Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 04/08/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, all systems going clear the lift.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on ship at Nation YouTube station? Good
- 0:44Speaker 2: morning for most out there, don't say that too often.
- 0:47Speaker 2: Midweek here, I'm kind of liking these little Wednesday Wednesday
- 0:51Speaker 2: Day baseball early slates. It's kind of nice. Typically we're
- 0:54Speaker 2: probably gonna get quite a few of these, uh throughout
- 0:57Speaker 2: the season. Here Matt's with usually is they being a
- 1:00Speaker 2: slower day for baseball, which is great this week, right
- 1:03Speaker 2: because guess what we got the Masters tomorrow. Our boys
- 1:07Speaker 2: Blickel and Tambull are alive right now, same time, right
- 1:10Speaker 2: here on this channel. So if you're here for baseball
- 1:13Speaker 2: and you're also playing Masters, which I'm assuming most of
- 1:16Speaker 2: us djens out there are playing both. Obviously, Masters my
- 1:19Speaker 2: favorite golf tournament. Pretty much everyone's here at golf tournament.
- 1:22Speaker 2: I obviously love it for all the nostalgia and obviously
- 1:25Speaker 2: the contests are absolutely massive. First major of the year,
- 1:28Speaker 2: regardless of what people say for the quote unquote fifth
- 1:31Speaker 2: major being the players, right, But yeah, I'm liking these
- 1:35Speaker 2: early baseball and we got ten games on the docket here.
- 1:38Speaker 2: I know it's a slower day tomorrow for baseball, but hey,
- 1:41Speaker 2: like I said, Masters on no complaints here on my front.
- 1:45Speaker 2: But I'll bring you in, Matt. Excited to be back
- 1:48Speaker 2: with you in the show. In the saddle here, we
- 1:51Speaker 2: got a Coors Field slate. We got some crazy chalk
- 1:54Speaker 2: in that game. Obviously due to the hitting weather right
- 1:57Speaker 2: across the country, it's pretty pretty damn cold. I mean,
- 1:59Speaker 2: we're seeing thirties and forties in some of these spots
- 2:02Speaker 2: across the country. And it's not to say that Coors
- 2:05Speaker 2: is insane hitting weather by any means. It's like sixty
- 2:08Speaker 2: degrees out there, but it's the best just due to
- 2:10Speaker 2: the altitude right in the elevation there, it's it is
- 2:14Speaker 2: the best spot on the slate. And obviously you know
- 2:16Speaker 2: what the Rockies pitching staff is there. So we'll obviously
- 2:20Speaker 2: talk a ton about that game. But I'll bring you in, Man.
- 2:23Speaker 2: How's your week going. I know you had a shipper yesterday.
- 2:26Speaker 2: Congrats on the early slate. A little twenty stacks in
- 2:29Speaker 2: your pocket there, so you're rolling hot. We had a
- 2:32Speaker 2: lot of members win win big last night in the discord,
- 2:35Speaker 2: including our guy Shalou shipping for fifteen stacks and racking
- 2:38Speaker 2: up thing. He's got like ten ten mega MILLI tickets
- 2:42Speaker 2: for for the Masters this week, which is absolutely crazy,
- 2:45Speaker 2: so hopefully he can Parlo parlay those in and obviously
- 2:48Speaker 2: many other members. But what's going on? Brother? Happy Wednesday?
- 2:51Speaker 3: Yeah YouTube, Man, happy to be on here with you.
- 2:53Speaker 3: I love early baseball. One of the true gems about
- 2:55Speaker 3: MLB and mlbdfacet. You get multiple slates during the day
- 3:00Speaker 3: and at night like Wednesday and Thursdays often, so even tomorrow,
- 3:04Speaker 3: like slower day, there's likely going to be two three
- 3:07Speaker 3: game slates which will still be decently fun to play. Today,
- 3:09Speaker 3: we got a big boy main slate starting early. Yeah.
- 3:13Speaker 3: Coming off a good day yesterday, it could have been
- 3:15Speaker 3: a massive day for me. Man is the last lineup
- 3:19Speaker 3: I played. I played a few Marlins and then I
- 3:23Speaker 3: couldn't decide between playing some Cubs and some Reds with them,
- 3:26Speaker 3: and I obviously went with the Reds. Had I not,
- 3:28Speaker 3: it would have been a pretty real big day. Obviously,
- 3:32Speaker 3: really good early slate for me, so no complaints. Hoping
- 3:35Speaker 3: to parlay it into a bigger day today. You mentioned
- 3:37Speaker 3: Parlay and those Milli tickets. Ten is something, so yeah,
- 3:43Speaker 3: we'd love to see him take down the Millie if
- 3:45Speaker 3: he's got ten tickets that's really impressive. Yeah, man, we
- 3:49Speaker 3: got big contests today. We don't have the pit, so
- 3:54Speaker 3: it's more interesting to break down. You almost wish we
- 3:56Speaker 3: had like a few of the lower end guys from
- 3:59Speaker 3: yesterday on today's slate, and they'd be probably the top options.
- 4:03Speaker 3: But such as life, we got a different slate today.
- 4:06Speaker 3: Hard to get away from the Corps game just because
- 4:09Speaker 3: of the pitching there. How the other spots play out
- 4:14Speaker 3: in terms of weather, but as always, there are ways
- 4:17Speaker 3: to get different courses. Not being great the first two games,
- 4:20Speaker 3: I know that the Rockies or the Astros excuse me,
- 4:22Speaker 3: scored seven in the opening game, but they didn't really
- 4:26Speaker 3: do that much from a DFS perspective. Obviously last night
- 4:28Speaker 3: they did nothing, so we'll see. I like them more
- 4:31Speaker 3: today than I have the past two nights, but ownership
- 4:35Speaker 3: is certainly going to be there, so I'm interested to
- 4:36Speaker 3: see if we can find some spots to get different
- 4:38Speaker 3: in tournaments.
- 4:40Speaker 2: No, you alluded to it a lot there, and I
- 4:43Speaker 2: differ from you there a little bit, but we'll talk
- 4:46Speaker 2: about it. It's just it. Yeah, I mean, we got
- 4:47Speaker 2: ten games on the slate, We got the Dodgers, we
- 4:49Speaker 2: got high powered offenses. Across the board that are going
- 4:52Speaker 2: gonna go under own just do to strictly do to
- 4:54Speaker 2: quote unquote the matchups. But I mean, as you alluded to, right,
- 4:57Speaker 2: the pitching is not the same as it was yesterday.
- 4:59Speaker 2: I don't think we'll see another slate all year where
- 5:02Speaker 2: Paul Skeen's is nine k and he wasn't he was
- 5:04Speaker 2: like five percent ten percent, right, right. That just shows
- 5:07Speaker 2: you how powerful the slate was yesterday. Obviously some of
- 5:10Speaker 2: the guys got there, some of them didn't, which is
- 5:13Speaker 2: just the nature of always the slate. But I mean
- 5:15Speaker 2: when when you got a guy like Miserowski who has
- 5:18Speaker 2: incredible strikeout upside and he's like he I mean, he's
- 5:21Speaker 2: ten percent on fifteen percent on, that just shows you
- 5:24Speaker 2: how powerful that slate was and how loaded it was,
- 5:27Speaker 2: and not the case here today. So we're gonna talk
- 5:30Speaker 2: about it. I do have some cheaper guys that I
- 5:32Speaker 2: do like, outside of the most popular guy who everyone's
- 5:36Speaker 2: gonna go to in one of the best hitting environments
- 5:39Speaker 2: on the slate there, So we'll do our best to
- 5:41Speaker 2: break it all down. I'm gonna go ahead and pull
- 5:43Speaker 2: up our partner, Saber sim In the second we got
- 5:45Speaker 2: hard in here. We got Scooter McGavin trying to find
- 5:47Speaker 2: some of those mega milli tickets for the Masters. I'm
- 5:50Speaker 2: in some ticket streets for for the one hundred dollars
- 5:52Speaker 2: million as well. Just last chance, right, last chance to
- 5:57Speaker 2: find some of those tickets. Gator Nation warrantyler. Everybody tune in,
- 6:02Speaker 2: appreciate hit that like butt hit that subscribe button helps
- 6:04Speaker 2: us out a ton, Matt. We're gonna go eight k
- 6:07Speaker 2: and above like we always do on this show. Here,
- 6:10Speaker 2: let me swap over the screen here, put this up
- 6:13Speaker 2: like this and go like this to make it a
- 6:16Speaker 2: little bigger. All right, So pitchers eight king above pretty loaded.
- 6:21Speaker 2: I'm gonna throw kind of the most popular guys here.
- 6:23Speaker 2: You got Brian Wu up at the top right around
- 6:27Speaker 2: probably twenty percent. I expect that to probably drop a
- 6:30Speaker 2: little bit as people are trying to slam in those
- 6:33Speaker 2: those Astros bats. But if they're playing Wu, they're probably
- 6:36Speaker 2: pairing him up with a guy we're gonna talk about
- 6:38Speaker 2: later on below down in the value tier. So he's
- 6:41Speaker 2: gonna get a decent amount of ownership. Wragan's is gonna
- 6:43Speaker 2: get a lot down at eighty nine hundred. That's a
- 6:46Speaker 2: good price point for him, good strikeout matchup against Cleveland.
- 6:49Speaker 2: It's not the same Cleveland team of years past. There
- 6:51Speaker 2: is the strikeouts in there. Obviously, that's your your your
- 6:54Speaker 2: your team. You like those guys over there, at least
- 6:57Speaker 2: you know quite a bit about those guys. And then
- 7:01Speaker 2: down at the bottom right, Sonny Gray, A k it's
- 7:04Speaker 2: like forty degrees in Wrigley, wind blown in. It's just
- 7:08Speaker 2: I think he's chalked due to the salary and the weather.
- 7:12Speaker 2: I really don't think he's gonna be I don't think
- 7:16Speaker 2: people are clicking Sonny Gray. Obviously he has strike up,
- 7:19Speaker 2: but this is not the same Sunny Gray of years past.
- 7:22Speaker 2: Obviously he came over to Boston this year there so
- 7:26Speaker 2: really hit on those three. And then any of these
- 7:28Speaker 2: pivots in between, guys like Kyle Bradis, you aren't gonna
- 7:30Speaker 2: get played. Mackenzie Gore is not gonna get played. Dylan
- 7:33Speaker 2: Seese has a tough matchup, but Tani has a tough matchup.
- 7:35Speaker 2: But both of those guys have arguably some of the
- 7:37Speaker 2: most upside on the slate. So talk to me here,
- 7:40Speaker 2: what are you doing from the pitching perspective up range?
- 7:44Speaker 3: Yeah, the pitching is just simply put, harder to break
- 7:47Speaker 3: down than it was yesterday because yesterday you could get
- 7:50Speaker 3: different with guys like you mentioned schemes miss Rawski, like
- 7:55Speaker 3: you don't have that today, You hardly ever have that.
- 7:56Speaker 3: It might be the only slate this year where you
- 7:58Speaker 3: have that. I almost feel like there isn't gonna be
- 8:04Speaker 3: a really chalky pitcher on this slate because no one
- 8:07Speaker 3: looks great. I think Wu is the best arm, but
- 8:12Speaker 3: he's ten k and you always prefer these Seattle arms
- 8:15Speaker 3: in Seattle, So I'm fine with WU, but he's far
- 8:20Speaker 3: from like a must play in my mind. I like
- 8:25Speaker 3: Reagan's but Cleveland is one spot where you've got good
- 8:28Speaker 3: hitting weather. It's not crazy warm here, but compared to
- 8:33Speaker 3: other spots on this slate, it favors much better for
- 8:36Speaker 3: hitting than other spots do. So I like Reagan's. I
- 8:39Speaker 3: think that he's always got high strikeout upside. You know,
- 8:43Speaker 3: if you can't touch the ball, then the home run
- 8:46Speaker 3: upside doesn't matter for Cleveland. So I'm in on Reagan's
- 8:49Speaker 3: here again, I don't love it, but that's the theme
- 8:51Speaker 3: of the slate. I don't love anything on this slate.
- 8:54Speaker 3: Cease is you know, if not for WU probably the
- 8:59Speaker 3: best DA best picture on the slate when he's got
- 9:02Speaker 3: his best stuff. But man, like, if you just avoid
- 9:06Speaker 3: picking on the Dodgers with pictures all season long, you're
- 9:10Speaker 3: probably gonna come out ahead. And I don't really see
- 9:13Speaker 3: the need to get different here with seas like, especially
- 9:16Speaker 3: if he's gonna get some ownership, which he will, because
- 9:18Speaker 3: there isn't really any good pitching options today, So if
- 9:22Speaker 3: you are crazy low owned, I'd be more interested, but
- 9:24Speaker 3: not if he's coming in at like, you know, fifteen
- 9:28Speaker 3: percent somewhere around there, Mackenzie Gore, Seattle has struggled against lefties.
- 9:35Speaker 3: You can poke holes in all these guys. I don't
- 9:38Speaker 3: really have like a particularly strong take right now, except
- 9:42Speaker 3: for I'm with you on Sonny Gray. Like all things considered,
- 9:49Speaker 3: I'd rather use some of these other pictures because I
- 9:51Speaker 3: think they have more upside. But with where he's priced,
- 9:54Speaker 3: with the weather, I think he looks good here, So
- 9:58Speaker 3: I don't love it again, but I've said that times,
- 10:00Speaker 3: but I'm likely in on Gray. How do you feel?
- 10:04Speaker 2: Yeah, I just think everybody's going to be in on him.
- 10:07Speaker 2: I mean, you see the dry run here. Let me
- 10:09Speaker 2: go ahead and switch to projected score here instead of
- 10:11Speaker 2: saber score, just to kind of see what projections are
- 10:14Speaker 2: pumping out. That gives us a kind of a good
- 10:16Speaker 2: idea on who's going to get steamed, who's going to
- 10:18Speaker 2: kind of moon walk back, shout thet oar got DJN
- 10:20Speaker 2: big guy in the sky Masters week out there. But yeah,
- 10:24Speaker 2: right here, I mean, you see it, Sonny Gray, Grant Holmes.
- 10:27Speaker 3: Right.
- 10:27Speaker 2: So, if that's the case and he's projected right around
- 10:31Speaker 2: that mid twenties in terms of ownership, I expect that
- 10:33Speaker 2: to come up because I mean, the dude is two
- 10:35Speaker 2: thousand dollars cheaper than the top range in wu Otani
- 10:38Speaker 2: and Seas. And you got the coors Field game with
- 10:41Speaker 2: a twelve total with with the Astros had almost a
- 10:44Speaker 2: seven applied run total, right, So, Sonny Gray allows you
- 10:48Speaker 2: to get the yor runs of the world that Jeremy
- 10:50Speaker 2: King is of the world, the Christian Walker's coming off
- 10:52Speaker 2: a home run or in play some of those Dodgers
- 10:55Speaker 2: with their four applied run total, even going up against
- 10:58Speaker 2: Dylan Sea's, right, we saw Dylan SE's had a one
- 11:00Speaker 2: game and he got absolutely shlacked the other game. That's
- 11:02Speaker 2: a typical Dylan Ce's performance. Right, he's up and down. Obviously,
- 11:05Speaker 2: if he has his game, he can strike out anyone
- 11:07Speaker 2: in the league. If he doesn't, he's gonna get lit up.
- 11:10Speaker 2: And it's the Dodgers, right, the best offensive baseball there.
- 11:14Speaker 2: So when you put the slate perspective into hands, Sonny
- 11:18Speaker 2: Gray just feels like the quote unquote safest option and everyone,
- 11:21Speaker 2: I mean, this is gonna be Sonny Gray, in my opinion,
- 11:25Speaker 2: today is gonna be the Cam Schleeezler of yesterday. Right,
- 11:28Speaker 2: projected right around that twenty to twenty five range, came
- 11:31Speaker 2: in on almost fifty percent in single entry. Sonny Gray
- 11:34Speaker 2: is gonna be the exact same play today. Yeah, Emmy,
- 11:37Speaker 2: he's probably gonna be a thirty to thirty five percent
- 11:39Speaker 2: on MM or single entry stuff. I won't be surprised
- 11:42Speaker 2: if he's fifty five sixty percent on just due to
- 11:45Speaker 2: the nature of the pitching slate being gross. Everyone pulls
- 11:47Speaker 2: up the weather, they see fifty degrees in Wrigley wind
- 11:50Speaker 2: blown in and it's the Brewers. But I just if
- 11:54Speaker 2: that's the case, and all of these other guys aren't
- 11:57Speaker 2: gonna get that kind of ownership, and it's already. It's
- 12:00Speaker 2: a ten game slate, and you're telling me all I
- 12:03Speaker 2: need is for these other guys that have high quality
- 12:07Speaker 2: arms to outscore a guy in Sunny Gray. I mean,
- 12:10Speaker 2: if Sunny Gray goes up there and get you fifteen
- 12:12Speaker 2: to eighteen, yeah, you'll probably take it at eight K.
- 12:15Speaker 2: But I mean you could see these other guys outscore
- 12:18Speaker 2: him there. So Sunny Gray is quote unquote this cash play,
- 12:21Speaker 2: the safest play on the slate. I'm just worried about
- 12:24Speaker 2: him on the slate because I see what projections are pumping.
- 12:27Speaker 2: I see how gross the pitching slate looks in general,
- 12:29Speaker 2: and how everybody wants to play coors Field, and well,
- 12:32Speaker 2: you need some salary somewhere to play those guys. So
- 12:35Speaker 2: that's the issue I have with Sunny Gray. I think
- 12:37Speaker 2: he's safe. I think he's fine. He's definitely a cash
- 12:40Speaker 2: game play. But in my tournaments, especially chasing these Masters
- 12:42Speaker 2: tickets and chasing the top of the leader boards, I'm
- 12:45Speaker 2: probably gonna be underweighth on Sunny Gray. It's just the
- 12:47Speaker 2: nature of the slate. It's who I'm gonna take, and
- 12:49Speaker 2: I like a guy Kyle Bradish right above him, eighty
- 12:51Speaker 2: five hundred tons of strike on upside. It's still the
- 12:54Speaker 2: White Sox. It's not great weather there in Chicago, obviously
- 12:58Speaker 2: at one o'clock game this point of the year, it's
- 13:02Speaker 2: pretty chilly. I mean, I live about three hours up
- 13:05Speaker 2: the interstate up in Wisconsin. It's freezing cold out this morning, windy, rainy,
- 13:10Speaker 2: kind of shitty. So I like Kyle Bradish. I like
- 13:12Speaker 2: his strike on ability in this White Sox lineup. If
- 13:16Speaker 2: he can navigate some of those lefties in there, which
- 13:18Speaker 2: like the Murray Comedies and the Colson Montgomery's and that
- 13:21Speaker 2: I think there's a lot of strikeouts there. So I
- 13:22Speaker 2: think Kyle Bradish is a pretty sneaky play. I'm with
- 13:24Speaker 2: you on Reagans. I like Reagans a ton you looking
- 13:27Speaker 2: at this Cleveland lineup, if he can navigate Kwan Martinez
- 13:30Speaker 2: and Jay Ram at the top, I mean, you got
- 13:32Speaker 2: thirty six percent k twenty seven, twenty seven, twenty eight.
- 13:37Speaker 2: I mean that's six guys over twenty seven percent krate
- 13:40Speaker 2: in that Cleveland lineup. That's confirmed for Cole Reagan's who
- 13:43Speaker 2: has a forty forty two percent strikeout rate last year
- 13:48Speaker 2: to the right side and almost a thirty percent to
- 13:51Speaker 2: the left side. He's got the most strike on ability
- 13:53Speaker 2: on the slate. I get it, it's fairly decent hitting
- 13:55Speaker 2: weather they're but it's only like fifty degrees still, so
- 13:58Speaker 2: it's not like it's crazy. So I'm in on Reagan's
- 14:01Speaker 2: I like him a ton. I also like McKenzie Gore
- 14:03Speaker 2: a lot. I don't think many people are gonna play him.
- 14:06Speaker 2: He's the He's definitely a little scary, but the Mariners
- 14:09Speaker 2: offense really hasn't kind of come out the gate swinging.
- 14:13Speaker 2: Obviously the roof is going to be open, it seems
- 14:15Speaker 2: tonight or today in Texas, which does scare me a
- 14:18Speaker 2: little bit. But McKenzie Gore I think has a ton
- 14:20Speaker 2: of strike on ability. So for me, it's really Gore,
- 14:23Speaker 2: Reagan's Kyle Bradish are the main guys above eight kid
- 14:26Speaker 2: that I'm looking at. Brian Wu I think is fine
- 14:28Speaker 2: to spend up to be contrarian, but just due to
- 14:30Speaker 2: the nature of the slate, I think people see the
- 14:32Speaker 2: highest priced pitcher naturally, especially the handbuilders, especially the people
- 14:35Speaker 2: the golf kind of casual, not casuals, but the people
- 14:38Speaker 2: that typically don't play baseball all the time chasing those
- 14:40Speaker 2: Masters tickets. They see him, They're like, oh, he's the
- 14:43Speaker 2: highest priced guy. He must be, he must be the
- 14:47Speaker 2: best option. And I mean he quote unquote is. But
- 14:50Speaker 2: again it's in Texas. Texas only has a three and
- 14:53Speaker 2: a half implied run total, right, So I do think
- 14:56Speaker 2: more people click him. Nobody's gonna click o TOWNI in
- 14:59Speaker 2: that matchhe be gainst the blue. I just saw what
- 15:00Speaker 2: Yamamoto did against the Blue Jays yesterday. Blue Jays have
- 15:05Speaker 2: not been hitting the baseball at all. Naturally, it's probably
- 15:07Speaker 2: gonna come today against the guy like shoe Hale Tani,
- 15:10Speaker 2: who didn't look great in his first start, but uh,
- 15:14Speaker 2: he still has electric stuff. He's still incredible. So if
- 15:17Speaker 2: I had to pick a guy all the way up
- 15:19Speaker 2: the top, I think shoe Hale Tony's gonna go completely overlooked.
- 15:23Speaker 2: He's got a ton of upside. And I won't mind
- 15:26Speaker 2: going in on on a guy like Otani. What are
- 15:28Speaker 2: you any any closing thoughts here on a king above anything?
- 15:32Speaker 2: Any rebuttals that I talked about here?
- 15:34Speaker 3: Yeah, for me personally, Like I points about Sonny Gray,
- 15:38Speaker 3: but I'm not worried about the ownership like that. I
- 15:40Speaker 3: mean that's crazy because usually the single entry stuff is
- 15:43Speaker 3: similar to like the higher dollar stuff and Shitler was
- 15:46Speaker 3: owned Schlitler. I always have trouble saying that, but he
- 15:49Speaker 3: was only like thirty percent, so you're saying that he
- 15:52Speaker 3: was like fifty percent and single entry stuff does have
- 15:55Speaker 3: me a little bit concerned with Sonny, but I still
- 15:59Speaker 3: think he and personally the stuff I'm playing, he comes
- 16:01Speaker 3: in more like thirty percent, So I'm fine with it.
- 16:05Speaker 3: Like I don't know if I'd want to play him
- 16:08Speaker 3: and Grant Holmes and the Astros in tournaments because I
- 16:11Speaker 3: think that too many people are going to do that.
- 16:13Speaker 3: But on his own I think Sonny Gray is a
- 16:16Speaker 3: fine play. I also don't think you have to play
- 16:18Speaker 3: him by any means, especially if you think he's going
- 16:20Speaker 3: to be just steamed ownership wise, So a lot of
- 16:24Speaker 3: these guys look the same. I feel like this is
- 16:27Speaker 3: definitely a slate to get different at Pitcher because they're
- 16:32Speaker 3: projected similarly, but ownership will rise to the guys that
- 16:36Speaker 3: project a little bit better. So I like the Bradish
- 16:39Speaker 3: call it's the White Sox, good pitching weather. I'm fine
- 16:43Speaker 3: with it. I could definitely get on board of just
- 16:45Speaker 3: using him instead of Sunny Gray and then up top.
- 16:48Speaker 3: I don't really know if I want to spend on
- 16:50Speaker 3: pitching like expensive. I'm the expensive guys, but I have
- 16:55Speaker 3: no arguments about any of them. Like Otani certainly has
- 16:58Speaker 3: massive upside. You mentioned Yamamoto did cease. We talked about
- 17:03Speaker 3: Will again. He's a really good pitcher. If this game
- 17:07Speaker 3: we're in Seattle, i'd like him a lot more. I
- 17:10Speaker 3: think he's fine just because of what we're working with today,
- 17:13Speaker 3: but I don't really love him to your point. So yeah,
- 17:16Speaker 3: a bunch of just mad okay options in my.
- 17:19Speaker 2: Opinion, Yeah, I'm just I like. I think one of
- 17:24Speaker 2: my favorite pairings on the slate is is just eating
- 17:26Speaker 2: the chalk and Cole Reagan's and then going with a differentiator,
- 17:29Speaker 2: a guy who's gonna be lower own in Kyle Bradish
- 17:32Speaker 2: and just kind of living in that logan nine K
- 17:35Speaker 2: range and mid eight K range. Right, So I like
- 17:37Speaker 2: those two obviously a ton, But there is some guys
- 17:40Speaker 2: down below ak that we can play. I'm gonna throw
- 17:42Speaker 2: out a couple of names re Deptmers against that chalky
- 17:45Speaker 2: brave stack. Obviously, offense is pretty weak to come by.
- 17:48Speaker 2: It is a good place to hit, it's good weather, there,
- 17:50Speaker 2: but Dept. Maurs does have some strike on ability there,
- 17:53Speaker 2: so I don't hate him. I want I'll let you
- 17:56Speaker 2: talk on Kntillo. I think he's a fairly solid arm.
- 17:59Speaker 2: It's just I don't love the spot there. The matchup
- 18:02Speaker 2: a couple guys I do want to throw out. Obviously,
- 18:04Speaker 2: Grant Holmes is the chalk of the slate, the chalk
- 18:06Speaker 2: cheap guy at sixty seven hundred. I mean it's just
- 18:09Speaker 2: due to the Angels. I get the Angels strike out
- 18:11Speaker 2: a lot, but Grant Holmes hasn't looked great. He hasn't
- 18:14Speaker 2: looked the same as he did last year in his
- 18:16Speaker 2: first start. I think he's pretty fragile down there at
- 18:20Speaker 2: sixty seven hundred, and we have guys around him, guys
- 18:23Speaker 2: like Sean Burke I think, are fairly interested in that.
- 18:25Speaker 2: The Orioles have been pretty weak out the gates, and
- 18:29Speaker 2: I get it. They have a high implied run total,
- 18:31Speaker 2: but they always do anytime they're on the slate, especially
- 18:33Speaker 2: facing against the White Sox and that shitty bullpen behind him,
- 18:36Speaker 2: so naturally that inflates the run total a little bit
- 18:38Speaker 2: there as well. So I don't hate him. Reeed Nelson.
- 18:41Speaker 2: I think he has some talent and he looks pretty
- 18:43Speaker 2: good as a pivot off of Homes. And then the
- 18:45Speaker 2: other guy is Shane Droan, Sam pitching Weather is Sonny Gray.
- 18:49Speaker 2: He's a rookie. Not many people know much about him,
- 18:53Speaker 2: gonna start for the Brewers. He does have strikeout ability.
- 18:56Speaker 2: He has control issues at time as well. But again
- 18:59Speaker 2: he's a lefty face facing Boston where some of the
- 19:02Speaker 2: better hitters hit from the left side in that weather
- 19:05Speaker 2: forty degrees wind blown in there. Direct pivot two hundred
- 19:08Speaker 2: dollars more off of Grant homes. And then I like
- 19:11Speaker 2: the guys two and four hundred dollars cheaper than Grant
- 19:13Speaker 2: homes down there in Burke Nelson. And like I said, Drohan,
- 19:17Speaker 2: so talk to me about this cheaper tier. Any guys
- 19:19Speaker 2: that stand up to you that I didn't mention, or
- 19:22Speaker 2: any thoughts on the guys I did. So.
- 19:26Speaker 3: I like the Drowhand call out because I'll just from
- 19:29Speaker 3: my perspective, put it like this. I don't really like
- 19:32Speaker 3: him per se, but I like that he's a direct
- 19:35Speaker 3: pivot off of Holmes, who I think is pretty weak.
- 19:37Speaker 3: Chalk Holmes is not great. Yeah, it's the Angels. They
- 19:41Speaker 3: strike out but they also have power. I think their
- 19:44Speaker 3: lineup is a little bit better than the public perceives
- 19:46Speaker 3: it to be. And Holmes, this is not a guy
- 19:50Speaker 3: I've really been on. So just the fact that he's
- 19:52Speaker 3: two hundred more than Holmes and is getting no ownership
- 19:55Speaker 3: and is pitching and really good pitching Weather has me
- 19:58Speaker 3: interested there. Like I don't know or think he's good,
- 20:01Speaker 3: but you know, they're giving him a shot here, and
- 20:04Speaker 3: he's got the same pitching whether as Sonny Gray, who's
- 20:07Speaker 3: gonna get ownership. I think you can make a case
- 20:10Speaker 3: to use Boston bats against him, but as the pivot
- 20:13Speaker 3: off of Homes, I kind of dig it. Cantillo, I'm
- 20:16Speaker 3: a big fan of his stuff. Like the price tag
- 20:21Speaker 3: here at seventy three hundred. I'm with you, though, like
- 20:23Speaker 3: for the same reason that I'm a hesitant on Reagan's,
- 20:26Speaker 3: I'm obviously even more so on Cantillo. Here, you've got
- 20:30Speaker 3: just not a great spot on paper against the Royals,
- 20:33Speaker 3: and then again, yeah, it's not like amazing hitting Weather,
- 20:36Speaker 3: but from the perspective of this slate, it's better than
- 20:40Speaker 3: other spots. I don't think the Guardians will hesitate to
- 20:43Speaker 3: go to their bullpen here after Gavin went decently deep yesterday. Yeah,
- 20:50Speaker 3: I mean I could get on board with Kintillo because
- 20:53Speaker 3: we just don't have really good options today. I think
- 20:55Speaker 3: he's also a pivot off of Chalky Grant Holmes, who Yeah,
- 21:01Speaker 3: I mean, he's projected to be just really popular here
- 21:04Speaker 3: no matter where do you look, not like insanely owned,
- 21:08Speaker 3: But I could see him getting steamed just because the
- 21:10Speaker 3: price tag expensive Bats and Cores debt meurs definitely in
- 21:15Speaker 3: play here. Another guy where I don't love the matchup,
- 21:17Speaker 3: how do you ever love picking on the Braves, but
- 21:20Speaker 3: good price tag for his strikeout upside, so kind of
- 21:23Speaker 3: falls in line with a lot of these other guys.
- 21:25Speaker 3: I don't have strong takes here. Aaron Nola looked really
- 21:30Speaker 3: good in his debut against the Rockies and Cores. I'm
- 21:33Speaker 3: not really buying it. But another guy that's I guess
- 21:36Speaker 3: in play on this slate. Really tough to narrow down
- 21:40Speaker 3: pitching from my perspective, just because a lot of these
- 21:43Speaker 3: guys look the same. So I will say you mentioned
- 21:45Speaker 3: at the beginning it looks like a good multi entry slate.
- 21:48Speaker 2: I agree, Yeah, it's definitely harder to narrow it down here.
- 21:52Speaker 2: There's a lot of guys that we probably asked that
- 21:54Speaker 2: I just unclicked, that are probably gonna find their way
- 21:57Speaker 2: in there, and there's guys that aren't. Right, That's just
- 22:00Speaker 2: the way baseball goes. That's why I'm taking more account
- 22:03Speaker 2: into kind of ownership outside of Cole Reagan's because I
- 22:06Speaker 2: just believe in his strikeout ability and that Guardians lineup
- 22:09Speaker 2: I just don't think is very good in general. I
- 22:11Speaker 2: know it's your squad there in that, but I just
- 22:14Speaker 2: don't fear them. They got Jay Ram, obviously, they got
- 22:16Speaker 2: a couple of good hitters, but they got guys that
- 22:19Speaker 2: strike out a ton, right, So I don't really buy it.
- 22:23Speaker 2: But I did filter to kind of high stake single
- 22:25Speaker 2: entry to your point, and you see it right here
- 22:27Speaker 2: Grant Holmes forty one percent projected ownership in terms of
- 22:30Speaker 2: high stake smaller field stuff, which it feels right right.
- 22:33Speaker 2: I think the chalk pairing is going to be Reagan's
- 22:35Speaker 2: and Holmes or Woo and Holmes just because the nature
- 22:39Speaker 2: of the slate, right, and then Sunny Gray is going
- 22:41Speaker 2: to be kind of that second or third third option
- 22:43Speaker 2: there right around that thirty thirty percent range that that
- 22:46Speaker 2: you see. But I could see that steaming up just
- 22:48Speaker 2: at eight k. More people want bats, they want salary.
- 22:51Speaker 2: That nine hundred dollars could matter right from Reagan's down
- 22:55Speaker 2: to Sonny Gray, but it's definitely going to be Holmes,
- 22:58Speaker 2: Reagan's Sonny Gray are the three the guys that are
- 23:00Speaker 2: getting get played the most in my opinion here, And yeah,
- 23:03Speaker 2: they're all fine, but none of them are bulletproof. We
- 23:05Speaker 2: all felt we both felt kind of mediocre on all
- 23:08Speaker 2: three of those. So if those are gonna be the
- 23:10Speaker 2: guys getting ownership, I don't mind looking at the other
- 23:13Speaker 2: guys in their ranges, like I talked about Kyle Bradish, McKenzie, Gore, Otani, Drohan,
- 23:19Speaker 2: Burke Nelson, those are kind of the guys that kind
- 23:22Speaker 2: of slipping under the weather there and and then det Mers.
- 23:24Speaker 2: I think it is has some upside, and the Braves
- 23:28Speaker 2: are gonna be the second most popular offense on the
- 23:29Speaker 2: slate behind the course field, so I don't hate it.
- 23:34Speaker 2: But yeah, pitching's pretty tough to narrow down here. We
- 23:38Speaker 2: did our best to kind of navigate it through. But
- 23:41Speaker 2: why don't we go ahead and rank our top five
- 23:44Speaker 2: just to give the people If we had to put
- 23:45Speaker 2: a ranking. I know it's tough, but I'll throw it
- 23:48Speaker 2: to you. Matt, go ahead and rank your top five
- 23:50Speaker 2: before we jump over to hitters.
- 23:54Speaker 3: It's a little bit tough right now because a lot
- 23:56Speaker 3: of these guys are like kind of entered. I will say, uh,
- 24:02Speaker 3: I think I'm gonna have Mackenzie Gore one. I'll go
- 24:09Speaker 3: I like the bradish called Bradish. Two. Then we'll go
- 24:12Speaker 3: with some chok you guys. Reagan's Sonny Gray. I guess
- 24:16Speaker 3: I'll throw Homes in there because of the price tag,
- 24:18Speaker 3: even though I don't love it and I'm clearly lower
- 24:20Speaker 3: on him than the field, but he's cheap. So we'll
- 24:22Speaker 3: go Homes but tough man because I feel like you
- 24:27Speaker 3: could replace that five with a whole different five and
- 24:29Speaker 3: I wouldn't even be that upset about it. So that's
- 24:31Speaker 3: that type of slate.
- 24:32Speaker 2: Absolutely, yeah, I'll go Gore number one for me too.
- 24:36Speaker 2: Reagan's number two. I'm gonna go Bradish. Three, I'll go
- 24:42Speaker 2: I'll go Burke and Nelson has pivots off of Holmes
- 24:45Speaker 2: as kind of that that four spot. And then I'll
- 24:48Speaker 2: go Otani up in the top tier, as no one's
- 24:51Speaker 2: gonna click that name and I think he has a
- 24:53Speaker 2: lot offside. Blue Jays are pretty cold right now. He
- 24:56Speaker 2: should have some run support behind him there with the
- 24:59Speaker 2: Dodgers offense. So those are kind of the five guys
- 25:01Speaker 2: or six guys that I'm mainly looking at. But again,
- 25:04Speaker 2: as things shake out, as lineups come out and I
- 25:06Speaker 2: see what the opposent, the lineups like that they're facing
- 25:11Speaker 2: look like, I'll make some adjustments there. Let's jump over
- 25:14Speaker 2: to the stone here. Let me go ahead in refresh
- 25:17Speaker 2: so we get the most updated lineups. These are what
- 25:21Speaker 2: we have here. First game. The padres Pirates is not
- 25:25Speaker 2: on the main slate here, so that takes us to
- 25:28Speaker 2: your home Guardians, Royals. Reagan's Cantillo on the mound. Cantillo
- 25:33Speaker 2: not crazy, but he's been solid. He's a solid pitcher.
- 25:37Speaker 2: Royals don't strike out a ton, but they do have
- 25:40Speaker 2: some guys in the back half to strike out there.
- 25:43Speaker 2: You did say it is decent come in relative to
- 25:46Speaker 2: the slate in terms of hitting here. The wind is
- 25:48Speaker 2: slightly blown out. It's in the mid fifties, upper low
- 25:52Speaker 2: sixties by the end of this game, seven to ten
- 25:54Speaker 2: mile hour wins. Kind of blown out there. Not the
- 25:57Speaker 2: best place to put to hit. But in relative to
- 25:59Speaker 2: the slate, I mean you're talking like twenty degrees warmer
- 26:03Speaker 2: here than some of my areas on the slate, especially
- 26:05Speaker 2: in the next game we're going to talk about. So any Royals,
- 26:07Speaker 2: any Guardians interest here for you.
- 26:10Speaker 3: Not a ton, like a little bit because of the weather,
- 26:15Speaker 3: And certainly I think it'd be more from the Royal side,
- 26:17Speaker 3: just because Reagan's is better than Cantillo. But I think
- 26:22Speaker 3: the Guardian, you know, either spot you could I could
- 26:24Speaker 3: get on board with. Just because of the weather. There's
- 26:26Speaker 3: a home home run boost here and a lot of
- 26:29Speaker 3: the parks it's negative for hitters. So that's the only
- 26:33Speaker 3: real case I can make for it. Other than that,
- 26:35Speaker 3: I don't particularly love it. Do you see it differently?
- 26:39Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't really love it. So neither of these
- 26:41Speaker 2: teams really kind of cracks my top cup top six
- 26:44Speaker 2: or so offenses, I would say from a bullpen perspective,
- 26:49Speaker 2: both of these bullpens right now, obviously in the limited sample,
- 26:52Speaker 2: are kind of the middle of the road, more towards
- 26:54Speaker 2: better than worse. You got Cleveland sitting down there in
- 26:57Speaker 2: terms of whip at one point too, which is pretty solid.
- 27:01Speaker 2: Kansas City you have up towards the worst part. But again,
- 27:06Speaker 2: Cole Reagan's is is a good arm and they'll let
- 27:08Speaker 2: him go even if he gives up a run or
- 27:10Speaker 2: two or just did with his strikeout ability there. So
- 27:12Speaker 2: from an offensive perspective, I don't love this game, to
- 27:15Speaker 2: be honest. MIKEL. Garcia, I think at third base, just
- 27:18Speaker 2: because third base is a pretty weak precision in general.
- 27:21Speaker 2: He has some stolen base upside, So a pay up
- 27:23Speaker 2: to be contrarian, or a Bobby Witt at shortstop, payup
- 27:27Speaker 2: to be contrarian. Salvey Perez at thirty nine hundred, that's
- 27:30Speaker 2: a fair price point for him. He's got a ton
- 27:31Speaker 2: of power, historical lefty masher, So I don't hate that.
- 27:35Speaker 2: It'd be more so like Mini's on the Royal side,
- 27:37Speaker 2: just home run hunting our guy as like a leverage
- 27:40Speaker 2: from a roster construction standpoint, with similar players from like
- 27:44Speaker 2: the Astros and Braves and things like that that are
- 27:46Speaker 2: gonna get played. Drake Baldwin's going to be played over Perez.
- 27:50Speaker 2: I mean you talk about all all the all the Astros, right,
- 27:54Speaker 2: guys like Isaac or Carlos Kreia at forty eight hundred, right,
- 27:58Speaker 2: at third base, people gonna click that two hundred dollars more.
- 28:01Speaker 2: You got MIKEL. Garcia at sub five percent ownership with
- 28:04Speaker 2: power and stole the mase up side, So those are
- 28:07Speaker 2: kind of the main guys I'm looking at. Really not
- 28:08Speaker 2: messing with the Guardians, Jay Ram if you want to
- 28:10Speaker 2: be spent up to be contrarian at third base too,
- 28:13Speaker 2: if it's the same thing I talked about my cow
- 28:15Speaker 2: about MIKEL Garcia, but I just like Garcia a little more.
- 28:19Speaker 2: But you will get leverage on probably the chalkiest pitcher
- 28:21Speaker 2: on the slates. But it's not for mes red Sox.
- 28:27Speaker 2: Sonny Gray, I'm gonna be up there in ownership. I
- 28:29Speaker 2: know you liked him. This Brewers team confirmed lineup out here,
- 28:34Speaker 2: got a lot of lefties going against Sonny Gray, which
- 28:37Speaker 2: is is a nice spot to target. I know the
- 28:40Speaker 2: weather sucks here in general, but I think this is
- 28:43Speaker 2: a pretty sneaky snack. Not just because I'm a Brewish fan,
- 28:46Speaker 2: but I just I think Sonny Gray is gonna come
- 28:49Speaker 2: in higher than than what he what he's at. Obviously,
- 28:52Speaker 2: he is more reverse splitzy, so that instantly jumps Gary Sanchez,
- 28:56Speaker 2: who's seen beach balls right up to kind of my
- 28:59Speaker 2: top of the list in terms of a power up
- 29:01Speaker 2: side guy at thirty four hundred in that mid tier.
- 29:04Speaker 2: But what do you see here? Red Sox Brewers not
- 29:07Speaker 2: the best place to hit, but it is a good
- 29:08Speaker 2: hitting park in general. The leather just sucks here. What
- 29:11Speaker 2: do you see?
- 29:12Speaker 3: Yeah? I could get on board with either side because
- 29:14Speaker 3: your point, Milwaukee has a better offense than Boston, certainly
- 29:20Speaker 3: at least right now, and they're facing the guy who's
- 29:23Speaker 3: gonna get a lot more ownership. So I'd rather pick
- 29:26Speaker 3: on the Brewers pitcher than Sonny Gray. But when you
- 29:29Speaker 3: throw ownership in there and the fact that the Brewers
- 29:32Speaker 3: have a really good offense, I could get on board
- 29:33Speaker 3: with Milwaukee. I can also get on board with Boston,
- 29:36Speaker 3: though they're facing an unknown, a guy who struggled at
- 29:39Speaker 3: the minor league level. Boston hasn't been great. I respect
- 29:43Speaker 3: the Brewers bullpen. The weather's bad, so Boston isn't like
- 29:47Speaker 3: my top stack. But I kind of feel like how
- 29:50Speaker 3: you did about the Royals, where you could mini stack them,
- 29:53Speaker 3: or I guess like you could just play on. You know,
- 29:57Speaker 3: this guy is not being good and Boston getting to
- 29:59Speaker 3: him because certainly they've got a talented lineup, so I'm
- 30:03Speaker 3: not sure that's where I'm gonna plant my flag. But
- 30:05Speaker 3: I wouldn't be shocked if Boston won the slate today
- 30:08Speaker 3: just because of who they're facing and kind of bad
- 30:10Speaker 3: weather spots all over the all over the slate. Really,
- 30:14Speaker 3: I could get on board with either stack here though
- 30:16Speaker 3: in tournaments.
- 30:17Speaker 2: Yeah, the thing that edges the Brewers out for me
- 30:20Speaker 2: is not only an ownership on Sunny Gray, but Sunny
- 30:21Speaker 2: Gray's already given up two stolen bases on the year.
- 30:24Speaker 2: Brewers lead the league in stolen bases. They were up
- 30:26Speaker 2: there last year as well. He gave up eleven stolen
- 30:28Speaker 2: bases last year twenty five the year before that. You
- 30:31Speaker 2: can run on Sunny Gray. Brewers are going to run,
- 30:33Speaker 2: especially with the hitting weather. And they're just a small
- 30:36Speaker 2: ball team anyways, right. They don't have a ton of
- 30:38Speaker 2: the big superstar names, the judges, the Otani's, the Freeman's,
- 30:41Speaker 2: those kind of guys of baseball, right, but they have
- 30:47Speaker 2: a team that all comes together. They run, They steal bases,
- 30:50Speaker 2: and single or a walk turns into seven eight points
- 30:54Speaker 2: right away with a stolen base a second right those
- 30:57Speaker 2: five points mean a lot they run score. Now you're
- 31:00Speaker 2: looking at ten fantasy points and one at bat with
- 31:02Speaker 2: no home runs, right or no kind of big big
- 31:05Speaker 2: flies or big heroes in the lineup. So I will
- 31:09Speaker 2: say that, And I do like all the lefties that
- 31:12Speaker 2: they're thrown out there against Sunny Gray. I know the
- 31:13Speaker 2: strikeout raid is up there for Sonny Gray against lefties.
- 31:17Speaker 2: I just think this is a good spot to buy
- 31:19Speaker 2: low on them, and they can get there with stolen bases.
- 31:21Speaker 2: So I really like the stolen based guys. Guy like
- 31:23Speaker 2: Garrett Mitchell, selfrel like yel At a run run, heath
- 31:26Speaker 2: Ol run, Hamilton will run or teaser run. Pretty much
- 31:29Speaker 2: this whole lineup a run outside of Jake Bauers, but
- 31:32Speaker 2: I think he even has a stolen baser two in
- 31:33Speaker 2: the year already too, So I like that perspective when
- 31:38Speaker 2: offense is tough to come by outside of cors Field,
- 31:41Speaker 2: I like those stolen bases that give a potential edge
- 31:44Speaker 2: over the competition. And a lot of people don't enough
- 31:47Speaker 2: people in the DraftKings lobbies don't take enough account into
- 31:51Speaker 2: stolen bases, which at Alpaton right, I mean that could
- 31:55Speaker 2: be the difference of shipping the slate and not with
- 31:58Speaker 2: without any home runs is those stolen there? So I
- 32:01Speaker 2: do like that perspective there takes us into Chicago. Burke
- 32:05Speaker 2: in the Mount, Kyle Bradish in the mound. Two pitchers
- 32:07Speaker 2: that I think you can play, and I also think
- 32:10Speaker 2: you can play the offense in this game on both sides,
- 32:14Speaker 2: but more so on the Oriole side. Obviously, that White
- 32:16Speaker 2: Sox bullpen is atrocious. Behind Burke. They're kind of sitting
- 32:21Speaker 2: right about that one point six whip range right walks
- 32:25Speaker 2: hits prainning for anyone who doesn't know what whip stands for.
- 32:28Speaker 2: What do you see here at Orison and White Sox.
- 32:31Speaker 3: Yeah, certainly the Orioles are in play. You've got them
- 32:34Speaker 3: against the you know, against the White Sox basically insert
- 32:38Speaker 3: whoever's starting for them and their bullpen bad pitting weather.
- 32:42Speaker 3: So again, they don't look that much different than like
- 32:45Speaker 3: the Red Sox to me, the Brewers even just because
- 32:48Speaker 3: when you throw the ownership. The sunny gray another stack
- 32:51Speaker 3: that I could see winning the slate, but that's hard
- 32:54Speaker 3: to prioritize over some of the other stacks that look better,
- 32:58Speaker 3: like Cores, et cetera. So Baltimore. I like their lineup.
- 33:02Speaker 3: They were real good for me yesterday Blaze Alexander, no
- 33:05Speaker 3: one played him at the bottom of the lineup, so
- 33:09Speaker 3: I could see going back to Baltimore. But they don't
- 33:11Speaker 3: like stand out like a couple of stacks do. That
- 33:14Speaker 3: we'll get to in a little bit. The Chicago side
- 33:17Speaker 3: am more on Bradish. I don't think Bradish is some
- 33:19Speaker 3: ace so this we're a different slate Navy, but today
- 33:22Speaker 3: a more Unbradish than I am the White Sox if
- 33:25Speaker 3: anything on that side.
- 33:27Speaker 2: Yeah, the weather definitely favors the pitchers in this park.
- 33:30Speaker 2: I mean, you've got like seventeen miles an hour wind
- 33:32Speaker 2: blown in from right center field, which obviously you want
- 33:35Speaker 2: some of the lefties against both of these guys, and
- 33:38Speaker 2: that wins blowing straight in front from their power zone right.
- 33:41Speaker 2: So I just think it's it's pretty tough for offense
- 33:44Speaker 2: in this game. But and I saw no Basala, Kelser
- 33:49Speaker 2: or Jackson, which Jackson doesn't really matter, but Calser and
- 33:53Speaker 2: Bassallo do matter. There to two lefty power guys that
- 33:57Speaker 2: that are mid priced in terms of Sally. So from
- 34:00Speaker 2: an offensive perspective, I think the L's are interesting. Murakami
- 34:05Speaker 2: Colson Montgomery. Those those lefty power guys I think are interesting,
- 34:09Speaker 2: but don't love either side of that game too much.
- 34:12Speaker 2: Takes us into Texas, one of the better hitting spots
- 34:15Speaker 2: on the slate. The park isn't great, but I do
- 34:18Speaker 2: believe the roof is going to be open here in
- 34:20Speaker 2: globe life today, which would make sense. It is Texas.
- 34:24Speaker 2: It's not the Midwest where it's forty degrees Seattle. I
- 34:29Speaker 2: mean it looks like it's eighty degrees here with wind
- 34:33Speaker 2: kind of blown across the stadium. What do you see here?
- 34:35Speaker 2: Mariners and Rangers Mackenzie Gore, Brian who too good at
- 34:38Speaker 2: arms on the mound, But again, offenses is pretty tough
- 34:42Speaker 2: to come by in general. Two of the better bullpens too,
- 34:46Speaker 2: which does does hurt, but again, offense is pretty tough.
- 34:50Speaker 2: I lead more pitching in this one, but any any
- 34:52Speaker 2: offense here.
- 34:53Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a most opposite of what we just had
- 34:56Speaker 3: where you've got, you know, as a to the bad
- 35:01Speaker 3: hitting weather that we had in Chicago. Now you've got
- 35:04Speaker 3: really good pitchers, you've got decently good weather because it's
- 35:08Speaker 3: in Texas. But you've got two of the better overall
- 35:11Speaker 3: pitchers on this slate. So I'm with you on paper,
- 35:14Speaker 3: I think this game is much more about the pitching.
- 35:16Speaker 3: I like Gore a lot. WU is really good. He's
- 35:19Speaker 3: a guy I very rarely pick on, but I think
- 35:22Speaker 3: you could throw them into the mix of like the
- 35:25Speaker 3: Royals and Guardians because of how this slate breaks down.
- 35:29Speaker 3: You know every stack is going to be contrarian outside
- 35:31Speaker 3: of cores, so I don't think that Gore and even
- 35:37Speaker 3: Wu are infallible to getting hit. Again I mentioned I'd
- 35:40Speaker 3: much prefer most or all of these Seattle pitchers excuse me,
- 35:43Speaker 3: in Seattle. They're not in Seattle here, So I don't
- 35:47Speaker 3: love either stack. I probably won't get to either, But
- 35:50Speaker 3: if you told me you were planning your flag on
- 35:52Speaker 3: either of these, I wouldn't think it's the craziest thing
- 35:54Speaker 3: in the world. I think that's the best thing I
- 35:56Speaker 3: can say about either offense here. But for me, it's
- 35:58Speaker 3: mostly about the pitching.
- 36:00Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I'm with you there, Corey. Seeger I
- 36:02Speaker 2: do think is a pretty solid one off, especially anytime
- 36:06Speaker 2: he's blow five K. He's a great option I know
- 36:08Speaker 2: for all the BVP guys out there, whether you believe
- 36:11Speaker 2: in it or not, I do like to just throw
- 36:13Speaker 2: it in there occasionally because I know it gets the
- 36:15Speaker 2: chat up and a rise there. But six for nine
- 36:18Speaker 2: nothing crazy. He's six for nine with a pair of
- 36:22Speaker 2: home runs and some walks, so he definitely sees Brian
- 36:25Speaker 2: will pretty good. So as a nice little one off
- 36:28Speaker 2: there and maybe a chalkier lineup. Maybe you're going with
- 36:31Speaker 2: a chalkier pairing there, and you play at Cory Seger
- 36:34Speaker 2: at forty four hundred direct pivot off of a guy
- 36:36Speaker 2: like Jeremy Pinia. You save almost a thousand dollars there.
- 36:39Speaker 2: Carlos Kraa, he saved four hundred bucks, So I think
- 36:43Speaker 2: that's pretty interesting there. Corey Seeger fine, But yeah, I'm
- 36:46Speaker 2: more on the pitching in that one. Both ranked pretty
- 36:48Speaker 2: good in our pitcher rankings top top six, So not
- 36:51Speaker 2: much offense there for me, and it's gonna be a
- 36:54Speaker 2: common theme throughout the show once we get to June, July,
- 36:57Speaker 2: right August, when weather's not we're gonna have a lot
- 37:01Speaker 2: more pitching pitching decisions to make versus offense in my opinion,
- 37:06Speaker 2: because there's gonna be a lot better spots. But that's
- 37:08Speaker 2: just early season baseball. That's how it goes, and that's
- 37:10Speaker 2: why you see condensed ownership going to course field even
- 37:13Speaker 2: higher than normal. So next team, I'm slate Dodgers Blue Jays.
- 37:16Speaker 2: I do think the Dodgers are fairly sneaky here. Cease
- 37:19Speaker 2: is always prone to blowing up. I know he had
- 37:22Speaker 2: his really good start his last start at home in
- 37:26Speaker 2: Rogers Center Dome here, but again, this Dodgers' lineup is
- 37:30Speaker 2: just gonna be a gauntlet for any pitcher going up
- 37:32Speaker 2: against them, and Cease does have blow up potential for sure.
- 37:36Speaker 2: They're looking at the Blue Jays bullpen not not been
- 37:40Speaker 2: great to start the year. One point five eight walks
- 37:44Speaker 2: and hits per innex pitched from the bullpen there, So
- 37:47Speaker 2: any Dodgers love for you there? They're flying way under
- 37:50Speaker 2: the radar because the top guys are expensive, and obviously
- 37:54Speaker 2: you can't play Otani in your stacks, but that just
- 37:56Speaker 2: makes the stack more affordable. And you got guys like
- 37:59Speaker 2: Alex Free, who's a good prospect, a good hitter down there,
- 38:02Speaker 2: Hasong Kim is Free, he can steal bases, Freddie Freeman,
- 38:05Speaker 2: Kyle Tucker. I mean, you still got dudes in this offense.
- 38:08Speaker 2: What do you see here at Blue Jays and Dodgers.
- 38:10Speaker 3: Yeah, I really wish we're getting more ownership than I'd
- 38:12Speaker 3: like the Dodgers even more. But to your point, yeah,
- 38:15Speaker 3: I think they're definitely in play here. Saber has them
- 38:18Speaker 3: projected for a lot of runs. They're the Dodgers. I
- 38:20Speaker 3: know they're missing Mookie, but still the best lineup in
- 38:23Speaker 3: baseball pretty unequivocally, even though there are some other good ones,
- 38:27Speaker 3: the Dodgers are the best. You can't play show hey today,
- 38:31Speaker 3: but that just makes that easier to stack. So yeah,
- 38:37Speaker 3: no issues with the Dodgers. Obviously, they're a team. Even
- 38:40Speaker 3: when they face a really good pitcher, they're gonna be
- 38:42Speaker 3: in play just because they can get to anyone. They're
- 38:45Speaker 3: that good. I do feel like this game is also
- 38:48Speaker 3: more pitching than the Seattle Texas game, but similar in
- 38:53Speaker 3: the sense that both offenses have upside here. I'd struggle
- 38:57Speaker 3: to get to Toronto against Otani, but we know Toronto's
- 39:01Speaker 3: offense is good and this slate is filled with mediocre
- 39:04Speaker 3: spots outside of Cores. So I'm with you on your
- 39:08Speaker 3: Dodgers call. I'm not sure I'll personally get there, but
- 39:11Speaker 3: upside for days always.
- 39:13Speaker 2: Yeah, I think in them me this is a good
- 39:14Speaker 2: by low spot on the Dodgers. Just when you add in, yeah,
- 39:17Speaker 2: Ceass is a name recognition guy, but he's so up
- 39:20Speaker 2: and down start to start, And yeah, if he has
- 39:24Speaker 2: his best stuff, your Dodgers aren't gonna win. But hey,
- 39:27Speaker 2: that's the chance I take, and a lot of decent
- 39:29Speaker 2: amount of my portfolio to these Dodger stacks. Just when
- 39:32Speaker 2: you add in how bad Toronto's bullpen has been to
- 39:35Speaker 2: start the year as well, and you look at their
- 39:37Speaker 2: last three days, forty three pitches, forty two pitches, thirty
- 39:40Speaker 2: six pitches, all three of those guys are likely unavailable.
- 39:43Speaker 2: And then Louis Varlin threw twenty three yesterday and so
- 39:46Speaker 2: did Fluerdy, two of their better bullpen arms there that
- 39:49Speaker 2: were pivotal to them in that World Series runs. Both
- 39:52Speaker 2: of those guys could go again. But I think you
- 39:56Speaker 2: can see the Dodgers kind of get back on the
- 39:59Speaker 2: well here against a season seats that he's prone to
- 40:02Speaker 2: blow ups. Doesn't rank very good in our pitcher rankings either,
- 40:04Speaker 2: sitting at fourteen, obviously, no one's gonna rank really good
- 40:07Speaker 2: anytime against the Dodgers here. They don't strike out and
- 40:10Speaker 2: have a ton of power, right so I think the
- 40:13Speaker 2: Dodgers with offense being so so tough to come by,
- 40:17Speaker 2: and I'm seeing twenty four percent combined ownership on the
- 40:19Speaker 2: Dodger stack with full nining at bats against. Yeah, a
- 40:23Speaker 2: quality arm to start, but not a great bullpen behind him.
- 40:26Speaker 2: I'll take my chances there. George Springer does stand out
- 40:29Speaker 2: to me on the on the Blue Jay side, I
- 40:31Speaker 2: think he's fine, and Hasu Sanchez has been hitting really
- 40:33Speaker 2: good right now too, but not going in in stack
- 40:36Speaker 2: of the Blue Jays. Dodgers bullpen's really good. Otani's a good,
- 40:39Speaker 2: good arm as well. It has great stuff. So takes
- 40:43Speaker 2: us to everybody's favorite game. Both sides of this game
- 40:46Speaker 2: are gonna get a lot of ownership. The Astros are
- 40:49Speaker 2: the Astros. They're in coors Field. Obviously they've disappointed yesterday,
- 40:54Speaker 2: but I talked about free, free money Freeland in coors
- 40:57Speaker 2: Field all the time. That was a historic performance there
- 41:00Speaker 2: about Freeland. But he does it all the time in
- 41:02Speaker 2: course field. Very rarely does he give up one or
- 41:05Speaker 2: two home runs. He kind of just skates through, keeps
- 41:08Speaker 2: the ball on the ground and gets through it. And
- 41:10Speaker 2: this Astros team just doesn't hit the ball in the
- 41:12Speaker 2: air in general. It's much tougher fade here today. But
- 41:14Speaker 2: I'm gonna take my chances again. I'm gonna be underweight
- 41:17Speaker 2: on the Astros. Jordan Alvarez, Cam Smith and low Berfito
- 41:20Speaker 2: are gonna be the three bats if I played anyone.
- 41:23Speaker 2: I think that are interesting. But again with so much ownership.
- 41:27Speaker 2: I mean I ran into the dry run projections matt
- 41:30Speaker 2: In ninety nine percent of the stacks projections wise, we're
- 41:33Speaker 2: astro stacks. That that's ridiculous. Almost one hundred percent of
- 41:36Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty had Astros on it. So that's
- 41:39Speaker 2: a spot that I'm willing on a ten games late
- 41:42Speaker 2: when I'm chasing tickets, I'm chasing first place to kind
- 41:45Speaker 2: of be under the field on but the Rocky side,
- 41:47Speaker 2: even though they're getting ownership. I do like the Rockies
- 41:49Speaker 2: a ton. I just don't think Cavier is good. He's
- 41:52Speaker 2: a flyball guy. He doesn't have much capability at all.
- 41:55Speaker 2: The Astros bullpen has not been good in general to
- 41:58Speaker 2: start the year, though I talked about it. Angels blit
- 42:01Speaker 2: them up. They're fairly taxed too right now. So what
- 42:04Speaker 2: do you see here? Coursefield, best game environment on the
- 42:05Speaker 2: slave for hitting.
- 42:07Speaker 3: Yeah, I got no issues with the take of fading
- 42:10Speaker 3: or being underweight on the aviation. If you're playing one
- 42:12Speaker 3: point fifty, you're probably not full fading the Astros, but
- 42:15Speaker 3: being underweight or fading them in single entry qualifier type stuff.
- 42:19Speaker 3: But for me, it's like you know that you're fading
- 42:22Speaker 3: them just because of ownership, right, Like they're in the
- 42:24Speaker 3: best spot on the slate. They're just gonna be so
- 42:26Speaker 3: mega owned with so many other good spots in baseball.
- 42:30Speaker 3: So I'm cool fading them. I just know that if
- 42:32Speaker 3: I do that, I could easily get burned because they
- 42:35Speaker 3: do have the highest upside. Like on paper, they're the
- 42:37Speaker 3: best stack on the board. I don't think anyone would
- 42:40Speaker 3: argue that the Rockies also look good. They're gonna be owned,
- 42:43Speaker 3: but not nearly as owned as the Astros, so you
- 42:46Speaker 3: gain some ownership there, their lineup isn't as good. I
- 42:51Speaker 3: do think that because of how I don't know. Part
- 42:54Speaker 3: of me wants to think because of how pricey Houston
- 42:57Speaker 3: is that maybe that cuts into their ownership. But we
- 42:59Speaker 3: don't have elite spend up pitching options today, so I
- 43:02Speaker 3: think Houston's gonna be the priority on most slates of
- 43:05Speaker 3: this size. When you look at ownership, like across the board,
- 43:08Speaker 3: regardless of where you look, Normally it's pitchers that are
- 43:11Speaker 3: the highest owed. That's not the case today. The case
- 43:14Speaker 3: today is Alvarez L two Bay. Those guys are projected
- 43:17Speaker 3: to be the highest owned. They're the priorities. Those are
- 43:20Speaker 3: the guys that SIMS are going to be spinning out.
- 43:21Speaker 3: They look great. But I'm with you, I'm cool fading
- 43:24Speaker 3: them and going to almost anyone else just to get
- 43:27Speaker 3: different because, like you said, whether it's a qualifier, a
- 43:31Speaker 3: big GPP like getting first place is massive. So I
- 43:37Speaker 3: think they look the best. I'm not saying I'm gonna
- 43:40Speaker 3: fade them or play them. I'm not entirely sure yet,
- 43:42Speaker 3: but I get the case for either. And I do
- 43:45Speaker 3: think that if you play Houston here, you want to
- 43:46Speaker 3: look age different elsewhere.
- 43:48Speaker 2: Yeah, so just dry run projections, right, Obviously, projections don't
- 43:52Speaker 2: mean a ton in baseball, but projections still drive the
- 43:55Speaker 2: DFS landscape in today's and SIMS and all of that.
- 44:00Speaker 2: I mean, I filtered to Houston stacks, right. You see
- 44:03Speaker 2: one hundred and forty six out of one hundred and
- 44:04Speaker 2: fifty lineups. I ran and then you look Grant Holmes
- 44:07Speaker 2: sixty percent of those sunny gray fifty percent of those.
- 44:10Speaker 2: So right there, I mean those two guys. If you
- 44:13Speaker 2: want to play the Astros, pivot there, go do like
- 44:16Speaker 2: a go do like a Sean Burke, right, instead of
- 44:20Speaker 2: Green Nelson, who's the next guy getting thrumped into lineups,
- 44:23Speaker 2: Go to like a Sean Burke and Nicole Reagan's right,
- 44:26Speaker 2: because you have to spend up more, and then you're
- 44:28Speaker 2: gonna have to find some value stacks, which there's value
- 44:31Speaker 2: guys on this slate, right, pick out power hunters that
- 44:36Speaker 2: that are in that three K range, or guys that
- 44:38Speaker 2: can steal bases. So if you're gonna play the Astros,
- 44:41Speaker 2: which obviously they're the best stack on paper, doesn't mean
- 44:44Speaker 2: they're gonna score the most runs, or even if they
- 44:46Speaker 2: do score the most amount runs, if they don't hit
- 44:48Speaker 2: a bunch of home runs, and other teams get some
- 44:50Speaker 2: home runs, stolen bases and things like that, they can
- 44:53Speaker 2: outscore them. Kind of what happened their first time, right
- 44:55Speaker 2: or the first day when the Dodgers scored fourteen or
- 44:58Speaker 2: whatever it was, and the Astro stills or eight or
- 45:00Speaker 2: seven their first game and cores and weren't weren't needed, right,
- 45:03Speaker 2: so you could see something like that, But I did
- 45:05Speaker 2: wanted to show what kind of projections are shown when
- 45:07Speaker 2: you do filter two astro stacks. It is gonna be
- 45:10Speaker 2: home sunny, Gray and Nelson are kind of and Reagan's
- 45:13Speaker 2: are the four pitchers. So if you pivot and the
- 45:15Speaker 2: pitchers that that's what I would do if I'm gonna
- 45:18Speaker 2: go ahead and play the astros, but for the most part,
- 45:20Speaker 2: I'm gonna be under on the astros. Is just a
- 45:22Speaker 2: stand that I'm gonna take. It's worked out for me
- 45:25Speaker 2: so far. Naturally, they'll go for one hundred today when
- 45:28Speaker 2: they're like all twenty five percent out. Even the guys
- 45:31Speaker 2: at the back half are projecting for twenty percent ownership,
- 45:35Speaker 2: so it's pretty ridiculous there. But yeah, Rockies, I like
- 45:38Speaker 2: all the Rockies here. I just don't think Javier is good.
- 45:41Speaker 2: He's more reverse splitzy. So I'd lean the righties first,
- 45:44Speaker 2: guys like Hunter, Goodman, Tovar Castro, Brenton Doyle, those guys first.
- 45:49Speaker 2: But the lefties obviously are great too. And then that
- 45:52Speaker 2: bullpen too has not been been good to start the year.
- 45:54Speaker 2: So yeah, you know, on Coors Field, but more so
- 45:57Speaker 2: definitely a lot more interest in the Rocky side of it.
- 46:00Speaker 2: Next game on the slates. We have four games left
- 46:05Speaker 2: on the main slate here, Phillies and the Giants. Obviously
- 46:09Speaker 2: not a great park here for hitting, but this series
- 46:12Speaker 2: has yielded some runs, more so on the Giants side
- 46:15Speaker 2: than the Phillies side here from a hitting perspective, I
- 46:20Speaker 2: mean it's above average here for hitting wise, it's in
- 46:23Speaker 2: the seventies. It's not in the night game out there
- 46:27Speaker 2: in the West Coast. So you could look to offense
- 46:29Speaker 2: in this one. Aaron Nola looked great in his last start,
- 46:32Speaker 2: but I think he's declining in general as a pitcher.
- 46:34Speaker 2: But if I had to pick a side, and much
- 46:36Speaker 2: more lean the Philly side, just with this counts at offense,
- 46:39Speaker 2: Tyler Moley kind of skated through disaster last year for
- 46:42Speaker 2: majority of the year. I'm just not a super believer
- 46:46Speaker 2: in him. The Giants bullpen is not as good as
- 46:48Speaker 2: it has been in like last season. They lost some
- 46:51Speaker 2: arms there. So what do you see here? Phillies and
- 46:55Speaker 2: Giants offense again pretty weak in general, But what do
- 46:57Speaker 2: you see?
- 46:59Speaker 3: I always like the spots in like San Francisco and
- 47:02Speaker 3: San Diego much more during the day than I do
- 47:04Speaker 3: when they're at night. The ballpark just plays a lot
- 47:08Speaker 3: better offensively, so it's not like I love it. It's
- 47:12Speaker 3: still much better part for pitching than hitting. But I
- 47:15Speaker 3: can get on board with the Phillies here. For sure.
- 47:17Speaker 3: Mally's fine. He'll have some good starts, but against this
- 47:21Speaker 3: lineup if he doesn't have his best stuff, I think
- 47:24Speaker 3: Philly could really get to him here, and their lineup
- 47:26Speaker 3: with upside. They hit home runs, they can run, so
- 47:30Speaker 3: I can get on board with Philly here. I don't
- 47:32Speaker 3: think they're gonna get much ownership at all. They're another stack.
- 47:36Speaker 3: They're obviously not in cores, but their lineup's good. It's
- 47:40Speaker 3: extensive up top, but that's not really a concern today.
- 47:43Speaker 3: I'm in on the Phillies with a lack of ownership
- 47:46Speaker 3: there Again, I don't think they look much different from
- 47:49Speaker 3: some of the other stacks we talked about earlier on,
- 47:52Speaker 3: but I do think their upside's real. San Francisco. I
- 47:56Speaker 3: feel similarly about Nola. I'm with you, likes. While they
- 48:01Speaker 3: have upside, especially in cores, they still don't have a
- 48:04Speaker 3: good lineup. No Loo's a go advantage of that in
- 48:06Speaker 3: his season debut. Now he's in a tougher spot in
- 48:09Speaker 3: San Francisco during the day against a much better Giants lineup.
- 48:12Speaker 3: So I could see either side in this game. Not
- 48:14Speaker 3: sure I'll land on either side, but I think either side.
- 48:17Speaker 4: Has upside and I got no issues playing kind of
- 48:22Speaker 4: like I said, both sides of this game offensively, I
- 48:24Speaker 4: have very minimal interest from it pitching wise, So in
- 48:27Speaker 4: that case, I think the offenses makes some sense.
- 48:30Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Rothael Devers is by far my favorite
- 48:33Speaker 2: bat from the Giants side. I think he's in an
- 48:35Speaker 2: elite one off at fifty four hundred at first base,
- 48:38Speaker 2: that's in that Freddie Freeman range, that's in the Christian
- 48:40Speaker 2: Walker range. He hasn't had a great start to the year,
- 48:43Speaker 2: but Nola struggles big time with power fly balls and
- 48:47Speaker 2: hard hits to lefties. I mean, he's got a sixty
- 48:49Speaker 2: two percent hard hit rate to left handed hitters. Dever
- 48:52Speaker 2: is one of the best left handed hitters in the game.
- 48:55Speaker 2: Hits hits Righty's really good two thirty six io hits
- 48:59Speaker 2: the ball in the air. All things point to Devers
- 49:01Speaker 2: being a really good numbers play, not to say it's
- 49:05Speaker 2: gonna work out. But that's a separator, right, That's a high,
- 49:09Speaker 2: high leverage, high caliber one off that's gonna be two
- 49:14Speaker 2: percent owned. Right. So I think Devers is a really
- 49:17Speaker 2: good play at first base. Luis Ariaz who never strikes out,
- 49:20Speaker 2: he's thirty nine hundred at second base, where second base
- 49:23Speaker 2: is a shitty position. Guys like Jose al Tuov are
- 49:25Speaker 2: gonna be forty percent owned because of that. You're you're
- 49:28Speaker 2: saving three thousand dollars for a guy who never strikes out,
- 49:32Speaker 2: always puts the ball in play, and when that happens,
- 49:34Speaker 2: anything can happen. Right, So, a little two man stack there,
- 49:36Speaker 2: Devers Ariahs, I think is a really sneaky little mini
- 49:40Speaker 2: stack there. But yeah, I definitely like the Phillies quite
- 49:42Speaker 2: a bit in terms of all offense on the slate.
- 49:45Speaker 2: Tyler Mollley one of our worst ranked pitchers in on
- 49:48Speaker 2: the slate for sure, Cardinals Nationals. This is my favorite
- 49:52Speaker 2: game of the slate. I love both sides of this.
- 49:55Speaker 2: These are both in my top three or four for
- 49:58Speaker 2: stacks in general. I'll let I'll throw it over to
- 50:02Speaker 2: you right away and talk about it. Miles Micholis on
- 50:04Speaker 2: the mound. We picked. I've picked against this dude, picked
- 50:07Speaker 2: on this dude every time he's been on the mound.
- 50:09Speaker 2: Last season didn't really work out too much. But I
- 50:13Speaker 2: think that's gonna be different here. This Cardinals offense has
- 50:15Speaker 2: some young kids and some other kids, and they're cheap.
- 50:18Speaker 2: I mean, they're gonna be They're gonna be slightly owned,
- 50:21Speaker 2: but it's nothing crazy. I mean, they're gonna be like
- 50:23Speaker 2: ten to fifteen percent of own guys. Weather Holt is
- 50:27Speaker 2: having a hell of a season, Burlison, Gorman, those three
- 50:30Speaker 2: guys would be kind of my first three.
- 50:32Speaker 3: Uh.
- 50:32Speaker 2: Victor Scott has a ton of stolen based upside down
- 50:35Speaker 2: there in the nine hole. So I really like the
- 50:37Speaker 2: Cardinals here, but more so I like the Nationals here.
- 50:40Speaker 2: McGreevy struggles and it's horrendous against lefties. Any pitcher that
- 50:44Speaker 2: struggles against lefties, I'm gonna be slamming the Nationals all year.
- 50:48Speaker 2: Whenever they face a left handed pitcher, it's it's it's death.
- 50:51Speaker 2: But when they face a righty that struggles against lefties,
- 50:53Speaker 2: they're a great stack here. Yeah, the weather's not great,
- 50:56Speaker 2: but both of these bullpens are gonna be two of
- 50:58Speaker 2: the worst bullpens in the whole league. They have been
- 51:01Speaker 2: in the limited sample even I had of the White
- 51:04Speaker 2: Sox the Rockies that these have been the two worst
- 51:06Speaker 2: bullpends in the game. So I expect fireworks in this game.
- 51:09Speaker 2: I think it's a game stack viable with how weak
- 51:11Speaker 2: offenses on the slate outside of corse Field. But what
- 51:14Speaker 2: do you see here? Cardinals and Nationals.
- 51:16Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you for sure, offense here, no doubt.
- 51:20Speaker 3: I like the I like the Nats against McGreevey. I
- 51:22Speaker 3: think that's a really good call. I like the Cards. Also,
- 51:24Speaker 3: I've signed them last night. They were pretty good. Jordan
- 51:27Speaker 3: Walker continues to just rake this season, so he's a guy. Definitely,
- 51:30Speaker 3: why if I'm stacking them. I think both these offenses
- 51:33Speaker 3: look good. You got the Nicholas early revenge against the Cardinals,
- 51:39Speaker 3: which is just an interesting dynamic here. Both sides of
- 51:41Speaker 3: this game I think are wildly in play. I have
- 51:45Speaker 3: no arguments with basically anything you said. I'm right in
- 51:47Speaker 3: line there.
- 51:49Speaker 2: Absolutely, let's go. Let's go next game on the slate.
- 51:52Speaker 2: This is gonna be everybody's favorite pivot off of the
- 51:57Speaker 2: Rockies or the Astros is gonna be Atlanta Uh, I
- 52:01Speaker 2: get it. I just don't think Dept. Meers is that bad. Yeah,
- 52:03Speaker 2: he doesn't have a ton of strikeout ability, but I
- 52:06Speaker 2: just don't think he's that bad of a pitcher. I
- 52:09Speaker 2: mean last year, Between this year and last year, he's
- 52:11Speaker 2: had a thirty percent k rate to both sides of
- 52:13Speaker 2: the plate. He's had almost a fifty percent ground ball right,
- 52:16Speaker 2: he keeps the ball on the ground. I mean, there's
- 52:19Speaker 2: only a couple guys that really hit the ball in
- 52:21Speaker 2: the air here for the Braves, And I mean we
- 52:24Speaker 2: have him as the second highest owe offense on the
- 52:26Speaker 2: slate in our stack rankings from a combined ownership standpoint.
- 52:29Speaker 2: You see it here, pushing seventy percent combined. I get it.
- 52:33Speaker 2: They're they're solid. I mean, if I had to pick
- 52:35Speaker 2: one guy Drake Baldwin and matt Olsen just because Baldwin
- 52:38Speaker 2: seeing beach balls at the plate, matt Olsen's a pivot
- 52:41Speaker 2: off of guys like Christian Walker at ten percent of ownership.
- 52:45Speaker 2: So I don't mind it. But I think the sneaky
- 52:47Speaker 2: spot in this one is the Angels. Angels have a
- 52:49Speaker 2: ton of power to Yeah, they have strikeouts, but they're
- 52:52Speaker 2: gonna have games where net trout, so lare adele. These
- 52:56Speaker 2: guys are gonna hit bombs and they're gonna be two
- 52:59Speaker 2: percent on on this slate against Grant Holmes, who's going
- 53:02Speaker 2: to be especially in single entry stuff, the highest one
- 53:05Speaker 2: pitcher on the slate, right, So, and it's the best
- 53:08Speaker 2: hitting environment on the slate outside of cors Field. So
- 53:12Speaker 2: I think the Angels are really sneaky. Braves on paper
- 53:14Speaker 2: are really good stack. I don't know. The Braves have
- 53:17Speaker 2: burned me so much I never get this team right.
- 53:19Speaker 2: I don't think it's a spot for me to on
- 53:22Speaker 2: a team where I already don't get get right, go
- 53:25Speaker 2: where everybody else is going to go in Atlanta, I
- 53:27Speaker 2: prefer the Angel side of this one. But what do
- 53:29Speaker 2: you see here Atlanta and the Braves Angels.
- 53:33Speaker 3: I'm with you there, all along again, right on the
- 53:35Speaker 3: same path. I think the Braves obviously better offense than
- 53:38Speaker 3: the Angels, and you'd rather you take their upside. But
- 53:42Speaker 3: the fields they're already so I get your point on
- 53:45Speaker 3: the Angels, especially with the fact that they're facing a
- 53:47Speaker 3: guy in Holmes who is bad chalk. So yeah, I
- 53:52Speaker 3: think both sides of this game wildly in play. Like
- 53:54Speaker 3: you could make a case for either side. It's one
- 53:56Speaker 3: of the best stacks on the board. For everything you mentioned,
- 53:59Speaker 3: Atlanta is frustrating, but their lineup is still really good.
- 54:02Speaker 3: If Dept. Maurs doesn't have his best stuff, then Atlanta
- 54:06Speaker 3: could certainly win this slate. That brawl last night was
- 54:09Speaker 3: pretty crazy. Still, there just went nuts. You see sorr
- 54:12Speaker 3: Io throw that punch with the ball in his hand.
- 54:14Speaker 3: That was just uncalled for. Uh, But yeah, always interesting
- 54:18Speaker 3: when you see stuff like that. I think it's all
- 54:21Speaker 3: about I don't want to say all about the offense
- 54:23Speaker 3: in this game, because I think Dept. Meer's and Holmes
- 54:26Speaker 3: are two guys that are gonna get ownership. This game
- 54:29Speaker 3: is kind of apropos for this slate, just in the
- 54:31Speaker 3: sense that, like, yeah, both pitchers are in play, but
- 54:35Speaker 3: both offenses are definitely in play because of how this
- 54:37Speaker 3: slate breaks down.
- 54:38Speaker 2: Yeah, this is definitely not a me game for sure.
- 54:41Speaker 2: Braves are probably gonna be a pretty popular stack and
- 54:43Speaker 2: single untry stuff just because they're easy to afford and
- 54:46Speaker 2: you can kind of do whatever you want after that.
- 54:49Speaker 2: Drake Baldwin, like I said, by far my favorite play,
- 54:52Speaker 2: probably one of my favorite plays in the slate just
- 54:53Speaker 2: from a catcher. The dude's mashing right now. He gets
- 54:56Speaker 2: he gets the platoon advantage, he hits the ball in
- 54:59Speaker 2: the air. He's been absolutely raking. I mean he's hitting
- 55:02Speaker 2: from m to four hundred iceo and thirty six at
- 55:03Speaker 2: bats this year. So I like him. But yeah, I
- 55:08Speaker 2: like offense here. I think both pictures. If I had
- 55:11Speaker 2: a lean one pitcher, I think det mars at the
- 55:13Speaker 2: lower ownership just because Grant Holmes is gonna get so steamed.
- 55:16Speaker 2: I showed you when I filtered the high stakes ownership.
- 55:19Speaker 2: I know a lot of these guys are playing like
- 55:21Speaker 2: the twenty four person cues for those Mega Masters tickets.
- 55:24Speaker 2: I mean, homes and astros in that are gonna be
- 55:28Speaker 2: probably of the twenty four people, I'd be willing to
- 55:31Speaker 2: say eighteen to twenty of them have homes and astros.
- 55:36Speaker 2: I'm just gonna I'm just gonna say that, so not
- 55:38Speaker 2: to say it's bad, but I just played a win
- 55:40Speaker 2: and especially on Yeah, I just think. I just think
- 55:45Speaker 2: on a slate like this in San Glentre, everybody's playing
- 55:47Speaker 2: the same damn team. Because what do people do. They
- 55:49Speaker 2: go to the Vegas Totals, they go to the weather.
- 55:52Speaker 2: They see weather sucks everywhere. We've got Coors Field facing
- 55:55Speaker 2: Michael Lorenzen, who got absolutely shell ACKed in his first start. Okay, well,
- 55:59Speaker 2: let's just play the Astros. Let's play Grand Holmes. You
- 56:02Speaker 2: sixty seven hundred dollars. Now I can play whatever spin
- 56:04Speaker 2: up arm I want, Cole Wagans or Sonny Gray, and
- 56:07Speaker 2: now I still have a lot of money to spend
- 56:10Speaker 2: for my three man or two men in one off. Right.
- 56:13Speaker 2: So that's just the way the slate is. I'm not
- 56:16Speaker 2: saying it's bad on paper, those that is the best
- 56:18Speaker 2: way to play this slate. Does that happen ever in
- 56:21Speaker 2: baseball very rarely? Right, So, on a slate where it's
- 56:25Speaker 2: early baseball, ownership's more condensed because people don't have as
- 56:29Speaker 2: much time. They're at work. They're scheduling a quote unquote
- 56:32Speaker 2: meetings right to look at some content across the industry,
- 56:36Speaker 2: build their teams quick before launching, hopefully hoping they make
- 56:40Speaker 2: some money and win some master's tickets and things like that.
- 56:43Speaker 2: So that's where ownership is going to condense a lot more.
- 56:45Speaker 2: And I'm fine taking underway to stanch and if they
- 56:49Speaker 2: beat me, they beat me, right, I'll load up some
- 56:51Speaker 2: master's master's content or contest tomorrow and move on about
- 56:56Speaker 2: my day. Right, So I did want to mention that
- 56:58Speaker 2: just from a roster construction inandpoint in what ownership in
- 57:01Speaker 2: the field and common roster constructions are going to look
- 57:03Speaker 2: like on a shortened slate, early start time where people
- 57:06Speaker 2: have less time to kind of dive in and break
- 57:08Speaker 2: it down as usual. Right when when it's the typical
- 57:12Speaker 2: six six oh five or six oh seven start time,
- 57:16Speaker 2: last game on those main slate tier for DraftKings, Diamondbacks
- 57:19Speaker 2: and the mats up in city fields, another shitty park
- 57:23Speaker 2: for hitting in general, and the weather's not great more
- 57:26Speaker 2: same same, same same stuff we said the whole slate here.
- 57:30Speaker 2: D Backs do have upside in my opinion here David
- 57:33Speaker 2: Peterson's solid arm and in general it's only mid forties
- 57:38Speaker 2: in this game, but there is wind blown out at
- 57:40Speaker 2: least which can help a little bit. Kettle Marte, Carrol Perdomo. Moreno,
- 57:45Speaker 2: those four are going to be great plays on any slate.
- 57:47Speaker 2: The rest of the lineup is atrocious. Uh, Nolan Arnado
- 57:51Speaker 2: needs a walker to get to the stadium. You got
- 57:53Speaker 2: some guys at the back half there that kneed name
- 57:57Speaker 2: tags for for most people to recognize them. Those guys,
- 58:01Speaker 2: those top four I think are playable on any slate,
- 58:03Speaker 2: especially against a lefty here, which Marte is fine. Carol's
- 58:07Speaker 2: one of the better lefty lefty hitters in the game,
- 58:09Speaker 2: Perdomo's fine. Moreno mashes lefties. So I don't hate those guys.
- 58:14Speaker 2: On the Mets side. Rie Nelson he is. I think
- 58:18Speaker 2: he's gonna get ownership just based on what projection show
- 58:21Speaker 2: when people are going to the Astros. But I still
- 58:24Speaker 2: think he's a solid enough arm, he's got good pitching weather.
- 58:26Speaker 2: The Mets offense on paper is really good. I just
- 58:29Speaker 2: I don't love either side of this game for offense here,
- 58:33Speaker 2: but the Mets do rank better in terms of offense
- 58:35Speaker 2: just looking at our rankings because Nelson sitting down at
- 58:38Speaker 2: twenty three overall. But what do you see here to
- 58:40Speaker 2: run this out.
- 58:42Speaker 3: Yeah, Nelson has does not look great, did not look
- 58:45Speaker 3: great to start the season. I'm a believer in his talent,
- 58:49Speaker 3: like just because of how this slate breaks down in
- 58:51Speaker 3: his price tag, I think he's in play. I don't
- 58:54Speaker 3: love the Mets against him. Their line it takes a
- 58:56Speaker 3: big hit without Soto. Obviously they added some pieces, so
- 58:59Speaker 3: wouldn't be shocked if they got to Nelson here, but
- 59:01Speaker 3: they don't like stand out to me Arizona. You mentioned
- 59:05Speaker 3: it the top four or five with its del Castillo's
- 59:07Speaker 3: in there, who I like, looks good, but he's also
- 59:10Speaker 3: a catcher like Moreno, so a little bit harder to
- 59:12Speaker 3: stack them. I respect Peterson like, I think he's got
- 59:18Speaker 3: decent enough arm talent. Seven K is a pretty good
- 59:21Speaker 3: tag for him. I don't really love either side of
- 59:25Speaker 3: this game. I'm kind of with you, like just another
- 59:27Speaker 3: game that falls in line with the theme of I
- 59:30Speaker 3: could play either pitcher, I could play either offense. Don't
- 59:33Speaker 3: love either which, like all the ownership is gonna flood
- 59:38Speaker 3: to Houston because everyone feels that way. There is no
- 59:41Speaker 3: other offense that stands out other than Houston and to
- 59:43Speaker 3: a tiny extent, Colorado.
- 59:47Speaker 2: It's Houston, Colorado and Atlanta are the three spots that
- 59:51Speaker 2: everyone's gonna play with. Like I said, Holmes, Reagan's Sonny
- 59:55Speaker 2: Gray for the most part, those three, those three pitchers
- 59:58Speaker 2: and those three offenses, I mean, called a six pack
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: and send it by the wayside, right because I'm gonna
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: be going for a twelve pack up at the top
- 1:00:05Speaker 2: of the leader board overall on this late. But Peterson
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: is really really good against lefties and not great against righty's.
- 1:00:13Speaker 2: So guys like Ketl Marte, who are in Perdomo, who
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: are switch hitters, are fine obviously, and they're still the
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: base upside in Marino. So I like that one three
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: four stack Carol if you want to just fly off
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: the board, because he can hit left handers no matter what.
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: But really, Marte, Perdomo and Mareno I think are pretty sneaky.
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: I'm not gonna five stack the the d Backs here
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: because the Mets bullpen is good, but I do think
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: on a Starves slate for offense, high caliber one offs
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: like that that are in the same price points as
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: the Astros, I think are interesting there. But let's run
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: up the slate here, Matts. We're sitting right in an hour,
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: so we did pretty good time here for ten games.
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: We went in depth with roster construction and game theory
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: and stuff like that. Go ahead and give your favorite
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: pitching pairing, and then your favorite stack, your favorite sneaky stack,
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: and a home run call for the people to close
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: us out.
- 1:01:06Speaker 3: All right, I'm gonna say my favorite. This is tough Man,
- 1:01:13Speaker 3: my favorite picture pairing. I guess we'll go with Gore,
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: and we'll go with Gore, and I'm with you on
- 1:01:29Speaker 3: the sunny gray ownership, So I'm not gonna say him,
- 1:01:31Speaker 3: although he's obviously wild in play wildly and play. I'll
- 1:01:34Speaker 3: go Gordon Reagan's, but that's fluid, not necessarily where I'm
- 1:01:37Speaker 3: gonna land. That's what I like right now, Gordon Reagan's.
- 1:01:43Speaker 3: I'm gonna say my favorite stack on the board. It's
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: hard to say any stack but Houston as far as
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: just overall favorite stack, my favorite lower own stack, which
- 1:01:52Speaker 3: could be basically anyone else. Let's go with I like
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: your Brewers call. If we're going like real low owned
- 1:02:02Speaker 3: the value, you know what, I'm gonna take the other
- 1:02:04Speaker 3: side of it. I'm gonna go with the Angels.
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that obviously. I like both the Angels
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: and the Brewers side of this. After refreshing this my
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: pick favorite, I'm gonna go with Gore. I'm doubling down
- 1:02:15Speaker 2: with you on Gore. Like Gore a lot here today,
- 1:02:17Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Sean Burke as a direct pivot right
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: off of Grant Homes. The Orioles only have three lefties
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: in their lineup today, which which I like a lot.
- 1:02:26Speaker 2: What the weather sucks there, the winds blown in at
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: almost twenty miles an hour or two from right center field.
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: I think Sean Burke, I think he's pretty interesting. More
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: more gonna be on the Oriole side just because offenses
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: is pretty weak in general. This could obviously bite me
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: in the ass, and the orders could still get there
- 1:02:43Speaker 2: along with Burke just when the bullpen comes in. I
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: don't think Burke's gonna throw a complete game shout out
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: or anything like that, but I think at sixty five
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: hundred pivot off of Homes, I won't be shocked to
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: see Burke outscore Homes in a pretty big fashion here
- 1:02:56Speaker 2: with the Orioles who have been cold at the plate.
- 1:02:58Speaker 2: So I like Burke and Mackenzie Gore. From an offensive perspective,
- 1:03:04Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to the Dodgers. I don't think anyone's
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: going to the Dodgers. It's the best offense in baseball. Obviously,
- 1:03:09Speaker 2: they're they're going for the three pet at the World Series.
- 1:03:11Speaker 2: Dylan Ceaze is the quality arm to start. Bullpen's not
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: great behind Blue Jays and Ceascnali's blow up. Yeah, it
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: sucks not having Otani, but makes a stack of much
- 1:03:19Speaker 2: more affordable when you need some salaries somewhere as well.
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: So I really like the Dodgers and the Brewers. I'm
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: with you there, So I like the Dodgers and Brewers.
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: My home run call though, uh for for the people,
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: How thrilled to you? Do you have a home run call?
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: While I kind of find one here?
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go with I'm gonna go with a
- 1:03:43Speaker 3: guy that homeward yesterday, that just mashes left. He's given
- 1:03:45Speaker 3: me as.
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: Albi's Ozzy Albi's that's a really good play there. I
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: think I'm gonna I think I'm gonna go to the
- 1:03:55Speaker 2: Giants and go to a guy who hasn't been off
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: to a great start. I'm gonna go to Rafael Devers,
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: just a lefty masher one off. Nobody's gonna play. Noa's
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: struggles big time against lefties. I think Devers gets his
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: first here and hits one over the wall in this
- 1:04:11Speaker 2: daytime where the park does play more hitter friendly than
- 1:04:14Speaker 2: pitcher friendly compared to the usual. That's all ten games talk,
- 1:04:18Speaker 2: pitching talked hitting broke it all down, gave you some
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: synopsis at the end. Slate does lock in about an hour,
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: so make sure you do get your teams in, and
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: obviously there's only a couple. There's only one game that
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: that locks at that first first time window, the Guardians
- 1:04:33Speaker 2: and the Royals, but one pitcher for sure that you're
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: gonna want to play in that game in Reagan, So
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: make sure you do get your lineups in and make
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: sure you're adjusting your teams throughout the slate. Anytime we
- 1:04:44Speaker 2: have day baseball like this with a three hour four
- 1:04:46Speaker 2: hour time window from the start, lineups get confirmed and
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: get thrown in there, so make sure you're always checking
- 1:04:52Speaker 2: make sure all your guys are in there. If you're
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