Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 557 - 7/31/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All Systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 557 of the All Systems Go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:31What's going on, everyone? Happy fade the public Friday.
- 0:34Our work week has come to an end.
- 0:36And more importantly, the month of July is coming to an end.
- 0:39So a little bittersweet, kind of feel like summer.
- 0:42It's kind of getting toward the end of summer.
- 0:44But we're going to turn the page.
- 0:45Tomorrow is August 1st. We are now less than a week
- 0:48away, actually a week from yesterday with the Hall of Fame
- 0:52Game. So, you know, NFL is right
- 0:53around the corner. College football's right around
- 0:55the corner and that just gets you excited.
- 0:57So, you know, don't get down. Summer's getting them almost
- 1:01over. So again, summer to me, you
- 1:02still got all of August and September, You know, that's when
- 1:05it starts to feel a little bit like fall.
- 1:07But once you know the Hall of Fame games here and football's
- 1:09not too far off, you get pretty excited because that's obviously
- 1:12the best time of year to be sweating on sports.
- 1:14There's nothing like sweating the NFL and college football.
- 1:17It's it's the absolute best. SO something to get excited for,
- 1:20but we got some unfinished business.
- 1:22We want to finish off the month of July on a hot note.
- 1:26So I'm going to give you a couple numbers here to prove how
- 1:30baseball has been pretty good for us in the month of July.
- 1:32I have kind of a, an example of why it's important to have your
- 1:37record keeping and keeping track of your plays, Not just, you
- 1:40know, a lot of people who, you know, don't have a bet tracking
- 1:43app or just have multiple accounts or one account and they
- 1:46just know, OK, if, if I see my, you know, my money going down,
- 1:50it's bad. If my money's going up, that's
- 1:52good. But there's a lot more to the
- 1:53story and you're really forfeiting a lot of value and
- 1:56opportunity to get better. If you're not really, you know,
- 1:58super tracking your, your, your bets, your wins and losses.
- 2:01You can learn your strengths and weaknesses.
- 2:03But anyway, know on that in a second.
- 2:06Second thing I want to mention is we're going to get right back
- 2:08to baseball today. So a three pack of plays, all
- 2:11relatively short money line favorites, including an early
- 2:14game here. So I wanted to get the pot out
- 2:16quickly if you want to ride this play with me a little afternoon
- 2:19sweat at Wrigley Field. So we'll talk about that.
- 2:21And of course, as always, trying to go 2IN1 eek out a winning
- 2:24day, which is the goal. Wanted to also recap the last
- 2:28couple days because no pod yesterday and I know, I know
- 2:32it's unlike me. I grind pods every day.
- 2:34But I tell you what guys, when you're when you're a father,
- 2:36things come up. Also yesterday was my third
- 2:40wedding anniversary to my beautiful wife Elise.
- 2:42So we went out on the town. We had a gift card that we
- 2:45hadn't used in like 4 years. We went to a fantastic
- 2:48restaurant called Rochambeau. It's a French restaurant in the
- 2:51Back Bay of Boston. It was so much fun, but we spent
- 2:54the day together, my wife, my daughter and I, so didn't really
- 2:58have a chance here to to do the pod.
- 3:00But I always want to mention that, you know, I love you guys.
- 3:03Thank you for supporting and listening to the pod.
- 3:04Obviously it's super important to me and very proud and always,
- 3:08you know, kind of a grinder at heart.
- 3:09That's why I love doing a pod every day.
- 3:11But again, sometimes life will will tell you, OK, maybe we
- 3:14maybe we should punt for today. Even even I take a day off every
- 3:17now and again. So I missed you guys yesterday.
- 3:20Thanks for all the tweets and you know, DMS like, hey, what's
- 3:22going on? Are you dead?
- 3:23No, I'm still alive. Just just took the day off, but
- 3:26want to remind you that you can always get the plays on juice
- 3:29reel. You can sign up to get the ASG
- 3:31best bet picks directly from the juice reel app.
- 3:34And once I bet a game, it goes right to the juice reel app.
- 3:36You can tail fade, do whatever you like, but I always mention
- 3:39at the end of the pod that this pod is free.
- 3:41It's they cost you nothing to listen.
- 3:43So if you enjoy the pod, I help you cash a ticket or two.
- 3:46Let me know you appreciate the pod by signing up to get a week
- 3:48or more of the all Systems go best bet picks.
- 3:51It costs you $9.99 a week. So 10 bucks a week for you know,
- 3:563 bets a day. That's $1.42 a day when you do
- 3:59the math. Or you can save some money and
- 4:01get every best bet for a month for $24.99 a week.
- 4:05So thank you all to those of you who have signed up.
- 4:07And you can always get the plays there.
- 4:09You can also read the sharp reports that are right for
- 4:11visen.com. But we kept our winning days
- 4:13going. So four straight days this week.
- 4:15Let's try to finish up have a winning day today.
- 4:18But last time we talked Wednesday night, 2:00 and 1:00
- 4:21plus 0.35 units. Had a great win with the
- 4:24Dodgers, four to two against Seattle.
- 4:26Tampa Bay came through three, nothing against Texas.
- 4:28Only loser ironically, was Milwaukee.
- 4:30A great team, but they got their their brains bashed in 16 to
- 4:33three against San Fran. But A2 in 1 + 0.35 unit
- 4:37Wednesday and then a two in 1 + 0.92 unit day yesterday.
- 4:43Now it might have been a little less.
- 4:45I was .92 units because I had a bunch of great odds boost that
- 4:48were offered to me. So either way it was a winning
- 4:50day, but maybe you want a little bit less if you didn't have the
- 4:52boost. But reminder, have those
- 4:53multiple outs be able to shop for the best number.
- 4:56Not just getting the best price but then seeing which books
- 4:58offering you a boost. And it was all about the Sox.
- 5:02The White Sox came through 2 to one against the Yankees.
- 5:05You could have gotten them like a pick em -115 I actually got
- 5:08them plus 1/20 with a boost, but they walked it off in extras
- 5:11which was great. Then my Red Sox late night won
- 5:14five to four against the A's and they were down in the 8th inning
- 5:17and then had back-to-back homers.
- 5:19Will you're Abreu, Wilson, Contreras and then Chapman
- 5:22closed the door. So great hit by the Sox.
- 5:24Only loser yesterday was the Padres 4 to one against San
- 5:27Francisco. But we're going to see if we can
- 5:30continue to post a winning day. It's always the goal.
- 5:32Again, when you're hot like we are, you're trying to stay hot
- 5:35and post another winning day. When you're cold or grinding,
- 5:38your goal is to try to get back in the green.
- 5:39So it's always a daily challenge.
- 5:41But I wanted to mention because every time a month ends, you
- 5:44know, it's the last day in July here, it's about to be August.
- 5:47I kind of like to look back a little bit.
- 5:49I know it's better as we're always focused on, OK, what are
- 5:51the games tonight? What can I do to win these games
- 5:54tonight? We like betting futures too, but
- 5:56you're really focused on, you know, the here and the now.
- 5:59But sometimes it's important to go back and just see what went
- 6:02right, what went wrong. And I'm going to once again
- 6:04point to the Juice Reel app because one thing they do, which
- 6:07is great is if you go to your profile and you sync up your
- 6:10books, it's going to show you every bet you've made, your open
- 6:14bets, your settled bets. But if you click the analytics
- 6:16tab, that's what I really enjoy looking at because it's, it
- 6:20gives you 2 important things. It gives you your monthly, your
- 6:23yearly, your all time record. But what I look at when the
- 6:26month is ending is, OK, how did this past month go?
- 6:29And what I really like about Juice Reel is it makes it very
- 6:31simple for you to see your performance.
- 6:34So if you think about a, a calendar on the, on the fridge
- 6:37that your mom had growing up, you know, it's going to give you
- 6:39every day, you know, so all 30 days, 31 days in the month of
- 6:42July. And each day is either going to
- 6:44be green, a winning day or red, a losing day, along with the one
- 6:48loss record and the units won or lost.
- 6:51Then it's going to give you your profit, your ROI, your record, a
- 6:53nice little chart showing you how you perform.
- 6:55So I don't want to jinx it guys. But if you look in the month of
- 6:59July, these are our ASG best bet plays that we talked about every
- 7:03day. And you get these plays, of
- 7:05course, if you subscribed on Juice Trail.
- 7:07But going into the final day of July, month of July 53 and 30,
- 7:12that is a 64% win rate, 12.7 units.
- 7:16So $100 betters up almost 1300 bucks, 15% ROI.
- 7:21So it's been a profitable July. And of course we got football
- 7:25right around the corner. So I think it just goes to show
- 7:27you keeping yourself honest. If you Scroll down, you'll get
- 7:30your record for like money, line, props, totals.
- 7:32You'll get insight into which teams like the Red Sox betting
- 7:36on the Red Sox in the month of July. 8 and one Dodgers 5 and O
- 7:39raised 6 and 2, Nat seven and three, Diamondbacks 3 and O.
- 7:44These are teams we've been on quite a bit, White Sox 3 and 1.
- 7:46So it's interesting to see, OK, what teams did well for us.
- 7:49If I go to my let's see if I switch it up and go to my worst
- 7:53teams, I was two and four with the Phillies, Owen 2 with the
- 7:56Tigers, O and two with the Padres.
- 7:59Again, a lot of insight if you continue to Scroll down your
- 8:02closing line value. So that's pretty cool.
- 8:05Like on even bets we were up 4 units when we beat the closing
- 8:09line got CLV, we're up 7 units and minus CLV bets, we're
- 8:14basically even. So great analytics, great
- 8:17information. Goes to show that, you know,
- 8:19we've had our finger on the pulse.
- 8:20MLB. It's been a good July.
- 8:23Let's see if we can continue to grind here, continue baseball
- 8:25and then get ready for the NFL. So that being said, let's waste
- 8:30no more time talk about our three bets for today.
- 8:33So first one I mentioned early game here, 2:20 PM Eastern Time.
- 8:37Let's go to Chicago. Let's go get some Chicago dogs.
- 8:40Let's go to the bear. We'll get a what they call a
- 8:44road, not a beef, a three-way or be, I forget what they call the
- 8:47beef. And I really like that show
- 8:50anyway, although it got kind of depressing and I love it.
- 8:53But I thought the first two seasons were the best anyway.
- 8:57Yankees, Cubbies. Let's talk line, move, split
- 8:59system matches. I'll give you my play for this
- 9:01one. So Yankees come in 61 and 48.
- 9:05Just split. A4 game set against the White
- 9:07Sox. Lost yesterday's serious finale.
- 9:092 to one in extras as a -1 O 5 road dog.
- 9:11Good for us who are on the White Sox.
- 9:14Meanwhile, the Cubbies, 62 and 47, just took three or four
- 9:16against the Cardinals. They won that series finale
- 9:19yesterday 4 to 2 and extras as a -, 105 road dog.
- 9:23So pitching matchup for today's afternoon game at Wrigley.
- 9:26The Yankees going through ready Will Warren.
- 9:29He's seven and five with a 4.41 ERA.
- 9:31Cubs, meanwhile, going with the lefty Shota in managa, he is 7
- 9:35and eight with a 3.72 ERA. Now what?
- 9:38Do we seen across the market? Will this game open?
- 9:40Cubs around a -. 135 home favorite.
- 9:42Yankees around a + 115 road dog and boy have this.
- 9:46Have the sharps hammered the Cubbies here?
- 9:48Give me the Cubs, guys. To me, it's all about the steam.
- 9:51Chicago's gotten steamed up -135 all the way up to as high as
- 9:56-160 -, 165. You can look at it one of two
- 10:00ways. One, we can look at it this way
- 10:02for sure. Clearly, sharps have hammered
- 10:04Chicago 'cause that steam in their favor.
- 10:06It's a good thing because even though line gets higher, they're
- 10:09still getting hit. Not a great thing if you again
- 10:11are getting the worst of the number, but still you'll know
- 10:14that hey, I'm with the sharp side here.
- 10:16You look at the splits at DK 65% money line bets 78% money line
- 10:21dollars on the Cubs and then over at Circa in Vegas, 62% bets
- 10:2780% dollars on the Cubs. So low bets higher dollars at
- 10:30both DK and Circa along with big steam line move on Chicago.
- 10:34Then we get to our system matches just a very you know
- 10:37basic one would be interleague favorites, a lack of familiarity
- 10:40benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
- 10:43We have seen the National League do better in interleague play
- 10:4554% around a 3% ROI. Specific other system matches
- 10:49here when both teams are above 500, which is the case here.
- 10:53Just take the team receiving line movement.
- 10:55Those teams are 153 and 9362 percent, 13% ROI.
- 11:00This year, non division favorites in the opening game of
- 11:03a new series who made the playoffs the previous year also
- 11:05matches with the Cubbies. Those teams are 125 and 7463%
- 11:11with a 6% ROI when the line moves in their favor.
- 11:15The Cubbies are 39 and 2363 percent, 9% ROI.
- 11:20That's the 4th best line move team in baseball.
- 11:23Cubs also have the better bats hitting 249.
- 11:25They've scored 564 runs. New York is hitting 233, they've
- 11:29scored 506 runs. I want to back in managa.
- 11:33It wasn't great to start the year, but man, he's pitched well
- 11:36recently and the month of July has made four starts.
- 11:38He has a 1.19 ERA, only giving up three earned runs and 22.2
- 11:43innings pitched. Meanwhile, Warren, he has a 7.5
- 11:47O ERA and five July starts. He's given up 15 earned runs and
- 11:5118 innings pitched. At home, pretty decent 3.75 ERA,
- 11:55but on the road, ERA of five. So we have a big steam move in
- 11:59favor of the cubbies. We got great bat splits, system
- 12:02matches, line move plays. Want to back in managa fade
- 12:06Warren. I was able to get Cubs -148 at
- 12:10FanDuel. Definitely shop around.
- 12:12A lot of books closer to -160 ish now.
- 12:15But it does help that we have a 35% big, 35% sharp mush edge on
- 12:20the Cubs with our friends at Juice Rail.
- 12:23So the Juice Rail wise guys and wise gals like you out there
- 12:26listening also on the Cubs. So first bet of the day, guys,
- 12:29let's go out to Wrigley, hopefully get a day game winner.
- 12:31They got Cubs -148 at FanDuel. Again, shop around, a lot of
- 12:35books closer to -160 ish. Next bat of the night, let's go
- 12:39down to Florida where the Tampa Bay Rays and Saint Pete at the
- 12:42Trop are hosting the Chicago White Sox.
- 12:46Now the White Sox come in 57 and 51, just split.
- 12:49A4 game set against the Yankees came through for us 2 to one
- 12:52yesterday, as we just mentioned as a -, 115 home favorite.
- 12:56Meanwhile, the Rays 64 and 44 just took two or three against
- 12:59the Rangers. They won yesterday's series
- 13:01finale 3 to 2 as a -185 home favorite.
- 13:05Now pitching match up for tonight, White Sox are going
- 13:08with the righty Eric Fetty. He's five and six with a 4.25 ER
- 13:12a Rays meanwhile going with another righty Nick Martinez.
- 13:15He's had a really Goodyear 10 and two 2.45 ER a now.
- 13:19What do we see across the market?
- 13:21Well, like the Cubs, we saw the Rays open around a -, 135 home
- 13:24favorite Chicago around 8 + 115 row dog and not as big of a
- 13:28steam move as the Cubs, but still movement in favor of the
- 13:30home team. I'm going raise here guys.
- 13:33Raise went from -135 up to around -45 We got some good
- 13:37splits at DK 84% bets 93% dollars on the raise.
- 13:42At circa 74% bets 76% dollars on the raise.
- 13:47So once again, line move bet splits at both books in favor of
- 13:51Tampa. Tampa would be a classic non
- 13:53division favorite. Value play again, lack of
- 13:56familiarity, hopefully benefiting quote UN quote the
- 13:58better team as that has historically another system
- 14:01match, same one as the Cubs, but when both teams are above 500,
- 14:05take the team receiving line movement.
- 14:07Knock on wood, this has been one of the better systems all year.
- 14:0962 percent, 13% ROI if you are a Friday night favorite getting
- 14:14line movement in your favor. 87 and 4964% with an 8% ROI.
- 14:20Tampa Bay when they're favored and the line has moved in their
- 14:23direction so you're expected to win and the public or the the
- 14:27betting market is in your favor. Tampa's gone 36 and 1966%.
- 14:33Fourteen percent ROI this year. That is the best number one line
- 14:37move chalk team in baseball. Tampa is 6 and O and Nick
- 14:40Martinez. His last six starts he has a
- 14:421.59 ERA and four July starts he's only given up 4 earned runs
- 14:47and 22.2 innings pitched. And at night 8 and O2 point
- 14:512OERA. Meanwhile, Eric Fetty at home,
- 14:54he's been pretty decent. 3.2 OERA on the road, 5.4 O.
- 14:59And meanwhile the Rays, they are 40 and 16 at home.
- 15:02That is the best home record in baseball.
- 15:05Cubs or the White Sox I should say.
- 15:07They're good at home, but they're not good on the road.
- 15:08They're 23 and 30 on the road. So a little bit of movement
- 15:12toward Tampa, good splits, system matches, good team at
- 15:15home. Hopefully Martinez greater than
- 15:17Fetty and oh by the way, 18% sharp mush edge on the raise
- 15:22from our friends at Juice Real. So second bed of the night for
- 15:24me. Guys got the raise -132 at
- 15:28FanDuel. Shop around again, a lot of
- 15:30books closer to -145 ish. Last bed of the night staying up
- 15:34late here. 10:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch my Boston,
- 15:38Boston Red Sox visiting the LA Dodgers rematch of the World
- 15:43Series 2018 when the Sox for a wagon.
- 15:46But going into this one, the Red Sox 57 and 51, they've been red
- 15:50hot. I remember they had that 15
- 15:51game-winning streak and then took 3 or 4 here against the
- 15:55Athletics, winning yesterday's series finale for us 5 to 4 as a
- 15:58-190 road favorite. You know, the Dodgers continue
- 16:01to be a wagon, 69 and 40 on the year.
- 16:05Just took two or three against the Mariners, one yesterday's
- 16:08series finale, 6 to 2 as a -150 home favorite.
- 16:12So pitching match up here for tonight.
- 16:14We got the Red Sox going with the lefty Ranger Suarez.
- 16:17He's four and three with a three-point O2 ERA.
- 16:20Dodgers, meanwhile, going with the ready Edgardo Henriquez.
- 16:23He's four and one with a 2.79 ERA now.
- 16:26What do we see across the market?
- 16:28Well, this game opened. Dodgers around a -. 120 home
- 16:31favorite. Red Sox around a + 100 row dog.
- 16:34And the public is saying this is a coin flip.
- 16:36Red Sox are hot. Might as well lean Red Sox here
- 16:39right now. You're getting 63% of of money
- 16:43line bets here going with Boston.
- 16:46But even though a majority tickets are on the Red Sox,
- 16:49we've actually actually seen the line move further toward the
- 16:51Dodgers. So Dodgers only getting about
- 16:541/3 of tickets at DraftKings, but they've gone from -120 up to
- 16:57-135. So you know what that tells us?
- 17:00That's a sharp reverse line. Yes, I'm a Red Sox fan, but
- 17:03tonight I'm going Dodgers. Dodgers are a sharp play public.
- 17:06Boston line going to the Dodgers.
- 17:09You look at Circa, only half the tickets, but nearly 70% of the
- 17:12money is on the Dodgers. Then we get into a lot of these
- 17:15angles here that light up for the Dodgers.
- 17:18Same system as we had for Cubs in Tampa.
- 17:22But if you have two teams with a winning record facing off, just
- 17:25take the team getting line movement in their favor.
- 17:28Those teams are 62 percent, 13% ROI this year.
- 17:32Friday night favorites 61 percent, 5% ROI this year.
- 17:36If you're a sweet spot home favorite between -125 and -150
- 17:41and you made the playoffs the previous year, you're facing an
- 17:43opponent who also made the playoffs the previous year.
- 17:46Those teams are 66 percent, 15% ROI since the start of last
- 17:51year. And then we get into the Dodgers
- 17:54just being a value play. When they are this cheap, it's
- 17:57usually smart to to to back them.
- 17:59When the Dodgers are quote UN quote short, favorite -150 or
- 18:02less, again, doesn't happen often, they're usually -200 or
- 18:05more. But when they're -150 or less at
- 18:08home, they're 46 and 2070 percent, 21% ROI since 2022.
- 18:15And when they have line movement in their favor as a favorite,
- 18:18the Dodgers are 36 and 1669% with an 8% ROI.
- 18:24Henriquez on the road, not great 5.12 ERA, but at home 0.79.
- 18:29Dodgers also have the better bats hitting two 61562 runs
- 18:34scored. Red Sox hitting two 44454 runs
- 18:37scored. So it's one of those plays where
- 18:40again, as a sports better, you can't have favorite teams.
- 18:43My favorite team is the Red Sox. But the market, the sharp money
- 18:46is on Dodgers. So I'm going Dodgers tonight.
- 18:49So shop around guys. 4% sharp mush edge on the Dodgers.
- 18:53I did also have a rhythm system match lighting up on the
- 18:55Dodgers. I got the dodgers -126 at
- 18:58FanDuel. Again, a lot of books now closer
- 19:00to -135 S Cubbies, Ray's Dodgers.
- 19:05Let's try to get 2 out of 3 eek out a winning day.
- 19:09So that about does it for episode 557 of the All Systems
- 19:12Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 19:15This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and
- 19:18always start first by saying thank you.
- 19:20Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in.
- 19:22Thank you for grinding in the arena with me every single day
- 19:26through the good and the bad, the UPS and the downs, the hot
- 19:28streaks, the cold streaks, We're always grinding.
- 19:31But you guys show up and so do I and that's what means the most
- 19:33to me. Creating this data-driven
- 19:35gambling community or sports betting community, sports
- 19:38investing. How about how about that?
- 19:40That sounds a little bit better. But anyway, if you enjoy the
- 19:42pod, it's become a daily party routine.
- 19:45I would love for you to show some love and give this pod a
- 19:48five star review on Spotify or iTunes.
- 19:52Click the rate and review, click the follow button.
- 19:54Recommend the pod to a friend, retweet or like the pod when I
- 19:58put it out on Twitter each day. Any or all of those things would
- 20:01be very much appreciated, so thank you.
- 20:03Next, if you enjoy this style of sports betting, data-driven
- 20:07sharp contrarian betting focusing on line movement bet
- 20:10split system matches taking a contrarian approach.
- 20:13Betting with our head and not our heart based on what the
- 20:15numbers are saying, not what our gut and our our biases are
- 20:18telling us. But if this style of betting has
- 20:20appealed to you, you want to learn more about data-driven
- 20:23betting or maybe you have someone in your life who could
- 20:25really benefit from being introduced to data-driven
- 20:28betting. That person who always parlays
- 20:30bets with their heart. You ask them why they took this
- 20:32team, they they say, oh they're at home and they're hot.
- 20:35OK, well what do the numbers say?
- 20:36What do they open out? Where are they at now?
- 20:38But if that any of that is the case, I'd love for you to
- 20:41support the team and go buy one of my books.
- 20:43Get them from Amazon. Go to Amazon.com, type in the
- 20:46everything guide to sports betting or the NFL Sharp Betting
- 20:49playbook. Grab one or both of my books.
- 20:52Bring them the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 20:54I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
- 20:56We'll sweat some more baseball together tonight.
- 20:58Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 21:00My two favorite sports betting apps.
- 21:02They help me win. I'm confident they're going to
- 21:04help you win. It's just another great
- 21:05data-driven box that you can check off when you're
- 21:07handicapping a game to give you more confidence knowing that the
- 21:10the numbers are behind you. But Rhythm Great for their AI
- 21:13backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 21:17Juice Reel. So many great features.
- 21:19Robo Jackson best bet picks, Sharp mush indicators, arbitrage
- 21:22plays, shop for the best line future, syncing up your sports
- 21:25books and of course supporting, supporting myself, supporting
- 21:29the ASG pod by getting a week or more of the best bet picks
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- 21:35app, you click buy, sell bottom right corner.
- 21:38You type in ASG into the search box, you find my account.
- 21:42Boom, you can do a week of best bets for $9.99 or a month of
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- 21:55What do we say 13 units this month?
- 21:58Give me a week or more, support the team, help me pay for my
- 22:00daughter's upcoming childcare, but download Rhythm, download
- 22:04Juice Real, give them both a five star review in the App
- 22:06Store. Next you have a live odds page.
- 22:08If you don't have one, you really do need one.
- 22:11Seriously, don't take my word for it.
- 22:13If you don't have a live odds page, you're flying blind.
- 22:15You got to be able to track the market in real time, know all
- 22:18the games that are being played that day, live in game wagering,
- 22:21odds, live scoring, but all the work you're doing during the day
- 22:24before the game starts to decide who you're going to bet on
- 22:27comparing the opening line to the current line, identifying
- 22:29line movement, pulling up the line history, shopping for the
- 22:32best price, finding the best number.
- 22:34You can do it all with odds logic.
- 22:36So give it a shot use this special link odds logic.com/josh
- 22:42123 that's going to give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
- 22:46first month of service. So that about does it for
- 22:49episode 557 of the ASG pod. As always, two final thoughts.
- 22:53One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 22:57River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
- 22:59Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut, at the Encore in
- 23:02Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield or the
- 23:05Nash. My neck of the woods on the
- 23:07border of Massachusetts, in New Hampshire.
- 23:08Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
- 23:11Where Billy Walters sends his number runners.
- 23:13Where the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
- 23:16Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 23:18swimming pool when he cashed a big ticket at Circa.
- 23:21You're going to walk up to me. Show me a Dodgers or Tampa Bay
- 23:24ticket from Wednesday. Or how about a White Sox or Red
- 23:28Sox ticket from yesterday? Guess what?
- 23:30First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 23:32A post about the book Sweatshop contrarian plays all night long.
- 23:36So coming off a four and two last couple days, or A2 and 4A3
- 23:39and three, five and one, A1 and five, an O1, six to six and O
- 23:44again. Whatever combination is, we just
- 23:46can't get too high and cocky and arrogant when things are going
- 23:49well. We also can't get down in the
- 23:51dumps, Think betting is impossible and want to quit when
- 23:53it's not going our way. We're in it for the long haul.
- 23:56We embrace the challenge, embrace the sweat and we got to
- 23:58make data-driven bets with our head and not our heart.
- 24:00If we can do that, if we can find the games that fit our
- 24:03model against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat
- 24:06bet, avoid parlays and get some CLV, if we can do that, we're
- 24:09going to be successful sports bettors.
- 24:11So I hope everyone has a great Friday, have an even better
- 24:14weekend guys. I'll see you back on Monday.
- 24:17That'll be the month of August. August will be here, but have a
- 24:21great weekend and I'll see you back on Monday for episode 558
- 24:25of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
- 24:28Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 24:30great, great weekend.