Latest / Toadstool Sports / BRACKET REVEAL REACTION | College Basketball | March Madness Bracket Reveal
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:05Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 0:08Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:11Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:14Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
- 0:17Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
- 0:20Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
- 0:24Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all all in
- 0:27Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season. Man with
- 0:32Speaker 1: wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
- 0:36Speaker 1: I've reached into peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
- 0:41Speaker 1: broins hat man. I don't know what is going on
- 0:43Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
- 0:50Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
- 0:52Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
- 0:55Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
- 0:59Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
- 1:02Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
- 1:06Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
- 1:10Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
- 1:13Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 1: To the slumpis the slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody
- 1:20Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
- 1:24Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
- 1:33Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. Uh. This
- 1:36Speaker 1: is gonna be just my initial thoughts and reactions to
- 1:40Speaker 1: the March Madness bracket that was revealed earlier tonight. I
- 1:46Speaker 1: know I'm doing it a little bit late because I
- 1:48Speaker 1: had to had to get my steps in, man, had
- 1:50Speaker 1: to have some dinner, you know, do all the things
- 1:53Speaker 1: that I normally do, had to digest at all. And
- 1:58Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you, man Like, we're we're seeing like
- 2:03Speaker 1: the loss of parody in men's basketball. Man Like it
- 2:06Speaker 1: used to be, oh like men's basketball. One of the
- 2:09Speaker 1: good things about it was the fact that the reason
- 2:11Speaker 1: why it's March madness is that you get a lot
- 2:13Speaker 1: of upsets. A lot of the smaller conference teams are
- 2:18Speaker 1: you know, somewhat closely matched. They could actually beat the
- 2:20Speaker 1: larger conference teams. I think that's going away, man, and
- 2:23Speaker 1: men's is becoming more like the women's which is really
- 2:27Speaker 1: not good. I mean, at least as far as the
- 2:28Speaker 1: lack of parody is concerned. Because because of the nil
- 2:32Speaker 1: on the transfers you just see, you know, it's like
- 2:35Speaker 1: I don't know if I want to call it trickle up,
- 2:38Speaker 1: but you know what I mean, Like players will just
- 2:40Speaker 1: move the better players will just move up to the
- 2:42Speaker 1: better schools. You know, the better schools can pay them more.
- 2:45Speaker 1: And like I'm looking at this bracket and I've never
- 2:49Speaker 1: seen so many heavy favorites. It's insane. Like you know,
- 2:53Speaker 1: people will tell you, oh, you got to pick the
- 2:55Speaker 1: twelve over five upsets, man, like we always have something.
- 2:58Speaker 1: I think we might have actually had two last year. No, No,
- 3:04Speaker 1: absolutely not, Like I think every single one of them
- 3:07Speaker 1: might be a double digit favorite this year. Like I'm
- 3:09Speaker 1: looking at in all those matchups that you think, oh,
- 3:11Speaker 1: I might want to pick an up sit here, picking
- 3:13Speaker 1: up say here, even the teams that I think have
- 3:15Speaker 1: upset potential. I don't think you can do it. It's
- 3:19Speaker 1: gonna be a boring bracket. And I'll have my bracket
- 3:22Speaker 1: show where I fill out the bracket probably Wednesday night.
- 3:25Speaker 1: I'm you know, I gotta get the numbers. I gotta
- 3:28Speaker 1: let the numbers kind of what's the word I'm looking for,
- 3:33Speaker 1: not mature, But you know what I mean, because you saw,
- 3:35Speaker 1: if you've seen me do my brackets for you know
- 3:37Speaker 1: what I do. I build them backwards. I look at
- 3:39Speaker 1: who's picking whom, and I want to go a little
- 3:42Speaker 1: bit against. I want to take the best, like you
- 3:45Speaker 1: want to find the best odds differential with what people
- 3:51Speaker 1: are picking. If that makes sense, you know what I mean.
- 3:54Speaker 1: So you want to make smart picks, but find those
- 3:57Speaker 1: like spots where you can go against what the public
- 3:59Speaker 1: is picking and get like leverage points against them pretty much,
- 4:03Speaker 1: if that makes sense. Yeah, the money being involved, maybe
- 4:09Speaker 1: I should, maybe I should oppose it. But I still
- 4:12Speaker 1: think the infinite transfers is actually the that's a bigger problem,
- 4:17Speaker 1: the amount of transfers. But dude, continuity is still a thing,
- 4:23Speaker 1: you know, continuity experience. And I will say that I
- 4:25Speaker 1: know Duke is like the number one team in the
- 4:27Speaker 1: country or whatever, but if Duke manages to win the championship,
- 4:30Speaker 1: they will be the least experienced and least continuous team
- 4:35Speaker 1: to ever win it. Meaning continuity meaning how many guys
- 4:38Speaker 1: do you have back from the previous year Duke has
- 4:40Speaker 1: virtually none, although that's the case with a lot of
- 4:43Speaker 1: teams with the transfer stuff. But Duke also has a
- 4:45Speaker 1: lot of young players boozer, you know, as a freshman whatever,
- 4:48Speaker 1: So Duke would actually have the least experience as well,
- 4:51Speaker 1: versus you know, like some of these other teams like
- 4:53Speaker 1: Michigan Arizona, Like, you know, these guys haven't played with
- 4:57Speaker 1: each other before this season, but they have more experience
- 5:01Speaker 1: because their guys have played multiple years in college before. Yeah,
- 5:07Speaker 1: I don't know. They need to fix something, man, People
- 5:09Speaker 1: better start complaining about it, even though I mean, you
- 5:13Speaker 1: know me, I think the best team should win, and
- 5:15Speaker 1: even with the way March madness was before, the best
- 5:19Speaker 1: like the best team still rise to the top and
- 5:21Speaker 1: still win the actual tournament, you know what I mean.
- 5:24Speaker 1: But if you have no madness at all, that kind
- 5:26Speaker 1: of ruins the whole point. It's why people like it, right,
- 5:29Speaker 1: It's why people don't watch the women's other than the
- 5:31Speaker 1: fact that they're also not as athletic and not as
- 5:34Speaker 1: good at basketball. The women's racket was revealed tonight too,
- 5:37Speaker 1: and ESPN's like talking about it right now. I'm looking
- 5:40Speaker 1: at them like Idahost twenty nine to five. What Idaho
- 5:44Speaker 1: one of the teams that made the tournament for men's
- 5:46Speaker 1: and women's but like, yeah, I mean ESPN is actually
- 5:50Speaker 1: I don't know, man, they're focusing too much on the women's. Dude,
- 5:55Speaker 1: do it the way you used to do it. Do
- 5:56Speaker 1: the women's bracket reveal on Monday, man, don't do it
- 5:59Speaker 1: the same night as men's. Come on. But I'll probably
- 6:02Speaker 1: do my women's bracket special tomorrow because I put way
- 6:05Speaker 1: less time into it. You know, maybe that's gonna wind
- 6:08Speaker 1: up being what we do with the men's too, but
- 6:09Speaker 1: at least with the men's, I think you will see
- 6:12Speaker 1: unexpected things happening late. Like, I don't think you're gonna
- 6:14Speaker 1: see very many first round upsets at all. Like my
- 6:17Speaker 1: bracket's gonna be very uninteresting because they're probably not gonna
- 6:19Speaker 1: pick any I keep going out of focus here, man,
- 6:22Speaker 1: I hate this shit. I don't know, dude, I don't
- 6:25Speaker 1: even know why, Like, why does my camera keep going
- 6:29Speaker 1: out of focus? I have no idea anyway. Yeah, Like
- 6:34Speaker 1: later on though, you're gonna probably see some upsets. But
- 6:36Speaker 1: even so, I think the one seeds are extremely strong
- 6:39Speaker 1: this year, and we're gonna talk about that right now.
- 6:42Speaker 1: I guess we'll get into the bracket here, but yes,
- 6:44Speaker 1: I will probably do the women's bracket special tomorrow. I'll
- 6:47Speaker 1: just fill it out pretty much, just pretty much just
- 6:49Speaker 1: based on the analytics to just go with the better teams,
- 6:52Speaker 1: which usually gives you a solid women's bracket. But everybody's
- 6:55Speaker 1: gonna pick Yukon and the women's and they're probably a
- 6:58Speaker 1: significant favorite to win the whole things, so I probably
- 7:00Speaker 1: will as well. All right, let's look at the bracket here, man,
- 7:03Speaker 1: which was revealed earlier. This is the men's tournament Challenge.
- 7:06Speaker 1: I'm not gonna fill it out yet, but this is
- 7:08Speaker 1: the Yeah, I mean we could just take a look
- 7:11Speaker 1: at this, I guess, yeah, why not? So we do have?
- 7:16Speaker 1: You know, Duke was revealed as the top, you know,
- 7:20Speaker 1: the number one seed overall. Obviously they're in the East region,
- 7:22Speaker 1: so the region will be in d C and they
- 7:25Speaker 1: get to play the earlier round games at South Carolina,
- 7:27Speaker 1: so it sets up pretty well for Duke in this region.
- 7:30Speaker 1: To be honest, they're stuck with I think the weakest
- 7:32Speaker 1: two seed, which is Yukon. But that's what the committee
- 7:35Speaker 1: intentionally tries to do, right They give the top one seed,
- 7:38Speaker 1: the weakest two seed, but then the strongest three seed,
- 7:41Speaker 1: which in this case is Michigan State. I don't know
- 7:43Speaker 1: how much up sold on Michigan State, man. I know
- 7:47Speaker 1: there are really good deepfense, their offense struggles, so you know,
- 7:52Speaker 1: I think Duke. It worked out pretty well for Duke,
- 7:54Speaker 1: to be honest. I mean, I know they're in the
- 7:55Speaker 1: region with Saint John's. They just won the Big East.
- 7:58Speaker 1: I don't love Saint john. I mean again, same profile
- 8:01Speaker 1: as last year where they go too fast in my
- 8:04Speaker 1: opinion and don't score well enough. So you know, I
- 8:08Speaker 1: don't love that. And then Kansas is in the region.
- 8:10Speaker 1: Kansas is very skits, so man like, I think Kansas
- 8:13Speaker 1: has a low floor and a high ceiling. I don't
- 8:16Speaker 1: know what to expect out of Kansas at all. And
- 8:19Speaker 1: I do think Duke got a difficult eight to nine
- 8:21Speaker 1: draw though, because I like Ohio State and TCU. I
- 8:24Speaker 1: think those are both good teams. I think Ohio State
- 8:26Speaker 1: is actually a really underseeded eight seed because they had
- 8:29Speaker 1: a lot of injuries during the season. They're really coming
- 8:31Speaker 1: together right now. They have you know, Thornton their guard there,
- 8:36Speaker 1: who's an extremely good player, you know, probably better. Honestly,
- 8:41Speaker 1: he's probably better than Duke's guards, So that's not that
- 8:44Speaker 1: easy of a draw. Although you know, I still think
- 8:46Speaker 1: Duke probably gets through that. I think Duke probably gets
- 8:49Speaker 1: through this region still, like I don't really yeah, I mean,
- 8:53Speaker 1: I don't know. We'll see how my bracket winds up
- 8:55Speaker 1: being when I game theory of the whole thing. But
- 8:57Speaker 1: I think Duke probably is going to get to the
- 8:59Speaker 1: final four, you know, in the middle of this thing
- 9:03Speaker 1: like Ohio State TCU. I like Ohio State, but I
- 9:05Speaker 1: think that's a difficult draw TCU. That's a tough matchup there.
- 9:10Speaker 1: I could see either team winning that one. I think
- 9:12Speaker 1: they're both somewhat underseated. I think will what's up? Yeah,
- 9:19Speaker 1: it does seem like Duke and Michigan Stand are in
- 9:21Speaker 1: the same region a lot. Last year they were not.
- 9:24Speaker 1: I don't believe Michigan State was in Auburn's region. Last
- 9:27Speaker 1: year they were in the same region. When was that?
- 9:33Speaker 1: I remember they were both in the top left. I
- 9:35Speaker 1: think in like twenty twenty two, maybe something like that.
- 9:38Speaker 1: That maybe the last time they were. Maybe I'm wrong
- 9:40Speaker 1: about that. My bracket autism failing me. Then Saint John's
- 9:45Speaker 1: Drew draws my favorite twelve seed Northern Iowa in San Diego.
- 9:50Speaker 1: So it's kind of a weird venue for both teams here,
- 9:52Speaker 1: Kansas and cal Baptist. Kansas has to play a California
- 9:56Speaker 1: team in California, But I don't know if that's gonna
- 9:58Speaker 1: be enough to get Baptists through. But Kansas, I mean,
- 10:02Speaker 1: they're they're really skits some man, like, I doubt they lose,
- 10:05Speaker 1: but maybe it could get interesting. Cal Baptists does play
- 10:09Speaker 1: good deepfense. That's, you know, at least something in Northern Iowa.
- 10:12Speaker 1: You know, I like Northern Iowa because they slow the
- 10:14Speaker 1: game down, they played deepfense. Everybody thinks, oh, Northern Iowa.
- 10:18Speaker 1: They were the sixth seed in the Missouri Valley, Like
- 10:21Speaker 1: who cares them on Northern Iowa? Right, But I told
- 10:24Speaker 1: you that Northern Iowa they had a lot of injuries,
- 10:26Speaker 1: Like in the middle of the season, they hit like
- 10:28Speaker 1: this lull where they didn't really have some some of
- 10:30Speaker 1: their guys and now they're at like full strength right now.
- 10:33Speaker 1: So I saw this matchup come out, and I'm like,
- 10:36Speaker 1: you know, I think that Northern Iowa might be a
- 10:38Speaker 1: bet that I give out plus the points. But I'm
- 10:41Speaker 1: probably not gonna recommend picking that upset outright in my
- 10:44Speaker 1: bracket because they are double digit underdog there. But I
- 10:48Speaker 1: don't know, because Saint John's just ran through the Big East,
- 10:50Speaker 1: you know, they might have a little bit of fatigue.
- 10:53Speaker 1: Northern Iowa hasn't played for a while. I don't think
- 10:55Speaker 1: you have to worry about rust as much with a
- 10:57Speaker 1: team like Northern Iowa that goes really slow. So that
- 10:59Speaker 1: could still get interesting. Man. But again, you know, I
- 11:03Speaker 1: don't think Duke is really gonna have that much of
- 11:05Speaker 1: an issue against whoever they face out of that grouping.
- 11:08Speaker 1: But I don't know. Louisville. We have no idea if
- 11:11Speaker 1: they're gonna have Mickel Brown junior back, who is clearly
- 11:15Speaker 1: their best player, and he didn't play in the a
- 11:16Speaker 1: SEC tournament. Although they still actually played okay in that tournament.
- 11:21Speaker 1: They almost beat Miami. I mean, that's not horrible. They
- 11:24Speaker 1: basically did what was expected out of them. They drew
- 11:27Speaker 1: South Florida, who is an interesting team. They just won
- 11:30Speaker 1: the American Conference. You know, South Florida they play fast,
- 11:36Speaker 1: but Louisville also wants to go fast. I'll have to
- 11:39Speaker 1: look into South Florida and see how well they defend
- 11:41Speaker 1: the three, because Louisville just jacks up threes. So if
- 11:45Speaker 1: they're up against a team that can actually defend the three,
- 11:48Speaker 1: that's gonna be tough for Louisville. But we'll have to
- 11:50Speaker 1: see if I don't know if it's South Florida. Actually,
- 11:52Speaker 1: let me look right now. I can look right now
- 11:54Speaker 1: in Ken Palm and see what South Florida looks like
- 11:57Speaker 1: as far as defending the three. He's got South Florida
- 12:02Speaker 1: and you know, forty seventh in the country overall, that's
- 12:04Speaker 1: not horrible three point defense. Uh, they're not great. Let
- 12:16Speaker 1: me see, they're like middle of the pack at defending
- 12:18Speaker 1: the three pretty much, thirty three point nine percent. Not horrible,
- 12:22Speaker 1: not good either. Uh, so you know they're not like
- 12:24Speaker 1: a really strong, uh team at defending the three. South
- 12:27Speaker 1: Florida really like they try to get in transition a lot.
- 12:30Speaker 1: They try to turn you over a lot, play fast,
- 12:33Speaker 1: get into transition. I don't know if that'll work against Louisville.
- 12:35Speaker 1: But this is another matchup where the six is actually
- 12:38Speaker 1: like you think of these six eleven matchups, Oh, these
- 12:41Speaker 1: are like really close matchups usually right like the elevens
- 12:44Speaker 1: have actually won more than half of these games over
- 12:47Speaker 1: the last decade, I think, But I don't know if
- 12:50Speaker 1: I you know, I like South Florida, but I don't
- 12:53Speaker 1: think this is the this is the greatest draw for them.
- 12:55Speaker 1: Louisville is actually a pretty big favorite here. It's gone
- 12:58Speaker 1: down a little bit. It's five and a half, so
- 13:00Speaker 1: it's not that crazy. I don't know, we'll see it.
- 13:03Speaker 1: Like money came in on South Florida right away, it
- 13:05Speaker 1: was seven and a half. That's the other thing. Like
- 13:08Speaker 1: I haven't even really consumed all of this. It looked
- 13:11Speaker 1: at the betting yet and the numbers are already like
- 13:13Speaker 1: completely gone, which is ridiculous. And then you know Michigan
- 13:17Speaker 1: State got in North Dakota State. I mean whatever. These
- 13:19Speaker 1: games are being played in Buffalo, New York, this grouping here,
- 13:23Speaker 1: and then UCLA got a really good draw in my opinion.
- 13:29Speaker 1: We're gonna have to see if UCLA has their guys back.
- 13:31Speaker 1: I think billod Oh didn't play in the Big Ten tournament,
- 13:35Speaker 1: so we'll see. But if UCLA is at full strength,
- 13:37Speaker 1: they are an underseeded seven seed, man, I'll tell you
- 13:40Speaker 1: that right now. Like they just have not been at
- 13:42Speaker 1: full strength most of the season. UCF is they're really
- 13:45Speaker 1: not that good, man. Ucla will be a big favorite
- 13:48Speaker 1: in this game, one of the biggest seven to ten
- 13:51Speaker 1: spreads that you'll probably see. Ucla is like close to
- 13:54Speaker 1: a seven point favorite in this one. I think they
- 13:58Speaker 1: get through UCF way I really don't think is any good.
- 14:00Speaker 1: And then Yukon, I think it is actually vulnerable against Ucla.
- 14:05Speaker 1: So I don't know, man. I mean, we'll see how
- 14:07Speaker 1: the bracket works out, and I might actually have Ucla
- 14:10Speaker 1: bouncing Yukon in my bracket. Yukon playing firm, and I mean,
- 14:13Speaker 1: I doubt they lose that game, but you know, Ucla
- 14:17Speaker 1: really really underseated, I think. So we'll see that it's
- 14:20Speaker 1: gonna get interesting in this region. I do think Duke
- 14:22Speaker 1: comes out of it, though, I just don't see this
- 14:24Speaker 1: region being that strong. Then we'll go to the the
- 14:29Speaker 1: we'll go in order of how it was revealed. Arizona
- 14:31Speaker 1: moved up to the overall number two with winning the
- 14:35Speaker 1: Big Twelve, and then with Michigan losing today, they flipped spots.
- 14:39Speaker 1: But Arizona of course did decide to play in the West,
- 14:44Speaker 1: so they get San Jose and they start out playing
- 14:46Speaker 1: in San Diego, so Arizona is gonna be in California
- 14:50Speaker 1: the entire way that they're still live, you know, you know,
- 14:55Speaker 1: they get to play Long Island whatever. I should shout
- 14:57Speaker 1: out all the teams at least, I guess Duke is
- 14:59Speaker 1: playing Siana over here in this region over here, Yeah, Arizona.
- 15:04Speaker 1: Then we'll have to play the winner of Villanova and
- 15:06Speaker 1: Utah State. I am not a fan of Villanova. Man,
- 15:09Speaker 1: They're actually an underdog to Utah State here. I believe Villanova.
- 15:13Speaker 1: I don't know what the hype is like. Some people
- 15:15Speaker 1: think Villanova is good. They're not. You know, Utah State.
- 15:19Speaker 1: I don't love the Mountain West this year. I mean,
- 15:21Speaker 1: the Mountain West was decently competitive. I guess Utah State
- 15:25Speaker 1: the only team that got in for the Mountain West.
- 15:27Speaker 1: And I know the Mountain West has that thing on
- 15:29Speaker 1: the Mountain West always loses in the tournament whatever, not always,
- 15:33Speaker 1: but whoever wins that, I highly doubt they beat Arizona.
- 15:36Speaker 1: So Arizona I think has almost a free pass to
- 15:39Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen. I mean, I don't want to really
- 15:41Speaker 1: say that, but I would be shocked if they lost
- 15:45Speaker 1: prior to the Sweet sixteen, at which point they're gonna
- 15:49Speaker 1: have to face the winner of this grouping. Here, we
- 15:51Speaker 1: have Wisconsin playing high Point, Arkansas playing Hawaii. All these
- 15:55Speaker 1: games are in Portland, Oregon. Wisconsin played well in the
- 16:02Speaker 1: Big Twilve at Big ten excuse a tournament high Point.
- 16:06Speaker 1: I just I don't know, man, I'm not sold on
- 16:08Speaker 1: high Point. Like this seems like it's a trendy upset pick,
- 16:11Speaker 1: just like high Point was last year and Purdue was
- 16:14Speaker 1: able to handle them. I Wisconsin is different than Purdue
- 16:16Speaker 1: because Wisconsin does go fast, but we also have to
- 16:19Speaker 1: see if winter is back for Wisconsin. They're big, man.
- 16:23Speaker 1: High Point basically doesn't have any size, They don't have
- 16:26Speaker 1: any height, even though they're called high Point. High Point
- 16:28Speaker 1: basically just has a lot of shooters, you know what
- 16:32Speaker 1: I mean. Like they just they go all offense. They
- 16:34Speaker 1: don't play defense. Wisconsin should beat them. I mean they're
- 16:38Speaker 1: almost a double digit favorite in this one. Both teams
- 16:41Speaker 1: have to leave their comfort zone here to go to Portland.
- 16:44Speaker 1: I Wisconsin did actually play in Oregon this year, and
- 16:46Speaker 1: I know they lost that game, but they're probably more
- 16:49Speaker 1: used to this type of travel than high Point. I
- 16:52Speaker 1: don't know. I'm not really buying high point. I have
- 16:55Speaker 1: to go see what their continuity numbers are because I
- 16:57Speaker 1: know they were in the tournament last year. I don't
- 16:59Speaker 1: know how many guys they have back from that team.
- 17:01Speaker 1: They don't have their coach back anymore, although the coach
- 17:03Speaker 1: they have now was like his understudy that took over,
- 17:08Speaker 1: so I don't know. Man. And then Arkansas gets Hawaii.
- 17:13Speaker 1: I mean, Hawaii probably has the better defense than Arkansas does. Arkansas,
- 17:17Speaker 1: you know what they do. They go super fast, they
- 17:19Speaker 1: don't really play defense. I mean, they're well coached with
- 17:22Speaker 1: cal parry there. Arkansas did just play up through today
- 17:26Speaker 1: to win the SEC, and Hawaii played last night, so
- 17:29Speaker 1: Hawaii will have an extra day of rest and Hawaii
- 17:32Speaker 1: gets to stay in the Pacific time zone for this,
- 17:34Speaker 1: whereas Arkansas is gonna have to travel after unnecessarily winning
- 17:38Speaker 1: the SEC just to move up to the four. I mean,
- 17:42Speaker 1: I'm considering Hawaii being one of my plays as far
- 17:45Speaker 1: as covering the spread. Same thing with Northern Iowa. Would
- 17:49Speaker 1: I actually picked this upset in my bracket? Probably not.
- 17:52Speaker 1: And it's actually a tough grouping to figure out between
- 17:55Speaker 1: Wisconsin Arkansas. One of those teams probably does get through
- 17:58Speaker 1: to the sweet sixteen. It's tough to really figure out
- 18:01Speaker 1: which one it's gonna be. Man, I mean, I think
- 18:04Speaker 1: I kind of like Wisconsin, but we'll, I don't know,
- 18:07Speaker 1: We'll have to figure it out. We'll see what the
- 18:09Speaker 1: it's a lot of it's gonna depend on who's picking whom. There. Yes,
- 18:15Speaker 1: the white starter for BYU is Richie Saunders. They have
- 18:18Speaker 1: been significantly worse without him, even though the dude all
- 18:22Speaker 1: the hype is Debonsa, which we're talking about BYU now,
- 18:25Speaker 1: so good segue there BYU. First of all, they don't
- 18:29Speaker 1: even know who they're gonna play yet. They're gonna play
- 18:31Speaker 1: the winner of Texas and NC State, and both of
- 18:34Speaker 1: those teams could beat BYU. Man, I don't know exactly
- 18:36Speaker 1: what this number is gonna be here, but I mean
- 18:38Speaker 1: we can look at Ken Balm and see what his
- 18:40Speaker 1: rankings are here. He's got BYU twenty third, but that's
- 18:44Speaker 1: across the entire season. Texas is thirty seventh. The problem
- 18:49Speaker 1: with BYU in Texas, though, is that Texas is like
- 18:54Speaker 1: similar to BYU and that they're both all offense and
- 18:57Speaker 1: no defense. But Texas is even more lopsided. Than that,
- 19:01Speaker 1: but Texas will try to slow them down. Uh. BYU
- 19:05Speaker 1: wants to go fast, and then if it's uh who
- 19:08Speaker 1: is the other team that it could be Texas and uh,
- 19:11Speaker 1: I already forget NC State, very strange team. N C
- 19:15Speaker 1: State also pretty lopsided towards offense, and they do go faster.
- 19:19Speaker 1: So I actually think Texas might have the better shot
- 19:22Speaker 1: at taking out BYU just because they might slow BYU
- 19:25Speaker 1: down and throw them off. Uh. These games are gonna
- 19:27Speaker 1: be in Portland, Oregon as well, I guess kind of
- 19:32Speaker 1: a weird spot. Like really, I think Gonzaga is gonna
- 19:35Speaker 1: come out of this region. Man, Like, I think Gonzaga
- 19:37Speaker 1: got a great draw. They get Kennesaw State, who was
- 19:40Speaker 1: a middling team in the Conference USA, Gonzaga is gonna
- 19:44Speaker 1: be at least a twenty point favorite there. Now Gonzaga,
- 19:47Speaker 1: as they go along, they're gonna be missing Bradon Huff.
- 19:50Speaker 1: I don't think he's coming back, and he is one
- 19:52Speaker 1: of the best players, so eventually they're gonna miss him.
- 19:54Speaker 1: But playing in Portland, Oregon, which is right near Gonzaga's
- 19:58Speaker 1: you know area there, I think good Zaga probably does
- 20:01Speaker 1: make the sweets, make the sweet sixteen. I'm not impressed
- 20:04Speaker 1: by this grouping here, though, I guess I wouldn't be
- 20:06Speaker 1: shocked if one of these. I don't think b Yu
- 20:10Speaker 1: is gonna be it, man, I really don't. Yeah, they've
- 20:13Speaker 1: been way way worse without Saunders, like you said, even
- 20:16Speaker 1: though everybody loves Debond's uh, you know, he's gonna be
- 20:20Speaker 1: one of the top NBA draft picks probably whatever. Yeah,
- 20:23Speaker 1: he's really good. But BYU just they just they just
- 20:26Speaker 1: don't have enough. They don't play good enough defense. You know.
- 20:30Speaker 1: I think good Zaga got a pretty good draw for
- 20:32Speaker 1: themselves here. And then the seven to ten matchup in
- 20:36Speaker 1: this region is Miami and Missouri. These games are in
- 20:39Speaker 1: Saint Louis, I believe, so Missouri gets to play in
- 20:42Speaker 1: Saint Louis, Missouri. I see like everybody picking Missouri though,
- 20:46Speaker 1: like nobody likes Miami here. I don't know, man, it's
- 20:51Speaker 1: a it's a close call. Miami is actually favored, but
- 20:55Speaker 1: it's gonna be in Saint Louis, so Missouri will have
- 20:57Speaker 1: a big crowd there. That's a that's a tough game
- 20:59Speaker 1: to predict. And then Purdue. You know, I don't think
- 21:03Speaker 1: it's a bad draw really, for Purdue to get to
- 21:05Speaker 1: play in Saint Louis, they get Queens right out of
- 21:08Speaker 1: the game. I know, Purdue just upset Michigan though, so Purdue,
- 21:13Speaker 1: this might be a situation where you want you want
- 21:16Speaker 1: to look to Queens early in this game, maybe like
- 21:18Speaker 1: Queen's first half, because Purdue coming off the Michigan game
- 21:21Speaker 1: and having to play today could be in a letdown spot.
- 21:24Speaker 1: But I really highly doubt they lose. But you know,
- 21:27Speaker 1: maybe taking Queens plus the points in some capacity does
- 21:30Speaker 1: make sense. Queens is just no defense at all, though
- 21:34Speaker 1: they're all offense. But Purdue is kind of the same.
- 21:37Speaker 1: It's just Purdue plays slow, but they're also not great defense.
- 21:41Speaker 1: They're way better than Queens obviously. You know, I still
- 21:44Speaker 1: kind of like Purdue. I don't know, I don't know
- 21:46Speaker 1: if people are gonna be picking them that far, but
- 21:48Speaker 1: with the draw that they got, they they definitely could
- 21:50Speaker 1: make the Elite eight. You know, I still probably see
- 21:55Speaker 1: Arizona getting through this region, though, we'll have to see
- 21:59Speaker 1: what I mean, pretty much like the public will also
- 22:02Speaker 1: pick Arizona, but we got to see what the odds
- 22:05Speaker 1: are versus how like often they are getting picked. Zach
- 22:10Speaker 1: what's up. Well, yeah, I mean I think you're probably
- 22:13Speaker 1: a little biased on that, but yeah, I mean I'm
- 22:17Speaker 1: not sold on Miami at all. Like Miami, I don't know,
- 22:20Speaker 1: first year coach. I mean, but they've done this year
- 22:21Speaker 1: is good, But I don't know. I mean, I think
- 22:24Speaker 1: whoever wins that game probably loses to Purdue, but I
- 22:27Speaker 1: don't know. And then the third region revealed was the
- 22:32Speaker 1: region with Michigan in it in the Midwest. And yeah,
- 22:35Speaker 1: by the way, like I said, keep in mind that
- 22:37Speaker 1: the regionals here in San Jose in the region I
- 22:40Speaker 1: just talked about with Arizona, it'll be in California. And
- 22:44Speaker 1: then the final four is in Indianapolis this year, So
- 22:47Speaker 1: if Produce somehow manages to get there, they'll be playing
- 22:50Speaker 1: in their home state. But you know, I'm guessing they
- 22:54Speaker 1: don't make it that far. But Michigan, you know, just
- 22:58Speaker 1: lost in the Big Ten title game, dropped them to
- 23:00Speaker 1: the three, the number three of the number one seeds.
- 23:04Speaker 1: They're gonna play the winner of U NBC and Howard
- 23:07Speaker 1: people are probably gonna pick you MBC just for nostalgia,
- 23:11Speaker 1: but yeah, I don't think that's happening. Michigan, very very good.
- 23:16Speaker 1: We'll see Michigan is gonna be without LJ. Case On though,
- 23:19Speaker 1: so that hurts their depth a little bit, like he
- 23:22Speaker 1: was like their sixth man. So I mean they've been
- 23:24Speaker 1: played pretty well still without him, but we'll see how
- 23:28Speaker 1: that might affect Michigan. You know, they're gonna draw Georgia
- 23:32Speaker 1: versus Saint Louis or Saint Louis hasn't looked good recently.
- 23:36Speaker 1: I mean they might be able to reset and turn
- 23:38Speaker 1: it on again in the tournament because they looked really
- 23:40Speaker 1: good early in the season. Their offense was really good.
- 23:43Speaker 1: They were getting a lot of good shots. But you know,
- 23:46Speaker 1: in the A ten, I mean they haven't been battle
- 23:48Speaker 1: tested for a while. They drawed. I mean they gotta
- 23:50Speaker 1: face Georgia in the first game. Georgia more battle tested
- 23:54Speaker 1: than Saint Louis. To Georgia one of those fast paced
- 23:57Speaker 1: teams that doesn't really play depfense, I don't know. That
- 24:00Speaker 1: game's kind of difficult to predict. I mean, I don't
- 24:02Speaker 1: really see Michigan getting bounced, you know that early. Those games,
- 24:10Speaker 1: by the way, are in Buffalo, New York, which is
- 24:12Speaker 1: kind of strange, so that doesn't really help any of
- 24:15Speaker 1: those teams. I don't think Texas Tech and Akron. When
- 24:18Speaker 1: I first saw them, I'm like, oh, man, because Texas
- 24:21Speaker 1: Tech is without J. T. Topping, we know they're very
- 24:23Speaker 1: shorthanded without him. They started not looking very good at
- 24:26Speaker 1: the end of the season. Not a great showing in
- 24:30Speaker 1: the Big Twelve tournament, but I believe they lost to
- 24:32Speaker 1: Iowa State, who I think is quite good. They draw Akron,
- 24:37Speaker 1: who won the MAC. Akron is a solid team, and
- 24:39Speaker 1: they've been in the tournament four of the last five years.
- 24:42Speaker 1: Although I have to look to see how many of
- 24:44Speaker 1: the guys are back from Akron, I don't know how
- 24:46Speaker 1: many of them are. Texas Tech is still a seven
- 24:50Speaker 1: and a half way favored here, which I think is
- 24:52Speaker 1: actually the smallest spread in any of the five twelve matchups.
- 24:55Speaker 1: That tells you how ridiculous it is. Man Like, people
- 24:57Speaker 1: are gonna be picking these five twelve ups and I'm like, yeah,
- 25:01Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be doing that this year. Man Like,
- 25:03Speaker 1: every one of the fives is a big favorite. But
- 25:07Speaker 1: the winner of that, I mean, I guess I wouldn't
- 25:10Speaker 1: be shocked to Akron won that game. I mean, we
- 25:12Speaker 1: just don't really know what we're gonna get out of
- 25:14Speaker 1: Texas Tech here. These games being played in Tampa, Florida,
- 25:18Speaker 1: and then Alabama and Hofstra also playing there. I mean
- 25:21Speaker 1: decent I guess location for Alabama, they're playing in Florida.
- 25:25Speaker 1: Hofstra is an interesting team. You know, they are fairly balanced.
- 25:30Speaker 1: They got a little bit of size there now. Hofstra
- 25:36Speaker 1: they play really really slow and they're very balanced, So
- 25:39Speaker 1: that could be an interesting matchup for Alabama. I mean,
- 25:42Speaker 1: do I really think Alabama's gonna lose? Probably not, But
- 25:46Speaker 1: Alabama tries to go really fast, and if they up
- 25:48Speaker 1: against a team that is decent defensively, where Alabama is
- 25:51Speaker 1: certainly not, and the team that the rob against could
- 25:54Speaker 1: slow them down, it could get a little bit maybe
- 25:58Speaker 1: dicey for Alabama. Let's say, Yeah, I don't know, man,
- 26:02Speaker 1: So that's a little bit interesting at least, she squealed,
- 26:05Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Yes, I agree the
- 26:11Speaker 1: first two days of March Madams are the best. But
- 26:14Speaker 1: I think that's gonna start becoming less the case, you know,
- 26:17Speaker 1: with seeing how big all these favorites are here. Man,
- 26:22Speaker 1: I mean, I still think Alabama probably gets through to
- 26:24Speaker 1: the sweet sixteen here. It would be my guest, but
- 26:27Speaker 1: they got like a decent draw there. I mean, I
- 26:29Speaker 1: guess you know, Texas Tech could still play while and
- 26:32Speaker 1: turning on. I mean, I just don't know how to
- 26:33Speaker 1: gauge Texas Tech right now. Texas Tech has beaten some
- 26:37Speaker 1: of the best teams in the country this year, but
- 26:38Speaker 1: I think all those wins came the top and in
- 26:41Speaker 1: their lineup, so I don't know, man. And then the
- 26:46Speaker 1: six to eleven is Tennessee versus Miami Ohio and SMU. So,
- 26:50Speaker 1: by the way, I got all sixty eight right, sixty
- 26:53Speaker 1: eight out of sixty eight. I think basically every bracketologist
- 26:56Speaker 1: called it and got all sixty eight right. The only
- 26:59Speaker 1: thing I got wrong really between the uh, you know,
- 27:03Speaker 1: who's going to the first four and who's actually in
- 27:05Speaker 1: the round of sixty four was I had NC State
- 27:07Speaker 1: in the round of sixty four they wound up in
- 27:09Speaker 1: the first four, and I had Missouri in the first
- 27:11Speaker 1: four and they wound up getting a bye into the
- 27:14Speaker 1: round of sixty four. So those are the only differences.
- 27:16Speaker 1: Miami Ohio did make it to shut the people up
- 27:19Speaker 1: by guests, and you know, they drew an opponent that's
- 27:23Speaker 1: not that great to me. Honest in SMU and they
- 27:26Speaker 1: get to play them in Dayton, So we'll see who
- 27:27Speaker 1: wins the Miami Ohio game versus Essim. You Miami Ohio.
- 27:31Speaker 1: The one thing they do of going for them is
- 27:34Speaker 1: that they do have continuity. That's the one thing. They're
- 27:39Speaker 1: one of the teams in the country that has all
- 27:41Speaker 1: their returning starters pretty much from last year. But whoever
- 27:44Speaker 1: wins that game, I don't think they're gonna beat Tennessee,
- 27:46Speaker 1: even though I will say the winner of the playing
- 27:51Speaker 1: usually one of these eleven seed playans usually does get
- 27:54Speaker 1: a win in the first round. It didn't happen last year,
- 27:56Speaker 1: and I thought North Carolina was gonna be the team
- 27:58Speaker 1: to do it. Last year. It didn't happen, but usually
- 28:02Speaker 1: it does, and I could see the potential for it again,
- 28:04Speaker 1: especially in this BYU matchup, I think is where I
- 28:08Speaker 1: might look for that to happen. I got it right
- 28:10Speaker 1: two years ago. I had a correct with I had Colorado,
- 28:14Speaker 1: I believe, after they won their playing game, I gave
- 28:16Speaker 1: them out as a play on this show against Florida,
- 28:19Speaker 1: who was without hang gloating. It was a playing into
- 28:23Speaker 1: a ten seed, which was weird, and Colorado did get
- 28:26Speaker 1: it done for us in an insane overtime game. But yeah,
- 28:31Speaker 1: I mean I could see the potential there. I don't
- 28:33Speaker 1: see it as much with this other game here. You know,
- 28:35Speaker 1: I like Tennessee. I think they're a very underseeded team.
- 28:37Speaker 1: They're very good defensively, which would be good against either Miami,
- 28:42Speaker 1: Ohio or SMU. Those teams are not good defensively. I
- 28:45Speaker 1: like Tennessee. I could see them getting to the sweet sixteen.
- 28:50Speaker 1: You know, they're gonna be up against the winner of
- 28:51Speaker 1: Virginia and Wright State. These are all in Philadelphia, by
- 28:56Speaker 1: the way, so you know, I guess you know that's
- 28:58Speaker 1: not a horrible location really for either of these teams.
- 29:00Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, Right State is actually in Pennsylvan. No,
- 29:03Speaker 1: they're in Ohio. I keep thinking they're in Pittsburgh when
- 29:06Speaker 1: they're in Ohio. You know. I mean, I'm not totally
- 29:10Speaker 1: sold in Virginia. I don't think they're gonna lose to
- 29:12Speaker 1: Right State. But you know, I think Tennessee is probably
- 29:16Speaker 1: better than they are. Let me see, uh ken Bom
- 29:19Speaker 1: has Tennessee three ranking spots lower than Virginia. I don't know, man,
- 29:23Speaker 1: I'm not totally sold. In Virginia. I like Tennessee. Uh,
- 29:27Speaker 1: they're very similar to Virginia though, and that they play slow.
- 29:30Speaker 1: They both play defense. That's it's gonna be interesting, Charles. Yeah,
- 29:36Speaker 1: the books probably won't even let you. They won't even
- 29:38Speaker 1: let you do a sixty eight leg part. Well, maybe
- 29:40Speaker 1: they will because it's so Yeah, they probably won't. I mean,
- 29:43Speaker 1: why would they really, Well, I guess maybe they would
- 29:47Speaker 1: because they just take your money because you're not gonna
- 29:49Speaker 1: win it. Yeah, I mean it's probably the dumbest idea
- 29:53Speaker 1: that I've ever heard. A j what's up man, Yes,
- 29:57Speaker 1: you're in Arizona. Van. We'll see what I do with
- 29:59Speaker 1: them when I fall out my bracket. I mean, it's
- 30:01Speaker 1: looking like maybe at least Final four from them, but
- 30:05Speaker 1: we'll see what I wind up doing. But yeah, I
- 30:08Speaker 1: mean I something tells me Tennessee to the Sweet sixteen here,
- 30:11Speaker 1: but I don't. We got to see who's picking whom here,
- 30:14Speaker 1: Kentucky and Santa Clara. I feel like Santa Clara is
- 30:17Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit trendy, but Kentucky is definitely
- 30:20Speaker 1: the favor here. I think Kentucky is the better team.
- 30:22Speaker 1: They're more battles, has said Santa Clara not used to
- 30:25Speaker 1: being in the tournament. I think Kentucky they got the experience,
- 30:28Speaker 1: so you know, I'd probably be going with Kentucky to
- 30:31Speaker 1: at least win that game. Iowa State very very good
- 30:35Speaker 1: and they're up against Tennessee State. Don't see Iowa State
- 30:38Speaker 1: losing that game. Obviously. Those games are all in Saint Louis, Missouri,
- 30:43Speaker 1: which is you know, decent for Iowa State. Iowa State
- 30:46Speaker 1: probably gets through that. I think Iowa State is probably
- 30:49Speaker 1: gonna get to the Elite eight with the setup. But
- 30:51Speaker 1: you know, yeah, this it's an interesting region. Man. You know, Michigan,
- 30:57Speaker 1: they're gonna potentially have to contend with Iowa date, you know,
- 31:02Speaker 1: or you know, I guess Alabama, but you know, I,
- 31:05Speaker 1: I don't know. I still kind of think Michigan's. Michigan
- 31:08Speaker 1: will get through this region, but Iowa State would be
- 31:10Speaker 1: the biggest threat. We'll see what happens with that. She's squilled.
- 31:17Speaker 1: You like Duke, I am not a fan. Duke is
- 31:20Speaker 1: also gonna be the most popular champion pick. I'm assuming,
- 31:23Speaker 1: so we're not gonna be picking Duke for my champion
- 31:26Speaker 1: on this show unless their odds to win are so
- 31:30Speaker 1: good that they rise above the you know whatever percentage
- 31:33Speaker 1: is picking them, but I doubt that that happens. I
- 31:36Speaker 1: don't even think Duke has the best odds to win,
- 31:38Speaker 1: even though they're in a pretty good region. Fan duelis
- 31:42Speaker 1: you do twenty or twenty five? Key? What's up? Man?
- 31:48Speaker 1: You think Santa Clara gets the upset there? I don't
- 31:51Speaker 1: see it happening, you know, I gotta see, like what
- 31:54Speaker 1: the I know Kentucky is like a four and a
- 31:56Speaker 1: half boy favorite, which isn't huge, but I gotta go see,
- 31:58Speaker 1: like what the Usually when you see a favorite round
- 32:01Speaker 1: four and a half or five in one of these
- 32:03Speaker 1: eight v nine, you know, seven versus ten, usually they
- 32:06Speaker 1: tend to win because people tend to think, oh, this
- 32:09Speaker 1: is a really close matchup, and then the public loves
- 32:11Speaker 1: the underdog, and I like to go against those like
- 32:13Speaker 1: trendy underdogs. I mean, I do think Kentucky is indeed
- 32:17Speaker 1: the better team there, but you know, they're a little
- 32:20Speaker 1: bit skits, so we'll see. You think Duke goes down.
- 32:25Speaker 1: I something tells me Duke's not gonna be the champion,
- 32:29Speaker 1: but we got to figure out, Like when I actually
- 32:31Speaker 1: go to fill out my bracket, which i'll do on
- 32:32Speaker 1: like Wednesday, I'll do the show where I actually fill
- 32:35Speaker 1: it out with all the game theory and stuff. I'm
- 32:37Speaker 1: guessing I'm not gonna have Duke being my champion, but
- 32:40Speaker 1: I don't know yet. I think it is going to
- 32:42Speaker 1: be Michigan, but we'll see the Duke Lacrosse. Yeah to
- 32:46Speaker 1: Duke Lacrosse. Yeah, yeah, we're definitely a fan of those guys.
- 32:49Speaker 1: They didn't do anything wrong, man, they got falsely accused,
- 32:52Speaker 1: all right. So yeah, that's this whole region there. I mean,
- 32:58Speaker 1: I would imagine it's probably either gonna be Issugan or
- 33:00Speaker 1: Iowa State coming out of that, but yeah, we'll see.
- 33:04Speaker 1: And then Florida, actually I think drew the toughest region,
- 33:07Speaker 1: which should kind of be the case when you're the
- 33:10Speaker 1: last of the one seeds. They're in the South region.
- 33:14Speaker 1: Which gets really interesting though, because first of all, they
- 33:16Speaker 1: drew the top two seeds, which I think Houston probably
- 33:19Speaker 1: is the best two seed, maybe Iowa State, but they're
- 33:22Speaker 1: both very legit teams. And then Illinois I think is
- 33:25Speaker 1: very very good as well as a three seed. So
- 33:27Speaker 1: this is a very very difficult region I think for Florida.
- 33:31Speaker 1: So out of all the one seeds. I actually think
- 33:34Speaker 1: Florida has the most difficult path to get through their region,
- 33:37Speaker 1: even right away, they're gonna face the winner, so well,
- 33:41Speaker 1: first of all, first of all, they gotta face Prairie
- 33:42Speaker 1: View A and m or Lee High, I mean whatever.
- 33:45Speaker 1: Obviously the win that they're playing in Tampa, by the way,
- 33:49Speaker 1: so they'll have a little bit of home advantage sort of.
- 33:51Speaker 1: But the winner of Clemson and Iowa could give Florida
- 33:55Speaker 1: problems because Florida wants to go fast. Clemson and Iowa
- 33:58Speaker 1: both go really low and could make that game close.
- 34:01Speaker 1: It could be similar to Florida against Yukon last year,
- 34:04Speaker 1: where you remember Yukon slowed the game way down and
- 34:07Speaker 1: almost knocked out Florida. I know Florida different players this
- 34:11Speaker 1: year and whatever. I'm not totally I mean, Florida they
- 34:14Speaker 1: have better. I think they have a better front court
- 34:16Speaker 1: this year, but I don't really love their guard play.
- 34:19Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know Xavian League he's alright, I guess,
- 34:21Speaker 1: and Boogie Flann, I mean we know he was with
- 34:24Speaker 1: Arkansas last year. I'm not sold on all that. Though.
- 34:28Speaker 1: Clemson and i was going to be a really crazy game.
- 34:31Speaker 1: Like maybe crazy in an ugly way, because I think
- 34:34Speaker 1: it's gonna be This has the potential to would be
- 34:37Speaker 1: like one of the ugliest games of the tournament, and
- 34:39Speaker 1: how low scoring it might be with how slow these
- 34:42Speaker 1: two teams play. You know, I don't know what's the
- 34:44Speaker 1: total in this game, one thirty one and a half.
- 34:46Speaker 1: It's low. I kind of expected it to be lower.
- 34:52Speaker 1: That's a game where I might look towards the under.
- 34:54Speaker 1: I mean, especially these two teams haven't played for a while,
- 34:56Speaker 1: so they might come in a little bit slow as well.
- 34:59Speaker 1: On under seems like it makes a lot of sense
- 35:01Speaker 1: in that game, to be honest, But whoever wins that
- 35:03Speaker 1: game might be able to kind of slow Florida down
- 35:06Speaker 1: a little bit there. Cronan and Hurley. Dan Hurley in
- 35:11Speaker 1: this case, yeah, I don't like dude. I don't like
- 35:14Speaker 1: either of them. Cronan over at UCLA. That's where he is, right,
- 35:18Speaker 1: Mick Cronan, Yeah, Mick Cronan, I don't know he's He's
- 35:21Speaker 1: an ass. Dan Hurley is a total ass. I don't
- 35:23Speaker 1: like those guys. Bobby Hurley. We'll see where he winds
- 35:27Speaker 1: up because he's gone from my Arizona State now I
- 35:30Speaker 1: think he will probably wind up somewhere coaching again, though,
- 35:35Speaker 1: yeah the leperchn I like UCLA's drawing this tournament though,
- 35:39Speaker 1: Like I said, I actually think Ucla is not a
- 35:41Speaker 1: bad team. I actually I'm I'm positive on Ucla right now.
- 35:45Speaker 1: I'm high on them, and they're like I told you
- 35:48Speaker 1: guys that at the start of the show, I would
- 35:51Speaker 1: not be surprised to see Ucla meet the Sweet sixteen.
- 35:54Speaker 1: Man then we have in this region. We got Vandy
- 35:59Speaker 1: drew mcmc nice, which I don't know. Man MacNeice might
- 36:02Speaker 1: be a popular pick because Amir Khan is back there
- 36:05Speaker 1: with this boom box and they got the aura and whatever.
- 36:08Speaker 1: But they did their thing last year, but they drew
- 36:11Speaker 1: a slow paced team Clemson, and they were able to
- 36:14Speaker 1: throw them off by turning them over and stuff. I
- 36:16Speaker 1: don't know if drawing like a faster paced team like
- 36:18Speaker 1: Vandy is really gonna be good for them here. I
- 36:20Speaker 1: know Vandy looked really good running to the SEC title
- 36:24Speaker 1: game here, but they're a big favorite here, double digit favorite.
- 36:27Speaker 1: These games are being played in Oklahoma City, which I
- 36:30Speaker 1: guess is I don't know if that's better for McNeice really,
- 36:34Speaker 1: I mean they're Louisiana team. I don't know. I think
- 36:38Speaker 1: Vandy probably gets through that and then good on Nebraska
- 36:43Speaker 1: against Troy. Here, Nebraska dropped to a four seed, and
- 36:46Speaker 1: the whole thing is, Oh Nebraska, they still haven't won
- 36:49Speaker 1: a tournament game in their program history, man, and this
- 36:52Speaker 1: is the year where they should do it. They're a
- 36:53Speaker 1: big favorite, double digit favorite here Troy. Troy's a I
- 36:58Speaker 1: don't know, man. I mean they're a balance team, but
- 37:00Speaker 1: they're just I don't know. I don't think they're really
- 37:02Speaker 1: that good out of the Sun Belt. I think Nebraska
- 37:05Speaker 1: probably does get their first tournament win finally, but I
- 37:10Speaker 1: don't really think they make it much further than that.
- 37:12Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of Nebraska really, and you know,
- 37:16Speaker 1: I just think they're over I think they're over hyped.
- 37:17Speaker 1: I think people think they're better than they actually are.
- 37:20Speaker 1: And I don't know, man, I mean it would be
- 37:22Speaker 1: kind of fun I mean funny in a bad way.
- 37:24Speaker 1: I guess if they have this game where they're a
- 37:26Speaker 1: huge favorite and they get upset, Like imagine if they're
- 37:29Speaker 1: the only like one through four cy that loses in
- 37:32Speaker 1: the first round. Oh man, that would be ridiculous. Troy
- 37:39Speaker 1: impossible for them to win by one hundred. Troy doesn't
- 37:42Speaker 1: score enough to do that. I don't know Troy. I mean,
- 37:45Speaker 1: they don't do anything well particularly, but they don't do
- 37:48Speaker 1: anything bad either. I don't think it's not a Troy.
- 37:50Speaker 1: They're just kind of a They're just an okay team VS.
- 37:56Speaker 1: You can upset you and see I agree with that.
- 37:59Speaker 1: It's this one is close line. This is one of
- 38:01Speaker 1: those six eleven games where I'm considering going with the
- 38:04Speaker 1: eleven in this one, especially because I think Illinois is
- 38:07Speaker 1: going to beat whoever wins this game. These are being
- 38:10Speaker 1: played in Greenville, South Carolina, though, so that's not a
- 38:14Speaker 1: bad location for North Carolina. They're gonna have a lot
- 38:17Speaker 1: of fans there at that game, although you know, I
- 38:19Speaker 1: mean it's not that far from Virginia either, but North
- 38:23Speaker 1: Carolina will have a big fan base there. That's kind
- 38:25Speaker 1: of my issue with that. They were a very small favorite.
- 38:28Speaker 1: I think they're like two and a half, yeah, North Carolina,
- 38:30Speaker 1: so they could definitely fall susceptible to an upset. Here
- 38:35Speaker 1: problem with VCU is they're not the same VCU as
- 38:37Speaker 1: last year. Last year was a slow, defensive VCU, which
- 38:41Speaker 1: would match up, I think a little bit better against
- 38:43Speaker 1: you and see than VCU does this year. VCU kind
- 38:46Speaker 1: of a fast paced team this year, but they still
- 38:48Speaker 1: are pretty good on defense. Ken Bum's got VCU forty
- 38:52Speaker 1: fifth in the country. He's got North Carolina twenty ninth,
- 38:56Speaker 1: so again, not a huge gap there between those two.
- 38:59Speaker 1: Both team a pretty balanced. So yeah, I mean it
- 39:01Speaker 1: is definitely possible. Maybe VCU would still try to slow
- 39:05Speaker 1: North Carolina. Well, I don't know. North Carolina actually is
- 39:07Speaker 1: a slower tempo team than VCU. Believe it or not,
- 39:11Speaker 1: it'll be an interesting game. I do think North Carolina
- 39:14Speaker 1: is a similar team to VCU style wise though, and
- 39:18Speaker 1: they just play a little bit better. The committee, by
- 39:21Speaker 1: the way, did reveal that VCU was not going to
- 39:23Speaker 1: make the tournament if they lost the A ten finals,
- 39:26Speaker 1: so that was an interesting reveal there. So maybe VCU
- 39:29Speaker 1: heard that and we'll play with a little bit of
- 39:31Speaker 1: a chip on their shoulder VCU. You know, matchup wise,
- 39:36Speaker 1: VCU should have matched up well against BYU last year
- 39:39Speaker 1: in the tournament because VCU was set up to, you know,
- 39:42Speaker 1: slow them down. Whatever. But if you watched me last year,
- 39:45Speaker 1: you know I actually did pick BYU to get to
- 39:47Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen last year, which was correct, and it
- 39:50Speaker 1: was almost entirely because BYU got to play in Denver,
- 39:53Speaker 1: which was just a much much better location for BYU
- 39:57Speaker 1: being used to elevation. It was just VCU having to
- 40:00Speaker 1: go out there was just bad Illinois against Penn Penn.
- 40:05Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, Penn just had a couple
- 40:07Speaker 1: of miracle threes and got to upset Yale earlier today. Yeah,
- 40:13Speaker 1: that which downgraded the tournament quite a bit. Yale was
- 40:16Speaker 1: gonna be like a twelve seed. Although you know, even
- 40:18Speaker 1: if they were, I think with all these fives here
- 40:20Speaker 1: out of the Yale would have been I mean, Yale
- 40:23Speaker 1: would have been a pretty big underdog still against any
- 40:25Speaker 1: of those five seeds. But Penn, they're now a fourteen
- 40:28Speaker 1: seed and they're a giant underdog to what I think
- 40:31Speaker 1: is a really good Illinois team. I think Illinois gets
- 40:34Speaker 1: through this. This is also in that South Carolina location. Yeah,
- 40:38Speaker 1: I mean, I think Illinois gets through at least to
- 40:41Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen. And then we got the seven to
- 40:45Speaker 1: ten in this region is Saint Mary's in Texas, A
- 40:47Speaker 1: and m very very major style contrast here. We got
- 40:52Speaker 1: Saint Mary's who played really slow versus Texas A and M,
- 40:56Speaker 1: who played really fast Bucky Ball, although Bellie with their
- 40:59Speaker 1: a new coach there, Bucky whatever the hell his name is,
- 41:03Speaker 1: believe it or not. Though Texas A and M actually
- 41:06Speaker 1: is not that bad on defense, even though they play slow,
- 41:09Speaker 1: they're pretty balanced between offensive defense. That's a tough matchup
- 41:13Speaker 1: to call. To be honest, Saint Mary's is actually a
- 41:16Speaker 1: slight favorite. I kind of think the public is gonna
- 41:19Speaker 1: be probably on A and M in that one, so
- 41:22Speaker 1: it wouldn't shock me if you know, the slower team
- 41:24Speaker 1: gets the win there with Saint Mary's whoever wins that game.
- 41:28Speaker 1: I don't see them getting through Houston though these games
- 41:31Speaker 1: are in Oklahoma City, which is a decent location. I
- 41:35Speaker 1: guess for both Houston and Texas A and M. Houston very
- 41:37Speaker 1: very good though, and we know, I mean there's still
- 41:40Speaker 1: very experienced, very experienced coach. I think Houston makes it
- 41:44Speaker 1: to the Sweet sixteen. Here Houston matching up against Illinois,
- 41:47Speaker 1: and either one of those teams could beat Florida, man,
- 41:50Speaker 1: which is why I said I think Florida they probably
- 41:52Speaker 1: get to the Elite eight without much difficult that I
- 41:54Speaker 1: know they might match up against Vandy. I think they
- 41:56Speaker 1: actually probably will wind up getting Vandy in the Sweet sixteen,
- 42:00Speaker 1: although we'll see. But I don't you know me, I
- 42:02Speaker 1: don't like Nebraska very much. But Florida, they just got
- 42:05Speaker 1: killed by Vandy, and it's very weird that they're in
- 42:08Speaker 1: the same region and they might play each other in
- 42:10Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen, which I thought was against the bracketing rules.
- 42:14Speaker 1: So I don't know how that wound up happening. But maybe,
- 42:16Speaker 1: you know, the other fives just couldn't wind up in
- 42:18Speaker 1: this rea. I don't know whatever it is. I think
- 42:21Speaker 1: if Florida played Vandy again, they would get them back
- 42:23Speaker 1: and beat them this time. But Florida having to go
- 42:26Speaker 1: up against either Houston or Illinois will both play slow,
- 42:29Speaker 1: especially Houston, because they're really gonna defense. That could be
- 42:33Speaker 1: a problem, And it might even be more of a
- 42:35Speaker 1: problem because guess where these games are being played. If
- 42:38Speaker 1: Houston makes the regionals here the sweet sixteen, in Elite
- 42:41Speaker 1: eight games, they're gonna be played in Houston at I
- 42:45Speaker 1: think the whatever the name of the arena is now
- 42:47Speaker 1: where the Houston Rockets play, I think is where those
- 42:49Speaker 1: games are gonna be. So Houston will be playing in
- 42:51Speaker 1: their home city if they made this, if they make
- 42:54Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen, I think there's a good chance that
- 42:56Speaker 1: they do, so I could see Houston winning this reas man.
- 43:01Speaker 1: I know you don't want to just gauge it just
- 43:02Speaker 1: based on that, like, oh, this team's gonna be playing
- 43:05Speaker 1: in their city and just pick them because of that.
- 43:09Speaker 1: But in this case it might make sense because I
- 43:10Speaker 1: don't think there's that much of a gap between Florida
- 43:13Speaker 1: and Houston. In fact, ken Bom has them four and five,
- 43:17Speaker 1: even though he yeah, he really has them close to
- 43:20Speaker 1: be honest, Yeah, in Illinois not that far behind either.
- 43:23Speaker 1: You got to look at the net rating gap here,
- 43:26Speaker 1: which is you know we're gonna talk about that. I
- 43:28Speaker 1: guess when I do my well, maybe i'll mention it now. Duke,
- 43:31Speaker 1: by the way, was plus forty in net rating for
- 43:34Speaker 1: a while, which was the highest net rating that I
- 43:35Speaker 1: think we've ever seen on ken Bum. And there are
- 43:40Speaker 1: certain things where like teams that are like above I
- 43:43Speaker 1: think like a thirty two or something like that, like
- 43:46Speaker 1: make the Sweet Sixteen like an insane amount of the time.
- 43:50Speaker 1: So those are teams you probably want to take to
- 43:51Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen for the most part, looking at ken
- 43:55Speaker 1: Bomb here and then the teams. The only teams win
- 44:00Speaker 1: the championship are usually within five net rating points of
- 44:03Speaker 1: the top team. So that would mean basically your champion
- 44:07Speaker 1: should basically be Duke Arizona, Michigan, Florida, or Houston pretty much,
- 44:12Speaker 1: and everybody else should pretty much be excluded as your
- 44:14Speaker 1: champion pick based on that, but based on some of
- 44:17Speaker 1: the other metrics, I think that's the case anyway, based
- 44:20Speaker 1: on how balanced these teams are. The top four of
- 44:23Speaker 1: those are all top ten in both offense and deepfense,
- 44:26Speaker 1: by the way, and Houston doesn't meet the criteria with
- 44:28Speaker 1: the top ten. They're not top ten in offense, but
- 44:31Speaker 1: they are still really really good. So you know, those
- 44:35Speaker 1: are my thoughts on all of that. But yeah, Houston,
- 44:38Speaker 1: if it comes down to Houston Florida playing in Houston,
- 44:41Speaker 1: Houston might be able to win that game get back
- 44:42Speaker 1: to the final four. So Florida would be the one
- 44:46Speaker 1: seed that I would be most likely to drop before
- 44:49Speaker 1: getting to the final four. I know, it's the whole thing,
- 44:52Speaker 1: all the one seeds. You know, it's so rare that
- 44:54Speaker 1: all the one seeds make the final four. Man, it
- 44:56Speaker 1: happened last year. You know, it's not gonna happen again.
- 45:00Speaker 1: And the only time it ever happened besides that was
- 45:05Speaker 1: two thousand and eight, I believe. But the thing is,
- 45:08Speaker 1: like I just told you, with the nil and the
- 45:10Speaker 1: transfer stuff, these one seeds are like better than ever before. Man,
- 45:13Speaker 1: So it wouldn't really shock me if it happened again,
- 45:16Speaker 1: although I could see, you know, certainly there is the
- 45:20Speaker 1: potential that other teams do sneak in to the final four.
- 45:23Speaker 1: I do think that your champion pick should probably be
- 45:25Speaker 1: a one seed this year, though, and more often than
- 45:27Speaker 1: not it is a one seed. So I will say that.
- 45:32Speaker 1: You know, I wouldn't try to get too cute with it,
- 45:34Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like you can get hurt
- 45:36Speaker 1: by trying to pick too many upsets Miss America, Idaho, Yeah,
- 45:42Speaker 1: I get it. For Tuesday, I haven't even looked at
- 45:48Speaker 1: what games are on Tuesday. I don't even know. For
- 45:50Speaker 1: the playans, I'm gonna talk about them on my Tuesday
- 45:53Speaker 1: morning show. Of course. You like Illinois, Yeah, their defense
- 45:59Speaker 1: is they have like a historically good offense. You think
- 46:03Speaker 1: they lacked toughness, that's yeah, that's a good point. Yeah,
- 46:06Speaker 1: I mean Houston. I think you're probably right about that. Like, yeah, Houston.
- 46:10Speaker 1: I tend to like defensive teams, especially in a setting
- 46:13Speaker 1: like that, and Houston, you know, the little bit more
- 46:15Speaker 1: experienced there. Houston, did you know they're still doing kind
- 46:19Speaker 1: of what they do where they have guys who play
- 46:21Speaker 1: it on their team last year kind of you know,
- 46:24Speaker 1: rise up into those like top roles the next year
- 46:26Speaker 1: and whatever. They still kind of do that and build
- 46:29Speaker 1: from within. So yeah, I think you're probably right, and
- 46:32Speaker 1: we'll see what my bracket winds up looking like. But
- 46:34Speaker 1: there is the possibility I woind up going with Houston
- 46:36Speaker 1: to make the final four there and hopefully not get screwed.
- 46:40Speaker 1: Last year. I had three of the final four correct
- 46:42Speaker 1: last year, and I had one of the champion teams right,
- 46:45Speaker 1: one of the championship game teams. I had Houston in
- 46:48Speaker 1: the championship game, but I had Auburn winning the championship.
- 46:52Speaker 1: And the only team that I the only one see
- 46:54Speaker 1: that I dropped prior to the Final four was Florida.
- 46:58Speaker 1: They needed to lose to Yukon Man to women in
- 47:00Speaker 1: my bracket, and that could have happened, but I had
- 47:03Speaker 1: Texas Tech beating them in my bracket. Last year, Texas
- 47:05Speaker 1: Tech had them on the ropes, man, so I was
- 47:08Speaker 1: kind of pissed about that. UNBC and Howard, Yeah, is
- 47:15Speaker 1: the the the sixteen players are always the earlier games,
- 47:19Speaker 1: I think, and then those are all in Dayton, by
- 47:21Speaker 1: the way, So Dayton probably not, you know, not necessarily
- 47:26Speaker 1: gonna help any of those teams. Miami, Ohio will be
- 47:29Speaker 1: the will be the closest team location wise to Dayton,
- 47:32Speaker 1: I believe when they play Texas and NC State. I
- 47:37Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, we can look at the odds
- 47:39Speaker 1: on that if you want. I'm assuming the odds are
- 47:42Speaker 1: out here. But I'm gonna, you know what, I talk
- 47:44Speaker 1: about all the games, man, when it comes out to
- 47:46Speaker 1: and I'll be talking about the other tournaments as well.
- 47:49Speaker 1: I don't know how many players I'm really gonna give out.
- 47:51Speaker 1: I try to really be selective with the bets, you know,
- 47:54Speaker 1: on these plays. But let me say UNBC early money
- 48:00Speaker 1: coming in on them up from one to two and
- 48:02Speaker 1: a half. You know, I don't know, man, I think
- 48:07Speaker 1: UNBC might be a little bit too hyped because oh
- 48:09Speaker 1: it's UNBC. They're back in the tournament and they have
- 48:12Speaker 1: to at least get to play a one seed, right,
- 48:15Speaker 1: Like that's what people are gonna think. I think, you know,
- 48:18Speaker 1: like they have to at least get to that game
- 48:20Speaker 1: to play that one seed, so they have the chance to,
- 48:22Speaker 1: you know, be the first team to win as a
- 48:25Speaker 1: sixteen seed twice against the one. Yeah. I don't know, man,
- 48:29Speaker 1: So UNBC is probably gonna be a public side there.
- 48:33Speaker 1: Definitely wouldn't shock me if Howard beat them. This Howard team,
- 48:35Speaker 1: I think they do have a lot of continuity, and
- 48:38Speaker 1: this Howard program has been in the tournament. I don't
- 48:41Speaker 1: know what it is, like probably four of the three
- 48:43Speaker 1: of the last four years, maybe four of the last five.
- 48:46Speaker 1: I would kind of lean to Howard in that game.
- 48:48Speaker 1: Probably it's probably not gonna make my card or anything.
- 48:52Speaker 1: NC State has gone from a one point Dodge will
- 48:54Speaker 1: pick them against Texas that game. I mean, that game
- 49:00Speaker 1: is really difficult to gauge. I mean, both teams not
- 49:03Speaker 1: good on defense, much better on offense. Texas is better
- 49:06Speaker 1: on offense than NC State is and worse on defense
- 49:09Speaker 1: than nc Status. So NC State is a little more
- 49:11Speaker 1: more balanced, but there's still both much better on offense
- 49:15Speaker 1: than on defense. NC State is like I don't know.
- 49:18Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm ever going to give out
- 49:19Speaker 1: another play on NC State for the remainder of this
- 49:22Speaker 1: whole thing, because they're just I don't know, man. Maybe
- 49:26Speaker 1: maybe I, you know, would want to try to fade BYU,
- 49:29Speaker 1: but because that's who they're playing, right if they win
- 49:31Speaker 1: this game, b YU, I don't know, man, this NC
- 49:34Speaker 1: State team, they're almost impossible to figure out. I can't
- 49:38Speaker 1: figure them out at all. They'd put up a better
- 49:42Speaker 1: showing and they're a conference tournament though. Like they look
- 49:44Speaker 1: better I think in the ACC than Texas did with
- 49:47Speaker 1: that bad loss to oh Miss. I would probably go
- 49:51Speaker 1: with Texas in this one. Texas was in the first
- 49:54Speaker 1: four game last year as well, and they blew the game.
- 49:58Speaker 1: So I don't know how many guys are bad on
- 50:00Speaker 1: Texas's team from that. But if you remember that Texas
- 50:03Speaker 1: played Xavier in the first four on the second night
- 50:05Speaker 1: of the last year, and Texas had a massive lead
- 50:08Speaker 1: in that game, I don't know how they they totally imploded.
- 50:12Speaker 1: I don't know how they lost that game. We see
- 50:14Speaker 1: some crazy point swings in these games, man, but yeah,
- 50:17Speaker 1: I would probably actually lean against both of those early
- 50:20Speaker 1: moves there in those games, and look towards Texas in
- 50:23Speaker 1: that one, and then I don't know, the Wednesday games,
- 50:26Speaker 1: Lee High and Prairie View A and M Lee High
- 50:29Speaker 1: up from one and a half to two and a
- 50:30Speaker 1: half year. These are the two worst teams in the
- 50:33Speaker 1: entire field. Man, They're both outside of the top like
- 50:35Speaker 1: two to eighty and ken pom probably they're both bad,
- 50:39Speaker 1: really bad. And I think people seem to think that
- 50:43Speaker 1: LEI is not that bad because they're in the Patriot League.
- 50:46Speaker 1: But I'm telling you they suck. Yeah, They're not good
- 50:50Speaker 1: at all. They were not even close to the second
- 50:52Speaker 1: best team in the Patriot Prairie View A and M
- 50:55Speaker 1: was not close to the best in the Swack either.
- 51:00Speaker 1: You know, I still probably would have a little bit
- 51:03Speaker 1: of a link to Prayer View A and M in
- 51:04Speaker 1: that one. But I'm gonna talk about these, you know,
- 51:06Speaker 1: the morning of as well. And then SMU is a
- 51:08Speaker 1: big favorite against Miami Ohio. Of course, dude, Miami Ohio
- 51:12Speaker 1: shouldn't even be in the field. As I keep saying, like,
- 51:15Speaker 1: this is one of the biggest this might be the
- 51:17Speaker 1: biggest favorite we've ever seen in a first four game.
- 51:20Speaker 1: I'm not entirely sure of that. But SMU is seven
- 51:23Speaker 1: and a half down from eight here. I don't I
- 51:26Speaker 1: don't know, man, Miami Ohio is probably gonna be a
- 51:29Speaker 1: public side here. I don't love SMU either, though, you know,
- 51:34Speaker 1: I mean it over might make sense in this game
- 51:36Speaker 1: because both teams don't play deepense, but they're gonna have
- 51:39Speaker 1: to get their legs under them and stuff because both
- 51:41Speaker 1: teams haven't played for a while. But Miami Ohio, I mean,
- 51:44Speaker 1: SMU will be the best team they played all year.
- 51:46Speaker 1: Even though SMU is not even good. They're forty second
- 51:50Speaker 1: in the country, which is better than every team that
- 51:52Speaker 1: Miami Ohio has played all season. So yeah, Miami Ohio
- 51:57Speaker 1: has not been this big of an underdog the entire season.
- 52:02Speaker 1: So I think they were only an underdog one time.
- 52:05Speaker 1: I think that's how weak their schedule was. They were
- 52:08Speaker 1: an underdog against Accron. I think that was the only
- 52:11Speaker 1: time they were an underdog. And yes, they did win
- 52:13Speaker 1: that game at home. They were like a three point
- 52:16Speaker 1: underdog in that one. But yeah, Miami Ohio might be
- 52:19Speaker 1: up against it trying to step up and class. But
- 52:21Speaker 1: I don't like SMU. Their defense is awful. They were
- 52:24Speaker 1: like barely inside the top one hundred on defense, So
- 52:27Speaker 1: I don't think I'm gonna recommend laying the points with
- 52:29Speaker 1: SMU in that one either having to play in Ohio,
- 52:32Speaker 1: I don't know SMU should win that game. But again,
- 52:36Speaker 1: Miami Ohio does have the continuity, like they return to
- 52:39Speaker 1: all their starters, but they're ninety third and ken Bomb
- 52:42Speaker 1: of course, so they're and they're well outside of the
- 52:45Speaker 1: top one hundred on defense. In fact, there were some
- 52:47Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball than SMU is they're
- 52:50Speaker 1: super lucky at fifteenth in the country according to ken Bom,
- 52:54Speaker 1: SMU is actually very unlucky at two ninety seven. So
- 52:57Speaker 1: I don't know I'm going too much into detail with this,
- 52:59Speaker 1: but Miami Ohio they're lower in Kenbom's rankings than high
- 53:04Speaker 1: Point Hofstra in Northern Iowa, MacNeice Akron. They're worse than
- 53:08Speaker 1: Akron about like thirty ranking spots, worse than UCF as
- 53:12Speaker 1: well so and South Florida. So keep all that in mine,
- 53:17Speaker 1: Man MVCU in SMU, of course, so keep all that
- 53:21Speaker 1: in mine and Saint Louis, Miami Ohio is significantly worse
- 53:25Speaker 1: than you know, the rest of those teams I just
- 53:27Speaker 1: mentioned there and actually again worse than Hostra and High
- 53:30Speaker 1: Point according to Ken Palm, and not that much better
- 53:33Speaker 1: than cal Baptist and Hawaii. So as an eleven seed,
- 53:37Speaker 1: they're clearly overseated. I mean they're situated there between twelve
- 53:40Speaker 1: and thirteen seats here, So you know, keep that, keep
- 53:46Speaker 1: all that in mind. But the Osburgers are telling telling
- 53:48Speaker 1: you that too. With that number looks like the early number.
- 53:50Speaker 1: The early money did come in on Miami though. But
- 53:54Speaker 1: all right, I mean those are my thoughts on the bracket. Man.
- 53:56Speaker 1: I just figured I would come in and you know,
- 53:58Speaker 1: do a little bit of reaction there. I agree with
- 54:02Speaker 1: that whoever wins the Texas NC State game has a
- 54:05Speaker 1: decent shot to win against BYU. Also, the team that
- 54:09Speaker 1: wins in the playing has momentum because that's a tournament game,
- 54:13Speaker 1: so they get that momentum back, they have a game
- 54:15Speaker 1: under their belt, you know what I mean. So that
- 54:17Speaker 1: actually helps as well, which is part of the reason
- 54:19Speaker 1: I think why we do see so many of those
- 54:21Speaker 1: playing teams actually get a win once they get into
- 54:24Speaker 1: the round of sixty four. But we'll have to see
- 54:26Speaker 1: what the travel looks like there too. Because I mean,
- 54:28Speaker 1: they're gonna have to travel from Dayton to Portland, Oregon
- 54:32Speaker 1: to play against BYU, so I don't necessarily love that.
- 54:36Speaker 1: And then I forget where Miami, Ohio would wind up
- 54:39Speaker 1: playing after they're gonna be playing against Tennessee, and that
- 54:43Speaker 1: we don't have the odds yet on that Tennessee. And
- 54:45Speaker 1: then they're gonna be playing wherever Virginia is. That's in Philadelphia,
- 54:49Speaker 1: so that's a better travel spot at least there. All right,
- 54:59Speaker 1: College bass Well has yeah, ridiculous points swings. I don't
- 55:02Speaker 1: know why that's the case, but thank you, sir, Thanks everybody,
- 55:05Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out with everybody. Yes, sir, all right,
- 55:08Speaker 1: learn to tone on Twitter, Learn to tone on Instagram.
- 55:11Speaker 1: You check me out on there, you know, have fun
- 55:15Speaker 1: with all my you know, bigoted shit posting on Twitter
- 55:19Speaker 1: all that. Like. Subscribe to the channel here. Give me
- 55:21Speaker 1: good replies on here, man, you know, subscribe then you
- 55:25Speaker 1: get the notifications when I go live, though obviously I'll
- 55:27Speaker 1: be live tomorrow morning to talk about it. There won't
- 55:29Speaker 1: be much going on tomorrow, but we'll have some NHL
- 55:32Speaker 1: and NBA to discuss. Probably for tomorrow. It'll be a
- 55:35Speaker 1: small car don't know if I'm gonna give it or
- 55:36Speaker 1: a small board. I don't know if I'm gonna give
- 55:38Speaker 1: out any plays, but we'll see some. Stay tuned for that.
- 55:42Speaker 1: It'll be it'll be easier on me that we have
- 55:43Speaker 1: no college basketball for once tomorrow. But tomorrow is like
- 55:48Speaker 1: the day where you really do the bracket analysis, you know,
- 55:51Speaker 1: So I'm gonna be doing that. What else? Oh yeah,
- 55:56Speaker 1: listen on audio too. This is a podcast. I put
- 55:58Speaker 1: it out on an audio. I don't know if I'll put that.
- 56:00Speaker 1: Maybe i'll put this one out. I don't know. I
- 56:02Speaker 1: didn't do my my bracketologies. I didn't bother putting it
- 56:04Speaker 1: out on audio, but I don't know. This show is
- 56:06Speaker 1: on Spotify an Apple, at least for the daily shows,
- 56:10Speaker 1: so you can check that. I'll give me good reviews there.
- 56:13Speaker 1: Covered in Yuke is my ukulele cover channel on YouTube.
- 56:16Speaker 1: You can check that out as well, Patreon dot com,
- 56:19Speaker 1: slash learn to tode you can get some bonus content.
- 56:22Speaker 1: And I don't really pay much attention. I apologize again.
- 56:25Speaker 1: I gotta start doing like Yuke like lives, you know,
- 56:28Speaker 1: because I could do request live and you can see
- 56:30Speaker 1: me just kind of trying to mess around with the song,
- 56:33Speaker 1: trying to figure it out and whatever if I can
- 56:34Speaker 1: even do it, and then a loser cast you can
- 56:38Speaker 1: check that out. That'll be back Tuesday at ten pm,
- 56:42Speaker 1: you know, trying to build that show up as well
- 56:44Speaker 1: for the new comedy show that I do. There, that's
- 56:47Speaker 1: gonna do it, AJ Yeah, I mean Arizona is definitely deep. Man.
- 56:52Speaker 1: They got yeah Bradley Pete. Pete should be his first name. Man,
- 56:57Speaker 1: what's up with that? Yeah, those other guys, I don't know.
- 57:00Speaker 1: I don't know all the guys, but yeah, I know
- 57:02Speaker 1: they were They won games without Pete as well, like
- 57:05Speaker 1: he was hurt and they still won games. Arizona's dangerous. Man.
- 57:09Speaker 1: It's just it's in the back of my mind that
- 57:11Speaker 1: these like Western teams never win the tournament though, Like
- 57:16Speaker 1: we haven't seen a team west of the Mississippi win
- 57:19Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament for a really long time. Houston, I
- 57:23Speaker 1: guess would have qualified and almost did it last year,
- 57:26Speaker 1: but I guess that's another reason to not pick Houston
- 57:29Speaker 1: as a champion. For that reason, I don't know, but
- 57:32Speaker 1: we'll see Arizona. This is the best iteration of Arizona
- 57:35Speaker 1: that we've seen though, and they're not a high variance team,
- 57:39Speaker 1: Like they don't take threes, which I think is good
- 57:42Speaker 1: and bad because the problem is if they fall behind,
- 57:45Speaker 1: they might not be able to come back in a
- 57:47Speaker 1: game because they don't shoot threes. So but they're like
- 57:50Speaker 1: never playing from behind. But that's the thing, you know
- 57:52Speaker 1: what I mean, Whereas you know, a team like Michigan
- 57:55Speaker 1: can explode offensively and come back, you know. So I
- 57:59Speaker 1: don't know. Yeah, I don't know. Arizona they're like dominant
- 58:03Speaker 1: inside right, Like they take all two pointers. It's crazy.
- 58:08Speaker 1: So I don't know. We'll see, But I do like
- 58:10Speaker 1: those teams that like dominate in the paint. But you know,
- 58:12Speaker 1: I mean Florida kind of has that as well, though
- 58:16Speaker 1: you know, Michigan, I think Duke doesn't have that as
- 58:19Speaker 1: much of an extent. You know, Duke doesn't really have
- 58:23Speaker 1: that like dominant like center. You know, I don't know
- 58:26Speaker 1: for Duke, we don't know if Nigungba's at his name,
- 58:29Speaker 1: We don't know if he's coming back. H Foster for Duke,
- 58:32Speaker 1: one of their guards. He's gonna be out until at
- 58:34Speaker 1: least the Final four, and they've replaced him with Caden Boozer,
- 58:38Speaker 1: who's doing fine. But you know, we'll see Duke, you know,
- 58:42Speaker 1: I mean that could be Duke's undoing. That plus the
- 58:44Speaker 1: severe lack of experience, could be the reason that Duke
- 58:47Speaker 1: winds up not winning the championship. Here. Like I said
- 58:50Speaker 1: at the top of the show, they'd be the least
- 58:52Speaker 1: experienced team in history to win the championship if they did.
- 58:56Speaker 1: So we'll see, man, We'll see who I wind up
- 58:59Speaker 1: picking as a champion. But I think Duke's gonna be
- 59:01Speaker 1: the most popular pick, so probably for me, it will
- 59:04Speaker 1: not be them. You have the I don't know, man,
- 59:09Speaker 1: you have the shooters, but that shooting muscle is not
- 59:13Speaker 1: not that that definitely looked. Okay, I'm shooting at three guys.
- 59:17Speaker 1: I don't know, man, But if they're not doing it enough,
- 59:19Speaker 1: they're not like used to, you know, like it can
- 59:21Speaker 1: affect like that muscle memory won't be there right that
- 59:24Speaker 1: it'll it'll atrophy basically if you're not taking all those threes.
- 59:28Speaker 1: I don't know. Yeah, Arizona experience guard play, yes, correct, Yes,
- 59:36Speaker 1: that is what you want. Yeah, experience guard play is huge.
- 59:40Speaker 1: We'll see what dude. Purdue has unbelievably experienced guard play
- 59:44Speaker 1: like they have the most continuity there with all those
- 59:46Speaker 1: guys came back for like a fourth year or whatever.
- 59:49Speaker 1: It is that Purdue hasn't been good enough on defense. Man, Like,
- 59:52Speaker 1: I like Purdue, but they I don't think they're championship caliber,
- 59:56Speaker 1: you know what I mean, probably not good enough on
- 59:58Speaker 1: the inside either. I mean they got that what's his name,
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: Kloff or whatever. That he looks like that you just
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: thought him out of a block of ancient ice or something. Man,
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: he's like all hunched over and with his beard like
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: I don't know, he's like fucking I don't know. He
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: looks like a chrome magnant or something. I don't know.
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: I don't know about that guy, say don't I don't know.
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: If I like Saint John's to get past Duke, I
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: don't like Saint John's really. I don't like that style.
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: I think they're basically what they were last year. It's
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: just last year they're way overseated. This year they're more seated, accurately.
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: I don't like it, man, They just their offense is
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: nowhere near good enough. I don't know, I'm playing too fast,
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't like it. Also, in the
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: quick turnaround time, you do want to look towards more
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: experienced coaches more often than not when they're playing that
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: second game in two days or three days or whatever,
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So in the round of
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: thirty two and then the next weekend the Elite eight
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: games or whatever, coaching experience winds up mattering quite a
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: bit in those particular games because they can get their
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: team prepared better in that quick turnaround time. And sometimes
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: those really fast faced teams like Saint John's will kind
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: of run out of gas in games like that too
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: because they gotta play up tempo that much. So you know,
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: that would be one reason to actually kind of look
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: towards Duke, I guess a little bit, because they do
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: kind of play slow, and of course Houston also does,
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: Yukon does as well. Florida and Michigan Arizona I believe
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: all play faster, so that's one thing to consider, I guess,
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: although Florida was a pretty fast tempo team last year
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: and they did win it all, but I kind of
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: think they shouldn't have anyway. I'm rambling. That's gonna do it.
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: Be back in the morning. Check out The Morning Show
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: we'll talk about whatever NHL and NBA is going on tomorrow.
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: It'll probably be a quick show tomorrow, might wind up
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: skipping the day completely. As far as actual bets, we'll
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: figure it out then, we'll see. Maybe there'll be some spots.
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm gonna go do some more bracket
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: analysis myself here. That's gonna do it for me for now.
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: I appreciate it, guys, newcomers and UH and regulars. Man,
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: I appreciate it all. Let's pump these numbers up, baby.
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: I think I do probably again. Like I said, I
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: think I probably have some of the most betting content
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: out there just based on sheer quantity. It's the autism, folks,
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Peace,