Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Iran; Lebanon; Gulf Bailout; Fed; Griffin; Insider Trading; Math; "Affordability" | Yaron Brook Show
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: A lot of the fundamental principles of edom, my actional
- 0:08Speaker 1: self interest and an individual wats.
- 0:14Speaker 2: This is show?
- 0:20Speaker 1: All right, everybody, welcome to one book show on this
- 0:23Speaker 1: fighty April twenty fourth. I hope everybody's having had a
- 0:28Speaker 1: great week. I'm looking forward to that weekend. All right.
- 0:34Speaker 1: We'll jump right in with our daily Iran war update.
- 0:38Speaker 1: Not that there's war going on, but but the hostilities continue.
- 0:42Speaker 1: We'll talk about Iran and Lebanon and other stuff. And yeah,
- 0:48Speaker 1: we've got a bunch of talk about. Don't forget ask questions.
- 0:52Speaker 1: Ask questions and use the super chat to do that.
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- 1:34Speaker 3: As for you on.
- 1:36Speaker 1: God that the United States is just accumulating military assets
- 1:41Speaker 1: in the Middle East. I don't remember seeing so many
- 1:46Speaker 1: Navy assets at least, and we know that there are
- 1:50Speaker 1: many many are planes that are now significant ground troops
- 1:54Speaker 1: all over the Middle East, and bases in Jordan and
- 1:57Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia e Kata, and then of course not far
- 2:03Speaker 1: away in Europe. But right now there are three There
- 2:07Speaker 1: are three aircraft carriers in the Middle East, the the
- 2:13Speaker 1: Abram Lincoln, the George W. H. W. Bush, and the largest,
- 2:19Speaker 1: most modern of all aircraft carriers that the United States has,
- 2:23Speaker 1: or that the world has, for that matter, most sophisticated one,
- 2:26Speaker 1: the US S joel Ford. All three of those, of
- 2:29Speaker 1: course don't come alone. They come with a bunch of
- 2:34Speaker 1: combat ships and guided missile destroyers and and other other
- 2:39Speaker 1: ships that accompany them.
- 2:41Speaker 3: And so there are.
- 2:43Speaker 1: A lot, a lot of Navy U S Navy ships
- 2:47Speaker 1: in the Middle East. There are a couple of destroyers
- 2:51Speaker 1: I think in the Mediterranean off the coast of Israel,
- 2:55Speaker 1: I guess helping just in case Uran star slobbying missiles
- 3:01Speaker 1: into Israel. Maybe hate helping with a defense over there.
- 3:05Speaker 1: Then you've got the jerbled Ford with its with its
- 3:08Speaker 1: accompanying destroyers. I think there are four of them, combat
- 3:13Speaker 1: ships and destroyers a combination.
- 3:16Speaker 3: They are all stationed in the.
- 3:17Speaker 1: Red Sea Red Sea off the coast of Saudi Arabia
- 3:21Speaker 1: on one side, Egypt and Sudan on the other side.
- 3:25Speaker 1: And Nay, my guesses are protecting the Saudis in particular
- 3:29Speaker 1: that ports on the Red Sea. The Saudi Arabia has
- 3:33Speaker 1: that it's pumping masses of lots of oil to to
- 3:37Speaker 1: replace the fact that I can't export oil out of
- 3:40Speaker 1: the Homeost Straits, so they are pumping it out to
- 3:43Speaker 1: the west coast of Saudi Arabia on the Red Sea.
- 3:48Speaker 1: And I think the ford is they're basically to protect
- 3:52Speaker 1: the Saudis from either an attack from the Yemen from Yemen,
- 3:55Speaker 1: from the Huties or from Yuan. And then you've got
- 3:58Speaker 1: two aircraft carriers in the Indian Ocean, Gulf of Oman
- 4:05Speaker 1: area between Oman, Iran, Pakistan and India. That area has
- 4:11Speaker 1: just a bunch of US ships. That is the area
- 4:14Speaker 1: where they the United States is trying to enforce its
- 4:16Speaker 1: blockade to prevent Uran from exporting anything and receiving goods
- 4:23Speaker 1: from outside. It's the area in which US destroyers are
- 4:27Speaker 1: running down ships then managed to escape the blockade. There
- 4:31Speaker 1: was one there was chased down into the Indian Ocean
- 4:34Speaker 1: and finally taken over by the US. So the US is.
- 4:38Speaker 3: Actively pursuing those ships.
- 4:40Speaker 1: Some of them are getting away, some of them again, these
- 4:42Speaker 1: are I mean on a map, everything looks small, but
- 4:45Speaker 1: in reality this is vast, vast, vast areas of ocean.
- 4:49Speaker 1: Now you think the United States would have sophisticated satellites
- 4:53Speaker 1: and detection systems the way they could catch everything they
- 4:56Speaker 1: wanted to.
- 4:56Speaker 3: But the reality.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Is the Iranian ships are finding ways to get around
- 5:04Speaker 1: the blockade. Just an update, straits of homos means closed.
- 5:09Speaker 1: As far as I can tell, no ships so if
- 5:11Speaker 1: they are single digit chips are entering and exiting the
- 5:15Speaker 1: straight other than the Iranian ships that are trying to
- 5:19Speaker 1: evade the blockade, and a few of those are getting
- 5:21Speaker 1: out periodically, most many of them being turned around by
- 5:27Speaker 1: the US, some managing to get around the US blockade
- 5:30Speaker 1: and get out of there. So a huge, massive force
- 5:35Speaker 1: again we've got you know, these aircraft carriers have combined
- 5:39Speaker 1: two hundred aircraft. They have defense systems, they have the
- 5:44Speaker 1: ability to destroyers, all have the ability to launch kusmosars.
- 5:49Speaker 1: And this is a mighty probably the mightiest navy right
- 5:56Speaker 1: now outside the Middle East is the mightiest navy in
- 5:59Speaker 1: the world to take on any navy anyway. What we
- 6:04Speaker 1: have right now in the Middle East, why it's there,
- 6:07Speaker 1: what it's going to do, what the purposes other than intimidation.
- 6:10Speaker 1: It's there to intimidate the Ranians. Doesn't exactly seem to
- 6:14Speaker 1: be working, but it's they have their assets, say, if
- 6:25Speaker 1: they want to resume operations against Iran again, There's also
- 6:28Speaker 1: got planes and air force bases around the Middle East.
- 6:31Speaker 1: They've also got ground troops, They've got refueler tankers. There's
- 6:36Speaker 1: a massive contingency of American forces. I mean, they don't
- 6:40Speaker 1: have tanks as far as I can tell. But other
- 6:42Speaker 1: than that, everything is there. Everything is right there in
- 6:46Speaker 1: the Middle East to be able to attack the Iranians
- 6:49Speaker 1: and even to take ground positions on the islands if
- 6:52Speaker 1: they need to. In the meantime, an Iran, as we've
- 6:57Speaker 1: talked about, there is a power struggle, and you wanted
- 7:01Speaker 1: someone who is going to come out on top, and
- 7:04Speaker 1: there was a constant flow of rumors coming out.
- 7:08Speaker 3: You know, this faction is up, This faction is down.
- 7:12Speaker 1: But the bottom line is the IRGC is in control.
- 7:17Speaker 1: I mean, there's very little doubt that they are really
- 7:20Speaker 1: controlling what's going on right now. The commander, which is
- 7:24Speaker 1: the Major General Ahmad Vahidi is uh. You know, he's
- 7:29Speaker 1: the third IRGC commander in the last year. Two of
- 7:35Speaker 1: the predecessors were killed by the Israelis. Uh.
- 7:38Speaker 3: He is running things.
- 7:40Speaker 1: He is the one probably in touch with much Staba
- 7:44Speaker 1: much Stabahamini.
- 7:46Speaker 3: The Supreme leader, who is as.
- 7:48Speaker 1: Far as we can tell, hospitalized and you know, uh
- 7:53Speaker 1: going operations and and has has was injured significantly during
- 7:59Speaker 1: their first day of the war. But who is still
- 8:04Speaker 1: you know, sending out instructions. It seems like the leadership
- 8:10Speaker 1: the IRGC is demanding complete Ranians sovereignty and control over
- 8:16Speaker 1: the straits of home Wars. And they really don't want
- 8:19Speaker 1: to give up the nuclear efforts. So those are two
- 8:21Speaker 1: things that they're trying to outmaneuver the Americans with regard
- 8:27Speaker 1: there's some indications the betting, if you will, out there,
- 8:34Speaker 1: there's some indications and and and betting out there that
- 8:39Speaker 1: the Trump administration at the end of the day will
- 8:42Speaker 1: probably give the Ranians the Straits of Homos allow them
- 8:47Speaker 1: to charge a fee for ships coming out, and and
- 8:52Speaker 1: and that.
- 8:55Speaker 3: Will be the compromise.
- 8:55Speaker 1: I wano give up the nukes and take the Straits
- 8:58Speaker 1: of Homos. It's a awful compromise. It's a It really
- 9:03Speaker 1: is in a sense, the United States giving in to
- 9:09Speaker 1: the worst elements in Iran and supporting their control over
- 9:13Speaker 1: one of the most important choke points in the global
- 9:16Speaker 1: economy in terms of trade.
- 9:19Speaker 3: It is.
- 9:19Speaker 1: It is a would be a horrific precedent if it occurred. Indeed,
- 9:24Speaker 1: already we're hearing noises out of Indonesia. Indonesia's like, wait
- 9:29Speaker 1: a minute, we actually control the Straits of Malica. And hey,
- 9:36Speaker 1: the streets of Malaca actually see more more traffic of
- 9:42Speaker 1: ships than the States of Homoes. You know, really, since
- 9:48Speaker 1: the since the beginning of since I don't know the
- 9:50Speaker 1: beginning of time, for two thousand years, really, the States
- 9:54Speaker 1: of Malca have been essential for global trade. They are
- 9:57Speaker 1: what links India China, what links the Middle East with
- 10:03Speaker 1: Asia with Southeast Asia. They are how you get to
- 10:08Speaker 1: the Spice Islands. The control over the Straits of Malaca
- 10:12Speaker 1: was something that empires, European empires fought each other for
- 10:16Speaker 1: hundreds of years to try to take control over and
- 10:19Speaker 1: of course they also have to had to fight the
- 10:22Speaker 1: Islamic Empires the way in the region.
- 10:25Speaker 3: So this is hugely important.
- 10:28Speaker 1: And of course the Indonesian is now saying, huh, if
- 10:32Speaker 1: Iran can take the Straits of Omaz, maybe we should
- 10:35Speaker 1: take the states of Malaca. Anyway, I don't think they'll
- 10:39Speaker 1: do it, you know, Indonesia doesn't have a military and
- 10:44Speaker 1: would like to be an ally with the United States,
- 10:46Speaker 1: not an enemy. So I doubt they'll do it. But
- 10:49Speaker 1: it does suggest to the Chinese and to others. Of course,
- 10:52Speaker 1: China is very dependent on the Straits of Malaca. America's
- 10:56Speaker 1: weakness America's weakness. So America doesn't have to be weak.
- 11:01Speaker 1: This is not a weakness of weapons. This is not
- 11:04Speaker 1: a weakness a military weakness. This is not a weakness
- 11:08Speaker 1: of ability. This is a weakness of will. This is
- 11:11Speaker 1: a weakness of It's called the weakness of Trump, the
- 11:16Speaker 1: weakness of Trump, so and the weakness of America for
- 11:22Speaker 1: electing somebody like Trump. In the meantime, in the Inuan,
- 11:30Speaker 1: while there's this battle for who's in charge, it looks
- 11:34Speaker 1: like everybody's kind of lining up. It looks like the
- 11:37Speaker 1: stream leader in the guidance of the head of the
- 11:40Speaker 1: IRGC basically forcing them all to line up. We said,
- 11:44Speaker 1: the Sutreame leader come out with a statement saying everybody
- 11:46Speaker 1: is aligned. And then you saw the Speaker of the
- 11:50Speaker 1: House of the Parliament and the President and their foreign
- 11:54Speaker 1: minister all making statements that showed that they were aligned
- 11:58Speaker 1: with everybody else. And then you get on and off
- 12:02Speaker 1: messages around negotiations in.
- 12:07Speaker 3: Pakistan.
- 12:08Speaker 1: So the Fond Minister of Iwan is right now in
- 12:12Speaker 1: Pakistan talking to the pakistanis the weekof and Krishna was
- 12:19Speaker 1: supposed to fly there.
- 12:20Speaker 3: Then they weren't going to fly there. Then they weren't
- 12:22Speaker 3: going to fly there.
- 12:23Speaker 1: JD. Evans is not gonna fly there. I mean, nobody knows,
- 12:26Speaker 1: and it could happen on any moment. But again, what
- 12:31Speaker 1: are they flying there too? Again? Know, any reason to
- 12:34Speaker 1: negotiate with the Iranians is if you want to sell
- 12:36Speaker 1: out America, which seems like what the Trumpet Universtation wants
- 12:41Speaker 1: to do. So compromise and sending out is the name
- 12:47Speaker 1: of the game, and that is that does seem to
- 12:49Speaker 1: be where things are heading. The Iranians seem to be
- 12:52Speaker 1: uniting over a plan. My guess is that plan will
- 12:56Speaker 1: be do something on the new nuclear where you pretend
- 13:01Speaker 1: not to develop any nuclear weapons for fifteen years or something.
- 13:05Speaker 1: I think the United States offered something like that and
- 13:07Speaker 1: then but demand the Straits of Homos in return. So
- 13:11Speaker 1: we'll see. Trump doesn't seem to care about the Streets
- 13:14Speaker 1: of Homos. He seems to because he positioned this as
- 13:18Speaker 1: a as one of his war aims, as being the
- 13:21Speaker 1: issue of nuclear and I think that's what he wants,
- 13:27Speaker 1: that's what he cares about. He keeps telling the Israelis,
- 13:29Speaker 1: I'll get more than that. I'll believe it when I
- 13:32Speaker 1: see it, all right, let's see, Yeah, I mean, the
- 13:39Speaker 1: follow Minister came out with a statement earlier today, oh yesterday,
- 13:43Speaker 1: the Straits of Homos will stay blocked until eleven trillion
- 13:47Speaker 1: dollars eleven trillion. That's a tee trillion dollars, eleven trillion
- 13:51Speaker 1: dollars of foes in the Uranian assets are released, eleven trillion.
- 13:58Speaker 1: You know what they could do with eleven trillion dollars. God,
- 14:03Speaker 1: I mean, it's really hard to believe. It's hard to
- 14:09Speaker 1: believe that anybody's contemplating a deal with Iran given that,
- 14:15Speaker 1: I mean, if they get eleven trillion dollars, what happens then? Right? Yeah? Anyway,
- 14:21Speaker 1: uh oh, well, I mean Iran is in a time
- 14:26Speaker 1: of difficulty. I told you that at some point they're
- 14:30Speaker 1: pumping oil, they can't export it, so at some point
- 14:34Speaker 1: they have to shut down the wells. If they shut
- 14:36Speaker 1: down the wells, the wells in a sense get polluted,
- 14:39Speaker 1: and it's very hard to restart the wells, and even
- 14:41Speaker 1: if you do restart the wells, you get less oil
- 14:45Speaker 1: out of them. Some of the oil is lost forever.
- 14:48Speaker 1: So they need more storage capacity because they probably got
- 14:54Speaker 1: maybe another week to two weeks between a week to
- 14:57Speaker 1: two weeks of pumping OI oil and stowing it. That's
- 15:01Speaker 1: all the capacity they have. So what they're doing is
- 15:06Speaker 1: they're decommissioning old, old tankers, Like they found this thirty
- 15:14Speaker 1: year old empty super tanker.
- 15:17Speaker 3: And they're basically going to use it for storage.
- 15:20Speaker 1: So it's the thing Iran will find ways to subvert
- 15:26Speaker 1: this idea. I mean, supert tanker like this can carry
- 15:29Speaker 1: two million barrels of oil, so they can store that
- 15:34Speaker 1: there and then pump it out of the super tank
- 15:36Speaker 1: into other tankers for shipment later on, once the once
- 15:40Speaker 1: the siege is the blockade is over. But but yeah,
- 15:45Speaker 1: they're getting a little desperate again. It's at some point
- 15:48Speaker 1: capping those old walls is a real problem. This is
- 15:53Speaker 1: why I think they will put a lot of pressure
- 15:57Speaker 1: on Trump to cut a deal. And and I think
- 16:01Speaker 1: Trump wants a deal. I think that's his preference, is
- 16:03Speaker 1: a deal, deal, deal. He's a deal maker. I think
- 16:06Speaker 1: we're going to get Obama's deal, not much better than
- 16:09Speaker 1: Obama's deal, maybe even worse than Obama's deal, if the
- 16:12Speaker 1: straits of Home will stay and he runs thing. But yeah,
- 16:17Speaker 1: you know, this is what happens when Trump wons the war.
- 16:22Speaker 1: You get you get lousy deals, very lousy deals. So
- 16:30Speaker 1: I mean, Trump supposedly is just waiting you run out,
- 16:34Speaker 1: wants to see them having to cap those wells or
- 16:39Speaker 1: prices are up, but they're not horrifically up, and he's
- 16:44Speaker 1: just he's just waiting to see what happens. Right. According
- 16:50Speaker 1: to this, they have twelve more days of unsure storage.
- 16:55Speaker 1: Most of that in is in Currag Island. If a
- 16:59Speaker 1: man taken Colorg Island, they wouldn't have that storage. So anyway,
- 17:09Speaker 1: so that's where we are. Not much news again, lots
- 17:14Speaker 1: of rumors about what's going on in in t Ran,
- 17:17Speaker 1: primarily lots of rumors about Trump's intentions. But overall, I
- 17:22Speaker 1: would say the more Trump extends there the cease fire,
- 17:27Speaker 1: the weaker he seems and the weaker America seems, and
- 17:31Speaker 1: the more likely this is going to end in a
- 17:33Speaker 1: bad deal. Another place in which cease fires are being
- 17:38Speaker 1: extended by Trump is Yesterday, there was supposed to be
- 17:42Speaker 1: a meeting between the Ambassador to Washington of Lebanon and
- 17:46Speaker 1: the Ambassador to Washington of Israel to continue their ongoing
- 17:50Speaker 1: discussions about resolving these really Lebanese conflict and dealing with
- 17:54Speaker 1: Chrismalan maybe establishing peace between the two countries. Anyway, yesterday
- 17:58Speaker 1: Trump showed up to the meeting and about jade vans
- 18:01Speaker 1: with him. I think what's his name, Rubio was going
- 18:05Speaker 1: to be there anyway, and then they also brought the
- 18:08Speaker 1: American Ambassador to Israel and the American Ambassador to Lebanon.
- 18:11Speaker 1: They all converge in this big meeting, and basically this
- 18:15Speaker 1: meaning turned into Trump declaring basically an extension of the
- 18:21Speaker 1: ceasefire Israel didn't declare it, Lebanon didn't declare it. Trump
- 18:26Speaker 1: declared it. So Israel and Lebanon have extended the ceasefire
- 18:29Speaker 1: for three weeks. Why for what nobody knows? Israel Israeli
- 18:37Speaker 1: media is very unhappy about this. Again, Israel is in
- 18:41Speaker 1: the midst of an operation to destroy Isabelah, to disarm it,
- 18:46Speaker 1: and to create a significant, large buffer zone security zone
- 18:51Speaker 1: in southern Lebanon.
- 18:53Speaker 3: Trump is subverting that.
- 18:55Speaker 1: Just like he subverted Israel from and stopped Israel dismandling Tramas,
- 19:03Speaker 1: he is stopping them from destroying.
- 19:08Speaker 3: Chris Ballah.
- 19:10Speaker 1: I mean, Trump gives is freedom to almost win, but
- 19:15Speaker 1: he doesn't.
- 19:15Speaker 3: Want them to actually win.
- 19:17Speaker 1: He did that in June with with that yu On,
- 19:20Speaker 1: he did that with Ramas with the ceasefire. He's doing
- 19:23Speaker 1: it now in Lebanon with Risbella. I mean, he is
- 19:26Speaker 1: just a He's just dedicated to making sure Israel doesn't win.
- 19:34Speaker 3: Basically, that it.
- 19:35Speaker 1: Wins, that it succeeds but doesn't win, doesn't actually achieve
- 19:40Speaker 1: victory anyway. The ceasefire supposedly is going to involve continued
- 19:51Speaker 1: talks with the goal of dismandling Chrisbella just like remember
- 19:56Speaker 1: the ceasefire about Gaza.
- 19:59Speaker 3: Involved and the international coalition.
- 20:01Speaker 1: That was going to disband Haramas and disarm them, and
- 20:05Speaker 1: that never happened. Well, the idea here is maybe America
- 20:08Speaker 1: will help Lebanon to disarm Arisbela and Lebanon ain't happening.
- 20:17Speaker 1: It's not gonna happen. It will never happen. The only people,
- 20:20Speaker 1: the only military in the world that actually has the
- 20:23Speaker 1: incentive and the ability to disband and disarm Ramas and
- 20:31Speaker 1: Rizabella is Israel. Lebanese army won't do it, and the
- 20:37Speaker 1: American army is not going to do it.
- 20:38Speaker 3: They don't have the incentives.
- 20:41Speaker 1: And the Lebanese army doesn't have the capacity capability is
- 20:45Speaker 1: what can do it? Just leave it alone. Trump is
- 20:49Speaker 1: so obsessed with deals and cease fires, and so he's
- 20:54Speaker 1: got Nittaniel coming to Washington, and he wants to invite
- 20:58Speaker 1: the President of Lebanon, Joseph Anoon A Won, to come
- 21:03Speaker 1: to the White House to meet and try to cut
- 21:07Speaker 1: a peace deal. But I mean, no peace steel is
- 21:13Speaker 1: possible until Risabela is dismantled.
- 21:16Speaker 3: And a Won knows this.
- 21:18Speaker 1: He knows that if he signs a peace deal with Israel,
- 21:21Speaker 1: Isabella will kill him anyway. Trump might twist his arm
- 21:26Speaker 1: and he might sign such a deal, and then what
- 21:28Speaker 1: you still have the problem Risbella, Chrisbellah's not going to
- 21:31Speaker 1: pay attention to the peace deal. They don't care. And
- 21:35Speaker 1: I mean time, Risbela keeps violating the ceasefire, Israel keeps responding,
- 21:41Speaker 1: just like Ian is violating the cease fire.
- 21:44Speaker 3: America doesn't respond.
- 21:46Speaker 1: Even these cease fires are not real cease fires.
- 21:49Speaker 3: They're not.
- 21:51Speaker 1: The other side is not expected to abide by them.
- 21:54Speaker 1: They're just a way of stopping Israel and the United States.
- 21:58Speaker 1: So I'm actually winning. It's just a way of handcuffing
- 22:02Speaker 1: the good guys, and the bad guys don't pay attention
- 22:05Speaker 1: to it anyway. Anyway, Israel is using this time to
- 22:12Speaker 1: basically flatten the area that they have taken in the
- 22:18Speaker 1: south of Lebanon. They're demolishing whole villages, destroying every building there,
- 22:25Speaker 1: leveling it all so that they can never be used
- 22:28Speaker 1: again to attack Israel. I mean, Israel's nightmare scenario is
- 22:35Speaker 1: I don't know, you know, it's October seventh, is imagine,
- 22:41Speaker 1: I don't know, twenty fifty thousand, I don't know Shia
- 22:46Speaker 1: Lebanese Risbella members and affiliates just rushing the northern border,
- 22:52Speaker 1: entering Israel and starting to slaughter people in their homes.
- 22:57Speaker 1: Imagine if that happens as Syria on the Egyptian border.
- 23:02Speaker 1: It's just a mass, the mass, and if it now,
- 23:06Speaker 1: if Israel's prepared, that's easy.
- 23:08Speaker 3: So what Israel has today, and this is.
- 23:12Speaker 1: The strategic advantage it has gained since October seventh, since
- 23:16Speaker 1: the war. Is now has a buffer zone in Gaza.
- 23:20Speaker 1: It controls much of Gaza, about fifty percent it controls.
- 23:24Speaker 1: It has a buffer zone in Syria. It has a
- 23:27Speaker 1: whole region in Syria which it controls directly, and a
- 23:31Speaker 1: whole region in Syria that it controls indirectly through the Jews,
- 23:36Speaker 1: the Jews minority that lived there that aligned with Israel.
- 23:39Speaker 1: And now it has this big buffer zone in Lebanon,
- 23:43Speaker 1: in the south of Lebanon, which provides them a buffer
- 23:48Speaker 1: with Rizabela. So again, Israel is doing everything that it can,
- 23:54Speaker 1: everything that it can to create a buffer zone owes
- 24:01Speaker 1: so that it can't be overwhelmed by civilians, by civilians.
- 24:10Speaker 1: So if only Trump would leave Israel alone, then Israel
- 24:18Speaker 1: could get to the business of actually winning this and
- 24:22Speaker 1: finishing it. Right now, they're about one point two million
- 24:25Speaker 1: Lebanese that have been displaced because of the fighting, most
- 24:29Speaker 1: of them in the south.
- 24:30Speaker 3: Basically the South.
- 24:31Speaker 1: Israel told all the civilians and sought to leave, and
- 24:35Speaker 1: then they're flattening whole towns and villages that particularly the
- 24:39Speaker 1: towns and villages that were inhabited by the Shiite the
- 24:44Speaker 1: Shade affiliated with Hisbella. And then this sys nothing to
- 24:52Speaker 1: with a great Ari Israel project that is completed, not
- 24:54Speaker 1: a bullshit Israel. He's not going to set all those areas.
- 24:58Speaker 1: This is just a buffer zone. Israel has no ambition
- 25:01Speaker 1: to take and make southern Lebanon part of Israel, or
- 25:05Speaker 1: to make uh you know, a Seria part of Lebanon Israel,
- 25:09Speaker 1: or to make any of these or to any of
- 25:11Speaker 1: these regions part of Israel. The only ambition Israel has
- 25:15Speaker 1: is to protect it civilians and to create a buffer
- 25:18Speaker 1: z own against people who are dedicated and committed.
- 25:22Speaker 3: To slaughtering them.
- 25:24Speaker 1: Right, Israel does not engage in offensive wars. It was
- 25:31Speaker 1: a wars of self defense anyway, or and the rest
- 25:37Speaker 1: of the rest of the one point two million those
- 25:39Speaker 1: who are not from the south of Lebanon are from neighborhoods.
- 25:42Speaker 1: She had neighborhoods in Beirut, which Israel has also pummeled
- 25:47Speaker 1: from the air, where Isbela has its bunkers and bases
- 25:52Speaker 1: and commanding control centers and so on.
- 25:58Speaker 3: As not a next west go Gaza.
- 26:00Speaker 1: And indeed the West Bank and Gaza are bastions of
- 26:05Speaker 1: millions of people who are committed to the destruction of Israel. Says, yeah,
- 26:12Speaker 1: there's settler violence. That settler violence is bad. They should
- 26:15Speaker 1: all go to jail if they're committing violence. But setler
- 26:18Speaker 1: violence is nothing, It's it's trivial as compared to Palestinian
- 26:26Speaker 1: violence against Israel, particularly Palestinian violence against Israel. If you
- 26:30Speaker 1: take away the roadblocks, if you take away the restriction travel,
- 26:33Speaker 1: if you allow them into Israel, you know, they would slaughter, destroy,
- 26:38Speaker 1: you know, rape, pillage, they would do October seventh all
- 26:41Speaker 1: over again. So, yeah, settler violence is horrific, But settler
- 26:45Speaker 1: violence is a trivial issue when you consider the big
- 26:48Speaker 1: picture of the Israeli Palestinian issue. All right, let's see. Yeah,
- 26:59Speaker 1: in the meantime, uh, you know, the UE is struggling.
- 27:04Speaker 1: They have no export revenue. They you know, subsidize the
- 27:08Speaker 1: economy one hundred percent from oil and natural gas.
- 27:12Speaker 3: This is how they make money.
- 27:13Speaker 1: There's no other way, and it's it's it's one hundred
- 27:16Speaker 1: percent export economy. So everything is dependent on being able
- 27:19Speaker 1: to go through the through the Straits of Homodes. They
- 27:22Speaker 1: have a pipeline that can get to the Gulf of Roman,
- 27:25Speaker 1: but it's it's a fraction of what they usually ship.
- 27:29Speaker 1: And they are they have liquidity problems, they have commitments
- 27:34Speaker 1: and the short ended dollars, the short enned dollars right now.
- 27:39Speaker 1: Uh so they've come to the United States and and
- 27:42Speaker 1: asked for basically a bailout. Uh So, I'll just respond
- 27:52Speaker 1: to this quickly and then we'll go on. Aime says,
- 27:54Speaker 1: nothing ever happens to them. We have videos of soldiers
- 27:56Speaker 1: consistently backing them up. You have some videos, but I
- 28:00Speaker 1: also have news reports and videos of them going to jail.
- 28:04Speaker 1: So consistently Israeli courts find them guilty and send them
- 28:09Speaker 1: to jail. And there is a massive internal debate within
- 28:13Speaker 1: Israel about how to suppress settler violence in the West Bank.
- 28:20Speaker 1: There is no debate, no discussion, no discussion at all
- 28:24Speaker 1: within the Palestinian authority about what to do about gihad's
- 28:29Speaker 1: about suicide bombers, I mean, other than hail them as
- 28:34Speaker 1: massive heroes and defenders. These settlers who attack Palestinians are
- 28:41Speaker 1: considered pariahs in Israel. They could you know, a vast
- 28:44Speaker 1: majority of Israelis think that they are criminals and should
- 28:48Speaker 1: go to jail. The vast majority of Palestinians think they
- 28:51Speaker 1: should be more suicide bombers and more people raping and
- 28:55Speaker 1: pillaging Israelis. So I mean, the contrast is so dramatic
- 29:01Speaker 1: that to try to somehow present Israel in the Palestinians
- 29:05Speaker 1: as as some kind of model equation even the settlers.
- 29:09Speaker 4: Is.
- 29:11Speaker 1: Pathetic, ignorant, evasive, And because it's evasive, ultimately more so,
- 29:23Speaker 1: as I said, UE wants to bail out, you AE
- 29:27Speaker 1: wants to bail out, and uh and uh, Bessett is saying, yeah,
- 29:36Speaker 1: you know, we we might create a swap line, just
- 29:38Speaker 1: like they did with a member the the bailout of
- 29:41Speaker 1: kind of not a bailout, but a supporting mechanism for
- 29:44Speaker 1: Milay before the election, where the United States providing hum
- 29:48Speaker 1: with dollars to a swap deal. Are they're going to
- 29:50Speaker 1: do the same thing in the golf They're going to
- 29:53Speaker 1: provide it to golf states, to provide them with dollars
- 29:58Speaker 1: as a short run way to tide them over because
- 30:01Speaker 1: of their you know, shortage of currency.
- 30:04Speaker 3: So the United.
- 30:04Speaker 1: States not only is you know, moving away from I
- 30:11Speaker 1: don't know, freedom and capitalism stuff like that domestically, but
- 30:15Speaker 1: internationally it's becoming the bailout capital of the world.
- 30:18Speaker 3: We're going around bailing everybody else.
- 30:20Speaker 1: I mean, people complain about the three billion dollars is
- 30:24Speaker 1: all gets a year? Peopt eight billion dollars is well
- 30:25Speaker 1: gets a year, And I'm all with you, yeah, you know,
- 30:28Speaker 1: shut it down. But in caparison, what's happening is not
- 30:33Speaker 1: that being shut down. The trumpet deministation is doing the opposite.
- 30:36Speaker 1: It is. You know, people used to say, we shouldn't
- 30:39Speaker 1: be the policeman of the world. We shouldn't be the
- 30:41Speaker 1: the you know, we shouldn't have fallen aid, we shouldn't.
- 30:46Speaker 1: But now not only do we continue the fall and
- 30:48Speaker 1: AID and it's shrunk, barely shrunk at all, even with DOGE.
- 30:54Speaker 1: Now we're bailing everybody out. Now we're creating dollar swap
- 30:58Speaker 1: lines all over the place to protect people's finances.
- 31:02Speaker 3: I mean, it's not like the UAEU is poor.
- 31:05Speaker 1: It's you know, to get dollars, they would have to
- 31:08Speaker 1: sell some assets like stocks and bonds and maybe some
- 31:12Speaker 1: hot assets and private equity. I don't know where all
- 31:15Speaker 1: their money is, but the US government would prefer to
- 31:19Speaker 1: give them a bailout than to actually ask them to
- 31:24Speaker 1: do any of that. All right, So, yes, there's all
- 31:30Speaker 1: Lebanese ceaes fire extended for three weeks, Trump tells us.
- 31:34Speaker 3: And that is where we are. All right, Let's see
- 31:37Speaker 3: what else is.
- 31:38Speaker 1: Going on in the world away from the Middle East. Yeah,
- 31:45Speaker 1: Fed Reserve. Remember a few weeks ago, we talked about
- 31:49Speaker 1: the fact, maybe a couple of months ago, that the
- 31:53Speaker 1: Justice Department was U engaged in a criminal probe of
- 31:59Speaker 1: fed Sham and Powell regarding the renovation project, the renovation
- 32:06Speaker 1: of the Federals.
- 32:07Speaker 3: A building in Washington, d C.
- 32:10Speaker 1: And it was clear, as I said at the time,
- 32:13Speaker 1: that the point of that investigation was to put pressure
- 32:19Speaker 1: on Powell, who was criminally as an individual being probed,
- 32:24Speaker 1: to put pressure on him to resign. That there was
- 32:27Speaker 1: no merit to this probe there was no justification. And
- 32:31Speaker 1: Powell came out with the press comp with the statement,
- 32:33Speaker 1: and you talked about it, and he said, I'm not
- 32:36Speaker 1: going to resign, you know, in the sense sue me,
- 32:39Speaker 1: go after me. I've got nothing to hide. But it
- 32:42Speaker 1: was obvious that this was the Justice Department doing what
- 32:45Speaker 1: the Justice Department after the Trump does, which is being
- 32:48Speaker 1: one hundred percent, one hundred percent politicized and used political means.
- 33:00Speaker 1: Trump is unhappy with Powell. Trump Justice Bottomer goes after Powell.
- 33:08Speaker 1: There was no merit to the case, no basis for it. Anyway,
- 33:11Speaker 1: some Republicans realize this, and you know, U Republicans basically
- 33:19Speaker 1: said Tom tell Us specifically, the North Carolina Republican basically said, look,
- 33:27Speaker 1: I'm not gonna I'm not gonna vote for Powell's replacement.
- 33:33Speaker 3: I'm not gonna vote for.
- 33:34Speaker 1: Powell's replacement until you resolve this investigation, until you make
- 33:39Speaker 1: this investigation go away, until you make this investigation go away.
- 33:46Speaker 1: So tell Us basically said, I am going to block
- 33:51Speaker 1: your the replacement Trump Powell's term. Powell's term ends May fifteenth,
- 33:59Speaker 1: and uh Trump is appointed or nominated. Uh wash is
- 34:06Speaker 1: Kevin Wash. I think it's Kevin Wash uh to replace him,
- 34:11Speaker 1: and tell Us the said, I'm going to block him
- 34:14Speaker 1: until you get rid of this stupid thing going after Powell. Right. Anyway,
- 34:22Speaker 1: wash had his first hueing in the Senate on Tuesday.
- 34:26Speaker 1: Uh and uh, you know, Republicans praised him as they
- 34:31Speaker 1: always do, and Democrats were worried that he would just
- 34:35Speaker 1: that he was not independent of Trump and would he
- 34:37Speaker 1: just do Trump's bidding? And he claimed no, He's independent.
- 34:41Speaker 1: And so we'll see, right, we'll see how quickly, you know.
- 34:46Speaker 1: But again tell Us was holding it up and and
- 34:48Speaker 1: Tili said, you know, so the investigation into Powell I
- 34:55Speaker 1: was around the two point five billion dollar building innovation
- 34:59Speaker 1: U the Trump was critical of. I have to say, right,
- 35:03Speaker 1: two and a half billion, billion billion dollar renovation, that's
- 35:08Speaker 1: a bigger renovation. I mean the government, our government has
- 35:13Speaker 1: this ability to spend money in billions and trillions, and
- 35:18Speaker 1: as if it's nothing, as if it's nothing anyway. She
- 35:30Speaker 1: So anyway, today the Justice Department announced that they were
- 35:36Speaker 1: withdrawing the probe. The probe they said, well, renew it
- 35:43Speaker 1: if we have to, but for now they're removing it.
- 35:49Speaker 1: Right now. The reason for the probe is they've been
- 35:52Speaker 1: cost overruns. It was estimated with one point nine billion.
- 35:56Speaker 1: It's two point five billion. Surprise supplies. Government is spending
- 35:59Speaker 1: more than a planned on something. But yeah, anyway, this
- 36:06Speaker 1: is this happened today, so that the probe is gone.
- 36:12Speaker 1: Kevin Walsh will be approved as Chairman of the FED
- 36:17Speaker 1: in the weeks to come, probably in time or a
- 36:20Speaker 1: little bit after when Powell is supposed to step down,
- 36:24Speaker 1: and he will be Powell's successor. Kevin Wosh if he
- 36:30Speaker 1: can stay in dependent of Trump, is not an awful nominee.
- 36:36Speaker 1: He seems to be pretty smart, you know. Chairman of
- 36:42Speaker 1: the Central Planning Committee of money is never going to
- 36:47Speaker 1: be good in a sense of never going to get
- 36:50Speaker 1: it right, because you can't. It's central planning, and central
- 36:53Speaker 1: planning can't get anything right. But you can be worse
- 36:56Speaker 1: and you can be better. And he might be on
- 36:58Speaker 1: the better side if he can stay in the Trump
- 37:00Speaker 1: We will see, We will see, all right. It looks
- 37:07Speaker 1: like their way out is that just as Bottomer basically said,
- 37:12Speaker 1: the Fed's Inspector General is going to look into this.
- 37:14Speaker 1: We don't have to could have done that from the beginning.
- 37:18Speaker 1: But of course, the whole point was to intimidate intimidate Powell. Yeah,
- 37:27Speaker 1: so on the betting boards, on the betting boards and
- 37:31Speaker 1: the prediction markets. It now has them has Kevin Walsh
- 37:36Speaker 1: having eighty six percent chance of being confirmed a Sherman
- 37:40Speaker 1: of the Fed by May fifteenth. When he is confirmed,
- 37:43Speaker 1: we'll talk more about Kevin Walsh and his history, all right.
- 37:48Speaker 1: Remember the story we talked about of among Donnie in
- 37:53Speaker 1: New York going out and talking about placing a new
- 37:57Speaker 1: tax him and him and Hockel, the governor of New
- 38:03Speaker 1: York talked about a new tax on homes in New
- 38:10Speaker 1: York City valued at more than five million dollars, with
- 38:15Speaker 1: the people owning it didn't use it as their main residence,
- 38:18Speaker 1: that is, they didn't live there full time. And it
- 38:22Speaker 1: turns out when he did this, when he did his
- 38:24Speaker 1: TikTok or whatever video announcing this, he did it. Within
- 38:30Speaker 1: the background was Kevin ken Griffin's penthouse. Ken Griffin has
- 38:37Speaker 1: bought a penthouse in Manhattan for two hundred and thirty
- 38:42Speaker 1: eight million dollars a few years ago. It is the
- 38:46Speaker 1: highest price ever paid for residents in the United States,
- 38:52Speaker 1: maybe in the world, I don't know, basilly in the
- 38:54Speaker 1: United States. Two hundred and thirty eight million dollars for
- 38:57Speaker 1: a penthouse in New York, and.
- 39:04Speaker 3: He doesn't live in New York.
- 39:05Speaker 1: Ken Griffin, originally from Chicago, started Citadel hedge Fund in Chicago,
- 39:12Speaker 1: became one of the most successful hedge fund managers in history,
- 39:18Speaker 1: a billionaire many many times.
- 39:20Speaker 3: Over A few years.
- 39:22Speaker 1: Ago, moved moved Citadel from Chicago, which was becoming oppressive
- 39:29Speaker 1: regulatory wise, tax wise, in every respect, and his residents
- 39:34Speaker 1: moved him to Miami. So he has built the new
- 39:38Speaker 1: headquarters for Citadel is in now Miami. He himself has
- 39:41Speaker 1: moved and lives in Miami, and he has this home
- 39:45Speaker 1: that he bought a two ndred thirty eight million, and
- 39:47Speaker 1: now mum Danny wants to tax it. It's a twenty
- 39:51Speaker 1: four thousand square foot penthouse. That's about a good size.
- 39:55Speaker 1: That's a good size for a house, right, twenty four
- 39:56Speaker 1: thousand square foot for those of you in Europe, that
- 40:00Speaker 1: is about two thousand square meters, right, It's good, good size,
- 40:06Speaker 1: good size. Right. Anyway, Mamdanni was obviously referring to him
- 40:12Speaker 1: when he said he was going to impose this tax
- 40:15Speaker 1: the penthouses in to twenty Central Park South uh and yeah,
- 40:21Speaker 1: it turns out he brought in twenty nineteen, twenty nineteen,
- 40:24Speaker 1: and at the time it was a record for the
- 40:26Speaker 1: most ever bought. Anyway, Griffin yesterday had the COO of
- 40:37Speaker 1: Sidadel kind of put out a statement defending Ken Griffin
- 40:46Speaker 1: and you know, threatening Mamdanni, a little bit threatening Mamdanni,
- 40:53Speaker 1: who can play at this? Ken Griffin is saying, here's
- 40:57Speaker 1: the quote from the letter. We're about to commence development
- 41:02Speaker 1: of three hundred and fifty Park Avenue, creating six thousand
- 41:06Speaker 1: highly paid construction jobs and supporting the creation of more
- 41:09Speaker 1: than fifteen thousand permanent jobs in Midtown, New York. The
- 41:13Speaker 1: project if we moved forward. Noticed that if we moved forward,
- 41:19Speaker 1: will entail more than six billion dollars of spending. In
- 41:25Speaker 1: other words, we might not move forward if you start
- 41:29Speaker 1: taxing Ken Griffin's condo. We might build this somewhere else.
- 41:35Speaker 1: We don't have to build in Manhattan. So this is
- 41:43Speaker 1: an email the Griffins chief Operating Office of cent employees
- 41:49Speaker 1: at Citadel and stead of the securities, and you know,
- 41:56Speaker 1: with a veiled threat. Now this is a defense of
- 41:59Speaker 1: can differin right quote. It is shameful that he macdonne
- 42:05Speaker 1: used Ken's name as an example of those who supposedly
- 42:09Speaker 1: on carrying their fair share of the burdens associated with
- 42:13Speaker 1: New York cities, often costly and wasteful spending. In doing so,
- 42:21Speaker 1: the mayor has once again manifested the ignorance and disdain
- 42:26Speaker 1: of the elite political class towards those who are being
- 42:29Speaker 1: consistently committed to building one of the greatest.
- 42:32Speaker 3: Cities in the world.
- 42:35Speaker 1: He continues that over the past five years, Citadel Citadol
- 42:39Speaker 1: principles and team members, including non residents, have paid nearly
- 42:44Speaker 1: two point three billion dollars in city and state taxes.
- 42:49Speaker 1: He also noted that personally that they also personally directed
- 42:56Speaker 1: six hundred and fifty million in charitable gifts to support
- 43:01Speaker 1: New York City, so they also did charity. He says,
- 43:05Speaker 1: we have nearly two thousand, five hundred colleagues who have
- 43:08Speaker 1: chosen to build their careers in New York. We understand
- 43:12Speaker 1: that our hard work and success well on occasion, make
- 43:15Speaker 1: us targets for political rhetoric, but it should not diminish
- 43:19Speaker 1: the pride we have in building firms and will continue
- 43:23Speaker 1: to help New York City thrive for decades ahead. You know,
- 43:33Speaker 1: good for Griffin for defending himself. I get to my
- 43:36Speaker 1: critique of his defense in a minute. But good for
- 43:38Speaker 1: Griffin to actually standing up and defending himself, not just
- 43:41Speaker 1: rolling over, actually standing up and saying, you know I
- 43:47Speaker 1: can you know I can do I can fight back.
- 43:51Speaker 1: Now we'll talk about what a proper defense would look like.
- 43:54Speaker 1: I want to read you.
- 43:54Speaker 3: Also.
- 43:55Speaker 1: Bill Ackerman, another wealthy new this time in New yorkup
- 44:00Speaker 1: especially in solidarity with Griffin. He says, quote, we should
- 44:04Speaker 1: be applauding Ken for spending two underd and thirty eight
- 44:06Speaker 1: million in New York City, not attacking him for doing so.
- 44:09Speaker 1: This is the price he paid for the apartment. Importantly,
- 44:13Speaker 1: non resident owners of New York City apartments who leave
- 44:15Speaker 1: their apartment vacant for much of the year are not
- 44:18Speaker 1: a burden in New York City school services or other resources,
- 44:21Speaker 1: while they drive growth in retail sales, restaurants, theaters, and
- 44:25Speaker 1: other important drivers of our economy. Ken's company is a
- 44:28Speaker 1: major employer in New York City. Are very high paying
- 44:31Speaker 1: jobs which drive a considerable amount of our tax base.
- 44:35Speaker 1: We wouldn't want him to move even if more employee,
- 44:37Speaker 1: even more employees to Miami.
- 44:41Speaker 3: Now, notice how they defend themselves.
- 44:45Speaker 1: They defend themselves by saying, look, we contribute a huge
- 44:52Speaker 1: amount to the New York economy.
- 44:56Speaker 3: We're not. We're not parasites.
- 45:00Speaker 1: We build in New York, we create jobs in New York,
- 45:02Speaker 1: we pay taxes in New York, we make contributions in
- 45:05Speaker 1: New York. We are crucial to the New York economy.
- 45:11Speaker 1: Which is all true. But is that a proper model defense?
- 45:19Speaker 1: Is that a proper defense against new taxes? I mean,
- 45:30Speaker 1: the reality is that the proper defense here, which I'd
- 45:33Speaker 1: love to see somebody do. Maybe Akamen and Griffin can
- 45:38Speaker 1: hire me as a philosophical consultant for this is this
- 45:45Speaker 1: is my money. I made it, This is what I created.
- 45:53Speaker 1: Keep your goddamn hands off of it. Yes, by the way,
- 45:59Speaker 1: we create jobs. We do all this stuff in New
- 46:01Speaker 1: York because that's a choice we have made, because it's
- 46:04Speaker 1: in our self interest to do so, because we love
- 46:07Speaker 1: the city in New York, and importantly, because it's a
- 46:09Speaker 1: great place to do business and we make a lot
- 46:11Speaker 1: of money.
- 46:15Speaker 3: It's my money. I can do what I want with it.
- 46:21Speaker 3: You shouldn't be.
- 46:23Speaker 1: You know, the city of New York should be shrinking
- 46:26Speaker 1: it's expenditures not increasing, it's immoral.
- 46:32Speaker 3: Redistribution of wealth.
- 46:36Speaker 1: I mean, I wish Griffin and Eckerman and all these
- 46:38Speaker 1: others recognize this is an issue of rights, as an
- 46:43Speaker 1: issue of morality, as an issue of thievery.
- 46:51Speaker 3: This is my money.
- 46:54Speaker 1: I mean, this whole idea of the billionaires leaving California
- 46:59Speaker 1: so that they don't have to pay taxes. I mean good,
- 47:03Speaker 1: and California deserves them leaving. But their argument should be,
- 47:08Speaker 1: you have no right to my wealth. You have no
- 47:11Speaker 1: right to continuously constantly tax away and steal my stuff.
- 47:17Speaker 3: I created this, This is mine.
- 47:22Speaker 1: I shouldn't have to move away from a city, or
- 47:25Speaker 1: a state, or a country because of thugs like you.
- 47:34Speaker 1: This is an issue of my right to my life.
- 47:41Speaker 1: King Griffin is not saying the same basic things. He's
- 47:45Speaker 1: not saying it's my right. He's not saying it's my money.
- 47:48Speaker 1: He's implying it. He's hinting at it, but he's not
- 47:50Speaker 1: saying it, which is weak. He's saying I contribute a lot.
- 47:57Speaker 1: I give back. Look how many jobs I create, and
- 48:01Speaker 1: and if you, if you tax me, I'll stop giving.
- 48:04Speaker 3: I'll stop.
- 48:05Speaker 1: But that's not the point. The point is I should
- 48:08Speaker 1: be able to I want to build in New York
- 48:10Speaker 1: because New York is a great place to build, do business.
- 48:13Speaker 1: Keep your hands off my money, my money. No, he's
- 48:17Speaker 1: not saying that I like numbers. I mean, I wish
- 48:21Speaker 1: that's what he should say, but he really isn't. There's
- 48:29Speaker 1: not a sentence there that that in any way implicitly
- 48:33Speaker 1: or explicitly suggests that.
- 48:36Speaker 3: I mean, he's even.
- 48:37Speaker 1: Got a whole thing about how much charitable giving he
- 48:40Speaker 1: does or the firm does in New York City. It's
- 48:43Speaker 1: like I give back, and you know he's already paying
- 48:51Speaker 1: way too much taxes. He's already, I mean, he's he's already.
- 48:56Speaker 1: Uh you know why Why does he have to justify
- 49:00Speaker 1: his keeping his money by saying I create jobs?
- 49:07Speaker 3: What if he didn't create jobs?
- 49:09Speaker 1: What if Ken Griffin went on strike, shut down Citadel
- 49:13Speaker 1: and kept his two hundred and thirty eight million apartment,
- 49:16Speaker 1: didn't create, didn't hire anybody, and sat on his wealth.
- 49:22Speaker 1: Then is it okay for New York to text him? No?
- 49:26Speaker 3: And that's my point.
- 49:28Speaker 1: The point is, and him says, would Mam Donnie be
- 49:33Speaker 1: more receptive to your responsive to your message? No, of
- 49:36Speaker 1: course not but that's not the point. The point is
- 49:41Speaker 1: not to convince, mam Donni. The point is to you know,
- 49:47Speaker 1: embolden your employees. This is an email sent to employees.
- 49:51Speaker 1: The point is to tell the world. The point is
- 49:55Speaker 1: to make a statement and to stop groveling and to
- 49:59Speaker 1: stop saying you're destroyers and them. You need to read
- 50:05Speaker 1: Ironman's essay on the Sanction of the Victim, which was
- 50:10Speaker 1: her last You can find her. You can find actually
- 50:14Speaker 1: you can find her delivering the speech. She delivered it
- 50:17Speaker 1: in I think it was November December nineteen eighty one
- 50:21Speaker 1: in New Orleans, and it was the final speech she
- 50:26Speaker 1: gave before she died. She died in March of nineteen
- 50:30Speaker 1: eighty two, and that was a final speech, Sanction of
- 50:33Speaker 1: the Victim. And it's about businessman who sanctioned the destroyer.
- 50:38Speaker 1: And what this is doing is it's sanctioning Mamdani.
- 50:42Speaker 3: It's saying, you know, this is too.
- 50:44Speaker 1: Much, but look how much I pay taxes already, because
- 50:46Speaker 1: I pay so much, so I'm complaining about that.
- 50:49Speaker 3: And it's about what I contribute. So uh. The point
- 51:00Speaker 3: here is not the commistional, Donni.
- 51:02Speaker 1: The point is to finally take a moral stand against
- 51:05Speaker 1: these bastards, because it's not only Mum Donny, it's Trump
- 51:09Speaker 1: and Biden and Hokil, and it's everybody. It's the entire
- 51:13Speaker 1: political class, and it's everywhere. And it's a time for
- 51:17Speaker 1: businessmen to stand up and say, keep your grubby hands
- 51:20Speaker 1: off of my stuff. It's mine. It's not societies, it's
- 51:26Speaker 1: not the general publics. And it's time to say that's
- 51:29Speaker 1: your own employees, so that they develop a backbone, they
- 51:34Speaker 1: develop a spine.
- 51:36Speaker 3: To stand up to the bastards.
- 51:40Speaker 1: And it's time that people defended their wealth creation.
- 51:44Speaker 3: None in terms of the jobs.
- 51:47Speaker 1: They created, but in terms of the productive nature of
- 51:53Speaker 1: what they've done and the wealth that they've created. Stop
- 52:00Speaker 1: talking about the public good, there's no such thing, and
- 52:04Speaker 1: start talking about your own the productive values that you've
- 52:11Speaker 1: created and the wealth you've created. Created now we distributed created.
- 52:16Speaker 3: Now.
- 52:17Speaker 1: Mamdannie can't understand that he's a socialist. For him, all
- 52:20Speaker 1: wealth is stolen like Pika from yesterday. You remember on
- 52:25Speaker 1: Pik yesterday. They steal from their employees, they steal from
- 52:29Speaker 1: the customers. They you know, it's okay to steal from
- 52:30Speaker 1: them because corporations is just thieves.
- 52:34Speaker 3: Well, it's time for corporations startups say we're not.
- 52:36Speaker 1: Thieves, we're producers of values. Your life depends on us.
- 52:40Speaker 1: Keep your hands off of the stuff we make. Keep
- 52:43Speaker 1: your hands off of the stuff we produce. And by
- 52:47Speaker 1: the way, I make billions of dollars for me, I
- 52:54Speaker 1: don't make billions of dollars so I can give it
- 52:56Speaker 1: to you. I don't make billions of dollars so I
- 52:58Speaker 1: can pay taxes. I don't pay billions of dollars so
- 53:00Speaker 1: I can make contributions. I don't make billions of dollars.
- 53:03Speaker 1: I can build, so I can high up people and
- 53:05Speaker 1: build buildings. I make billions of dollars for me, And
- 53:08Speaker 1: then how I use it my business, not yours. Stay away.
- 53:16Speaker 3: We can hope that maybe one.
- 53:18Speaker 1: Day somebody, some businessmen, will stand up and defend himself
- 53:26Speaker 1: in that way. All right. We talked a lot about
- 53:36Speaker 1: the existence of inside of trading, particularly on prediction markets.
- 53:42Speaker 1: In prediction, in these prediction markets where you know, like
- 53:47Speaker 1: polymarket Kashi, where you are betting on specific things happening,
- 53:54Speaker 1: and how many times people have made a huge amounts
- 53:58Speaker 1: of money on making predictions just before an event actually happens,
- 54:03Speaker 1: not just prediction markets, often in stock markets, oil markets,
- 54:07Speaker 1: asset markets. You're seeing this and you're seeing more of
- 54:11Speaker 1: it under Trump than ever before. Anyway, it the government
- 54:19Speaker 1: is finally doing something about it. A US soldier has
- 54:25Speaker 1: been arrested because he made bets on Madua's capture when
- 54:36Speaker 1: he was an Army Special Forces guy who knew that
- 54:41Speaker 1: they were off to capture Maduo. So just before the
- 54:44Speaker 1: missions started, he placed a thirty two thousand dollars bet
- 54:50Speaker 1: that Nicola Maduro would be captured within a you know, imminently,
- 54:55Speaker 1: within a very short period of time. And he one
- 55:01Speaker 1: four hundred thousand dollars as a consequence. And he has
- 55:14Speaker 1: now been arrested, charged in a as a civil complaint
- 55:20Speaker 1: for using classified, non public information to make wages related
- 55:25Speaker 1: to Madua's capture. He's a sergeant, I guess Gann and
- 55:31Speaker 1: Ken van Dyke.
- 55:34Speaker 3: Now, I mean, I.
- 55:36Speaker 1: Feel sorry for him because here he is using in
- 55:41Speaker 1: inside information to make four hundred thousand dollars. And it
- 55:45Speaker 1: seems like on a regular basis, officials in the Trump administration,
- 55:50Speaker 1: or Trump himself, or his children, or Whitcuff's children or
- 55:55Speaker 1: Whitcuff himself are regularly making bets that generate them hundreds
- 56:01Speaker 1: of millions of dollars in these markets, and they get nothing.
- 56:06Speaker 1: Nothing happens to them. So just before Trump announced the ceasefire, indeed,
- 56:15Speaker 1: fifteen minutes before Trump announced the latest indefinite ceasefire with Iran,
- 56:24Speaker 1: Trade has placed a four hundred and thirty million dollar
- 56:27Speaker 1: bet on oil, not four hundred thousand dollars, not thirty
- 56:35Speaker 1: three thousand, a profit of four hundred thousand, four hundred and.
- 56:40Speaker 3: Thirty million dollars.
- 56:45Speaker 1: That bet was made between seven fifty four and seven
- 56:47Speaker 1: fifty six GMT on Tuesday, Right, they sold four thousand,
- 56:57Speaker 1: two hundred and sixty lots a bread crude futures with
- 57:01Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty million dollars just fifteen minutes before
- 57:04Speaker 1: Trump announced an indefinite run ceasefire, prices of oil dropped
- 57:11Speaker 1: from one hundred and one to ninety seven and profiting,
- 57:17Speaker 1: you know, netting them a nice and nice profit of
- 57:22Speaker 1: several million dollars. Now, the same thing happened on March
- 57:28Speaker 1: twenty third, where five hundred million dollar investment call it
- 57:33Speaker 1: inside a trade was made before Trump delayed a tax
- 57:38Speaker 1: on Iranian infrastructure nine hundred and fifty million dollars on
- 57:41Speaker 1: April seventh, before two weeks is fire, and seven hundred
- 57:45Speaker 1: and sixty million on April seventeenth, a head of news
- 57:48Speaker 1: that the States of Homos would reopen to shipping, which
- 57:51Speaker 1: it never did, but the announcement caused all prices to
- 57:54Speaker 1: come down a lot. Now, clearly somebody has inside information
- 58:01Speaker 1: about what Trump is about to announce.
- 58:04Speaker 3: Somebody is in a circle is trading this.
- 58:09Speaker 1: But since it's four hundred and thirty million or five
- 58:12Speaker 1: hundred million, nine and fifty million, I mean, we're talking
- 58:14Speaker 1: about well over a billion dollars being traded, close to
- 58:17Speaker 1: actually two billion dollars, I guess that doesn't want any
- 58:23Speaker 1: arrests the poor Special Forces soldiers.
- 58:26Speaker 3: He's going to go to jail.
- 58:28Speaker 1: These big shots, big wigs part of the Trump circle,
- 58:36Speaker 1: they I guess are protected. You know, if you're part
- 58:42Speaker 1: of that, in a circle, you suffer no consequences for
- 58:45Speaker 1: the inside of trading you engage in pretty pathetic, if
- 58:50Speaker 1: you ask me, pretty pathetic. All right, that's weird why
- 59:06Speaker 1: that didn't register anyway, That's an inside the trading story.
- 59:15Speaker 1: All right.
- 59:16Speaker 3: I want to show you a video.
- 59:18Speaker 1: This video is basically suggestive of the ability the math
- 59:26Speaker 1: ability of people in this administration. Let's see if we okay,
- 59:31Speaker 1: this is a scene from the White House. I guess yesterday,
- 59:36Speaker 1: oh today, Uh, you've got RFK Jr. He's going to
- 59:40Speaker 1: be the one speaking. He's got a difficult voice. So
- 59:44Speaker 1: there is subtitle so you'll be able to read along
- 59:47Speaker 1: to see what he says. And uh, just let me
- 59:51Speaker 1: know what you think of this. Uh, both in math,
- 59:54Speaker 1: and then you'll notice something else. He says that it
- 59:56Speaker 1: is pretty upsetting as well. But but min's the math,
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: Beth simple math. This is well, it's not this tradition subjection.
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: This is division, division and percentages. Notice the abilities of
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: the Trump administration. Uh, all right, here we go. Let
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: me press play me.
- 1:00:20Speaker 3: If you can't hear it, let me know.
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: I was reminded when the President was speaking of a
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: conversation that I had yesterday with one of the Democratic
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: senators who was questioning me during the hearing, and she
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: was ridiculing President Trump for his math, and she was saying,
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: isn't mathematically impossible to have it a drug drop by
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: six cost, which she had claimed, And I said, well,
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: if the drug was one hundred dollars and it raised
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: the price of six hundred dollars, that would be a
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: six hundred percent rise.
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: If it drops from six hundred to one.
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: Hundred, that's a six hundred saying, and the president you
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: is that mathematical device. He illustrates the magnitude of the
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: theft that has been happening against our country and our people.
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: As he said, I was.
- 1:01:15Speaker 3: All right, here, here's the math.
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: Right, So if a drug price goes up from one
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: hundred to six hundred, RFK tells us that is increased
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: in price by six hundred percent. Now even that is
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: not true. Math people, math division percentages. Even that is
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: not true. That is five hundred percent, right, It's not
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: six hundred percent. It's five hundred percent six hundred minus
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: one hundred divided by one hundred. It went up five
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: hundred percent. Okay, that's a small era. He misspoke, No
- 1:01:55Speaker 1: big deal. He's only Health and Human Services secretary. Is
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: not like science. Go oh wait a minute, they do science,
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: they fund anyway, it doesn't matter. He's Health in Human Services, right,
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: so we can forgive that. That's just maybe misspoken. But
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: then he says, when device goes from six hundred to
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: one hundred, that is a saving of six hundred percent,
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: because it was an increase of six hundred and therefore,
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: if you do away with it, that's a saving of
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: six hundred percent. Now, with all due respect, that is
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: pretty stupid, moronic, in basilic, and ignorant.
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: But he's only health.
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: And human services. Because when you if you you know,
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: you go for six hundred to one hundred, that's an
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: eighty three point three percent decrease one hundred minus six
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: hundred divided by six hundred times one hundred to get
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: the percentages, that's eighty three point three percent. It's not
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: that hard. It's basic math you learn in I don't
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: know when do you learn this. Maybe some of you
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: can tell me when you learn this fifth grade, sixth grade,
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: maybe ninth grade, eighth grade, I don't know. It seems
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: like this comes before algebra. It's not difficult. If the
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: drug price goes from one hundred to zero, that is
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: one hundred percent decline, one hundred percent decline. A six
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: hundred percent decline would mean that the drug price went negative,
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: literally negative. The drug companies will pay you to take
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: the drug. And Trump has said this often. Trump has
- 1:03:49Speaker 1: used this math often. Trump is a is a economic
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: and mathematical mobid, so it's not surprising. He's often said, oh,
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: one hundreds of percent, one thousand percent, six hundred about talus,
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: about other things, decline drug prices, six hundred percent, He's
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: often said that, And it's just it's it's it's stupid,
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: it's it's just not good math. It's just basic stuff.
- 1:04:10Speaker 1: This is not hard. Now we've got the held in
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: Human Services A. Kennedy reinforcing this and saying, oh, well.
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: But it's absolutely true. Now, note that.
- 1:04:25Speaker 1: It's hard to blame Kennedy because he is a guy
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: who is admitted that he had a worm in his brain,
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: and that the brain that the warm ate some of
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: his brain.
- 1:04:39Speaker 3: And I guess the the.
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: You know, the warm ate the reasoning part of his brain,
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: the capacity to reason, the capacity to not lie, and
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: the capacity to do basic simple math. I don't know
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: what Trump's excuse is. I think the Trump's excuses he
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: just doesn't care. Six hundred percent just sounds better. I mean,
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: imagines saying eighty three point three decline versus saying six
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: hundred percent decline. Six hundred percent is a much bigger
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: number and they form much better. So Trump's excuse is
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: he just doesn't care. He just lies just as as
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: as the thing he does. Kennedy has an excuse. The
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: excuse is the wom the woman. The woman ate his brain.
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: All right, Uh, let's see. Last issue is you know
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: everybody talks about affordability, now footability. It doesn't mean anything.
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: You know, what is affordable? What does the footable mean?
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: How do you measure fodability? Basically, what they're trying to
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: capture is this idea the things are going up in price,
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: things are getting more expensive, and people seem to have
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: difficulty affording stuff, affording things. Uh, you know, a salary
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: doesn't go as far as it used to. Everything is
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: more more expensive. So what do we do about the
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: affordability crisis? So called affordability crisis?
- 1:06:22Speaker 3: So why are things so expensive?
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: And what could we do to actually do something about,
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: you know, things that could actually reduce prices, actually make
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: things really in a real sense more affordable for people,
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: not in a sense of a so called affordability crisis.
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: But what could we do to actually make prices go down?
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: Help prices go down? Legit that most economists, or at
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: least dozens of economists would agree on. Well, Scott Linsk,
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: who's been on the show a couple of times. How
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: an editorial in in Bloomberg. I think it's in Bloomberg. Yeah,
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: in Bloomberg Opinion are covering this. And here's some of
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: his proposals, those quick proposals making things less expensive. How
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: about we eliminate input barriers, not just Trump tariffs, but
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: all tariffs.
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: Even the ones legislated by Congress.
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: But what about all the quotas and all the regulatory
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: restrictions and all the so called trade remedies and all
- 1:07:43Speaker 1: the by America rules and the Jones Act. I mean,
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: if you got rid of that, the Jones Act, the
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: Buy America rules, the tariffs, the trade restrictions, the quotas,
- 1:07:57Speaker 1: the all of that stuff, prices would tumble. Prices for
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: imported goods would go down a lot, a lot, and
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: we get a lot more imported goods that.
- 1:08:13Speaker 3: Are cheaper than the stuff we buy now.
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: And it would create competition, and it'd be innovation, and
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: we would have a faster going economy. A lot of
- 1:08:24Speaker 1: good stuff would come just from that simple, simple unilateral
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: free trade. Get rid of Jones Act, and our economy booms.
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: Has a huge impact. And then.
- 1:08:38Speaker 3: How about we get rid of state and local protectionism.
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: Licensing laws, zoning regulations, auddealer regulations, cottage food rules, all
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: these different things you know. I'll just read from Scott's article.
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: State in local protectionism does two. Occupational licensing, which covers
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: one in four workers, blocks competition and increases the price
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: of legal advice, childcare, education, home repay, and other services
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: with little quality. Premium Certificate of need laws prevent new
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: health care facilities from competing with cost air incumbent hospitals,
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: cottage food laws, food truck restrictions, and alcohol distribution regulations call.
- 1:09:25Speaker 3: Food and drink options.
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: Zoning strangles housing supply and keeps rents high. Auto dealer
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: franchise laws did I lost my point? Auto dealer franchise
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: laws by direct to consumer sales and impose a middleman
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: tax of up to five thousand dollars per vehicle, And
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: the list goes on. Protectionism, he writes, also isn't the
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: only policy making prices higher than necessity. Renewable fuel mandates
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: force corn and soybeans and the gas tanks inflating food costs.
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: Federal regulations make appliances more expensive and perversely often less efficient.
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: Immigration restrictions block construction, agriculture, childcare, elder care, and medical
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: workers in high demand, pressuring prices in those industries. True,
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: there are dozens of these supply side restrictions at all
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: levels of government, and economists support reforming many of them. Individually,
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: these changes might save households a few bucks. Collectively, they
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: could mean thousands of dollars in annual saving, Yet few
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: elected officials are willing to champion them. So, yeah, and again,
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: if I were economic whatever, dictator, whatever, these the kind
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: of things you would do. The first thing you want
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: to do if you want to make the economy move
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: the economy to a healthier footing, a right suspecting footy,
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: but us a healthier economic footing is get rid of
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: all restrictions on supply. Create a booming economy, and then
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: it's easy to get rid of the welfare state once
- 1:11:15Speaker 1: everybody has a job, once the economy is going at
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: five percent, get rid of the regulations, the controls, the
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: things that just make everything more expensive, make everything more difficult,
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: time to consumed, time and money and effort. Yeah, So
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: I encourage you to follow Scott Linds again. Check out
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: his pad and follow his other writings. He's really good
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: on these policy economic policy issues. All right, Yes, that
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: is the news for this Friday, April twenty fourth.
- 1:11:57Speaker 3: Thanks for listening.
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: I appreciate it, appreciate it. Yes, I mean economic dictators
- 1:12:05Speaker 1: don't think that way, and I wouldn't want to be
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: an economic dictator.
- 1:12:08Speaker 3: Don't believe in it.
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: All right. I will remind you that the show is
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: funded through contributions and support from people like you, listener support.
- 1:12:18Speaker 1: Can't have a show without you supporting it, and I
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: have goals. Goals are basically kind of minimum requirements for
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: funding the show, for paying me enough to justify the
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: time I put in preparing and delivering a daily news show,
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: plus a bunch of shows on the weekend. When I
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: do fewer shows, this last income. When I do more shows,
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: there's more income. So that's all taken into account. But
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: we've got to cover those show expenses. We got to
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: cover the time. So two hundred and fifty dollars an
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: hour is what I've said. And for those of.
- 1:12:57Speaker 3: You watching live, this is the burden you carry.
- 1:13:01Speaker 4: I guess you get a trade with me by supporting
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- 1:13:50Speaker 1: check out Patreon, Patreon dot com, patreonon dot com just
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- 1:14:12Speaker 1: show over the next over the next week on Patreon,
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: Patreon dot com. Again, you can do there two dollars
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: all the way to five, all the way to one
- 1:14:21Speaker 1: thousand dollars. At ten dollars, you get an ad free
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- 1:14:30Speaker 1: a participate on that video panel that ask me questions
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: on the AMA, which we'll have an AMA tomorrow.
- 1:14:36Speaker 3: At twelve o'clock Eastern time.
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: Tomorrow, twelve o'clock Eastern time, AMA with a video panel
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: and your questions on super Chat. At one hunt two
- 1:14:46Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars turn and fifty dollars, you get
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- 1:14:57Speaker 3: Yeah, Uh, Patreon is ideal.
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: For a thousand dollars, you can sponsor the show and
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: I will mention you as a sponsor. So those are
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: the options. Talking about sponsors, let's start with the Ironman Institute.
- 1:15:13Speaker 1: Down May Institute right now is reminding you of the
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: Atlas Shrugged Essay Contest. I don't know if you saw
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: this announcement, but the Outlas Shrugged Essay Contest now has
- 1:15:23Speaker 1: a top prize of a hundred thousand dollars. The winner
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: of the essay contest this year twenty twenty six will
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: get a hundred thousand dollars. It's going to involve an essay,
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: a verbal exam, and a presentation. You'll have to do
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: all three to win the prize. Bet. You should be
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: applying now. It's sixteen to twenty two year olds can apply.
- 1:15:50Speaker 1: Please if you are sixteen to twenty two consider doing this.
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: Go to inrand dot oak slash start here, ironran slash
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: start here. You will find information about it and yeah,
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: you know what's the downside? One hundred thousand dollars essay contest.
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: You can also find it in more information on atless
- 1:16:20Speaker 1: prize dot org, Atlasprize dot og one hundred thousand dollars.
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: And the hope is we get a lot more people
- 1:16:30Speaker 1: reading out the shrugged as a consequence of this. So
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: we're going to advertise this market this get the wood
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: out there. First prize one hundred thousand. Second price isn't bad.
- 1:16:41Speaker 1: Second price is twenty five thousand, third place ten thousand,
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: fourth and fifth place five thousand, and then there's going
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: to be several runner ups, and the runner ups get
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: one thousand dollars each. So we're talking about a massive
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: prize pool here that I think makes a lot of sense.
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: Just have been an essay, So check it out, guys,
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: check it out and yeah, answer you know that we
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: questions and you'll write and write an essay and then,
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: as I said, this whole process for determining the winners.
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: So I'm excited and I hope you know there's a
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: on the at LIS On the Athlesprize dot org you'll
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: find the rules, the official rules.
- 1:17:34Speaker 3: I mean, this is this is the real thing.
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: We we Dinat Institute probably runs the largest I say
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: contest in the world, so we do. We do this
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: often and we know we can't have this down, but
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: this is new. The kind of scale of the prizes
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: is definitely new. The let's see, UH alex Epstein is
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: the world authority on US our fuels and on environmentalism
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: and UH climate change and all the rest of that crap.
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: He's also getting into writing a lot about AI. I
- 1:18:15Speaker 1: think he's like, he's a defendive energy right now, but
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: the next industry he's going to be defending is AI.
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: So I encourage you guys to follow him alex Epstein
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: dot Substack dot com, alex Epstein dot com. You'll learn
- 1:18:31Speaker 1: a lot. And now with AI. I'm looking forward to
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: reading the essays on AI. I don't know that you know,
- 1:18:36Speaker 1: I'm sure there's a ton for me to learn on that.
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: And Alex is way ahead of many people on the
- 1:18:41Speaker 1: AI fund. He has an alex Ai as an alex
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: Ai pro. I mean, what this thing does is pretty amazing,
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: really really really impressive.
- 1:18:53Speaker 3: So yeah, check it out. Check it out.
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: Uh Michael Williams Defenders of Capitalism dot com. Defenders of
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: Capitalism dot com. Uh, He and I often go out
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: there to speak about capitalism. Defend capitalists seminars talks, long, short,
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: all kinds of formats.
- 1:19:13Speaker 3: I'll be doing something in Austin.
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: Where you know, I'm gonna do a whole seminar on capitalism.
- 1:19:18Speaker 3: We're doing it in We do it regularly in Denver.
- 1:19:22Speaker 1: You too can hire us to come and present on
- 1:19:26Speaker 1: capitalism to you know, your group. Uh, so consider doing that.
- 1:19:32Speaker 1: Check out Defenders of Capitalism dot Com. Finally, hand a
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: shot Wealth, hendershout Wealth dot com slash ybs handersh our Wealth.
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: They have all kinds of investment solutions uh that are.
- 1:19:45Speaker 3: Uh, that are worthwhile, uh.
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: That uh I think really help you gain a you know,
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: a kind of a big picture understanding of your financial
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: situation and then protect you from various taxes.
- 1:20:04Speaker 3: Particularly they've got a product. They can protect you from
- 1:20:07Speaker 3: capital gains taxes.
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: If you're selling you know, some really appreciated stock, or
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: you're selling a business, check it out check out hand
- 1:20:17Speaker 1: a shot with two t's weal dot com slash ybs.
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: You can also find the interview I did with Robert
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: hand a shot on my.
- 1:20:25Speaker 3: YouTube channel.
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: On the playlists subscribe the subscriber this sorry sponsor playlist,
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: you'll find that video. All right, thank you guys, thanks
- 1:20:41Speaker 1: to all the super shadows.
- 1:20:42Speaker 3: Let's jump in with questions.
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: All right, we'll start with selfie subscriber fifty dollars, thank yourself.
- 1:20:48Speaker 3: Oh, we've got a bunch.
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: Of of what do you call it, A bunch of
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: people who just did stickers without asking a question. So
- 1:21:03Speaker 1: let me thank them quickly. Testa thank you for the
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: twenty dollars. Really appreciate that. Gail, thank you, Flood and Nick,
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: thank you, and let's see Mary Eileen, thank you, and
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: I thought I saw let's see ESIV thank you, and
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: apple Jack thank you. Yeah, this is great. Thank you
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: guys for the stickers. You can still do stickers. Were
- 1:21:30Speaker 1: wait below where we need to be for our goal?
- 1:21:34Speaker 1: So like we're twohndred sixty four short of our second hour. Now,
- 1:21:37Speaker 1: selfie subscriber, it looks like you did a sticker, but
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: I guess it didn't really register.
- 1:21:43Speaker 3: I don't know if.
- 1:21:44Speaker 1: You retracted it, deleted it, or if it went through
- 1:21:48Speaker 1: or didn't go through.
- 1:21:50Speaker 3: I don't knows.
- 1:21:51Speaker 1: I don't know if if that fifty dollars counts or not.
- 1:21:54Speaker 1: But in any case, thank you, And I know you've
- 1:21:56Speaker 1: asked a fifty dollars question, so thank you.
- 1:21:58Speaker 3: We're still let's just see that that did go through.
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: So it's still about two hundred fourteen dollars short of
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: our second hour goal. So stickers one dollar, two dollars,
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: one hundred dollars, anything really really helps chip away and
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: to get us to the goal we need to get.
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: Thank you, friend Harper for a twenty dollars sticker that
- 1:22:16Speaker 1: really helps start. We chip away at a twenty dollars
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: twenty dollars. Twenty dollars doesn't take too many of you
- 1:22:21Speaker 1: to get there. Ten twenty dollars. That's two hundred and
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: we're done. So are there ten people out there? Of
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty eight hundred and thirty people watching
- 1:22:30Speaker 1: right now that would be willing to contribute twenty dollars
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: to the run book show to keep it going, all right,
- 1:22:40Speaker 1: selfie subscriber fifty bucks, Thank you. Do you think it's
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: possible for politician to be trustworthy?
- 1:22:50Speaker 3: I mean probably not.
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: I think the reality I mean it's possible, I guess,
- 1:22:56Speaker 1: But the reality is that in order to become a politician,
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: there's so many sleazy things you have to do, so
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: many compromises, you have to make, so many ways in
- 1:23:09Speaker 1: which you have to sell your soul. Then it becomes
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: very difficult for you to hold.
- 1:23:15Speaker 3: On even if you are start out.
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: As a good person. And you can see people who
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: start out their political life and they seem like good people,
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: and then it just erodes them because they're constantly facing
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: situations of where they in order to achieve anything, or
- 1:23:34Speaker 1: at least be perceived as achieving anything, in order to
- 1:23:37Speaker 1: get re elected, in order.
- 1:23:39Speaker 3: To just survive.
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: I think in Congress they have to compromise and they
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: have to sell their soul. They have to, you know,
- 1:23:48Speaker 1: and I think it's inevitable. And at some point all
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: of them become cynical and they lie more and more,
- 1:23:58Speaker 1: and they become less and less trustworthy. So I think
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: some politicians start out being that way trustworthy, but I
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: don't know if any that have managed to sustain it
- 1:24:08Speaker 1: and maintain it.
- 1:24:10Speaker 3: The power corrupts.
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: Power corrupts political power, and the more political power you have,
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: the more it corrupts, and the closer you are to
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: political power, the more you get corrupted. Stephen Harper, thank
- 1:24:31Speaker 1: you for the sticker. Really appreciate it.
- 1:24:36Speaker 3: All right, So we are now.
- 1:24:40Speaker 1: Let's say, one point fifty four away from our goal. Michael,
- 1:24:46Speaker 1: why do you think it is that hundreds of thousands,
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: if not millions of people have seen your videos or
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: debates online and haven't subscribed to your channel or at
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: least become curious about objectivism because they find what I
- 1:25:01Speaker 1: say you're pugnant, because they reject it and they don't
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: agree with it, and they dislike it. And yeah, I mean,
- 1:25:08Speaker 1: there's no question in my mind because I know this,
- 1:25:11Speaker 1: because I know some of my videos, some of my
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: short videos, have reached millions of people. Some my long videos,
- 1:25:18Speaker 1: like my debates, have reached hundreds of thousands of people.
- 1:25:23Speaker 1: And that's only in the platforms where I can easily
- 1:25:25Speaker 1: measure so easily millions.
- 1:25:27Speaker 3: Of people have encountered my content.
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: I mean, I had a couple of leftists at the
- 1:25:32Speaker 1: Denver debate that I did recently who came up to me.
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: They were leftists and they said they'd seen my videos,
- 1:25:37Speaker 1: they knew who I was. They appreciated what I did,
- 1:25:40Speaker 1: even though though they disagreed with me, they were very
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: nice about it. And they just don't agree. I'm just
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: not convincing enough. And I think partially the context of
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: knowledge is such that they they can't, they can't, won't,
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: don't want to get it. Some of you I know
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: started out as leftist, started out as new right, or
- 1:26:06Speaker 1: started out as not carrying one way or the other
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: and being convinced by me. Other people are not, and
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: they're not because of the choices that they make and
- 1:26:16Speaker 1: the context in which they come from. Many people need
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: to read Fountain and to be convinced, not hear me
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: talk about the news to be convinced. So it it's
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: the kind of content. Different people want, different content, and
- 1:26:32Speaker 1: it's the extent to which it's it's convincing and whether
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: they are open enough to be convinced. Remember a lot
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: of that. A lot of people just watch a few
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: minutes They don't watch whole shows, and they don't watch
- 1:26:48Speaker 1: several shows. So the problem with the news shows that
- 1:26:51Speaker 1: I do is if you don't know my perspective, if
- 1:26:54Speaker 1: you don't know where I'm coming from, if you haven't
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: watched shows and you haven't seen my philosophical stuff and
- 1:27:00Speaker 1: you don't connect it, then you might be turned off
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: by something I say in the news, not understanding the
- 1:27:07Speaker 1: full context because I don't provide the full context every
- 1:27:11Speaker 1: single time because I couldn't. And it's only if you
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: it's only if you.
- 1:27:18Speaker 3: Listen to.
- 1:27:22Speaker 1: A number of my shows, a lot of my shows
- 1:27:24Speaker 1: do you start gaining a context for my perspective on
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: the news. In this case, like like the war, I
- 1:27:33Speaker 1: might say, yeah, I shaid bambamah, and it sounds pretty ruthless.
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: And if you don't understand my perspective and what I've
- 1:27:39Speaker 1: written on just both theory and what I've argued, and
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: you know, you could just say yo, you said not
- 1:27:46Speaker 1: I don't. I don't have anything to do with it.
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: So it's it's difficult. This is not easy stuff. Liam
- 1:27:56Speaker 1: to clarifying your question from yesterday's show, If we are
- 1:28:00Speaker 1: if we are calm and rational and stick to facts.
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: We should be winning, but the exact opposite is happening.
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: I was referring to the objective's movement, not the one
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: you're on. Oh yeah, And I think we are and
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: rational and stick to facts, and I think we are winning.
- 1:28:18Speaker 1: So I don't get the idea that we're out winning.
- 1:28:25Speaker 1: I mean, what does many winning look like? You know,
- 1:28:30Speaker 1: it depends on your time frame. If what you mean
- 1:28:34Speaker 1: by winning is now, yeah, we're not winning now. But
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: I don't think being calm and sticking to facts means
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: winning now. I think being calm, sticking to facts means
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: winning in the long run, and I think we are
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: winning in the long run. We will win in the
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: long run. But the long run is a long run.
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: It could be fifty years, it could be one hundred years.
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: But we're growing. We have more people speaking, we're more vocal,
- 1:29:02Speaker 1: we have a bigger presence, and over time we will
- 1:29:05Speaker 1: grow and grow and grow, and ultimately we will win.
- 1:29:10Speaker 1: But if I don't consider winning tomorrow a winning in
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: four years, a winning on the timescale of politics, I
- 1:29:18Speaker 1: consider winning on the timescale of cultural change, and cultural
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: change winning is measured in generations. It's mentioned in it's
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: measured in probably centuries. I mean, think about how long
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: did it take How long did it take Aristot Ought
- 1:29:42Speaker 1: to win? Well, I mean by one measure, you know,
- 1:29:49Speaker 1: over two thousand years, from five hundred BC to four
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: hundred BC to I don't know, the Enlightenment. By another measure,
- 1:29:59Speaker 1: you could say, okay, once he was rediscovered in the West,
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: how long did it take him to win?
- 1:30:04Speaker 3: Four hundred years?
- 1:30:06Speaker 1: Right? It starts with with you know, Thomas Aquinas in
- 1:30:12Speaker 1: twelve something, and it you know, it culminates in the
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: Enlightenment five hundred years later.
- 1:30:18Speaker 3: That's the scale of winning.
- 1:30:21Speaker 1: When it comes to ideas, because the cultural change, James,
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: will there be a day coming soon when Hassan Piker,
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: nick Foyintis joined forces. I don't know. I mean partially
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: they're both narcissists and and and both narcissists and nihilists,
- 1:30:41Speaker 1: and I'm not sure they joined forces with anybody. Will
- 1:30:46Speaker 1: the undercurrents, the people who support them ultimately joined forces.
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: Will they be the same people? Yes, I think that's
- 1:30:54Speaker 1: that's already the case. I think people who listen to
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: us on Piker and nick foint Is often the same people.
- 1:31:01Speaker 1: And I think that's only going to grow. The unity
- 1:31:05Speaker 1: of the people attracted to the far left and far
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: right is going to be more and more the same people.
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: Jamie from Canada, what are three sources I can show
- 1:31:18Speaker 1: my friends to explain why one healthcare should be far superior,
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: cost efficient if companies privatized. Two Government not private enterprise
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: causes inflation. Three corporate taxes are bad sources? You know,
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I've done videos on all
- 1:31:38Speaker 1: of those. You can certainly show them those you can
- 1:31:41Speaker 1: have to find them, but they're all there. There are
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: books and free market healthcare that are useful. I don't
- 1:31:48Speaker 1: have any in the top of my head of my head,
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: but they're probably videos on that as well. But certainly
- 1:31:54Speaker 1: I've done shows on that governor private enterprise causes inflation.
- 1:31:59Speaker 1: That that is not that controversial. There are plenty of books,
- 1:32:04Speaker 1: articles econ one O one just just look up. Any
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: textbook on economics has a chapter on inflation will tell
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: you that government i e. The Federal Reserve, the central
- 1:32:18Speaker 1: Bank causes inflation. Inflation is a monetary phenomena caused by
- 1:32:23Speaker 1: penning money, and private enterprise doesn't cause it. So basically,
- 1:32:27Speaker 1: any economics textbooks will tell you that greedflation. No economic
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: textbook actually advocates for greenflation. Greedflation, and then corporate taxes
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: are bad. I mean there's again, I think I've done
- 1:32:41Speaker 1: shows on this. You just have to look them up.
- 1:32:45Speaker 1: What's his name, John Cochran, the economist John Cochrane, I
- 1:32:51Speaker 1: think has some blog posts on it that.
- 1:32:55Speaker 3: Are very good. I'm sure there are others.
- 1:32:58Speaker 1: Tyler Cowen probably has some blog posts on it. Corporate
- 1:33:01Speaker 1: taxes just don't make any sense against There are probably
- 1:33:03Speaker 1: some textbooks that will show that. But certainly there's a
- 1:33:08Speaker 1: bunch of free market economists that probably have blog posts
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: on that. All of those are pretty straightforward. The trick
- 1:33:16Speaker 1: is to on his healthcare, but again their whole books
- 1:33:18Speaker 1: on that one, and and I've done shows on that. Clark,
- 1:33:26Speaker 1: you say people don't learn from history, but Nazi Germany
- 1:33:29Speaker 1: wasn't long ago. It's a readily available example to point to.
- 1:33:34Speaker 1: Hard to believe something even approaching that direction would take
- 1:33:39Speaker 1: power in the US of all places. Yeah, but that's
- 1:33:42Speaker 1: but but it's I mean, Leni Peacock predicted it right.
- 1:33:46Speaker 1: He wrote Dominus Parallels to tell us about Dominus parallels
- 1:33:50Speaker 1: between the intellectuals in America and the kind of culture
- 1:33:54Speaker 1: they were creating, and the intellectuals in pre Nazi Germany
- 1:33:59Speaker 1: and the culture they create. So it was predictable, predictable
- 1:34:04Speaker 1: by Leonard. He wrote that book. He wrote it in
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: the seventies, that was published in the early eighties. So
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: there you go. It's you know, it's hard to believe,
- 1:34:13Speaker 1: but there. But Leonard predicted it, and it's right there,
- 1:34:17Speaker 1: and you can buy the book, and you should buy
- 1:34:19Speaker 1: the book. You should all read the book. Ominous Power
- 1:34:21Speaker 1: is by Leonard peakof brilliant so ideas, not the memory
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: of history shape the world, ideas, philosophy, and the philosophy
- 1:34:36Speaker 1: that in a sense set up the Nazis has not
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: been refuted other than by Iran. It's not being challenged.
- 1:34:46Speaker 1: It's still dominant, prevalent in parts of the world and
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: in the United States. And therefore a history can repeat itself.
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: The evil of the Nazis can come back.
- 1:35:01Speaker 3: A moment.
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: This is Stephen a Petty, a moment in the fountain
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: that always stayed with me. A potential employer tells Rock
- 1:35:09Speaker 1: he loves racquetball. Rock says he's never played, and Keating says,
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: I would have told him, I love racquetball. What is
- 1:35:17Speaker 1: this concretizing, Well, it's concretizings. Peter Keating's complete an utter secondhandedness,
- 1:35:26Speaker 1: willingness to lie and deceive in order to, you know,
- 1:35:34Speaker 1: get a client, in order to have somebody uh smile
- 1:35:39Speaker 1: at him or or or show an affinity with him.
- 1:35:48Speaker 1: So it's it's a it's a good illustration of the
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: second handedness. The rock is it's the facts, baby, It's
- 1:35:55Speaker 1: only the fact. So I'm not gonna lie to get
- 1:35:57Speaker 1: a commission. I'm not gonna lie some people like me,
- 1:36:00Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie, you know, to to chumming up
- 1:36:04Speaker 1: to a client. I'm gonna tell them the truth. Peter
- 1:36:08Speaker 1: Keating because his orientation is the other is eager to lie.
- 1:36:17Speaker 1: Dishonesty goes together with dishonesty, goes together with secondhandedness. That is,
- 1:36:28Speaker 1: placing the others views, opinions, perspectives above your own, above
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: your own judgment, not having a judgment of your own,
- 1:36:39Speaker 1: not having a character of your own, not having a
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: soul being completely determined by other people. That kind of
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: second handedness that Peter Keating has leads them to lie. Jennifer,
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: I assume you were referring to politicians. In the current environment,
- 1:37:06Speaker 1: someone has to be in government. So it was set
- 1:37:08Speaker 1: up correctly, voluntarily funded. It said that politicians could and
- 1:37:12Speaker 1: should stay good, honest people. Right, Yes, and we have
- 1:37:16Speaker 1: had certainly honest politicians. I think when government was smaller.
- 1:37:20Speaker 1: I think it's today, and I think the question was
- 1:37:22Speaker 1: referring to today.
- 1:37:23Speaker 3: Maybe not, maybe I misread it.
- 1:37:27Speaker 1: No, I mean George Washington, probably the greatest president we
- 1:37:30Speaker 1: ever had, honest tis last day, completely trustworthy. I think
- 1:37:36Speaker 1: the other founders, even though they weren't that great of
- 1:37:40Speaker 1: a president's often and compromised, they were honest people.
- 1:37:44Speaker 3: They were trustworthy Jefferson.
- 1:37:47Speaker 1: Adams, you know, and I think many of the nineteenth
- 1:37:52Speaker 1: century presidents were probably trustworthy completely. But I don't think
- 1:37:58Speaker 1: the era of big government, of unlimited government, of.
- 1:38:03Speaker 3: Conyism and and.
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: You know, pressure group politics, I don't think it's possible
- 1:38:12Speaker 1: to maintain that honesty. I don't think it's possible to
- 1:38:14Speaker 1: survive when the people expect you to do all these
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: things for them. So thanks to the correction, Jennifer. Yeah,
- 1:38:25Speaker 1: in a good system, America in its in its early years, yes,
- 1:38:32Speaker 1: you're going to get a lot of good honest politicians.
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: Not today, not today today, you get not up. All right,
- 1:38:45Speaker 1: we've got more, so we said questions. I'll remind you
- 1:38:47Speaker 1: we got about hundred dollars left, one hundred dollars to
- 1:38:50Speaker 1: get to our goal. So please consider jumping in with
- 1:38:55Speaker 1: a sticker or with a question. Five twenty dollars questions
- 1:38:59Speaker 1: and with the yeah, it's easy to fifty dollars questions
- 1:39:02Speaker 1: and we're there, five twenty dollars stickers and we're there,
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: ten ten dollars stickers and we're there, twenty five dollars
- 1:39:09Speaker 1: stickers in. We're there. It's not that hard, all right, Yeah,
- 1:39:14Speaker 1: And stickers of any amount are greatly greatly appreciated. Michael
- 1:39:18Speaker 1: asked why did cal Marx write so much about breaking
- 1:39:21Speaker 1: apart the nuclear family, because he didn't want any I
- 1:39:27Speaker 1: think he didn't want any competition to the collective that he.
- 1:39:34Speaker 3: Preferred.
- 1:39:36Speaker 1: His preference was the proletarian is the collective, and sacrifice
- 1:39:41Speaker 1: to that collective and the well being of that collective.
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: And he felt like the family drew people to a
- 1:39:50Speaker 1: more bourgeois middle class life, and it was more selfish
- 1:39:55Speaker 1: and drew you more towards a selfish life and to
- 1:40:00Speaker 1: breaking up the family allowed for more sacrifice. I think
- 1:40:05Speaker 1: I'm not a Max expert. Good question, I asked Nicos,
- 1:40:08Speaker 1: who is a Marx expert.
- 1:40:11Speaker 3: Author.
- 1:40:12Speaker 1: Interesting idea of floating around the Trump took Venezuela and
- 1:40:15Speaker 1: it's oil in order to prepare for invading Iran. I
- 1:40:18Speaker 1: don't believe that. I think he did that and because
- 1:40:23Speaker 1: it was successful and it was easy and it was quick,
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: no casualties, no real costs, simple, that emboldened him to
- 1:40:32Speaker 1: do Iran.
- 1:40:33Speaker 3: So I think it's the other way around.
- 1:40:35Speaker 1: It's the Venezuela went the way it was is what
- 1:40:38Speaker 1: emboldened him to do Iran, not understanding that Iran is
- 1:40:41Speaker 1: very different than Venezuela. Shockingly, nobody told him that it
- 1:40:48Speaker 1: was substantially different. Savanos, thank you for the twenty dollars stick.
- 1:40:52Speaker 1: I really appreciate that. That puts a dent in where
- 1:40:56Speaker 1: we're heading. And James, do the Iranians think Trump is
- 1:41:02Speaker 1: all talk or they're actually scared that he will they
- 1:41:06Speaker 1: will be wiped out? Will Trump actually give the order
- 1:41:08Speaker 1: to send ground troops. I think they fear what could
- 1:41:14Speaker 1: be coming, not in a sense of wiped out, but look,
- 1:41:18Speaker 1: they're very weak and they've taken huge losses, and more
- 1:41:23Speaker 1: bombing would really hurt them, and they know that, and
- 1:41:26Speaker 1: they're worried about it, and some of them will die,
- 1:41:28Speaker 1: and they're worried about that, even though they'll go to
- 1:41:30Speaker 1: meet the virgins. But they also think that Trump exaggerates,
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: So I don't think they take him seriously when he
- 1:41:41Speaker 1: says we'll destroy your civilization and stuff like that. Nobody
- 1:41:45Speaker 1: I think takes him seriously when he says that. Will
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: he give the order to send ground troops?
- 1:41:50Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't know.
- 1:41:52Speaker 1: I hope so, at least with the islands, but I
- 1:41:55Speaker 1: don't know. He is disinclined to do so. His inclination
- 1:41:59Speaker 1: is to deal. His inclination is.
- 1:42:04Speaker 3: Not to engage in war.
- 1:42:05Speaker 1: Remember he ran on a I want to get out
- 1:42:09Speaker 1: of the Middle East. No war was in the Middle East,
- 1:42:11Speaker 1: No was anyway, And I think he.
- 1:42:15Speaker 3: He that is his preference. Harrison.
- 1:42:22Speaker 1: If some people at Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville
- 1:42:25Speaker 1: were SPLC informants, does that mean there were very fine
- 1:42:29Speaker 1: people on both sides?
- 1:42:31Speaker 3: No, because I don't.
- 1:42:32Speaker 1: Believe that the spl C informants were good people, certainly
- 1:42:37Speaker 1: not fine people.
- 1:42:38Speaker 3: So no, I don't think so.
- 1:42:42Speaker 1: I mean, if there were informants in terms of people
- 1:42:45Speaker 1: who went in there spies.
- 1:42:48Speaker 3: But I think it's not.
- 1:42:49Speaker 1: I think it's racists who willing to give SPLC information
- 1:42:55Speaker 1: for money, betray their cause, but they still believed in
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: the cause. Thomas, what advice would you give to someone
- 1:43:07Speaker 1: who struggles with narcissism, specifically with overthinking about what other
- 1:43:13Speaker 1: people think? Well, I'm not sure that's narcissism, right, that's secondhandedness,
- 1:43:19Speaker 1: and and the advice there is, I mean, in a
- 1:43:22Speaker 1: sense to stop it. That is, you've got to try
- 1:43:26Speaker 1: to figure out why you care so much what other
- 1:43:28Speaker 1: people think. What is it about, in a sense, your
- 1:43:31Speaker 1: self esteem? What is it about your what you what
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: you subconsciously think about yourself and about your life and
- 1:43:44Speaker 1: about your values that causes you to care so much
- 1:43:48Speaker 1: about what other people think. It's a lot of introspection
- 1:43:52Speaker 1: about your values and and and uh, you know, and
- 1:43:57Speaker 1: also about what you think about your own self esteem,
- 1:44:01Speaker 1: about your place in this world and the confidence you
- 1:44:04Speaker 1: have and the the confidence you have in being able
- 1:44:09Speaker 1: to do well and be successful. But yeah, I mean
- 1:44:17Speaker 1: you've got to really think about whose life is this?
- 1:44:24Speaker 1: Other people I mean, who cares what they think? I mean,
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: you really need to start making that a premise. Who
- 1:44:31Speaker 1: cares what they think? And your emotions will fight back
- 1:44:34Speaker 1: against that. But the more you think about it, the
- 1:44:39Speaker 1: more you introspect, and the more you commit yourself to
- 1:44:42Speaker 1: I don't really care what other people think. I only
- 1:44:46Speaker 1: have one life. I mean, the bottom line is you
- 1:44:49Speaker 1: only have one life. You don't get a do over
- 1:44:55Speaker 1: any moment. You don't pursue a value because what other
- 1:45:01Speaker 1: people think you don't achieve something.
- 1:45:03Speaker 3: But what other people think.
- 1:45:05Speaker 1: Is life wasted, life gun out, the rules gone out
- 1:45:12Speaker 1: the window, right, So think about really think about what
- 1:45:20Speaker 1: that means.
- 1:45:21Speaker 3: Did you only get one shot at this?
- 1:45:22Speaker 1: Think about what it means that life is so precious.
- 1:45:28Speaker 1: Check out My Rules for Life, Uran's Rules for Life
- 1:45:31Speaker 1: the playlist on YouTube for a lot more on this. James,
- 1:45:40Speaker 1: why does Trump want is one not to win? I
- 1:45:44Speaker 1: don't know. I mean I think that he is. He
- 1:45:48Speaker 1: wants to be the guy who settles disputes and brings
- 1:45:52Speaker 1: about deals.
- 1:45:53Speaker 3: That's his orientation.
- 1:45:54Speaker 1: He wants to get people to pat him on the
- 1:45:57Speaker 1: shoulder about being a piece bring a piece giver. He
- 1:46:00Speaker 1: wants the noble price for peace as an illustration of that,
- 1:46:03Speaker 1: But he really cares about how other people think of him,
- 1:46:07Speaker 1: and Israel winning is too much credit to Israel, too
- 1:46:11Speaker 1: little credit to him. It's also doesn't give him an
- 1:46:16Speaker 1: opportunity to be the bringer of peace that he is
- 1:46:21Speaker 1: so concerned about, that he's so obsessed with. He literally
- 1:46:28Speaker 1: doesn't want Israel to win. He's also got a lot
- 1:46:34Speaker 1: of pressure from people inside who are not particularly friendly
- 1:46:36Speaker 1: towards Israel, like Jdvans and others. Christas all Western governments
- 1:46:43Speaker 1: have accumulated tremendous amounts of debt, including the US fans,
- 1:46:47Speaker 1: and keep spending like crazy. I see a significant risk
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: of massive economic collapse similar to twenty nine. I doubt
- 1:46:55Speaker 1: that we will get a twenty nine like collapse, primarily
- 1:46:58Speaker 1: because I think central banks have learning from the nineteen
- 1:47:01Speaker 1: twenty nine collapse how not to do it.
- 1:47:05Speaker 3: But what you're getting is stagnation.
- 1:47:08Speaker 1: You can certainly see that in France and in Europe generally,
- 1:47:12Speaker 1: and you'll see more of that in the United States
- 1:47:14Speaker 1: than the decades to come. And it could be economic collapse,
- 1:47:19Speaker 1: but it will be different than twenty nine. It will
- 1:47:21Speaker 1: manifest itself in a different way, you could definitely see
- 1:47:28Speaker 1: increasing poverty and decreasing productivity in the United States because
- 1:47:35Speaker 1: of all this debt, and you could see ultimately you
- 1:47:38Speaker 1: could potentially see a collapse of the dollar.
- 1:47:41Speaker 3: You could see inflation.
- 1:47:42Speaker 1: There are a lot of different scenarios you can come
- 1:47:44Speaker 1: up with and how this ends. None of them are good.
- 1:47:47Speaker 1: There's no good outcome for the amount of debt that
- 1:47:50Speaker 1: the United States has. Just too late. Whatever happens, something
- 1:47:57Speaker 1: bad economic happens. When it happens, I don't oh no,
- 1:48:01Speaker 1: and again it could be just a slow death, and
- 1:48:03Speaker 1: it could be a collapse. Self is subscribe. Do you
- 1:48:08Speaker 1: think a country becomes more distinct as a secondhanded entity
- 1:48:12Speaker 1: once the country government forces individuals to be subjects as
- 1:48:16Speaker 1: opposed to citizens.
- 1:48:18Speaker 3: Definitely.
- 1:48:19Speaker 1: I mean, look, subjects means the primacy of the government,
- 1:48:24Speaker 1: and you are a subject of that government.
- 1:48:27Speaker 3: You are a.
- 1:48:27Speaker 1: Second class, whereas citizen means the government is your servant.
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: You know, President Trump is my servant, not the other
- 1:48:39Speaker 1: way around.
- 1:48:40Speaker 3: My servant.
- 1:48:43Speaker 1: So the more I'm subservient to the government, the more
- 1:48:48Speaker 1: I must please them, which means the more I must
- 1:48:51Speaker 1: please other subjects, and the more secondhanded unthinking I become
- 1:48:58Speaker 1: the more tribal.
- 1:48:59Speaker 3: You become.
- 1:49:01Speaker 1: Citizens where it's your life. The government superspose to protect
- 1:49:08Speaker 1: your rights, but otherwise leaves you alone to live your life,
- 1:49:12Speaker 1: which means you have to make decisions for yourself. You
- 1:49:15Speaker 1: have to take responsibility for yourself. You cannot be a
- 1:49:19Speaker 1: secondhander and be successful. Thank you Selfie. Subscriber Brian. I
- 1:49:27Speaker 1: recommend the twenty twenty five movie Death by Lightning, about
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: the post Civil War period when James Garfield became president.
- 1:49:35Speaker 1: Shows the corruption of the early spoils system. Very interesting
- 1:49:41Speaker 1: and well acted Netflix historical drama. Yes, but it's not
- 1:49:44Speaker 1: a movie. I was confused there for a moment. It's
- 1:49:48Speaker 1: not a movie. It's a TV series by Netflix called
- 1:49:52Speaker 1: Death by Lightning, and it portrayed it's a very positive
- 1:49:57Speaker 1: I think accurate, but I don't know. I assume accurate,
- 1:50:00Speaker 1: positive portrayal of James Garfield, who served for a very
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: short period of time as president before he was assassinated.
- 1:50:09Speaker 1: And it does show the corruption in early America and
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: the control politicians had over the economy in different ways
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: than they do today, but still control. And you know,
- 1:50:23Speaker 1: I always thought that the United States was much closer
- 1:50:27Speaker 1: the Las Fai capitalism in the nineteenth century than it
- 1:50:30Speaker 1: turns out it really was. It's still much better than
- 1:50:33Speaker 1: it is today, but it was pretty far from Les
- 1:50:40Speaker 1: Fay even back then. But it's very well made, suspenseful,
- 1:50:43Speaker 1: interesting about James Garfield. Just you know, James Gilfield's presidency.
- 1:50:51Speaker 1: It's on Netflix. Thank you buying for reminding me of that.
- 1:50:54Speaker 1: A good recommendation. Why it isn't Kin Griffin still a
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: role model versus most CEOs. I mean he's better than
- 1:51:03Speaker 1: most CEOs. Yes, I don't. He's not quite a role
- 1:51:06Speaker 1: model that would be somebody like John Allison, but he's
- 1:51:10Speaker 1: better than most CEOs.
- 1:51:11Speaker 3: I mean, look, Ken griff has read.
- 1:51:13Speaker 1: Ken Griffin has Red iron Rand as an iron Ran fan,
- 1:51:17Speaker 1: and and gets his energy and and and the reality
- 1:51:20Speaker 1: is that almost nobody defends business and wealth on the
- 1:51:26Speaker 1: basis of self interest, on a basis of individual rights,
- 1:51:31Speaker 1: even at the end of the day milaid defends capitalism
- 1:51:34Speaker 1: on some kind of utilitarian what businessmen do for society basis.
- 1:51:40Speaker 1: So Ken is, Ken is better than most, but still
- 1:51:46Speaker 1: could be a lot better. And given these Red Iron
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: Ran should be a lot better. Jerome, good afternoon, you're on.
- 1:51:52Speaker 1: I was struggling with the issue of dogma in high
- 1:51:56Speaker 1: school in high school teaching, and you explain the difference
- 1:52:01Speaker 1: of dogma and an informed lecture. Thank you, well, I mean,
- 1:52:07Speaker 1: dogma is Dogma is a set of statements, theories, ideas
- 1:52:22Speaker 1: without basis in reality, without the attempt to prove them.
- 1:52:29Speaker 1: It is this is the truth as as we must
- 1:52:34Speaker 1: accept it from the authorities.
- 1:52:36Speaker 3: This is the dogma. This is the.
- 1:52:40Speaker 1: Set of ideas that we must advocate for, because that's
- 1:52:45Speaker 1: the set of ideas which you must advocate for, because
- 1:52:48Speaker 1: that's what we were told. So you're supposed to accept
- 1:52:52Speaker 1: it because so it's the it's the rejection of reason, rationality, logic,
- 1:53:02Speaker 1: in explainats, in explaining, in justifying the ideas that you're teaching.
- 1:53:12Speaker 1: So a dogmatic teacher just teaches ideas without explanation, without justification,
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: without logic, Tessa, we need creative objectives to make film, books, art. Yeah,
- 1:53:28Speaker 1: I'm waiting, Go do it, guys. I'm here, I'm waiting.
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: I can't do it. I'm not talented and I have
- 1:53:34Speaker 1: no talent in that field. Go do it, Alejandro, how
- 1:53:39Speaker 1: do you learn to think?
- 1:53:42Speaker 3: Well? Is it just read a lot? I mean, certainly,
- 1:53:44Speaker 3: reading a lot.
- 1:53:45Speaker 1: Is important because thinking involves knowing a bunch of stuff.
- 1:53:49Speaker 3: But it's also the right method.
- 1:53:50Speaker 1: I would read I RAN's Introduction to Objectives to Pristemology.
- 1:53:55Speaker 1: And you know often studying math will teach you a
- 1:54:00Speaker 1: lot of thinking skills in terms of use of logic
- 1:54:04Speaker 1: and reasoning, kind of formal reasoning. Uh, it's it's about
- 1:54:10Speaker 1: I would say, Oh, here's here's the best recommendation. Check
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: out Leonard's peaks. Leonard Peacocks course called The Art of Thinking,
- 1:54:20Speaker 1: the Art of Thinking.
- 1:54:23Speaker 3: That is the best answer.
- 1:54:24Speaker 1: To your question. It's a it's a it's a course.
- 1:54:27Speaker 3: It's available for free.
- 1:54:30Speaker 1: I mean chess if you're willing to integrate the principles
- 1:54:34Speaker 1: into wider context. But you can be a grand you
- 1:54:37Speaker 1: can be the best chess player in the world and
- 1:54:39Speaker 1: not be able to think. That is your your your your.
- 1:54:44Speaker 3: Thinking is limited to chess.
- 1:54:45Speaker 1: That's it. But I would definitely, definitely all of you
- 1:54:50Speaker 1: should be listening to Leonard Peacff's Art of Thinking. That's
- 1:54:54Speaker 1: the best source. Uh, let's see. Matt, my my skeptic brother, said,
- 1:55:01Speaker 1: the question is the question is the universe finite or infinite?
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: Is an example of something outside human understanding, as it
- 1:55:11Speaker 1: can't make sense of either answer, thoughts will ask a
- 1:55:16Speaker 1: philosophical philosopher also, No, it doesn't mean it's outside human understanding.
- 1:55:22Speaker 1: It does mean we don't yet have the understanding of
- 1:55:29Speaker 1: the physics because we.
- 1:55:32Speaker 3: Think in three dimensions.
- 1:55:34Speaker 1: It's hard for us to contemplate a finite universe because
- 1:55:38Speaker 1: we think in terms of finite having a shape, and
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: this is a shapeless finite space, and.
- 1:55:49Speaker 3: It's it's it's.
- 1:55:54Speaker 1: Certainly an example of it's certainly an example of a
- 1:56:02Speaker 1: you know that we don't yet have enough knowledge, primarily
- 1:56:07Speaker 1: of physics, and we're still constrained by a by a
- 1:56:16Speaker 1: theory of physics that can't quite explain.
- 1:56:20Speaker 3: The nature of the universe, but it will one day.
- 1:56:23Speaker 3: So it's not an.
- 1:56:24Speaker 1: Inhabit limitation of human knowledge. It's just this is the
- 1:56:27Speaker 1: point in which we are Stephen opposite thoughts on the
- 1:56:31Speaker 1: movie Emma DALs. It gets criticized for being a historical
- 1:56:33Speaker 1: but I never thought it postured itself as factual. It
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: was based on a play more dramatization of creative genius
- 1:56:40Speaker 1: versus jealousy. Yeah, it's a great conquetization of the difference
- 1:56:44Speaker 1: between a first rate genius and a man who envies
- 1:56:51Speaker 1: them and is jealous of him, and I think it
- 1:56:54Speaker 1: has some magnificent scenes. If anything, I think the criticism
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: would be the unseeriousness of Mozart, the the fact that
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: Mozart is portrayed in parts of the movie in an
- 1:57:08Speaker 1: infantile kind of way. That would be moreny criticism of
- 1:57:11Speaker 1: the movie. I think the movie is excellent. I really
- 1:57:14Speaker 1: enjoy it. The final scene where they're writing, the way
- 1:57:18Speaker 1: he's writing the Requiem and Salieri is helping him is brilliant.
- 1:57:23Speaker 1: It's one of the most powerful scenes in movies and
- 1:57:28Speaker 1: beautifully done. And you know so, I think I really
- 1:57:37Speaker 1: enjoyed the movie, and I wouldn't criticize it based on
- 1:57:40Speaker 1: his historical accuracy. It's a movie, it's not a documentary.
- 1:57:45Speaker 1: It's not supposed to be accurate necessarily. This is Steven Pettit. Yes,
- 1:57:53Speaker 1: all right, Thank you guys, really appreciate the support. Thank you.
- 1:57:57Speaker 1: I think we made our targets, so thank you to
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: all the super chatters and the stick of people. Thank
- 1:58:02Speaker 1: you to all the people who contribute by Patreon, and
- 1:58:05Speaker 1: I will see you tomorrow from AMA. But it's an
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: unusual time. It's at twelve pm East Coast time. Twelve
- 1:58:16Speaker 1: pm East Coast time. All right, see then bye everybody,