Latest / Pod Save America / Trump Comes for the Judges
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:22Speaker 1: On today's show, we'll talk about Donald Trump's probably unlawful
- 0:25Speaker 1: order to kill the Department of Education and his move
- 0:28Speaker 1: to starve colleges of funding. that have political views he
- 0:31Speaker 1: doesn't like. Doge is busy making it harder for seniors
- 0:34Speaker 1: to get their social security, which seems efficient. And they
- 0:38Speaker 1: literally staged an armed invasion of the U.S. Institute of Peace.
- 0:43Speaker 1: We'll get to that wild story. And because we're nerds,
- 0:47Speaker 1: we're going to dive into the election postmortem from David
- 0:49Speaker 1: Shore and Blue Rose Research. which is notable because it
- 0:52Speaker 1: includes 26 million survey responses. So lots of data to
- 0:57Speaker 1: dig through. But first, now that we have a Republican
- 1:00Speaker 1: Congress that seemingly exists only to do whatever Trump tells
- 1:04Speaker 1: them to do, the last remaining check on the president's
- 1:07Speaker 1: power is the judicial branch, which Trump and Elon and
- 1:11Speaker 1: the MAGA regime are now going to war with. So
- 1:15Speaker 1: for several weeks now, the president's Billionaire top advisor has
- 1:19Speaker 1: been using his social media platform to call for the
- 1:21Speaker 1: impeachment of judges that rule against the Trump administration. But
- 1:26Speaker 1: the situation escalated last week when James Boasberg, the chief
- 1:30Speaker 1: judge of the D.C. Circuit Court, tried to block Trump
- 1:33Speaker 1: from jailing people in a foreign prison without due process,
- 1:37Speaker 1: an order that the Trump regime partly ignored, arguing that
- 1:41Speaker 1: some of the flights were already over international waters when
- 1:43Speaker 1: the ruling came down. The MAGA position is apparently that
- 1:47Speaker 1: the president should be able to lock up whoever he
- 1:50Speaker 1: wants in an El Salvador mega prison run by a
- 1:54Speaker 1: brutal dictator. So long as he tells us they're a
- 1:57Speaker 1: threat to America. We just have to take his word
- 2:00Speaker 1: for it. So one of Trump's minions in Congress, Brandon Gill.
- 2:06Speaker 1: introduced articles of impeachment against Judge Boasberg. Trump himself also
- 2:10Speaker 1: called for the judge's impeachment. And here's what he said
- 2:13Speaker 1: when asked about it by Laura Ingraham this week.
- 2:16Speaker 3: Many people have called for his impeachment, the impeachment of
- 2:19Speaker 3: this judge. I don't know who the judge is, but
- 2:21Speaker 3: he's radical left. He was Obama appointed. We have very
- 2:24Speaker 3: bad judges, and these are judges that shouldn't be allowed.
- 2:27Speaker 3: I think at a certain point, you have to start
- 2:30Speaker 3: looking at what do you do when you have a
- 2:32Speaker 3: rogue judge.
- 2:33Speaker 2: The judge that we're.
- 2:34Speaker 3: Talking about, you look at his other rulings, I mean,
- 2:37Speaker 3: rulings unrelated, but having to do with me, He's a lunatic.
- 2:44Speaker 3: You have local judges, local federal judges, local judges, period,
- 2:47Speaker 3: and DAs and prosecutors, DAs, state attorney generals, attorney generals
- 2:54Speaker 3: that want to really take over. I think some of
- 2:57Speaker 3: it's for the publicity. They love the publicity. All of
- 3:00Speaker 3: a sudden, they're on the front page of every newspaper,
- 3:02Speaker 3: but they have no right to be.
- 3:03Speaker 1: So we are only about 60 days into Trump's second term,
- 3:07Speaker 1: and we are in a very dark place already. So dark,
- 3:12Speaker 1: we even got this highly unusual statement from Supreme Court
- 3:15Speaker 1: Chief Justice John Roberts this week. Quote, for more than
- 3:20Speaker 1: two centuries, it has been established that impeachment is not
- 3:23Speaker 1: an appropriate response to disagreement concerning a judicial decision. The
- 3:28Speaker 1: normal appellate review process exists for that purpose. What do
- 3:33Speaker 1: you think? John Roberts, welcome to the resistance.
- 3:36Speaker 2: I mean, good job, John Roberts. Not a sentence we
- 3:38Speaker 2: say very often on this podcast.
- 3:40Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 3:42Speaker 2: The fact of the statement is very notable. And I
- 3:44Speaker 2: will say that the statement was– there was a lot
- 3:47Speaker 2: of sort of criticism online that he never mentioned Trump's name.
- 3:52Speaker 2: But then when I actually went and read it, it's
- 3:56Speaker 2: actually a lot less mealy-mouthed than I assumed. And John
- 3:59Speaker 2: Roberts is pretty mealy-mouthed in a lot of ways. And
- 4:00Speaker 2: so to his credit here– and I think the statement
- 4:03Speaker 2: probably speaks to what we're going to see from John
- 4:05Speaker 2: Roberts over the course of the next few years here,
- 4:06Speaker 2: which is trying to walk this fine line between defending
- 4:11Speaker 2: the independence of the judiciary and preserving his legacy. He
- 4:15Speaker 2: has overseen the greatest drop in trust in the Supreme
- 4:18Speaker 2: Court in its history during his period of time as
- 4:20Speaker 2: Chief Justice, while not going so far as to poke
- 4:24Speaker 2: the bear to the point where Trump will outright defy
- 4:27Speaker 2: in order or even begin to radicalize people against the
- 4:30Speaker 2: Supreme Court. Because if Republicans stop liking the Supreme Court,
- 4:34Speaker 2: no one's going to like the Supreme Court because they
- 4:35Speaker 2: already turned off a whole bunch of Democrats with everything
- 4:38Speaker 2: they've done, but most notably the Dobbs decision.
- 4:41Speaker 1: We should also say this about Judge Boasberg. He was
- 4:45Speaker 1: elevated to the D.C. Circuit Court by Obama, but he
- 4:48Speaker 1: was not appointed by Obama. That is incorrect from Trump,
- 4:52Speaker 1: from the White House. Every Republican has been saying that.
- 4:54Speaker 1: He's a George W. Bush appointee. Some of the things
- 4:57Speaker 1: Boasberg has done, he dismissed Trump's tax return lawsuit so
- 5:01Speaker 1: that we couldn't see Trump's tax returns. He ordered the
- 5:04Speaker 1: release of Hillary's emails, limited grand jury material disclosure in
- 5:08Speaker 1: Trump's classified documents case. So not exactly.
- 5:12Speaker 2: Maybe we should impeach him.
- 5:13Speaker 1: Not exactly a radical left lunatic. He used to be
- 5:16Speaker 1: the head of the FISA court, which is the court
- 5:18Speaker 1: that approves surveillance warrants. So this is not some lunatic leftist.
- 5:24Speaker 1: So the White House and Republicans in Congress, they have
- 5:27Speaker 1: to know that they don't have anywhere close to the
- 5:30Speaker 1: votes needed to impeach anyone, let alone a judge. You
- 5:34Speaker 1: need 67 votes in the Senate to convict. So why
- 5:38Speaker 1: do you think they keep pushing this? Like, is the
- 5:39Speaker 1: hope that the constant threats and accusations are just going
- 5:43Speaker 1: to undermine the legitimacy of the judicial system? Is that
- 5:46Speaker 1: the play?
- 5:47Speaker 2: Do you think you're sure they know that it takes
- 5:49Speaker 2: 67 votes?
- 5:50Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think Elon does. He's been tweeting
- 5:52Speaker 1: about it forever, and I think he's just a dumb
- 5:54Speaker 1: shit who has not spent a lot of time studying
- 5:57Speaker 1: up on the government he's trying to destroy, but that's him.
- 6:00Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think Elon, maybe even some of these
- 6:02Speaker 2: members of Congress, there is a collection of people with
- 6:04Speaker 2: broken brains who spend too much time online, have time
- 6:06Speaker 2: reading books, who don't know it, but they're... Stephen Miller
- 6:10Speaker 2: was tweeting about this. Those people do know. And I
- 6:13Speaker 2: think the goal here is pretty clear. It is to
- 6:17Speaker 2: set the stage to till the ground for the moment
- 6:20Speaker 2: when Trump wants to defy a court order. Because he
- 6:23Speaker 2: has not done that yet. He has said he's not
- 6:24Speaker 2: going to do it. And he does not have the
- 6:26Speaker 2: public on his side, right? There is a Washington Post-Ipsos
- 6:28Speaker 2: poll that shows that 84% of voters, including strong majorities
- 6:32Speaker 2: of Republicans, believe that if a court declares something the
- 6:35Speaker 2: Trump administration is doing is illegal, that Trump must abide
- 6:37Speaker 2: by that order. Only 11% think you should defy it.
- 6:40Speaker 2: And so if you want to get to the point
- 6:42Speaker 2: where you can actually do that, you have to do
- 6:45Speaker 2: what they did to the media, do what they're doing
- 6:46Speaker 2: to the universities. You have to destroy trust in that institution.
- 6:50Speaker 2: And this is the beginning part of that process.
- 6:53Speaker 1: We should say that just before we recorded, Judge Boasberg
- 6:57Speaker 1: just accused the government of evading its obligations and moved
- 7:01Speaker 1: closer to holding them in contempt for not explaining, they
- 7:05Speaker 1: still haven't explained, why they didn't abide by his order
- 7:09Speaker 1: to turn the planes around. So he is not backing
- 7:12Speaker 1: down with all these threats, but he's pretty angry at
- 7:18Speaker 1: the government, and I think he should be. The Trump
- 7:22Speaker 1: administration thinks that they are on solid ground on this
- 7:26Speaker 1: one because they think, you know, who really wants... Venezuelan
- 7:31Speaker 1: gangs in the United States. But the more we learn
- 7:36Speaker 1: about this and the more information that's come out, not
- 7:38Speaker 1: because of the government, but because of reporting and because
- 7:41Speaker 1: some of these people's families and lawyers have learned about
- 7:44Speaker 1: where they are, it is shocking, shocking what is happening.
- 7:49Speaker 1: The New York Times reports that the Trump folks believe
- 7:52Speaker 1: that the Alien Enemies Act, which is what Trump invoked
- 7:55Speaker 1: to do this, allows federal agents to enter homes without
- 8:00Speaker 1: a warrant. So currently, immigration agents without a warrant can
- 8:05Speaker 1: basically just knock on your door and ask to come in,
- 8:07Speaker 1: and that's all they can do unless they have a
- 8:09Speaker 1: warrant because of the Fourth Amendment. But Trump and the
- 8:13Speaker 1: government are basically now saying, well, Alien Enemies Act, if
- 8:16Speaker 1: we think that there's a Venezuelan gang in there and
- 8:19Speaker 1: we've labeled them a domestic terrorist organization, then we can
- 8:24Speaker 1: just send federal agents in federal ICE agents into people's
- 8:28Speaker 1: house without a warrant, which now you may say, okay, well,
- 8:31Speaker 1: if I'm a U.S. citizen, then they're not going to
- 8:33Speaker 1: come to my house. Well, how is anyone going to know?
- 8:36Speaker 1: How's anyone going to know? They can show up at
- 8:39Speaker 1: a U.S. citizen's house and say they suspect that Trende
- 8:43Speaker 1: Aragua is hiding in your house and then take you away.
- 8:47Speaker 1: And who's going to know since we're not doing due
- 8:49Speaker 1: process anymore? We're just fucking putting people on planes, sending
- 8:52Speaker 1: them to El Salvador and locking them up for indefinite
- 8:55Speaker 1: periods of time.
- 8:56Speaker 2: It is just truly astounding that they've taken all of
- 9:01Speaker 2: the checks and balances out of the system, right? You
- 9:03Speaker 2: don't need to go to a judge to get a
- 9:05Speaker 2: warrant to go in the house. And the person you
- 9:07Speaker 2: get in the house, you do not have to present
- 9:09Speaker 2: to a judge before you send them out of the country.
- 9:11Speaker 2: And if the Trump administration can be so fucking stupid
- 9:14Speaker 2: as to accidentally cancel an Ebola prevention program, do we
- 9:17Speaker 2: really think they're not going to make some mistakes on
- 9:19Speaker 2: the people they're deporting? And we're already hearing stories of these.
- 9:22Speaker 2: There are people waking up in an El Salvadorian mega-prison.
- 9:26Speaker 2: that is famous for how horrible the conditions are, infamous
- 9:30Speaker 2: for how horrible the conditions are, who were not members
- 9:33Speaker 2: of these gangs, right? Who should not have been subject
- 9:36Speaker 2: to this because the point is you stop in front
- 9:38Speaker 2: of a judge and a judge helps verify that this
- 9:40Speaker 2: is the person that the Trump administration says it is.
- 9:42Speaker 2: And then if they are a member of this gang
- 9:45Speaker 2: or if there's another reason why they should be deported,
- 9:46Speaker 2: then they're deported. But now this is just, I mean,
- 9:49Speaker 2: it is fully and totally authoritarian. It runs against everything
- 9:53Speaker 2: that our system was set up for.
- 9:55Speaker 1: They grabbed this guy who's a professional soccer player player
- 10:01Speaker 1: in Venezuela. This guy showed up at two protests to
- 10:06Speaker 1: protest Maduro, the dictator in Venezuela. And Maduro's regime tortured him.
- 10:14Speaker 1: And he got away. He came to the United States.
- 10:18Speaker 1: He applied for asylum. And they mistakenly think his tattoo
- 10:26Speaker 1: is Tren de Aragua when it's actually a fucking soccer tattoo.
- 10:31Speaker 1: And so they got the tattoo artist to like sign
- 10:35Speaker 1: an affidavit to say this. And so the family was
- 10:38Speaker 1: waiting for an immigration hearing and all this because the
- 10:40Speaker 1: guy had been held for a while and then just
- 10:43Speaker 1: woke up one day and was just taken to this
- 10:45Speaker 1: El Salvador in prison. So a man who was tortured
- 10:47Speaker 1: by the Maduro regime is now being held indefinitely in
- 10:51Speaker 1: a prison in El Salvador because they mistakenly think he's
- 10:55Speaker 1: a gang member. And then when DHS was asked about this,
- 10:57Speaker 1: they're like, well, that's one tattoo. And there was also
- 11:00Speaker 1: a social media post where he had a gang sign
- 11:02Speaker 1: and that everyone's like, no, that's just a, like a
- 11:05Speaker 1: thumbs up, like soccer sign that they have. I mean,
- 11:09Speaker 1: it's fucking ridiculous. This is what's happening. No hearing, no evidence,
- 11:13Speaker 1: no nothing. It's not good. It's not good. You see
- 11:16Speaker 1: Elon's maxing out on donations to Republicans who support impeaching judges?
- 11:21Speaker 2: Of course he is, right? The guy loves to buy
- 11:23Speaker 2: a politician. And giving federally regulated campaign contributions is a
- 11:28Speaker 2: pretty inefficient way for Elon Musk to flex his muscle
- 11:31Speaker 2: because he can only give the same amount as people
- 11:33Speaker 2: like you and I or anyone else out there. But
- 11:35Speaker 2: it just creates this incentive structure for more people to
- 11:37Speaker 2: act like morons and support these impeachments. Yeah, exactly. So
- 11:41Speaker 2: you're going to get more people that because they want
- 11:42Speaker 2: the money, they want the support, they want the attention
- 11:44Speaker 2: that comes from me associated with Elon. And that is
- 11:46Speaker 2: one thing Elon Musk is very good about doing. It
- 11:47Speaker 2: is leveraging his money for attention to influence. And this
- 11:50Speaker 2: is another way in which he's doing that.
- 11:52Speaker 1: He's also spent well over $ 10 million on a Wisconsin
- 11:55Speaker 1: Supreme Court race that could flip the state's liberal majority
- 11:58Speaker 1: back to a conservative majority. So early voting is now
- 12:03Speaker 1: underway in that race. And the election is April 1st. Dan,
- 12:06Speaker 1: you want to talk about the stakes here?
- 12:08Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 12:08Speaker 2: So if you live in Wisconsin, this is an absolutely
- 12:10Speaker 2: essential race because the balance of the Supreme Court is
- 12:14Speaker 2: once again... in question. You may remember, not that long ago,
- 12:17Speaker 2: we talked on the show a lot, there was a
- 12:19Speaker 2: race to, a couple of years ago, with Janet Porosiewicz,
- 12:24Speaker 2: who I think you guys even campaigned with in Wisconsin,
- 12:28Speaker 2: won an election, gave the liberals a majority. These are
- 12:32Speaker 2: technically nonpartisan races, but the parties have lined up behind
- 12:34Speaker 2: the candidates, Democrats behind Susan Crawford and Elon Musk and
- 12:38Speaker 2: Republicans behind Brad Schimel. And When the liberals have the
- 12:43Speaker 2: majority now, we're able to undo one of the nation's
- 12:45Speaker 2: most unfair gerrymandering systems and make it so that we
- 12:49Speaker 2: have more free and fair elections because Wisconsin, as we
- 12:51Speaker 2: all know, is the quintessential battleground state, but Republicans were
- 12:54Speaker 2: dominating the legislature and the congressional delegation because of that.
- 12:58Speaker 2: And going forward, the Wisconsin Supreme Court will hear cases
- 13:02Speaker 2: on things like abortion, personal freedom, civil rights. And if
- 13:05Speaker 2: you think about this from the perspective of people who
- 13:06Speaker 2: aren't in Wisconsin, many of the big cases that are
- 13:09Speaker 2: about– how the 2026 and 2028 elections are going to
- 13:14Speaker 2: be conducted will come before that court. So you're either
- 13:16Speaker 2: going to have a majority of people who abide by
- 13:18Speaker 2: the rule of law or a Supreme Court majority that
- 13:21Speaker 2: is bought and paid for by Elon Musk. And just
- 13:25Speaker 2: even beyond that for everyone else is this is the
- 13:29Speaker 2: first major election in a battleground state since Trump won.
- 13:33Speaker 2: Elon Musk is on the ballot here. He has spent
- 13:35Speaker 2: $ 10 million. The Democrats and the Crawford campaign have made
- 13:38Speaker 2: Elon Musk a centerpiece of it. Brad Schimel has not
- 13:41Speaker 2: committed to recusing himself of any cases involving Elon Musk
- 13:44Speaker 2: come up before the court, even though Elon Musk has
- 13:46Speaker 2: spent already $ 10 million to elect him.
- 13:48Speaker 1: And Tesla is currently suing the state of Wisconsin. So
- 13:52Speaker 1: the case may come to Brad Schimel.
- 13:55Speaker 2: And if you want to send a message to Elon
- 13:57Speaker 2: Musk and to every Republican in the country about how
- 14:01Speaker 2: toxic it is to be associated with what Elon Musk
- 14:03Speaker 2: is doing, the best way to do that right now,
- 14:05Speaker 2: the best way to inform... flick some measure of political
- 14:07Speaker 2: accountability on Elon Musk and Donald Trump is to win
- 14:09Speaker 2: this election in Wisconsin on April 1st.
- 14:12Speaker 1: Yeah. And it's close, as they always are in Wisconsin.
- 14:15Speaker 1: So it's going to be a really tight race. In
- 14:17Speaker 1: order to tip the race, we're sending John Lovett to
- 14:20Speaker 1: Wisconsin this weekend. He's doing six kickoffs. He's going to
- 14:25Speaker 1: be around Madison on Saturday and Milwaukee on Sunday. So
- 14:28Speaker 1: Go see Lovett if you're in Wisconsin.
- 14:31Speaker 2: And he'll be with Ben Whitcliffe. So just, you know,
- 14:34Speaker 2: he's chaperoned. On this trip, yes. To be clear, he's chaperoned.
- 14:37Speaker 1: Yeah, we don't send him to Wisconsin by himself. And
- 14:40Speaker 1: you can also go to votesaveamerica.com slash Wisconsin. And there's
- 14:43Speaker 1: going to be– there's plenty to do as we get
- 14:46Speaker 1: to Election Day here. Also– Tommy and I are not
- 14:50Speaker 1: going to Wisconsin, but we are going to Norco, California
- 14:54Speaker 1: this weekend, Dan.
- 14:55Speaker 2: That is not NorCal, California. That is Norco, California. Norco, yeah.
- 15:00Speaker 2: Stay on your side of the grapevine, okay?
- 15:02Speaker 1: It's about an hour and a half east of LA.
- 15:05Speaker 1: We're going to be with Ro Khanna, who's doing a
- 15:08Speaker 1: town hall in the district of a House Republican who
- 15:11Speaker 1: refuses to hold a town hall. Ken Calvert. We've already
- 15:15Speaker 1: been to Ken Calvert's district once when we were trying
- 15:18Speaker 1: to elect Will Rollins in this last cycle. So we're
- 15:21Speaker 1: heading back this time with Ro Khanna. Ro's doing, much
- 15:24Speaker 1: like Bernie and AOC are doing these town halls, Ro
- 15:27Speaker 1: is doing a series of town halls as well. So
- 15:31Speaker 1: that'll be fun. We're going out to see some folks.
- 15:35Speaker 1: So come say hi if you're in Norco. Or come
- 15:37Speaker 1: out to Norco if you're in L.A. Pod Save America
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- 17:22Speaker 1: Thank you, Lumen, for sponsoring this episode. Big day at
- 17:28Speaker 1: the White House on Thursday. Trump signed an order eliminating
- 17:31Speaker 1: the Department of Education, which has already seen its workforce halved.
- 17:36Speaker 1: Promises made, promises kept. The AP notes that the department
- 17:40Speaker 1: handles $ 1. 6 trillion in federal student loans and billions of
- 17:44Speaker 1: dollars in programs for colleges and school districts. It also
- 17:48Speaker 1: accounts for roughly 14% of public school budgets. The White
- 17:53Speaker 1: House claims that none of the department's services or benefits
- 17:56Speaker 1: will be disrupted, though they aren't saying how they'll do
- 18:00Speaker 1: that without, you know, an actual department with actual employees.
- 18:04Speaker 1: Here's what Trump had to say at the signing.
- 18:07Speaker 3: Today, we take a very historic action that was 45
- 18:10Speaker 3: years in the making. In a few moments, I will
- 18:14Speaker 3: sign an executive order to begin eliminating the Federal Department
- 18:18Speaker 3: of Education. And it sounds strange, doesn't it? Department of Education,
- 18:23Speaker 3: we're going to eliminate it. And everybody knows it's right.
- 18:27Speaker 3: And the Democrats know it's right. And I hope they're
- 18:29Speaker 3: going to be voting for it because ultimately it may
- 18:32Speaker 3: come before them. But Everybody knows it's right. It's doing
- 18:35Speaker 3: us no good. We want to return our students to
- 18:39Speaker 3: the States. Look, Denmark, Norway, Sweden. I have to tell you,
- 18:43Speaker 3: I give them a lot of credit. China's top 10.
- 18:47Speaker 3: And so we can't now say that bigness is making
- 18:50Speaker 3: it impossible to educate because China is very big.
- 18:53Speaker 1: What the hell is he talking? Bigness. So as you
- 18:56Speaker 1: heard him there, like they're acknowledging that they'll need Congress
- 18:59Speaker 1: to officially shutter the department. though they certainly don't have
- 19:03Speaker 1: 60 votes in the Senate for that. Republicans have already
- 19:07Speaker 1: said they'll introduce legislation right after Trump's announcement. What do
- 19:10Speaker 1: you think happens here? What do you make of all this?
- 19:12Speaker 2: As you mentioned, they're not passing this bill, right? Congress
- 19:15Speaker 2: is not going to act on this. To put that
- 19:17Speaker 2: in some perspective about how hard it is to shut
- 19:22Speaker 2: down the private education, Ronald Reagan ran on it. It
- 19:24Speaker 2: was a big part of his campaign platform. after winning
- 19:28Speaker 2: more than 500 electoral votes in 1984, he couldn't get
- 19:30Speaker 2: any traction on it. It's not become any more popular
- 19:34Speaker 2: since then. The Economist YouGov ran this interesting poll where
- 19:37Speaker 2: they asked people about the Department of Education, do you
- 19:39Speaker 2: want to expand it, keep it the same, reduce it,
- 19:43Speaker 2: or eliminate it? The plurality was expanded at 39%. The
- 19:46Speaker 2: combined keep it the same and expand it was over 60,
- 19:50Speaker 2: and only 17% of people wanted to eliminate it. There
- 19:53Speaker 2: is absolutely no appetite for this anywhere. What it is,
- 19:56Speaker 2: is it's just, this is sort of like the birthright
- 19:58Speaker 2: citizenship EO he did. He can say, promise is made,
- 20:02Speaker 2: promise is kept, and he did this, and then it
- 20:04Speaker 2: goes nowhere. But it does sort of create the predicate
- 20:08Speaker 2: for Musk and Doge to go in there and eliminate
- 20:11Speaker 2: it even further, right? Like maybe the building will still
- 20:13Speaker 2: stand and there will still be an office that Linda
- 20:14Speaker 2: McMahon will have the opportunity to go to periodically, but
- 20:18Speaker 2: the core functions, absent some judicial intervention, are going to
- 20:22Speaker 2: be gutted and it's going to have devastating effects.
- 20:26Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you know, they keep, I think they
- 20:28Speaker 1: know how unpopular it would be to sort of cut
- 20:30Speaker 1: the funding or disrupt benefits and services. You got student
- 20:33Speaker 1: loans in there, you got the education, the federal education
- 20:37Speaker 1: department is responsible for Title I funds for the state.
- 20:41Speaker 1: Title I funding is for public schools in disadvantaged communities,
- 20:46Speaker 1: so poor working-class families. It's for children with disabilities. And
- 20:52Speaker 1: so you have kids with disabilities, low-income schools, and all
- 20:56Speaker 1: the student loans in the country. And the Trump administration
- 21:00Speaker 1: is trying to say, well, they're either going to move
- 21:02Speaker 1: the distribution of those under other departments, or they're gonna
- 21:06Speaker 1: have a smaller, or they're gonna have, I don't know
- 21:08Speaker 1: what they're gonna do, but the idea that those services
- 21:12Speaker 1: are going to be completely uninterrupted just doesn't square with
- 21:18Speaker 1: what most people in education believe, experts in education believe,
- 21:22Speaker 1: and also how the entire Doge process has gone so far.
- 21:27Speaker 2: That's the key point. That's the key point.
- 21:29Speaker 1: They might think to themselves genuinely that they're not going
- 21:32Speaker 1: to disrupt any services and benefits, but they keep firing
- 21:34Speaker 1: everyone who knows anything about education.
- 21:38Speaker 2: It's like to what end, right, is that they want
- 21:40Speaker 2: a real estate transaction to sell the building?
- 21:44Speaker 3: Right.
- 21:44Speaker 2: They think they're.
- 21:45Speaker 1: Saving so much money just like getting rid of all
- 21:48Speaker 1: those employees, and they're not because that's not where most
- 21:50Speaker 1: of the money that the Department of Education oversees is
- 21:53Speaker 1: coming from.
- 21:54Speaker 2: It's also stupid. This is a way to check off
- 21:57Speaker 2: something that was on the wish list long before Project 2025.
- 22:01Speaker 2: It was a big part of Project 2025. Newt Gingrich
- 22:05Speaker 2: ran on this in the 90s with the Contract for America.
- 22:07Speaker 2: This has been a Republican pipe dream, and this is
- 22:09Speaker 2: a way to get a chance to say they did it.
- 22:12Speaker 2: Even if they're not accomplishing the specific goal because they
- 22:14Speaker 2: do need Congress for it, they can accomplish the goal
- 22:16Speaker 2: in spirit, which is to gut public education in this country.
- 22:20Speaker 1: It seems like a good fight for Democrats to take on.
- 22:23Speaker 1: What do you think?
- 22:25Speaker 2: I very much think so. In fact, if you're a
- 22:27Speaker 2: Messagebox subscriber, you have in your inbox right now a
- 22:31Speaker 2: full messaging guide on this. If you are not a
- 22:33Speaker 2: Messagebox subscriber, you're.
- 22:35Speaker 1: Lost, I guess.
- 22:36Speaker 2: Well, then I don't know what you've been doing. So
- 22:39Speaker 2: I go through a whole bunch of the polling on
- 22:41Speaker 2: a bunch of the message guidance, but let me give
- 22:43Speaker 2: the short version of how I think Democrats should talk
- 22:45Speaker 2: about this, which is Elon Musk and Donald Trump are
- 22:49Speaker 2: shutting down the Department of Education and gutting public education
- 22:51Speaker 2: to pay for tax cuts for billionaires. The result of
- 22:54Speaker 2: this is going to be teachers are laid off, more
- 22:57Speaker 2: kids in the classroom, dilapidated schools, and huge cut to
- 23:00Speaker 2: special education funding, all to pay for tax cuts for
- 23:04Speaker 2: the ultra-wealthy like Elon Musk and Donald Trump. That is
- 23:07Speaker 2: how you talk about it. It is not about cutting
- 23:10Speaker 2: individual funding streams. It is important to say why they're
- 23:14Speaker 2: doing it, be specific on what's going to happen, and
- 23:17Speaker 2: who it benefits.
- 23:18Speaker 1: Yeah, I think along with some of the healthcare cuts,
- 23:22Speaker 1: this is going to be probably what's going to piss
- 23:24Speaker 1: people off the most, especially if and when we start
- 23:28Speaker 1: getting the stories about people whose benefits or loans or
- 23:32Speaker 1: whatever else or funding for certain schools was disrupted. Then
- 23:36Speaker 1: I think it's really going to blow up.
- 23:38Speaker 2: There's just a context for eliminating the Department of Education
- 23:40Speaker 2: that does not exist for USAID, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau,
- 23:46Speaker 2: or the Institute of PEDAs we'll talk about in a minute.
- 23:48Speaker 2: People have been talking about this for a very long time.
- 23:50Speaker 2: This country probably has been trying to do it for
- 23:51Speaker 2: a long time. Voters keep rejecting it time and time again.
- 23:55Speaker 2: And now Trump is doing it unilaterally at the behest
- 23:57Speaker 2: of the world's richest man in order to pay for
- 23:59Speaker 2: tax cuts for billionaires. And so this is a huge
- 24:01Speaker 2: opportunity for Democrats. It is one of the things that
- 24:03Speaker 2: has the best chance of breaking through in the flood
- 24:06Speaker 2: of all the terribleness that's happening.
- 24:10Speaker 1: And Trump is also targeting colleges and universities he doesn't like.
- 24:14Speaker 1: We have mentioned before the $ 400 million in federal funding
- 24:17Speaker 1: he's threatened to withhold from Columbia unless the school acquiesces
- 24:21Speaker 1: to the administration's demands, the deadline for which is Friday
- 24:24Speaker 1: when you're listening to this. Some of those demands, banning
- 24:28Speaker 1: masks because they were used at the protest last year,
- 24:31Speaker 1: giving campus law enforcement wider latitude to arrest, quote, agitators
- 24:34Speaker 1: who foster an unsafe or hostile work or study environment,
- 24:38Speaker 1: and placing the school's Department of Middle East, South Asian,
- 24:41Speaker 1: and African Studies in, quote, academic receivership, which means it's
- 24:44Speaker 1: no longer overseen by the actual faculty who teach within it. Now,
- 24:49Speaker 1: Trump is also going after his own alma mater, the
- 24:51Speaker 1: University of Pennsylvania, where the administration froze around $ 175 million
- 24:56Speaker 1: in federal funds because of a trans athlete and swimmer,
- 25:00Speaker 1: Leah Thomas, who competed and graduated in 2022. The White
- 25:06Speaker 1: House rapid response account posted a clip of Fox News
- 25:09Speaker 1: announcing the move with the given that Leah Thomas graduated
- 25:14Speaker 1: three years ago, is this promises made, promises kept, or
- 25:18Speaker 1: just another way to own the libs that's going to
- 25:20Speaker 1: end up just hurting a lot of students at the
- 25:22Speaker 1: University of Pennsylvania?
- 25:23Speaker 2: I mean, it's clearly punitive. It's clearly not based on
- 25:25Speaker 2: any sort of substance or reality. And I think we
- 25:28Speaker 2: have to view it in the context of the larger
- 25:31Speaker 2: conservative project to systematically and strategically take out any institution
- 25:37Speaker 2: that they view as an opposition to right-wing thinking in
- 25:39Speaker 2: this country, right? It's why they spent so much time, uh,
- 25:43Speaker 2: to try to take down unions, passing right-to-work laws. It
- 25:46Speaker 2: is why they have gone after the media, which they
- 25:50Speaker 2: view as, incorrectly in my view, but view as an
- 25:52Speaker 2: ally of liberals and Democrats, in part because they are
- 25:55Speaker 2: fact-checking and calling out the hypocrisy of what's on the right.
- 25:59Speaker 2: And universities, they've always believed to be a breeding ground
- 26:02Speaker 2: of liberal thought. And so they are trying to destroy them.
- 26:04Speaker 2: They are trying to cowl them into acting a certain way,
- 26:07Speaker 2: and they are trying to gut their funding. And it
- 26:09Speaker 2: is part of a bigger project. And we have to
- 26:11Speaker 2: view it in that context, I think.
- 26:14Speaker 1: Alan Blinder at the New York Times reported on Thursday
- 26:16Speaker 1: about layoffs, hiring freezes, lab shutdowns at universities across the country.
- 26:22Speaker 1: What did you make of that story?
- 26:25Speaker 2: I mean, this is the end result of what they're doing.
- 26:27Speaker 2: I thought what was notable in that story was that
- 26:30Speaker 2: they wrote that academia was caught flat-footed. I was like, oh,
- 26:34Speaker 2: the one time the famously nimble academia was asleep at
- 26:39Speaker 2: the wheel. I mean, there is a longer term challenge.
- 26:43Speaker 2: There is more appetite for what Trump is doing here.
- 26:45Speaker 2: And it's not just because of the protests around Gaza
- 26:50Speaker 2: and the controversy of how a lot of universities handle
- 26:52Speaker 2: that and what some of the presidents said before Congress. Pew,
- 26:55Speaker 2: this was in the New York Times, I don't know,
- 26:56Speaker 2: Pew tracks how people feel about the impact of various
- 27:01Speaker 2: institutions on American society. And they ask people at universities.
- 27:04Speaker 2: And in 2012, only 21% of Americans thought that universities
- 27:08Speaker 2: had a negative impact on our society. And by last year,
- 27:12Speaker 2: it was up to 45%. And that's not just Trump
- 27:15Speaker 2: and Republicans. That is the high cost of college. It
- 27:19Speaker 2: is student debt crushing people. People have been told on
- 27:24Speaker 2: this idea that the best pathway to success is a
- 27:28Speaker 2: four-year college education, but you're going to leave there with
- 27:31Speaker 2: so much debt that it is going to crush you financially.
- 27:34Speaker 2: And universities have done a very bad job of both
- 27:37Speaker 2: in the short term around Trump and the time before
- 27:39Speaker 2: that of, one, dealing with the sort of indefensible rise
- 27:43Speaker 2: in tuition, but in sort of explaining the role they play.
- 27:46Speaker 2: And because they are these nonprofit institutions, some of whom,
- 27:50Speaker 2: like the most famous ones, have billions of dollars in endowment,
- 27:53Speaker 2: but then take taxpayer money. And what we have not explained,
- 27:56Speaker 2: and they have not explained, and maybe people before Trump
- 27:59Speaker 2: did not explain well, is that these universities are the
- 28:01Speaker 2: laboratories for America, right? They're the ones doing the research
- 28:06Speaker 2: that is helping us build new technologies, discover new medicines,
- 28:10Speaker 2: figure out how to fight disease. And the universities haven't
- 28:12Speaker 2: made that case, and people supporting that sort of R
- 28:16Speaker 2: & D funding have not made that case.
- 28:18Speaker 1: Well, and the two problems you just mentioned are undoubtedly
- 28:21Speaker 1: going to get worse because of what the Trump administration
- 28:24Speaker 1: has already done. Universities have not kept tuition down. They
- 28:27Speaker 1: haven't done a good job. And so Therefore, we are
- 28:31Speaker 1: subsidizing higher costs at universities through financial aid, student loans,
- 28:38Speaker 1: and all the other stuff that the federal government does
- 28:40Speaker 1: to help students attend school. Meanwhile, the costs keep rising
- 28:44Speaker 1: and rising and rising. So that's a huge problem. But
- 28:47Speaker 1: gutting a bunch of federal funding at universities, do we
- 28:50Speaker 1: think that's going to make tuition go down? Do we
- 28:52Speaker 1: think that's going to help costs at college?
- 28:53Speaker 2: Well, they're not interested in it. They want fewer people
- 28:55Speaker 2: to go to college.
- 28:56Speaker 1: Right. Right. And then the other and then the big
- 28:58Speaker 1: one that you mentioned is between what the Trump administration
- 29:01Speaker 1: is doing to colleges and universities, between what they're doing
- 29:04Speaker 1: to the NIH, what they're doing to other public health agencies,
- 29:08Speaker 1: other agencies that are responsible for medical research, for technological research.
- 29:13Speaker 1: I mean, it's not look, part of this is you
- 29:17Speaker 1: got research here and innovation and medical research and scientific research.
- 29:21Speaker 1: There's going to be a huge brain drain here. And
- 29:24Speaker 1: a lot of these scientists and researchers and experts are
- 29:26Speaker 1: going to go to other countries and other countries are
- 29:30Speaker 1: going to develop the breakthrough technologies and discoveries and cures
- 29:36Speaker 1: that usually happen in the United States and the interventions.
- 29:40Speaker 1: and jobs and everything else is going to go overseas
- 29:43Speaker 1: as well. And we're not going to have them here.
- 29:45Speaker 1: But then there's a broader issue, which is like the
- 29:47Speaker 1: United States is the place where a lot of these
- 29:49Speaker 1: discoveries happen. And if they don't happen here because we're
- 29:53Speaker 1: gutting the funding for them, they're just not going to happen.
- 29:56Speaker 1: And there's like, there's like, it was a, a diabetes study.
- 30:00Speaker 1: That was like a 30-year diabetes study that they just
- 30:03Speaker 1: canceled the contract for. And you're not getting that back.
- 30:07Speaker 2: You can't turn this stuff back on. There was a
- 30:09Speaker 2: report right before Trump took office about how close we
- 30:12Speaker 2: were coming to a vaccine to deal with colorectal cancer.
- 30:16Speaker 1: I thought it was pancreatic, wasn't it? Or maybe it
- 30:19Speaker 1: was both. I think there was an mRNA for pancreatic cancer.
- 30:22Speaker 2: Well, we can leave all of this in.
- 30:25Speaker 1: But anyway, there was multiple.
- 30:26Speaker 2: But we're on the cusp of something incredibly important. All
- 30:29Speaker 2: of the progress that's made on Alzheimer's research, all of
- 30:32Speaker 2: that stops and it doesn't start again. So that's the,
- 30:35Speaker 2: as you pointed out, that is the progress on very
- 30:38Speaker 2: specific things that have tremendous benefit to people in the world.
- 30:43Speaker 2: It's going to stop and it's not going to happen.
- 30:45Speaker 2: And then there is sort of the economic impact in
- 30:46Speaker 2: the United States where these universities, like in this story,
- 30:49Speaker 2: they talk about how they may have to stop teaching biochemistry.
- 30:52Speaker 2: universities because the labs are funded by research grants. And
- 30:56Speaker 2: if the research grants are not there, the labs are
- 30:58Speaker 2: not there, and then they won't teach that. And so
- 31:01Speaker 2: the next generation of scientists, researchers, doctors, technologists, all of
- 31:06Speaker 2: that is not going to happen because of this idiotic,
- 31:10Speaker 2: short-sighted effort from the Trump administration. And Fixing this is not...
- 31:16Speaker 2: For nothing. This is not saving us much money. This
- 31:19Speaker 2: is not changing bloated budgets that needed to be changed.
- 31:24Speaker 2: This is just destroying shit because they don't know what
- 31:27Speaker 2: the fuck they're doing. They're going in with a sledgehammer.
- 31:31Speaker 2: Elon Musk doesn't know what the fuck he's doing. Doge
- 31:32Speaker 2: doesn't know what the fuck they're doing. Donald Trump certainly
- 31:34Speaker 2: doesn't know what the fuck he's doing. Neither does his
- 31:36Speaker 2: dumb fucking cabinet. And the saddest part is we're not
- 31:41Speaker 2: going to know.
- 31:42Speaker 1: You know, like there's just going to be these, these
- 31:44Speaker 1: studies are going to go away and these researchers are
- 31:46Speaker 1: going to lose their jobs. And we're not going to
- 31:49Speaker 1: know all of the potentially life-saving discoveries that we lost
- 31:54Speaker 1: like 10 years down the road. Yeah.
- 31:57Speaker 2: It is deeply depressing because so much in between administrations
- 32:01Speaker 2: can be turned back on, right? There's tremendous damage in
- 32:03Speaker 2: the four years, but you come back in, you can
- 32:05Speaker 2: put in new policies, sign a new executive order, pass
- 32:07Speaker 2: a new law. The things that Trump is doing both
- 32:09Speaker 2: to universities and the federal government itself, are not things
- 32:11Speaker 2: that can be fixed in one four-year term.
- 32:14Speaker 4: I know.
- 32:14Speaker 1: I keep thinking about like the next Democrats running for
- 32:17Speaker 1: president or, you know, God willing, the next Democratic president.
- 32:21Speaker 1: And there's going to have to be like a sort
- 32:23Speaker 1: of a massive nationwide, maybe even global effort to like
- 32:28Speaker 1: try to recruit really good, smart people back into government
- 32:32Speaker 1: and public service and researchers and scientists and medical and
- 32:37Speaker 1: just like an expert's. And it's going to, I think
- 32:40Speaker 1: it's gonna be really fucking hard too, because again, why
- 32:43Speaker 1: are you taking it? Like, maybe you want to work
- 32:45Speaker 1: for the next democratic administration, but what happens when another,
- 32:50Speaker 1: a JD Vance or another Trump comes into office and
- 32:53Speaker 1: then you don't have job security anymore.
- 32:55Speaker 4: Right.
- 32:55Speaker 2: Like can the next democratic president bring in a bunch
- 32:57Speaker 2: of incredibly talented political appointees to tackle these problems? Absolutely.
- 33:03Speaker 2: And I suspect that will happen. There will be a
- 33:04Speaker 2: mobilization of the best and the brightest to come in
- 33:07Speaker 2: and do that. But what about the people who keep
- 33:09Speaker 2: the government running all the time, the ones who have
- 33:11Speaker 2: these jobs in part because of job security? They could
- 33:13Speaker 2: do other things, but they're in it for public service
- 33:15Speaker 2: and they're in it because there's a stability in government
- 33:18Speaker 2: employment with good benefits. You know what the pay structure is.
- 33:23Speaker 2: You can be there a long time. And if that
- 33:24Speaker 2: security will no longer exist, having those people there is
- 33:27Speaker 2: going to be deeply damaging. I don't know what we
- 33:29Speaker 2: would have done when we arrived in the White House
- 33:31Speaker 2: if there hadn't been a whole bunch of people who'd
- 33:32Speaker 2: been there for the last three presidencies who had been
- 33:35Speaker 2: making everything work, who knew things, who had institutional knowledge.
- 33:38Speaker 2: I mean, it just, it is deeply concerning.
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- 35:31Speaker 1: of Doge, let's check in with the Doge bags and
- 35:33Speaker 1: Trump's broader effort to destroy the federal government. Politico reported
- 35:37Speaker 1: Wednesday that the Department of Agriculture, USDA, is stopping millions
- 35:42Speaker 1: of dollars worth of deliveries to food banks in at
- 35:46Speaker 1: least six states. And earlier this week, the Social Security
- 35:50Speaker 1: Administration announced that you can no longer apply for benefits
- 35:53Speaker 1: or change the account where your benefits are delivered over
- 35:56Speaker 1: the phone. you either have to verify your identity online
- 36:00Speaker 1: or go in person to your local social security office,
- 36:04Speaker 1: which will be tough because the AP reported that almost
- 36:06Speaker 1: 50 social security offices have shown up on Doge's list
- 36:09Speaker 1: of federal government site closures. Is this government efficiency at
- 36:14Speaker 1: its finest, Dan? We're just making it harder for seniors
- 36:17Speaker 1: to obtain their social security benefits.
- 36:21Speaker 2: It is Donald Trump waging war on his own voters.
- 36:23Speaker 2: The people who are going to be affected most are
- 36:25Speaker 2: the people in the rural parts of the country where
- 36:28Speaker 2: they are not near a Social Security office, and probably
- 36:31Speaker 2: the nearest one just got on that list of 50
- 36:33Speaker 2: that's going to get closed, and it's going to make
- 36:35Speaker 2: it impossible for people to get their benefits. There was
- 36:38Speaker 2: a report today that there was a two-hour wait time
- 36:41Speaker 2: for calls right now and a one-month waiting period for
- 36:44Speaker 2: appointments in an office that may close sometime soon. It
- 36:47Speaker 2: is truly insane. And these are the kind of things
- 36:50Speaker 2: that have real political impact. Congressman Michael Lawler, the Republican,
- 36:53Speaker 2: today put out a statement attacking criticizing Trump and Musk
- 36:57Speaker 2: for trying to close the Hudson Valley Social Security Office.
- 37:00Speaker 2: So I think you're going to see that from a
- 37:01Speaker 2: lot of people because this is where it matters. This
- 37:03Speaker 2: idea that you're going to make it impossible for people
- 37:06Speaker 2: to access their benefits, you're going to make people, you know,
- 37:09Speaker 2: older folks have to verify their identity online as opposed
- 37:12Speaker 2: to be able to call or, I mean, is truly,
- 37:15Speaker 2: is going to be, is deeply damaging and I think
- 37:17Speaker 2: is going to hurt politically too.
- 37:20Speaker 1: 39 million people live in households without any internet connection.
- 37:23Speaker 1: 25% of Americans 65 or older have reported never going online.
- 37:30Speaker 1: So those are Social Security beneficiaries. And like you said,
- 37:35Speaker 1: the low-income areas, rural areas, people with disabilities, people who
- 37:39Speaker 1: just can't get around because they're older, those are going
- 37:43Speaker 1: to be the people hurt by this. And I don't know,
- 37:45Speaker 1: maybe Mike Lawler, because he's a Republican in good standing,
- 37:48Speaker 1: or will do something crazy. Maybe he'll argue, Maybe he'll–
- 37:51Speaker 1: Mike Lawler will introduce a couple articles of impeachment against
- 37:53Speaker 1: a federal judge and then they'll open up the Hudson
- 37:55Speaker 1: Valley office and they'll close one down in a blue district.
- 37:59Speaker 1: That's probably where we're headed. I do think this is–
- 38:02Speaker 1: I'm sure Democrats are going to be all over this
- 38:03Speaker 1: one because every single poll you see everywhere is– Social
- 38:08Speaker 1: Security is like the number one issue for folks and
- 38:11Speaker 1: it's probably– It's the number one vulnerability for Republicans, and
- 38:15Speaker 1: it's probably why Donald Trump has said over and over
- 38:17Speaker 1: again he's not going to touch Social Security. So I'm
- 38:20Speaker 1: hoping that the Democrats jump all.
- 38:22Speaker 2: Over this one. I mean, this is old school, but
- 38:24Speaker 2: go to press conferences outside the Social Security offices on
- 38:27Speaker 2: that list.
- 38:28Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good idea.
- 38:29Speaker 2: Invite some influencers. We'll make it New Age Communications, but
- 38:33Speaker 2: go stand in front of them. Take a vertical video
- 38:35Speaker 2: of yourself in front of one, but go to a
- 38:36Speaker 2: Social Security office.
- 38:37Speaker 1: Bring all your canes.
- 38:39Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 38:41Speaker 1: Wave them around. Go from the Tesla dealers to the
- 38:45Speaker 1: social security offices, right? Fewer Tesla dealers, more social security offices. Again, peaceful.
- 38:52Speaker 1: One last Doge item. Not so peaceful. We got to
- 38:56Speaker 1: talk about Doge's armed invasion of the U.S. Institute of Peace.
- 39:02Speaker 1: This is unfortunately a real story, Dan. Here's the short version.
- 39:07Speaker 1: Some dogebags gained access to the Institute of Peace on
- 39:11Speaker 1: Monday night. The Institute of Peace, we should let you know,
- 39:14Speaker 1: is a nonprofit organization. It is not part of the
- 39:18Speaker 1: executive branch. It is funded by Congress. It was founded
- 39:21Speaker 1: by Congress, funded by Congress. It's a nonprofit, but of
- 39:25Speaker 1: course it has government money. And the job of the
- 39:29Speaker 1: Institute of Peace is to help resolve conflicts around the world,
- 39:34Speaker 1: as the name suggests. But Donald Trump decided we're going
- 39:39Speaker 1: to zero out the Institute of Peace, a couple other agencies,
- 39:43Speaker 1: just like they're doing everywhere else. Okay. So the doge
- 39:46Speaker 1: bags get access to the Institute of Peace on Monday night.
- 39:49Speaker 1: by apparently threatening the federal contracts for the outside private
- 39:54Speaker 1: security firm that the Institute employed. This is according to Politico.
- 39:59Speaker 1: Some of the staff at the Institute of Peace tells
- 40:02Speaker 1: the dogebags that they're trespassing, but then they ignore the
- 40:06Speaker 1: Institute of Peace staffers, the dogebags, and they, quote, proceeded
- 40:11Speaker 1: to walk towards the gun safe. Then the Institute of
- 40:16Speaker 1: Peace staffers contact DC's Metropolitan Police Department on the trespassers,
- 40:22Speaker 1: on the Doge people. But in an alarming twist, the
- 40:25Speaker 1: police end up detaining the Institute of Peace's head of
- 40:29Speaker 1: security and lawyers instead at the direction of a State
- 40:33Speaker 1: Department flunky, who has since been declared the U.S. Institute
- 40:37Speaker 1: of Peace's new acting president, and who by that time
- 40:40Speaker 1: had shown up with even more Doge bags, D.C. police
- 40:43Speaker 1: said in a statement that they were contacted by the U.S.
- 40:47Speaker 1: Attorney's Office, our pal Ed Martin, his office in D.C.,
- 40:51Speaker 1: eagle-eyed Ed, who's threatening, you know, members of Congress and
- 40:56Speaker 1: everyone else. Crazy man. The Institute then filed an emergency
- 41:00Speaker 1: request in court trying to deny Doge access. Which Judge
- 41:04Speaker 1: Beryl Howell denied, though she did question Doge's tactics. Good
- 41:09Speaker 1: for her.
- 41:09Speaker 2: Thank you.
- 41:10Speaker 1: She said, quote, this conduct of using law enforcement, threatening
- 41:14Speaker 1: criminal investigation and using armed law enforcement from three different agencies.
- 41:18Speaker 4: Why?
- 41:19Speaker 1: Just because Doge is in a rush? Feels like all
- 41:21Speaker 1: this could have been handled in a few emails. Like,
- 41:24Speaker 1: I mean, hey, could you clear out of the office?
- 41:25Speaker 1: We've zeroed out your budget.
- 41:27Speaker 2: Like what?
- 41:29Speaker 1: Or if they refuse to– like, hey, we're going to
- 41:31Speaker 1: take you to court then because we believe we can
- 41:33Speaker 1: shut your agency down and you don't think we can.
- 41:35Speaker 1: But we– like, what did you make of all this?
- 41:40Speaker 2: I mean, just it's truly perfect. A bunch of tech
- 41:44Speaker 2: flunkies arranging an armed invasion of the Institute of Peace.
- 41:48Speaker 2: I mean, it's just– I mean, they don't have– probably
- 41:51Speaker 2: don't have the authority to shut the thing down. Like,
- 41:53Speaker 2: that is– it is not, as you said, not a
- 41:56Speaker 2: part of the executive branch per se. Created by Congress.
- 41:59Speaker 2: And like this sort of like brute force activity taking
- 42:05Speaker 2: on the deep state. Ooh, we bullied the Institute of
- 42:08Speaker 2: Peace guys. It's like bravado. It's just, it's like, there's like,
- 42:13Speaker 2: that is, that'll get you plaudits in MAGA Trump world.
- 42:16Speaker 2: And so you can just, you'll see more of this absurdity.
- 42:20Speaker 2: Like they seem so tough the way they got the
- 42:23Speaker 2: cops to help them get into the Institute of Peace.
- 42:25Speaker 2: And as opposed to just doing it, like, I guess
- 42:28Speaker 2: another way I think about this is there is a
- 42:31Speaker 2: right way and a wrong way to do these things.
- 42:33Speaker 2: Even if you disagree, no matter what you feel about
- 42:35Speaker 2: the value of the Institute of Peace, there's a way
- 42:40Speaker 2: to go about it. But Elon Musk and Doge will
- 42:44Speaker 2: not and cannot do it the right way, which constantly
- 42:47Speaker 2: keeps hurting their efforts to do the thing that we
- 42:49Speaker 2: disagree with because they keep getting stopped in court and
- 42:51Speaker 2: it keeps being messier and dumber than it needs to be.
- 42:55Speaker 2: but this is just like the extreme example of that.
- 42:58Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 42:58Speaker 1: And it's what's really, I mean, it is, there's a
- 43:01Speaker 1: lot of humor to that story because it's so fucking absurd.
- 43:04Speaker 1: What's really worrying about it is like, so now we
- 43:07Speaker 1: have the department of Homeland security and ice agents deciding
- 43:12Speaker 1: that they don't need a warrant anymore and that they
- 43:15Speaker 1: can now, you know, go in and look for trend
- 43:17Speaker 1: day or agua in any house that they want. We
- 43:20Speaker 1: are flying people to prisons in El Salvador and, With
- 43:25Speaker 1: no due process, we have a U.S. attorney in D.C.
- 43:30Speaker 1: who is now like sending FBI agents and D.C. police
- 43:34Speaker 1: in to detain these staffers at this agency who just
- 43:39Speaker 1: didn't want to let a bunch of people in to
- 43:43Speaker 1: shut them down. And it like who who what kind
- 43:47Speaker 1: of like government bureaucrat or person at a nonprofit is
- 43:51Speaker 1: going to want to live in Washington, D.C.? And you
- 43:53Speaker 1: start thinking like, oh, yeah, that's what they're trying to
- 43:55Speaker 1: do here. They're trying to make the city Trump City now.
- 43:59Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 44:00Speaker 2: To make everything so uncomfortable that people will just leave.
- 44:02Speaker 2: And they've had great success at that. They've had great success.
- 44:05Speaker 1: And like the number of examples now of using the
- 44:09Speaker 1: power of the state, the force, police, FBI, like just
- 44:14Speaker 1: against Americans, against immigrants, against people they don't like. It's
- 44:20Speaker 1: very scary.
- 44:21Speaker 2: We are so far past right now what even some
- 44:25Speaker 2: of the most hyperbolic arguments about what Trump would do are.
- 44:29Speaker 2: We are right there.
- 44:31Speaker 4: Yep. Yep.
- 44:32Speaker 1: And it is, I don't know if it's like, part
- 44:35Speaker 1: of it is the, I know part of it's the
- 44:37Speaker 1: media environment. I keep wondering why there's not more alarm
- 44:40Speaker 1: every day. And I don't know if it's just some
- 44:43Speaker 1: people are like, I can't tune in all the time.
- 44:46Speaker 1: I can't. you know, get worried about this all the time.
- 44:50Speaker 1: If it's just that people don't know, if people aren't
- 44:52Speaker 1: hearing about it all, if Democrats aren't fighting hard enough
- 44:56Speaker 1: or making enough noise, like, I don't know what it is,
- 44:58Speaker 1: but it feels oddly quiet for the level of insanity
- 45:04Speaker 1: that's taking place right now.
- 45:07Speaker 2: I've been thinking a lot about, there are a million
- 45:09Speaker 2: reasons for this. I think we, as a society, like
- 45:14Speaker 2: political stakeholders, the media, just average everybody, people lack the
- 45:18Speaker 2: vocabulary and the imagination to talk about what's happening here
- 45:21Speaker 2: because it's not something that we ever thought would happen
- 45:22Speaker 2: in this country. And so we just don't know how
- 45:25Speaker 2: to do it. And almost every other country in the
- 45:27Speaker 2: world has faced this down at some point, or they've
- 45:32Speaker 2: gone through it, where they've had an authoritarian regime, where
- 45:35Speaker 2: they've been a dictatorship and they've come out of that
- 45:37Speaker 2: with so much reform. That's never happened here. It's never
- 45:38Speaker 2: been a fear here since the very beginning. And so
- 45:41Speaker 2: we can't we can't comprehend it. I'm not complaining about
- 45:47Speaker 2: the New York Times headlines here, but as an example,
- 45:49Speaker 2: when Trump gave that insane speech at the Department of Justice,
- 45:52Speaker 2: where he goes to the Department of Justice, a place
- 45:53Speaker 2: where presidents almost never go, and gives a speech calling
- 45:56Speaker 2: out his enemies while surrounded by his self-appointed law enforcement hacks.
- 46:00Speaker 2: And it was like, Trump gives unusually fiery speech at
- 46:03Speaker 2: the Department of Justice or something like that. No one
- 46:07Speaker 2: knows how to talk about it. But there is a
- 46:09Speaker 2: media environment change here too. Think about what it felt
- 46:14Speaker 2: like in 2018 when people became aware that Trump was
- 46:19Speaker 2: putting kids in cages in detention centers. And the outrage,
- 46:23Speaker 2: it dominated the conversation. I mean, I was on a
- 46:25Speaker 2: book tour at the time. I lost all my interviews, right?
- 46:27Speaker 2: Because that's all I didn't want to talk about for
- 46:28Speaker 2: good reason, right? That was the right choice. But it
- 46:31Speaker 2: became the dominant national story. Now- Think about the.
- 46:34Speaker 1: First week, the first week when people flooded the airports
- 46:37Speaker 1: because of the Muslim ban.
- 46:38Speaker 2: Well, that's the response, right? That's another point is that
- 46:41Speaker 2: there was- is that there was a way in which
- 46:45Speaker 2: the quote-unquote resistance was involved in attention-getting tactics that did
- 46:50Speaker 2: drive some of these things, which is not happening now
- 46:52Speaker 2: to the same extent. But just think about everything you
- 46:56Speaker 2: said about what's happening in El Salvador. If that had
- 46:59Speaker 2: happened in a 2017-2018 media environment, it would be a
- 47:03Speaker 2: dominant conversation, but nothing can be a dominant conversation right
- 47:05Speaker 2: now in the same way. And that's not just because
- 47:08Speaker 2: Trump is a more effective flood-the-zone strategy now. It's because
- 47:11Speaker 2: just the world has changed so much and people are
- 47:13Speaker 2: living in these algorithmically designed bubbles. The power and reach
- 47:17Speaker 2: and influence of the people who could drive the conversation
- 47:20Speaker 2: on a mass scale just massively diminished from where it
- 47:24Speaker 2: was years ago. This is how this happens, right? This
- 47:28Speaker 2: is exactly how it happens, is that people aren't paying
- 47:30Speaker 2: enough attention. And the people who are opposing it are
- 47:33Speaker 2: not drawing enough attention or grabbing people by the lapels
- 47:36Speaker 2: to make them pay attention. And we are headed someplace
- 47:38Speaker 2: very dangerous.
- 47:40Speaker 1: I've been wondering if this also partly explains sort of
- 47:44Speaker 1: the odd polling numbers for Trump that we've been getting,
- 47:46Speaker 1: which is he's so underwater on the economy and it's
- 47:51Speaker 1: like the one issue that's dragging him down the most
- 47:54Speaker 1: and on a lot of other issues and his overall
- 47:56Speaker 1: approval rating, it's not as low as you would think.
- 48:00Speaker 1: And I wonder if it's because the economy and inflation
- 48:04Speaker 1: and cost of living is like the one issue that
- 48:06Speaker 1: people are experiencing every day, even if they're not tuning
- 48:10Speaker 1: into the news and the Trump show version two. And
- 48:15Speaker 1: all the other stuff is just not breaking through as
- 48:16Speaker 1: much because people aren't paying as close attention and because
- 48:19Speaker 1: the media environment is so diffuse.
- 48:21Speaker 2: Yeah. Your news consumption is not correlated with your exposure
- 48:25Speaker 2: to high prices, right? Like your news consumption is correlated
- 48:28Speaker 2: with whether you know about what's happening in El Salvador
- 48:31Speaker 2: or shutting down the Department of Education or any of
- 48:33Speaker 2: the other 12 terrible things we're going to talk about
- 48:35Speaker 2: on this pod and future pods. But whether you can
- 48:37Speaker 2: follow no news, you still have to go to the store.
- 48:39Speaker 2: and buy eggs, gas, food. You have to pay your rent,
- 48:43Speaker 2: your mortgage, et cetera. And that's always been true, right?
- 48:46Speaker 2: Even before we entered this fucked up era, the one
- 48:50Speaker 2: issue that you cannot make go away is the economy,
- 48:54Speaker 2: whether that's layoffs, high unemployment, or inflation.
- 49:08Speaker 1: Pod Save America is brought to you by Mint Mobile.
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- 50:22Speaker 1: Mint Mobile for details. Okay, before we get to the
- 50:28Speaker 1: new 2024 post-mortem, it's time for our weekly corrupt date.
- 50:33Speaker 1: What do you think, Dan? That's pretty good.
- 50:34Speaker 2: I think that's pretty good. We've been through a lot
- 50:36Speaker 2: of options here, and I think that's well done.
- 50:39Speaker 1: That gave us corrupt date. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who's
- 50:43Speaker 1: become a real hype man for the administration's griftiest stunts,
- 50:47Speaker 1: was focused this week on the only commerce that matters,
- 50:51Speaker 1: the kind that puts more money in the pockets of
- 50:52Speaker 1: the world's richest man. Here's Lutnick on Jesse Waters with
- 50:56Speaker 1: a free ad for Elon and free stock tips for
- 50:59Speaker 1: all of us.
- 51:00Speaker 2: Buy Tesla. It's unbelievable.
- 51:03Speaker 4: That this guy's stock is this cheap. It'll never be
- 51:05Speaker 4: this cheap again. People are going to be dreaming of
- 51:08Speaker 4: today and Jesse Watters and thinking, gosh, I should have
- 51:11Speaker 4: bought Elon Musk's stock. Elon Musk is probably the best
- 51:16Speaker 4: person to bet on, I've ever met. He's building the
- 51:20Speaker 4: coolest robots you've ever seen. Go online and look up Optimus.
- 51:24Speaker 4: It is the coolest thing you've ever seen. We're all
- 51:27Speaker 4: going to be buying robots. They're going to cost about $.
- 51:28Speaker 1: 30, 000.
- 51:29Speaker 4: You're going to be buying a Tesla robot and anybody
- 51:32Speaker 4: who doesn't buy a Tesla robot is going to be silly.
- 51:35Speaker 4: No one's going to be key in anything.
- 51:36Speaker 1: Here's a tough headline from Axios that followed Lutnik's appearance.
- 51:40Speaker 1: Tesla falls after Commerce Secretary recommends buying stock.
- 51:45Speaker 2: That's a good headline.
- 51:46Speaker 1: What do you think? Are we all idiots if we
- 51:49Speaker 1: don't buy $ 30, 000 Tesla robots?
- 51:52Speaker 2: It feels like there's a real chance those robots are
- 51:55Speaker 2: going to turn on people, and I don't want them
- 51:57Speaker 2: in my house.
- 51:59Speaker 1: You know, you got $ 30, 000 laying around. You buy a
- 52:02Speaker 1: Tesla robot. Buy some stock.
- 52:05Speaker 2: The Commerce Secretary telling people to buy an individual stock.
- 52:09Speaker 2: Everyone else has to specifically put in, leave their tweets
- 52:13Speaker 2: about it. This is not financial advice, right? And here
- 52:15Speaker 2: he is, an official of the federal government who is
- 52:20Speaker 2: theoretically an expert in the economy, just pitching the stock
- 52:23Speaker 2: of the president's biggest donor.
- 52:26Speaker 1: I mean, his boss was hawking Teslas on the White
- 52:28Speaker 1: House lawn. So it's kind of all fits.
- 52:31Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 52:32Speaker 1: Did you see that Pam Bondi announced, quote, severe charges
- 52:35Speaker 1: against violent Tesla arsonists who she's accusing of domestic terrorism
- 52:39Speaker 1: now that vandalism against Tesla dealerships is domestic terrorism? Up
- 52:44Speaker 1: to 20 years in prison for lighting Teslas on fire.
- 52:47Speaker 2: I have three thoughts on this. One, don't light Teslas
- 52:50Speaker 2: on fire. Don't light anything on fire. Arson is bad.
- 52:52Speaker 1: Arson is bad. Two, I don't know. That's our squishy
- 52:56Speaker 1: centrist opinion.
- 52:58Speaker 2: That's right. Make it the episode title, Arson is Bad. Two,
- 53:02Speaker 2: arsonists should go to jail, although I'm not sure this
- 53:04Speaker 2: is technically domestic terrorism. And three, there is a bigger
- 53:09Speaker 2: thing here, and you see it in the comment, you
- 53:11Speaker 2: see it on Trump selling Teslas in the White House lawn,
- 53:14Speaker 2: is that the world's richest man spent $ 300 million to
- 53:16Speaker 2: get this president elected. Now he has basically bought a government, right?
- 53:20Speaker 2: Where you have the Congress secretary pitching his stock, the
- 53:21Speaker 2: president is pitching his cars, and the Attorney General of
- 53:24Speaker 2: the United States, the chief law enforcement officer, going before
- 53:26Speaker 2: the cameras to threaten the people who were protesting at
- 53:30Speaker 2: his dealerships. Specifically, she's not doing that for other things.
- 53:34Speaker 2: She specifically, like he has his own government to do
- 53:37Speaker 2: his bidding. And it is truly wild.
- 53:42Speaker 1: It's a good corrupt date. All right. So we're finally
- 53:45Speaker 1: getting some higher quality data about what happened in the
- 53:47Speaker 1: 2024 election. At least higher quality than exit polls. David
- 53:51Speaker 1: Shore and the folks at Blue Rose Research combined precinct
- 53:54Speaker 1: level data from across the country with the 26 million
- 53:57Speaker 1: survey responses they got from voters in 2024 to give
- 54:00Speaker 1: us a pretty clear picture of who voted and why.
- 54:03Speaker 1: Here are a few of the big takeaways. None of
- 54:06Speaker 1: them too surprising, but they really just sort of confirm
- 54:10Speaker 1: some of the initial findings that we have been going
- 54:14Speaker 1: over over the last couple of months. Number one, Hispanic, Asian,
- 54:19Speaker 1: young voters, immigrants, and politically disengaged voters swung towards Trump
- 54:24Speaker 1: by significant margins. In fact, politically disengaged voters swung towards
- 54:31Speaker 1: Trump by so much that if everyone who stayed home
- 54:34Speaker 1: in 2024 had voted, Trump would have won the popular
- 54:38Speaker 1: vote by nearly five points. Number two, Trump's favorability rating
- 54:43Speaker 1: on Election Day 2024 was almost exactly the same as
- 54:46Speaker 1: it was on Election Day 2020. The difference was that
- 54:50Speaker 1: Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party were much less popular.
- 54:54Speaker 1: And number three, the issues most important to voters were
- 54:57Speaker 1: the issues where trust in Democrats were lowest. Cost of living,
- 55:01Speaker 1: the economy, inflation, taxes, and spending. The next most important
- 55:07Speaker 1: issue to voters was healthcare, which is the first issue
- 55:10Speaker 1: where Democrats were more trusted than Republicans. In fact, the
- 55:14Speaker 1: only five issues that were ranked important by more than
- 55:17Speaker 1: 50% of voters were where Dems were also trusted more
- 55:20Speaker 1: than Republicans were healthcare, poverty, housing, mental health, and Medicare.
- 55:28Speaker 1: And by the way, except for Medicare, maybe mental health, healthcare,
- 55:32Speaker 1: they weren't trusted that much more than Republicans.
- 55:35Speaker 2: And Republicans are trusted more on Social Security than Democrats. Yes.
- 55:38Speaker 1: Oh, thank you.
- 55:39Speaker 2: All right.
- 55:40Speaker 1: Where do you want to start?
- 55:42Speaker 2: So we can get into the details here, and I
- 55:45Speaker 2: would encourage everyone to read the whole study. I will
- 55:47Speaker 2: stipulate at the beginning here that this report has some
- 55:50Speaker 2: controversy in democratic circles. There are people who disagree with
- 55:54Speaker 2: some of the conclusions from it. This is one report, right?
- 55:57Speaker 2: We're going to get other reports. I think David's a
- 55:59Speaker 2: pretty smart guy and he's been pretty pressing on a
- 56:00Speaker 2: lot of things, but we're looking at one report here.
- 56:03Speaker 2: My takeaway from this is it adds some granular detail
- 56:06Speaker 2: to what we've been talking about since the election. But
- 56:10Speaker 2: one way to think about these results is that everything
- 56:13Speaker 2: that we thought was going to happen after Trump was
- 56:16Speaker 2: elected in 2016 is politics, to the Republican coalition, to everything,
- 56:22Speaker 2: the exact opposite happened. The idea was that Trump came
- 56:27Speaker 2: in with this racist rhetoric, and he was doing all
- 56:30Speaker 2: this horrible immigration stuff, and he was going to forever
- 56:32Speaker 2: cost the Republicans votes with Latinos and Black voters. Instead,
- 56:38Speaker 2: he made gains there. And in fact, now, politics has
- 56:42Speaker 2: actually become less racially polarized with Donald Trump as president,
- 56:46Speaker 2: where Black and Latino voters who identify as moderate or
- 56:50Speaker 2: conservative are now voting for Republicans at levels similar to
- 56:54Speaker 2: white moderates and conservatives, right? Young voters, like the belief
- 56:58Speaker 2: was that Donald Trump was going to radicalize all these
- 57:00Speaker 2: young voters to be Democrats. The view was that in 2017,
- 57:03Speaker 2: people who were young voters then were the most progressive
- 57:07Speaker 2: generation in history. Now, by some measures, you could argue
- 57:09Speaker 2: that Gen Z is the most, driven mostly by young men,
- 57:12Speaker 2: but not entirely, that Gen Z is the most conservative
- 57:16Speaker 2: generation out there. And this is one stat here that just,
- 57:21Speaker 2: we have to just germinate on a 75 year old
- 57:26Speaker 2: white man was more likely to support Kamala Harris than
- 57:30Speaker 2: an 18 year old white man. That's the exact opposite
- 57:35Speaker 2: of what everyone thought after Trump won in 2016.
- 57:39Speaker 1: I mean, it's also the, um, numbers around naturalized citizens.
- 57:45Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 57:46Speaker 2: This is going to be my, my other huge.
- 57:49Speaker 1: Our best estimate is that immigrant voters swung from a
- 57:52Speaker 1: Biden plus 27 voting block in 2020 to a Trump
- 57:57Speaker 1: plus one group in 2024. He fucking won immigrants.
- 58:02Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 58:05Speaker 1: And this is not, and not, they note here, this
- 58:07Speaker 1: is not a small group, either naturalized citizens make up
- 58:10Speaker 1: around 10% of the electorate. Now, Again, that is based
- 58:15Speaker 1: largely on precinct data. And of course, you can look
- 58:19Speaker 1: at heavily immigrant precincts and look at the swings. Lovett
- 58:25Speaker 1: and I were talking about this. You might also guess that, okay,
- 58:28Speaker 1: maybe in these precincts where there are a lot of immigrants,
- 58:33Speaker 1: maybe the white voters swung more or maybe other voters
- 58:35Speaker 1: swung more or Americans by birth swung more. But When
- 58:41Speaker 1: you combine that with their survey responses and you look
- 58:45Speaker 1: at the districts they looked at or the precincts they
- 58:46Speaker 1: looked at, which were heavily, heavily immigrant, that can explain
- 58:50Speaker 1: maybe some of it on the margins, but it can't
- 58:51Speaker 1: explain the whole swing.
- 58:53Speaker 2: That can make a little bit difference in the battleground
- 58:56Speaker 2: states when you look at precincts in Queens and the
- 58:59Speaker 2: Bronx and some of the other ones where we saw
- 59:01Speaker 2: huge Trump swings. This is one of the reasons that
- 59:05Speaker 2: the Republican advantage in electoral college diminished this time because
- 59:10Speaker 2: Trump was making these gains in immigrant communities in blue states.
- 59:15Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 59:15Speaker 1: Are there any charts or other takeaways that jumped out
- 59:18Speaker 1: at you the most? And we can always put the
- 59:21Speaker 1: charts up on the screen because we have the presentation here.
- 59:24Speaker 2: Yeah. I would say the immigrant chart was the one
- 59:26Speaker 2: that really stuck out to me because that once again
- 59:28Speaker 2: just goes, runs counter to the exact opposite of what
- 59:30Speaker 2: you would think. Here is someone who ran on building
- 59:34Speaker 2: a wall to keep immigrants out, who passed a Muslim
- 59:36Speaker 2: ban or signed a Muslim ban to keep immigrants out,
- 59:39Speaker 2: who put kids in cages and then ran on mass
- 59:41Speaker 2: deportation in his next presidential campaign, and he won immigrants.
- 59:45Speaker 2: And we have to really dig in to why that
- 59:49Speaker 2: is and where it is we failed to be able
- 59:51Speaker 2: to make a case to those voters.
- 59:53Speaker 1: Before we move on, overall, real quick, what kind of
- 59:57Speaker 1: messaging strategy an attention strategy would you take from this
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: data that you haven't already taken away from the results?
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: So when you look at that chart that runs issue
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: salience with issue trust, obviously it's devastating for Democrats. But
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: when you look at that, you sort of are saying,
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: how do we win power back? And so you have,
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: there are two potential paths there. One is you can
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: look at the issues that voters already care about that
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: they don't trust us on. And we can try to
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: win trust back there. And we should definitely do that.
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: That is our medium and long-term strategy. But in the
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: short term, the strategy is to erode trust in the
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: Republicans and Trump on those issues, right? And you're seeing
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: that already on inflation in the economy. And so we
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: have to keep doing that. And there is a seesaw
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: effect to politics where if one side goes down, the
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: other side goes up. So that will help us there.
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: But the other strategy that you have to think about
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: is you have to, is can you take the issues
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: where we are trusted and make them more front of
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: mind and sell you? Like you're never going to get,
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: as we were mentioning before, you're never going to make
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: inflation not top of mind to voters, right? The economy
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: will always, people's personal financial situation will always be top.
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: But immigration is an issue that Trump made front of mind, right?
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: He made it front of mind even before the border crisis.
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: He created the idea that in people's minds, completely fabricated,
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: that we were living in a wave of migrant and
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: immigrant crime. And Democrats are defeatist on this sometimes. And
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: so we sort of say, we don't have the power,
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: the gumption, the megaphone, the messengers to take an issue
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: that people trust us on. make it a top issue.
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: Some of that is true. Some of that's a reality
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: of our messaging situation. But the thing I look at
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: is that healthcare dot. You say, there's our opportunity right there.
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: And there's two opportunities right in front of us. One,
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: if Republicans in Congress do not act, premiums are going
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: to go up for millions of Americans because the additional
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: funding and tax credits that went in place during the
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: pandemic are going to expire this year. And so Trump
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: is going to raise people's premiums. And the second one
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: is Medicaid, right? Medicaid is healthcare for many Americans. It
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: pays for so much of healthcare. You know, what is it?
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: Something like 40% of births in America are paid for
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: by Medicaid. And the Republicans want to gut that. And
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: so here's a chance where there is an issue that
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: voters care about, where we have a huge trust advantage on,
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: and we have two opportunities to drive that message home
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: this year. And raising trust, like these things are, they're not,
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: they don't operate independently of each other, right? If we
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: raise the salience and trust of us on healthcare, that's
- 1:02:21Speaker 2: going to help us on the other economic issues, right?
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: Because it's going to seem like we're fighting for people.
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: And that's what we have to do.
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: Almost as you were talking, I was looking at some
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: of the issues. There's a cluster of issues in this
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: chart where people rank them above 50% importance. And people
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: trust Republicans more, but only slightly. So those are issues
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: that I think we could like. And education is one.
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: We just talked about that. Housing, we're slightly more trusted.
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: Civil liberties and privacy, which they are destroying right now,
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: the Trump administration. Social security, which is talked about. Um, and, uh,
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: and political division. So all, uh, issues that people really
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: care about and they trust Republicans slightly more, those seem
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: like issues that we can claw back some, uh, some
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: trust on. Um, okay. So because we're nerds, uh, we
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: have a lot more we want to get into on this.
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: If you really want to hear us go deep on this, um,
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: you can listen to the rest of this conversation on
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: Dan's subscriber exclusive show, Polar Coaster. We're going to talk
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: about it now. And then we're going to have the
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: rest of the conversation on Polar Coaster. So you can
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: listen by subscribing to Friends of the Pod at cricket.com
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: slash friends. So go check out the rest of this
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: conversation because we have a lot more to talk about
- 1:03:33Speaker 1: with these results. And we're going to answer some of
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