Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB Best Bets Wednesday 2/18/26

Transcript

NCAAB Best Bets Wednesday 2/18/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March Hape, is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you, and I always am until I die
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you for Toadstool
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: Sports Wednesday, February eighteenth, two and Oh Day on the
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: show yesterday with both underdogs hitting, they both almost won
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: outright Virginia Tech. I guess debatably should have or could have.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: I didn't see how that game ended. I know they
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: lost by one. It was a low scoring game. I
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: think they were in the game the whole time, leading
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: at various points in the game. What can you do?
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: I'll have to go back and see the highlights on that.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: I did see the end of the Arizona State game.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: They got the outright win. I know they were losing
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: in the first half, but I don't think they were
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: losing by a ton. That game was pretty low scoring
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: as well, and at the end of the game they
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: almost threw the game away as as far as like
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: winning outright, and I was just like, don't let this
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: game go into overtime, man, because you never know what's
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: gonna happen in overtime, and you have the lesser team
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: in overtime, even if you have a ton of points.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm not confident in that team at that point.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: Bobby Hurley's gonna get fired. Dude. That Arizona State team
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: is so undisciplined. I don't know if you saw the
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: end of that game after loser cast ended, I watched
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: the end of that game. Arizona State was up five
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: with like forty seconds left. They should have just put
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: the game away, and they couldn't handle the full court
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: press or whatever. They turned the ball over. Texas Tech
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: scored to cut it to three. Then I think Arizona
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: State turned it over again and committed a foul, but
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech I think missed one of the
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: two free throws, so then it was a three point
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: game or no way, it was a two point game.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: But it's at a point where this whole time, Texas
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: Tech has to intentionally foul if they don't steal the ball.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: I believe they. Finally, Arizona State did get fouled, but
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: they did it in the most stupid way possible, Like
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: they actually took a shot. They're up too, and they
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: had run the clock down to like I think seven
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: seconds left on the clock at that point. Just keep
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: passing it, just try to run out the clock. Why
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: would you shoot it. They took a like it was
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: close to a layup, but it was still a defended layup,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: and they actually missed the shot. Like, what are you doing?
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: You know, Texas Tech has to intentionally foulw you at
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: this point, and if you hit both free throws, you're
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be winning by four and you're gonna seal the game.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know what they were doing. They missed the
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: layup and they somehow luckily got the offensive rebound off
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: of it and then got fouled. This team, I mean,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: it is just a horrible coaching job by Hurley. I
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on there. I know he's out
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: there like talking smack about his players pulling the the
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: UCLA the Mick Cronin. Things are not working out with
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: him either, by the way, two horrible losses for UCLA
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: the last couple of games. But yeah, Arizona State then
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: hit one of the two free throws, so then the
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: game still wasn't over. They were up three, but luckily
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech then made a mistake and they turned the
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: ball over and then that's what ended it. I'm like,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: oh my god, man, I mean, Arizona State just tried
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: to throw that game away at the end of it,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: but we did get there. We got the outright win
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: with that one. So we'll move on to today. I
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: got two plays today, both underdogs, again of a similar
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: variety to what I have been doing recently. We'll get
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: into it, we'll talk about these games. It's only college
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: basketball today. It's a fairly big college of basketball board today,
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: although I am bored by some of the games here.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: The first game up is one of those Rutgers at
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: Penn State on the Big Ten network, and they get
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: the first time slot at six pm. While there are
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: not many other games on at that time. Don't know
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: why this is gonna be a terrible game. These two
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: teams are terrible. Rutgers did just beat Maryland to end
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: a long losing streak, and you know I talk about
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: sometimes when a team does get a win like that
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: and end along losing streak, it will give them momentum.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: A lot of the time going into the next game
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: for Penn State. The travel spot is significantly worse for
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: Penn State. I would have to say, because you got
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: Rutgers just coming in here from New Jersey. Penn State
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: is coming back from the Pacific Coast, where they were
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: for the last two games. They did lose the second
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: one to Oregon after pulling off the upset of Washington.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: I told you I liked Oregon in that one for
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: multiple reasons. That was correct. And then Penn State does
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: have Nebraska on deck, so there is the potential they
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: might overlook Rutgers, although I know if you're Penn State
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: you can't really overlook anybody, and Rutgers is ahead of
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: them in the standings, But I think I would have
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: to lean to Rutgers in this game just based on
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: the spot. These two teams haven't played yet this year.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: This is the only time they play this year. Penn
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: State is up to a four and a half point favorite,
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: but they have seventy three percent of the tickets and
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: only sixty four percent of the cash. So even though
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: Rutgers has the better conference record, the public is just
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: not buying it. They're not on Rutgers. YEA, the public
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: is on Penn State for whatever reason. As bad as
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: their record is, usually the public is not going to
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: be laying points with a team of the bad record
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: like that. In this case, they are. I would lean
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: to Rutgers based on the situation there, Kyle, what's up?
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Rutgers plus the points, that would
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: be all right? What other games are we going to
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: talk about here? Man? All right, let's go to the
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: best bets? Why not? First best bet is one of
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: the earlier games Fox Sports won six thirty pm. We're
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: gonna take the points with Butler against Georgetown here. Nobody's
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: gonna want Butler. The way that they've been playing recently,
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: they've lost whatever this is, six games in a row.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: They look pretty atrocious and doing so. But they played
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: okay in the last couple of games if you really
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: think about it, losing by ten to Yukon, losing by
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: seven out of seat in Hall, which of course was
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: a non cover from Butler. But I think when you're
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: playing like this and you're Butler, I think you're gonna
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: try to at least show up and try to right
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: the ship here, man, When there's not a whole lot
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: left to play for one of the games you might
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: get up for is a game against a team that
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: already beat you at home, and that would be who
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: they're playing here, Georgetown. Georgetown beat Butler in Butler in
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: Indianapolis by thirteen earlier this year, so I think Butler
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: might actually get up for this game, even though this
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: involves them traveling to Washington, d C. For this. Georgetown
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: I think in the significantly worst spot here because not
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: only might they overlook a team they already beat on
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: the road by double digits, but they're coming off two
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: big games against Villanova and Yukon, and they just played
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: Yukon to within four points as big underdogs here. Yukon
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: were sixteen and a half point underdogs. This game was
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: at Yukon. It was at Stores, Connecticut, I think Yukon's
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: more crazy venue, Gamble Pavilion, and Georgetown basically went all
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: out in this game. Man. Yukon did have the lead
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: for most of the game, double digit lead in the
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: second half, but Georgetown never went away and they just
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: clawed their way back into the game and they were
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: only down four points with a few minutes left in
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: the game, and they had actually cut the lead to two.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I believe, Yeah, two points with eleven seconds left, So
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: they pretty much took Yukon almost right to the wire
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: in that game, even though Yukon wasn't really in danger
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: of losing it. Georgetown went all out in that game. Man,
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: and now playing a team they already crushed on the road,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: I don't see them having a whole lot left here.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: Georgetown has Seaton Haul up next to Seaton Hall beat
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: Georgetown at Georgetown already earlier this year, and Seaton Hall
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: was in fourth place in the conference. So I think
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: Georgetown has much more reason to focus on that game
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: than a struggling Butler team that they already beat. So
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: it lines up pretty nicely here. I like Butler in
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: this one. This is one of my plays. The money
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: seems like it agrees with me as well. Georgetown up
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: to a six point favorite. Like I said, of course,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: stream Yard is not putting the timer on these things.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: What is it doing, dude? Oh my god, I hate
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: stream Yard. All right there it is Butler plus six.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: I want to keep that up. While I talk about
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: it keeping it up, man, We're we're keeping We're keeping
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: it keeping it hard the whole time. Seventy percent of
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: ticket sixty six percent of the cash on Georgetown, so
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: they're a public side with less of the money on them.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Total is not that high in the one forties. That
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: if you look at what old mister Pop i'm arroy
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: has to say about these teams, Georgetown is seventy eighth
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: in his rankings, Butler eighty fifth, So they're only separated
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: by seven rankings spots. And yeah, Georgetown is the more
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: balanced team, all right, Butler has the better offense and
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: the worst defense. I know, I usually like to take
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: points with the better defense, but in this case, it's
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: about the spot. It's not like Georgetown is that much
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: better defensively. Georgetown does like to play slow, so if
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: that's what they're gonna do, even though Butler wants to
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: probably try to go a little bit faster than that,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: I think we're okay with it being a slower game
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: because it might mean points or more at a premium here. Yeah,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Georgetown is unlucky of it, so is Butler. So the
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: luck index for Ken Bomb basically just is a wash
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: between these two teams. But it's about the spot. Butler
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: is the play in that one. Zach, what's up? Thanks
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: for hanging out? All right, East Tennessee State and Furman
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: is a pretty good game in the Son even though
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: it's a down conference this year. This is the first
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: place team versus the fourth place team. East Tennessee already
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: beat Furman only by four at home in overtime, so
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee did not cover in that game. They were
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites. And when you were
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: a home favorite and the other team took you to
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: the limit like that, I think that does mean that
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: you will take them seriously the next time. So East
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: Tennessee might show up for that reason, and the fact
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: that East Tennessee in their most recent game they lost
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: at home to Samford. East Tennessee were seven and a
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: half point favorites and they lost in overtime. I did
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: watch some of the end of that game. Not a
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: great performance from East Tennessee. So you could maybe even
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: make the argument they might have been looking ahead to
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: this too. And I think they had taken Chattanooga seriously
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: the game before that, in that in state rivalry game,
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: whe Chattanooga had almost beaten them the prior time they played,
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: and that was a TV game. I think the Samford
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: game might have been a TV game as well. But
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: whatever the case, East Tennessee did play poorly in that game,
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: so they might be in line for a bounce back,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: although you do have to worry about the fact that
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: they lost four or they excuse me, they lost a
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: four game winning streak. Sometimes when a team lose a
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: win streak, that will be hung over, although I think
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: it's the longer that win streak was the worst that
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: it was though, or the worst that it is, I mean,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: but in this case, it was only a four game
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: win streak, so I think there are more indicators that
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee will show up here, but I think Furman
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: will as well. They just broke a three game losing streak.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: They did lose to East Tennessee the first time. They're
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: not going to overlook them or anything like that. They're
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: back home where they had a horrible game the last
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: time they were at home, losing to UNC Greensboro. That
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: was a win that I gave out on Super Bowl Sunday.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: Furman had played that game against East Tennessee the prior game,
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: and they had Mercer on deck, which is a bigger game,
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: so that was a sandwich spot. We got the win there.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: But when a team returns home and their last home
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: game was something like that where they lose as a big,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: big favorite. I think they will have more focus the
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: next time they're back at home. Furman coming up beating VMI,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: who's just a doormat in this conference, not a big
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: deal there, but it did end their losing momentum. So
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: this is a very very tough read. Uh, the money
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: is kind of saying Furman right now, with sixty seven
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash on
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: them other a one point favorite here, if you want
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Furman money line would be the way I would probably
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: recommend playing it. I could see arguments for both teams
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: in this game, though. Man, it's a very very difficult handicap.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee is still the better team though, and if
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get focus out of them, you know there's
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: the chance that they get the win there. This is
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: not a game I want to get involved in. It
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: might be a fun game to watch. The public you
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: would think would kind of be leaning towards East Tennessee though,
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: because it's oh, pick the winner or even getting an
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: underdog that has a better record, So there is kind
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: of that component to it as well, where the line
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: looks a little bit strange with the fact that Furhman
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: is the favorite even though they have the worst record.
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: But obviously the addsmakers have to give you home court advantage,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: and they're telling you East Tennessee is still the better team,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: but not by a significant margin, which is accurate. So
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: that's what's going on in that game. Very very difficult
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: read in that one. Tnt NHBO Max at seven PM
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: has Creighton at number five Yukon. Creighton already lost to
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: Yukon horribly at home by almost thirty points eighty five
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: to fifty eight, losing in a palindrome, and that might
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: mean that you come won't take Creighton seriously this time.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: So there is that. So Craton also might have a
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: little bit extra motivation because you don't want to get
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: embarrassed by anybody to that extent at home. Creighton's slipping
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: right now, they're not playing well, they've lost two games
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: in a row. I think they'll at least show up
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: with an effort, and the question is going to be
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: how much effort you're going to get out of Yukon. Here.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: This is at gamble for Yukon, So it is that
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: they're crazier Thnue here, but you know you're gonna be
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: asking you kind of cover huge number if you want them.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: Yukon did just have kind of a bad game against
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Georgetown where they only got by. Like I showed you,
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: there were sixteen and a half point favorites, I think,
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: and they barely got by that game in the end.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I think Yukon kind of started packing it in early though,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: because they had a double digit lead late and it
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: slipped because I think they just stopped putting effort in.
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: But still you get you come off a scare like that,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: you might be focused in the next game. But Yukon
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: does have two big games on deck between Villanova against
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: Villanova and then Saint John's, who's the only team that's
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: beaten Yukon in the Big East in Big East play
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: this season, So those are the other two teams that
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: are gonna make the tournament as well. And Villanova gave
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: them a decent game at Yukon, so I think it
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: is still more likely that Yukon's gonna kind of overlook
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: this game. So I would lean towards Creighton plus the
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: points in this one. Not a strong opinion though, because
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: there are definitely some arguments to be made for Yukon
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: kind of showing up here, but you know, with Yukon,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get a slower paced game, You're gonna get
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: a low total, which it is in the one forties.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Yukon's a public side seventy six percent of tickets and cash.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: It looks like they're teetering on being a seventeen point
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: favorite here mostly sixteen and a half is probably still
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: but slight lean for me towards taking the points there.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm not a game that I want anything
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: to do with. Really. ESPN at seven pm has possibly
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: the craziest game that we have tonight, number twenty Arkansas
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: at number twenty five Alabama. And the main reason why
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: this is so crazy is look at the total. It's
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: up to one hundred and eighty three and a half.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Some of the money looks like it is coming back
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: and taking the under eighty percent of tickets on the
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: under and eighty eight percent of the cash on the under.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: The public, even the public like because the public likes
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: to play overs, especially when you had two offensive juggernauts
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: like Arkansas and Alabama, but and teams that are not defensively,
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: which is Arkansas and Alabama. They don't play that much defense.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: They both play really fast, and they both have way
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: better offenses than defenses. So obviously, to me, this does
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: have the makings of a very high scoring game. The
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: public tends to shy away from the unders or from
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: the overs, excuse me, when the total is this high,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: I would still probably go over in this one. I
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: know it seems crazy because it's like you need to
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: get like you basically need one of the teams to
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: get to like a hundred if the game's gonna go over.
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: But this is the style game where it could happen. Man,
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: So I think the way that I would probably look
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: at this game would actually be over. There's a reason
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: why the total is massively high the way that it is, Well,
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: it's gone up a little bit. As far as the
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: side of this game, Arkansas is on a three game
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: win streak. They did just beat an Auburn That was
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: a decent win. It was a revenge win for an
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: ugly loss earlier in the season. I don't think they're
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Alabama here, but I don't think Alabama is
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook this game either. It is in Tuscaloosa. The
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: public might look at this though, and think, well, Alabama
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: laying four and a half looks a little bit strange,
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Like the public might want to grab the points with
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: the higher ranked team because that's kind of what they
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: do when they see these you know what looks like
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: a competitive matchup, which I think it will be, although
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: there's more variants in a high total game, you could
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: wind up seeing one team getting margin in this one.
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: But the public, I think we'll look at this and
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: think it makes sense to take the points because you
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: have two ranked teams like this, it should be a
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: close game, and you're getting points with the team with
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: the better record and better ranking. The oddsmakers are telling
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: you there's not that much of a difference between these
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: two teams though, Alabama laying like four to four and
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: a half here, although ken Bom actually does have Arkansas
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: slightly above Alabama, I believe let me see, yeah, by
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: two ranking spots, so very very close. But again, we
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: have two teams that are in the top twenty five
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: and tempo. They're both outside the top forty in defense,
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: and they're both inside the top six in offense. So,
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: like I said, I think the over is what makes
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: the most sense here. But as far as the side
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: is concerned, I kind of lean Alabama here. And if
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: you look at Alabama's schedule here, they're coming up an
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: easier win over South Carolina that was not a very
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: impressive performance from them, so yeah, they will have to
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: step up in class for this. But Arkansas is coming
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: up the more satisfying win, so I would slightly lean
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: towards Alabama in that one other four point favorite. But
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is coming in on Arkansas at
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: least for now, but they might be a public side
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: to sixty two percent of the ticket seventy one percent
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them for now, but slightly towards
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: Alabama for me and that one, all right, See if
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: there are other games that I want to talk about here,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: there were some games in here that I had like
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: some opinion on. Let me see, I think braw versus Valapoi,
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I kind of had an opinion on this. Yeah,
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: because Bradley is kind of sandwiched in here between two
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: Illinois teams. And why that matters is because Bradley is
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: also an Illinois school, so they have in state rivalry
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: games surrounding this game against Valpo. They already beat Valpoe
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: by seven at home, which, you know, not exactly an
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: impressive win, but it might be enough that they just
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: won't pay that much attention to Valpo here. It's a
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: second straight road game, third road game in four games.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: Bradley's last two games. They had a huge win against
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: Belmont and then they didn't suffer a letdown after beating
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: the best team in the Missouri Valley. They won again
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: against Southern Illinois. So that was a nice win for
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: them against the team they had already beaten one so
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: they didn't beat them by that much at home, but
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: they were able to beat their little brother. I would
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: say it's Southern Illinois their little brother at this point,
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: just because Bradley's been the better team recently. But that
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: was a satisfying win. I think now they play a
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: Valpo team they already beat. And who do they have
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: up next? Oh yeah, they have two more Illinois schools.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: Illinois State being next to is a team that beat
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: them by twenty six points already at Illinois State, and
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: Illinois State is still one of the better teams in
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: the conference. And then they have another Illinois school. After
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: that Illinois Chicago, who also beat them by double digits,
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: So they have two revenge in state rivalry games coming
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: up after this, and then Murray State, who's one of
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: the top teams in the conference to finish the season.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: So this is like clearly the down spot left in
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: Bradley's schedule here. So I would lean to Valpo in
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: this one. Valpo coming off a win by one over
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: Indiana State. Yeah, I know it was an Indiana rivalry game. Whatever.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: Indiana State's not a good team this year, so I
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: don't think Valpo is gonna be like overconfident after that
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: fal Berezo. I mean, they've been sneakily an okay team
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: this year. The public's probably gonna come in on Bradley
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: if they play this game. They were one and a
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, sixty seven percent of tickets, eighty eight
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Bradley. Of course, you got
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: to get Valpo home court advantage. Of course, we know
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Bradley is a better team, but when you have a
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: line that's like picked the winner like this, it looks
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: so easy to play Bradley the team with the better record.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: But that's not what I would do. I would lean
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: to Vaalpo in that one. There is the chance that
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Bradley kind of gets caught in that one, all right,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: trying to just pick the games that are like, you know,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: games that have some interest to them, you know, either
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: interesting games or games that are interesting from a handicapping
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: perspective of perspective. Well, if you want me to talk
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: about some of the other games, I can. Let's see
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: here CBS Sports at seven pm dating at George Mason
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: in the Atlantic ten. This is an interesting game. Then
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: it's an interesting line too, because of course we know
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: George Mason still has this really good looking record even
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: though they've lost three of their last four games. But
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: they're only laying two and a half here or two,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: so it's basically picked the winner. It looks like really
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: really easy to play George Mason in this game, which
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: is sort of an indicator that that's not what you
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: should be doing. Based on the line there, it looks
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: pretty much too easy to play George Mason. Dayton is not. Well.
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: The oswegers are telling you Dayton's actually the better team
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: over George Mason, which I'm not sure I would quite
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: go that far, but maybe let me say where does
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb have these guys. He's got Mason ninety seventh.
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: He does have Dayton as the better team ninety second.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: It's not a game I'm interested in playing. But he
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: does have George Mason twenty seventh in Locke. So even
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: though Dayton's a fairly lucky team as well, he's got
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: George Mason. Is one of the most lucky aka over
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: performing teams this season. Dayton had been on a bad
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: stretch where they have one two of their last three now,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: with their only loss being against a VCU, which is
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: not a horrible loss on the road, and they lost
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: to Saint Louis. The lost prior to that. Obviously, you
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: can accept that loss as well. We know how good
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. Though they lost to Rhode Island last night.
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: That was kind of a crazy ending in that game.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: I had the ending of that game on I told
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: you I liked Rhode Island to cover that, but that
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: was pretty wild. But Dayton is coming off beating Davidson.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna win. I don't think it's
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: a win that's gonna make them overconfident. I think they
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: will show up for a TV game against George Mason,
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: although George Mason might be excited to get a TV
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: game as well, and the spot for them is not
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: that bad as they just got smoked by George Washington
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: in their last game, so I think they might actually
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: show up with some focus here in this one. So
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: based on what these teams did in the last game,
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: George Mason, you know, doesn't look like that bad of
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: a side to me, based on the fact they lost
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: to horribly in their last game. But the numbers guys
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: are gonna come in on Dayton in this one because
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: you wouldn't think that Dayton's a better team based on
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: the records, but they actually are. Mason is a two
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Here's seventy percent of tickets on them, sixty
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash coming back on Dayton. So
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: the market Reid does say date and here I guess
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: I won't disagree with it, really, but the situation I
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: think is a little bit more favorable for George Mason
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: in that game. But from a numbers perspective and from
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: what the line looks like, I would agree with the
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: Dayton side. So it's a game that I just can't
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: do anything with, you know, for me. But those are
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on it. It's a tough game to call.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: Total is pretty low in that one as well. Next
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: up is my other play of the day here, Wichita
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: stayed in East Carolina and we're getting real ugly, man.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: This is my only other play. We're gonna take the
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: underdog in this one too. East Carolina plus seven and
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: a half in this one. I don't know if you
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: can get a better number than this. You might be
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: able to get eight on this. Now. We don't really
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: see any percentages that help us on this yet. It's
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: a pretty low total in the one forties. Wichita likes
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: to play slow, so if we look at what ken
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Bomb's got going on here, I know he has Wichita
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: is a very unlucky team. I've been saying that Wichita
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: is pretty under the radar two, but I don't like
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: the spot for Wichita here at all, even though yes,
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: they are clearly the better team here, but they're more
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: of a defensive team. They're in the top seventy on
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: defense according to kembum, but outside the top one hundred
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: on offense. So a defensive team that slows it down
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: and laying points on the road, I am fine with
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: fading a team like that, because it's gonna be a
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: bit of a stretch to ask them to cover a
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: big number like this on the road when they're that
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: style of team. And for East Carolina, yeah, I know
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: they suck. They're outside of the top two hundred according
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: to ken Bomb. They're not a lucky team, though he
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: has them still in like the bottom third of his
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: luck index, so I'm fine with that too. They might
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: try to speed the game up a little bit, but
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: even if they aren't successful in doing that and throwing
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: Wichita out of their rhythm, I think still they might
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: be able to hang around in this game. Based on
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: the spot which I'll show you in a second, and
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: based on the style that Wichita plays that I just
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: talked about. East Carolina is also significantly better on defense
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: and offense, so their defense might be able to keep
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: them around in this game, even though they're not in
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: the top two hundred and in either. But there's seventy
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: rankings spots highering defense than offense, so they're better on
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: defense than they are on offense. Wichita. They're coming off
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: two monster games year. They played South Florida, who's at
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: the top of the American conference now played them to
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: within eight, and then they turn around and they beat
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Tulsa to kind of knock Tulsa down. Tulsa now in
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: second place, even though Tulsa is still one of the
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: best teams in this conference. Man, So Wichita just played
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: the two teams that are above them. They got the
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: revenge upset against Tulsa, and then on deck they got
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: Temple and then Memphis, and Temple is right behind them
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: in the standings by a half game, and actually Memphis
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: is too, and you know, Memphis has that huge name
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: behind them. So I think this is a spot where
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: they might overlook an East Carolina team. It's way down
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: dwelling near the bottom of the standings here, and Wichita
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: or beat East Carolina by seventeen points at home, so
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be pretty easy to look past
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: them in what I think is a sandwich spot and
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: at the very least a big time letdown spot for Wichita.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna be on East Carolina on this one.
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: As far as East Carolina is concerned. They're on a
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: little two game win streak here. That won't make them
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: over confident, but it will give them confidence and momentum
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: coming into this. They only beat Utsa and Rice, which
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: is not a big deal playing at home here. You know,
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: a team like Wichita having to go over to the Carolinas.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: I know they're in the America, so they do have
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: to go to the East Coast quite often. But still
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: I think it's still a little bit of a weird
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: venue for Wichita to have to go to too. So
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: East Carolina will be our play. It looks like the money,
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: the percentages are starting to come in now here. You
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: see sixty seven percent of tickets on Wichita, ninety eight
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on East Carolina for now. So
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: the money might wind up agreeing with me on that.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: But those are my only only two plays the day,
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: those two underdogs there. I'm completely losing my voice here, man,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to do here. How many
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: games I have left to talk about? Whatever? You were
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: like close to half way through? Not quite all right?
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: What else we got going on here? I almost feel
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: like I need another break here, man, This is like
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: my voice is just killing me. ESPNU seven PM UAB
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: at Temple UAB. I've been, you know, on a couple
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: of UAB games in a row. I believe I think
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: I gave them out when they upset Tulsa. I think
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: I don't remember, though, But then I definitely did fade
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: them the other day when they lost to Tulane. I
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: think I had both of those games as winners here
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: on the show. So now UAB is coming off an
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: ugly loss. So they had pulled off a big upset
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: win at Tulsa, they were in a letdown spot after that.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: They got caught. They didn't play well against Tulane, they
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: lost as a favorite, They only scored in the fifties,
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: bad game, even though they sole them won the game.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: Now they're going to Temple, so you might get a
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: resurgence from UAB here. They might play better against one
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: of the teams that's near the top of the standings.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: And the odds makers are actually gonna be telling you
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: here that Temples not as good as the record looks.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: But Temple is coming off a pretty bad loss too
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: at home to North Texas, who has not been good
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: this year. Temple is definitely a favorite in that game,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: So you actually have two teams coming off loss as
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: his home favorites. So I think that kind of balances out,
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: and then it kind of becomes well, which team is
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: actually better here if you're gonna get both teams in
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: a focused spot, and the odds viggers are telling you
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: that's UAB. Temple dropped from minus one and a half
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: to a pick them here, So the odds wiggers are
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: telling you to not buy Temple's slightly better looking record here,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: that UAB is actually the better team here. Ken Bum
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: is UAB won twenty ninth, which isn't bad. Temple one's
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: sixty first, so he is actually agreeing with that with
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: his analytics, he does have ua B as the better
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: team as well. The money's starting to them in on
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: Temple a little bit fifty to fifty on the tickets,
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: ninety one percent of the cash on Temple. I kind
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: of loan towards UAB in that one, but not really
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion. That is a TV game on ESPNU,
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: so sometimes the home team does get a little bit
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: of a boost with a primetime home game. But I
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: think on a very crowded Wednesday board, I think it
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: means less, like it means more when it's like a
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: Friday game, when it's more isolated and you know you're
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: gonna have more people watching it on a Wednesday like this,
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: when there are a ton of games going on, I
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: think it means a little bit less that you get
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: a TV game ACC Network at seven pms. Clemson at
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: wake Forest. Clemson has fallen out of the rankings, have
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: lost two games in a row, but I think one
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: of them they were looking ahead to Duke, which is
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: why they lost to Virginia Tech. All the Virginia Tech
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: has been reasonably competitive, as we saw last night. Clemson
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: then took a pretty ugly loss to Duke where they
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: were not really in that game in the second half
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: of at whatever, but it's Duke. We know Duke is elite.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: Now Clemson is having to play a fourth road game
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: in five games, which is not that easy, and the
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: first two were on the Pacific Coast. Although at least
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: for them here they're playing two straight games in North Carolina.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: Now they only have Florida State on deck, which is
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: not a big deal. Maybe they'll be in bounced back
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: mode here and they do step down in class to
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: face wake Forest here. I think Wake will get up
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: for this game too, though, and Wake is coming off
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: two wins in a row. They did just meet Stanford
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: in their last game. Wake was actually favored in that game,
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: they'll believe it or not, and I leaned to Wake
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: in that game. Stanford, They're just not what the record
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: makes them look like. So I wouldn't say that was
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: a huge win for Wake, though it was a decent win.
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: But Clemson, I don't know, man, I mean, Clemson is
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: going to be a public side here. They're up to
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite. It does look
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: way too easy to lay the points with the team
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: with the way better record that Clemson. Here, eighty five
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on them and only sixty five
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash. It is a low total in
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: the one thirties, and I do think Wake is a
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: little bit underrated right now, as the Osburgers are kind
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: of telling you that Wake is not horrible here, low
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: total kind of makes sense to take points with the
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: home dog here. I could see Clemson bouncing back, but
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: then again, they are coming up a pretty big game
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: where they just didn't play that well. I don't know
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: it was a game they at least got up for Emotionally.
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: I might default to the market reading that one and
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: lean towards Wake, but I don't have a strong opinion
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: on that one really lehigh at Navy. The reason I'll
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: talk about this is because Navy just beat Colgate, which
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: I think was overtime as well. That was a huge
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: game for Navy because that pretty much solidified Navy atop
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: the Patriot League. They do play Colgate one more time,
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: but Colgate pretty much can't catch them now, so I
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: don't even know if it's mathematically possible. Actually I guess
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: it is with four games left, but it's not gonna
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: happen unless Navy loses ever remaining game and Colgate wins
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: out including beating Navy, and then I think Colgate would
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: maybe be able to overtake them, But aside from that,
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna happen. So you could essentially say Navy
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: has sealed the one seed in the Patriot League pretty
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: much and could be in a letdown spot coming up
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: that huge win. They do have Army on deck, and
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: we know Army is a rival of theirs. It's just
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: that I don't know how big of a look ahead
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: that is when they already beat arm maybe by almost
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: thirty points, and Army is just way way down. They're
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: just not good at all. These service academies just aren't
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: really that good typically in basketball, So seeing Navy doing this,
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: even though I think they're a bit of a lucky
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: team at least Ken Bomb tells you they are, usually
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: don't see Navy playing this well. The last time Navy
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: made the tournament was nineteen ninety eight, so I think
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: this is a pretty big deal for this Navy program.
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: Could be in a letdown spot here. They're playing a
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Lee High team they did already beat on the road
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: by three. I would have to lean towards Lee High
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: in this one. Lehi is starting to play a little
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: little bit better in conference play here, They've won a
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: couple more games in a row. Here they did just
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: beat one of their kind of rivals in Lafayette because
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: they think both those teams are into Pennsylvania not that
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: far off from each other. But I don't really see
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: them overlooking Navy. But it is four road games in
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: five games for them, which is not that easy. But
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: I do think it's a huge letdown spot for Navy
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: where they just might not have a full effort here.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Lehigh. Navy's a
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: ten point favorite here might be a lot to lay
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: in a spot like this, especially with a team that's
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: more defensive. I believe, like Navy is, the total is
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: pretty low, in the one thirties, eighty percent of the
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety percent of the cash on Navy. I would
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: disagree with that cash percentage. I think I would only
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with Lehigh and that one,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: all right, you would see greens were on Western Carolina
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: is just interesting because people are gonna look at this
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: and see Western Carolina has the worst record, and yet
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: they're laying five and a half points. And I think
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: the public, if they look at this game, they're they're
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: gonna want to grab UNC Greensboro. Oh, I'm getting the
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: team with the better record getting points. Yeah, but you're
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: getting points for a reason. The odds bakers are telling
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: you that UNC Greensboro is not the better team here.
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: Ken bum has the barely inside the top three hundred.
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: They're bad. They're really bad on defense, in the bottom
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: like fifteen in defense, and they're a pretty lucky team,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: whereas Western Carolina has been beating some of the better
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: teams in this conference, they're much less lucky. According to
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: ken Bumba, though they are also really bad on defense.
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: Both teams are terrible on defense, so this might also
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: kind of be a sneaky overplay, by the way, because
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: both teams are so bad on defense. The total in
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: the one fifties. It has dropped a little bit though,
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: But looking at the side here, I think it looks
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: way too easy to take the points. UNC Greensboro is
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: coming up beating Wafford. Wafford one of the better teams
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: in this conference. That was a good win for UNC
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: green and it was revenge because they lost by double
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: digits at Wafford earlier this year, and they have top
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: team in the conference, East Tennessee State on deck, which
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: is also revenge for a twenty six point loss earlier
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: this season. And they already beat Western Carolina, though it
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: was only a three point win at home, So I
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: know sometimes when it's a small win like that, that's
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: not going to cause you to overlook that team. But
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: I think they are still in a sandwich man between
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: two of the top teams in the conference, Wafford and
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee playing a team they already beat once. I
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: would have to lean to Western Carolina on this one.
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina coming up an easier win over Chattanooga not
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: really as big a deal there coming back home. They
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: did have a blowout win the last time they were
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: at home though against the Citadel. But whatever, I would
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: lean Western Carolina there throughout from four and a half
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: to five here. But fifty percent of tickets ninety seven
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on UITC Greens borrow, so the
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's coming in on Witcee Greens borrow.
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know about that. I would disagree with that
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: in that one. All right, what else do we have
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: going on here? I don't remember if I was gonna
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: talk about the James Madison game at Coastal, Well, they
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: did just beat app State, so they're coming up. They
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: could be in a letdown spot maybe because app State
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: is at the top of the conference. So that's what
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: I would say about James Madison here. They have not
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: played Coastal yet. They played them again at the very
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: end of the season. Coastal I don't think is as
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: good as the record looks. Coastal Carolina, that is. But
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: Coastal is coming off barely getting by Louisiana Lafayette there,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: and you can tell why because Coastal Carolina had that
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: huge comeback a triple overtime win over You Mass and
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: a big game against Arkansas State where they played pretty
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: close to the game before that, So I think they
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: were hungover or in a letdown spot, whatever you want
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: to call it going into that game against Louisiana. So
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: they had a bad game against a bad team. I
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: kind of expect them to bounce back and get a
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: James Madison team that could be somewhat in that mode here.
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to Coastal Carolina in this one,
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: whether they dropped from a one point favorite to a
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: pick them. I guess the one concern about this is
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: even though the situation, it's one of these games where
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: the situation says one thing. Situation says Coastal, but the
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: fact that Coastal has the better record makes it look
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: way too easy to play Coastal, you know what I mean.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: So it's one of those conflicting things where I do
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: think the situation does matter, though depending on how strong
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: it is. I mean, it always matters, but it depends
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: how strong it is. Like I said, man, a lot
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: of the professional guys seem to like U Mass last night.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: You remember I told you I did not even though
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: I think Miami Ohio was totally overrated, but just the
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: spot set up nicely for Miami Ohio in that game
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: for a bunch of reasons. You can see my analysis
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: on that. But I was correct on that game. But
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: in this one, yeah, even though yeah, it looks way
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: too easy to play coastal basically just pick the winner.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: You're gonna take the team with the better record. But
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: in that game, I'm not so sure that it's the
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: wrong side based on how the situation sets up. So
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: it's kind of an interesting game. As he's seen Network
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: at seven pm, Ole Miss is that Texas A and
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: m Ole Miss just had a rivalry game, but they
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: took a pretty ugly revenge loss against Mississippi State. So
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: both road teams won the egg Bowl matchups this year
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: or whatever you want to call them, the Mississippi rivalry
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: there the road team got both games that time, it
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: was Mississippi State winning at Ole Miss. Ole Miss is
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: on a horrible stretch right now, six losses in a
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: row coming into this game against Texas A and M.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: They'll probably show up. Texas A and M is really
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: plummeted though they've lost four games in a row, but
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: their losses are more excusable. Losing to Alabama on the
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: road by three Florida and then Vandy on the road,
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: those are very excusable losses. And then they did lose
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: to Missouri, but it was kind of a sandwich spot
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: in the middle of there. So I'm not ready to
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: say that Texas A and M is as bad as
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: they look right now. I don't think they're as good
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: as what they looked like earlier in the season, but
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: now I don't think they're as bad as they currently are,
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: So now we might be starting to get some value
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: back on the Texas A and M side here. They
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: are definitely the better team in this matchup, and I
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: think both teams will show up here. But the money
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: is coming in an old miss. For what it's worth.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: A and M's down from nine and a half to
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. I guess maybe it's a bit
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: to lay here. I mean, Ole miss just isn't really
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: good at anything this year. Man. That's the thing. Texas
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: A and M is actually not a horrible team, even
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: though they're not as good as what they looked like.
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: Like I said earlier, this year, fifty seven percent of
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: tickets on A and m eighty one percent of the
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: cash on Old Miss. The only thing I could really
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: say is that Ole Miss might be able to slow
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: the game down a bit, because that's what they're gonna
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: try to do here. A and M is gonna try
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: to speed it up. They play fast, Ole Miss tries
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: to slow it way down. But I don't even think
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Old Miss is the better defensive team here, man. I
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: think A and M is better on both sides of
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: the ball. So I don't know, man, The question really
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: is the number too high? Because I do pretty much
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: expect A and M to win this game, like I
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: expect the better team to get the job done when
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: when both teams are gonna be in a focused spot.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: But will they be able to cover a number like that?
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know. The money is saying no, so take
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: from that what you want. I guess the money is
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: saying take the points with ole Miss. But it's a game.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: I'm definitely skipping seven pm ESPN two Oklahoma at Tennessee,
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma coming off beating Vandy on the road in a
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: crazy upset, and then that might have give them given
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: them some new life, some new momentum, because it ended
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: along losing streak for them. They did not fall into
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot and they got a blowout win over Georgia.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: Georgia had a nice, huge bounce back last night winning
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: at Kentucky. By the way, crazy how these games zigzag
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: all over the place. I think I did lean to
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: Georgia U plus the points last night, but Oklahoma coming
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: off a nice couple of wins there. I don't think
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Tennessee though, as far as Tennessee is concerned, Yeah,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: I think Tennessee is better than they look though, and
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is staying at home of an easy win against LSU.
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: But Tennessee does have Vandy up next, and Tennessee might
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: be playing with a chip on their shoulder right now
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: because that's a Tennessee rivalry and Tennessee is always the
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: bigger brother. But now they're ranked lower than Vandy, so
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: they might be playing with a chip on their shoulder.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: There is a potential look ahead for Tennessee to that game.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum does have Vandy seven rankings spots higher, but
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: he does have Tennessee ranked nineteenth in the country, so
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is getting a bit short change by the rankings makers.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: It's because they play in ugly style. Man, they're better
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: on defense and offense. They play slow, That's what they do.
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: This game is really difficult to call as well. From
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: a side perspective, Tennessee is a ten point favorite, down
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: from eleven, and the money looks like it's fading them
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: here eighty six percent tickets, only sixty seven percent of
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: the cash on Tennessee. I won't really disagree with taking
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: the points. I mean, you're fading a team that again
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: like plays kind of slow plays defense, So fading them
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: when they were a big favorite. I think it's usually
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: kind of the way that you want to look. But
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: I kind of worry because Tennessee's coming up an easy game.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma is coming off a better win, like a you know,
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: a more satisfying win, let's say. Although then again, I
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: don't think Okahoma is gonna overlook Tennessee. There is the
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: worry here again that Tennessee is gonna start looking ahead
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: to Vandy, So that would be the worry. So I'm
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: not really gonna disagree with Oklahoma in that one. All Right,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: we got what else we have going on here West
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: Georgia and Eastern Kentucky. I think I had some sort
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: of opinion on this in the A Sun. Yeah, Eastern
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: Kentucky's coming off an ugly loss at North Alabama, who's
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: right at the bottom of the conference standings. Eastern Kentucky
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: was coming off a game where they lost to lipscumb Is,
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the conference the game
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: before that, So there is a potential bounce back here
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: after a bad loss to Alabama, and now they're back
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: at home. They're playing a West Georgia team that actually
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: beat them by twelve at West Georgia, and West Georgia
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: is not the better team, so Eastern Kentucky being the
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: better team in revenge mode and it bounce back mode
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: here coming up an ugly loss. I think there were
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: a lot of things that say that they should show
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: up in this game. For West Georgia maybe not so much.
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third straight road game. They just lost
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: to Central Arkansas, who's right near the top of the
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: standings here and having a good season. Man, even though
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: they did lose by seventeen, so it wasn't a close game.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: But they do also have Queens and then Lipskam on deck,
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: and those are two big games for West Georgia man
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: two of the other top teams in the conference standings,
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: and again playing a team they already beat once. I
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: would have to lean toward Eastern Kentucky in this one.
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: They're a five and a half point favor here with Jews.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: Don't really see the percentages yet, So the Osburgers are
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: telling you Eastern Kentucky is the better team. But people
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: might look at this and see, Eastern Kentucky has this
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: awful looking record, like why would you want to lay
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: points with a team of the record like that against
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: a team that has a better record, Like the public
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: is not going to want to do that at all.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: It looks like such a weird line, Like it looks
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: way off, like it looks like such a fishy line.
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: But again, the Osrikers are telling you East Eastern Kentucky
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: is actually the better team there. Eastern Kentucky Ken Bomb
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: has a pretty unlucky in the bottom sixty something in luck.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: They're not good on defense, though, so that's one concern
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: with them. But West Georgia is also really uh They're
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: bad on both sides of the ball, So Eastern Kentucky
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: gives you the way better offense, both defenses are bad,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: and West Georgia is nineteenth in Locke according to Kenbom,
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: so there is a big luck disparity there. So I
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Eastern Kentucky there, towards the Colonels in
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: that one and eat some KFC. I guess why you
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: watch that one. Jacksonville at Florida Gulf Coast in the
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: same conference Jacksonville, I don't know, Wait, was there a
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: I want to talk about this? I don't know. Jacksonville
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: did just end a four game losing street. They beaten
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: North Florida. Not a big deal there. They did already
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: lose badly at home to Florida Golf Coast by nineteen
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: points and they only put up forty nine, So they
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: are potentially in revenge mode here, and they just ended
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: a losing streak. So they ended their losing momentum with
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: a probably an unsatisfying win against North Florida. So you're
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: gonna get Jacksonville in revenge mode with new momentum here,
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: even though they got Austin p on deck, who are
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: a top this conference right now. I don't know that
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Golf Coast because they got so embarrassed
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: by Golf Coast in the last game. But then again,
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: Golf Coast is coming up a bad performance against Stetson
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: where they barely won. You know, I talk about when
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: a team's a huge favorite and they almost lose the game.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: I think Stetson might get up for games against Florida
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: Golf Coast because they probably consider themselves to be the
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: little brother Stetson also a Florida team. Florida Golf Coast
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: barely got buy as a huge favorite there, so they
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: might still show up as well. But they do have
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: Central Arkansas on deck man, and it's probably gonna be
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: easy for them to overlook Jacksonville, a team that they
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: already embarrassed once. So I would take the points with
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville in that one. Florida Gulf Coast six and a
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: half point favorite there. It looks like they're creeping up
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit on the number there. The totals low
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: in the one thirties. So those are my thoughts on
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: that one. What else do we have going on here?
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: Don't know if I want to talk about any of
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: these other games here Western Kentucky and Delaware. I think
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: it was a bit of an inddressing handicap. Western Kentucky
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: just beat Middle Tennessee, and I think Middle Tennessee is
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: still not as bad as their record looks. But Western
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Kentucky had to have been a home favorite in that
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: one when they just barely got by, but that was
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: still a decent win. Now they're playing a Delaware team
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: that is playing better recently, but they're still near the
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: bottom of the conference. And up next, Western Kentucky has Liberty.
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: Man that's a huge game. Liberty already beat them once
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: at Western Kentucky. Liberty is of course still a top
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: the Conference USA and undefeated in conference play, even though
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: I still don't think Liberties as good as they look.
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: This is just a weak conference. But Western Kentucky might
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to that game. Delaware is coming off
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: a better win. They just pulled off two straight road
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: upsets after they themselves beat Middle Tennessee. They beat FIU
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: Florida International and Missouri State on the road, so they
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: could be in a letdown mode coming up those two
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: big upset wins. Very very difficult game to call, man
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: because it is a look ahead spot for Western Kentucky
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: as well. The money is saying Delaware here Western Kentucky
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: down from four to three and a half. Here, they're
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: public eighty percent of the tickets, only seventy three percent
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: of the cash. Of course, the public is gonna look
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: at Western Kentucky here. It looks pretty easy to lay
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: three and a half with a team with a significantly
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: better record the market. Reed is saying Delaware. I guess
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: I won't disagree with it, but I don't want to
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: play Delaware when they're coming off two up sets in
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: a row. Man, It's just that I think that is
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: kind of a major look ahead there for Western Kentucky's
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: So I guess those are my thoughts on that. All right,
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: what other games do we want to talk about here? Man? Uh,
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go take a break real quick. I'll be
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: right back. I'll talk about the rest of the games.
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: I don't have any more plays though, so I know
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: it's not a whole lot to wait for here. Yep. Inside,
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: I want to kill myself. We're on own seven run
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: over the last two days after tonight it was just
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start off this
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even know
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: what to tell you above that I just don't want
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: to do this anymore. I have never seen anything like this.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: day at all, oh in four next have not had
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: a good season. Man with wookends the slump that I'm on,
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: and the slump continues. I've reached a new pink. Actually,
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I don't
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the bruins. Arch hate?
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: don't know what day it is anymore. I don't even
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. Man, back with you
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: least oh and two yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: all all right? Yes, back to uh finished talking about
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: this crap here, dirty sock? What's up? Yes, thanks for
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: hanging out, Yes, good night, good night. I I was
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: correct with vast majority of my opinions yesterday. I would
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: say she just play every game on the board. I
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: don't know if I would have put picked out South
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: Carolina as my next strongest lean out of all of
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: those though. Uh, but they did cover yes, that one. Yeah,
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know that that was not one of my
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: stronger opinions. What else am I gonna say? Yesterday? By
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: the way, there was all this talk about, like like
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: a lot of the professional betters, like the uh you know,
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: the ones that have social media presence whatever. I follow
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: a bunch of them. They're all talking about these plays
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: are all square sharp plays. I'm like, what the fuck
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: does that even mean? Oh, it's so sharp that it
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: becomes square because all the like professional betters are on them.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: I'm like, no. And that applied to like those three
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: games that had the weird lines yesterday, and they all
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: won NC State, Ohio State, and Iowa. And I liked
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: the last two of those. I didn't love NC State
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: just because I thought the number was actually too high
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: in that one, although they wanted an absolute blowout. Sorry
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: sorry to Garrett, but yeah, like square sharp doesn't mean anything, dude.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: It's like you're you're you're out smarting yourself. You're trying
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: to be smarter than like you're basically like you're twisting
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: yourself in knots and putting yourself on the wrong side.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: Like it's just a ridiculous way to think. Like, there's
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: no Like, to me, sharp means that you're getting ahead
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: of the line move like that's what it means to me,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Like you get a better number than where it closes,
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: that's all. It means, you're getting the better number. Then,
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: I think, just based on the percentages that I look
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: at the ticket percentages versus the cash percentages, you could
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: tell where are the recreational betters the squares and where
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: are the professional better or pros versus Joe's basically, and
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: I think where the higher cash percentages, that's where the
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: professionals are. But these people are basically saying, well, it
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: gets to a point where the books need that game
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: to go the other way because there are too many
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: professionals on that side. I'm like, no, like if all
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: the professionals are on that side, that's for a reason,
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: like they have, they have their handicapping techniques that have
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: worked for years and years. So I'd much rather be
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: on that side, even if if the books are gonna
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: lose money on that particular game. If you have a
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: bunch of professionals saying one thing and public better saying
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: the other thing, no, I'm not gonna side with the
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: fucking public. But like, what are you talking about? Which
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: which one of those sides is more square? Way? So
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: I don't understand that line of thinking at all, even though, yeah,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: I stayed off of all of those games in question
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: yesterday because I just didn't love the situations necessarily. I
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: thought the situation was still better for Ohio State and
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Iowa on those two games. So yeah, I don't know
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: that it was some yeah, some really weird conversations going
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: on there. And then I don't know, Like I said,
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: some of the professionals were on you mass yesterday and
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: I was warning people against that play based on the
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: situation because you had Miami Ohio had barely gotten by
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: them at home as a huge favorite, and I tell you,
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: and then when that when that happens in the first meeting,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: they'll more often than not take that team seriously the
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: next time. And you Mass was coming off a triple
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: overtime game nine days prior and then played Acron really
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: tight in the next game, So the spot was way
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: worse for you. Mass. Again, you got to take into
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: account everything. Man. You can't just blindly say, oh, well
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: the number is saying this, like, you know, it looks
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: way too easy to play this team. Well know, you
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: got a factor in everything. I mean, that's what I
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: try to do. But you know, I mean, obviously I'm
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: not gonna win every single time either, but you know,
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: yesterday I felt like I was right on many many things.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: All right, let's see here what other games we want
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: to discuss here? Middle Tennessee and sam Houston is actually
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: an interesting one in the Conference USA. These two teams
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: are both decent despite what Middle Tennessee's record looks like.
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: You know, I've been saying Sam Houston is an underrated team,
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: but they're starting to become less underrated because people are
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: starting to see that they're actually solid. Middle Tennessee playing
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: a fourth straight road game, which is not exactly what
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: you want, uh, coming off a game against Western Kentucky
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: where they played really close against a decent Western Kentucky team.
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: Is a road underdog there. Middle Tennessee already beat Samon
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: at home by one, so but I don't think they're
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: going to overlook sam Houston. It's just a matter of
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: the fact they're playing a bunch of road games in
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: a row does make it kind of difficult. Sam Houston
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: just beat Kennesaw on the road and they're coming back
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: home off of that. Last time they were at home,
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: they didn't play that well against UTEP, barely getting by.
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: So I kind of think the spot is a little
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: bit better for sam Houston in this one. The money
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: the market read on this is actually difficult because Sam
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Houston dropped from six to five, but eighty six percent
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: of the tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: them difficult read, man. I think Sam Houston the spot
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: does set up a little bit better for them. I
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: guess I would have a slight lead in that direction,
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: but it's nothing really crazy there. Again, if you want
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: me to talk about some of these other games, I
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: can Florida Atlantic at UTSA. Actually I skipped over another
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: game I was gonna talk about but I'll still do it.
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: This is at eight PM. These games are not TV games,
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: but this game is interessing because Florida Atlantic is coming
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: up a huge game against South Florida where the refs
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: kind of screwed them on a flop on a three
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: point attempt. I was watching the end of that game.
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: The game went into overtime as well. I'm pretty sure
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: that was a huge game for both teams. But FAU
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: is not having that good of a season, even though
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: I actually think they're more competitive than the record looks.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: But that was a big game against the top team
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: in the conference, falling just short in overtime. I think
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: that could definitely hang them over into the next game.
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: And they're playing a Texas San Aitonio team they already
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: beat by forty at home and put up one hundred
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: and ten points against them, and they're the lowest team
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: in the conference. So I think it's a bad spot
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: for FAU here. Man, they might not take UTSA seriously.
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: Plus they might be in hangover mode. I guess the
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: one concern would be that FAU has lost six games
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: in a row, so they're you know, because when you've
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: lost six in a row, you can't really afford to
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: overlook anybody. But I think if you're going to over
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: look anybody, it will be in a spot like this,
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: you know, because it is a bad spot. They got
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: North Texas next to the North Texas not having a
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: good season. But still also if a Florida team having
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: to go play in San Antonio is not exactly the
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: easiest trip to make either. Utsa just beat Charlotte on
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: the road, and yes, it was a nice upset win.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: So that's one concern where when a team pulls on
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: a huge upset like that, thirteen and a half point upset,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: even though Charlotte I don't think they're really that good
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: at all. You know, they're near the top of the
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: standings in the conference. They're not good. But yeah, a
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: lot of times when a team pulls off an upset
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: like that, I will definitely want to fade that team
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: after that. And they got Tulsa on deck, So that
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: is a concern. But the other way that I look
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: at it is when you're UTSA and you hadn't won
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: in the entirety of conference play, you hadn't had a win,
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: you finally break that losing streak. It's like that gets
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: that monkey off your back and you can play way
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: looser in the next game. So I still like Utsa
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: in this game, man, but they're coming off such a
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: bit big upset points read wise that I don't think
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: I could do it. But ever used down from thirteen
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: to twelve, I would agree with that move. I would
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: take the points with Texas San Antonio in that one.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: But you're not gonna find me coming in and playing
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: a team that just pulled off a double digit upset
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: either though. But I thought that was an interesting handicap
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: in that game. And then on the other side of that,
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: you got Charlotte coming off losing as a massive favorite
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: playing against Tulsa, and Tulsa has now lost three games
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: in a row and did just lose to Wichita. I
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get focused probably out of both teams
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: in this one. Tulsa did already beat Charlotte on the
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: road by twelve, though, so I actually think the spot
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: sets up a little bit better for Charlotte. Tulsa coming
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: off a game against Wichita that really was kind of
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: a big game, Wichita climbing up the standings here, so
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: I think I do probably lean to Charlotte and that one,
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: Tulsa's sitting as a thirteen point favorite seventy five percent
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: to take as ninety nine percent of the cash on Tulsa.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I would really buy that much
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: or read that much that cash percentage there. It's an
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: addressing game, then another addressing game there. The situation I
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: think sets up better for Charlotte, But obviously I don't
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: think Charlotte is that good, which is why they're a
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: double digit dog. Like I don't think they're gonna win
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: the game, but they might be able to hang within
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: that number. But Tulsa at some point, it's got to
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: bounce back, man, because they're not as bad as the
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: way they've been playing the last few games, and they've
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: had a tough run against some difficult opponents in that conference.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: There Big ten Network at eight pm, Maryland at Northwestern.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Not exactly an epic matchup here, but you got to
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: notice that Northwestern is an eight and a half point
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: favorite here. Why would that be when they have the
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: worst conference record and actually a worst overall record. Like
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: the public is gonna look at this and think there's
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: no way that I can lay those points with Northwestern,
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: But you know, I've been telling you Northwestern is not
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: as bad as they look. They're one of ken BOM's
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: unluckiest teams in the entire country. And the oddsmakers are
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: agreeing with that, like they're telling you there's significantly better
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: than Maryland by lining them like that. So again, when
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: the line looks like it doesn't make sense, you got
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: to think about, well, why is that the odds makers
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: are giving you some information with that and they know
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: more like you know, they're like they they have actual
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: information that they're you know, putting a ton of money
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: at stake on versus you know, the records just are
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: what they are, and they could be completely misleading. Maryland
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: is coming up a pretty ugly loss on the road
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: to Rutgers. They are playing a third road game in
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: four games, though, which isn't exactly that great having to
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: go play in the Chicago area here for this one.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: Northwestern's coming off a couple of bigger games, though, where
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: they blew a double digit lead against Michigan and then
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: they played pretty competitively for an entire half against Nebraska
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: before they kind of fell apart at Nebraska wound up
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: losing by nineteen And yeah, you could argue Northwestern should
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: bounce back, though, because they have lost five games in
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: a row and because the line is so misleading, I
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: think I kind of have to lean towards laying it
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: with Northwestern there because it's just a ridiculous looking lie.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: But I do think the scheduling spot might be slightly
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: better for Maryland. But then again, it's still like a
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: weird road trip from Maryland, So I guess that on
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: top of the the fact that Northwestern is way better
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: than they actually look, I guess I'll lean toward towards
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: Northwestern there, but no strong opinion on that. True. TV
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: at eight PM we have De Paul and Seaton Hall
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: to Paul versus Hall. De Paul was coming in off
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: a nice win for them against Creighton. Now that didn't
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: end a four game losing street. So sometimes when a
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: team men's a losing street, they'll be focused in the
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: next game. You know they'll have momentum, new momentum going
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: into the next game. But I don't know, because beating
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: Creighton is still kind of a big win, beating one
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: of the teams it's above you and the conference standings
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: on your home floor, and they actually beat seton Hall
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: once already de Paul actually be them. That was a
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: win for me, I think on the show, I think
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: it was a good spot to fade Seaton Hall, if
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: I remember correctly, to Paul got the win by seven
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: at home against Seaton Hall. So I'm not gonna necessarily
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: say they're gonna overlook Seaton Hall because Seaton Hall is
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: above them and in the standings, but it might be
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: a spot where Seaton Hall is gonna be able to
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: make the adjustments and play better this time, and Seton
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: Hall is coming off beating Butler on the road. It
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: was a game where I thought it was a spot
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: where it made sense to play Seaton Hall. Now, yes,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home here, but you know, both teams,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: they think are making a similar trip here from the
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Midwest over to the East coast here, so the trip
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: is kind of the same for both. Probably actually benefits
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall because they're the home team here. Seen Hall
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: in a little bit of a two game winster. I
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: think they kind of, you know, there is maybe reason
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: for them to have more motivation here because they do
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: need to win to try to do something with their
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: tournament resume here because they've fallen much off the tournament radar,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: although with a couple of wins they might be able
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: to put themselves back on it. They're an eight and
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, though, and you know, I don't
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: love laying points with a horrible offense like Seaton Hall.
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: They're very gonna defense, bad on offense, and they play slow.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: The total is very low, so points will be at
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: a premium with a total of one thirty. But I
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: think if I was gonna play this game, I would
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: have to lean to laying it with Seaton Hall though.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent of the tickets eighty nine percent of
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: the cash on Seaton Hall. Yeah, I'm gonna slightly agree
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: with with the money on that one with Seaton Hall.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State and CELT Dakota State is the classic
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: Summit rivalry basically between the two teams that have made
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: the most noise in this conference over the last couple
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: of decades. Like I think the majority of the conference
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: wins have come from these two teams. Looking at the records,
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: you're gonna think, well, North Dakota State is an easy
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: play here. It looks way too easy to play in
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State because they have the way better record
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: way way better record, yet they're only one and a
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: half point favorite here. Well why is that? Well, the
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you celt Dakota State is not as
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: bad as their record looks so and they may very
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: well get up for this game because it's a big game,
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: especially for them in North Dakota State already beat celt
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: Dakota State at home by eleven. They're coming up a
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: nice win in one of their other rivalry games. They
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: beat North Dakota, who is one of the closer teams
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: to them in the Summit League standings right now, beat
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: them on the road. Good win for North Dakota State.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: They're in an in state rivalry game now it's a
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: second straight road game. Celt Dakota State comes into this
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: game off beating Oral Roberts to end a three game
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: losing streak for celt Dakota State Oral Roberts. That's not
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: a win that's gonna make you over confident. They're the
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: worst team in the Summit this year. Actually, no, they're
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: second worst to UMKC. My mistake, Kansas City is absolutely horrendous.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: But Oral Roberts is second worst. Celt Dakota State. Yeah,
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: I mean that's that's a win that will and that
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: should just give them momentum coming into this one because
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: they broke a losing streak with that win. So I
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: would have to lean to soelth Dakota State in this game,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: and I think maybe they'll be able to pick off
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State here and help the Tommy's out a
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: little bit as far as where they're sitting in the
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: standings there Saint Thomas. But yeah, I'll lean to South
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: Dakota State here. They've gone from a one point dog
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: to all pick them though or not though that's agreeing
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: with me. Fifty percent of the cash on celt Dakota State,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: but eighty percent of the tickets on North Dakota State.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: So I think the public will be on North Dakota
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: State in that when the money looks like it's actually
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: coming in on celt Dakota State. In agreement with me,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: that is the way that I would lean in that
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: particular game as well. Eight thirty pm. Fox Sports won
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Utah at West Virginia. This is an ugly game, man,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, West Virginia is the better team. They slow
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: the game way down Utah, getting themselves into a couple
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: of ugly games in a row, probably, But Utah is
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: coming off a couple of pretty big games. Man. They
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: cover against Kansas and Houston, and then they just went
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: to Cincinnati and covered again and almost won the game
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: outright as double digit underdogs at Cincinnati. I was right
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: about that lean with Utah there. Cincinnati, they just don't score, man,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: So laying points with Cincinnati is really not a good idea.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: But Utah almost pulled off a big double digit upset there.
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing a third road game in four games.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Looks a little bit difficult for Utah. Man, But do
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: you really want to lay double digits with a slow
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: down team like West Virginia? Personally, I do not. West
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: Virginia is also coming up of a nice road win
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: and upset win at UCF, So nice win for West
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: Virginia there. They're actually kind of playing themselves onto the
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: tournament radar right now, believe it or not. And they
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: got TCU on deck, which might be a bigger game
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: for them because CCUS starting to play better and making
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: some noise and they're right behind West Virginia in the standings.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: So it's interesting. Man, It's not a good spot for
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: either team. The money looks like it is coming out
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: in West Virginia. They're up from nine and a half
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: to ten, fifty percent tickets seventy four percent of the
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: casual in West Virginia. I guess I won't really disagree
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: with it, because just based on the way that I handicap,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: I kind of have to fade a team that almost
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: pulled off a double digit upset like Utah did. But
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is also not in a very great spot
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: and they're not a great style a team to lay
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: points with like this, so I'll lean that way, but
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: I don't want to touch it. And the total is
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: indeed low at one thirty one and a half. I
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: wouldn't really disagree with an under in that game either,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: because that's just the style the West Virginia plays, and
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it is coming in on the
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: under in that one. That and I think Utah is
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: also very weak on offense as well. Utah is actually
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: worse on defense, believe it or not. They're not a
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: great offense either, But yeah, I think it's expected to
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: be a low scoring game. West Virginia is outside the
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: top one under on offense. They're actually worse on offense
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: than Utah is. But you know, the best unit on
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: the floor there is obviously West Virginia's very strong defense,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: so almost the top twenty five defense, I believe, what
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: was it again? Let me see, yeah, twenty six all right,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: according to ken Bond that is. And you know, some
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: of these other sites will have will have different you know, rankings,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: but they're all gonna be kind of similar to different
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: analytics sites. You know, like Bart Torvik does a good
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: job as well. Evan Maya does a good job with
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: his stuff, all right. ESPN nine PM. Pretty big game here,
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: number twenty three BYU at number four Arizona. There was
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: a lot going on in this situation, man, BYU coming
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: off barely getting by Colorado. So I guess we could
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: start with that b YU is a big favorite in
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: that one, a double digit favorite, and they barely got by.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: And you know, I like teams to bounce back or
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: to play better when they barely get buy as a
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: huge favorite, you might argue BYU was looking at head
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: to this Arizona game. So definitely some reasons why BYU
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: should show up in this game. Another is that BYU
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: just lost their second best score. Saunders in that Colorado
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: game he got injured. I think he's gonna be out
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: for the season. So that's a huge blow to BYU.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: But you know when a team loses one of their
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: best players like that, a lot of times they will
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: step up their game for that first game without him.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: So there are a couple of indicators that Byu should
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: put in a big effort in this one. Now, they
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: did put in a big effort the last time at
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: home against Arizona, but Arizona might remember that because Byu
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: Arizona was getting I mean BYU was getting blown out
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: in that game, and they came back and came back
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: to within three late in that game. I think Arizona
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: had that game though, and they just kind of took
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: their foot off the gas. So those are some indicators
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: that you might want to look towards Arizona here, because again,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: when you had a home favorite like Arizona wasn't that
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: one and they barely got by, that means they're going
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: to take that game more seriously the next time. And again,
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: if you dig into what that game looked like, Arizona
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: was actually the way better team throughout that entire game.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: They just took their foot off the gas too early,
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: and that's why Pyu was able to make a massive
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: late comeback to make the game close when it wasn't
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: close for most of the games. So those are some
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: indicators that you should look towards Arizona in this game. Arizona,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a couple of tough games though, man,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: against Kansas and Texas Tech. And I know that game
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: against Texas Tech. It was a hangover spot, you know.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: I talk about this all the time. When a team
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: loses their undefeated status that late into the season, like
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: Arizona did, that could definitely hang them over into the
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: next game. I think that was part of what happened
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: in that game. I liked Texas Tech in that one
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: as well. Didn't really expect them to win outright, but
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: they did. But Texas Tech's a good team too, so
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: I can kind of see that going both ways. Like
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: you could argue that they're gonna be in another hangover
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: here because that was a big game, or you could argue, well,
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: they should bounce back because they lost as a huge favorite.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: I could see both arguments, man, So it's like, what
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: can we do with this game? I have no idea
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: what we want to do with this game. That game
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: was at BYU, by the way, excuse me, the first
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: game was at BYU, not at Arizona, my mistake. But
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: BYU did play them close. But Arizona was actually not
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite in that game. They're only one and
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: a half way favorite when the game went off, and
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: they still won, and they actually dominated the game, although
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: they did outshoot BYU. Well, actually, it's a really interesting
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: stat sheet here because Arizona had more rebounds in the game,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: but somehow BYU had nineteen more field goal attempts. I
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: don't even know how that happened. I guess it was
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: just Arizona was constantly going to the free throw line,
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: and a lot of times I don't like that. When
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: a team went to the free throw line a lot,
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: that's actually an indicator that you don't want to be
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: on that team the next time because they were getting
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: the benefit of the free throws. But then again, it
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: could be kind of you know, there could be kind
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: of a trend there as well. It could just be
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: that Arizona just has a tendency to get fouled if
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: they're the more dominant team in the paint, which I
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: think they are. In this matchup against BYU. So there's
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: kind of a lot to this handicap, and it's a
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: lot in both directions, or I don't want to do
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: anything with this game. But now that Saunders is out
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: and whatever, and you know, we see what these teams
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: have done since then, Arizona is now laying twelve and
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: a half points, which does seem pretty high given that
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: they're one and a half when the game went off
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: on the road. I know you've got a factor in
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: the Saunders injury and whatever, but to me, this line
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: does seem a bit too high at this point, and
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: given that I think BYU is in the slightly better
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: situational spot I think, plus you know, with the injured
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: player spot potential here, I would probably take the points
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: with BYU seventy six percent of ticket, sixty eight percent
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Arizona, and because I thought Arizona
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: was a big favorite at home in the prior game,
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: but that's not the case. They were on the road,
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: So my mistake with that, So that part of the
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: handicap gets thrown out a little bit where Arizona will
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: take the more seriously, I'm not sure that they totally will,
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: and some elements of that box were actually made. It
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: made Arizona's big lead in the game look misleading. So
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: but yeah, seventy six percent of ticket, sixty eight percent
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Arizona. I guess I would take
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: BYU plus the points there. But again, it's not a
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: game that I really want anything to do with. We
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: have so many TV games late, man, this is insane.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: I gotta talk about most of these remaining games. Peacock
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: NBC Network at nine PM we have what is this
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: number eight, Kansas at Oklahoma State. The public's gonna have
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: a tendency to play Kansas year. We know Kansas has
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: been hot, right you know, uh in the recent games.
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: They did just lose to Iowa State, though, but I
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: think that might hang them over, man, because Kansas had
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: a long wind streak snap they'd won eight games in
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: a row. And you know, I talk about what a
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: team loses a long wind streak in a big game
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: where they get up emotionally for it. A lot of times,
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: you know, though, fall flat in a game after that,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: and that might be the case here. Even though I
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: did give out Iowa State as a play on Saturday
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: and that one because Kansas was just coming off that
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: massive win against Arizona, so I thought they were gonna
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: letdown against Iowa State, even though it was also a
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: game that simultaneously you kind of get up for in
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: a way, which is I don't know, it sounds a
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: little bit weird to say, but you know, but yeah,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: I did think it was a letdown spot. But in
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: a case like this, I don't really think Kansas immediately
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: bounces back, and I think Oklahoma State will consider this
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: to be a big game, and they're basically fighting for
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: their tournament lives and you're gonna be giving them points
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: at home. They're gonna be an underdog here at home.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State, though that was a big game. In their
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: last game, they fell short against TCU, who's another Bubble team,
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: and that game went into overtime. So it was a
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: big effort for Oklahoma State there. So I worry about that,
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: the fact that Oklahoma State's coming up a big effort game.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: But I think that I would have to lean towards
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: the Oklahoma State in this game based on Kansas losing
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: the win streak or whatever. You've lost a little bit
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: of value on this. You could have gotten seven and
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: a half but it's down to six and a half now,
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the tickets and sixty nine percent
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Kansas, who look like they are
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: the public side there. I'll need to Oklahoma State in
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: that one, but not a strong enough opinion to make
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: it a play or anything like that. Kansas has got
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati on deck. That's not really a big deal. But
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: that's my opinion on that game. ACC Network nine PM,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: number fourteen, Virginia at Georgia Tech. Virginia coming off a
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: big game man against Ohio State, even though I know
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: Ohio State almost pulled off the upset there. That was
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: a neutral site game and Virginia was only a five
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, so I think they might
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: consider that to be more of kind of a big game.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: It was a spotlight game in Nashville. Now they're playing
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: an ugly Georgia Tech team before Virginia has huge games
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: on deck against Miami, NC State Duke. All three of
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: those teams are going to be tournament teams most likely,
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: So this is a spot where Virginia might overlook Georgia Tech. Man,
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: it does look pretty sandwiche here, and you know you're
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be laying points with Virginia on the road with
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: a slow paced Virginia team, which is not something I
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: really would enjoy doing. Georgia Tech has lost a bunch
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: of games in a row. Seven games in a row,
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: I think is what this is, most recently going two
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame. But now they're back at home, and last
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: time they were back at home they lost badly to
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest by double digits. So, you know, I like
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: teams to bounce back at least effort wise on their
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: home floor when they're back home. And they lost their
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: last road game when it was you know, not like
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: a close loss against a great team or anything like that,
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: and they also lost last time they were at home.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get focused out of Georgia Tech
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: in a spot like that. So I would lean to
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech in this one. They're a big underdog here.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: It's thirteen thirteen and a half low total in the
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: one forties, seventy five percent of the tickets around Virginia,
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent of the cash on Georgia Tech. I
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: like Georgia attack in that one. That's what I would
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: do if I was gonna play it. I would take
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: the points with Georgia Tech and that one and again Virginia.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: A slope aced team length double digits on the road
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like a good idea to me. And Virginia
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: was seeing them have some struggles on the road as well,
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: and you know, like, I don't think they could really
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: easily win by margin like this in road conference games,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: even if it is against one of the bottom dwellers
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: in the conference. Uh TNT nine PM, number seventeen, Saint
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: John's at Marquette. Saint John's is coming up. That win
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: over Providence and man, that was kind of a big
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: win for Saint John's, man because there's the whole Bryce
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: Hopkins thing. He plays for Saint John's now he used
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: to play for Providence. Providence was the only team that
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: had beaten Saint John's this year at Saint John's no less,
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: the only team in conference player I should say, so
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: that was a big revenge win for Saint John's and
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: that game got really physical. Like I said, seven players
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: got ejected in the game, some of the fans got
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: thrown out. At Providence. That was a massive win for
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: Saint John's, believe it or not. Another they're coming off
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: of that and they're playing a Marquette team that they
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: already beat easily ninety two to sixty eight at home.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: They might look right past Marquette man and they got Creighton,
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: Yukon of Villanova all on deck, which are all bigger games,
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: even though they did already beat Creighton and Villanova and Yukon,
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: but still those are still better teams in the conference.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a bad spot for Saint
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: John's here where they just might not take Marquette seriously.
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: Saint John's having to go play in Milwaukee for this game,
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: which is kind of an odd spot to be in.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: Marquette's coming off kind of an ugly loss at Xavier,
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: but that was a sandwich spot for Marquette. They'd come
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: off a close loss to Villanova on the road the
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: game before that, where they played well against one of
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: the top teams in the conference, and they had Saint
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: John's on deck, so that was a sandwich spot. It's
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: just I think I couldn't get there with Marquette because
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: I think Xavier was coming off playing Saint John's or
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: something like that. So both teams are in horrendu to
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: spots in that one. If I remember correctly, but it
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for Marquette. I think they should
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: come with a better reffort here. I would have to
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: lean a Marquette in this game. You know you're gonna
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: get them as a home underdog. Here. Saint John's up
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: from nine to nine and a half. Here, seventy four
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on them, fifty percent of
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: the cash or Marquette. I agree with the market in
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: that one where the cash is there. I would take
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: the points of Marquette in that one. Probably one of
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: my stronger opinions. By the way, in that game, I
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: don't know, besides my two plays that I gave out,
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know what other I don't know what other
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: games are. Would you know I would consider to be
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: the strong opinions here. That's probably one of them, though, yeah,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't really see any other ones
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: that are like, oh yeah, I don't know. Probably if
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: I was gonna add another one in my car, this
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: one might be next, to be honest. Marquette number nineteen
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: Vandy at Missouri and the SEC Network Vandy. I don't
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: think they're in a great spot. They're coming off a
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: couple of nice wins on the road at Auburn as
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: an underdog, believe it or not, and then they beat
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M at home. Vandy was a pretty
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: big favorite in that game, but still maybe somewhat satisfying
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: to beat a Texas A and empty mins. I'm playing
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: pretty well. Now They're going on the road kind of
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar venue, going to Missouri, and on deck they
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: have their huge game against Tennessee, who I think they
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: always consider them, considered to be their bigger brother in
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: the state of Tennessee, and that will be the first
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: time they're playing them this year, so could definitely be
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: a look ahead to Tennessee here. Man, So Vandy could
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: get caught in this game against Missouri, and Missouri is
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: a home underdog here and they're fighting for tournament positioning
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: because they're a bubble team right now. Coming off kind
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: of an ugly loss to Texas. Yes that did any
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: three game losing streak, three game wins streak for them,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: excuse me. So sometimes that will hang you over. But
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up for a home game
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: against Vandy man coming off an ugly loss, which was
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: one of my wins on Saturday. I gave out Texas
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: in that game. I liked the spot. I thought Vandy,
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: you know, just excuse me. I thought Missouri just had
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: it surrounded by bigger games, including this one. I would
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: take the points with Missouri and this one of I
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. Vandy dropped from five to three
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: and a half. But we do see the money coming
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: in on Vandy. But I don't really agree with that
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of tickets fifty nine percent of the
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: cash on Vandy. I do not really agree with that
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: cash percentage there. I would lean towards taking it with Missouri,
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: even though you've lost a little bit of line value
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: on that. ESPNU has probably the best Missouri Valley game
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: of the day. Murray State at Illinois State. These teams
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: are I think they're two of the top like three
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. I don't think Bradley is quite there,
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: although I know I forgot to mention Bradley completely in
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: my bracketology, so maybe they're being overlooked, at least by me.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: Bradley is there and near the top of the standings,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: but power ratings wise, I think you got Murray State Illinois.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: You got Bellmont. Of course at the top, and I
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: think actually Illinois State, then Murray State, then probably I
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: don't know, Bradley, UC, Northern Iowa are all kind of
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: there as well. But this is a big game, is
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: what I'm trying to say. Murray State's coming up that
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: big TV game against Belmont where it was a tale
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: of two halves where Murray State was absolutely dominating the
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: game early and then Belmont completely swung the game and
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: dominated the later parts of the game. Absolutely wild to
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: see a swing like that where Murray State was winning
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: the game by over twenty points in the game they
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: wound up almost losing by twenty just insane to see
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: a swing like that. So I don't know if they
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: were spanned well to that or if they don't, you know,
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: because it was a big get up TV game where
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: they thought they had Belmont on the ropes and then
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: to have a swing like that happened, I don't know. Man.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: But then again, Murray State lost at home already to
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: Illinois State, so they might get up for Illinois State
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: for that reason. But I think Illinois State will get
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: up for this game as well. State's coming off a
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: horrible loss to Illinois Chicago, horrible based on how badly
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: they lost eighty three to fifty six. So I think
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: the spot, based on what has happened, I think does
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: set up better for Illinois State in this one. And
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: I think the public's gonna have a tendency to want
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: to grab Murray State here because oh they're a slight
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: underdog here, and yes, the oddsmakers are actually telling you
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: Murray State is a slightly better team now. That hasn't
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: been the case throughout the season when I've been looking
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: at kem Bomb's numbers. I guess now it is, But
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: the public's gonna want to grab Murray State man to
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: bounce back. Oh they lost to Belmont, that's okay, you
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: know that type of thing. It looks way too easy
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: to play Murray State. So based on what has happened
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: in the previous game, I think I would actually look
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: towards Illinois State. But they actually drop from four. Actually,
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: you know what, I think I wasn't wrong about the
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: power radius. I think there must be an injury on
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: the Illinois Illinois State side dropping them from four and
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: a half to one here, which might mean you might
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: actually get some value on Illinois State now where you
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: could basically just play them on the money line now
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: at a cheap price, eighty percent of the tickets ninety
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on Murray State, I don't
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: pay enough attention to the personnel, but I think that
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: does mean there's probably some injury on the Illinois State
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: side there. So if that's the case, you might get
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: additional value on their side, And that's probably the way
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: I would lean in that one. Ken Bum's got Illinois
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: State ninety ninth. Where does he have Murray Yeah, he
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: has Murray State won twelfth, So like I said, he
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: does have Illinois State higher than them and the way
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: less lucky team. So that's something to consider here as well.
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: In Illinois State is the way better defense too, so
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: Illinois State is probably gonna try to slow the game
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: down a bit. They play a bit slower, at least
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: way slower than Murray State does. Murray State is one
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: of those teams that's all offense, no defense, they play fast,
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: and they're lucky according to ken Bump, and those are
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: the types of teams I like to fade more often
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: than not. So a lot of things do line up
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: for me looking towards Illinois State in that one. From
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: like a an analytics perspective, It'll be an interesting game
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: to watch man, but for me, I would lean in
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: Illinois State slightly. CBS Sports nine pm, Saint Mary's at Seattle.
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's coming up beating Pacific on the road, a
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: nice win. Pacific has been doing fairly well in this
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: conference this year. Seattle's been okay, but there is the
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: possibility that Saint Mary's doesn't take them that seriously. They
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: beat them by seventeen already at Saint Mary's. It's a
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: second straight road game, having to go up to an
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar venue because Seattle's new to this conference, even though
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: of course the teams in this conference are used to
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: playing in the state of Washington, but still will be
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar venue. Seattle bounce back from a couple of
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: losses with a win over at Oregon State, so they
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of momentum coming into this game.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Seattle if I
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: was gonna play this one. Saint Mary's slow paced team.
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: Seattle plays mostly deepfense, so it's expected to be an
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: ugly game. Total in the one three makes sense to
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: look towards taking the points at home. For that reason too.
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: Fifty percent of tickets on Saint Mary's, sixty two percent
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Seattle. Saint Mary's up to ten
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Yeah, money is agreeing with
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: me on Seattle. That is the way I would lean
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: in that one. ESPN two at nine pm, Auburn at
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State. Auburn is coming off a lost to Arkansas.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: They've lost four games in a row. You gotta think Auburn,
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: they got to do something abouts back here man, Arkansas.
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: I got the revenge win against them. Auburn is starting
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: to fall, you know, into a position where they might
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: not make the tournament. So they got to do something here. Man.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: They're a bubble team. They got to show up and
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: beat an inferior team like Mississippi State. Although it's gonna
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: look probably too easy to lay the points with Auburn, maybe,
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: but Mississippi State is coming up a very satisfying road
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: revenge rivalry win the Triple R R R R the
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: Indian action movie, which I still haven't watched because I
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: don't have three and a half hours. No, I probably do,
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: Actually I should watch it at some point. But anyway,
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State, that was a big win for them, man,
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: So I think Auburn is probably in the better position
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: to get this game end of the better team, of course.
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: But Mississippi State that was a big win for them,
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: you could argue, and ended a losing street for them,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: so they should bounce back from that. But it was
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: a game where you know, they lost at home to
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: their rival miss Already, big road revenge win for them.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: So I would actually probably in Auburn here, but they're
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: off from three and a half to five, and public
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: slightly on them fifty percent of tickets, but ninety percent
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Mississippi State. I don't really agree
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: with that one though. In that one the cash percentage
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: yet on Mississippi State for whatever reason, I don't know
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: about that one. Man. All Right, Big ten network at
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: ten PM, as we start getting into the degenerate hours
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: here where people try to make their money back Number
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: ten Illinois at U scene. You know, I talk about
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: when these more Eastern teams go out west for a
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: late Pacific Coast game, A lot of times it's bad
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: news because it's bad for their biological clocks. They have
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: to shift time zones like this. They haven't done that.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know if Illinois's played outside like I don't
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: know if they've played in the Pacific time zone this year.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: They have not in conference play yet, so it should
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: be pretty difficult for them. They're coming up a fairly
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: satisfying twenty point win over Indiana, where I thought Indiana
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: would play better in that game than they did USC.
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're a bubble team right now too, so
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: the USC needs to show up with some effort in
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: some of these games because they might miss the tournament too.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: They're traveling across time zones two because they're coming back
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: from playing Penn State and Ohio State. They did just
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: lose a three game win streak in a big battle
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: against Ohio State though, so the spot's not great for
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: USC coming up of that. They were an underdog at
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: Ohio State and they played pretty well. I think they
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: covered actually as like seven and a half point in
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: that one. So the spot's not exactly great for USC either. Here.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: I'm staying off the game. The money is saying USC
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: pretty strongly Illinois nine point favorite here, fifty nine percent
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Illinois, eighty one percent of the cash
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: on USC. I guess I'll agree with that one but
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: you know, not a strong opinion for me on that
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: one at all. Fox Sports won has a pretty interesting
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: one in the Mountain West with Boise State at Utah State.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: Boise State probably not quite as bad as the record looks.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: Utah State is pretty legit and their atop the Mountain West.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: So though at this point I think they're you know,
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: they're gonna make the tournament. Even if they don't win
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: the big the Mountain West, Boise is coming up a
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly loss er. I gave out a winner on
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: that one on UNLV plus the points it went into overtime,
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: but Boise lost as a double digit favorite man, and
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: I think they were looking ahead. Like I said, that
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: was my handicap. They had had a big road win
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: the game before, upset road win at New Mexico, who
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: is one of the top teams in the and they
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: had Utah State on deck. So even though it was
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: a revenge game for them against UNLV, I thought the
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot counteracted that. But part of that handicott was
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: they'll be looking ahead to this game against Utah State
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: man and they're coming off losing as a double digit
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: home favorite. So those are positives for Boise coming into
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: this game. And when Boise played at home against Utah State,
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: they lost ninety three to sixty eight, So that was
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: a horrible home loss for Boise. So I think this
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: is a pretty big revenge spot in. Utah State might
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: not take them seriously because Utah State already blew them
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: out at Boise. Utah State just had a weird out
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: of conference game where they beat Memphis. Not a huge deal,
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: but kind of a weird game, a televised game, maybe
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: a satisfying win there. They got Nevada and then San
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: Diego State and Grand Canyon all on deck. Grand Canyon
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: will be a revenge game off for Utah State and
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: San Diego State will be a huge game because those
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: two teams are atop the conference, and Nevada is actually
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: a above Boise in the standings as well. So all
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: three of those games they might consider to be bigger
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: than this one. So many things line up for Boise
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: in this one, and that's the way I will lean.
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: I'll lean towards taking the points with Boise here Utah
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: Utah State excusually is a ten point favorite here, So
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: Osweg was telling you they're actually considerably better than Boise
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: at this point. But we might have gotten too far, man,
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: we might have over adjusted these lines a little bit
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: too much, because I'm sure the Boise was a favorite
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: the first time these teams played, So I think there
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit of an over adjustment here
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: based on what these teams have done since then, and
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: you got to adjust a little bit. But actually, Utada
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: was a one and a half way favorite in that
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: one at Boise. But even so, ten seems a little
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: bit crazy, Like I think the line should probably be
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: about eight eight and a half uh, sixty percent of
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty four percent of the cash on Boise. I'm
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: losing my voice here completely, but I would agree with
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Boise. There two games left ESPN
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: two eleven PM degenerate hours, Gonzaga number eleven in the
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: country at San Francisco. Gonzaga is coming up a very
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: nice win at Santa Clara and they retook first place
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: in the West Coast Conference. Because you know, Santa Clara
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: is having a great season. Man, it'd be cool to
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: see them make the tournament. I think they actually kind
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: of deserve it. I think Santa Clara is actually a
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: legit team. This year. So big win for Gonzaga on
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: the road at Santa Clara Man and Santa Clara had.
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: You know, Santa Clara's still giving them a scare in
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: the conference as far as the standings are concerned, big
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: win to retake first place. Now they're playing San Francisco,
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: who's really not having a great season. Pacific on deck.
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: Pacific is actually ahead of San Francisco in the standings.
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: But the one thing that might keep Gonzaga still focused
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: here is that they almost lost at home to San Francisco.
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga were fifteen and a half point favorites in this
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: game and they only won by two. So when a team,
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: you know, like I said with Ohio last night, when
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: in the first meeting, a team had a big scare
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: like that like Gonzaga did. I think Gonzaga was the
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: way better team in the game too. They were winning
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: this game by double digits throughout the second half, and
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: again I think they just took their foot off the
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: gas too early and then almost lost the game because
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: of that. But when you didn't play that well down
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: the stretch, you took a scare like that. Plus Gonzaga
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: had Saint Mary's on deck, man, so you could see
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: what they were doing. They were looking ahead to a
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: big game against Saint Mary's, so I think you could
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: explain what happened in that game. And because of that,
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: I think they might actually take San Francisco more seriously.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: So that would be the worry I would have leaning
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: towards San Francisco here. San Francisco just broke a three
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: game losing streak with a win against San Diego. Is
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: not a very good team, so yeah, I do think
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: the spot is still better for San Francisco here, but
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: my worry is that Gonzaga might still focus there. I
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: think Godzaga probably gets out of there with the win.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: Well they cover is a different story though. Sixty four
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on good Zaga seventy five percent of
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: the cash on San Francisco. I'll agree with taking the
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: points with San Francisco here. They're down from fourteen and
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: a half to fourteen Gonzaga is and that is a
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: pretty high number. Considering that they close fifteen and a
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: half at home, they probably shouldn't quite be laying the
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: same number on the road. So I do think from
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: a value perspective, I think the line is a little
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: bit high as well, so I'll lean to San Francisco,
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: but I think Gonzaga probably focuses enough, takes them seriously
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: enough to at least win that game. But covering on
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: the road like that is a different story man, with
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: a number that I think is skewed too high. And
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: then Colorado State at UNLV is the last game the
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: other Degenerates. This is the real Degenerate special because this
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: is an ugly game between two of the lesser Mountain
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: West teams this year, not the least because we're not
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: talking about San Jose State and air Force here, but
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: these are two let's call the mediocre teams in the
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: Mountain West. Colorado State coming of a nice win over Wyoming.
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: They caught Wyoming a good scheduling spot to catch them,
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: though it was a bad spot for Wyoming. I mentioned
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: that I did like Colorado State in that one. Now
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: they're playing in UNLV, who they already beat at home
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: by eight. They got a huge game on deck against
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: San Diego State, so I don't love Colorado State here
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: in the spot having to go to Vegas, although at
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: least in the Mountain West you're used to playing in Vegas,
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: so I don't think you're gonna fall into the typical
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: Vegas distractions when you're a mount and West team, you
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: know you play in Vegas every year. You know the
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: tournament is there every year or whatever, the conference tournament.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: But UNLV is of course coming out of a monster
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: win themselves, that huge upset at Boise at double digit upset,
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: so they're they're not in a good spot either. So
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: both teams are in bad spots here. The money is
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: saying Colorado State here for what it's worth, UNLV is
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: up from a one point favorite to a two point favorite,
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of tickets, only fifty six percent of
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. And you know, I guess I'll
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: agree just because Colorado State's most recent win was a
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: win as a favorite, So nlv's coming off the much
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: bigger effort in a huge road up set. So I
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: guess I'll agree slightly with taking the points of Colorado State.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: But I really do worry about that. Look ahead to
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: San Diego State, and that's gonna do it man an
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: hour and a half. Not horrible here at least. I
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: don't know why Streamyard's doing all that Streamyard fucking up
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: the layout again. There probably because I played, probably because
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: I left and I did the the intermission there. But
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Man, Thanks for hanging out guys.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: I I placed it in one more time Butler plus
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: the Points, which oh you can click oh Streamyard lets
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: you click to like if you click on the ban
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: or and I don't know if people familiar with stream
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: right if you click on the ban and now it
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: changes the time or now that's interesting kind of annoying
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: because you have to click it in the right spot
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: to show it. But yes, we're on Butler plus six
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: and East Carolina plus seven and a half. Those are
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: my two plays. If I was gonna add another one,
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: it would probably be Marquette plus the Points. That's gonna
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: do it for me today. Man, Learn a toade on
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: Twitter so you can subscribe to me there if you
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: want to throw me some support. Learn a tone on
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: Instagram to get the short form content here like and
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here. Man, we're really doing poorly
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: here with these live viewers here the last couple of shows. Man,
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: I'm not happy about it. We're down to twelve live
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: viewers here. People can't sit through like an hour and
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: a half long show. But you know, you gotta get autistic,
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: you gotta get about gaming. I think I give out
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: probably more gambling information than any other show on the internet. Man,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: So you know, we got to get the viewership up,
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: like subscribe, tell everybody about it, you know, put good
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: replies whatever, like subscribe, et cetera. We're on audio as well.
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: That helps out as well. Listen on audio, give me
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: good reviews on audio, Apple Spotify, Like and subscribe to
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: my other channel, the Yuke channel covered in Yuke. I
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: got no voice to do anything right now over there,
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: but go do the that too, covered in Yuke. And
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: then there is uh Patreon feed, Patreon dot com, slash,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: learned to Toad or if you just want to support
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: what I do my gambling habit, No, but you know
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: I need money to live as well. So but it
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: also you know, helps me. You know, I have to
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: put money into making the content too, so there is
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: that too. But yes, patroon dot com, stash, learn to Toad.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: You get some bonus Yuke stuff there, and then loser
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: cast you can check that out. We had a fun
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: episode last night with I Forgot. We had a guest star.
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: We had Ellie Stockholm. I almost. I keep calling her Stockton.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: It's Stockholm. I made enough Stockholm syndrome jokes. It was
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: the longest episode of the show ever. We vibed with her, man,
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: it was a fun show. You can go check that
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: out Loser cast last night. She is an only fans
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: uh check among other things. But yeah, she's cool. She
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: definitely was down with our sense of humor and whatever.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I thought it was a really fun show.
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 1: Go check that out. That's gonna do it, man, I'll
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: be back tomorrow morning. NBA returns tomorrow, and it'll be
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 1: the The Thursday mid Major Madness is what we call
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: the Thursday college Basketball sleep because usually there I think
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: there are few or no big conference games, but the
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: I call it the junk college basketball because the lower
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: conferences are in place, so we have all that to
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: talk about. That's gonna do it for now. Thanks guys. Peace,