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The Ukraine War is lost · Cultural Wars | America Out Loud News

0:15
Well, hello everyone.
0:16
Welcome to another episode of Geopower, Energy and Real Politics.
0:21
I have a very special episode today.
0:24
It's going to be a tough episode, frankly, for me to even record and talk about because the title of this is the Ukraine War is lost.
0:33
It's over.
0:34
It's done.
0:35
It's been lost.
0:37
It's either going to be one at a peace negotiating table, where the Ukrainians and Europeans and NATO give up a lot, or it's going to be a war of attrition on the battlefield.
0:48
But it is over.
0:49
I'm going to connect a number of dots for you.
0:52
And what I'm going to really talk about as well as the latest budget for Britain, why that's important to understand, to understand all of this, why Britain is lost, why the EU is lost, why Germany, France, they're all lost.
1:10
Want to really tell you why is that?
1:12
I will put an analysis in the show notes.
1:14
But what an interesting thing happened that uh Andre Yermak, which was uh Zelensky's fix fixer.
1:20
He was his enforcer, his gatekeeper, this ally.
1:24
Well, Washington or the Trump administration, they have funded an organization called NABU.
1:31
It is a U.S.
1:32
trained attack dog on Uranian Ukrainian politics.
1:36
Um, they raided Zelensky's office.
1:39
And this was all about the peace process being derailed.
1:43
This is about President Trump wanting to get out of Ukraine, wanting, frankly, to get out of Europe, and in my opinion, wants to get out of NATO as well.
1:53
Um, the fall of Andrei Yermick, which is he's he's been Zelensky's most loyal ally.
1:59
He's frankly been the de facto power manager of Ukraine, but this NABU, this US funded U.S.
2:05
train anti-corruption bureau raided his home within the past week, and he wasn't just a chief of staff.
2:12
He was frankly the shadow archetype of this corrupt regime.
2:16
The man, he everything went through him, every appointment, every oligarch negotiation, every Western request, every wartime decision had to go through him.
2:27
But he resigned.
2:28
And let me tell you, this was not about corruption.
2:30
This was more about pressure.
2:32
It was engineered, it was timed, and it was executed by the one actor that can pull the lever on all of this, and that's Washington, D.C.
2:40
And that's the president of the United States.
2:43
And here, you think about what else is really going on here with Ukraine, and what does this mean with Britain and the EU and Germany and France and NATO?
2:53
Well, let's talk about this.
2:57
Why is the Ukraine war lost?
3:00
Well, for months, the United States now has been split between the neocons, the folks, this kind of, you know, neo means new, and I believe it's Latin.
3:11
These kind of new types of conservatives which believe in this, you know, we're going to pass on democracy throughout the world at the barrel of a gun.
3:20
You can do soft power, which I would always advocate for via energy sales, nuclear power sales, uh, American, you know, entertainment, all sorts of things that don't have to do with war, or what Eisenhower, you know, called the war machine, the military-industrial complex.
3:39
Well, these guys, these neocons, they cling to this fantasy of a battlefield reversal.
3:45
And you can really make the case that Ukraine was lost during winter of 23.
3:49
The Ukrainians made their big push against Moscow, and they were repelled.
3:53
And ever since then, little by little, we saw a leading Ukrainian city and area that just went down this week to the Russians.
4:02
And the Russians are rapidly getting what they want, which is their buffer.
4:07
They've said we want a historic buffer that you you we want you to abide by the Minsk Accords, which NATO and the EU have not.
4:16
We do not want NATO to spread eastward, which that happened during the Clinton administration, those negotiations.
4:22
The Russians were promised.
4:23
This is, and please hear me.
4:24
This is no pro-Russian uh rant, and please don't call me Tucker Carlson, which by the way, God bless that man for at least asking questions that others will not ask.
4:37
Um, this is not saying, oh, you are a Putin puppet.
4:42
No, this is looking at real politics, the reality of a situation, the you know, real politics, real politics, the politics of reality.
4:54
So for months, the U.S.
4:57
now has been split between these neocons, led by the deep state in the United States, the Democratic Party, even Republicans like Lindsay Graham.
5:05
They have a fantasy the battlefield's gonna be reversed with throwing more money and more Ukrainian lives at this.
5:12
But then you have this rising block of realist.
5:15
I'd call them the real politics block of JD Vance and others.
5:19
I'd probably maybe Marco Rubio could be thrown in there.
5:22
I can see him going both ways.
5:24
They have finally accepted what the front lines have shown for over a year.
5:29
Russia has won.
5:30
I'd say it showed it more than two years ago.
5:33
Ukraine's army is shattered.
5:36
NATO's ammunition reserves are exhausted.
5:38
That's been admitted by President Trump.
5:40
That's also been admitted by Marco Rubio, who said we we need to rebuild our arsenal.
5:46
Um American voters are done with the war, and let's be truthful.
5:50
There is no victory in sight unless you are in the defense industry.
5:55
If you are one of the big American defense contractors, same thing with European contractors, you want a forever war.
6:02
As Domberg says, he calls it peace is a working capital problem.
6:07
That's what we have.
6:08
But the realists, they now want this controlled face, say they want a diplomatic exit.
6:14
Um, they want to do the territorial losses quietly.
6:18
Then Washington and the Trump administration can say we have a secure peace, but Zelensky and the Europeans have resisted every single bit of this.
6:27
And this chief of staff was leading it, Yermick.
6:30
He was the immovable pillar of that resistance.
6:34
Um he's the filter that prevented all unwanted messages of reaching Zelensky.
6:40
Uh, but the U.S.
6:41
has purged him to a NABU raid.
6:44
The U.S.
6:45
is now isolated Zelensky.
6:47
But so why is this important?
6:49
I'm gonna read you directly from this report.
6:52
And you're gonna see now why not only is this this war has nothing to do with Ukraine.
7:00
This war has always been about um the European liberals, the European leftists, the European godlessness that now aligns itself with um godless terrorist Islamist.
7:15
This has only been about crushing conservatives, crushing Christians, and crushing, frankly, freedom of speech, rule of law, and property rights.
7:24
That's what this whole war has been about.
7:26
So let's why do I say this?
7:28
I want you the and I'll I'll put this report.
7:31
Um, it's a report that came out a few weeks ago about why I'm saying this.
7:36
The EU is panicking.
7:38
European leaders fear peace more than war because peace forces accountability.
7:44
What I mean by that, someone's gonna have to tell them you lost.
7:47
You have no economy.
7:48
You've given over to the global warming climate scam scare nonsense.
7:54
You have de-industrialized, you have believed in net zero.
7:58
And by the way, you use upwards of 40 exajules of energy, and you only produce about six.
8:06
Your cities are lovely, and they're wonderful to visit, and Europe is a beautiful, wonderful place to visit.
8:12
But make no mistake, you have no more geopolitical power, certainly we saw during the trade negotiations where Europe is now a vassal of the United States.
8:22
You're buying US LNG at significantly higher rates than if you were to produce it yourselves.
8:28
Your voters cling to absolute fantasies about Ukraine, about energy, about gender, about immigration, about Islamist, about global warming, and their hatred of their entire historical framework that began with the Magna Carter.
8:48
So the EU's panicking.
8:50
European leaders fear peace more than war because peace forces accountability.
8:54
Read that twice to get that into you.
8:57
Why did they destroy their own industries, torch their energy security, plunge their economies into recession, and funnel hundreds of billions into corruption for a war, Washington itself, meaning the Trump administration is preparing to fold.
9:13
Brussels really is the capital of the EU project or experiment, as I like to say.
9:20
Supported Zelensky unconditionally, not out of conviction, but out of sheer self-preservation.
9:28
If the war ends, they must answer for the ruin they inflicted on their own population.
9:35
Europe needs perpetual conflict to postpone the political reckoning.
9:41
They saw that Trump won.
9:43
They saw that all the swing states went to Trump, that Republicans won.
9:48
They want, they even picked up Senate seats.
9:52
If if you think there was a political reckoning that happened in uh the last presidential election, you can only imagine.
10:00
Imagine what's going to happen to Europe.
10:01
The United States is still an energy gigaper.
10:04
The United States has a growing economy that's going to hit the fast track in 2026.
10:10
The United States has the biggest and best military still in the world.
10:14
They have some of the most innovative industries in the world.
10:16
The United States is still a thriving force, geopolitical force.
10:22
They are the real politics setters still of the world.
10:27
They set the politics of the world, whether you like it or not.
10:32
Everything still does run through the United States.
10:35
Sure, I know some Chinese that fully disagree with me, and some Russians, and even some Indians.
10:41
And I would go, okay, I see your point of view, but you're still closing most of your financial transactions in the world on the US dollar.
10:51
The United States is still an energy gigaper.
10:55
More oil, more natural gas than anyone else in the world.
11:01
And if you've got all that energy, then you are good to go.
11:05
Your economy.
11:06
That's why we didn't go into recession during the Mind administration.
11:10
So let me continue.
11:12
Europe needs perpetual conflict to postpone the political reckoning.
11:16
Washington, the Trump administration, by contrast, wants a face-saving off-ramp.
11:22
This is the real EU-US divide.
11:25
Brussels wants to delay the inevitable, meaning people like Keir Starmer, Macron, uh, Francis Mertz, folks that will listen to our Bond of Hungary, all of these godless leftists who have aligned with Islamists, by the way.
11:44
That's what this is really.
11:45
That's why this war is really going on.
11:47
They want to delay the inevitable.
11:49
Washington wants to manage it, and Kiev wants to deny it.
11:53
Only one of them has the power to dictate the timeline, and it is not Kiev, and it is not the EU.
12:02
It's Moscow.
12:04
It's Russia.
12:07
Just so you know, Vladimir Putin literally just said recently.
12:10
Putin says he is ready for war against Europe if attacks on their Russian tankers and their energy infrastructure continues.
12:19
Um he said Russia is not planning to fight European countries, but if Europe starts a war, Russia is ready right now.
12:27
Vladimir Putin just said that within the last 24 hours.
12:31
Make no mistake.
12:33
That is an energy superpower you're dealing with.
12:36
That's the largest nuclear arsenal in the world.
12:39
These are this is an advanced country when it comes to their military.
12:43
But more importantly, when the Russians fight next to their country and their supply lines are short, they win.
12:51
They are willing to win a war of attrition.
12:53
They're willing to use battlefield nukes as a as part of their first as part of their uh first strike doctrine.
13:00
Anyone who thinks that Russia will allow themselves to be overrun like the Nazis did or Napoleon's armies did, you do not understand history, you do not understand their regime type, you do not understand their ideology, and you certainly don't understand human nature.
13:17
These are people that still celebrate World War II wins and make them national holidays.
13:22
You don't believe me, go read Russia Today or TAS.
13:25
Go look at Russian propaganda, go read it.
13:28
You'll be shocked.
13:30
In that regard, go reach Chinese propaganda right now, the South uh the South Morning China, you know, the South South Morning China Post.
13:38
Go read what they say about World War II.
13:40
They talk about it all the time.
13:41
They're all obsessed about it.
13:43
Next week's episode, we're going to talk about this growing Japanese and Chinese rift, which still goes back to uh World War II.
13:53
This still goes back to problems and conflicts have still not been resolved from that uh devastating war, which still affects all of us to this day.
14:04
Back to this report.
14:05
Moscow sees the Western fracture, senses the desperation, and understands its advantage.
14:13
Putin's message has been cold and consistent.
14:16
Either negotiation occur on terms that reflect the battlefield reality, Russia is winning, and addresses the root cause of the conflict, or Russia will continue grinding down NATO's proxy forces until nothing is left to negotiate with.
14:30
Realize right now that Kiev is almost going to be unlivable in the winter.
14:33
Realize too that the Russians have systematically been taking out their energy and electrical systems.
14:39
The Russians could plunge that entire country into darkness and freeze them to death if they want to.
14:54
It doesn't matter your chatter in the parlors of Paris and New York and LA with you godless Democrats and you godless leftists and you deeply naive neocons.
15:08
You have no idea about energy, you have no idea about electrical delivery systems.
15:14
And when you plunge that country into darkness, imagine what would happen with the refugee problem you would have.
15:20
You think you've got to, if Poland thinks they have a problem now with Ukrainian um refugees, wait till the entire country is plunged into darkness.
15:29
What happens when those people try to flee uh into the Donbass into Crimea?
15:34
The Russians go look at Russian immigration policies.
15:39
Heck, for that matter, go look at Mexico's immigration policies.
15:42
Nobody does what the United States does.
15:45
Nobody lets unassimilated just the dregs of the world into their country so the Democratic Party can gather more voters and more power and more government money.
15:59
The rest of the world shoots immigrants, people who try to come to their country illegally on site.
16:05
They'll shoot you on site.
16:07
Go try to get into India right now.
16:09
Go try to sneak into India and see what happens to you.
16:11
I've been there.
16:12
I've gone through their immigration system.
16:14
Just wait.
16:16
Back to the report.
16:17
For Russia, both paths lead to victory.
16:20
Russia has no reason to rush.
16:22
This is a war of attrition.
16:23
It is the West running out of time, weapons, unity, and credibility.
16:28
And when European publics finally realize their leaders sacrifice prosperity, stability, industry, and geopolitical autonomy for a war that ended exactly where Moscow predicted it would, the political reckoning will be seismic.
16:45
This chief of staff's fall from Ukraine, Yurmak.
16:50
His fall is not the end of an era.
16:52
It marks the beginning of the collapse for the EU.
16:57
This is done.
16:58
This is over with, friends.
17:02
Let's also talk about what exactly has Britain done.
17:06
Or let's even talk about again the Ukrainian war.
17:10
Let's let's get even deeper into this.
17:14
We the American people.
17:16
I'm an American on an American station right now.
17:20
Are they our allies anymore?
17:22
Is NATO really an ally?
17:24
As Britain, France, Germany are their allies, and what effect does that have on NATO?
17:30
Um, these are people, and we're gonna get to Britain here uh soon.
17:34
The question is, what damage have they done to these alliances?
17:38
How have they punished their people?
17:40
You have broadcast and posted international perception that is false.
17:45
It's all been tarnished by the Europeans and what they've what they've done, what the former Biden administration did.
17:52
Um you don't withhold, you don't uphold freedom of speech, you don't uphold freedom of religion, you don't uphold freedom of rightful assembly, you don't uphold the right to bear arms.
18:05
What you uphold is your democracy, your left-wing Marxist, binary, godless, totalitarian, authoritarian at the barrel of um godless forces that you want everything for nothing.
18:29
Britain and France, what's so crazy about Britain, France, and Germany is you have a you're implementing a police state.
18:36
That's why you wanted this war.
18:38
You support immigrants who rape and kill their own sons and daughters, but you put protesters in jail and silence your own citizens.
18:46
But any who arrive through the, you know, any of these people who arrive from Afghanistan, Egypt, Morocco, these are they have zero assimilation for you.
18:57
They want to destroy you.
18:59
Is that a free nation?
19:01
It's not free if you're supporting the very people that are gonna kill you, and for us to have continued alliances with nations, we're diametrically opposed to, not only to free speech, but even democratic principles.
19:15
What's so fascinating too is the battles taking place in European nations, they are a stark contrast to Central and Easter Eastern European nations, formerly Soviet client states who are trying to distance themselves from the European Union and their dictates that promote this illegal immigration and that silence objectors, objectors.
19:38
A democracy is only a democracy if the people have a say who governs them and the policies.
19:45
You go, well, why is freedom of speech under attack so much?
19:48
Because, and why is it blatantly outlawed?
19:50
And why are only approved narratives like gay marriage is the best way, uh mutilating children, getting rid of the Bible, godlessness.
20:00
Um embracing Islamist terrorists and immigration that is out of control.
20:08
It's hard to know what kind of government Britain has, France has, Germany has.
20:12
But it's not a democracy, as they claim.
20:17
And you think with this, all of this centers around the Ukraine war, which then you have to get into illegal immigration because it's people like Keir Starmer.
20:26
This is how this man derives his power in the labor party.
20:30
If he supports a replacement population, the way the way United States blue cities do, we bring in continued amounts of people who have zero reason to assimilate.
20:42
And please don't give me your melting pot theory because people who came in a hundred years prior, you had the same beliefs.
20:48
They were trying to flee for a better life, not one where they hated America, not one where they absolutely hated the British, hated the French, hated the German people, all of their customs.
20:59
But people like Keir Starmer, Macrone, Francis Verdes, none of you people have any power, and along with your godless urban centers, because you have you're for a replacement population when it's actually unpopular to do so.
21:17
They look kindly on Islamists who and also the godless leftists and the godless immigrants they bring in the United States to take full control of their politics.
21:29
What all of these people are, whether it's Karen Bass of Los Angeles, Keir Starmer, Joe Biden is a bunch of useful idiots for the billionaire George Soros of the world.
21:40
What's crazy, and they'll always say this too.
21:42
Well, the declining birth rate.
21:44
It's the reason we have to import all these migrants, all these immigrants, all these illegal aliens.
21:49
But if the you're if European and American birth rates are dropping so precipitously, and they are as a as in you know all Western societies, then a logical conclusion would seem I should outlaw abortion.
22:04
I should uh do everything I can to have traditional marriage.
22:08
One I should do every tax break, and anything I could do to make sure that families are having at least three three children per family.
22:16
I should make it not spend money on wasteful, more health care, more social programs.
22:24
Why not promote the very thing which makes societies?
22:28
The reason you don't is because those societies tend to be conservative, they tend to be Christian, and they tend to believe in less government and free speech.
22:37
But instead, what you do is you import rapists and murderers, and you do everything you can to push abortion like Chinese communists, the Chinese Communist Party does because if I kill the family, first I kill children and I kill the family, and I can kill and control societies.
22:55
The reason, as I said a moment ago, and will say again, it's not the birth rate you're trying to uh cover up for.
23:03
It's not um the Ukraine war.
23:06
What you want to do, meaning the European left, the your the American left, uh, places like New Zealand, Australia, um, Taiwan, which just got rid of nuclear power foolishly.
23:20
What you really want to do is you want to eliminate conservatives and you want to eliminate Christians.
23:25
There's actually a new film called Deconstruction, where Victor Orbon, the prime minister of Hungary makes this very point, and I will put it into the show notes.
23:34
Why do communists and Islamists work so well together?
23:37
Why do godless atheists go so well with communists and Islamists?
23:44
They want to be supremely in control because they can imprison people, they can get rid of an uncompliant populace.
23:52
When you have a democracy, that means I've got a I've got to listen to naysayers, I've got to listen to critics, I gotta debate things, I have to have meetings, I have to let all sides have an answer.
24:02
I have to, is it a republic?
24:04
I have to go into courts and deal with things, I have to have um parliamentary systems.
24:10
I have to have, oh my gosh, I have to have the executive branch, the levis legislative branch, and on and on and on.
24:19
Hey, put some communists, some some godless democrats together and uh totalitarian uh raping, mass murdering Islamists.
24:28
I can control your society all day long.
24:34
What the United States has to do, you we there have you have to figure this out.
24:40
You have to say, get out of Ukraine now.
24:44
Um I wholeheartedly would tell anyone go vote for JD Vance.
24:51
Go vote for him to be the next president.
24:54
Um, hope that he possibly gets Marco Rubio as his VP, which he can be a bit of a neocon, though, himself.
25:01
But at least you have a seasoned um rational actor in geopolitics and international relations, and you'll have two people understand uh real politics, the politics of reality, because the Ukraine war has had nothing to do with the Ukrainians being free.
25:22
If you look at Ukraine's own voting patterns during their last election, pre-Zelensky, before all of this began, the Russian-speaking part voted essentially for the Russian-speaking candidate, and the more European-centric candidate, the other part of the country voted for that candidate.
25:44
In other words, you have a country split right down the middle.
25:48
You have a Russia who told NATO stop moving eastward.
25:52
You had a country, you you had an organization, uh, which I'm going to call this NATO EU interlocking that wouldn't stop, which said we're going to crush Russia.
26:07
Possibly for vital reasons.
26:08
People could say, you have no idea what we put up with during the Cold War, Todd.
26:13
You're correct.
26:14
I don't.
26:16
Um, I was a boy during most of it.
26:20
But real politics says look at the reality of politics.
26:26
Look at the reality.
26:29
You, Europe, and big parts of the United States have de-industrialized because you believe in global warming.
26:38
And you have led environmentalists from places like the Sierra Club and Friends of the Earth and all of those environmental organizations should shoot that should be bankrupted, fired, and burned into the dustbin of history to run your economies.
26:56
You have killed cities like Los Angeles, New York, Chicago, Seattle.
27:03
Pretty much most urban centers, which let's be very truthful, are being run into the ground by Democrats.
27:16
Second half.
27:17
I want to go over you with you and connect with you now the British budget and what this actually has has to do.
27:24
Um what this has to do with the Ukraine war and why it is lost.
27:31
So we're gonna pause here for a minute.
27:33
We're gonna come back.
27:35
This is uh Todd Royal.
27:37
I'm your host for uh Geopower, Energy, and Real Politics.
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32:29
We're back.
32:30
I'm Tom Doyle.
32:31
I'm your host for Geopower Energy Real Politics.
32:36
The brilliant who I love, uh Tilgashi.
32:40
He wrote an article that I want to go with you about about Britain and connect what I see as the British decline with Ukrainian war and everything we went over the first half.
32:51
The article is called the book that Rachel Reid, the book that Rachel Reeves should read before her budget, but won't.
33:00
Give a little bit about what's going on with Britain right now is their tanking.
33:06
Their country uh could go into bankruptcy at any time now.
33:10
Uh leaked information about the UK economy has growth as low as 0.1%.
33:17
Um they're gonna need to raise taxes in the 20 to 30 billion um British sterling pound.
33:23
Uh experts are warning that the biggest obstacle for the labor government has has is first and foremost growth.
33:31
Uh, that it's this person's being actually very nice about it.
33:33
A gentleman named Ed Al Husseini, an interest rate strategist at Columbia Thread Needle and Asset Manager said.
33:40
Um it's the they labor have had the bad luck of not being in a high growth environment, and whatever policy levers that it's pulled over the last 12 months haven't worked.
33:50
That's a really nice way of saying that these fools believe in global warming and they're deindustrializing.
33:55
But there's a book that uh Mr.
33:57
Doshi highlights that I recommend you read called John Mornihan's Return to Growth.
34:03
It's two volumes.
34:05
Uh, it has perfect timeliness, and it's really speaking to this gathering storm and why people like the British, Keir Starmer and his godless labor party, which is just like the U.S.
34:16
Democratic Party, why they need this war to continue in Ukraine.
34:20
Um this is before the budget, you know, the budget has now been um embraced, is now been uh set forth.
34:28
Uh, but many people are saying Britain's gonna come for an IMF style reckoning.
34:33
They are in a doom loop of soaring debt services, falling currency, which leads to higher higher borrowing cost.
34:40
But Mr.
34:41
Uh Mornihhan has two volumes because he really gives a diet a diagnosis and a treatment plan available to any leader willing, more importantly, able to avert a national uh uh decline.
34:55
The man says he's not an economist.
34:57
Uh, you look at him, he says he's a business businessman, venture capitalist, and consultant.
35:03
What he really is is he doesn't have any academic groupthink, NGO groupthink, government group think, nonprofit group think.
35:11
Um, and his thesis is simple.
35:14
Um, it is devastating, it is urgently needed.
35:18
Uh, that Britain, and I'm gonna quote directly from uh Mr.
35:22
Dashi, once one of the world's greatest engines of prosperity has allowed itself to drift in the torpor of social democracy where high taxes, high public spending, and a suffocating regulatory state have crushed dynamism, productivity, and growth.
35:38
I would also say that crushing immigration, what we talked about uh in the first half, all for the sake of power, along with your godlessness, your abortion rates, and I would even add you still haven't gotten over World War II and the devastation along with World War One that it caused, has taken Britain into a doom spiral.
35:59
Um structures volume one around three pillars the size of government, the rate of taxation, and the quantity of regulation.
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There's big.
36:11
Um he says that affluent societies now, you're flirting with this Nouveau regrowth thing, where this is a luxury belief of elites that says uh we can degrowth to uh to save the planet.
36:29
It's a zero-sum society and condemning others to shorter lives if we do not take on the global warming nonsense.
36:39
What's so stupid about that is that what we've seen, and I would I would vehemently argue and defend any of the global south and any people who want a better life because the past two centuries, because of fossil fuels, because of nuclear power, we have better lifespans, we have falling infant mortality, we have unbelievable expansions in material comfort and human flourishing, and none of this was produced by any Islamist, any um rape and pillage immigrant, any central planner, any communist, authoritarian, socialist um, absolute monarch uh regime.
37:22
This is because of private enterprise, competitive markets.
37:25
Frankly, it's been because of a whole lot of Christian men and women and conservatives who've gotten themselves, we've gotten themselves to work, who've done the things societies need, like build infrastructure, build universities, get married, heterosexual marriage, have two, three, four, five children, stay married, raise those children into productive members of society.
37:50
But the problem is Britain, like much of Europe has forgotten this lesson.
37:54
Henceforth, I need a forever war.
37:58
And you get a politician like a Keir Starmer who want this war because it's short-term, you know, popularity, long-term unaffordable commitments.
38:10
Um, what Mornihan also talks about is that what kills growth is regulations.
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Um really he defines three villains, which again, why do I need to keep the why do I need to keep the Ukraine war going?
38:25
Because our Kier Starmer and the Labor Party can keep power.
38:29
I, the Democratic Party can keep power.
38:32
But what are the three, frankly, villains of growth of people flourishing over government, which is big government, high taxes, excessive regulations.
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Why do the why do governments choose and align with frankly create these oligarch societies, big banks, big finance, big pharma, big companies?
38:53
Because no matter what the government does, they can lobby for cutouts, they can afford the taxes, they can afford the regulations.
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Why does California have the most billionaires?
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Because they can afford it.
39:04
So they can afford the ultra-high real estate.
39:07
They can afford to have wonderful weather year-round while the rest of the world has to flee from these from these places.
39:16
And again, it's why you say I've got to keep the Ukraine war though it's lost.
39:21
I don't care that Ukrainians are being slaughtered.
39:24
I don't care that they're gonna freeze to death.
39:27
I could care less about Ukraine.
39:29
And frankly, I don't care what Vladimir Putin does.
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I just need to keep the European and American public um hey, go go look at your iPhones and go watch uh video games.
39:42
Because I'm gonna create a war that's gonna bring just enough money in to just the right industry so I can get reelected.
39:49
Meanwhile, what you need to do is cut government, cut taxes, and get rid of most regulations.
39:55
If you think about net zero and what the British have done.
40:02
Again, I quote uh to like Dashi, it is a festering mass of regulation, regulatory invasion, subsidy seeking and dodgy claims of success.
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And London's mayor, oh, surprising.
40:15
He's an Islamist.
40:17
Sadak Khan, which a bunch of stupid white people elect because you think you're being so virtuous when what you who gives a damn if he's Muslim or not?
40:26
I could care less.
40:27
Be a Buddhist, be a Hindu, be whatever you want to be.
40:32
Get to the principles of small government, lower taxes, less regulation, and go drill for oil and gas that's all over your country, all over the EU and all over the waters that surround different parts of Europe and Great Britain.
40:47
And for that fact, I'd tell the United States go drill for every piece of hydrocarbon you can off the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.
40:55
And I know that upset a whole lot of people.
40:57
But this your mayor of your biggest and most influential city.
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He is a symbol of overreach.
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He wants to restrict transport.
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He wants to choke off economic growth.
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He wants to mandate lifestyle changes.
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He wants to impose limits on travel, clothing, consumptions, meal, housing.
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He has some ridiculous thing called the C40 network.
41:22
The mayor of London, a know nothing aligned with communist Islamists.
41:29
He says, oh, it's it's it's it's an agenda, it's to help the planet.
41:33
No, it's not.
41:35
And again, I quote Mr.
41:37
Dashi, you are an in this is enforced austerity, disguised as planetary virtue that I may add is all about control.
41:45
It's the same thing with DEI, it's the same thing with ESG.
41:50
Um, you can look at McKenzie reports, which supposedly, which have been thoroughly debunked.
41:56
Oh, diversity and you know, DEI and ESG.
42:01
Who cares?
42:02
Nobody gives, certainly this.
42:05
I don't give a damn if you are a woman, if you're a man, if you're black, if you're brown, if you're white, if you're gay, if you're straight, can you do the job?
42:17
Nobody cares less who you are going home and sleeping with if you can't fly an airplane.
42:25
What I want some incompetent Christian because I sit next to him on a pew, uh, flying a 747 through turbulent air while he's trying to land at international airports.
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Or do I want someone who's married to a man who's gay and oh, let's say he has the Quran next to him but can fly the plane.
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That's what's so wrong with DEI and ESG, because it says we're going to create all these virtues that mean nothing, and all it does is get power, and it paints people in a corner when people like me finally are starting to stand up and say, nobody cares.
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And McKinsey, you are wrong.
43:04
What you did is wrong, and you did it for money.
43:08
Uh, and frankly, I would tell anyone most McKenzie reports are not worth the paper they're written on.
43:14
Go look at them.
43:15
They won't, they're generally not sourced, and it's all they're doing is telling people what they want to hear.
43:20
They're corporate masters and overlords.
43:24
All of this nonsense that Britain is doing, or ideological goals to undermine meritocracy to under to undermine everything.
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Everything.
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Everything, every piece of society that you deem worthy, that's made the world so prosperous for the last 100 to 150 years, post-industrial revolution, people like Keir Starmer, the Labor Party, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Barack Obama, and let the rest of these authoritarian nincompoops and all of their virtue that's made up for their own power, they are trying to destroy the world.
44:10
And that's why they want that war.
44:18
It has nothing to do.
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Nothing at all.
44:24
Um actually takes his critiques deeper and more philosophical in his volume two.
44:34
And he actually talks about um uh Frederick von Hayek, he famously termed this thing called fatal conceit, uh, this belief that these wise technocrats can manage complex economic and social systems.
44:49
I have a master's in public policy, so I can be considered quote unquote a wise technocrat.
44:54
Let me tell you, my dear listeners, and anyone who hears this, I cannot manage your affairs.
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I don't need to tell you what to do with your school system, much less your household, much less how you need to drive.
45:06
And I have extensively studied uh budget budgetary systems, I have a background in economics, I've been an economist, I understand transportation systems.
45:16
I even held a small public office in Los Angeles for four years.
45:20
Um, if you look at my show bio, I have consulted with uh U.S.
45:24
governor, Congress people, uh, different industries, many parts, you know, various parts of the U.S.
45:30
government, and I can tell you of all of the learnings and all of my experience.
45:35
There is no way, no way that I think I can manage any kind of complex economic or societal systems which are in your neighborhood, in your city, and in your state.
45:50
Um you know how to manage your industrial policy, your environmental planning.
45:55
Whatever social justice objectives or uh you may have or strategic sector, go do your social justice in your church, in your synagogue at your family uh dinner table.
46:10
This this conceit that the British government, the French government, the EU, NATO, that they know best.
46:19
What net zero has proven the reality of physics is always gonna win.
46:27
You're not gonna move to a system that's based on the wind, the sun, and storage systems.
46:34
It's not gonna work.
46:36
Uh, Mark P.
46:37
Mills has done great work on storage systems.
46:40
I've done work on storage systems.
46:43
Typically, they can only store energy for about one to four hours.
46:47
Why is that important for the Ukraine war?
46:49
Because the Russians are not putting up battery battery energy storage systems to store the wind and the sun because they believe in global warming.
46:57
Nope.
46:58
What they're doing is burning copious amounts of coal and in particular natural gas to build factories that that make boots for soldiers, bullets, guns, missiles, weapons, aircraft, which can blow Ukrainians to hell and grind down the EU until it dissolves and make NATO become a fractured mess of itself because they create more of the things it takes to blow people to hell and win wars.
47:32
Reality, real politics, the politics of reality.
47:38
You believe in all this delusional crap because you want power.
47:43
Meanwhile, your countries are absolutely going to hell.
47:52
What does he say that the British could do?
47:56
What is Moynihan say?
48:00
Well, it has a few things.
48:02
Goes back to the same thing.
48:04
Shrink the state, strength the government, cut taxes, slash regulation.
48:08
Let free market let free markets thrive, let free trade flourish, and let sound money prevail.
48:16
And then restore the sanctity of contracts, competition, and price signals, and I would say stop immigration.
48:23
Get rid of abortion, uh, get rid of uh anything but heterosexual marriage.
48:28
Frankly, let the state get out of the business of marriage.
48:31
Promote um education policies that are based on uh sound principles that no longer is based on things like your sexuality or your gender.
48:41
Uh teach, really teach people, make them read great books, make them understand math, make them do engineering, uh, make them do accounting, even simple bookkeeping.
48:56
Uh this liberal utopia.
49:02
Um what I'm calling for a call for greatness.
49:07
It's a call for the British, the French, the Germans to restore their greatness.
49:12
Um for two centuries, the British were the richest country on earth.
49:17
Um the sober note is this.
49:23
When you think about the British and what's going on, and why I would tell you that what I'm about to read read to you is going is going to be exactly why the Ukrainian war is going to end at the barrel of a Russian gun.
49:38
I doubt, Moynihan doubts, Mr.
49:41
Dashi doubts, and many others doubt that the British government will adopt these measures absent a genuine crisis.
49:49
The political culture of Britain, Los Angeles, New York City.
49:55
Frankly, most of the West.
49:59
Um
50:00
You've drifted towards godlessness.
50:02
You don't want to believe in Jesus.
50:04
You don't want to believe in even any kind of morality, what I'll call a Las Vegas country club mentality where me is the most important thing.
50:15
You want state dependency, you want bureaucratic interests, left wing moral panics.
50:20
We've allowed media universities to tilt overwhelmingly to bigger government, more regulation.
50:30
As Mornihan says, you need a Britain's going to need a Thatcher style renaissance.
50:36
It may have to be akin to like the late 70s when Britain was truly collapsing.
50:40
The problem, what's different now is that Britain is allowed in millions of people who hate their guns.
50:47
And you keep electing Islamists now because you think you're morally superior, and you think, oh, we're so horrible to be Caucasians, and everything about the Magna Carta and free speech.
50:59
And before anybody says I'm some racist, give me a break.
51:03
You should know I come from a minority background.
51:08
So save your um your virtuous non-virtuous platitudes.
51:16
Uh any boomers listening to this, you're the problem.
51:20
Save your nonsense.
51:26
In Britain bond markets are watching, you say the same thing for America.
51:29
30 year borrowing cost in Britain are the highest level since 98.
51:35
You could be looking at the sterling pound collapsing.
51:39
Umcher at one point, uh, she slammed down Hayek's Constitution of Liberty at a cabinet table and declared this is what we believe.
51:51
Does anybody think the U.S.
51:52
Democratic Party, the German Social Democrats, McCron's party would do any of that?
52:01
Um I don't know if Hayek will be enough.
52:05
Um, I don't know if any of this will be enough.
52:10
Um that what uh John Monahan has written, probably one of the more detailed, clear eyed, grounded analysis of Britain's economic malays in decades.
52:24
You could put that to the United States.
52:25
You could put that the only reason the United States is we're in energy gigaper.
52:29
Um could um you could certainly put what he Monaghan has written and put that towards um France, Germany.
52:41
Um really what it is, his return to get this two volume return to growth.
52:47
It's a full indictment of this whole social democratic system.
52:51
This whole system of of welfare, of being anti-family, anti-God, anti-religion, anti-morals, degrowth, uh, bigger taxes, bigger government, more regulations.
53:03
Um really, you kind of say this this whole thing where men and women don't marry anymore and they gripe about affordability.
53:10
Well, the affordability issue is happening because you don't build houses, you have way too much regulation, and the taxes are too high because you want to believe in some system of social security, of Medicare, of please take care of us, please take care of us.
53:26
No, what you need to do is become more responsible, get married, have children, grow up.
53:33
I would tell that what Monahan's really saying is grow up.
53:37
And as the Ukraine war continues, there's an utter childishness which says, you, Todd are a Putin puppet.
53:47
No, critic.
53:51
You're entitled to your free speech, but you're not entitled to your facts.
53:56
The facts are they are losing.
53:59
The facts are um it had to take a man who's not part of the academic priesthood, um, is not part of the NGO, nonprofit, government think tank, deep state government bureaucracy.
54:17
But this is an out, this is a very astute man, an astute businessman, frankly, an outsider.
54:24
He sees what's been forgotten in what the Ukraine war has really truly been all about.
54:31
Innovation thrives under freedom.
54:33
Individuals are innovative, not central planners.
54:39
National strength, national security, in many ways, you need to be humble, you need to be restrained.
54:47
Um, and you need to trust in markets, need trust in people.
54:51
You need to have real democracy work.
54:56
What you see now is oh gosh, no humility, hubris, which has always been such a tough word to me because it's so damning, it's such a damning word that I have hubris.
55:09
Um, you now believe in these this hubris uh bureaucracy by supposedly these trained technocrats, and I hope I have completely expunge the idea of the technocrat is somebody that's been around these people, they don't know much.
55:24
Give me a farmer in Kansas who's gonna know a heck of a lot more, or farmers in Europe, or people who are actually running factories, making cars, petrochemical plants, trust me.
55:38
You know a whole lot more than I do or any other technocrat does.
55:43
And more importantly, we we've we've gotten into these moral crusades.
55:48
That's all it is.
55:49
It's a crusade.
55:51
Um, we like to lambast the crusades, which by the way, the Christians lost to Salomade.
55:56
But what we really like to do is the crusade of net zero, the crusade of global warming, the crusade of climate change.
56:04
I would say anybody on end with this.
56:08
If the Ukraine war is a farce for how bad, how bad our leaders are and how politics have become, then believing in the fallacy of global warming and climate change is the ultimate crusade and the ultimate false virtue, which which allows you to accrue all kinds of power and money with zero accountability.
56:31
So while I'm blowing the hell out of people on a Ukrainian battlefield and wasting billions and uh negating American national security because uh arms and munitions are dangerously low.
56:45
I can talk about, I can say no matter what, climate change and progressive women will eat that crap up 10 times out of 10, and the feckless men next to them will just go right along with it.
57:01
I end with this.
57:04
Don't support the Ukraine war anymore.
57:06
Support the Ukrainians, but don't support what this thing has been about.
57:10
It's lost.
57:12
Go with the realist.
57:15
And then go with Ukraine rebuilding its its economy, its society, and its energy infrastructure systems, because that's what they're gonna need.
57:24
Um, whether you like it or not, you better go do business with the Russians, like you better do business with the Chinese, but you better have your hand on both barrels of a gun, and you better be making more energy in industry than you know what to do with to counter both.
57:39
Thank you for listening.
57:40
I am Todd Royal.
57:41
I'm the host of Geopower Energy, real politics.
57:46
God bless, and hope you're gonna have a great Christmas season.