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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Best Bets Tuesday 11/19/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that I have not had a good season. Man with
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: bookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March Hape, is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Men, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slumpy,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: towed back with you, Toadstool Sports best bets coming up for? Uh?
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: What is today? Wednesday? I never know what day it
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: is anymore, man, everything's a blur or Wednesday, November nineteenth,
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: three and two on the show. Yesterday definitely should have
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: been four and one. Uh. The Golden State Warriors not
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: a good call by me. That was a bust. They
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: pretty much were never in position to do anything with
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: that one. They lost. That was bad. We started out
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: decently with the rest of it. I mean Eastern Michigan.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: They started out hot, they blew the lead, then they
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: were losing, then they came back and they won the
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: game anyway, So we did get the win with Eastern
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Michigan and college basketball, that worked out. Pepperdine in the
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: late Slate latest game was the last game to finish.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: They they were out to a huge lead early and
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, this is gonna be easy, blowout win.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: And then they blew basically the entire lead. They were
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: still hanging on to the lead by margin barely, and
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: then they actually blew that, and they were up one
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: point with like three minutes left or something like that,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh my god, they're actually gonna blow
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: this thing. But luckily that didn't happen. They did not
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: actually fall behind. They held onto the lead, extended the
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: lead a little bit more. There might have been some
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: intentional fouls in there. I don't know, but they did
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: win and cover. They won by more than if you
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: got like the later numbers at four and a half.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: They beat that number two. So Pepperdine hit Tampa Bay
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: Lightning easy win. Luckily because the rest of hockey I
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: was not really great on yesterday, so hockey was a minefield.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: But I like Tampa the most, and they got the
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: job done with a five to one win. I haven't
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: looked at the box score on that yet. I'm assuming
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: it was probably somewhat misleading, but it was still an
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: easy win for Tampa. And then Memphis was the one
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: that in NBA Memphis Grizzlies, that was the one that
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: absolutely should never have happened, Like if you look at
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: the box score in that game, it makes absolutely no
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: sense how how they didn't even cover a plus six
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: in that game, Like, well, first of all, they were
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: winning the game outright for a huge extent of the game.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: They were winning outright with like two and a half
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: minutes left in the game. So at that point, it's like,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: you're gonna tell me there's gonna be an eight point
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: swing in the game in the final two and a
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: half minutes. That's not likely, although of course seven, I
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: know is a key number. They're gonna stop intentionally fouling
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: at that point if they actually managed to fall behind
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: by that much, which they did. But if you look
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: at the box scorer in that game, Memphis had seventeen
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: more field goal attempts in the game, so they had
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: way more possessions, which that's an indicator that there's no
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: way that you should lose the game at all, let
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: alone not even cover as a six point und dollars
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: when you have that many more possessions, and their field
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: goal percentage wasn't that much worse either. They also dominated
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: the rebounds, which makes sense because that's how you get
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: a bunch of those extra possessions came on offensive rebounds.
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: They had twenty one more rebounds in the game. How
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: do you have twenty one more rebounds and seventeen more
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: field goal attempts and lose the game by more than six.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: It's such bullshit, dude, Like there's no way, absolutely no
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: way that should have happened. I think some of it
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: was like free throw disparity. I don't even know, but
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: that I don't think that one was an incorrect call
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: by any means. Like that one pissed me off. We're
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: gonna have a four and one night. Golden State was
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: the one bad one. Everything else should have come through,
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: all right. It was a winning day, though, so we
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: continue with that. I'm gonna give about six plays today,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: five college basketball plays, even though the board has less
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: on it than it did yesterday. I like this board
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. I'm gonna give out one NBA play.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: I don't love NBA or NHL tonight, I'm gonna have
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: some reservations about it, but NBA is really like, I'm
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: just fading a team that I think is in a
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: god awful spot. And that's pretty much the deal in
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: the NBA. Dirty sock what's up man, Thanks for coming back, Jeffrey,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: what's up man. Good to see you guys again. All right,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: we'll get into it. Man, I know him early, but
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: college basketball takes a while, so we're gonna get into it.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: We do have Middle Tennessee and Michigan up at six
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern on the Big Ten Network. Michigan rank
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: seventh in the country. They're still undefeated, but they're coming
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: off two really close calls against Wake Forest and Michigan
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: was really in danger of losing this game. I went
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: into overtime Michigan fifteen and a half point favorites in
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: this game after they blew a big lead and that
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: they had in the middle of the game. They actually
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: had to make a late comeback, so they had the
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: escape there. So then I thought Michigan might show up
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: with a little bit more intensity in their next game.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: But it was at TCU and it was their first
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: true road game of the season, and Michigan did not
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: do well in this game either. They they were in
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: danger of losing this game too. TCU had the lead
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: throughout the second half and then they kind of I
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: mean TCU just basically stopped scoring at the eleven to
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: forty five mark. They didn't score for four and a
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: half minutes and that allowed Michigan to tie the game.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: Very low scoring game, though Michigan wand up with another escapes.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: Now Michigan's off two escapes, so it's like, well, what's
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: going on with Michigan? Are they overrated? Do they just
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: overlook these opponents? Like, what's the deal? Maybe those opponents
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: are better than we think they are. I don't know, man,
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, some of these early season results are outliers.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb has Michigan fourteenth in the country. I don't
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're as good as people think they are.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: There over ranked according to him in the rankings here,
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: although ken Bom, I mean, his numbers are still their
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: early season numbers for him, so we're still adjusting and
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: trying to figure out who these teams are. My guess
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: would be that they show up in this game though,
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: of two very lackluster games. They're facing this Middle Tennessee
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: team that is not good even though they're three and
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: oh they have two wins against non Division one teams
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: and then did win on the road at Evansville, But
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: how good is that really? Probably not very good. This
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: is a step way up in class on the road
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: at Michigan. I would lean to Michigan in this one.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: The line's already up from twenty four and a half
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: to twenty eight, so miss some of the better numbers
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: on that one. If you do agree with that, ninety
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Michigan tickets evenly split
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: a fifty to fifty I think, just because if their
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: recreational better is getting involved in this game, they just
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: see Michigan. Oh my god, Michigan barely beat these two
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: other teams, Like, how are they gonna win by this
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: much against Middle Tennessee. Well, I mean Middle Tennessee. Actually
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: ken Bam has ha been one hundred and forty ninth,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: so that's not as bad as I thought. I mean,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do anything with this game, but maybe
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee actually isn't as bad as I thought. But
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: they really have not been tested at all yet. Haved
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: is at Penn State. Harvard's coming off a nice upset
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: win at Maris marrist has turned into one of the
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: better matt Act teams over the last couple of years.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: Pretty good win for HAVEVID. Now they gotta go on
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: the road to Penn State. Harvard does have back to
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: back big games coming up against BU and BC. I
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: mean those are Boston rivalry games where BC is considered
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: to be the biggest brother in Boston. I don't know
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: if Harvard considers themselves to be a little brother to BEU, though,
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: I mean BU is actually in a worse conference. I
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: think the Ivy League is actually better than the Patriot League.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: The Patriot League's awful. Those are big games though, nonetheless,
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: But is Harvard gonna overlook Penn State? I mean, my
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: guess would be probably not. I mean, Penn State they're
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: a big ten team four to zero, I haven't really
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: been tested at all yet, but Harvard this is one
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: of the bigger opponents they have on their schedules. I
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: don't really think they're gonna not be focused on it.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: Penn State is definitely better than they are though. Penn State, again,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: they have they've not really had a test yet, although
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: they are just staying at home. But they do have
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: Providence uping next, which is a bit of a bigger
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: game because that's a big East team. So it's possible
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: that Penn State does overlook Harvard. Here. The money seems
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: to be indicating on Penn State twelve and a half
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: point favorite, sixty two percent of the tickets and only
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the cash on Penn State, So the
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: money indicating on Harvard. I mean, Harvard's not a bad team.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Penn State ranked as pretty lucky, and ken BOM's ranking
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: is a twenty fifth and of course very weak strength
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: to schedule three hundred and twenty second. They play slow
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: as well, so if you're asking them to cover a
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: big number, they're less likely to do with that than
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: some other teams because they don't play fast. Don't have
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: a whole lot else to say about that, but ken
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: Bumley is Penn State at eighty fourth in the country,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: which is not great for a Big ten team Harvard
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy third. He does have Harvard high
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: up in the luck index to at thirty then a
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: very weak strength to schedule as well, three thirty six.
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: So I mean, I'm not touching the game, but I
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: just figured out to point out. I mean, the game
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: was a little bit interesting when I looked at it.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: All Right, we're gonna go to the best bets already.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna I'm gonna give out a playing both
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: big games, we'll keep some interest in the show. Baby,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Now that I've actually erased the entire deficit that I
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: put myself into college basketball, so like tracking, since the
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: beginning of twenty twenty two, I was way up in
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: college basketball. My volume is so high that I was
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: actually down by like thirty units or something probably after
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: last season ended. But now I've done so well in
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: college basketball this season so far, I'm actually overall like
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: for the last few years, I'm actually back up again
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: barely in college basketball. So we need to keep it going. Man,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: sneak into Harvard and write betting lines on the blackboard.
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: Is that like? Is that Goodwill hunting? Goodwill hunting? That
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: was at Harvard? It was that? Mit I should know
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: because I haven't seen that movie in a long time.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: I should know because that's a very Boston movie. But
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: sob what's up man? Yeah? Cracking? I mean, I agreed
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: with it. It was not my strongest opinion, but yeah,
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: that that sucked. I didn't see really the box scoring
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: it or whatever what happened in that game. But all right,
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: let's get to this first play. We're gonna lay the
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: points with Yukon here against Arizona. I mean this is
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: number three Yukon versus number four Arizona, So you know,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: the public is gonna have a tendency to look at
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: this and think getting points is the sensible thing to
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: do here. This line's already up to six and a half, though,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think there's a I mean, there's
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: not a huge difference between five and a half and
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: six and a half, although every possession matters. I mean,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: if you want to lay anything below seven, you might
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: be good on this. Yukon's got a little bit of
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: the public action though, seventy three percent of tickets, but
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on them, so more
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: of the money is coming in on Yukon, it looks like.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: And again I would think the public would have a
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: tendency in a game like this where the teams are
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: so evenly ranked, the public would seem to have a
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: tendency to take the points usually, and I do not
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: agree with that. Yukon, I think is a legit like
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: top five team ken Bum has them, it's but whatever.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: And then he does have Arizona at ninth, so he
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: does have them close. But there are some things that
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: I don't like about how this sets up for Arizona.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: I guess both teams high in the luck index. Does
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: have Yukon having faced the much weaker schedules so far,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: which that's because their biggest game so far was against BYU.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna talk about that in a minute. He
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: does have a Yukon overall is the better team, though,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: and Yukon plays really really slow usually, though they've actually
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: played a little bit less slow this year. And I
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: know a slow paced team, you don't usually want to
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: lay points with them. But if they could throw Arizona
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: out of the element that they want to be, and
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Arizona wants to play fast, Yukon's gonna try to frustrate
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: them and go slow pace here, and I think they'll
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: be able to do that because this is a true
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: home game for Yukon. This is in Stores, Connecticut, and
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: this is part of the handicap here because you Arizona,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: this is their first true road game of the season.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: They have not left the Pacific time zone yet and
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: they're having to fly to the East Coast. I know
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: it's a late I mean, it's a game at night,
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: so it shouldn't really affect them biologically necessarily, but it's
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: still that first true road game in having to make
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: a cross country trip. I don't think that's easy. And
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: on top of that, the reason why Arizona has the
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedule is because well, they played Florida to
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: open the season. They got that win. Now, everybody loves
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: Arizona because they did that, but they also beat Ucla
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: in their most recent game, and that is a huge game, dude,
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Arizona Ucla. It's still this big former Pac twelve rivalry game.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: That was a monster win, and that was in La
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: as well. It wasn't a true road game at UCLA,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: but it was in Inglewood, California. Huge game. And now
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: they're coming off that and they gotta flycross country and
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: play a better opponent than Ucla. I don't think the
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: spot sets up well for Arizona here. Yukon is three
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: and zero at home. I mean, they've played three home
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: games so far, and then they played a neutral site game,
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: although it was a better site for them, and I
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: believe it was in Madison Square Garden. Oh no, it
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: was at TD Garden. Sorry, it was at the Godden
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: in Boston. So Yukon really did have a home edge
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: in that game. I would say as far as the
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: crowd is concerned. I watched a little bit of it
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: and it seemed that way. But they barely escaped against BYU.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: So you might look at that and think that's a
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: big win, but I look at it and I think
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: that it was actually like Yukon actually took their foot
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: off the gas in this game. They were up to
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: a six and a half way favorite in this game.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: You know me, I think BYU's overrated. I thought yukom
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: would cover in this game, and if you look at
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: what happened in this game, yu Com was absolutely destroying BYU.
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: U Com was winning this game by almost twenty points
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: with thirteen minutes to go, and they really just took
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: their foot off the gas. Man. I think Yukon started
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to this game and didn't expect BYU to
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: make a comeback, but Byu they could score a lot,
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: and that's exactly what happened. They came all the way
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: back and got to within two points in the final minute.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: The Yukon got a scare at that point, So I
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: think the Yukon is gonna show up with a lot
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: of intensity after almost blowing this game. Although I know
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Yukon had some really high field goal percentages in this game,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: which normally I wouldn't want to be on a team
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: that shot fifty seven percent from the field and forty
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: four percent from three. But this is a spot where
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: I don't think Arizona is in a good spot, and
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: I actually think Yukon was a lot better in that
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: game than the final score indicated him. Yukon was absolutely
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: dominated BYU in that game. The game was not close,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: and it should not have been that close with the
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: final score. So yeah, we're gonna lay the points with
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Yukon in this one. All right, you're on it as well?
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Where you want to sob where you on it before
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: I mentioned it? Or are you doing it because I'm
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: suggesting it and confirm or maybe I'm confirming your opinion
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: on it. I don't know. Yeah, hopefully we get these
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: right though. Obviously, all right, South Alabama and Jacksonville State
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: was just a weird one. And I broke it down
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: because South Alabama is five and zero and Jacksonville State's
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: three and oh. But I'm looking at this and I'm like,
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: these teams have faced unbelievably weak schedules. Although South Alabama
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: does have a win on the road at Toledo, which
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: is not too bad, Jacksonville State has faced absolutely nobody. So,
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, this game, it was just like, how do
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: you even handicap this? And you have no idea what
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: these teams are right now? Jacksonville State's a two and
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: a half way favorite. I mean, it was just I
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: don't know, I just found that game funny, Like it's
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: not a game that I would ever want to do
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: anything with before. Hell yeah, Bethune Cookman in Ohio as
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: we're getting through the seven PMS late here, I was
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: on both these teams in their previous games and they
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: both covered for us on the show. So that pretty
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: much means, you know, I'm not gonna want to be
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: on this game because both teams are coming off big games.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Although I think Bethune Cookman they're probably the team that
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: you'd rather fade, or that I would prefer to fade
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: at least because they played Dayton really close Man in
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: that game on Saturday. This was a winner for us.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: They covered the twenty one and a half point spread,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: only lost by nine. They were never really in the game.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: But they really never went away. I mean they were
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: down by uh seven points in the final six minutes.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: They Bethune Cookman put in a full effort in this game.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: Man as a big underdog, so coming off that, it's
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: not really a team that I would want to play on,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: even though Dayton. But dude, we got the cover in
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: this game. Even though Dayton shot fifty four percent from
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: the field and fifty eight percent from three, we still
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: got it right. So you know, that was a solid
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: handicap in that one because you could avoid the ridiculous
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: field goal percentage from Dayton there. But Bethune Cookman's coming
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: off that second straight road game going to Ohio doesn't
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: look like the greatest spot to me. I think this
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: trip to Ohio they're making here, you gotta think Dayton
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: was the game. They really put in the effort for him.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: They fell short, and now I think they're gonna be
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: in a flat spot here against Ohio. Problem is, Ohio
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: has been kind of all over the place too. They
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: went out to the Pacific Coast to play Saint Mary's,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: then they came back and they got the cover for
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: us also on Saturday, although it was a slightly earlier
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: game they covered against Louisville, though they did lose by
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: twenty five, covering the thirty one and a half, this
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: game was never in doubt as far as Louisville winning
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: the game, so I think this does set up better
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: for Ohio in this game though, Ohio, you know, they
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: covered for us, but the game wasn't close. They do
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: have somewhat of a big game up next, though. Ohio
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: does against George Mason in some early season tournament action
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: in the Sunshine Slam, which is in Florida somewhere. The
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Beach Division that was in Daytona Beach. It should be
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: beach basketball, man, it should be outside. It is not, though,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: so Ohio. I mean, maybe it's a little bit of
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: a look ahead spot. That's why I don't want to
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: get involved in this. Ohio should be the favorite in
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: this one by how much. Let me see, They're up
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: from six to six and a half in this one,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Ohio is the favorite. I think the public's
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: gonna have a tendency to not really want to lay
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: points on the one and three team, though the Ohio
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: has faced the more difficult schedule because they did face
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State, actually a pretty good Sun Belt team and
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: then road games against Saint Mary's and Louisville. I mean,
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: that's that's pretty difficult. Although Bethune Cookman did face Auburn
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: that was the most difficult one they faced. They did
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: face Miami at Dayton, although those teams are not quite
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: as good. So I still think Ohio's schedule has been
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult. But do with all that
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: what you will. But U MKC Valpo and Mount Saint Mary's,
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: all right, I'm gonna talk about all three of those games,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: all right? What other games am I even gonna talk
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: about here? As we can get through this slate here,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: Youngstown and Toledo. I mean, this is an Ohio battle
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: here that I considered it because Toledo's coming up that
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: game that I mentioned yesterday where I said Detroit Mercy
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: put in a big effort, so I thought they were
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be a bit flat after this game. Because Toledo
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: they're a decent team. I mean, I think they're better
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: in football than they are in basketball, but they're like
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: a decent MAC team in basketball, I would say. And
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: Toledo did not cover. They only won this game by seven.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: There were some points that looked like they might lose
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: the game. So I think Toledo, after kind of a
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: bad performance, I'm expecting them to put in a better
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: performance against Youngstown. Although my issue here would be that Youngstown.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: They're also in Ohio, and I think Youngstown probably considers
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: themselves to be a little brother against the school like Toledo.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: So I think Youngstown is gonna show up for this.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: But youngstownd's coming out of a really difficult game. Man,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: they went into Same Bonadventure as nine and a half
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: point underdogs. The Bonnie's looking like they're gonna be one
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in the A ten this year.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Probably are they in the A ten still? I think
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: they are. I get all the conferences mixed up at
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: this point with all the shifting, but yes they are
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: finally a team is staying in a conference they've been
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: in for a long time. Youngstown. That was a big
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: performance from Youngstown. Man, they almost were able to pull
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: off this upset. They had late leads in this game too,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: so Youngstown. They were in this game right to the wire.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: It was tied in the final minute of the game.
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: So I do think this does look like a flat
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: spot for Youngstown, even though I would, I still worry
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: that they might get up for a game against Toledo
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: though that's kind of my hesitation with that one. I
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: like Toledo in this one, although the odds akers are
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: telling you Youngstown is actually the better of the two teams.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: Youngstown is probably one of the better teams in the
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: Horizon League, as they have been the last couple of years.
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: They've just never been able to win the conference tournament.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: That conference tournament is always chaos, dude. There are like
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: too many rounds in it, and just you wind up
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: with like one of the middle seeds basically winning that
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: tournament all the time. So I mean, do with that
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: information what you will. I would lean to Toledo slightly
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: in that one. I think the spot sets up a
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: little bit better. I don't love it enough. I want
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: to plays as Valpo at Cleveland State. I agree with
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: him on this one. I agree with Valpo. I couldn't
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: quite get there with it, although the spot doesn't look
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: good for Cleveland State. Cleveland State just went into this
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: sul for Springs, West Virginia Tournament, the Greenbrier Tournament, whatever
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: it was. Cleveland State had. First of all, they had
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: a big game against Kent State, which is a rivalry
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: of sorts in the state of Ohio, and they played
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: them pretty tough. Kent State also probably one of the
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: better teams in the MAC. I think it's right now
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: for me it's between Kent State and Akron, although that
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: seems to kind of always be the case, with maybe Miami,
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: Ohio getting in the mix there too. Cleveland State played
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: them to within seven and then they turned a round
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: off that tough game and they upset Radford as well.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: So Cleveland State put in really good performances as underdogs
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: in that tournament there in Cleveland State at this point
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: looks better than they actually are. They also they put
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: in a good performance against Loyal Chicago to open the season.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: To him, Loyola looks like they're not that good this year.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: Cleved State was a big underdog in that one too,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: So right now the Cleveland State looks a lot better
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: than they are. They're coming back home. They got Valpo
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: and then they have a revenge game against Kent State
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: up next, who, as I mentioned, they just lost to
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: in the Sulfur Springs Tournament, and Kent State is I
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: think they consider them Kent State to be a bigger
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: brother to them in the state of Ohio. So this
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: does look like a sandwich spot Valpo. I mean, yeah,
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a win over Bryant, which is whatever.
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: This is only going to be their second straight road
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: or the second road game of the season. I should
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: say they lost the first one, but it was at Kentucky,
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: so I mean, I'm not going to really take a
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: whole lot from that. Kentucky obviously way better than Valpo. Yeah,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: I agree with Valpo here. This one has not made
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: my card. Cleveland State dropped from four and a half
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: to two and a half, although now it looks like
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the tickets sixty nine percent of the
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: cash coming back on Cleveland State. But I do think
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot for them. I think it's a
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. I'm assuming that Ken Bomb here probably has
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State is the better team, though I mean Valpo's
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: not good. He does have Cleveland State as a fast
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: tempo team. He doesn't have them very high in the
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: Luck Index, they have faces somewhat difficult schedule. He has
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: them really bad defensively though He's got Valpo actually only
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: six ranking spots lower. But he has Valpo is the
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: third luckiest team in the entire nation, which that's something
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: that kind of keeps me away from playing on a
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: team though, Like when I see that, it does mean
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: that team is overperforming a bit, so I'm gonna stay away.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: Plus I'm still mad at Valpo for changing their name
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: from the Crusaders because you can't talk about spreading Christianity anymore. Man,
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: now that the Beacons very very gay beams of light.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: But yes, sab I agree with Valpo in that game.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Uh not on my car though. All right, Villanova and Lasal,
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: this is one of the Jeffrey games here, Philadelphia match
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: up here, though I believe he considers Villanova to not
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: be a true Philadelphia school. I mean, Lisal's gonna get
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: up for this because they consider themselves to be a
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: little brother. Villanova is coming off a win over Ducaine
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: where Villanova was a ten and a half point favorite
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: and they won by ten, So not a whole lot
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: to take away from that. Although Ducaine looks pretty good
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: this year to open the season. Man, it seems like
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Ducaine is gonna be one of the better teams in
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: the I believe they're in the A ten as well, Villanova.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Pretty big win for Villanova really, the way Dukaine has
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: been playing. Now Villanova actually has to play their first
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: true road game. This is the Big Five Classic of
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia here, but the home teams are hosting these. I
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: believe you can correct me if I'm wrong, Jeffrey, but
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: this is at the John Glazer Arena, which I believe
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: is home arena, so will be a first true road
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: game for Villanovo. Though of course it's in Philadelphia, so
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: Villanova is gonna probably get a lot of fans showing
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: up for that game. Anyway, I think Lasal's gonna consider
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: it to be a bigger deal. Though LaSalle is undefeated
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: at home right now, the Villanova is gonna be the
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: best team they faced so far. Lasal coming off having
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: to face Penn State, so they are facing two big
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: games in a row and LASAL. Actually I was gonna
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: say I thought they covered this. They did not, though,
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: because this is at Lasal, so Penn State was only
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: an eight and a half point favorite in this one game.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: Wasn't really ever in doubt though for Penn State. I
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: mean they had a big lead in this game. They
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: were winning by twenty one pretty late in the game,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: and then I think Penn State just took their foot
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: off the gas and decided to just pack it in
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: because they knew they were gonna win. I'll probably lean
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: to Lasal in this one. I don't want to do it,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: but Villanova up to twelve now from ten, their twelve
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: point favorite, now eighty three percent of the tickets, nine
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash. Cash looks like it's coming in on
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: Villanova again. I would probably take the points with the
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: sal though it's a low total one hundred and forty four.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Villanova they play slow, dude, and if they can control
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: the pace here, because they are the better team, they're
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: gonna want to play slow, which is not really conducive
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: to covering double digits, especially on the road. Tight rims
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: on that court are the are the rims not regulation
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: like what some you mean? It's difficult to score on
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: that court. It's a tight butt home. Man. They got
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: they got virgin, virgin baskets. They're virgin rims at Lasal.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: All right, all right, next up, I'm gonna give this
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: is gonna be an ugly one. Man. We're gonna take
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Bellerman plus twenty seven and a half against Notre Dame
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: at Notre Dame, yeah, I mean I know how it looks.
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: It looks real ugly. I mean Notre Dame. I mean
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: there's still they're a team that's I would say likely
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: to not make the tournament the way that it looks
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: right now, ken bum as if it's sixtieth in the country,
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: they have not faced the difficult schedule so far three
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: hundred and ninth. He does have them very unlucky though,
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: at three hundred and forty six in lock, so that
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: sometimes worries me. But everything else seems to line up
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: well for fading Notre Dame here, including the fact that
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame plays really slow. With three hundred and twenty
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: seventh and tempo. They're one of the slower teams in
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: all of the country. They're one of the thirty something slowest.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: They're fifty to fifth and deepense, sixty seventh in offense,
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: so Notre Dame is better deeppensively than offensively. This is
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: at Notre Dame. But of course the crux of this
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: is going to be the spot, and Notre Dame is
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: not in a good spot. Man. But I don't even
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: consider Notre Dames. I mean Notre Dame schedule has not
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: been difficult so far, except they did just play their
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: biggest game of the season so far, and they went
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: to Ohio State as nine and a half point underdogs,
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: And I thought Villanova was not gonna be that close
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: in this game, and they really were. Notre Dame. Did
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: I say Villanova, I met Notre Dame. Notre Dame was
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: winning this game for more than half of the game,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: Like once they got the lead in the first half,
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: they had the lead deep into the second half, finally
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: surrendered the lead, came back again, took the lead in
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: the final two minutes of the game, and then fell
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: just short. And again this is against Ohio State, a
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: Big ten team. This is a big game for Notre Dame, dude,
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: and they fell just short. It was a low scoring game.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: Ohio State shot very poorly thirty eight percent from the floor,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: so even though Notre Dame did out rebound them by
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: eight but kind of an outlier of a bad shooting
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: percentage from Ohio State and that one very very low
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: scoring game that helped Notre Dame stay in the game.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: But Notre Dame is gonna have a tendency to play
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of low scoring games here. Now they're coming
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: off of that, and they come home and they face Bellerman,
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: which I don't think Notre Dame's really gonna do you
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: really think they're gonna have a lot of focus on
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: Bellerman after Notre Dame they had such a huge performance
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: against Ohio State, I'm not seeing it. And then they
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: have to turn around on Monday and they gotta play Kansas,
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: who's a blue blood, you know, a huge name, and
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: this is the Players Era Festival. It's gonna be in
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas. So at the MGM grand I think, so
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame is gonna be looking at I think they're
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: gonna be looking ahead to that. Man. They know that
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: after this game they got to pack up and they
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: gotta fly out to Las Vegas for that big, big
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: tournament where they gotta play Kansas first and then Rutgers.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: So I think this is absolutely a sandwich spot. I
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: think Notre Dame's favored by a few too many points
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: in this one. Bellerman. I know they're not good. They're
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: in the a Sun. They've at least had some testing
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: so far. They've had road games against Georgia, although I
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: know they got wiped out in that game they played
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: better against Kansas State, though their other road game, Kansas
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: State's more on the level of Notre Dame. I say,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: though Georgia is better than both of those teams. Kansas
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: State is a fast paced team as well, and Bellerman
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: was able to cover the twenty eight and a half
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: against Kansas State. Although I think Notre Dame's probably slightly
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: better than Kansas State and Notre Dames not laying as
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: many points, but I think Kansas State was also laying
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: too many points in that one. Bellerman was able to
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: cover in that one, although barely as they lost by
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: twenty seven. But again, Kansas State plays faster, so Bellerman,
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, they are battle tested here and they're coming
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: off a home loss to Wafford, So I think it's
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be good for Bellerman to just leave home, leave campus,
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: you know, not even think about it. And maybe they
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: even were looking ahead man because Notre Dame's a bigger
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: game for them. I mean, this is a game against
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: I think Notre Dames in the ACC and basketball, right, yeah,
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: they are. Even though Notre Dame's unaffiliated in football, they're
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: like almost de facto ACC and football because they play
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: a lot of the ACC teams. I don't know why
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: they're not in the ACC. I kind of missed. I mean,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: I do really miss the old Big East days though.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame was in the Big East when it was
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: like really good back in the day, with you know,
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: Powerhouse Yukon, Syracuse, Pitt when they were really good, with Dixon,
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: who else was in it, Georgetown when they were really good.
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: Louisville was there as well. That was a ridiculous Big East.
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: Boston College was better back then. They were in the
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: Big East. That dude, that old Big East was that
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: was a powerhouse conference and that conference is no more.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: I'm reminiscing, but yes, I like Bellerman in this one.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Plus the points, I think the line should probably be
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, ken Bum has it more in the twenty
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: five range. Notre Dame did drop from twenty eight to
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: twenty six here. I mean, hopefully the number doesn't matter
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: all though again in basketball every point does matter a
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: little bit. But I mean, you're in numbers that are
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: not key numbers when you're getting up into numbers this high.
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: But hopefully they'll stick within that number though, and cover
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: with all the numbers. Five hundred to one. Wait, what
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: are we talking about if you want Notre Dame, what
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: what are we talking about? Thirty five to one? Is Bellerman,
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming to win the game, outright, I would put
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: a little I would still probably put a little bit
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: on the money line, man. And now I would put
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: like one percent of the bet on the money line,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: and that just because that's what I do, like, even
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: on a huge underdog. I can't like if they happen
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: to actually pull off the ludicrous opposet, I just like
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: I want to say that I had something on the
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: money line, and you know what I mean. So I
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: would probably still put one percent on the money line.
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: In that one. Notre Dame doesn't want to share the money,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: oh like, so I guess they don't have to pay
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: as much money if they're not in a conference. All right,
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: that's interesting, JC, what's up? Thanks for hanging out five
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: hundred to one's I mean, I don't know what you're like.
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that means. But as far as like,
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: if you're looking at the money line, if there's a
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: money line on it, it would be like I'm assuming
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: it would be minus five thousand on Notre Dame. If
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: that sounds about right, So that's like fifty Like that's
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: like one to fifty and then thirty five to one
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: on Bellerman. That's dude, that's what the oddsmakers do. They
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: have to make money, so they juice the lines like
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: that's that's that standard practice. That's how they make money.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: So if you're gonna try to beat them, you gotta
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: beat you got to overcome the juice man. That's always
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: the case in the money line market. Like you'll see
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: like a minus five hundred favorite and then the underdog
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: in that game will only be like plus three seventy
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: five or something like. That's that's just the way that
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: it is because they have to juice them basically ten percent,
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: but maybe sometimes a little bit more than that. All right, Oh,
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: what was they going to talk about next? I mean,
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: VMI at Richmond. This is a Virginia game here. I
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: don't have much to say about it. Richmond not really
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: tested yet, probably considers Richmond to be a bigger brother
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: in the state of Virginia, as Richmond's in the A
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: ten they make the tournament, sometimes Richmond coming off beating
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: William and Mary, but Richmond was a nine and a
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. William and Mary also in Virginia. They
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: showed up for that game. I think they consider themselves
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: to be a little brother as well. They gave Richmond
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: a fight man, So Richmond. Yeah, I mean Richmond coming
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: off a game that was too close for comfort, let's
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: just say so, in a way, you'd expect them to
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: be a little bit more focus after they got a scare.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Vm I not a great team, although they seem to
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: be actually improving a bit in the SOACON and I've
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: actually I've found spots in conference play to play them
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: in the SoCon, so maybe that'll happen again once we
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: get into conference play. I expect them to show up
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: here vm I because it is Richmond, So vm I
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: is gonna have that game probably circled as one of
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: their bigger games on the schedule. The money is coming
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: in on VMI after Richmond did go up from twelve
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: and a half to thirteen, fifty percent of the tickets
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: ninety one percent of the cash on vm I. I'm
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: not really gonna disagree with it, even though I think
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: it does look like almost a bounced back spot for
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: Richmond as well. But you know, vm I, I mean
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a loss too, to Jacksonville. They're probably
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for it. So that's what I gotta
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: say about that. Are friends at UNBC who did not
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: cover for us the other day. They're going up against
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: g W George Washington. This is gonna be a big game,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: I think for maybe even both teams, because it's a
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: Washington area game. Here. George Washington just smacked ODU. They're
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: staying at home. I mean, UNBC is coming off that
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: game where we had them and they didn't cover, and
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: they're coming off, you know, a game where they didn't
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: play as well as they could have. I don't even know, dude.
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: Others MD Baltimore Co. Yeah, thank you Maryland Baltimore County.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: George Washington is up from two twenty three to twenty
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: four and a half here. I mean, I guess I
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: would probably lean towards taking the points with UNBC, but
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong opinion on that one.
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: GW is one of the better teams in the A ten,
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: although they got to a point last year where they
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: were way overrated because they'd won a bunch of early
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: season games against a weak schedule. So I was looking
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: to fade them at some points last year. But UNBC,
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: coming off a very lackluster performance where they barely won,
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: is a big favorite, may have started looking ahead to this.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: I expect them to show up here. They probably consider
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: themselves to be a little brother in that one too,
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: So I guess do with that information what you will.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: Ducaine will be hosting Loyal and Maryland. Ducaine is taken
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: is in a spot where they took their first loss
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: of the season, and I talk about that when a
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: team takes their first loss of the season, sometimes that
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: will hang them over into the next game. That could
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: be the case here, and that was a big game
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: for them against Villanova. They stepped it up. Even though
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: Ducaine is not in the Philadelphia area, they're in the
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh area, but they still I think they consider that
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: to be a big brother, little brother Pennsylvania game. Ducaine
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: put in a good performance against Villanova, lost by ten.
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming up of that and they got to
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: face Loyal and Maryland. Looks like a bad spot to
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: me for Duquine to some extent. Loyol and Maryland just
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: played close at Fairfield, though Loyal and Maryland was an
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: underdog in that game, although only a five and a half.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up for this game against Duqune,
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: although they do have to face Kentucky in two days.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: Loyal and Maryland does. I would probably take the points
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: of Loyol and Maryland. The money does look like it's
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: hit Duquaine early though, from eleven and a half to
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half with heavy juice, So if you
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: do like Loyal and Maryland, you could probably get plus
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: fifteen on it and the total is fairly low and
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: one hundred and forty nine and a half. Ducaine they
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: play somewhat fast, but they're kind of an oddity where
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: they don't score very well. That's kind of been their
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: mover last couple of years. Watching Ducaine was like, I mean,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: it was painful to watch Ducaine the year that they
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: made the tournament a couple of years ago, it was
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: really really painful to watch that Duquaine offense man in
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: the A ten tournament. I was like, this is insane, dude,
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: even though I was kind of rooting for them, just
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: because Duquine hadn't made the tournament for so long. I
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: was like, it would be cool if they made the
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: tournament and they actually won a tournament game because teams
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: like that when they haven't been in the tournament for
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: so long and they make the tournament, they get excited
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: and it's like they're free rolling. They got nothing to lose,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: so they usually play well in the tournament. And Ducaine
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: pulled off the outright up set against BYU, which I
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: did not have that in my bracket. I thought BYU
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: would get by them, but that did not happen. But yeah, Ducaine,
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: I mean that offense was just I mean, that was
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: one of the worst offenses that I've ever that I've
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: ever watched that year, Like watching them in the A
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: ten tournament, I was like, oh my god, it was
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: like having teeth pulled. Ducaine has gone over and all
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: four of their games kind of surprises me. I mean, again,
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: they play fairly fast, but they just aren't a good
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: offensive team. Loyola has been an under team. That's less
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: surprising because they're not very good offensively, and I think
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: they're a slower team. Uh yeah, they're pretty slow three
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: eighteen and three hundred and eighteenth in tempo, So Loyola
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: is gonna be facing a pacing mismatch, and now Dukine
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: is gonna try to speed them up. Even though again
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: it doesn't seem to help Duquine score that much, although
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: I guess they've gone over in a bunch of games
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: this year. SOB has Mount Saint Mary's here against Maryland Maryland.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: I agree this is basically a sandwich spot for Maryland
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: or a letdown spot. But I have one huge concern
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: with fading Maryland in this one. I looked at this
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: one pretty hard and it almost made my card Maryland.
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: They just went to Marquette and they pulled off the
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: outright oppo set big win for Maryland here. Man Marquette's
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: the better team this year. Maryland not as good as
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: they were last year because they lost Queen and a
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: couple of those other stars they had last year. Maryland
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: were eight and a half point underdogs when this game
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: went off, and they played a really good game and
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: they won the game outright. They had a big lead,
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: or only blew the lead, fell behind in the second half,
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up retaking the lead and winning,
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: retaking a double digit lead actually, and then winning. Marquette
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: was really really poor shooting in the game. The thirty
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: seven percent from the field, twenty eight percent from three,
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: Maryland fifty three percent from the field. So this is
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: definitely an outlier of a shooting game, especially on the
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: Marquette side. They did not shoot well at all. This
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: Marquette team, though, I mean, they're a little bit down
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: I think from where they were the last couple of years.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: They don't have Colec anymore. I don't really think Shaka
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: is smart, is good man. I think he made that
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: run with VCU when his havoc defense like was unfamiliar
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: to a lot of the opponents, but teams know what
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: he's going to try to do. He just has not
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: had success really since then. I mean he's brought teams
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: to the tournament a bunch of times, though he's been
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: good in the regular season a bunch of times. But
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's that good of a coach. But
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: that's beside the point here. Yeah, this this win was
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit of It was a little bit misleading
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: for Maryland because Marquets shot really poorly. And then after
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: this game, it gets a very weak Mount Saint Mary's
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: team was in the matt Ac Maryland has to face
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: U n l V U n l V, one of
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: the I would say top several teams in the in
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: the Mountain West, and then they do have Gonzaga coming
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: up right after that, and these are in some tournament.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: This is the Player Era Festival that I mentioned earlier
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: at the MGM Grand So Maryland's gonna be in that
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: in a few days, basically five days from now, so yes,
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: it is probably It is basically a look ahead spot two.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: So yes, this is a sandwich spot for Mount Saint Mary's.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a cover for us. They played pretty
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: well at Cincinnati, so that is one concern for me
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: that Mount Saint Mary's there were twenty five and a
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs in this one and they lost by seventeen.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: They played pretty well for us if you had if
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: you had this one with me against Cincinnati. Cincinnati was
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: terrible shooting in the game, especially twenty one percent from three,
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: so that does make it look like a little bit
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: of an outlier. Cincinnati did out rebound Mount Saint Mary's.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: I believe Marquette out rebounded Maryland in their game too.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: I worry about taking Mount Saint Mary's here. Actually have
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: two major concerns with playing Mount Saint Mary's here. One
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: is they're coming off this big game, dude, So they're
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: gonna have to put in a big effort two games
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: in a row as a big underdog. In this game,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's was winning this game for almost the
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: entire first half and then into the second half, and
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: then they fell short. But then it wasn't close towards
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: the end of the game. You know, they were down
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: nine at the closest with five minutes left. But still
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: they put in a big effort in this one in
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: and led pretty deep into the game. So I do
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: worry about that. But the other thing I'm very concer
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: earned about is Maryland lost their best player for the
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: entire season. Pharrell Pain. He's Maryland's best player, dude, He's
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: their best score and I think he was leading the
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: team in rebound SOO let me sing, yeah, Farrell Pain,
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: he's leading the team in points and rebounds per game.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: He's injured for the entire season now. He had a
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: bad leg injury in the game against Marquette. And you
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: know what I always say, star player gets injured, the
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: team usually steps it up for that one game the
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: first game without him. I mean it's possible that they
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: don't because they are still coming off a huge win
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: and they do a big games up next. But I
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: worry about it, man, because that is a phenomenon. I
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna step up and play a little bit
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: better that first game without him because they know they
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: basically have to because they lost their best players. So
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: that's what worries me about Mount Saint mary Is in
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: this one. I'll still give out a lean that way.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: I would still probably take the points here, but that
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: one's not gonna make my card Maryland up from nineteen
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: a half to nineteen with Juice here. Yeah, I'm leaving
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: that one alone. Personally, I hope, hope you get a
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: win on that one, sob, but I am worried about
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: those couple of things. I moved the line on the total, uh,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: just by talking about it briefly. I don't really do
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: the totals, So which total went down the Ducuane game?
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Mister Pinsey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out man. I
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: apologize for going early. I'm not totally consistent with when
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: I go live here the anniversary of Lynn Bias you
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: mean his death? Oh man, dude, the Celtics have had
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: such like bad luck. It's like God was working against
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. Dude, all throughout my childhood, Like I like
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: don't really remember the Celtics, like them, like them being
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: like such a good team for the first I mean
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: obviously I wasn't alive for most of it. My dad's
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: gonna remember basically all of it, you know, Like my
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: dad grew up through like a lot of the Bill
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: Russell years and stuff, and then Celtics also quite good
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: in the seventies, like the Dave Cowens years and whatever,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: and then the uh the eighties of course with Bird
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: McHale Parish. I was a kid, and then I got
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: to see like the late end of that, like sort
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: of like slightly after their prime. I got to kind
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: of see that. So I kind of missed that, Like
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: I was there for like when Detroit basically came in
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: and stopped the Celtics. I was really young at that point,
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: but I started rooting for the Bulls just because the
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: the Celtics dynasty ended against Detroit and because Detroit were
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: just like a bunch of thugs. Like it was like
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Isaiah Thomas was kind of like the like mob boss
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: of the team, like instructing his team to injure opponents,
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: and Bill Lamber was the goon hated that guy. Absolutely
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: hated Lamb Beer. I loved it when he pissed Parish
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: off so much and Perish like punched him and whatever
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: that fight there. Yeah, like Parish was not a guy
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: that would usually do that, and lin Beer pissed him
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: off to that said, where Parish lost is cool. The
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: chief dude, I like Parish. If you watch all these
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: like Celtics documentaries, Parish says such funny ship. Dude. I
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: think I think he's hilarious. Dude. I like him a lot.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: I like McHale a lot too, And I of course,
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't like Birds as a guy. I
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: think Bird is the least good guy of those three. Bird.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: I mean he was known for, you know, like shit
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: talking on the court to an extreme degree. But I mean,
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: of course, you guys know like he basically like told
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: me to f off when I when I asked when
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: I tried to get his autograph when I was eleven
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: or whatever. I think he was kind of you know again,
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: he was probably trying to get to the locker room
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: because he was the coach of the Pacers at the time.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: It was at a summer league game. But yeah, I
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: don't know I've met Parish and McHale two, but I
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: was a kid. I don't exactly remember it, but that
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: was the autograph I was trying to get was on
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: the hat that I got both of them to autograph.
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: So it's like, come on, Bird, you gotta add your autograph.
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: I have a hat with Parish, Michale, Dennis Johnson, mL Carr,
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: like all these guys from that era there Bird, nah
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: f off, kid, I'm not gonna sign this. Oh well,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: thank you. But yes, I like McHale too. If you
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: watch the interviews with him, and I mean Danny Ainge
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: is kind of funny. Jud just I mean, everybody who
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: was not like a fan of the Celtics and or
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: on another team besides the Celtics hated Age because he
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: was like the actually he was the dude that would
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: actually like get into like scrums and whatever. Like he
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: was like the pest. He was like the Brad marsh
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: On of the the Celtics back then. So I appreciate that.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I appreciate Age as a GM
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: of the team though, didn't appreciate some of the things
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: he did. But yeah, Len bias student, I mean, that's
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: one of the biggest like what that is the big
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: guess what if? In basketball history? Dude, Lenn Bias went
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: to Maryland, which may be part of the reason why
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: we're talking about it too. A lot of coincidences today. Yeah,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: Bias went to Maryland and then the Celtics drafted him
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: really high in the draft, might have been first overall.
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: I forget, but he was supposed to be, like he
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: was gonna be like the next guy to come in
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: after Bird and be the next leader of the team.
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: He was going to get to play with Bird for
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: a few years. And of course he died of like
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: a cocaine overdose or whatever before he could even play
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: for the Celtics while he was still at Maryland, like
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: in his apartment or whatever. Ridiculous, terrible. That's the biggest
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: what if ever? And then the yeah, like the Celtics
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: had like two decades, Like I just remember the Celtics
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: being losers because that happened. And then you know, Bird retired,
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Michale retired, a Parish kept playing, and I think he
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: went to where did he go after the Celtics He
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: went to some other team. I forget where he went.
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: I can't remember, And I think McHale actually might have
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: gone to Minnesota, Is that right? Because I know he
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: wound up in the their like office. But I think
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: he actually played for the Tea Wolves at the very
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: end of his career. Maybe I'm misremembering that, but he
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: was part of the Garnet deal that sent Garnet to
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. I think I think McHale was in was
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: in the office there. There were there was some dealings there.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: What else are they gonna say? Oh? Yeah? And then
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: of course when I was growing up in the nineties, yeah,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: so we don't have Lynn Bay as the Celtics er,
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of in that rot. But then the
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: Celtics got Reggie Lewis and he was gonna be the
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: next guy. I think Reggie Lewis was going to be
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: a star dude. And then he died because his heart
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: gave out, like he collapsed on the court and then
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: he died not that long after that. And he was
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: using cocaine as well, Like that seems to go like
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: under the rug, like people don't mention that, but he was.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: So the Celtics had. That happened to basically two guys
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: that were gonna be like the next star for the team.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: It's ridiculous, dude. By the way, Reggie Lewis I have
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: his autograph on that hat too, So that's a crazy
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: one there, man. So yeah, just a couple of decades
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: of just man. And then Rick Patino comes in and
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: he basically tells red auerback that he's not going to
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: control the team anymore. And Rick Patino trades Chauncey Billups
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: away after the Celtics had him for like eight games,
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: one of the best draft picks that the Celtics had him. No,
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: let's just trade him to the Pistons. What are you doing, dude?
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: I think it was the Pistons at that point? Was
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: it was it the Pistons at that point? I forget
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: I remember being on the Pistons. I think he might
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: have been a Denver two. I don't I don't even
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: remember whatever it was, but they traded him away. I'm like,
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: what are you doing? Man? So, like those three guys,
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: imagine if those three guys all had long careers with
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: the Celtics like this, Celtics would probably have more championships
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: than they do. And I think they still have the most,
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: maybe because of the Russell era. But yeah, well, I'm
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: just I'm going through all this Celtics history right now.
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Is the Celtics. I watched too many sports documentaries, man,
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean bad times. And then the Celtics
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: championship that I remember it was two thousand and eight.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: I don't remember the Celtics winning it in like eighty
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: seven or whatever, even though I was a lot or
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: eighty six is the last time they won. I forget
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: eighty No, I think it was eighty seven, whatever it was,
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: I don't remember. I don't remember it because I was
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: too young. And then the one that I actually remember,
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: two thousand and eight, after going through my whole life
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: with the Celtics being a bad team and a losing team,
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: finally at Coalesce, they finally added Kevin Garnett and Ray
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: Allen to go along with Paul Pierce, and I'm like,
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: hell yeah, finally they have a complete team with the
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: big three. And then ray Allen basically got into some
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: fights with those guys and left the team and went
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: to Miami as a trader, joined the Lebron Miami BS,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: that team that I hated, and I think Ray Allen
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: won at least one championship over there. Whatever, O. Well,
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: I guess Ray Allen. I guess those guys have made up,
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: though Alan and I don't. I don't know. I don't
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: remember which guy Allen had the biggest problem. Whether it
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: was KG or Pierce, I don't remember. And there was
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: a point where, up, dude, the Celtics almost lost another
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: star player because if you remember, Paul Pierce got stabbed
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: in a nightclub, like I don't know, several years into
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: his career. He got stabbed like thirteen times in a
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: weird nightclub incident. He survived it. Like that was the
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: Celtics almost lost another one of their star players. It's insane, dude,
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: yeah crazy. I don't think any team has had that
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: many insane things happened to like their absolute best player
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: on the roster. All right, let's finish this off. Man.
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: What other games that I really want to talk about here?
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. I mean Merrimack against Maine. Merrimack
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: just had a nice win over bu, which I think
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: Merrimack PROBA that considers that to be a big brother
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: little brother situation could be a letdown spot here. Even
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: though they're coming back home, Maine is still looking for
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: their first win of the season after Maine actually put
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: up a fight last year and there're a conference in
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: the American East or whatever, and I was rooting for
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: them to win and get into the tournament. It didn't happen.
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: Merrimack does have a Florida next as well, so it
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: makes it kind of a sandwich spot. They're kind of
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: a look at spot. Merrimack just isn't really that good either.
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: Do you trust them to cover at a you know,
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: as a favorite? I mean I don't really. They're up
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: from five and a half to six and a half
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: with an unbelievably low total in this game of one
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty nine Merrimack. This team just doesn't score
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: a lot, So I don't trust them to cover a
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: favorite spread like that, especially in a spot like that.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: So I would take the points with Maine in that one.
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: That's just you know, another thing there, oh dirty sock,
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: Thank you sir. The early best bets with the best
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: bets segment and is all over the place here. I've
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: given up one place of our yukon minus the points,
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: and I got four more college basketball plays in one
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: NBA and that's it. You're flying to another non betting
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: state that sucks. Yes, safe travel, sir. We got two
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: j c's. We got j j C j C, and
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: then Jeffrey is also JC. I'm gonna I'm gonna continue
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: to distinguish them by calling j C JC and Jeffrey
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: is Jeffrey. All Right, Dayton and Marquette is a good game.
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: I think Dayton still a pretty decent team. Marquette is
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: obviously the better of the two teams, though Marquette coming
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: up that ugly home loss or Marquette, as I pointed out,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: they shot really really poorly from the field, so they
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: had pretty much an outlier of a game here. But
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: I think both teams are gonna refocus here after lackluster
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: games because Dayton didn't play that well against Bethune Cookman either,
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: and we're probably looking ahead, so I'm expecting both teams
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: to actually show up with focus here. Marquette may be
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: able to control the pace here because they are at home.
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: They're up from four to five, four and a half
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: to five here. Marquette plays fast and Dayton plays slow.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Even though they're called the flyers, they don't fly, they
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: play slow. So Marquette is still the better team here,
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: and if they're able to control the pace. I kind
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: of lean that way, even though Marquette's coming off the
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: bigger game. I think both teams are coming off ugly
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: performances where they're gonna gonna want to bounce back. Although
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: the market Reid is saying to take the points with Dayton,
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: I don't necessarily agree though sixty percent of tickets only
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: fifty one percent of the cash on Marquette. We'll see
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: what happens in that game. But yeah, I don't love
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: that you're back again. Oh yeah, oh no, don't cashing
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: out on no. Uh the cash. They never give you
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: enough money back, dude. That's the problem with the cash now.
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: They want you to do it because they don't give
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: you good enough money back on it. South Florida at
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State here, this is an interesting matchup South Florida.
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: I thought they would do more poorly in this Kinnessaw
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: game than they did because it was their first true
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: road game. Keennessa is not that bad, and I thought
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: this might be a look ahead spot to Oklahoma State
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: because it is a big twelve team. But South Florida
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: was able to win and score over one hundred points. Again,
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: I think the public might be looking towards South Florida here,
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: because Oklahoma State's been bad for a while now. South
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: Florida definitely has overperformed the last couple of years. Like
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: South Florida just seems to they play like they start
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: doing really well and overperforming and conference playing. I'm like,
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: the wheels are gonna fall off at some point, man,
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: and it's happened. I mean, South Florida still hasn't made
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: the tournament those years. Last time I remember South Florida
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: making the tournament was way back in like what was
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: it like two thousand and ten. Maybe it was it
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: was the it was the Dunk City or where Gulf
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Coast upset Georgetown. I'm pretty sure because I had South
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: Florida getting to the Sweet sixteen in my bracket that year.
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure and they did because I think I
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: had both of those upsets correct. South Florida over Cal
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: I want to say, oh, the South Florida actually might
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: have been favored in that game. I think it was
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: close in the five to twelve matchup after South Florida
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: won one of the play in games, I think, and
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: then I had Ohio pulling off an upset over who
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: the hell was it. I don't even remember that in
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: that tournament there, it was a game where Ohio was
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: a thirteen seed and they were only like a four
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: point dog, and I'm like, Ohio was dangerous. I had
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: South Florida getting to the sweet sixteen in my bracket,
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: but they actually didn't. I think Ohio beat them and
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: got to the sweet sixteen as a thirteen seed back then.
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: But I do remember that that. I'm just saying that
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: because that's the last time I remember Florida being in
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: the tournament, me with my tournament autism. But I think
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: South Florida is gonna look better than they are so
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: far because they really haven't played very many good teams,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: but they keep putting up a lot of high point totals.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State's gonna be the best team they face so far, though,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean Oklahoma State. They're not exactly battle
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: tested either. But they did beat Texas A and M.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M a little bit down this year,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: but that's a good win at least for Oklahoma State.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe Oklahoma State's a little bit on the rise again
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: here in basketball. I'm gonna lean to Oklahoma State in
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: this one. They're down from five and a half to
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: five eighty one percent of tickets ninety two percent of
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. Though again, I think the public
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: is just gonna be enamored with South Florida's high scoring
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: ways and probably overlook Oklahoma State a little bit here.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: That's kind of the way that I look at this one.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: Ken bam as Oklahoma State fifty fourth in the country,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: so he actually has them playing pretty well right now.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: They're interestingly a good defensive team, but also a very
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: fast paced team at fifth in the country in pace,
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: which South Florida they also play fast though, so they
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: won't be thrown out of their element there. South Florida
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: eighteenth in the country and tempo, so maybe an over
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: is worth a look in that game too. The totals
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: all the way up to one eighty, I mean, that
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: is an incredibly high total, but that total might dissuade
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: the public from wanting to even go anywhere near that total.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: But the total is high for a reason, so it
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: might it might actually get there to the over main
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: three three and one to the under for Maine so far. Yeah,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is an extremely low total, though it's
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: low for a reason. I mean, I'm not really gonna
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: disagree with an under in that one, But I mean,
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be a real ugly game. But
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: sometimes those you know, those unders that are that low,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: it gets a little bit, you know, it gets a
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: little bit dicey if it's a close game, because it
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: can be a close game when it's that low of
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: a total at the end, you can see intentional fouls
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: can cause that thing to go over. I would probably
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: prefer an under in the first half of that game
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna deal with it, even though you're
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: probably gonna get an even lower total on that though,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: I guess, sir, all right, Next up, Sab and I
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: are both on this one. I think we're gonna take
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. UMKC is what they used to be called
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: Missouri Kansas City, but now they're just called Kansas City
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: because the Kansas City, Missouri considers themselves to be the
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, the Kansas City, you know. I guess, apologies
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: to Kansas City, Kansas. I guess, because I think there's
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: one on both sides of the border, We're gonna do it.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with SOB on this one. We'll take the
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: points of Kansas City at TCU. TCU, I mean, I
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: think they've overperformed it this year. I mean, this is
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: still the TCU team that lost to New Orleans in
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: their first game. Remember New Orleans. We had a nice
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: fade of them last night because I think New Orleans
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: has been overperforming TCU. That was an ugly loss. We
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: went with TCU coming off that to bounce back and
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: they clawbered Saint Francis for us. That was a win
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: for us. But Saint Francis is not very good. And
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: then TCU beat Lamar and they only beat them by
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: thirteen points. TCU did not cover and that one is
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: eighteen a half boy favorites. Lamar is one of the
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: better Southland Conference teams and a little brother in the
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: state of Texas. But so this has not been an
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: impressive run for TCU so far. But now TCU is
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: coming off their biggest game of the season by far
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: against Michigan at home, and TCU took Michigan to the limit. Dude,
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: TCU were seven and a half boy favorites in this one,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: and TCU they had chances to win this game. TCU
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: was winning the game throughout most of the first half,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: head to leave for a large extent in the second
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: half as well, and they were still winning the game.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: With eleven forty five left, they were up six and
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: then they didn't score for a period of four minutes.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: Four and a half minutes CCU didn't score. I mentioned
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: that when I talked about Michigan earlier, but yeah, TCU,
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: after having that lead, they just went silent and then
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: fell behind and the Michigan was able to escape with
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: the winner, though TCU was still within one possession two
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: points in the final minute. TCU went all out and
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: they almost beat a team that's ranked in the top
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: ten in Michigan. Now they're coming out of that and
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: they gotta play this Kansas City team. I mean, how
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: do you possibly get up off the mat after that
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: saying at home and then you play Kansas City? Really
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: and then after this they get a huge break and
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: then they're gonna have to come back during I guess
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: the holiday season. Basically, they're gonna have to play Florida
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: after that huge break, which is gonna be I don't
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: even know what this game is. It's some neutral site
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: game coming up. Let me see when is this? This
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: is basically when they come come back from one of
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: these breaks. It's gonna be in Sandy at the Jenny
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: Craig Pavilion, So hey, you get to lose weight by
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: playing basketball, right This is a the Rady Children's Invitational
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: in San Diego. Take from that when you want to.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: I guess, but that will be a big game against Florida.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: I know it's not for a while, but so the
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: look ahead component there might not be a huge look
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: ahead component there, but still coming off that really really
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: great performance from GCU, I think they're gonna fall flat
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: in this one, and they're probably laying too many points.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. They're actually in Texas right now, because they
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: just played in Texas at UT Austin and they did
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: play pretty well. They covered I think, yeah, it's thirty
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: one and a half point underdes they only lost by
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: sixteen in a low scoring game. So I mean you
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: could make the argument that, well, Kansas City's gonna fall
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: flat after that, I don't really think so. I mean,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: they were getting blown out in the late part of
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: this game. They were down twenty. I mean the game
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: was over, so it's not like they took Texas to
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: the wire or did anything remote like what TCU just did.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. They'll get up for it. And again they're
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: already in the state of Texas, so this travel spot
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: isn't that bad for them, and they're a little bit
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: battle tested by having that road game against Texas. So yeah,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Kansas City will show up enough
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: to get within this huge number here a TCU. They
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: have not been covering big numbers as a favorite except
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: for that one against Saint Francis So and they were
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: in a good bounce back spot in that one, and
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: they're certainly not here. TCU has already dropped from twenty
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: five to twenty four. I think twenty four is the
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: best you can do on this. TCU is still not
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: that great. I mean, ken Bum has them at eighty
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: sixth in the country. He has them kind of a
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: mid tempo team. He does have them very unlucky so far,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: the which I did point out they they did. It's
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: because they lost that game against New Orleans. Basically, that's
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: why they're considered to be unlucky. They're better defensively than offensively,
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: and that's also what you want when you're looking to
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: fade a team is a huge favorite. You want them
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: to be more of a defense oriented team, and you
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: is right now as far as Kansas City is concerned, Yes,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: they're bad, three hundred twenty fourth in the country, really
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: bad and not good defensively, but tempo wise, they won't
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: be thrown off by this. They also play kind of
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: a mid tempo game. And again, they faced a pretty
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule so far eighty fifth. So even though they
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: are highering the Lucky Index, we're still gonna go with it.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: It's a bad spot for TCU, so we will do
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: that one. Yes, sab Yes, sir, Yukon is already seven
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: and a half. Pinnacle is a sharp book, by the way,
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: So if Yukon's already threw the key number seven at Pinnacle,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: that's a good indicator there. But yees seven and a half.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: That is dude. I hate how much these college basketball
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: games move because you have to act like so quickly.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: It's almost like you have to do it overnight or
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: else you miss the best number. It's crazy. Doing it
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: in the morning should be good enough. But yeah, I mean,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: if you like it like that sucks to you. Because
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: I gave that out like close to the beginning of
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: the show. Because I give these on chronological order. Because
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: at least hopefully the you know, the earlier games are
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: gonna be the ones that are gonna move more significantly
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: earlier in the day, like because the game is closer
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: to being at the start time. I don't know, man,
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: but yeah, that does suck. Lipscomb at Belmont is a
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: Tennessee battle here, and at this point, I don't even
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: know which one of these teams considers themselves to be
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: a bigger or little brother. Lipscomb has made the tournament
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: I think twice over the last few years, so you know,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: maybe maybe Belmont comes into this with a little bit
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: of a chip on their shoulder because Belmont made that
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: nice run. They had like a couple of different tournament
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: runs like well, not tournament runs, but runs to getting
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: into the tournament for a while not too long ago.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: Lipskimb they finally got their first win of the season.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: They'll beating whoever this is Brian Tennessee. Okay, some non
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: Division one d but at least that can give them
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: some momentum. You get that monkey off your back whatever.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: Now you can just move forward. But Lipscomb looks like
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be down this year. Ding and this is
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: not a good start to the season for them. Belmont
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: is undefeated. They haven't really faced anybody good either though,
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: so Belmont is pretty untested so far, but they are
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: staying at home. They may consider themselves to be a
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: little brother right now, but they are actually the better
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: team right now. Belmont is actually up from a twelve
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: and a half to thirteen a half point favored here.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: This is also kind of weird because this is an
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: old Atlantic Sun rivalry. I think I think both of
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: these teams used to be in the A Sun and
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: Lipskim is still there, but Belmont moved to the Missouri
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: Valley and then maybe lips plays with a chip on
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: their shoulder against Belmont for that reason, because Belmont moved
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: up to the Missouri Valley Conference, where a lot of
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: those teams from the Missouri Valley have moved up higher
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: than that, like Creighton and Wichita, and I think Drake
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: is still in that conference right now and may move
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: up at some point. The pros, yeah, they better early
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: for sure, like the pros, not even just in Vegas,
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: but online. The pros are just getting on these early.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: Man Jackson State, on your schedule? On on whose schedule?
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: Oh did I did I go did I have did
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: I switch to Action Network? Oops? Yes, Jackson State is
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be one of my plays. Yes, we got to.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: We got two games. We got two games left here
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: that I plays on. Alabama at Illinois. Uh, well, this
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: is not actually at Illinois. This is actually at the
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: United Center the Bulls Arena, which is in Chicago. It's
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: it's still a semi home game for Illinois. But the
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: crowd is gonna be there for Illinois, and that's what
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: we're going with in this one. I actually think Illinois
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: is being short changed in the market here at three
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: and a half. I think this line is too low.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: It's already up from two to three and a half. Well,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: it looks like some of the money he's coming back
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: on Alabama, But I do not agree with that. Sixty
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: can be get on Alabama. I'm gonna lay it with
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: Illinois here. Man, we're gonna go back to the well here.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: I guess because I did give out Illinois not that
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: long ago, and they covered the better numbers and pushed
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: the worst number the last time he had ILLINOI against
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. But Alabama's ranked eleventh right now, Illinois's ranked eighth,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: And if you look at Kenbam his rankings, I think
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: those rankings have a lot to do with last year's
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: perception because Alabama's been so good for so long, but
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: they're not as good this year. Ken Bom has them
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: twenty first in the country and he has Illinois fifth,
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: So he actually has Illinois somewhat considerably better than Alabama here,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: So he actually is telling you these rankings are a
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: bit off, especially on the Alabama side. They're just being
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: a bit overrated based on last year. In Illinois, I
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: think is still being kind of underrated because they weren't
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: as good as Alabama was. Like, people just remember what
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: they saw last and they know Alabama's scores a lot
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: of though so does Illinois. By the way, Alabama is
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: fourth in tempo this year. That's not really surprising. They're
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: fast paced, so is Illinois, but Illinois a little bit
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: less fast as sixty ninth. I know Alabama is lower
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: in the Luck Index, I'm just gonna kind of ignore
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: that here. I know Illinois face is the less difficult schedule,
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: but both teams have been somewhat battle tested so far.
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: Ken Baum has Alabama actually worse offensively and defensively than Illinois.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: Right now, he has Alabama fifty third in defense, which
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: is not good. They're giving up a lot of points.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: He has Illinois fifteenth, so Illinois has been very well
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: rounded so far and fourth and offense, and you think
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: of Alabama as this great offensive team and they're still
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: very good, but eleventh. So he's got Illinois actually better
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball, and significantly better defensively.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: So I do like that you're not laying a ton
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: with them, And I don't like the spot for Alabama
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: as they're coming off a huge couple of games. They
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: play Saint John's got the huge win in the basically
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: road game at Madison Square Garden. I faded them off
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: of that game, but that was a huge game against
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: Purdue and Alabama didn't get the job done. So you
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: might argue, well, the bounce back after that, but I
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: actually don't think so. I think this is just a
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: difficult run of games, man, And now they have to
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: travel again up into the Chicago area. Into Chicago. It's
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: a difficult spot for them, man, having to put up
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: an effort this many games in a row. So I
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: think having the great straight the schedule I think could
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: be a drawback. And for Illinois, they came off that
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: big win over Texas Tech and then we failed, like
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: I gave out a fade of Illinois in their last
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: game two against Colgate. So they're coming off a much
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: much easier game and they're staying in the in their
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: home area. So this sets up way better to me
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: for Illinois. Man, Illinois just staying in the Chicago area
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: and coming off a very easy win over Colgate where
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: they didn't have to put in a full effort. I
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: told you I didn't think they would. I think they would.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: They were just you know, not go full throttle in
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: that game, which is part of the handicap there on
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: taking Colgate. It was a sandwich spot. So I think
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: Illinois sets up a lot better in this one, and
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: they're being undervalued in the market. So we're gonna lay
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: the points with Illinois in that game. So I'll give
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: you a play on both games there. Oh on ESPN,
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: Well I gave it away, but that's the next game
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: I'm talking about. And thanks for hanging out again. You
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: don't have the balls to play versus Auburn. Okay, Well,
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: maybe I'll change your mind. We're gonna do it on
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: the show. We're gonna do it. This is my last play.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take Jackson State plus thirty and a half
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: against against Auburn twenty second in the country. I mean Auburn.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: First of all, they're not as good as they were
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: last year. Yeah, they're still good. Ken Bum has them
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: at twenty ninth, so he's got them a little bit
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: lower ranked than what the rankings makers are telling you.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: They're not like the powerhouse of they were last year. Man,
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: they lost a lot of those players. They got a
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: new coach this year. They also have not faced a
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: very difficult schedule yet, whereas by the way, Jackson State
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: the last two years, Jackson State has faced the most
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule in non conference play out of any team
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: between last year and this year, and this year they
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: have the third most difficult straight the schedule. So he
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: has them fairly low in the Luck Index as well.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: They play a mid temple, though I think Auburn somewhat
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: does as well. I think Auburn is a little bit slower,
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: but that's fine as well, because if Auburn's a little
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: bit slower, that also means it's gonna be a little
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: bit more difficult for them to cover a huge number here.
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: Jackson State. Yeah again, I mean they battledest themselves like crazy, dude.
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: So I mentioned that last year, Like Jackson State, it
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: was one of the craziest things I've ever seen. Jackson
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: State had an unbelievably difficult out of conference schedule last
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: year at the beginning of the season, and they were
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: like zero to ten going into conference play, and I
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: was like, they're gonna do really well in conference play
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna be looking at an zero to ten team.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be favored against a bunch of these teams.
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: So I think I did give them out as a
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: play a couple of times last year. There were some
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: spots where they were really undervalued because their record was
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: so hideous. But I was like, dude, this team is
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: so battled. They were at least one of the better
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: swack teams. I mean, the swack is terrible, but Jackson
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: State's at least decent for a swack team. Speaking of
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: the swack, by the way, I should have considered giving
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: out Southern as a play. Last night, they actually took
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: Washington to overtime last night. Washington was coming off a
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: very satisfying rivalry went over Washington State, and they almost
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: lost last night to Southern. I should have considered that
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: because Southern has actually been stepping up in class pretty
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: well this year. So my mistake there. But anyway, Jackson
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: State to this team, yeah, I mean again, they play
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: unbelievably strong out of conference schedules. I don't know how
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: it happens, but look at their schedule so far this year.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: I know they got blown out in these games they
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: played on the road against Illinois and Louisville, and then
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: they did play a little bit better against Louisiana tackle
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: though they still lost the game, but it was a
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: more competitive game. But this has not been an easy
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: schedule at all. So at the very least you can
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: say that they're battle tests. And I know they did
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: not get within this number against either Illinois or Louisville,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: but those teams both play fast. Illinois sixty ninth in
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: the country, Louisville twenty sixth in tempo. So for Jackson State,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a little bit of a reprieve
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: from that because Auburn, first of all, Auburn is not
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: as good as either of those teams, but also Auburn
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: plays slower than both those teams, and the spot for Auburn,
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's just bad, dude. Auburn just almost beat
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: Houston the other day. I mean, you know, this was
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: a massive game for Auburn. This game was in Birmingham,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: Alabama to Birmingham, I'm I'm gonna say it like a
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: brit This game was crazy, dude. Auburn almost pulled off
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: the win over Houston, number one in the country, even
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: though Houston had the basically the whole game. It was
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: one of these Houston grinding games and then Auburn just
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: kind of stayed within it the whole time and they
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: got to it within one point in the final minute, man,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: and still fell short. This is a huge game for Auburn.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, you you gotta you gotta fade Auburn offer
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: that and Houston is very physical. They will punish you.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: So coming off of a game against Houston, teams do
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: not do well typically when they just face Houston because
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: they always step up their effort and Houston punishes you physically.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: Now they gotta face Jackson State, Like you really think
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: they're gonna pay that much attention to Jackson State. Jackson State,
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: by the way, they're in Mississippi, unfortunately not in Alabama,
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: but still, I mean, I don't know if they consider
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: this us to be a little brother, but you know
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: they're gonna they're gonna come with some effort here because
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: it is against Auburn. I mean, we know that Auburn's
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: good and uh for for Auburn, they gotta face Oregon
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: and Michigan and then NC State and then Arizona all
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: up after this. So this is a sandwich spot. I mean,
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: which one of these teams are they gonna overlook out
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: of all those teams, Yeah, it's gonna be Jackson's State.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: I mean this is sandwiched in between games against all
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: better teams. They play Oregon next, which is in Las
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: Vegas in the Player Era Festival. That was at the
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: michelob Ultra Arena. I don't even know where the hell
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: that is, so not at the MGM Grand But Auburn's
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: got that to look ahead to. We're gonna do it.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take Jackson State to come within this number.
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: I think they can do it. The number seems to
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: be moving in that direction. It's down from thirty one
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: and a half to twenty nine and a half. Now
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: hopefully there's not much of a difference there. The total
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: is not that high in the one fifties, so that's
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: not horrible either for taking a huge amount of points.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: We're doing it. Yeah, and that's the final play. And
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: for the other one for umk C. By the way,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: it's a pretty low total as well. In that one,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: at won fifty one. So taking I think I already
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: pointed that out, but taking those big numbers less of
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: a concern when the total is not that high. I
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: forget what it was for Bellerman's game. Bellerman's is even
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: lower at one forty nine and a half. So I'm
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: alright with all of those. There you go. Auburn's gone
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: over in every game. I mean most most of Auburn's
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: games have been against cupcakes though, so these like these
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: early season totals, I just don't think that you can
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: read anything into these games. Like I mean, these teams
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: are playing in these total mismatch games, So I don't know,
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: although of course this is one too, but I mean,
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: I just think Auburn is not gonna be able to
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: score that much coming off of that game against Houston.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: That's just a punishing game and a deflating way to
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: lose that game. So I don't know. I don't see
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: Auburn being able to do it man to be able
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: to win by that margin here. And then uh, I
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: mean Arkansas State having to go to Saint Mary's. It's
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: an interesting game. Both these teams have been kind of
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: fun to watch recently, though. Saint Mary's plays really really
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: slow and they're coming just massacrering North Texas eighty to
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: forty nine. That's I mean, you're gonna be a little
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: bit high after a win like that. Although Arkansas State
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: having to go to the Pacific Coast for the first
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: time this year, that's not that easy to do either,
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna stay away. But it's an interesting one
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: and I think it's a contrast of styles because Arkansas
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: State likes to play really fast. Ken Bum also has
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: them as the number one team in luck so far,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: and Saint Mary's play is really really slow, so it's
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: gonna be a huge pacing collision here. But if you
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: want to ask the slow team to lay like twenty
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: something points here, I don't love that idea either. With
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: a total of one forty seven and a half. Saint
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: Mary's is up to twenty and a half. I just
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: figured I mentioned it might be one of the more
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: fun games to watch though, to see what happens with
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: the pacing contrast there. What do you mean the oddsmakers
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: versus the team? I mean, I'm just I just don't really,
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't think there's a whole lot
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: to take away from games that are just games that
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: are mismatches that get totally out of control. But I
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: just think that spot is horrible for Roburn and I'm
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: guessing that coming off of the game they just came
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: off of, they're not gonna score as much as they
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: have in those other games. Washington State in Southern Utah.
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: I will just say Washington State is coming off that
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: big rivalry game against Washington They fell short. They didn't
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: come close to winning though, so I don't know, but
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: they still might overlook Southern Utah. And Washington State does
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: have to face Shamanad. They have to go to Hawaii
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: after this. There's your Shamanad, baby, that's gonna be in Maui.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: I think Shamanad hosts that thing because they're in Maui.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: So there's our boys Shamanad Division two out there, so
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: that's when that tournament is happening. So it could be
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a sandwich spot for Washington State here.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: Southern Utah just got totally embarrassed against Gonzaga. I know
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga is good, but losing by seventy two points, I
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: mean I thought that would be more of a competitive
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: performance with Southern You time, that is crazy, and now
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: Washington State's only like twelve and a half here. I
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points with Southern Utah. I mean,
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: nobody's gonna want to touch that after they lost my
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: seventy two. Who's gonna want to do that? They lose
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: my seventy two and now they have to come within twelve.
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: It seems almost impossible. Washington State's much worse than Gonzaga,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: though fifty percent of tickets ninety nine percent of the
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: cash on Southern Utah. I would lean that way, but
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not gonna do anything with that game.
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: The Vegas Special, Yeah, it's a it's the bailout game
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: because it's the last game of the schedule. Yeah, the
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: public will come out and lay the points. I agree
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: with that. If the public is playing college basketball today, Yeah,
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: which they might be because the football games are pretty ugly.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: There are a couple of big college basketball games. It's
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: a Wednesday, so yeah, the public might be looking at
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: some college basketball today. All right, NHL, we have Edmonton
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: at Washington. I can't believe we're already an hour and
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: a half in. I have only talked about college basketball. Man,
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: It's a good thing I started early. I only have
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: one more play, too, and it's in NBA. Edmonton coming
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: off an ugly, ugly game against Buffalo, losing five to one,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: So that kind of leads me to believe that it
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: looks like it would be kind of a bounce back
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: spot here. I mean Edmonton, it was a bad spot
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: for them. They were coming off a nice overtime win
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: against Carolina. That's a big win. They I just think
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: were not focused against Buffalo, maybe even looking ahead to
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: Washington a little bit. So I do expect Edmonton to
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: show up in this game. Washington probably also will. I mean,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: they did just end a little bit of a lost
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: streak for themselves. They beat LA. I don't think they're
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be like overconfident after beating LA two to one.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: I expect focus from Washington here as well. I think, yeah,
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: the market read early is on Washington, they're up for
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: minus one thirteen to minus one twenty two, seventy percent
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, fifty tickets on Edmonton. So
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: the money is the money's saying Washington here. I don't
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on it at all, though, you know,
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: like Edmonton, what do they have next? I didn't even
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: really look. I'm a great handicapper, obviously I put more
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: weight into what just happened, though. I mean, they're playing
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay tomorrow. Is that really a huge deal. I
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: don't think so, but I don't know. I mean Tampa
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: Bay has been pretty mediocre. I don't really see that
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: as a look ahead. I don't have a strong opinion
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: on this. The market, says Washington. I think both teams
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: should show up for it. No result in this game
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: would really surprised me. Oiler's chicken hustlers. She's done playboy dude,
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: that she's not gonna move over to one of the
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: other hustler is too crude for her. Man, she's classy,
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: she's she's a playboy model. That s hert of thing.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: Calgary at Buffalo Calgary. I mean, their result last night
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: was pretty misleading. I know I mentioned I leaned to
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: Calgary in this game. I know they're on a back
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: to back, but I actually kind of like Calgary in
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: this game against Buffalo. Calgary did at least have a
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: few days off prior to last night. I'm assuming it
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: won't be Wolf in net tonight, though, It'll be Coolly,
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: which yeah, you know, I know they've lost every game
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: with him in net this year. But Calgary, I mean,
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: they just suck generally, But this five to two loss
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: was not what it looked like yesterday. I mean Calgary,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: they got out shot slightly, but look at the physicality
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: in this game. Calgary out physical Chicago forty three to
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: thirteen in hits. I've never seen a disparity like that.
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: And they lost the game five to two, and they
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: out faceoff Chicago fairly significantly do with fifty six percent
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: of the face offs going in Calgary's direction. Doesn't look
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: like a game and they should have lost five to two.
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: One concern I would have with Calgary tonight, though, is
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: it is a back to back and this was a
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: physical game. I mean sixty plus penalty minutes from both sides.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: You know, there was a lot of fighting in this game.
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: The game got a little bit out of hand. Let's say,
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: you don't really there's not really a rivalry between Calgary
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: and Chicago, but this result was misleading. And there was
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: also an empty net for Badard, who actually got a
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: hat trick on that on the empty net goal at
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: the end. But the game was not quite what it
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: looked like on the scoreboard there. And for Buffalo, of course,
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: as I just mentioned, they're coming up not only beating
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: Edmonton five to one in their last game, but they
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: also beat Detroit in overtime the game before then, and
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: Edmonton was in a return homes I mean, they beat
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: Edmonton in a return home spot. Buffalo was in the
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: return home spot in that one. So that's crazy that
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: they were able to do that and that difficult of
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: a spot. Buffalo's got to be in a letdown spot here, man,
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to Calgary in this one. I
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: know they're on the beat to back, but that's what
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: I would do here. Money seems to agree with that.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: Sixty four percent of tickets, only sixty three percent of
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: the cash on Buffalo. They're down for minus one sixty
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: five to minus one fifteen. I wouldn't disagree with an
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: over here either Calgary. I mean the totals up from
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: six to six juice to the over, I'm not really
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: gonna disagree with it both teams. I mean, very questionable
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: goal ending in games where they you know, they're coming
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: off games where they like exerted themselves, let's say so. Yeah,
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: I mean the over does make sense to me in
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: that game as well, But I do like the Calgary side.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: It's just I don't know if I can quite do
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: it because of how brutal that game was last night,
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: even though it was a misleading loss on the scoreboard.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: Carolina at Minnesota, Carolina is definitely the better of these
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: two teams. Carolina did just beat Boston, though on the
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: road my Bruins after taking edmontonto overtime the game before that, possible,
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: Carolina does kind of overlook Minnesota. I mean, Boston's kind
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: of a big win, it was a conference win, Boston
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: was pretty hot coming into that game. Carolina's got Winnipeg
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: up in two days. They might not totally pay attention
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: to this Minnesota team that is playing at a mediocre level,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: which was more expected here, but Minnesota is coming off
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: an overtime win over in Vegas, So I don't really
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: want to deal with Minnesota here either in what could
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a let down, although I know
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: they should still show up for Carolina. Carolina did beat Minnesota,
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: by the way in Carolina back on November six, so
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: it is maybe that's maybe another reason why Carolina might
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: overlook Minnesota, because they did already beat them once. Minnesota
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: looking for a little bit of revenge here maybe, So
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know that they'll really be in a letdown
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: spot here, but they're gonna have to put up that
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: ef fort two games in a row after that big
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: win over Vegas, and the fact that they've had multiple
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: days off actually could hurt their MO momentum a little bit.
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: Minnesota because they'd won a couple of games in a row.
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay away. The money is indicating on Carolina
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: they're up for minus one forty five to minus one
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: sixty fifty five percent of the cash on them, fifty
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on Minnesota forty one percent
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: of tickets. Excuse me, I, Minnesota. I think the public
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: might just perceive value because Minnesota is a home underdog
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: and the records not that bad, and that might be
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: what they're looking at. I'm not so sure though. I
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: mean I might lean to Minnesota in that game as well,
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: though as a big home underdog. Just I think the
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: spot is a little bit less bad for them, but
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: in general, I don't love it at all. And then
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: Boston is at Anaheim. Anaheim is down for minus one
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: sixty five to minus one sixty three, seventy five percent
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: of tickets on anaem. Anim continues to be a very
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: public side uh Boston, my Boston Bruins, fifty six percent
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on the Bruins. I think
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: both of these teams are overperforming, though I don't think
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: either of these teams is as good as the record looks,
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: because we know we've seen the OZ have been disrespecting
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: both teams. Anaheim is usually not gonna be this big
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: of a favorite, even though the record is good, but
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: we know Anaeim's coming up that win where they shouldn't
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: have won. That was my only lost two nights ago.
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: I was very pissed. Anaheims scored in the final four
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: seconds to force it into overtime, and then one yes
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: that did break a lost streak for them, but that
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: was a pretty big win man pulling that game out
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: the way that they did against Utah. They do it
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: to face Ottawa tomorrow, and Ottawa is decent as well.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know which one of these games
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: are gonna have more focus on, but the Bruins might
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: bring a little bit more focus here because Anaheim did
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: go into Boston and beat them seven to five, and
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: that was kind of an embarrassing result for the Bruins,
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: giving up that many goals. I think I had a
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: win on this game. I think I gave out Anaheim
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: in that game, so I think there was something about
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: the spot that I liked. I don't really remember exactly
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: what it was. Bruins had Corpus Solo and net for
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: that one too, their worst goalies, so something of note
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: there as well. The Bruins. I don't know which goalie
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: they're going to go with this time though, because they
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: used Swayman in their last game against Carolina. He's played
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: two in a row, so it might actually be Corporate
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: Salo again here. I would worry about that a little bit,
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: but the Bruins. They're starting a road trip here, I
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: know they're coming off a tough game against Carolina, but
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: and having to go out to the Pacific Coast and
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: play a late night game. I know that's difficult, Like
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: your first game out of the Pacific Coast biological clock
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: after playing two days ago. It's not great. Although a
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: lot of times the team is focused to start a
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: road trip. And this is still an Anaheim team that
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: beat them at home not that long ago. So I'll
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: still agree with the market here on the Bruins as
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: the underdog, but I don't love it. So I just
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: have to stay away from hockey today. Man, Jeffrey thinks
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: for hanging out man wah wah. I wish we had
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: them up here. Man, They've got to get their asses
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: up into the Northeast. I don't have to go to
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: Pennsylvania like where you are. That's the closest wah wah
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: to me is probably the one that you're going to,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: or maybe on New Jersey. There might be some I
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: don't know, I forget, but yeah, they're not around here.
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: I like wahwah, but yeah, can't do it too often
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: because they're not around here. All right, Let's do the
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: NBA and then we do have college football too NBA.
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: We got Houston at Cleveland on ESPN at seven pm.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: Interesting game, two good teams here. I think they're both
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: gonna show up. Cleveland's coming off a nice division win
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: over Milwaukee, though, so they are there are they are
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game, and for Houston, I think
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: the spot does set up a little bit better for
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: Houston as Houston's not coming off a game that was
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: as big. Houston at home almost lost to Orlando, which
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: was something I talked about with a couple of different handicaps.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: I gave out Orlando in that game, and they covered
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: for us here on the show. Houston now going out
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: on the road after that might be a good thing.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: Although they've had a couple of days off which might
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: disrupt their momentum a little bit. But I think they're
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: kind of in a refocused spot after they almost lost
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: at home. As a big favorite against Orlando, the money
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: seems to agree with Houston. They flip from a four
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: point dog to a one and a half point favorite
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: here sixty two percent take it, sixty seven percent of
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: the cash on Houston money coming in on the Houston sider.
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know why the line moved to that extent though,
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: because I don't really see any injury news like the Calves,
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: like there their only injury right now is Garland, So like,
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know if maybe it was expected he was
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: going to be back, but I don't think Garland alone
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: would move the line two and a half points either,
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, but Garland is still out. But
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: I think other than that, I think both teams are
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: gonna be pretty much full roster in this game for
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: the most part, So I don't know. I would lean
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: to Houston based on the spot. The money does seem
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: to agree with it. It's interesting that Houston is a
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: road favorite against Cleveland though, so the oddsmakers they're telling
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: you they they really think Houston is good. Man, if
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: they're a favorite on the road at Cleveland, let me
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: just double check the person out to see if I
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: got that wrong. Yeah, I mean really like, as far
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: as which names a really huge here, I know Van Vliet,
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: I mean he's been out for the whole season, so
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: that's not really something it's in consideration here. But yeah,
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: Garland's like the only one who's out for Cleveland here,
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. It's weird. Charlotte at Indiana. I mean,
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: this is a real ugly one. Charlotte just covered for
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: us against Toronto. They took Toronto basically to the limit.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: Nice performance from Charlotte. Now they're gonna turn around and
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: play Indiana after that might be a little bit of
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Charlotte after taking Toronto almost to
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: the limit. There, Toronto's been playing pretty well. Indiana coming
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: off a more ugly loss to Detroit and than I know,
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: Detroit's good. Indiana is returning home. They do have Cleveland
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: up next. I don't know, man, I just I see
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: nothing in this game that I really want to do
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: anything with. I don't like it. But Spot maybe a
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Indiana and their road trip they're
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: coming off is just a single game road trips, so
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: it's not like they were away for very long. I mean,
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: I'll lean to taking the points of the Pacers here.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: Hornets did flip from a three point dog to one
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: app way favorite. I think probably because of the pacer
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: injury situation here. They got a couple of guys that
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: are on the injured list. Of course, we know Haliburton's
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: not back anytime soon. Ness Smith looks like he's out
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: again here. Topping is out for most of the season
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: at this point, so that's what we got going on
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: with Indiana. They're definitely a shell of a team here,
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: but I do still lean to their side here. Fifty
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, only fifty two percent of the
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: cash on the Hornets. I'll agree with that market read
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: in fading a public road favorite Hornet Team Man. Things
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: have changed with the Pacers here. The public it's like,
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: what have you done for me lately? The public wants
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: nothing to do with this one win Pacer Team Man
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: Toronto at Philadelphia. Part of my handicap in that Toronto
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: game was that they would maybe be looking past Charlotte
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: to this Philadelphia game, and it was also a return
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: home spot that Toronto was in, so it was a
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them. They barely escaped. I think they're
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: gonna have more focus on this game. Now they get
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: back out of home again, they get to focus on Philadelphia, who,
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: by the way, beat them in this building back on
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: November eighth. So it's a little bit of a revenge
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: spot for Toronto here now in this game. I believe. Yeah,
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: Philly was kind of more intact in this game though
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: Philly was a five and a half point favorite in
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: that one. I believe Philly had Joel Embiid and that
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: one he's not gonna play tonight. So that's the main
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: reason why the line is way different here. The Raptors
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: have flipped from plus one and a half to minus
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: one and a half on the road here. But I mean,
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: is Embiid being out of the lineup? Is that really
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: worth moving the line like seven points. I'm not so
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: sure that it is, even though the money is saying
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: Raptors here. I agree with the spot for the Raptors.
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: I just don't know if I necessarily agree with the
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: line being this crazy skewed towards the Raptors. Seventy percent
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty three percent of the cash on the Raptors.
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, at this price, you're asking basically just which
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: team is gonna win the game. I mean, again, I
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: do like the spot better for Toronto Philadelphia. They just
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: beat LA which was in Paul George's return, So that
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: was kind of my hesitation because I didn't like the
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: spot for the Clippers, so I was thinking about maybe
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: saying lay it with Philly in that game. Gladly I
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: did not say that I held off because it was
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: Paul George's long way to return, so I thought that
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: might affect the chemistry for the team a little bit
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: for Philadelphia and that you know, he might have to
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: work his way back a little bit. Now Paul George
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: is actually not playing tonight, but he didn't play in
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: that first game against Toronto either, So I don't know
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: why that would skew the line from where it was
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: in that game to where it is in this game.
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: Like that shouldn't have any effect between those two games
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: because he didn't play in either, So I don't know,
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: but George will be out again. Now does that mean
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: that it's like an injured player spot again? Because this
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: is like a rest game for Paul George. They're trying
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: to go light on him because he just came back
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: and they're saving him from Milwaukee tomorrow. So that actually
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: kind of tells you that Philadelphia is actually more focused
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: on the game tomorrow though against Milwaukee though, so that's
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: probably part of the reason why the line is moving
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: that crazy towards Toronto. Philadelphia is signaling that they don't
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: care that much about this game by resting George for
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: tomorrow's game against Milwaukee and Embeied. I mean, he's been
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: out for a while again now, so I don't even
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: know when he's coming back. But does that mean that
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia's team is gonna Are they gonna play harder in
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: this game without George? I don't know. I don't think
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: it's like the typical injured player at theory spot here,
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: because again, George being held out is just a signal
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: that Philly's gonna be focusing more on tomorrow's game. I'll
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: agree with the market and lean towards the Raptors, but
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: I don't love that number at all. So that's a
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: stay away. Uh are pals the Warriors who failed to
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: get it done for us last night? They're playing again
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: on a back to back, and it's a third game
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: in four days, fourth game in six days, fifth game
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: in eight days. This is ridiculous, dude. Sixth game in
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: nine days, is that really right? Yeah? It is, and
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: a seventh game in eleven days, all in different cities.
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: And I mean this is crazy. It's actually an eighth
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: game in thirteen days and ninth game in fifteen days,
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. This is a terrible schedule for
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: Golden State, Like They've got to be getting worn out
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: at this point. They just lost their wind streak last night.
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: Now they're on a back to back. This is a
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: very very unrested spot at the end of this road trip. Here.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: The road trip is already a success because I mean,
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: they're three and two on the road trip. I guess
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: they don't want to really fall the three and three,
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: but this is a pretty bad spot, dude. And then
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: Miami coming into this with more rest, but they're coming
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: up of a big win over the Knicks, though I
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: know that was the Knicks without both brunts and and Anonobi,
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: Miami was able to zigzag and get that win. Jeffrey,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: I think you had a winner on that. I agreed
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: with it. I wasn't in love with it. On MYAI
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: barely got the win if you laid like the one
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: and a half there, they barely covered it. They won
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 1: by two, but they got the zigzag there. They're coming
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: off a big win though, Man, I know it is
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: Golden State here. I mean, does Miami even somewhat look
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: ahead to Chicago because it's more of a conference game?
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, because it is a conference game. I don't know, man,
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot for either team here. I
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: don't know what I would want to do with this game,
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: so again I'm doing nothing with it. The heat dropped
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: from seven to six and a half, so the money
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: looks like it's taking the Warriors fifty eight percent of
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: tickets only fifty percent of the cash on the Heat.
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: So the money is indicating against Miami as a pretty
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: big favorite. There's gotta be a reason why Miami's favored
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: like this. And I think Curry might actually be out
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 1: in this game. He's a game time decision. But this
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: line is sort of indicating that Curry is going to
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: be out here, so it would be an injured player
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: spot for Golden State of Curry is out, So that
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: would actually put me more on the Golden State side
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: off Curry is out here, even though they're in a
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: terrible rest spot. It looks like Curry might not play,
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: and there is a chance that out of bio comes back.
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: So if you get both of those things happening in
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: this game and it becomes a reverse injured player spout
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: on the Miami side too, you know, I don't like
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: that because that means the line's gonna be skewed too much.
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: Towards Miami again for that reason, and maybe that is happening.
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's Whyami's why Whyami. Maybe that's why Miami is
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: that big of a favorite. And maybe out of Bio
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: is coming back here, and then you know, he's gonna
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: have to get used to playing again. Miami's gonna get
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: used to, you know, figuring out their roles again. So
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: I don't love that if he comes back. So if
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: it's both of those things, if Carry's out and out
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: of Bio's coming back, I really don't want Miami there.
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: I do think Miami's laying too many points. That's probably
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: why the money's coming in against them. I don't want
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: to touch it. There's a lot of moving parts in
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: that game. I really don't like it. Golden State want
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: this to because oh yeah, that's right, that's a good point.
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: Sob Jimmy Butler is coming back, dude. I Ah, I'm
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: so mad because I was waiting to talk about Jimmy
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: Butler because I just got some Seinfeld Jimmy clips and
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: I haven't cut them and put them in the system
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: yet because they're too long for me to like play
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: them on the show. I was gonna cut like a
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: couple of the best Jimmy Seinfeld clips just to talk
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: about Jimmy Butler, and then maybe it'll become a thing
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: and I'll use them. Otherwise, man, I was gonna do it,
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: you know. I was. Whatever Jimmy shoots, Jimmy scores his
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: Golden State played at Miami since then. That's my other question.
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: It's the first time facing them this year, I guess.
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: But did they play them last year with with Butler.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they did or if they didn't.
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: When's the last time they played at Miami. They played
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: them on March twenty fifth, Miami absolutely annihilated them. Was
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: Butler there for this game or was he not? He was,
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: so I don't know, Sab. I think it's less less
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: of an issue because Butler already made his return to Miami,
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: which was last March. Is his first game he played
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: for the Warriors at Miami, so that did already happen,
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: So I think that I think that's less of a
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: big deal. Now Cavs got fine for resting players. That's ridiculous, dude,
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: Like I know, the league want the league hates it
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: because the league wants the star players to play because
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: like they want to have. You know, it's supposed to
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: be entertainment, but I mean, the coaches are trying to win,
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: so it's like it's it's a crazy situation. You like
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: Butler to go over his point total. I don't really
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: have an opinion on that. I mean, yeah, he might
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: be motivated to score a lot against his former team.
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: It seemed like he wanted out of Miami, so it
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: might still have a grudge against them. I don't know.
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: You like Golden State. I don't like if. I hate
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: the rest spot for them, but if if we have
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: an injured player spot in here and reverse injured player
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: spot on the other side, there's no way that I
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: would play Miami in that game laying that many points.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: That line is too high. Dude, you like the Wizards.
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: Oh man, Yeah, Golden State did get annihilated in that game,
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: that's true. But and I think that that was the
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: last time they played the Heat, so you're right. I mean,
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: there is something there if they remember that, Golden State,
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: but that's an indicator on Golden State. Golden State might
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: remember that and be pissed off because the last time
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: they played at Miami they got absolutely embarrassed. So maybe
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: they remembered that Washington at the te Wolves. Yeah, I mean, Washington,
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: this is just ugly, man, And maybe it's come to
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: a head because Washington just lost to Brooklyn by twenty three.
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, it doesn't get much worse than that. So
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: you might be at bottom the bottom of the market
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: for Washington here after they got obliterated at home by Brooklyn.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, man, that is bad. Washington now gets to
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: start a road trip after that. They have multiple days off,
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: so it is a positive spot for Washington because they
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: you know, they had their ugliest game of the season
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: so far. Best to just get out of home. They've
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: had a lot of rest. Actually, this is only their
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: second game that they've played since Wednesday last week, so
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: they're very arrested. At the very least, that extra rest
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: here might help them break that losing momentum. Starting a
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: road trip, you get to get out of home focus
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: on basketball. Usually you want to start the road trip
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: off on the right foot. Minnesota, they just obliterated Dallas.
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: Is that really a big deal though, crushing a Dallas
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: team it's sucked recently. I don't know. Maybe you could
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: argue in Minnesota's gonna look ahead to Phoenix because they've
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: been hot recently. Do I think they're gonna take Washington? Seriously? No,
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: I don't. And then I don't know what's going on
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: with the Anthony Edwards situation. I guess he did play
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: in their last game. He just wasn't good, so he
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: didn't make it into the the leaders there, why is
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: this not going back? What the fuck? All? Right? There?
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: It is? Yeah? So Edwards, I mean, I guess he
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: did not miss the last game, he just didn't factor
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: into the the box score as heavily as he usually does.
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: Our guy there Sa is on the injury report as
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: a game time decision for the Wizards. There. Yeah, I mean,
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with taking the points of the Wizards. It's
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: not gonna make my card, but Wolves up from fifteen
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: to sixteen, so you're getting more value on this if
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: you do like it. Wolves are public for obvious reasons.
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: The public has no intention of playing the Wizards. Seventy
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets, only sixty of the cash on
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: the tea Wolves. I'll agree with you on that one.
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: I would take the points as well. It's not on
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: my car though, yes, correct, Miami destroyed Golden State in
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: that game. It's a double revenge, right, Miami beat them
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: twice and Andy Edwards to stat pat I'm not so
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: sure about that, because, dude, if Minnesota might just want
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: to get in and get out of this game, so
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: they might start pulling their starters, Like, if this game
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: is out of reach, Minnesota might start pulling their starters
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: out of the game to rest them. So I'm not sure.
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: I would not want to play overs with the Minnesota
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: star players in this game. It looks way too obvious
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: to do it against a bad team. But you know,
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: when these in these mismatch games, these better teams will
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: just start resting their guys if the game is out
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: of reach. That is the NBA Denver at New Orleans,
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: Denver is in a bad spot, Dude, Denver just lost
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: a long win streak. THEYD win they'd want seven games
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: in a row. They had not lost in the month
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: of November, and then they finally lost at home, so
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: that can hang them over a little bit. Man, I
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: could see an argument that it's a hangover spot if
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: you lose along win streaks, sometimes you don't respond well
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: to that. Although they he'd lose his twelve and a
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: half point home favorites, though, so they might be a
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: little bit angry about it. So I could argue that
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: I could see the argument that they're gonna refocus after
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: that too, because they should have won more easily and
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: they're going out on the road now leaving home, so
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: that might give them some focus here. But they got
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: to play Houston next, man, that is a much bigger deal.
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: Houston is considered to be one of the best teams
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: in the West right along with Denver, so that is
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: a much, much bigger game. And you're gonna be asking
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: Denver to lay a ton of points here against New Orleans.
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: New Orleans coming of another ugly game. They're playing a
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: third game in four days here, but they're staying at
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: home for all of them, so I think it's less
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: of a big deal. New Orleans just lost to Oklahoma
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: City by a pretty big margin, not really a big deal.
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: I think New Orleans should show up here, and you
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: got to see what the injury situation is because Zion
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: Williamson might come back, and if he does, I kind
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: of worry about wanting to jump in on the Pelicans here,
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: even though of course he'll he will help them, but
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: he's been out since November second, So if he comes back,
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: you know it's gonna be the injured player spot again
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: where they got to work him back in and whatever.
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: But I think regardless of whether he comes back, you're
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: gonna be getting a ton of points with New Orleans.
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: So I think as far as how it affects the line,
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: I don't think that matters that much. Nuggets are very
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: public eighty nine percent of tickets, only seventy nine percent
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: of the cash up from thirteen and a half to
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half, it's getting close to fifteen. I
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: would take the points with New Orleans if I was
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: gonna play this game. I'm not quite there with that one,
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: because I do still see a slight argument that Denver
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: could be angry and bounced back from that. But I
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: do think the like the better way to think of
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: this game is that they're gonna be looking ahead to Houston, though,
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: would be my opinion, and that they might be hung
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: over after that first loss in a long time. So
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: I leaned New Orleans in that one. Houston is on deck. Yes,
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: no Zion has been out since November second, He is not.
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: He hasn't played that the game against the game on
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: November two was also against the thunder That was the
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: last game that he played. It's just it's a cool wincidence.
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: Both of those games were against the thunder Yogics with
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: a triple double. I don't really, dude, I don't like
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: going overs with any of these star players in games
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: where the team is a massive favorite, because they might
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: just pull their starter, you know what I mean, Like
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: the game might get out of hand and they'll just
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: pull the starter. So I don't like that at all.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: Although I guess if you argue that the game's out
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: of hand, maybe it's because that starter did enough damage
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: while they're in the game. But I don't love it
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: because you might not get the full compliment of minutes
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: out of him. ESPN game at nine thirty. Yeah, this
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: one's great, isn't it. ESPN? Imagine the schedule makers with
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: this one before the before the season. And now look
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: at what this game is. The Knicks at Dallas, And
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: you got the Knicks I think without bruntson and without
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: any in this one. You got Dallas I think without
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: Anthony Davis, without Kyrie Irving. I mean, what is this game?
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: But this is ridiculous? I mean I think that's the
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: case here. Anonobi's out for a while. He's out for
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: a couple of weeks. Brunson is questionable, so he might
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: actually play in this game. We'll see Dallas injury reports
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: extensive as usual. Anthony Davis is still out. Lively and
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: Gafford both game time decisions. So MAVs again look like
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: they might be hurting on the interior. But at least
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: it's good for Dallas and Anonobi is out because that's
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: you know, Anonobe would hurt them on the interior more.
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: Although they still are gonna have to contend with Karl
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: Anthony Towns here as one of New York's big men.
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: The Knicks coming off that loss to Miami that was
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: in the Zigzag, though the Knicks did not have Brunston
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: in that game or Anonobe. Now they're going on on
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: the road, maybe arguably a bounce back spot for the Knicks.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: But if Brunson's coming back, I don't know if I
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: love it because it does fall into that reverse injured
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: player spot where maybe the team will not focus as much.
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: The Knicks. By the way, they might be looking ahead
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: to Orlando too, because Orlando just smashed the Knicks in
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: New York. That was one of the Knicks only losses
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: in the month of November. They only have two losses
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: in November, and one of them was to Orlando, and
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: it was very recent. It was back last Wednesday, so
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: and in New York. So they might really be looking
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: ahead to that Orlando game. Man, So I do worry
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: that this does start looking almost like a sandwich spot
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: here for the Knicks. As far as Dallas is concerned.
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: They just got wrecked by Minnesota on the road, although
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: they are now playing a third game in four days
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: with travel between all the games, including also, by the way,
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 1: they had double overtime on Friday against the Clippers and
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: overtime against Portland on Sunday. Both of those games were
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: at home, but still Dallas has played a lot of
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: extra basketball recently and they're decimated within issues right now too,
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what I would want to do.
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: This game is a total mess, dude. Good luck to
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: ESBN trying to get viewership on this game. The Knicks
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: are up from four and a half to five and
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: a half year, eighty three percent of the tickets, ninety
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on the Knicks, so the
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's coming in on the Knicks for now.
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards taking the points with Dallas,
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: though we'll see how many of their big men they
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: can actually get back in this game. I don't think
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: it really falls into a really like a reverse injured
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: player spot though, if they're gonna get like Lively and
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 1: Gafford both playing here, I don't think it falls into that.
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: Because you get multiple guys back at the same position.
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: I think that just helps your team a lot more
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: than that it hurts you. Would Dallas be more motivated
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: if Brunson was playing, Yeah, I mean, if Brunson is playing,
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: I like Dallas more. I agree, I agree with that. Yeah.
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: I think it's a look ahead spot for the Knicks there,
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: and I think the Heat was like that back to
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: back against the Heat, or those two straight games against
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: the Heat. I think we're bigger as well. So that's
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: gonna lead us to our final game here though, which
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: of course is my play. We're gonna take the points
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: with the Portland Trailblazers plus three, We're gonna fade Chicago.
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: This is classic Toad here, man. I mean, look at
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: what we're doing here, Chicago. They're playing a third game
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities, the first two
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: of which were in elevation in Utah and Denver. They
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: went to double overtime on Sunday against Utah, which was
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: a game that we won on with Utah, and then
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: what do they do after that? The very next night,
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: despite playing two overtimes, they went in and they beat
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: Denver as like thirteen and a half point underdogs. With
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: Jokic in the lineup for Denver, the Bulls somehow won
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: this game outright, Don't ask me how. I mean, it's
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: basically because they hit nineteen to three pointers, I guess
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: is what happened there. I mean Denver was alright from three,
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: they hit fourteen of them. But yeah, I mean, just
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: crazy that the Bulls were able to do with this.
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, both teams shot pretty average in the game.
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: The game looked like it was just a really close
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: game overall, but still the Bulls. That was a huge
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: win for the Bulls, dude. And I know it did
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: end a lost streak for the Bulls. They had a
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: long lost streak, so sometimes that will carry over into
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: the next game. I don't think so here, man, I
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot and then the Bulls are
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: gonna come back home. They gotta play Miami. I think
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: that's a bigger game too, because it's a conference game,
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: and Miami very well might have out of bio back
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: at that point too. So I do not like the
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: spot for the Bulls. It is a major letdown spot
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: in my opinion. After that ridiculous upset win, they're gonna
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: be facing Portland. I know Portland is on a back
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: to back, so that isn't a concern, but I like
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: the way the schedule sets up, even though I know
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: they're on a third game in four and as fourth
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: game in six days. They did play into overtime against Dallas.
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: But here's the thing about Portland. Though Portland is returning home,
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: they return on from a road trip in their last game,
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: so that's typically that's a bad spot. You return over
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: from a road trip, you get a little bit distracted.
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: Holiday was out of the lineup for that one. Although
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: sometimes I say injured player spot. You know, with one
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: of your best players, you're gonna step up your performance
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: without him, But they didn't, and they lost badly. I
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: think because it was the return home spot, maybe it
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: distracts and they lost by seventeen to Phoenix. When that
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: happens to a team, they usually bounce back and play
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: a lot better in the next game. Even though, yes,
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: again I know it is a back to back, but
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: it's not exactly like Chicago is well rested right now.
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: For Portland again, like I think they fall into a
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: bounced back spidery because when you lose that first game
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: back home, you get stuff out of the way at home,
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: you focus better in the second game, and they have
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: to go back out on the road. So I do
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna try to win one of these games
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: on this home stand. I see them being motivated. They've
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: lost three games in a row. I think they're gonna
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: show up. And yes, there is a concern with Holiday
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: potentially returning here, which might mean that that falls into
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: like a reverse injured player spot if he comes back here,
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: because he is one of their best players, but he's
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: the guy that everything runs through. And here's the thing, man,
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: Holiday and Grant both did not play yesterday, so I
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: actually think it might actually be good if both of
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: those guys come back for Portland. That's gonna help with
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: this rest scenario, right because it's almost like Portland just
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: rested those guys yesterday, you know what I mean, And
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 1: maybe that is kind of what they did. I mean,
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: they claim injury, but maybe I don't know, maybe they
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: wanted this game more if they decided to give these
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: guys rest in the game yesterday. I don't know what
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: it was, but you know, could be player management type
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: of stuff. Man. So if Holiday and Grant both come back,
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, these are like some of their best players, dude,
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 1: Grant eighteen whatever points per game. If both of those
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: guys come back, I think that is gonna make a difference,
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna be fresh because they didn't play yesterday.
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: So the hope is that both these guys are gonna
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: come back. I think they might. I mean, Grant was
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: out with an illness on Tuesday, which seems like a
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: bullshit reason for him to be out. Holliday had a
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: calf injury. I'm not even sure what it is. We'll see,
• 1:59:12
  Speaker 1: but I think this is the right play man. The
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: Bulls are off from one and a half to three.
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: We're getting points at home with the Blazers, uh eight
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty two percent of the cash on the Bulls.
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: Bulls are gonna be very public Portland. I mean, they're
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 1: at least decent at home. They're five hundred at home.
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: Bulls are not very good on the road two and five,
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: even though I know that they inexplicably beat Denver on
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: the road. But the Bulls have been a lot better
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: at home. So yeah, we're gonna do it. Portland Trail
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: Blazers will be the play there to finish the NBA
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 1: card there. You like the Blazers in first quarter, first half,
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: and full game. Hell yeah, you're on it too, all right?
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Miami eliminated Chicago in the play and that's correct.
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 1: I forgot about that. I forget, Yeah, the plays, I
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: forget exactly what happens in those and how they work.
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: But it's kind of that round rob not round robin,
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: but like the there's like a winner bracket and loser
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: bracket type of thing. So Chicago will be looking ahead
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: to Miami because it's revenge for knocking them out last year.
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: That's true because the Chicago was in the play ins
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: and they didn't make it into the actual playoffs and
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: Miami did. Yeah, that's correct. In Miami, I believe wound
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: up playing against uh was it Cleveland? The Miami got
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: I think in the Miami got eliminated, of course against Cleveland.
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: I believe that's what happened, right, if I remember correctly.
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 1: All right, so Miami wound up with the eight seed there,
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about college football these maction games,
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: which I don't find to be of interest here. I mean,
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 1: we have some things to talk about here. The better
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: of the two games is the one that's the first
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: on the card. I mean I usually talk about the
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: better one second. But whatever, Miami Ohio at Buffalo, these
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: two teams are both, They're both okay. Miami Ohio, I think,
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: is the better of the two. This is on ESPN
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: two at seven pm. It's in Buffalo. As far as
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: these two teams, these two teams both could still make
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: the MAC Championship. As we have Western Michigan with another
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: win last night, Sitting at six and one, Western Michigan
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 1: pretty much has it wrapped up that they're gonna be
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: one of the teams in the MAC title game. As
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 1: far as the rest of the MAC is concerned, it's
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: still kind of a battle between a lot of these
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: two loss teams here that all could still make it.
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: Potentially Miami Ohio, though, I don't know if Miami actually, yeah,
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: can Miami. I don't know if Miami Ohio can actually
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: make it because if they tie Ohio, they still actually
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 1: don't have the tiebreaker. So Miami Ohio, well, they have
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: two games left, So Miami Ohio could wind up being
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 1: where are they at here? What are they at? Five
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: and five? Yeah, they could wind up being seven and
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: five or well we're talking about conference play only though, yeah, yeah, yeah,
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: So Miami Ohio could wind up six and two so Ohio, Yeah,
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: Ohio could potentially lose that Buffalo. So that's the way
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 1: that Miami Ohio could overtake them. Miami Ohio would have
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: to win out and Ohio would have to lose that Buffalo.
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: So that's the way it works. So Miami Ohio was
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: not eliminated from getting into the MAC Championship. So neither
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: of these teams are eliminated, Miami Ohio or Buffalo. Miami
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: Ohio they're on a two game skid man, and they
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 1: lost to Toledo last week, And I told you Toledo
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 1: was under the radar. Man. Toledo a lot better than
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: the record would indicate. That was exactly a week ago
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: it was a really ugly game, man. So even though yeah,
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: Toledo's better than they look, I think Miami Ohio could
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: be in line for a bounce back here. But you
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: gotta look at what's going on with their quarterback situation.
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: I think because I think Finn was their better quarterback
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 1: and I think he might be injured. I don't know, man,
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: I think he might not play here, although they were
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 1: using their other guy Hessen or whatever for multiple games
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: this year, so I don't know if it matters that much.
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 1: They're going on the road here to face Buffalo. Both
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: teams are actually five and five and four and two
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: in the conference, so both teams are looking for their
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: six win. Both teams would make a Bowl if they
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: get the win. I think both teams made a Bowl
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: last year or two, so I don't know if Ball's
• 2:03:22
  Speaker 1: ability is that big of a deal, but that is
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: one of these teams. I think one of these teams
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: goals this year and every year is to make a Bowl,
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 1: I would say, so, I think it is a big
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: deal to try to get the sixth win. They're both
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: trying to win as well, just because they're both still
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: in contention for the MAC Buffalo has not played They've
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 1: not played Ohio yet, so Buffalo they play Ohio next.
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 1: So if Buffalo is able to win out here, I
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: think they would actually get into the MAC Championship, potentially
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: depending on what the other teams do. So is that
• 2:03:53
  Speaker 1: a look ahead spot. I don't think so really, because
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: they got to beat both of these teams. This is
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: an interesting game, and this is not Buffalo's final home game,
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 1: and it's not Senior Day because they do play Ohio
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: at home next week. Both teams have the exact same
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 1: rest scenario here. Both teams played last Wednesday, and both
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: teams lost. Buffalo lost at Central Michigan last week, a
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly loss at Central Michigan. Central Michigan's okay, but
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: not as good as Toledo. A lot going on in
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: this game. Miami house flipped from one and a half
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 1: from a plus one and a half dog to a
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite here. But it looks
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: like maybe the cash is starting to come back in
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: on the Buffalo side. Sixty eight percent of the tickets,
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on Buffalo. I don't
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: have much of an opinion on the side here. Both
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna show up very low total, down from
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: forty to thirty nine and a half. So if you
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a tough, low scoring game, taking
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: the points at home kind of makes sense with Buffalo,
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: but there's no way that I'm gonna recommend a play
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: on this. I think the under is actually the better
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: way to look here. Sixty percent of the tickets on
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 1: the over, sixty four percent of the cash on the under,
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: with an extremely low total. It's low for a reason, man.
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, both these offenses are somewhat bad, and it's
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: gonna be a game where like it's gonna be like
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 1: a playoff type of game. And I mean this game
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: I think matters a lot to both teams, so I
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: think it will be a tough game. So from that respect,
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 1: it could be played as a lower scoring game, teams
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: taking fewer risks. Defense is more focused. Both teams coming
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: off losses as well that were kind of ugly against,
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: so that kind of leads to that as well, both
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 1: teams being focused. I know I was wrong about the
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan game being an undergame last night. What can
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 1: you do, man, You can't get them all right? And
• 2:05:38
  Speaker 1: then the ugly game on ESPNU at seven pm. Central
• 2:05:43
  Speaker 1: Michigan and Kent State. Central Michigan. They just became Bowl eligible, man,
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 1: and that could set up kind of a letdown for
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan because they have not been in a bowl
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: since I believe twenty twenty one. So Central Michigan getting
• 2:05:56
  Speaker 1: back to a bowl that's big. And that's what they
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: did last week on Wednesday. They beat Buffalo, handled them
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 1: pretty well, So good performance with Central Michigan. Now they're
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: gonna go on the road to Kent State. I mean,
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 1: Kent State's still might be a team that doesn't totally
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: dry your focus. And Central Michigan does face Toledo to
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: finish off the season at home and Senior Night, and
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 1: that would be a big game because Toledo's good. That
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: has me starting to look to maybe fade Central Michigan here.
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: But the problem is Central Michigan. They're in third place
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: in the MAC right now, so they have a legitimate
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: shot to make the MAC Championship. So I think they're
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: gonna continue to show up for these games for that reason. Man.
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: Even though I think they did reach their main goal
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: this year, I don't think they really had realistic expectations
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: to win the MAC this year. I think their goal
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: was to get back to a Bowl after how ugly
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 1: their season was last year. But now that they've done
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 1: that and they're right there, I do think they're gonna
• 2:06:49
  Speaker 1: keep showing up. And I don't think the spot is
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: good for Kent State. So that's kind of the problem here.
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: Even though Kent State, hilariously if they win their remaining
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: two games, it would actually become Bowl eligible, which is hilarious,
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: I still think Kent State is not good, dude. I
• 2:07:06
  Speaker 1: mean Kent State's wins. One was against UMass, who can't
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 1: beat anybody. They're like, absolutely, without a doubt, the worst
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: team in FBS. One was a BS win against Bowling
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 1: Green that shouldn't have happened, and Bowling Green is not
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 1: very good either. Bowling Green down right at the bottom
• 2:07:23
  Speaker 1: of the MAC too. And then the other win for
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: Kent State, which was really the only legitimate win because
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: their first win, by the way, was the one with
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 1: the realist Clark's kick return against Merrimack. He's good though,
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 1: he's an electric player, but he had like a huge
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 1: play in their game I think against Akron too, But
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 1: I mean that game barely beating Merrimack. That's an indictment
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 1: on Kent State too. I mean, their only good win
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 1: was last week against Akron, And if you look at
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 1: what happened in this game, that was a huge game.
• 2:07:51
  Speaker 1: For one thing, because Kent State Akron that's a big
• 2:07:54
  Speaker 1: rivalry game in Ohio, and Kent State probably considers themselves
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: to be the littler of the two teams right now,
• 2:08:01
  Speaker 1: especially with how bad Kent State was last year. But
• 2:08:03
  Speaker 1: with Kent State getting you know, kind of these unimpressive
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 1: slash misleading wins, I still don't think Kent State is
• 2:08:10
  Speaker 1: anywhere near as good as what this record looks like.
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: So if they somehow make a ball, it would act
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 1: it would be absolutely hilarious. But yeah, this game, if
• 2:08:20
  Speaker 1: you look at what happened in this game, Kent State
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: had a huge lead, they were up thirty five to
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: seventeen in the fourth quarter, they blew the whole thing,
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: went into overtime, and then they won the game at overtime,
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: and again huge winning a rivalry game. And there it
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: was a big upset win two as they were seven
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 1: and a half point dogs in this game. But if
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 1: you look at the stat sheet, Akron outgained them five
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 1: thirty to three, seventy four out first down them thirty
• 2:08:45
  Speaker 1: three to thirteen. I think I pointed this out last
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 1: night because Akron played last night out possessed them thirty
• 2:08:50
  Speaker 1: eight forty to twenty one to twenty. Akron dominated this
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: game statistically, man. They dominated the yardage, they did lose
• 2:08:57
  Speaker 1: the turnover battle by one, They dominated first downs, heavily
• 2:09:02
  Speaker 1: dominated possessions. So this game was not what it looked like.
• 2:09:05
  Speaker 1: So this is a bad spot for Kent State too, man,
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 1: in my opinion, even though it is also senior night
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: for them. Though this is their final home game and
• 2:09:13
  Speaker 1: they're hosting it on an ESP and U and they still
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 1: could potentially make a Bowl, as ridiculous as that is.
• 2:09:19
  Speaker 1: But that Acron game was big, man, So I don't know.
• 2:09:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, it looks like it could be a major
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for them, and that was a misleading win
• 2:09:27
  Speaker 1: for them. I think both teams kind of in letdown spots.
• 2:09:31
  Speaker 1: There's Central Michigan's up from eight and a half to
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: nine and a half here. Do they deserve to be
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: a nine and a half point favorite on the road,
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 1: even though I think Kent State is way way overrated here?
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 1: I don't really think Central Michigan should be favored by
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 1: that much. Their offense is not really that good. Fifty
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: take a seventy three percent of the cash on Kent,
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: so the money's coming in towards Kent State here. I
• 2:09:57
  Speaker 1: don't even know if I have much of a strong
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: opinion on this one, man. I mean, I would probably
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: even actually lean to fade Kent State a little bit
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 1: because I think that win was pretty monumental against against Akron,
• 2:10:10
  Speaker 1: and now that Central Michigan is here, I think they're
• 2:10:12
  Speaker 1: gonna still show up for these games to try to
• 2:10:14
  Speaker 1: get into the MAC title. The total is up from
• 2:10:17
  Speaker 1: forty seven a half to fifty and a half. I
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with over in this game, even though I
• 2:10:21
  Speaker 1: know I just said Central Michigan's offense is bad, but
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: I don't think either defense is trustworthy. Seventy eight percent
• 2:10:28
  Speaker 1: of tickets seventy nine percent of the couch on the over.
• 2:10:30
  Speaker 1: Both teams kind of in spots where they did have
• 2:10:34
  Speaker 1: big performances last week, like Central Michigan became Bowl eligible,
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: Kent State got that big win over their rival Akron,
• 2:10:42
  Speaker 1: so both teams could be a little bit lackluster in
• 2:10:44
  Speaker 1: this game defensively, so I do not disagree with an
• 2:10:47
  Speaker 1: over in that game. And that is going to do it. Man. Yes,
• 2:10:51
  Speaker 1: Miami got destroyed by Cleveland. Did they get swept? They
• 2:10:55
  Speaker 1: might have. I forget. That's gonna do it. Man. Once again,
• 2:10:59
  Speaker 1: my plays today, Yukon minus the points. This is all
• 2:11:02
  Speaker 1: college basketball here, Bellerman plus the points, Kansas City plus
• 2:11:06
  Speaker 1: the points, Illinois minus the points, Jackson State plus the points.
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 1: Although I know, I apologize that you can dude, these
• 2:11:13
  Speaker 1: lines they just move so fast, dude, So hopefully you
• 2:11:16
  Speaker 1: can get the line like right when I give it
• 2:11:18
  Speaker 1: out on the show, and then it's a better number
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: because I do the handicapping on this like in the
• 2:11:22
  Speaker 1: morning for the most part, so like shortly before I
• 2:11:25
  Speaker 1: do the show, and then the Connecticut line has already
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 1: moved like three points. It's ridiculous. I apologize. If you
• 2:11:31
  Speaker 1: want to play it, maybe still do it, but put
• 2:11:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit less money on it, and or maybe
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: money line parlay Yukon as something else, because I do
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 1: think the win Jackson State plus the points is the
• 2:11:41
  Speaker 1: last one. And then we were also gonna be on
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: the Portland Trailblazers plus the points in the NBA. I
• 2:11:47
  Speaker 1: think you'd still get three on that one. I don't
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 1: think it'll really get higher than that because I think
• 2:11:52
  Speaker 1: if Holiday and or I forget the other guys, they
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: am already If those two guys come back, you know,
• 2:12:00
  Speaker 1: I probably will drop a bit on Portland. So Bears
• 2:12:07
  Speaker 1: giving more than two and a halfter the Steelers. The
• 2:12:09
  Speaker 1: Bears are the most fraudulent team that I've ever seen. Yeah, No,
• 2:12:14
  Speaker 1: the Bears absolutely suck ass. They're minus six in point differential.
• 2:12:19
  Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever seen an eight and three
• 2:12:20
  Speaker 1: team be negative point differential. They just keep winning these
• 2:12:23
  Speaker 1: games they should not win. Caleb Williams is not good.
• 2:12:27
  Speaker 1: Bears are absolute ass. It looks way too easy to
• 2:12:30
  Speaker 1: play the Bears in that game, especially if Aaron Rodgers
• 2:12:33
  Speaker 1: is out some a little bit of a preview for
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 1: my NFL card here. I don't know if Pittsburgh is
• 2:12:40
  Speaker 1: gonna make my card or not, but obviously I'll lean
• 2:12:42
  Speaker 1: to the Steelers in that game. The Bears are an
• 2:12:45
  Speaker 1: absolute fraud. They're the most fraudulent team in the NFL
• 2:12:49
  Speaker 1: this year, maybe the most fraudulent that I've ever seen.
• 2:12:53
  Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, the line, you know, the line makes
• 2:12:58
  Speaker 1: it look like like the oddsmakers want you to play
• 2:13:01
  Speaker 1: the Bears in that game. I think it's a complete trap.
• 2:13:06
  Speaker 1: The Bears have a lot of games or like they
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: have wins against bad teams. They have wins and games
• 2:13:11
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't have won. Yeah, they're no good. I don't
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 1: know what else I have to say about that, but yeah,
• 2:13:20
  Speaker 1: definitely a trap. Line looks too low. An eight and
• 2:13:23
  Speaker 1: three team like that, that's gonna do it. Learn it
• 2:13:25
  Speaker 1: tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram. Thanks guys
• 2:13:27
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Very long show today. Won't be as
• 2:13:29
  Speaker 1: long tomorrow because I think the college basketball card won't
• 2:13:32
  Speaker 1: be anywhere near as extensive. I think, hopefully not. For
• 2:13:35
  Speaker 1: the next two days we will have football. Am I
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 1: still missed Thursday night though, because the I said the
• 2:13:42
  Speaker 1: Jets plus the points last week, and I think they
• 2:13:44
  Speaker 1: pushed on the closing number of thirteen and so am
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 1: I still missed Thursday night if you want to say that.
• 2:13:49
  Speaker 1: I'm now nine to one and one, even though on
• 2:13:52
  Speaker 1: ESPN it was only twelve and a half. So I
• 2:13:53
  Speaker 1: think I actually lost the pick on ESPN's pick them
• 2:13:57
  Speaker 1: by a half point, which is bullshit, But we'll see.
• 2:14:00
  Speaker 1: I have an opinion on the Thursday night game, although
• 2:14:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be one that makes
• 2:14:03
  Speaker 1: my card. I do like one of the sides to
• 2:14:06
  Speaker 1: somewhat of an extent though, in tomorrow's NFL games, and
• 2:14:11
  Speaker 1: you probably know what it is, knowing how I do things.
• 2:14:13
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now. Learn it's on a Twitter,
• 2:14:15
  Speaker 1: Learn its on Instagram. I like. Subscribe to the show here,
• 2:14:18
  Speaker 1: leave good comments, you know, thanks guys. I appreciated all
• 2:14:21
  Speaker 1: the regulars. I want to get some more viewers here, man,
• 2:14:23
  Speaker 1: I want to see some more new faces. I've been hot, man,
• 2:14:26
  Speaker 1: So tell people about the show. Hopefully more people find
• 2:14:29
  Speaker 1: out about the show. I don't know, let's blow this
• 2:14:31
  Speaker 1: thing up I've been giving up. Maybe Vegas won't like it,
• 2:14:35
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers won't like it because I've been giving out
• 2:14:37
  Speaker 1: so many winners recently. But yeah, I mean, I don't know.
• 2:14:40
  Speaker 1: I should get noticed and then I've of course I'm
• 2:14:45
  Speaker 1: on audio with this show as well. Apple and Spotify.
• 2:14:48
  Speaker 1: Give me a good review over there. Listen to the
• 2:14:50
  Speaker 1: show there covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube,
• 2:14:53
  Speaker 1: which I know I don't keep it nearly up to date.
• 2:14:55
  Speaker 1: As I should. My voice is still struggling, so I
• 2:14:59
  Speaker 1: don't know. I gotta get in to the Christmas ut
• 2:15:02
  Speaker 1: covers too, although I've basically done all the ones that
• 2:15:06
  Speaker 1: that I kind of have wanted to do over the years,
• 2:15:08
  Speaker 1: when I might just repeat some of them this year.
• 2:15:10
  Speaker 1: The hits we'll see and then patreon dot com, slash
• 2:15:15
  Speaker 1: learner to and you can get requests. You can request
• 2:15:18
  Speaker 1: songs from me and Bonus Yuke Spotify feed there as well.
• 2:15:22
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, thanks guys. Starting to get hungry
• 2:15:25
  Speaker 1: as usual at the end of the show. I'm gonna
• 2:15:27
  Speaker 1: eat some lunch. Peace for now, guys,