Latest / Pod Save America / So You Think You Can Be a Trump Juror?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Thank you.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 3: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:23Speaker 2: On today's show, MAGA Mike Johnson may lose the MAGA
- 0:26Speaker 2: and his job over support for Ukraine. Carrie Lake tells
- 0:30Speaker 2: her supporters to strap on a Glock as Arizona becomes
- 0:32Speaker 2: the central battleground of the 2024 election. And later, I
- 0:36Speaker 2: talked to Alex Garland, the writer and director of the
- 0:39Speaker 2: hit movie Civil War, about why he chose to make
- 0:42Speaker 2: a blockbuster about American democracy coming to a violent end.
- 0:46Speaker 2: What do you think, Dan? I guess that's more of
- 0:51Speaker 2: a rhetorical question.
- 0:53Speaker 3: Seem like a good year for it.
- 0:56Speaker 2: You should see this movie. You will like this movie.
- 0:59Speaker 2: You should see it.
- 1:00Speaker 3: I'm excited to see it on an airplane when I
- 1:02Speaker 3: see most of my movies.
- 1:03Speaker 2: No, don't see it.
- 1:03Speaker 1: No, no.
- 1:04Speaker 2: You got to see it in a theater. You got
- 1:05Speaker 2: to do the full IMAX. I know. I know you're
- 1:08Speaker 2: a parent of two, so you don't do that like me,
- 1:10Speaker 2: but you should. You should think about that.
- 1:13Speaker 3: We'll see.
- 1:13Speaker 1: If you want to see if you can persuade my
- 1:16Speaker 1: wife that one of our rare nights out will be
- 1:17Speaker 1: to see a movie about the end of democracy. Instead
- 1:22Speaker 1: of a nice dinner, the two of us?
- 1:23Speaker 3: Yeah, go for it.
- 1:25Speaker 4: All right.
- 1:25Speaker 2: Before we get to that, it's only been a week,
- 1:27Speaker 2: but Trump's election interference trial is off to a bit
- 1:29Speaker 2: of a rocky start, thanks to the defendant and his
- 1:32Speaker 2: propaganda network. So as of this taping, we do have
- 1:36Speaker 2: 12 jurors and one alternate. but they're still looking for
- 1:39Speaker 2: five more alternates after losing two jurors on Thursday. You
- 1:43Speaker 2: can imagine it hasn't been easy to find Manhattanites who
- 1:46Speaker 2: don't have a strong opinion about Donald Trump. The judge
- 1:49Speaker 2: has been asking potential jurors to raise their hands if
- 1:52Speaker 2: they don't think they can be impartial. Dozens have been
- 1:54Speaker 2: dismissed that way. If you make it past that round,
- 1:58Speaker 2: you're asked all kinds of questions, many about your political
- 2:00Speaker 2: views and social media posts, all of which journalists in
- 2:04Speaker 2: the courtroom have been reporting. One of the jurors, had
- 2:07Speaker 2: posted in 2018, quote, Trump invites the Thai boys to
- 2:11Speaker 2: the White House and the boys request to return to
- 2:13Speaker 2: their cave. That's pretty funny. That's good. Another posted an
- 2:19Speaker 2: AI-generated video of Trump saying, I'm dumb as fuck. Could
- 2:23Speaker 2: have been more creative. And one juror, who I really
- 2:27Speaker 2: identify with, called himself the repost king. We stand a
- 2:32Speaker 2: repost king.
- 2:32Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 2:35Speaker 2: Right before we started recording, there was another juror who
- 2:39Speaker 2: had a tweet where she said that Trump was racist,
- 2:42Speaker 2: and she was forced to stand up in court and
- 2:44Speaker 2: read her tweets. And her first comment when she had
- 2:47Speaker 2: to read her tweets was, oh, no, which is like
- 2:50Speaker 2: all of us, right? How relatable is that?
- 2:52Speaker 1: I mean, think about it this way. If we don't
- 2:54Speaker 1: all do everything we can to defeat Donald Trump, there's
- 2:56Speaker 1: a chance we'll all be doing that in court. Oh, yeah.
- 2:59Speaker 3: Stay up and reading our tweets.
- 3:00Speaker 2: You know what? Those are going to be short trials,
- 3:01Speaker 2: and they're not going to be looking for a lot
- 3:02Speaker 2: of jurors.
- 3:04Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 3:07Speaker 1: All right.
- 3:07Speaker 3: Judge Gorka, mercy please.
- 3:11Speaker 4: All right.
- 3:13Speaker 2: The jury of Sidney Powell only has rendered a verdict.
- 3:16Speaker 2: All right. Anyway. So all of this became a lot
- 3:20Speaker 2: less funny when Fox News host Jesse Waters started a
- 3:23Speaker 2: conspiracy about the fact that liberal activists were supposedly infiltrating
- 3:28Speaker 2: the jury, which Donald Trump then amplified on Truth Social
- 3:33Speaker 2: in what the district attorney is now arguing is a
- 3:35Speaker 2: clear violation of his gag order. Let's listen.
- 3:38Speaker 5: Number two, a nurse from the Upper East Side with
- 3:42Speaker 5: a master's degree. She's not married, has no kids and
- 3:46Speaker 5: lives with her fiancee who works in finance. She gets
- 3:50Speaker 5: her news from the New York Times, Google, and CNN.
- 3:54Speaker 5: She said two things that really stuck out. One, quote,
- 3:58Speaker 5: I don't really have an opinion of Trump. And quote,
- 4:01Speaker 5: no one is above the law. I'm not so sure
- 4:05Speaker 5: about juror number two.
- 4:07Speaker 3: They are trying to rig this jury.
- 4:10Speaker 5: They are catching undercover liberal activists lying to the judge.
- 4:16Speaker 3: They're saying, oh, have you ever said anything on.
- 4:17Speaker 5: Social media about Donald Trump?
- 4:18Speaker 3: No, I can't remember.
- 4:19Speaker 5: Well, what about this post where you said he should
- 4:22Speaker 5: be in prison?
- 4:23Speaker 3: Oh, yeah, that one.
- 4:27Speaker 5: And they keep throwing these undercovers at him.
- 4:31Speaker 2: So the juror that Jesse Water mentioned at the beginning
- 4:33Speaker 2: of that clip, the nurse, was dismissed after telling Judge
- 4:37Speaker 2: Mershon she was concerned about being publicly identified. She said
- 4:41Speaker 2: just based on the information that was reported out, like
- 4:44Speaker 2: friends were asking, was she the juror? So she was dismissed.
- 4:48Speaker 2: The judge then barred reporters from describing potential jurors. And
- 4:53Speaker 2: some reporters... complaining about that. They thought it was a
- 4:56Speaker 2: first amendment violation. I don't know if the need to know, uh,
- 5:00Speaker 2: demographic information about jurors, uh, sort of outweighs the potential
- 5:05Speaker 2: threats to their safety, but we'll see. Uh, and then
- 5:08Speaker 2: the judge is going to decide next week whether to
- 5:09Speaker 2: hold Trump in contempt, uh, for violating the gag order. Uh,
- 5:13Speaker 2: there are now 10 truths, um, uh, in question here
- 5:17Speaker 2: that the judge will be, uh, deciding whether that violates
- 5:20Speaker 2: the gag order. But the damage is already being done.
- 5:23Speaker 2: Trump and Mago World are clearly trying to not only
- 5:25Speaker 2: poison the jury pool, but public confidence in the trial.
- 5:29Speaker 2: How worried are you about that?
- 5:31Speaker 3: I'd say pretty worried.
- 5:32Speaker 1: Do I think that Donald Trump, aided by a billion-dollar-funded
- 5:36Speaker 1: right-wing propaganda machine, can erode confidence in U.S. institutions and
- 5:40Speaker 1: processes and norms? Yeah, I'd say I'm pretty concerned about that. Now,
- 5:44Speaker 1: does that mean they can render a conviction null and
- 5:47Speaker 1: void politically in the eyes of the public? That I'm
- 5:50Speaker 1: not so sure about. Right now, who's paying attention to this?
- 5:56Speaker 1: Who's really seeing it? Who are they really mostly just
- 5:58Speaker 1: firing up people who already think Donald Trump's being railroaded
- 6:01Speaker 1: and blah, blah, blah, blah, and believe these conspiracies?
- 6:03Speaker 3: Probably.
- 6:04Speaker 1: At the end of the day, he's either going to
- 6:05Speaker 1: be convicted or he's not. And that's what's going to
- 6:06Speaker 1: matter a lot more than what Trump's saying. But what
- 6:09Speaker 1: he is making this process, which was already sort of messy,
- 6:12Speaker 1: as the criminal justice system often is, seem messier. And
- 6:15Speaker 1: he's pushing on an open door with a very cynical public,
- 6:19Speaker 1: a majority of whom we've seen in polls. including a
- 6:22Speaker 1: ton of independents and even some Democrats who think that
- 6:25Speaker 1: the primary purpose of these trials, all of Trump's trials,
- 6:29Speaker 1: is about stopping him from returning to the White House
- 6:31Speaker 1: or is politically motive or something like that.
- 6:33Speaker 3: So he has public opinion on his side.
- 6:36Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 6:36Speaker 2: And, you know, we're not going to hear about the
- 6:38Speaker 2: jury a ton once it's seated and the trial starts.
- 6:42Speaker 2: But Trump has already succeeded in, like you said, making
- 6:48Speaker 2: it seem like the uh, prosecutions are political and the
- 6:53Speaker 2: judge is political and the, the DA is political and
- 6:56Speaker 2: all this. And the one thing he doesn't have going
- 6:58Speaker 2: for him is, Oh, if you get a convicted by
- 7:00Speaker 2: a jury of your peers, most Americans, you know, tell pollsters, well,
- 7:03Speaker 2: that that's, that's what the constitution says. And we accept
- 7:07Speaker 2: that kind of verdict. And so the only thing left
- 7:09Speaker 2: is to impugn the motives of the jurors. And you
- 7:12Speaker 2: could imagine like, bunch of MAGA weirdos, like digging through
- 7:17Speaker 2: people's social media posts, if they can find the right person.
- 7:20Speaker 2: And then if just one juror has lied about their,
- 7:24Speaker 2: you know, previous social media posts or, you know, donations
- 7:27Speaker 2: to political candidates, and then they dig it up and, and,
- 7:31Speaker 2: and publicize that you can see people saying, Oh, well,
- 7:33Speaker 2: that was, that was kind of bad, you know? So
- 7:36Speaker 2: it is totally pushing against an open door.
- 7:38Speaker 3: All of that is true.
- 7:40Speaker 1: Even if every juror– if no juror is ever outed
- 7:43Speaker 1: in this process, no MAGA sleuth ever finds anything like that,
- 7:48Speaker 1: Donald Trump was already on the 10-yard line from the
- 7:51Speaker 1: fact that this jury is in Manhattan.
- 7:53Speaker 3: He's already– it's a blue city.
- 7:54Speaker 1: He got a– Lovett very impressively ran through all of
- 7:57Speaker 1: the math of this on Tuesday about the number of
- 8:00Speaker 1: votes that Donald Trump got. I mean it's– you were
- 8:03Speaker 1: already there, right? Once the trial was in Manhattan by
- 8:07Speaker 1: an elected Democratic prosecutor– you were there. But every little
- 8:10Speaker 1: bit is going to matter. And people are, in an
- 8:13Speaker 1: election like this, are looking for permission to do one
- 8:15Speaker 1: thing or the other, to stick with Trump or get
- 8:17Speaker 1: off the Trump train. And all of these things can
- 8:19Speaker 1: matter on the margins.
- 8:20Speaker 2: Yeah, Trump will be posting a map of Manhattan and
- 8:25Speaker 2: the vote totals before the end of this trial, I'm sure,
- 8:28Speaker 2: or after it's over. Trump also said he thought he
- 8:31Speaker 2: had the right to reject as many jurors as he wants.
- 8:36Speaker 2: He basically posted, he's like, I thought that I get
- 8:39Speaker 2: to do as many challenges as I want. I thought
- 8:40Speaker 2: that I basically just thought he could get pick the jury.
- 8:43Speaker 2: He just thought he could pick his jury. Just keep
- 8:44Speaker 2: rejecting jurors until he gets, you know, 12 people in
- 8:48Speaker 2: MAGA hats.
- 8:50Speaker 3: Just the entire Waters family.
- 8:53Speaker 2: So I feel like I was studying a poll or
- 8:56Speaker 2: a focus group trying to detect the jurors political leanings
- 8:59Speaker 2: by reading about their demographic information and media diets. I'm
- 9:05Speaker 2: fine with not knowing now that the judge has said that,
- 9:07Speaker 2: but I was interested when we did know. Do you
- 9:10Speaker 2: think that the lawyers and jury specialists are also Polar
- 9:13Speaker 2: Coaster listeners?
- 9:14Speaker 3: I mean, how could they not be?
- 9:16Speaker 1: Who would not listen to our hit subscriber exclusive podcast
- 9:18Speaker 1: that you can all subscribe to at crooked.com slash friends.
- 9:20Speaker 2: How about that?
- 9:21Speaker 1: We just live for the organic plugs around here. Um,
- 9:24Speaker 1: I got a couple more coming too, so beware. But the, um,
- 9:27Speaker 1: I mean, it's a fascinating process. It is exactly what
- 9:30Speaker 1: every campaign does, right? This, this secret sauce of campaigns
- 9:33Speaker 1: in the age of data is you take where someone lives, uh, everything,
- 9:40Speaker 1: you know, about them in terms of, are they a
- 9:42Speaker 1: man or a woman?
- 9:43Speaker 3: Do you know what their demographics are? Do you know
- 9:46Speaker 3: their age?
- 9:48Speaker 1: And then you take in other data sources that campaigns
- 9:51Speaker 1: get access to, which could include you know, for off
- 9:54Speaker 1: of social media, who do they follow?
- 9:56Speaker 4: Right.
- 9:57Speaker 1: Who, what, you know, in the old days, this is
- 9:59Speaker 1: less relevant now, but like what magazines did you subscribe to?
- 10:02Speaker 4: Right.
- 10:02Speaker 3: You could actually get that.
- 10:03Speaker 1: You could buy that information and see if someone was
- 10:04Speaker 1: a New Yorker subscriber or subscribe to the NRA magazine
- 10:08Speaker 1: and you, and the campaigns create a profile of every
- 10:10Speaker 1: single voter and potential voter, and then rate them a
- 10:13Speaker 1: scale of one to 10 as to how likely they
- 10:15Speaker 1: are to vote for your candidate. And that's exactly what
- 10:18Speaker 1: the jury consultants are doing here. It is, this is the,
- 10:21Speaker 1: probably the most political trial in history.
- 10:23Speaker 3: And it's using the.
- 10:23Speaker 1: Exact same modeling, uh, processes that, and strategies that are
- 10:29Speaker 1: at the core of modern political campaigns.
- 10:30Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 10:31Speaker 2: And, and the one thing that they're not working with
- 10:33Speaker 2: is you can't actually ask people like, are you a
- 10:35Speaker 2: registered Democrat or Republican or who they voted for? So
- 10:38Speaker 2: they're there, but you can tell a lot just by
- 10:41Speaker 2: demographic information.
- 10:43Speaker 3: But they can know that, right? Don't they have their name?
- 10:45Speaker 3: They have their name.
- 10:46Speaker 2: Uh, they have their name, but they're not allowed to
- 10:49Speaker 2: ask them in court.
- 10:50Speaker 4: Right.
- 10:50Speaker 1: But you, they run the same reason they look at
- 10:52Speaker 1: all their Facebook posts. You just look them up on
- 10:53Speaker 1: the voter.
- 10:54Speaker 2: Right.
- 10:54Speaker 4: Right.
- 10:54Speaker 3: They are registered.
- 10:55Speaker 2: I mean, I would encourage people to read the coverage
- 10:57Speaker 2: about these potential jurors because I think it would surprise
- 10:59Speaker 2: the typical political junkie to learn that there are plenty
- 11:02Speaker 2: of people that we have heard from this week who
- 11:05Speaker 2: even in Manhattan don't have strong opinions of Donald Trump, uh,
- 11:09Speaker 2: and people who have media diets that you might not expect. Like, uh,
- 11:12Speaker 2: there was a potential juror who said he gets his
- 11:15Speaker 2: news from, uh, the New York Times, Fox, the Daily Mail,
- 11:20Speaker 2: and MSNBC. You think that's fake?
- 11:23Speaker 3: Yeah, that's fake.
- 11:25Speaker 2: Come on.
- 11:27Speaker 3: No one does that.
- 11:27Speaker 2: Well, here's what I told Lovett when he did his
- 11:29Speaker 2: fancy math about Manhattan. The biggest chunk of people in
- 11:33Speaker 2: Manhattan are people who didn't vote. I mean, there's still
- 11:37Speaker 2: like 600,000. He was doing the number of votes for Biden,
- 11:40Speaker 2: the number of votes for Trump, which was very tiny.
- 11:43Speaker 3: But then there's just, I think it was 85,000.
- 11:45Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 11:45Speaker 2: 85,000 out of, you know, 8 million people in Manhattan.
- 11:48Speaker 2: But the biggest chunk of people is people who did
- 11:50Speaker 2: not vote. And as we know, like low propensity voters
- 11:54Speaker 2: or people who skipped one election or multiple elections, they
- 11:57Speaker 2: tend to have like weird political views. They tend to
- 12:00Speaker 2: have more diverse media diets. They are moderate on some issues.
- 12:04Speaker 2: They're liberal on some issues. They're conservative on some issues,
- 12:06Speaker 2: or they just don't pay attention much. And that's like
- 12:09Speaker 2: a lot of voters in the country.
- 12:11Speaker 1: Yeah, there is a– I mean that is true. I
- 12:14Speaker 1: guess my one point of disagreement would be is that
- 12:16Speaker 1: what really correlates with partisanship is news consumption. Just merely
- 12:22Speaker 1: consuming news, like consuming political news, watching cable news or
- 12:27Speaker 1: reading The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal
- 12:29Speaker 1: or Fox News or The Daily Mail, which was a
- 12:31Speaker 1: ridiculous suggestion there, but is someone who is much more
- 12:34Speaker 1: likely to vote. to engage in politics than someone who's not.
- 12:40Speaker 1: But the vast majority of people in Manhattan and elsewhere
- 12:42Speaker 1: are people who just don't consume political news, right? Their
- 12:44Speaker 1: answer to that would be TikTok or Instagram or ESPN
- 12:49Speaker 1: or the local news, right?
- 12:51Speaker 3: And not a national news source.
- 12:53Speaker 2: I did talk to a 20-something young woman for last
- 12:58Speaker 2: season of The Wilderness who, when I asked Media Diet,
- 13:00Speaker 2: she said, TikTok, Daily Mail, And she was extremely upset
- 13:06Speaker 2: about the Dobbs decision and classified herself as very liberal.
- 13:11Speaker 2: That Daily Mail just pops up, you know?
- 13:13Speaker 3: The Daily Mail is celebrity focused.
- 13:15Speaker 4: Right.
- 13:15Speaker 1: Like we view it as a conservative political organ, but
- 13:18Speaker 1: there's just a lot of like Kardashian coverage, Real Housewives coverage,
- 13:23Speaker 1: just celebrity stuff in there, which.
- 13:24Speaker 3: A lot of people do get.
- 13:25Speaker 2: No, I thought it was just interesting for, as we're
- 13:27Speaker 2: all out there, uh, in the next several months, like
- 13:30Speaker 2: talking to voters, knocking on doors, making phone calls, you're
- 13:33Speaker 2: going to encounter a lot of people who you'd be like, wait,
- 13:35Speaker 2: you haven't made a decision yet. You don't, you don't
- 13:37Speaker 2: know who you're for. Like, how is that the case?
- 13:39Speaker 2: And a lot of people are just, they don't pay attention.
- 13:42Speaker 2: They don't pay attention.
- 13:43Speaker 3: Um, all right.
- 13:44Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Joe Biden has been mostly silent on the trial
- 13:47Speaker 2: and his staff is telling reporters that they think there
- 13:49Speaker 2: will be more than enough coverage without them doing anything
- 13:51Speaker 2: to stoke the fire. That said, Biden did make an
- 13:55Speaker 2: oblique joke about the trial during his campaign swing in Pennsylvania.
- 13:58Speaker 2: Here he is.
- 13:59Speaker 6: Under my predecessor, who's busy right now, Pennsylvania lost 275,000 jobs.
- 14:07Speaker 4: I mean, let's look at the facts.
- 14:10Speaker 2: So he then got a direct question about the trial afterwards.
- 14:13Speaker 2: Let's listen.
- 14:14Speaker 4: His lack of ethic has nothing to do with me.
- 14:16Speaker 6: I have nothing to, I have not once talked to
- 14:19Speaker 6: anyone in my administration about Trump's legal problems. A lot
- 14:24Speaker 6: of them occurred well before I became president. And so
- 14:27Speaker 6: I have nothing to do with that.
- 14:29Speaker 2: So what do you think about how Biden and his
- 14:31Speaker 2: team are navigating this and anything you think they or
- 14:35Speaker 2: other Democrats should be saying?
- 14:37Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the president is right not to talk
- 14:39Speaker 3: about it.
- 14:39Speaker 1: It's just what it would just fuel the sort of
- 14:42Speaker 1: conspiracy theories and the Trump messaging about this that we
- 14:45Speaker 1: talked about before. Now, he needs to tell a story
- 14:49Speaker 1: about Trump that is consistent with the facts of this trial.
- 14:52Speaker 3: I think he's been doing that.
- 14:53Speaker 1: You guys on Tuesday talked a lot about how you
- 14:56Speaker 1: would talk about it in the message. I thought it
- 14:57Speaker 1: was all very good advice, right, about Donald Trump thinking
- 15:00Speaker 1: the rules don't apply to him, fighting for himself, not
- 15:02Speaker 1: fighting for you.
- 15:03Speaker 3: This is background noise to the message that Biden is
- 15:08Speaker 3: giving out on the stump. And so they have to
- 15:10Speaker 3: be consistent. I think they will be.
- 15:12Speaker 1: Politico reported this morning that the Biden folks are telling–
- 15:15Speaker 1: and the DNC is like telling Democrats not to talk
- 15:17Speaker 1: about this at all.
- 15:18Speaker 3: And I obviously agree that this should not be our
- 15:21Speaker 3: main message, right?
- 15:21Speaker 1: We shouldn't be out there every day talking about the
- 15:23Speaker 1: hush money trial or Donald Trump falsifying business records to
- 15:27Speaker 1: hide an extramarital affair from the voters or however– like
- 15:29Speaker 1: not when Arizona is banning abortion without exceptions and Donald
- 15:33Speaker 1: Trump wants to give a $ 2 trillion tax cut. But
- 15:36Speaker 1: I do think it's a mistake to cede the ground entirely.
- 15:39Speaker 1: Because there's this asymmetry here where the right is talking
- 15:41Speaker 1: about all the time. They're shaping everything that comes out
- 15:43Speaker 1: of it, raising these questions, spreading these conspiracy theories, and
- 15:45Speaker 1: Democrats are saying nothing. And I don't know that, and
- 15:51Speaker 1: I don't think you could have political conversations right now
- 15:55Speaker 1: with the people in your lives where this trial does
- 15:57Speaker 1: not come up.
- 15:58Speaker 3: This is what is in the news. This is the
- 15:59Speaker 3: thing that's breaking through.
- 16:01Speaker 1: Donald Trump falling asleep in the trial when it's completely
- 16:03Speaker 1: viral on social media. It is part of any political conversation,
- 16:07Speaker 1: much more so than the expiration of the Trump tax
- 16:11Speaker 1: cuts at the end of 2025.
- 16:12Speaker 2: Right.
- 16:13Speaker 1: And so we have to know, we have to talk
- 16:14Speaker 1: about it. And if Biden's not going to talk about it,
- 16:17Speaker 1: someone else has to, right. And I, like I said,
- 16:19Speaker 1: Biden shouldn't talk about it. Just before this podcast, I
- 16:21Speaker 1: was working on a post for message box where I
- 16:25Speaker 1: was going to lay out talking points and message guidance
- 16:28Speaker 1: for all of us voter, you know, as we're talking
- 16:30Speaker 1: about the voters in our lives, about how to best
- 16:33Speaker 1: talk about the trial. And I just, and that's going
- 16:35Speaker 1: to come out in a couple of days. If you
- 16:37Speaker 1: want them, you should subscribe at substack.messagebox.com.
- 16:40Speaker 3: Absolutely.
- 16:41Speaker 1: That's organic plug number two. But just a couple of
- 16:44Speaker 1: quick points, a tease, if you will. One, we should
- 16:48Speaker 1: always start all these conversations by making the point that
- 16:51Speaker 1: the law should apply equally to everyone, including the rich
- 16:56Speaker 1: and powerful and even former presidents.
- 16:57Speaker 2: By the way, it was so funny that in Jesse
- 17:00Speaker 2: Waters' tirade there, he was like, and then she says,
- 17:03Speaker 2: nobody is above the law. I don't know about that one.
- 17:07Speaker 3: That's the key. That's the key. That's the tell right there.
- 17:10Speaker 3: You don't think there's one guy above the law. I'm
- 17:12Speaker 3: not trusting that voter.
- 17:14Speaker 1: The second one, and you hinted this before, is that
- 17:17Speaker 1: it's not just that a jury of Donald Trump's peers
- 17:20Speaker 1: are going to decide his fate here. The actual indictment
- 17:24Speaker 1: itself was already brought by a jury of his peers.
- 17:27Speaker 1: These were career prosecutors who laid out the facts as
- 17:31Speaker 1: they found them to a jury of Donald Trump's peers.
- 17:35Speaker 1: who then made the decision that this should go to trial.
- 17:37Speaker 3: And so it's going to trial.
- 17:39Speaker 1: And then I think another point here is that we
- 17:40Speaker 1: have to take a step back and talk about all
- 17:43Speaker 1: of these trials as a way, as an example of
- 17:46Speaker 1: the chaos that Donald Trump brings to the White House.
- 17:49Speaker 3: And they will be distracting from him, right? Because this
- 17:52Speaker 3: is not over, right?
- 17:54Speaker 1: Let's say there's a hung jury here, it's acquitted, or
- 17:57Speaker 1: he gets convicted and he's not in prison, but he
- 17:59Speaker 1: still goes to the White House anyway. There's still the
- 18:01Speaker 1: Fulton County trial. There are all these defamation trials. He
- 18:04Speaker 1: is just in this legal morass. Like, look at what
- 18:07Speaker 1: he's doing right now. If he's dealing with this in
- 18:09Speaker 1: the White House, how is he going to be able
- 18:10Speaker 1: to help you? How is he going to lower costs?
- 18:11Speaker 1: How is he going to make healthcare more affordable? We
- 18:13Speaker 1: have to push this forward a little bit to explain
- 18:17Speaker 1: how having someone who is always in legal chaos and
- 18:22Speaker 1: trouble prevents them from actually helping your family.
- 18:25Speaker 3: So there's a lot more to say about it. It's coming.
- 18:27Speaker 1: But those are, I think, some points where I think
- 18:29Speaker 1: we should all just be talking about this in a
- 18:31Speaker 1: way that explains to voters why they should care. Cause
- 18:33Speaker 1: I think that's a big question they're going to have.
- 18:35Speaker 2: I mean, not a surprise after what you all heard
- 18:39Speaker 2: me say on, on Tuesday's pod, but like, I think the, the, the,
- 18:43Speaker 2: the president and the campaign have been pitch perfect on
- 18:46Speaker 2: this so far this week. Like I love the joke
- 18:49Speaker 2: that Biden told, I'm actually surprised that he told a
- 18:51Speaker 2: little joke, but I think it's totally fair, right? He's
- 18:53Speaker 2: not joking about Donald Trump in jail, but, um, the
- 18:56Speaker 2: fact that he's a little busy, like subtle stuff like that,
- 18:58Speaker 2: I think is really good. The campaign put out a
- 19:01Speaker 2: memo after the first day that said, wake up, Donald.
- 19:04Speaker 2: After stormy abortion ban coverage, Trump poll memo attempts to
- 19:08Speaker 2: hush panic, which is like, because I do think they're
- 19:12Speaker 2: going to have to get their message in this story.
- 19:15Speaker 2: But this is the story that everyone's covering even more
- 19:19Speaker 2: than the press is going to be. The political press,
- 19:21Speaker 2: at least, is going to be covering the abortion story,
- 19:23Speaker 2: which is still much more important for the country and
- 19:27Speaker 2: most voters. To get that message into these stories, you're
- 19:30Speaker 2: going to have to make the connection a little bit.
- 19:32Speaker 2: There was a new memo out today from the campaign
- 19:35Speaker 2: that said, folks, it's bad for Donald Trump out there.
- 19:37Speaker 2: And then in parentheses, it says, or in there, wherever
- 19:40Speaker 2: he is this week, calls him a con man, accuses
- 19:42Speaker 2: him of selling people out to enrich himself, saying that
- 19:45Speaker 2: whatever he's doing won't help his personal life, saying that
- 19:47Speaker 2: he's in this to fix his personal problems. So they are,
- 19:50Speaker 2: they're doing exactly what you're suggesting too, which is like
- 19:54Speaker 2: putting this trial in the context of the larger message
- 19:58Speaker 2: about Trump, which is that he only cares about himself.
- 20:00Speaker 2: He's only in this to like stay out of jail
- 20:03Speaker 2: and to make sure that he's not broke. And he
- 20:05Speaker 2: really doesn't care about anything else.
- 20:19Speaker 3: No shit.
- 20:38Speaker 2: Republicans are like, oh, terrible precedent, terrible precedent, not even
- 20:41Speaker 2: doing the trial in the Senate. It's like, well, you
- 20:43Speaker 2: send over a ridiculous fucking impeachment that's based on Mayorkas
- 20:47Speaker 2: just carrying out Joe Biden's policy and nothing else, then yeah,
- 20:50Speaker 2: we're not going to have a trial, idiots.
- 20:52Speaker 3: Oh, now they care about due process.
- 20:53Speaker 2: I know, it's ridiculous. And over in the House, Mike
- 20:57Speaker 2: Johnson seems like he's about to do the right thing
- 21:00Speaker 2: and lose his job because of it. He's decided to
- 21:03Speaker 2: hold a vote on four separate bills that will provide
- 21:06Speaker 2: support for Ukraine, Israel and the Palestinians, Taiwan, and surprise,
- 21:11Speaker 2: ban TikTok. So whatever passes from those four bills will
- 21:16Speaker 2: get packaged together and then sent to the Senate for
- 21:18Speaker 2: an up or down vote, which is how they would,
- 21:21Speaker 2: that's why he's kind of snuck the TikTok ban in
- 21:23Speaker 2: there because the Senate has not moved on that. Biden
- 21:26Speaker 2: said he's supportive. Most Democrats and Republicans in Congress seem
- 21:30Speaker 2: at least somewhat supportive, though we'll see over these next
- 21:33Speaker 2: couple of days. But the Marjorie Taylor Greens of the
- 21:35Speaker 2: world are furious, with Johnson over the Ukraine funding specifically.
- 21:42Speaker 2: More hardliners are threatening to oust Johnson as Speaker. There
- 21:46Speaker 2: was a debate whether Representative Van Orden called Johnson tubby.
- 21:53Speaker 3: Is he tubby?
- 21:54Speaker 2: I don't think he was tubby, but the Freedom Caucus
- 21:57Speaker 2: was saying that Van Orden called him tubby and said
- 22:00Speaker 2: that he was going to join the motion to vacate,
- 22:02Speaker 2: and then Van Orden said, no, I'm actually defending Johnson
- 22:05Speaker 2: and I would never call him tubby. Ridiculous. That's what's
- 22:09Speaker 2: going on in the house, Dan. Johnson, to his credit,
- 22:13Speaker 2: does not seem phased. Here he is Wednesday night.
- 22:16Speaker 4: Why are you.
- 22:17Speaker 7: Willing to risk losing your job over this Ukraine funding?
- 22:22Speaker 8: Listen, my philosophy is you do the right thing and
- 22:26Speaker 8: you let the chips fall where they may. If I
- 22:28Speaker 8: operated out of fear over a motion to vacate, I
- 22:32Speaker 8: would never be able to do my job. Look, history
- 22:35Speaker 8: judges us for what we do. This is a critical
- 22:37Speaker 8: time right now, a critical time on the world stage.
- 22:39Speaker 8: I think providing lethal aid to Ukraine right now is
- 22:42Speaker 8: critically important.
- 22:42Speaker 2: I really do.
- 22:43Speaker 8: I really do believe the intel and the briefings that
- 22:46Speaker 8: we've gotten that I believe Xi and Vladimir Putin and
- 22:51Speaker 8: Iran really are an axis of evil. I think they're
- 22:53Speaker 8: in coordination on this. I think that Vladimir Putin would
- 22:56Speaker 8: continue to march through Europe if he were allowed. I
- 22:58Speaker 8: think he might go to the Balkans next. I think
- 22:59Speaker 8: he might Have a showdown with Poland or one of
- 23:02Speaker 8: our NATO allies.
- 23:03Speaker 2: And here's what Mike Johnson's loyal friend Donald Trump said
- 23:06Speaker 2: when asked about if he still stands by him.
- 23:09Speaker 1: Well, we'll see what happens with that.
- 23:15Speaker 2: We'll see what happens. We'll see what happens. Standing by
- 23:18Speaker 2: his guy. That statement from Johnson, which was the like
- 23:24Speaker 2: the most. passionate he's been about supporting ukraine or really
- 23:29Speaker 2: i mean he hasn't said much of anything about it
- 23:31Speaker 2: he has been like mildly for it but also critical
- 23:34Speaker 2: of ukraine assistance in the past but that was like
- 23:37Speaker 2: a full-throated defense of nato and and and helping ukraine
- 23:45Speaker 2: it was to me it was like someone who has
- 23:48Speaker 2: had their brain pickled by fox news like shut the
- 23:52Speaker 2: tv off for 10 seconds and like read a real article. Really?
- 23:58Speaker 3: That's what you think?
- 23:59Speaker 2: That's what I thought. I mean, I am willing to
- 24:02Speaker 2: believe that Mike Johnson has completely odious views on a
- 24:08Speaker 2: whole bunch of issues, but was actually convinced by the
- 24:11Speaker 2: intelligence that this is an important vote and he's willing
- 24:13Speaker 2: to lose his job over it.
- 24:15Speaker 1: The way I took this was my interpretation of all
- 24:18Speaker 1: those remarks was, you know what, this job, I didn't
- 24:21Speaker 1: ask for this job. I never really thought about it
- 24:23Speaker 1: before they gave it to me and it kind of sucks.
- 24:24Speaker 1: So whatever happens, happens.
- 24:28Speaker 2: I mean, but what do you have to gain by
- 24:32Speaker 2: losing your job and doing Ukraine?
- 24:34Speaker 3: Well, it looks like he's going to lose either way.
- 24:37Speaker 2: No, I think if he said no to Ukraine, if
- 24:40Speaker 2: he said absolutely not, I'm not moving these bills, fuck off.
- 24:43Speaker 2: He would like the Washington establishment and mainly Democrats and
- 24:48Speaker 2: a few random Republicans who are left, would be like
- 24:51Speaker 2: writing op-eds about him, but what the fuck does he care?
- 24:53Speaker 3: I mean, yes.
- 24:55Speaker 1: I will just, in the spirit of good faith that
- 24:57Speaker 1: you brought to this conversation, I will agree with you
- 25:00Speaker 1: that I think he.
- 25:01Speaker 3: Just.
- 25:01Speaker 2: Trying to deal with your knee-jerk partisanship as always, you know?
- 25:03Speaker 4: That's right.
- 25:05Speaker 3: What jury are you trying to get on?
- 25:07Speaker 2: I read the Wall Street Journal editorial page.
- 25:12Speaker 1: That's right. I... He was fine with Ukraine before he
- 25:19Speaker 1: became speaker and then changed his position to keep being speaker.
- 25:22Speaker 1: You know, I guess one way, less generous way of
- 25:26Speaker 1: thinking about this is he realizes he's going to lose
- 25:28Speaker 1: his job at some point. He's probably not willing to
- 25:30Speaker 1: hand Ukraine to Russia for the initial three months of speaker.
- 25:35Speaker 1: So maybe there's that.
- 25:36Speaker 2: Plenty of his colleagues.
- 25:37Speaker 3: But you know what? Good for him. Good for him.
- 25:40Speaker 4: Right.
- 25:41Speaker 3: Good for him.
- 25:41Speaker 2: No, I mean, I'm saying this to like, it's good
- 25:44Speaker 2: for Mike Johnson, but it's also infuriating because it's like, Oh,
- 25:48Speaker 2: you believe the intelligence? Guess what? All you would have
- 25:50Speaker 2: had to do is... You don't even have to get
- 25:53Speaker 2: intelligence briefings. You could have just read the news. There
- 25:57Speaker 2: wasn't whatever fucking Twitter rabbit hole you've been down and
- 26:00Speaker 2: Fox News and all that bullshit.
- 26:02Speaker 3: And it's just a needed delay. We could have done
- 26:04Speaker 3: this six months ago.
- 26:05Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure. If there's a motion to vacate, he
- 26:11Speaker 2: would basically be ousted because they have such a small
- 26:15Speaker 2: margin in the House. All it would take is like,
- 26:17Speaker 2: you know, a couple of Republicans at this point. So
- 26:20Speaker 2: it could be Marjorie Taylor Greene. I don't know what
- 26:22Speaker 2: the count is. One more, two more. It's not that much.
- 26:24Speaker 2: So Democrats would have to step in and save him.
- 26:28Speaker 2: Do you think they should?
- 26:29Speaker 3: I think they will.
- 26:30Speaker 2: It seems like it.
- 26:31Speaker 1: Some Democrats have already publicly said that if he brings
- 26:35Speaker 1: these foreign aid bills to a vote, they would save
- 26:37Speaker 1: him over that. Is it annoying that we have to
- 26:39Speaker 1: save him?
- 26:40Speaker 3: Absolutely.
- 26:41Speaker 6: Right?
- 26:42Speaker 1: Like the Republican Party is just like so fucked up
- 26:45Speaker 1: and incompetent. and at each other's throats, that it's being
- 26:48Speaker 1: essentially led around by Marjorie Taylor Greene, that we actually
- 26:52Speaker 1: have to do that. And the idea that Democrats are
- 26:54Speaker 1: going to vote to keep someone with views as odious
- 26:59Speaker 1: as Mike Johnson as speaker, just so the government can
- 27:02Speaker 1: function sucks. Like that really does sucks, but it's ultimately,
- 27:04Speaker 1: it's probably the responsible thing to do here. Cause there's
- 27:06Speaker 1: not some, you know, Aaron Sorkin ask bipartisan power sharing.
- 27:11Speaker 3: Agreement in the wings. It's Mike Johnson.
- 27:13Speaker 1: And if he loses, you know, those you've seen reporting
- 27:15Speaker 1: about this is that a lot of problems think there's,
- 27:17Speaker 1: that's it. There's no one else who can get the votes.
- 27:20Speaker 1: And just so that the government will be unable to
- 27:21Speaker 1: function in a time of wars abroad.
- 27:24Speaker 3: That'd be crazy.
- 27:24Speaker 2: We also have one more funding fight. I think the
- 27:27Speaker 2: deadline is end of September. Remember they do not fund
- 27:30Speaker 2: this government through the election. So like, do we really want,
- 27:35Speaker 2: I mean, could Joe Biden blame a shutdown on a
- 27:38Speaker 2: speaker Marjorie Taylor green? when he's on the campaign trail
- 27:41Speaker 2: in October? Yeah, and maybe it works, but like, do
- 27:44Speaker 2: we want to introduce that variable into the calculation? And
- 27:48Speaker 2: do we want just people to suffer for the government
- 27:51Speaker 2: shutting down because some person even kookier than Mike Johnson
- 27:55Speaker 2: is the Speaker of the House? And when you weigh
- 27:57Speaker 2: that against the political benefit we would get from the
- 28:02Speaker 2: circus that would come from Mike Johnson being deposed and
- 28:06Speaker 2: then another 50 votes till they find the next MAGA Speaker, like,
- 28:10Speaker 2: I don't know that we got... The Democrats got much
- 28:12Speaker 2: political benefit out of the McCarthy ouster. So, like, I
- 28:18Speaker 2: don't know. I don't think it makes a huge difference.
- 28:20Speaker 3: No one is paying... No one's paying attention. No one's paying.
- 28:23Speaker 1: We can't get people to pay attention to this fucking
- 28:25Speaker 1: presidential campaign.
- 28:26Speaker 6: I know.
- 28:28Speaker 3: To follow the ins and outs of Congress. Like, people are...
- 28:31Speaker 3: People dropped off of this podcast when you brought up Congress. No, no, no.
- 28:35Speaker 4: I said.
- 28:37Speaker 2: There's a lot of action in Congress right now. You
- 28:39Speaker 2: don't think that was a.
- 28:40Speaker 3: Oh, congressional action.
- 28:41Speaker 1: People are like, let me go to noise cancellation mode
- 28:44Speaker 1: so I can't be distracted. I don't think that people
- 28:48Speaker 1: would notice it enough that it's worth the price to pay.
- 28:52Speaker 2: That's how I feel.
- 28:53Speaker 3: It should be great, but no one has dialed it
- 28:55Speaker 3: enough to know that.
- 28:56Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel the same way. All right, we're going
- 28:57Speaker 2: to move off this topic.
- 28:59Speaker 3: Come back, people. Come back.
- 29:02Speaker 4: So.
- 29:02Speaker 2: The highest profile MAGA kook trying to claw her way
- 29:05Speaker 2: into Congress next year is Carrie Lake, who's running against
- 29:08Speaker 2: Ruben Gallego for the Arizona Senate seat, being vacated by
- 29:11Speaker 2: Kyrsten Sinema. Replacing Sinema with an actual Democrat wouldn't just
- 29:15Speaker 2: help the party maintain control of the Senate. Gallego could
- 29:18Speaker 2: be the vote needed to pass national abortion protections, voting rights,
- 29:22Speaker 2: and other things that Sinema never loved as much as
- 29:25Speaker 2: she loved the filibuster. In 2022, Lake only lost to
- 29:29Speaker 2: now-Governor Katie Hobbs by 0.7%. She's currently trailing Gallego by
- 29:34Speaker 2: anywhere from five to eight points, but there's only been
- 29:38Speaker 2: a couple of polls in the last couple of months.
- 29:39Speaker 2: So I wouldn't, you know, take that to the bank. Um,
- 29:42Speaker 2: two potential reasons she's trailing one, her previous support for
- 29:46Speaker 2: the state's 1864 total abortion ban, which the state Supreme
- 29:50Speaker 2: court has allowed to go into effect and Republicans in
- 29:52Speaker 2: the legislature have so far refused to repeal. And two,
- 29:57Speaker 2: comments like this from just the other day.
- 29:59Speaker 7: We need to strap on our, let's see, what do
- 30:04Speaker 7: we want to strap on? We're going to strap on
- 30:06Speaker 7: our seatbelt. We're going to put on our helmet or
- 30:12Speaker 7: your Carrie Lake ball cap. We are going to put
- 30:16Speaker 7: on the armor of God. Then maybe strap on a
- 30:23Speaker 7: Glock on the side of us just in case.
- 30:27Speaker 2: What do we want to strap on, Dan? It's like,
- 30:31Speaker 2: she just left it hanging there. She's like, what do
- 30:34Speaker 2: we want to strap on? And you're like, oh no,
- 30:37Speaker 2: oh no. And then the answer is God and a Glock.
- 30:43Speaker 1: And I would say, just as someone who's a real
- 30:45Speaker 1: admirer of organic plugs, way to pitch the Gary Lake
- 30:47Speaker 1: ball cap.
- 30:51Speaker 2: Organic plugs. It just keeps getting better. So not the
- 31:00Speaker 2: most salacious thing she could have told him to strap on,
- 31:01Speaker 2: but certainly the most dangerous. So there you have it.
- 31:05Speaker 2: One candidate wants more Arizonans to have guns. The other
- 31:08Speaker 2: one wants them to have health care. Seems like it
- 31:10Speaker 2: should be a pretty clear choice now.
- 31:12Speaker 3: You would hope.
- 31:14Speaker 2: That's not even the first time she has said something
- 31:16Speaker 2: like this. She has told her supporters to arm themselves.
- 31:22Speaker 2: Not just like, I love the Second Amendment and you
- 31:25Speaker 2: should have the right to bear arms. Like, arm yourself
- 31:27Speaker 2: because this is going to be a tough election. Arm yourself. Like,
- 31:30Speaker 2: in the context of the election, after we just saw
- 31:33Speaker 2: January 6th a couple years ago. It's fucking wild, man.
- 31:37Speaker 1: This seems like such a pedantic thing to say, but
- 31:42Speaker 1: the polls do show that advocating for political violence is bad.
- 31:46Speaker 2: No, I think that's a.
- 31:47Speaker 3: I mean, I know that sounds ridiculous.
- 31:49Speaker 2: It's good to state. It's good to state because a
- 31:50Speaker 2: lot of people are like, oh, it's not going to
- 31:51Speaker 2: matter who's... Like, yeah, it's not going to matter to
- 31:53Speaker 2: her supporters. That's why they're her supporters. But, you know,
- 31:58Speaker 2: Arizona is a pretty close state. And there's probably a
- 32:00Speaker 2: lot of people who are not Carrie Lake supporters. And
- 32:02Speaker 2: there's some people who are undecided. And there you go.
- 32:05Speaker 2: And there's just the fact that, like, you know, you
- 32:07Speaker 2: have candidates talking like that. And you have Trump doing
- 32:10Speaker 2: his thing. It's going to be a very contentious election.
- 32:15Speaker 2: And it's just, it's playing with fire. It's playing with fire.
- 32:19Speaker 2: Lake has been trying really hard to pretend she never
- 32:22Speaker 2: supported the 1864 abortion ban. She's basically talking like she's
- 32:25Speaker 2: suddenly pro-choice and apparently has been calling Republicans in the
- 32:29Speaker 2: legislature to try to convince them to repeal the ban.
- 32:33Speaker 2: So far, no takers in the House. I think she's
- 32:35Speaker 2: got a few in the state Senate who might be
- 32:38Speaker 2: trying now. I feel like this is going to be
- 32:40Speaker 2: even harder for Lake to pull off than it will
- 32:42Speaker 2: be for Trump, since there's audio of her saying that
- 32:47Speaker 2: she supports the 1864 ban.
- 32:50Speaker 3: But I don't know.
- 32:51Speaker 2: What do you think?
- 32:52Speaker 3: Yeah, 100%.
- 32:54Speaker 1: We've talked many times about how Trump gets a little
- 32:57Speaker 1: bit of a pass on abortion compared to other Republicans
- 32:59Speaker 1: because he is a sleazeball who cheats on his wife
- 33:02Speaker 1: and is from Manhattan, all of the above. But Carrie
- 33:05Speaker 1: Lake is on video. There are audio recordings of her
- 33:09Speaker 1: supporting this law. And there is going to be, and
- 33:12Speaker 1: this is a low-end estimate, $ 120 million of ads with
- 33:16Speaker 1: that footage to show voters. She is not going to
- 33:20Speaker 1: be able to escape this. she might be able to
- 33:22Speaker 1: get voters to focus on another issue than abortion. I'm
- 33:25Speaker 1: very skeptical that she could actually accomplish that, but she,
- 33:28Speaker 1: this is, she, this is a huge problem, which is
- 33:30Speaker 1: why she's desperately trying to get them to repeal the law.
- 33:32Speaker 1: Cause that's the one thing she could do that could
- 33:35Speaker 1: lower the salience of the issue.
- 33:38Speaker 2: I also think the other danger for her in this race,
- 33:40Speaker 2: cause she has been trying to moderate herself here and
- 33:44Speaker 2: there though. Certainly not. Uh, she certainly didn't succeed with
- 33:46Speaker 2: that Glock comment. Um, But I think the danger now
- 33:49Speaker 2: is that there's going to be a large segment of
- 33:51Speaker 2: voters who see her as too extreme. But she's also
- 33:54Speaker 2: sounding like she's dishonest, full of shit, like a typical
- 33:58Speaker 2: politician by, you know, just saying things that are obviously
- 34:02Speaker 2: flip-flops in service of trying to win an election. And
- 34:04Speaker 2: I think once you're in that territory, then you're both
- 34:07Speaker 2: extreme and full of shit. And it doesn't really help
- 34:10Speaker 2: you out too much.
- 34:11Speaker 1: Yeah, seeming like her, the reason why she did so
- 34:14Speaker 1: much better than Blake Masters last time was, in part,
- 34:17Speaker 1: Mark Kelly, known quantity, so much more so than Katie Hobbs,
- 34:22Speaker 1: who Carolex was running against, but is that she seemed,
- 34:25Speaker 1: she has been to date the most authentic-seeming replica of Trumpism, right?
- 34:31Speaker 1: Not just the extremism, but the on-the-stump performance, the outsider appeal.
- 34:39Speaker 1: And if she's trying, if she becomes like a normal politician,
- 34:42Speaker 1: that is going to undermine that bit of her strength
- 34:45Speaker 1: that allowed her to run ahead of some other Republicans.
- 34:46Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah. So Trump's pollster put out a memo saying
- 34:50Speaker 2: their poll shows only 11% of Arizonans followed the news
- 34:53Speaker 2: about the abortion ban. It was mostly Democrats. It's far
- 34:57Speaker 2: from the top issue for voters and that voters prefer
- 35:00Speaker 2: Trump's position over Biden's. Speaking of bullshit, you think there's
- 35:04Speaker 2: any truth to any of that or is it just all,
- 35:07Speaker 2: what do you think?
- 35:08Speaker 1: I think that poll's ridiculous. I think the reporters who
- 35:12Speaker 1: reported on it kind of dropped the ball there because
- 35:16Speaker 1: the good thing is there was some transparency from the
- 35:21Speaker 1: Trump people. They actually put out the poll questions they asked,
- 35:24Speaker 1: and the way they framed Biden's position was absurd and
- 35:28Speaker 1: not in position at all.
- 35:29Speaker 2: It says, Biden supports unrestricted access to universal abortion, including
- 35:32Speaker 2: abortion up through the ninth month of pregnancy, and he
- 35:35Speaker 2: supports taxpayer funds to pay for abortions for any reason.
- 35:38Speaker 2: And then the Trump was like, Trump believes the decision
- 35:40Speaker 2: on abortion laws should be left up to the state
- 35:42Speaker 2: so that voters in each state can decide. However, he's
- 35:45Speaker 2: opposed to late-term abortion and would end federal taxpayer funding
- 35:48Speaker 2: of abortions. So Trump wins that 51-40, and then he
- 35:51Speaker 2: wins 45-41 among persuadable voters. Okay.
- 35:56Speaker 3: Just think about it this way.
- 35:58Speaker 1: This is actually a sign of huge weakness for the
- 36:00Speaker 1: Trump people, which is they've given the worst possible, most
- 36:04Speaker 1: dishonest version of Biden's plan, and they're winning by four points.
- 36:07Speaker 2: That was my first thought, honestly.
- 36:09Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah.
- 36:10Speaker 1: It's what I, what I think is probably true and
- 36:12Speaker 1: worth noting is that probably a lot of people did
- 36:16Speaker 1: have no idea that this law passed and that we're
- 36:18Speaker 1: going to have to just, this is, this whole election
- 36:20Speaker 1: comes down to narrowing the news chasm.
- 36:23Speaker 3: Between what is happening and the voters.
- 36:26Speaker 1: And so, I mean, this is like, people know a
- 36:29Speaker 1: lot more about this than Trump's trial, other things, because
- 36:30Speaker 1: it's a huge deal in the state and being talked
- 36:32Speaker 1: about in the state and covered in the state. But
- 36:35Speaker 1: People are probably not following it. A lot of people
- 36:36Speaker 1: are not following it closely because they're not following news closely.
- 36:39Speaker 2: And again, this is not just a problem we can
- 36:42Speaker 2: yell about and yell at the media for. This is
- 36:44Speaker 2: a problem for all of us to help solve too.
- 36:48Speaker 2: You always say this, we're our own messengers now. And
- 36:52Speaker 2: this is part of narrowing that chasm that you talked
- 36:54Speaker 2: about is going to be the work that we do
- 36:57Speaker 2: between now and November. All of us, everyone wants to volunteer.
- 36:59Speaker 2: So here's it. Here's an organic plug. VoteSafeAmerica.com. How's that?
- 37:06Speaker 3: Nice.
- 37:06Speaker 2: Not as organic as whatever.
- 37:08Speaker 3: Message box. Strap-ons. Carrie Lake's ball caps.
- 37:13Speaker 1: I mean, if the ad sales people aren't out there
- 37:15Speaker 1: trying to get a sponsor for the strap-on segment, I
- 37:17Speaker 1: don't know.
- 37:19Speaker 2: Strap-ons in Civil War? Is that the good title?
- 37:24Speaker 3: Carrie Lake straps on for Civil War.
- 37:27Speaker 2: Speaking of Civil War, when we come back, I will
- 37:31Speaker 2: talk to the writer and director of Civil War, Alex Garland.
- 37:35Speaker 2: Two quick things before we go to break. If you
- 37:37Speaker 2: want to fight back against book bans, the Crooked store
- 37:40Speaker 2: is doing a flash sale on all Free the Books merch.
- 37:44Speaker 2: Free the Books tees, sweatshirts, and magnets are 30% off,
- 37:46Speaker 2: but the sale won't last long, so make like a
- 37:48Speaker 2: conservative who found out about a kid's book with a
- 37:50Speaker 2: gay character in it and act quickly. Head to crooked.com
- 37:54Speaker 2: slash store to shop before the sale ends. Also, the
- 37:58Speaker 2: entire second season of World Corrupt, co-hosted by Tommy and
- 38:02Speaker 2: Men in Blazers' Roger Bennett, is officially out on the
- 38:04Speaker 2: Pod Save the World feed. If you're a fan of
- 38:06Speaker 2: the series, you'll be excited to hear that Roger is
- 38:08Speaker 2: logging on to Crooked's Friend of the Pod Discord for
- 38:10Speaker 2: a round of Ask Me Anything on Thursday, April 25th
- 38:14Speaker 2: at noon Pacific. Ask him about anything, including the making
- 38:17Speaker 2: of this latest season of World Corrupt, Saudi Arabia's big
- 38:20Speaker 2: investments into soccer, F1 racing... And honestly, any embarrassing question
- 38:24Speaker 2: about Tommy. That's what I'm just recommending. If you're not
- 38:27Speaker 2: a member, you can head to crooked.com slash friends now
- 38:29Speaker 2: to sign up. Check out World Corrupt. It's a fantastic series.
- 38:32Speaker 2: If you haven't listened to the first season, check out both.
- 38:35Speaker 2: If you have, the second season is fantastic. So take
- 38:38Speaker 2: a listen. If you're someone like me who worries about
- 38:52Speaker 2: our democracy falling apart, boy, do I have the film
- 38:55Speaker 2: for you. Civil War is a vivid depiction of what
- 38:58Speaker 2: it might look like for America to dissolve into armed
- 39:00Speaker 2: warring factions and what it would look like for journalists
- 39:03Speaker 2: to try to cover that story for the rest of
- 39:04Speaker 2: the world. It's number one at the box office, the
- 39:07Speaker 2: biggest hit yet from our friends at A24. And we
- 39:10Speaker 2: are lucky to have with us today the man who
- 39:11Speaker 2: wrote and directed the film, Alex Garland. Alex, welcome to
- 39:14Speaker 2: Pod Save America.
- 39:16Speaker 4: Thank you very much. Pleased to be here. Thank you.
- 39:18Speaker 2: So for the last eight years, I have lost countless
- 39:21Speaker 2: hours of sleep worrying about the scenario this movie is about.
- 39:24Speaker 2: So I wasn't really sure that I wanted to see it,
- 39:26Speaker 2: but I did and I loved it. I've been telling
- 39:29Speaker 2: everyone to see it. You started writing this movie in
- 39:33Speaker 2: the summer of 2020, which was the beginning of a
- 39:36Speaker 2: period when I really felt for the first time like
- 39:38Speaker 2: everything here could just fall apart. Why did you want
- 39:42Speaker 2: to make a movie about that?
- 39:44Speaker 4: I would bet it's for exactly the same reasons that
- 39:47Speaker 4: you were spending all those sleepless nights. I was also
- 39:51Speaker 4: having the same sleepless nights for the same reasons. And
- 39:54Speaker 4: it was a huge topic of conversation in public discourse,
- 40:01Speaker 4: but also private like, uh, friends, family again and again,
- 40:07Speaker 4: and again, month after month, year after year. the newest
- 40:11Speaker 4: jolt of shock as the escalation of strangeness continued. Um, uh,
- 40:20Speaker 4: my country was in one sort of paroxysm or another. Uh,
- 40:24Speaker 4: so was yours. So were several other countries, many other countries.
- 40:27Speaker 4: And I wrote it for exactly the same reason that
- 40:31Speaker 4: you might have written it.
- 40:33Speaker 2: What, how did you feel? Cause you've started writing the
- 40:36Speaker 2: script in June. How did you feel about the script
- 40:39Speaker 2: when you saw. January 6th, go down.
- 40:42Speaker 4: So the script pre-existed something else pre-existed as well, which
- 40:46Speaker 4: is there was a lot of talk. There had been
- 40:50Speaker 4: talk from smart people for a long time, which said,
- 40:55Speaker 4: if you use language in a certain kind of way,
- 40:59Speaker 4: if you use violent language, it will lead to actual
- 41:04Speaker 4: violence that that will be the product of it eventually.
- 41:08Speaker 4: And That was one of those warnings that turned out
- 41:12Speaker 4: to be completely true for exactly the reasons the warning
- 41:16Speaker 4: was stated. And actually in the way the warning was
- 41:20Speaker 4: stated as well, pretty much, I think. And so what
- 41:27Speaker 4: I felt was a mixture of huge shock and no
- 41:32Speaker 4: surprise and the weird dissonance between those two things.
- 41:37Speaker 2: I know your filmmaking is more focused on starting conversations
- 41:41Speaker 2: than giving answers. What was the conversation you were hoping
- 41:44Speaker 2: to start with this film?
- 41:46Speaker 4: I do say that, yeah, I do. And it is true.
- 41:50Speaker 4: And in a way, in a sense, the conversation was
- 41:55Speaker 4: with the centre-right to an extent, and that's because I'm centre-left.
- 42:00Speaker 4: And it ran along the lines of... What are points
- 42:06Speaker 4: of agreement? And I think that is because one of
- 42:11Speaker 4: my realizations in summer of 2020 is that I would
- 42:18Speaker 4: always have described myself for years and years and years
- 42:20Speaker 4: as left-wing. If somebody said, what are you? I'd have
- 42:22Speaker 4: said left-wing. And in some respects, in ideological terms, I
- 42:26Speaker 4: could be really very left-wing on particular issues, I suppose.
- 42:31Speaker 4: And around that time, I realized I'm not left-wing, I'm
- 42:34Speaker 4: a centrist. That is to say, I'm left of center.
- 42:37Speaker 4: And it was the word centrist and the way I
- 42:40Speaker 4: felt attached to the concept of centrism and suddenly having
- 42:46Speaker 4: a kind of epiphany about it in a way and
- 42:49Speaker 4: realizing that I had framed politics as left-right and I
- 42:54Speaker 4: no longer in a way cared about left-right. I do
- 42:59Speaker 4: care about left-right on some ideological issues of, the function
- 43:04Speaker 4: of running a country, like how taxes are spent or
- 43:06Speaker 4: something like that. But I don't care about left-right when
- 43:11Speaker 4: the issue is centrism versus extremism. And at that point,
- 43:16Speaker 4: I'm a centrist and I have far, far more in
- 43:19Speaker 4: common with someone on the center-right than I do on
- 43:23Speaker 4: an extreme. Does that make sense?
- 43:25Speaker 2: Yeah, no, that totally makes sense. What was going on
- 43:27Speaker 2: that made you think, not that you're not left-wing, that
- 43:30Speaker 2: you cared less about being left-wing than you did about
- 43:34Speaker 2: being center left.
- 43:35Speaker 4: Because within, within a, a sort of reasonably functioning democracy, me,
- 43:42Speaker 4: as it were my side trading power with the other
- 43:45Speaker 4: side for an amount of time is not catastrophic. It's
- 43:49Speaker 4: the normal running of a Western democracy. It's what you
- 43:52Speaker 4: would expect. In fact, it's sort of what you would
- 43:55Speaker 4: want in as much as that you don't really want any,
- 43:58Speaker 4: any one party to be in power indefinitely. because then
- 44:02Speaker 4: other sorts of problems start to arrive. That is typical
- 44:07Speaker 4: of a very kind of centrist statement, actually, but that's
- 44:10Speaker 4: where I am. Extremism poses something completely different, not the
- 44:16Speaker 4: trading of power. It starts at a certain point to
- 44:19Speaker 4: pose existential threats, not normal back and forth. And by
- 44:25Speaker 4: the way, I do want to say, because we're having
- 44:27Speaker 4: a political conversation that I do, I have issues with centrism.
- 44:31Speaker 4: I'm not saying it's like a great sort of perfect solution, but,
- 44:35Speaker 4: but when you put it alongside extremism, uh, most of
- 44:40Speaker 4: those problems melt away in comparison to what you're facing.
- 44:44Speaker 2: I think that the challenge people have had in liberal
- 44:49Speaker 2: democracies over the last decade now is if you have a, uh,
- 44:55Speaker 2: an right now we're seeing this in this country and
- 44:58Speaker 2: in your country and all over the world, a sort
- 45:00Speaker 2: of right-wing populism that has sort of morphed into extremism
- 45:05Speaker 2: that has seemed authoritarian much more in certain places than others.
- 45:10Speaker 2: And when one party or one political movement is becoming
- 45:17Speaker 2: so extreme, the challenge is how do you counter that
- 45:24Speaker 2: without becoming extreme yourself or, but also knowing that you
- 45:28Speaker 2: need to warn people that they're becoming extreme.
- 45:32Speaker 4: Or just stop the sentence earlier. Just stop it earlier,
- 45:35Speaker 4: which is how do you counter that? That's it. Full
- 45:37Speaker 4: stop or period as you say in the States. Um,
- 45:41Speaker 4: one of the issues was I could see that my
- 45:45Speaker 4: side was failing to contain right-wing extremism. So what it,
- 45:50Speaker 4: whatever it was we were doing. was not effective. And
- 45:55Speaker 4: I became increasingly concerned about what was effective. And in fact,
- 46:00Speaker 4: in my country, something really odd is happening, which is
- 46:03Speaker 4: that the left is about to win a huge victory
- 46:06Speaker 4: over the right. And the right in my country has,
- 46:09Speaker 4: I think, objectively been extremist. And they are not winning
- 46:15Speaker 4: the victory in a funny way because they have done anything. Really,
- 46:20Speaker 4: the right has just collapsed in the way extremist uh
- 46:24Speaker 4: governments or parties can collapse which is really under the
- 46:27Speaker 4: weight of their own madness and and so the the
- 46:30Speaker 4: left just had to wait and in fact clearly at
- 46:33Speaker 4: a certain point decided to stop being extremist themselves as
- 46:38Speaker 4: a counter to the extreme right and the the current
- 46:43Speaker 4: leader whatever he might present to the world has moved
- 46:46Speaker 4: into a much more centrist ground and then in a way,
- 46:50Speaker 4: just shut up. He's just stopped speaking. He does make pronouncements,
- 46:55Speaker 4: but they're very kind of banal, bland, sort of broadly
- 46:59Speaker 4: reasonable pronouncements and just waits for the right to burn up,
- 47:03Speaker 4: which they're doing incredibly effectively, like they are toast. So
- 47:08Speaker 4: that might be, it's just not a very satisfactory answer,
- 47:13Speaker 4: which is wait until the other side destroys themself. Sometimes
- 47:18Speaker 4: something more active has to be done. The easiest thing
- 47:22Speaker 4: for me to say is I've got no idea what
- 47:23Speaker 4: the answer to your question was, except that I thought
- 47:27Speaker 4: one of the ideas might be to stop demonizing the center-right.
- 47:33Speaker 4: And somehow I felt that the left, again, which I
- 47:37Speaker 4: was part of, was repeatedly, effectively making the same statement
- 47:42Speaker 4: as Hillary Clinton made. was sort of making a basket
- 47:45Speaker 4: of deplorable statement again and again and again and again
- 47:48Speaker 4: and again. And I couldn't see how a reasonable consensus
- 47:54Speaker 4: would arrive out of that. People would just get more
- 47:58Speaker 4: fed up and more extremist. And that could, could, it's
- 48:03Speaker 4: a small could, but could be a road to hell.
- 48:05Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny. I have said in the past that
- 48:10Speaker 2: we treat sort of Trump voters as, we're trying to
- 48:13Speaker 2: judge them morally, which is a fine thing to do.
- 48:16Speaker 2: But if we want to sustain a democracy in a
- 48:20Speaker 2: country of over 300 million people, we got to all
- 48:23Speaker 2: live together because if we can't figure out a way
- 48:25Speaker 2: to live with these people whose political views we abhor,
- 48:29Speaker 2: then we're not going to have a country and it's
- 48:31Speaker 2: going to fall apart into a civil war. And there's
- 48:33Speaker 2: your movie.
- 48:35Speaker 4: But I would say on a sort of deep internal level,
- 48:37Speaker 4: I don't think that's a fine thing to do because
- 48:40Speaker 4: I know... I have friends who are Trump voters. I
- 48:45Speaker 4: have friends who are right wing and they are, they
- 48:50Speaker 4: are not deplorable. They may be Trump voters for any
- 48:54Speaker 4: number of reasons. Some, some of them are actually, uh,
- 49:01Speaker 4: very similar to the reason I'm left wing, which is
- 49:03Speaker 4: the family I grew up in. I grew up in
- 49:05Speaker 4: a left wing family and I took on those ideas
- 49:08Speaker 4: and I agree with them in a, in a way
- 49:10Speaker 4: I'm culturally left wing. And some people are culturally right
- 49:13Speaker 4: wing and, demonizing people for that reason doesn't seem fine.
- 49:19Speaker 4: I strongly agree with what you said, that it is
- 49:22Speaker 4: a mistake. I believe it is a mistake to make
- 49:26Speaker 4: an ethical judgment on the basis of someone's voting preference.
- 49:31Speaker 4: You can make an ethical judgment on the basis of
- 49:36Speaker 4: whether they're racist or not. you can certainly make an
- 49:39Speaker 4: ethical judgment there. You certainly can't make an ethical judgment
- 49:43Speaker 4: based on whether someone believes in the free market. Um, I,
- 49:47Speaker 4: I don't believe in the free market, but I don't
- 49:50Speaker 4: think the argument for it is, uh, irrational or unethical.
- 49:55Speaker 4: I just don't happen to agree with it. And, um,
- 50:00Speaker 4: I have, I've been saying this sort of centrist stuff
- 50:02Speaker 4: in interviews and what, what, what people keep saying is
- 50:06Speaker 4: that I am a political and the film is a political.
- 50:09Speaker 4: And I think that that is, that is only true
- 50:14Speaker 4: if politics means left versus right. And if politics only
- 50:18Speaker 4: means left versus right, then that polarization is a kind
- 50:22Speaker 4: of inevitable product of that form of thinking. Uh, politics
- 50:27Speaker 4: should be a much, much broader term.
- 50:29Speaker 2: Um, uh, in my opinion, no, I look, I, I
- 50:34Speaker 2: should be probably one of those critics because I like
- 50:37Speaker 2: started a media company to defeat Donald Trump. Like I
- 50:40Speaker 2: should be one of those critics who are like, oh,
- 50:42Speaker 2: it should have been more explicitly political. I left the
- 50:44Speaker 2: movie feeling like very glad you decided against that. And
- 50:48Speaker 2: also I thought there was more than enough context, like
- 50:51Speaker 2: knowing Nick Offerman was a three-term fascist president who kills journalists.
- 50:56Speaker 2: So I thought the movie was maybe ideological, but not
- 50:59Speaker 2: partisan and ideological only not in the left-right sense, but
- 51:02Speaker 2: in the sense of, like authoritarianism versus like liberal democracy.
- 51:06Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly. So just to say, according to my way
- 51:10Speaker 4: of thinking, it could be anti Donald Trump without being
- 51:14Speaker 4: anti right wing. And I think there's, there's a complicated
- 51:18Speaker 4: for me in myself, I am even unclear whether Donald
- 51:22Speaker 4: Trump is right wing. According to the terms, I understand
- 51:26Speaker 4: right wing.
- 51:27Speaker 2: Really?
- 51:27Speaker 4: I think he's honestly, I think he's insane. I think
- 51:31Speaker 4: he's kind of, He's, he's sort of, he, he gives
- 51:35Speaker 4: indications of being unbalanced and he gives indications of being authoritarian.
- 51:41Speaker 4: And I, and, and I would say the right wing
- 51:45Speaker 4: thinking is not by necessity, either insane or authoritarian. So I, I'm,
- 51:53Speaker 4: I'm not sure whether to bracket him there. I also think,
- 51:56Speaker 4: by the way, if the left, this is one of
- 51:58Speaker 4: the things that I, I'm going to just modulate the
- 52:01Speaker 4: language that I'm sort of instinctively reaching for. But if
- 52:05Speaker 4: the left wants to combat right-wing extremism, it needs to
- 52:11Speaker 4: be in the business of winning elections. That's its job.
- 52:16Speaker 4: That is the function of the left in a situation
- 52:19Speaker 4: like this, is hands down, flat out to win an election.
- 52:23Speaker 4: And you do not win an election without usually persuading
- 52:28Speaker 4: people of the other side to come and join you.
- 52:31Speaker 4: And you don't do that by screaming at them and
- 52:33Speaker 4: telling them they're unethical. And I have felt personally vindicated
- 52:39Speaker 4: by some of the responses that I have seen, not
- 52:43Speaker 4: vindicated in a good way, but vindicated in a bleak
- 52:46Speaker 4: way by seeing the left in a way do that.
- 52:51Speaker 4: I find it depressing because I'm left wing. And what
- 52:54Speaker 4: I really want to do is remove what I see
- 52:57Speaker 4: as dangerous extremists from occupying mainstream political parties.
- 53:02Speaker 2: And surely social media amplifies that problem. I mean, I
- 53:07Speaker 2: sit in focus groups of voters a lot. And so
- 53:11Speaker 2: when I see Trump voters or swing voters, like I
- 53:14Speaker 2: don't think people who yell about the stuff on social
- 53:17Speaker 2: media all the time realize how complex and weird voters
- 53:21Speaker 2: can be and have all kinds of different feelings and
- 53:24Speaker 2: positions on issues. And I totally agree on the persuasion thing.
- 53:27Speaker 4: Just how human they can be. Just, just how like
- 53:30Speaker 4: normal human beings they can be. Um, it's, uh, and
- 53:35Speaker 4: social media, I mean, this, this would be where I'd
- 53:38Speaker 4: start to betray my political colors, possibly with a different
- 53:43Speaker 4: sort of language is just a rampantly capitalist unregulated exercise
- 53:50Speaker 4: with a tiny group of super, super rich over powerful
- 53:54Speaker 4: people with, uh, a kind of politics that makes me twitch. And, uh,
- 54:02Speaker 4: and I, I kind of, um, uh, I, I think
- 54:08Speaker 4: in some ways, one of the things, one of the
- 54:09Speaker 4: questions I keep asking myself is why, why would Woodward
- 54:13Speaker 4: and Bernstein not be as effective today as they were
- 54:17Speaker 4: back in the seventies? Why is breaking a story about corruption,
- 54:22Speaker 4: not effective in the way it used to be? That's
- 54:24Speaker 4: a complicated answer, but a big chunk of that answer
- 54:27Speaker 4: is social media.
- 54:28Speaker 2: Yes, no, I totally agree. Can you talk about how
- 54:31Speaker 2: you calibrated the level of political detail and context to
- 54:35Speaker 2: include in the movie? Was it pure storytelling decisions, or
- 54:38Speaker 2: were there some larger political landmines you were trying to avoid?
- 54:42Speaker 4: No, there were political points I was trying to make,
- 54:46Speaker 4: and I've broadly been making the points while we've been talking.
- 54:51Speaker 4: which is a kind of reaching out on what do
- 54:53Speaker 4: we agree on approach, I suppose. And also by not,
- 55:00Speaker 4: when I talk about extremism, that would go into two
- 55:05Speaker 4: different directions. I think the left are problematic, that is
- 55:09Speaker 4: to say the far left, the extremist left, are problematic
- 55:12Speaker 4: in a different kind of way to the extremist right.
- 55:15Speaker 4: But they're problematic if you want to win elections, I think,
- 55:19Speaker 4: and if you want to defeat the right, then, then
- 55:22Speaker 4: that becomes tricky, I suppose. Um, I think also, uh,
- 55:28Speaker 4: I made a set of assumptions, which is on a
- 55:31Speaker 4: point of agreement. Um, one of, one of the things
- 55:34Speaker 4: people keep saying about the film is why doesn't it
- 55:37Speaker 4: explain as it were that the sequence of events from
- 55:41Speaker 4: the present day to the start of the civil war, why,
- 55:46Speaker 4: why is that left blank? And one of the reasons
- 55:49Speaker 4: I didn't is because I don't think the reasons for
- 55:51Speaker 4: this civil war would lie between this point now and
- 55:55Speaker 4: the future. I think they all essentially lie in the past.
- 55:59Speaker 4: They are things that precede this moment, not things that
- 56:03Speaker 4: follow this moment. And in other words, they relate to
- 56:07Speaker 4: history and the way in which history is dealt with
- 56:12Speaker 4: or not dealt with. And I think that Uh, one
- 56:19Speaker 4: of the politicals sort of, I suppose it's an oblique
- 56:22Speaker 4: political statement was leaving that question deliberately in the mind
- 56:27Speaker 4: of the viewer, um, to, to contemplate that, uh, and, and,
- 56:33Speaker 4: and come to some kind of conscious or, or, or
- 56:36Speaker 4: by the way, unconscious conclusion. Yeah.
- 56:39Speaker 2: I mean, I know you've answered a ton of questions
- 56:41Speaker 2: about this and, uh, I, but I always assumed that
- 56:44Speaker 2: the big reason that you. had Texas and California on
- 56:47Speaker 2: the same side is so that the discussion about the
- 56:50Speaker 2: movie wouldn't just be a continuation of our current political debate.
- 56:54Speaker 2: And as someone who looks into the demographics of voters
- 56:58Speaker 2: and everything, I could see a situation where Texas becomes
- 57:01Speaker 2: a little bluer and it becomes more of a rural-urban divide,
- 57:05Speaker 2: which you sort of hint at in the movie as well.
- 57:08Speaker 4: And also these things change, but they change over time.
- 57:13Speaker 4: They have changed in the past and they will change
- 57:15Speaker 4: again in the future. Things are not concretized in that way.
- 57:21Speaker 4: But also I felt there was another point there, which
- 57:25Speaker 4: is that the president is presented as the extension of extremism,
- 57:29Speaker 4: which is fascism. And I'm using fascism in quite a
- 57:35Speaker 4: broad term, just authoritarian. It's not. it's not born from
- 57:39Speaker 4: the right. I mean, there are fascist theocracies, I mean, uh, or,
- 57:42Speaker 4: or fascist communist leaders as it were. And, um, so,
- 57:46Speaker 4: so what I felt was this. So if, if part
- 57:50Speaker 4: of the, the thinking behind the movie is what do
- 57:54Speaker 4: we agree on here are Texas and California agreeing. They're
- 57:58Speaker 4: saying actually our political positions are less important than this
- 58:04Speaker 4: fascist president, um, which, um, to me, in a way,
- 58:08Speaker 4: would be rational. In fact, I think it is rational.
- 58:13Speaker 4: And in the face of fascism, the thing to do
- 58:16Speaker 4: would be to agree that it's bad. And your, as
- 58:21Speaker 4: it were, your family, cultural, ideological background becomes immediately secondary
- 58:27Speaker 4: to the problems that fascism presents.
- 58:29Speaker 2: Which is why we have a Cheney on our side
- 58:33Speaker 2: here in the US right now.
- 58:35Speaker 4: And would one want to not have a Cheney on
- 58:40Speaker 4: your side. For me on the left, I'm delighted by
- 58:47Speaker 4: it because it feels like a rational voice within a
- 58:51Speaker 4: party that has entirely the capacity to be rational. Rational
- 58:58Speaker 4: thinking literally cannot just be the preserve of the left.
- 59:03Speaker 4: If you think it's the preserve of the left, you
- 59:06Speaker 4: are being prejudiced.
- 59:08Speaker 6: And.
- 59:09Speaker 4: um i do not want to be prejudiced i can't
- 59:12Speaker 4: be prejudiced because i genuinely i have right-wing friends and
- 59:16Speaker 4: it's not an affectation i am fascinated by their thoughts
- 59:21Speaker 4: and opinions and also having a beer with them they
- 59:24Speaker 4: make me laugh and i enjoy their company and uh
- 59:27Speaker 4: and what.
- 59:28Speaker 2: Of it yeah So I thought the most frighteningly realistic
- 59:31Speaker 2: part of the movie is how so many Americans are
- 59:35Speaker 2: just intent on pretending the war isn't happening and think
- 59:38Speaker 2: they'll somehow be able to avoid dealing with it. You
- 59:41Speaker 2: have characters talking about how their families are sitting on
- 59:43Speaker 2: farms pretending it's not happening. There's a scene where you
- 59:46Speaker 2: go into a town where it looks like there's no
- 59:48Speaker 2: war at all. Why did you want to make that
- 59:51Speaker 2: part of the story?
- 59:53Speaker 4: I bet for the reasons you think, which is number one,
- 59:57Speaker 4: Some people ignore everything when it's a few feet away
- 1:00:00Speaker 4: from them. And that's easy to find, right? There'll be
- 1:00:08Speaker 4: people you work with or people in your family who
- 1:00:10Speaker 4: are doing exactly that. I think there's another thing as well,
- 1:00:13Speaker 4: which is that even within conflict, there can be surprising normalcy. Um,
- 1:00:22Speaker 4: and so in other words, you can find a market
- 1:00:26Speaker 4: flourishing or sometimes the, sometimes points of the heated point
- 1:00:32Speaker 4: of conflict are not broadly slathered all over the land.
- 1:00:36Speaker 4: They are in localized and intensely dangerous areas, but some
- 1:00:41Speaker 4: places can be surprisingly unaffected. And, and a lot of people,
- 1:00:47Speaker 4: when normal life can go on. What they do is
- 1:00:52Speaker 4: continue with normal life. They will continue with it up
- 1:00:55Speaker 4: to the point that they can't. And in some respects,
- 1:01:00Speaker 4: that is an extension of the state we find now
- 1:01:04Speaker 4: not in wartime. So there's a neat line to be
- 1:01:08Speaker 4: drawn between the two.
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: No, I mean, I found that terrifying because I think
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: when people wonder, oh, could civil war happen here? you're like, well,
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: I can't imagine the entire country and two armies, like
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: the last civil war we had and going at each
- 1:01:22Speaker 2: other all the time because like, look around and yeah, well,
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: you could look around and everything could be quite normal.
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: And then a couple of cities away, something's happening. And
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: in a way that makes the continuation and the deepening
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: of the war almost more likely because a lot of
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: people are just ignoring what's happening.
- 1:01:38Speaker 4: And a lot of civil wars are not fought over
- 1:01:40Speaker 4: an issue. The Or if they are, the issue is
- 1:01:43Speaker 4: just generalized disintegration and factionalization.
- 1:01:46Speaker 2: Right, which is also scary.
- 1:01:49Speaker 4: So your civil war is not typical of all civil wars.
- 1:01:55Speaker 4: There was an incredibly clear issue and an ethical issue
- 1:02:00Speaker 4: to rally around, but that's really not always the case.
- 1:02:04Speaker 4: Different factions might have an ethical issue to rally around,
- 1:02:09Speaker 4: removing their own authoritarian leader but other ones might not. Yeah, sure.
- 1:02:17Speaker 2: I don't know if you read Ross Douthat's column about
- 1:02:19Speaker 2: the movie in the New York Times, but his basic
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: take is that he doesn't think we're at risk for
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: a civil war because the unrest we saw between the
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: summer of 2020 and January 6th hasn't continued, was a
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: product of the extreme and unusual circumstances surrounding sort of
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: a once-in-a-century pandemic, and that most Americans just don't support
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: political violence. Like we're at each other's throat online and
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: we're always fighting and we're polarized, but we just, we,
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: we don't have it in it to really be that violent.
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: What do you think of that?
- 1:02:47Speaker 4: I think that could very, very easily and likely, and
- 1:02:51Speaker 4: also hopefully be true, but. But the concept of a
- 1:02:57Speaker 4: civil war can also be a form of metaphor for
- 1:03:02Speaker 4: another kind of entrenched conflict that leads to something. And
- 1:03:07Speaker 4: the thing it leads to is people suffering, um, that,
- 1:03:11Speaker 4: that the product extremism and popular populist politics and division
- 1:03:19Speaker 4: does not only become bad and problematic at the moment,
- 1:03:23Speaker 4: people start shooting each other. It can be problematic way,
- 1:03:27Speaker 4: way before that point. Um, and so in other words,
- 1:03:32Speaker 4: it's not like everything's fine until civil war breaks out
- 1:03:36Speaker 4: division of that sort on its own right now can
- 1:03:42Speaker 4: cause problems, significant problems. It not only that it can
- 1:03:47Speaker 4: stop other problems from being fixed. So not only does
- 1:03:50Speaker 4: it bring new problems into play, it also seizes everybody
- 1:03:55Speaker 4: up where a social improvement is concerned. So, so yeah, sure. I,
- 1:04:01Speaker 4: that guy, uh, could be right. And I hope it
- 1:04:05Speaker 4: is a perfectly legitimate, reasonable point to make. But Civil
- 1:04:11Speaker 4: War isn't the only game in town. And this is
- 1:04:14Speaker 4: a movie being illustrative of a problem at its extension.
- 1:04:19Speaker 4: But the problem it's being illustrative of is broader than that.
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: So this is a movie about journalists, and you've said
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: it's about the importance of objective journalism. I talked to
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: a journalist walking out of the screening who said, she
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: was surprised because she felt that it was actually critical
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: of journalists and that the characters seemed to care more
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: about getting the story and the shot than they did
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: about anything else, even their fellow citizens and their country
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: falling apart all around them and people dying. What do
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: you say to that?
- 1:04:49Speaker 4: Well, I'd say that's a subjective response and that's typical
- 1:04:53Speaker 4: of responses to stories when you offer them up. That
- 1:04:57Speaker 4: is to say, my subjective response is that it's admiring
- 1:05:01Speaker 4: of journalists and hers is that it's critical. And, and
- 1:05:04Speaker 4: in some ways that could be the end of that exchange,
- 1:05:08Speaker 4: except I could say why I, why I think it
- 1:05:12Speaker 4: is not critical. And I think to me, it's actually
- 1:05:15Speaker 4: something quite simple, which is that number one, a journalist
- 1:05:20Speaker 4: motivation can get separated from the product of what they do.
- 1:05:25Speaker 4: So I, a journalist may well be motivated for careerist
- 1:05:29Speaker 4: reasons or just competitiveness. So their career, so, so, uh, careerist,
- 1:05:35Speaker 4: they get a promotion, competitiveness, they get a scoop that
- 1:05:38Speaker 4: doesn't lead to a promotion, but it gives them a
- 1:05:41Speaker 4: dopamine hit, right? That's just sort of life and work
- 1:05:45Speaker 4: and stuff like that. But, but the product of that
- 1:05:48Speaker 4: journalism has a societal function. Um, so as an individual, um, Uh, like, uh,
- 1:05:57Speaker 4: they may or may not, uh, demonstrate great sort of, uh,
- 1:06:03Speaker 4: I don't know, uh, moral certainty and ethical behavior and
- 1:06:07Speaker 4: stuff like that. It, it, it's, it would, it would
- 1:06:10Speaker 4: vary person to person, but that would not negate the product. Um, and,
- 1:06:17Speaker 4: and then this, so in other words, show them as conflicted,
- 1:06:20Speaker 4: show them as morally compromised. It doesn't matter. That's fine.
- 1:06:23Speaker 4: They're allowed to be those things. Just like I am
- 1:06:25Speaker 4: just like you are just like everybody is. Um, but
- 1:06:28Speaker 4: they are doing something else, which is the. In the
- 1:06:33Speaker 4: acquisition of the product for whatever reason it is. And
- 1:06:37Speaker 4: I think at times, by the way, Lee, the sort
- 1:06:41Speaker 4: of lead journalist lead photo journalist does present an ethical
- 1:06:45Speaker 4: argument about what journalists. So I would also. Listen, it's
- 1:06:50Speaker 4: not as clear as she'd like, maybe, but that's sort
- 1:06:53Speaker 4: of my stock in trade. So, okay. I think that
- 1:06:57Speaker 4: they're doing something simple alongside all of that, which is
- 1:07:00Speaker 4: showing enormous physical courage, huge, huge physical courage. And I
- 1:07:05Speaker 4: do admire that. So that is the other part of
- 1:07:09Speaker 4: the component. That's the other thing that I'm presenting. I've
- 1:07:13Speaker 4: known many journalists very well who do exactly that thing.
- 1:07:19Speaker 4: And I admire them for it. So if I present
- 1:07:23Speaker 4: that to the world or to that journalist and she says, well,
- 1:07:25Speaker 4: I don't find that admirable. I'd say, okay, well, that's
- 1:07:28Speaker 4: a difference between us. So I am, I am startled
- 1:07:32Speaker 4: and admiring of that. And you're not like that. And
- 1:07:35Speaker 4: by the way, if I put it like that, of course,
- 1:07:37Speaker 4: I'm being a bit tricksy because she probably would say, yes, no,
- 1:07:39Speaker 4: I do. Of course I admire that. I realized that I'm, I'm,
- 1:07:43Speaker 4: I'm making a point, but, um, uh, I guess. All right.
- 1:07:46Speaker 4: So there, there's my answer. I don't care if they're
- 1:07:50Speaker 4: conflicted as individuals. That kind of thing doesn't really bother me.
- 1:07:54Speaker 4: They do great work if they do it in an
- 1:07:57Speaker 4: ideological way, which is to be nonpartisan or, put another way, impartial.
- 1:08:02Speaker 4: I think that's good for news reporters to be impartial.
- 1:08:06Speaker 4: Lack of impartiality, I would attach the social media thing
- 1:08:10Speaker 4: we were talking about before. I think it's problematic with reporters.
- 1:08:15Speaker 4: And the other thing is they can be incredibly brave.
- 1:08:17Speaker 4: So what's not to admire on that? I would say.
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:08:20Speaker 4: Although I hadn't read that piece, but the, you mentioned
- 1:08:24Speaker 4: that's partly because I decided to detune from the smart
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: debate as well. Um, uh, I had read another thing, which,
- 1:08:33Speaker 4: which was talking about the journalists being cold in some
- 1:08:36Speaker 4: of their behaviors, shooting, dying people, photographing, dying people or
- 1:08:41Speaker 4: tortured people or whatever. Number one is that is something
- 1:08:44Speaker 4: that all photographers do. And need to do it. And
- 1:08:49Speaker 4: the other element of that is that I think in
- 1:08:53Speaker 4: the example that's being used, she's actually using the camera
- 1:08:58Speaker 4: to get out of a difficult situation. for she is
- 1:09:01Speaker 4: using the camera to be distracting in the moment from
- 1:09:05Speaker 4: the direction this this sequence of events could go she's
- 1:09:09Speaker 4: trying to so so i think it's not in my
- 1:09:12Speaker 4: in my mind in narrative terms it's not as it
- 1:09:14Speaker 4: was presented but anyway that's probably it I.
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: Mean, to your earlier point about social media, the movie
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: made me think that the larger incentive structure for journalism today,
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: which is very driven by, you know, that the whole
- 1:09:29Speaker 2: industry is having a tough time, and so you need clicks,
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: and you need audience, and you're also competing with a
- 1:09:35Speaker 2: bunch of amateurs on social media just spewing all kinds
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: of crazy information. And so I do wonder if, like,
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: the state of journalism right now and sort of the
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: incentive structure is... making the problem of authoritarianism worse and
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: not better. I, I think that, uh, you know, there's
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: that phrase that arrived when that book perfect storm came out,
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: which was a very good phrase because it's so, it's
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: so useful in so many, uh, sort of events.
- 1:10:06Speaker 4: If you have politicians for corrupt reasons, trying to undermine
- 1:10:11Speaker 4: journalism and you have social media, and you have journalistic
- 1:10:15Speaker 4: institutions in a state of panic about the things that
- 1:10:19Speaker 4: you just stated, uh, that's a perfect storm.
- 1:10:23Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:10:23Speaker 2: And I think that is, um, I think that's why
- 1:10:25Speaker 2: we're worried about the exact scenario that you, uh, had
- 1:10:29Speaker 2: made a movie about. Um, Alex Garland, thank you so
- 1:10:31Speaker 2: much for joining Pod Save America. Uh, everyone go check
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: out Civil War. It is a, it is an intense,
- 1:10:37Speaker 2: but important experience, I would say. Um, thanks. Thanks again
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: for your time.
- 1:10:40Speaker 4: Can I say one more thing? Sure.
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: You sure can.
- 1:10:44Speaker 4: What I wanted to say is this is I've had
- 1:10:46Speaker 4: to do an awful lot of interviews for this film
- 1:10:48Speaker 4: and I almost never get a chance to say what
- 1:10:51Speaker 4: I think for various reasons. It might be the length
- 1:10:54Speaker 4: of the interview or it might be, I'm being overly
- 1:10:59Speaker 4: cautious because not everything I say is a perfect representation
- 1:11:03Speaker 4: of what I think. Uh, because for all the human reasons.
- 1:11:07Speaker 4: I am grateful. I'm genuinely grateful that I got this
- 1:11:11Speaker 4: opportunity with you to speak more freely because, uh, it's,
- 1:11:16Speaker 4: it's just on a personal level. It's a relief. So thanks.
- 1:11:18Speaker 2: Well, thank you. It was, uh, it was a great conversation. And, um, I,
- 1:11:22Speaker 2: as someone who has been in politics, been a writer,
- 1:11:25Speaker 2: like I. I very much understood and appreciated sort of
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: all the intricacies that go into creating a story about
- 1:11:32Speaker 2: politics that does not feed into the current political debate
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: in a way that's counterproductive. So I think you did
- 1:11:39Speaker 2: a masterful job of that.
- 1:11:41Speaker 4: Thanks, man. Appreciate it. All right. Take care. Bye, Ben.
- 1:11:44Speaker 4: Please take care.
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: All right, thanks to Alex Garland for joining us today.
- 1:11:53Speaker 2: Everyone have a great weekend. Dan and I and Tommy
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: and Aaron Ryan will be at the LA Festival of
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: Books doing a live Pods of America on Sunday, and
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: you will hear that episode on Monday, and then we'll
- 1:12:06Speaker 2: have the usual Wednesday episode for you. So have a
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: great weekend, and we'll talk to you soon. If you
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