Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / Trump cancels Iran strikes subject to deal being made 'rapidly'
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: President Trump has announced that he has canceled planned strikes
- 0:03Speaker 1: against Iran. Multiple sources had told CBS News, the BBC's
- 0:08Speaker 1: American media partner, that the US and Israel were planning
- 0:11Speaker 1: what would have been one of the harshest bombing campaigns
- 0:14Speaker 1: to date against energy infrastructure targets across the country. In
- 0:18Speaker 1: a post on his Truth social platform, he said he
- 0:21Speaker 1: was holding off that the request of Iran and other
- 0:24Speaker 1: Middle Eastern countries provided a deal was quickly reached. Such
- 0:28Speaker 1: a deal would include the immediate opening of the Strait
- 0:31Speaker 1: of Hormuz. On Saturday, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbasarakchi warned against
- 0:36Speaker 1: what he called adventurous action by the United States. Let's
- 0:40Speaker 1: speak to Mehran Camrava, who is professor at Georgetown University
- 0:44Speaker 1: in Qatar, where he runs the Iranian studies unit at
- 0:47Speaker 1: the Arab Center for Research and Policy Studies. Meran, very
- 0:50Speaker 1: good to have you with us. Do you sense that
- 0:52Speaker 1: Trump has backed down because of a genuine hope of
- 0:57Speaker 1: new talks, because of pressure from the Saudis we gather
- 1:00Speaker 1: the Saudi Crown Prince called him recently, or because of
- 1:03Speaker 1: the increased threats of Iranian retaliation.
- 1:07Speaker 2: I think it's all three. Mark. What we have seen
- 1:11Speaker 2: in the past is that the Iranians have not necessarily
- 1:15Speaker 2: responded to threats the way that the United States has
- 1:19Speaker 2: assumed they would. They have indeed carried out their escalatory
- 1:25Speaker 2: tactics by attacking energy infrastructures and other facilities here up
- 1:31Speaker 2: and down the Persian Gulf. And I think both sides,
- 1:34Speaker 2: both Iran and the United States, would like, indeed to
- 1:38Speaker 2: return to the negotiating table. It's just that neither side
- 1:42Speaker 2: has the courage or the wherewithal to do so at
- 1:46Speaker 2: the moment.
- 1:47Speaker 1: There is, though, isn't there Mehran, always the risk of
- 1:51Speaker 1: the boy who cried Wolf scenario that each time Donald
- 1:55Speaker 1: Trump issues more extravagant threats, he backs off and Iran
- 2:00Speaker 1: basically no longer believes that there is an imminent danger.
- 2:03Speaker 2: Indeed, as you just mentioned, Mark, this is not the
- 2:07Speaker 2: first time that President Trump has threatened Iran with massive bombardment.
- 2:15Speaker 2: Bombing Iran into the Stone Ages still is something that
- 2:18Speaker 2: people in Tehran talk about and indeed laugh at. And
- 2:23Speaker 2: so this is becoming somewhat of a pattern from the
- 2:28Speaker 2: United States.
- 2:29Speaker 1: And yet we are seeing more activity from the Iranian
- 2:35Speaker 1: proxies We've had drone attacks in Saudi Arabia, gas tankas
- 2:40Speaker 1: hit in Egypt. Do you get the sense that Iran
- 2:43Speaker 1: is stepping up its attacks?
- 2:45Speaker 2: Indeed, in fact, Iran does not mind what would be
- 2:50Speaker 2: a war of attrition. They want to see a prolonged
- 2:54Speaker 2: conflict whereby the costs of America's military presence in the region,
- 3:01Speaker 2: not just the war on Iran, but its military presence
- 3:04Speaker 2: would be prohibitive and would result in the United States
- 3:08Speaker 2: with drawing from at least the Persian Gulf, if not
- 3:12Speaker 2: the rest of the Middle East.
- 3:13Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, there was talk of the US planning
- 3:16Speaker 1: these attacks in conjunction with Israel. It would have been
- 3:19Speaker 1: the first Israeli attacks in Iran since the initial phase
- 3:21Speaker 1: of the war. And now Trump is saying that Israel
- 3:25Speaker 1: has also committed to new talks. Do you get the
- 3:28Speaker 1: sense that Trump is imposing his will on Benjaminetta Niahu
- 3:33Speaker 1: on this.
- 3:35Speaker 2: Certainly, the Israelis would not mind a reignition of a
- 3:40Speaker 2: major conflict with Iran, but the Americans have been much
- 3:44Speaker 2: more pragmatic. We have heard reports that American weapons are
- 3:49Speaker 2: running low. We have seen that the costs here in
- 3:53Speaker 2: the region of Iranian bombardment is extremely high, and so
- 3:58Speaker 2: there's a very different person option in Washington than there
- 4:01Speaker 2: is in Israel, and the United States has once again
- 4:05Speaker 2: appeared to have prevailed on Israel not to reignite a
- 4:09Speaker 2: full scale war on.
- 4:11Speaker 1: Iran mehrankme rather, Professor, Georgetown University in Kata. Always good
- 4:15Speaker 1: to get your thoughts, Thanks very much.