Latest / THE DAILY BRIEF / 'Russia is losing right now' Ukraine continues strikes deep in Russia

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'Russia is losing right now' Ukraine continues strikes deep in Russia · THE DAILY BRIEF

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  Speaker 1: Ukraine launching a major wave of attacks on Moscow tonight,
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  Speaker 1: coming as Putin continues to face massive setbacks in the
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  Speaker 1: war and he's coming under increasing pressure at home as
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  Speaker 1: a result, where heising questions of whether he lend the
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  Speaker 1: war or escalate. Nick Payton Wash begins our coverage.
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  Speaker 2: Outfront Hell is still nightly for Ukrainians. Here a drone
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  Speaker 2: slamming into Zaparigia, where strikes killed one, injured five. But
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  Speaker 2: again Monday night, while Ukraine was dragging its injured from
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  Speaker 2: the rubble, they fired about two hundred and fifty more
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  Speaker 2: drones back at Russia than were fired at them, four
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  Speaker 2: hundred and nineteen sixty of them at Moscow. This video
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  Speaker 2: apparently showing the moment a drone impacted near where Russian
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  Speaker 2: officials said a six month old baby was among the
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  Speaker 2: two Russian dead that night. Very few images of the
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  Speaker 2: damage to Moscow emerged. Where a space communications center was
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  Speaker 2: struck in Dubna, a lot of video actually came from
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  Speaker 2: Ukraine's president flaunting the damage. The Kremlin has instructed its
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  Speaker 2: law enforcement to hide Russian city skies blighted more and
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  Speaker 2: more like Ukrainian cities, and scenes like this devastating attack
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  Speaker 2: on a Moscow oil of finery two weeks ago, shattering
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  Speaker 2: the sense in the capital of Putin's war of choice
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  Speaker 2: being something far away that others fought. Now forced to
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  Speaker 2: admit more times than he would ever like in the
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  Speaker 2: last month to the problems Russians already know about, like
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  Speaker 2: gas shortages. Just thought you are well aware that problems
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  Speaker 2: persist for both drivers and businesses. It's not always possible
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  Speaker 2: to find the required grade of fuel at present. Ukraine
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  Speaker 2: released footage Tuesday of Derne units who said they had
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  Speaker 2: targeted Moscow's specific anti drone defenses, making the route to
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  Speaker 2: the capital easier. But it is not just Moscow under pressure.
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  Speaker 2: The peninsula of Crimea battered hard. Its isolation a key
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  Speaker 2: Ukrainian goal achieved through blowing bridges, trains, roads, blackouts and
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  Speaker 2: more gas cues the frontline. Brutal battles remain, but the
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  Speaker 2: story has changed. Ukraine less the victim, more the disruptor,
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  Speaker 2: hoping to keep Moscow off balanced long enough when it
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  Speaker 2: falls aaron. This is really about increasing pressure on Russian
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  Speaker 2: President Vladimir Putin. But to what end? Yes, Ukraine can
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  Speaker 2: isolate Crimea, the peninsula unoccupied Ukraine. It can rain drones
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  Speaker 2: on Moscow and other parts of Russia. But until Putin
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  Speaker 2: himself is vulnerable or feels political pressure, we're simply seeing
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  Speaker 2: an escalation on both sides. Diplomacy, it seems certainly frozen,
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  Speaker 2: although there are some hopes perhaps it may get another
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  Speaker 2: turn erin.
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  Speaker 3: Just how big of a deal is this, Aaron, This
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  Speaker 3: is a huge deal. We have some original data for
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  Speaker 3: you today. We've got over twenty thousand incidents of Ukrainian
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  Speaker 3: strikes against Russian targets. They include everything from oil and
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  Speaker 3: gas facilities to these kinds of communications hubs and radar
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  Speaker 3: installations in cities like Moscow and Saint Petersburg. And as
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  Speaker 3: Nick just outlined, we're seeing huge numbers of attacks in
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  Speaker 3: Crimea where they've closed the beaches down. Schools are now
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  Speaker 3: closed in Crimea. People are now indoors. The Russian population
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  Speaker 3: is feeling this war like they have not felt since
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  Speaker 3: the beginning of it. And it's because Russia is losing
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  Speaker 3: right now.
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  Speaker 1: So, I mean, that's an incredible thing you think about
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  Speaker 1: hearing you Seth say Russia is losing two years ago
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  Speaker 1: or at times when the war was that it's nadir
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  Speaker 1: for Ukraine. It's incredible. I know you have this new
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  Speaker 1: report coming out and you're going to detail these twenty
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  Speaker 1: thousand strikes by Ukraine inside Russia. What is the impact
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  Speaker 1: of that and what you're talking about, kids not being
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  Speaker 1: able to go to school, Beaches closed in crimea images
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  Speaker 1: of a thick black smoke over Moscow regularly. Is this
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  Speaker 1: make I Putin's situation truly at risk?
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  Speaker 3: Well, it's certainly not helping him err In. I mean,
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  Speaker 3: no war is ever linear, so it may not continue
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  Speaker 3: in this direction forever. But I think when you combine
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  Speaker 3: Russia's economic problems high inflation, its economy is really struggling,
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  Speaker 3: particularly when you get out of the oil and gas sector,
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  Speaker 3: and then when you look at the sheer number of
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  Speaker 3: casualties and fatalities Russia's. Sorry, the British Intelligence has reported
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  Speaker 3: upwards of five hundred thousand Russian fatalities since the war began.
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  Speaker 1: I mean that is stunning.
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  Speaker 3: That is over four times larger than all US fatalities
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  Speaker 3: in all US wars combined since World War Two. And
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  Speaker 3: it's hard to see Putin continuing at these levels and
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  Speaker 3: to be popular in the country for.
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  Speaker 1: It, I mean, is it is incredible, and that half
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  Speaker 1: a million number stunning.
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  Speaker 4: Seth.
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  Speaker 1: You know, there's also a Foreign Policy magazine citing a
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  Speaker 1: Russian military bloggers claim along those lines that the life
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  Speaker 1: expectancy of an average Russian soldier and an assault operation
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  Speaker 1: is twenty to thirty five minutes.
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  Speaker 5: That's it.
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  Speaker 1: You go in and assault operation, you're going to die
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  Speaker 1: in twenty to thirty five minutes if you're an average Russian.
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  Speaker 1: Ten days to three weeks is the lifespan of a
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  Speaker 1: soldier from training to combat. That's it, you go into
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  Speaker 1: combat ten days to three weeks. I mean, we can't
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  Speaker 1: independently verify this, it's consistent with what you're talking about
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  Speaker 1: from British intelligence. How long can Russia sustain losses on
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  Speaker 1: that scale, both just mathematically but also societally and in
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  Speaker 1: terms of Putin's hold on power?
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, Erin And there are some indications in that what
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  Speaker 3: you call the kill zone, it's about a twenty to
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  Speaker 3: forty kilometer area between where the Russian and the Ukrainian
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  Speaker 3: front lines are where a lot of these Russian can
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  Speaker 3: casualties are happening. I mean, our numbers are that for
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  Speaker 3: parts of the war, the Russians were losing two to
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  Speaker 3: one ratio to the Ukrainians. Now it's up to eight
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  Speaker 3: to one. The challenge for Phutin if hemmobilizes is that
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  Speaker 3: is that it could impact people in Moscow and the
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  Speaker 3: sons of elites, and I think that's where he would
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  Speaker 3: have a problem.
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  Speaker 6: I want to talk about how the Russian military has adapted,
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  Speaker 6: how they've created their own drone warfare as well, in
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  Speaker 6: many ways outpacing other NATO countries. So in Europe it's
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  Speaker 6: Ukraine dominant, but then Russia is not that far behind
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  Speaker 6: in drone warfare production. But as it relates to these
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  Speaker 6: specific longer range strikes, which the United States, we should note,
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  Speaker 6: even under President Biden had really urged Ukraine not to
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  Speaker 6: engage in and not to pursue. President Zelensky calls them
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  Speaker 6: long range sanctions, and in his view, he think this
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  Speaker 6: is what's going to bring President Putin to the negotiating
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  Speaker 6: table in earnest Is that how you're interpreting it. Do
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  Speaker 6: you think that this will finally get him to settle
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  Speaker 6: down for peace talks or is he only going to
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  Speaker 6: fight back harder now?
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  Speaker 5: Well, either, President put you, as a very stubborn man,
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  Speaker 5: is a man who believes that he can win this
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  Speaker 5: war on the battlefield.
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  Speaker 4: You know, in this speech in which he promised to
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  Speaker 4: take care of the fuel shortages, he also spoke at
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  Speaker 4: length about real and alleged Russian military victories in the battlefield.
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  Speaker 4: And one must say that the information that he was
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  Speaker 4: citing is incorrect. So there's a wildly optimistic assessments that
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  Speaker 4: are not correspond to the reality in the battlefield where
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  Speaker 4: Russia has barely advanced in the last six months.
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  Speaker 5: And so, but the equation is very simple.
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  Speaker 4: You know, fuel can return to the Russian gas stations
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  Speaker 4: the moment Russia agrees to.
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  Speaker 5: The ceasefire, or at the very least to a cease fire.
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  Speaker 5: When it comes to longer NGE strikes, President putting On
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  Speaker 5: Sandy refused to do that. He said that Russia has
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  Speaker 5: an advantage in longer range firepower, so it's not in
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  Speaker 5: Russia's benefit to seize fire and to stop the longer
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  Speaker 5: and strikes.
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  Speaker 4: So for now, this exchange will go on, and as
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  Speaker 4: Ukraine's capabilities grow, so will the pain that Russia is suffering.