Latest / Financial Survival Network / The End of Kick the Can Down the Road -- Russell Stone #5825
Transcript
- 0:00The government's going to have to free up some money so that the economy can
- 0:03be regenerated. So I can see some debts just being from gotten. The
- 0:06rest of it is they can redesign our currency, build it based on silver
- 0:11and goal and then do a conversion as to the debt and put it back
- 0:15in your lap. Or they can just write it off so they can get
- 0:18the economy going. Either way, bond holders are going to get They're either
- 0:22going to pay off the debt, they're going to restructure the debt, or
- 0:25they're going to default on. You're listening to Carrie Letts's Financial Survival Network,
- 0:29where you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else to thrive in today's
- 0:35trying times. You need the Financial Survival Network now more than ever. Go
- 0:41to Financial Survival Network dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial
- 0:46Survival Network now more than ever, And welcome. You are listening to watching
- 0:55the Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Leutz. Well, we
- 0:59got consumer confidence numbers out. They're looking so good. What is anybody worrying
- 1:04about a recession? For? And with the Federal Reserve deciding whether to go
- 1:11or stay or stay or go. It makes a difference. Russell Stone is
- 1:15with us now. Russell, great to have you back on the show.
- 1:19So what is your take on all these numbers we're getting. As we were
- 1:23talking before the show started to carry the Consumer Confidence Index is I would if
- 1:29I had to label it, I would call it a hiccup. You know,
- 1:32the market was trended up from January to March April, kind of a
- 1:37sideways up the market to dial, the SMP, the NASDAC, A lot
- 1:41of the metrics were not going down, but they weren't going up either.
- 1:45This is more of the same some of the things that are coming out now.
- 1:49The car market, the used car market prices are down ten percent,
- 1:53real estate prices are starting to crack and go down. Unemployment is starting to
- 1:57go up. How you're seeing a lot of large check and the unemployment is
- 2:00unique because the layoffs are coming from the top down, knock from the bottom
- 2:05up. So as these things start to entrench into the markets more and more,
- 2:08you're going to start to see the competence plummet and head back down to
- 2:13where it was going. This This confidence index really went sideways. It really
- 2:17didn't go up. You know, when Sun goes up two tents of a
- 2:21percent. I don't count that as any big change in the consumer price index
- 2:24or the consumer confidence index. Right, So we shouldn't be easily swayed by
- 2:31the numbers here, or should we. You're gonna have to show me a
- 2:35lot more good going on within the cony all levels and throughout the world,
- 2:39because we've got China is starting to really show itself as the weakness in China's
- 2:45debt markets start to implode, and those are going to come across and hurt
- 2:49our pensions and hurt our other investments over here with their private equity and the
- 2:53hedge funds. So there's a ripple effect, and we're going to see a
- 2:57lot of ripple effects because the world is built on debt, not on value.
- 3:00Okay, So we have a debt based economy, we have a debt
- 3:04based currency, we have a debt based world. Correct and at the same
- 3:07time throwing back that the world is deleveraging against the dollar. So as Saudi
- 3:14Arabian opex start to pull away from the dollar and allow other currencies to purchase
- 3:19oil, what's that impact going to be? Right, We know what it's
- 3:23going to be. It's not going to be good, all right, It's
- 3:24going to cause inflation and other problems. Okay, So where does this leave
- 3:30us here as investors, as somebody who would one day like to maybe retire
- 3:35if the stars online for me to do that. If the good news is
- 3:39this is that we are going to survive this, but it's going to come
- 3:43at a cost of a big adjustment in the way we go about running our
- 3:47businesses. One, I would put a strong emphasis that everybody should have precious
- 3:52metals gold, silver as the basis of their portfolios. Five or ten percent
- 3:58of the networks should be in pressus metals physically owned held in your hand,
- 4:02all right, and then you build up from there. You can use money
- 4:05market accounts that only buy T bills for liquidity, don't use a bank.
- 4:10Try and get your money out of the banking system. The banks are in
- 4:14trouble, all right. You can't keep on taking money out of banks and
- 4:16not putting money back in and expect them to survive. So you need to
- 4:20leave as little money as possible in the banks and put as much money in
- 4:25the government backed money market accounts that allow us to Sorry, we just had
- 4:30a Camberg failure here. You're still on it. So at the end of
- 4:35the day, we have to deal with that. So as we go about
- 4:41fixing those problems in the banking system, and they will get fixed, but
- 4:44we have to go through deflation first. All right, we are going to
- 4:47go through a deflationary cycle. It's already underway. There's no stop in it.
- 4:51The government stack can be able to stop it. The consumer needs to
- 4:55have the real value of the stock market go down to what it really is.
- 5:00You can't print ten trillion dollars, inflate the value of the stock market,
- 5:03distort the price of bonds and expected to go away in six months.
- 5:09Channing, did you explain that to our politicians? Please? It's I've tribe
- 5:15it don't It doesn't work. Now. I've been into some like luncheons and
- 5:18charity things where politicians show up and you engage them in conversations. Do you
- 5:24think that they know what they're saying and they say things like this, Oh,
- 5:28the US government, we're the borrower and the lender. We have a
- 5:30great deal. Nobody can top that. Are you kidding me? You know,
- 5:33when the politicians making the policies think that we can just borrow and lend
- 5:39from ourselves, and that's good. We should be really electing different people.
- 5:43Sometimes things have to break and carry before they get better. All right,
- 5:47So you're a bundle of joy today here, Russell. All right, So
- 5:56how bad is this going to be? Though? This recession nineteen twenty nine
- 6:00probably times two. So like back then, the populace was much more compliant.
- 6:06They believed in their politicians, in their government, in your government.
- 6:12Now it's not like that. When people start starving, they take to the
- 6:15streets, don't they. Yes they do, Yes they do. But keep
- 6:19in mind, what's the biggest difference between twenty nine and now, which is
- 6:23why it's going to be a degree or two higher than it wasn't twenty nine
- 6:27is the currency was backed by golden twenty nine. Now it's not. It's
- 6:30not. It's back by the full faith and confidence of the US government.
- 6:35Right. If you had to put that in terms of this ship, it
- 6:38would be the Titanic. We have thirty two trillion dollars of debt, a
- 6:42trillion dollars of interest on that debt, in one hundred and eighty or trillion
- 6:46dollars of unfunded liabilities that there's no possible way they can pack Yeah, So
- 6:50the day of reckoning is coming for the US. And this is the Western
- 6:55world, this is China. Maybe Russia is the only one with no debt.
- 7:00But the day of reckoning is here, isn't it. Yeah. They
- 7:01finally kicked the can down the road and hit the cliff. Yeah, and
- 7:05it'd be good if they followed them up. You know, I just thinking
- 7:09we should just replace all our politicians with AI because they couldn't do any worse
- 7:14than our guys are doing. Quite honesty, here's my new standard character.
- 7:17All right, we should change the standards of which we elect people by nobody
- 7:23with greater than a high school education should be elected to public office. Yeah.
- 7:28Well that would be a switch, wouldn't it right, Because quite honestly,
- 7:30you think we're in this mess because we liked a lot of smart people.
- 7:33Would degree where has it gotten us? And stop putting lawyers in Congress
- 7:39in the Senate? Yes, I think us. I got to help.
- 7:44Sorry, he had to be brutal like that, but you know, I'm
- 7:46sick and tired of seeing my family line up at the end of the line
- 7:49in America, the land of Opportunity, only to tell them that you know,
- 7:54they don't deserve anything. You know, we're the last one in line
- 7:57all the time. Yeah, all right, so obviously things are going to
- 8:01get bad here. Yeah, preparation is everything. We can survive this,
- 8:05we will. We've gone through worse. Civil War was pretty bad, nineteen
- 8:09twenty nine was bad. World War two is pretty bad. All right,
- 8:13we'll get through this. It'll break, it'll get better, and we'll fire
- 8:16a bunch of politicians. We'll get rid of a bad a lot of bad
- 8:18policy, and we'll go back to our good old fashion. Keep it simple.
- 8:24We don't need a Department of Education. We don't need all these bureaucracies
- 8:28that just blow the budget and become funding mechanisms for the party in power.
- 8:33Yeah, well, slush funds, everything else, well, completely corrupted.
- 8:37We know this, but still really difficult to deal with this, isn't it?
- 8:43Yes? It is it is. It's gonna be a test of our
- 8:46metal kerry. All right. You know, we were fat, dumb and
- 8:50happy with stat on our hands while we allowed the politicians to get away with
- 8:52this stuff, and we would along with it. All right. Now we're
- 8:56waking up, thank god, America is waking up by travel a lot and
- 9:01to meet people and to go to conferences in America is waking up. There
- 9:05is a lot of good news and we are going to come out better than
- 9:09we were. But we have to break first, and we're going through that
- 9:11process now, all right, So again, what are your suggestions here?
- 9:16What do we do? Pull out all unnecessary money out of the market and
- 9:20put it on the sidelines for the time being by low, sell high.
- 9:24Build a base of your money with silver, not gold, because you can
- 9:28buy eighty three ounces of silver for every one ounce of gold. If you
- 9:33wait until the ratio goes back to ten or twelve to one, right now
- 9:35it's eighty three to one, you'll be able to sell off half of your
- 9:39silver and by two and a half times as much gold. So like that,
- 9:43well we're having in your possession, and then understand that that's the basis
- 9:48to protect yourself against a failing currency, all right? And there you just
- 9:52keep it safe, keep it liquid, payoff debt. Yeah, what's going
- 9:56to happen to your debts once the currency collapses? Well, I think the
- 10:00sloo loanlad it's going to have to just be written off. I don't see
- 10:05the kids being able to pay off these student loans all right, So the
- 10:09contraction is big enough, the government's going to have to free up some money
- 10:13so that the economy can be regenerated. So I can see some debts just
- 10:16being forgotten. The rest of it is, they can you know, redesign
- 10:20or currency, build a base on silver and goal and then do a conversion
- 10:24as to the debt and put it back in your lap. Or they can
- 10:28just write it off so they can get the economy going. Either way,
- 10:31bond holders are going to get they're either going to pay off the debt,
- 10:33they're going to restructure the debt, or they're going to default on one of
- 10:37those three things. All right, So we're going to get shafted. Huh
- 10:41yeah, But think about the bond holders did get shopped, all right?
- 10:43Think about when they build out GM, they build out SPB bank. The
- 10:48bond holders got shopped, all right, this is true. But and the
- 10:52shareholders, so both of them get shafted, and they didn't get shafted carry
- 10:58jpmore. Yeah, well I would never expect that, would you. They
- 11:03got a great deal. They you know, eighty percent of the assets at
- 11:07a discount price, and we got to hold the bad assets and pay form.
- 11:11Right. Hey, So what's quickly CPI numbers they seem to be heading
- 11:16down. Is that just a brief hiatus and we'll see them go back up
- 11:20again. What's your take, Russell, it's down. We're in the outer
- 11:22fringes of a deflationary cycle. We're gonna see prices going down because demand will
- 11:28go down, therefore forcing the prices to go down because they're gonna want to
- 11:31liquidate inventory, and you're going to see a deflationary spiral take over, which
- 11:37is good news for us, it's bad news for the government. Cash will
- 11:39be king why because your dollars in nominal values will buy a lot more than
- 11:45they would when the price is rough. So if you know all chopping carved
- 11:48with five hundred dollars worth of stuff and it not only costs two hundred,
- 11:52guess what you know, you're doing really good if you have money cash.
- 11:56So that means interest rates are going to head down too, right, Yeah,
- 12:01Eventually they're going to head down, but the long end of the interest
- 12:03rates will probably go up because fear of default will take over in the bond
- 12:07marketing and that's going to drive up interest rates. And if the government can't
- 12:11get other countries to buy our death, then the government's can be in competition
- 12:15with the interest rates. Right all right, Russell, Well, hey,
- 12:18just tell us where do we find you? How do we connect with you
- 12:20on the web? Yes, Granton FG dot com and you reach out into
- 12:26us. You can log in and request a requirement a conference with me.
- 12:31I'll talk one out one with anybody and help them get him into SOB.
- 12:35And I don't charge for doing that service. All right, you're doing God's
- 12:37work. Appreciate it. Russell. Hey, if you've got a question for
- 12:41Russell myself k l at Kerrelts dot com, we'll get you a quick answer.
- 12:46Make sure you go over to the site Financial Survival Network dot com.
- 12:48Check the show notes to this interview. Click through you get right through to
- 12:52Russell and you can connect with them there. Russell. Appreciate you coming on.
- 12:56We'll talk to you again soon. I was a plug of character.
- 13:00Thank thanks for listening to carry Lutz's Financial Survival Network, your solution to today's
- 13:05trying times. For the latest, go to Financial Survival Network dot com.
- 13:11Financial Survival Network now more than ever,