Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | December 23, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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NBA Quick Hit | December 23, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
All system's going clear the lift up. What's up, guys, Rio aka
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Hebrew Cheeta here gonna be talking about this ten games Saturday slate for December twenty
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third, A bit of a bigger Saturday slate than we're accustomed to for weekends.
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Got ten games with I mean the amount of injury news as always,
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so I'm gonna do as best I can to keep this as short and sweet
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as possible. Won't be able to dive too deep into all of the matchups.
1:00
Let me pull my microphone closer. It won't be able to dive too
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deep into the matchup based stuff. I just want to get through this quickly
1:08
and get this out to you guys, as it's already almost noon for me
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over here. Me and Title had to record our quick hit for the Christmas
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Day slate, so a little bit behind the schedule today, but let's get
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right into it. We got the first game of the night, or Lando
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versus Indiana two forty two total with Indy favored by two. We know how
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this game is going to play out. India is going to play super fast
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and should be pretty high scoring paces or a top two paced team, bottom
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three defense, terrible rim defense, as always, but a top three point
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defense where the Magic are a little bit slower fifteenth to pace top six defense,
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top half of the league in both rim and three point defense. So
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on the magic side, a Paulo Bencaro in a great spot here should be
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able to get everything that he wants around the rim with the Pacers being as
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bad as they are versus opposing rim scores. So I like Paulo a lot
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here at eight point one k, really good matchup, projecting really well right
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now. Franz Wagner right behind him seventy eight hundred, A little bit less
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interested in him, but he does really good against matchups like this one,
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so I don't think that he's a bad play at all. Only small forward
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eligible, but seven point eight k is a little bit expensive for me.
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I would rather just find the three hundred to get up to Polo in the
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same game, same team. And then, yeah, Cole Anthony projects really
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good right now at sixty four hundred. Not as good of a matchup US
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for point guards, but he's gonna see a huge minute ceiling with both Markel
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Foltz and Jalen Suggs out. And yeah, I really like the price tag
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and matchup for him if he wants to just get downhill get to the rim,
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which is a pretty good rim scorer as well. But yeah, mainly
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just focus on those three guys. I guess if you want to get into
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the Wendell Carter returning from injury fifty four hundred to find price tag, Mo
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Wagner and him are gonna be splitting CENTERMT. So I think you can you
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can make a case for these guys, but I think we can find value
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elsewhere. And then on Indye side, Yeah, the big injury news targets.
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Haliburn is questionable with the knee injury, so if he misses the all
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the price tags for these pacers have have come down a lot since lastly where
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they were all priced up pretty heavily. But if he misses, we're gonna
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see TJ McConnell step back into the starting role and he'll be really good play
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at five K, just solid fantasy point point producer. But if Halle is
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in, I think he's the only one I have interested in right now.
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But even even him, I don't have a ton of interest in at ten
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point six K, just he's not playing as good as he normally was.
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Earlier in the year, so get away for that price site to come down
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a little bit, or wait until I see some more out of him.
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Move over to Denver versus Charlotte two twenty six over under Denver favored by eight.
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Charlotte is dead last in defense on the year and the Nuggets are eleventh
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overall, so this be pretty big mismatch for the Charlotte guys. Could be
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a pretty pretty big blowout on the Denver side Yokic and a smash spot here
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against the weak center defenders on the Hornets. Back to back games. Now
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for Jokich with sixty four plus draftings points, looks like he's back to normal
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after a few games where he was struggling. I think he's one of the
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top spends on the slate. Obviously it's not a hot take. Eleven point
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three k is a really really solid price tag for him with I think a
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lot of room for upside. So definitely like Jokic a little bit less interest
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in the Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Junior, Aaron Gordon. I think if
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I had to choose one of those guys that I like the most, I
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think the matchup is probably the best for Aaron Gordon. Charlotte is dead last
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in DVP versus power forwards. We know that their rim protection has gone way
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down since losing Mark Williams. I think that he kind of correlates pretty nicely
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with Nikola Jokic, so I think that he's definitely a fine play at sixty
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one hundred power forward eligibility for Aaron Gordon, and on the Charlotte side,
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nothing really popping as a good value right now. I think you can definitely
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make a case for Tay Rosier just having one of the best offensive ball handling
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roles in the league since La Melo ball has gone down, But this is
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a much tougher matchup versus Cantabs, Callawell Pope and some of the other on
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ball defenders that the Denver Nuggets will throw at him. He's probably the only
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guy I'm looking at on the Charlotte side of things, But yeah, basically
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just gonna be yokicher Bus for me. I am seeing some ownership on Cody
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Martin, who looks like he could be making his return here. He's mid
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priced. I don't expect him to get huge minutes, but the Hornets are
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pretty thin right now, so maybe he gets to fifteen to sixteen ish minutes.
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We have him projected for only eleven right now, so that sounds about
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right, but I don't think I can go there right now, even if
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he's in mid price on a wait to see. He has a solid real
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life NBA player, but I don't think he's gonna be needed on this late.
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Next game, I got the Houston Rocket taken on Norlan Pelicans with the
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I don't have an over runner for this game, but Pelicans are favored in
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this one. Yeah, this kind of is a game that I'm fine just
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crossing out unless we get news of Zion missing, which he's questionable right now
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with an illness, so if he misses, I think you can go right
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back to Trey Murphy. I don't know if I would be expecting another huge
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game out of him, big fan of the guy's game put up twenty eight
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real points four to four DraftKings points and only twenty eight minutes six or ten
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for three. But the Rockets are really solid defense, so this game should
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be should play a little bit more low scoring, but I think that he
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could definitely be an option at six K shooting guards moll forward eligible if Zion
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were to be out, definitely would improve the rebounding rates for Jonas Valanciunas,
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would improve the usage rates for Ingram and CJ. But they're low priced up
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for me in this matchup, I think. And then yeah, on the
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Rockets side, I'm not too interested in any of them really. Jabari is
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way too expensive in the greens almost seven K. It's a little too expensive.
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Not a great matchup for Fred van Fleet or up in Sengoon. So
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I'm kind of okay getting away from this game unless we get news of Zign
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being out. Next one, Utah taking on Toronto. Toronto's favored by five.
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Jazz are gonna be getting healthy this game. Looks like they'll be getting
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Lori, Jordan Clarkson, Taylon Horn, Tucker and over. You're at seven
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all back, so that kind of takes away a lot of the value pieces
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we were looking at on the Jazz side, so they're gonna be a full
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fade for me. And on the Raptor side, yeah, a lot of
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interest in Scottie Barnes and Pascal Siakam. With a lean to Scottie Barnes,
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it's just a really good matchup for him with the Jazz lacking on ball defenders.
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He's been shooting the ball really well from three, and the Jazz are
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pretty bad this year. I think they're at bottom. Yeah, they're dead
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last in three point defense on the year, so really good matchup for the
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shooters like Scotty Barnes and og and and Obi. I think you definitely make
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a case for both of those guys. Sakam also played the Jazz have gotten
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a little bit better with their inter year defense with getting Waker Kessler type of
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guys back, so more interested in Scotty Barnes. Eight point five k is
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a really good price site for him. Yeah, that's pretty much it.
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Though it looks like Schroeder and Ogi are projecting pretty well. I think I'll
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take the shooting guard small Ford eligibility and og Andob. I think this could
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be a pretty big spot for him too if he if he gets hot from
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three, Jazz are a really bad transition defense to which could give guys like
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Schroeder and Siakam and Scottie Barnes a bigger ceiling as well. But Scotty Barnes
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could be my favorite play in this game for sure. And next game,
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let's move over to Memphis taking on Atlanta. They two thirty six seven over
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under, looking like a pick them, and yeah, this game is going
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to be one. I think we should have a ton of interest in the
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Atlanta just game. Environs have been great ones to attack. They're a top
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pace team, their bottom four intier defense, bottom nine three point defense,
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bottom four transition defense, and the Grizzlies are a bottom four three point defense
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with also their pace is picked up since getting job rant backs. I think
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this is gonna be a really good game. Environment would be even better too
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if if de Jontay Murray is ruled out, I think that would you know
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it's gonna give a higher usage and just ceiling game from a for Trey Young
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should boost up bogged On Bogdanovic probably to the starting lineup and he'll see a
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way way bigger minute ceiling. Has already been playing a ton of minutes lately
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with this team missing some guys, but I think he would have a chance
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to get up to forty minutes of this game if the Johntay Murray were to
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be ruled out, they just have really no ball handlers besides Trey Young and
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bogged On. Maybe Patty Mills would sneak in there for a few minutes,
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but I think it's most likely they would just give those minutes to bogged On
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and let him get the start. We have. Dejonte is out too.
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I think that makes Trey Young or makes a John Morant a much better play
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too. De Junta is one of the better on bald defenders in the League's
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kind of somebody that I try to get away from the opposing guard, whoever
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he's going to be guarding. Just he's a really really lengthy on bald defender.
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Kind of gives teams some fits just with his size and athleticism. If
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he's out, John Moran's going to have a really good matchup against a really
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weak defender. I doubt they would put Trey Young on him, probably bogged
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On or maybe a Sadiq Bay would slide over to him, or Wes Matthews
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if he's in the starting lineup. But his ceiling would be huge if Dejante
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were to be out, And if you don't want to go to John Morant,
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fourteen hundred dollars savings to get down to Desmond Bain, who showed a
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bit of a ceiling last game, got up to fifty two DraftKings points.
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Yeah, just his ceiling takes a big hit when sharing the floor with Jaw,
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so I don't don't love it at eight point three k I would rather
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just find the money get up to Jaw, but it would not fault anybody
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for going there. Jaran Jackson Junior also in a fine play too, but
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I kind of like to get away from him. Whenjohn Moran is back in
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the lamp as well. I'd much rather just get up to Jaw and then
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he on the Atlanta side. If de Jantie's out, gonna have a massive
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ceiling and just used to droll for Trey Young. Really good matchup for him
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too, with the Grizzlies being such a bad three point defense bogged on as
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well, same reasons. If degenttre were to be out, really good matchup
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for three point shooters, he's gonna have a big minute ceiling as well.
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I think that Cidi Bay is in play as well, with he's been his
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rebounding numbers have been good. He's had three three of his last six games
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with double digit rebounds, and he's a really solid three point shooter. So
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I wouldn't follow anybody for looking to City Bay at six point one K.
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I believe Anyaka Kongwu got a downgrade to questionable, so we have to keep
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an eye on that. I think that if he were to be ruled out,
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probably gonna give Bruno Fernandos and backup center minutes and I mean at three
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K if he's getting back up center minutes, if he gets into the upper
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teams, he's a really fine value option. So we'd have to keep an
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eye on that and say updated with projections. All in all, it is
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a really good game to target. Next game, Detroit versus the Brooklyn Nets
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got two thirty two over under with Brooklyn favored by ten second. Yeah,
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wondering if this could be the game where the Pistons finally get a win.
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I doubt it, but the Nets have really been struggling lately, especially on
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defense. Mckel bridge is in a huge shooting slump, so I don't I
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mean, this game could be pretty competitive and we could see some pretty big
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fantasy scores because of that. On the Detroit side, it's pretty much just
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Kate Cunningham or Bust. He's just been doing everything for the team right now.
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He's playing huge minutes. He's pretty much the entire offense some pretty big
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upside too, fifty six and sixty seven draftings points in back to back games.
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The matchup is really not all that bad. Normally I would be looking
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elsewhere with mckel Bridges on the other side, but just the nets have pretty
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tired legs. They all these guys have been running out there for pretty heavy
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minutes. I think that's kind of affecting their their defense right now. So
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I think caid is is a really fine play at eight point six K.
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And on the net side, yeah, Michael Bridges, he's just been he's
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been slumping lightly, but if he can, if you can get the shots
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to follow, this game at seven point four K is a really solid price
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site for him in a really good matchup, so I think he could have
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a bounce back game here as well. Uh, it's been a better matchup
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for opposing point guard slash shooting guards, so I think that Cam Thomas and
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Spencer Dinwoodie are in great spots as well. I think I'll take the lean
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on well, I don't have a struggling I would probably max one of them,
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but they're both in really good spots here as well, so I think
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you can go to them. Claxton's fine play with the Pistons struggling to protect
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the interior defense right now with no Jalen Duran, so I think that you
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can get to him as well. Six point six k is a little bit
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expensive in this type of game environment, but I think that he's definitely playable.
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Yeah, just looking at the main three guys though, Bridges, Cam
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Thomas, Dinwoodie on the Brooklyn side of then Caid is pretty much the only
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guy I'm looking at on the Piston side. Next game, Los Angeles Lakers
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and Oklahoma City Thunder at the Big two thirty nine over under okay See's favored
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by four. Should be a really fun game here with the two of the
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better Western Conference teams in the league. Both teams are really really top notch
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defensive teams, their top four and top seven in defensive raiding. Both do
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a really good job defending the paint and are pretty big three point funnels,
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with the Lakers being bottom two and three pointers allowed per game in okay S's
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bottom seven. Pretty easy to break down down the Lakers side, it's pretty
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much just Andley Davis or Lebron. I would probably want to be max one
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of them. I also would not be surprised to see one of them sit
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here with them playing on Christmas Day, seems like a spot you could give.
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Maybe Lebron James arrest, but he probably plays tonight. I think that
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they're both in fine spots. Probably have a slight lean on Anthony Davis.
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He'll have a big size advantage over chet Holgrin, and he's been kind of
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the focal point of the offense lately, had a couple game. Was at
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five five games out of his last six with at least thirty one points scoring,
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So I think he would be the preferred option, but would not mind
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Lebron either. And then on the OKC side, Yeah, Shaye's projecting will
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really well right now, but I think I'll take an underweight stance on him
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just he's a little bit too scoring dependent for me. Just doesn't add a
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ton of the peripheral stats. I know he can pop off for some big
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rebounding games. His assist numbers have been pretty solid, but it's just you
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need double digit from one of those categories if he's not scoring forty plus points,
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which he definitely could in this matchup good I always like to tec the
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Lakers with guards, but a little bit better of a matchup for three point
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shooters, which Shay doesn't really take a ton of them. So I would
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just prefer to get the Jaw or Tree Young at a cheaper price tags And
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yeah, Chet Holmgren fine play as well. He's shown pretty big upside with
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his his shot blocking. Has a tougher matchup with Anthony Davis on the other
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side. Obviously that brings a ton of foul risk, but he's He's been
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able to hold his own against some teams, held his own against Jokic and
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Demanta Sabonis, who are two pretty big, physical centers, so maybe he's
16:33
fine. Jama Williams I like as a mitsier option six point four k small
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for power forward eligible, should see really heavy minutes here with his his defense
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can be needed versus Lebron. I think he could get close to thirty six
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to forty minutes, and if that's the case, he would be a really
16:49
good play. Put up forty point three DraftKings points in the one time these
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teams met earlier in the year, so he's definitely got that upside. I
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don't think lou Dort is the craziest play at four point nine k really good
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matchup for three point shooters, and he's just gonna be standing out there launching
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some threes six to eight a game around there. If he can knock down
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three to four, I think he has a good chance to hit value with
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some some steals and some rebounds as well. Yeah, I don't don't love
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this game though, as high as the total is, just everything everybody seems
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pretty priced up. But yeah, let's move over to Cleveland versus Chicago.
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This is one of the grossest game environments on the slate. Two sixteen over
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under Chicago favorite by five Cavs is gonna be thin again here, so there'll
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be a source of value. Donovan Mitchell's out, Darris Garland out, Evan
17:34
Mobley out, Krislivert and Sam Merrill are both questionable, so if both those
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guys miss, they're going to really be struggling with ball handlers. We could
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see Craig Port Junior play a ton of minutes here, and I think that
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he's a really fine value option at five point seven K. Shrews would become
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a priority spend as well. Six point two K shooting guard small Ford eligible.
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I think you could get away from him though, if this game were
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to blow out, I think that his minutes will get cut down. We
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could see Imani Bates step in and get some more minutes. He's been prized,
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so I think if if LeVert, even if just Lavert were to miss,
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I think that he's going to have to play. So I think that
18:18
we should definitely look to some of Imani Baits. Hopefully that projection comes up
18:22
a little bit, but he's definitely interesting to me. Don't really want to
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look to get to Jared Allen. Seven point three K not a good matchup
18:30
for him, so I'm finally getting away from him, And yeah, I
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mean it's just really looking at the value options on the Cleveland side in this
18:38
game. I don't love any of the options on the Bull side. Kobe
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White's beIN obviously fantastic the last couple of weeks, but he's eight point two
18:48
K price right with Damar and Vouch, so I think I would be max
18:52
one of that situation, and same thing for Vouch. I don't really love
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it at eight point one K. Just just with this game environment being really
18:59
slow and not be a ton of points scored, I think I would much
19:02
rather just look to the guys on the Cleveland side for a source of value.
19:07
Yes, that's gonna do it for that game, don't love it.
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Next game, Santonio Spurs taken on the Dallas Mavericks with a two thirty nine
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over under Dallas favored by seven. We know how this one's gonna play out.
19:22
Spurs are terrible defensively. Both these teams play up in pace. Luca
19:25
is going to be back tonight and he gets a great matchup. Eleven point
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seven K is definitely a fine price tag for him. He's got a massive
19:33
projection right now, almost seventy points, so I think he's easily the top
19:37
spin on the whole slate. Just yeah, it's a smash bot for him.
19:41
The Spurs are bottom three defense, bottom seven overall defense, their bottom
19:44
three and transition defense, so Lucas should definitely have his way with this team
19:48
tonight. Definitely love him as a spend up. All the other Mavericks that
19:52
are pretty priced up. We got Tim Harley juniors seven K, Dante Exum
19:56
six point three K returning from injury, I mean Eric Jones Junior's five point
20:00
nine kse I don't think that any of these guys are really in play.
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They all kind of project his negative value, so I'm okay, just kind
20:07
of xing them out and just looking to get to Luca and on the Maverick
20:12
side, not too sure what was up with Wemby last game. Only got
20:15
to twenty two minutes, was returning from an ankle injury, so maybe they
20:19
were just trying to limit him, but would have definitely loved to get some
20:23
more reporting on that before locking him in at nine K last game. But
20:30
yeah, not point two k's. If he's getting his normal minutes thirty to
20:33
thirty two minutes, he's a really really strong play. This is a good
20:37
matchup for opposing centers. His rebounding rates have been really good as the starting
20:41
center for this team. Just tough to know what Popovich is going to do
20:45
on a nightly basis, so a little uncomfortable, but he should come in
20:49
with a really low ownership and I think he could pay off in a big
20:52
way if he used to get his full minutes. This is a fine matchup
20:56
for Kelvin Johnson dev Vassel as well. More So, Eldon seven k is
21:00
a fine price tag, but I think I'll be okay getting away from him.
21:07
Maybe if you wanted to play into this game as a game stack,
21:08
he would he would make a ton of sense. I think his minutes could
21:11
get up there, so I think he's fine. I don't really want to
21:15
play Jeremy so hand. Just think that he has no offensive game whatsoever,
21:19
so he's he's out of play for me. I don't think that Collins is
21:23
the craziest thing either. If if him and NBA are starting to split the
21:26
center minutes, if he gets to twenty four minutes even he could definitely pay
21:30
off the price tag. Been a solid fantasy point printed guy. Back to
21:33
back games of at least thirty four draftings points put thirty four point seventy in
21:38
twenty eight minutes last game forty one in the game before that versus Milwaukee.
21:44
So he's definitely an option. But yeah, not a ton of interest on
21:48
the Spur side. All right, last game of the night, Portland Blazer's
21:52
taking on the Golden Seat Warriors with a two thirty one over under Warriors favored
21:56
by eight. This game should be pretty fun, pretty high scoring. I
22:03
think that on the Blazer side, you're really just looking to Anthony Simons,
22:06
Jeremy Grant, DeAndre Ayton definitely have a lot of interest in Anthony Sigmons,
22:10
especially if this ownership holds up. Looking at less than well, I'm seeing
22:15
conflicting things. I see twenty nine percent somewhere else and then one percent somewhere
22:21
else. So if that comes in around fifty percent, then he's fine.
22:26
Twenty percent. Maybe we're getting a little bit a little bit up there.
22:30
We could look elsewhere, but yeah, it's a good match up for him.
22:33
Guards have killed the Warriors all year long, and he's just been lights
22:37
out since returning from injury. Minutes are gonna be sky high. His assist
22:40
numbers have been ticking up as well. No Shade and Sharp just gives him
22:45
a higher usage rate too, So I definitely love Anthony Simons in this matchup.
22:49
Jimmy Grant is okay, just he's a purely just a minute's play.
22:52
If he gets up to his normal thirty eight to forty minutes, then he
22:56
could definitely pay off. But he just doesn't add much outside of scoring.
23:00
I mean, the assist numbers are down, his rebounding numbers are way down,
23:03
so I think you can get away from him. I think Dodger Aiden
23:07
is a fine play here. Back to back game has just been cleaning the
23:08
glass fifteen and sixteen rebounds, big minutes, and Warriors are struggling against opposing
23:15
centers this year. Maybe they get a little bit better with the Trace Jackson
23:19
Davis emergence. But I think Aiden's a really solid play at six point nine
23:22
K. I like him a ton, but I think I have the most
23:26
interest in Anthony Simons, and ownership should definitely follow Steph At nine point six
23:30
K. I think you can get away from the Blazers are pretty solid three
23:33
point defense, so that would get me off of Steph, get me off
23:37
of Clay. Chris Paul and Pods are kind of getting up there in price
23:41
right now. Kamingas above six K, which you don't love. Maybe if
23:45
Wiggins were to be ruled out, then we could look at kaminga but I
23:49
think that mainly I just have a lot of interest in Trace Jackson Davis.
23:56
Three straight games with thirty three plus DK points. He looks to be leap
23:59
frogging Cavon Looney as or at least competing with him for the starting center spot.
24:04
I mean, he's just been on a roll lately, and Looney's minutes
24:07
have been coming way way down even with him starting he only got eleven,
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fourteen and fifteen minutes in the last three games, so I think that the
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wires are going to just ride the hot hand and continue to develop. Tray
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Jackson Davis. I think that he's a strong play at five K, but
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yeah, that's gonna do it for this slate. I try to keep it
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pretty short and simple looking at twenty five minutes here. Yeah, recording this
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on Saturday. So Happy Christmas. Merry Christmas to everybody if you are celebrating,
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have a good weekend of a lot of sports weekend with your loved ones
24:45
and your family. And I'll catch you guys on Tuesday for the live show
24:48
with Me entitled see You Let your Guys. He must have hand pans and
25:07
buns and still mothered hand fls ast anything still mother, not any times.