Latest / Strictly Business / Shapiroworld by Strictly Business
Transcript
- 0:00You're listening to Strictly Business Podcast with Lindsay Williams.
- 0:05It's Monday, so it's time for Shapiro World with David Shapiro from Sassafin
- 0:09Securities.
- 0:11And my next guest, who of course is David Shapiro, on this day, 54 years ago,
- 0:15started his career as a stockbroker on the JSC Securities Exchange, or as it was
- 0:22known then, the Johannesburg
- 0:24Stock Exchange.
- 0:26And I was looking up the date of his arrival on that.
- 0:27particular exchange to see if there's anything that happened then nothing
- 0:34happened then i think the uk
- 0:36embassy in dublin was ransacked because of the troubles in in those days but other
- 0:40than that
- 0:41nothing happened on that day apart from the fact that david shapiro started his
- 0:47career congratulations david your
- 0:49longevity must be applauded it's a long time i remember the day well Lindsay,
- 0:54we were in the aftermath of the 1969 boom, which was a massive boom.
- 1:00And we never had the computer.
- 1:04We were early pioneers.
- 1:06In fact, the first firm in the country to use a computer, but it was used more for
- 1:12broker's notes.
- 1:14But it was still a manual system.
- 1:14And the mess that was created by the 1969 boom took us years and years to
- 1:21sort out.
- 1:22What do you mean the mess?
- 1:24Well, you know, I mean, in those days, you could just phone somebody on the floor and
- 1:29do a deal.
- 1:31And, you know, you didn't have to pay for it until the script came.
- 1:35Or the settlement issues were not designed to handle that kind of volume.
- 1:42And many people reneged on deals when the market crashed.
- 1:46We couldn't find them.
- 1:46So there was a lot of reconciling to do.
- 1:50Of course, net-net, people made money in that time.
- 1:53There was a lot of industrial businesses that came to the market.
- 1:57But I remember so much of my time was spent,
- 2:03even though I was on the floor, just kind of reconciling and phoning people and
- 2:10trying to relate things.
- 2:12And I must tell you, at those days,
- 2:12much of the script was put into the name of nominee companies.
- 2:18And I still think there are a huge number of...
- 2:23shares in companies' names, you know, the company of a god, that they can't trace
- 2:29who owns them.
- 2:31You know, no idea.
- 2:33So it could have been insider trading people actually buying ahead of an
- 2:39announcement from the company itself,
- 2:41and no one would know it would be actually the financial director doing so.
- 2:43Oh, yeah.
- 2:44Look, there was, I mean, the rules were nowhere close to.
- 2:50where they are today.
- 2:51Even in 1987, they had to tighten them up as they started.
- 2:55They learned a lot from the 1969 crash and then started to pick up things.
- 3:00You had to pay for script within seven days or 14 days.
- 3:04It was quite complicated.
- 3:06But it was at a time, I remember there was a journalist and funny enough,
- 3:11I know him very well and still speak to him often, John Spira.
- 3:15John used to write for the Sunday Times.
- 3:18And whatever was in his column in the Sunday Times, Business Times, on Monday,
- 3:24the shares were just raw.
- 3:26This was in 1969, you know, and obviously he kept it very quiet.
- 3:30I mean, he understood the power.
- 3:32He's a gentleman.
- 3:32And, you know, he,
- 3:35but I always remember John Spira's column on Sunday would move markets.
- 3:41And it was an incredible time.
- 3:43Also, it was a time that we saw the listing of the first.
- 3:48A unit trust company, Sage.
- 3:50What was the other one?
- 3:51Oh, I just, I forget the other one, which was the first one.
- 3:54But it was chaotic times.
- 3:56Property companies, Glen Anil, Tucker, various, various other businesses,
- 4:03property companies that came.
- 4:04So I was in the, I was cleaning up for years.
- 4:07How many people do you know that are still around today that were with you on the
- 4:14floor of the JSC 54 years ago,
- 4:16David?
- 4:18A couple.
- 4:20You know, most of them are retired.
- 4:22There are very few that are active.
- 4:24There is a reunion.
- 4:26You know, when we went electronic, a lot of chaps who were actually dealers, I
- 4:30think, found it difficult to adapt.
- 4:32Many of them are retired.
- 4:32But this year, 2026,
- 4:38will be 30 years since we went electronic, since the market moved off the floor.
- 4:43And I know there's a big reunion being planned.
- 4:48in June where I think all the ex-dealers and people who were on the floor, this is
- 4:54in 30 years ago.
- 4:56I mean, this is much longer than that.
- 4:57Actually, there are very few people that I can share stories with.
- 5:00from those days who are around, who I'm actively in contact with.
- 5:07Well, I mean, you're a rarity.
- 5:09I mean, people won't mind me.
- 5:11You won't mind me telling people that you're in your late 70s now, still very
- 5:17active, more active than most young people are.
- 5:19But 54 years to be in one profession is unusual.
- 5:21How many people today will be in the position that you're in?
- 5:25You did change your company.
- 5:28midstream.
- 5:29It wasn't that long ago compared to your 54-year-old career.
- 5:33But essentially, you've been with the same company all that time.
- 5:35Yeah, it was 21 years ago, but that was, it was a technicality, a difficult time.
- 5:41You know, we were bought out by Socgen, Societe Generale, and they split the firm
- 5:47into the retail side,
- 5:49which is today where I am, and the institutional side.
- 5:51And then with the fall, you know, the internet bubble bursting in 2000 and 2001.
- 5:58After 9-11, the French pulled out, Sockton pulled out, and it caused a little bit of
- 6:04a disruption here.
- 6:06And I tried to go back to what was then Sasson. And, you know,
- 6:12they weren't ready for me.
- 6:15There wasn't a position for me.
- 6:16So I wandered around for about a year and a half, almost two,
- 6:20and then went back after that in 2005.
- 6:24So I've been at Sasson now for 21 years.
- 6:27But it wasn't my intention to leave it just that the chaos that was caused even
- 6:33then in
- 6:352000, you know, after the internet bubble and after
- 6:379-11, I think markets were under a lot of pressure.
- 6:41People, firms are under a lot of pressure.
- 6:43They weren't making money.
- 6:44And yeah, so that's when I started.
- 6:47I came, I said, I'm not doing institutional business no more.
- 6:52And I said, all I want is an offers.
- 6:54And I started to build up a client base again.
- 6:56I just wanted clients at the time.
- 6:58One client, two clients, three clients.
- 7:02And you've thrived on it.
- 7:03And your clients have as well, I'm sure.
- 7:05David, you've seen some crashes in those times as well.
- 7:08What really stands out?
- 7:09I mean, I don't want to go too much into 54-year-olds. But I was thinking this
- 7:14morning,
- 7:14I saw what happened on Friday to precious metals and other risk-off assets, if you
- 7:19like.
- 7:20And it was all to do with the dollar debasement trade.
- 7:23people thought The dollar was going to go to nothing.
- 7:26And I still think it is going to be on a bear market.
- 7:29So people have been betting on dollar debasement trades like gold.
- 7:34But it fell dramatically Thursday and Friday of last week when we spoke when you
- 7:40and I were speaking to the governor.
- 7:42It went to as high as five thousand six hundred and twenty five dollars an hour.
- 7:45And in the early hours of this morning,
- 7:48it went more than $1,000 less than that peak.
- 7:53three real trading days before.
- 7:56And it was unheard of to me.
- 7:58I mean, I've seen some big crashes.
- 7:5987 was the one that still sticks in my mind.
- 8:03Yes.
- 8:03But what about you?
- 8:04What really sticks out?
- 8:06And after that, we'll ask what lessons we should learn.
- 8:09But what was the day that you said, goodness me, this is good fun or this is
- 8:13horrible?
- 8:15I was, the worst period I spent was in 1976 where we had the Soweto riots here.
- 8:23There were days on which we did no business.
- 8:26We didn't do a deal on the floor.
- 8:28We didn't do anything.
- 8:30I think the other shock was in 1985, the Rubicon speech by
- 8:35P.W. Berto when he shook his finger at the rest of the world.
- 8:39And then, funny enough, we followed with a boom in 87, but the crash was hard.
- 8:44That was, I remember, I was, I remember that day so clearly.
- 8:50And sitting.
- 8:52Sitting with my dad and a good friend, Jack Shapiro, who's no longer with us.
- 8:56Oh, Jack, we were at a restaurant.
- 8:58This was October 1987.
- 9:01We were at a restaurant in Bromfontein.
- 9:03They had some wonderful Italian restaurants there.
- 9:05Tell me the name.
- 9:06What was the name of it?
- 9:07I can't remember the name.
- 9:08There were a couple there.
- 9:10But there was Deals, of course.
- 9:13Well, Deals was on the Stock Exchange.
- 9:15This was just across the highway in Bromfontein.
- 9:19We were there, and I was sitting with my dad.
- 9:21and we were I remember there was Bobby McFerrin came out with the song, you know,
- 9:27be happy, don't worry, be happy.
- 9:29We were singing that, but that was hard.
- 9:31That was a big crack, you know, and somehow you felt it because you were on
- 9:37the floor, you know,
- 9:39it was happening around you.
- 9:41Whereas when you sit and watch it on a screen as I'm doing now, it doesn't feel
- 9:46anywhere near as severe as it did there.
- 9:48Because, you know, the one thing about the floor, and you know, you've been in
- 9:50markets.
- 9:52And the best fun, you know, what I loved about it was the noise that you could pick
- 9:58up the pulse of the market.
- 10:00You knew when it was getting strong.
- 10:02And the shouts and screams and, you know, the people tearing each other up.
- 10:05I love that part of it, you know, sitting here on the floor.
- 10:08I'm just watching it now in front of me.
- 10:10It's a bit cold, isn't it, compared to what you were used to?
- 10:13Oh, totally.
- 10:14Oh, yeah.
- 10:14It's efficient.
- 10:16But one thing that you have learned, I mean, we'll get to what you've learned
- 10:22from a humanitarian point of view or humanity
- 10:24point of view, rather.
- 10:26One thing you've learned from these crashes is that market bounces back.
- 10:27I mean, you can get a V-shaped recovery like we had on Liberation Day earlier in
- 10:34the year last year,
- 10:362025, beginning of April.
- 10:36the stupid man in And the White House came up with this stupid name, Liberation Day,
- 10:42when he put on tariffs on countries that didn't even exist.
- 10:45And the market fell precipitously and then bounced straight back.
- 10:49A V-shaped recovery.
- 10:50And it's called that because you get your finger and you draw it down.
- 10:54And then when it recovers, you draw it up slightly to the right and it creates a V.
- 10:58And that's it.
- 11:00But, David, that's not the normal way, is it?
- 11:02It does recover, but sometimes it takes a while.
- 11:05And I can tell you.
- 11:06You'll get a recovery now.
- 11:08You get the ABC formation after this crash we've had in precious metals.
- 11:13But gold's not going back to 5,600 any time soon.
- 11:17It's going to take a while to recover.
- 11:19People are going to be nervous about this.
- 11:21And the people that didn't get out when it rallies are going to get out with a loss,
- 11:26probably, some of them.
- 11:28But it won't be as dramatic.
- 11:30It'll take, maybe it'll take a couple of years before it gets back there.
- 11:34A year, I don't know.
- 11:36But that was a real shock last week.
- 11:39I'm with you.
- 11:41There are a lot of people, there are a lot of gold bulls who believe it's going to go
- 11:48and that
- 11:48America is still under pressure.
- 11:50And, you know, the same stories.
- 11:52I'm saying, no, you know, this is not, no, this is going to take a long, long time.
- 11:58And yes, we'll have bounces.
- 12:00We'll have some confidence coming back into that market.
- 12:04We'll drive it up.
- 12:06But I think, you know where I see it?
- 12:09I see it in the Bitcoin market.
- 12:10Yes.
- 12:11This was supposed to be the same.
- 12:13And please, I haven't been involved in their market at all.
- 12:17I don't even know how to buy a Bitcoin.
- 12:19But I watch it and I watch the price formation.
- 12:21I watch the stories.
- 12:23Bloomberg have got a special program dedicated to crypto, you know.
- 12:30And it's gone.
- 12:31You know, I just say.
- 12:32Where is it now?
- 12:3377 or something?
- 12:35It's 77, 78, it was down to 74 and a half, but it was 126,000 two, three months ago.
- 12:41To me, that's finished.
- 12:42That's a bear market.
- 12:43Yes, everybody thought this would be the saviour.
- 12:47You know, that at times of stress, there'd be something to turn to.
- 12:51And I thought if anything, this would be the one that went to 150,200, not gold.
- 12:58and yet it just failed to live up to...
- 13:02its expectations or where people thought it would be.
- 13:05And that shocked me a little.
- 13:06And then, yeah, it's also the other thing is that we were talking about it, Lindsay,
- 13:11you know,
- 13:12and markets don't perform like that.
- 13:15When it's formed like that, that is sheer.
- 13:17This is what, you know, this was the GameStop of last year.
- 13:21It was those same kind of people, perhaps on a different continent.
- 13:25There was nothing real about the gold price this time, the silver price, the
- 13:29platinum price.
- 13:31It was just sheer madness.
- 13:33And the problem is you didn't know how high they were going to lift it, and nor
- 13:37did you want to make a guess.
- 13:39But you've seen what's happened, how it's come down.
- 13:40And you see the speed at which this has been unraveled.
- 13:44And, you know, you're dead right.
- 13:47You've read it, right?
- 13:48It will hover around here, but slowly it will just start to unwind.
- 13:52It's got to regain its confidence.
- 13:54It really has.
- 13:54Because the people that got in in the last three months, they've been burnt badly.
- 13:59And there's going to be stories.
- 14:01And one of the reasons is, I think, David, is not to do with irrational exuberance.
- 14:06It's to do with algorithms and it's to do with the way that, for example, an ETF
- 14:11does its business.
- 14:13An ETF's got a load of money and has to get a certain amount out because of the
- 14:16mandate of the ETF.
- 14:18So it just phones up the broker and says, I need to sell 500,000 ounces.
- 14:23And he doesn't say, yeah, finesse it.
- 14:25It's currently at 5,482.
- 14:28Yeah, my limit's 5,475.
- 14:31He just says sell it.
- 14:32So the guy says, thank you very much, and he sells it.
- 14:37And maybe he does some front running.
- 14:38Maybe he doesn't.
- 14:39I don't know.
- 14:40Or she.
- 14:41But it's not the same, David.
- 14:43It's not the same as David Shapiro getting an order and massaging it and finessing
- 14:48it.
- 14:50They just say, algorithm, press a button, goodbye.
- 14:52500,000 ounces gone.
- 14:54I learned that lesson when we were working for Societe Generale.
- 14:59And we started, although I wasn't involved in it, we were involved in the options
- 15:06market.
- 15:08And each day,
- 15:11the fund manager or the risk manager in Paris would look around and he would send
- 15:17an order through,
- 15:19sell 5,000 bid vests.
- 15:21And you say, we can't.
- 15:24First of all, Joffrey is my good friend.
- 15:27And it's 4 o'clock in the afternoon or whatever it is.
- 15:32The market's about to close.
- 15:33And he would just give instructions, sell.
- 15:36$5,000 or whatever it is.
- 15:38And you couldn't finesse him because he was balancing the books around the world.
- 15:44And we just had to do it.
- 15:45And the next day, because the markets were transparent, you know, you could too.
- 15:50Jeez, did we get wiped out by people?
- 15:53You had to do it.
- 15:54And that was risk management.
- 15:56And that's how they are.
- 15:57When they manage the risk, they don't care about you.
- 15:59And, I mean, we were dealing for them.
- 16:02So you get those situations during the cracks.
- 16:06of COVID, so many people had been, so many people were borrowed, you know,
- 16:12had leveraged deals.
- 16:14That market crashed, what, 20, 30 percent.
- 16:17All of a sudden, margins were called in, and the banks had to manage their risk and
- 16:23forced to sell out.
- 16:25And within a few days in March, what was 2020, the market recovered quite
- 16:29dramatically.
- 16:31But you were gone, you know.
- 16:33At that point, they had to get out.
- 16:35And later on, you know, you start accusing or people were being accused of, why did
- 16:39you do it?
- 16:39You could have waited.
- 16:39No.
- 16:41Risk managers do not give you that option.
- 16:44You know, when they're running huge banks with multi-dimension kind of investments,
- 16:51you know,
- 16:53or these massive investments around the world.
- 16:54So, you know, you want to do those kind of deals?
- 16:58Understand.
- 16:58And that's the same with stop loss.
- 17:00You know, stop loss doesn't know.
- 17:03If it hits a level, boom, it's automatic.
- 17:05It's done.
- 17:06And the market can bounce up and you finish.
- 17:08In fact, it can finish at the same price.
- 17:10It's very difficult for someone on the floor in the old days.
- 17:13I mean, I would give orders, for example, sell 200 gold at, let's call it,
- 17:199.95 on stop.
- 17:22And on stop means that's the stop loss.
- 17:25And what on stop means is that if it touches 9.95, then…
- 17:31you have to go to market.
- 17:32I mean, the next trade could be 987 in extreme conditions,
- 17:37and you have to just sell at market once it hits 995.
- 17:42And you're on the floor and you're managing this.
- 17:44Then you have another one called sell me 100 gold at 995 MIT.
- 17:49That means market if touched.
- 17:51So the market could hit 995.
- 17:55And then if it's touched there, then you have to sell as well.
- 17:58It could go back up to 998.
- 18:01Or 999 and finish at 1017.
- 18:05But you have to sell anyway because he gave you the strict instruction, MIT.
- 18:11And the guy will phone you up and say, but it's 1017.
- 18:14Why did you sell?
- 18:14I said, look at your order.
- 18:15It says 995 MIT.
- 18:19So all these funny little orders.
- 18:22But the guys on the floor, I have to say, I had a great admiration for them,
- 18:27how they managed all those different orders coming in.
- 18:30buying and selling and stop losses and on-stop orders on the upside.
- 18:35Goodness, it was extraordinary.
- 18:37David, the other thing I wanted to ask you, in 54 years, did you learn a lot
- 18:43about human beings?
- 18:45You're learning a lot now because people will phone you more today than they
- 18:49probably have done for a while because of the potential,
- 18:51because of the big sell-off in precious metals and also the little bit of a
- 18:55potential sell-off in tech stocks,
- 18:57which hasn't really materialized.
- 18:59But have you learned something about how to deal with people?
- 19:00Oh, yeah, and how you have.
- 19:03And, I mean, this market is all in motion.
- 19:06I've learned many things.
- 19:07First of all, just going back to your dealers, the cleverer you were, the
- 19:14higher, more degrees you had, the worse trader you were.
- 19:16You know, most of these chaps, I don't know in the UK.
- 19:18They're barrow boys, fruit and veg salesmen.
- 19:21Yes, but brilliant.
- 19:23And you couldn't read them.
- 19:24They were absolutely brilliant traders.
- 19:27on that.
- 19:29I don't, you know, they've had to adapt to a system today, which is an electronic
- 19:34system.
- 19:36It's changed everything.
- 19:38But I think also you learn to deal with people.
- 19:38And I've said it to you a few times there, you know, finding good companies in which
- 19:43to deal is easy.
- 19:45Dealing with the emotions of your clients, that's a difficult thing.
- 19:48Because I think, and especially because people are influenced by what happens on a
- 19:55minute-to-minute,
- 19:57day-to-day basis.
- 19:59Back in the old days, you know, you couldn't, you never knew the share prices.
- 20:02I always say someone would be on a paper route and they'd throw the star onto the
- 20:08front
- 20:09lawn and you'd rush in to see where prices were, which were probably at the morning
- 20:13prices.
- 20:15You know, that's how we trade it on pieces of paper.
- 20:17But today you can manage your wealth literally on a minute-to-minute basis.
- 20:22You know what your entire worth is now.
- 20:25And five minutes later, it's up 5%, down 5%, so on.
- 20:29So it creates huge swings,
- 20:32and very few people have got the temperament to actually trade, not trade a
- 20:38market,
- 20:38but just to ride through all these ups and downs.
- 20:42They all claim to be long-term investors until the market takes a bit of a knock.
- 20:47Then the true emotions come out.
- 20:49But money is very important to people.
- 20:53They're very sensitive about it.
- 20:55And you've got to learn to handle that.
- 20:58I'd say the old saying when I first came,
- 21:04the old traders would say to me, you can fool around with a man's wife.
- 21:11But don't touch his money.
- 21:14And hopefully at least one of the two you adhere to.
- 21:22David, what about today?
- 21:24What about the trade that happened that started on Thursday when we were speaking
- 21:31to Viv on
- 21:33the precious metals?
- 21:35I spoke to somebody over the weekend and he said it's all to do with the debasement
- 21:36trade.
- 21:38The fact is that people are talking about the dollar being debased And that's why.
- 21:41gold and silver and other commodities and other dollar-based commodities went up.
- 21:48And as soon as they heard that Walsh was the nomination of Trump for the Fed chair,
- 21:53they said, no,
- 21:55then maybe the dollar is going to be stabilised by a stable pair of hands at
- 21:59the helm of the Fed.
- 22:01I didn't buy it either.
- 22:03I think that people were just buying because the central banks bought and it
- 22:06got overheated and it fell.
- 22:08I still think the dollar is going to be debased while Trump is in the White House.
- 22:11I still think that Bitcoin is a scam.
- 22:14And the only reason I say this is because I'm ignorant and I don't understand what
- 22:18it does.
- 22:18But I don't think that at 77,986 it's worth that.
- 22:23And I don't think at 126,000 it was worth that.
- 22:26And at 10,000 it's just a curiosity when it started to take off.
- 22:30So I don't understand it, but I do not believe it's just the dollar debasement.
- 22:35although I do believe That will affect the bond market.
- 22:38I do think there's something else going on.
- 22:40The stock market is going along nicely because the economy is starting to go
- 22:46along nicely in the United States of America because of AI.
- 22:48The rest of it, there's individual stories with each one.
- 22:50And precious metals.
- 22:52I don't buy it.
- 22:53I'm with you.
- 22:54This is not the basement of the dollar.
- 22:57I just think that's a made-up story that's creating a lot of trader markets.
- 23:03I think there are out-and-out punters out there.
- 23:06Risking huge amounts, gearing up.
- 23:09And so if you ask me under these circumstances, I'd rather have the dollar
- 23:15than anything else.
- 23:17I'd rather have the dollar than the euro or the yen or the renminbi or anything
- 23:20else.
- 23:21You know, just judging by the underlying economy.
- 23:23There's nothing in Europe that attracts me.
- 23:26There's some nice, very attractive companies there.
- 23:29But in the UK, would I buy the pound?
- 23:31No.
- 23:33Maybe if you're buying in bonds, you know, you're a bond trader and there's a slight
- 23:38differential in the yields you're getting.
- 23:40But overall, I'm not going to invest my money in UK companies or something crazy
- 23:45or European companies.
- 23:47So I'm happy with where we are, you know, to stay in
- 23:51US-centric companies and some really good businesses.
- 23:55I'll play this out.
- 23:57And, you know, to buy a piece of gold now or to buy metals in there.
- 24:03I'm watching the Waiting for the US, funny enough I thought there'd be more of a
- 24:08reaction
- 24:10Reaction to what?
- 24:11Finish your sentence please Reaction to what?
- 24:14You said I thought there'd be more of a reaction To the fall in commodity prices
- 24:22Yes there are Some big moves, you know, Sibania is down close to
- 24:2810%. Impala's are down 8%.
- 24:32Northern, 8%.
- 24:33Well, in the opening, we had some gold shares down 12%, 13%, 14%.
- 24:37But it recovered.
- 24:39Unfortunately, the JSC opened just when the gold price was at 4,450 or something.
- 24:46But whatever.
- 24:47They have gone down sharply, but people are buying again.
- 24:49I think they should be because it's not over.
- 24:52it's just washed out the weak hands, David.
- 24:56Yeah.
- 24:56But you were going on about the US.
- 24:58I'm looking at Subanya.
- 24:59I'm looking at the platinum counters and that.
- 25:03And, you know, if we look at Subanya, Subanya, after the huge run,
- 25:08is not an all-time high.
- 25:10No.
- 25:11It was higher in 2022.
- 25:12It was higher in 2021.
- 25:15I think you can say the same thing for Valterra, which was formerly Anglo-Platts.
- 25:20It's way off the highs that it reached.
- 25:23in 2022.
- 25:24That's a rand thing, I think, isn't it?
- 25:26Impala, the same kind of thing.
- 25:28Impala is not at an all-time high, or it was a couple of days ago.
- 25:35But it gives you an idea why I bring that up.
- 25:38It's just the volatility in this market.
- 25:41While we think this has been a massive boom, it has,
- 25:44but we forget the crack that started in 2021 and went all the way through to
- 25:51late...
- 25:532024.
- 25:55From then on, it started to recover.
- 25:57But this is not a chart that goes from bottom left to top right.
- 26:00This is choppy stuff.
- 26:01We've seen good performance out of the gold shares, I think, because of gold's
- 26:06performance.
- 26:08But overall, you want to get involved in these shares, boy, you're in for a very
- 26:14difficult ride.
- 26:16And against that, you've got the miners deciding, what do we do?
- 26:20How do we play this?
- 26:22Where's this price going?
- 26:24Do we expand?
- 26:25Do we not?
- 26:25What do we do with the cash that we're generating at the moment?
- 26:28Just dig it out of the ground, sell it, and then decide on that in six months'
- 26:32time.
- 26:33That's what I say to them instead of going off and buying some obscure mine in
- 26:39Colorado or something, or Canada,
- 26:41wherever it is.
- 26:43David, football over the weekend.
- 26:45Arsenal have won the league, I think.
- 26:47Six points clear, good goal difference.
- 26:49So they've got to lose two games.
- 26:51If City win all their games and Arsenal lose two games, then they're level on
- 26:54points.
- 26:55Arsenal, I think, have a better goal difference.
- 26:56So they'll win it.
- 26:57So it's an unlikely scenario with 14 games to go that that will happen.
- 27:02Arsenal are the champions.
- 27:03Congratulations.
- 27:05No, no.
- 27:06You know, there's still a lot to get through.
- 27:09You can't.
- 27:10I looked at City and I thought at halftime, I'm not watching this.
- 27:15Spurs was so bad.
- 27:16Oof.
- 27:17They were just awful.
- 27:20And then I get this notification on my phone, 2-1.
- 27:24I said, okay, that's interesting.
- 27:252-2.
- 27:26I said, okay.
- 27:27And then they just hung on.
- 27:29That's first.
- 27:30But, I mean, how Siddy never put that away, I don't know.
- 27:35I don't.
- 27:36I blame Pep, actually.
- 27:37I don't know.
- 27:39He was too complacent.
- 27:40And he let a mediocre team.
- 27:43get on top the the crowd wasn't even behind him i was watching it with somebody
- 27:49and i said to him look can you hear can you hear the
- 27:51crowd he said what are you talking about i said exactly no there's no noise
- 27:56whatsoever and they scored a goal and they got their tails up
- 27:58and then solanke did that silly little scorpion kick to
- 28:01score i was so furious because i mean firstly i don't really
- 28:08like spurs I don't like Thomas Frank and his chewing at the...
- 28:11His chewing, yeah.
- 28:12Oh, his chewing annoys me.
- 28:15It makes Ferguson look like a lord.
- 28:20But anyway, I do believe that they are the champions now, and I will congratulate you
- 28:26now on February 2nd.
- 28:28I hope...
- 28:29They've got a few games, and they're prone to doing silly things.
- 28:33They've done their silly thing.
- 28:35The silly thing was in January, and now they've come through it quite nicely.
- 28:38The city didn't take advantage of it, nor did Aston Villa.
- 28:42So that's the end of that.
- 28:43David, thank you very much for your time.
- 28:44David Shapiro is from Sessom Securities.
- 28:46His anniversary, if you want to wish him well.
- 28:49What's your social media presence these days, David?
- 28:52Are you still on X or not?
- 28:54I did.
- 28:55They stole my account.
- 28:56I heard that.
- 28:58At the end of 23.
- 29:00And I also got a bit annoyed and said, this is to try to build it up.
- 29:06I couldn't get it back.
- 29:07There was no one you could talk to.
- 29:09The account was stolen or frozen.
- 29:12You know, buy a bottle or whatever it was.
- 29:15And that was that.
- 29:16So that's my presence.
- 29:18I'm running the Crystal Challenge.
- 29:20I see you there.
- 29:21Oh, what do you think of my picks without giving them away?
- 29:25Did you look at them?
- 29:26No, I did look at them.
- 29:28That's interesting.
- 29:29I've got to go back and look at them.
- 29:31I've just been preparing this spreadsheet, which is a mammoth spreadsheet.
- 29:36And you need to a lot of people chose foreign stocks.
- 29:38A lot of people chose stocks they're not allowed to.
- 29:41So you've got to edit it.
- 29:42You've got to standardize it.
- 29:44I've got to put the equations in, link it to a fact set formula and so on.
- 29:50Don't you have an assistant to do that?
- 29:53No, no, they couldn't do it.
- 29:54You know, you need to have a careful eye.
- 29:58And, you know, most people are not familiar, certainly, assistants and that.
- 30:02You've got to have experience on the market to be able to understand a lot of
- 30:09the things that people put in.
- 30:11So, yeah, it takes me a anyway, I do it.
- 30:14Well done.
- 30:15I'll have it by the end of the week.
- 30:16It's very exciting.
- 30:17So what happens now?
- 30:17You give a monthly update or what?
- 30:20Yeah.
- 30:21Do you say, you know, Lindsay Williams is winning at the end of the first month?
- 30:25Is it a monthly?
- 30:27I know we do it weekly.
- 30:28Oh weekly, oh good.
- 30:29I know we we I've got no the spreadsheet I've got is is live.
- 30:34And who's sponsoring it David you can tell me now.
- 30:37No no one's sponsoring anything we do it ourselves.
- 30:39You said you had you had a sponsor for it.
- 30:41No that sponsor wanted us to pay him.
- 30:49Okay you know what I must say Cristal himself's the
- 30:55the uh champagne company give us half price but um my broadband rudolph miller
- 31:02is a star every year he comes through with uh with ipads and tablets and everything
- 31:09he's been a wonderful wonderful help for us yeah so
- 31:13but i mean yeah you know we do it ourselves we don't uh i'm not paying
- 31:20anybody to write an article for me
- 31:22right david um Talking about writing articles,
- 31:24did you see that a company called Apex has bought Mining Max and
- 31:29Currency? Currency has only just started.
- 31:31They've been sold already.
- 31:33That's good for financial journalism, I think.
- 31:36No, I know.
- 31:38That's Julieta and Rob Rose and Sarah and all of them.
- 31:41Good luck to them.
- 31:42Well done.
- 31:43I think, you know what I like about it is that, Lindsay, things were falling apart.
- 31:47You know, you could feel it just wasn't.
- 31:53You know, the whole financial area was just, there wasn't, you needed this
- 31:58consolidation.
- 32:00You needed them to come together and say, okay, we've got a bit of muscle now.
- 32:01Let's get the best writers, put them together instead of being all over the
- 32:05place.
- 32:05Yeah.
- 32:06So I'm hoping something, you know, we need,
- 32:09this is not like the chat we're having now or Alex, you know,
- 32:15Biz News or Money Web, which are lined for online, you know, and they've got a very
- 32:21special.
- 32:23You know, it's very, what's the word, specialized clientele or readership.
- 32:26But you need a newspaper.
- 32:28I miss the newspaper being thrown to me over the fence and reading the headlines.
- 32:35I think we need something like that.
- 32:37Yes, we do.
- 32:37We need more people throwing newspapers over fences in the morning, dodging the
- 32:42potholes.
- 32:43David, thank you very much for your time.
- 32:45David Shapiro is from SAS and Securities.
- 32:47And that was Shapiro World.
- 32:49The views and opinions expressed in these podcasts are those of Lindsay Williams and
- 32:56various contributors and do not reflect the policy,
- 32:58position or opinion of any other agency, organisation,
- 33:00employer or company associated with StrictlyBusinessPodcast.com.
- 33:05Assumptions made on the analyses are not reflective of the position of any other
- 33:12entity other than the speaker or the author.
- 33:14And since we are critically thinking human beings, these views are always subject to
- 33:19change, revision, and revision.
- 33:21and rethinking at any time.
- 33:23Please do not hold us to them in perpetuity.