Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Market Outlook And Supply Chain Constraints
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. Every business day, we
- 0:06Speaker 1: bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, from Bloomberg experts,
- 0:11Speaker 1: along with Essential market, the Bloomberg Markets Podcast podcast or
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- 0:19Speaker 1: slash podcast. Investments contain risk and may lose value. Consult
- 0:23Speaker 1: your investment professional before investing. Let's bring on our Jersey
- 0:27Speaker 1: chief US interest rate strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence IRA, give
- 0:32Speaker 1: us the latest on what your Federal Reserve plans to
- 0:36Speaker 1: do over the next let's call it six to twelve months. Hey, yeah,
- 0:39Speaker 1: there's uh, the opinions are all over the place. My
- 0:44Speaker 1: view is that the Fed is going to go a
- 0:46Speaker 1: little bit slower than the market is currently pricing, but
- 0:49Speaker 1: also start balance sheet runoff pretty early. So um so
- 0:54Speaker 1: I think that they might announce in May, might even
- 0:56Speaker 1: start in May with their balance sheet reduction because they
- 0:59Speaker 1: really they bought so much and I was actually just
- 1:02Speaker 1: looking at some of my spreadsheets this morning, you're fallen
- 1:05Speaker 1: and that they probably bought about a trillion dollars too
- 1:08Speaker 1: much in terms of their asset buying over the last year,
- 1:11Speaker 1: so they have to get rid of that before they
- 1:13Speaker 1: could really tighten monetary policy very effectively in my view,
- 1:17Speaker 1: just hanging out at home going through my spreadsheets. You know,
- 1:21Speaker 1: that's the life of a chief fixed income strategist. Um.
- 1:25Speaker 1: You know. I read a great piece today. I think
- 1:28Speaker 1: it was Cormack Mullen talking about maybe it's too soon
- 1:32Speaker 1: to call the end of the bond bull market. And
- 1:35Speaker 1: one of the interesting things that he says is, um,
- 1:39Speaker 1: there are already a substantial amount of rate hikes priced
- 1:43Speaker 1: in two treasuries today. If that's the case and the
- 1:47Speaker 1: Fed delivers less than the market expects, um, you know,
- 1:52Speaker 1: that's that's that's bullish for treasuries. What is priced in?
- 1:55Speaker 1: And how do and how do you read what's priced
- 1:57Speaker 1: in for for someone who doesn't know? Yeah, so the
- 2:00Speaker 1: easiest way we actually have a very uh you know,
- 2:03Speaker 1: simple function on the Bloomberg terminal called w I r
- 2:05Speaker 1: P or WARP some people call it um And if
- 2:09Speaker 1: you if you use that, you can see kind of
- 2:11Speaker 1: over the next year how much the markets pricing seven
- 2:15Speaker 1: rate more or left. Yeah, so seven rate hikes uh
- 2:18Speaker 1: by by this time next year, Yeah, exactly. So that's
- 2:22Speaker 1: that's where I think that the market maybe is getting
- 2:24Speaker 1: a little bit too far ahead of itself. We actually
- 2:26Speaker 1: put out a note yesterday suggesting that something more realistic
- 2:30Speaker 1: would be maybe five hikes along with runoff, because I
- 2:33Speaker 1: do think that the Federal Reserve does think about um
- 2:37Speaker 1: the runoff as replacing a hike or two right that
- 2:40Speaker 1: they don't know exactly, you know what the what the
- 2:42Speaker 1: metric is is it, you know, five billion dollars a
- 2:45Speaker 1: runoff equals equals another hike or something like that. That
- 2:48Speaker 1: that's a little bit more of guests work. But importantly,
- 2:51Speaker 1: and and to your point that we are pricing in
- 2:54Speaker 1: more interest rate hikes. The difference between looking at that
- 2:58Speaker 1: long term trend that you mentioned, Matt. You know, yes,
- 3:00Speaker 1: interest rates have been going down basically from present they
- 3:04Speaker 1: the long term bond bull market goes down. But if
- 3:07Speaker 1: you're an an asset manager trying to outperform an index
- 3:10Speaker 1: or you're trying to determine, um, you know, what your
- 3:13Speaker 1: total return is going to be over the next twelve
- 3:16Speaker 1: months of holding an asset, you don't have to think
- 3:18Speaker 1: about that long term you know, kind of two generation trend. Well,
- 3:22Speaker 1: you worry about as the cycle and keep in mind
- 3:24Speaker 1: ten year treasury yields are right now at two percent
- 3:28Speaker 1: a hundred and fifty basis points one and a half
- 3:30Speaker 1: percent higher than where they were a year ago or
- 3:32Speaker 1: after that, after I should say, at the beginning of
- 3:35Speaker 1: one So so you know, that is a pretty substantial
- 3:38Speaker 1: move and and interest rates of you've lost money if
- 3:42Speaker 1: you held the Treasury index right the Bloomberg Treasury indexes
- 3:46Speaker 1: down UM you know, five percent since the beginning of
- 3:49Speaker 1: last year, actually even a little bit more than that.
- 3:51Speaker 1: So that's a non trivial loss in a you know,
- 3:54Speaker 1: in a bond portfolio, which is supposed to be you know,
- 3:57Speaker 1: your ballast compared to the rest of your financial assets.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Is the Federal Reserve gonna hike fifty basis points in March?
- 4:07Speaker 1: I don't think so, UM. I think that they'll they'll
- 4:10Speaker 1: go twenty five. I think it's much more likely that
- 4:13Speaker 1: they go every meeting this year and do go seven
- 4:15Speaker 1: times as opposed to UM as opposed to hike initially
- 4:19Speaker 1: with a fifty basis point move. UM, it is possible
- 4:22Speaker 1: if inflation doesn't roll over the way that a lot
- 4:25Speaker 1: of u UM market participants and economists think that it
- 4:28Speaker 1: will UM that that maybe they'll do a hike a
- 4:31Speaker 1: fifty base point hike sometime later in the cycle. But
- 4:33Speaker 1: I just don't think that they'll start with you you think,
- 4:35Speaker 1: I mean, I'm guessing you think inflation is gonna roll over,
- 4:38Speaker 1: our growth is going to slow down, because otherwise, well
- 4:41Speaker 1: I wouldn't have fed do fifty basis points hike at
- 4:43Speaker 1: every meeting and then not just let the balance sheet
- 4:46Speaker 1: run off, but actually sell assets. You know, if we
- 4:48Speaker 1: if we're stuck at seven and a half percent, people
- 4:51Speaker 1: are freaking out. Yeah. Yeah, So so we won't be
- 4:53Speaker 1: stuck at seven and a half percent, I mean, just
- 4:55Speaker 1: base effects alone. If you're looking at year over year inflation, UM,
- 4:58Speaker 1: inflation will be low or for four or five months
- 5:01Speaker 1: from now. The question is how much lower, right will
- 5:03Speaker 1: we will we be trending from eight percent, which you
- 5:07Speaker 1: know we could get seen a percent prince is not
- 5:08Speaker 1: out of the question, especially with what oil has done recently, UM.
- 5:12Speaker 1: But but if we get an eight percent print, the
- 5:14Speaker 1: question is will we be at at four percent or
- 5:16Speaker 1: five percent at the end of the year, right, So,
- 5:18Speaker 1: so how is that glidepath going to go? Which would
- 5:21Speaker 1: be harsh by the way, that's four or five percent
- 5:23Speaker 1: at the end of the year on a six percent
- 5:26Speaker 1: number from the year before, right, Yeah, But at the
- 5:31Speaker 1: same time, keep in mind we were at one and
- 5:33Speaker 1: a half percent inflation for a decade, right, So that
- 5:35Speaker 1: was good in a way. That was good. Remember what
- 5:38Speaker 1: Reagan said about inflation. Yeah sure, but and yes, this
- 5:42Speaker 1: is this is the question that it has to be
- 5:45Speaker 1: answered before we know what that end game is, right, Like,
- 5:48Speaker 1: is seven hikes going to be? What what it takes. Look,
- 5:52Speaker 1: the bond market right now is telling you there's gonna
- 5:54Speaker 1: be a recession next year. Let me say that again.
- 5:56Speaker 1: The bond market is telling you there's gonna be a
- 5:58Speaker 1: recession next Well, that's not fun. Curves are flat um.
- 6:02Speaker 1: And and this is where this is where this you know,
- 6:04Speaker 1: the FED making a policy mistake, Like the markets already
- 6:07Speaker 1: priced with the Fed to make a policy mistake. So
- 6:09Speaker 1: what we're already priced for two s tends to be
- 6:11Speaker 1: basically at zero UM at this time next year, which
- 6:14Speaker 1: is very consistent with the market thinking the Fed is
- 6:17Speaker 1: gonna be done and we're gonna have a recession. I'm
- 6:19Speaker 1: looking for when, I can't find when. But Reagan said
- 6:22Speaker 1: that inflation is as violent as a mugger, as frightening,
- 6:27Speaker 1: as an arm dropper and as deadly as a hit man.
- 6:30Speaker 1: All Right, Ira Jersey gif us industrate strategist for Bloomberg
- 6:33Speaker 1: Intelligence bond market calling forward recession. If you're talking about
- 6:41Speaker 1: Ira Jersey in the last segment you mentioned w I
- 6:45Speaker 1: R P Worp. Put that into the Bloomberg and it
- 6:47Speaker 1: shows you that the markets pricing in seven rate increases
- 6:52Speaker 1: by the end of the year. What's the fixed income
- 6:55Speaker 1: manager to do in that kind of environment, Well, let's
- 6:58Speaker 1: check in with Kevin Nicholson, Global Fixed Income co ce IO,
- 7:01Speaker 1: cohead of the Investment Committee at river Front Investment Group,
- 7:05Speaker 1: located in Lovely Richmond, Virginia, home of the University of
- 7:09Speaker 1: Richmond Spiders. Kevin, thanks so much for joining us here.
- 7:13Speaker 1: Given that interest rate backdrop, how are you guys positioning
- 7:17Speaker 1: your portfolios? Thanks for having me, Paul, And we continue
- 7:22Speaker 1: to position our portfolios in such a way that we're
- 7:25Speaker 1: moving further and further up the curve, so to speak.
- 7:29Speaker 1: So we're buying on the short end of the curve
- 7:32Speaker 1: because as we're seeing the curve flattened, it doesn't really
- 7:35Speaker 1: make sense to take on that duration risk in your portfolio.
- 7:39Speaker 1: Um and so what we have constantly been doing is
- 7:43Speaker 1: we've looked for some spread, getting some a little bit
- 7:46Speaker 1: of additional spread on the front end of the curve,
- 7:48Speaker 1: and buying short term corporates and some high ye opportunistically. UM.
- 7:53Speaker 1: But one of the things that we have not been
- 7:55Speaker 1: doing is going you know, beyond about five years out
- 7:59Speaker 1: on the curve, because we really don't need to at
- 8:01Speaker 1: this point. But overall, because we run balanced portfolios, we
- 8:06Speaker 1: have been underweight fixing become pretty substantially relative to our
- 8:11Speaker 1: benchmarks in those balance portfolios. And we've seen, um, a
- 8:15Speaker 1: Bank America survey yesterday shows us that credit investors were
- 8:20Speaker 1: in kind of sell everything mode. Goldman Sachs was recommending, um,
- 8:24Speaker 1: you reduce your exposure to credit and go to cash.
- 8:28Speaker 1: Is this the end you think of the bond bull
- 8:32Speaker 1: market that we've seen since the early eighties or is
- 8:35Speaker 1: this a mini bear market as some I've been describing it.
- 8:39Speaker 1: I would say it's probably a mini bear market in
- 8:42Speaker 1: the sense that I think that you know, by the
- 8:44Speaker 1: end of the year, we'll see it two and a
- 8:46Speaker 1: half on the ten uere But I don't think that
- 8:49Speaker 1: we're going to retrace what we have seen occur over
- 8:54Speaker 1: the last you know, twenty years. You know, I've been
- 8:57Speaker 1: in the business thirty years, and I think that when
- 9:00Speaker 1: I started, the tenure was right about a seven thirty
- 9:04Speaker 1: four seven thirty five. Um. And do I think that
- 9:07Speaker 1: we're going to retrace all of that? Absolutely not, um I.
- 9:10Speaker 1: But I do think that we're gonna go higher. We
- 9:12Speaker 1: are probably like I said, see you know, two and
- 9:14Speaker 1: a half on fight year end, Kevin, I think the
- 9:18Speaker 1: consensus on the street is that inflation will kind of
- 9:22Speaker 1: peak I don't know in the next several months and
- 9:25Speaker 1: then moderate remainder of the year. Are are you in
- 9:28Speaker 1: that camp? If not, why I had been in night camp.
- 9:32Speaker 1: You know, my thoughts were that inflation was going to
- 9:35Speaker 1: peep in the first half of this year and then
- 9:37Speaker 1: moderate to around between two and a half and three uh.
- 9:41Speaker 1: Thus far I would say that we have been wrong
- 9:45Speaker 1: on that front. And you know, I think that it
- 9:49Speaker 1: might be consensus that it's going to peak. But right
- 9:52Speaker 1: now it's a hope and a prayer because as you've seen,
- 9:55Speaker 1: you know, headline inflation coming out of seven and a
- 9:57Speaker 1: half cent. We saw a p p I the this morning.
- 10:01Speaker 1: Um that was really high. And so there's inflation everywhere. UM.
- 10:05Speaker 1: But the one thing that is all that we believe
- 10:08Speaker 1: in is that high prices will solve the high prices problem.
- 10:15Speaker 1: And so as prices continue to go up, I think that,
- 10:18Speaker 1: you know, we're going to kill some of the demand
- 10:20Speaker 1: out there, and so that may help mitigate the inflation
- 10:23Speaker 1: risks that we're seeing. So hopefully by you know, Midsummer,
- 10:27Speaker 1: we will start to make inflation teach here all right, Kevin,
- 10:31Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us. Kevin Nicholson. They're Global
- 10:35Speaker 1: fixed Income Co. C I O and Co. Had to
- 10:38Speaker 1: invest the investment committee as well at Riverfront Investment Group.
- 10:41Speaker 1: Talking to us about the fixed income markets. Looking at
- 10:48Speaker 1: the yield curve here, I got the ten year treasury
- 10:50Speaker 1: up five basis points two point zero four percent, to
- 10:53Speaker 1: thirty year up six basis points two point three five
- 10:57Speaker 1: on the thirty years, So rates moving higher. Let's get
- 11:00Speaker 1: in angle on how you might play the fixed income
- 11:03Speaker 1: markets given that this feder Reserve has been very clear
- 11:08Speaker 1: that it will be raising rates. We check in with
- 11:10Speaker 1: Hugh Robert's head of analytics for quant Insights. Hugh, thanks
- 11:13Speaker 1: so much for joining us here. What is your bond
- 11:16Speaker 1: market outlook for Hi, thank you very much for having
- 11:21Speaker 1: me at the moment, we have our models, we rely
- 11:25Speaker 1: on macro input to give a kind of quantitative perspective
- 11:29Speaker 1: on all asset classes, and looking at the US fixed
- 11:32Speaker 1: income at the moment, then the moving yields has slightly
- 11:35Speaker 1: got ahead of itself on our metrics UM and anecdotally
- 11:39Speaker 1: adding into that, I think you know one one story
- 11:42Speaker 1: that might just play Internet if you start looking at
- 11:44Speaker 1: just how much the flattening of the yield curve has
- 11:47Speaker 1: happened in coupon space, and then looking at the shape
- 11:50Speaker 1: of the yellow donor strip, you see the deferred contracts
- 11:53Speaker 1: actually starting to speculator about rate cuts. So while at
- 11:57Speaker 1: the moment markets are talking about the said high team
- 12:00Speaker 1: this year and next, the market is actually already moving
- 12:03Speaker 1: on to the next narrative, which is, at what point
- 12:06Speaker 1: do they fear a proper kind of mistake and a
- 12:09Speaker 1: reversal in the policy stance and easing once again? You
- 12:15Speaker 1: know how far away from that are we? I mean
- 12:18Speaker 1: it's difficult, of course, the forecast UM into the future,
- 12:22Speaker 1: the further away you get. And and for now we're
- 12:24Speaker 1: looking at a seven and a half percent inflation print.
- 12:27Speaker 1: We had pp I come out higher than expected today,
- 12:31Speaker 1: UM and there's no sign that we're UM in a
- 12:35Speaker 1: recession other than the you know, implications of a flattening
- 12:39Speaker 1: yield curve. Yeah, well, some of the men if you
- 12:43Speaker 1: look at somebody like that Lena said GDP, now that
- 12:47Speaker 1: had a sharp move earlier. Most of the models that
- 12:50Speaker 1: are kind of more forward looking, that are kind of
- 12:52Speaker 1: more credit impulsey type of nature or financial conditions indicators
- 12:58Speaker 1: do suggest that the story from the the flattening of
- 13:01Speaker 1: the yield curve is true, that the big fiscal stimulus
- 13:04Speaker 1: we saw last year UM is going to fall off.
- 13:06Speaker 1: We'll get a kind of cliff edge effect there. So
- 13:09Speaker 1: I think there are quite a few of the more
- 13:11Speaker 1: forward indicators that do suggest the data could be struggling
- 13:15Speaker 1: in the near term. The consumer confidence data yesterday not
- 13:18Speaker 1: make pretty reading UM, but yes, that the whole inflation
- 13:22Speaker 1: debate is absolutely front and center. And I don't think
- 13:26Speaker 1: team transitory has completely thrown in the town. There's a
- 13:30Speaker 1: large residual of the market who are still in team transitory.
- 13:34Speaker 1: It's just that they defined transitory in quarters rather than
- 13:38Speaker 1: in months. And you know, they think that we need
- 13:40Speaker 1: to wait till probably the middle part of this year
- 13:43Speaker 1: before you start to see things roll back over again.
- 13:46Speaker 1: You does a flattening of the yield curve suggests a
- 13:49Speaker 1: recession to you? I think you have to be very
- 13:52Speaker 1: very careful the because you have to rephrase that question.
- 13:55Speaker 1: To my mind, an inversion of the yield curve, Yes,
- 13:58Speaker 1: it is consistent with with recessionary conditions. It does depend
- 14:03Speaker 1: on whether you're looking at two s, tens, fives, thirties,
- 14:06Speaker 1: whether you look at guvees or swaps or O I
- 14:09Speaker 1: s um. There are little nuances you can take on
- 14:12Speaker 1: that front. But the inversion of the curve does have
- 14:16Speaker 1: a good back record of being consistent with recessionary conditions.
- 14:20Speaker 1: For sure, a flattening of itself. But when the curve
- 14:23Speaker 1: stays positive, no, that won't stop the market speculating about it,
- 14:27Speaker 1: because obviously it's about the journey to the end game.
- 14:30Speaker 1: But you really have got to wait until you see
- 14:33Speaker 1: curves go negative before you can really start kind of
- 14:37Speaker 1: increasing your your forecast for recession in a material way. Well,
- 14:40Speaker 1: but we're still close, right What are we looking at
- 14:42Speaker 1: a forty basis point spread between twos and tens right now?
- 14:45Speaker 1: And the Fed hasn't even begun its rate high cycle.
- 14:48Speaker 1: If you look at rate high cycles over the past decades.
- 14:52Speaker 1: Um the curve always flattens more in a in a
- 14:58Speaker 1: in a rate high cycle. So if we're going to
- 15:01Speaker 1: see any more flattening, inversion is next. Yeah, no, I agree,
- 15:05Speaker 1: but we have got that Fordy Lips cushion and it
- 15:07Speaker 1: will take time to get there. That's my my point really,
- 15:10Speaker 1: just on the reality of inversion versus the flattening when
- 15:14Speaker 1: you're in a positive, upward sloping gheel curve. And then
- 15:17Speaker 1: I guess the other point to throw into the mix
- 15:20Speaker 1: really is just the degree to which financial conditions have
- 15:23Speaker 1: heightened already. I mean, the moving real rate is phenomenal,
- 15:27Speaker 1: The repricing of the front end of the yield curve,
- 15:30Speaker 1: you know, the two year notes or do euro dollar strike,
- 15:32Speaker 1: whichever metric you want to use. The widening in credit spreads,
- 15:36Speaker 1: you know, the widening in credit spreads is a tough one.
- 15:38Speaker 1: If you look on a one year chart, it looks
- 15:40Speaker 1: pretty done, dramatic. You look on a tenure history and
- 15:44Speaker 1: really it's just a blip. But we have seen a
- 15:48Speaker 1: sharp tightening of financial conditions, and that the others slightly cliched,
- 15:52Speaker 1: but I think it is a truism. The other thing
- 15:54Speaker 1: to throw into the mix is that it's less about levels,
- 15:58Speaker 1: it's also about the speed of the journey. So you know,
- 16:01Speaker 1: if we have a sharp flattening of the yel curve
- 16:03Speaker 1: that happens in two weeks, yes, the FED they're going
- 16:05Speaker 1: to sit up and take notice. But it happens over
- 16:08Speaker 1: a prolong period lesser. So many of the things you
- 16:11Speaker 1: just said reminded me of the Jean clautriche ECB. Is
- 16:15Speaker 1: the likelihood of a turnaround, of a of an about
- 16:18Speaker 1: face after a little bit of tightening higher for the
- 16:23Speaker 1: E c B than it is for the FED. Um, well,
- 16:27Speaker 1: that's a good question. Um. The difficulty this one, of course,
- 16:31Speaker 1: that we haven't in a lot of people's recent lifetime
- 16:34Speaker 1: seen inflation like this. Now, this is a complete game changer,
- 16:38Speaker 1: having these levels of price pressures. And I think you
- 16:40Speaker 1: know the way the markets have thought about, at least
- 16:43Speaker 1: in an equity markets, you know, this kind of concept
- 16:46Speaker 1: of restriking the said put for US equities at a
- 16:49Speaker 1: lower level makes complete sense. We have to reprice given
- 16:52Speaker 1: these conditions that we're seeing on the inflationary front in
- 16:56Speaker 1: terms of FED versity c B. I mean I think
- 16:59Speaker 1: most market participants will always view the CPS laguard that
- 17:05Speaker 1: they are so petrified of the euro as being strong
- 17:08Speaker 1: and and titling them that they will always go second.
- 17:10Speaker 1: All right, Hugh, thanks so much for joining us. You
- 17:12Speaker 1: Robert's head of analytics at Quad Insights, giving us his
- 17:15Speaker 1: thoughts on interest rates. Well, Matt and I, we've been
- 17:21Speaker 1: focusing on the supply chain challenges. It is a global
- 17:25Speaker 1: issue for businesses really across the board, and you hear
- 17:28Speaker 1: these quarterly earnings calls. Companies are calling it out left
- 17:31Speaker 1: and right. Let's ga get a sense of what it
- 17:33Speaker 1: means in the critical food business. Andre Menezez, co founder
- 17:38Speaker 1: and CEO of Next Gen Foods and Tindle, joins us. Andrea,
- 17:42Speaker 1: thanks so much for taking the time. First, just tell
- 17:44Speaker 1: us what Next Gen Foods and Tindle do. What are
- 17:47Speaker 1: you guys up to, Hi, Paul him, It's a pleasure
- 17:50Speaker 1: to be here with you right now and talking to you. So.
- 17:53Speaker 1: Next Thing Foods is the company behind Kingdo, our plant
- 17:55Speaker 1: based chicken brand, and uh it's a company that let's
- 17:59Speaker 1: stablished in seeing the poor and in less than a
- 18:01Speaker 1: year we are already in Singapore, Hong Kong, Dubai Amsterdam
- 18:05Speaker 1: and coming to the US right now. So where do
- 18:07Speaker 1: you sell this stuff? I've noticed walking around Trader Joe's
- 18:10Speaker 1: that there seems to be um plant based or you know,
- 18:16Speaker 1: vegan versions of pretty much everything from cheese to meat balls. Um.
- 18:22Speaker 1: What what are your sales points? Well, we actually have
- 18:26Speaker 1: a slightly different strategy. We start with chefs. We call
- 18:29Speaker 1: it gastronomy first, and we start with the most trendy
- 18:33Speaker 1: restaurants and chefs because we do believe that they play
- 18:35Speaker 1: a role in um showing consumers that plant basted foods
- 18:39Speaker 1: can be really believer that great food experience that we
- 18:43Speaker 1: usually have at nice restaurants and behave at the highest
- 18:46Speaker 1: level of astronomy. What do you see out there? Unfortunately
- 18:49Speaker 1: today are mostly only nuggets and tenders, which are nothing
- 18:51Speaker 1: wrong with that, but we do believe that we can
- 18:55Speaker 1: do better and we can really have a product that
- 18:58Speaker 1: caters to the highest level of food experience. So is
- 19:02Speaker 1: that a give us a sense of kind of kind
- 19:04Speaker 1: of like is it restaurants and what types of restaurants
- 19:07Speaker 1: are you selling into? So, yes, it is restaurants. Around
- 19:13Speaker 1: the world, we have restaurants serving tindle in many different
- 19:16Speaker 1: shapes and formats. As for the preparation of the chefs, UM,
- 19:19Speaker 1: it's extremely versatile. Therefore they can really prepare as they prefer.
- 19:23Speaker 1: And UM, the profile of restaurants that we have right
- 19:26Speaker 1: now would range from you know, find Dyning, Mission and
- 19:28Speaker 1: Stars all the way to casual neighborhood UM restaurants with
- 19:32Speaker 1: their you know, their own chefs creations in house, and
- 19:35Speaker 1: then maybe multiple units like five, ten up to forty units.
- 19:39Speaker 1: That's what we have been seeing around the world right now.
- 19:41Speaker 1: The Gray Dog is a restaurant here, orchard grocer exactly. UM,
- 19:46Speaker 1: what just what I needed in hell A, Miami's Little Brazil.
- 19:49Speaker 1: So we we have some of these restaurants here. What
- 19:52Speaker 1: kind of growth are you looking at? What kind of
- 19:54Speaker 1: growth are you forecasting? Um? We are all about creating
- 19:59Speaker 1: the most meaningful impact in the food system we can.
- 20:02Speaker 1: And I mean I came from the from the poetry industry,
- 20:05Speaker 1: and while the meat industry has served as well in
- 20:07Speaker 1: the last two that gets to really provide protein to humanity.
- 20:11Speaker 1: We believe that there's a better technology to produce what
- 20:14Speaker 1: we like, which is basically ingredient. Uh, and we do
- 20:17Speaker 1: it without the birds. So our ambition is to take
- 20:19Speaker 1: a relevant share out of the birds on the chicken
- 20:22Speaker 1: industry and provide consumers for more sustainable, equally delicious and
- 20:27Speaker 1: as nutritional as or even better than than than chicken.
- 20:30Speaker 1: That's our goal. I gotta say, have you seen uh
- 20:33Speaker 1: the film Baraca? Paul No I ask I always ask this,
- 20:37Speaker 1: and you you never go and watch it. Have you
- 20:39Speaker 1: seen this film? Andre Baraca documentary? There's no um, there's
- 20:46Speaker 1: no dialogue. Um. They just have a three part series
- 20:49Speaker 1: where they show um city life production. I think of
- 20:52Speaker 1: cigarettes and then uh poultry factory and it just makes
- 20:57Speaker 1: you never want to eat chicken again when you look
- 20:59Speaker 1: at and I missed this, when you look at how
- 21:01Speaker 1: factory um farms Uh, I guess raise although it seems
- 21:07Speaker 1: like the wrong word and produced chicken. It's just horrible.
- 21:12Speaker 1: But of course it tastes so good, you know, Andre,
- 21:16Speaker 1: how do you replicate the delicious nous of a chick
- 21:20Speaker 1: fil a with m plant based proteins? Now, you're absolutely right,
- 21:26Speaker 1: um in the I haven't watched the movie, but I will. UM.
- 21:30Speaker 1: What I can tell is that I have worked for
- 21:32Speaker 1: over seven years in the poetry industry, and I think
- 21:35Speaker 1: what happens is that we um as consumers, as meat lovers, um,
- 21:39Speaker 1: we like the ingredient. I think that, as you said,
- 21:42Speaker 1: it's so delicious, right, and you know it's nutricious, as
- 21:44Speaker 1: delicious as fibers versas tile. Chicken is the only global
- 21:48Speaker 1: animal protein, truly global and really local everywhere. So we
- 21:52Speaker 1: recognize that from a consumer perspective. But as you said,
- 21:55Speaker 1: I also don't know anyone who went to a poetry factory,
- 21:58Speaker 1: including you know, all of us who came from the industry,
- 22:01Speaker 1: who goes to a pulture factory and get out of
- 22:03Speaker 1: the saying that they're craving chicken or any animal after
- 22:07Speaker 1: seeing the process in which we get the animals from.
- 22:09Speaker 1: It's really um something that it's it's you know, it's
- 22:13Speaker 1: not sustainable, it's not efficient, and it's time for us
- 22:15Speaker 1: to improve that. How we do that is very simple. Actually,
- 22:19Speaker 1: it's harder to justify the animal farming, if you think
- 22:21Speaker 1: about it, than it is to to to just explain
- 22:24Speaker 1: how we get you know, soy water, coconut bad some
- 22:28Speaker 1: flower oil through you know, process and technology. We just
- 22:31Speaker 1: don't transform that in what we want. We want the fibers,
- 22:33Speaker 1: we want to taste, We want this spatch and for
- 22:36Speaker 1: none of that, we need an animal in between. I
- 22:37Speaker 1: guess it's just that we kind of take it for granted,
- 22:40Speaker 1: but it doesn't make any sense for us to just
- 22:42Speaker 1: keep raising billions and billions of animals just to get
- 22:45Speaker 1: a little bit of meat out of each one of them.
- 22:48Speaker 1: All right, Andre, thanks so much for joining us. Really
- 22:50Speaker 1: appreciated inching part of the food chain. Andrea Manennaz, co
- 22:54Speaker 1: founder and Andreas it Menzi's It's menis Is And yes,
- 23:00Speaker 1: thank you so much for the chat. I'm very happy
- 23:02Speaker 1: that everyone listening to us right now they can't affective
- 23:04Speaker 1: the trite single ordering on Go Valley anywhere in the US,
- 23:07Speaker 1: prepared by Chad Chad Rosenthal in the Motive Preston. All right, Andre,
- 23:12Speaker 1: thank you so much. We really appreciate that. Thanks for
- 23:15Speaker 1: listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and
- 23:18Speaker 1: listen to interviews of Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform
- 23:23Speaker 1: you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt
- 23:26Speaker 1: Miller V three. Pt On False Sweeney I'm on Twitter
- 23:29Speaker 1: at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can always catch
- 23:32Speaker 1: us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio