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Mac & Bone Show - Connor Allen Interview · Mac & Bone Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: He is Connor Allen from the Move the Line podcast,
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: and he joins us here on the Mack and Bone Show.
• 0:05
  Speaker 2: Connor, how you doing, brother?
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: What's going on?
• 0:08
  Speaker 3: I'm great? Thanks for having me on. I mean, no
• 0:11
  Speaker 3: better time to toss ball this season. He is right
• 0:13
  Speaker 3: around the corner and you guys nailed it. Projections, batting, fantasy,
• 0:16
  Speaker 3: whatever angle you want to go with, let's do it.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I love it.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I love it? Man? What is so?
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: What do you?
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: I want to ask about the Bears in the Week
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: one game?
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: First?
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: What's what's the word out of Chicago with the training camp?
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: I just know this. It feels like nationally the Bears
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: have become a public team. It just feels like they're
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: and I get it, man. They had a hell of
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: a season last year, made a big jump and Ben
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Johnson seems like the real deal. How do you feel
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: about Bears Panthers in Week one based on what's happening
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: in Bears camp?
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think there's some positives and still some negatives
• 0:48
  Speaker 3: from this Bears team because I think that people might
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: have jumped the shark a little bit with what we
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: saw last year. Caleb Williams from time to time, especially
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: with the simple stuff with the easy throws, he still struggled.
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: You know. That was how they got into those holes
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: that he had to dig himself out of late in
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: the game and win those crazy late comebacks because it
• 1:05
  Speaker 3: wasn't always pretty right. So I think if that changes
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: and he's able to complete the easy stuff and it's
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: better focus this offseason, Ben Johnson's talked about it, Caleb's
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: talked about it. If that gets better, this offense is
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: going to be lethal, and they already are really good.
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: I think that's the next step for them. But I'm
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: mostly worried about this defense, to be honest. You know,
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: they're really really struggled at times. Last year, they were
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: very turnover reliant. When they did not turn the ball over,
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: they were bottom five and basically every defensive metric where
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: they want to look at the yards per play, each
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: aper play a lot of different layers to look at it.
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: So if they weren't call the turnovers, they were in trouble.
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: And I think that that could continue this year as well.
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: So the Bears, you know, I can win a lot
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: of games, they can beat anyone. They can also lose
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: to anyone. So I think that's kind of where I
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: stand on the Bear specifically, but with the Panthers, I mean,
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: you guys know it best here. A lot of talent.
• 1:56
  Speaker 3: The offensive line, I think is something that I'm a
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: little bit concerned about heading into the season, and I
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: think that's something to look for because if everyone's healthy,
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: it's a great offensive line. But then you have, you know,
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: Taylor Moton with the blood clot ikey Ikwanu not really
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: much of a timeline. You know, you need Rashid Walker
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: and Monroe Freeling to step up big time. And then
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: the interior right now, both have missed, you know, Damian
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: Lewis or Rob Hunt, they both missed multiple practices early
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: in camp. So it's really tough when when there's that
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: many injuries along the novelsive line, you pretty much need
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: them to be fully healthy, I think to have a
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: good shot here in Week.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: One, Connor, you're going through the Panther injuries there and
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: it hasn't been the easiest score and also lost early.
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: How impactful are the injuries potentially for the Bears in
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: week one? We have a ways to go, but we
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: know Kobe Bryant is out and then Manung Guy and
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: Luther Burden are out for right now. How what's the
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: injury from looking like right now for the Bears getting
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: into to week one down the line, Yeah.
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: I mean you nailed most of them there. I think
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: the Kobe Bryant one is massive, right, So, you know,
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: they lose most of their safety room, they lose a
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: couple of corners, and then they got drafted and seen
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: him in and then they try and plug in Kobe Bryant.
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: Obviously now he's out, and so that's a big deal
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: for them. I think Kyle mannung guy is going to
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: be very much questionable for week one. It looks like
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: week to week after hyper extending his right knee in practice.
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: If he does plan it, anticipate a low like a
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: smaller role than normal. And then Kyler Gordon continuously seems
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: to be injured. Ben Johnson's fed up with it. He's
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: talked about to the media about it. He does not
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: seem happy that Kyler Gordon who just continues to be injured.
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: I think Luther Burden is gonna be good to go
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: for week one. Is he gonna one hundred percent? Not
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: entirely sure, but I think he got injured long enough ago,
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: and the reports are positive enough, we've seen him running,
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: seen him move in pretty early. I think that he's
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: going to be good to go. So I would say
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: a couple definitely impact injuries, again on the defensive side,
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: and that's that's where I'm most worried about this Bears team.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: We're talking to Connor Allen Move the Line podcast. He's
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: based in Chicago. He's got the Bears knowledge that we want.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: I also know you do a lot of betting, a
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: lot of fantasy stuff, and I've seen you know, I've
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: seen some of the you know, Bryce Young over under numbers,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: and I know that you do fantasy projections too. What
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: kind of season would you project for Bryce Young statistically?
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so right now is over under on sports books
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: is around twenty eight hundred and seventy five and a
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: half over under passing yards. We haven't projected a little
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: bit over that. We have met thirty one hundred and
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: forty one yards, twenty three touchdowns, what are you gonna have? Touchdowns?
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: And twelve interceptions. So that's where we have him this year,
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: which is a kind of a back end quarterback for
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: fantasy specifically. But I got to say, I do really
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: love you know, Ted McMillan. I think that he's just
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: an awesome player that Jalen Cocher really came into his
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: own last year, and I think it's going to play
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: a massive role. So when you have those two guys,
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: maybe you involved xavierly Got a little bit as well.
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: And then the Darren Waller siding. I mean, this guy
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: just continuously seems to prove everyone wrong and anytime he
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: plays football, he's awesome. So he could be impactful as well.
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: So I can't say that I want to be overly
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: optimistic that the passing game is going to come out
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: and Bryce Young is going to throw for forty five
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: hundred yards or anything, but I think that he could.
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: He could be relatively efficient with the weapons videos.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: What are your projected numbers for you mentioned team Mac there,
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: What are your numbers for him, because we're thinking that
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: based off last year and just progression, could he be
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: like a top ten wide down a lot of categories.
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: Oh for sure. Yeah, And you know most of our
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: like basline projections are are pretty light, so you know
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: we have him closer to like seventy five, eleven hundred
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: yards and seven touchdowns. I think the upside is way higher.
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: Than that, right, I mean that's you know again like
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: that's more of just like a median projection there. I
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: think that the again, the upside is you know, twelve
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: fifty ten plus and even more because even as a rookie,
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: you know, like you could clearly tell from basically the
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: first week that he was he's in alpha and he's
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: very good wide out. So I do the upside here
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: is massive, and yes, top ten wide receiver is very
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: much in play.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: I want it's from a betting standpoint. I wanted to
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: ask you about the Bears, back to the Bears and Panthers.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: We we had been we we had been hearing the
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: talk about you know, the I think it was we
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: talked to a betting guy that was bringing up the
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: MGM Grand numbers and it was like twenty or ninety
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: three percent of the of the bets against the spread
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: where the Bears minus two and a half. Are you
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: seeing that? Like is that line gonna move even more
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: in favor of the Bears? Like is that one that
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: the public is way over Chicago on.
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: That's what it looks like and that's what we're gearing
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: up toward, which you know, I would feel pretty comfortable
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: if I were, you know, a Panthers fan in your
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: guys shoes, because generally you don't want you don't want
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: to be on that side, just in you know, general
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: philosophy here, because if everyone's betting one side and the
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: numbers not moving, that means that they have respected individuals
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: who are on the other side, or the just not
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: taking any sharp action that they really feel like they
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: have to move the numbers. So I thought that this
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: should be around three. I think three is pretty fair.
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: Two and a half again, just and everyone's done in
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: the two and a half. It's just not something that
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: I'm super interested in. And I think part of it
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: is the Bears defensive injuries. Like I think this Bears
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: defense could legit be like a bottom five to ten
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: unit as they're currently slated to be today.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: There we go, Connor, who do you have of the
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: NFC South? Like's a what's a good betting angle there?
• 7:28
  Speaker 3: You know, if you if you'd ask me like a
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: week ago or so, I probably would have said the Saints.
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: But the Jordan Tyson injury, it's just just a massive,
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: massive deal I think for that offensive progression, Alba Kamara's
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: injury and it's just those injuries are piling up. It
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: makes it hard for a guy like Tyler Shoves to
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: take the next step forward. Then there's still a decent team.
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: I think it's really anyone's game. I mean, right now,
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: the Bucks are the favorite. I'm not sure that I'm
• 7:55
  Speaker 3: entirely on board with that. I think they're really sin
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: it wide out right now. And Buka is already in
• 8:00
  Speaker 3: Godwin's Old. You lose Mike Evans, so like there's a
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: lot of a lot of problems there. I mean, you're
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: basically gonna be starting Ted Hurst and Jalen McMillan, you know,
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: if the injuries keep piling up there. So I don't know.
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: I can't say that I'm thrilled with the Bucks. I
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: think the Panthers can easily win. I think the Saints
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: can easily win. I'm not super high on the Falcons.
• 8:19
  Speaker 3: I'm a little bit worried about Tua and Michael Pennox
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: in that whole situation. Earlier reports him to have not
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: been all that strong, and then obviously new coaching staff
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: as well, so a lot of moving pieces there.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: The least exciting question Matt to ask to a gambling
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: guy is who do you like in the NFC soualboy,
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: he's hoping to get away without Dallin.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: That is that's that's about as sexy as me with
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: my shirt offs. I want to be outside. Do that
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: not sexy? He is Connor Allen. He's way sexy, ladies
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: and gentleman and he knows it all, from gambling to
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: fantasy to of course talking about the Bears as well.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: At Connor Allen NFL great versatile NFL follow on Twitter.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Find him there, Connor, we appreciate you man, be good.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: Thanks so much for having me on