Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 2 Showdown - Valspar Championship | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 03/19/26
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: All systems go clear, We're lifting. We are live.
- 0:35Speaker 2: Welcome to another episode of PGA Showdown where we go
- 0:40Speaker 2: through the leaderboard, go through the fs board, all that
- 0:43Speaker 2: fun stuff.
- 0:44Speaker 1: Not who to play, not who.
- 0:48Speaker 2: Not who to play not he picks a little bit,
- 0:51Speaker 2: a few picks, but more the process, more some stats.
- 0:55Speaker 2: We're talking about the way golfers got to exposition. And yeah,
- 1:00Speaker 2: it's a show that we've been doing all year. If
- 1:01Speaker 2: you are new here, I assume you're not new here,
- 1:03Speaker 2: but happy to happy have like it feels like I
- 1:07Speaker 2: have a break coming up. Seven straight weeks on the road,
- 1:10Speaker 2: and I talked about this in the private show, but
- 1:11Speaker 2: first time I'm talking to you guys in the public show.
- 1:14Speaker 2: Seven straight weeks on the road and now I'm back
- 1:17Speaker 2: in my house for more than like four days at
- 1:19Speaker 2: a time. With that being said, I'll tell you guys
- 1:21Speaker 2: right now, I am traveling tomorrow, so the show tomorrow
- 1:27Speaker 2: night will be later than it normally is. I'm gonna
- 1:30Speaker 2: say eleven thirty pm to midnight will be the start
- 1:33Speaker 2: time for tomorrow's Round two Showdown.
- 1:36Speaker 1: So with that being said, let's share our screen.
- 1:40Speaker 2: Let's get into some of the golfers who shot the
- 1:43Speaker 2: rounds of the day today. Very interesting. Oh sorry, went
- 1:47Speaker 2: to the wrong tap. Very interesting ways they did it.
- 1:52Speaker 2: Sung JM, Brant Snedecker, Davis Thompson, Billy Horschel, Pierson, Crudy,
- 1:57Speaker 2: Andrew Putnam all shot rounds of sixty seven or better.
- 2:01Speaker 2: And they didn't really do it in different ways, but
- 2:03Speaker 2: they did it in kind of interesting ways. So Sung JM.
- 2:06Speaker 2: Right here, he was all approach and all putter. The
- 2:10Speaker 2: driving accuracy did not matter for Sung Jay at all.
- 2:13Speaker 2: To prove it, I'll show you a little bit of
- 2:15Speaker 2: his stat line. So Sung Jay round of the day
- 2:18Speaker 2: seven hunder finished with two bogies as well, first on approach,
- 2:22Speaker 2: second in pudding. Anytime you're gaining over what almost nine
- 2:28Speaker 2: strokes approaching putting you're doing, you're doing.
- 2:30Speaker 1: We're doing well.
- 2:31Speaker 2: But look at the driving accuracy tied for one fourteenth.
- 2:34Speaker 2: That kind of folt goes hand in hand with what
- 2:37Speaker 2: I was saying about how I don't think you need
- 2:39Speaker 2: to drive it accurate at valspar this year.
- 2:42Speaker 1: I genuinely don't.
- 2:43Speaker 2: And that's not necessarily shoving with the style of golfers
- 2:45Speaker 2: around the leader board yet. But we've only played eighteen
- 2:47Speaker 2: of seven in ju bles. Brent Snedeker usually a guy
- 2:50Speaker 2: who's if he's gonna pop, is probably a with hot
- 2:53Speaker 2: driving accuracy. Bran Snegger didn't necessarily hit it so straight.
- 2:56Speaker 2: I believe he only hit eight fairways. Branton was just
- 2:59Speaker 2: all putter. So Brent senecer eight fairways T twenty nine.
- 3:03Speaker 2: That's very shocking for Brent Seneker to shoot one of
- 3:05Speaker 2: the rounds of the day and not be one of
- 3:06Speaker 2: the most accurate drivers. Davis Thompson was approach and putter.
- 3:11Speaker 2: His accuracy didn't matter at all. Billy Horsechel exact same
- 3:15Speaker 2: as Davis Thompson, no driving accuracy. Pearson Cootie, he knuked
- 3:19Speaker 2: and got hot with the putter. And then we had
- 3:23Speaker 2: Andrew Putnam. These guys right here who shot the rounds
- 3:25Speaker 2: of the day. No one did it with driving accuracy,
- 3:28Speaker 2: which is which was kind of the hot stat of
- 3:31Speaker 2: the week, at least it's what I heard, And no
- 3:33Speaker 2: one necessarily did that. No one was minting fairways and
- 3:36Speaker 2: popping to the top. So I know, I talked about
- 3:38Speaker 2: on the private stream driving distance, driving distance, driving distance.
- 3:43Speaker 2: It's not showing yet, but I do think, especially with
- 3:46Speaker 2: the statline that we're seeing today, the driving distance will
- 3:49Speaker 2: prevail because if guys aren't hitting fairways and getting rewarded,
- 3:52Speaker 2: not that they're not getting rewarded fighting pairaways, but if
- 3:54Speaker 2: you're able to score without hitting fairways, that means the
- 3:57Speaker 2: distance will prevail soon than later. So I think we're
- 4:01Speaker 2: in a good spot for our week long plays. We're
- 4:03Speaker 2: in a good spot for just our week long agenda
- 4:06Speaker 2: of what I'm looking for. I necessarily am not saying
- 4:09Speaker 2: you guys put the same guys as me, but if
- 4:10Speaker 2: you play the same style of golfers as me, then
- 4:13Speaker 2: they might be coming to your fruition tomorrow through Sunday.
- 4:16Speaker 2: So I'm still high in the driving distance. We're going
- 4:18Speaker 2: to talk about those stats later on. I do want
- 4:21Speaker 2: to bring up the wave split, which I was wrong
- 4:23Speaker 2: about on the private stream. I thought there would have
- 4:25Speaker 2: been a little bit of a PM advantage, not necessarily.
- 4:28Speaker 1: I wasn't too confident.
- 4:29Speaker 2: I didn't go crazy with it, but I thought there
- 4:31Speaker 2: was gonna be a PM advantage with the warmer temperatures.
- 4:33Speaker 1: But the wind actually and then ended up prevailing in
- 4:35Speaker 1: the PM. So I was wrong there. I took my
- 4:38Speaker 1: stand and got it wrong.
- 4:39Speaker 2: I'd rather take a stand and get it wrong, then
- 4:41Speaker 2: be wishy washy and not be confident either way, because
- 4:45Speaker 2: more than likely you're not gonna win anyway.
- 4:47Speaker 1: So take a stand.
- 4:48Speaker 2: If you're right, you're going to be very right. If
- 4:49Speaker 2: you're wrong, you're just you're strong normally. So that was
- 4:52Speaker 2: the wave split. I was wrong for today. We're going
- 4:54Speaker 2: to take a look at the weather right now and
- 4:55Speaker 2: see if we could find any advantages. I'm yet to
- 4:58Speaker 2: look at the weather for tomorrow yet. So we see
- 5:02Speaker 2: nine to ten mile an hour gusts all day. It
- 5:08Speaker 2: seems pretty fairly the same. It looks like four mile
- 5:12Speaker 2: an hours of difference in the afternoon based off of today,
- 5:17Speaker 2: it seems fairly similar. With that being said, if it's
- 5:20Speaker 2: very similar to what we saw today, I think the
- 5:24Speaker 2: the Morning is just just play easier, and like it's
- 5:26Speaker 2: a very like common common take, like all right, it's similar,
- 5:30Speaker 2: like why not play the Morning again tomorrow? But sometimes
- 5:32Speaker 2: it always is that easy, so I probably will be
- 5:35Speaker 2: be leaning towards the Morning in tomorrow's rounds. So I
- 5:39Speaker 2: don't mind it. I don't think it's a it's a
- 5:41Speaker 2: bad it's a bad uh play for tomorrow. I'm probably
- 5:44Speaker 2: going with the morning talking about DraftKings. For some reason,
- 5:49Speaker 2: I cannot log into draftings. I'm not going to show
- 5:51Speaker 2: my number it there. It's not letting me log in
- 5:53Speaker 2: right now. So hopefully I could log in like a
- 5:55Speaker 2: few two hours to actually put some lineups in, but
- 5:57Speaker 2: it's not letting me log in right now. So contestle wise,
- 6:00Speaker 2: I'm not going to go through every contest, but I
- 6:01Speaker 2: did look at them. The two k Albatross is twelve
- 6:04Speaker 2: dollars single entry, I think is the best way to
- 6:06Speaker 2: spend just a few bucks. If you're trying to spend
- 6:09Speaker 2: a thousand bucks, you're trying to spend five hundred thousand
- 6:11Speaker 2: bucks or five thousand bucks, you guys know what to do.
- 6:14Speaker 2: If you're just trying to spend fifteen hours or less.
- 6:16Speaker 2: I love the twelve dollars single entry. Tenth place pays
- 6:20Speaker 2: more than ten percent, which is more than normal. It's
- 6:23Speaker 2: a nice little payout. Sure, So that's where I'm going
- 6:25Speaker 2: to play my small entry. Twelve dollars single entry. The
- 6:28Speaker 2: two k Albatross is where I will be going for that.
- 6:32Speaker 2: So before we get into some of the players, before
- 6:35Speaker 2: we get into some of the stats, we're looking for
- 6:38Speaker 2: let me show you the tools that you guys need
- 6:40Speaker 2: for your showdown lineups. These projections will be posted in
- 6:44Speaker 2: the next hour or so, next two hours now probably
- 6:46Speaker 2: like two hours so because there's still a few guys
- 6:48Speaker 2: in the golf course, I believe, because it is daylight
- 6:50Speaker 2: out here seven pm in the great state of Florida.
- 6:53Speaker 2: Go to the site as you can see this at
- 6:55Speaker 2: the top this go copy the links in the destriction.
- 6:58Speaker 2: There's still a free week. You can get the rest
- 7:00Speaker 2: of the showdown slate plan which will be filled out
- 7:04Speaker 2: in the next hour. Probably for me, I give you
- 7:06Speaker 2: the core, give you my favorite plays in each each
- 7:09Speaker 2: each tier along with a little breakdown. You can get
- 7:11Speaker 2: that for free along with these projections, along with this
- 7:14Speaker 2: Showdown stone, which is always gives you all the information.
- 7:17Speaker 2: All the a MPM wave splits everything you need to know.
- 7:20Speaker 2: So you're gonna go to the site, join the nation,
- 7:22Speaker 2: hit all access if you want all of sports. MLB
- 7:24Speaker 2: is around the corner. You want just the PGA Go,
- 7:26Speaker 2: PGA Optimizer plus Core. You can get all the tools
- 7:29Speaker 2: use the once you have your Once you have your players,
- 7:32Speaker 2: you're gonna go over to Sabersim build your lineups, check
- 7:35Speaker 2: off your guys, make your rules, and you are set
- 7:38Speaker 2: from there. So go use that link in the description,
- 7:41Speaker 2: or just go to shipernation dot com and use code boots.
- 7:44Speaker 1: Help me, help you. I'll be on the road again
- 7:47Speaker 1: in the near future, like we all love so much.
- 7:50Speaker 2: Okay, the next thing I do want to talk about
- 7:54Speaker 2: is some of the players that I'm looking for. So
- 7:57Speaker 2: let's bring up the stats via data Golf around one
- 8:00Speaker 2: stat that's updated. Make sure we are all up to date.
- 8:03Speaker 2: So as you see Sung, Jay Brant, Davis Thompson, Billy
- 8:06Speaker 2: Horscheoalt lead in the way. What do we want to
- 8:09Speaker 2: sort for in tomorrow's round? I do. I don't bring
- 8:13Speaker 2: this up every single round, but I do think that
- 8:15Speaker 2: distance is going to prevail once in a while. So
- 8:17Speaker 2: if you go over to data Golf, I'll show you
- 8:19Speaker 2: how to get there. Actually you're gonna go over to
- 8:21Speaker 2: This is the landing page on data Golf. If you
- 8:23Speaker 2: hit live stats right here, it'll bring you to this
- 8:25Speaker 2: page that I was just out. And then right here
- 8:27Speaker 2: in the top right it says show player types. If
- 8:30Speaker 2: you tackle this on, it's gonna be more than likely off.
- 8:32Speaker 2: You tackle it on and will turn purple, then you're
- 8:34Speaker 2: gonna go over here. And this shows the player archetypes
- 8:38Speaker 2: A for accurate s for short, L for long. That
- 8:42Speaker 2: just tells you what they are off the tee. I'm
- 8:44Speaker 2: kind of giving a bias to these guys who are
- 8:46Speaker 2: long off the tee because, as I went as I
- 8:48Speaker 2: started at the top of the show, driving accuracy is
- 8:51Speaker 2: not necessarily getting rewarded like it may in a given
- 8:54Speaker 2: week or it may in normal Valastpar weeks. And that
- 8:58Speaker 2: was my take from being out there during the week
- 9:00Speaker 2: on Tuesday, I was like, this rough is it's long,
- 9:03Speaker 2: but it's not necessarily extremely penal. And the long guys
- 9:06Speaker 2: are gonna have more looks than they normally would in
- 9:08Speaker 2: a given Vallaspar week, and the long guys are not
- 9:11Speaker 2: necessarily gonna be the most own guys. Guys are gonna
- 9:13Speaker 2: like guys usually go like going to accurate golfers at valspar,
- 9:16Speaker 2: So going with some of the longer golfers will get
- 9:18Speaker 2: you different in general and uh potentially lead you to
- 9:22Speaker 2: some some nuke grounds of the day. So I know
- 9:24Speaker 2: the top three rounds were accurate guys, but no one
- 9:28Speaker 2: like no one did it with glaring driving accuracy. I
- 9:30Speaker 2: actually want to star. I can't stort by this right now.
- 9:33Speaker 2: If I were to see it's probably would take me
- 9:35Speaker 2: long a long time. But none of these top rounds
- 9:37Speaker 2: of the day were like top twenty and driving accuracy,
- 9:39Speaker 2: which is rare. Usually we see a guy mint fairways
- 9:42Speaker 2: and have a new ground of the day that did
- 9:43Speaker 2: not happen at all. So let's go here. Find some
- 9:46Speaker 2: golfers suit. They don't have to be long, but if
- 9:48Speaker 2: they're long, it helps to have a a glaring weakness.
- 9:52Speaker 2: But the stats that have really shown to pop was
- 9:55Speaker 2: approach and putting.
- 9:56Speaker 1: Pairing. These two things should lead to success. So let's
- 9:59Speaker 1: see the guys who.
- 10:00Speaker 2: Didn't do one of them poorly, didn't did one okay
- 10:04Speaker 2: and has room to pop in one of those regards.
- 10:06Speaker 1: So let's scroll down a little bit. See if we
- 10:08Speaker 1: have a profile, who's this right?
- 10:09Speaker 2: Here? Is this Sander Alex Smalley. Alex Mawley is an
- 10:12Speaker 2: unbelievable play in my opinion, tomorrow, so we shot minus three.
- 10:16Speaker 2: He gained one off, one on the on the greens,
- 10:19Speaker 2: one on approach, did not pop anywhere steady across the board.
- 10:22Speaker 2: If Alex Molly does this again, tomorrow then has one
- 10:24Speaker 2: of these plus three putting rounds. This turns this minus
- 10:27Speaker 2: four turns into a minus six. Alex Moley makes a
- 10:30Speaker 2: ton of sense. So who's this right here? Gained three
- 10:33Speaker 2: point seven on the approach, lost almost a full stroke
- 10:35Speaker 2: on the greens, and drove it well enough. Let's see,
- 10:38Speaker 2: I'm not looking at names. It's Xander Trothley. It is
- 10:41Speaker 2: Ander Troley, and I think we're in a great groove
- 10:43Speaker 2: with Xander in for our outright play, just for all
- 10:46Speaker 2: Xander this week he made nothing today and as you
- 10:48Speaker 2: can see, lost three, lost a stroke putting. So these
- 10:51Speaker 2: are the stats we're looking for approach and putting.
- 10:53Speaker 1: Let's go down a little more.
- 10:55Speaker 2: I don't want to necessarily ride this plus four putter.
- 10:57Speaker 2: That's a little bit too much. I like the guys
- 10:59Speaker 2: who are a little bit more zero more towards even
- 11:01Speaker 2: to have that popability.
- 11:03Speaker 1: This is a great profile right here.
- 11:05Speaker 2: About plus zero point three on approach, plus zero point
- 11:08Speaker 2: three on the greens, so much room to pop.
- 11:11Speaker 1: Or they long off the tee, that would be nice.
- 11:12Speaker 1: They're long with the tea. They're accurate.
- 11:14Speaker 2: It was Corey Connor's okay, not my favorite player in
- 11:16Speaker 2: the world, but a lot of room to pop. He's
- 11:18Speaker 2: not necessarily the greatest putter, so I don't necessarily love that,
- 11:21Speaker 2: but not a bad profile. Gain one point six on approach,
- 11:25Speaker 2: lost a stroke putting.
- 11:27Speaker 1: Who could this be?
- 11:28Speaker 2: Tom Kim wish he was a little longer. You guys
- 11:31Speaker 2: are getting the sense. Let's see what we got in
- 11:32Speaker 2: the comments. I agree with this, Anders small Ley is
- 11:36Speaker 2: a great starter for a lineup. Thoughts on Smotherman and
- 11:38Speaker 2: Patrick Rodgers. I don't like Smotherman, I'll tell you that
- 11:41Speaker 2: right now, but I'll give a look to Patrick Rogers.
- 11:43Speaker 2: I don't like Smotherman because he is generally like he's a.
- 11:49Speaker 1: Good little player. He's a good little player, but he's
- 11:53Speaker 1: been shocky for the last two weeks.
- 11:55Speaker 2: Austin Sputherman is always in the six k range and
- 11:58Speaker 2: now he has two good weeks to golf and all
- 12:00Speaker 2: of a sudden he's he's so owned. Don't chase those
- 12:03Speaker 2: low owned players, Like, yeah, I get it, Austin spud
- 12:06Speaker 2: Man like, you could play a little golf, but it's
- 12:09Speaker 2: just like when he gets shalky when he's usually the
- 12:13Speaker 2: six k range. It's not something I want to chase.
- 12:15Speaker 2: But I will give a look to Patrick Rogers. Patrick
- 12:17Speaker 2: Rodgers not a bad profile. He's long, which we like.
- 12:21Speaker 2: He gained to one point five on the greens, lost
- 12:25Speaker 2: about a stroke on approach.
- 12:26Speaker 1: Not the greatest profile in the world.
- 12:29Speaker 2: He's generally not the best iron player, which makes sense
- 12:32Speaker 2: for this profile. But he's been hitting the irons a
- 12:35Speaker 2: bit better over the last few tournaments, or at least
- 12:38Speaker 2: last week, so I don't mind that. Let's find a
- 12:41Speaker 2: few more guys that fit the bill that we're looking for.
- 12:45Speaker 1: Right here.
- 12:45Speaker 2: Plus plus seven on approach, plus seven off the tea. Oh,
- 12:51Speaker 2: I'm sorry. I guess I'll skip to it. Plus seven
- 12:55Speaker 2: on approach, plus seven on the putting greens, also long.
- 13:00Speaker 2: This was gonna be the one golfer that I am on,
- 13:03Speaker 2: as I always do. One golfer that I am on
- 13:05Speaker 2: definitely is Wyndam Clark.
- 13:07Speaker 1: Damn it.
- 13:08Speaker 2: I his profile was just too good that it caught
- 13:11Speaker 2: me when I was least expecting it. So Whendom Clark
- 13:13Speaker 2: is the one golfer I am on. I guess I'll
- 13:14Speaker 2: just do that bit right now and find a few
- 13:16Speaker 2: more golfers. Sorry, sorry, editor, I I know that's supposed
- 13:19Speaker 2: to come. That's supposed to come. Next, we'll find some
- 13:22Speaker 2: more profiles that kind of fit the bill what we're
- 13:24Speaker 2: looking for. All right, minus point three on approach, plus
- 13:27Speaker 2: point eight on the greens. If this is a good
- 13:29Speaker 2: approach player, If this is a good approach player, this
- 13:31Speaker 2: is a good formula right here, aj ewert pass. Let's
- 13:39Speaker 2: not the greatest approach player. I don't love what I'm
- 13:41Speaker 2: seeing from him. All right, plus point one on approach,
- 13:45Speaker 2: minus zero point one on the greens. Room to pop
- 13:49Speaker 2: in either of these categories. Is this player a good putter?
- 13:52Speaker 2: Is this player a good approach player?
- 13:54Speaker 1: Let's see.
- 13:54Speaker 2: I like not looking at the players and just looking
- 13:56Speaker 2: at the numbers and see where it leads me. That's
- 13:58Speaker 2: moment of truth. Moment of truth. Movem the truth. Adrian Satier,
- 14:01Speaker 2: Adrian Sadie. If you don't know him, a dep world
- 14:03Speaker 2: to a rookie from from Franza. He can pop with
- 14:07Speaker 2: the irons.
- 14:08Speaker 1: So I do like that. Not the longest, but I
- 14:10Speaker 1: don't mind the profile.
- 14:12Speaker 2: I want to stay away from these like minus one
- 14:14Speaker 2: minus one point five approach guys, because that's just like
- 14:17Speaker 2: poor approach play. I'm not going to chase poor approach play.
- 14:19Speaker 2: I don't mind chasing like zero approach. Play like that
- 14:21Speaker 2: means it's not horrible with the room to improve. Right here,
- 14:25Speaker 2: this is plus one on approach, minus point seven on
- 14:28Speaker 2: the greens. That could flip for sure. Let's see who
- 14:30Speaker 2: this is. They still have a whole left. Jimmy Stangs.
- 14:33Speaker 2: Jimmy Sangs, Tampa native. I believe, I believe Jimmy Stangers
- 14:36Speaker 2: from Tampa. Don't mind that at all. That could be
- 14:38Speaker 2: a nice play. Let's find two more profiles that kind
- 14:41Speaker 2: of fit the bill of what we're looking for. I
- 14:43Speaker 2: don't want to chase that. Putter minus point four on approach,
- 14:49Speaker 2: plus point three on the greens. Just a bad around
- 14:51Speaker 2: the green week, this around around the green day. This
- 14:55Speaker 2: could be a nice, really nice profile.
- 14:57Speaker 1: Joel Damon.
- 14:58Speaker 2: I wish he was a little longer, but this is
- 14:59Speaker 2: stat line that I'm looking for. You don't like I said,
- 15:01Speaker 2: they don't have to be long. I think long helps though.
- 15:04Speaker 2: One more guy, one more guy.
- 15:08Speaker 1: Here we go. Very similar profiles. Joe Damon.
- 15:11Speaker 2: He was plus about even an approach about even on
- 15:13Speaker 2: the greens. The dude the two stats that we were
- 15:15Speaker 2: looking for. He was not bad and he was average
- 15:17Speaker 2: with no one's gonna go to him because he shot
- 15:19Speaker 2: plus two pour around the greens and he's long Maddy Schmid.
- 15:23Speaker 2: I think Maddy Schmid is a great play for tomorrow.
- 15:25Speaker 2: So those are the golfers that I am looking for.
- 15:28Speaker 2: Those are the stats that I'm looking for to make
- 15:31Speaker 2: it happen. As always, the slate plan will be up
- 15:32Speaker 2: then in the next few minutes, and finally, the song
- 15:36Speaker 2: of the day, as always, what It Cost by bad Omens.
- 15:41Speaker 2: The playlist is in the discord, so go check it out.
- 15:45Speaker 2: Like I said, tomorrows show will be a bit later
- 15:47Speaker 2: than normal. Any question in order to find me, and
- 15:50Speaker 2: like every other day of the year, legit it catch
- 15:52Speaker 2: yes Tomorrow