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War; Drones; Oil; ISIS; Piers Morgan; New AI; Nuclear; Flying Cars | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: A lot of fundamental principles ledo tional self interest.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: And an individual wats this is the show?
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Oh hey everybody, uh, welcome Devon Book Show on this Tuesday,
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: March tenth. I hope everybody's having a fantastic week so far.
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: Thank you, CP Milkin.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: I love that Jonathan has this his handle a you know,
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: a kind of a reference to my favorite financier of
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: the twentieth century.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: Milkin. And so thank you, thank you Jonathan.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: All right, let's see we are going to Yeah, let's
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: let's jump in talk about around. Yesterday was a very
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: confusing day for I think a lot of people trying
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: to follow the war because Trump kept making statements, kept
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: giving talks, talking to the press, talking to an audience
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: of Republicans, and kept changing changing the story. The war
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: was going to end soon, it was going to continue
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: for a long time. It was it was ambiguous what
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: their goals were, just up and down and up and
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: down and up and down and up and down. A
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: lot of people are super depressed because they got the
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: sense from Trump that.
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: He was gonna he was gonna end this war very soon.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: Someone Israeli commented as was saying Israel Needa needs to
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: speed up their attacks and make sure they cover all
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: the strategic things because Trump is gonna Trump is going
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: to end this war any minute now. It's yeah, it
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: was a very very confusing, very upsetting I think they
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: yesterday for a lot of people, and and.
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: You know it's Donald Trump, so it will confuse you know,
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Trump is.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: It is the real uncertainty in this war. He is
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: the one providing us. We kind of even know what
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: the Ranians want to do. We kind of know what
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: the Ranians will do, but it really does seem like,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: you know, Trump is changing his mind constantly, or at
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: least in the way he's presenting himself, changing it constantly.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, we're just gonna hang in there and
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: see what actually happens. It is hard to tell what
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: actually happens.
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: But let's see.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: In terms of war goals, the Iranian navy is cut
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: by half, maybe more. It will be gone before they
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: end the war ends miss stiles is all as saying
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: that they will have destroyed the missile producing capabilities of
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: the Ranians by the end of the week. I'm skeptical
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: about that statement because some of them miss out building
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: capabilities are deep underground. Maybe they've blocked the entrances, but
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: they haven't destroyed those capabilities and blocking the industry the
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: teresces is good for a while, but ultimately they'll be
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: opened and the facilities will start up again. So I'm
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: worried about that one. But you know, they've they've basically
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: been diminished dramatically. And you see that in the fact
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: that it all went like ten hours last night without
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: any missile attacks. So missile attacks are dwindling. Ballistic missiles
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: just they don't have them, or they don't have access
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: to them, or they don't have the launches or all
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: of the above. The same with drones. Drones attacks are
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: being reduced significantly. So missiles, yeah, yeah, big steps have
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: been taken. More to come. Not as easy as the navy,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: where it's all visible. You can see the boat, you
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: can knock them down, you can sink them. How did
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: you do with missiles? A nuclear program? This we talked
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: about yesterday, really hard. There is a four hundred and
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: sixty kilogram of uranium enriched to sixty percent. That's what
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: needs to be you know, I don't know, hand it
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: over taken, destroyed. I don't know, can you destroy uranium.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: If that thing was bombed directly, would it be destroyed?
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: If maybe somebody out there is more familiar with nuclear
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: energy than I am. Is it radioactive in the sense
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: that it's very difficult to transport It's going to be difficult.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Four hundred and sixty kilo is not a small amounts.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: That's what one thousand pounds of enriched uranium radio active
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: I assume uranium. How do you get it out of there?
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Where do you take it? I mean, what do you
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: think it is not a problem. How do you get
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: it out of there? Is going to be the issue.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, and it seems impossible to me
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: to imagine the Trump would end the campaign without a
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: definitive solution to the nuclear program. That was the whole excuse,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: that was the reason for all of it, That's been
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: the excuse for twenty years. So it would be a
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: complete failure I think on the part of Trump if
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: you walked away without destroying the nukate capabilities, and that
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: means without having possession of the four hundred and sixty
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: kilograms of uranium, or having it transferred to somebody, to
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: the Russians or something, or having them somehow sealed away
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: somewhere where the Unians could never get to.
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know how you would do that.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Remember that Whitcoff claimed that the Uranians told him that
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: they were just weeks away from building eleven atomic bombs
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: with that uranium. Does that mean they have access to it?
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: I thought it was buried still deep underground. And is
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: the fan Nobody knows, I mean, none of us know.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I assume them with sudden knows. I assume American intelligence knows, although.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: Who knows.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: I hope they know.
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: I hope they know.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: And of course, the solution to all of this, right,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: the solution of the missiles, the solution in nuclear program
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: is regime change. That's the real solution. And it really
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: does seem like the US and even Israel a walking
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: back their commitment to regime change. I think I've been
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: reading that Israeli intelligence estimates now are that regime change
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: is not going to happen.
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: Even though Israel has.
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: Weak end the forces that are used to repress, to
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: repress demonstrators and repress the potential opposition. They've they've really
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: really hurt them. They've taken out the main headquarters, they've
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: they've taken out their intelligence services. They've you know, they've
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: they've really hurt both the IRGC but also the besiege,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: the several besiege Uniate quarters in Islamic Revolution of God
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: Court infrastructure have been destroyed, not just in Tehran but
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: in other cities as well. So they hope believe that
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: they've created the environment in which this could happen.
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: Now I still think, I still think that this could
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: still happen.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: I still think regime change is possible. It's true that
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: it's not in the control of these valies of the Americans,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: but I do think that once, once the opportunity becomes ready,
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: it will happen. It is frustrating that it really does
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: seem that Trump did not have a plan for regime change.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: No discussions with the opposition, no discussion with Polaviy, no
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: discussions with ethnic groups, and of course the colds off.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: We talked about why the CODs are not going to participate.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: You know, it just don't plan, which is typical of Trump, right,
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: no real plan, and then of course no plan to
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: get the oil out of the Homo straits.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: We'll get to that in a little bit.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: You know. Other than that, militarily, this is an incredibly
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: successful operation. They've achieved. They're achieving much of what they
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: set out to do. Again, the missiles are gone. The
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: IFCG is dramatically, a GC is dramatically weekend. They've killed
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: much of the leadership in Iran. The leadership is pretty thin.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: Rumors are the you know who knows, but these are rumors.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: Nobody's seen the new Supreme Leader. Rumors on he might
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: be dead, or he might be a vegetable, he might
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: be in hospital some way connected to tubes. Nobody knows,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: and maybe they've appointed him as a ruse while they've
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: really appointed somebody else who's running things. Probably all those
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: rumors are false, but there's no question that how many
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: the younger, how many the sun has not shown his
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: face anyway. They they are kissing and groveling before photographs
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: off him, but he is no way to be seen.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: So so no question. This has been a huge military success.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: Will they let it play out to become a huge, huge,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: twenty first century changing political success as well?
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: For that, we need probably another couple of weeks in.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: Order to really pulverize this regime and get it to
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: the point where the Uranian people are ready to come
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: out into streets and and replace them.
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: So we will see.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, look, one thing is for sure. One thing
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: we've discovered that Iyuan is a is a nothing militarily,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: I mean literally a nothing militarily. Yes, they can hide
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: they enriched uranium deep deep down in the ground. Yes,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: they can hide their missiles in deep deep caves, deep
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: deep down in the ground. Yes, maybe some of some
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: of the political leaders can hide in bunkers or who
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: knows where. There were a number of assassinations today in Tehran.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: We still don't know who they would who was taken out,
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: will find out in the hours to come. But yeah,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: they can hide, they can hide. But in terms of
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: military performance, Iran's performance has been abysmal, pathetic, I mean
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: really really, really bad. The number of ballistic missiles they've
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: launched has been much lower than expected. Ninety four to
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of them would be knocked down. The
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: same as true of the drones. Now, it is true
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: that the drones hit some things that people didn't expect,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: like locations in Saudi Arabian, Kwait and Bahrain and Katawa
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: and so on up, but they should have expected it,
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: and the success rate is teeny particularly when you consider
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: what Israeli, is An Americans are doing, they're basically shooting
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: fish in the barrel. And the question only is how
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: deep have those fish hidden inside tunnels and deep, deep,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: deep underground. Objectively, this is totally one sided. The United
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: States wins this hands down. Israel wins this hands down.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: But do they achieve their long term political aims to
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: really make to achieve the very long term political aims
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: that requires regime change, that's going to be difficult, always
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: was difficult. I still think it's doable.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: We will see. We will see.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: But uh and and if they, if they, if they,
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: if the nuclear program, weapons program continues, then it's clearly
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: a failure in terms of strategic, long term military huge success,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: strategic failure. If he want continues the nuclear program, I
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: don't think they will be able to. I don't think
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: they will be able to, but we will see. The
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Islamic regime might continue because Trump will not commit to
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: the regime change idea. I think these relies would. I
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: don't think Trump is willing to do.
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: That, but we will see.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Yesterday some of the einsteam media was
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: showing these massive rallies, hundreds of thousands of people looked
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: like celebrating the appointment of the new of the new
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: supreme leader. And it was like, oh, so many Iranians
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: are celebrating this. It turns out it was old footage
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: from some other gathering. And and they lamp, you know,
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: put on it. You know, the Iranians told them this
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: is happening, but it was old footage. So no, the
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Iranian people are ready for the revolution, and and and uh,
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: we will see what happens.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: But it's.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: It does look like, uh, Israel has and Americans have
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: weakened the regime enough so that maybe maybe we'll see
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: an uprising. I think this will be unprecedented and it
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: will happen. Jacob says, four hundred grand kilograms of uranium
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: is about three basket balls in volume. Interesting, how would
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: you active? Is it? Uh? How how would you handle
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: How would anybody handle those basketballs?
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: Would they have to be in kind of lead?
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know whatever whatever it is that that isolates them, Yeah,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: I'm curious.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: They're not very big, but Urania is very dense.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Yes, I get that, But how easy or hard it
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: is to to I mean rumors are still that both
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: there's we in the United States are preparing a special
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: op special Forces operation to remove the enriched uranium. And
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: if there's easy access, that should be easy if they
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: If it's hard access, it could take weeks and they
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: would have to secure an entire area that's boots on
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: the ground.
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: That's a problem.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: Of course, if the United States states the island, which
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: I hope they do, that's boosting the boots on the ground.
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: Trump might hesitate doing that.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: It is really, really, really frustrating that these things are
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: not worked out in advance, and the Trump is such
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: an amateur when it comes to this stuff. All right,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: myrslov says from AI in which uranium poses several health hazards,
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: primarily enough through its chemical toxicity to the kidneys and
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: its high internal radioactivity. While alpha particles are blocked by
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: skin ingestion or inhaling, enriched particles can cause DNA damage,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: lung cancer, and reproductive issues. It's also a critical, highly
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: toxic material. The question is is it stored right now
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: in kind of lead? I mean, I wonder if AI
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: knows how the uraniums have stored the four hundred and
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: something kilograms of uranium.
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: That'd be an interesting question to ask ch had GPT
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: or whoever.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: I mean.
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: In spite of.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: Trump's saying the chateau, you know, maybe at Elant soon,
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: maybe a week or whatever, the United States is not
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: acting that way the military. So the Ford is still
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: in the Red Sea waiting for all the ships to
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: all the ships that are part of its entourage to
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: come out of the out of the Sewers Canal and
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: move into position. That is a major offensive weapon. Maybe
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: it could be used partially to open up the Homo
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: Straits again, we'll get to those in a minute, maybe
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: for other operations. Obviously, they have one hundred and seventy
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: five airplanes I think on board of the Ford, F
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: thirty fives and other airplanes, so it provides major battlefield,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: you know, upgrade to what.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: Exists right now.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: But the United States, for example, there's a story now
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: that it's removing all the grounded air missiles, the THAD
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: batteries in uh South Korea and they're shipping them to
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: the least. That's interesting first of all because it exposes
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: South Korea. Hopefully they have also patriots, but the fact
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: that they're bolstering defenses and the release suggests that they
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: still view this operations continuing for quite a while. Uh So,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: my guess is the Arab countries are complaining that they
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: don't have enough defense batteries and the United States is
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: providing more.
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: You know, the Arab countries are.
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Trump jumps when they when they when these oil nations, uh,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: when they're all nations uh talk.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: Yep. I mean.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: One of the problems with the Uranian nuclear program and
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: the complete destruction of the Union program, it's a lot
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: of it is knowledge right how to do these things,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: and that is hard to eradicate. I mean, you can't
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: kill every scientist, as much as I think these Raelis
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: would like. The knowledge cannot be erased. Technically, the Ranians
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: can rebuild and revive their program, even if they suffer
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: massive damage, and even if the four hundred and something
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: kilos are taken. But it's really expensive and Iran is
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: you know, run is already very poor. And you know,
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: the damage to the United States and Israel have done
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: now to the Uranian infrastructure in t Iran is significant
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: and substantial. So it's going to be very difficult for
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: them to restart this program, particularly if they have to
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: re enrich the uranium from scratch. I mean, I think
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: from these rating perspective, they would like the complete removal
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: of the enriched material. But it could be that they
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: are just willing to destroy as much of the capabilities
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: of the Iranians and assume that they won't economically be
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: able to resurrect the program in the future. Of course, again,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: regime change solves all these problems.
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: All right? What else? All right?
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: So big story breaking right now is that USE Intelligence
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: is now believes that the Iranians have started placing minds
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: in the states of Homos. Iran has between two thousand
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: and six thousand naval minds of Uranian, Chinese, and Russian origin,
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: and they're placing them. They don't have any big ships
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: to do this with, so suppose they're doing it with
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: small ships that can carry two to three mines each. Now,
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: if this is true, I don't quite understand why the
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Navy is not right there to take out these boats
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: that are placing the mines. I don't know why the
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: US Air Force is not taking these boats out as
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: a high priority as they are deployed. You know, why
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: isn't there a no float zone off the coast of
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Iran where any Uranian vessel that is in that area
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: just gets sunk automatically. I don't know, but there is
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: this rumor that they are laying mines in the states
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: of Homos.
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: Trump has addressed this.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: He put out a tweet not so long ago saying,
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: if you want us put out any minds in the
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Homeost Strait, and we have no reports of them doing so,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: he claims we want them removed immediately. If for any reason,
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: minds were placed and they are not removed forthwith, the
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: military consequences to Iran will be at a level never
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: seen before by all of mankind. If, on the other hand,
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: they remove what they have placed, it will be a
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: giant step in the right direction. So Trump is threatening
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: he wants to remove it immediately. Not clear you know
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: what exactly is going to be done if he does it,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: you know, we will we will see. We will see
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: what happens with the UH with these minds. It is.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: It is a big deal.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Minds are very difficult to skirts. They're very difficult to
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: get around. And yep, we will see. All right, Let's
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: see a few are of things. He sass said today
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: that today would be the most intense day of US
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: attacks on you on.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: And that's you know the US has I don't know.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: I think three B two S, three B ones and
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: at least three B fifty twos within range of you
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: on that is, I think they're all in military basis
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: or FOS basis in the UK, and they could they
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: could go out and uh and take them out so
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: Q weekends. I don't know what the question is. What
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: are you asking? There might be a question there, but
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: if you want me to answer it, you can have
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: to clarify what you mean.
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: All right, Tom Mark, missile is a cruise missiles.
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure what you're asking, uh term what else
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: do we have?
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: All right?
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean basically says says, this is going
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: to be the most intense day. Lots of bombing. Big
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: planes carry big loads, carry big bombs.
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: It'll be interesting to see what they're being used to target.
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: The Chief Staff Dan Crane Kine said that so far,
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: the United States military struck five thousand targets since the
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: start of the war UH, and that US and you
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: on together have resulted in a reduction of ninety of
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: the Islamic Republic's missile launchers no, not missiles, miss out
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: launches against Israel and the Gulf States. Again. Ranians are pathetic, right,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: and and the US has completely overwhelmed them and crushed them.
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: We will see if.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: You know what exact how exactly this moves, and how
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: soon it moves, and how you know it's Trump. So
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: anything's on the table and you can't tell when it's
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: going to happen. One of the considerations is the cost
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: of this war. This war is super expensive. The US
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: used in the first two days of the operation, the
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: cost of munitions was five point six billion dollars. Over
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: the ten days, they're estimating that the cost just of
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: the munitions have been twenty eight billion dollars b with
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: a B B billion.
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: That is huge. That is huge.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: So we will again, and I think they'll they'll be pressure,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: they'll be I'm just watching a video. It just came
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: up on my screen, a video of what's his name,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: uh uh say Oga, the guy from the Young Tooks,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: just yelling into the camera. He's sweating and he's yelling
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: and he's pounding the table and he's like, Israel is
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: America's number one enemy. They're not an ally, they're the enemy.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: We should go after them. There's never been an enemy
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: greater than Israel in my entire lifetime. And he's like
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: sweating and he's dripping. He's a big guy, and the
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: guy's pathetic. It's pretty funny. Sorry, I know who he's
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: talking to. Anyway, Costs are gonna be a big deal. Uh.
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: And of course mining, mining and straits of homos, and
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: the implication in terms of oil a big significant. The
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: oil implication is the Trumpet demistration has told these railies
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: that not to carry out any additional strikes and energy
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: facilities in Iran, particularly oil facilities.
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: This is after is.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: Bombed the big oil depot over the weekend. You know,
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: the president wants to cooperate with Iran's oil sector after
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: the war.
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: So he doesn't want it destroyed.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: And he's also worried about massive Iranian retaliation against energy
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: infrastructure across the Gulf States. But remember they're not launching much.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: There's not much that could be launched. And also, of
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: course Trump is concerned about oil prices going up, so
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: he'd rather not see oil depots, refineries, oil fields.
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: Kind of up and smoke. Let's see what else do
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: we have?
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: Uh? This one?
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: Whitcoff today was asked about the story about Russians providing
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: the Ranians with intelligence and targeting and helping them with
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: targeting against US forces.
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: And this is what Whitcuff said.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: Well, I'm not an Intel intel officer, so I can't
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: tell you. I can tell you yesterday on the call
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: with the President, the Russians said that they have not
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: been sharing.
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: Of course, we believe everything Putin tells us.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: That's what they said, so you know, we can take
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: them at they would. But they did say that, And
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: yesterday morning, independently, Jared and I had a call with
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: Ushakov who reiterated the same. So, I you know, that's
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: a better question for the Intel people. But let's hope
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: they're not sharing hope. Hope is a powerful thing, particularly
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: when when when you believe everything, letting me Putin tells you.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: All right, let's see, uh, all right, a little bit
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: about drones. So we've talked about this, the fact that
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: Ukraine has technology to down these drones much more effectively
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: than the technology that the US has deployed in in
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: in in the Arab States. Israel has its own drone
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: you know, uh destroying technology.
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: It has the laser beams uh.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: And and also Israel is very far away, so it's
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: easy to knock the drones down on the way. But
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: that's not the case with the with the Golf States,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: we're all right down the Gulf, they're very very close
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: to Iran and and the damage can be quite severe.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: And it owns that the Ukraine has technology they can
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: really protect you from these drones. And now it's coming
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: out that Ukrainian's officials offered the Trump administration a plan
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: to establish a worldwide operating anti drone network which would
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: not only operate in Europe, but also in the Middle
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: East and even potentially in East Asia with our allies
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: the Exchange. So supposedly they offered this in August of
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, so six months ago, seven eight months ago.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: And the defense network, which would have been made up
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: by twenty million drones, a multi layer capability and a
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: American drone dominance, would have been capable of to counter
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: even the Shahad waves which are harassing the Middle East
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: right now. Harassing is the right wood, not really destroying, harassing.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: The plan was dismissed by the Trump administration back back
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: in August. At the same time, by the way that
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: Putin was coming out to Alaska, to meet his best
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: bud and I think the United States prob he regrets
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: that right now, suddenly the Gulf States regret that the
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: United States didn't provide them with this basis.
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: It seems like.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: Three professional drone teams from Ukraine have arrived in the
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: Middle East now in order to support the efforts to
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: neutralize Iranian drones. The three countries that are getting these
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: teams the Saudi Arabia, Katar and the United Arab Emirates.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: And suppose this is always confirmed by Zelensky. In addition,
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: the Saudi Arabian Arms Company assigned a deal to buy
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: Ukrainian made interceptor missiles. This is a drone defense system.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: And you know, I don't know you know when this
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: will arrive, but this is great for the Ukrainians. There's
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: a lot of revenue. The Saudis can pay up, can
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: pay up, and this will provide them with the defense system. Now,
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: how quickly that can be deployed, We're probably not talking
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: about imminately, So this is for the future, even though
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: the deal might be finalized right now. Let's see, you
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: know that is the same drone deal and just looking
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: through all right, So that's drones. The US missed an opportunity.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: Ukraine has become the worlds leading really authority on drones.
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: They are building drones, they have the capacity to build drones.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: They're building drone defense systems. They know drones. They've been
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: fighting this war now for what is it since twenty
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: twenty two, so four years. Much of that time has
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: been a drone war. They are now recognized, i think
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: in Europe and the United States as the best in
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: the world. They have manufacturing plants, they're opening up manufacturing
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: plants in Europe to produce the drones and the anti
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: drone technologies. You know, they are probably right now the
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: best in the world at that tech. It's sad, tragic
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: really that the United States is so hostile to Ukraine
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: that the Trump administration has not cooperated more closely closer
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: with Ukraine, has not built up that relationship, and as
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: a consequence, you know, boasted America's drone capabilities, uh, you know,
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: as as.
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: Part of this.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: But that's that's Trump, right, I mean, you know, being
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: best buds with Putin and rejecting Zelensky has consequences, and
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: this certainly is one of the consequences. The consequences not
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: having the best technology in the world right now, and
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: not now. I'm sure the American company is making even
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: more advanced technologies in terms of drones. The difference is
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: Ukraine is battle tested, battle refined, battle you know, flexible
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: in a way that American technology still.
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: Has to be proved it right.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: America did use the first time ever, I think, in
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Battle they one way suicide drone that is modeled after
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: the Iranian drones. And I said on a previous show
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: that the Iranians invented that drone, and that was a mistake,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: so I take that back.
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: I was wrong. It happens it.
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: Turns out that the technology for the drones the Iranians
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: use was actually developed a long time ago in Germany,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: and that the Iranians copied the German technology that copiers.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: After all, they're not innovators. They copied the German technology
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: and built you know, built up their drone capabilities. But
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: the invention, the innovation, the tech is not Iranian tech.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: It's it's fundamentally German tech.
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: So let's talk a little bit about oil. We've talked
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: about this four but you know this is still I mean,
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at all prices let's look now at all prices.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: Let's see where we are.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: I mean today, unbelievably volatile. I mean just the volatility,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: the up and down, every little piece of news changes.
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: I'm sure the mines, the story about the mines raised
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: the prices off the lows. But I'm looking at the
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: kind of the last few days. Oil hit a peak
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: of one hundred and sixteen point seventy nine. This is
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: this is crude oil. I think this is West Texas
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: one hundred and sixteen point seventy nine. It hit a
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: low earlier today of seventy five point three. So on
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: Sunday it hit one hundred and sixteen point seventy nine,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: and then it went down on Monday. Then today it
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: took this DiPT into the seventy five point thirty and
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: then immediately spiked up again and it's now at eighty
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: six seventy. So never seen volu utility like this. And
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: part of it is we're gonna have convoys of getting
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: the oil out with US navy. Okay, that's good news.
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: And then they say, well that might take a while.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: But in the meantime, oil ships are sneaking by, so
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: some of the oil is coming through. Okay, that's good news,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: but how much not a lot bad news? The mining
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: the Straits of Homos, bad news is really happening, We
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: don't know, maybe good news. I mean Chris Wright, the
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Secretary of Energy, tweeted earlier that the US Navy successfully
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Homoes to
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: ensure all remains flowing to global markets, and that's when
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: oil took that tumble at to seventy something. But then
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: he deleted the tweet, which means maybe it wasn't true,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: maybe it didn't really happen, maybe it was fake news.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: So back and forth, back and forth. Even with the
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: sneaking of oil, I mean through the Homos, it's only
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: about ten percent of what usually goes through. Or that's wrong,
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: twenty percent. It looks like twenty percent of what usually
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: goes through. Now, it's also true that the Saudis have
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: announced that they're they're using the pipeline to move oil
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: in the in the western direction, and you know, but
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: but again that is only a part of the total
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: oil and it's only the Saudis, so they can get
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: around they can get around it. It'll be a little
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: bit more expensive there because then they have to they
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: still have to go to China, which is east, not west.
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: So they always around the blocking of the Homo straits.
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: But none of them are satisfactory. None of them lead
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: to a complete resumption of oil flows from the region.
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: And and you know, quite difficult.
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, as I said, in just two hours,
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: old prices fell ten dollars and then rows eleven dollars,
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: complete in two hours. Again, nobody's seen volatility like this,
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: at least in a long, long long time. So Saudi
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: Arabia will export up to seventy four percent of its
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: exports from east and to western ports, you know.
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: So we'll we'll see, we'll see how that goes.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: That I think is moderating the rise in the price
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: of oil, that that oil is going to come on market.
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: And finally, the United States as well as Europe and
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: other parties around the world are considering now using the
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: Strategic Petroleum Reserve. But here's the problem for the Americans,
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: because the Democrats are yelling, you know, why isn't he
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: opening up the reserves, Why is any getting the reserves
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: out there?
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: Gasoline prices won't go up.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Well, it turns out that it's very difficult for the
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: Americans to do it because of what the Biden administration
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: has done.
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: So let's just be clear.
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: Congress established the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in nineteen seventy five
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: after the Arab oil embargo of seventy three to basically
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: mitigate shocks to the system. Before Biden, the oilerser was
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: used three times Gulf War of nineteen ninety one, but
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: a small amount seventeen million bellos Hurricane Katrina, because Hyrikane
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: Katrina impacted many of the refineries on the Gulf right
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: where oilers were fined in the United States, and so
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: they opened up the strategics of eleven million, and then
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: when there was Libya unrest in Libya twenty eleven, another
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: thirty million. However, during the Biden presidency, when inflation was
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: hitting and all prices were going up because of inflation,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: not because of any shock to the system, not because
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: of any wars, not because of any thing substance of
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: like that, but because of all the stimulus the Trump
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: and Biden it flowed into the economy.
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: During twenty twenty and twenty twenty.
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: One, Biden decided to use the Strategic Deserve to release
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: fifty million barrels, the most ever in November twenty twenty one,
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: and the idea was to try to get the cost
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: of oil down before the midterm elections. And then after
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: Russia invaded Ukraine in March of twenty twenty two, again
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: in supportive arguably midterms in twenty twenty two, they released
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: another one hundred and eighty million barrels over six months. Now,
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: the scale of that release was completely unprecedented. Never had
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: so much released. I mean usually that was a million
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: bowels a day. And the consequence of that was, by
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: the way, guess the lean price is barely budged. But
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: the consequence was that the reserves were depleted and the
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: actual sites where the reserves are held. There result, these
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: geological sites around the Gulf coast where they keep the oil,
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: those are damaged because or flew out of there so quickly.
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: They need major innovations before any oil is either taken
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: out or more or put back in.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: You know, I was complaining the other day that they hadn't.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: Topped up the reserves before the war, and part of
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: the reason for that is that the storage facilities need
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: to be repaired before they can be filled.
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: So this is not Trump's fault. I might have been
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: wrong the other day again.
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: God anyway, so.
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: This is Biden's fault.
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: It cost about two hundred and eighteen million dollars to repair,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: which is not that much money if you think about
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: the federal budget. But they haven't done it, and to
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: a draw more now is a problem. Now. It could
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: be that other countries, Paul, you know, use their reserves.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: European countries have reserves, Canada has reserves. You know, East
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: Asian country sever reserves. All those reserves could also lower
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: the cost of oil in the global markets. So maybe
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: that is why the price of oil is not skyrocketing.
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: As far as everybody expected.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: Oh right, finally on this topic, I guess more broadly,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: it's worth noting then, in spite of oil going up,
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: in spite of the fact that people are worried about
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: how this war will end and what Trump will do
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: and regime change are not and what exactly is the
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: endgame nobody White exactly knows and Trump gives constant mixed signals.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: In spite of all that uncertainty, the stop pucket has
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: not gone down a lot. I mean, in the last
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: two weeks since the start of the round world. The
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: S and P five hundred is down less than one percent,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: less than one percent, So markets have not not that
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: terrified from what's going on.
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: So you know, we will see.
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you think about what he did in
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: Liberation Day and you know when the markets were down
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: twelve percent in just a few days. Now we're going
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: to war, which you think would have much bigger consequence.
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: The markets are kind of shugging it off, which is interesting,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Which is interesting. And you know, if I think that
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: if the market said plummeted during the war and continue
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: to plummet during the war, that would have been a
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: really bad sign. Also would have been a reason for
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Trump to maybe stop the war early. Right, So it's
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: you know, market is responding well, and this suggest the
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: war is going maybe better than a lot of the
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: pundits would suggest. It is kind of trust markets, trust
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: market signals. All right. A quick reminder that the show
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: is funded through support of you guys listening and watching
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: live right now, and we have a target two hundred
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: and fifty dollars an hour. We're approaching the end of
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: the first hour. We got fifteen more minutes. There's plenty
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: of time, and we're showed about one hundred and fifty
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: dollars on that goal, So please consider doing a sticker
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: or doing a twenty dollars question so we can get
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: we can get the numbers up there and we can
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: cover kind of the the base for my time and
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: for the one book show. All right, of course, only
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: if you appreciate what I do, and you appreciate the show,
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: and you appreciate what.
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: So there we go.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: Colleen just did twenty dollars. That's the way to do it.
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: Colleen did a sticker for twenty dollars.
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: Woland did a sticker for you know, Swiss Fank, So
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: who knows how much that's worth. It could be worth
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: a fortune Swiss the way Swiss Fanks just going up.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: And of course it all got started with Jonathan Honing
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: putting in a sticker early in the show. So thank you, guys,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: really really appreciate it. All right, So let's shift away
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: from the war and let's shift in New York City.
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: So Saturday afternoon, outside of the Mayor's residency in New
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: York City, Gracie Mansion, where Mumdani resides, there was a protest.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: The protest was called stop the Islamic takeover of New
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: York City. Stop New York City public Muslim prayer organized
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: by some right wing influencer, Jack languo' neverhood of and
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: it was there to protest Mamdani. Now, this is a
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: group of up twenty people. And then there was a
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: group of about one hundred and twenty five people who
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: were counter protesting. They called themselves Run the Nazis out
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: of New York City stand against Hate, all right, So
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: just a standard New York you know, two groups protesting
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: one another and it just, you know, nothing, nothing to
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: see here. The police were there. It didn't look like
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: it was going to get out of hand. Everything was fine.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: But then one of the counter protesters, one of the
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: Run the Nazis out of Town protesters, one of them
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: through an object towards the right wing group. Objects about
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: a size of a football with a lit fuse, and
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: the guy who threw it ran off. Now, initial reports
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: were that this was just a dummy, but the police
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: supposed to lease at the record straight on Sunday afternoon
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: by saying, quote, it is in fact an improvised explosive
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: device that could have caused serious injury or death. I'm
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: meeting this for a free press article, and ultimately officers
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: arrested two men in connection with the attack, Amir Balat
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: who's eighteen, who threw the bomb, and Brahimkyumi, nineteen, who
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: supplied the bomb, and the FBI is probing to see
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: if there were others involved. On videos, you can actually
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: hear someone shout a lock about right God, as great
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: as the bomb is being thrown, it was probably the
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: guy who threw it that shouted that. The interesting thing
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: is this is way and of reported Almost nobody's reporting
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: it now. You know, it looks like a pretty amateuristic thing.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: The thing didn't go off, but if it had gone off,
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: people would have been injured and potentially killed.
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: It was a real bomb.
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: And you know, supposedly they threw the bomb because they
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: believe the protesters were insulting Islam and they were inspired
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: and radicalized by watching ISIS videos.
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: See who you have Isis.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: In New York. In New York, kus Mamdani completely ignored it.
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: This is what he wrote yesterday. White submamasist Jack Lang
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: organized a protest outside Gracie Mansion. Rooted in bigotry and racism.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: Such hate there is no place in New York City.
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: It is an affront to US cities values and unity.
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: The defines who we are. What followed was even more disturbing.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: Violence at the protest is never acceptable. That tempt to
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: use an explosive device and hurt others is not only criminal,
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: it is reprehensible and antithesis of who we are. Without
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: saying who through the device which side of the protest,
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: you would think that it was the racist and biggoty
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: through it. I wanted to thank the brave men and
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: women of NYPD who actively to keep New York safe.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: Our officers ran towards danger without hesitation, demonstrating once again
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: the courage and dedication it takes to protect.
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: The city every single day.
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: My administration is closely monitoring the situation, and I remain
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: in close contact with Police Commissioner. No mention of Islam,
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: no vices, no mention of a lock above nothing. It's
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: just violence. It could like violence just rained in from
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: the sky. It just came from somewhere. We don't know where,
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: and maybe it's not even clear from the statement, maybe
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: it came from the white subemaicist. Instead of denouncing a
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: terrorist attack, he denounces quote violence, I mean now, of course,
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: even using the word terrorism would be would be wrong.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: What he needs to denounce, what has to be denounced
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: is Islamism. But then what do you expect, I mean,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: George Bush wouldn't denounce Islamism. Why would you expect Mamdani
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: to denounce Islamism? So you know, we get we get
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: an Islamist throwing a bomb and it's just violence. Violence
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: is happening in New York. Bad violence bad. We don't
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: want violence. Good policemen. This is the state of the culture.
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: This is where we are.
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: All right, some good news. I've got three good news stories.
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: Can you believe it? Three good news stories?
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: First, Jan Li Kun Young Li Kun, who are believers
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: of Chinese origin, but who is a pioneer in the
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: field of artificial intelligence and was the head of artificial
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: intelligence at a META. But who left And I remember
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: I talked on the show about the fact that he left,
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: saying that l elms were dead end. That wasn't that
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: wasn't the essence of AI. AI could do a lot better.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: And he left META. Well, he has started a company
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: basically promising to invent technology much more capable of navigating
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: real world challenges.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: Then the lms that.
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: You know, chetchipt and Cloud and all the Claude and
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: all of these things. The startup, which is only three
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: months old, is called Advanced Machine Intelligence, and it has
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: just announced that it raised one point zero three billion
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: dollars in an opening we used to call seed round
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: one point zero three billion, with a valuation of three
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: point five billion dollars. Like the company's three months old
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: produced nothing so far. Is proposing something super speculative that
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: he can design an AI system that's not an LLLM,
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: and that a lot of the big companies have passed
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: on and excuse me, and investors are giving them a
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: valuation of three point five billion. It really is amazing.
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: The money has come in from you know, Cathay Innovations,
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: Jeff Bezos investment office, in Nvidia, Samsung, uh, let's say
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: beat a great craft, Hero capital in an HV capital.
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: It's one of the largest first funding rounds ever in Europe.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: So this was raised in Europe and the companies in Europe,
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: and it's just h it's just stunning the amount of
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: money it's for again, something completely unproproven, really a research project, right,
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: not even not even a real company yet, but he's
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: got one point zero three billion dollars, so he's got
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: a lot of runway. You can hire a lot of people,
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: he can do a lot of stuff.
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: I guess he's French. I don't know why I thought
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: he was. No, he's not.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I see aturevin Yan y a n n. I
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: thought that's Chinese name. No, he's French. So he's a
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: French computer scientist. Again. He used to work ran research
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: for Mata uh and is now and now is is
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: Uh has his own company. He's a big critic of
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: large language models and uh, yeah, we'll see.
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: I mean it's exciting.
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: It's exciting to see capitol flowing into new technologies, whether
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: it fails or succeeded, succeeds, it's it's exciting to see
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: new stuff being done and people pushing the boundaries and
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: not settling for just l ll ms but looking for
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: for better and greater stuff. And you know, he's very
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: very well regarded. The company will be based in Paris,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: not a good but he will have officers in New York,
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: Montreal and Singapore. Uh and uh, we will see. He's
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: a big critic of Donald Trumpet turns out, so maybe
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: that's what he's in Paris. Exciting to watch. We'll see
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: what happens. We'll see what happens. Right. You know, these
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: aiming to build what's called the world model that learns
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: abstract representatives representations of reality, similar to the mental models
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: humans use the reason and guide action in the physical world.
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: I'm a little skeptical, right, but let him try and
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: maybe something good will come of it, even if he doesn't.
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: Even if he's not going to achieve what I don't
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: think he can achieve.
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: These systems predict how situations evolve and how actions lead
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: to consequences, so that they can plan sequences of actions
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: under real world constraints. He'll have a billion dollars to
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: prove that he can build something like that. That was
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: good news number one. Good news number two. For the
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: first time in fifty two years, first time in fifty
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: two years, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission has approved the
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: construction of a nuclear reactor based on you know, a
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: co coolant technology invented after nineteen sixty so a modern
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: nuclear popland. First time they've approved it, and they just
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: have so terror power. You know, Advanced Reactor project in
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Wyoming just received construction permit from the government. It's the
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: first commercial non light water power react to construction permit
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: to be proved ever by the NRC.
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: So that's good.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: You know, we're moving towards maybe some nuclear poplands and
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: maybe new technologies and maybe some innovation in the nuclear power.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: I think the tide has really shifted, and I think
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: this is partially Trump, but it's I think it's broader
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: than that. I think even Democrats now recognize that nuclear
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: is the future. Nuclear is the future. Finally, flying cars.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: I know you all want your flying cars, but the
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: US Department of Transportation is announced that new aircraft, flying
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: car like aircraft will be in the sky as early
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: as June of this year. These aircraft are going to
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: be able to take off in land the way helicopters do,
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: but are going to fly like airplanes. They are launching
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: a three year pilot program that will again start in June.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: They'll have eight different aircraft designs, and these aircraft will
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: carry people and cars go around the country before the
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: FAA regulatory agency has issued full certification. Oh my god,
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: what's going to happen? The regulators have not fully certified
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: it and it's already flying.
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: What are we going to do. We'll survive. The initiative
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: will will.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Span twenty six states, including New York, New Jersey, Florida,
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: and New Mexico.
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: It's going to be super interesting.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: The aircraft, I suppose, the quieter, less expensive than helicopters
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: or airplanes. Several of them, like the vertical, have vertical
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: takeoff and some of them have what's it called ultras
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: takeoff takeoff, so they can take off and land with
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: a lot less space and don't require traditional airports. So
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: it's going to be interesting to see how they're gonna
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: be used and where they're gonna be used. But they're
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: talking about having urban taxi services, regional passenger transportation, and
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: used for emergency emergency response operations. So for all of
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: you who have been complaining that you don't have your
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: flying car, it looks like it might be happening. It
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: looks like it might happen at least in a form
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: of taxi services. They're going to be flying. They're calling
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: this the way more moment of these of flying flying cars.
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: We're looking at, you know, a number of different companies
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: funded by some big guys like Toyota and Jet Blue,
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: and yeah, it's going to be it's going to be
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: really fun and interesting to watch this and exciting that
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: in spite of everything, in spite of the world going crazy,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: it's why everything going on with the world. Cool stuff
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: is happening. Cool stuff is happening, Innovation is happening. People
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: are still thinking out of the box there, still coming
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: up with new ideas. They're still putting themselves out there
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: and trying to trying to do new stuff. All right,
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: It appears then as I was going through the topics,
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: I was so rushing to get to something positive that
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: I skipped the portion of the section on Piers Morgan.
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: So I'm giving you the section on Piers Morgan. Will
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: do it now instead of back then we'll do it
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: at the end. There's been a little uprising against Piers Morgan.
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: Like my guest yesterday, Andrew Fox yesterday basically went public
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: with the fact that he will not go on Piers
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: Morgan show and turned them down. And then pers Morgan
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: was like all pissed off and upset and like, nobody
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: would invite you anyway, and we don't know who you
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: are anyway, but he was invited by this and he
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: turned them down, so uh, and and the basis for
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: turning him down is you keep platforming these complete ignoramuses
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: who know nothing about topics, like Dave Smith is a
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: good example of of that. But but others like Dave
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Smith who know nothing about topics, who lie all the time,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: you repeat their lies. I'm just not going to go
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: on the show. And and sanctioned. He didn't use this
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: term sanction what you're doing with the show. Now it
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: turns out that Dave Rubin as well has now declined
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: to ever appear on Piers Morgan's show, and uh and
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: and basically said, you know, I don't want to have
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: anything to do with kind of the what what you're
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: what you're doing? I mean, Dave Ruben on Monday called
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: Piers Morgan a treacherous little weasel and basically black blacklisted
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: him and his show. Oh you know, I guess this
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: all happened after Piers Morgan ripped Ben Shapiro in a
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: monologue on Piers Morgan Uncensored, accusing the Daily Wire I'm
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: eating from a media release accusing the Daily Wii co
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: founder being a propagandist for Israel. Dave Rubin publicly told
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: Shapiro took shapiro'side commenting Piers would sell his mother to
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: a jihadist for a click. Pierce was very upset. You know,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: four months ago I drove out to do Rubin's podcast
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: at his home in Miami as a personal favor, because
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: he's done my show many times. I thought we were friends.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: How wrong could I be? What a treacherous little weasel
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: being Nataniel's useful idiot has sent him in Shapiro nuts.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, this is this is.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: I'm really happy to see this. The fact that, you know,
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: I've often talked about this idea of sanction and you
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: shouldn't sanction really really evil hubbable people, And this is
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: a good example. You know, people should stop going on
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: ps Morgan show. He is platforming the worst kind of people.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: Nick foyantes. He's platforming Dave Smith over and over and
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: over again, as if he's some expert on the Middle East,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: when the guy is an ignorant fool. He platforms hubbably
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: anti Israeli people who are ultimately supports and then he
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: attacks man Shapiro out of nowhere right as being a
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: stooge for the israelis I guess. Shapiro described Piers Morgan
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: as the Jerry Springer of political television. I like that,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: accusing him of making a mockery of the entire industry
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: by putting on screen whatever dregs are still willing to
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: go on this show. So the fact that people are
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: refusing him thumbs up, I'm all for that. I would
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: turn him down. I wouldn't go on.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: You know, he is not it's a it's not a worthwhile,
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: credible show. All right.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: Let me just see something here right, That is the
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: news guys for this Tuesday, March tenth.
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: Thank you guys.
• 1:03:44
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• 1:03:46
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• 1:03:49
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• 1:03:54
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• 1:04:00
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• 1:04:01
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• 1:04:02
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• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: the way it must should be defended, needs to be defended.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: All right, and let's see what else that I want
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: to say.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: I think we're good.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: I think we're good. Yeah, remind you to become Patreon supporters,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: Patreon monthly regular supporters. That would be amazing. We'd love
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: to have many of you. You can do it at
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: two dollars, you can do it all the way to
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: five hundred dollars, you know, particularly for me valuable or
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: one hundred, two fifty five hundred.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: Those are incredible.
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah, really really appreciate if some of you who listen
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: we're not here alive, don't do the super Chat, well,
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: do do super Chat, but would like to also become
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: monthly supporters. Please consider that it is a great help
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: to the show because it's completely predictable, all right, Marcel,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: Marcel la I think I think it's marcella thank you
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: for the stick for the for the sticker.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: She says, thank you, you're on.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: Oh he says, I don't know if it's Massella Marsella. Anyway,
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: thank you Marcella, and really appreciate one hundred dollars. That
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: has gotten us our first hour goal. So now we
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: just need to get to the second our goal. It's doable.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: We can do it. We can make it all right, Michael.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: If the stock market does very well for the remainder
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: of Trump's term, will that give mag a credibility despite
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: its destructiveness and other sectors. I don't see how. I mean,
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: the stock market did really really well under Biden. Last
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: two years of Biden it went up twenty five percent
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: each year, and year before that it went up as well,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: so he had it was a huge positive running squreak.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's some of the best performances. So this
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: a P five hundred. Ever, that didn't give Biden any credibility.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think the stock market is that important in
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: terms of votes. It's important if it goes down, that's
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: definitely important. Marcella. Okay, thank you Marcella, thanks for clarifying that,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: and again, thank you, really.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: Really really appreciate the support.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: Starkvik. Going down hurts you stockby going up, I'm not
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: sure it helps you a lot.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: Not sure it helps you a lot.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: Laran, What would most rapidly demorlize supporters of the Islamic Republic?
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: Should we expect surrender or collapse. You will not get surrender,
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: you will see collapse. We'll demodelize.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: What would.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: Demodelize the supporters of the regime. I think taking out
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: the supreme media again.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: I think more uh.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: I think these assassinations are big. I think taking on
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: more of the Islamic revolutionary God leadership. I think just
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: the continued bombombment of their cities uh and and and
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: and the continued just the impotence of the regime showing
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: the impotence. This is why I think bombing h infrastructure
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: that hurts the civilian population is a good thing, because
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: they'd realize just how incapable the regime is of helping them.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: And maybe some statements out of Trump saying, you know,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: if we if the regime collapses or if they're surrender,
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: if there is a democratic or liberal the ococracy in Iran,
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: we will help fund your reconstruction. We will make it
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: easy for you. You know, maybe we'll take a percentage
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: of your oil, but we won't make it easier for
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: you to regain regain this infrastructure. So something that presents
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: on the one side, the regime is just just going
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: to destroy, just going to destroy their destroy the country,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: destroy their lives, make it horrific for them. And on
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: the other hand, in America that is committed to an
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: Iranian revival, I don't think you need to bomb the
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: civilian population. I'm saying to bomb the infrastructure, the benefits
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: of civilian population, like Israel did with the oil depots.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: I think more like that, more like that, the Uranians
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: are bombing only the civilian population in Israel. They are
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: bombing nothing else but the civilian population in Israel. Not
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: a single missile Iranian missile has hit any military installation,
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: any industrial installation.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: All the Iranian bombs have.
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: Been targeted and hit residential buildings, and that's all they target.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: The Iranians, you know, the bombing apartment buildings in Bahrain,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: the bombing hotels in Dubai. They're acting exactly the opposite
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: of these Raelis and Americans. The Israelis are Americans, super
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: careful not to hit anything that is related to the
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: civilian population. And the Iranians are lobbing bombs to kill
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: as many civilians as they can, and that's all they do.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: They did that during the Twelve Day War, they're doing
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: it now. They did it before the Twelve Day War,
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: lobbing them into central Tel Aviv, lobbing them into Haifer.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: And of course they're having almost no success. They're hitting
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: very little. But when one of those missiles comes through,
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: and now they're using cluster bombs where the missouf breaks
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: up into lots of things that you can't shoot down,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: all of it targeted at civilians. All of that, they
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: have not hit a single military base. And I can
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: tell you that because you know, my parents actually from
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: their bulcany look out onto the Gulf of Heifer and
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: they can see all the industrial, you know, facilities in
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: this world.
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: They can see military bases.
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: Nothing there but hitting the population centers where people are living,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: where civilians are living.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's all they do. That's all they do.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: So you can go choll somebody somebody else, not here, buddy,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: all right, I mean people just speak without knowing anything, right,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, it really is pathetic, all right, James do
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: compulsive liars like Tucker and Candae actually get the point
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: of believing their own lives.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: Yes, I think they do.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: It's like any kind of mystics. They get captured. I mean,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: he's under a spell.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: Oops.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: Remember Tucker yesterday talking about spells. With anybody's under a spell?
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: He is, he's under this mystical thing where he believes
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: his own lives. I think I think this happens to
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: mystics a lot. They must know on some level it
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: is all bs and a game, the sustaining fund income.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: At some level they know it, but they couldn't. They
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: couldn't hold it. They couldn't do their job if they
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: constantly held that. So you know, they they evade it
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: and they go on believe, leaving their own bullshit. Not
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: your average algorithm. Could it?
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: Would it be rights?
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: Would it be rights violations to have the police round
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: up every homeless person and force them into shelters of
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: mental institutions. If you can't be so sufficient, you don't
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: have full rights. Well, no, it's just that they don't
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: have a right to lodge on other people's property. So
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: if we assume that the sidewalks and the roads and
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: the park's actual property right now owned in you know,
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: in quotation marks by the state. They don't have a
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: right to just camp any way they want.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: It's not theirs.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: So it's not violating rights to round them up and
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: put them in facilities especially designed for them so you
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: can't trespass. And then includes in government property. You can't
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: trespass in government property. So it's absolutely not a rights
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: violation to round them up and put them in some
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: way where they can be taken care of, or just
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: out in the wilderness where they don't bother anybody. Leam.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: After Trump, Trump and MEGA are gone in three years,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: how does objectivism rise?
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I don't think anything changes.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: Right now. The strategy is to develop new intellectuals and
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: to have them go out there into the world and
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: promote these ideas videos and articles and books in classes
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: any way they can. And that's how that's how objectivism rises.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: With lots and lots of intellectuals out there, we need
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: more quick and says Tomawk Cruz, I don't know what
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: that question is. Tomawk is a cruise missil. It's in
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: a very advanced American cruise mis celf, so but I'm
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: not sure what the question refers. To Paul, do you
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: understand the Iranian strategy? If they want to destroy Israel,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: why are they firing so many missiles at the Arabs. Well,
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: they know they can't destroy Israel. Their whole strategy is
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: to create pressure on Trump to stop the war.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: It's the whole strategy, and you do that.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: They can't inflict enough damage on Israel to get Israel
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: to want to stop the war, So they are hoping
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: that by inflicting damage on the Gulf States, the Golf
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: States will turn around and start putting pressure on Trump
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: to stop the war. Plus, if they can slow oil,
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: that'll provide more pressure on Trump to stop the war.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: The whole strategy is a psychological strategy against Trump, Right,
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: that's the whole thing. Roman she calling for ethnic unity
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: fascism grows. Yeah, I saw that, Avenue read exactly what
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: he said. So let's hold on off of me commenting
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: on that until I read what he actually says. But yes,
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: there's I mean, there are fifty six ethnic groups in China,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how you get ethnic unity with
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: fifty six different ethnic groups that identify themselves differently. How
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: did to know exactly what she is talking about? I'll
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: have to read up on it. Roman says Ukraine is advancing.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: How will Putin react, I mean, just throw more troops
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: at it. He might ultimately react by calling for mobilization
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: for a draft in Russia. But he doesn't have any options.
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: He does not have many options. He does not have
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: a strong hand. He does not hold the cards. In
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: spite of what Trump said, Roman Ibrahim too banned all
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: parties for promoting division amongst citizens and weakening the social fabric.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: Thoughts are parties good or evil?
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: Well, I mean having political opposition and having political alternatives
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: is good. Whether the structures are parties or other ways
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: is bad. But you know, banning all parties is clearly
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: evil and wrong and anti liberty and anti freedom. If
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: I want to form a party, it's none of the
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: government's business, so it's absolutely wrong to ban them. Whether
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: it lands up being the most effective way to promote liberty,
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: to promote freedom, to promote disagreement and options in politics,
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: that is an open question. But I don't know of
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: any alternative to parties, And given that, I would say
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: they were good.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: Absolutely, they were good.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: But whatever, whether they're good or evil, no government has
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: a right to ban them. John if Heron decides to
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: sink tankers passing through Homos. What's the most lethal weapons
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: systems they possess to do this? Missile's minds drown, canon
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: escort ship realistically protect from all these Yeah, I mean
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: they have all of that.
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: They have.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: They have missiles, mines and drones and canon escorte. Yeah,
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: I mean they escort ships so equipped with anti drone technology,
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: they can shoot the drones down. They can they can
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: shoot ballistic missiles down or uh, you know, uh, ground
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: to see missiles. Not clear what tech the Uranians actually
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: have when it comes to ground to see missiles, So
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: how to tell how good they are? And then in
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: terms of mines, the United States would have to has
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: minesweepers so it can go in then clear out the mines.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: Not easy.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: Minds are probably the trickiest of all.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: They're small mines and all kinds of places, and it's
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: time consuming to to get rid of the mines. It's
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: very time consuming. So and again, the Uranians have thousands
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: of them they could put out there. Technically they could
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: have underwood drones. I don't know if the Ranians do.
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: I haven't seen anything suggesting that they do. But yeah,
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: all of those. But I think I think American warships,
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: French warships, any warships.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: Would know how to deal with that, would know how
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: to deal with them.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: Freendhopper, In what order would you recommend watching objectives and
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: through induction, understanding objectivism, and ought of thinking. I've listened
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: to them before, but four years ago and planning to
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: re listen. God, I would say understanding objectivism out of thinking,
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: and then objectives and through induction. I think objectives and
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: through induction ultimately is the most advanced, and the other
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: two provide context. Linda, thank you for the sticker. Really
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: appreciate that. Ruh. Since you don't have boots on the ground,
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: I wonder if there's a way to communicate with the resist.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: Dropping notes all over the city and supplying them with goods.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: Can't weigh the word. I mean, look, there is communication
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: with the people in the ground.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: It's through the Masada and the CIA having people on
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: the ground, so they are boots on the ground. It's
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: just not vast numbers of soldiers, but especially Israeli special
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: forces are most likely on the ground in various areas
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: in Iran and the Mosade.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: Is there and so it's the CIA.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: So there are various ways to communicate and even ways
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: to supply them with weapons. You can smuggle weapons in
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: from Iraq. You can smuggle weapons in from Azerbaijan, which
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: is an ally of Israel in the United States. So
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: all of that is possible. Whether it's being done, I
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: don't know, but it's all possible. Christian One additional news story,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: Australia has given five women from female football team of
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: Iran asylum. They asked for help and got it. I'm
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: happy for them. Yes, I covered that yesterday. He did
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: talk about it yesterday. They refused to think sing the
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: national anthem and they would have been persecuted if they'd
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: gone back to you one.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: It's a good for Australia. O.
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: Even if you had two alternatives before the war started,
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: would you one prefer Congress saying no and potus accepting
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: two going to without the acceptance of Congress. Does two
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: lead to the system dissolving? I mean, god, I don't
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: think two leads the system dissolving because two has been
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: the practice of American presidents now for decades, so it
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: wouldn't It's not new. Not asking for Congress and the
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: system hasn't dissolved, It's gotten weaker, and every time Congress
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: is ignored, it gets weaker.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: Still.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: I think this is an important war to get done,
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: and I don't think you would have gotten to know,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: so I think it's a false alternate.
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: But I'm not worried about this is the thing.
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: I mean. Trump does so many things that are unconstitutional,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: and if pedecessors has done so many things, and as
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: I've said, eighty plus percent of everything the government does
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: is unconstitutional, and so much of it hegnows Congress, and
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: Congress in some ways deserves to be ignored, given that
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: it takes no initiative. It refuses to reign Trump in
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: on anything. Right, I am still optimistic about this war.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: I think Israel and the United States are working on
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: setting the condition.
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: For regime change.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: They're destroying the many forces and methods that the regimers
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: used to suppress the population. I also think the Rangers
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: stupid enough, the Uranians are stupid enough not to cut
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: a deal, and therefore we'll keep fighting.
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: And therefore it's going to be very difficult for.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: Trump to stop the the clear victory when the Iranians
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: are still launching missiles and also when he hasn't got
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: the nuclear program taking care of. So I'm going to
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: be cautiously optimistic that good things are still going to
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: happen here and that regime change might still be possible.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, here's just you know, you never know.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: This is again what do you call it? Fog of war?
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: Important development are happening inside Iran that many people may
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: not be aware of, right But Luke fighters these are
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: the fighters in the east of the country that the
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: Pakistanis are worried about. But Luke fighters are reportedly announced
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: they are joining Kurdish forces in Iranian Kurdistan to help
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: fight against the Iranian regime.
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: I'm skeptical about that.
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: At the same time, Arab groups from how Was this
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: is in the south where the oil is, this is
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: the oil region release the statement warning about out fake
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: messages circulating online claiming to represent their tribes. They say
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: those statements are fabricated to divide their movement. There's a
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: lot of in otherwise, a lot of tension and a
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: lot of stuff going on. You know, there's a lot
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: of fragmentation in rock and uh, it's going to be
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: it's it's it's tough to keep it all together, and
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: you know, it's going to be interesting to see what happens.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: But there's a lot of opportunities for a lot of
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: different elements to rise up and help whatever whatever uprising
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: there is in the future. Let me just see. Yeah,
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, I assume that if the Ranians are putting
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: putting minds in, the Americans and the Gulf States are
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: going to be shooting down those boats and destroying them quickly.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: Okay, this is.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: According to the Israeli Prime Minister's Office, na'ce anio's office.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: In the coming days, conditions will be created for the
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: Iranian people to grasp your destiny, adding that the time
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: is right and the time is fast approaching. Uh, the
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: torch will be past them to seize the moment, right,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: So uh is those trying to create those conditions? M
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: All right, guys, thank you, I will thank you all
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: the super chatters, and thank you all for listening. I
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: will see you all tomorrow at probably three pm East
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: Coast time, and yeah, I have a great rest of
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: your Tuesday and rest of your week, and talk to
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: you tomorrow. Bye.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: Everybody.