Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - BUY THESE TECH STOCKS ASAP OR REGRET IT + Stock Market News 20 November 2024

Transcript

Felix Prehn - BUY THESE TECH STOCKS ASAP OR REGRET IT + Stock Market News 20 November 2024 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Felix, and welcome to this pre-morning live stream on the day where NVIDIA will decide everything.
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: That should have been the crazy title for this video, right, but I actually genuinely want to walk you through it.
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: I also want to walk you through what I think are the four biggest buys right now.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I'll give you the four actual stocks and then a bonus buy as well, explain to you why I'm so chirpy about the market, why everything is going so wonderfully well and why I'm snacking on dults which is seaweed, by the way, which some people think is absolutely disgusting and I think it's absolutely delicious.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: So there we go, let's jump straight into it.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: And that's actually wrong.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Hang on, there we go.
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: So today is the day where NVIDIA reports earnings and also jack in the box very important NVIDIA aftermarket today PM.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: So this is a $3.5 trillion company.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: This does really, really, really, really really matter, and you can sing that if you like.
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: And two things I want to show you.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: One, if you go into Trade Vision, and what do you see?
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: You see here on the right, that blue box.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: That is the expected range of movement of the very, very stock.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: So, if I may draw some lines here to extend that, the market is expecting that we're going to close out this week between it's going to be approximate $134 and about $159.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: That's the movement we're expecting.
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: So we're expecting to either go up to 1.59 or down to 1.34.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: How do we know that?
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: It's based on market positioning and probabilities and it's available from the options market.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: Basically, you can see that data Seaweed is actually very, very good.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: I highly recommend it.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: So is that a big move?
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: Well, yes and no, it's $13.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: Eight, nine percent.
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: It's not.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: It's not like a 20 move, it's like a an eight, nine percent move.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: And, um, I put a video on nvidia yesterday.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: I'm feeling quite bullish on this story.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: It could be that earnings get misunderstood, but I think fundamentally I'm very bullish on the story.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: That's sort of all I'm going to say on that one.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: But let me give you one chart that tells you a little bit about what people are talking about.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: A lot of people are saying, oh, it's a bubble.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: The stock's so expensive, how can it be a three and a half trillion dollar stock?
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: Blah, blah, blah, right.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: And they're saying it's like the dot-com bubble.
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: Well, there's a big difference, and that is during the dot-com bubble, which was here.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: This was Cisco, which was the internet, it was the future.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Hard to believe In 2000, it was that.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: And their earnings was this line here, which is 12 months, the forward earnings we're expecting for Cisco.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: So huge, huge, huge, huge gap, right, massive gap.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: And what about Nvidia right now?
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: Well, actually earnings are going up more or less in line with the stock price.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: So it is not the same bubble, because in 2000, these companies weren't making any money and actually their earnings dropped.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: They actually went down, which is really what helped to create other stock and at the moment earnings are actually improving very significantly.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a very, very different story.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: People who make that comparison don't really know what they're talking about.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: That would be my view there, though you don't see that area in trade vision, my friend, there is a little toggle down here to switch between news and options, and with options, you can see that we are going to put it on the main chart in some form or another as well.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Just a little bit of a overcrowding situation we want to avoid.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: But yeah, you can just click down here and change it to options.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: What is George Walker?
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: Wow, what did George Walker say that I missed?
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: I don't see it.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: So if you left out, you'll have to tell me in the chat.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: So I'm feeling quite bullish on it.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: As I say, the market might misunderstand something.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: That's entirely possible, but I feel quite good about it.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: I'd encourage you to learn how to spot the big, beautiful bouncy breakouts that are about to happen on this stock and many other stocks simply by watching the free masterclass I recorded for you, where you actually learn how to spot breakouts.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a thing, it's a rule book and it's very predictable.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: Where's your cat?
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: Your cat is called Bola.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: Bola will say hi.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: My cat is lying next door on the sofa underneath another cat on a hot water bottle.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: It's about 15 degrees Celsius here, which is about, I think, 57 Fahrenheit or something like that, which is quite chilly for our tropical climates here, and the cats are not having any of it.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: They are basically like we shall lie under a blanket or on top of each other until it warms up.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: It should warm up tomorrow.
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I will take all your questions in just a moment, but let me walk you through a little bit here.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: So my stock number one to buy right now is what it's?
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: Tesla.
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: Tesla just secured $180 million megapack battery contract in Arizona.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: That's just today, and here is what Elon said yesterday.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: He said in 2026, at the latest, we'll have AGI.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: That means AI will be intelligent, because at the moment it's useful, but it's dumb, right.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: It'll actually be intelligent Optimus.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: Its robots will cost $20,000 to $30,000.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: And, at scale, it'll cost less to make an Optimus than a car, which kind of makes sense.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: Cars are much bigger and he thinks we're going to have 10 robots per human.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: So if you have a billion people, you'll have 10 billion robots, which is kind of bonkers, right.
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: So, monster product, tesla's biggest product is yet to come.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: It's a startup, it's in its infancy.
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: That's the way I see it.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: And, yeah, there are some risks to that.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: But you see, a normal startup has a lot of risk because usually they run out of money and you don't know if management's any good.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: With Tesla, you know they've got lots of money and management is insanely good, so it's a much, much lower investment risk, I would argue, than a startup that hasn't really done anything yet.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Will Bar risk, I would argue than a startup, right, that hasn't really done anything yet.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Okay, so that will be my first pick.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: My second pick and this might surprise you would be crypto miners right now, and I'll show you why.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Because on this chart here, this is CleanSpark, which is a crypto miner, and let me, can I get a pen, microsoft?
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: So this here is this.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: Here is CLSK, cleanspark.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: And then in purple at the top, maybe you have a purple pen.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Is what Is Bitcoin?
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: Maybe of a purple pen, is what Is Bitcoin?
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: And can you see that there is a pretty massive value gap here between the two.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: Very, very significant right Bitcoin's gone up about 100% more than CLSK, and I think that's a gap that's going to get filled.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Similar story would be Mara, which is sort of similar beast.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: This in green here is Mara, and I'm not telling you run out and buy these.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: Obviously, go and do your own research, you know, be smart about it.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: And again, the gap here between Bitcoin out there and Mara is about 100%.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: So I think there is some serious room for a breakout on these.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: We haven't seen it yet on the chart.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: We haven't seen the breakouts yet.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: So I think it's still a little early, but I'm going to watch this like a hawk because I think it's coming.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: I think it's coming and I can sort of feel it, but it hasn't happened quite yet.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: So, stock number three.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: It's fintech's finest.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: This is a sofi chart and that might not surprise you all that much, but let me tell, show you, what might surprise you.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: This up here is qqq, the nasdaq right since um, basically beginning of 2022.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: So this is beginning of 2022.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: And look at how SoFi has underperformed the market, despite the recent rally, which is impressive, and it's another all-time high today, I believe.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: Well, I don't know about all-time high, but you know $14 something.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: The gap is very, very significant.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Sofi has underperformed the market by I don't know market by 40-50%.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: I think that's about to change with lower interest rates and student loans.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: Stock4 is another fintech company.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Again, we start here in 2022 and we compare it against the NASDAQ.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: That up here is QQQ or the NASDAQ, and then this down here is PayPal.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's still there.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: Paypal has also just entered the hedge fund VIP list, so they typically have a list of about 15, 20 stocks.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: That's in most hedge funds, and PayPal is now in there, and I can see why.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: Well, they've probably all been watching our channel, haven't they?
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: Ibit just launched yesterday in the US.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: They launched options, right, which I'm very excited about Bitcoin options at last, yay.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: So I think, again.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: This gap here is not logical.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: Paypal is down 67%, qqq is up 40% at the same time period, so 100% plus underperformance and a business that is actually doing pretty well.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: So if they pull off the advertising that they're working on, then they should be bringing in something like what Amazon's bringing in from the advertising revenue, which would be huge and would make that stock easily double, in my humble opinion.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: Now here's a bonus stock and it's US stocks generally.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: Let me explain.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: There is an interview out on Lex Friedman.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: You know a chap who does very long podcasts.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: I don't actually know anything about Lex Friedman, but he certainly gets some good guests and he had Javier, the Argentinian president, on.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: And the Argentinian president, in the first month as president, cut 50,000 jobs, got rid of half of all government ministries, slashed 6,000 regulations and everybody was thinking the world's going to end and Argentina will implode and it'll be terrible.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: But what actually happened?
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: Inflation went down to 2.7%.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: They started at 17,000% inflation.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Right, it went down to 2.7%.
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: So everyone at the moment is saying that what Trump's about to do is going to cause massive inflation.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: It actually won't if they massively reduce the size of government and they're basically following the Argentina playbook.
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: Now why do you care?
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Let me show you one chart.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: What do you think?
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: This is In purple?
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: Here I've got the NASDAQ right.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: Looks pretty freaking boring, doesn't it?
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: Where do we start?
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Beginning of the year?
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: So 2024, beginning of 2024 is here.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: What do you think the green line is?
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: Argentinian stocks Argentina, which originally in Latin means silver, and it is up 132%.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Why?
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: You get rid of regulations, you get out of the way of companies doing amazing things and the economy does amazingly well.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: Basically, if we all had probably 70-80% less government, it's very likely the world would be a much better place.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: Obviously, the government disagrees on that, but yeah.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: So I'm very bullish, generally speaking, just on the US market.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Anything related to US domestic demand and stuff within the US I'm very, very bullish on, maybe with the exception of pharma.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: I closed my biotech positions rather grumblingly yesterday because I didn't quite put two and two together.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Obviously, my love for RFK is going to hurt my biotech position, and it did.