Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 262 - 4/22/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 262 - 4/22/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 262 of the All Systems Go sports
0:26
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:29
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:37
Happy Tuesday. The early portion of our week
0:40
rolls on and we got a lot to get to on today's podcast.
0:43
As always, we're going to be focusing on the sharpest
0:46
data-driven plays of the day. And I got a four pack of plays
0:50
for you guys, including one play in the NBA.
0:53
We're going to get right back to the NBA postseason tonight.
0:55
We got 3 pack of games. We got sides, we got totals.
0:58
I landed on a very kind of value driven, I would say, not a sharp
1:02
play, but a value play, a really good buy, low spot on a total
1:06
that has moved quite, quite a bit.
1:09
Also with a lot of rhythm system matches as well.
1:12
Then we're going to get right back to Major League Baseball, a
1:14
three pack of MLB plays, all short favorites here.
1:17
And wouldn't you know it, these favorites continue to roll.
1:20
Guys, I don't want to jinx about favorites now on the year are
1:23
209 and 1/28/62 percent, 4% ROI. If you'd bet 100 bucks on every
1:29
favorite, you're up nearly $1200 this year.
1:31
So for those of you who might be asking why do you bet so many
1:34
favorites, Where are the dogs? Believe me, I love betting dogs.
1:37
I love betting NFL dogs plus the points or, you know, college
1:40
basketball or college football. But when we get a great kind of
1:43
system like this where Chalk has been doing very well at MLB with
1:47
our system matches, we're going to keep riding it.
1:49
So 4 pack overall tonight, guys going to try to go at least two
1:52
and two. If we could go three and one,
1:54
that would be even better, but A1 game bet here in the NBA and
1:59
three in Major League Baseball. I want to mention as well.
2:01
Today is a Tuesday. So you know what that means?
2:03
It means it is a rhythm lab day. I host the live stream every
2:07
Tuesday. It used to be the the college
2:10
basketball live stream. Now it's of course the quote UN
2:13
quote, the rhythm lab with Josh Applebaum.
2:15
So look forward to seeing you guys there.
2:16
If you haven't attended, come on in.
2:18
If you're free 4:00 you can get right on Twitter.
2:21
Follow me at Josh under score insights.
2:23
You'll see my kind of profile pic light up.
2:25
That means we're live. You can jump right in.
2:27
We'll be talking about all the games for tonight.
2:29
I'm even going to hit on a few MLB player props.
2:33
I'm going to dabble a little bit.
2:34
I didn't have any official bets on the pod, but I want to hit on
2:37
a couple that caught my eye in the app.
2:39
So it's always nice when I see some familiar faces in in, you
2:42
know, screen names jumping into the Rhythm lab.
2:45
But I will be hosting that at 4:00 Eastern Time if you want to
2:48
jump in and learn a little bit more about rhythm.
2:51
With that being said, guys started off our week on a
2:54
winning note last night. 3 and 1 + 1.06 units kept the good vibes
2:59
rolling clean sweeping Major League Baseball.
3:01
Tigers came through for the team.
3:03
The Mets came through. They made it a little bit dicey
3:05
there in the 9th inning, but hung on five to four.
3:08
And Braves as well with a nice comeback there against the
3:10
Cardinals. So again, continue to, you know,
3:13
kind of grind these MLB favorites, which was nice last
3:16
night. Another broom.
3:17
Unfortunately, the only loser was the Detroit Knicks over
3:21
again. Just couldn't get anything going
3:23
offensively between those teams. Actually, total was, what was
3:27
it, 221? I think if you shopped around,
3:30
we mentioned it yesterday, but there's a 220 1/2 there.
3:33
So we kind of beat the closing line, but those teams really
3:36
couldn't do anything offensively.
3:38
So low scoring game, couldn't get the over.
3:40
But either way, guys winning starts of the week 3 and 1 + 1
3:44
point O 6 units. I will take it every time.
3:46
We'll put those those units in our pocket and reinvest it for
3:50
today. So that being said, I want to
3:52
start off once again with some NBA SO3 games overall tonight, a
3:57
lot of playoff action here. Of course, a lot of these games
3:59
are now the second game of the series and I want to focus on
4:02
the late night match up. The Timberwolves and the Lakers
4:06
notice this one has just an incredible buy low opportunity.
4:09
I'm not going to call this a short play, but I'm going to
4:12
call this a buy low value play. So going into it, we do have the
4:16
Timberwolves up 1. Nothing in the series that a big
4:19
win 117 to 95 in the opener. Now, if we look at kind of the
4:23
bet splits here in the line movement just for the side, I
4:26
want to mention it, it does look like the Lakers are pretty
4:28
sharp. They open -4 1/2, they're up to
4:30
5 1/2. Most of these books, you're only
4:33
getting about half the tickets, but a little more money in that
4:36
5050 line move. So if you tell me, like the
4:38
Lakers, there are a lot of systems to like Game 2,
4:41
desperation, playoff favored off a loss.
4:44
I have a system there on the Lakers.
4:46
I totally get it. I'm not touching the side, but I
4:49
am going to buy low on the total and play this over now this one
4:53
jumped out to me again, not a short play because you don't
4:55
have a reverse line move, a steam move, you know 5050 line
4:59
move bet split discrepancy. But we do have is a total that
5:02
has fallen so much got to respect the under action, but
5:06
it's fallen so much. I think it creates an
5:08
opportunity to buy low and play the over along with some really
5:11
good rhythm system matches. So this Lakers Timberwolves Game
5:16
2 total, it opened as high as 2/17.
5:19
We immediately saw that total fall to, you know, 215 and a
5:23
half, 215 to 14 to 13 to 12 to 11.
5:27
Now you're sitting at basically 210.
5:30
Some books are 210 1/2. But I did find DraftKings
5:33
offering two O 9 1/2. So I played the over two O 9
5:37
1/2. My first angle here is number 1.
5:39
I want to respect that under money that hammered the under
5:42
early, but I also want to kind of just look at the value of
5:45
buying low here. Because if you're playing the
5:47
under, you know, 2:10-ish right now, yes, you're with this line
5:51
move that's falling a ton. So you're kind of with the smart
5:53
money. But the smart money didn't play
5:55
under 210. Smart money again played under
5:57
217 to 16 to 15 to 14 to 13. Again, if this game lands to 11
6:04
to 12 to 13 to 14 to 15, I mean, you can even go up higher.
6:08
All that early smart money, early bird would get get the
6:11
worm there. However, if we're playing the
6:14
under 2:10-ish and it lands 211, we lose.
6:17
So part of this is respecting the under action that came in,
6:20
but also thinking to ourselves, hey, all that under money came
6:23
in at a much hiring a much higher triggering number.
6:26
So I'm thinking, hey, it's moved so much downward that maybe we
6:30
can buy low and play this over. That's what I did.
6:32
Again, shop around DraftKings over two O 9 1/2 is our number.
6:36
If you look at the rhythm system matches, though, this is what
6:38
kind of gets me excited. I pulled up my rhythm app and I
6:42
went to this game and went to the total and I have #1 all
6:45
three systems on the over and all three systems are green star
6:50
recommended plays. So I love it when you have all
6:53
same direction, all green star recommended plays.
6:56
Again, you could have two overs and an under 2 unders and an
6:59
over. You know, one's green star,
7:01
one's caution, yadda, yadda. No, these are all green.
7:05
They're all lining up on the same side and they're all
7:07
telling us to play the over. Here are my 3 system matches on
7:10
this game. Combined totals 212.9213 and
7:16
216. You average that out, It's about
7:19
213.9, so we can even say 214 there.
7:22
So if you're telling me. And again, the other thing here
7:25
is let's say Rhythm absolutely nails this and it lands around
7:27
2:14. That would still technically be
7:30
an under winner for anyone who got, you know, 214 and a half,
7:33
215 two, 16217. So again, it's all about not
7:37
just identifying the direction of the move, but you know what
7:40
was the number that the pros hit?
7:41
They hit a much higher of a number than it currently was.
7:44
So if you're giving me an over two O 9 1/2 a buy low at
7:46
DraftKings and rhythms got a 214, that is a pretty good 4 1/2
7:50
point edge there toward the over.
7:53
Couple other things I'm going to add some supplementary factors
7:55
to this over 1 is the fact that in the first game they scored
7:59
212 points, but I was looking at the box score.
8:02
They went ice cold in the fourth quarter.
8:03
They only scored 40 points in the fourth quarter.
8:06
So if you get an average scoring quarter of 50 points, I mean,
8:09
you're closer to like 222. I do like the fact that these
8:12
teams are rested. They last played three days ago,
8:16
so they played on Saturday. So usually in the NBA playoffs,
8:19
you go, you know, day on, day off, day on, day off, you
8:22
rotate. You've had two days off.
8:24
You know, this is the basically the third day between the last
8:26
game and this game. So for a guy like LeBron who's,
8:29
you know, longer, older in the tooth, whatever, longer in the
8:32
tooth, a little bit older, I think that extra day hopefully
8:34
will be a benefit. Luca, we know is great, but I
8:37
feel like he's always banged up. Maybe an extra day for him.
8:40
So hopefully that will benefit to their offensive game.
8:44
I'm also looking for some regression, like if you've been
8:46
playing these unders in the NBA playoffs, you've been doing very
8:48
well. Unders are now 10 and six,
8:51
including the playing games. They're eight and two their last
8:53
ten. So the public loves to jump on
8:56
something that is just hot at the moment.
8:58
So maybe they, you know, they love playing overs.
9:00
If they had out their druthers, it would always be an over
9:02
because it's more fun to root for points.
9:04
Maybe they're saying, hey, you know, maybe they played some
9:07
overs and it sailed under or they're seeing these unders cash
9:09
and like, oh, let's just play unders.
9:11
Maybe this is time to buy low and look for some regression to
9:14
the over offensive efficiency. Both are top 12.
9:17
Lakers are #12 Minnesota is number 10.
9:20
So hopefully we get some good offense here.
9:22
Game one, Lakers only shot 40% from the from the field.
9:27
So hopefully we get a little better shooting from them.
9:30
And then also I'm going to look at kind of a buy low over
9:32
adjustment because if you look at the game one total, it closed
9:35
at 215 1/2. Now you're at 2:10-ish again,
9:39
it's, it's now been adjusted downward.
9:41
But you can think, hey, game one, you know, you're basically
9:44
buying low. Like if this is falling so much,
9:46
is this an over adjustment to a lower scoring game?
9:50
But really what sold me for this one is just the opportunity to
9:53
see a line that's fallen so much that we can hopefully low water
9:56
market and play the over. But it was really these rhythm
9:58
system matches, all three overs, all three green Star plays, all
10:03
basically at 214 points when we can buy low and get an over, two
10:07
O 9 1/2 doesn't hurt. This is about a 5 1/2 point
10:10
spread, you know, kind of a short spread back and forth
10:13
competitive game. If we need overtime, we need
10:16
overtime, but obviously we want an over with a shorter spread as
10:20
opposed to an an under where you lean to a bigger spread.
10:23
You're up big, you take your foot off the gas.
10:25
But Long story short, really by low on a total that's plummeted.
10:29
Hopefully two O 9 1/2 is your best number.
10:31
I'd love to see the start to rise back up closer to 211
10:34
between now and 10 O clock tonight.
10:36
But I'm going to follow these rhythm system matches and play
10:38
the Lakers T wolves again. There's two 10s out there.
10:42
There's 210 and a halfs out there.
10:43
Make sure you go play it at draft Kings over two O 9 1/2.
10:48
That's my bet Lakers T Wolves over two O 9 1/2.
10:51
Now let's get back to what we love doing right now, betting
10:54
some Major League Baseball. Let's continue to grind some of
10:57
these systems that have done very well for us, I must say.
11:00
But first game on the board for me.
11:03
Let's go to a 6:40 PM Eastern Time.
11:05
First pitch, let's go to Detroit.
11:07
Rock City was a great win yesterday for the Detroit
11:10
Tigers. And spoiler alert, I'm going
11:12
right back to the ball with the Tigers today.
11:15
So 6:40 PM Eastern Time, Padres at Tigers.
11:18
I'll set the stage, talk some line movement.
11:20
I'll give you my play for this one.
11:21
So Tigers come in 14 and 9, had a huge win for us.
11:24
And last night's interleague series opener, six to four took
11:27
care of business as a -, 145 home favorite.
11:30
So pitching match up for tonight, we got the Padres who
11:33
are 16 and 7 going with the righty Nick Pavetta picked him
11:36
up from the Red Sox. He's been good three and one
11:38
1.57 ERA. Meanwhile, the Tigers are going
11:41
to go with the ready Jack Flaherty one and one 2.53 ERA.
11:45
So what do we sit across the market here?
11:47
Will this game open with a very, very short chalk price for
11:51
Detroit? Tigers were around a -, 110 home
11:54
favorite. You had San Diego around a even
11:56
money plus 100 Rd. dog. Now the public is saying, yeah,
12:00
Tigers won last night, but San Diego is a really good team.
12:03
They got to bounce back and win tonight.
12:05
So currently you're getting nearly 2/3 of money line bets at
12:08
DraftKings playing the dads. However, line hasn't fallen
12:12
toward a pick em. It's moved further up toward
12:14
Detroit. Even though Detroit is getting
12:16
only about 1/3 of bets. They went from -110 up to -120
12:20
so good sharp reverse line movement fade the trendy dog
12:24
sharp action in favor of Detroit.
12:26
Now if you look out in Circa, Tigers are only getting 23% of
12:30
money line bets, but 69% of money line dollars.
12:34
A huge low bets, higher dollar sharp split tells us that the
12:37
bigger wise guy wagers out in the desert are playing Detroit.
12:41
Now Detroit has a ton of system matches.
12:43
I got 10 overall on Detroit. Here's some of the strongest
12:46
ones. Home favorites, 151 and 7367
12:50
percent. 12% ROI this year. Interleague home favorites who
12:54
made the playoffs the previous year 27 and 1171 percent 19%
13:00
ROI. Home favorites with the winning
13:02
record 77 and 2774% with a 19% ROI.
13:07
So a ton of system matches lighting up on Detroit.
13:10
Now the Tigers also have some correlative betting value
13:13
favorite low total. So lines moving toward the
13:15
favorite total is really juiced to the under.
13:17
It opens 7 1/2 most books for like even -110 now it's 7 1/2
13:22
under -115 - 120. So it could be a low scoring
13:26
game here. Hopefully benefits a, you know,
13:28
a four to one Tigers win something like that.
13:31
I do like the fact the Tigers 9:00 and 9:00 and 2:00 at home
13:34
this year. They've played very well at
13:35
Comerica and the Padres on the road.
13:37
Only four and six. Lastly popped open the Juice
13:41
Reel app and we have a 17% sharp mush edge on Detroit.
13:46
So 17% more of the sharper winning betters who have
13:49
downloaded Juice Reel and synced up their sports books are going
13:52
with Detroit as opposed to the profit deficient losing betters
13:56
who are leaning more towards San Diego.
13:58
So I think the conventional wisdom from the public is, hey,
14:01
San Diego's good. They lost last night.
14:03
They got to win today. But let's stay true to the
14:05
market guys. Publix playing San Diego Lions
14:07
going to Detroit with a lot of system matches, good bet splits
14:10
and a good sharp mush edge. So I'm on the Tigers.
14:13
I put him in the Juice Reel app earlier today at -115 Now I
14:17
think your best price is around -120 let's go Tigers next one
14:23
for you. Let's look at a couple late
14:24
night matchups here. Let's go to the desert. 9:40 PM
14:28
Eastern Time, the Tampa Bay Rays and the Arizona Diamondbacks.
14:31
So this is the first game of a three-game interleague series.
14:34
We have the Rays coming in nine and 13 on the year.
14:37
Just lost three out of four against the Yankees.
14:40
Lost that series finale on Sunday for nothing as a + 145
14:44
home dog. Meanwhile, the snakes 13 and 9
14:46
on the year did just lose 2 out of three against the cubbies but
14:49
avoided the sweep. They won that last game in the
14:51
series three to two in extra innings as a + 120 Rd. dog.
14:56
So pitching match up here for tonight.
14:58
We have the rays going with the righty Zach Litelle O and four
15:02
5.48 ERA. You know the D backs are going
15:04
to go with the young righty Brandon fought who's three and
15:07
one with a three-point O 4 ERA. Now what do we see across the
15:11
market here? Well, this game opened Arizona
15:14
around a -, 150 home favorite and we've seen nothing but steam
15:18
on the snakes -150 up to -165 we've now seen a lot of shops
15:23
get up toward -170 nothing but one way movement in favor of
15:27
Arizona. No buyback whatsoever.
15:29
So it tells me it's been again, all smart money laying it with
15:32
Arizona tonight. So that's what I'm doing.
15:34
Give me the snakes. A lot of system matches on
15:36
Arizona we have or sorry, let me start with a bet split.
15:40
DraftKings 91% bets, 96% money on Arizona, circa 81% bets, 99%
15:48
money on Arizona. So both heavy, heavy, heavy low
15:51
bets, higher dollar sharp splits, one way action in favor
15:54
of the snakes. Tons of system matches on
15:57
Arizona actually have 12 matches overall.
15:59
Home favorites 67 percent, 12% ROI this year.
16:03
Favorites with a line move in their favor 66% nine percent ROI
16:07
this year. Non division home favorites off
16:10
a win with Steam $0.10 or more, 74% this year, 19% ROI.
16:15
Interleague home favorites, 66 percent, 12% ROI.
16:20
And this one, keep this one quiet.
16:22
All right, all right, can you hear me?
16:23
Be very quiet. Don't tell people about just the
16:25
ASG pod listeners when both teams are coming off a day off.
16:30
The favorite is 28 and six this year, 82 percent, 37% ROI.
16:37
Again, both teams coming off a day off.
16:40
Of all my great systems this year, this is the number one
16:42
system. Both off a day off cream rises
16:45
to the top better team typically wins again, 28 and 682 percent,
16:50
37% ROI. D backs have the more explosive
16:54
bats. They've hit 30 bombs, scored 120
16:57
runs, raised it only hit 21 Homer, scored 94 runs.
17:00
And Arizona, good home cooking usually knock on wood, but
17:04
they're hitting 282 at home this year, Third best in baseball.
17:07
Arizona, by the way, six and four at home, not bad.
17:10
Tampa Bay O and three on the road.
17:11
Tampa has played so many home games.
17:13
They very rarely played on the road.
17:15
I'll be at it all up here, guys. Nothing but steam on the snakes.
17:19
Tons of system matches. My favorite one that both day
17:22
off. Take the favorite.
17:23
I'm going to take a shot here on Arizona.
17:25
I got the snakes at -160 a little bit earlier today, Hint,
17:29
hint. Sign up for those ASG pod best
17:31
bets. We'll get some better numbers
17:33
earlier in the day, hopefully from the juicer lap.
17:37
Now you're looking, I believe -168 is your best number now
17:40
still at FanDuel. But let's go Arizona.
17:44
Last bat of the night. Let's go to San Francisco, 9:45
17:47
PM Eastern Time. The Brewers visiting the Giants.
17:50
Now last night we saw the G men, 15 and eight take that series
17:53
opener 5 to 2. They cashed as a -, 140 home
17:57
favorite. And tonight's rematch, we got
17:59
the Brew Crew who are 12:00 and 11:00 going with Jose Quintana.
18:02
He was a good pick up two and O 0.71 ERA.
18:06
The G men are going to go with the ready Jordan Hicks one and
18:08
two, six point O 4 ERA. So what have we seen across the
18:12
market? Will this game open San
18:14
Francisco around a -, 120 - 125 home favorite.
18:18
And the wise guys are riding the Giants here.
18:21
So I'm with the Giants. Giants went from -120 -, 125 now
18:26
up to -135 some books even now -140 so nothing but movement
18:32
here in favor of San Fran. If you look at Circa, they're
18:35
only getting 50% of bets. So half the tickets, but 94% of
18:40
the money. So wise guys out at Circa,
18:42
really hammering San Francisco here.
18:44
I want to be with that sharp desert money again.
18:47
System matches. I got 6 on San Francisco.
18:50
Home favorite, 67 percent, 12% ROI favorites with a line move,
18:54
66%, nine percent ROI. Non division home favorites off
18:58
a win with Steam 74 percent, 19% ROI and home favorites with a
19:03
winning record 74 percent, 19% ROI.
19:06
So a lot of good systems here on the G men San Fran does have
19:10
some good correlative betting value favorite low total.
19:12
So you have this line steaming toward the favorite.
19:15
We got the total. A lot of books I believe were 8
19:17
down to 7 1/2. Some shops are juiced up over
19:20
like maybe it goes back up to 8. Even if it does, that's still
19:23
technically a low total 8 or less.
19:26
But I like kind of this fishy angle here.
19:29
What's fishy to me is that Jordan Hicks has an ERA of 6 and
19:35
Cantana has been great ERA sub one.
19:38
So why is the guy with the 6 ERA opening as a favorite and then
19:40
becoming more of a favorite? Tells me that hey, maybe Hicks
19:44
is due for a good matchup tonight.
19:46
Maybe Cantana is overvalued and do to get lit up.
19:49
But I always kind of like it when when you play the line move
19:52
in favor of kind of the worst pitcher in that day's matchup.
19:55
Just kind of a fishy play. Like to get behind it doesn't
19:58
hurt. San Fran is five and two at home
19:59
this year. Milwaukee only three and seven
20:02
on the road. Hopefully we get a good start
20:04
from Hicks tonight and hopefully we can get to Cantana.
20:08
But even if we got to grind this one out, G men hopefully will
20:11
shut the door. They have the better bullpen
20:13
area of 2.1 O second best in baseball.
20:16
The Brewers meanwhile, 5.22 bullpen ERA, the 4th worst in
20:20
baseball. So again, seems like Cantana is
20:24
better than Hicks. We should play Milwaukee.
20:26
That's what the public is kind of thinking.
20:28
But yet nothing but steam towards San Fran.
20:31
Tons of system matches, better bullpen, better home Rd. splits.
20:35
Give me the San Francisco Giants thing.
20:36
I'm on the G men. I got them at -135 I believe
20:40
your best numbers around -140 now at Bet MGM.
20:43
So Detroit, Arizona and San Fran, can we find a way to get
20:46
two out of three? That is the goal.
20:49
So that about does it for episode 262 of the All Systems
20:53
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
20:55
Of course, this is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
20:59
And I start first by saying thank you.
21:01
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
21:03
busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar.
21:06
And so it's some sharp data-driven breakdowns with me
21:08
when loser draw, tail fade, whatever, pick and choose.
21:12
It just means a lot to me that you guys, TuneIn and we can kind
21:15
of again talk about the sharpest line moves of the day, create
21:18
this gambling community, data-driven community, I should
21:21
say. But if that's the case and you
21:23
do enjoy the pod, please could you do me a solid, give it a
21:26
five star review in the App Store or in the not the App
21:29
Store, but on Spotify or iTunes. If you want to rate and review
21:32
and leave a nice comment, that's always much appreciated.
21:35
If you want to recommend it the pod to a friend also, that's
21:38
great. But if you want to click that
21:39
follow button, if you see a button that says follow, click
21:42
that. That way you'll get alerted as
21:44
soon as it drops each day. And again, I appreciate so much
21:47
you guys tuning in next, if you enjoy this style of betting
21:51
breakdown, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting.
21:55
We're not betting games based on what our heart is telling us,
21:57
what we think will happen, what we want to happen.
21:59
No, we're betting games based on what the market is telling us,
22:02
picking up on the clues of line movement, bet split system
22:05
matches, you know, taking some assistance from our friends at
22:09
Juice Reel and Rhythm. That's kind of the way we like
22:12
to attack sports betting because betting is hard.
22:15
And I think the biggest mistake you can make is just betting
22:17
based on gut instinct and bias. To me, you got to go with the
22:20
numbers here. Will the numbers always be
22:22
right? No, but they're going to lead
22:23
you far more to the winner's circle than betting based on a
22:27
hunch or a gut instinct will. But if that's the case, if you
22:30
are now interested in data-driven betting, you want to
22:32
learn more about data-driven betting, could you please do me
22:35
a solid, go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to
22:39
sports betting. That's my book, my baby, my
22:42
first baby. Put that out in I believe 2019.
22:45
I can't believe it. Time flies, but it's got
22:47
everything I've learned in the industry.
22:48
I think it still holds up to today.
22:50
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
22:52
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
22:55
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
22:58
a bankroll management plan. All included in the Everything
23:01
guide to sports betting. So pick up a copy, give one to a
23:04
friend and you can bring it to the sports book and I'll buy you
23:07
a beer or ginger ale or we'll get some nachos together and
23:10
sweat some games. If you also want to support me
23:14
with my new venture, I got another book coming out, believe
23:16
it or not, August 12th, the NFL sharp betting playbook.
23:20
So while you're on Amazon.com and you're picking up the
23:23
everything guide to sports betting, you know what you
23:25
should also do? Type in the NFL sharp betting
23:27
playbook and pre-order a copy as well.
23:30
I'm really excited for you guys to get it.
23:31
I again submitted my final edits the other day.
23:35
So we're we're getting closer and closer to launch date.
23:38
And if you've already pre-ordered the the NFL sharp
23:41
betting playbook or bought the everything guided sports
23:43
betting, seriously, thank you. It really, really means a lot to
23:46
me. I appreciate you.
23:47
Next, if you haven't done it yet, what are you waiting for?
23:49
Go download rhythm and Juice reel, my two favorite sports
23:52
betting apps. Rhythm obviously for their AI
23:54
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
23:58
Juice Reel where you can support the pod again, if you value the
24:01
free insights, this pod cost you nothing.
24:04
Tip your your podcast host and you can do it by signing up for
24:08
the $4.99 a week best bets. They're always the same place
24:12
from the pod, but you're going to get a little earlier in the
24:15
day. So hopefully beat some closing
24:16
lines. And on the weekend when I don't
24:18
have a pod, you get the weekend plays as well, but it's seven
24:20
days a week, no days off $4.99. You can click the link I put
24:25
out, tweet out each afternoon. Or you can just go to the juice
24:29
reel buy sell bottom right tab and you can search ASG under
24:32
score podcast. You also get the robo Jackson
24:35
best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays
24:39
the shop for the best line features all included in the
24:42
juice reel app. So download juice reel, download
24:45
rhythm. Give them a five star review
24:47
while you're at it in the App Store.
24:49
Next, you've got to have a live odds page.
24:52
If you're betting on sports, if you're a Carpenter, you got to
24:56
have a, you know, a screwdriver. If your sports better, you got
24:59
to have a live odds page. You got to know all the games
25:01
available to you to bet on that day.
25:03
You got to know the line movement, what the games open
25:06
that, which direction they move, pull up the line history, shop
25:09
for the best line for each price of every game.
25:12
It's so critically important, but it all starts with a live
25:15
odds page. So there's a lot of them out
25:17
there, but I would highly recommend giving odds logic a
25:20
shot. And I got a little little
25:21
sweetener for you. If you go to oddslogic.com/josh
25:25
123, that's odds logic.com/josh 123.
25:30
You will then get a 7 day free trial of odds Logic then 50% off
25:34
your first month. So it's a, it's a great live
25:37
odds page, helps me win. It's going to help you win as
25:39
well. Again, that's odds
25:41
logic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
25:45
today's pod episode 262 on a big Tuesday.
25:49
As always guys leave you with a couple things.
25:51
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
25:55
River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
25:57
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or
26:00
Plain Ridge Park Casino, or MGM Springfield, or the Nash in
26:04
Nashville, New Hampshire, in my neck of the woods.
26:06
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
26:08
down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
26:10
runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
26:12
Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
26:14
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
26:17
When you cash a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
26:19
to me and you're going to show me just a beautiful, delicious
26:24
Tigers ticket. Mets ticket, Braves ticket.
26:27
Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
26:29
you. We'll sweat some games at the
26:30
book. As always, guys leave you with
26:32
this. Three in one, one and three,
26:34
four and OO and four, two and two again.
26:37
We have a good night. When we're hot, we love it.
26:39
Everything's great, everything's just gravy.
26:41
But again, sometimes you're hot, sometimes you're cold.
26:44
But no matter what you do the previous day or last few days,
26:47
you got to continue to grind. It's a challenge when you're
26:50
hot, like right now to keep keep winning.
26:52
It's a challenge when you're struggling to get back in the
26:53
green, when you're just grinding and you can't seem to
26:56
breakthrough. It's a challenge just to stick
26:58
with it. But as always, guys, we're going
27:01
to stay true to the model betting games with our head and
27:03
not our heart. And you guys know what that
27:05
model is by now. Against the public, with the
27:07
house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that
27:11
closing line value. If we can do that, and I'm
27:13
pretty confident that we can, then guess what we're going to
27:15
be successful sports bettors. So have a great Tuesday
27:18
everyone. Hope to see you at the 4:00 live
27:21
stream on Twitter, the the Rhythm Lab and then we'll be
27:24
right back at it tomorrow for a big Wednesday edition.
27:28
That'll be episode 263 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
27:32
podcast. Good luck everybody and have a
27:34
great Tuesday night.