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Lee Sterling - @paramountsports · The Sean O'Connell Show

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: You're tuned to The Sean O'Connell Show for the Murdoch
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: Chevrolet Studio of ESPN 700 and 92.1 FM. Welcome back
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: to the Sean O'Connell Show. Welcome in the number one
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: handicapper in the business, Lee Sterling, Paramount Sports, friend of
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: the show to give us picks for the weekend.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Lee, welcome back. How are you, sir?
• 0:40
  Speaker 3: I'm great. Can't complain.
• 0:41
  Speaker 4: I'm close to you.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: I'm in Park City for the weekend.
• 0:44
  Speaker 4: My niece is getting married.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: In Salt Lake City, so why not come out here
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: and play a little golf and get relaxed and.
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  Speaker 4: Take in, I might even take in that Utah State game.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: On Saturday night. Love it.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: It's a beautiful day, as I'm sure you're aware, and
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: hopefully it stays that way for the weekend.
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: Let's get right to it. You just mentioned Utah State.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: The Aggies coming off a blanking by the University of Utah,
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: but they are three-point favorites against Troy.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: How does it play out?
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: Well, you better like defense.
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  Speaker 4: Cause I don't, I don't think you're going to see
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  Speaker 4: much scoring Troy. They just don't have any playmakers.
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  Speaker 3: I mean, they were winning the war at the line
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: of scrimmage, believe it or not against Missouri, but penalties
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: hurt them. They just couldn't come up with that one play,
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: you know, when, when they were within the touchdown, Utah state,
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: we know about their struggles. Quarterback play hasn't been good.
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: But I think jumping down in class, it's like when
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: you go to a horse race and you steer a horse,
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: it's been losing, but he's been going up against the
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: top horses. Then he comes back down.
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  Speaker 4: He might be able to do the job and win.
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  Speaker 3: It's not going to be pretty defensive struggle.
• 1:53
  Speaker 4: I like Utah state here, 10, six.
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  Speaker 2: A big game.
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  Speaker 1: We were just talking about this, you know, potential communications
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: interruption while the president is moving in or out of
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: the stadium and Texas and Tennessee are both going to
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: have to prepare for it.
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  Speaker 2: You got game day, the whole.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: Shebang, the big circus, Texas, obviously they've, they've already tested
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: themselves against the elite competition. Once this year, victory against
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: Ohio state, they are five and a half point favorites
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  Speaker 1: at Neyland stadium. That's a lot to cover in a
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: tough environment.
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  Speaker 3: It is. And I was originally thinking Texas might be
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: the play. They got talent galore.
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  Speaker 4: But let's look at what they do on the road.
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: They go to Ohio State last year, lose 14-7. Okay,
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: not the worst loss. Then they go to Florida, who
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: was bad last year, lost 29-21 and got dominated. They
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: get blown out at Georgia 35, 10. And then the
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: last two games they're playing sec bottom feeders on the road,
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: Mississippi state and Kentucky, they had to force overtime and
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: win the game in overtime. Five straight bad performances on
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: the road here. I know they came back against Ohio State,
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: but maybe Ohio State was a little overrated. I watched
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: a tape on Tennessee, and I think their offensive.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: Line is stout.
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  Speaker 3: They got some big boys that like to mix it up,
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: and you got to move some big boys on the
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: Texas defensive line. And they got some Ed Rushers who
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: they brought in through.
• 3:20
  Speaker 4: The portal who I think are good here.
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  Speaker 3: I think the wrong team is favored. Tennessee has not
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: beaten a number one team since 1985.
• 3:27
  Speaker 4: They're going to do it again.
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: Tennessee straight up 28, 27.
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  Speaker 1: That would be an upset. That'll throw college football on
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  Speaker 1: its head.
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  Speaker 2: I love that.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: We need a little chaos this weekend and all these
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: ranked versus ranked matchups. Another one near and dear to
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: the former PAC 12 fans hearts. Oregon is three point
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: favorites against USC. I'm actually going to Southern California this
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: This weekend, I'm debating on whether or not I want
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: to make the trip to the Coliseum and watch this
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: one in person. The Ducks, obviously, they've had their warts.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: They've had their problems and a loss to Oklahoma State.
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  Speaker 1: USC has looked better than a lot of people gave
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  Speaker 1: them credit for, but still, Oregon is a favorite.
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: How do you see it?
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  Speaker 3: Yep.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, Oregon's underperformed. Let's just be honest.
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  Speaker 4: They got a bunch of four and five stars. Got
• 4:15
  Speaker 4: to play better. I think most of it's because.
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  Speaker 3: They have new coordinators. Sometimes it takes half a season,
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: a season for everyone to figure out their roles. All
• 4:23
  Speaker 3: it takes is one guy to make a mess up.
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  Speaker 3: And that's what's happening right now, both on offense and
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  Speaker 3: defense for Oregon with new coordinators. So I think they're
• 4:31
  Speaker 3: going to get closer and closer to being a top team,
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: but they got to do it quick. They lose here
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  Speaker 3: and they're out. USC's offense is scary good. Ducks have
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: already faced a quarterback probably that's going to go in
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: the first round, a Drew Mestemaker from Oklahoma State. The
• 4:48
  Speaker 3: problem and usually your weakest link is what costs you
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: the game.
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  Speaker 4: And I think that's the USC defense.
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: They give up 30 points to Louisiana Lafayette, 35 points
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: and 460 yards to Rutgers, and.
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  Speaker 4: 26 points to San Jose State here.
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  Speaker 3: I think it's a Ducks call here. Ducks here, 38-28.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: All right, we'll save the best for last with this
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Utah-Iowa State game. Jumping into the NFL, the Saints are
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: three-point favorites against a surprise 2-0 Raiders team.
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: Can Shuck beat Cousins?
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: He can, but remember this Kirk cousins faces defense twice
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: last year. So he knows what they're going to, they're
• 5:27
  Speaker 3: going to come up with. And I think that's an
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  Speaker 3: advantage here. I think the saints are gonna have to
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: run the ball better if they want to have a
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: chance you see with a better coach. I mean, the
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: coaching for the Raiders has been horrific for the last decade.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: I think they found their guy here. I think they're
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: going to get the run game going. Even special teams
• 5:44
  Speaker 3: might be an advantage. I think the wrong team's favorite
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: here too. Raiders here Win straight up here, 24-20.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: Your game of the week is Seahawks, who, of course,
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: are going to be playing a backup against the Commanders,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: whose starting quarterback dislocated his elbow. So not the premier
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: matchup that the fans of either of these teams probably
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: expected when they saw this one on the schedule. The
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: defending Super Bowl champs are seven-point favorites in your game
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: of the week.
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and if they want to get it for free,
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: just call 800-400-9741. I think there's a clear right side.
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: So will the Seahawks blow them out, or can Marcus
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: Mariota keep it close or maybe pull off the shocker?
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: First five callers get it for free. Just call 800-400-9741
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: to get it for free. And what a role we've
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: been on here. Four straight winning weeks for our clients.
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: My biggest play of the year goes on Saturday. It's
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: a game no one's looking at. I think the line's
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: off by two or three touchdowns. So we've been waiting
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: for this game. Everything looks perfect.
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: Weather, the matchup, the injuries.
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: We're 74 and 32 on our 40 to 50 unit
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: max wager. So you want to get involved, check out
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: all the different options, paramountsports.com.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: All right, we'll close it out with, of course, the Utes.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: This line moved a little bit, started off big. It's
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: now gone down seven and a half, settled at eight.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Utes are eight-point favorites on the road at Iowa State.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: We've got all those newcomers, a new coach. It might
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: be a little bit rainy, and we just had Bill Riley,
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: voice of the Utes, on. He's been told that the
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: field is in bad shape. I don't know how much
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: that really changes anything. But Utah, more than a touchdown
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: favorite in their first road game of the year, Lee.
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: Well, I think it does favor Iowa state a little bit.
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: They're going to try to muck this game up. They want,
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: they want to shorten the game. They want to run
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: the football and you know, you, you got a great
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: quarterback in Utah. They can run the football and you
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: slow him down a little bit.
• 7:42
  Speaker 4: Certainly helps you out here.
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: I would say, I thought it was going to take
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: them until mid season till they be competitive. But boy,
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: was I wrong? They went into Iowa, almost won the game,
• 7:52
  Speaker 3: held this Iowa offense. which has improved to just 284
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: total yards here. You know, we know that Iowa was
• 7:59
  Speaker 3: ranked 21. Utah's not that much higher at 15. And
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: like I said, the running game for Iowa State, pretty
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: good also. Special teams are solid here. I think the
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: line's a little high, and I think the public and
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: also the Sharps figured it out and moved it down
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: from over double digits to eight points here. I think
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: Utah wins the game, 26-23, but I think eight points
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: is probably the right side here in taking Iowa State.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: All right, so Utah wins, but Iowa State covers. If
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: you're playing for fun, you care about the line. If
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: you're playing or you're watching because you're a fan, all
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: you care about is that win. So everybody can go
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: home happy, and Lee Sterling does that for you with
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: Paramount Sports.
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: 800-400-9741.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: Lee, I'm bummed out. If I had known you were
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: in town and I was staying in town, I don't know,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: gone golfing with you or taking you to breakfast or something,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: but we'll have to catch up next time.
• 8:53
  Speaker 4: We will. It's a short trip.
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: I had to come in Wednesday night. My niece is
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: getting married. My, my nieces and nephews know the rule.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: Don't get married during football season, but they wanted to
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: do it.
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: And she has a special place in my heart.
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: Unfortunately, my younger sister died 14 years.
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: Ago and she's had a rough time. So I got
• 9:13
  Speaker 4: to be here for her.
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: So got to do what you got to do, but
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: I'll be back for a couple of weeks during the summer.
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: We'll play some golf and we'll certainly hit a couple
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: of top restaurants.
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: Lee, you're the man. Enjoy the family weekend. Thanks for
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: your time.
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: You too, buddy.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: Take care. 800-400-9741. He says Iowa State will cover, but
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: Utah will win.