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Charles Schwab Challenge - PGA DFS | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS | First Look · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems gone clear. We lift good afternoon, we are back.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: We are live. Charles Schwab Challenge. I already know that
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: I'm going to speak too fast and absolutely butcher the
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Charles schwa It's just a thing that doesn't roll off
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: the tongue smoothly. And every year I've been doing this
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: for a few years now, this event just gets me.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: It's like the week we have to spell Murrayfield Village
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: all week on Twitter, so that's next week. I'm gonna
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: spell that wrong. All It just it doesn't make sense
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: at all. But we're here Leg two of the Texas
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: two step in May. Gonna go through some stats, some data,
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: some players, some dfs, some fantasy. You guys know the deal.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: So first look show as always with this when I
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: don't have my full setup on me. If the volume
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: happens to cut out, please leave a comment. It's only
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: happened once, but I want to make sure I'm on
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: top of it and I'm not talking with no vine,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: so let me know. Let's bring up this screen. Let's
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: go through the Twitter thread like we always do, so bang,
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: let's get to it. Here is the Charles rob Challenge.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: We have a they don't have the course, the course notes,
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: and oh yeah, pour seventy seventy two hundred yards just
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: under seventy three hundred yards. Here we're gonna talk about
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: some incoming spike form. What the guys were doing, what
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: they did at Colonial, how they won at Colonial. Over
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: the last seven winners, basically every single golfer gained starry,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: spiked on approach, spiked with a putter, like gaining six
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: strokes in each category. Griffin Ben Griffin last year, he
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: did not gain a ton of strokes on approach. He
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: was kind of all green and leaning on the putter
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: more than anything. So but all in all, it's basically
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: spike putting and spike approach playing, not rocket signs. We've
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: seen this golf course a ton of times, so elite irons,
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: elite putting. Here's some information on what the golfers did
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: coming into the event. So looking at their last ten
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: starts before they won at Colonial. Let me make sure
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: the volume is all good. I see no comments. All right,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: let's get back to it. Looking at what these golfers
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: did coming in. So Sam Burns before he won this
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: event spiked with the putter four times, spiked with the
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: Irons three times. What we're looking for in terms of
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: spike is gaining four strokes or more in a given week.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: So he also spiked with distance and once with accuracy.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Berger very very similar. Three approach spikes, three distance spikes,
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  Speaker 1: three putting strikes spikes. Jason and co Crack very very similar.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: We're looking at for the approach spiking and the putting
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: spiking coming in so balance driver slight distance, lean spike,
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: approach upside and lead putting upside. It's it's not a
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: very very difficult handicap. But when we're looking at some
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: of the recent winners, Grayo, Davis Riley, Ben Griffin, Grio
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: had no putting spikes, was all approached same thing with
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: Davis Riley, and then Ben Griffin was back to that
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: balanced build. So it's a little bit. It's a little
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: bit different, but the the ethos and the what we're
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: looking for is fairly same. It's just a lot of
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: approach spikes leading into this leading into this week. In
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: terms of the driver we're seeing, we saw some different things.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: Rio only spiked on distance once, whereas the other guys
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: spiked five and three times, and even Coke Rack and
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: Burns they spiked in distance a lot more than they
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: did in accuracy, and it's it's it's pretty much a
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: balanced driving built driving spike build. But we're seeing a
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: little edge to stint. And I'm going to talk about
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: the weather and the next slide, but I think that's
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: gonna be the case again this year in terms of
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: what we want to look at. So, like I said,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: approach and putting, it's not rocket science. We've seen this
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: golf course a ton of times. The next thing I
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: want to do is look at some of the course history.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: Outside of Ben Griffin, we saw n Daniel Berger. We
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: saw some really nice prior course history before their win.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: You could see Davis Riley a million and Rio Jus
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: and Cokerack, Kevin, Kevin Kissner, Jay Rose all had a
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: nice finish before they won at Colonial and looking at
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: some what is this here? Oh yeah, this is what
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: they did at the golf course before they won. They've
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: had a serious, serious, serious spike week before they won.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: So these are just little trends that you could put
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: into your model and they could really spit out some
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: good information. And let's also look at some comp course
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: history in this brook. Riley had a second place. Burns
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: won twice, Cokerack with the second place Burger T eleven,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Kevin Nas second Rose T five, that's really strong. Comp
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: course history before they have one. Harbor Town. Look at
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: this course history, comp course history, it's it's it's it's
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: not right, it's not rocket science, like these are really
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: solid data points looking at these golf courses, PGA National,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: all these top tens before they won. So at Murrayfield Village,
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: this is I think it's the BEng Grass connection. I
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: don't really think it's the same Tea Green test. But
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: the comp course history before they won is really really
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: telling as well as pebble beat. So looking at the
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: compcourse history, looking at the prior starts, looking at the
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: incoming spike approach form, incoming spike cutting form, it is.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: It is pretty telling on what we are looking for
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: this week. I know it might be a lot, but
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: there's some key data points that are that you could
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: look at leading into this week, leading into this golf
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: tournament that makes it a not the hardest handicap, but
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: a you can lead lead yourself onto tens really solid
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: names and hopefully we can get to some of those
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: names later in this show. So The next thing I
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: want to do is look at some winning winning scores
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: over the last few years as well as the weather
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: this week. The weather is surely something this week. So
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: here is some of the winning scores BG one at twelve,
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  Speaker 1: deevist Raley fourteen, and we saw Grio eight, Burns at
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  Speaker 1: nine fourteen, fifteen, thirteen, and then Rosy twenty under bat
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  Speaker 1: all the way back in twenty eighteen. Now, this is
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  Speaker 1: a golf course that really stands the test of time.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: It is by no means long, it is by no
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  Speaker 1: means a new test that these guys haven't seen. I
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: know there was a renovation what two years ago now
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: a year and a half ago, but it's a golf
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: course that they've seen so many times and it's still
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: it really makes these challenges these golfers, all the dog legs,
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: all of the similar to like kind of like a
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: harbor town. You really have to hit your spots in
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: some regards, some quirky greens. It's not an easy golf
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: course by any means, but the weather may change that
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: in some regards this week. So let's look at the
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: weather for the Fort Worth area for Colonne Country Club
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: this week. I will pull it up, and it looks
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: like we are getting some thunderstorms, some rain. I am
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: happy I'm not out there this week because I would
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: have flown to Texas and got nothing for you guys,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: because it's looking like it's gonna be a tea storming
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: raining h tomorrow to this is Tuesday, tea storming raining Wednesday,
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: overnight on Tuesday Wednesday. And then one week when we
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: get the tournament week very similar what we saw last week,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: and then the weather ended up holding up for us.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: So Thursday look looks bleak. Friday it looks like the
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: more rain. Saturday, a little bit of scattered storm. Sunday,
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: some scattered storms. I mean, I'm not a weather man,
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: but uh, there's I assume they're gonna have to do something.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: In terms of the wind, it doesn't look like much.
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: It just looks like some rain. Maybe Saturday it gets
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit gusty. But this is really what I'm
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: looking for Wednesday, Tuesday. The rain leading into the event
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: may just make this golf course play a little bit longer,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: play a little bit softer. And it's not quite long
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: enough like the golf course, but just under seventy fire
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  Speaker 1: yards where the rain's gonna make it like totally barmber central,
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: But I do think it's really gonna make that approach
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: play just really like the mid iron the wedge approach play.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: If you could separate there and hit really solid shots,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: you are going to have a great week. So I
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: think that distance bias that we talked about with the
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: incoming form is going to be real again, especially with
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the weather, because the rain will soften the golf course,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: make a play a little bit longer. Combine that with
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: the softer greens, I think it amplifies what we were
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: looking for just a little bit more. So I'm gonna
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: be looking at for some spike distance coming in and
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: some really really solid approach play coming in. Before we
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: get to some players, I want to touch on a
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: contest for Dfest this week. I know I got some
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: comments saying let's look it, let's look at some cheaper contest.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: I don't want to spend one hundred dollars every single day.
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  Speaker 1: So this is a twelve dollars single entry, thirty five
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  Speaker 1: k Albatross, four K up top. It's not easy to
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: win this event. You have to be thirty four hundred people,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: but tenth place pays four hundred, nice little ten percent
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  Speaker 1: of that top number. And I like this contest. I
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: think it's a very fair payout, and it pays out
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: six hundred eighty nine people, so you could basically double
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: your money if you if you get in the top
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: six eighty nine, and that's roughly what twenty three percent.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Let's do six eighty nine, six eighty nine divided by
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: thirty four to thirty one thirty four thirty one, that
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: is twenty percent. So it pays out the top twenty
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: percent of this there's a song other day pays out
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: the top twenty percent of this contest. But I think
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: it's a nice way. You're making more than double your
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: money if you happen to place. But I love the
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: way this payout structure is in my opinion. So if
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: you don't want to end one hundred dollars, this twelve
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: dollars single entry could be a nice way to spend
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: some money. This week, let's talk about the DFS board.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: We'll pull it up. We got Ludwig Obert, we got
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Russell Henley, Bob Wyndom clock just withdrew at ninety three
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: hundred dollars, So we have a nice little, nice little range,
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: nothing crazy top heavy. Everyone seems fairly priced. If you
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: do happen to click Ludvig, you're left with seventy nine
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: hundred at the top, which is nice to see from
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Scotty Streffler. We left with like seven k at the top.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: And if we do click Ludeviig, I think he is
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: a great place to start. So let's touch on him.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: He is coming in with some some beautiful, some amazing form.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: He has one, two, three, four, five, six top eight
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: finishes in his last seven starts. Uh, yeah, that is
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: that is quite something, guys. He got off to a
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: little bit of a slow start at the beginning of
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: the of the year with Drew at the Amex after
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: and then missedicut aut Tory didn't play well at at
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: pebble T twenty at Rivierres when he started to really
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: hit the ball a lot better. I remember he had
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: like that, like the little sickness at this point of
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: the year. I think I remember correctly. And now look
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: what he's doing, striping it off the tee, hitting his
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: irons as well as he's hitting his irons in a
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: real long time, and he's doing everything good. The only
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: thing that's not great is the putter, but it's not
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: a glaring weakness. We know Ludwig is a streaky putter,
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: and we know that Ludvic can get it going. I
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: will say Ludvig has never played this event as a professional.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: We know he went to college at Texas Tech. We
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: know he went to college in this area of the
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: of the world. I feel like, and I don't know this,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: but I'm just kind of spitballing. Has Ludvig Obert played
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: a college event? Is there a colonial golf course, colonial
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: country club college event. Let's let's do some research colonial
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: country club college golf event, because I genuinely don't know.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: Woman's let's just look up Ludwig Obert Texas Tech and
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: see if we have any anything. Let's let's see if
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: we could find something, because I feel like he's had
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: to play there at one point in his golf career.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: Let's do some live research. We're going to click on Ludwig.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Where is he this beautiful man? Colonel Aberg started a
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: sophomore season by finished tenth at the Colonial Collegiate Invitational,
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: where he shot three over as a sophomore, So that
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: seems like he has experienced nothing to write home about.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: If you know, please just just drop a comment. Drop
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: a comment, because I just I realized he didn't play
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: here as a pro, but I feel like he's played
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: there in college. So Ludwig at what price ten to
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: five I think is a great place to start, and
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: I think he has some nice history in just Texas.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: In general, the golf course should set up perfect for him.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: He's won of a golf course where you have to
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: hit a ton of wedges. He's been really he also
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: wanted a golf course where you have to hit a
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: ton of long irons. But I generally like him at
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: like Wedgefest and this is the time. I mean what
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: he's he won now at Arson Classic, and he's won
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: in Cran's Montanam DP World Tour. Those are a ton
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: of wedges. So and he's played well at Sawgrass, plays
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: well with some a ton of golf courses that we
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: have to hit a ton of wedges. That's a long
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: winded explanation on why I like Ludwig this week. Second
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: golfer I want to look at on this DFS boord
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: which I'll bring my screen right back up, is down
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit. He goes by the name of Chris
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Kirk seventy four hundred dollars Chris Kirk. When Chris Kirk
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: is playing well, he's doing this well, He's getting those
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: approach numbers in the green and that is exactly what
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: we're saying here. T thirty one and T forty four
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: in his last three starts. Nothing crazy, but this is
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: a golf course. He plays damn near every year. Missed
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: his last three cuts. Maybe it's gonna take some ownership
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: off him, but he is won here, finished T five here,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: other T twenties here, and I just really like the
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: incoming form for Chris Kirk. Chris Kirk is a very
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: accurate driver who gets streaky with the irons. The putter
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: is not doing well right now, but if he's hitting
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: the ball well, he should make the cut and we
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: know what his ceiling could be. I love it at
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: this price of seventy four hundred dollars. And then the
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: third golfer I want to look at on this DFS
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: poort before we look at the betting board is down
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: a little further. I believe goes by the name of
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: thorbe Jorn Olison seventy two hundred dollars now, thorbian Olison
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: is a streaky golfer, likes BIRDI fest, not that this
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: is a birdie fest, but he's not doing what we're
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: looking for. Well, the approach play is not there, which
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: is not gonna throw his ownership through a loop. His ownership,
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: he's going to be low owned. But he's generally a
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: really good approach player. Look at all this green compared
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: to red in terms of the strokes gain approach. This
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: is rare. I expect this red approach to turn back
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: in the right direction. Do I need him to gain
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: five strokes on approach? No, Kenny, gain one or two
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: and succeed for US one thousand percent. The rest of
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: his game is in a great spot. Does he have
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: any courses Thory year Yeah, last time he played here,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: he gained strokes. T Degreen didn't put great for T
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: forty six. I really just expect, more than anything, this
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: approach play to turn in the right direction. So Thorne
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: urn Olson at seventy T two hundred dollars, I think
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: is a really really nice nice shout here. Let's take
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: a look at the betting board where these numbers are
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: constantly moving as the morning as the afternoon goes on
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Ludwig nine and a half to one, ten to one,
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: Russ about twenty to one, Bob mac Rickey, Fowler, BG,
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: Justin Thomas, Akha round out that range sub thirty to one.
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: But a golfer that I wanted to touch on in
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: this range is Justin Thomas, because Justin Thomas is sneakily
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: moving along really really nicely right now. JT coming off
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: of his last four starts T seventy seven to twenty three,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: T thirteen, T four, getting really better, getting progressively better.
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: And this dude has now been all green. You guys
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: know this is what I mean by all green, gaining
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: strokes in every category in his last two starts. When
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: is the last time Justin Thomas has parlayed two all greens?
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: That was a T nine and a T twenty two
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: over last summer. I honestly thought it was going to
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: be a lot longer than just last summer, but it
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: hasn't been since then. So JT is clearly in uh
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: finding his game again, playing really solid, and the putter
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: is there. This is like he gained six point nine
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: strokes putting at aronomic. When's the last time he gained
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: over six strokes pudding. That has to be a really
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: really long time, was it in his win at at Harbortown. No,
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: he didn't gain six strokes. Then let's just sort by putting.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: So JT gained six point nine a ironomic gains six
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: point eight back at vaals Bar in twenty twenty five,
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: so he's flashy with it. He's not gonna gain that
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: many strokes putting again. But I just love what he's
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: doing at the ball striking, just the complete Teeter Green game.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: Everything seems comfortable for JT right now and his price
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: twenty five to one is not the end of the
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: world like we see him win at these numbers before
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: his career. So Justin Thomas is a golfer that I'm
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: definitely gonna be touching on in this betting word. As
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: we scrolled down a little bit more, someone catches my name,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: by the name of my eye, by the name of
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: Ryan Girard around sixty to one. Ryan Girard is doing
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: what we want to do well. The approach play is there.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: He's a stern and true, solid driver of the golf ball.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: The putter is really really bad, but out a golf
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: course where you don't have to make a ton of
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: puttet and a ton of putts. These greens are not easy.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: And I don't really expect Rian Gerard to have the
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: putting upside to win here, because we've seen you need
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: to spike with the approach, spike with the putter. But
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: in the top twenty markets, in the positional markets, I
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: really love Ryan Girard, and at sixty to one, I
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get some nice numbers for Gerard in
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: terms of those markets. So he's a golfer that I'm
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: going to be looking at looking at there. Next thing
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: I want to touch on is some of the tools
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: of some of the ship at Nation, some of the
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: ship at Nation stuff. So let's pull the screen back up,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: bring the banner back up. Here we go use that code,
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: boots and if you want to join us, first of all,
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: I want to shout you guys out at the winner circle.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: If you win, you have ship it access for life.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: You wrin swag, want to watch boone Man. There's no
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: million dollar winner this week. All you have to do
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: go here, hit logos, download one of these logos, use
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: it in your DFS for your DFS avatar. You win
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: one k, you get a month of a ship at
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: parlay that into another month. You win ten K, you
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: get more stuff plus some swag one hundred k. We
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: have a ton of hundred k winners like these. This
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: is it's all here, guys. You guys do it all
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: the time. I don't know if I'll ever get there,
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: but you guys do it all the time. So use
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: that Join the nation, get ten percent off with that
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: code Boots plus your first week it's free. And look
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: at all this stuff that we have. We have projections,
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: showdown content to Stone Stone two point zero which is
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: a really fun tool, slate plan, value report, and a
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: ton more. You guys know the deal, so use code boots.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: First week is free and as of now, we will
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: be spending next week in Ohio for the Memorial. So
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: if you want to join that, use that first week
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: of Boots. You're gonna get the Boots content for free.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: If you join now Wednesday, I'm not sure exactly what
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: day I'll be there. Also have to make sure the
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: weather is okay and the flight doesn't cost nine hundred dollars,
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: so we're ninety percent gonna be in at the Memorial
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: at Murrayfield Village to boots that golf course, Big week,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: and then we're definitely bootsing the US Open, So some
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: fun stuff coming in the month of June. Ship Nation
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: is the only place where you can get the boots, content,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: these tools, all of this fun stuff. So it's been
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: a great year so far, and I know you guys
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: are enjoying it, so let's keep up the great work.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: Next thing I want to talk about is a chalky golfer,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: a potentially truckie golfer, a potential pivot, and one golfer
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: that I'm going to be on for the week. So
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: the first golfer that I want to touch on that
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: could potentially be chalky is a guy who is he's
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: using some strokes gaining texas he really is. He goes
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: to the name of Johnny Keefer. John Keefer to some
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: look at that smile. Twenty five years old, rookie at
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: a Baylor via the Corn Ferry Tour, coming off of
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: a T nine at TPC Craig Grante where he gained
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: six point nine strokes on approach. That is his career
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: best approach number. That is his career best approach number.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: A nice little week of what almost ten strokes ball
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: striking at the Byron Nelson And this was a very
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: highly touted golfer coming off of the corn Ferry Tour.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: Just stern ball striking, not the longest golfer in the world,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: but plus distance, really high ball striking ceiling. So everyone
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: knows this, Everyone knows that he has that Texas connection,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: went to Baylor from San Antonio. So people are gonna
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: be on Keefer in terms of in terms of the
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: fest ownership. I think his ownership is going to be
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: far too high in terms of where he is price
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: wise here we go. I will definitely look into that.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: So thank you very much. Seats five ZHO one. It's
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: a Rickenbacker. Thank you. That's good to know. Good to know.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: So Johnny Keiefer, I just do think is going to
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: be chalky for his price, and I do not want
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: to play a chalky Keefer. You guys saw what happened
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: when he was chalky at the what event was that
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: the one that JJ spawn won the Valeria of Texas Open.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Johnny Keefer was mega chalk and he did not pan
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: out there at all. So let's avoid it this week.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: I do not think he's gonna come through. Next thing
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: I want to touch on is a potential pivot. And
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: I'll repeat myself again because two weeks ago us Open,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: I said that the chalky offer that I wasn't going
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: to be on was Alex Fitz and the pivot that
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: I was going to be on was John Rahm. I
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: was not saying John Ram is a pivot off of
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: Alex Fitz. I'm saying Alex Fitz is going to be
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: chalky down in his range. John rom is going to
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: be a pivot up in his range. So this is
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: the same idea. This next golfer I think is going
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: to be a pivot at the top of the board.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: And he goes by the name of Robert McIntyre, twenty
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: nine year old from Open Scotland, not doing the key
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: stat well, and that is the approach. He has lost
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: strokes on approach in four straight starts, and he did
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: that again in March. He did that from January to March.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: But then he bounced back with a solo fourth at Sawgrass,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: a runner up at TP San Antonio. So he's back
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: in Texas. I think he can bounce back. He's he's
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: priced hot, he's a nine k golfer. He's a really
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: good golfer in this field. He knows how to bounce back.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: So I'm not worried about the approach play. I think
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: people are gonna see the STACKT and be like, nah,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: I'm off, I'm off, I'm off Bob Mack. I want
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: to go to Ludvig, I want to go to Russ Henley.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: I'm off, I want to go to JT. I'm not
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: playing Bob Mack. So I think at his price, his
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: ownership is going to be not not enough. So I
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: think he is a great week to get on Bob Mack.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: At low ownership, we can know what his ceiling could be.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: We're coming, We're coming around to National Open time, which
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: is when Bob Mac flirts with success. So I think
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: we got to get ahead of Bob Mac. I think
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: good things are coming from Bob Mack, so let's play him.
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: Next thing I want to is touch on the model.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: I have to pull the model up actually, because I
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: don't have it pulled up. The model for the week
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: we have here we go. We have you guys know,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: I run a ton of models. I ran four model
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: times three round ranges. We got accuracy and approach. We
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: got dis tens plus wedges approach plus putting plus course
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: history approach plus strokes getting total. I like to find
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: every single way you can conquer this golf course and
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: aggregate it into one model. We got Ludwig coming in
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: on top, Russ Henley coming in second, tied for third,
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: Zach Blair, Christian Baze Newt tied for fifth, Auctionbatia, Johnny Keefer,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: and J J. Spawn. The model has been had a
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: slow three weeks. I will always show you the model results.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: I track all my model results, so this is every
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: time the model prints out a winner. We went on
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: a three three week run with the model printing out
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: the winner. Then we're on a three week no run
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: with no model picking the winner. Hopefully we can bounce
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: back here. Hopefully the winner is in that model. So
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: you guys just saw what it was, but I'll pull
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: it up again for you really quick to show you
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: who did in fact model that well. For me, I
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: have it on Twitter right here. It is Ludwig, Russ, Cibez,
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: Zach Blair, Johnny Keefer, Jjspawn and t RB one two, three, four, five,
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: six seven names that model for me. I like to
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: keep the model short and concise and try to get
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: a winner in that in that block. So this leads
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: me to the one golfer that I am on, the
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: one golfer that I'm going to be on for the
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: week is Andrew Novak. Sadly chopped the flow, but he's
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: still looking great as always always does. But look what
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: Andrew Novak is doing right now, coming off of two
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: solid finishes T. Twenty six at a Major, T twenty
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: four at Krail Hollow. That I mean, these are not
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: easy golf courses at all. Striping it, keep a greeting it.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: If he could just find a little bit on the greens,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: we could be in We can be in business. And
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: we know Andrew Novak is a streaky putter. He's no,
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: he's not gonna go around and say he's the greatest
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: put in the world. But he has weeks where he
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: can gain three to five strokes putting and looking at
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: his his Charles Swab course history finished T. Eleven here
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: last year. This is a golf course that I think
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: makes sense for him on paper, not the longest golf
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: course in the world, and he's gained strokes putting twice here.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Does he have that plus six putting in him here,
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure, but what he's doing with T Degreen
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: is exactly what we're looking for. He's a very streaky
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: golfer in terms of the ball striking, and when he
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: gets going, he parlays some nice weeks in a row.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: So Andrew Novak this week, I think is a really
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: nice play at seventy five hundred dollars in what is
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: he in the betting market? He is? Let's see, he
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: is seventy two to one. Kind of a disrespectful number.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: I like it a lot. I think you can get
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: a nice top ten on him, top twenty on him.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: Play him in terms of thefs wherever you want to
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: play Andrew Novak, He's gonna be the one golfer that
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: I am on for the week. As always, the song
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: of the day for this show is going to be
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: a grave mistake by Ice nine Kills. This song is
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: about the movie The Crow. I've never seen The Crow,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: but if you've seen The Crow, let me know if
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: it's good, drop a comment. As always, I'll see you
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: guys Thursday for some showdown content. I might be driving
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: to like Ohio. If the flight players are crazy, I'm
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: gonna have to drive from Florida to Ohio, but I
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: do it for the love of the game. And there's
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: a chance I have to do the showdown show from
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: a dingy hotel or from like pulled over on my phone.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: But I am gonna bring the content to you guys
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: as hard as whether I no matter what, I'm gonna
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: bring the content to you guys. I appreciate you guys
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: working with me, and I'm looking forward to the rest
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: of this year. As always, let's ship but catch you
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: guys soon.