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Atlantic Division Win Totals · Front Runner Podcast Collective

0:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Air and let's get into today's pot.
0:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: We will be breaking down the Atlantic division today, and I'm excited about it personally.
0:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, we're gonna start off with a team that went 20 and 62 and still ended up with a non-top five draft pick, deals with the team that is from the Great North, and then we'll throw in a couple numbers that make no sense whatsoever because I don't know how you get to 146%, but I'll explain how that works in the city of Brotherly Love.
0:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: 16 is the number in Boston that we need to talk about, and we'll get to that and what that actually means, and what it means to the franchise, what it means to the fan base, and then we will go to Gotham and uh we will see the number there is nine.
1:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: Five teams, one division, the Atlantic, one of the toughest divisions in all of basketball this year.
1:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, here's the thing we did not wing this, we crunched the numbers, the crew was all over it.
1:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: Our producer Jordan, she was uh killing it.
1:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, we uh scoured over a bunch of numbers and what have you.
1:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: We have our social media people and also our graphics designer making up cards that go out for the social media.
1:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: And if you are not with us on TikTok and IG and X, get down with this.
1:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh on X it's frontrunner PC, so at front runner PC on IG it's frpc Vince and on X or until on Twitter and to the on X Twitter, the other thing that I'm new to is the Tiki Tox.
2:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: Yeah, I call them the Tiki Tox.
2:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: Alright, I'm old.
2:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: I can say whatever the hell I want now.
2:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm on a new level at this point, so yeah, get with us on TikTok, and that's also FRPC Vince.
2:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: We will be glad to have you uh make your voices heard.
2:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: We want to be able to hear you, we want to be able to use some of your feedback on the on the pod as well, and talk to you directly.
2:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: So that's the whole thing.
2:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we did that, we crunched the numbers, thalks overtakes.
2:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know how it is here, it's the standard, it's not it's a way of life here, so it's not about flipping a coin, it's about what we actually believe, and we will get you the win totals of the teams in the Atlantic Division.
2:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we're in zone coverage, it's the Atlantic Division, and let's go.
3:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is where we will talk like friends, we might argue like cousins, and still walk out smarter than we came in.
3:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: I am your host, Vince, your occasional hoop therapist, your absolute favorite bad influence when it comes to completely reckless NBA overreactions that low-key make perfect sense.
3:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: We are actually going to not get in the film room, but we crunch the numbers for you today.
3:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're gonna have grown conversations about how players, coaches, and the front office are actually moving, who's writing the blank checks, and what is all the drama in the locker room, the PR spin, and we will have actual verify receipts.
4:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we will be bringing the jokes, the advanced math, and the exact barbershop memo that you come to know and love and appreciate from Frontrunner Podcast Collective that you can take straight back to your group chats and completely nuke the argument.
4:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: If you're an NBA sicko like me, who wants more than a highlight talk?
4:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: If you want some context, you want numbers that support your point, you come to the right place.
4:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is FRPC, and let's go.
4:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: We will we are going to continue our series with the Atlantic division.
4:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: We will go from basically worst to first, that type of thing.
4:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: And what we'll be looking at at first is the Brooklyn Nets.
5:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, they are at the bottom of the division last year.
5:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: They won 20 games, they lost 62, and somehow ended up with a pick outside the top five.
5:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: The Nets are uh at the top here at the Atlantic division that we're gonna talk about.
5:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh, they're coming off an extremely uh forgettable year.
5:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Okay, they have one of the lowest uh win totals on the books, which is like 24 and a half, uh second lowest in the league.
5:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now they've added Julius Randle, they drafted Mikel Brown Jr., who I actually I absolutely like.
5:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh obviously, hopefully they can get Michael Porter Jr.
5:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: to play more than the the amount of games he played last year.
5:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: So first and foremost, again, they have the the books in Vegas aren't very happy with them.
6:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: 24 and a half wins, only Sacramento has a lower win total probability.
6:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh coming off a year where they again they had 20 wins last year.
6:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: The the things that we need to talk about is this.
6:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: These are the numbers that make they're gonna make some sense to you.
6:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: They were 30th when it came to paint field goal percentage, which is 55.3.
6:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: They were 28th in mid-range uh percentage at 37.1, and they were 30th in three-point percentage at 34%.
6:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: That translation is that they couldn't finish, they couldn't they couldn't space, and guess what?
6:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: More changes happened.
6:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: Like Nick Claxton getting out of town, and Jay Dayron Sharp is going to be the center.
6:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now D.
6:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: Ron Sharp is getting a uh just a perennial backup.
7:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh he is a plus 0.4 per 100 possessions with him on the floor.
7:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: Without him, they are negative nine.
7:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: So hopefully this will help.
7:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, they also have the first the five first-round draft picks from last year, and I want to get into this a little bit.
7:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: So they have Drake Powell, who his box plus minus was negative six, Nolan Treori, the kid from France last year, he had a box plus minus of negative six point eight.
7:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: Ben Saraph, who I think is gonna end up being a player somehow, some way in this league.
7:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: He had a box plus minus of negative 7.3, and Danny Wolf, who is the seven-footer who can pass the ball, or supposedly pass the ball, he had a negative 2.5.
7:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: Only Egar Dem uh how they say it, Eggard Demon.
8:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm gonna butcher that name for a while.
8:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: I need to get the pronunciation correct.
8:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: But he had a negative 1.6, uh, he got all rookie votes, so he was the shining light of the five first-round draft picks they had.
8:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: And let me tell you something.
8:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: If this guy is the one guy that turns out to be a player, that's a bad draft.
8:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know, I'm hoping that Drake Powell, Nolan Treori, or Ben Sarah really kick off something.
8:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think Danny Wolf will actually end up being a backup big somehow that can uh stretch the floor a little bit, but they need to get something out of these uh five players if they're gonna make any sort of run towards a better record than they had last year.
9:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: We already talked about that Nick Claxton's gone, so with him is his 11.7 points and his 6.9 rebounds.
9:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: They're now in Chicago, and the Nets draft class being as terrible as it was might have a lot to do with the next guy we're gonna talk about, which is Michael Porter Jr.
9:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Michael Porter Jr.
9:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: last year scored about 24.2 points a game.
9:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now his usage went from 20.2% to 30.5%.
9:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: As we told you last year, remember there was uh they had Thomas and they had Porter, and I was like, Porter is now free from Denver, so he's gonna take a lot of shots, and he did do so.
9:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: My man was out here shooting for sure, for sure.
9:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: His true shooters percentage slipped from uh 61.7% to 59.5, so not a bad dip for somebody who was handling the ball and shooting the ball a lot.
10:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: His assist rate doubled though, it went from 8.7% to 18.2%, which is great.
10:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, he only had 9% of his threes that were absolutely wide open.
10:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: I know that was a culture shock for him being on a team with Jokic, Murray, and Gordon for as many years as he was.
10:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: To see that situation happen to him must have been just eye-opening.
10:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: It was like, oh yeah, you're the first dude on the whiteboard now, Mr.
10:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Porter Jr.
10:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: Just so you know.
10:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now that might change with the little help that he got, and we'll get to that guy in a second.
10:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: But Michael Porter Jr., be careful for what you asked for.
10:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: You wanted the ball, you wanted more shots.
10:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: Guess what, my man?
10:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: You got all the shots you want.
10:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: But what comes with that is a lot of attention from the other team.
11:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: A scout that I talked to, um, this is in the from the Southeast, you see, he said he studied him for years.
11:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: The question isn't whether Porter can score, it's whether Brooklyn can get him to get a clean look.
11:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: And obviously that had a lot to do with the five the five first-round draft choices that they had last year.
11:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: None of those guys really popped off, which was a tough scene.
11:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: So if you don't have Cam Thomas and listen, Cam Thomas wasn't gonna pass to Michael Porter Jr.
11:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: unless it was like a last second shot, and he didn't have a good look at it.
11:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: Those two were just battling for shots.
11:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, Denver Porter was a Audi, and Brooklyn Porter was an inny, so that's a severance take.
11:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: Let's check his availability for the last four years.
11:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: Here's the thing it's gone up 52, 62, 81, 77 over the last four years.
12:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: Our guy Julius Randle.
12:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, Julius Randle returns to New York not as a conquering hero, because he's on the other side of the bridge.
12:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's in Brooklyn, he's not with the Knicks.
12:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, what he brings with him is his 21.1 points a game, his almost seven rebounds, his five assists, and this dude posts.
12:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: And what I mean by that is that he comes to play, he played in 79 games in Minnesota last year.
12:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: His true shooting percentage was uh 58.5%, and he had a box plus minus of positive 1.5.
12:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the decline is real.
12:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: The rebound rate has gone from 15.4% to 11.2% since his all-star appearance in 2023, 2022-2023 season, his three-point shot, uh, is down to thirty-one point five percent on four and a half tries.
13:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, I'm not here to shit on Julius Randle because there was also some things in uh in Minnesota that weren't as good either, but he was the second guy to Anthony Edwards, and being that second guy to Anthony Edwards was had an important role.
13:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: So you might have lost some things in some of the stats as far as that's concerned, but you pres you with your almost 22 points a game, and being playing effective defense, um, and providing a outlet for Anthony Edwards was crucial.
13:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, some of those shots weren't as good as maybe they could have been with like a more diverse team as far as ball handling is concerned, and being able to find you in the right spots, but you handled your business well, and like I said, your true shooting percentage went from like 61.7 to 58.5, not bad.
14:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, he was uh fourth and assist on threes over the last seven years.
14:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: Only Jokic and Giannis Anta Tacumpo and Luka Doncic are ahead of him.
14:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's a good stat to know.
14:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, if Brooklyn can shoot some threes this year, which and uh listen, this is outside of Michael Porter Jr.
14:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: We know he can shoot some threes, he's a dead eye shooter.
14:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're talking about the other dudes.
14:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: Okay, the other dudes.
14:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I think he and uh Michael Porter Jr.
14:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: will make a good tandem and kind of be the they'll be the basically the buoy in the water that will keep Brooklyn afloat and keep them somewhat competitive in these games.
14:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now his playoff games that's another thing to talk about, and the reason why we bring it up is this Do we do we believe that Julius Randle is in Brooklyn for the long haul?
15:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: Or is he just there until the early part of February, late part of January?
15:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's a question to ask.
15:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cause here's the numbers in the playoffs 12 playoff games, PER 10.6, not great, true shooting percentage 47.9.
15:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Small sample size, but it was the last thing we saw.
15:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: He turns 32 November 29th.
15:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: That also tells you why I'm thinking what I'm thinking when it comes to Julius Randle.
15:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think what you're gonna see is that he's gonna be the facilitator that Porter needed last year that he they did not get from one of the first with the five first-round draft picks that they had.
15:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, you got two high usage forage and no rim protection.
16:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: That does not go well for their outcome as far as what they're gonna look like this year.
16:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: Keep your passers close and your shooters closer, man, because these dudes gonna get up shots.
16:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the rim protection falls to Dayron Sharp.
16:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, we will see how this works, but in 18.7 minutes, his PER was 20.5.
16:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: He had a true shooting percentage of 63.8.
16:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, per 36 minutes, he averaged 16.7 points a game and 12.9 rebounds.
16:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's crazy production.
16:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's our math, that's us getting in, you know, we get into the crates, man, over here at FRPC.
16:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: The only one of five players to hit 15, 12, and 36 uh in thir per 36 in each of his last three seasons.
16:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, some of the warts on Day Ron Sharp, he has a 20% turnover rate.
17:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's only 67.8 from the free throw line, and his block rate went from 4.6 to 2.1.
17:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: He only had seven starts last year, so this is gonna be a whole new world for our guy.
17:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we'll see how it all goes.
17:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: And with Claxton gone, you know, it's him and Danny Wolf that are manning the uh rim.
17:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Good luck to Brooklyn.
17:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: Listen, it's gonna be a slow build in Brooklyn.
17:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's gonna be a slow build.
17:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Analytics director from another team said this it's the easiest raise on that roster, sharp's minutes.
17:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: Sharp is the only net with a with a positive on-off.
17:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: Naturally, he starts seven games.
17:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: So they kind of like the his ability.
17:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: They think that you know, with giving more minutes, his productivity will go up.
17:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: I am I am dubious on that.
18:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm not saying that it won't go up.
18:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't know if the efficiency will actually stay the same with more minutes because you're gonna have a expanded role, my guy.
18:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: You're gonna be the lone rim protector, you're definitely gonna be the rebounder.
18:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um now Julius will help you with that, and maybe them as a tandem being like a bruiser when it comes to that will be helpful.
18:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, another guy who will help them, it's kind of funny that they ended up with another guard, is Mikhail Brown Jr.
18:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Hey, if you fail one year in the lottery, God dogged it, pick some more.
18:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: If you can't get a bucket from the five guys that you got last year, go out and draft another one.
18:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: And Mikhail Brown Jr.
18:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: comes from Louisville, he was the sixth overall pick in the 2026 uh NBA draft.
18:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: He is 6'5, he averaged 18.2 points a game, he had 3.3 rebounds and almost five assists at 4.7.
19:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he only played in 21 games because he had an injury.
19:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the numbers will not look great.
19:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Okay, he only shot 41% from the field, he shot 34.4% from three, but here's the saving grace.
19:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: He shot 84.4% from the free throw line.
19:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: So that tells me right now that that 34% might have a lot to do with the injury situation and not with that man's touch.
19:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: He shoots 84% from the free throw line.
19:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I'm good there.
19:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, do through December 13th, this was his numbers 16.6 points a game on 38% shooting, 27% from the three-point line, and 84% from the free throw line.
19:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he missed eight games.
19:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: Check this out from January 24th to February 23rd.
20:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is what he put up, and I think this is more indicative of who he is.
20:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: 21.1 points a game on 45% shooting overall.
20:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Check this out.
20:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: 43% from three-point land and 85% from free throw line.
20:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: He had a 45-point game against NC State, where he went 10 of 16 from the land of three.
20:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: He re-heard his back late.
20:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: He missed the ACC and the um March Madness tournament.
20:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: I love this kid.
20:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think this kid is going to be good.
20:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's just the injury bug.
20:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: His playmaking was uh outstanding.
20:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: He was uh he had a 30.3 assist rate, which was fourth among freshmen in the NCAA last year, and he had a box plus minus of positive five.
21:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Just telling you, I love this kid.
21:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: One scout who's tracking this class head, he's a he's a creator who's better making his own shot than catching and shooting.
21:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: So my man likes to get into his dribble package, he likes to do his James Harden Um clone type situation and go ahead and really get into his back.
21:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the buggable is the injury.
21:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is this a is this a lingering situation?
21:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is this something that we're gonna have to deal with on a year-to-year basis?
21:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he's thin, he's 190 pounds, so he should fill out a little bit more.
21:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: But 190 is not that terrible at 6'5.
21:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: I mean, yeah, you would love for him to be like Brandon uh or Braden Burries from uh Milwaukee, where that dude was six foot four and like 210 pounds, that'd be great, but he's not that.
22:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: So he's gonna have to put on weight in Brooklyn.
22:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: We will see how that works out.
22:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now his um efficiency should get better because his shot selection should get better because he will be playing with Julius Randle and Michael Porter Jr.
22:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: Those three guys are gonna be pretty much the hope to space the floor out.
22:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, Dayron Sharp is not the guy that is going to post up and you know say, okay, hey, get me the ball in the low post.
22:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm gonna go ahead and work.
22:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: That is not his situation.
22:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Screen and roll, my guy.
22:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's your deal.
22:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: What we're hoping to see is either Igor Demon or Nolan Treori or Ben Seraph come to the forefront and help one of these guys out.
22:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what I'm saying?
22:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: You need more help.
23:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: One of those couple of those guys need to hit from that draft class of 2025, and that's all there is to it.
23:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: But Mikel Brown Jr., Michael Porter Jr.
23:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: and Julius Randle as far as spacing and uh offensive creation should kind of anchor that team.
23:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the keys for them to go over this year, over their total, Porter plays 70 plus game, sharp plays more than 26 minutes a game, and Randall turns quarters 9% wide open rate into something more respectable and real.
23:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, why they don't go over?
23:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: You got two high usage forwards, no real protection, you have six young players that had a box plus minus of anywhere from negative one point six to negative seven point three.
24:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is Mikel Brown Jr.
24:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: going to be an effective guard right off the bat?
24:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: Usually the history tells us no, right?
24:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: It tells us that it doesn't happen that way.
24:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: Sharks minutes are are there, but do they amount to anything?
24:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think the focus for the fans is this.
24:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Concentrate on the young players, which one of the five or two, hopefully two or three of the five, pop off, right, from last year's draft class, and then what does Mikhail Brown Jr.
24:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: look like?
24:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: You are about your youth movement, and then you will have your eyes stuck upon early February, where there might be a trade, whether it's Michael Porter Jr.
24:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: or whether it's Julius Randle that will hopefully bring you something back that helps you build upon the future that you're laying in Brooklyn while the Knicks continue to eat up all the headlines and become basically New York's well, they are New York's team.
25:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: You are playing for I don't even know if you're playing for second place right now, and I'm not trying to be disrespectful.
25:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Brooklyn really needs to move back to New Jersey for show.
25:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: For sure.
25:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: I am I am 100% positive on that.
25:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, do they have picks?
25:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: Yes, they do.
25:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: They actually got next picks, which aren't going to be great.
25:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: They got their own pick, but they got next picks too.
25:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh 2027, 2029, and 2031 first.
25:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: They also have a Denver first of 2032.
25:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: They have uh Houston holds swap rights on the next on the Nets pick for 2027.
25:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: So here's the thing.
25:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: Houston could be looking at something pretty tasty when it comes to this year's draft.
25:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: That that freaking sucks for the Nets.
26:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think that was that was part of the Harden deal.
26:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: Remember that?
26:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: Remember when James Harden kind of ate his way out of Houston and then kind of emoed his way out of Brooklyn?
26:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: Yeah, the 2027 pick is gonna come back to haunt him.
26:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, you would say, well, Ark, I think the call is this.
26:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: I hate to say it.
26:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think they're probably going to go slightly over their 24 and a half uh win win total that uh I think is uh draft DraftKings has put out for them.
26:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: Actually, no, this is FanDuel.
26:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: I apologize.
26:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: FanDuel quotes out 24 24 and a half win total over under.
26:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think they might beat it by like one and a half games, 26 wins.
26:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't think that the combination of Porter Jr.
26:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: and and Julius Randle will amount to a lot.
27:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think as Julius starts to age, he needs to fall into a more um complimentary role instead of being like a primary type of guy.
27:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: And I think uh unless one of the or two of the guys from their last two draft cap uh class pop off, this is gonna be a tough season.
27:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: So that means that pick is gonna end up in Houston.
27:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we're looking for them to go to 26 and 56.
27:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: Right?
27:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Yep, 26 and 56.
27:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: We need to go uh across the border.
27:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: We need to go to Toronto.
27:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: What's happening in Toronto?
27:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: A couple things.
27:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: They won 46 games last year, they lost in game seven um to Cleveland.
27:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: They traded Brandon Ingram and Grady Dick to the Los Angeles Clippers for Kawhi Leonard on last year's numbers.
28:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: It is the biggest per minute upgrade any Atlantic team made, and the line did not move.
28:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Man, they are supposed to be at 45 and a half games, and they stayed there.
28:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: So what do we expect from our Houston or our Toronto Raptors this year?
28:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: Can they go from can they can they beat that 45 wins?
28:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: Well, we'll we'll dive into the numbers and see.
28:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll see what happens.
28:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think right now there's two things that we need to talk about.
28:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: One, their offense have just gotten way better with Kawhi Leonard in it.
28:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, you take out Brandon Ingram and Grady Dick, Markel Foltz, and also Sandro Mamu Kilish Vili, who is a Los Angeles Lakers, and we love him.
28:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: Thank you, Toronto.
28:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Thank you for Mamu.
28:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: We appreciate it.
28:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: They're gonna miss his 80 games that he played, his 11.2 points off the bench, uh, his true shooting percentage of 63.7 percent and his positive box plus minus a 2.8.
29:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: Their front line is thinner, no doubt, but the price of Kawhi Leonard is this.
29:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Check this out.
29:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Hey man, we are gonna tell you that you are gonna get picks way in the future.
29:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: Kawhi won't even be playing with us when this happens.
29:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh, 2031 and 2033 first round picks unprotected that will be going to the Clippers.
29:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: But check this out they have a 2027 first round swap with the Clippers.
29:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: So if the Clippers don't have a good season, which they shouldn't, Toronto gets that pick.
29:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not bad.
29:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: Toronto keeps its own first of 2028, 2029, and 2030 and 2032.
30:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: So they got they still got some stuff to do.
30:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, they made the Clippers an offer, and the Clippers couldn't refuse it.
30:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: They wanted to get Kawhi out of town so bad, just the bad taste in their mouth, all the publicity that was just going on with them, and and just all the nonsense.
30:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: It was just like, hey, man, go.
30:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: Just this was a failed experiment.
30:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: We don't even want to look at you no more.
30:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: Skip up out.
30:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: Shouldn't have done that.
30:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because now he's going to Toronto.
30:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: And Toronto was a team on the rise last year, and this is what he brings with him.
30:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Kawhi Loki had a great year last year.
30:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: This dude almost averaged 28 points a game.
30:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: He was 27.9 points a game.
30:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: His true shooting percentage was 62.9%.
30:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: He had a usage rate of 33.5, and his box plus minus was a solid positive eight.
31:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: He shot 38.7% from three on damn near seven tries.
31:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: 6.8 to be exact.
31:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: He almost shot 90% from the free throw line.
31:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: You gotta love that.
31:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh on 5.7 attempts, and he was seventh in MVP voting last year, and he was second team all NBA.
31:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: So even though Kawhi is at an advanced age, he's still playing like an absolute G and a certified stud.
31:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: And he's not alone, he won't get alone this year.
31:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's the great part about this, is that with Scotty Barnes, and we'll get into him a little bit, also Emmanuel Quickly and a couple of the other guys there, it's not like Kawhi's gotta do it by himself.
31:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I like that.
31:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: I like this pickup.
31:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um my hope is that Kawhi Leonard can play in more than 65 games.
32:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's always going to be the problem with him.
32:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um he played in 222 of the possible 328 games over the last four seasons, which is 68%.
32:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh games played 52, 68, 37, 65.
32:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: He sat out all of 2021 and 2020, uh 21-22 season with an ACL injury.
32:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh only 22 of 37 playoff games.
32:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's absolutely crazy.
32:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: And over the last six years, and he's 35 years of age.
32:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, do you think that Kawhi Leonard will play the the key is not how many games they will win?
32:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: Y'all need to go on Calci and figure out does Kawhi Leonard play 65 games?
32:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: Does he get himself eligible for the postseason awards?
32:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: What's your thoughts on that?
32:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because last year he played 65 on the nose.
33:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: Does he do it again?
33:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: History says no.
33:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: History says that he would not do it again, and he's 35 years of age.
33:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I'm hmm, I don't know.
33:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, what makes this a good fit is that Toronto now has a go-to guy at the end of the shot clock.
33:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, his effective field goal percentage in the last six seconds of the shot clock is 53% over the last three years.
33:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's ninth of 130 in 131.
33:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's a half-court closer for a team that lives in transition.
33:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, if you're looking for somebody to get you a basket, Kawhi Leonard is that dude.
33:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: When you watched him last year, um it isn't whether Kawhi helps Toronto win or not.
33:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's whether Toronto can keep him on the floor.
33:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's all about his availability.
34:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: Kawhi is basically the Doctor Strange of the NBA.
34:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: Every timeline has the win.
34:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: You just have to be on the one where he's available.
34:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: Right?
34:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: You got to get the good Kawhi, not the bad Kawhi, not the guy who takes off two or three weeks, nobody knows where he is.
34:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's in some sort of undisclosed location or whatever the case may be.
34:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: That can't be where he need where he does in Toronto.
34:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: He can't be the same dude that he was when he was what with the Los Angeles Clippers, whatsoever.
34:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, is he gonna get 65 games or is he gonna play 40?
34:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now you would say with the help that he got with the Toronto Raptors, he'll probably play close to 65.
34:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think when you have Scottie Barnes, who is looking like a guy who is gonna take another step.
35:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think last year showed us something.
35:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he scored less points last year at 18.1 from his prior year, which was 19.3, but everything else went up.
35:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: His field goal percentage went up, he went from 44.6 to 50.7, his true shooting went up, he went from 57.7 to yeah, he went he went from 52.3 to 57.7, so all these numbers are up.
35:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, he had a win share percentage of uh 0.14, that's up from 0.0878, and his box plus minus went from he basically switched numbers around.
35:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: He went from 2.4 positive to 4.2.
35:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: We love Scottie Barnes, we love how he plays.
35:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is um a guy that can facilitate, be a connector piece, and now he has a guy that can really be dynamic in the scoring department that he can connect to to go along with the Emmanuel Quicklys and the uh Colin Murray Boyles of the world.
36:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I like what they have here in Toronto.
36:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he would he play 80 games, he was an all-star, he was fifth in defensive player of the year, and obviously he made uh second team all defensive team.
36:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, here's the rub.
36:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's still a abysmal shooter from three, he's only 30.4 percent, but with Kawhi next to him, maybe a little little less pressure, maybe he can take one less three a game, you know, on average, maybe that'll help him with his average of shooting the three.
37:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: And also, again, he might not be called upon to shoot as many threes with Kawhi there and with Emmanuel quickly healthy.
37:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, our guy that we absolutely love, and the person that I think might actually get pinched in this situation is Colin Murray Boyles.
37:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, this dude has the chance and the opportunity to be a breakout candidate.
37:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: He only played in 57 um games last year for the Toronto Raptors, but I don't even want to talk about those.
37:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: I want to talk about the playoff games that my man played.
37:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: The 14.4 points a game, the 6.4 rebounds, the uh 65.6% field goal percentage, the true shooting percentage of 68.5, and the ungodly positive box plus minus of 5.6.
38:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's incredible for a rookie.
38:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: And he we he did that in the playoffs, so all his numbers went expeditiously up in the playoffs from the regular season.
38:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: This man was not scared of the moment whatsoever.
38:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: He just he thrived in the environment.
38:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: He was like, shit, this is like March Madness.
38:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: But if we don't win a game, we'll be able to go back and play another one in a couple days.
38:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cool.
38:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Let me go out here and get some rebounds, let me go out here and get some points, you know what I'm saying?
38:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: Play some some stud defense and just be that guy.
38:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, things to survive playoff basketball.
38:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: When you shooting 60 62% from your two situation, and your offensive rebound rate is uh 12 12% on on the dot, and your block rate is 4.1, and you have a defensive box plus minus of positive 1.5 as a rookie, you're doing some things.
39:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: I appreciate your effort, and I appreciate you just absolutely flourishing in the moment.
39:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: CMB is about that life.
39:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Let's just call it what it is.
39:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, things to work on, right?
39:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: You're a rookie, always things to work on 34% on a volume of less than one shot per game.
39:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: So 17 of 50 over the season, our math says, and I'm just saying oh for three in the playoffs.
39:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not great.
39:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: So what are you gonna do with this kid?
39:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: He gets it in, and I think he's just gonna get better.
39:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think this is just one step in the right direction.
40:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: That playoff appearance really showed me a lot in what this kid is and what this kid is trying to do.
40:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: The other guy that we need to talk about in earnest is Emmanuel Quickly.
40:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: He played in 70 games last year.
40:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: We need him to play the type of basketball that he is known to play.
40:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what I'm saying?
40:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: And what I mean by that is that we need you to do the exact same thing last year.
40:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: The 16 and a half points a game, the six assists a game, all shooting 37.5% from three on damn near seven tries.
40:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: We need all of that from you.
40:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: The turnover rate, 9.3%, not bad.
40:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: You had career highs games as a rafter.
40:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: I love that.
40:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because you only played in 38 and 33 the last two.
40:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: You're a good shot creator, but you're not a great shot creator.
40:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I think with Scottie Barnes being there and the gravity that Kawhi Leonard causes, you might be able to get better shots than you did in the last couple years, anyway.
41:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: And they also got a rookie out of Santa Clara, 19th in the draft.
41:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: His name is Alan Graves.
41:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: He is a kind of a jack of all trades.
41:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is another guy who's long, long, he's a long wing, he's like six foot eight, six foot nine.
41:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: Defensive mentality, uh, provides a little scoring, provides a little offensive creation, gets on the boards pretty well.
41:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is a solid bench piece.
41:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: What the Raptors don't have is a lot of big help.
41:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: And this is where I will start to talk about what they might have and what they might be doing.
41:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: If they go over, that means Kawhi plays 65 games, okay, in around 32 minutes.
42:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: Holds uh the shoot his shooting efficiency as a starter.
42:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't know if he's gonna start personally.
42:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think he's gonna be coming off the bench.
42:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: Yakka Cardo needs to stay healthy.
42:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: He only played in 46 games last year, and when he was on the court, he had a 70% field goal percentage.
42:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: When he obviously he can't help you when he's off the court.
42:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, for them not to hit their total, uh Kawhi Leonard misses 25 plus games.
42:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: The youth collision slows the transition offense that scored 18.9 fast break points last year.
42:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: Quickly's injuries aren't resolved.
42:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what I'm saying?
42:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, what do the fans need to focus on?
42:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: Kawhi staying healthy, Scotty Barnes still being the dude that he is, a walking triple double as soon as he wakes up in the morning.
43:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: And what does Colin Murray Boyles do for Encore?
43:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't know.
43:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: I can't wait to find out.
43:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now I will say this.
43:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: They got some picks, so if there was something they needed, they can go out and get it, and they have enough like um what I call like transition contracts where they can go out and and make a deal for a piece if they need one down the road.
43:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: I like that.
43:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now I think the Raptors will get over their forty five and a half win total that uh FanDuel has for them.
43:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think they'll get to forty seven wins personally.
43:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I think what they're gonna look like in the playoffs is gonna be I want to see who they're matched up against.
43:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cause they might cause some chaos in the playoffs.
43:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I'm not really like And people are sitting there going, oh, 47 wins is crazy for a team.
44:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know how stacked the East is, right?
44:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Like, I don't think there's going to be a team in the East that wins 60 games or even close to it.
44:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think the team that is going to be like with the number one record in the East probably has at the most 56 wins.
44:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: And then it kind of goes down from there.
44:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we'll see how it all goes.
44:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I like Toronto.
44:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: I like the direction they're headed.
44:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um Kawhi Leonard was a swing, but it didn't really hurt them in the long run, like in the like in the next three to four years as far as draft picks are concerned.
44:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I'm good with what they did.
44:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think they got him for a song.
44:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: They signed him up for a couple more years.
44:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: So now he's three years left there.
44:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: And let's see what they do.
44:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: Moving on to a team that I know everybody wants to talk about, and that is the Philadelphia 76ers.
45:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: Best five on paper, the hardest to bet on the board.
45:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Boy, I tell you.
45:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, what has made Philly so dynamic?
45:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Well, first of all, they traded Paul George and Pigs for Jalen Brown.
45:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: And then they followed it up with signing LeBron James to basically a vet minimal contract.
45:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: And now my man is taking helicopters from Philadelphia to New York City.
45:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because you know he wasn't staying in Philly, right?
45:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: But now you look at the 76ers lineup, and it is just star-studded.
45:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: You got Joel Embiid at the center, you got LeBron James, you got Jalen Brown, you got Tyrese Maxie, and you got VJ Edgecomb.
45:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: Poor VJ Edgecomb.
45:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh, I'm gonna get the ball next year.
45:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm gonna go ahead and score crazy.
45:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm just gonna be out here doing stuff.
46:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: I almost averaged like seven 17 points or what 18 points a game last year.
46:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know, I dunked on people, I look great.
46:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh, hey, VJ, just so you know, we just traded for LeBron and Jalen Brown.
46:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Or actually, we traded for Jalen Brown and signed LeBron James.
46:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we're gonna need you to go ahead and stand in this corner and shoot some threes.
46:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: And take less shots than you did last year because we're gonna have to accommodate these dudes that we just brought in.
46:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: So our guys' development is stymie.
46:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't like that.
46:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: I do not like that, but I understand it because talent is talent.
46:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: So what did Philadelphia do last year?
46:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: They were 45 and 37 last year.
46:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: They beat Boston in seven games.
46:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh in B, played like an absolute animal, and then couldn't back it up with in the next round.
47:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: He just ran out of gas.
47:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: He was tired, and I think he was a little bit injured again.
47:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: They're over under this year.
47:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's 50.5.
47:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll see if they get there.
47:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Actually, is it 50.5?
47:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: Yeah.
47:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I think that's gonna be a hard call.
47:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: But they are like the Avengers, man.
47:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: They assembled all of them.
47:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's now who's gonna play 60 plus games?
47:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's you know, that's beyond my pay grade.
47:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't know that.
47:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: But this team is completely changed over.
47:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: You got Jalen Brown, like we said, LeBron James, they got KCP out of Memphis.
47:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: They got Anthony Simons.
47:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: Hakordy got hurt, so he would he was a new guy also on this team.
47:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: They got Dean Wade.
47:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh, and they also got they drafted in the uh first round last year with the 22nd overall pick.
48:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: LeBaron Phylon Jr.
48:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, LeBron Phyllon Jr.
48:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: is like 6'4, 6'5.
48:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's real thin.
48:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think he's like 175 pounds.
48:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I don't expect a lot from him this year, but I really don't expect a lot from him this year because of what the roster looked like.
48:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we'll see how that goes.
48:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, out was Paul George, Andre Drummond, Kyle Lowry, Quentin Grimes, and Cooley uh Kelly O'bre Jr.
48:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: The tsunami poppy is in Indiana.
48:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: I wish they I wish they would have been able to keep Kelly O'bre Jr.
48:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: That would have been a nice little bench piece, you know, get you 13 to 15 points a game, you know, just going out and doing things.
48:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not having that is going to be a bummer.
49:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: What do they have as far as picks are concerned?
49:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now Philly has their own 2027 pick, 29, 30, 32, and 33.
49:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: So they are still good as far as picks are concerned after the Jalen Brown trade.
49:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: So it's not like they're hurting, it's not like they just strip the team down to the studs to get him.
49:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the other guy they have to worry about is again, we we're gonna sound like a broken record.
49:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: How many games are you getting out of Joel and B?
49:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because when he plays, obviously, it's great.
49:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: Almost 27 points a game.
49:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: His true shooting percentage is 60.5.
49:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: It would be more, but he shoots a bunch of threes.
49:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: His usage is 33.5.
49:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's gonna have to change.
49:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: He was a uh 4.9 box plus minus, but that was only in 38 games.
50:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's it's tough.
50:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: The last couple years his box plus minus has gone from like MVP type of box plus minus to regular dude box plus minus.
50:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, a couple years about four years ago, you were looking at nine point two, three years ago.
50:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: You were looking at eleven point six, uh two years ago was three point five.
50:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now last year he did go up a little bit to four point nine.
50:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll see how that goes.
50:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: But it's not the same guy that he was, it's just not his defensive rebound rate has gone from 28.8% to 20.
50:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: His free throw rate has also dipped by 10%, uh 58.1% to down to 48.1%, so 10 on the notes, and his block rate has gone down by one full percentage, which is 4.6 to 3.6 last year.
51:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: All this has to do with the injuries, it has to do with the the lower limb injuries and what have you.
51:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he's in way better shape, um, a lot thinner than he was.
51:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: We just hope that his his knees and his legs can stabilize him through this next upcoming season.
51:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: All there is about it at this point.
51:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, our guy has only played in 162 of the possible 328 over the last four years, that's 49%.
51:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, over the last three seasons, he played in 96.
51:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: So you play 82 games, so that's 246.
51:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: And you play 96 of a possible 246.
51:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: And he's only played in 45 of the possible 94 playoff games.
52:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is crazy, man.
52:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: This year is gonna be like Phil Collins in the air tonight, man.
52:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cause you got the squad.
52:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is everybody's looked at your squad and said, This is tough.
52:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, obviously, LeBron James is gonna have to change his ways a little bit.
52:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: But after watching the preseason game last night, I was I'm I'm a little worried.
52:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not about LeBron and what he's gonna do.
52:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's the style of play that I'm worried about.
52:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: And I'll get to that uh towards the end of what our prediction is for the Philadelphia 76ers.
52:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: What you're getting out of LeBron James, first of all, this is year fucking 24.
52:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: Okay, this is we're we're getting into ridiculous numbers now.
52:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Last year, my man put up 21 points a game, six points, 6.1 rebounds, 7.2 assists in 60 games.
53:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: He played 33.2 minutes.
53:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: True shooting percentage, damn near 60%.
53:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: 59.4, he had a PR of 20.8, and he had a box plus or minus of positive 3.5.
53:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: It is a far cry from the normal MVP numbers that we used to see out of LeBron probably when he was in his mid-30s.
53:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: So think about that.
53:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: But he doesn't need to be an MVP candidate here.
53:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what you need to be here?
53:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: You need to be a connecting piece, you need to play off ball a little bit, you need to allow Terry uh Tyrese Maxie and others to get on ball, and you know, you be a cutter, you be that guy who cuts into the lane now.
53:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: If you see somebody doing something cool like on the baseline, or also if you see a wide open three-point shooter, go ahead and kick it out to him.
54:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: This should be the best second side initiator in the game.
54:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: But here's the thing.
54:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: If you notice last year, now a lot of this had to do with the Luka Doncic injury and the Austin Reeves injury as well.
54:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: But LeBron played a primary on-ball role for that team.
54:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'll say that again.
54:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: He played a primary on-ball role on the Lakers.
54:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: The Lakers had Luka Doncic.
54:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what I'm saying?
54:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: Like, they had to stagger their minutes, you know, like they would start, right?
54:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: And then they would stagger their minutes because you couldn't have both of them with the ball.
54:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: And listen, I'm not saying that Maxie is the wizard that Luka Doncic is.
55:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: I am just saying that those guys like Tyrese Maxie and VJ Edgecombe and Jalen Brown, they like to play with pace.
55:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: And I know that my guy at 42 does not want to play with pace.
55:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: Doesn't want no does not want to do that.
55:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: So are we gonna get the half-court grinded out style where LeBron is dissecting the other team or whatever the case may be?
55:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Maybe.
55:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the numbers say that that it still works.
55:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: It still works.
55:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: But the decline is real.
55:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's gone from uh in the last four years, he's gone from a PR of 23.9 to 20.8.
55:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: The box plus minus was 6.5 four years ago, and obviously, you know what we saw last year is 3.5.
55:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: So the points have gone from almost 29 points to just over 21 to uh just under 21.
56:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: His three-point shooting is still not great, it's 31%.
56:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: He shot a abysmal 73.7% from the free throw line, which is terrible.
56:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the games played, you know, four years ago, 55, 3 years ago, 71, 72 years ago, and 60 last year.
56:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: Possible 250 256 games out of possible 328, that's 78%.
56:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: What do you expect from somebody who turns 42 on December 30th?
56:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: Why this matters is because Brown is an isolation first player.
56:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: MV is a post scorer, LeBron is a passer who connects them.
56:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we're gonna see a lot of him on ball.
56:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: When a uh anonymous scout said this, he says watch them for two decades, says the question isn't the legs, it's whether he'll take a smaller role in get in games in the games that do don't matter.
57:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know, that was the thing last year.
57:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: They wanted LeBron to play like around 30 minutes.
57:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now you say, oh, well, he only played like 33 and a half, but those minutes add up, especially on somebody who on his legs, on his knees, at the age of 42, father time will catch up to everybody.
57:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, LeBron has been able to stay off Father Time for a long period of time now, so hey, we will see.
57:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the big piece that they got this year was Jalen Brown.
57:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: Philadelphia went crazy, got Jalen Brown for a song personally, I think.
57:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: And what did they get?
57:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's coming off a career year.
57:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: This dude averaged 28.7 points a game.
58:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: He played in 71 games.
58:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know, his box plus or minus was 3.3.
58:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll get into that momentarily.
58:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh true shooting percentage was 57.3%.
58:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: His free throw attempts went way up.
58:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: He went from 5.1 to 7.5.
58:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um 34.7% from three on almost six tries.
58:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: And, you know, he is a bona fide bucket getter.
58:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: But the other bucket getter on this team that is is the resident bucket getter is Tyrese Maxie, who also averaged 28.3 points a game.
58:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: 6.6 assists as well.
58:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I'm looking at this dude and I'm hoping that he still gets to hold on to the ball.
58:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, a little ways down the road, we talked about uh VJ Edgecombe and what his development pathway is gonna be.
59:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Remember, he averaged 16 points a game last year.
59:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: He was third in rookie of the year voting.
59:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, I don't know how this is gonna work, but we had Brown with a usage rate of 36%, we had MB with a usage rate of 30 and 30 33 and a half, maxi with a usage rate of 29.4, LeBron with a 27.2, and Edgecomb with a 20.
59:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what that adds up to?
59:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: 146.4.
59:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: You can only have 100.
59:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: You can only have 100.
59:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: Somebody's gonna have to sacrifice.
59:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is VJ Edgecomb gonna have to sacrifice?
59:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: That sucks.
59:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: We get why.
59:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: We understand why why that is right?
59:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Jalen Brown is on this team, LeBron James is on this team.
1:00:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: How much you get out of Joel and B, that's that's we'll see.
1:00:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: But sacrifice is going to have to be made all over this lineup.
1:00:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now their bench is not as good as last year, but they do have one absolute firecracker off the bench, and that is Anthony Simons.
1:00:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Anthony Simons in uh 49 games last year, 14.2 points a game.
1:00:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: He almost shot 40% from three.
1:00:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I love that.
1:00:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: Carwell Coe is old.
1:00:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not LeBron James old, but old for a regular basketball player.
1:00:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's 33, and the numbers haven't been great lately.
1:00:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: The who's backing up MB, well, it's not gonna be Ariel Hawk Party, because he tore his ACL.
1:00:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: MB has a damn bona out of UCLA.
1:01:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's our guy.
1:01:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: A clap all day, and Dominique Burrow.
1:01:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we will see what they do.
1:01:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, does Liberian Feinline play a uh intrical role off the bench as a rookie?
1:01:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: That would be really interesting to see.
1:01:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is remember I told you I want I wish they would have been able to retain Kelly Ubre Jr.
1:01:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is why the bench is terrible.
1:01:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: But when you have five legitimate stars on your starting roster, you think about it, man.
1:01:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't know how you stagger these minutes, but you got Embiid, LeBron, Jalen Brown, Tyrese Maxi, and VJ Edgeb.
1:01:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: Does VJ Edge Comb play with the bench a lot?
1:01:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: Who else plays with the bench a lot?
1:01:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is that gonna be the LeBron situation?
1:01:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: They're gonna have the Nick Nurse has a lot of work to do.
1:02:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, what allows the 76ers to go over their win total?
1:02:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Obviously, in B's health, he has to play over 55 games.
1:02:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: LeBron has to be at 33 minutes, if not a little bit lower.
1:02:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I would think that he also has to play 60 plus games for them to go over their win total.
1:02:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: Brown's isolation volume drops and maxi keeps his as keeps his games at 70.
1:02:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: And y'all learn how to share the sugar.
1:02:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: Share the ball in Philadelphia.
1:02:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: The reason why the Philadelphia 76ers won't hit their mark of the win total is this.
1:02:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: Obviously, MV doesn't play enough games, they never figure out the usage the whole season.
1:02:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know, and I'm gonna tell you that's gonna be a a struggle.
1:03:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know, you're gonna have stretches where you're winning games and it looks great and everything like that, but I'm gonna tell you right now, you got to have guys buy into whatever the system is gonna be, or whatever the shot distribution is going to be.
1:03:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because Maxi had green light all day long last year, and now you're telling him, Oh, yeah, we need you to bottle that up.
1:03:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: That can be very difficult for a player.
1:03:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: What the fans need to focus on, cross your fingers.
1:03:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cross your fingers that MV plays a lot of games.
1:03:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cross it.
1:03:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now what helps you out is that you got a clethera picks.
1:03:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: You still got your own 2027 first round pick, 2029, 2030, 2032, and 2033.
1:04:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: Boston got your pick in 2031.
1:04:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, your call is the 50 and a half wins.
1:04:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think talent wins out.
1:04:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think you win fifty-two games.
1:04:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm putting a lot on MV staying healthy, and I should I should not bet that MV will stay healthy.
1:04:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the other question is this will Nick Nurse pick a style and be married to it, or be married to that clotting style that M B and LeBron will prefer them to play?
1:04:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: And here is a question for you.
1:04:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: Philadelphia 76ers fans.
1:04:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: Hit me up on on uh X at Frontrunner PC.
1:04:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is Maxie not MB the most important player on the 76ers and how he goes, so go the 76ers?
1:05:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's why I'm saying that you guys are gonna go over.
1:05:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Next up on the docket is our guys from the Celtics.
1:05:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: And the Celtics have a lot, a lot of explaining to do.
1:05:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Boston traded away Jalen Brown.
1:05:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh, by the way, seventh best player according to analytics.
1:05:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: To the Philadelphia 76ers, obviously, for Paul George.
1:05:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: They sign Mitchell Robinson and Mike Conley, who is old as dirt.
1:05:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um, they get back Jason Tatum uh from the Achilles tier.
1:05:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: Remember, he had a 16 game cameo last year uh and missed a couple of the pre the uh postseason games as far as that's concerned.
1:05:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he was able to spend a full offseason working on skill work rather than rehabbing, which is great.
1:06:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the Celtics won fifty-six games last year, but Pandu was saying forty-nine.
1:06:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Forty-nine and a half for the Celtics.
1:06:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: What say you?
1:06:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: They won fifty-six last year.
1:06:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're not gonna talk about the postseason.
1:06:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because we just talked about with the 76ers.
1:06:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: Let's get into this team, shall we?
1:06:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um both recent postseasons have ended in losses to lower seeds, by the way.
1:06:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's a first and foremost thing.
1:06:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: And being number six in the in the east, down one, we'll see.
1:06:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: This is last the power rankings that came out from the athletic.
1:06:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: If you want to know, it wasn't personal, it was strictly business about Jalen Brown.
1:06:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: And when I say that, it's gonna make Boston Celtics fans mad.
1:07:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: It was business.
1:07:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: You're 100% right, it was.
1:07:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: Boston moved on from a 71-game uh player in Brown, their best scorer, who almost averaged 29 points a game, to an often injured 36-year-old.
1:07:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: And I'm telling you, that sell job came straight from Bill Chisholm himself and his desk.
1:07:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: Brad Stevens just needs to execute the play the playbook and the cost-cutting vision that Chisholm has for him.
1:07:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: And the analytics group needs to back it up, uh, back that up the narrative up with numbers.
1:07:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm just point blank simple.
1:07:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: They weren't going to continue to have a team that where you have Tatum and Brown on it, basically taking up like a hundred and thirty million dollars of the cap.
1:08:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: That was not gonna happen.
1:08:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: Remember, Brown was due for extension.
1:08:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: They were like, nah, we're not paying that.
1:08:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're cool.
1:08:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: We need to get off this dude real quick.
1:08:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: And they've been trying to sell that Paul George is a better fit with Tatum than Jalen Brown.
1:08:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: Who helped them win a title?
1:08:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: By the way, not only helped them win a title, he was the Eastern Conference Finals MVP and then also the NBA finals MVP.
1:08:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: Okay?
1:08:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're not talking about some scrub, dude.
1:08:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're talking about argument for argument's sake, the second best player on the on the Celtics.
1:08:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't care what your analytics department says, or whatever independent number person you got that off of.
1:09:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now they did draft kind of interesting.
1:09:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: Chris Sinick Jr.
1:09:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: from Houston was their 27th pick overall, and then they picked up Dylan Mitchell at the 40th pick.
1:09:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: What's gone from the Boston Celtics?
1:09:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: A bunch of coins.
1:09:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: Jalen Brown is gone.
1:09:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: We told you what he averaged.
1:09:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: They have Rusovic on that team.
1:09:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: And I'm not saying that you should have kept him.
1:09:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know, I don't know if you could have afforded the price tag, but guess what?
1:09:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's gone.
1:09:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: And Anthony Simons is also in Philadelphia.
1:09:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Top five offense and defense for four straight seasons are the Boston Celtics.
1:09:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is that gonna continue?
1:10:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Their offense was 126.6 per 100% uh what per what per 100 possessions, best in three years.
1:10:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, here's the rub, and I don't know if this gets any better with the acquisitions they made.
1:10:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Only 41% of shots in the paint drive into the paint on this roster right now.
1:10:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's lasting the league for the third straight year.
1:10:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: We know that Missoula likes to get up a bunch of po get a butt bunch of three-point shots.
1:10:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: We know that, but they need to diversify this offense, and they need to do something with this as soon as possible.
1:10:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: And also, can I ask a quick question?
1:10:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: Are we expecting Mitchell Robinson to play like 32 minutes a game now?
1:10:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we're gonna have a hacker Robinson in in Boston.
1:11:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Also, not the most durable dude on the face of the planet either.
1:11:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, just got some questions there.
1:11:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: Just questions all over the board.
1:11:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: You traded Jalen Brown, who had his best season, maybe because he said something like, I know I played in the championship game or whatever, Casey McGee, but last year was my most satisfying season that I've had.
1:11:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: A lot of people kind of turn their eye up to that one, they gave him a little side eye, thinking like you won a championship with Jason Tato, and you're telling us last seat season was the best season for you.
1:11:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's disrespectful to the to the fan base.
1:11:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: But hey man, that dude was looking to to to spread his wings a little bit.
1:11:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: My whole thing is that could you have gotten better if you would have waited.
1:11:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: Just asking.
1:12:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh, and by the way, you shift them off to a team that you're gonna see four times a year.
1:12:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: This doesn't none of this sounds good.
1:12:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: And I'm sorry, Boston.
1:12:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm trying to throw some rainbows in there somewhere, but the moves are to be critiqued as such because they look suspect.
1:12:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: They look like we just tried to tear down payroll.
1:12:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's what it looked like.
1:12:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: And anybody telling you differently is is trying to sell you uh guerrilla goods that's not worth a damn.
1:12:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: Just being honest.
1:12:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the good thing about this is that they have their own picks of 2027, 2030, and 2033.
1:12:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Um Philadelphia owns their 2031 pick.
1:13:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh, they got their oh, they got Philadelphia's pick from 2031.
1:13:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh, they have a conditional situation with Portland and Washington in 2029.
1:13:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: That sucks.
1:13:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: And the 2032 pick is frozen because of the salary cap.
1:13:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not great.
1:13:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, Jason Tatum is gonna be back.
1:13:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's maybe he'd be fully back.
1:13:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: I will not look at the numbers last year and go, oh, this is this is what he is, what he is.
1:13:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's not because what he is is like a 27 point per game, dude.
1:13:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: He might need to go up from that personally.
1:13:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's a better rebounder of the ball than the Jalen Brown.
1:13:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: I never thought like you should trade Tatum or you know, trade Tatum instead of Jalen Brown.
1:13:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think you should have tried to find a way to keep them together.
1:13:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: Maybe you pare down the payroll somewhere else.
1:14:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: They wanted more flexibility down the road.
1:14:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: I don't know.
1:14:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll see how this all works.
1:14:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: But right now, not great.
1:14:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not great whatsoever.
1:14:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I think right now, and this is what Paul George numbers look like, by the way.
1:14:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: He only played 37 games last year, 17.3 points a game, so you lost 11 points there, 5.3 rebounds, 3.6 assists.
1:14:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: He did shoot 39.2% from 3 on 7 tries.
1:14:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: His uh true shooting percentage was uh 57%, and his box plus minus was 1.7.
1:14:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now uh he couple years ago he only played 41 games, so he's played in the last four years 56, 74, 41, and 37 games.
1:14:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not great, not great, not great.
1:15:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: And Derek White needs to have a bounce back year, by the way, just as a FY.
1:15:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's the other guy that we need to talk about real quick.
1:15:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: He played 77 games last year.
1:15:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's great.
1:15:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: He is the heart, he's one of the heart and soul dudes on this team, understandably.
1:15:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Everybody loves Derek White.
1:15:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: Here's the thing the three-point shot, the 32.37% is not gonna cut it.
1:15:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Especially on eight eight point three tries.
1:15:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: The true shooting percentage is down to 52.9.
1:15:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: It was 60 point, it was 60.6 at one point.
1:15:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's a 77 point drop, man.
1:15:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: His two his uh two-point field goal percentage went from 59.3 to 48.7.
1:15:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, here's um the other things that he has.
1:15:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's still one of the best defenders in the league.
1:16:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: He still has an incredible block rate for somebody who block shots as a guard, 3.8, which is and he averaged 1.3 blocks a game, which is crazy.
1:16:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's 32 years of age at this point, and there was somebody I talked to, and they said, Don't worry about the three-point shot.
1:16:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's the two-point drop that is worth watching.
1:16:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's the thing that you need to concentrate on.
1:16:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: I was like, oh, okay, yeah.
1:16:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: So that's when we dug into the numbers and we saw what he shot last year.
1:16:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: It was terrible.
1:16:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, Mitchell Robertson is gonna be an awesome offensive rebounder.
1:16:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: We saw him do it for the Knicks, but he does not play a lot of minutes.
1:16:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: He didn't play a lot of minutes when he was in New York, and I'm trying to wrap my head around that we're just going to for a guy who's often injured, we're just gonna give this dude like 30 minutes a game, and that's just gonna be okay.
1:17:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what I'm saying?
1:17:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's just gonna be alright.
1:17:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: He only shoots 40% from the free throw line, by the way.
1:17:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: So Hacker Robinson will come to the to the Celtics.
1:17:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, they have depth on the front court, they have Demais Kita, who was a standout last year.
1:17:22
FROC Host Vince Carter: So basically, they have like a three-headed monster at the center position, along with Luka Garza, and also they got the kid Chris Sanak Jr.
1:17:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: So that's good.
1:17:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, what is the record for the Celtics?
1:17:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'll tell you right now.
1:17:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: If Tatum plays over 60 games and plays 30 34 34 minutes, if White gets his three-point shooting up to at least league average, but his twos come up as well?
1:17:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is Robinson gonna play 55 plus games?
1:17:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: Does that fix the paint?
1:17:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is that center by committee gonna work?
1:18:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: Does George play the amount of games that he usually plays, or is he gonna get up to close to the amount that you played to get uh awards?
1:18:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: These are all questions that I have.
1:18:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: The fans need to focus on their owner.
1:18:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Because you know what is important to you guys, it's gonna be the trade deadline this year.
1:18:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is there more pairing to come?
1:18:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is Derek is Derek White on his way out?
1:18:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: What's the situation?
1:18:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cause remember, um, our guy Paul Jordan makes a ton of money too.
1:18:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's not like you got off this a crazy amount of money.
1:18:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: You just didn't have to pay the extension for Jalen Brown, which you did not want to do.
1:18:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: So your boy has told you like he's not trying to cost cut, but that's exactly what Bill Chisholm has done.
1:19:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: Our call is this I don't think they're gonna get to the over 51.
1:19:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think they're gonna hit 50.
1:19:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think they're gonna be competitive, I think they're gonna win 50 games, but they're going under.
1:19:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the next team that we need to worry about is the New York Knicks, the defending reigning champions of the NBA.
1:19:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, it's all good for the Knicks, right?
1:19:39
FROC Host Vince Carter: The Knicks were 53-29 last year, but they were incredible during the playoffs.
1:19:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: They were 16-3.
1:19:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: They kept on coming back on San Antonio just like it was crazy.
1:19:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: It was so crazy.
1:19:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, what do they do for Encore after they won 53 games?
1:20:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: Well, Mitchell Robinson is gone.
1:20:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: They replaced him with Andre Drummond, which is kind of like a supposedly a close facsimile as far as rebounding is concerned.
1:20:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: Their win total is 52.5.
1:20:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, what makes this team so good and looking to uh repeat?
1:20:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: Well, everybody's back except for Mitchell Robson, so you know you got that.
1:20:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: You don't have to worry there.
1:20:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: You do have a couple things that you do need to worry about, like the extension for Carl Anthony Towns, which they down the front office is saying that we're gonna table these talks for a little bit.
1:20:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not feeling that whatsoever.
1:20:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: Who else was it?
1:20:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: McBride as well.
1:20:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not feeling that.
1:20:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: But hey, it's a Kumbaya season.
1:21:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: The Knicks are the world champions, they're the defending world champions, so their team looks still formidable, still formidable.
1:21:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: They're gonna sit there and walk into this season with Jalen Brunson now with a championship under his belt.
1:21:19
FROC Host Vince Carter: Uh Jalen Brunson had a phenomenal season again last year, 26 points a game, almost seven assists, three rebounds.
1:21:27
FROC Host Vince Carter: He said true shooting percentage um was uh 58% or point five eight.
1:21:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh he had a box class minus three point one.
1:21:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: He is three point percentage has gone down over the last two or three years.
1:21:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: He was from 40% down to three point three six three thirty-six point nine.
1:21:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he's taking more shots, obviously.
1:21:59
FROC Host Vince Carter: His free throw rate has kind of gone down as well.
1:22:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's gone from uh point three seven three to uh two eight five, which is crazy.
1:22:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: Gonna have to get those back up.
1:22:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's pretty damn durable, he plays in a lot of games.
1:22:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: He played at 74 last year, a couple years ago, 65.
1:22:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: So he's really about right there.
1:22:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the one weak number with him is his defensive box plus or minus, but that's why they built the team around him.
1:22:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's why you got OG Ananobi.
1:22:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's why you got Mikhail Bridges and in the crew.
1:22:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: The real key is the I don't even know if you want to call it growth, but the maturity level that Carl Anthony Town showed during the playoffs.
1:22:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: I wonder if that's something that he could do for an 82-game season.
1:22:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, the numbers are always good.
1:22:52
FROC Host Vince Carter: 20 points a game, almost 12 rebounds a game, which is stellar.
1:22:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: Played in 75 games.
1:22:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: His true shooting percentage was uh uh 619, uh he had a PR of 22, his win shares per 48 was one was point one nine seven.
1:23:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I love that, and then he had a uh total rebound rate of twenty-one point four, the defensive rebound percentage was thirty one point three or thirty-one point seven.
1:23:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm sorry, and the offensive rebound was eleven point two.
1:23:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, you can talk about that, or you want to talk about just how what kind of defense he played in the playoffs?
1:23:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: Cause that dude was a demon.
1:23:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: Not he shot the wall, did all those things.
1:23:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: Don't I'm not pooping the numbers.
1:23:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: What I'm saying is that the silly fouls went away, and he was able to lock in on his defense assignment and be able to really complete his defense assignments last year, and I thought that was critical to what they were trying to do.
1:24:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, OG Ananobi will always be known as the dude who tipped the ball in during game four on that incredible comeback that they had no business coming back from.
1:24:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: The miracle in the garden, whatever you want to call it, when you have like Hollywood types or whatever case may be, like Ben Stiller and Tracy Morgan and all these dudes just roaming around the garden like they're in a fog of euphoria.
1:24:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: Man, it's an incredible, it's an incredible night to be alive.
1:24:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: People will talk about that night for a long period of time in New York City.
1:24:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, when you look at OG Ananobi's numbers during the regular season, they look quite pedestrian.
1:24:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: He averaged 16.7 points a game, 5.2 rebounds, he played in 67 games, right?
1:25:05
FROC Host Vince Carter: 33 minutes.
1:25:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now he shot the ball very well at 38.6% from three on six attempts.
1:25:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: His true shooting percentage was 0.620, which is great.
1:25:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: His PR was five was 15.8, and his win share sport per 48 was.135.
1:25:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: His box plus minus wasn't awesome.
1:25:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: But here's the thing.
1:25:32
FROC Host Vince Carter: The tip is the only thing that matters.
1:25:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: That dude played incredible defense, he was super clutch during the playoffs, he hit shots, he was around the ball all the time.
1:25:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: He had a um effective field goal percentage in the playoffs of 67.2%.
1:26:00
FROC Host Vince Carter: It's the highest in playoff history for somebody who had a hundred and fifty plus attempts.
1:26:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: Tell me that you're not clutch.
1:26:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: Dude was awesome.
1:26:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: We love OG and Anobi on this podcast.
1:26:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now the Robinson to Drummond situation, you can sit here and say, hmm, how's that gonna work out?
1:26:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: Robinson now in Boston.
1:26:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: He gave him 60 games last year, 19 minutes per game, 5.7 points and 8.8 reruns.
1:26:38
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, drumming, 19.5 minutes a game, 6.4 points and 8.4 rebounds.
1:26:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm telling you, he was just the Robinson replacement.
1:26:50
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's all.
1:26:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: I mean, you couldn't have done better than that.
1:26:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what I'm saying?
1:26:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, do they still have the other cast of characters like Mikhail Bridges?
1:27:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: 100% Miles McBride still here, yep.
1:27:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's still gonna be DM fools up.
1:27:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: We also got our guy, Grant Theft Alvarado, you know what I'm saying?
1:27:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's gonna be bringing just the Moxie and the pressure on the ball.
1:27:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, does Mohammed Diora play a more significant role?
1:27:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: How about their rookie Sergio De La Rea?
1:27:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: We will see how this works out.
1:27:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: But they got a couple guys who I'm looking forward to seeing them again a couple couple minutes on the court, and it's Dioire and uh De LaRea.
1:27:40
FROC Host Vince Carter: A lot of those two kids don't want to see them develop as far as turn, but the Knicks are going for another championship.
1:27:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: So, how do they get there?
1:27:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: Brunson stays steady, towns stay steady, but obviously, towns has the contract uh weighing over him.
1:27:56
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll see how that goes.
1:27:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, with that, we Are they gonna win enough games?
1:28:03
FROC Host Vince Carter: Are they gonna have a championship hangover?
1:28:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: If there was a team not to have one, it's gonna be this next team because who is leader?
1:28:13
FROC Host Vince Carter: Brunson is unflapable, dude.
1:28:16
FROC Host Vince Carter: He's just unflappable.
1:28:20
FROC Host Vince Carter: But fifty-two and a half is a big number.
1:28:25
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I'm gonna tell you right now, the Knicks are going over.
1:28:29
FROC Host Vince Carter: The Knicks are going over their win total.
1:28:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: They're gonna get to 54 games, one, something like that.
1:28:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: They're gonna be the team that's favorite coming out the east again.
1:28:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know?
1:28:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: So and the cover is not bare.
1:28:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: The cover is not bare.
1:28:54
FROC Host Vince Carter: So if they need to make a trade, if something is lacking somewhere, they still have three first round picks that they can deal from.
1:29:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: So we'll see how it all goes.
1:29:06
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I think that the Knicks are gonna be awesome.
1:29:08
FROC Host Vince Carter: I think I don't know if they're gonna repeat.
1:29:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll get to that when we get to like predictions or whatever.
1:29:14
FROC Host Vince Carter: And here's how we do it here at Front Runner Podcast Collective.
1:29:18
FROC Host Vince Carter: Everybody won't tell you what their finals uh situation is gonna be.
1:29:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're telling you who who's gonna get to the playoffs.
1:29:26
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're not gonna necessarily tell you who's gonna get to the finals until guess what?
1:29:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: We get to the playoffs.
1:29:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: And we do it series by series.
1:29:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: Oh, this part the this team's gonna win the series, this team's gonna win the series, and whatever case may be.
1:29:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: And here's why.
1:29:42
FROC Host Vince Carter: So you haven't been with us for the long haul.
1:29:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: Like this is you new for you.
1:29:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's how we do it.
1:29:49
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I do think the Knicks have a really good chance of coming out of the East.
1:29:55
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's what I will tell you.
1:29:57
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, this is a long season, a lot of shit could happen.
1:30:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: Somebody could get injured, somebody could say, if you don't pay me, I'm a pout.
1:30:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: You can s a whole bunch of stuff could happen.
1:30:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: But I like the Knicks, I like the the makeup of the team, I like who their leader is, and what what he's able to block out and what have you.
1:30:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: So I do like their window staying open a little bit longer.
1:30:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: So that is the Atlantic Division.
1:30:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: I want to thank you guys for listening to this podcast.
1:30:34
FROC Host Vince Carter: It did run long, that's okay, because we had a lot of shit that we needed to get to, and it was great.
1:30:41
FROC Host Vince Carter: So the Knicks, best team in the Atlantic division.
1:30:46
FROC Host Vince Carter: Who would have thought that?
1:30:48
FROC Host Vince Carter: I picked them over the Avengers team of the Philadelphia 76ers and the Boston Celtics.
1:30:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: Good luck in their chase of the Knicks.
1:31:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: We'll see how it all works out.
1:31:04
FROC Host Vince Carter: Boston fans, let me know how your cost-cutting measures go over the next three or four months in Boston.
1:31:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: I know you guys gotta be shy-eyeing that new owner right about now.
1:31:21
FROC Host Vince Carter: Is he turning into John Henry?
1:31:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: Just let me know.
1:31:24
FROC Host Vince Carter: Hit me up on Twitter or on X, as you want to put it, at uh frontrunner PC.
1:31:30
FROC Host Vince Carter: That's frontrunner, P as in Paul, C is in Charles.
1:31:35
FROC Host Vince Carter: And also you can hit up the the other social account, which is at socially underscore FRPC.
1:31:43
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know what I'm saying?
1:31:44
FROC Host Vince Carter: Follow us on all the all the social medias.
1:31:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: FRPC events on IG, FRPC Vince on TikTok, FRPC events on so on YouTube, you know what I'm saying?
1:31:58
FROC Host Vince Carter: You know where to find us.
1:32:01
FROC Host Vince Carter: So with that being said, um, share this episode with somebody in your group chat that really needs it.
1:32:10
FROC Host Vince Carter: Pull up on us on social media.
1:32:12
FROC Host Vince Carter: I gave you all the social medias so you know how to get them.
1:32:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: And now before we get up out of here, it's the one thing that I always mean to say to you is this the best part of you is you, not your win-loss record, not your timeline, not your algorithm, just you.
1:32:33
FROC Host Vince Carter: You just the way you are.
1:32:36
FROC Host Vince Carter: We want you to continue to surround yourself with beautiful people who actually give you light, the ones who bring you insight, the joy, and the real accountability that makes you you and makes you productive.
1:32:51
FROC Host Vince Carter: That is your max deal.
1:32:53
FROC Host Vince Carter: Appreciate them out loud and do not wait on a later day that nobody has promised.
1:33:02
FROC Host Vince Carter: If you see something that somebody makes you feel good or whatever, let them know right away, man.
1:33:07
FROC Host Vince Carter: Hey, I really appreciate you.
1:33:09
FROC Host Vince Carter: Thank you so much.
1:33:11
FROC Host Vince Carter: Now, here at FRPC, we want to be your hoop family.
1:33:15
FROC Host Vince Carter: We're gonna be loud sometimes.
1:33:17
FROC Host Vince Carter: We might get some things wrong, but we're gonna come back and we're gonna own that.
1:33:23
FROC Host Vince Carter: But we will always respect your brain because anybody can yell a take.
1:33:28
FROC Host Vince Carter: Very few can actually defend a thought.
1:33:31
FROC Host Vince Carter: Until the next episode, keep your mind sharp, your heart open, and your circle tight.
1:33:37
FROC Host Vince Carter: Protect your peace like cap space and never waste it on bad basketball or bad energy.
1:33:45
FROC Host Vince Carter: I'm Vince, and we're out.
1:33:47
FROC Host Vince Carter: Take care.