Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 07/20/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Fall system's going clear, we lift.
- 0:41Speaker 2: What is going on? Shipping Nation YouTube station. I'm back.
- 0:45Speaker 3: It feels like it's been years since I've been on
- 0:48Speaker 3: here talking baseball with my good guy Matt here with
- 0:52Speaker 3: the All Star break coming to conclusion, and then I
- 0:55Speaker 3: was on vacation up at the Lake House and joining
- 0:58Speaker 3: the fourth of July there.
- 0:59Speaker 2: So so here we are July twentieth.
- 1:02Speaker 3: Feels like it was just July fourth yesterday, and now
- 1:05Speaker 3: July is almost over. So summer's just rolling right along
- 1:08Speaker 3: here and then it's back to the cold, shitty weather
- 1:10Speaker 3: in Wisconsin.
- 1:11Speaker 2: So looking forward to to that there.
- 1:13Speaker 3: But we have fourteen games to talk about here, Matt,
- 1:16Speaker 3: and we got a Wrigley win game.
- 1:18Speaker 2: We got cools Field, we got the Dodgers on the slate.
- 1:21Speaker 3: We have the Red Sox, who are got Wombat in
- 1:23Speaker 3: the discord is slobbering off of every single day saying
- 1:26Speaker 3: they're the best team in baseball because they got hot.
- 1:29Speaker 3: Should be a fun one to break down. We got
- 1:31Speaker 3: lots to talk about here. We got spend up pitching,
- 1:34Speaker 3: We got aces across the board. Obviously, with just the
- 1:37Speaker 3: All Star weekend happening or the All Star week excuse me, happening,
- 1:41Speaker 3: and then one weekend series which sets up most of
- 1:46Speaker 3: these teams for their aces on the mound. We've got
- 1:47Speaker 3: the Maze, We've got Sanchez, we've got seas to gram Kirby.
- 1:50Speaker 2: We're gonna talk about all of it.
- 1:51Speaker 3: We're talk pitching, and then we'll go game by game,
- 1:54Speaker 3: talk hitting, try and get out of here as quick
- 1:56Speaker 3: as we can. I know you got a hard stop
- 1:58Speaker 3: at five in about an hour here, so bring.
- 2:02Speaker 2: You in right away. Man, Happy Monday. Hell's your weekend?
- 2:05Speaker 2: What's going on? Brother?
- 2:06Speaker 1: Yeah? Weekend was good, bro. Happy to be on here
- 2:08Speaker 1: with you. It does.
- 2:09Speaker 4: It feels like it's been too long since we last
- 2:11Speaker 4: get on here and talk some seams.
- 2:12Speaker 1: So Man, happy to be back on here with you,
- 2:14Speaker 1: for sure.
- 2:15Speaker 4: You said to me the last thing before we got
- 2:18Speaker 4: live is the slate is a doozy and I couldn't
- 2:21Speaker 4: put any other better word next to it. I mean,
- 2:24Speaker 4: it's about as doozy of a slate as you'll ever find.
- 2:27Speaker 4: Great stacks, great pitching dealer's choice tonight.
- 2:31Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean really ownership both side of maybe one
- 2:35Speaker 3: or two spots, and everyone's like, oh, it's coors Field,
- 2:38Speaker 3: it's NAT's their best offensive baseball statistically for over the
- 2:42Speaker 3: first half. There gotta be chalk, right, But no DraftKings
- 2:45Speaker 3: actually priced them up even more than they were already
- 2:48Speaker 3: priced up. Obviously, when you're producing fantasy points day in
- 2:51Speaker 3: and day out, DraftKings algorithm catches that and it at
- 2:54Speaker 3: least prices you up. So it's not like we have
- 2:57Speaker 3: a team that is just underpriced in cores, but we
- 3:00Speaker 3: do have a team that's under price for the game
- 3:02Speaker 3: environment overall is kind of how the slate shakes up, right,
- 3:04Speaker 3: So we got to spend down arm that everybody wants
- 3:07Speaker 3: to go to in the kind of that mid tier
- 3:08Speaker 3: against the Pirates in Yankee Stadium in Ryan Weathers and
- 3:12Speaker 3: then you got miss and then the Tigers is kind
- 3:15Speaker 3: of what the slate shakes up to be.
- 3:16Speaker 2: Because of the win game there in Wrigley.
- 3:18Speaker 3: There is also weather concerns in that game, but it
- 3:20Speaker 3: does look like it is going to play, so that
- 3:25Speaker 3: seems like full steam ahead.
- 3:26Speaker 2: Now. Rot that updated his weather forecast there had it
- 3:29Speaker 2: tagged as kind.
- 3:30Speaker 3: Of orange yellow. Now it's green yellow. So guns are
- 3:33Speaker 3: blazing in that game. Everybody's gonna run there for probably
- 3:36Speaker 3: a good reason. It's pretty hot and humid, wind blown
- 3:39Speaker 3: out there, and Wrigley, which we know what that does.
- 3:41Speaker 3: And two pretty crappy pitchers, at least one crappy pitcher
- 3:45Speaker 3: in my opinion, on the mound for sure, which is
- 3:47Speaker 3: hence why Tigers are going to get the ownership they're
- 3:49Speaker 3: going to get. But Matt, I'll go ahead and bring
- 3:51Speaker 3: in our slate station right away here, go ahead and
- 3:55Speaker 3: add that to the stage swap over here. I got
- 3:59Speaker 3: to pick a pitcher rankings here up on the screen. Mat,
- 4:01Speaker 3: I'm gonna go ahead and sort by salary, not by rankings.
- 4:05Speaker 3: We're gonna go eight K and above and try to
- 4:06Speaker 3: do our best to navigate this pitcher pool and kind
- 4:10Speaker 3: of trim it down a little bit here. Obviously, when
- 4:13Speaker 3: you got twenty eight teams on the docket, there's gonna
- 4:15Speaker 3: be tons of stacks that we don't talk about.
- 4:17Speaker 2: We do talk about.
- 4:18Speaker 3: You can't play everyone on slates like this unless you're
- 4:21Speaker 3: playing six hundred lineups, and good luck doing that.
- 4:23Speaker 2: So talk to me, how are you approaching this pitching slater?
- 4:26Speaker 3: Are you gonna spend the twelve K Jacob Mizzerowski best
- 4:29Speaker 3: K prop on the slate Clearcut National League sy Young
- 4:34Speaker 3: favorite right now as it comes, he has had some
- 4:37Speaker 3: extended time off, so that is also something to talk
- 4:41Speaker 3: about when we're talking pitching as well, the extended time off.
- 4:44Speaker 3: He did skip his last start before the All Star
- 4:46Speaker 3: break and then obviously didn't pitch in the All Star
- 4:47Speaker 3: Game as well either, so he is it.
- 4:50Speaker 2: On extended rest.
- 4:51Speaker 3: Sometimes that messes with pitchers a little bit there, But
- 4:54Speaker 3: twelve K against the Mets lineup, who's litter with strikeouts overall?
- 4:58Speaker 3: Christopher Sanchez right there. Nobody's gonna play Christopher Sanchez at
- 5:01Speaker 3: eleven K probably for a good reason, right, he gets
- 5:04Speaker 3: the Dodgers matchup, But Christopher Sanchez is one of the
- 5:07Speaker 3: best pitchers if in the league, right, and you can
- 5:10Speaker 3: argue he's kind of matchup proof. Overall. It is an
- 5:14Speaker 3: expensive price point to pay in relative to the slates,
- 5:18Speaker 3: So talk to me, how are you approaching the top
- 5:20Speaker 3: two guys, and then really hit on the guys that
- 5:21Speaker 3: are kinna get kind of majority of the ownership behind Mizerowski,
- 5:25Speaker 3: which is gonna be Dylan See and Jacob de Grom
- 5:28Speaker 3: at ten K and ten ten to five there, and
- 5:31Speaker 3: then George Kirby a little bit as well. Best pitchers
- 5:33Speaker 3: ballpark out there in ninety four hundred pitching at home.
- 5:36Speaker 3: We love to target these Seattle pitchers when they're pitching
- 5:39Speaker 3: at home.
- 5:39Speaker 2: Talk to me.
- 5:41Speaker 1: Yeah, So I think those are the big five right
- 5:42Speaker 1: there that you mentioned.
- 5:43Speaker 4: As far as miz Thos, I think he's definitely the
- 5:46Speaker 4: top ceiling option on this plate.
- 5:48Speaker 1: No doubt Jack's the best. If one guy is gonna
- 5:53Speaker 1: break the slate, you put.
- 5:55Speaker 4: Your money that it's miss although there are a few
- 5:57Speaker 4: guys that could do it tonight. Your point about the
- 6:00Speaker 4: long time off missing a couple of starts, I think
- 6:04Speaker 4: that just puts it kind of like you mentioned, like
- 6:07Speaker 4: pictures are creatures of habit. I think there's a little
- 6:10Speaker 4: bit more unknown coming into this start, but I think
- 6:13Speaker 4: it cook out both ways. Like I think he could
- 6:15Speaker 4: be even sharper tonight because he said so much time.
- 6:19Speaker 1: I do think that it.
- 6:20Speaker 4: Could work in the other you know, the other side
- 6:23Speaker 4: of that where maybe he's not as sharp. So it's
- 6:27Speaker 4: tough to like have a hard stance on miz here
- 6:31Speaker 4: because of the price tag and how many expensive offenses
- 6:33Speaker 4: there there are to like tonight.
- 6:35Speaker 1: That said, he's clearly the top option if you can
- 6:38Speaker 1: make it work.
- 6:40Speaker 4: After that, I kind of view all the guys pretty similarly.
- 6:43Speaker 4: It's tough to pay eleven K for Sanchez against the Dodgers.
- 6:46Speaker 1: Like Man, I love the idea of being contrarian.
- 6:51Speaker 4: He is good enough where he can get through and
- 6:53Speaker 4: dominate any lineup, but just not using pictures against the Dodgers,
- 6:59Speaker 4: you know, not especially spending up on pictures against the
- 7:03Speaker 4: Dodgers is pretty you know, safe way to play it
- 7:06Speaker 4: on a slate to slate basis.
- 7:07Speaker 1: I don't know if I want to.
- 7:08Speaker 4: Differ to that year. My next favorite after Missus Kirby.
- 7:12Speaker 4: You talked about the ballpark. You get this Reds team
- 7:16Speaker 4: coming from Cores going to Seattle. Their home park is
- 7:21Speaker 4: obviously very hit or friendly. Kirby much like much many
- 7:25Speaker 4: of these Seattle pitchers better at home, elite struck out matchup.
- 7:30Speaker 1: I really like Kirby here especially had a discount from
- 7:33Speaker 1: season to Grom, who I also like. Case has been
- 7:36Speaker 1: phenomenal this year. I hate that he.
- 7:41Speaker 4: I think last game with a no hitter through one
- 7:43Speaker 4: hundred and twenty it'sh pitches. That was before the break though,
- 7:47Speaker 4: so did have time off. I like here and then
- 7:50Speaker 4: de Grom feels like his floor is probably the lowest.
- 7:53Speaker 4: We know the White Socks have been raating against right
- 7:54Speaker 4: handed pitching, but the Grom has also been really good
- 7:57Speaker 4: at home.
- 7:58Speaker 1: So I think.
- 8:00Speaker 4: Sanchez is the clear like odd man out of these five.
- 8:05Speaker 4: I think he's gonna be by far the lowest owned,
- 8:08Speaker 4: and that in itself has me interested in tournaments.
- 8:10Speaker 1: But just on.
- 8:11Speaker 4: Paper, I would rank the miz Kirby c Stagram Sanchez.
- 8:19Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 8:20Speaker 3: No, I like kind of how you how you broke
- 8:22Speaker 3: it down there. I am going to talk about Peyton
- 8:24Speaker 3: Toley a little bit as well. At eighty seven hundred
- 8:27Speaker 3: there against the Orioles Adleie Rushman just went on the tendil,
- 8:33Speaker 3: So that does help him a little bit there as
- 8:34Speaker 3: well as kind of a pivot there in that eighty
- 8:37Speaker 3: seven hundred range and in teams where you're not spending
- 8:40Speaker 3: up on a on a mizz I think he makes
- 8:42Speaker 3: some sense. I see your guy Sean Sully in the
- 8:44Speaker 3: chat saying ten twelve K is way too much for
- 8:47Speaker 3: Jacob Mizzerowski. Let me ask you something real quick, Sully,
- 8:51Speaker 3: how many times have you seen a nine and a
- 8:52Speaker 3: half K prop on Vegas books? Not very often right,
- 8:57Speaker 3: And that's basically I mean, it's a little juice to
- 8:59Speaker 3: the under, but it's pretty close to.
- 9:03Speaker 2: Being even money, right.
- 9:04Speaker 3: So I mean, that's the argument on the slate is
- 9:08Speaker 3: you can make is okay. So if the Nats go
- 9:10Speaker 3: up and put up twenty three runs like they did
- 9:12Speaker 3: in Sacramento over the weekend, you're probably not gonna need
- 9:15Speaker 3: Mis regardless of what he scores, because the Nats are gonna.
- 9:19Speaker 2: Be the winners in terms of the bats.
- 9:21Speaker 3: And you can make that case for a couple offenses.
- 9:23Speaker 3: Right on this slate. Miss is still the cash game guy,
- 9:27Speaker 3: right the Miss twelve K. There's twenty eight offenses on
- 9:31Speaker 3: the slate that you can get to, and there's a
- 9:33Speaker 3: lot of teams that are in good spots outside of
- 9:35Speaker 3: the win game and outside of the coors Field game.
- 9:39Speaker 3: The Tigers are under priced, so that's why you can
- 9:41Speaker 3: afford miz and that's why he's gonna get ownership. He's
- 9:44Speaker 3: the best pitcher in the league. His K props, his projections,
- 9:47Speaker 3: everything's off the chart. You can make the argument the
- 9:49Speaker 3: Mets haven't struck out a ton over the last month
- 9:52Speaker 3: against right hand pitching, but Mis doesn't matter. Who if
- 9:55Speaker 3: Miss is on. It doesn't matter who he's facing. It's
- 9:58Speaker 3: not about the team. It's about him. Really is the pitcher.
- 10:01Speaker 3: So if you can afford Miss, he's great. I'm probably
- 10:03Speaker 3: gonna play this slate one of two ways. It's either
- 10:06Speaker 3: you spin up for Miz and probably one of these
- 10:09Speaker 3: other spin up arms, or you just punt your pitcher off.
- 10:13Speaker 3: You play like Ryan Weathers down below eight K and
- 10:15Speaker 3: another cheap arm, Shane Baz or something like that, and
- 10:19Speaker 3: then you just spend up for the Nats bats or
- 10:21Speaker 3: the spend up offenses. So there's two clear cut ways
- 10:24Speaker 3: to play this slate. One way is not right, one
- 10:26Speaker 3: way is not wrong. It could be a combination. At
- 10:28Speaker 3: the end of the day, not much more for me
- 10:31Speaker 3: to say with Miss, if you can afford him, he's great.
- 10:33Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna have in my handbuilds my two kind
- 10:36Speaker 3: of main teams. I'm probably gonna focus around him and
- 10:38Speaker 3: just take an underway to approach on some of the
- 10:41Speaker 3: more popular offenses and try and try and just say, Okay,
- 10:44Speaker 3: those offenses are all middling at their salaries, that Miss
- 10:47Speaker 3: Miss is the guy you need over those offenses.
- 10:49Speaker 2: So that's kind of how you approach it. I like
- 10:51Speaker 2: doing a ton as well.
- 10:53Speaker 3: De Gram I think is a really good play as
- 10:54Speaker 3: well at ten five, ten ten, k I think you're
- 10:58Speaker 3: more than happy to to start with one of those
- 11:00Speaker 3: if you can't afford that extra two paid to get
- 11:02Speaker 3: up to Miz.
- 11:03Speaker 2: I'm with you on Kirby too. Kirby, I think sp
- 11:07Speaker 2: like the.
- 11:09Speaker 3: Salary adjusted points per dollar wise at that in this ballpark.
- 11:13Speaker 2: Against a strikeout happy Reds team.
- 11:16Speaker 3: I think he is arguably one of the best plays
- 11:19Speaker 3: on the slate, and he's not going to get owned
- 11:21Speaker 3: as such, just because the ownership is going to spread
- 11:24Speaker 3: out so much.
- 11:24Speaker 2: Because we have so.
- 11:25Speaker 3: Many games on the slate and we have Miz, we
- 11:27Speaker 3: have Sanchez, we have ceased to ground, we have all
- 11:30Speaker 3: the big names on the slate. Not everybody can get played,
- 11:33Speaker 3: and people also want to play the offenses right, so
- 11:36Speaker 3: more people are looking to spend down with guys like
- 11:38Speaker 3: Ryan Weathers who look really good things like that, so
- 11:41Speaker 3: ownership is going to spread out.
- 11:42Speaker 2: I think Kirby's a really, really good play.
- 11:44Speaker 3: The only other guy I wanted to mention besides the
- 11:46Speaker 3: big five up at the top is Peyton Toley.
- 11:49Speaker 2: I'm believer in this kid. I think he's solid.
- 11:51Speaker 3: Arm the O's, like I talked about, I don't love
- 11:57Speaker 3: picking on them a ton. It is good hitting environments
- 12:00Speaker 3: in Fenway, but the Red six bats have been really
- 12:02Speaker 3: good as of late. Shane bos has capabilities get hit up,
- 12:06Speaker 3: especially but from the left side, so you could see
- 12:09Speaker 3: totally be pitching with the lead, which does help the
- 12:12Speaker 3: case there. And eighty seven hundred, not many people are
- 12:15Speaker 3: gonna get to him. So I think as a contrarian,
- 12:17Speaker 3: play up up here in this range. I think Playton
- 12:19Speaker 3: totally at eighty seven hundred makes some sense. Not much
- 12:23Speaker 3: more up there, but down below eight kid think there
- 12:26Speaker 3: is a couple guys. I'm gonna throw out a couple
- 12:27Speaker 3: of names for you, Matt, and then let you break
- 12:29Speaker 3: it down, Emmitt Sheehan up at the top at seventy
- 12:32Speaker 3: nine hundred. On the other side of that Christopher Sanchez matchup.
- 12:35Speaker 3: A lot of times you see pitchers going up against
- 12:38Speaker 3: clearcut kind of higher caliber arms like a Sanchez, like
- 12:42Speaker 3: a Mazerowski. The pitcher on the other side tends to
- 12:44Speaker 3: get up for games like that, especially with the Dodgers
- 12:46Speaker 3: in the Phillies in Philly. Here, she Han, you could
- 12:50Speaker 3: play him, I think at seventy nine hundred, I don't
- 12:52Speaker 3: love it, but he is a pivot off of Ryan Weathers,
- 12:55Speaker 3: who's going to be the chalk ist PTWO in the
- 12:57Speaker 3: slate seventy seven hundred. He's a good arm gets the
- 12:59Speaker 3: pie who are left handed heavy, and I think it's
- 13:03Speaker 3: a really good spot for him. Overall ownership, like I said,
- 13:06Speaker 3: is gonna be spread out, so it's not really like
- 13:08Speaker 3: he's gonna be a fifty sixty percent on pitcher or
- 13:10Speaker 3: something like that. So I think ru Weathers looks the
- 13:13Speaker 3: best personally on paper, as does projections.
- 13:16Speaker 2: Wise, everybody's gonna see it that way.
- 13:18Speaker 3: And then I think if you're punting down, you could
- 13:20Speaker 3: take a shot and kind of hold your nose, plug
- 13:22Speaker 3: your nose and play guys like Andrew Alvarez on the
- 13:25Speaker 3: slate at fifty seven hundred in that other roster type
- 13:28Speaker 3: construction that I say that, hey, maybe you just spin
- 13:31Speaker 3: up for the Nats.
- 13:31Speaker 2: You're gonna be lower owned because of their salaries.
- 13:33Speaker 3: You pair them up with a guy like Andrew Alvarez,
- 13:35Speaker 3: who I think has some talent.
- 13:37Speaker 2: I know he's pitching in coursefield.
- 13:38Speaker 3: I know it's against the Rockies, but if you can
- 13:40Speaker 3: navigate against really Connor Goodman.
- 13:42Speaker 2: I think that's the biggest issue there.
- 13:43Speaker 3: So talk to me any guys down here, you're gonna
- 13:45Speaker 3: mess with any Jansen junk Andre Alvarez. I think these
- 13:49Speaker 3: cheaper guys down here in teams where you're not spending
- 13:51Speaker 3: up a pitcher and you're prioritizing bats over the arms.
- 13:56Speaker 4: So Man, as I was telling you before we started,
- 13:58Speaker 4: I think for me a big issue on the slate
- 14:00Speaker 4: is I just don't see any cheaper pictures.
- 14:02Speaker 1: I like that said, you definitely have to consider some of.
- 14:06Speaker 4: These guys just because of how this state plays out
- 14:08Speaker 4: with the expensive aspenses that are in play. Now to
- 14:12Speaker 4: your earlier point about just playing miz and figuring it,
- 14:16Speaker 4: figuring the rest out, I get that. I get playing
- 14:19Speaker 4: that way too, because it's a big enough flate where
- 14:21Speaker 4: there's always going to be cheap bats in play. But
- 14:24Speaker 4: as you mentioned a couple of times, there's multiple ways
- 14:27Speaker 4: to play this slate, and I think that at least
- 14:30Speaker 4: taking some shots on some cheap pictures is worth exploring.
- 14:34Speaker 4: Whether's looks the best undoubtedly, you know the under eight
- 14:38Speaker 4: K range for sure. I like the matchup. You know,
- 14:41Speaker 4: Pittsburgh against lefties or left against Pittsburgh has been a
- 14:44Speaker 4: fall year. I could buy whether it's for sure here sheehan.
- 14:49Speaker 4: I just don't like the spot against Philly, although it's
- 14:52Speaker 4: just a talent play, so I don't hate it either.
- 14:55Speaker 1: Alvarez. I was looking at him, Alvarez and Kyle.
- 14:59Speaker 4: Leehy and Lee he as a guy that I've wanted
- 15:01Speaker 4: and picked on much of the year, but on this
- 15:04Speaker 4: slate against this Angels lineup at sixty five hundred, I
- 15:10Speaker 4: think Kylie he is my favorite, like just cheap dart
- 15:14Speaker 4: throw Alvarez right there too, because Alvarez is.
- 15:17Speaker 1: A thousand cheaper, so I think.
- 15:20Speaker 4: Like you worry more about Alvarez's length if they're both
- 15:23Speaker 4: pitching well, but Alvarez is even cheaper, So I think
- 15:27Speaker 4: those two guys Chance and Junk, I don't hate him either,
- 15:30Speaker 4: because you look at this Houston lineup, at least what
- 15:33Speaker 4: they ran out yesterday not as bad as it can
- 15:36Speaker 4: get with Alvarez in there. So once you get passed
- 15:39Speaker 4: off two B A and Alvarez, a lot of minor
- 15:42Speaker 4: leaders in there. I don't like Chunk, I don't want
- 15:46Speaker 4: to play him, but sixty three hundred against the mostly
- 15:49Speaker 4: minor lineup I've played worse.
- 15:54Speaker 2: Yeah, No, a couple other guys out. Do you want
- 15:56Speaker 2: to throw out Andrew Abott?
- 15:57Speaker 3: I think is pretty interesting too, just the other side
- 16:00Speaker 3: of that matchup. I think he could really get away
- 16:03Speaker 3: with pairing up Abbott and George Kirby and just saying, hey,
- 16:07Speaker 3: I'm going to play the pitchers in the best pitching
- 16:08Speaker 3: environment on the slate and hopefully they do enough and
- 16:12Speaker 3: they have solid enough matchups. This Mariners team has not
- 16:16Speaker 3: been the same Mariners team of last year obviously, on
- 16:18Speaker 3: the back of cal Rally last year.
- 16:20Speaker 2: He's kind of not declined, but.
- 16:22Speaker 3: Not doing the same kind of season right the outlier
- 16:24Speaker 3: season he had last year. So it's actually a pretty
- 16:27Speaker 3: solid matchup there. And I think Abbott has some talent.
- 16:30Speaker 3: He's been good enough, serviceable enough at home pitching great
- 16:33Speaker 3: American small part. He gets a huge park upgrade here
- 16:36Speaker 3: going out to Seattle and gets a pretty strikeout happy
- 16:41Speaker 3: Mariners team. I mean, Caro Raley thirty five percent, Case
- 16:44Speaker 3: Emerson thirty five percent, case Weston Wilson thirty percent, Ca
- 16:48Speaker 3: Robless twenty six percent strikeout rate against left handed pitching,
- 16:52Speaker 3: So I think he is a really interesting option as well,
- 16:55Speaker 3: and then Alvarez would be my second favorite. Yeah, yeah,
- 16:59Speaker 3: so it's the lower tier for me, really kind of summary.
- 17:01Speaker 3: I know there's a bunch of guys Weather's clearcut sp
- 17:04Speaker 3: one below eight K, but projections everything.
- 17:08Speaker 2: Everybody knows that.
- 17:09Speaker 3: I think Abbot's an elite pivot right off of Ryan
- 17:11Speaker 3: Weathers and teams like that. So I think those two
- 17:15Speaker 3: are really good. And then my favorite guy down below
- 17:18Speaker 3: is gonna be Alvarez. He ranks really well in our
- 17:20Speaker 3: picture rankings. I trust their stuff enough, especially on slates
- 17:23Speaker 3: like this, I like to rely on our tools a
- 17:25Speaker 3: lot more to help kind of simple simplify it, because
- 17:28Speaker 3: at the end of the day, everybody can make a
- 17:30Speaker 3: case pretty much about majority of these pictures on a
- 17:32Speaker 3: slate on why to play them right, because majority of them,
- 17:36Speaker 3: outside of a few guys, are gonna have no ownership
- 17:38Speaker 3: at all, right, so you can always make that argument.
- 17:40Speaker 3: Those are kind of the three main guys I'm looking
- 17:42Speaker 3: down here. I get your reasoning for Kyle Leahey, I
- 17:44Speaker 3: just rather if I'm messing with that, I'd rather go
- 17:47Speaker 3: up a little bit to have it or just save
- 17:50Speaker 3: that extra thousand dollars and just white guy like Andrew Alvarez.
- 17:53Speaker 3: But again, I'm not gonna talk anyone off anyone down
- 17:56Speaker 3: here when they have a reasoning for it, and I
- 17:59Speaker 3: know I just I'd rather play the Angels personally, because
- 18:03Speaker 3: I've stacked against Lee Hee every time he's done on
- 18:04Speaker 3: the slate.
- 18:05Speaker 4: I think right, I would rather say it. I like
- 18:08Speaker 4: your case Rabbit here, I like the matchup. I like
- 18:10Speaker 4: the ballpark up with you. I think Abbott is a
- 18:13Speaker 4: better play than Lea He. I don't want to play
- 18:15Speaker 4: league either. I haven't played him. I'm stacked against them
- 18:17Speaker 4: all year, so I'm totally with you.
- 18:18Speaker 2: There, yeah, or gout checkmate.
- 18:22Speaker 3: Talking about Springs, I'm not a Jeffrey Springs guy personally,
- 18:25Speaker 3: but he is six K against the team who's gonna
- 18:27Speaker 3: get a lot of ownership on the bat side because
- 18:28Speaker 3: they're cheap. So Mizerowski teams are gonna be probably have
- 18:31Speaker 3: a lot of Tigers and a lot of d Backs.
- 18:33Speaker 3: So you couldn't make the case if maybe, if you're
- 18:37Speaker 3: playing a guy like Jeffrey Spring, maybe don't play Maybe
- 18:44Speaker 3: don't play Miz and go with like a Dylan Cease
- 18:47Speaker 3: or a Sanchez. If you want to bite that bullet
- 18:50Speaker 3: or something like that and just play it a little
- 18:51Speaker 3: bit differently, and then you're kind of double leveraging the
- 18:55Speaker 3: field in terms of ross construction there.
- 18:57Speaker 2: But personally I didn't get to him.
- 18:59Speaker 3: But again, I'm not gonna talk anyone really off of
- 19:01Speaker 3: anyone who's not gonna get any ownership, and there's some
- 19:03Speaker 3: leverage against what the field's gonna do stack in against
- 19:06Speaker 3: him there. So personally, for me, I didn't get there.
- 19:09Speaker 3: But I think we talked about pitching enough here, Matts.
- 19:13Speaker 3: Let's go ahead and kind of give your your five right,
- 19:16Speaker 3: your drive for five. Here, your your five five arms
- 19:19Speaker 3: right to simp fly it. I know it's very hard
- 19:21Speaker 3: when there's twenty eight pitchers, but you had to bust
- 19:23Speaker 3: it down into five guys for people out there that
- 19:26Speaker 3: are making one to three teams, which majority of the
- 19:29Speaker 3: chat is probably making one to three teams, which is
- 19:31Speaker 3: a nightmare on tonight's slate.
- 19:33Speaker 2: But let's try our best. Go ahead and give your
- 19:35Speaker 2: five main guys.
- 19:37Speaker 4: I'm gonna go Kirby one, Miz two. I did this
- 19:41Speaker 4: is a price considered. We'll go Weather's three abbot for
- 19:45Speaker 4: I like the abbot call a lot, just a lot
- 19:49Speaker 4: working for here. Not that I'm some huge Abbot fan,
- 19:52Speaker 4: but kind of felt the cracks for me. So glad
- 19:55Speaker 4: you brought him up in mad case for him. And
- 19:57Speaker 4: then fifth we'll go. Man, it's hard for me to
- 20:01Speaker 4: tie between the Grim and Cease. Give me the Brohm,
- 20:04Speaker 4: I'm gonna switch them in my rankings there. I just
- 20:06Speaker 4: don't feel comfortable with Cease coming off that many pitches
- 20:11Speaker 4: I take off like near no hitters.
- 20:15Speaker 1: And I don't like the matchup for Seas against Tampa.
- 20:18Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean I'm picking, I'm grasping at straws.
- 20:23Speaker 4: But give me the Grim as my number five overseas,
- 20:26Speaker 4: how about you.
- 20:27Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll go Miz number one.
- 20:29Speaker 3: I'll go Weather's number two, Abbott three, Alvaris four, and
- 20:34Speaker 3: then I will go George Kirby five. It is kind
- 20:38Speaker 3: of those five. It's very hard to obviously simplify. I
- 20:41Speaker 3: did some cheaper guys for people out there, just because
- 20:43Speaker 3: of the way the slate shakes up. But yeah, that's
- 20:45Speaker 3: kind of the five I'm looking at there, And yeah
- 20:48Speaker 3: I see it in the chat our guy talking right here,
- 20:50Speaker 3: mister r. K.
- 20:51Speaker 2: Klein here, we.
- 20:53Speaker 3: Got a two point oh Stone two point oh here,
- 20:56Speaker 3: and I've been working with the team behind the scenes
- 20:58Speaker 3: on some different metrics that I talk about a ton
- 21:00Speaker 3: on these shows.
- 21:02Speaker 2: The nice part about this is a super user friendly.
- 21:04Speaker 1: Here.
- 21:04Speaker 2: You have a virtual handbuilder over here.
- 21:06Speaker 3: You can just click literally optimized lineup and I'll give
- 21:08Speaker 3: you the projections driven. If you go ahead and hit
- 21:11Speaker 3: the save, you can save your lineup right to here.
- 21:14Speaker 3: And when you do save a bunch, you can download
- 21:16Speaker 3: a CSV copy and paste it the old fashioned way
- 21:19Speaker 3: into an Excel or your your DraftKings file and you
- 21:22Speaker 3: can do it that way.
- 21:22Speaker 2: So it's kind of got a little.
- 21:24Speaker 3: Minimum built in kind of hand builder optimizer built into it.
- 21:29Speaker 3: But the thing I love about the most here here
- 21:31Speaker 3: Matt in our new tool, and then we'll talk our
- 21:34Speaker 3: old stone when we go game by game here is
- 21:37Speaker 3: now we have k per nine on here, we have
- 21:39Speaker 3: the strikeout rate. We have the Sierra, which is one
- 21:42Speaker 3: of my favorite rankings for pitcher looking at pitcher deep
- 21:44Speaker 3: diving in there their home runs per nine giving up
- 21:47Speaker 3: their flyball rate and their ground ball rate. Right, So
- 21:49Speaker 3: when we're talking about ground ball hit pictures against the
- 21:52Speaker 3: Brewers or flyball pitchers in Coors Field, they're regally win
- 21:55Speaker 3: game things like that. You can come over here real
- 21:57Speaker 3: quickly sort by flyball rate, ground ball rate. If you
- 22:00Speaker 3: want to go over and talk hitter, well, hide the
- 22:02Speaker 3: pitcher stats, show the hitter stats, and go click on
- 22:05Speaker 3: hitters and here thinks you still got their barrel percentage
- 22:08Speaker 3: against the handedness, their ground ball rate, their fly ball rate,
- 22:11Speaker 3: their k percentage they're expecting io Wollba, everything they're at bats,
- 22:15Speaker 3: what their hitter ranking is right here, and it's all
- 22:18Speaker 3: super filtered. And if you want to kind of virtual handbuild,
- 22:21Speaker 3: all you have to do is go ahead and click
- 22:23Speaker 3: this guy in here, click this guy in here. You
- 22:26Speaker 3: can do whatever you want, optimize, hit the lock button.
- 22:29Speaker 3: It's very very user friendly here. We have this for golf,
- 22:32Speaker 3: we have it for all of the sports, and you
- 22:34Speaker 3: can also filter by the slates here as well, fan
- 22:37Speaker 3: do and draftings. So I didn't want to show off
- 22:38Speaker 3: this brand new tool. It just debuted today. Like I said,
- 22:42Speaker 3: I've been working behind the scenes with the team on
- 22:45Speaker 3: adding some different stats and if you want to add
- 22:47Speaker 3: more stats in here. It is customizable and we can
- 22:50Speaker 3: take it take it back to the team. So if
- 22:52Speaker 3: you're looking for other stats, whether it's pitcher or hitter stats.
- 22:55Speaker 3: That would make it easier for you guys to build
- 22:57Speaker 3: teams and kind of play around with it. Stuff you're
- 22:59Speaker 3: looking at that you're looking at from other sites or
- 23:02Speaker 3: fangrafts or this or that, to kind of simplify your
- 23:05Speaker 3: tabs down. Go ahead and send me a message in
- 23:07Speaker 3: the discord and we're happy to take it back and
- 23:09Speaker 3: see if we can get it at it here. But
- 23:11Speaker 3: I did want to showcase this off. Super super happy
- 23:14Speaker 3: about this, and like I said, the best part about
- 23:16Speaker 3: it is it's filter both sortable everything versus the old Stone,
- 23:21Speaker 3: which we're still going to showcase here just because it
- 23:23Speaker 3: shows the lineups in a game by game format. But
- 23:26Speaker 3: this you can't click and sort. You have to download
- 23:28Speaker 3: the Excel file. So shut up to the team for that.
- 23:31Speaker 3: Love that piece of content. I use the Stone a
- 23:34Speaker 3: ton all day every day looking at the different metrics there.
- 23:37Speaker 3: But Matt first game on the slate, Phillies, Dodgers, Chhan,
- 23:40Speaker 3: Christopher Sanchez. You can make a case for more on
- 23:43Speaker 3: the Philly side, but it is still the Dodgers one
- 23:46Speaker 3: of the best offenses in baseball. I'd just rather not
- 23:47Speaker 3: pick on one of the best starting pitchers in the
- 23:49Speaker 3: league on a fourteen game slate.
- 23:51Speaker 2: So the Dodgers not going to be down my list.
- 23:53Speaker 3: But this is the lowest you're ever going to see
- 23:55Speaker 3: the Dodgers owned ever, I think, so you always have that.
- 23:59Speaker 3: But talk to me, Phillies Dodgers. This is the game
- 24:01Speaker 3: I don't love for offense on either side. If I
- 24:03Speaker 3: had to pick a side, to be more in the Phillies,
- 24:05Speaker 3: especially those lefties, I just don't know if I can
- 24:07Speaker 3: get up to a guy like Kyle Schwarbur and Bryce
- 24:08Speaker 3: Harper at those salaries over guys like the Nats in
- 24:11Speaker 3: similar price ranges.
- 24:14Speaker 4: Yeah, so you have like a similar situation with the
- 24:16Speaker 4: Dodgers as you do Sanchas against them.
- 24:18Speaker 1: Where they're both they're all really.
- 24:21Speaker 4: Expensive, and they're facing Sanchez, so they're not gonna get love.
- 24:24Speaker 4: I do think that in tournaments, both Sanchez and the
- 24:27Speaker 4: Dodgers are worth considering, Like in that five dollars, you know,
- 24:33Speaker 4: I don't even know how many people are in that tonight, right, Like,
- 24:36Speaker 4: the Dodgers always have upside to win a state no
- 24:39Speaker 4: matter who they're facing, no matter.
- 24:40Speaker 1: Who else is on the slate.
- 24:42Speaker 4: They're one of the only teams you can say that about,
- 24:44Speaker 4: especially with Judge not in the Yankees lineup.
- 24:46Speaker 1: So I don't love the matchup. I'm not gonna play
- 24:49Speaker 1: the Dodgers here.
- 24:49Speaker 4: I'm ring a couple of lineups and there's too many
- 24:53Speaker 4: other good spots to want to spend up for the
- 24:54Speaker 4: Dodgers to get Sandas. But in Larchfield stuff, I get it.
- 24:58Speaker 4: The Phillies are a little more interesting. But man like,
- 25:02Speaker 4: I can't sit here him say I'm gonna appgate the
- 25:04Speaker 4: funds to spend on the Philly guys with so many
- 25:06Speaker 4: other good spots that also aren't gonna get ownership. I
- 25:08Speaker 4: respect she handed enough where I'm probably out on this
- 25:12Speaker 4: game going that like all sides of it. Really, she
- 25:16Speaker 4: hands counted enough. The Phillies have enough power, and I
- 25:19Speaker 4: just talked about the Dodgers and fanchise where any side
- 25:21Speaker 4: could you know, be a winner in tournaments?
- 25:24Speaker 1: But I'm not gonna play any of it.
- 25:27Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm kind of with you. It'd be the Lefties.
- 25:29Speaker 3: So guy like Brandon Marsh I think is fairly interesting.
- 25:32Speaker 3: At his salary, they're forty two hundred. He has kind
- 25:35Speaker 3: of priced up a little bit more. But she hadn't
- 25:37Speaker 3: is susceptible to the left handed power. So Schwarber, Harper
- 25:40Speaker 3: and marsh are kind of the three main guys to
- 25:42Speaker 3: look at. There. You've got a cheap second basement and
- 25:43Speaker 3: Bryson Stott, who does have some stone and base upside
- 25:46Speaker 3: as well. He's hitting six tonight, I believe as well.
- 25:49Speaker 3: So outside of that, but yeah, I really can't argue
- 25:51Speaker 3: outside of its tournaments, and it's baseball at the end
- 25:54Speaker 3: of the day. In the large field stuff, I think
- 25:56Speaker 3: the Dodgers make a lot of sense and the Phillies
- 25:58Speaker 3: make a lot of sense just because people can't get
- 26:00Speaker 3: to this game, probably for a good reason. But yeah,
- 26:03Speaker 3: two good bullpens as well, really good bullpen obviously on
- 26:06Speaker 3: the Dodgers side behind Sheehan, so if things go south,
- 26:09Speaker 3: they can just rely on that. And I don't love
- 26:11Speaker 3: picking on Christopher Sanchez anyways. He's just a really, really
- 26:14Speaker 3: really good pitcher overall. Next spot, another game I don't
- 26:18Speaker 3: love for offense. Here, not the best hitting environment either
- 26:20Speaker 3: tonight in Yankee Stadium in retrospect to some of the
- 26:23Speaker 3: other spots on the slate, Brax and n Ashcraft, a
- 26:26Speaker 3: guy I didn't talk about up in the top tier.
- 26:28Speaker 3: He ranks pretty well in our pitcher rankings and is
- 26:31Speaker 3: gonna be unowned in that kind of nine K range.
- 26:33Speaker 3: So if you want to take a shot on him,
- 26:34Speaker 3: I don't think it's the worst play in the world.
- 26:36Speaker 3: Without Judge in that Yankees lineup, I still don't love
- 26:39Speaker 3: picking on the Yankees though on a fourteen game slate.
- 26:43Speaker 3: But for offense here I don't love it again, same
- 26:46Speaker 3: kind of case for the Dodgers.
- 26:48Speaker 2: As we said again, Yankees one of the better.
- 26:50Speaker 3: Offenses in baseball with upside they're gonna have no ownership
- 26:53Speaker 3: as well against the Pirates here, but this game again
- 26:57Speaker 3: I don't love for offense here, go ahead and break
- 26:59Speaker 3: it down.
- 27:01Speaker 4: Yeah, another game. I thought of mentioning Ashcraft. He's like
- 27:03Speaker 4: an odd man out for me. If I were playing
- 27:05Speaker 4: maybe twenty lineups, I'd get to some, but tough to
- 27:09Speaker 4: prioritize in this tag at the tag, in this ball park,
- 27:12Speaker 4: et cetera. The Yankees lineup is still really good even
- 27:15Speaker 4: without Judge. Another game where you know, you see the
- 27:20Speaker 4: merit of the Pirates against that what could be a
- 27:23Speaker 4: semi popular weathers But I'm not gonna plant my flag
- 27:26Speaker 4: on a Pittsburgh Stack tonight, and then I feel the
- 27:28Speaker 4: same about the Yankees against Ashcraft.
- 27:31Speaker 1: So I'm out of this game.
- 27:35Speaker 4: I think, like for tournament's sake, I like the Phillies
- 27:38Speaker 4: Dodgers game more just because I think those offenses right
- 27:42Speaker 4: now or side they go off. So I'm not gonna
- 27:47Speaker 4: play any of them. But kind of how I'm viewing
- 27:49Speaker 4: it comparatively.
- 27:50Speaker 2: I guess yeah.
- 27:52Speaker 3: I will just say now looking at it and looking
- 27:54Speaker 3: at this lineup that the Yankees throughout I have more
- 27:57Speaker 3: interest in Asscraft than I originally did. He's probably like
- 28:00Speaker 3: the six or seventh guy of the five that I
- 28:02Speaker 3: named earlier, just because you look at this Yankees lineup
- 28:05Speaker 3: over the last month against right handed pitching without judge
- 28:08Speaker 3: twenty seven percent striker rate, and you look at Ashcraft.
- 28:11Speaker 3: He's going to face seven lefties in this lineup, and
- 28:14Speaker 3: he's got a thirty two percent k rate against left
- 28:17Speaker 3: handed hitters, and the lefties already strike out and it's
- 28:20Speaker 3: not the best hitting weather right So I didn't want
- 28:23Speaker 3: to mention that from an offensive standpoint, I don't love
- 28:26Speaker 3: this game. I didn't want to call it one guy though.
- 28:28Speaker 3: In teams where you're not playing Ryan Weathers as Morin
- 28:30Speaker 3: Valdez has been absolutely red hot. I know before the break,
- 28:35Speaker 3: right before the All Star break, he hit like four
- 28:38Speaker 3: home runs in two days against the Brewers, and every
- 28:41Speaker 3: one of them I think was against left handed pitching
- 28:43Speaker 3: or majority of them were. So as a pivot, maybe
- 28:47Speaker 3: if you're going to like an Andrew Abbott thrown in
- 28:49Speaker 3: a Valdez in one of your outfield spots at four K,
- 28:53Speaker 3: kind of in that mid tier at no ownership, that'd
- 28:56Speaker 3: be a nice little separator, I think at tournament. So
- 28:58Speaker 3: I didn't want to call him out in per particular.
- 29:00Speaker 3: Outside of that, I don't love. I will say Henry
- 29:02Speaker 3: Davis has a ton of power at catcher if you
- 29:04Speaker 3: wanted to maybe home run hunt against Weather's with a cheap,
- 29:08Speaker 3: spend down catch or something like that. But outside of that,
- 29:11Speaker 3: I'm not going crazy with this game. If I had anyone,
- 29:13Speaker 3: it'd be more on the pirate side pitching and hitting,
- 29:16Speaker 3: just with the leverage you're getting on the field overall.
- 29:19Speaker 3: Next pot on the slate, Blue Jays raise another game
- 29:22Speaker 3: I don't love from a GPP standpoint here or from
- 29:25Speaker 3: a hitting standpoint. Dylan Cee one of the best arms
- 29:28Speaker 3: and one of the best arms in baseball. Raise been
- 29:32Speaker 3: one of the best offense in baseball. I don't know
- 29:33Speaker 3: how they do it. I will say Junior Cameron Narrow
- 29:35Speaker 3: continue to just mash baseballs over the fence regardless of
- 29:38Speaker 3: who he's facing. This is a spot I don't love,
- 29:41Speaker 3: especially paying sixty one hundred. I'd rather pay up for
- 29:43Speaker 3: a guy like c. J. Abrams or James Wood for
- 29:45Speaker 3: a little bit more. But you're gonna get one of
- 29:47Speaker 3: the hottest hitters in baseball coming off that Derby, and
- 29:49Speaker 3: I think he hit a home run his first game
- 29:51Speaker 3: back or two over the weekend as well. Talk to
- 29:54Speaker 3: me any interest from hitting in this one. This is
- 29:56Speaker 3: a game I don't love either side for stacking wise.
- 30:00Speaker 4: Yeah, same, Like I feel like there's just you don't
- 30:04Speaker 4: have to play seas. You don't have to stack against
- 30:06Speaker 4: ceec either, you know what I mean. Like, it's not
- 30:08Speaker 4: the type of slate where I see a stack against
- 30:10Speaker 4: Cease winning it. And then Nick Martin's in the guy
- 30:15Speaker 4: I have liked to pick on, at least I did
- 30:17Speaker 4: in the first half, probably more than I should. I
- 30:19Speaker 4: ended up making the All Star Game. I think there's
- 30:22Speaker 4: negative regression coming to him. But the only case I
- 30:27Speaker 4: can make for the Blue Jays is that they're cheap,
- 30:29Speaker 4: so using them as filler pieces in stacks with expensive
- 30:33Speaker 4: picking and expensive stacks makes sense. But I'm not going
- 30:35Speaker 4: out of my way to full stack them at all.
- 30:38Speaker 4: And then real quick valveez for Pittsburgh Homart again yesterday.
- 30:41Speaker 4: He is absolutely destroying Tanda pitching. I mean, small sample,
- 30:45Speaker 4: but couldn't ask for a better star for him. So yeah,
- 30:49Speaker 4: I'm with you there.
- 30:51Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I do think he's a really elite tournament
- 30:53Speaker 3: option on the slate. Not much more for me to
- 30:56Speaker 3: say in that game outside of yeah, blue Jays are
- 30:58Speaker 3: cheap and you stacking it's Nick Martinez, but I don't
- 31:02Speaker 3: love it. Raised Bullpen pretty solid as well, so not
- 31:06Speaker 3: one of his favorite spots. Raise kind of right in
- 31:09Speaker 3: the middle of the road. Fifteenth overall in terms of
- 31:11Speaker 3: x fips, so not the best game overall. Next spot
- 31:15Speaker 3: on the slate Red Sox and the Oreos Peyton Toley.
- 31:18Speaker 3: I have the interest in him up in that kind
- 31:20Speaker 3: of mid eight k upper eight K range on this slates,
- 31:23Speaker 3: just because I'm a believer in him. He's looked really solid.
- 31:26Speaker 3: Oh's lineup has a lot of strikeouts, especially in the
- 31:28Speaker 3: back half. There no Adley as a guy like Sam
- 31:31Speaker 3: Huffin there who's a walking strikeout. So no interest for
- 31:34Speaker 3: the o's here. Shane Boz I didn't mention him, but
- 31:38Speaker 3: I think he is playable down in that kind of
- 31:40Speaker 3: pivot off of a Weather's range. I prefer Abbott personally
- 31:43Speaker 3: myself for one hundred dollars more, but he's another pivot
- 31:47Speaker 3: with some upside there. I just don't love picking on
- 31:48Speaker 3: this Red Sox team. They are pretty hot right now overall.
- 31:52Speaker 3: I don't know if they lost, but they were on
- 31:54Speaker 3: what thirteen or fourteen year old, twelve year old something
- 31:57Speaker 3: like that. I know I've been kind of detashed a
- 32:00Speaker 3: little bit coming back from vacation and then the All
- 32:02Speaker 3: Star break.
- 32:03Speaker 2: Really good hitting weather here though tonight in.
- 32:05Speaker 3: Fenway upper seventies, low eighties, ten mile an hour wins,
- 32:10Speaker 3: blowing out towards that monster in left field. Any Red
- 32:12Speaker 3: Sex interruest for you against Shane Boz and this Orioles
- 32:15Speaker 3: bullpen and uh any Ohs against Peyton.
- 32:19Speaker 1: Toby, I'm more with you on totally here.
- 32:22Speaker 4: Like, even if I don't use him, he's not a
- 32:24Speaker 4: guy I'm looking to use hit it against and then
- 32:26Speaker 4: Boston yet still hasn't lost. They swimted Tampa at a
- 32:29Speaker 4: fourth series coming out of the break. Had a team
- 32:31Speaker 4: in baseball by far. They're definitely in play. I mean,
- 32:36Speaker 4: bath is an army respect and I like his talent,
- 32:40Speaker 4: but you know he's inconsistent, and that's putting it mildly.
- 32:44Speaker 4: We'll give how hot Boston is the hitting weather. I
- 32:48Speaker 4: think they're definitely in play as stacking tournaments. I can't
- 32:51Speaker 4: sit here and say I like them more than you
- 32:54Speaker 4: know Washington or Detroit, like Kansas City, San France, teams
- 32:59Speaker 4: that will get to but I think that they're certainly
- 33:02Speaker 4: in play and on that level, and they won't get
- 33:04Speaker 4: any ownership. So if you want to plant your flag
- 33:06Speaker 4: on Boston here, I couldn't fault anyone, honestly.
- 33:11Speaker 3: Yeah, Bazia has just not looked the same as this
- 33:13Speaker 3: year as he has last year. And it's a red
- 33:15Speaker 3: hot team, so I think there's merit to it. But
- 33:19Speaker 3: I mean Wilson Atreres is right up there with Valdez
- 33:22Speaker 3: and Camanio in that is red hot. I mean, this
- 33:24Speaker 3: dude's come out of the home run derby smashing bombs.
- 33:26Speaker 3: Still everyone says the home run derby breaks you. It'd
- 33:28Speaker 3: actually helped those two guys because they continue to hit
- 33:31Speaker 3: home runs over the weekend. So Contreres looks really good, Yoshida,
- 33:34Speaker 3: I bray you kind of. That three four five I
- 33:37Speaker 3: think is a really interesting mini stack. They're probably don't
- 33:42Speaker 3: go to full five man stack Red Sox, but they
- 33:44Speaker 3: are one of the hot teams in baseball. They are
- 33:46Speaker 3: pretty pretty valuable in terms of salary leaf as well
- 33:50Speaker 3: in good hitting conditions, and the O's bullpen is not
- 33:52Speaker 3: as good as it was at the start of the
- 33:54Speaker 3: year either, So I do think the Red Sox in
- 33:57Speaker 3: large field stuff or even twenty max stuff, I will
- 34:00Speaker 3: definitely have some just ride in the hot hand. I
- 34:02Speaker 3: love hot streaks and baseball, and it allows me to
- 34:05Speaker 3: play Misrowski and some of those spend up pitching arms.
- 34:08Speaker 2: There even guys in the back half.
- 34:09Speaker 3: I mean, you got Jared Duran back in this lineup
- 34:12Speaker 3: at thirty seven, right, so you got cheap lefties in
- 34:15Speaker 3: the back half. You got a cheap Siegler up at
- 34:17Speaker 3: second base, which is a weak position. Rounded into the
- 34:20Speaker 3: better guys. That three four five stack that I talked
- 34:22Speaker 3: about so I like potentially a little wrap around here
- 34:25Speaker 3: for the Red Sox against Shane bos Next butt on
- 34:29Speaker 3: the slate Braves.
- 34:32Speaker 1: No you go ahead?
- 34:33Speaker 3: Sorry, no, no, no, I'm assuming you were just gonna say yeah,
- 34:38Speaker 3: you tend to you agree there, just because their their
- 34:40Speaker 3: salary relief, which does fit the the slate overall the
- 34:44Speaker 3: slate context. Next game though, Braves, Padres, JP Sears, fly ball,
- 34:49Speaker 3: Lefty going into the truest park here to face the Braves.
- 34:53Speaker 3: Austin Riley hitting forth. The corpse of Austin Riley is
- 34:56Speaker 3: hitting in the heart. You got to always have interest
- 34:58Speaker 3: in some Ozzie Albi's anytime he's facing the lefty. Drake
- 35:02Speaker 3: Baldwin's been pretty solid the Braves. I have some interest
- 35:06Speaker 3: in the Braves. I just number one, I hate this lineup.
- 35:08Speaker 3: Number two, I hate picking on the Padres Bullpen. I
- 35:11Speaker 3: do like targeting jpcies though, so this is a hard
- 35:14Speaker 3: spot for me to kind of get right. I'd rather
- 35:16Speaker 3: probably just maybe power hunt in this game with some
- 35:19Speaker 3: Braves bats here. Elbie's is by far and away my
- 35:23Speaker 3: favorite bat on that side. You got a cheap catcher
- 35:26Speaker 3: and Joey Bartt with some power, especially against lefties. Dubond's
- 35:29Speaker 3: been good all year against lefties. He's thirty three hundred,
- 35:32Speaker 3: so you do have some salary save and braves, and
- 35:35Speaker 3: with the injuries they do have, I don't know how
- 35:38Speaker 3: much pinch hit risk they have. Guys like Eli White
- 35:42Speaker 3: are probably the biggest pinch hit risk, but him hitting ninth,
- 35:45Speaker 3: I don't really expect them to pinch hit too much.
- 35:48Speaker 3: Maybe they will usually when he's facing the lefty. He
- 35:50Speaker 3: bats up in the top half of the lineup. But
- 35:53Speaker 3: talk to me, any Braves Padres interest for you here?
- 35:57Speaker 4: So I feel like on a lot of slates, this
- 35:59Speaker 4: is a game that would get a ton of attention,
- 36:01Speaker 4: but just not on this one because of the better
- 36:03Speaker 4: spots we have. I view both these teams on the
- 36:06Speaker 4: same tier as the Red Sox. I really like the
- 36:09Speaker 4: matchup for Atlanta, but it's always hard to play your
- 36:13Speaker 4: flag on a team corning against his Podrey's bullpen because
- 36:17Speaker 4: you need to get to the starter early.
- 36:18Speaker 1: That said, I do view like the Padres bullpen as
- 36:22Speaker 1: more of like a It lowers their floor, but it
- 36:27Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily like cap their ceiling, because if they go
- 36:29Speaker 1: off on sears, you're not going to see the good
- 36:32Speaker 1: arms out of their pen, but kind of like yesterday we.
- 36:36Speaker 4: Saw the Royals get to Marquez a little bit, but
- 36:40Speaker 4: the Padres offense scored some runs and then as soon
- 36:42Speaker 4: as they brought it.
- 36:43Speaker 1: Their bullpen, it was let's out for Casey.
- 36:45Speaker 4: So man, Atlanta's intriguing, but ultimately on this late that's
- 36:50Speaker 4: what probably keeps in me off them is a full stack,
- 36:53Speaker 4: and then San Diego I think is in play. You know,
- 36:56Speaker 4: you take them out of San Diego and their price
- 37:01Speaker 4: like they're still in Petco. I mean, you've got really
- 37:04Speaker 4: cheap tags. They're coming off obviously the best game of
- 37:07Speaker 4: the season. Elder has been pretty atrocious since a good
- 37:11Speaker 4: start to the season. I think Padres not gonna say
- 37:16Speaker 4: they're my favorite stack on the board, but at pretty
- 37:18Speaker 4: low ownership, at good price tagged, I think they're right
- 37:21Speaker 4: on the same level as the Braves and the Red
- 37:23Speaker 4: Sox and teams like the Giants and Royals will get.
- 37:25Speaker 2: To Yeah no, I like that.
- 37:30Speaker 3: I don't love love it really on either side, so
- 37:33Speaker 3: probably best just to kind of stay away. I did
- 37:36Speaker 3: prefer the Braves a little bit more just because I
- 37:38Speaker 3: haven't really played the Padres all year, but You got
- 37:40Speaker 3: a cheap Gavin Sheets, a lefty against Bryce Elder, which
- 37:43Speaker 3: I like lefties. Jackson Merrill's reasonably priced Fernando Tatis finally
- 37:48Speaker 3: figured out how to hit the ball off the ground,
- 37:50Speaker 3: so that helps a little bit. You got a cheap
- 37:51Speaker 3: Jake Croninworth lefty, so the cheap lefties, I think like
- 37:54Speaker 3: a Gavin Sheets Jake Cronenworth little mini stack there plays
- 37:58Speaker 3: second base in outfield thirty four hundred against a susceptible
- 38:03Speaker 3: pitcher to lefties. I think that's that's pretty interesting there.
- 38:06Speaker 3: But two solid bullpens and two susceptible arms that I
- 38:11Speaker 3: think both teams are are more than happy just to
- 38:13Speaker 3: turn it over.
- 38:13Speaker 2: To the bullpens if things go south.
- 38:15Speaker 3: So on a fourteen game slate, that's enough to kind
- 38:18Speaker 3: of take me under on full stacks. But I do
- 38:21Speaker 3: get your reasoning overall for both sides. There takes us
- 38:24Speaker 3: into Freddy's returned back to Miller Park, facing off against
- 38:29Speaker 3: the guy who's taking his spot is the face of
- 38:32Speaker 3: the franchise at least in this season, and Jacob Mizerowski
- 38:38Speaker 3: Brewers anytime they're facing alrighty, you can always talk about them,
- 38:43Speaker 3: especially a fly ball righty at that and Freddie Peralta,
- 38:45Speaker 3: who just hasn't looked good this year. Maybe Freddy goes
- 38:48Speaker 3: out and just serves these guys some cupcakes and says, hey,
- 38:51Speaker 3: let me return back to Milwaukee's pitching arsenal and get
- 38:55Speaker 3: me back right, because I went to New York and
- 38:57Speaker 3: got broke, just like a lot of people do. But
- 39:00Speaker 3: Brewers are hard at these salaries. In retrospect to some
- 39:04Speaker 3: of the other teams on the slate, I'm not going
- 39:05Speaker 3: to come on here slab on the Brewers my first
- 39:07Speaker 3: day back after being gone for two weeks. I'll say
- 39:10Speaker 3: the same thing I do every single time they're on
- 39:11Speaker 3: the slate against the right handed pitcher, especially a flat
- 39:13Speaker 3: ball guy. In that I will be overweighted on the
- 39:16Speaker 3: Brewers in my MM stuff, just because they have upside
- 39:19Speaker 3: as an offense in DFS with stolen bases, and maybe
- 39:23Speaker 3: they want to get to Freddy a little bit more
- 39:25Speaker 3: for kind of leaving the ship after the offseason. Garrett
- 39:30Speaker 3: Mitchell has been really good, Jake Bauers turing, and then
- 39:33Speaker 3: Luis Lara, super cheap lefty switch hitter there with some speed.
- 39:36Speaker 2: I think he's interesting as well. And then Cooper.
- 39:38Speaker 3: Pratt's been also really solid too, So I like the
- 39:40Speaker 3: cheaper guys at the back half, and then probably only
- 39:43Speaker 3: one of the expensive guys. If I had to pick
- 39:46Speaker 3: between Jelich, Tarrio, Terrang, it would definitely be Terrang for me.
- 39:51Speaker 2: But yeah, I think the Brewers have some interest on
- 39:54Speaker 2: the slate.
- 39:54Speaker 3: But another game I don't love in retrospect to some
- 39:57Speaker 3: of the other chalkier spots that we're going to talk about,
- 39:59Speaker 3: like the Royals and the Giants the next game. I
- 40:01Speaker 3: like some Rangers, and then course Field as well and Wrigley.
- 40:04Speaker 3: So how do you see this one?
- 40:07Speaker 4: Pralta has been bad enough for I think you could
- 40:09Speaker 4: stack against him. It's just hard on this slate too, Like,
- 40:14Speaker 4: even though he hasn't been good, there are clearly pitchers
- 40:17Speaker 4: who are worse than him on this slate offenses in
- 40:20Speaker 4: better spots. Milocke's uber expensive for me. The big problem
- 40:24Speaker 4: is they don't hit enough home runs, so I'm just
- 40:27Speaker 4: not sure this is the late to stack them at
- 40:28Speaker 4: excess at tap. But I look home like the cheaper
- 40:32Speaker 4: guys and they are going to run so many stacks work.
- 40:36Speaker 4: I get it for sure. You're probably higher on them
- 40:39Speaker 4: than I am, but I totally get it, and then
- 40:41Speaker 4: I'm not interested in the Mets at all.
- 40:43Speaker 3: Yeah, one total Lindor two Left's against me is maybe.
- 40:48Speaker 3: I mean he has showing a little bit susceptibility lately
- 40:51Speaker 3: to the long ball. Just when you throw one hundred
- 40:54Speaker 3: and five. All they have to do is really put
- 40:55Speaker 3: the sweet spot on it, and I kind of do
- 40:57Speaker 3: its job for you, especially with a guy like on
- 41:00Speaker 3: soo so. But yeah, it's very hard to pay those
- 41:02Speaker 3: price tags against the best starting pitcher in the league.
- 41:06Speaker 3: So probably the best to just kind of stay with
- 41:09Speaker 3: from this game. On both sides, Mets do have a
- 41:10Speaker 3: really good bullpen as well behind Freddy. So Yeah, don't
- 41:14Speaker 3: love the Brewers as much as I will probably in
- 41:16Speaker 3: some other spots in this series, but I think you
- 41:19Speaker 3: could play them. They rank pretty solid in our stack rankings,
- 41:22Speaker 3: at least today. Right now, they're top eight overall on
- 41:25Speaker 3: our stack rankings, so I tend to agree with that,
- 41:28Speaker 3: and I'll probably have them right around that in MIMM
- 41:31Speaker 3: set next bottom the Slate Royals and the Giants. This
- 41:35Speaker 3: is one of the better game environments on the Slate.
- 41:37Speaker 3: Definitely have interest in both sides of this game. Overall,
- 41:41Speaker 3: really really good hitting environment here, especially with the new
- 41:43Speaker 3: dimensions in this park. One hundred degrees in Kansas City,
- 41:47Speaker 3: one hundred and six at the start, with right around
- 41:50Speaker 3: ten mile our.
- 41:51Speaker 2: Wins blown out.
- 41:52Speaker 3: The wins are going to die down kind of towards
- 41:53Speaker 3: the end of the game, but you still got five
- 41:56Speaker 3: to eight mile on our wins. I'm seeing with one
- 41:59Speaker 3: hundred degrees against the Giants and the Royals, I like
- 42:03Speaker 3: both sides here. Ownership is gonna be held in check
- 42:05Speaker 3: for both teams. These are my favorite pivots off of
- 42:09Speaker 3: teams like the Tigers, who are gonna be mega chalk
- 42:11Speaker 3: on the slate at salaries. I'll let you break it
- 42:14Speaker 3: down first though, talking to me, Royals and Giants one
- 42:17Speaker 3: of the best games in my opinion on the slate.
- 42:21Speaker 1: Yeah, both teams right at the top of us for
- 42:23Speaker 1: me too. I like this gime quite a bit.
- 42:24Speaker 4: You know, you get a San Francisco lineup coming out
- 42:29Speaker 4: of San Francisco. They've just stayed, had their first series
- 42:32Speaker 4: after the in Seattle. Now in the Kansas City. Obviously
- 42:36Speaker 4: they lower defenses or brought shortened defenses that they brought
- 42:39Speaker 4: them in. And this ballpark, this ballpark plays pretty weather dependent,
- 42:46Speaker 4: so really big home run boost night. I like both
- 42:51Speaker 4: sides quite a bit. Waka is a fine starting pitcher.
- 42:56Speaker 4: He's not a guy I'm like actively looking to pick on.
- 43:00Speaker 4: But the Giants sheep huge ballpark up grade. I don't
- 43:05Speaker 4: think they get much ownership at all. The Royals bullpen
- 43:10Speaker 4: is not good. They got burnt out like the entire
- 43:13Speaker 4: series against San Diego for the most part. Yeah, I
- 43:18Speaker 4: could definitely buy the Giants here and then the Royals
- 43:20Speaker 4: on the other side facing McDonald went back in there
- 43:25Speaker 4: tonight after he missed yesterday.
- 43:28Speaker 1: I like both sides of this game quite a bit.
- 43:30Speaker 4: I liked the Red Sox, Padres and Braves, and I
- 43:34Speaker 4: put those teams on the level of the Royals and Giants,
- 43:37Speaker 4: but I think the Royals and Giants are a top
- 43:40Speaker 4: at that tier. So yeah, I like this game quite
- 43:43Speaker 4: a bit.
- 43:44Speaker 3: Yeah, I like both sides. Walk is actually more reverse
- 43:47Speaker 3: splitzy to power, so guys like heliat ronos Odamis, Casey
- 43:52Speaker 3: Schmidt I think are really interesting to add into the
- 43:55Speaker 3: Bryce Eldridge Devers of the world. I wish DraftKings would
- 43:59Speaker 3: figure it out and figure out how to move one
- 44:02Speaker 3: of these guys to a different position.
- 44:04Speaker 2: Give give one of them outfield elisibility.
- 44:06Speaker 3: I know neither of them do that, but I mean, shit,
- 44:09Speaker 3: you got guys who just don't play outfield ever that
- 44:11Speaker 3: have the outfield tag and vice versa. Be really nice
- 44:14Speaker 3: to play a Giant Stacks. Being able to have both
- 44:16Speaker 3: of the devers and and Eldridge in there does suck.
- 44:19Speaker 3: You have to pick one of them. I lean Eldridge
- 44:22Speaker 3: just because he's hit. Secondly, he's cheaper honestly where salary
- 44:26Speaker 3: is going to be constrained with the starting pitching. But yeah,
- 44:29Speaker 3: I love both sides here. You got the second and
- 44:31Speaker 3: the fifth worst bullpens in the league in one hundred
- 44:34Speaker 3: degree weather, and Kansas City had two guys that are
- 44:38Speaker 3: probably three guys that are gonna be unavailable. Lynch might
- 44:40Speaker 3: be available, but there are other two guys that got
- 44:43Speaker 3: burnt out.
- 44:43Speaker 2: So yeah, I love both sides of this game.
- 44:45Speaker 3: Kagal and O and at forty three d hit and
- 44:48Speaker 3: third against Trevor McDonald I think is really really good
- 44:50Speaker 3: play as well. But yeah, one of my probably my
- 44:53Speaker 3: favorite game environments that is kind of lower owned compared
- 44:56Speaker 3: to the Coors Field and the definitely the game. So
- 45:01Speaker 3: this is my first stop after the Nats, personally myself.
- 45:05Speaker 2: Looking at it.
- 45:06Speaker 3: Next spot here, Eric Fetti back in our lives, White
- 45:09Speaker 3: Sox Rangers. The park is not very good here, but
- 45:11Speaker 3: I do think the Rangers have a spot on the
- 45:13Speaker 3: slate just at their salaries. Ownership is gonna be on owned,
- 45:16Speaker 3: and I like targeting Eric Fetty. I just don't think
- 45:19Speaker 3: he's good. White Sox Bullpen's nothing crazy behind him. It
- 45:24Speaker 3: does suck because you're you're going up against a one
- 45:26Speaker 3: hundred degree in the last game, You're going up against
- 45:29Speaker 3: the wind blown out in Wrigley, You're going against really
- 45:32Speaker 3: good hitting weather in Philly coors Field. There's definitely really
- 45:36Speaker 3: good spots across the slate that I don't love playing
- 45:39Speaker 3: teams in Globe life here, but Fetti is just bad
- 45:43Speaker 3: enough for me to not really care. Jock Jams, Langford,
- 45:47Speaker 3: Carter Duran, Nimmo, Josh Young, all of these guys I
- 45:51Speaker 3: think are pretty interesting overall. Talk to me in this one.
- 45:53Speaker 3: How do you see it?
- 45:56Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm probably out on the Rangers here, like I
- 45:58Speaker 4: get because Fetti's stinks, But man, I just at home
- 46:03Speaker 4: is park this offense. If I were playing Like if
- 46:08Speaker 4: I'm multi entering, I wouldn't get them out of my pool.
- 46:10Speaker 4: It's hard for me to want to play my flag
- 46:12Speaker 4: on them here, like you are solely just picking on Fetti,
- 46:15Speaker 4: which your point. He probably is bad enough to say whatever,
- 46:20Speaker 4: screw all the other spots.
- 46:22Speaker 1: I'm just gonna set the Rangers here.
- 46:24Speaker 4: I feel like you can make that case about like
- 46:26Speaker 4: ten different teams tonight, So really tough to deciphe between
- 46:28Speaker 4: them all, you know what I mean?
- 46:31Speaker 3: Yeah, at ownership, I much prefer the other spots at
- 46:34Speaker 3: similar at similar price points even as well. Right, the
- 46:37Speaker 3: Giants and the Royals both sides of that. Obviously, outside
- 46:40Speaker 3: of Bobby Witt, everyone on the Royals is pretty much free.
- 46:42Speaker 3: Probably Waiting and Jensen are really the only two expensive guys,
- 46:45Speaker 3: and then the Giants have no expensive guys in full
- 46:47Speaker 3: ninety at bats against a terrible woolpen and really good
- 46:50Speaker 3: hitting environment. So definitely have the Giants much higher up
- 46:53Speaker 3: the list, But I do think the Rangers is still
- 46:55Speaker 3: pretty interesting. In white Sox eleventh warst bullpen Eric Fetti
- 46:58Speaker 3: one of the worst arms on the sleigh going. There's
- 47:01Speaker 3: merit to the Rangers and their salaries. Aren't aren't expensive.
- 47:05Speaker 3: So on teams where I'm playing mizz I'm definitely gonna
- 47:07Speaker 3: have some ranger stacks mixed in with some of the
- 47:09Speaker 3: Royals and the Giants teams things like that to get
- 47:12Speaker 3: a little bit different than the Tiger's value chalk, which
- 47:15Speaker 3: takes us right into that spot here Tigers Cubs temperatures
- 47:20Speaker 3: right around eighty degrees, double digit win, ten plus minar
- 47:23Speaker 3: win blown out in Wrigley Field, which obviously we know
- 47:26Speaker 3: what that does for the game environment. Massive home run
- 47:29Speaker 3: boost here against two pitchers who well won in for
- 47:33Speaker 3: sure in Tyon, who gives up a shit ton of
- 47:36Speaker 3: lefty power, Riley Green, Colt, Keith McKinstry, McGonagall, carry Carpenter
- 47:42Speaker 3: shames Outman even if he's in there.
- 47:44Speaker 2: I mean, you have some pitch hit risk.
- 47:46Speaker 3: But Tyon's been miserable against lefties, hence the ownership going there.
- 47:50Speaker 3: And salaries are not adjusted because salaries come out before
- 47:54Speaker 3: the weather forecast. And I mean, this is clear cut
- 47:59Speaker 3: chalkiest spot in the slate.
- 48:00Speaker 2: For good reason. It's hard to argue against it.
- 48:02Speaker 3: But there is still other teams in really good spots
- 48:06Speaker 3: on the slate that Gee Rosen if g Riisen was
- 48:09Speaker 3: on the slate, Everyone's just blindly goes and sees wind
- 48:12Speaker 3: blown out it, wriglely goes in and clicks them. It's
- 48:15Speaker 3: a little bit harder for me to kind of ignore
- 48:16Speaker 3: on this slate just because it's tie on against lefties
- 48:18Speaker 3: and the Tigers' best hitters do hit from the left
- 48:20Speaker 3: side outside of Spencer, Torkelsen and Dingler.
- 48:23Speaker 2: How do you see this one? Thy'll break it down
- 48:25Speaker 2: both sides, Tigers and the Cubs.
- 48:27Speaker 3: I definitely lean more on the Tigers side for sure
- 48:29Speaker 3: if picking one of them, But the Cubs are going
- 48:31Speaker 3: to be a fraction of the ownership in the exact
- 48:33Speaker 3: same hitting environments against Jack Flaherty, So.
- 48:36Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, you kind of took the words out of
- 48:38Speaker 1: my mouth.
- 48:39Speaker 4: I mean, Flaherty is in really good form right now,
- 48:42Speaker 4: so not a guy I really want to pick on,
- 48:44Speaker 4: But at the ownership, this guys going to get off
- 48:46Speaker 4: the Tigers. The Cubs have also been good, coming off
- 48:48Speaker 4: a really good series. They look good here. They're more
- 48:53Speaker 4: of like a tournament low owned stack. The Tigers are
- 48:57Speaker 4: the chalky you know, probably as you've mentioned, highest one
- 49:01Speaker 4: stack on the board because of their price tags. And
- 49:05Speaker 4: it is tough to get away from them because the
- 49:07Speaker 4: spot they're in obviously the wind blowing out against tie On.
- 49:10Speaker 4: But Kayan himself like there are other pitchers on this
- 49:14Speaker 4: late I'd rather pick on. Certainly, I think on paper
- 49:17Speaker 4: the Tigers look really, really good, but I do think
- 49:19Speaker 4: that their ownership is going to be higher than even
- 49:24Speaker 4: projected because of the price tags and extensive pitching people
- 49:27Speaker 4: like and in smaller fields stop, I think I'm more
- 49:30Speaker 4: inclined to get away from them, just because there are
- 49:32Speaker 4: plenty of other good spots. I like that said, won't
- 49:36Speaker 4: be suppiced at all if you see the Tigers, you know,
- 49:38Speaker 4: hit four or five home runs to night, because as
- 49:41Speaker 4: you've mentioned, so definitely like a fade at your own
- 49:46Speaker 4: risk type of spot For me, I'm not exactly sure
- 49:48Speaker 4: how I'm gonna play it yet, how about you?
- 49:51Speaker 2: Yeah, it's this is one of the spots.
- 49:53Speaker 3: Like right, I always talk about course field, the road
- 49:57Speaker 3: team and cours always being mega chalk, but that's not
- 49:59Speaker 3: gonna be case here tonight.
- 50:01Speaker 2: This is kind of the same kind of spot. Right.
- 50:03Speaker 3: Tigers are right around one hundred and twenty percent combined
- 50:07Speaker 3: ownership of a five man stack, which puts it at
- 50:10Speaker 3: what like twenty five twenty to twenty five percent for
- 50:13Speaker 3: each of the guys in there, plus added in the
- 50:16Speaker 3: pinch hit risk for guys like McKinstry, Colet, Keith, some
- 50:20Speaker 3: of the lefties, Carpenter, James Outman right, So probably two
- 50:24Speaker 3: of those guys probably get pinch hit four, which does
- 50:26Speaker 3: diminish the stack as well. I will say, though Riley
- 50:29Speaker 3: Green probably one of the best players in the slates.
- 50:31Speaker 3: He's gonna get owned as such. Same thing with Kevin McGonagall.
- 50:34Speaker 3: McGonagall is going to be probably at the end of
- 50:36Speaker 3: the I mean, I'd be shocked if between him or
- 50:39Speaker 3: Riley Green aren't the highestone players on the slate. I'd
- 50:42Speaker 3: probably say McGonagall just because he's got third base and
- 50:44Speaker 3: shortstop eligibility. But really those two guys are by far
- 50:47Speaker 3: and away my two favorites. Hard to really get away though,
- 50:51Speaker 3: from the Tigers overall main team stuff, single entry, small
- 50:54Speaker 3: field stuff, I'm probably more inclined to get away from them,
- 50:58Speaker 3: and then a large field stuff, probably more inclined to
- 51:00Speaker 3: kind of get overweight and just let kind of my
- 51:05Speaker 3: player pool in that that I put in the Saber
- 51:07Speaker 3: kind of dictated that way to get me different enough
- 51:10Speaker 3: that it is kind of how I'd approach it. And
- 51:13Speaker 3: then on the Cubs side of it, Flairty has been
- 51:16Speaker 3: really good, but he is still susceptible to some power,
- 51:20Speaker 3: especially to he gives up more power to to the
- 51:22Speaker 3: right side, where obviously strike cuts are more, but he
- 51:24Speaker 3: really gives up fly balls right So you're looking at
- 51:26Speaker 3: the fly ball guys here for the Cubs with the win, Pca, Confordo, Suzuki, Swanson,
- 51:32Speaker 3: hap all those guys hit the ball in the air,
- 51:34Speaker 3: So those kind of guys would would be the guys
- 51:36Speaker 3: I look at. But I much prefer the Tiger side
- 51:39Speaker 3: overall on this slate. Next spot here Marlin's Astros Blanco
- 51:46Speaker 3: on the hill here for the Astros. I think the
- 51:48Speaker 3: Marlins have a spot on the slate just because the
- 51:50Speaker 3: Astros Bullpen's bad, Blanco's not good.
- 51:53Speaker 2: Marlin's are fairly fairly reasonably priced. But really, Griffin.
- 51:58Speaker 3: Conine, I think is a really interesting lefty play on
- 52:01Speaker 3: the slate at thirty one hundred is value. Not a
- 52:04Speaker 3: spot I love overall from offense, but I do think
- 52:07Speaker 3: the Marlins, if I had to pick a side here
- 52:09Speaker 3: make some sense Janson, johnk you can always stack against him,
- 52:12Speaker 3: but I don't want to sign up to play the
- 52:13Speaker 3: Astros on a fourteen game slate.
- 52:16Speaker 2: Talk to me here, how do you see this one?
- 52:19Speaker 4: I like Yard on it a lot as a one off.
- 52:21Speaker 4: That's about it. From the Houston side, and then Miami.
- 52:24Speaker 4: You could stack them because I don't trust any Astros
- 52:28Speaker 4: picture right now. But in this ballpark, I'm you know,
- 52:33Speaker 4: if I'm playing one lineup, there's no way I'm stacking
- 52:35Speaker 4: the Marlin. So that's kind of how I'm trying to
- 52:36Speaker 4: break it down. If you're playing multi entry stuff, have
- 52:39Speaker 4: them in your pool. They've show them they have enough
- 52:41Speaker 4: upside they run. I just on this slate with how
- 52:46Speaker 4: many good offenses there are that are going to be
- 52:48Speaker 4: low owned, hard for me to want to play my
- 52:50Speaker 4: foot flag there.
- 52:52Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say the lefties are probably pretty safe
- 52:54Speaker 3: in this game if they get to Blanco fairly early.
- 52:57Speaker 3: The Astros lefties are more back end guys, so probably
- 53:01Speaker 3: don't see them if this game's kind of out of
- 53:03Speaker 3: the hand being the first game of the series, so
- 53:05Speaker 3: Star Wars conine. Like I said, Joe Mack even all
- 53:09Speaker 3: have a ton of power against Righty's, they're gonna be
- 53:11Speaker 3: on owned and they're fairly cheap. I think that Conine
- 53:15Speaker 3: Joe Mack little mini stacks six and eight somewhere in
- 53:18Speaker 3: that six seven, seven eight, so somewhere in the lineup
- 53:20Speaker 3: at the back half there, I think those guys make
- 53:22Speaker 3: some sense. At thirty seven hundred is probably seeing nine
- 53:27Speaker 3: innings of pretty bad right handed pitching on the slate.
- 53:31Speaker 3: And we've seen the Astros give up a ton of
- 53:34Speaker 3: GPP winning stacks on the year already just because of
- 53:38Speaker 3: how decimated their their pitching staff is overall, even in
- 53:41Speaker 3: that ballpark, So a little bit more interest, But I
- 53:44Speaker 3: much prefer teams like the Giants, the Royals, probably even
- 53:47Speaker 3: the Red Sox that that we talked about already. So yeah,
- 53:50Speaker 3: not a ton of interest there. Next spot here on
- 53:54Speaker 3: the slate is course Field Nationals and the Rockies. The
- 53:58Speaker 3: only argument against the Nationals really their salaries ownerships is
- 54:02Speaker 3: going to be kind of probably half, probably fifty percent
- 54:06Speaker 3: of what the Tigers are going to be because of
- 54:08Speaker 3: that salary. Is James Wood at sixty nine hundreds. Insane
- 54:11Speaker 3: to think here, but CJ. Adams sixty four hundred. Those
- 54:15Speaker 3: guys hit lefties really good as well. If you're not
- 54:19Speaker 3: playing Miz. I think it's a really good thing to
- 54:23Speaker 3: go in and overspend for some not even overspend.
- 54:27Speaker 2: This offense been worth the price, Daggs.
- 54:29Speaker 3: And now they're in Coors Field, which helps them overall,
- 54:33Speaker 3: hot and humid in cores.
- 54:36Speaker 2: Are you going to prioritize mis A?
- 54:37Speaker 3: You're going to prioritize Nationals is really the decision point
- 54:40Speaker 3: you have to make. But it's not going to be
- 54:42Speaker 3: like the Nationals are the highest one stack on the
- 54:44Speaker 3: slate because of these salaries, so you do have.
- 54:46Speaker 2: To make a decision point.
- 54:47Speaker 3: Personally, I love the Nats here in tournaments, especially large
- 54:50Speaker 3: field stuff. I'd rather spend up on some of these
- 54:54Speaker 3: Nats guys personally, but how do you see this one?
- 54:57Speaker 4: It's tough, man, because your point really expensive pitching we like,
- 55:02Speaker 4: and then the guys you want to play on the
- 55:03Speaker 4: Nets are uber pricey.
- 55:04Speaker 1: That said, there are some cheap guys to.
- 55:08Speaker 4: Go to, like Andre Schaparo is still only thirty three
- 55:12Speaker 4: hundred Ford presuming he's in the lineup thirty five hundred,
- 55:17Speaker 4: Dylan Cruz forty five hundred, so like outside of Abrams
- 55:23Speaker 4: Wood Garcia, like need, and that's for like, I mean,
- 55:29Speaker 4: there are ways to stack Washington without like allocating all
- 55:32Speaker 4: your salary, but it's tough, and then the guys you want.
- 55:34Speaker 1: Are super pricey.
- 55:37Speaker 4: Yeah, they're the top ceiling stack on the board here
- 55:40Speaker 4: in cores against Freeland, I do think there are enough
- 55:43Speaker 4: good offenses that aren't as expensive to merit not playing Washington.
- 55:47Speaker 4: And I feel the same about Colorado because they're also
- 55:50Speaker 4: in a good spot, they're also really expensive. I don't
- 55:54Speaker 4: love them against lefties. I won't be surprised if this
- 55:58Speaker 4: game is like ten to nine, but I also won't
- 56:01Speaker 4: be surprised if it's five to four. And I do
- 56:06Speaker 4: think that the Nationals get enough love where you know
- 56:11Speaker 4: there are other good offenses to look at.
- 56:13Speaker 1: So I haven't built my lineup yet, I think you can.
- 56:16Speaker 4: It's definitely the type of spot where you can make
- 56:18Speaker 4: really really good lineups with Washington and then really good
- 56:21Speaker 4: lineups without them.
- 56:23Speaker 1: The question is finding that balance, like can you get
- 56:25Speaker 1: the pitching you want with Washington vice versa.
- 56:29Speaker 4: So not exactly sure how I'm gonna play it yet,
- 56:32Speaker 4: but I think they're the top ceiling stack on the board.
- 56:35Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the Gnats in a build where I
- 56:37Speaker 3: go like a Kirby and an Abbot, or I pair
- 56:40Speaker 3: up Elvrez with a five man nass stacket. To Solly's
- 56:44Speaker 3: point here, playing the Nats differently is gonna be without
- 56:47Speaker 3: Woods and Abrams. That's how everyone's gonna play them, because
- 56:49Speaker 3: they're going to prioritize pitching and they're gonna see lefty
- 56:52Speaker 3: left yet sixty nine hundred and sixty four hundred and
- 56:54Speaker 3: not play either of those two hitters, which both of
- 56:57Speaker 3: those guys mash left handed pitching. And then obviously you
- 56:59Speaker 3: know what they do against radies.
- 57:00Speaker 2: I mean CJ.
- 57:01Speaker 3: Abram's over the last month against lefties two fourteen IO,
- 57:04Speaker 3: James Wood two eighty nine IO, which is the best
- 57:06Speaker 3: on the team. Yeah, they have strike ups to come
- 57:08Speaker 3: with it, But I actually think the way to play
- 57:10Speaker 3: the Nats is to play those guys in your stack.
- 57:13Speaker 2: And yeah, you have to sacrifice some pitching.
- 57:14Speaker 3: But if goes out there and puts out thirty and
- 57:17Speaker 3: the Nats go out there and put up fifteen runs
- 57:19Speaker 3: with four or five home runs and some stolen bases
- 57:22Speaker 3: and X all the additional points, well, the NAT side
- 57:26Speaker 3: is going to win that overall argument. There So that's
- 57:29Speaker 3: kind of how I prefer to play the Nats. And
- 57:31Speaker 3: I'm definitely gonna have a lot of Gnats overall on
- 57:33Speaker 3: this state, just because I think the salaries are enough
- 57:36Speaker 3: to keep enough people off of them. When you got
- 57:39Speaker 3: the Wrigley win game, as okay, everyone's like, oh, well,
- 57:42Speaker 3: the Nats priced up. Let me just go play these
- 57:44Speaker 3: underpriced guys for the environment in Chicago, and I'll take
- 57:48Speaker 3: the best offense in baseball right now against a terrible
- 57:51Speaker 3: bullpen and a terrible guy in Kyle Freeland in couors Field.
- 57:56Speaker 2: So that's kind of how I see it.
- 57:57Speaker 3: The only guy in the Rocky side I really have
- 57:59Speaker 3: interesting is Hunter Goodman coming off what three home run
- 58:01Speaker 3: game on Saturday or Sunday, whatever it was. That dude
- 58:04Speaker 3: just murders, especially left handed pitching. But outside of that,
- 58:07Speaker 3: I don't love it. I mean, Alvarez has a twenty
- 58:09Speaker 3: nine percent strikeout rate against our twenty eight percent strikeout
- 58:11Speaker 3: rate against right handed hitters.
- 58:14Speaker 2: He's going to.
- 58:14Speaker 3: See six righties and he keeps the ball on the ground,
- 58:16Speaker 3: So that's kind of the reasoning why I had some
- 58:18Speaker 3: interest in him overall, and I just don't love the
- 58:20Speaker 3: Rockies much outside of Hunter Goodman. So I'll play the
- 58:26Speaker 3: Nats or nothing really in that game, and Goodman takes
- 58:29Speaker 3: us to the late window three games left. We got
- 58:32Speaker 3: to buzz through these yere matts to get you out
- 58:34Speaker 3: of here. I know you've got a hard stop. Mitch Bratt.
- 58:37Speaker 3: Jeffrey Springs, d backs look pretty good against a fly
- 58:40Speaker 3: ball guy at home here?
- 58:42Speaker 2: Talk to me? How do you see this one?
- 58:45Speaker 4: I think this is kind of like the brace Padres game,
- 58:47Speaker 4: where a lot of slates this game would be highly
- 58:50Speaker 4: targeted from both sides. On this one it really won't be.
- 58:54Speaker 4: Arizona will be because of their price tags. But I
- 58:56Speaker 4: don't believe that as full stacks. People aren't going to
- 58:58Speaker 4: full stack in Arizona. Here, I'll use them as pieces
- 59:01Speaker 4: within other stacks. So you know how I feel about Arizona.
- 59:05Speaker 4: I always like them more than the field. I especially
- 59:07Speaker 4: like them against lefties. Springs is certainly not a guy
- 59:11Speaker 4: I'm afraid to pick on. You've got Aeronato really cheap.
- 59:15Speaker 4: Who's hot right now?
- 59:17Speaker 1: Yeah? I can't sit here and say I love play.
- 59:21Speaker 4: And I feel kind of similarly about the Athletics, even
- 59:24Speaker 4: though man, they're a tough click with how their lineup
- 59:26Speaker 4: is shaking out right now.
- 59:29Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't love the AG side. I do prefer
- 59:31Speaker 3: the d back side. They're definitely up there on my list.
- 59:34Speaker 3: I'm a little bit worried, but I think they're more
- 59:36Speaker 3: going to be owned as kind of mini stacks, So
- 59:38Speaker 3: I think if you're playing them, I think going in
- 59:41Speaker 3: with a five man stack. Markte Vargas Barosa, who's cheap Barnado,
- 59:45Speaker 3: like you said, who's cheap Moreno, as a reasonably priced catcher.
- 59:50Speaker 3: Walt Schmidt hasn't really shown it yet at this level,
- 59:53Speaker 3: but he's got some pedigree and he's reasonably priced. So yeah,
- 59:56Speaker 3: I do prefer the Arizona side. And then you've got
- 59:59Speaker 3: a bad bull and behind a bad starter in Jeffer Springs,
- 1:00:02Speaker 3: so it's stebacks are passed for me. In that one
- 1:00:05Speaker 3: Red's Mariners game, I think we can both say to
- 1:00:08Speaker 3: cross off here. We had interest in both pitchers worth
- 1:00:11Speaker 3: parking slate, so we can just go ahead and skip
- 1:00:14Speaker 3: that one and take us to the last game Angels
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: and the Cardinals. This is pot I like for offense
- 1:00:20Speaker 3: to round us out here. I like both sides. I
- 1:00:22Speaker 3: definitely prefer the Angel side. Against your boy, Kyle Leahy.
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: But talk to me here, Angels and Cardinals to run.
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: Us out, don't do that to me.
- 1:00:30Speaker 4: I know I shouldn't never shouted him out because it
- 1:00:32Speaker 4: was only a price play thing. He thinks I'll never
- 1:00:34Speaker 4: use him. It's certainly not to night.
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: So yeah, not bad, not even calling him out. I'm
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: with you.
- 1:00:39Speaker 4: This is just like the Arizona game in the Padres game.
- 1:00:42Speaker 4: We're like man on a lot of slates. I'd really
- 1:00:45Speaker 4: like both these teams. Soriano. I feel like he's not
- 1:00:51Speaker 4: He's not bad. He's just not nearly as good as
- 1:00:54Speaker 4: he was at the beginning of the season. So I'm
- 1:00:55Speaker 4: no longer looking to play him in DFS, but not
- 1:00:57Speaker 4: really wanting to pick on him on a full slate league.
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: Though.
- 1:01:02Speaker 4: If there was ever a righty to use the Angels
- 1:01:05Speaker 4: against that a big slate, he's it.
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: Angels.
- 1:01:09Speaker 4: I feel like they they're like the type of team
- 1:01:12Speaker 4: like every I don't know, ten games, for nine games
- 1:01:15Speaker 4: they absolutely stink, and then the tenth game they go nuts.
- 1:01:18Speaker 4: So like, could this be that tenth game? I could
- 1:01:22Speaker 4: dig it? Like, it's tough to full stack them on
- 1:01:24Speaker 4: this big as a slate but you're gonna get no ownership,
- 1:01:27Speaker 4: and I think their upside is real, so I dig it.
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's it's definitely gross.
- 1:01:33Speaker 3: Right, you take a look at the last month of
- 1:01:35Speaker 3: this team against right and pitching twenty six team I
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: saw won twenty eight and that's with a guy like
- 1:01:40Speaker 3: Josh Low.
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: Hitting for two fifty six. So it's pretty gross.
- 1:01:44Speaker 3: But I'm kind of a gluten for punishment here and
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: it's just a bet against Leehy So that's kind of
- 1:01:50Speaker 3: how I see it.
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: Leah is actually juiced to.
- 1:01:52Speaker 3: Be over a four and a half kse for for
- 1:01:54Speaker 3: your point earlier, And yeah, I think if you want
- 1:01:56Speaker 3: to the stomach k it, I just prefer dropping out
- 1:01:59Speaker 3: more that when we talked pitching. But yeah, Mike trout
- 1:02:02Speaker 3: netto Solaer, Grissom, just Low or Lao, however you pronounce it.
- 1:02:06Speaker 3: I think those kind of main guys are are interesting.
- 1:02:09Speaker 3: And then on the Cardinals side, Burlison, Weatherhole, noopar Walker.
- 1:02:13Speaker 3: The issue for me is Sorrianno is a mega ground
- 1:02:16Speaker 3: ball guy. He's not what he was at the start
- 1:02:18Speaker 3: of the year. He's not how he was the couple
- 1:02:22Speaker 3: starts after that where he got absolutely shll axed. He's
- 1:02:24Speaker 3: kind of somewhere in the middle, and the price points
- 1:02:26Speaker 3: on the Cardinals are fairly expensive, so much prefer overall
- 1:02:30Speaker 3: that the Angel side of that game.
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: But I think the Cardinals are are pretty interesting.
- 1:02:35Speaker 3: Is kind of a sneakier overall team that has a
- 1:02:38Speaker 3: pretty solid offense, which kind of took me by surprise
- 1:02:41Speaker 3: this season.
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: And it is.
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: Still the Angels bullpen behind Soriano there. So yeah, decent
- 1:02:48Speaker 3: game to round us out, Matt. I know you've got
- 1:02:50Speaker 3: to bounce. Do you got time to kind of give
- 1:02:52Speaker 3: your summary before I give mine and then I'll finish
- 1:02:56Speaker 3: up the show.
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: Yeah, I got it.
- 1:02:57Speaker 4: I appreciate you, Man, So I theek for my favorite pitchers,
- 1:03:02Speaker 4: I'll give top three. It's gonna be Kirby, miz and
- 1:03:05Speaker 4: Weathers and I like your abbot call a lot, So
- 1:03:07Speaker 4: we'll go four their top stacks. We'll go both sides
- 1:03:11Speaker 4: of the Giants Royals game, and then we will go
- 1:03:15Speaker 4: with Man, there's so many ithoes from uh, We'll go
- 1:03:23Speaker 4: with the Nats just because I'm with you on the
- 1:03:24Speaker 4: ownership there. So we'll go Giants, Royals Gnats. As we've
- 1:03:28Speaker 4: talked about a bunch of other really good stacks to like,
- 1:03:31Speaker 4: and then home run tonight, we are gonna go with.
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: Let's go with.
- 1:03:40Speaker 4: I called him out last game or last time I
- 1:03:42Speaker 4: was on the show. He didn't Homer, but he homered yesterday,
- 1:03:44Speaker 4: and you called him out earlier. Give me CAGs, Jack Agneo,
- 1:03:46Speaker 4: and I think he goes yard again today.
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: I like that.
- 1:03:50Speaker 3: I'm gonna go miz Abbot and I will go Kirby
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: as well as the three my favorite stacks. I'll go
- 1:03:58Speaker 3: the Giants, I will go the Gnats, and I will
- 1:04:06Speaker 3: say the Royals as well. But I think another sneaky
- 1:04:08Speaker 3: one is the Marlins as well. On this I think
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: the Marlins are pretty interesting. And then my home roun call,
- 1:04:14Speaker 3: I'm going to the Giants. I'm going to Casey Schmidt
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: gets back in the home run column here hitting third.
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: I think Casey Schmidt takes Michael Waka flocka flame deep
- 1:04:24Speaker 3: in Kaufman Stadium.
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: Appreciate ever tuning in. Hit that like button, hit the
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- 1:04:44Speaker 3: We're out of here piece