food security,
- 4:49Speaker 2: that's what we do in Saskatchewan. But how are we
- 4:53Speaker 2: accessing those markets through port infrastructure, through rail infrastructure, through
- 4:57Speaker 2: trade agreements? And, you know, that's why we've been trying
- 5:01Speaker 2: to do our level best to work across party lines, arguably,
- 5:05Speaker 2: with the federal government to advance some of the trade
- 5:08Speaker 2: agreements and utilizing some of the relationships that we have
- 5:11Speaker 2: built from a provincial perspective in countries around the world.
- 5:15Speaker 2: We do have an opportunity to become much more resilient
- 5:18Speaker 2: economically as a nation, but also, I would say, as
- 5:21Speaker 2: society in Canada, given what we're facing with a pretty
- 5:27Speaker 2: challenging discussion with our largest trading partner, the South. That's
- 5:30Speaker 2: hard to realize at this point in time, but I
- 5:32Speaker 2: truly believe it to be true.
- 5:34Speaker 1: But, you know, you mentioned earlier that hopefully this could
- 5:37Speaker 1: lead to some more serious and more fruitful talks with
- 5:39Speaker 1: the United States and progress on Kuzma in the weeks
- 5:42Speaker 1: and months ahead. I mean, it doesn't seem like there's
- 5:45Speaker 1: much happening, if anything, at all right now. And as
- 5:47Speaker 1: you listen to things like the way the president reacted
- 5:50Speaker 1: to this deeper engagement with the European Union, threatening tariffs
- 5:53Speaker 1: and cutting off trade, Is there any part of your
- 5:56Speaker 1: mind that wonders if it's even worth going back to
- 5:58Speaker 1: the table with President Trump, given that his word doesn't
- 6:03Speaker 1: seem to last? And even now, we're in this trade
- 6:06Speaker 1: war because of the breach by the U.S. of the
- 6:08Speaker 1: trade deal they signed. I mean, is there a part
- 6:10Speaker 1: of you that thinks, how do you even trust them
- 6:12Speaker 1: right now?
- 6:14Speaker 2: Well, I don't think the president is approaching his relationship
- 6:18Speaker 2: with Canada or any country around the world in the
- 6:22Speaker 2: eye of that he needs to increase his friend circle.
- 6:24Speaker 2: He's not looking for friends. He's looking to win in
- 6:27Speaker 2: any negotiation that he can enter into. A win for Canada,
- 6:32Speaker 2: I believe, would be some trade certainty with our largest
- 6:34Speaker 2: trading partner, which is the United States of America. That
- 6:37Speaker 2: is a trade relationship that is much larger than the
- 6:40Speaker 2: current president of the United States of America. or for
- 6:43Speaker 2: that matter, much larger than any currently elected person in Canada,
- 6:47Speaker 2: the US, including myself. We need to realize that we
- 6:50Speaker 2: do have a responsibility to preserve and advance that relationship
- 6:54Speaker 2: on behalf of people that work in literally every industry
- 6:58Speaker 2: across this nation. And so we may not like who
- 7:01Speaker 2: we're dealing with. We may not trust who we're dealing with.
- 7:04Speaker 2: We may not think that we could ever be friends
- 7:06Speaker 2: with the guy we're dealing with. None of that matters
- 7:08Speaker 2: when you're in an elected position. You have a responsibility
- 7:11Speaker 2: to advance Canadians' opportunity, and in this case with our
- 7:17Speaker 2: largest trading partner that has a fairly challenging person at
- 7:21Speaker 2: the helm right now, to say the very least. And
- 7:24Speaker 2: so that's what we're trying to do, not only with
- 7:26Speaker 2: our relationship as Canadians in the U.S., but with our
- 7:29Speaker 2: relationship as Canadians with many other trading partners around the world.
- 7:33Speaker 2: And I just would go back to Saskatchewan. does trade
- 7:37Speaker 2: with 163 countries each and every year. And so we
- 7:40Speaker 2: do have relationships that we can be of assistance with
- 7:43Speaker 2: the federal government in building our stature and our credibility
- 7:48Speaker 2: in the U.S., yes, but globally as well.
- 7:50Speaker 1: Look, I get that you kind of have to swallow
- 7:52Speaker 1: hard and do the good work sometimes, right, in dealing
- 7:54Speaker 1: with people you may not necessarily like or approve of.
- 7:58Speaker 1: But at the end of a process like that would
- 8:00Speaker 1: be a compact in some way that would be binding
- 8:03Speaker 1: on both sides. And it is hard to see anything
- 8:07Speaker 1: being binding for the remainder of the Trump presidency because
- 8:10Speaker 1: we've already seen it with us and other countries. He's
- 8:13Speaker 1: willing to violate it. So, I mean, just as a
- 8:15Speaker 1: final point, Premier, like, how do we move past that
- 8:18Speaker 1: as a country? when I'm not sure that dynamic is
- 8:21Speaker 1: going to change until at least the next president.
- 8:24Speaker 2: All of those statements are correct, but it doesn't mean
- 8:27Speaker 2: that you don't quit trying to improve the opportunity for Canadians.
- 8:32Speaker 2: You have to keep trying. It means you're at a
- 8:35Speaker 2: table and you come to an agreement and that agreement
- 8:38Speaker 2: changes six months after that. You still have to try.
- 8:41Speaker 2: That's the responsibility of putting your name on the ballot
- 8:43Speaker 2: and being an elected member is that you are constantly
- 8:46Speaker 2: working with whatever environment you're presented with and I'm not
- 8:49Speaker 2: here to say that this one is not challenging. It
- 8:51Speaker 2: is challenging dealing with the President of the United States,
- 8:54Speaker 2: all sorts of challenges, and having a binding agreement and
- 8:57Speaker 2: an agreement that you can trust is going to be
- 9:00Speaker 2: adhered to. That is a challenge, but it doesn't mean
- 9:03Speaker 2: you don't try. And that is what we need to
- 9:06Speaker 2: continue to do as a subnational government is to support
- 9:08Speaker 2: our federal government at that table and any other table
- 9:11Speaker 2: around the world. We've faced tariffs from other countries, even
- 9:15Speaker 2: when we had trade agreements that have impacted Saskatchewan. on
- 9:18Speaker 2: numerous occasions in the nine years that I've been in
- 9:20Speaker 2: this position. We've been able to work our way through
- 9:23Speaker 2: most of those, and we need to do that with
- 9:25Speaker 2: the United States of America.
- 9:26Speaker 1: Now, too. Premier Scott Moe of Saskatchewan, I always appreciate
- 9:29Speaker 1: the time. Please come back during the next potash crisis
- 9:33Speaker 1: we have with some country that can't do it. We
- 9:35Speaker 1: appreciate you joining us today, sir.