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Wednesday MLB + WNBA Best Bets 7/9/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my broins
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hat man. I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, praise, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: This is better off Ted Wednesday, July ninth. The slump
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: does indeed continue here. Yesterday gave out one play on
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: the show, and even though a bunch of my leans
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: wound up being correct, of course, the play that I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: gave out wasn't correct. With Tampa Bay or the Rays,
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: and if you'd taken them first five innings, you would
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: have at least pushed. They were winning two to nothing,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: and do I think the fourth inning, it was tied
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: to two at the end of five, and then despite
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: the fact that they had twice as many hits as
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: Detroit did in the game, they still lost the game.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, you don't see that very often at all. Man,
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: You have a you have that much of a hit
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: disparity in your favor, and you lose the game. They
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: lost four to two, never scored any more runs in
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: the game, and they out hit Detroit eight to four
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: and still lost the game four to two. I'm pissed
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: off about it, man, even though, as I continue to say,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: for now, I am not putting money on any of these,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: I am giving out recommendations as if I were betting these, though,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: so I'm not changing anything that I do with my
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: analysis or anything like that. So I'm still putting my
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: name behind and putting my record on the line. Whatever.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: And if we're tracking all of these as actual bets,
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: I would be slightly down on the year again after
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: going on with three over the last two days, even
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: though I think two of those three losses were bullshit.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: You can't do anything about it except move on, man.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: Syndrome of downs? What's up? Man, Yes, sir, Team Toad
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I like a system of a down, by the way,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: one of my favorite bands for sure. Let's just get
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: into today, man, because I don't even want to harp
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: on any of this bullshit anymore. I'll talk about the WNBA,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: even though again I don't even want to. I don't
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: want to bother with anything with the WNBA. Here today, man,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: we have the first game up at eleven am Eastern.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: For whatever reason, we have these morning games with the WNBA. Now,
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: at least on the East coast. Seattle is at Connecticut
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: playing at Mohegan. Sun gonna be doing some gambling there,
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: which probably the Sun should be doing that at this point,
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: because they are the worst team maybe in WNBA history.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: They are terrible, and Seattle's laying seventeen and a half
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: points on the road here with reduced juice. Now, the
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: numbers gone down a little bit, but they have fifty
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash coming in on them, sixty
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets on Connecticut. I mean, I don't
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: even know what to think about those numbers, Like, I
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: don't see how the public is gonna be looking at
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: this and think, oh, I want to play the Connecticut
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: Sun here. I don't think that's happening. It is possible
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: Seattle might kind of just take them lightly, though, because
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Seattle is coming off of not only beating Connecticut not
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: that long ago. In Seattle they beat Connecticut by sixteen points.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: They just came off two big games against Atlanta and
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: the Liberty, pulling off wins in both of those games.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: I believe both of them were upsets on the road. Actually,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: the I think they were slight favored against Atlanta, right
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: because I gave that one out on the show and
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: they didn't cover. Of course, the bigger of the numbers
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: that was out there. The number actually dropped, which I
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: did not expect in that So if you got the
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: shorter number or the money line, you might have been
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: able to hit on that one or push on that one.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: But now they're coming off an upset of the Liberty.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: They're playing a fourth straight road game. I just don't
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: really see this being that great of a spot to
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: be honest for Seattle here, so I would not touch
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: this game. That would be my opinion. At least Connecticut.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Of course, they're just losing every single game. I mean,
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: it feels like me right now. The slump continues for them.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: Got blown out in a couple of games recently. It
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a revenge spot for them
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: when you're this bad. I mean, there's only so much
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: you can do. But I do think the line is
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: just too high in this game, so I don't think
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: there's any value on the Seattle side there. Golden State
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: is at Indiana, and of course the big news here
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: is that this is the return of Caitlyn Clark. So
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: of course. You know, what I always tend to say
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: is when a star player comes back into the lineup
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: and they've been gone for a while, might take them
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: a little while to get readjusted to playing. You know,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: in an actual game, the team has to adjust again.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: There's like a chemistry switch that has to happen again.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: So I would lean against Indiana for that reason. I'm
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: not sure that I quite want to do it, though,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: because Indiana is staying at home and they are coming
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: off an upset loss to La which is not a
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: great game for them, although they were playing well without
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: Clark prior to that. They actually won the Commissioner's Cup,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: slaughtered the Vegas Aces after that, both of those without
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Caitlin Clark, and they beat Dallas and Becker's without Kaitlin
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Clark as well, I think, which is a hyped game
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: at the very least. Even the Dallas is not that
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: good now coming of an upset loss. Though at home
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: it is possible they kind of returned to form a
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: little bit and bounce back, But I think the Clark
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: return situation is the biggest factor here and that's going
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: to affect the line. I would look to fade Indiana.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: For that reason, I mean that would be I think
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: the strongest lean in the WNBA today would be to
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: look to Golden State to maybe get something done here. However,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: the other reason I might hesitate on that a little bit,
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: and I'm not giving this out as a play, is
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: that Golden State did beat Indiana at home not that
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: long ago, and I think did I give out a
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: play on this one? I don't remember, I believe I
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: think I actually did. I think that was when I
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: went down to Florida for Brohemian Grove. I think I
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: actually gave out Golden State as a play in that game.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: So Golden State they did beat Indiana, so Indiana might
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of revenge on their minds for
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: that reason. Golden State is playing a third straight row,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: which isn't exactly the easiest situation to be in, although
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: they have lost every game on the road trip so far,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: so for me, it's still lean against the Clark return.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Indiana's down for mate and a half to seven here,
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: so some money looks like it did come in against Indiana.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of the tickets, though, are on Golden State,
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: which again I don't buy that. I don't even think
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: that's accurate. I don't know why the public would be
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: coming in a Golden State eighty percent of the cash
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: though on Indiana looks like I'm not Again, I'm not
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: even sure that's accurate, because I'm assuming that people know
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: the big storyline Clark is coming back in Golden State.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: By the way, even though they've been playing decent basketball,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: especially for like basically an expansion team, they haven't been
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: good on the road. They're only two and six on
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: the road, so staying off of that one as well,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: Minnesota at Phoenix actually looks like it's gonna be a
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: pretty good game. This is the best of the games
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: probably that's on the slate here two pretty talented teams.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Minnesota might be the best team in the league. They
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: are laying seven points on the road here, down from
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: initial opener of eight, so Minnesota getting a lot of
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: respect from the market here in the Phoenix has a
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: pretty good record as well. Minnesota only has two losses.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: They're rolling along. They're coming off a pretty close game
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: against Chicago, so maybe Minnesota just wasn't really totally paying
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: attention in that game, and they are starting a road trip,
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: so it seems to me like it is kind of
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: a focused spot from Minnesota here. Coming off kind of
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: an easy, lackluster win there and starting a road trip,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: you kind of expect them to be focused. Phoenix. I mean,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: they're also going to be focused. Is a big game.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: Phoenix did just get a revenge win over Dallas after
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: kind of an inexplicable loss to Dallas in the prior game.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home, I mean, they're gonna show up
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: for this game as well, And though they're coming off
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: a thirty point win, you don't overlook the team with
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: the best record in the league. So that's what's going
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: on there. And then the game with the shortest line
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: is a game between two not very good teams in
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: Dallas and Chicago. Chicago's up from a pick them to
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: one point home favorite here. Dallas, of course coming up
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: that loss to Phoenix, which was a zigzag spot revenge
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: spot for Phoenix. I mentioned that as a lean on
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: the show. Probably should have given it out as a
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: play because that was an easy Phoenix win there. Dallas
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: now playing a second straight road game, having to go
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: from Phoenix to Chicago doesn't exactly look like the easiest spot.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: Dallas played Chicago twice earlier in the season, once at
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: home and once on the road, and they lost both games.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: So it is maybe a little bit of a revenge
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: spot for Dallas, but maybe Chicago matches up well against them.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: But also Dallas, they're kind of a newly formed team
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: mat with Becker's in there and some new pieces to
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: this team, So you would expect that earlier on in
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: the season they didn't really have much chemistry yet, and
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: you expect them to be a little bit better as
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: the season goes on, which kind of has been the case.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: They have started to play a little bit better. Looks
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: like there are some injury issues here with some players out.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: It looks like on both sides. That's something to keep
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: in mind. I mean, we know Vander Salute us out
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: for the season for Chicago, so that's not gonna change
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: the line here at this point. But Cardoso looks like
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: she's supposed to maybe come back in this game for Chicago,
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: which you might explain why Chicago is a slight favor
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: here because she is a big piece for Chicago as well.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know if any of these injury issues for
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: the Wings. I don't know if they're that significant because
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: I don't really know the personnel that well, but Dallas
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: does have more injury issues than Chicago does currently to
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: some extent. Even the Vander Salute is Chicago's best player
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: at this point, they're kind of used to playing without
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: her and playing a little bit better. So I don't
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: even know what to think about this game, and it
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: seems like maybe the situation sets up a little bit
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: better for Chicago. That's where the money has come in.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: But I'm not gonna I mean, I could see reasons
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: to argue for Dallas as well in that game. So no,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: thanks to the whole WNBA thing. Here, we're gonna talk,
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: of course about MLB. I'm gonna give out three full
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: game plays. I'm gonna give out some leans too that
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: are close to me plays me. I'm gonna give out
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: two totals today that are both unders because I am
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: the undertaker. Of course, didn't work out for me the
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: last time two days ago, when I took two unders
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: and they both lost. And I am gonna give out
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: a money line side as well. We have some afternoon
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: baseball to start out here, because probably some of these
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: teams are probably ending their series and they're gonna be
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: traveling some interesting storylines here with the first game up,
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: Dodgers at Milwaukee. The Dodgers, they've been playing bad baseball, man,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, their offense has actually been pretty bad recently.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: They've lost five straight games on the verge of getting
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: swept in the series. They've only scored two runs in
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: this series. They've only scored what is that eight runs
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: over the last five games combined. I mean, that is crazy,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: and they've only scored more than one run in one
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: of those games. Very bad offense right now for the Dodgers.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: But at some point you're gonna expect the Dodgers to
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: start hitting again, because obviously we're talking about one of
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: the top offenses in baseball. I mean, yeah, you're gonna
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: go through streaks where you're cold, but it's not gonna
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: last for that long. I think the Dodgers actually have
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: the upper hand here. I think they're gonna be motivated
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: because they're trying to avoid the sweep. They're trying to
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: bounce back from some embarrassing losses year. Milwaukee's probably a
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: little bit hyped up right now after a Mizierowski got
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: them a really nice performance yesterday. Again, he's the real deal, man,
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: even though he had one blip and I wasn't so
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: sure what he was gonna do yesterday. Twelve strikeouts, Yeah,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: he's probably the real deal. Milwaukee did use some of
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: their best relievers. Their bullpen's been better recently, but having
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: used their best relievers yesterday, their bullpen isn't in the
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: greatest shape. And actually the Dodgers kind of rested their
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: better relievers yesterday because they were losing the game. So
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers' bullpen, even though it's been bad recently,
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: I think it kind of evens out a little bit
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: coming into this game because of that, And I think
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers definitely have a starting pitching advantage here. I'm
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: close to I was close to recommending a play on
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers here. Man Tyler Glaso is gonna be pitching
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: for the Dodgers, and of course, as I usually tend
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: to point out, the only issue is that he's returning
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: from a long stint on the list, and when that happens,
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: you gotta worry a little bit about that pitcher man,
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: just because you don't know if they're gonna be on
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: a pitch count like I'm not really worried about how
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: well he's gonna pitch, necessarily because he's a veteran. I mean,
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: I think he's kind of used to this at this point.
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: He's definitely been injured before. I mean, unfortunately for the Dodgers,
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: they got all these really good pitchers and they're all
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: just hurt Klasno and Snell, but Glasnow is one of
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: their best pitchers. He is coming back, hasn't pitched for
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: a long time. I think the main question is how
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: deep is he gonna go into this game, Because if
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: you like the Dodgers here, and I actually do, you're
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: not really gonna want to have to deal with their
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: bullpen for that long. So maybe the Dodger's first five
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: inning play might actually look a little bit better in
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: this game. I just ignore the bullpens, even though I
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: think the Dodgers might have a little bit of a
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge, just because Milwaukee did use their top relievers yesterday.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: Klasnow had a four point five ERA one point two
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: eight WIP this season before he got hurt, which the
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: numbers weren't great. He had one really bad start at Philadelphia,
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: and then the rest of his pitching was actually pretty good.
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: I mean he was still trying to get used to pitching.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: I mean that was early in the season. He hasn't
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: pitched since April. So I don't think there's a whole
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: lot that you can take away from that. I think
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: we know he's a good pitcher. I think he's still
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: young enough. He's thirty one. At some point he's gonna
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: return mostly to form, in my opinion. I don't know
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: if it's gonna be right away, though, so that does
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: remain to be seen. He was pitching better at home,
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: with a three ERA at home. That one really bad start,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: as I said, was on the road. Looking at his
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: numbers career wise against Milwaukee, even though Milwaukee does have
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: a good offense, they're not quite as good at home,
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: He's pretty much dominated them. It's a small sample size
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: of twenty six at bats, but they have two hits
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: off him, no or one extra basitics using a home
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: run for Bowers, thirteen strikeouts, so half they're at bats
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: have resulted in the K one walk. He's home to
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: an seventy seven average and three to zero three ops
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: so Glasgow small sample size, but has dominant numbers against Milwaukee,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: and he's up against Jose Kintana, who, even though he
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: has a three point four to four ERA from Milwaukee here,
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: that ERA is going to go up at some point
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: because his whip is really bad. At one point three
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: to nine, I mean, that's pretty bad at least. He's
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: also been way worse at home five point nine to
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: six ERA. At home, he's kind of been an escape
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: artist man. He's been getting away with putting way too
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: many guys on base. He's during the month of June,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: he walked at least two when every single start he
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: had a seventeen to sixteen strike a walk ratio, which
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: is not good. Low strikeout rating, very high walk rate,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: and you can't keep getting away with putting guys on base.
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: He somehow only really gave up some runs and two
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: of those five starts, and his team won four of
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: the games behind him. I don't see that continuing. He
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: had a mediocre start last time out against the Mets. Yeah,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, I just think that it's not going to continue.
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: His ERA at four point one four in the month
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: of June, I think should have been a lot higher
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: based on how many guys he's putting on base. Kitana,
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's an old pitcher at this point, He's
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: definitely command pitcher. He doesn't blow guys away. At some point.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: These guys just kind of tail off a little bit.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Maybe the Dodgers' offense is going to return to form
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: in this game, man, when they get a good pitching matchup.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: They have a lot of experience against Kintana. One hundred
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: at bats against him, sixteen to eight strike a walk ratio,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: five home runs from five different hitters. If you want
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: some player props here, Mookie Betts is nine for thirty
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: with a home run and two walks off him. Freeman
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: five for sixteen with a home run off him, So
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: a couple of guys definitely do some damage against him.
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: Three hundred average overall for the Dodgers against him, eight
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: eighty two ohps and sixteen to eight strike a walk ratio,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: which I think already mentioned. So I think there is
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: a big pitching disparity here with Glasnow being the significantly
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: better pitcher. And really the question again, is is he
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: going to be already back and form or not? That
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: is what you kind of have to answer, and the
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: money seems to be saying yes, as the numbers up
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: for minus one to forty five to minus one fifty six,
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: laying a pretty hef road price on the Dodgers here,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of tickets, sixty eight percent of the cash on.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: The public still kind of buying it to the Dodgers.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: The money seems to be on the Dodgers as well.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: I also agree with it. I just think the price
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: is maybe a little bit too much on the Dodgers.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: If you want to play the Dodgers here, I think
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: the way to do it is to go Dodgers over
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: their team total in this game and just expect them
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: to finally bounce back and score some runs. Even though
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: I know their offense is cold. I think they should
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: be able to get to Keing Todda and then this
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee bullpen that hasn't really been that great over the
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: course of most of the season. Really, I think that's
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: probably the way to look at this. And then glasnow
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: being a bit of a question mark, you don't have
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: to really try to figure them out, so that might
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: be the best way to play this game. I do
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: still lean to the Dodgers, though, you know, you could
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: play them on the run line or something like that,
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: or a half run line, half money line player or
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: whatever something like that minus one run line whatever. Those
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: would be the leans in that game. Anna, what's up? Uh,
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: good night to you, I guess even though it is
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: more if you're going to sleep, I don't know. It's
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: actually it's early morning where you are, right. You're out
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: west somewhere, so yeah, it's uh, you're up very late though. Anna,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: all right, Toronto at the White Sox, I'm gonna give
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: out a play on this one so we get some
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: afternoon action going on here. I'm gonna give out the
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: under eight and a half full game in this one.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: I think we're okay going with the bullpens here. Everything
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: I know. The White Sox bullpen's not that good. The
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: White Sox did not have to use much of their
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: bullpen yesterday, so I think we're okay, Like they will
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: have their better relievers available for the most part if
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: they really want them. And Toronto didn't use any of
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: their bullpen yesterday because Chris Bassett pitched a complete game yesterday.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: So Toronto's bullpen is doing pretty well recently, so we
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: get their good bullpend here, so that's gonna factor in.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: Chicago's offense obviously stinks as well, so I think you
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: could also look to Chicago to go under their team
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: total in this game as well, if you wanted to.
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: But I think full game under does make sense, even
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: though Toronto has been hitting and they have been hot recently.
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: Eric pitching for Toronto and looking at this pitching matchup,
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: I think this is a sneaky under too, because the
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: public's not gonna really I mean, these are not name pitchers,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: so the public is not gonna be like, oh, I
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: want to take an under in this game. But I
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: think that's the way to go here. Eric Lauer has
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: been pretty good flying under the radar for the Blue Jays.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: Two point six five ERA, one point h two whip,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: really nice numbers. He's still been good either home or away,
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: it doesn't even really matter, has a sub three ERA
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: either way. He had a two point four to nine
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: ERA in June with a twenty five to seven strike
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio, only walking more than one guy in
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: one outing over that entire span. Toronto's actually won his
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: last six starts. He's allowed three or fewer earned runs
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: in all of them, and that was a road start
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: at Fenway Park. Other than that, he allowed two or
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: fewer and all the rest he's definitely pitching well right now. Man,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: he was going kind of shorter stints for a while,
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: but they're kind of ramping them up and he's getting
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: a starter's workload as it is now, so he's used
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: to pitching as a starter. Now he gets a pretty
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: easy offense to here. I think it's lining up decently
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: for Laer to get us a decent start here. Man.
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Numbers are good against the White Sox as well. They
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: only five hitters who have faced him before in twenty
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: nine at bats. I know it's a small sample size.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Slater has hit him well, five for twelve of the
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: home run, but other than that, not a whole lot
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: of hitting going on for the White Sox against Lauer.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: He's held them to two point seven average eleven to
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: one strikeout walk ratio, which is quite good five seventy
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: eight ohps. So lower does have good numbers against them.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: And on the other side of the hill, I think
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: people aren't gonna pay attention to Adrian Hauser either, but
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: he's quietly pitching well for the White Sox and debatably
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: is their best starter right now. One point sixty RA
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: on the season, one point one to one whip He's
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: been really good at home zero point four to seventy
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: ra at home coming off going eight innings, so he's
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: been pitching fairly deep into games. He didn't allow a
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: run in his last two starts. Granted one was against
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: San Francisco, their offense isn't that good. The last one
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: was against Colorado, shut them out for eight innings, but
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: that was at course Field at least, so he's still
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: held an opponent completely off the board at a very
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly ballpark. Eleven to three strike out walk ratio
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: over the last couple of starts twenty three to ten
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: over the month of June, which was too many walks,
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: but not too bad really. It was actually kind of
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: a low strikeout rate more than anything else. He's not
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: really a high strikeout pitcher, but overall his command has
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: been pretty decent. He's been fairly difficult to hit this season,
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: which is good. He had a two point six to
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: four June. He has not allowed more than three or
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: runs in any start all season. All of that's lining
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: up pretty well. Man and his team has won four
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: of his last five starts as well, so even though
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: he has no run support behind him for the most part,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: with the White Socks. He's pitching well enough that the
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: White Sox have won four of his last five starts,
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: and we don't need them to win here because they're
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: going with the under, so he just need to pitch.
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: We need him to pitch okay. Against the Blue Jays,
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: I think he can do that. They have forty nine
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: at batskins him. Yes, they have a fairly high two
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: eighty six average, but a somewhat low six point fifty
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: eight ohps, so the hard hits haven't really been there
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: for the dog for the almost to the dodge the
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: Dodgers the Blue Jays. Against Howser here, he's only allowed
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: one extra base hit a double. The straw five to
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: five strike a walk ratio is not that good. But overall,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: Howser's pitching well. His numbers are good enough. Against the
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays. I think we can get this thing to
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: go under the total man. We'll deal with the bullpens.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: If you want to go under in the first five innings,
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: I think that's also fine. We've seen a little bit
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: of movement with more juice on the under eight and
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: a half. I still saw it out there at minus
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: one ten, so I think that's the way to go.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, eight and a half is not really a
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: key number in baseball. I don't expect it to go
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: up to nine. So under the eight and a half
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the play in that one. The number
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: kind of in no man's laying there under eight probably
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: is not much different. Philadelphia is at San Francisco. San
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: Francisco actually took the first two games of the series,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: both very low scoring games. Sam cit has used a
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: decent amount of their bullpen in the series, but because
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Taiwan Walker was the starter for the Phillies yesterday, they
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: used a lot of their relief pitchers too, so both
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: bullpens are not really in great shape coming into this game.
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: San Francisco generally does have a good bullpen, Philadelphia not
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: so much, but both bullpens are pretty taxed coming into
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: this game. Jesus Luzardo is the starter for Philly today.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: He was really good at the beginning of the season,
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: not as good recently. Four point four to four ere
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: now in the season a pretty bad one point four
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: to seven whip. That's not good at all. He's been
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: pretty similar both home and away. It doesn't really matter.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Not a good form recently. Man He did bounce back
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: a little bit with a couple of decent starts, but
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: had another bad outing last time out against Cincinnatis. So
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: like half of his recent outings have been bad, he's
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: been struggling recently. Man. He walked three guys in two
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: winnings against Cincinnati last time out, did have four strikeouts,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: but he gave up five earned runs six hits. Not
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: a good outing at all. Man, He's not pitching well,
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: as walk number has been quite high recently. Even though
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: he is still racking up strikeouts, his walk numbers is
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: way too high right now. He's putting a lot of
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: guys on base. So I don't know if you could
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: trust Luzardo, even though he is facing a weak San
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: Francisco line up here. Up against San Francisco, they actually
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: have hit him okay in the past sixty three at
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: bats to seventy average seven hundred oh ps thirteen to
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: three strikeout walk ratio. So Lozardo plus Philadelphia's overworked and
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: not very good bullpend doesn't look great here to me.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: On the other side, I don't know if we could
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: trust Justin Verland or either man. He's not pitching well.
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's probably gonna be hanging it up pretty soon. Man.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: He's forty two right now, doesn't have a win this
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: entire season, and the part of that is because his
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: team's offense stinks. But he hasn't been pitching well either. Really,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: four point eight forty ram quite high. One point four
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: to four whip, one point four to four whip. That's
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: not good. He's been similarly bad both home and away.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter. He is coming out of a
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: bad start at the A's stadium. Maybe you give him
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a pass for that because it's
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: a difficult stadium to pitch him. But he didn't give
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: him any home runs. He just gave up a bunch
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: of hits. He did have a five to one strike
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio, which is good. His command is actually
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: still an okay this season, even though obviously his velocities down.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: His strikeout rate isn't that high anymore. He's given up
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: a few too many hits though. Man, he's been a
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: bit too hittable. San Francisco's lost his last four starts
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: against Philly in his career. He does have good numbers
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: for the most part, and one hundred and twenty one
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: at bats to thirty one average six ninety one ops
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit higher, a lot of walks though thirty
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts nineteen walks has struggled a bit with the
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: walks against Philadelphia. So I think the way to look
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: at this game is probably the over, and maybe you
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: get a little bit of value on it because the
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: series has been solow scoring, but the bullpends are not
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: in good shape here. I don't love either starter here,
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: so I think the over is probably the way to
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: look at this total sitting at eight, which is fairly low.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: I know this is a pitcher friendly park. Maybe the
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers kind of had to throw a low ish total
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: out there because of what they've seen recently in the series.
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: And San Francisco has been a pretty strong under team
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: a lot this season, but this game I don't really
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: think so. Eighty two percent to take is ninety three
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: percent of cash coming in on the over here, So
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: I think the over is the way to go here.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: I know I mentioned I kind of lean to the
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: over in last night's game that obviously didn't happen. Ray
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: actually still didn't really pitch that well. He walked a
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: bunch of guys, only made it five innings, which I
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: thought he might not be that good, just because I
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: think he's been named to his first All Star Game.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: If I'm not mistaken, he didn't pitch that well, but
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: he's still kind of escaped. So I was right about
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Hunter Brown yesterday. They'll not pitching well. So I guess
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: do with all that information what you will. That's not
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: gonna be a play for me, But I think the
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: over is probably the best way to look in that game,
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: full game on that one, Tampa at Detroit. I'm gonna
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: go with an under in this one. Zach, what's up man,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: you're early. I'm not talking about the Royals yet. Thanks
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: for hanging out, man. I'm gonna give on another under
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: Tampa and Detroit. Here the line doesn't totally look like
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: it's in agreement with me on this one because I
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: found under eight at even money. I mean, maybe you
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: can go under eight and a half. It's some a
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: little bit of a higher price, but I think eight
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: and a half eight, it's not really a huge difference
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: between the two. Not a key number. The key numbers
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: are all the odd numbers in baseball, as I always say,
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: because you need an odd number to break a tie.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: In baseball. If you look at what the market is
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: doing in this game, it looks like it's just kind
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: of sitting at eight. Although we see sixty seven percent
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: to tickets eighty eight percent of the cash coming in
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: on the over I worry about that a little bit,
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: and it looks like actually the stronger market read is
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: actually on Tampa. But I think I like the under
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: a bit better than that. Man Detroit stawn for mind
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: is one forty five to minus one forty two. Of course,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: I gave out Tampa yesterday and lost on it. Detroit
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: is the heaviest favorite in the series so far. In
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: this game, so I think maybe the professional betters are
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: just saying, well, we think there's some value on Tampa
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: as an underdog here because we think Littel can probably
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: battle Reese Olson in this game. But I'm expect need
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: to be a decent pitching game on both sides here.
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: But we do see sixty percent take it, sixty one
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Detroit with the money moving
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: against them, So there is some fading of the public
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: going on there. It looks like from some of the
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: professional money wouldn't really disagree with the Tampa side here.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: But again I'm looking at the total. We did see
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: Detroit use a couple of their better relievers yesterday to
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: finish the game off because it was a close game,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: and Flowerty pitch better than I expected, and that was
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: the part of the game that I did get wrong,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: even though he kind of got away with some stuff,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: because again I told you, Tampa out hit Detroit eight
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: to four yesterday and still lost the game. So again,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: that might be leading to some of the professional money
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: saying well, Tampa actually hit better than they looked like
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: they hit yesterday, so we'll maybe we'll see some value
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: here on Tampa Bay here. Again, I don't disagree with that,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: but I'm looking at the pitching as a whole here.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: Both bullpends are actually pretty decent. Tampa didn't use their
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: better relievers yesterday because they were losing the game towards
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: the end of it. Detroit did use their closer couple
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: with their better relief pitchers, but their bullpen isn't that bad.
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: So I think we can roll the dice here. Both
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: offenses are decent, but I will go with the under
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: in this one. Man, if you want to go under
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: first five innings, I think that's okay as well. Again,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: I would say that about Toronto Chicago as well. I
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: think you go under full game or first five inning
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: and either hopefully that works out either way. Zack Lttel
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: was pitching for Tampa. Good numbers on the season, three
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: point five ERA and one point zero seven WHIP. He's
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: been quite consistent. He's basically the same home and away.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter. Definitely pitching well recently, but also
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: he hasn't allowed more than four and runs going all
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: the way back to early April when he kind of
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: struggled early in the season Tampa. I mean it's been
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: really streaky for Lttel or for Lattel and Tampa behind.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: They lost his first five starts and they won whatever.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: This was eight starts in a row for him. Then
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: they lost three starts one one and then lost one.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: But his last start, I mean, he only allowed one
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: run in six innings five to to strike a walk
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: racer against Minnesota, So it's not like that start was bad.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: He kind of just has failed to get runs supporting
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: a few of these recent starts. He's been good overaw Man,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: his command has been good. He had a twenty three
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: to two strike out walk ratio in June had a
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: three ERA even though he did allow seven home runs
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: and he allowed another one at Minnesota, So the long
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: ball has been an issue for Litzel. That's really the
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: one problem. Twenty four home runs allowed for Litzel, So
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: that's a big problem. You do have to worry about that.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: But I mean, I was gonna say I thought most
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: of them were at home, but I am wrong about that.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: A lot of the home runs are on the road,
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: sixteen of them on the road. So yes, we do
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: have to worry about the long ball for Litzel on
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: the road. But even despite that, he's still limited the
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: damage a lot. He's hardly walking. Anybody's not allowing that
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: many hits, So I still think we can go with
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: him here. And his numbers against Detroit are actually good.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: In eighty one at bats, he has a very strong
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: twenty to one strike out walk ratio against him. He's
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: only allowed two home runs and both of them were
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: Parker Meadow, so Detroit specifically has not really hit for
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: power against him. Two thirty five batting average, five ninety
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: nine ops, so LATEL actually has done well against Detroit specifically,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: even though I know they did just see him a
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: couple starts ago, So again, that is sometimes an advantage
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: to an offense when they've seen a starting pitcher before,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: like recently. But they've seen so much of Lttel before,
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know that it's really gonna matter. And he
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: did pitch well in that start. I didn't give up
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: a home run in that one, five strikeouts, no walks,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: one on, and run a lot of five innings, so
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: he had a good start in that one. Four hits allowed. Again,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: I thought he had a lot more home runs at
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: home because Steinbrunner Field is just a weird stadium, very
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: home run conducive, which is still part of the reason
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: why he's allowing a lot of home runs. But he's
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: got to keep the home run ball in check. Man.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: But his numbers, his matchup numbers are very good against Detroit,
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: so we're gonna go with that. This is probably the
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: weakest of my three plays though, and we're going with
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Reese Olsen on the other side too. He's got good
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: numbers in limited playing times so far this year because
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: he's been injured two point eight ninety IRA one point
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: two to one whip. But when he's healthy, you look
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: at his past seasons with Detroit. He's been really good
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: for Detroit Man. He's got a two point zero one
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: home he ira this year, so he's been good at home.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: Has not allowed many home runs so though he hasn't
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: pitched that much of this season, but he's been good overall.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: Fairly high strike got right. His walk rate's been a
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: little bit high, but he has not allowed a lot
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: of hits, has not allowed a lot of home runs.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: He's not allowed more than four earned runs in any start,
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: and did that in two of his first three starts.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: Other than that, he's allowed three or fewer in all
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: of his other starts. He's allowed zero in four of
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: the last six starts, although he hasn't made it. He's
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: only made one start since he came back from injury.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: He got injured in mid May. Was pitching well when
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: he got injured. He came back in at an okay
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: start at Cleveland. But I think that was kind of
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: like a tune up. You know, you're getting your bearings back,
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: You're back in the majors. He only gave up one run.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: I know it was a weak offense that he was
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: facing with Cleveland. He was ineffision with his pitch. He
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: only went four and a third and threw eighty nine pitches.
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: He gave up six hits, which isn't that good, but
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: three strikeouts, one walk wasn't that bad. Only allowed one
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: run on a home run, So he's still pitched pretty
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: well in that game, and I think he's just gonna
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: improve because he is a pretty good pitcher man and
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: that was his first start back, so I think he
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: was maybe just kind of readjusting and whatever against Tampa.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: He does have good numbers in a small sample size
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: twenty four at bats, He's only allowed three hits and
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: two of them are Brandon low So everybody besides Brandon
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: Lowe only has one hit against him in their careers,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: one twenty five average overall three seventeen ops. Very weak
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: offensive numbers from Tampa against Olsen, So I like both
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers here. Three to two strikeout walk ratio. We're
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: gonna go under in this game, man, and hopefully we
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: avoid crucial long balls because that is the problem with Lattel.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: But he hasn't pitching well, so that's the way we're going.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: Even though it does look like the market read very
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: strong market read on Tampa and the market re desigate's
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit on the over, but I'm still going
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: under in this game. Man. Sometimes I do fade the
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: market read and sometimes it works out. I'd say it
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: works out for me about the normal amount of time.
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna trust my read on that game. Andrew,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Thank you, sir, Thanks for hanging out. Let's get to
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: five hundred, man, and then we can start monetizing this thing. Subscribe,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: you know, share the show. We're run audio as well,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: and audio is monetized, so I hope I get a
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: lot more audio listens. Man, I want audio. This is
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: not that visual of a show, so there are ad
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: reads in the audio, but we're on all the audio
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: platforms now better off Dead and then you can find
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: me on Instagram as well. Off dead better as the tag,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: but it is better off Dead there too. For short,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: I give out the same plays that I give out here,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: but I do it in a short form. JR. What's
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: up my man, everybody? Thanks for hanging out. Man, All right,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: we have Mets at Baltimore is an ESPN game for
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: some reason. Yeah, okay, that's the ESPN game of the
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: Night is We're now into the night slate of games. Here.
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know who the hell's gonna want to watch
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: this game. Baltimore did return home yesterday, and you know,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: I always talk about these return home spots being bad
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: a lot of times for the team returning home, they
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: tend to not do as well. Baltimore, I think, was
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: winning the game earlier in the game, they wound up
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: blowing it late, which of course that's very Baltimore esque
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: because their bullpen is terrible. So the Mets do have
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: a bullpen edge in this series in general. I mean,
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: they have the better bullpen, even though they hadn't been
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: doing that well as late. But Baltimore's bullpen is just ugly. Man.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: They're bad. But it is a spot where potentially Baltimore
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: is in a little bit more of a positive spot
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: to bounce back, because again, when you return home you
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: don't do well that first time out, you tend to
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: do a little bit better the second game. Although I
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: don't know that Baltimore was really distracted. When you have
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: the Mets coming to town, you're probably gonna still focus
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: on them. So I'm not even sure I like Baltimore
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: really in any capacity in this game. I don't think
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: I love David Peterson either though, but we'll get to
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: him in a minute. I just want to check the
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: bullpen you suggest day again. I went through all this
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: earlier today, but let me just make sure. Yes, a
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: lot of bullpen usage yesterday from both sides. We had
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: a lot of relief pitchers entered yesterday's game. It went
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: extras as well, went to ten innings, So both bullpens
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: are in pretty bad shape here. David Peterson is pitching
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: for the Mets. Three point one to eighty one point
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: twenty seven whip. Although I keep saying this guy's whip
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: is too high. I mean, it hasn't really caught up
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: to him necessarily yet, although he did start regressing a
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: little bit last month. He's doing worse on the road
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: four point four to four road ray, so his home
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: road splits aren't that good. Last month he did have
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: a four point five to five ERA, so it was
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: starting to catch up to him a little bit. Twenty
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: four to eleven strike out walk ratio. He's walked three
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: guys apiece in all four of his most recent starts.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: That's not good. He allowed three or more runs and
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: four of his five starts in June, which wasn't good
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: and the Mets lost all four of those starts. Did
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: have a decent starting against the Milwaukee last time. I
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: reealowed one run to a pretty good Milwaukee offense, but
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: walk three guys. So again Peterson kind of getting away
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: with it. And again a lot of it is because
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: he induces a lot of ground balls. That's how he
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: escapes by being an extreme ground ball pitcher. He gets
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: a lot of ground balls, so when he puts guys
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: on base, he can induce double plays. So he is
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: an escape artist. But still, you put guys on basement.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: If you give up like a timely hit, you're in
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: trouble man. So I still I really don't like pictures
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: that put as many guys on bassi as Peterson does.
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: His numbers are not terrific against Baltimore and thirty one
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: at bats, ten to two strike a walker is just
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: pretty good. Two fifty eight average not bad either, seven
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: to twenty two ops getting a little bit on the
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: higher side. So I still don't really trust Peterson. But
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: at this point, I don't think we can trust Sugano either.
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: For Baltimore, he's starting to struggle a lot. Man. He
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: was looking good early in the season. But I don't
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: think this is all just because of the fact that
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: he's facing liups that I haven't seen him before, and
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: of course the Mets haven't seen him befo. So as
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: I always kind of preach when a lineup hasn't seen
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: a picture before, if that picture has decent stuff, the
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: picture can have a little bit of an advantage because
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: the hitters have to kind of adjust and figure the
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: picture out. But that hasn't helped Sugano recently. Man, So
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: I'm like, well, some of his recent starts, maybe it's
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: because some teams are seeing him for the second time now,
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: but that hasn't been the case for every one of
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: his starts recently. He's had starts against teams that haven't
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: seen him before, and he's still done badly. So I
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: think maybe there's a game footage on him now. He's
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: maybe starting to tire up because he's been in Japan
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: for so long. You come over to the US, the
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: season is a little bit longer, man, we're getting towards
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: the All Star break. Sugano. I mean, he's a bit older,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: so maybe he's starting to wear down a little bit. Man,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: He's just not in good form right now for whatever reason.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: His home road splits aren't really that significant, but he
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: has been worse at home as well four point nine
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: to one ERA, so the splits are against both starters here.
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: He's given up thirteen runs in his last two starts
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: over nine to two thirds innings. Nineteen hits allowed over
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: that span of seven to two strike walk raho is
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: not that bad, but he's also allowed five home runs.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: He's been really getting lit up. He's allowed three AR
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: runs every start since June eighth on, where even though
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: Baltimore did win three of those five starts, somehow they
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: gave him some run support behind him. But he has
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: not been pitching well anymore. Man. He was kind of
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: limiting the damage, I guess because prior to his last
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: two starts he hadn't allowed more than He'll only allowed
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: more than three AR runs once all season, which was
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: decent at least, But he's really shaky his worst two
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: starts of the season, where his last two starts and
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: the last one being against Texas, is really quite damning
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: because that's not a good offense. So I don't trust
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: Sugana right now, even though the Mets haven't seen him
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: before so you know where this is going. Man, I'm
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: not gonna give it out as a play, but I
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: think the over is probably the way to look in
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: this game. The totals up from nine and a half
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: to ten. Now, so that is a high total. You
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: don't see ten very often, like in a game at
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: Camden Yards, like ten is usually what you see like
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: coursefield that as stadium. Now ten, very high total. And
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: you know the oddsmakers put out a total that high
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: for a reason. They're thinking this is gonna be a
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: high scoring game, even though we see eighty three percent
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: of tickets only sixty nine percent of the cash on
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: the over. But it would be over or nothing in
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: this game, and I think over is the way to
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: look in this game. Both starting pitchers, I don't trust
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: either of them. They're splits home versus road. Both line
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: up towards the worst of their splits. The bullpens are
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: totally wrecked right now, So I think we're gonna see
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: runs in that game. All right? Where are we at
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Seattle at the Yankees? This one's gonna be a little
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: bit interesting. The Yankees did win. They had a bad
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: losing streak going on. They lost six games in a row.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: They've now won two games in a row, and they
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: wanted to blowout last night. They got to Logan Gilbert
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: for a lot of runs, and then they actually torched
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: the Mariners bullpen. After that, Will Warren was a little
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: bit shaky. I mean, he put too many guys on
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: base again, but he somehow just got away with it. Yesterday,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Seattle did not have any timely hits. We're gonna be
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: looking at some young pitchers in this one, man, I
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: don't really I don't like either bullpen here. Really, both
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: bullpens saw some usage yesterday. I think the Yankees actually
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: saw more bullpen usage of Seattle did yesterday. Well, Seattle
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: actually only used two of their relievers. Some my mistake there.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to remember everything I just looked at. So
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: I actually probably prefer Seattle's bullpen in this game. Okay,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: I think Seattle does have the somewhat better bullpen, and
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit more rested, so we will lean
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: to Seattle's bullpen here. Yankees obviously have the better offense.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Then we got to look at the starting pitching matchup,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: which is hard to gauge. Man, we got two really
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: young pitchers here, Logan Evans is pitching for the Mariners.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: He's been decent. He's been up and down between the
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: majors in Triple A this year. He just came back up.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: He is a two point nine to sixty RA one
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: point two to five whip on the season when he
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: has been up, which isn't bad. He's been a little
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: bit worse on the road though. Three point six' Eight
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: Roady ray and he's having to face The yankees in The,
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: bronx which is obviously not that easy to. Do doesn't
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: put up a lot of, strikeouts but he hasn't been
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: putting a lot of guys on, base so that's a good.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: Thing and he doesn't walk that many. Guys he doesn't
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: allow that many, hits so he does not allow a
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: lot of. Damnage he hasn't allowed more than four earned
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: runs in any start this. Season he came back from
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: the miners after LIKE i think he was in the
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: minors for about a, month came back up and he
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: shut Out Kansas city for five and two. Thirds decent,
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: start but Again Kansas city's offense is very, bad but
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: it was still still it's a good sign that he
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: pitched well in that, game So evans may actually have
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: the ability to do well here against The. YANKEES i,
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Mean evans is still a pretty decent young, pitcher although
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: he doesn't blow guys, away so he doesn't have strikeout,
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: stuff so that's the one thing you got to be
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit concerned. About but if he's able to
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: not allow a lot of hits or a lot of,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: walks he has something going on for, him and he
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: might be able to fool a major league offense that
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: hasn't seen him, before even though it is a Good yankees.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: Offense he may have the upper hand early on because
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: The yankees haven't seen him. BEFORE. Jr what's, up? Man?
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: YEAH i, mean, obviously as A Red sox, FAN i
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: am not. Sad and when The yankees going to losing,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Streak toronto overtook them in The Al. East BUT i
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: think The yankees are still gonna win The Al, east.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean The yankees have one of the best
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: run differentials in, baseball SO i think The yankees are
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: still gonna wind up winning the. Division yankees are getting
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: some of their pitchers back soon. Too heal looks like
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: he's coming, back and he was a pretty good starter for.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: Them last, Year so they're gonna be able to put
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: him in the rotation and knock out like What Will
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: warren or one of those other guys. There speaking of
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: The yankees, starters they Have Cam schlittler pitching. Today schlitz
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: reminds you of beer or. SHITS i GUESS i don't even.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: Know maybe he will be the. SHITS i don't, Know.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Schlitler he's an interesting. Pitcher. Man he's making his major
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: league debut. Here he's a young. GUY espn get getting
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: the head shots up there earlier, now, man so they
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: getting those. Up he's a local guy From, walpole mass
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: and he's pitching for The. Yankees you fucking, trader, man
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: you trade A the fuck is wrong with, Dude Benedict
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: shitler over? Here? Shitler that almost sounds Like. Hitler that's not,
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: good all, right shit, SHIT i must say shitl. SHIT
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: i keep Saying. Shitler. Schlittler oh, Man i'm gonna call
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: Him shitler from now on, though especially because he's a
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: trader to the cause Of. Massachusetts, man he's making his
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: major league. Debut he is a tall, guy six six
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: on the. Mound if you look at his scouting, though
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: he doesn't have a lot of diversity in his. Pitches,
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: man he mostly is a fastball. Pitcher he throws mid
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: nineties for the most, part which is. Good he has
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: the ability to strike guys. Out his strikeout rate has
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: been good in the. Minors he's pitched between DOUBLE a
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: And TRIPLE a this. Year HIS era And TRIPLE a this,
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: YEAR i, believe was like in the, threes and he
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: had a one point two, whip which isn't that. Bad
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: and he had like way more strikeouts than in his,
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: pitch which was. GOOD i had a little bit of
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: a high walk, rate so he gets a little bit.
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: WILD i think really it's his breaking stuff that he
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: has difficulty, commanding BECAUSE i guess his second best pitch
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: is like a slider or a sweeper that is another,
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: fastball but it's a move moving fast AND i guess
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: he has a little bit of trouble. Commanding and THEN
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: i guess he does throw a, curve but has a
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: little bit of trouble commanding that either or commanding that as,
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: WELL i should. Say AND i guess he occasionally tries
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: to mess around with like a change, up WHICH i
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: guess is not a very good pitch that he doesn't
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: use very, often so he's Mostly really he's almost like
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: a two pitch maybe three pitch, guy which isn't that
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: great for a starters. Profile so we'll see what he's
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: able to do. Here but of course he is facing
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: A seattle lineup that's, okay but it's A seattle lineup
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: that obviously has never faced him. Before so we're gonna
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: see what these pitchers can. Do, man it's two young
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: pitchers in this, one SO i, mean possibly an undermake
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: sense of this. GAME i MEAN i wouldn't bank on, it,
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i mean The oddsbeaker's put on a total in
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: nine and a half for a. REASON i, MEAN i
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Know Yankee stadium is a hitter friendly ballpark as, well
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: which is part of the reason why the total is that.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: High seventy seven percent tickets eighty eight percent of the
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: catch on the, over so the over is, public but
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: seems like the expectation is probably there will be runs.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: Here if you did go, UNDER i would limit it
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: to the first five innings and just the starters, here
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i don't think we want to deal with The
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: yankees bullpen in the. State looks like The yankees moved
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: up for minus one forty to minus one fifty, six
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: which that might have been because of a change in
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: the starter, man Which I'M i should have mentioned that
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: two days, ago by the, way WHEN i mentioned that
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: the line had tanked On houston like Towards, cleveland WHICH
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: i got that right about the lean On. Cleveland but
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: the reason the line moved so significantly was Because Hunter
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: brown was actually originally slated to start that game and
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: he got pushed to yesterday instead of two days. Ago
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: so that was Why houston dropped like fifty points in the,
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: line fifty cents in the. Line that was WHY i
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: wasn't all professional money coming in In, cleveland EVENOUGH i
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: do think professional money still came in A cleveland in
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: that game as, well BUT i didn't realize that at the.
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: Time so that was the reason for such a significant.
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Move and in this, game maybe The yankees had a
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: different scheduled starter, here which is potentially why the line
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: moved up for minus one forty one fifty. Six but
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: it looks like the actual money is coming in against
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: The yankees seventy three percent of tickets on. Them The
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: yankees are always gonna be public for the most, part
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the, cash so it looks like
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: the actual money is fading, them and it actually looks
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: like kind of the stronger lean, here so maybe the
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: professional money is kind of, like, well we're gonna go
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: With evans here because he's the more experienced pitcher at
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: this point at, least and we kind of know what
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: we're gonna get out of. Him And seattle probably has
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: the bullpend that's in the better, shape so that's probably
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: the reason for. It Grabbing seattle at an underdog price
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: like that seems like maybe a decent price for That
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: red Turn. Coode, yeah that's, right, Uh cam Schlittler. Man
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: speaking of The Red, sox they are Hosting. Colorado The
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Red sox have had an easy go of into the
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: series so, far winning nine to three and ten to,
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: two bombing this historically Bad colorado. Team maybe The Red
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: sox will win him losing a, GAME i don't, know
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: but obviously you know they're gonna be a heavy favorite again.
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: Here Red sox won five games in a row against
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: bad teams Though Washington Colorado Brian bao actually had a
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: complete game with double digit strikeouts, yesterday So BAO i
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: might have to start admitting That bao is actually starting
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: to pitch, better, man Because i've complained about him so
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: much because he puts so many guys on. Base but we'll, see,
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: man BECAUSE i Know colorado's offense is just absolutely. Abysmal
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: so maybe there's not that much that we can read
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: into that start From bao. Yesterday but he still is
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: pitching better, Recently so Maybe beao is actually going to
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: be better than what he has been. Doing at, LEAST i,
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: MEAN i don't think he's gonna be, great but at
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: least he's pitching a little bit. Better But bo is
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: not pitching. Today we're looking at a Bad. Colorado a bullpend,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: Here Red sox bullpen that didn't even have to enter
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: the game yesterday Because bao had a full, game a
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: complete game. Yesterday so The Red sox have the bullpen
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: advantage in this. Game, obviously they probably have the starting
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup as well here because Sends tellas on the
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: mount from The. Rockies he hasn't been. Good six point
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: five SEVEN, rra one point Nine whipies Maybe colorado's worst,
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: starter and he's been pretty much bad both home and,
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: away very similar, stats so it's not even just course
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: field that's been. BAD i, MEAN i don't even THINK
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: i need to go into his recent. Pitching it's just
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: all bad pretty. Much he's coming off a mediocre start
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: against The White, sox but again it's The White. SOX i,
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: mean The White sox are one of the least talented
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: offenses in. Baseball so And colorado actually still lost that,
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: game SO i don't think there's anything you really take
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: away from. That he had a four to one strike
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: a walk Race shio allowed three or in, runs seven
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: hits in five to two. Thirds that's not that. Great.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: Uh the previous month In judy had eleven to fourteen
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: strike a walk, ratio which is. Awful even though The
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: rockies somehow won three of his five, starts he was
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: not pitching well at. All more walks and strike cuts
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: is very. Bad The Red, sox, though have never seen
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: sins Of tello, before SO i don't know how much
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: of it of an advantage that gives, him, though because
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: he is not a good. Pitcher toro is the only
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: only hitter who's ever faced him, before and he's zero
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: for two off. Him other than, That Red sox are
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: completely new To. Senzetela But he's just such a bad
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: pitcher man That i'm not expecting much out of. Him
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: he's up Against, gialito who's actually starting to pitch well
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: for The Red sox three point six six THE ra
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: one point two eight. WHIP i was complaining about. Him
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: he was awful when he was first starting to pitch.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: Men he still has really bad home numbers because of
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: those bad starts at home a little while ago five
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: point eight three HOMEY, ra but he's been pitching much
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: better as of. Late The Red sox have won five
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: of his last six starts three point FOUR era and
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: twenty five to eight strike at walker ratio in the
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: month Of, june including three starts at. Home he was
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: really bad in the first one Against, anaheim but he
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: also was good Against tampa And toronto in his last
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: two home, starts so he's starting to get better at.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: Home he didn't even allow a run in either of those,
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: starts so he is starting to pitch better at home as.
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: Well and that those numbers THAT i gave out In
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: june included that start where he got bombed Against. Anaheim since,
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: then he's been really. Good he's only allowed any runs
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: in two of the last five, starts hasn't allowed more
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: than two hour runs in any of those. Starts his
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate has gotten a little bit. Higher he's pitching
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: well right, now, man So giolito's in much better. Form
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: he's facing a Weak colorado offense, here and they actually
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: haven't seen that much of him. Before they're only one
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: for five lifetime off in three, strikeouts two, walks which
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: are Both ryan McMahon overall two hundred average seven hundred oh.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: Ps SO i do think The Red sox have the
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: starting pitching edge in this game as, well and the
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge and the offensive, edge hence The Red sox
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: being a huge favorite. HERE i, mean The rockies are
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: just historically, bad BUT i don't think you can lay
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: a price like this on The Red, sox so this
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: is just a complete stay. Away The Red sox up
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: for minus two eighty to minus two ninety five ninety
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: take his ninety nine percent of cash coming in on.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: THEM i, mean if you want to look to something
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: in this, GAME i would probably be leaning To colorado
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: going under their team total and just not scoring a
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: lot in this, one because it looks like the money
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: is coming in quite heavily on the, under so kind
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: of expecting lower scoring in this. One So colorado under
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: the team total might make more sense rather than trying
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: to go with The Red sox to go over their
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: team total and deal with a pitcher Than i've ever seen.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Before so that might be the better way to look at.
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: It miami At. Cincinnati cincinnati is not playing well right,
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: now four losses in a, row and they got absolutely
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: bombed By miami yesterday twelve to. Two so a trade
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: deadline's coming, up, MAN i believe the trade deadline. Is
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: is it? Today i'm, worried, man because there's their. Rooms
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: The Red sox are going to Trade, duran AND i
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: really hope that they don't because he Is he does
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: not mince words with His He he throws out a
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: lot of. Slurs. Man he does. That he, handles. Dude
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: he handles like the worst shit coming from. Fans he
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: handles it well in my, opinion and especially from fans
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: of the opposing. Teams he's one of my favorite. PLAYERS
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: i have A duran jersey and he's also a fellow
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: a suicidal Man, Duran so, man, DUDE i MEAN i
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: got a lot in common with this. Guy so The
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: Red sox better not Trade duran. Anyway. Cincinnati we'll see
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna try to be buyers or excuse, me The.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: Marlins we're gonna see if they are buyers or sellers
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: at the. Deadline BUT i don't think it's oh SO
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: i thirty, FIRST i thought it was this, week all,
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: right because people were acting like it was gonna happen.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: TODAY i thought it was before The All Star. Game
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: maybe all. RIGHT i Guess i'm wrong about. That so
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: it's the end of the, month so we'll see what.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: Happens SO i don't know what The marlins are gonna, do,
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: man because The marlins have been, hot but do they
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: really think they have a. CHANCE i don't think they.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: DO i mean The. MARLINS i know they put up
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: twelve runs, yesterday but this is a hitter friendly. BALLPARK
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: i think it's still kind of a fluke The. Marlins
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: even with this good recent, performance The marlins still have
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: like one of the worst five offenses in all of.
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: Baseball So i'm still not eyeing The. Marlins. MAN i
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: think The marlins have some good starting pitchers right, now
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: young pitchers that fly under the. Radar BUT i think
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: that IF i think they're probably, gonna if, anything have
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: to sell at the deadline and maybe sell, one maybe
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: one of those young. Pitchers, Anyway cincinnati's been playing, awful
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: but maybe after, yesterday maybe they'll bounce back after such
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss twelve to two to one of the
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: worst teams in. Baseball there wasn't a ton of bullpen usage.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Year The mariners are excuse The. Mariners The reds just
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: kind of Let Nick. MARTINEZ i THINK i Said mariners
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i Saw martinez his name. Here it's the way
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: my mind. Works The, REDS i think they just they
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Left martinez to The. Wolves. MAN i think they realize
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: the game is over and they just said, whatever and
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: let's not use our bullpen when we don't have to
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: hear the game's. Over so The reds saved their. BULLPEN
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: i think they have the better bullpen over The. Marlins,
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: marlins by the, way gone another pretty good start From
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: Uri perez, yesterday so he's starting to pitch, Well so
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: something to keep an eye on. There marlin have a
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: contra pitching, today and he's been pitching a little bit
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: better recently, too even though his numbers are awful on the.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: Season seven point oh ONE era one point four for.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: Whip that's not. Good. Obviously HIS era on the road
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: is abysmal nine point nine to, five AND i know
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: he's pitching in a very unfriendly uh pitching park, here
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: a very hitter friendly. Park his last two, starts he's
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: given up a lot of. Runs he's given up twelve
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: runs and twelve innings on fifteen. Hits but he's had
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: an eight to one strike a walk ratio of that,
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: span so his command has actually been good and he
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: didn't really allow that many, hits so it's like he
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: kind of got. UNLUCKY i really think of those last two,
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: starts and it was against good Offenses arizona And milwaukee
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: At Chase, field which is a hitter friendly, park ALTHOUGH
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: i know this also IS Uh cincinnati. Here milwaukee is
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: actually good on the, road so that was kind of
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: the issue. There they hit well on the, Road SO
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: i don't think A contra's pitching that. Badly he did
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: have a twenty three to five strike a walk right
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: In june four point three FOUR. Era it was better
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: than what he has been. Doing i'm taking those last
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: two starts with a little bit of a grain of.
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: Salt based on the strike a walk numbers and such.
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: LIKE i don't think those starts are actually as bad
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: as the amount of runs that he gave, up and
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: he has good numbers against The reds in his career
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: in forty two at, bats eleven, strikeouts one. Walk hayes
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: does have a home run off, him but not a
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: whole lot going on other than that one ninety batting
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: average allowed in five nineteen. Ops so maybe All contra
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: will actually do well in this. Game and he's going
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: up Against Cincinnati's Andrew, abbott who has been their best
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: pitcher this. Year it should Be Hunter, green But Hunter
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: green has been injured most of the season, man SO
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: i Like Hunter green a. Lot But abbot's been pitching.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: Well two point one FIVE, era one point zero nine.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: Whip he's been really good both home and. Away the
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: numbers are almost the. Same had a bad start last
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: time out WHERE i gave Out cincinnati's a play in that,
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: game And luzardo got torched in that game, too So
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: cincinnati still won the, game WHICH i THINK i was
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: still right about that. Game abbots still all Pitch bazarroo
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: even Though abbot didn't do well at. All it's a
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: tough environment man to go To philadelphia and have to
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: face that really good. Offense abbott didn't do, well BUT
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: i think it was more of a fluke than anything.
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Else he gave up four runs and three and a
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: third didn't walk anybody two strikers. Did he gave up nine,
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: hits so he did get hit pretty. Hard but the
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: prior month In june two point TWO era twenty three
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: to four strike a walk. Ratio that last start was
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: his worst of the. Season he only allowed more Than
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: he only allowed four or more runs and two other
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: starts on the, season and he went deeper into those
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: starts and one was that course, field so they can
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: kind of give him a pass for that as, well
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: just because of the pitching. ENVIRONMENT i Think abbott should
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: do better in this. Game but his numbers actually aren't
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: good against The, marlins although it's only in twelve at.
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: BATS i don't know how much you can really take
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: away from these, numbers but they do have two strikeouts
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: and five walks against. Him hill as a home run
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: four RBIs against possibly A Grand slam because it doesn't
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: look like he's reached at any other point against. Him
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: they have a four to seventeen average one fifty five
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: ohps Against. Abbotts So abbott specifically has been bad against The,
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: marlins but it's a small sample size and The marlins
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: offense isn't that, Good So i'm not ready to say
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: That abbot's gonna do bad. HERE i, MEAN i think
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: is like looking at what he's done on the, SEASON
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: i think is the better way to look at. This
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it is coming in On cincinnati up,
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: well they have seventy three percent takes ninety six percent
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: of the. Cash money line's gone down for minus one
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: forty eight to minus one at thirty seven, though so
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: initial money line moved Against, cincinnati but the cash tricks
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: gets coming in On cincinnati and money also it's coming
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: in on the, over maybe Because abbot's matchup numbers aren't,
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: good because his last start wasn't. Good it's a hitter friendly.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: Park the totals at eight and a half right, now
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: juice to the over, Now and BECAUSE i Guess, Miami
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: i'll CONTRA i, mean has gotten blown up in his
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: last two, starts and maybe that's kind of why the
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on the. Over i'm not quite SURE
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: i agree with that. Though I'M i, mean this is
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: a game THAT i really don't have a good read,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: on So i'm not gonna even give it a lean on. That.
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Jr thanks for the, repost. MAN i keep thinking that
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: says reported instead of, REPOSTED i should say. Retweeted, man
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: bring back the name, tweet bring back twitter. Verbiage, Man i'm,
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: like you're reporting my stream no just BECAUSE i said
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: The hitler thing About, SHITLER i don't Know. Schlittler cubs
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: are At. Minnesota minnesota actually surprising blew out The cubs
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: yesterday eight to. One that is not SOMETHING i expected.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: Yesterday it wasn't Really imanaga's. Fault he only gave Up
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: tour in. Runs he wasn't that bad a. Though he
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: only struck out one, guy so he didn't have his greatest,
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: stuff although he worked through. It And chicago's bullpend got
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: absolutely blasted against a pretty Bad minnesota, offense which is
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: kind of. Surprising but what we're looking at here now
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: is THAT i don't think either bullpen is in great
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: shape coming into this, game, man so that is something
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: to keep in. Mind minnesota's bullpend hasn't really been that
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: good recently, either SO i don't like either bullpen coming
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: into this. One as far as the, Starters Kate horton
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: hasn't really been that good for The cubs four point
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: one FIVE, era one point three eight, whips so likely
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be going to their bullpend a little bit
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: early in this. Game he's been really bad on the
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: road six point Eight Roady. RAY i know he's, young
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: but he hasn't really been that. Effective he's coming off
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: of a seven in he shot out Against, cleveland so
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: his last start was, good but it Was. Cleveland their
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: offense is, terrible and then the prior start Against houston
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: he got bombed for seven. Runs he had a couple
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: of bad starts in a row prior to, that So
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: i'm not ready to say he's in good. Form five
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: to two string A walker issue Against cleveland was, okay
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: seventeen to ten in the month Of. June not very
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: good five point four to seventy ra In. June, No Sir.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: Jr do not report, it no, way, man don't get
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: me canceled. Anyway, Yeah, HORTON i would still say he's
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: in bad. Form. Man i'm trying to think of Another
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: Scott horton joke to make right, now BUT i Think
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: i've run out of. Them The twins have never seen him,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: before of, course Because horton's a young guy who's very
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar to these opposing. Lineups But horton's just not pitching that,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: well SO i don't really know how effective he's really
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: gonna be. HERE i Prefer minnesota's Starter David festa, here
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: even though his numbers aren't good five point four to
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: eighty r a one point three to six. WHIP i
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: Think festa has a higher ceiling. Man he's a better strikeout.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Pitcher his strike out numbers are starting to kind of
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: come to. Fruition he had a twenty three to ten
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio In. June that number of walks
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: is way too. High six home runs. Allowed that was too,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: Many so he is allowing too many home. Runs he's
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: walking too many, guys so he has to kind of
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: settle down. Man his last start was, good although it
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: was Against, well it was decent Against. Miami he had seven,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: strikeouts one, walk gave up four. Runs BUT i think
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: he got unlucky in that one because he only gave
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: up five hits and six innings one, Walk so most
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: of the guys he put on base came around to,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: score which usually is not what you. SEE i think
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: he gave up kind of an untimely home run in that,
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: one although it's a Bad miami offense that he faced.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: There AND i, know LIKE i, Said festa has had
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an issue with the long ball,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: Recently so we'll see what we can get out Of festa.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: Here cubs have actually seen him before and they've done
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: fairly well against. Him in fifteen at bats three thirty
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: three average one thousand and forty two o. Ps Carson
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: kelly is three for five of the home run and
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: six RBIs and a double against, him so he's done
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: specifically well against. Him, again if you want to go
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: hits plus runs plus RBIs on some hit or, props
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: Maybe Carson kelly would be a guy you might get
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: a decent number on, him because he's not a very
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: well known. Hitter, overall festas a lot of three thirty
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: three average one thousand and forty two o ps to The,
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: cubs who do have a good. Offense SO i don't, know,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: man maybe we just shouldn't trust either pitcher in this.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: Game minnesota is taking the, money so it is a
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: strong market read On, minnesota up from minus one of
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: four to minus one, thirteen seventy one percent of the
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: cash on, them eighty four percent of tickets on The.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: Cubs so The cubs are very public And minnesota is
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: looking like an anti public home. FAVORITE i think we're
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: kind of Expecting horton plus The cubs bullpend to not
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: do very well. HERE i would probably limit it to
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: first five innings, though BECAUSE i really don't Like minnesota's bullpend.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: Either minnesota money line first five innings maybe is worth
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: a look. Here total's gone up a little from nine
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: to nine and a, half even though the cash looks
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: like it's on the under sixty two percent tickets seventy
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on the. Under i'd be
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: leaning towards an over in this game, too looking at
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: the state of the bullpen's not being that, great not
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: really trusting either. STARTER i think we could see, runs
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: AND i mean the totals high for a, reason we
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: don't see totals that high in that Many minnesota games
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: because their offense isn't that. Good so that's kind of
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: the way THAT i look. There pittsburgh AT. KC i
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: mean this to. Me on the, surface it looks like
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: it's an under. Game to, me is a city actually
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: on a nice little three game win streak. Here they
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: won again yesterday Against. Pittsburgh pittsburgh is starting to fail
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: again And pittsburgh has been pretty bad on the road as.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: Well not a whole a lot of bullpen usage from
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: either teams, yesterday so, again could be looking towards an under.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: Here The pittsburgh's bullpen is not very. Impressive Kansas city's
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: bullpen is pretty, good but still looking towards an UNDER
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: i MEAN i should SAY i would still be leaning
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: towards an under here looking at the starting. Pitching Bailey
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: falter having a good season for The pirates and kind
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: of flying under the radar Because skeens always gets all the.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: Hype three point six ninety ra For, falter one point
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: one to eight whip not. Bad he's been worse on
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: the road, though four point two Eight roady. Ra i'll
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: give up three on runs in his last downing At,
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: seattle which is not great because that's not a very
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: home run conducive, Park but it could be a little
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: bit of a. Fluke the previous GAME i think might
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: have been rained shortened or something because he only lasted
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: one to two thirds. Innings he wasn't doing great and
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: that started against The, mets but it didn't seem like
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: a reason to take him out of the. Game but,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: Overall falter, WELL i don't know what to think About
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: falter because In june he actually didn't pitch, well even
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: though The pirates won four of his five. Games he
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: had a really bad eleven to ten strike a walk,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: ratio low strike got, rate very high walk. Rate he
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: allowed too many hits as, well had a five point
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: one FOUR era over that. Span his start last time
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: out Against seattle wasn't really that much of an. Improvement
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: SO i don't Like falter's recent. Form But Kansas city
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: has not seen much but only two of their hitters
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: have seen before twenty one at. Bats they have a
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: two point thirty eight average against the six oh six,
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: Ops SO i don't really know what we're gonna get
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: out Of falter. Here. Man he might be able to
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: Fool Kansas city's offense because they are a weak offense
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: and they really don't have a whole lot of experience against,
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: him and he has been good throughout most of the,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: season BUT i don't Love falter just because he's not
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: a good recent. Form he is, faltering SO i don't
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: love that he's up Against chris Bou, bitch who was
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: having a good season two point three SIX era one
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: point one to five. Whip the issue THAT i have
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: With Boo bitch is a thing THAT i talked, about, yeah.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: YESTERDAY i believe he was just named to his First
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: All star, team so he is gonna be on The
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: All star team for The American league coming up this. Weekend,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i pointed this out, Yesterday and when you have
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: a young guy who gets named to his First All star,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: team it's a big. Deal and if they have a
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: start during that, window there a lot of times they
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: don't do well in that. Start, man getting named to
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: The All star team is a. Distraction you, know you're
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: having your name out, There you're feeling a little bit,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: overconfident maybe you're having to do. Interviews you're looking ahead
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: to maybe pitching in The All Star, Game so sometimes
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: you don't focus on that game that's. There, man especially
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: against a weak opponent that you already beat. TWICE i
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: think Like, PITTSBURGH i mean not really an opponent you're
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: gonna really fully focus. On SO i don't know if
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: we Trust Boo bitch here. Either he's been good home
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: and away athough little bit less good at home with
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: a two point six to three HOME. Era he's been good.
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: RECENTLY i, mean, uh thirty one to nine starting a
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: walk rassure In june was pretty, good even though he
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: did have a four point two to THREE, era so
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: his numbers were getting a little bit. Worse but his
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk numbers was still pretty. Good a three to
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: one strake out walk ration his last. Time he went
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: seven innings only give up three runs At, arizona which
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: is pretty. Impressive that's a Good arizona offense, there and
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: they're pretty good at, home and he did well there
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: against a good. Offense his numbers are good Against pittsburgh as.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: Well twenty two at, bats five, strikeouts no walks against,
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: them only one extra base, hit a double from fam
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: who is one of their better. Hitters one to eighty two,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: average four to nine. Ops So boobach does have good
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: numbers Against. Pittsburgh BUT i have my hesitations, here. MAN
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: i do still somewhat lean to the under because we're
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: looking at bad offense this. Year we're looking at two
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: starters that have had good, seasons but, again falters in
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: bad form right, Now, BOOBACH i don't think it's a
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: great spot for him looking ahead to The All Star,
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: games SO i have to stay away from this. Game
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: totals up from eight to eight and a, half so
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: that's some significant movement on the over although he see
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: sixty sixty nine percent of tickets ninety two percent of
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: cash on the under conflicting market indicators there And Kansas
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: city is a pretty big home, FAVORITE i, mean Because
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh is just that bad, really SO i don't, KNOW
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: i don't really have much of a feeling on the side.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: There pittsburgh is a major league farm. Team, WELL i,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: mean they do have one of the best pitchers in
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: baseball With Paul, skans and they're probably gonna have to
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: trade them away at some, point Which i'm not gonna
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: like unless he goes he has to go to a
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Non yankee. Team, man that's the, thing BECAUSE i don't
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: want to have to burn my. Skiings Jersey washington At Saint.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: LOUIS i talked about this game, yesterday, man And Saint
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: louis was returning over from a road, trip so it
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for. Them, WASHINGTON i thought might
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: be a little bit pumped up because they fired their
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: manager and now they have interim Manager Miguel cairo there
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: and a lot of times when you have an interim
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: manager who is a former player that played fairly recently like,
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: that sometimes the hitters will or the team will kind
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: of respond to that. Guy. More washington didn't exactly play poorly,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: yesterday BUT i just really didn't like the pitching matchup
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: For washington, yesterday And Saint louis did still get the
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: win four to. Two, Uh Saint louis does have the
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: better of the two bult. Ends washington's bullpend is just,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: Terrible BUT i think it evens out a little bit
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: because After Sonny gray got the through five innings yesterday
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: and pitched, okay the bullpen had to finish the game.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: Off so The cardinals used all their best relievers, yesterday
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: so the best relievers are not going to be available
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: for The cardinals, here so that kind of evens out
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: the bullpen. SITUATION i Think washington does have the better
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: starter on the mound today With Mackenzie gore. Pitching he's
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: got a three point one one one point two to One.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: Whip good numbers on the, season hold, on let ME
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: i bring it up in a new tab. HERE a
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: little bit worse on the road, though three point seven
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: to Four Roadie, ray though that's still. GOOD i don't.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: Know Did gore get named to The All star team?
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: Too i'm not SURE i forget if he did or
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: if he. Didn't Because gore might be seeing his First
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: All Star game, two so that's something to look. At,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: man if he's looking at his First All star, game
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: he might be a little bit distracted here. Too for that. Reason,
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: overall he is having a good. Season had a two
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: point nine to three year are In june twenty eight
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: to nine strikeout walk. Ratio this is kind of what
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: he does man high strikeout, rate but high walk. Rate
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: but the walk rate has been a little bit too
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: high the last three. Starts he's walked eleven guys over
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: the last three starts with twelve. Strikeouts that is not
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: a good. Ratio so even though he allowed two and
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: one are in run in the last two starts and
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: five to start before that at The, dodgers which you
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: can give him a pass for that because The dodgers
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: are a good hitting. Team or they were at least back.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: Then gore still is not in the greatest form right now,
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: Either SO i do worry About gore for those. Reasons
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: and his numbers are actually really bad Against Saint louis.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: Too in fifty eight at bats three ninety seven average
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: one thousand and one to thirty five ops and a
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: pretty substantial sample, size so that's not good good four
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: different hitters have seen him. Before if you want some
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: player props, Here Man aronato four for nine of the
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: home Run contreras eight for thirteen of the home run
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: win is three for eight with a home, run so
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: some guys do hit him really. Well three ninety seven
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: hours one thousand and one thirty five ops is. BAD
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: i THINK i mentioned that already eleven to eight strike
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio is also. Bad if we're looking for
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: a spot For gore to not do, well could be
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: a game like, this even THOUGH i Think washington might
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: be a little bit pumped for their new manager. There
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: BUT i don't really Like Andre polante. Either. Man he's
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: got a four point ONE era one point two eight
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: whip For Saint louis here worse at home slightly four
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: point two FIVE era is coming up a seven, inning
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: one hit shutout Against, pittsburgh Though pittsburgh's offense is really,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: bad maybe pitching a little bit better as of Lateon
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: over his last five, starts he loved three or fewer
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: earned runs at all, five going at least five innings
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: in four of the, five and pitching well when those,
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: starts including one against The cubs where he didn't do that.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: Bad so he's been a little bit better. Recently but
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: he does give up a lot of hard, contact so
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: that is something to worry about with. Him eighteen to
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: six strikeo walker, ration four point nine ONE era overall In,
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: june which wasn't that great Against. Washington he does have
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: good numbers, though in forty at bats a pretty decent
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: sample size year one extra race hit allowed a double
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: To Garcia, junior ten to three strang a WALK raceio
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: two twenty five average five twenty nine oh. Bs so
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: looking at the matchup, NUMBERS i actually Think polante actually
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: has the edge here man in the starting pitching. Matchup
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in At Saint, louis AND i
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: don't necessarily disagree with. That they're up for minds one
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: to twelve to the minus one twenty eight seventy four
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: percent to take his ninety six percent of the cash
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: coming in on. Them IF i was gonna do, IT
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: i would actually limit it to the starting, pitching though,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: CRAZILY i actually would Want polante Over gore. HERE i
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: just don't love That Saint louis used all the best
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers, yesterday even Though washington's bullpen is liable to
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: give up runs basically anytime they're out, There so slight
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: lean To Saint. Louis either first five inning or full.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: GAME i could see arguments for. EITHER i think first
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: five INNING i would prefer a little, bit, Though Uh
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: cleveland At. Houston houston's lost both games of the serious of.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: Ours cleveland's offenses he erupted for seven runs in the.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: SERIES i Said houston was in a bad spot in
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: the first game because they were returning home from a
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: road trip and having swept The, dodgers which was a
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: huge series for, them so THEY i expected not a
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: great performance out of them in that first. Game last.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: NIGHT i thought they might bounce, back but, Again Hunter
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: brown was in that situation where, yeah he's a really good,
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: pitcher but he was looking ahead to The All star,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: game AND i think he got, caught didn't have the best,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: start and maybe it wasn't really totally focused On. Cleveland
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: so Maybe houston does bounce back, here, ma because they've
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: been so bad in the serious so, far and maybe
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: this is a spot where they do bounce. Back cleveland
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: used a lot of their bullpen. Yesterday they use a
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: lot of their best relief. Pitchers. Yesterday houston nused some
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: of their. Bullpen But houston has the bullpen edge, here,
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: Man they're the more rested bullpen and the better. Bullpen
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: Does houston have a starting pitching, Edge i'm not that.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: Sure i'm not totally sure about. That. MAN A Slade.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: Chacone he is pitching For. Cleveland he's a decent. Pitcher
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: three point five SIX, era one point three. Whip his
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: whip is definitely too. High he's been better on the
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: road so. FAR a two point five to Seven Roady.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: Ray he hasn't made that many starts yet this, season
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: but we are, getting you, know decent sample size at
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: this point. Now he's allowed three or fewer earned runs
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: in every start going all the way back to the
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: beginning Of, june only allowing three runs in one start
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: Against Saint louis two or, few and all the other
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: starts going at least five innings and all the other
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: starts not doing that. Badly twenty five to nine stringle
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: walkers you In june two point. Seventy ray In june
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: last time out did well Against detroit six, innings two earned,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: runs five to two stringle Walker. Rasure both runs are
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: on home. Runs having a little bit of an issue
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: with the home run. Ball nine home runs a. Lot
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: that's not that, great so he's got to try to limit.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: That And houston has really not seen much of. Him
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: they're only one for two, often although that one hit
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: is a home run from altwo Of a and then
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: there's one strikeout From, daz but that's. It they don't
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: have any other stats Against, chaco So houston pretty unfamiliar with,
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: him so he might do well in this. Game and
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be unfamiliarity on the other side. Too With
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: Brandon walter pitching for The. Astros he's been pitching. Well,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: surprisingly a four point one FIVE era not, bad but
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: a one point one to three whip is pretty. Good
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: he's doing okay this. Season he's been really good at
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: home one point four to TWO era at. Home not
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: that great over his last three, starts allowing seven and
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: five and runs of two of the, three but his
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio was still. There he had fourteen strike
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: outs in one walk over that. Span allowing a few
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: too many hits and too many home. Runs that's the, Problem,
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: Man he's allowing way too many home. Runs didn't allow
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: any in his first, outing but since then he's allowed
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: at least one on the run and all the rest
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: of his. Outings that's kind of been the reason for his,
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: uh his. Issues. Man he's only allowed more than two
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: in runs twice this season. All he doesn't have that many,
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: starts but it's been the home run ball that's given
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: him the. Issue man hasn't allowed that many hits over
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: all the. Season has a really good thirty three to
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: two strike out walk ratio this, season so his command is.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: There he's just some of his pitches over the players
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: just too hit. Able man Against, cleveland they have seen
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: him because he actually pitched Against cleveland this, year so
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: there isn't actually as much. Unfamiliarity he went six innings
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: allowing two runs Against, cleveland five, strikeouts no, walks did
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: allow a home run. Now cleveland is a bad, offense
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: but Because cleveland did see him In, june that does
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: mean that they're gonna have some familiarity with. Him so
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe walter won't do as well this time out Against.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: Cleveland even though overall in those twenty one At batsy
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: had against, him he allowed one of them run to Bow,
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: naylor but five zero strike out, walk raceio two thirty
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: eight average six nineteen oh. Ps So walter did have
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: a good. Start maybe he will have another good start.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: Here i'm still thinking the under is actually worth a
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: look in this, game, man that might be the best. Look.
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: Man i'm still thinking both starting pitchers might actually do
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: okay in this. Game even Though cleveland did See. WALTER
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: i think their offense is gonna regress again because their
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: offense still isn't that. Good houston's offense is mediocre as.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: Well both starting pitchers could do okay. HERE i don't
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: Like cleveland's bullpen situation at all, though, man SO i
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: think that's maybe the difference in the game, here AND
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: i would probably go. First five inning under totals them
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: From may and a half to eight, here eighty five
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets and sixty eight percent of cash on the.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: Over money looks like it is definitely coming in on the.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: Under it looks like the strongest market read. Here i'd
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: limit it to first five innings, again just BECAUSE i
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: don't Trust cleveland's bullpen at. All And houston is up
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: for misus one forty five eighty eight percent tickets ninety
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: three percent of cash On, houston so the money is
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: coming in on. Them so maybe a little bit to
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: read into there With. Houston let's. See and THEN i
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: was gonna give out a plan on a, side but
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: Maybe i'm not gonna do. IT i was gonna give
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: out one On, texas and you know WHAT i Think
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: i'm GONNA i don't. Know let me look Back, network
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: because the money looks like it's completely changed. Here it
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: does not look good on on pregame. Now it looked
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: good earlier this, morning but the market read looks like
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: it's completely. Changed. Here let me take a look At
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: Action network. Here money looks like it is still coming
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: in on The texas. Side On Action, network you Know
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna stay off. IT i don't totally love it.
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: ANYMORE i would you see fifty one percent of tickets
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: On texas and now ninety two percent of the cash On,
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: anaheim with the number dropping for minus one twenty five to.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: Ten so we'll stay away from that. One we'll just
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: go with our two, unders even THOUGH i know two
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: days ago our unders did not work. Out hopefully they
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: do in this in these spots. Today, Man but we
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: Have texas At anaheim as the game we're talking about.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: Here anaheim lost yesterday, badly thirteen to. One actually they
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: won the first game of the, years returning on from
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: a road, trip surprisingly but it does make sense they
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: were focused against a division, rival but they got blasted
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: yesterday thirteen to. One Maybe anaheim will bounce back a
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: little bit. Here but not a lot of bullpen usage
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: from either team, yesterday and Obviously texas has a much
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: better bullpend Than. Anaheims that is one huge strike against
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: anaheim erchery, here which is part of the reason WHY
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: i amily Needed texas. Here AND i Prefer texas Starter Kumar,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: rocker who is the younger starter and has a higher.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: CEILING i know his numbers aren't good this year five
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: point EIGHT, r one point four and NINE. WHIP i don't.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't know if we Trust indian pitchers in major,
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: leagues because it's, like does cricket skill transfer over to the?
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: MAJORS i don't. Know rocker has been pretty. Bad he's
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: been rocked on the road as, well nine point four to, one,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: right so his splits don't look. Good but he's pitching
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. Recently he's allowed two or fewer
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: on runs now in four straight. Starts, granted he did
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: face The White Sox Pittsburgh, seattle not that great a,
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: team and last time out At San, diego which is
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly. Park but give him. CREDIT i mean
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: he's pitching better as of. Late over that span he
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: had what is that twenty Two i'm trying to do
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: the math real quick here at twenty to seven strike out?
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: Walkerrach is? That? What? That? Is not too? Bad over
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: those last four, starts they won three of the. Four
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: the last start was it wasn't really his. Fault that
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: was a GAME i gave out on the Show. TEXAS
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: i gave Out texas as a play and they wound
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: up losing an extra innings after they had the late
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: LEAD i, believe or it was tied late at least
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: A rocker wasn't really the issue in that. Game, ACTUALLY
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: i think it was tiede. LATE i think they might
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: have had a very early lead in the. Game But
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: rocker actually has done well Against anaheim in a limited,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: sample say as, well eighteen at, bats only one extra, race,
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: hit a double from ward to twenty two average five
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: hundred ohps five zero strike at walker. Race just A
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: rocker does do well doesn't get rocked Against. Anaheim so
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: it doesn't look that bad For rocker, here and he's
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: in decent. Form he's up Against Kyle, hendrix who is
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: a PICTURE i don't really trust at this. POINT i
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: really didn't trust him when he was on the. Cobs
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: he's an aging veteran here four point six EIGHTY, r
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: one point two to seven. Whip he doesn't exactly have great.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: Stuff his numbers are. Okay he has been better at home,
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: though three point nine, four so the splits actually line
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: up In hendrick's. Favor he's been okay. Recently had a
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: three point two to ONE era In, june which isn't.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: Bad twenty one to five strike a walk. Race he
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: had two, strikeouts no. Walks last time, out did give
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: up three runs in a losing effort Against toronto where
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: his team lost but even, so he's allowed no more
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: than three on runs in any of his last five,
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: starts hasn't allowed more with the four n runs and
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: any starts as, eightpril so he is actually in decent
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: form right. Now his numbers Against texas are not good
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: though in his, Career texas is not a good offense
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: forty eight, bats three hundred, average ninety nine oh, ps
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: six to three strike out walk. Ratio so that was
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: kind of WHY i was leaning Towards texas just because
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: of the matchup. Numbers But i'm gonna not give it
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: out as a play. Here it'll be a lean. Though
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: Uh semion does well Against hendricks four for eight with
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: two on the. Runs that's where the most damage comes.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: From Higashi yoka is two for three with a home.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: Run garcia won for two of the home, runs so
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: those are where the home runs have. Come SO i
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: still Think texas they have them the edge with the starting,
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: pitching the, bullpen and. OFFENSIVELY i guess you have to
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: give the edge to, anahum BUT i don't think it's
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: really that. Strong arizona At San diego a pretty interesting.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: Series we had a very low, scoring one Nothing San
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: diego win yesterday After arizona took the first game six to.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: Three San diego got a very good start on A nickpaveta.
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: Yesterday don't know if that's going to continue into this,
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: game but we See arizona hardly use any of their bullpen.
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: Yesterday San diego's bullpen is certainly the better bullpen Over,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: arizona's But San diego's bullpen is seeing a lot of usage, here,
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: man SO i think it balances. OUT i don't love
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: either bullpen coming into this, game. Man i'm also not
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: sure THAT i really Like Brandon, fott who was pitching
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: for The diamondbacks and as one of the worst names
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: in baseball firest? Fat how we say it In? Boston
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: did you just? Fat? Kid what are you? Doing five
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: point four to TWO era and one point three to EIGHT.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: Whip his numbers are not good this. Season, surprisingly Both
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: fought And gollon have put up way worse numbers this
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: season than they have in the, past which is not
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: really what he would. Expect fot has been worse on
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: the road to six point six E. R in the,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: Road he's given up thirteen of the sixteen home runs
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: he's allowed on the, road which is somewhat. SURPRISING i,
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: MEAN i don't Really i'm not sure THAT i fully understand,
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: that because obviously the park that he pitches in pack In,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: Arizona Chase, field is a very home run cound do some,
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: Park so it's weird seeing that he's given up so
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: many runs on the, road or so many home runs
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: on the. ROAD i did have a good twenty three
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: to six strike a walk rasue In, june but he
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: allowed way too many, hits well over one hit per
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: inning hard contact six point six two or six point
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: two SIX. Era that was a good last time, out
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: he allowed four runs against a pretty Weak giants. Offense
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: they lost the, game he took the loss of. Them
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: he did have eight strikeouts in two, walks so strake
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio has been good over the last three.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: STARTS i, mean he's racked up the strikeouts still for,
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: sure but it's still he's he's just giving up too many,
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: runs too much hard. Contact, MANAN i don't. Know he
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: has twenty two to four strike a walk racier the
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: last three, starts but just hasn't really translated into him
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: keeping runs off the. Board he hasn't been good Against
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: San diego, either an eighty six career of bats twenty
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: three to three straggle walk raceio looks, good but he's
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: allot of three forty nine average eight oh one. Ops
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: that's not very. Good, Again, yeah he's allowing extra base hits.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: There it's not. Good he's up Against Dylan, cease who
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: is not having a great season either and worse than
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: what you would expect out of. Him he was really
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: good last year four point six TWO era and one
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: point three to THREE. Whip he's really been, struggling although
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: he has been good at, home which at least that
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: makes more sense because it's a pitcher friendly park two
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: point seven six home E ira For, cease he's been
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: walking way too many. Guys, Man he's had a high strikeout,
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: ray but he's walking too many four point two three
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: E ra thirty nine to fifteen strike a walk race
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: here In june and unbelievab amount of walks even though
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: a really high strikeout rate as. Well last time out
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: he faced a good Offense philadelphia only allowed four earned
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: runs at six. Innings wasn't that? Bad four? Strikeouts finally
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: didn't Walk, anyboddy no, Walks so do we expect him
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: to do well, HERE i think he. MIGHT i, mean
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: his numbers are not bad Against, arizona SO i think
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: he does have the matchup edge here seventy one at
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: bats nineteen to two strike a walk ratium two, eleven
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: batting average, allowed five eighty five. Ops AND i Think
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: marte has been dealing with some, injuries SO i don't
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: know for sure that he's gonna play or. Not but either,
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: Way cees does have good numbers against Against, arizona Including.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: Marte in those numbers, there the money is coming in
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: on The San diego, SIDE i agree with, it BUT
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: i would limit it to the first five because, AGAIN
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: i don't really want to deal with either bullpen in this.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: GAME i don't like That San diego use all their best. Relievers,
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: yes Today San diego is up for a minus one
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to minus one forty three here seventy four
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: percent and takets ninety seven percent of the cash On San,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: diego so the money does look like it is On San. Diego,
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i think think most of their advantage is the
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: starting pitching here, though so that's HOW i would. Lean
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: and then to finish this Off atlanta at the. A's
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: the a's absolutely Destroyed atlanta yesterday ten to. One just a. Massacre,
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: Man where flent? DOES i, mean he's just really really
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: getting rocks so far early in his. Career very sad
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: to See springs actually put up a nice start For.
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: A's he's been. Pitching, okay what are we gonna get
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: in this? GAME i don't, know BUT i don't like
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: The a's. Bullpen don't Love atlanta's. Bullpen atlanta had to
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: use their bullpend quite a bit yesterday because Flent as
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: only lasted one. Inning SO i don't love either bullpen,
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: here AND i don't Like Bryce elder. Either For. Atlanta
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: he's not doing well five point two nine TWO, era
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: one point five to Two. Whip he's been a little
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: bit better on the road five point nine road Y,
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: ra but still he's allowed sixteen home runs over the
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: course of the, season which is a. Lot THIS a
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: stadium is a very hitter friendly. Parks he might not
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: do well for that. Reason he's been getting rocked over
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: his last four. Starts he's allowed at least four runs
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: in all of, them going no more than five and
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: a third innings in any of, them allowing at least
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: one home run in all of them stregout Walker issuo
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: has been abysmal over that. Span what is that thirteen
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: strikeouts and try to do the math real. Quick eleven,
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: WALKS i think is what that. Is that's a really
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: bad ratio as. Well he's been really bad. Recently he's
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: not a good. Form he hasn't been good all. Season.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: Really the only advantage he might have is that The
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: a's are not familiar with. Him Only Legal ears has
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: ever seen him, before and he's one for three off
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: him with one. Strikeout but, OVERALL i don't Expect elder
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: to do well. Here. Man it does not shape up
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: well for him at. All The a's Have Mitch spence.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: Pitching he's been mediocre for. Them four point oh SIXTY,
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: ra one point three to one whip is way too.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: High and he's struggled in this, ballpark, man five point
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: six y five home. Era this ballpark is not good
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: for these. Pitchers. Man he's struggling a little bit over
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: his last few starts as, well allowing four and runs
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: and two of the. Three not. Great not going deep into,
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: games only going five or fewer, innings going all the
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: way back To, ACTUALLY i think the entire the entirety
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: of the. Season he hasn't gone more than five. INNINGS
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: i don't think, so or yeah that's the. Case yeah
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: he is, not so he's not going deep into. Games
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: he was. Mediocre over the month Of. June he was
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: okay two point seventy was, good twenty to, seven strike a.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: Walker he started walking more. Guys against The, yankees he
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: had four, walks but he did kind of return to
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: four him with no walks Against tampa last, time but
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: he allowed three home. Runs it was in a home
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: run Conduc a, park but so is this. Park SO
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: i don't know that we really Trust spence here, either
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: although he is completely unfamiliar to The, braves they have
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: not seen him. BEFORE i think both offenses could do well.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: Here ALTHOUGH i think you got to look at A
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: kunya's injury. Situation, Man i'm not sure if he's gonna
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: play or. NOT i think he is dealing with some injuries.
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: HERE i would lean into THE a. LIGHTLY i. THINK i,
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: mean the total the numbers flip from plus one to
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: sixteen to amounts one oh six looked like the market
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: read On Action network at least was pretty strong on
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: The A'S i, mean it makes sense to Fade Bryce,
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: elder just BECAUSE i think he's the worst of the two.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: Pitchers he's. Awful maybe you do it in the first
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: five innings, though because you don't really want to deal
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: with The a's terrible. Bullpen so maybe first five Inning
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: a's money line makes. Sense sixty five percent, tickets only
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of the cash on The a's, though
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: so the money looks like it's a little bit against.
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: It but On Action network it doesn't look that. Way
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: and the totals flip from ten and a half juice
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: to the, under the juice to the, Over so money
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the over even though it's. Public
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of tickets ninety three percent of ash coming
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: in the. Over that does make. SENSE i, MEAN i
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: still don't think you can trust either starter or either,
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: bullpen so the, OVER i don't really disagree with it
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: in that, Game, nate what's, up? Man thanks for hanging? Out,
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah toty. Go, yeah that's right. Man that's gonna do
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: it for. Me. Man so the plays THAT i give
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: on the show one more time are two. Unders In
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: Toronto White, socks which is probably the stronger of the,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: TWO i, guess but Also tampa And, detroit so we're
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: going under in both of those two. Games hopefully we
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: can get it done here. Man hopefully it's not like
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: two days ago when neither under. Hit we're rooting for
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: a few runs to be scored. Here, man isn't that
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: just so much? Fun that's what we're gonna. Do that's
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: gonna do it for me once? Again learn to tone On.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: Twitter you can follow better Off dead on all audio platforms,
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: here on, YouTube On. INSTAGRAM i post On instagram, content
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: so find it on all the. Places, man it's a
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: off dead better as the tag THAT i. Use help us, out,
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean listen on an audio it'll give me
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: some money because it's. Monetized if we get big numbers,
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: there we can actually start making money off the. Show
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: Maybe i'm too autistic and people don't want to listen to,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: it which would be. UNFORTUNATE i don't. Know maybe any more.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: Humor i'm trying to be more humorous On, instagram so we'll.
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: See i'm getting some notice On. INSTAGRAM i guess like
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: people seem to like the shorter content. More so definitely
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: go there as. Well but, yeah audio, platform you, know leave.
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: Reviews that helps me out as, well maybe able to
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: get more eyes on the, show and of course definitely on.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: YouTube you, know comment live And i'll respond to your,
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: comments you, know the whole, thing like and subscribe on.
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: YouTube we can get our YouTube subscribers up and try
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: to monetize here as. Well, yeah AND i do have
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: the covered in ukulele, channel Which I'M i keep, Saying
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna try to build it, up WHICH i am
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: gonna do at some. POINT i am posting my covers
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: THAT i post On, TWITTER i am double posting them on. YouTube.
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: Now LIKE i, Said i'm gonna actually start leaking the
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: old covers ONCE I i gotta get them all off my. Phone,
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: Man they're all totally. Disorganized i'm gonna move them over
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: to like a computer or, something watch them all, again
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: label them, all figure out which ones are actually the
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: ones THAT i maybe posted On twitter or that are
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: good enough to. Post start dripping those on. YouTube AND
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: i think What i'm gonna do Is i'm gonna have
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: A patreon it learn to toad AND i think at
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: the higher, Levels i'm gonna have a spot IF i
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: feed that's like a podcast, feed but it'll be all
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: the stuff THAT i do for ukulele. Covers you can
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: listen to the audio for it in the. CAR i
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: haven't heard any feedback on that, idea so let me
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: know if you think that's a good. Idea and then
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: a Higher patreon level which would prioritize ukulele requests BECAUSE
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: i am getting too many requests to actually really handle. Them.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: Now there's still a few more THAT i want to,
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: do but more cleavage big. Boys that what you? Want
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: you want My nate there covered in. Eucules, yeah that's.
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: RIGHT i don't think we want, that but there's some
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: hairy chests for. You Man, Euculus, Yeah, MAN i definitely
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: enjoyed his time at The Red. Sox. Man, yeah The
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: greek god of, walks. Baby and one of the THINGS
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: i remember is That terry francon when asked about him
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: being The greek god of, walks Frank ConA says something,
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: Like i've seen him in the, shower and he's not
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: The greek god of. Much although, HILARIOUS i think he
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: was saying That euculus has a small, penionist which is
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: why that's. Hilarious but the other hilarious thing about it
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: is that all The greek god statues didn't they have small.
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: Penises it's considered to be like. ARISTOCRATICS i don't. Know,
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: yeah His uclist batting stands one of the all time
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: crazy batting. Stances, yeah kind of like sticking his ass
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: out bat like way high above his head crazy batting. Stance,
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: yeah he drew a lot of. Walks and IF i remember,
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: correctly didn't you have a home run in like his
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: first game or maybe his first at. BATTERS i remember
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: meeting a some something like. THAT i think it was At.
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: TORONTO i don't. Know Maybe i'm wrong about. THAT i
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: have to go back and. Look but that's gonna do,
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: it man, again follow all the stuff and learn. It
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: toad On, twitter where you Know i'm that's the hub
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: WHERE i kind of post references to everything and. Whatever
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: and it's a mixed bag over. There my political like joke,
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: stuff the shit posting is still getting the most uh like,
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: eyes the most most likes on. It so that's gonna do. It.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: Man let's have a Good. Wednesday thanks for hanging out,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: everybody and peace