Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Full Episode - We’ve Entered End-Stage Trump + What Should Democrats Do With The Majority?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Todd cast is brought to
- 0:02Speaker 1: you by Chapter. Now, almost everything you hear about Medicare
- 0:06Speaker 1: is somebody quietly trying to steer you somewhere. And you're
- 0:11Speaker 1: skeptical of that, as you should be. I get it.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I mean, there's a federal lawsuit going on right now
- 0:17Speaker 1: over exactly this. Companies that branded themselves as unbiased while
- 0:21Speaker 1: allegedly pointing people toward whatever would pay them the most
- 0:25Speaker 1: as some sort of broker. So if your default is
- 0:28Speaker 1: to distrust everyone in this space, honestly, I get it.
- 0:31Speaker 1: I'm a bit distrustful these days myself. That's the whole
- 0:34Speaker 1: reason I want to tell you about Chapter. They're independent
- 0:37Speaker 1: Medicare advisors whose entire model is that their advisors are
- 0:41Speaker 1: not paid to push any one plan. They're just trying
- 0:45Speaker 1: to help. Yes, there's compensation that goes with it. but
- 0:47Speaker 1: it's across the board is what they're trying to do.
- 0:51Speaker 1: At the end of the day, they're advocating for you.
- 0:52Speaker 1: They're not the insurance companies themselves. They're an actual person
- 0:56Speaker 1: who actually goes through your doctors, your prescriptions, your needs,
- 1:01Speaker 1: and then compares them to every single plan available to
- 1:04Speaker 1: find the best one that will work for you and
- 1:06Speaker 1: hopefully save you a couple dollars too. And here's the
- 1:09Speaker 1: part that sets chapter apart. They don't disappear once you've
- 1:14Speaker 1: been in They will keep advocating for you. They're kind
- 1:17Speaker 1: of like almost like a concierge service. You're just there.
- 1:19Speaker 1: I need help. You're like customer service. You know, the plan,
- 1:22Speaker 1: you know, help me navigate this again. So you ever
- 1:24Speaker 1: get hit with a wrongful medical bill, they'll help you
- 1:28Speaker 1: fight it. They want to stay an advocate for you
- 1:31Speaker 1: even after you've done this. So look, I get it.
- 1:35Speaker 1: I think there's all sorts of space. You see a
- 1:38Speaker 1: lot of people are throwing themselves in this healthcare space.
- 1:41Speaker 1: What I like about these chapter folks, I've spent time
- 1:44Speaker 1: with them. This is a very transparent organization. It is
- 1:48Speaker 1: Medicare and all of its affiliated stuff can be very confusing.
- 1:53Speaker 1: The whole point of this is to make this easier
- 1:56Speaker 1: and less confusing. OK, so look, take the skepticism you
- 2:00Speaker 1: already have in all of this, point it at your
- 2:02Speaker 1: own plan for 20 minutes. It's free. There's no pressure.
- 2:06Speaker 1: And then call chapter today at 980-734-4200. Hello there, and
- 2:20Speaker 1: happy Monday for those of you that are listening after
- 2:25Speaker 1: you have finished your fast. I hope you had an
- 2:28Speaker 1: easy fast. I hope you were able to atone. I
- 2:32Speaker 1: know every year I always have a lot to atone for.
- 2:35Speaker 1: I am doing this recording before, and actually most of
- 2:38Speaker 1: it is about what the current president and frankly, what
- 2:42Speaker 1: all of us have to atone for when it comes
- 2:45Speaker 1: to the future of this country and future of the Republic.
- 2:49Speaker 1: But I will wait to get into that. So at
- 2:51Speaker 1: a minimum, though, I hope you have an E. For
- 2:53Speaker 1: those of you fasting, I hope it was an easy fast.
- 2:56Speaker 1: But I come to you. I have a terrific lineup today.
- 3:01Speaker 1: I'm going to go through sort of this numbness to
- 3:05Speaker 1: the crazy that I, uh, constantly fear that we're in. Uh,
- 3:10Speaker 1: I've got some more data to support what appears to
- 3:13Speaker 1: be a wave that is building, right? It's like watching
- 3:17Speaker 1: the tropical depression form in the Atlantic. And now you're like, Whoa,
- 3:21Speaker 1: this is, this might be bigger than we think. Oh,
- 3:24Speaker 1: this isn't going to be a category one hurricane could
- 3:26Speaker 1: be category two could be category three here this far out.
- 3:30Speaker 1: And we're under 50 days, right? Uh, The likelihood of
- 3:34Speaker 1: this being a category three or worse for the Republicans
- 3:38Speaker 1: is using taking my weather metaphor and beating it to
- 3:41Speaker 1: death with apologies to my daughter, the meteorologist. It's what
- 3:47Speaker 1: it looks like right now. But as we know, 44
- 3:50Speaker 1: days is a long time to go in politics. But anyway,
- 3:54Speaker 1: we will have a I think you will enjoy this
- 3:58Speaker 1: package that I put together here. My guest for today's
- 4:01Speaker 1: episode is Troy Carter. He is a Democratic congressman from Louisiana,
- 4:06Speaker 1: and he is the vice chair of the Congressional Black
- 4:09Speaker 1: Caucus and will be the next chair of the Congressional
- 4:12Speaker 1: Black Caucus. And we have a fascinating conversation about the
- 4:16Speaker 1: Voting Rights Act, what happened there. We talk about Medicaid, Medicare,
- 4:20Speaker 1: and because he's from Louisiana, he's a Democrat from New Orleans.
- 4:24Speaker 1: We talk a little bit about the politics of LSU
- 4:28Speaker 1: and how involved the governor has gotten in LSU's football
- 4:33Speaker 1: program and, and really how politically uncomfortable, um, that may
- 4:36Speaker 1: be making a lot of folks. It's the timing, of course,
- 4:39Speaker 1: in some ways is perfect, uh, given, um, uh, the,
- 4:45Speaker 1: the man who's wearing the black hat in college football lost, uh,
- 4:48Speaker 1: over the weekend, uh, lame Kiffin, I think, uh, or what,
- 4:53Speaker 1: what are the various nicknames folks want to give to him? But, uh, boy, did, uh, Boy,
- 4:58Speaker 1: did the Ole Miss fans enjoy that. I was genuinely
- 5:02Speaker 1: impressed with the Ole Miss football team, more so in
- 5:06Speaker 1: the second half than in the first half. It's one
- 5:08Speaker 1: thing to get off to a strong start. It's another
- 5:11Speaker 1: to withstand what was the inevitable comeback by LSU. I've
- 5:17Speaker 1: been skeptical that Ole Miss could match what it was
- 5:21Speaker 1: last year. I'm no longer skeptical about that. But That said,
- 5:25Speaker 1: I'd be very nervous if I were an Ole Miss
- 5:28Speaker 1: fan because guess your reward for defeating LSU at home
- 5:32Speaker 1: is to play the Florida Gators on the road in
- 5:36Speaker 1: the swamp. And it is a very good Florida Gator
- 5:40Speaker 1: football team with some electric stars on offense. And for
- 5:45Speaker 1: those of you that know me well, if I am
- 5:48Speaker 1: singing the praises of the Florida Gators, they must be
- 5:50Speaker 1: really good because I can never, uh, praise the Florida Gators.
- 5:54Speaker 1: I mean, it is just, it is against my constitution
- 5:58Speaker 1: to say nice things about the Gators. I kid sort of, um,
- 6:02Speaker 1: but I'll have a whole bunch of more things to
- 6:04Speaker 1: say about college football, including, um, my take on what
- 6:09Speaker 1: happened on Friday night with the university of Miami. It
- 6:11Speaker 1: was a tale of two halves. I will get into
- 6:12Speaker 1: that and the brutal reality that depth and injuries are
- 6:16Speaker 1: going to determine who's the, who is going to survive, uh,
- 6:21Speaker 1: And make it into the college football playoff.
- 6:24Speaker 2: But.
- 6:27Speaker 1: Oh, and one more thing. One more thing. I unfortunately
- 6:30Speaker 1: am dealing with yet another kidney stone. And I was
- 6:35Speaker 1: on Saturday night. It was in Frederick, Maryland, to tape
- 6:37Speaker 1: a program with an old friend of mine, Russ. Russ Hodge.
- 6:42Speaker 1: He has a program that's on Maryland Public Television called
- 6:45Speaker 1: Intellectual Property. And we did an hour-long conversation at the
- 6:49Speaker 1: Weinberg Theater in downtown Frederick, Maryland. Just a terrific theater.
- 6:52Speaker 1: I love, you know, when I get out to Frederick,
- 6:54Speaker 1: it is just a wonderful town out there. And it
- 6:58Speaker 1: was a terrific crowd. And I felt terrible because I literally,
- 7:02Speaker 1: the stone started to make its presence known to me
- 7:05Speaker 1: about 10 minutes before I went on stage. So I'm
- 7:07Speaker 1: sitting in this chair and I'm doing this, when you've
- 7:10Speaker 1: got it, anybody who's ever experienced it, you just start,
- 7:12Speaker 1: you know, when you just have a pain you can't
- 7:14Speaker 1: get rid of and you're having to be in public
- 7:17Speaker 1: so you can't exactly just start pounding away pain medication.
- 7:21Speaker 1: And oh, by the way, I was an hour's drive
- 7:23Speaker 1: away and I had to drive home. So let's just
- 7:27Speaker 1: say I don't remember what I said. I know some
- 7:30Speaker 1: things that I said. You'll be able to catch a
- 7:34Speaker 1: pain altered Chuck Todd on the Intellectual Property Show, Russ
- 7:39Speaker 1: uh tells me i uh that it was it was
- 7:42Speaker 1: a great program i hope he's correct um but i
- 7:45Speaker 1: want to apologize in advance for uh my kidney stone
- 7:50Speaker 1: deciding to pop up when it did and for those
- 7:52Speaker 1: of you that are listening to this podcast for the
- 7:55Speaker 1: first time because i saw you in frederick maryland on
- 7:57Speaker 1: saturday night welcome and thank you for being here and
- 8:01Speaker 1: i'm sorry that uh i was uh I was a
- 8:05Speaker 1: bit distracted when I would answer certain certain questions. There
- 8:09Speaker 1: is nothing like just dealing with constant sharp pain as
- 8:13Speaker 1: you're trying to ask, answer a question about whether the
- 8:17Speaker 1: republic will still stand. All right. So with all of
- 8:21Speaker 1: that out of the way, let's let's begin with what
- 8:24Speaker 1: I'm what I'm focused on in the moment. We are
- 8:27Speaker 1: 44 days from Election Day and Donald Trump is worried
- 8:30Speaker 1: about turning his triumphal arch into a weapons depot. Snipers, drones, ammunition.
- 8:38Speaker 1: I mean, seriously, right? You know, sometimes I feel like
- 8:41Speaker 1: I have to say, I shit you not. Apologies for
- 8:44Speaker 1: the cursing on this, but sometimes you feel like you
- 8:46Speaker 1: have no choice but to use an expletive for dealing
- 8:52Speaker 1: with all the expletives that go inside our head when
- 8:55Speaker 1: we see this crazy stuff that Trump will actually utter
- 8:59Speaker 1: out loud. But seriously, put this in context. 44 days
- 9:03Speaker 1: before an election, With the economy struggling, diesel's going to
- 9:07Speaker 1: hit $ 7 a gallon maybe this week, probably next. An
- 9:11Speaker 1: Iran war that the public increasingly doesn't support. Republicans are
- 9:15Speaker 1: beginning to panic about races they didn't think they'd have
- 9:18Speaker 1: to worry about. And what is Donald Trump focused on?
- 9:21Speaker 1: On putting snipers in his arch. That is actually what
- 9:26Speaker 1: he announced on Sunday morning. Think about he's consumed with this.
- 9:32Speaker 1: What can he do with this arch? And he knows
- 9:35Speaker 1: nobody likes it. Nobody's going to give him permission to
- 9:37Speaker 1: do it. He hides it behind some bizarre national security
- 9:41Speaker 1: idea that somehow it will get the funding. It's like
- 9:44Speaker 1: he's going to look. The last thing we need is
- 9:46Speaker 1: to steal more funding from the Pentagon. He keeps stealing
- 9:48Speaker 1: money from the Pentagon. Remember, he stole it from the
- 9:50Speaker 1: Pentagon last time to help build his wall. Maybe that's
- 9:54Speaker 1: why we're short on munitions in fighting a war, because
- 9:58Speaker 1: we keep taking money that belongs to the Pentagon and
- 10:01Speaker 1: putting it for his vanity ideas and vanity projects, like
- 10:05Speaker 1: a wall or this bizarre arch that he's obsessed with.
- 10:10Speaker 1: But there is something pretty revealing about all this. And
- 10:13Speaker 1: I think this is the important point. When Donald Trump
- 10:16Speaker 1: feels as if he's losing control of a situation, he
- 10:21Speaker 1: grabs for something he thinks he can control, right? The
- 10:25Speaker 1: Kennedy Center, the Smithsonian, the press and access for the press.
- 10:31Speaker 1: Who gets into the White House? Who gets access to
- 10:33Speaker 1: the Pentagon, right? What gets built in Washington, DC? And
- 10:37Speaker 1: now his arch. So when his reality is being challenged
- 10:42Speaker 1: by actual reality, which is the world we're living in
- 10:44Speaker 1: at the moment, he lashes out, right? It's kind of
- 10:47Speaker 1: a pattern. And it's weirdly predictable. And we do need
- 10:51Speaker 1: to talk about his behavior. I mean, it's just a
- 10:54Speaker 1: given now. We know, man, we've got a crackpot president
- 10:56Speaker 1: who is so consumed with his own id that he
- 11:00Speaker 1: doesn't know how to govern the country anymore. And we're
- 11:03Speaker 1: just hoping that there are enough people around him to
- 11:07Speaker 1: keep him from doing the truly crazy shit.
- 11:11Speaker 2: Right?
- 11:12Speaker 1: Trust me, there's a whole bunch of people in Washington going, oh,
- 11:14Speaker 1: Susie Wiles, thank Please don't leave the White House. Because
- 11:18Speaker 1: I know there is a lot more he would be
- 11:21Speaker 1: doing or trying to do if there weren't some people.
- 11:25Speaker 1: And look, there are fewer people that are willing to
- 11:28Speaker 1: stop him from his crazy than ever before. But there's
- 11:31Speaker 1: still some people in that White House that do try
- 11:33Speaker 1: to do this. Now, I'll be honest. I vacillated on
- 11:36Speaker 1: how much to zero in on Trump's personality and his
- 11:39Speaker 1: clear behavioral problems. Because I'm not his doctor. And I
- 11:42Speaker 1: don't know what personality disorder he has or doesn't have.
- 11:46Speaker 1: but he certainly behaves like somebody with a massive personality disorder.
- 11:52Speaker 1: But frankly, I don't have to diagnose him to describe
- 11:55Speaker 1: what we can all see, right? If somebody in your
- 11:58Speaker 1: life behaved this way, if every person who told them
- 12:01Speaker 1: no became an enemy, if every criticism became an attack,
- 12:06Speaker 1: if every setback required somebody to blame, every institution that
- 12:12Speaker 1: challenged them had to be punished, every person who disagreed
- 12:15Speaker 1: with them became disloyal or treasonous, you'd be alarmed. You'd
- 12:19Speaker 1: be like, you'd probably avoid that person. And if it
- 12:22Speaker 1: were a family member, you'd be reaching out to people
- 12:25Speaker 1: that you think could influence him and say, hey, I
- 12:28Speaker 1: think he needs help. He or she needs help. You
- 12:31Speaker 1: certainly wouldn't think, you know what this person needs? More authority.
- 12:36Speaker 1: And that's the thing about Trump's behavior. Because sometimes it's irrational,
- 12:41Speaker 1: but it's consistently irrational. It's like he's always inauthentic, but
- 12:47Speaker 1: he's authentically inauthentic. In this case, he's consistently irrational. So
- 12:54Speaker 1: it's weirdly predictable, his irrationality. And when the irrational behavior
- 12:58Speaker 1: becomes this predictable, when you know exactly what's going to happen,
- 13:02Speaker 1: every time this person is challenged, that's when it becomes
- 13:06Speaker 1: actually quite scary. Look what happened with the press. Trump
- 13:11Speaker 1: decided he didn't like CNN, MSNOW, and Politico's coverage. So
- 13:16Speaker 1: he banned them from the White House. And yesterday, actually Sunday,
- 13:22Speaker 1: I'm taping on Saturday, I'm taping on Sunday before the fast.
- 13:28Speaker 1: Their reporters actually showed up and had their press passes
- 13:31Speaker 1: confiscated and were turned away. It's childlike, right? I mean,
- 13:38Speaker 1: you're not nice to me. You can't come in. except
- 13:41Speaker 1: we're not at a 10-year-old's birthday party. It's the White House.
- 13:45Speaker 1: It's not his house. It does not belong to him.
- 13:49Speaker 1: And we've seen this behavior with him before, especially when
- 13:52Speaker 1: he knows that something's turning against him. In 2020, when
- 13:57Speaker 1: he realized the election was going against him, he decided
- 14:00Speaker 1: to create this fantasy that somehow mail-in ballots were going
- 14:05Speaker 1: to rig the election against him because he knew the
- 14:08Speaker 1: election was against him. So he had to come up
- 14:10Speaker 1: with a rationale for why he lost because he knew
- 14:11Speaker 1: he was going to lose. This is what happens when
- 14:13Speaker 1: you have the broken personality disorder that he probably has.
- 14:17Speaker 1: But think back in 2018, right? Remember the caravan? Republicans
- 14:22Speaker 1: were in trouble in the midterms and suddenly Donald Trump
- 14:25Speaker 1: manufactured and even like got Fox News and others to
- 14:29Speaker 1: cover this supposedly a caravan of migrants who were going
- 14:34Speaker 1: to invade the country at the southern border. It kind
- 14:39Speaker 1: of worked, right? It helped him with his own voters
- 14:42Speaker 1: enough that it saved a couple of Senate seats and
- 14:46Speaker 1: kept the Senate from flipping to Democratic hands in 2018.
- 14:50Speaker 1: They still got wiped out in the House, but it
- 14:53Speaker 1: did have some impact. But here's what's different now. In 2018,
- 14:57Speaker 1: Trump could turn to his voters and say, hey, they're coming.
- 15:00Speaker 1: They're going to do this. Democrats are going to do that.
- 15:03Speaker 1: But we're at the end stages of Trump, right? And
- 15:06Speaker 1: the It is both– it's obvious like we're all sort
- 15:10Speaker 1: of done with him. Even people that have voted for
- 15:13Speaker 1: him are just like exhausted from all of this garbage
- 15:17Speaker 1: and this or that. But it's at this end point
- 15:21Speaker 1: that he could be the most dangerous and that is something.
- 15:25Speaker 1: But he's having to defend his own government. This is
- 15:27Speaker 1: his economy, his tariffs, his Iran war, his immigration policies.
- 15:33Speaker 1: All of these are his decisions. And there's only so
- 15:36Speaker 1: much Jedi mind tricking he can do when people are
- 15:39Speaker 1: living inside the reality you're trying to convince them isn't real.
- 15:44Speaker 1: Which brings me to a new NBC News poll that
- 15:47Speaker 1: hit over the weekend. And I always want to spend
- 15:49Speaker 1: a little time on this NBC poll. They have two
- 15:51Speaker 1: different pollsters. And I always want to spend a lot
- 15:55Speaker 1: more time when they have my old friends Bill McInturff
- 15:58Speaker 1: and Jeff Horat put one of their surveys together for NBC.
- 16:01Speaker 1: They only do a couple of them a year now
- 16:03Speaker 1: for budget reasons at NBC. But I know this poll
- 16:07Speaker 1: really well. I trust these guys. I know it inside
- 16:10Speaker 1: and out. The way this poll is conducted today is
- 16:16Speaker 1: something I feel like I had a hand in. So
- 16:18Speaker 1: I care about it a lot. I know how these
- 16:20Speaker 1: guys work. I know how hard they work to keep
- 16:23Speaker 1: their survey grounded in the reality of the electorate we
- 16:26Speaker 1: live in, not the one partisans may hope exists. They
- 16:31Speaker 1: don't let the NBC poll bounce around all over the
- 16:34Speaker 1: place because one demographic group suddenly answers at a higher
- 16:37Speaker 1: rate or another group becomes harder to reach. Right. There's
- 16:41Speaker 1: a lot of like there's some Idaho poll that's out
- 16:45Speaker 1: that showed Todd Achilles, the independent candidate, up double digits
- 16:49Speaker 1: on Jim Rich. And you're like, oh, then you look
- 16:51Speaker 1: at the methodology and 90 percent of the voters surveyed
- 16:54Speaker 1: were text to web. Well, text to web methodology skews
- 16:58Speaker 1: very democratically. So if you want to put out a
- 17:01Speaker 1: poll that looks really good for Democrats, you do a
- 17:04Speaker 1: text-to-web poll, and you don't modify it with other weights
- 17:08Speaker 1: or modify it with other methodologies. My point is that
- 17:13Speaker 1: Jeff Horwitz and Bill McInturff are constantly concerned about essentially
- 17:19Speaker 1: methodology bias, meaning how you conduct the poll can end
- 17:22Speaker 1: up skewing which part of the electorate gets over-indexed or under-indexed.
- 17:27Speaker 1: So that's what I mean when they don't let their
- 17:28Speaker 1: poll bounce around. They really try to have a rigidity
- 17:32Speaker 1: to it, just like what Nate Cohn's trying to do
- 17:34Speaker 1: at the New York Times with the Siena poll. He's
- 17:36Speaker 1: vastly improved New York Times polling over the last couple
- 17:40Speaker 1: of cycles. Essentially, I think following the model that my
- 17:44Speaker 1: friends at both POS and Heart Research have been working
- 17:49Speaker 1: on for over a decade. So when their numbers move
- 17:52Speaker 1: even a little, You need to pay attention. For instance,
- 17:56Speaker 1: they have Trump's job rating at 41%. And you think, oh, 41,
- 18:01Speaker 1: that must be good. In this poll, it's the lowest
- 18:04Speaker 1: they've recorded all year, right? It was 42 in June,
- 18:07Speaker 1: 44 in March, 47 in March of last year. So
- 18:10Speaker 1: a consistent trend line pointing in a downward direction. But
- 18:16Speaker 1: that's not actually what makes this poll interesting to me.
- 18:18Speaker 1: You can get Trump's approval rating anywhere and the trend
- 18:20Speaker 1: line is consistent. You know, the numbers may be slightly different,
- 18:24Speaker 1: which is why averaging is such a weirdly bad idea,
- 18:26Speaker 1: even with this, because different methodologies, you know, produce. But
- 18:30Speaker 1: the fact is the trend lines are the same. But
- 18:32Speaker 1: here's a part I want you to pay attention to
- 18:34Speaker 1: in this poll. Bill and Jeff gave voters a series
- 18:37Speaker 1: of things you could learn about candidates running for office
- 18:40Speaker 1: this year, basically message testing. And then they ask, does
- 18:44Speaker 1: learning this make you more likely or less likely to
- 18:47Speaker 1: vote for that candidate? What it really tests is which
- 18:50Speaker 1: issues are popping. What has voter attention? Essentially, they created
- 18:57Speaker 1: a little laboratory for the political environment we're about to
- 18:59Speaker 1: live through for the next six weeks. What works in
- 19:02Speaker 1: an attack ad? What doesn't? What would you want voters
- 19:05Speaker 1: to learn about you in these last six weeks? What
- 19:08Speaker 1: would you desperately hope your opponent doesn't tell them? And
- 19:12Speaker 1: the results are both reinforcing of what I believe this
- 19:16Speaker 1: political environment is shaping up to be. But at the
- 19:21Speaker 1: end of the day, they're, I think, matter for you
- 19:23Speaker 1: to understand. The best performing item in the entire survey,
- 19:28Speaker 1: the thing that makes people more likely to vote for
- 19:30Speaker 1: a candidate than any other issue they tested, a candidate
- 19:33Speaker 1: who supports raising taxes on billionaires. 58% said that makes
- 19:38Speaker 1: them more likely to vote for a candidate, only 24%
- 19:41Speaker 1: say less likely.
- 19:42Speaker 2: All right.
- 19:42Speaker 1: If you wanted to know, are people pissed off at
- 19:45Speaker 1: the super rich? The answer is yes. Number two, The
- 19:49Speaker 1: second best performing? a candidate who supports Medicare for all,
- 19:52Speaker 1: a single-payer healthcare system, 53% more likely, 36% less likely.
- 19:54Speaker 1: The fact that this is a main, this is becoming
- 20:02Speaker 1: more of a mainstream idea, even when, and they did
- 20:05Speaker 1: it as a split sample, they even, even when you
- 20:07Speaker 1: put Medicare for all, which would include taxes, new tax increases,
- 20:13Speaker 1: support still is almost right, it's at 49%, but it's
- 20:17Speaker 1: still double digit, more likely over less likely. That's how
- 20:21Speaker 1: frustrated the public is with the healthcare system as it stands.
- 20:26Speaker 1: They want, they are willing to have something different, and
- 20:28Speaker 1: that's how strong, by the way, the Medicare brand is.
- 20:31Speaker 1: When you put Medicare in front of anything, there's automatically
- 20:34Speaker 1: more trust. Hey, this episode of the Chuck Todd cast
- 20:40Speaker 1: is brought to you by Ethos. Look, let me tell
- 20:43Speaker 1: you about life insurance. As you know, Ethos is an
- 20:47Speaker 1: incredible portal for helping you find the right life insurance policy.
- 20:50Speaker 1: I'm a huge believer in life insurance. I wouldn't have
- 20:53Speaker 1: gotten to college in Washington, D.C. without life insurance. My
- 20:56Speaker 1: father had a policy buried somewhere that we discovered, and
- 21:00Speaker 1: it wasn't a lot of money, but it was an
- 21:02Speaker 1: important bucket of money at a time that my mother,
- 21:06Speaker 1: newly widowed, single mom, me, I'm 16. It was of enormous,
- 21:12Speaker 1: enormous help at that time. And This is why I
- 21:16Speaker 1: believe in life insurance. You don't know what could happen
- 21:19Speaker 1: to you on any given day. This is literally an
- 21:22Speaker 1: insurance policy for that. So let me tell you a
- 21:24Speaker 1: little bit about Ethos. Ethos makes getting life insurance fast
- 21:27Speaker 1: and easy. It's 100% online. You get a quote in seconds,
- 21:30Speaker 1: you apply in minutes, and you can get coverage the
- 21:32Speaker 1: same day you begin this process. There's no medical exam.
- 21:35Speaker 1: You just answer a few simple health questions. You can
- 21:37Speaker 1: get up to $ 3 million in coverage. Some policies are
- 21:40Speaker 1: as low as $ 30 a month. and you'll get your
- 21:42Speaker 1: lowest rate from their network of trusted carriers. Ethos has
- 21:46Speaker 1: gotten 4.9 out of 5 stars on Trustpilot with over
- 21:50Speaker 1: 5,500 reviews. So, take 10 minutes to get covered today,
- 21:54Speaker 1: life insurance through Ethos. Get your free quote at ethos.com
- 21:58Speaker 1: slash chuck. That is E-T-H-O-S dot com slash chuck. Application
- 22:04Speaker 1: times may vary. The rates may vary. That Trustpilot rating
- 22:07Speaker 1: was as of August of 2026. Number three, third best
- 22:15Speaker 1: performing message. A candidate who supports essentially the DACA policy,
- 22:22Speaker 1: who supports allowing young adults who were brought here illegally
- 22:24Speaker 1: by their parents when they were children to stay here
- 22:27Speaker 1: legally and attend college or work. 51% say they're more
- 22:32Speaker 1: likely to support a candidate who does that. 31% less likely.
- 22:36Speaker 1: So it's a reminder that many Americans think what he's
- 22:40Speaker 1: done with ICE and immigration has gone too far. The
- 22:44Speaker 1: three best performing things, though, in this entire battery are
- 22:47Speaker 1: taxing billionaires, Medicare for all, and let the dreamers stay.
- 22:52Speaker 1: That's shaping up to be quite the issue environment and
- 22:56Speaker 1: what's favorable, right? These are all three positions much more
- 22:59Speaker 1: associated with Democrats and Republicans. And that tells you a
- 23:02Speaker 1: lot about this current political environment. Now, there's another side
- 23:05Speaker 1: to this that Democrats shouldn't miss. The Democratic Party itself,
- 23:09Speaker 1: still unpopular, really unpopular. Only 29% of a positive view
- 23:13Speaker 1: of the Democratic Party. 50% of a negative view. Now,
- 23:15Speaker 1: part of that is driven by Democrats who don't like
- 23:18Speaker 1: the Democratic Party at the moment. There's no doubt that
- 23:21Speaker 1: some of that, but it still means the Democratic Party
- 23:26Speaker 1: is more unpopular than the Republican Party. Republican Party is
- 23:30Speaker 1: not popular. Only 36% are positive, 49% are negative, but
- 23:35Speaker 1: it's technically slightly less unpopular than the Democratic Party. By
- 23:40Speaker 1: the way, Trump's positive, negative, 37% positive, 55% negative. And
- 23:44Speaker 1: MAGA and Democratic Socialists are both unpopular. MAGA is at
- 23:48Speaker 1: 30 positive, 52% negative. The DSA is at 22 positive, 50% negative.
- 23:55Speaker 1: So this is why I'm more confident about Democrats doing
- 23:57Speaker 1: well this year and less confident about Democrats doing well
- 24:01Speaker 1: in 2028. This is not an election about the Democratic Party.
- 24:05Speaker 1: This is a referendum on Donald Trump and his policies.
- 24:09Speaker 1: pure and simple. And so in that sense, I don't
- 24:12Speaker 1: think the concerns that maybe independents have with Democrats, even
- 24:16Speaker 1: some whether it's progressive Democrats not liking the leadership or
- 24:19Speaker 1: center-left Democrats not liking the progressive shift, however you want
- 24:22Speaker 1: to describe it, in some ways, that fracture isn't animating
- 24:27Speaker 1: this election. Now, Republicans are going to try to make
- 24:30Speaker 1: a big deal out of this. You saw it. If
- 24:31Speaker 1: you watched your college football this weekend, you saw a
- 24:34Speaker 1: whole bunch of, you've seen this big money that's been
- 24:37Speaker 1: dropped on the heads of a bunch of Democrats in
- 24:39Speaker 1: some of these key states, and they all kind of
- 24:42Speaker 1: have the same theme. I saw one hitting Sherrod Brown Essentially,
- 24:46Speaker 1: they're saying, you may like him, but remember, he's with
- 24:49Speaker 1: these extremists on the left. I mean, that was essentially
- 24:51Speaker 1: the message of the ad. But I think that's a
- 24:55Speaker 1: problem for another day, right? For this election, this is
- 25:03Speaker 1: more referendum than anything else. Now, let me keep going
- 25:06Speaker 1: back through the poll. A candidate who supports deporting undocumented
- 25:10Speaker 1: immigrants is more popular than than not, but not at 50%. 45%
- 25:15Speaker 1: are more likely to support a candidate who supports deporting
- 25:18Speaker 1: undocumented immigrants, 39% less likely. Now, how about this? A
- 25:22Speaker 1: Barack Obama endorsement, 43% more likely, 37% less likely. The
- 25:27Speaker 1: candidate that supported Trump's tax bill, that's upside down. 36%
- 25:32Speaker 1: said it makes it more likely, 42% less likely. The
- 25:35Speaker 1: Big Beautiful Bill is a net negative, according to this
- 25:38Speaker 1: NBC poll. Let me repeat, the Big Beautiful Bill is
- 25:42Speaker 1: a net negative as far, talk about your messaging problem
- 25:47Speaker 1: right there. And you know, Republicans only have their leader
- 25:50Speaker 1: to blame. Donald Trump is more focused on the Kennedy Center,
- 25:54Speaker 1: his arch, his ego, his fragile feelings. He doesn't know
- 25:59Speaker 1: how to sell an agenda on behalf of congressional Republicans.
- 26:04Speaker 1: It is an unpopular agenda and he doesn't even try
- 26:07Speaker 1: to sell it. Abolish it. Now, A little word of
- 26:12Speaker 1: warning here, abolish ICE. Well, that goes the other way.
- 26:17Speaker 1: A majority would be less likely to support a candidate
- 26:20Speaker 1: that's for abolish ICE. So it is a reminder here,
- 26:23Speaker 1: like when you go through these things, you realize there
- 26:25Speaker 1: is a left skew to where the country is, but
- 26:29Speaker 1: they don't want to go too far to the left.
- 26:31Speaker 1: Abolishing ICE is something that is considered a bit too
- 26:34Speaker 1: far as far as these folks are concerned. Bernie Sanders'
- 26:37Speaker 1: endorsement is a slight negative. In this survey, 33% said
- 26:42Speaker 1: it's more likely, 43% less likely. A candidate who supports
- 26:46Speaker 1: many of the DSA's policies, 31% more likely, 50% less likely.
- 26:51Speaker 1: Now that corresponds with a candidate endorsed by Donald Trump, 30%
- 26:55Speaker 1: more likely, 52% less likely. So think about that one, right?
- 27:01Speaker 1: House Republicans apparently have decided that socialist isn't scary enough anymore.
- 27:05Speaker 1: And that sort of proves it. A Trump endorsement is scary.
- 27:10Speaker 1: worse than being associated with socialism. So Lisa McClain, who's
- 27:15Speaker 1: chair of the House Republican Conference, actually has said this
- 27:17Speaker 1: out loud. She's seen similar polling. And she says, socialist
- 27:20Speaker 1: doesn't work. Socialism doesn't really scare voters the way Republicans
- 27:26Speaker 1: are hoping it does. And she admitted it. She said
- 27:30Speaker 1: in an interview with Axios that socialism doesn't really resonate.
- 27:33Speaker 1: So she thinks Republicans should not ever say the word socialism,
- 27:37Speaker 1: that instead talk about communism. It's interesting. The poll kind
- 27:41Speaker 1: of support this. But there's a few other things. There's
- 27:47Speaker 1: a few other things that I think matter here a lot,
- 27:49Speaker 1: because Trump is in this message testing. Listen to this one.
- 27:53Speaker 1: A candidate supports providing funding and weapons to Israel, 25%
- 27:56Speaker 1: more likely, 55% less likely. What did Donald Trump agree
- 28:00Speaker 1: to do two weeks ago? Just that, provide more funding
- 28:04Speaker 1: and weapons to Israel. A candidate who supports the war
- 28:06Speaker 1: in Iran, 57% say that makes them less likely to
- 28:10Speaker 1: support that. In fact, that in some ways is the
- 28:15Speaker 1: second best performing issue and better performing than even tax
- 28:22Speaker 1: on billionaires. That's how unpopular this war with Iran is. 57%
- 28:27Speaker 1: said it makes them less likely. By the way, the
- 28:30Speaker 1: $ 5, 000 promise or bribe, whatever you want to call it,
- 28:34Speaker 1: vote Republican, keep Republicans in control of Congress, and he'll
- 28:36Speaker 1: send every adult a $ 5, 000 check. Only 21% said somebody
- 28:40Speaker 1: supporting that idea makes them more likely to vote for
- 28:42Speaker 1: the candidate. 46% said somebody supporting that idea would make
- 28:45Speaker 1: them less likely. So the bribe's not even playing very
- 28:49Speaker 1: well either, right? But here's the one that I think
- 28:53Speaker 1: floored me because I thought Iran war would be the
- 28:55Speaker 1: worst performing issue. So it wasn't Iran, Israel, Trump, abolishing
- 28:59Speaker 1: high socialism. The single worst thing to be for is
- 29:07Speaker 1: data centers. A candidate who supports building a data center
- 29:09Speaker 1: in your community, only 11% says that makes them more
- 29:13Speaker 1: likely to support them. 64% said it makes them less likely.
- 29:19Speaker 1: So the worst thing you could be for this election
- 29:23Speaker 1: cycle is for data centers. When you go through this
- 29:27Speaker 1: battery of tests, It is worse to be for a
- 29:30Speaker 1: data center than to be for socialism. It is worse
- 29:32Speaker 1: to be for a data center than to be MAGA.
- 29:34Speaker 1: It is worse to be for data centers than to
- 29:37Speaker 1: support Donald Trump. That's how unpopular data centers become. How
- 29:42Speaker 1: about that? And all of these are Donald Trump-supported ideas, right?
- 29:50Speaker 1: He wants more data centers. He's supporting the war with Iran.
- 29:55Speaker 1: Everything he supports is unpopular. Hard stop. Even his big,
- 29:59Speaker 1: beautiful bill. It is all unpopular. So for all the
- 30:05Speaker 1: talk from Washington and Silicon Valley about the AI race
- 30:08Speaker 1: and how we've got to build, build, build, and everybody
- 30:10Speaker 1: better get out of the way because China, China, China. Well,
- 30:13Speaker 1: the public apparently has a message. Not in my backyard.
- 30:17Speaker 1: And by the way, it's a strange week for Trump
- 30:20Speaker 1: to be promoting his relationship with China and Xi Jinping
- 30:23Speaker 1: while telling the country that everything we're doing on AI
- 30:25Speaker 1: has to be justified by beating China. I think this
- 30:28Speaker 1: is But it's like, can you imagine a worse, you know,
- 30:32Speaker 1: less than 45 days for the election? The boogeyman that
- 30:35Speaker 1: Republicans have been running against for a long time, if
- 30:38Speaker 1: the country collectively is concerned about, he's going to be
- 30:42Speaker 1: essentially a lapdog too. He's going to be, you know,
- 30:47Speaker 1: he's decided to go meet Xi Jinping when he lands
- 30:51Speaker 1: at the airport. Not something every, not every world leader
- 30:55Speaker 1: gets that kind of presidential welcome. I'm not sure this
- 30:59Speaker 1: is good politics for his party to be essentially drinking
- 31:04Speaker 1: and hanging out and celebrating China at this moment. And
- 31:10Speaker 1: at the same time, he's telling you they're a threat. Anyway,
- 31:15Speaker 1: so put all these messages together. Tax billionaires, very popular.
- 31:18Speaker 1: Medicare for all, popular. Dreamers staying popular. Iran war, very unpopular.
- 31:24Speaker 1: Weapons for Israel, very unpopular. A Trump endorsement, unpopular. data centers,
- 31:29Speaker 1: astonishingly unpopular. That is the environment Republicans are campaigning in.
- 31:35Speaker 1: And now look at their behavior. Because this is what
- 31:38Speaker 1: I've been telling you. Sometimes politicians tell you more about
- 31:41Speaker 1: their political environment by what they do than what they say.
- 31:45Speaker 1: Suddenly you had two Republicans, as I noted last week,
- 31:47Speaker 1: in Iowa joining Democrats on the War Powers Resolution. You
- 31:50Speaker 1: have Maria Salazar in South Florida looking into the camera
- 31:53Speaker 1: and directly rebuking Trump's immigration policies. And now you even
- 31:57Speaker 1: have one of the leaders in the House Republicans, Lisa McClain,
- 32:01Speaker 1: telling Republican candidates two things. Don't gaslight voters on inflation.
- 32:06Speaker 1: And if your district tells you to deviate from Donald Trump,
- 32:10Speaker 1: trust your district. She actually said, I have to trust
- 32:14Speaker 1: the members to do what they think is right in
- 32:15Speaker 1: their district. This is now going to be open season.
- 32:20Speaker 1: This is now a permission slip. I think the next
- 32:23Speaker 1: couple of weeks, you're going to see more Republicans who
- 32:26Speaker 1: are feeling desperate, in these swing districts, in these swing states,
- 32:30Speaker 1: try to actively find ways to oppose Trump on something.
- 32:35Speaker 1: The permission structure has been built. Even a member of
- 32:39Speaker 1: the House Republican leadership is saying it out loud. If
- 32:44Speaker 1: you need to run away from Trump, run away from Trump.
- 32:47Speaker 1: We're not going to pull your funding. That's what they're saying.
- 32:53Speaker 1: Do what you have to do. And why is she
- 32:54Speaker 1: doing it? Because they know. They know the Jedi mind
- 32:57Speaker 1: tricks aren't working. You can't tell people the economy is
- 33:00Speaker 1: great when they don't think it's great. You can't blame
- 33:03Speaker 1: Joe Biden for the Iran war. Everything about the rise
- 33:06Speaker 1: in gas prices, inflation is now all his policies. You
- 33:10Speaker 1: can't tell somebody Donald Trump has nothing to do with
- 33:13Speaker 1: what's happening when Donald Trump is president. And apparently you
- 33:16Speaker 1: can't tell somebody they're going to love the giant data
- 33:18Speaker 1: center you're putting next door when 64% say, please don't.
- 33:24Speaker 1: So this wave is showing up in the polls. But
- 33:26Speaker 1: more importantly, it's showing up in the behavior of Republican politicians.
- 33:29Speaker 1: And every week it feels like another race that looked
- 33:32Speaker 1: like an outlier suddenly doesn't look like an outlier anymore.
- 33:35Speaker 1: Texas governor, this is a real race. Greg Abbott is
- 33:39Speaker 1: in serious trouble. We see why. Isn't it obvious now
- 33:43Speaker 1: why he flip-flopped on data centers? Just look at this polling, right?
- 33:47Speaker 1: He may survive, but Republicans having to worry about the
- 33:49Speaker 1: Texas governor's race tells you something all by itself. And
- 33:52Speaker 1: if Abbott is struggling, Ken Paxton has a much bigger problem.
- 33:56Speaker 1: And keep an eye on the money that so far
- 33:59Speaker 1: Republicans have spent and have promised to Paxton. They haven't
- 34:03Speaker 1: committed that kind of money in the month of October
- 34:05Speaker 1: just yet. And I have to tell you, I have
- 34:08Speaker 1: a feeling that now that you have other races that
- 34:11Speaker 1: are coming onto the scene that probably are winnable with
- 34:16Speaker 1: a little bit of extra money, Paxton's race looks more
- 34:19Speaker 1: unwinnable all the time. I'm not saying they're going to
- 34:23Speaker 1: walk completely away. but I don't think they're going to.
- 34:25Speaker 1: It's just like with Georgia, North Carolina. They're going to
- 34:28Speaker 1: start to prioritize Kansas, Iowa. They may even prioritize a
- 34:34Speaker 1: Minnesota or a New Hampshire to see if they can
- 34:36Speaker 1: catch Democrats off guard. They're going to do anything they
- 34:39Speaker 1: can to try to mitigate what is turning into a
- 34:44Speaker 1: huge problem, particularly in the Sun Belt for them. So
- 34:49Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if Paxton is just going to
- 34:53Speaker 1: end up not totally going it alone in the month
- 34:56Speaker 1: of October, but that he doesn't have the reinforcements that
- 35:00Speaker 1: he appears to have at the moment. Because look, Kansas
- 35:03Speaker 1: Senate is real. It's real enough that Republicans are having
- 35:06Speaker 1: to pay attention to it. And Roger Marshall just seems
- 35:09Speaker 1: lost about what to do. And it's funny, you see
- 35:12Speaker 1: this every once in a while in a wave years
- 35:14Speaker 1: that somebody who you never expected to lose is gets
- 35:20Speaker 1: a taste of, you know, gets punched in the mouth
- 35:23Speaker 1: for the first time and suddenly he realizes, oh, they
- 35:25Speaker 1: got a glass jaw. And he's not sure, you could tell,
- 35:27Speaker 1: he doesn't know what to do. He's never been a
- 35:30Speaker 1: really good political athlete. And I think he's making a
- 35:32Speaker 1: huge mistake already. He keeps, he's bringing in national Republicans
- 35:35Speaker 1: to rescue him. John Kennedy was most recently there and
- 35:40Speaker 1: he might be a cheerier person to bring onto the
- 35:42Speaker 1: campaign trail than vice president like was last week. But
- 35:45Speaker 1: if the national political environment is your problem, I'm not
- 35:47Speaker 1: sure nationalizing your race is the solution. Kansas agriculture is
- 35:52Speaker 1: being hurt by Trump's policies directly. Kansas manufacturing is being
- 35:56Speaker 1: hurt by Trump's tariffs with Canada and trade war with
- 35:58Speaker 1: Canada directly. Marshall ought to be trying to figure out
- 36:01Speaker 1: some way to demonstrate independence from Washington. And instead, he's
- 36:05Speaker 1: demonstrating over-reliance on it. But the problem he's got is
- 36:08Speaker 1: he doesn't have much of a record of independence to
- 36:10Speaker 1: work with. I mean, Jerry Moran is a Republican. He's
- 36:15Speaker 1: a And he's constantly done that. It's why Jerry Moran
- 36:21Speaker 1: has been in the Senate and been in the House
- 36:23Speaker 1: for as long as he has. And look, but it's
- 36:26Speaker 1: what happens in wave environments. They expose the bad political athletes, right?
- 36:31Speaker 1: Every wave election can do this. You suddenly you're like, oh, wow,
- 36:36Speaker 1: they can't handle it. Totally unprepared, totally off guard. And
- 36:41Speaker 1: he strikes me as a candidate, totally unprepared, completely caught
- 36:44Speaker 1: off guard. And then he just doesn't have the personality
- 36:47Speaker 1: for this. He doesn't have– Dr. Marshall doesn't have the
- 36:51Speaker 1: bedside manner for this as we're finding out. We'll see.
- 36:54Speaker 1: He could survive. But to say doubt is creeping in
- 36:59Speaker 1: my head more and more, I believe Kansas is more
- 37:02Speaker 1: likely to flip now than Iowa. Look at an Ashley Hinson.
- 37:06Speaker 1: Roger Marshall wants to be seen with the vice president.
- 37:08Speaker 1: Ashley Hinson comes to– J.D. Vance comes to Iowa and
- 37:11Speaker 1: Ashley Hinson, no, I can't quite make it. She's trying
- 37:15Speaker 1: to demonstrate some independence. She is somebody who's been in
- 37:20Speaker 1: a swing district her entire congressional career and knows what
- 37:23Speaker 1: swing voters want to hear and don't want to hear.
- 37:27Speaker 1: Her political instincts tell me she at least knows how
- 37:29Speaker 1: to survive in a political environment like this. If she does,
- 37:33Speaker 1: it also tells me a lot about what kind of
- 37:35Speaker 1: formidable senator she could become and formidable leader in the
- 37:38Speaker 1: Republican Party she could become. Now, maybe she doesn't survive either,
- 37:42Speaker 1: but she's got a better chance than Roger Marshall does,
- 37:45Speaker 1: in my opinion. So, but there's this other piece of
- 37:50Speaker 1: all this that I don't want us to lose. And
- 37:52Speaker 1: it goes back to what I said at the top,
- 37:53Speaker 1: because Trump's lashing out as his political situation deteriorates. And
- 37:59Speaker 1: it isn't merely a campaign story. There's a cost to
- 38:02Speaker 1: the country every time he does this. And I do
- 38:04Speaker 1: worry we become numb. And we talk about this all
- 38:07Speaker 1: the time, particularly the press. A president deciding which news
- 38:10Speaker 1: organizations deserve access based on whether they're nice to him.
- 38:14Speaker 1: or the Justice Department, his personal lawyer becoming attorney general
- 38:18Speaker 1: and openly participating in partisan politics. The Pentagon, less transparency,
- 38:23Speaker 1: less independent press access, information about military operations and casualties
- 38:28Speaker 1: are being hidden, increasingly controlled. I mean, this is, you know, hey,
- 38:32Speaker 1: Pete Hegseth, Bob McNamara wants his Pentagon back. I mean,
- 38:35Speaker 1: you really are, you're trying to become the worst defense
- 38:39Speaker 1: secretary in American history. Congratulations. The McNamara family is probably
- 38:44Speaker 1: ecstatic that they're no longer going to be seen as
- 38:46Speaker 1: the bottom. The Kennedy Center, the Smithsonian, the president trying
- 38:50Speaker 1: to exert control of the country's arts and history, that's
- 38:54Speaker 1: propaganda shit. And that's something that we would absolutely criticize
- 39:00Speaker 1: another country for trying to do this. Birthright citizenship, a
- 39:03Speaker 1: president trying to overturn one of the basic constitutional understandings
- 39:06Speaker 1: of who gets to be an American, his political opponents
- 39:09Speaker 1: when he regularly calls them fellow Americans, traitors, treasonous criminals,
- 39:14Speaker 1: people who ought to be arrested or deported or eliminated
- 39:16Speaker 1: from public life simply because they don't share his perverted ideology.
- 39:21Speaker 1: Look what he's done to public health. Scientific institutions increasingly
- 39:26Speaker 1: subjected to ideological and political control. And he's got a
- 39:28Speaker 1: guy who he may be mentally unstable. He has admitted
- 39:34Speaker 1: a worm might have eaten part of his brain. Either
- 39:38Speaker 1: that is the case or he's made it up. Either way,
- 39:40Speaker 1: that should scare the bejesus out of us that he's
- 39:43Speaker 1: in charge of public health. And the abuse of emergency
- 39:46Speaker 1: powers used as substitutes for Congress. He's illegally stolen money
- 39:51Speaker 1: from American taxpayers through tariffs and then cried and whined
- 39:55Speaker 1: about it when the courts say you have to give
- 39:57Speaker 1: the taxpayers back their money. Look what he's done to
- 40:02Speaker 1: the civil service. He has this assumption that government employees
- 40:06Speaker 1: work for him, not the United States. Inspectors General, independent
- 40:11Speaker 1: watchdogs pushed aside. He's tried to use government funding to
- 40:17Speaker 1: pressure universities. to changing ideologies, not changing behavior, changing ideologies.
- 40:26Speaker 1: He's abused the line between civilian and military with the Pentagon,
- 40:32Speaker 1: nevermind allowing some religious zealot to become head of the
- 40:36Speaker 1: Pentagon and pervert our military by infusing some weird religious
- 40:45Speaker 1: tests into it. I could keep going. And that's the point.
- 40:48Speaker 1: It's the totality of the damage that Trump has created here.
- 40:53Speaker 1: Imagine if I read you that list and told you
- 40:54Speaker 1: it was happening in Hungary or Turkey. Oh, wait, it did.
- 40:59Speaker 1: Small democracy somewhere else in the world. What would we say? Well,
- 41:02Speaker 1: we'll say what we actually did say about Hungary and
- 41:05Speaker 1: what we do believe about Turkey. That democracy was in trouble.
- 41:11Speaker 1: And then the people finally said enough is enough in Hungary.
- 41:15Speaker 1: But in Turkey, we'd say the institutions are being weakened
- 41:17Speaker 1: because they have been. We'd say its leader is behaving
- 41:20Speaker 1: like somebody who wants fewer restraints on his power. Again,
- 41:24Speaker 1: what we've said about Turkey. We'd use the word authoritarianism.
- 41:28Speaker 1: So I don't think the interesting question is, has Donald
- 41:30Speaker 1: Trump successfully become an authoritarian? Obviously, there are things he
- 41:34Speaker 1: wants to do that our system still prevents him from doing.
- 41:38Speaker 1: The courts still can stop him. Congress sometimes stops him.
- 41:42Speaker 1: States have had the ability to stop him. The Constitution
- 41:47Speaker 1: serves as the instruction manual for how to restrain him.
- 41:52Speaker 1: The question, though, is whether he wants any of those restraints.
- 41:56Speaker 1: And it's pretty clear. I mean, it's scary that we
- 41:58Speaker 1: elected a president who does not believe in our Constitution.
- 42:04Speaker 1: Just think about that. If I told you we elected
- 42:07Speaker 1: a president that doesn't believe in our Constitution, and I
- 42:09Speaker 1: said we were going to do this before 2016, you'd
- 42:11Speaker 1: say I was crazy. And yet we did exactly that.
- 42:15Speaker 1: And then we elected this guy a second time. But
- 42:19Speaker 1: I do think his behavior answers this question over and
- 42:22Speaker 1: over again. He doesn't want any restraints. He has no
- 42:25Speaker 1: interest in advancing the success of this constitutional republic. And
- 42:32Speaker 1: this is where the scale of the repair project post-Trump
- 42:36Speaker 1: begins to hit me. Because eventually somebody is going to
- 42:39Speaker 1: have to repair all of this. And repairing a policy
- 42:42Speaker 1: is relatively easy. A future president can change tariffs. Congress
- 42:46Speaker 1: can quickly change immigration policy. Another HHS secretary can change
- 42:51Speaker 1: public health policy. But norms are much harder to repair
- 42:55Speaker 1: because Trump now has taught every future president something. A
- 42:59Speaker 1: lot of the things we thought presidents couldn't do weren't
- 43:01Speaker 1: things presidents couldn't do. They were things presidents had simply
- 43:05Speaker 1: decided they shouldn't do. And that's a gigantic difference. Maybe
- 43:10Speaker 1: there wasn't actually a guardrail. Maybe there was simply a
- 43:14Speaker 1: president who thought, you know what, you just shouldn't do that.
- 43:18Speaker 1: And once one president discovers the difference between can't and shouldn't,
- 43:23Speaker 1: every future president knows it too. Which means some of
- 43:26Speaker 1: these things are going to have to be codified. What
- 43:29Speaker 1: independence should the Justice Department have? We probably have to
- 43:33Speaker 1: change the appointment process here. Presidents can't be allowed unilateral
- 43:38Speaker 1: control over who gets to be attorney general, let alone
- 43:40Speaker 1: acting attorney general. What protection should inspectors generals have? What
- 43:45Speaker 1: constitutes retaliation against the press? How much power should presidents
- 43:49Speaker 1: have over money Congress has appropriated? What are the real
- 43:53Speaker 1: limits of emergency authority? Now, a lot of this would
- 43:56Speaker 1: be solved if we had a series of speakers of
- 44:00Speaker 1: the House who understood that the legislative branch was Article I.
- 44:06Speaker 1: But since Newt Gingrich, every speaker of the House has
- 44:09Speaker 1: decided to succumb to the executive branch. Yes, Nancy Pelosi, too.
- 44:15Speaker 1: She did not change the crappy arrangement that Newt Gingrich created,
- 44:20Speaker 1: bringing all power to leadership and taking away all power
- 44:24Speaker 1: from individual members of Congress and committee chairs. That decision
- 44:28Speaker 1: by Newt Gingrich and then the decision by Nancy Pelosi
- 44:32Speaker 1: to keep that system is what has weakened Congress to
- 44:36Speaker 1: the point that has allowed Donald Trump to run roughshod
- 44:39Speaker 1: over the republic. Keep that in mind. This was bipartisan atrophy.
- 44:44Speaker 1: of congressional leaders. But look, we've got a lot of
- 44:48Speaker 1: work to do. What conflict of interest laws should apply
- 44:51Speaker 1: to presidents? Where are the lines and domestic use of
- 44:53Speaker 1: military power? What protections does the civil service need? We
- 44:56Speaker 1: have to rethink all of this because we are not
- 45:00Speaker 1: simply going to have to undo Donald Trump's nutty policies.
- 45:03Speaker 1: We're going to have to rebuild some of the architecture
- 45:05Speaker 1: that prevented presidents from behaving this way in the first place. Now,
- 45:09Speaker 1: I know some of my friends on the right might
- 45:10Speaker 1: hear this laundry list and say, you know, this just,
- 45:14Speaker 1: you know, you're What's with this diatribe against Trump? This
- 45:17Speaker 1: is not partisan. And criticizing him doesn't make you a partisan.
- 45:23Speaker 1: Donald Trump is the one that has partisanized the Constitution.
- 45:27Speaker 1: He's partisanized criticism.
- 45:31Speaker 2: That's on him.
- 45:34Speaker 1: Standing up for the First Amendment shouldn't be partisan. Standing
- 45:37Speaker 1: up for an independent justice department is not a partisan act.
- 45:41Speaker 1: Standing up for the idea that your political opponent isn't
- 45:44Speaker 1: a traitor shouldn't be a partisan decision. There's a really
- 45:51Speaker 1: simple test for all of this. Go through this list
- 45:54Speaker 1: I've done and substitute the words Trump with Barack Obama.
- 45:59Speaker 1: President Obama bans Fox News from the White House because
- 46:01Speaker 1: he doesn't like its coverage. President Obama takes control of
- 46:04Speaker 1: the Kennedy Center and wants to put his name on it.
- 46:06Speaker 1: President Obama pressures the Smithsonian to change how it presents
- 46:09Speaker 1: American history. President Obama uses the Justice Department to investigate
- 46:13Speaker 1: his personal political enemies. President Obama regularly calls Republican opponents
- 46:17Speaker 1: traitors and talks about arresting them. How would the right
- 46:20Speaker 1: have reacted? We actually know something about this. During the
- 46:25Speaker 1: Obama administration, somebody in the Obama White House tried to
- 46:28Speaker 1: exclude Fox from a network pool interview of Treasury officials.
- 46:34Speaker 1: Myself and others representing the other news organizations and members
- 46:36Speaker 1: of the pool said, we're not participating in this if
- 46:39Speaker 1: you're going to exclude a member of the pool. And
- 46:44Speaker 1: we said, if Fox doesn't get the same access, we're
- 46:46Speaker 1: not going to participate in this event. I didn't do
- 46:49Speaker 1: it because I agreed with Fox. I did it because
- 46:52Speaker 1: their First Amendment rights were my First Amendment rights. And
- 46:55Speaker 1: I'm glad I did it. I'm disappointed that some of
- 46:58Speaker 1: the people whose rights I stood up for and whose
- 47:01Speaker 1: credibility I handed to them, you know who I'm talking about, Brad,
- 47:08Speaker 1: that they haven't reciprocated as forcefully as they could. Now,
- 47:12Speaker 1: I understand he's got pressures, he's got bosses, and he's
- 47:15Speaker 1: got a president who will go to his bosses and
- 47:17Speaker 1: his bosses will never stand up for him. We know this, unfortunately.
- 47:22Speaker 1: But I'm still not sorry I stood up for him
- 47:24Speaker 1: or that news organization. Because that's what pluralism requires, folks.
- 47:28Speaker 1: You don't defend somebody's rights because you like them. You
- 47:31Speaker 1: defend them because they're rights. John Adams taught us all this, folks,
- 47:38Speaker 1: a long time ago. And that brings us back to
- 47:42Speaker 1: where we started. 44 days. Trump knows things aren't going well.
- 47:46Speaker 1: Republicans on the ballot know things aren't going well. The
- 47:49Speaker 1: NBC message tests show you just how difficult this environment
- 47:52Speaker 1: has become. for many of the things Trump wants Republicans
- 47:55Speaker 1: campaigning on. So he's reached for the things he thinks
- 47:58Speaker 1: he can control, press access to the White House, the
- 48:02Speaker 1: Kennedy Center, the Smithsonian, his arch, and he's searching for
- 48:08Speaker 1: the next culture war boogeyman that might somehow change the subject.
- 48:11Speaker 1: I think he's hoping that somehow this becomes a debate
- 48:14Speaker 1: about the liberal media and that it will Jedi mind
- 48:18Speaker 1: trick his supporters and that they'll somehow forget that the
- 48:23Speaker 1: massive tax, the Trump tax on their everyday lives is
- 48:29Speaker 1: not there anymore. Maybe he does find one. He did
- 48:33Speaker 1: it before the caravan sort of worked. It certainly cost
- 48:35Speaker 1: Claire McCaskill her reelection. But this time he's got a
- 48:38Speaker 1: much bigger problem. He's not running against a hypothetical Democratic presidency.
- 48:44Speaker 1: He's running against people's own experience with his own presidency.
- 48:48Speaker 1: You can try to Jedi mind trick voters about a
- 48:51Speaker 1: lot of things. But eventually, reality gets a vote. And
- 48:56Speaker 1: reality is coming for Donald Trump and the Republicans on
- 48:59Speaker 1: this one. All right. Let's sneak in a break. And
- 49:04Speaker 1: when we come back, my conversation with Troy Carter, the
- 49:09Speaker 1: next chair of the Congressional Black Caucus. And then after that,
- 49:14Speaker 1: I got my time machine. It's a good one, folks.
- 49:16Speaker 1: It's a good one. Can't wait for you to It's
- 49:20Speaker 1: about a moment where a human being stood up to technology.
- 49:26Speaker 1: All right, let's sneak in the break. This episode of
- 49:31Speaker 1: the Chuck Todd cast is brought to you by Soul.
- 49:34Speaker 1: So if you love that end of the day unwind,
- 49:36Speaker 1: but hate the hangover, Soul's out of office. is for you.
- 49:40Speaker 1: These sparkling THC drinks and gummies give you the same
- 49:43Speaker 1: relaxed social feeling without the alcohol, without the calories, and
- 49:48Speaker 1: without the crash. Soul is a wellness brand that believes
- 49:51Speaker 1: feeling good should be fun and easy. Soul specializes in
- 49:54Speaker 1: delicious hemp-derived THC and CBD products designed to boost your
- 49:59Speaker 1: mood and help you unwind. Their best-selling out-of-office gummies were
- 50:03Speaker 1: designed to provide a mild, relaxing buzz, boost your mood,
- 50:07Speaker 1: and enhance creativity and relaxation. With five different strengths, you
- 50:10Speaker 1: can tailor the dose to fit your vibe. So also
- 50:14Speaker 1: has a variety of products specifically designed to help you
- 50:16Speaker 1: get a better night's rest, including their top-selling Sleepy Gummies,
- 50:20Speaker 1: a fan favorite for deep, restless sleep. Look, I have
- 50:23Speaker 1: made no secret. I am a believer in this stuff
- 50:26Speaker 1: and cannabis and hemp-derived. I do not partake in alcohol
- 50:30Speaker 1: for the most part. I think this stuff is a
- 50:32Speaker 1: lot safer than alcohol, a lot less addictive than alcohol.
- 50:35Speaker 1: And yes, I have to say, I love these drinks.
- 50:38Speaker 1: It is the glass of wine. And you know, after work,
- 50:42Speaker 1: that's what this is. So no hangover and no excess
- 50:45Speaker 1: calories like this. I'm a big fan. So bring on
- 50:48Speaker 1: the good vibes and treat yourself to Soul today. Right now,
- 50:51Speaker 1: Soul is offering my audience 30% off your entire order.
- 50:54Speaker 1: Go to GetSoul.com and use the word TODCAST. That's GetSoul.com,
- 50:59Speaker 1: promo code TODCAST. for 30% off. And yes, I too
- 51:03Speaker 1: am a customer. Well, joining me now is the first
- 51:10Speaker 1: vice chair of the Congressional Black Caucus and also a
- 51:14Speaker 1: Democratic member of Congress representing Pretty much the best place
- 51:18Speaker 1: to get a bite to eat on this planet. It
- 51:21Speaker 1: is Troy Carter of Louisiana, of New Orleans, Louisiana. Congressman Carter,
- 51:25Speaker 1: it's good to see you.
- 51:26Speaker 2: Good to be with you always. Thank you. And you're right.
- 51:28Speaker 2: Come on down. Have a bite with us.
- 51:30Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, there's just I mean, let's just be honest.
- 51:32Speaker 1: Plenty of good places to get food all over the
- 51:34Speaker 1: country these days. But it's, you know, you know, my
- 51:37Speaker 1: favorite cities that aren't New Orleans to eat are places
- 51:40Speaker 1: like Charleston or Savannah. And I always say it's almost
- 51:43Speaker 1: like New Orleans. But it ain't New Orleans.
- 51:46Speaker 2: Almost like New Orleans, but not New Orleans. Right. And
- 51:48Speaker 2: you kind of get, you get something else in New Orleans.
- 51:50Speaker 2: You get a spirit. You get a spirit that you
- 51:52Speaker 2: can't find in most places.
- 51:53Speaker 1: No, it's just unique. And let me start there, actually,
- 51:58Speaker 1: just on this sort of, you know, we're pretty polarized.
- 52:01Speaker 1: You live, we were just talking about, you know, yes,
- 52:04Speaker 1: Louisiana is considered a very red state. But it's really
- 52:08Speaker 1: just a very polarized state. It's not red per se
- 52:11Speaker 1: on economic ideology. It's a pretty left-leaning populism. Whether you're
- 52:15Speaker 1: on the right or the left, I think that there
- 52:18Speaker 1: certainly isn't ideology. This isn't a Paul Ryan conservative Republican
- 52:24Speaker 1: state type of thing. And New Orleans is one of
- 52:27Speaker 1: the few places where I feel like everybody understands there's
- 52:32Speaker 1: divisive politics, but politics can be set aside for a
- 52:36Speaker 1: few minutes. I don't sense that in a lot of
- 52:39Speaker 1: other political communities, but Louisiana has always been a little
- 52:43Speaker 1: bit different. Is it still that way, or do you
- 52:45Speaker 1: feel the tension nationally has even broken up? I mean,
- 52:49Speaker 1: I think of friendships that I know happen a lot
- 52:54Speaker 1: more in Louisiana across the aisle than in other places.
- 52:57Speaker 2: Well, listen, the Trump era has challenged most relationships across
- 53:02Speaker 2: the country. But Louisiana, as you mentioned, is a very
- 53:07Speaker 2: unique We're a bit of an anomaly in that our cultures,
- 53:12Speaker 2: our food, our music, our sports intertwine so much that
- 53:17Speaker 2: even in those heated political discussions, there remain relationships that
- 53:23Speaker 2: transcend that. So Louisiana, while I'd be the first to
- 53:28Speaker 2: tell you, has experienced some strain because of the divisiveness
- 53:34Speaker 2: of this administration that seems to punish people who want
- 53:39Speaker 2: to be bipartisan, seems to ridicule those who want to
- 53:43Speaker 2: work together. You know, in Louisiana, we've always worked together.
- 53:48Speaker 2: You know, before coming to Congress, I served in the
- 53:51Speaker 2: House of Representatives and the State Senate. I served in
- 53:55Speaker 2: the New Orleans City Council. When I was in the legislature,
- 53:59Speaker 2: I worked under Edwin Edwards when he was governor. I
- 54:03Speaker 2: worked under... under John Bell when he was governor, but
- 54:10Speaker 2: both houses were ruled by Republicans. And we were still
- 54:13Speaker 2: able to get things done. I was the minority leader
- 54:16Speaker 2: in the state Senate, and we were 12 members strong
- 54:20Speaker 2: of a 39-member body, but we still got things done.
- 54:24Speaker 2: Because we were able to build relationships and we were
- 54:26Speaker 2: able to put issues ahead of politics, That's that's a
- 54:30Speaker 2: challenge under this administration, because President Trump has made it
- 54:34Speaker 2: very clear he doesn't want to work with Democrats. And
- 54:37Speaker 2: in Louisiana, what different place?
- 54:39Speaker 1: Well, and, you know, just just the fact I was surprised.
- 54:44Speaker 1: I guess I shouldn't. I wasn't shocked, but I was
- 54:46Speaker 1: surprised that the legislature went out of its way to
- 54:49Speaker 1: target Bill Cassidy the way he was targeted, meaning it
- 54:52Speaker 1: was sort of like, OK. The only way we're going
- 54:55Speaker 1: to be able to beat this guy is force him
- 54:56Speaker 1: into a Republican primary, because if he does the traditional
- 54:59Speaker 1: all party primary, you know, Cassidy might be able to
- 55:02Speaker 1: appeal to different constituencies and he might have been able
- 55:05Speaker 1: to survive that Senate seat. And it was really important
- 55:08Speaker 1: to the White House that, you know, it was proved
- 55:10Speaker 1: that if you vote again, if you voted to convict
- 55:12Speaker 1: the president or impeach the president, you need to be
- 55:14Speaker 1: kicked out of the party in some form or another.
- 55:17Speaker 1: And they changed the election rules for one election, right?
- 55:21Speaker 1: It's just once. I mean, When that happened, it told me, wow,
- 55:27Speaker 1: because what was interesting, your career very much mirrors sort
- 55:32Speaker 1: of how in Louisiana these relationships have always been able
- 55:37Speaker 1: to stick, right? I think Cedric Richmond and Scalise served
- 55:42Speaker 1: locally together before they served nationally together, right? I think
- 55:45Speaker 1: they had some interaction.
- 55:46Speaker 2: Mike Johnson and I served locally together before we served
- 55:49Speaker 2: nationally together. I was in the Senate when Mike was
- 55:51Speaker 2: in the State House.
- 55:52Speaker 1: And what was that relationship like back then?
- 55:54Speaker 2: Just fine. And the same with Steve. Listen, Steve and
- 55:57Speaker 2: I have worked together for many, many years. Mike and
- 55:59Speaker 2: I have worked together for many, many years. And Conversationally, personally,
- 56:04Speaker 2: we're still perfectly fine. Politically, policy-wise, could not be further apart.
- 56:10Speaker 2: But it doesn't interfere with the personal relationship, but it
- 56:14Speaker 2: certainly does on the policy side. Because we are worlds
- 56:20Speaker 2: apart when it comes to Medicaid, Medicare. hospitals, healthcare for individuals, jobs,
- 56:28Speaker 2: economic opportunity for the poor, SNAP benefits. We're in different worlds.
- 56:33Speaker 2: Environmental justice, making sure that EPA enforces the rules so
- 56:37Speaker 2: people can breathe clean air, drink clean water. Different worlds.
- 56:43Speaker 1: You brought up Medicaid. Let me ask a cynical question
- 56:47Speaker 1: on the expansion of Medicaid. If it weren't connected to
- 56:49Speaker 1: something called Obamacare, Would there be a Medicaid expansion in Louisiana?
- 56:59Speaker 2: Chuck, I think it's very clear that if it were
- 57:04Speaker 2: not Obamacare, Bobby Jindal would have expanded Medicaid before John
- 57:11Speaker 2: Bel Edwards did. The reality is President Trump has a
- 57:17Speaker 2: real problem with this piece of legislation. Not necessarily what
- 57:22Speaker 2: it does, but who brought it to bear. And has
- 57:25Speaker 2: made it very clear all the way to that very
- 57:28Speaker 2: infamous time when John McCain went to the well of
- 57:32Speaker 2: the Senate and voted against getting rid of it. And
- 57:36Speaker 2: this president has been trying ever since. It's a symbol
- 57:39Speaker 2: for him.
- 57:39Speaker 1: He does it like the irony is that he get
- 57:41Speaker 1: rid of it. It's sort of like NAFTA.
- 57:44Speaker 2: Yes.
- 57:44Speaker 1: I mean, I think somebody even proposes just call it
- 57:48Speaker 1: Trump care.
- 57:49Speaker 2: Fine.
- 57:50Speaker 1: If you want to call it Trump care and expand
- 57:51Speaker 1: Medicaid and you call it Trump care, would you support
- 57:54Speaker 1: it then?
- 57:55Speaker 2: He may be watching this at some point, and that
- 57:57Speaker 2: may be the next move, Chuck. It'll be your fault.
- 58:00Speaker 2: But that may be not your fault. It may be
- 58:03Speaker 2: your credit.
- 58:03Speaker 1: Well, but it's like these Trump accounts. I actually think
- 58:06Speaker 1: these are good ideas, unfortunately, because the name Trump is
- 58:09Speaker 1: so polarizing. Some people see it and immediately don't want
- 58:12Speaker 1: anything to do with it. And you're like- Look, I
- 58:14Speaker 1: know they put his name on it, but this is
- 58:16Speaker 1: actually a pretty good idea for your kid if you've
- 58:19Speaker 1: got a young grandchild or something like that.
- 58:21Speaker 2: The irony of the Obamacare issue and the Medicaid issue
- 58:25Speaker 2: is this big, ugly law, which threatens to remove some
- 58:29Speaker 2: 17 million people from the voter polls, from the opportunities
- 58:37Speaker 2: to be served. If you go and look at members
- 58:40Speaker 2: of Congress, start with the speaker himself. in Louisiana and
- 58:44Speaker 2: look at the nearly 50% of the people, I think
- 58:48Speaker 2: 39 or 40 some odd percent of the people in
- 58:51Speaker 2: the Speaker's district are Medicaid dependent. Right.
- 58:55Speaker 1: You've got one of the biggest ones.
- 58:57Speaker 2: One of the biggest ones. You've got Valadao up in California.
- 59:01Speaker 2: He's got 70% of his district that's Medicaid dependent. I
- 59:06Speaker 2: don't know. Forget party. Forget all of that. How do
- 59:10Speaker 2: you look at the constituents that you represent and tell
- 59:13Speaker 2: them this isn't going to impact them? There was a
- 59:15Speaker 2: story that just came out in our local newspaper just
- 59:18Speaker 2: last week on SNAP benefits and the people that are
- 59:21Speaker 2: falling off And in those statistics from LDH and from
- 59:28Speaker 2: the federal government, it was determined that those people that
- 59:31Speaker 2: were coming off the rolls were procedural, not waste, fraud,
- 59:35Speaker 2: or abuse. It's people falling through the cracks for owner's paperwork,
- 59:41Speaker 2: for fraud. Every six, this new policy that you've got
- 59:44Speaker 2: to reapply every six months. Chuck, if you had to
- 59:46Speaker 2: apply for your driver's license every six months, I dare
- 59:49Speaker 2: say you'd be driving without.
- 59:50Speaker 1: No, that is designed. You know, it's sort of like,
- 59:55Speaker 1: you know, the way a parking ticket late fees just
- 59:59Speaker 1: kick in like within three days or whatever.
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: It's like some systems are designed to have you not.
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: use them, right?
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: It's like the old call in for this rebate. It's
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: going to be a $ 10 rebate. And you get to
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: say that, but no one ever calls in.
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: Because remember, when you get the rebate, you got to
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: cut out this proof of purchase. And then you got
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: to find the receipt. Like you got to go through
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: this whole rigmarole for 30 bucks. And then you say
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: to yourself, I don't know. My time is worth more
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: than that.
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: And most people don't do it. So they get the
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: benefit of offering it, but never paying it. And it's
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: the same situation where you hide the ball. Listen, working
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: people are busy trying to live. They're trying to take
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: care of their families. They're trying to educate and feed
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: their kids in the grocery store, trying to afford these
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: exorbitant prices in the grocery store, in the gas line.
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: And now you're telling me I got to keep reapplying.
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: And each time it's almost as if we'll get you
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: next time. You're going to forget to cross a T
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: or dot an I. You're going to put a comma
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: in the wrong place. And we're going to reject you.
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: And then you've got to redo it. And, you know,
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: for working moms, dads, grandmas out there, that's that. We
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: as government. should always seek to root out ways fraud abuse.
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: Here's the thing. When you're living on the edge.
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: To get people services that they need. That's what government does.
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: When you're living on the edge, when you're paycheck to paycheck,
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: you don't you're exhausted all the time. And it's like
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: you just you're you're you're anyway, like we we're we're on.
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: And it's strange because the Trump brand is he wants
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: to look out for working people.
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: And this is the working class that is trying desperately.
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: Nobody likes to be on welfare. I've never met anybody
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: who says, oh, I love being. And this is like
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: one of the you know, I mean, the irony is,
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: what do you make of this new welfare policy that
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: the Trump administration is pushing for stay at home moms?
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: Well, listen, it's all smoke and mirror. You know, this
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: whole notion that Trump. cares about or wants to help
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: working class people, I think those of us who know
- 1:02:13Speaker 2: better know that Trump has no use for poor people.
- 1:02:17Speaker 2: He has no use for people that are living on
- 1:02:19Speaker 2: the edge. He's got no use for people. Here's a
- 1:02:21Speaker 2: man who says he loves inflation. Here's a man who
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: says that he was going to keep us out of war.
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: And then when he got us in war, he said
- 1:02:30Speaker 2: we'd be out of war in six weeks. Now it's
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: six months. Here's a guy who says in day one,
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: The price of eggs, the price of rice, the price
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: of bread, milk, and household goods will go down. Chuck,
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: they've gone up. He said the prices for gas will
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: go down. It's gone up. So to suggest in any
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: way that Trump cares about poor people, be they white, black, poor, Democrat,
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: East Bank, West Bank, whatever part of the world, East, North, South,
- 1:03:01Speaker 2: he doesn't. And words are one thing. But look at
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: the facts. Just like, for example, all of a sudden
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: Trump has gotten off on this new task of calling
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: Democrats communists. Well, he's the only one that publicly shares
- 1:03:15Speaker 2: his admiration for despots, not Democrats. He's the one who
- 1:03:21Speaker 2: says Putin's a really smart guy. He's the one that
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: says all these other guys are great leaders. Well, no,
- 1:03:26Speaker 2: they're not. They're despots and they don't care about America
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: or Americans. All right.
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: But let's talk about one of the elephants in the
- 1:03:33Speaker 1: room on this issue, which is White working people trust
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: Trump more than Democrats.
- 1:03:39Speaker 2: Why? I think because Trump says things that others think.
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: Trump pulls the scab off of the challenges that people feel,
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: and he does a real good job of pitting one
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: group against the other. So If he goes to a
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: poor white community and he says the reason you're poor
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: is because of affluent black people, because they had X
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: and Y to get to where they are. And he
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: paints a picture that somehow your plight is this way
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: because their plight isn't. or because they are getting SNAP benefits. Well,
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: go and look at the statistics, Chuck. There are more
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: white people getting SNAP benefits across the board than there
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: are black people. But the average person doesn't see that
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: or doesn't believe that when in fact the reality is
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: there are more people in the white community on SNAP
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: benefits than there are black community across the country. That's
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: just a reality. But Trump likes to poke the bear
- 1:04:54Speaker 2: and to cause people to be against each other while
- 1:04:57Speaker 2: he sits back and pilfers the country. So when you
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: have this notion of white's poor whites believing him is
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: because he's saying things that they say back home, that
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: he's giving them license to hate again. But when you
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: go up the ratchet a little and you find the
- 1:05:19Speaker 2: more affluent, educated people, they don't buy into it at
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: the same rate.
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: Well, let's talk about a few examples of white male
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: Democrats who seem to bridge this divide. better. Bill Clinton,
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: Edwin Edwards, you talked about Edwin Edwards. There's no doubt
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: in my mind, Edwin Edwards was a good talker because
- 1:05:39Speaker 1: you don't get away with half the stuff he got
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: away with if he couldn't be a good talker. John
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: Bel Edwards, Edwin Edwards, Bill Clinton was able to break
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: that racial polarization on working people and would get white
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: working class people and black working class people to sort
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: of sing from the same songbook. What do they do
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: right that you think today's Democratic Party is struggling with?
- 1:06:03Speaker 2: Talking directly to the people. Kitchen table conversation. Edwin Edwards,
- 1:06:08Speaker 2: Bill Clinton, talk right to the people. You felt like
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: you were the only one in the room. They both
- 1:06:14Speaker 2: had a certain amount of charisma that disarmed you. You
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: felt like they really got where you were, where you
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: are and understand your plight.
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: And they probably helped that Bill Clinton was he grew
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: up poor. He grew up in a poor white community.
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: And so did Edwin Edwards. And when you're thinking of
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: Edwin Edwards growing up in in rural Louisiana. Cajun boy
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: with a strong accent Bill Clinton with a country accent
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: Just one of the guys And I think The problem
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: that Democrats And or others have And one of the
- 1:06:58Speaker 2: ones that I will Criticize our party with is Sometimes
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: we're guilty of Of Trying to make the simple Complex
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: Instead of making the complex simple talking to people in
- 1:07:12Speaker 2: a language that they understand, that they appreciate.
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: Yeah, I always call it, I say, don't, I always say,
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: speak American to me. Don't speak English. Speak American.
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. Just be real. You know, just talk to
- 1:07:23Speaker 2: me about what, you know, if, listen, it's expensive to
- 1:07:27Speaker 2: feed your children. We don't really talk about, say, affordability.
- 1:07:31Speaker 2: Just say, shit, man, I can't afford to pay for
- 1:07:34Speaker 2: these groceries.
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: Right, right. You know, we don't even use these fancy words.
- 1:07:39Speaker 2: You want to make it one word? No, make it 10.
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: I can't afford to pay for my groceries. I need help.
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: You know, and when you talk to people to say,
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: Somebody's got to care about the rest of us. Right.
- 1:07:52Speaker 2: Somebody's got to be fighting for the rest of us.
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: Who are the rest of us? The rest of us
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: are all those people who feel like no one cares.
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: The rest of us are the ones that's working two jobs,
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: trying to take care of the kids, the rest of us.
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: are the ones that's challenged with mental health issues, and
- 1:08:08Speaker 2: they get up every day and they're still struggling. The
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: rest of us are those who are not. The rich
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: is rich, the poor is poor, but somewhere in the middle,
- 1:08:17Speaker 2: somewhere to up the middle bottom, and no one's talking
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: about them. Those guys and gals that every day are
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: struggling to survive. And you know what? Quite frankly, like
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: Katrina Waters, they don't give a shit who pulls them
- 1:08:31Speaker 2: out of the drowning, out of the waters. They don't
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: care if it's a white head, a black head, a Republican,
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: a Democrat, other. They need help. That's where I think
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: we missed the boat. Speaking plain American to the people,
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: letting them know we get it. We would not. We
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: would not you don't get elected to Congress or to
- 1:08:53Speaker 2: the presidency and automatically get a box of wisdom or
- 1:08:58Speaker 2: a magic wand. We still have to communicate with the people.
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: And when we lose touch with that, we lose the
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: whole process.
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: You know, if Democrats don't win control of the House.
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: in this midterm, what does that say about your party?
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: It says, it would say, first of all, I'm not
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: in any way conceding that I think we're going to absolutely.
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: No, I wouldn't either. I mean, I think it's about a,
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: you know, but look, I mean, I don't think LSU
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: is going to lose more than two games all year,
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: but if they lost four, right, we'd be shocked.
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: It's possible. But I will tell you, if we did,
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: it would mean that we, we dropped an incredible pass.
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: We blew an incredible play. We blew an incredible opportunity.
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: We totally lost the messaging.
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: Do you see any seeds here that concern you? It's
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: sort of like, this feels like a given. It's hard
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: to imagine it's not. But there's always the counterfactual. You're like,
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: am I ignoring something I shouldn't be ignoring? Is there
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: something over here that I'm missing?
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: Right?
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: Right. What's going through your head on this? Like, everything
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: seems like it's going in the right direction for your party. But,
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: you know, you just, you know, is there some storm
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: I didn't know was on the radar?
- 1:10:26Speaker 2: You know, we're always concerned about that. That possible unknown,
- 1:10:31Speaker 2: that one church visit you missed. that one group you
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: thought you had solidified. There's always that nagging part in
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: the back of your mind of what could we have
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: done more of at 801 when the elections are now done?
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: I think we're in a very good place. I think
- 1:10:51Speaker 2: we're at this point, I'm less concerned about the ones
- 1:10:54Speaker 2: we may drop or concerned about these ones that no
- 1:10:58Speaker 2: one's counting us on that we may actually catch. There
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: are some red to blues out there that can really
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: shock some folk on election night. I also think if
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: I'm reading my tea leaves correct, Chuck, when I talk
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: to Republicans and Democrats alike and I talk to my
- 1:11:18Speaker 2: Republican friends who share with me their disdain for what's
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: happening with not necessarily their party, but where Trump is
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: taking their party. There are a lot of Republicans who
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: are going to vote blue. There are a lot of
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: Republicans that are not going to vote at all. So
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: I think there lies where I think pundits should be
- 1:11:39Speaker 2: watching election night for the upset. And the upset is
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: going to be in areas where Republicans are going to
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: send a message that they do not agree with what
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: Donald Trump is doing. And to go back to Bill
- 1:11:53Speaker 2: Cassidy for a minute, if Bill Cassidy had stayed on
- 1:11:56Speaker 2: course and maintained his position on the impeachment, explained why
- 1:12:01Speaker 2: he did it, and did not roll over and confirm RFK.
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: I think it would have been next to impossible to
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: beat him if he'd run as independent.
- 1:12:15Speaker 1: Oh, I, so I was a huge advocate of that idea.
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: It's my understanding they looked into it. And it's my
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: understanding they didn't see a path to victory. And I
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: don't know if Louisiana makes it a little bit harder
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: for ballot access. I'm not quite sure. But either that
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: that's mine. But I'm with you. I to me. But
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: I think you're right. I think it was the Kennedy
- 1:12:42Speaker 1: confirmation alienated a whole bunch of voters that might have
- 1:12:45Speaker 1: been with him. It wasn't for that.
- 1:12:48Speaker 2: The the people that would have come to his rescue.
- 1:12:51Speaker 2: And listen, you hit it on the head. This changing
- 1:12:53Speaker 2: from a jungle primary to a close primary, that was
- 1:12:57Speaker 2: about as intentional a hit as you can.
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: It is literally a hit.
- 1:13:01Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: I mean, you know, a political assassination.
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: He fell for the okey-doke. Had he switched and become independent,
- 1:13:10Speaker 2: I think he would have inoculated himself even from that hit. But,
- 1:13:14Speaker 2: you know, listen, I didn't look at the numbers. I
- 1:13:15Speaker 2: suspect they looked clearly different. but the Kennedy thing didn't
- 1:13:21Speaker 2: work because, I mean, he finished third in a three-man
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: race or whatever, but he was odd man out. Even
- 1:13:28Speaker 2: with all the money, I think he had $ 11 to
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: $ 12 million in the bank.
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: So let's assume you're right about what we're going to
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: see with Republican turnout. I have a suspicion that there's
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: something to it. And look, this is, I think, what
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: this MAGA convention's about. I mean, I'm not sure it's
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: a good way to talk to independent voters, but they're
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: not talking to independent voters, right? They're trying to get
- 1:13:49Speaker 1: their base out because they know they got a problem.
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: But let's assume you get this majority and you get
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: it with the A governing, you get a governing majority.
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: I'm like, you know, we could make fun of Mike
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: Johnson all we want. I'd be like, you try being
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: speaker with a three seat majority, right? I think it's a, yeah,
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: it's a near impossibility. So let's assume you have a
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: governing majority and you just said there's a message being
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: sent here. And you was, I'm guessing you think it's
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: an accountability message. Is that what you assume?
- 1:14:17Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:14:17Speaker 1: That's the message that's being sent.
- 1:14:19Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:14:19Speaker 1: So what does that look like? Right. We've heard the
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: I word being thrown around and oversight. And look, I
- 1:14:26Speaker 1: think the weakness of Congress is the most damaging thing
- 1:14:29Speaker 1: that's happened this century. I think as just as a chamber.
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: We've had too many speakers capitulate to their own party's
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: president on executive branch powers. And I think this is
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: why I think a lot of people feel as if
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: Congress has neutered itself.
- 1:14:44Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: You know, with tariff authority and all of this business.
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: What's the focus? What should be the focus and how
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: do you not sort of get drawn into the Trump
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: swamp where sometimes you think you're doing something that works,
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: but suddenly you're just bogged down in it and voters think, hey,
- 1:15:05Speaker 1: you're not paying attention to what we asked you to
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: pay attention to.
- 1:15:09Speaker 2: And we should be able to walk into bubble gum
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: at the same time. And we can't. And so part
- 1:15:14Speaker 2: of what we have to do, we have to advance
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: good policy for the American people At the same time, simultaneously.
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: And hope that Donald Trump signs it?
- 1:15:23Speaker 2: Well, no. Well, he's not going to sign it.
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: But it doesn't mean we don't continue to advance. Listen,
- 1:15:31Speaker 2: we've been in the minority for the last two years,
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: and we have not conceded our policy efforts. We have
- 1:15:41Speaker 2: used discharge petitions to advance policy. bills to the floor
- 1:15:44Speaker 2: when the leadership didn't want it to get there, knowing
- 1:15:47Speaker 2: the president will probably not sign it. But that doesn't
- 1:15:50Speaker 2: mean we can sit back and just not do anything
- 1:15:53Speaker 2: because we have a president that won't sign it. So
- 1:15:55Speaker 2: hence my comment, walking and chewing bubble gum. We've got
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: to continue to advance good policy, even if he doesn't
- 1:16:02Speaker 2: sign it, because the public's still watching and the public's
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: seeing good policy that can change the price of rice,
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: that can come up with cures with National Institute of
- 1:16:12Speaker 2: Health Research dollars that this president doesn't want to have,
- 1:16:16Speaker 2: while on the other hand, holding them accountable. There has
- 1:16:21Speaker 2: to be a restoration of the checks and balances, the
- 1:16:25Speaker 2: guardrails of our government. The rule of law has to matter.
- 1:16:28Speaker 2: The Constitution has to matter. So we have to continue
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: to exercise oversight. We have to demonstrate to the American
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: people that we will not give in to a country
- 1:16:39Speaker 2: of lawlessness or a president and his minions who think
- 1:16:42Speaker 2: they're above the law. We have to do these things simultaneously.
- 1:16:46Speaker 2: And Chuck, guess what? Republicans and Democrats alike want to
- 1:16:50Speaker 2: see this. I'm not talking about MAGA. I'm not talking
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: about those zealots who will... support Trump even if he
- 1:16:59Speaker 2: killed someone on Main Street, as he once said. But
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: I'm talking about the reasonable people who happen to be
- 1:17:07Speaker 2: of a different philosophical view, Republican or Democrat, but are
- 1:17:11Speaker 2: not anti-American, who are not anti-constitution, who are not anti-rule
- 1:17:16Speaker 2: of law. That's a pocket of people that may be Republican,
- 1:17:20Speaker 2: but they're very reachable. if you bring them the way
- 1:17:24Speaker 2: I suggest, and that is keep it pure. Let's talk
- 1:17:26Speaker 2: about the Constitution. Let's talk about the rule of law.
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: Is it, look, you can make a strong case that
- 1:17:35Speaker 1: he's done impeachable offenses. And we know a third impeachment
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: might feel like the parents on Charlie Brown, you know, wah, wah, wah, wah, right?
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: Like the public might not hear it, despite, you know,
- 1:17:48Speaker 1: on one hand, you're like, well, if you're not gonna
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: hold him accountable, what's the point of having... the provision
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: in the constitution. And yet I'm not sure it's worth
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: the time to do it. Would you focus your energy
- 1:18:00Speaker 1: on the impeachment of a Kennedy or a Hegseth first?
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: Is that where you'd go? Or is it not impeachment
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: at all? Is it instead, we got to figure out
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: how to prevent this sort of selling of regulation capture, right?
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: Like the tech industry clearly has attempted to do with AI. What,
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: in the accountability space, prioritize it for me. Is it
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: individuals and the damage being done to these individual agencies,
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: HHS and the Pentagon, to me seem on fire at
- 1:18:29Speaker 1: the moment? Or is it more of what's happening with
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: the private sector and the buying off of the administration?
- 1:18:37Speaker 2: Chuck, I think it's simultaneous. I think all of those
- 1:18:40Speaker 2: things are meritorious to review. I think the notion that
- 1:18:44Speaker 2: the country, that some think we should hang our hat
- 1:18:47Speaker 2: on singularly impeachment, Listen, we've impeached him twice. You have
- 1:18:52Speaker 2: to also have a Senate that will convict. So you
- 1:18:56Speaker 2: need those components together.
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: If you don't have the vote in that sense, if
- 1:18:59Speaker 1: you don't have the votes, it's not worth doing.
- 1:19:00Speaker 2: Then what you're doing is you're offering people false hope.
- 1:19:04Speaker 2: You're all sizzling no stakes. The American people deserve steak.
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: They might have the votes for Kennedy. You might have
- 1:19:10Speaker 1: the votes for Hegseth. And frankly, my guess is they'd
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: resign before they ever went through it.
- 1:19:14Speaker 2: And listen, and that's that's my hope is that they
- 1:19:17Speaker 2: will recognize or even the president himself will recognize like
- 1:19:19Speaker 2: he did with with Kristi Noem, that these people are
- 1:19:23Speaker 2: toxic and that they are doing things and that that's
- 1:19:26Speaker 2: just beyond the pale. But all of the oversight, it's
- 1:19:32Speaker 2: so much more than just the I word. There's every level.
- 1:19:37Speaker 2: You've got Holman, who was under investigation for taking $ 50, 000
- 1:19:41Speaker 2: in cash. No one's talking about that anymore. Now he's
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: head of Border Patrol. How is that possible that you
- 1:19:49Speaker 2: can just let this be swept under the rug? I
- 1:19:52Speaker 2: would tell you, Chuck, if that were Democrat, I think
- 1:19:54Speaker 2: the press would be talking every single day.
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: I'm aware of a Democrat from Louisiana who had cash
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: in a freezer that we had that became a running
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: gag for for plenty of political comics. I mean, you know,
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: I'm not I don't want to belabor that. But yes,
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: I can't believe this lunch bag of brown bag of cash,
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: which is like right out of like a bad movie script.
- 1:20:18Speaker 1: It's like the old what was the that? ab scam.
- 1:20:23Speaker 1: You remember where the FBI wore the dummy mustaches and
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: made these congressmen fall for bribes? That's what it felt like.
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: Homan fell for it was like the simplest of of scams.
- 1:20:35Speaker 1: You're like, I'm sorry if you're that dumb to fall
- 1:20:38Speaker 1: for it, you shouldn't be in government, let alone crooked.
- 1:20:41Speaker 2: And then not only are you not brought to justice
- 1:20:43Speaker 2: for it, you're brought back in and promoted to a
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: high profile position. My God, what what are we doing?
- 1:20:51Speaker 2: So All of those things and so many others. When
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: you look at the Bitcoin and the relationships between who
- 1:21:01Speaker 2: owns what when they get who's buying this stock, who
- 1:21:04Speaker 2: owns stock in this business is doing work with with
- 1:21:07Speaker 2: the White House. The president's made an estimated reportedly two
- 1:21:12Speaker 2: point five billion dollars since taking office again. There's a
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: lot of work to be done, and the American people
- 1:21:20Speaker 2: want answers. And you have the feel-good conversation of let's
- 1:21:26Speaker 2: do an impeachment, but if you don't have a conviction
- 1:21:29Speaker 2: on the Senate side, you're just offering false hope. What
- 1:21:32Speaker 2: I think the American people want to see more than
- 1:21:33Speaker 2: anything else is an accountability factor where there's real oversight.
- 1:21:37Speaker 2: One of the most substantial powers of the United States
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: Congress is the power of oversight, the foundation of checks
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: and balances. three separate but co-equal branches of government. This
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: president brags.
- 1:21:51Speaker 1: Congressman, they're not co-equal.
- 1:21:54Speaker 2: I'm sorry.
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: Hang on, Congressman. These are not co-equal branches. There's a reason.
- 1:21:59Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but when I make a list,
- 1:22:02Speaker 1: when I make a list, one, two, three, I don't
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: put the most important branch two, or I don't put
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: the most important thing on my grocery list at two
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: or three, right? The number one thing on my list
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: is the number one thing I care about getting from
- 1:22:15Speaker 1: that grocery store. All right, the founders put it number
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: one for a reason. This co-equal branch business is nonsense.
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: If it were co-equal branches, they'd all be able to
- 1:22:25Speaker 1: fund agencies and they'd all be able to do things.
- 1:22:28Speaker 1: Article one, you guys are not the co-equal branch. You
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: are the supreme branch of government. And it bugs the
- 1:22:36Speaker 1: bejesus out of me that we have gone, it's really
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: since 9-11. I mean, we're at an anniversary and that
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: is where this accelerated. this where Congress went and became
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: parliamentary and treated the president as if they were a
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: prime minister.
- 1:22:52Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. And listen.
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: Sorry, I don't mean to go on a rant, but
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: I think the co-equal branch business is hogwash.
- 1:23:00Speaker 2: Listen, I totally appreciate your commentary, but I will tell
- 1:23:03Speaker 2: you this. Even if we assume for the sake of
- 1:23:06Speaker 2: discussion that we were and are supposed to be a
- 1:23:09Speaker 2: co-equal branch, this president has totally blown that to smithereens
- 1:23:13Speaker 2: when he stands next to Mike Johnson and says that
- 1:23:18Speaker 2: Mike Johnson, Speaker of the House, and says, I am
- 1:23:21Speaker 2: the President of the United States and the Speaker of
- 1:23:24Speaker 2: the House. You're standing next to the third.
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: There's some truthiness to that, you know.
- 1:23:30Speaker 2: I understand. But it hurts, you know, because what it is,
- 1:23:34Speaker 2: it is a admission that you're running everything. When he
- 1:23:42Speaker 2: says that I control the House, the Senate. And what
- 1:23:46Speaker 2: was always, even at worst of times, Chuck, the backstop
- 1:23:50Speaker 2: was the courts. I saw an interview, and I'll digress
- 1:23:54Speaker 2: for half a second if you allow me. Andy Young,
- 1:23:59Speaker 2: former mayor of Atlanta, New Orleans native, former U.N. ambassador
- 1:24:03Speaker 2: to the U.N., former member of Congress, say when he
- 1:24:07Speaker 2: was being interviewed that these times are worse now than
- 1:24:10Speaker 2: they've ever been. And I thought, how could that be?
- 1:24:13Speaker 2: I'm listening to this.
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: By the way, when Andy Young is saying that, this
- 1:24:16Speaker 1: is the most optimistic member of that generation. More optimistic
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: at times than John Lewis, right? Like, just always saw, no, no, no,
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: I can work with anybody, right? That's amazing that he's
- 1:24:31Speaker 1: saying that.
- 1:24:31Speaker 2: Who was on the balcony of the Lorraine Motel when Dr.
- 1:24:34Speaker 2: King was killed. Who was on the Edmund Pettus Bridge.
- 1:24:37Speaker 2: Who was spat at, beat on, dogs biting and hoses.
- 1:24:42Speaker 2: And I said, how could that possibly be? And as
- 1:24:44Speaker 2: I'm saying this to the television, because I was looking
- 1:24:47Speaker 2: at it, I wasn't with him. He answered it. He said,
- 1:24:50Speaker 2: because we always had the courts. We had the federal marshals.
- 1:24:55Speaker 2: We had the federal government to come in and to
- 1:24:58Speaker 2: make sure that. Those young girls going into the segregated
- 1:25:04Speaker 2: schools as they desegregated them, they had federal marshals. As
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: they marched Edwin Pettus Bridge, they had federal marshals that
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: kept the sheriffs and the dogs. We don't have that anymore.
- 1:25:15Speaker 2: We don't have the federal government anymore. Trump has usurped
- 1:25:18Speaker 2: the authority of the Supreme Court, of the entire federal government,
- 1:25:23Speaker 2: of the FBI, the CIA, and all of his agencies
- 1:25:25Speaker 2: that are supposed to be nonpolitical. and have made them
- 1:25:29Speaker 2: political machines.
- 1:25:32Speaker 1: Let me move into a few more, a little bit
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: of CBC politics.
- 1:25:37Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:25:38Speaker 1: The flirtation with socialism, whether it's the socialist adjacent or
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: fully DSA membership, we have seen with the large exception
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: of the state of Florida, these candidates struggle in African-American communities, right?
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: You know, we saw it with Abdul El-Sayed, we saw
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: it with Francesca Hong, who lost to David Crawley in Wisconsin.
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: And really the outlier was Angie Nixon, though, knowing the
- 1:26:14Speaker 1: way I know the state of Florida and her activism,
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: you know, her defining characteristic wasn't DSA. She was a
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: well-known activist in the Jacksonville community in particular, in Tallahassee.
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: And so I think the fact that she was already
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: well known in the African-American community allowed that not to
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: be an issue. But what is that divide? And do
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: you sense that this is going to be a growing
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: potential wedge inside the CBC itself?
- 1:26:41Speaker 2: No, I don't. I think that as our numbers increase,
- 1:26:48Speaker 2: you know, we started with a small number, 12, 13.
- 1:26:52Speaker 2: Now we're 60 plus. There'll be growing pains. And we're
- 1:26:57Speaker 2: looking at a country where, you know, Democrats are not
- 1:27:00Speaker 2: a monolith. Congressional Black Caucus members, Black folk are not
- 1:27:05Speaker 2: a monolith. And the notion that we have to be
- 1:27:08Speaker 2: is a trick that someone else is trying to promote.
- 1:27:12Speaker 2: The reality is, rather, it's progressive, moderate, liberal, DSA, whatever
- 1:27:18Speaker 2: you want to call us, we're Democrats, right? And I
- 1:27:20Speaker 2: will tell you, I will reject and fight against this
- 1:27:24Speaker 2: notion that that there's trouble in paradise, if you will,
- 1:27:30Speaker 2: with some who say, oh, what is it going to
- 1:27:31Speaker 2: mean for the National Black Caucus? We have DSA members. Listen,
- 1:27:35Speaker 2: we have Democrats and we have different ideas and different philosophies.
- 1:27:38Speaker 2: It doesn't mean that we are going to be against
- 1:27:40Speaker 2: each other. Doesn't mean we're going to be tethered. It
- 1:27:43Speaker 2: just means that we're going to broaden our thinking. We're
- 1:27:46Speaker 2: going to bring more people into the tent. We're going
- 1:27:48Speaker 2: to find better, stronger solutions to our issues. And yes,
- 1:27:52Speaker 2: some of them may be different. Some of them may
- 1:27:54Speaker 2: be provocative. Some of them may be very bold. But
- 1:27:57Speaker 2: I see it as a strength, not a weakness.
- 1:28:00Speaker 1: So is there any litmus test to be a member
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: of the CBC?
- 1:28:05Speaker 2: On policy? Yeah, yeah. The policy, your ability to align
- 1:28:13Speaker 2: with the philosophical views of, you know, fairness, equality, working
- 1:28:18Speaker 2: for people that have been historically left out. The conscience
- 1:28:22Speaker 2: of the Congress is not something that we've adopted a happenstance.
- 1:28:26Speaker 2: It's over years and years and years of fighting for
- 1:28:28Speaker 2: those people that have been left behind. And that means
- 1:28:31Speaker 2: not just African-Americans. That means Americans that have found themselves
- 1:28:35Speaker 2: on the short end of the stick as well. So
- 1:28:37Speaker 2: the Congressional Black Caucus has a very firm mission. of
- 1:28:40Speaker 2: showing up, showing out, and fighting for those people that
- 1:28:43Speaker 2: have been marginalized, those people that have been on the
- 1:28:46Speaker 2: other side of equality. And so that means fighting for
- 1:28:51Speaker 2: health care, fighting for education, fighting for environmental justice, fighting
- 1:28:55Speaker 2: for economic parity so people have an opportunity to to
- 1:28:57Speaker 2: really live the American dream, not a handout, a handout.
- 1:29:09Speaker 1: If you're an African-American Republican that gets elected to Congress,
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: but you share that philosophy, you're welcome.
- 1:29:17Speaker 2: Well, listen, we've had African-American Republicans a part of the
- 1:29:20Speaker 2: caucus before. And they had to demonstrate that they share
- 1:29:26Speaker 2: those views. and they share those views. They're welcome to
- 1:29:31Speaker 2: offer themselves as a member, but then they've got to demonstrate.
- 1:29:34Speaker 2: You don't just get automatic membership because it's more than
- 1:29:38Speaker 2: just the color of your skin, and it's more than
- 1:29:40Speaker 2: just what you say you will do. You've got to
- 1:29:42Speaker 2: demonstrate that you share the views, that you share the
- 1:29:44Speaker 2: ideological views, that you share the passion and the mission
- 1:29:48Speaker 2: for fighting for the issues that I just mentioned. If
- 1:29:51Speaker 2: you don't, then you don't get a chance to be
- 1:29:53Speaker 2: a part of this organization, much like any other caucus.
- 1:29:57Speaker 2: You've got to demonstrate that there's some like-mindedness.
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: I wanted to ask you about the there was a
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: little dust up last week. Jared Golden, Marie Glussen, Cam
- 1:30:08Speaker 1: Perez essentially sided with Republican leadership to get a bill
- 1:30:12Speaker 1: on the floor that Jared Golden cared a lot about.
- 1:30:14Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:30:15Speaker 1: And every every member of Congress has that bill.
- 1:30:17Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: That is a that is. Hey, this really matters to
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: my district and I care about it. And some Democrats
- 1:30:24Speaker 1: really upset with him on this. What's your line on this?
- 1:30:28Speaker 1: I mean, I'll be honest. I had a lot of
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: empathy there for Golden and, you know, Glusenkamp-Perez, especially a
- 1:30:33Speaker 1: guy like Golden who's retiring. And he knows this might
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: be the last shot he has at a bill that
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: he cares about. And then this idea, you know, it is...
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: Is this what makes Congress feel broken that this rules
- 1:30:46Speaker 1: committee operates the way it does and that members should
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: be able to just bring a bill to the floor
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: once a year that they care about? Or what's the
- 1:30:55Speaker 1: right way to do this? And should they be punished?
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: Should parties enforce this type of strict procedural voting?
- 1:31:05Speaker 2: Listen, I came from the state Senate where regardless of
- 1:31:08Speaker 2: who was the president, the senator, who the governor was,
- 1:31:10Speaker 2: my bill got to the floor. I got here. I
- 1:31:13Speaker 2: got a hearing on the floor. I got a hearing
- 1:31:15Speaker 2: in committee.
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: And how did you do that?
- 1:31:17Speaker 2: It was just automatic. We didn't have a rules committee.
- 1:31:20Speaker 2: So if you've got a bill, you author your bill,
- 1:31:23Speaker 2: you throw it in the hopper, it's read into the record,
- 1:31:26Speaker 2: and then it's assigned a committee.
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: And then- Why doesn't Congress work that way?
- 1:31:30Speaker 2: And listen, one of the most frustrating things I got
- 1:31:32Speaker 2: to when I got to Congress is, what the hell?
- 1:31:35Speaker 2: You mean I got to just sit here and wait?
- 1:31:37Speaker 1: I was with a group of member of Congress who
- 1:31:39Speaker 1: said to me, do you realize that I can't even
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: bring one bill to the floor without it going through
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: a process. He's like, shouldn't every member of Congress every
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: two years get at least one free bill onto the
- 1:31:53Speaker 1: floor that they want to get passed? And I thought,
- 1:31:56Speaker 1: how is that not a rule already?
- 1:31:58Speaker 2: Listen, it was one of the most frustrating things. I
- 1:32:01Speaker 2: came from the state Senate where I was minority leader.
- 1:32:04Speaker 2: I was chair of a committee. I was at every
- 1:32:06Speaker 2: discussion on the budget, every discussion. But we were not
- 1:32:10Speaker 2: in charge. But no one, my bill still got at
- 1:32:13Speaker 2: least introduced in its first hearing in a committee. Now,
- 1:32:17Speaker 2: you can kill it in committee, then it's over. But
- 1:32:19Speaker 2: at least you had an opportunity to advance it. I
- 1:32:22Speaker 2: get to Congress five years ago, five and a half
- 1:32:24Speaker 2: years ago, and it's like, hurry up and wait. You're
- 1:32:27Speaker 2: a freshman member. If you're not on a committee in jurisdiction,
- 1:32:30Speaker 2: you don't get a whole opportunity to really weigh in.
- 1:32:33Speaker 2: Thank God I am now on one of the most
- 1:32:36Speaker 2: powerful committees, Energy and Commerce, so you can really start
- 1:32:39Speaker 2: to move and affect legislation.
- 1:32:41Speaker 1: The most important committee on Capitol Hill. I say this
- 1:32:44Speaker 1: about on both sides of the House and the Senate,
- 1:32:47Speaker 1: you know, because Fritz Hollings used to say this, you
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: know what the purview of the Commerce Committee is?
- 1:32:58Speaker 2: Absolutely. Right. And when Chairman Dingell was chairman, he has
- 1:33:04Speaker 2: a globe in the anteroom of energy and commerce. And
- 1:33:07Speaker 2: he'd take people back there and they asked, what's the jurisdiction?
- 1:33:09Speaker 2: He said, what do you see in that globe? So everything,
- 1:33:13Speaker 2: energy and commerce, everything. Anyway, sorry. Go ahead. I just
- 1:33:17Speaker 2: I'll go to go back to your comment about gold and.
- 1:33:20Speaker 1: Those two votes.
- 1:33:22Speaker 2: They everyone has a right to vote how they want to.
- 1:33:25Speaker 2: and they have a right to vote the conscience of
- 1:33:27Speaker 2: the people back home, but you also have to be strategic.
- 1:33:30Speaker 2: That bill is not going to pass when it gets
- 1:33:33Speaker 2: to the Senate. It's just not. I mean, I think
- 1:33:35Speaker 2: everyone knows.
- 1:33:37Speaker 1: Well, that's a Susan Collins problem, by the way.
- 1:33:41Speaker 2: But it's not going to pass when it gets to
- 1:33:43Speaker 2: the Senate. But here, one part... one part in that
- 1:33:48Speaker 2: bill that was important to him. But we see that
- 1:33:51Speaker 2: all the time, Chuck, where they have these great names
- 1:33:55Speaker 2: for a piece of legislation, but they're not really demonstrative
- 1:33:58Speaker 2: of what the bill does. And people say, well, why
- 1:34:00Speaker 2: did you vote against that? Because what you didn't see
- 1:34:03Speaker 2: were all the poison pills that are embedded in the bill.
- 1:34:07Speaker 2: You might like one component. As thoughtful legislators, as thoughtful policymakers,
- 1:34:13Speaker 2: We have a responsibility to not just look for that
- 1:34:16Speaker 2: one piece that's important to us, but to look at
- 1:34:18Speaker 2: it globally of how it affects the American people and
- 1:34:22Speaker 2: the overall mission of the Democratic Party. Therein lies where
- 1:34:25Speaker 2: I think my two colleagues missed the boat. But it
- 1:34:28Speaker 2: is not for me to chastise them for voting what
- 1:34:31Speaker 2: they think was right. I have my own barometer, my
- 1:34:35Speaker 2: own battery of tests I run through to make sure
- 1:34:38Speaker 2: that I'm voting not just for this one component, But
- 1:34:42Speaker 2: to look at all the others, because you may think
- 1:34:44Speaker 2: you're winning, but all these other components mean you're really losing.
- 1:34:47Speaker 2: I think that's what happened last week. They may have
- 1:34:49Speaker 2: thought they were winning, but we ultimately lost.
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: Well, but here's the thing that I learned about house rules.
- 1:34:56Speaker 1: On January 3rd, you have a blank piece of paper.
- 1:35:00Speaker 1: On January 3rd, 2027, you guys got a blank piece
- 1:35:03Speaker 1: of paper. And you can make the rules anything you
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: want when it comes to how bills get to the floor,
- 1:35:07Speaker 1: how they don't get to the floor. You could set
- 1:35:09Speaker 1: up new committees. You could do all sorts of things.
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: So I say this. If you had a wish list
- 1:35:15Speaker 1: to a potential Speaker Jeffries on a rules change, given
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: your experience in other legislatures, give me one rules change
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: that you would think off the bat would help the
- 1:35:31Speaker 1: reputation of Congress.
- 1:35:32Speaker 2: Being able to move and have substantive discussion on the
- 1:35:36Speaker 2: House floor, being able to offer amendments. If you're not
- 1:35:40Speaker 2: on a committee of jurisdiction, you will not get a
- 1:35:43Speaker 2: chance to weigh in other than your final vote. I
- 1:35:47Speaker 2: think we should have more debates. I come from a
- 1:35:52Speaker 2: former body where I can go to the floor anytime
- 1:35:55Speaker 2: there's something going up and I can opine and I
- 1:35:57Speaker 2: can make a compelling argument. You can't do this if
- 1:36:02Speaker 2: you're not on the committee. One of the rule changes
- 1:36:04Speaker 2: I would want is to have more of a true
- 1:36:08Speaker 2: legislative process where people can see, feel, and have input.
- 1:36:14Speaker 2: Members of Congress will have the opportunity, even if you're
- 1:36:16Speaker 2: not a part of a committee of jurisdiction, will have
- 1:36:19Speaker 2: an opportunity to be heard on the floor.
- 1:36:22Speaker 1: I think you actually, we're talking on September 9th here.
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: Is today the day that the Rules Committee has like
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: open rules? Isn't that, I think we're this week, right?
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: Where if you want to make some suggestions for rules
- 1:36:36Speaker 1: changes for the next rules package, I think it's like
- 1:36:39Speaker 1: the open houses this week.
- 1:36:40Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right.
- 1:36:42Speaker 1: Well, I look forward to see if we could make
- 1:36:45Speaker 1: some changes here. Let me get you out of here
- 1:36:47Speaker 1: on something that we both love, I think, but at
- 1:36:50Speaker 1: the same time is falling as a congressional issue. And
- 1:36:54Speaker 1: that is, The role Congress now feels it needs to
- 1:36:58Speaker 1: play in college sports. What is it that you think
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: Congress should be doing in the college sports space? I mean, look,
- 1:37:06Speaker 1: we're getting bombarded with these ads. Nick Saban and Deion
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: Sanders are the face of these ad campaigns to try to.
- 1:37:13Speaker 1: get this Frankenstein of a college sports bill passed. And
- 1:37:17Speaker 1: I call it that because I can't believe this bill
- 1:37:21Speaker 1: is about to go through Congress without anybody from the
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: labor side of things having a seat at the table.
- 1:37:27Speaker 1: But why is Congress involved in this?
- 1:37:30Speaker 2: Because it's gotten unwieldy, because the the the. the SEC
- 1:37:36Speaker 2: and all these guys have become so big. And because
- 1:37:40Speaker 2: now we're looking at the gravity of what these athletes
- 1:37:44Speaker 2: bring and you're changing the, the dynamics of what used
- 1:37:49Speaker 2: to be pure college sports to now name, image, and
- 1:37:52Speaker 2: likeness being paid. And the whole issue with LSU and SEC,
- 1:37:58Speaker 2: can you take someone that was even on a practice
- 1:38:01Speaker 2: squad with, with NFL and now take them back for
- 1:38:04Speaker 2: an extra year of eligibility within the college reign. It's
- 1:38:08Speaker 2: all become big, big, big, big, big business. And so
- 1:38:12Speaker 2: now the, It's commerce. It's commerce. And it's before energy
- 1:38:17Speaker 2: and commerce. The sanctity of college sports I think is
- 1:38:24Speaker 2: at risk. And it needs to be.
- 1:38:26Speaker 1: What does that mean? I don't mean to pick on
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: a word here. I hear this. Well, the Look, there's
- 1:38:32Speaker 1: been money in college sports. Instead of under the table,
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: it's now above the table.
- 1:38:37Speaker 2: I'm not opposed to a kid having name, image, and
- 1:38:41Speaker 2: likeness opportunities. I'm not opposed at all. In fact, I
- 1:38:44Speaker 2: support it. What I don't want to see is a
- 1:38:47Speaker 2: melding between the the NCAA, and the NFL. They're separate entities.
- 1:38:54Speaker 2: And when I say the sanctity, I mean the purity
- 1:38:57Speaker 2: of watching a good college game versus an NFL game
- 1:39:01Speaker 2: where the rules are different. Watching these kids still have
- 1:39:04Speaker 2: in their foreground, the reason they're in college is to, yes,
- 1:39:09Speaker 2: play ball, but to get an education. That's being lost
- 1:39:12Speaker 2: where you're just taking kids in and all they're doing
- 1:39:15Speaker 2: is playing football and their academics are thrown to the side.
- 1:39:19Speaker 2: I think that's a huge mistake. The academics of an
- 1:39:22Speaker 2: athlete should still be important. They should play college ball.
- 1:39:27Speaker 2: If they want to leave college ball prematurely, go to
- 1:39:30Speaker 2: the NFL, but don't blend the two. And as it
- 1:39:34Speaker 2: relates to Congress being a part of the whole image, name, image,
- 1:39:38Speaker 2: and likeness or the SCORE Act is one of making
- 1:39:43Speaker 2: sure that we, in my estimation, that we're protecting HBCUs,
- 1:39:48Speaker 2: that we're protecting smaller universities, not just the SEC, but
- 1:39:52Speaker 2: MEAC and some of the others, making sure that these
- 1:39:57Speaker 2: kids are being protected in some cases from those who
- 1:40:01Speaker 2: want to maximize their profits on them, even in the
- 1:40:05Speaker 2: notion of them giving them an opportunity to, to.
- 1:40:10Speaker 1: Let me play labor lawyer here.
- 1:40:11Speaker 2: You got to protect.
- 1:40:12Speaker 1: How do you, how do you impose this bill would
- 1:40:16Speaker 1: essentially impose a salary cap. I don't know of any
- 1:40:21Speaker 1: instance where, uh, a salary cap essentially was imposed without
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: some form of collective bargaining. And right now there is no,
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: and I, and honestly, I have no idea whether this
- 1:40:33Speaker 1: is going to be done by conference or by division.
- 1:40:36Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:40:37Speaker 1: You know, but it seems to me that there needs
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: to be a players association here. You need to be
- 1:40:42Speaker 1: labor this entire bill. This is what I, and I
- 1:40:46Speaker 1: think this is why the NCAA loses every single court
- 1:40:48Speaker 1: case because there's never sort of, it is about limiting the,
- 1:40:54Speaker 1: The the, you know, sort of limiting what the player
- 1:40:57Speaker 1: can do or say, and that's usually why they lose
- 1:40:59Speaker 1: these court cases. This legislation feels like it's going to
- 1:41:03Speaker 1: get thrown out in the courts because it does not
- 1:41:05Speaker 1: have any provision here where players get to say at all.
- 1:41:11Speaker 2: Chuck, the SCORE Act is flawed. And that's why it
- 1:41:14Speaker 2: hasn't moved. That's why I've been opposed to it. You are, okay.
- 1:41:18Speaker 1: CBCA is opposed, right?
- 1:41:19Speaker 2: The CBCA is opposed to it, as it's written. And
- 1:41:23Speaker 2: most of the Democrats, if not all of the Democrats
- 1:41:26Speaker 2: on Energy and Commerce, are opposed to it as written.
- 1:41:28Speaker 2: And we're not of the mind that some are, that
- 1:41:31Speaker 2: we just want to not ever have any regulation. We
- 1:41:34Speaker 2: just want to be done right. We want to make
- 1:41:35Speaker 2: sure that labor's at the table. We want to make
- 1:41:38Speaker 2: sure these young athletes are protected and not prostituted, if
- 1:41:42Speaker 2: you will, to make sure that we're creating a fair system.
- 1:41:46Speaker 2: And a fair system is not often done fast.
- 1:41:49Speaker 1: No.
- 1:41:49Speaker 2: This notion that they were trying to rush this through.
- 1:41:52Speaker 2: We got to get this done.
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: That's the Trump era. I was like, here, man, pump
- 1:41:55Speaker 1: the brakes. Pump the brakes.
- 1:41:57Speaker 2: This is far too deep, far too great for the
- 1:42:00Speaker 2: overall system. We've got to be very thoughtful, very deliberate,
- 1:42:05Speaker 2: and we need more people at the table, not fewer.
- 1:42:09Speaker 1: So this bill is not passing. There's no way that
- 1:42:12Speaker 1: passes the House, does it?
- 1:42:13Speaker 2: I don't see it passing. I don't see it passing
- 1:42:15Speaker 2: the House. If it passed the House, I don't see
- 1:42:17Speaker 2: it passing the Senate. In its current form, every form
- 1:42:20Speaker 2: that I've seen thus far is significantly flawed.
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: Why does your governor seem to care more about LSU
- 1:42:28Speaker 1: football than this? I can't believe how much he's gotten himself.
- 1:42:34Speaker 1: embedded into the LSU football program. And I say this,
- 1:42:37Speaker 1: the last time I saw a sitting governor get involved
- 1:42:39Speaker 1: in a football program, that football program got the death penalty.
- 1:42:44Speaker 1: That's what happened to SMU back in the 80s. And
- 1:42:47Speaker 1: it was the sitting governor who was sort of involved
- 1:42:50Speaker 1: with basically embedding himself too much in it. And in
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: some ways, it really harmed SMU because it politicized the
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: whole thing and it made them even a bigger target.
- 1:43:00Speaker 1: I You must know this, Governor Lewis. Why is he
- 1:43:06Speaker 1: so embedded into this program, and why do LSU leaders
- 1:43:11Speaker 1: think that's a good idea?
- 1:43:13Speaker 2: I don't think they think it's a good idea. I
- 1:43:14Speaker 2: think the governor is ruling with an iron fist. and
- 1:43:18Speaker 2: to the chagrin of many of the leaders within the
- 1:43:23Speaker 2: LSU structure who can't say this out loud.
- 1:43:26Speaker 1: Didn't he negotiate these contracts at the governor's mansion? It
- 1:43:29Speaker 1: was just crazy.
- 1:43:30Speaker 2: But even all of the fans, and this is where
- 1:43:33Speaker 2: the real danger is going to come in, Because LSU
- 1:43:37Speaker 2: is a cultish following. We love our LSU.
- 1:43:40Speaker 1: Yes, you do.
- 1:43:42Speaker 2: And when you start to see the fan base, the
- 1:43:45Speaker 2: donors from the Alumni Association who are starting to rumble
- 1:43:50Speaker 2: about this political overreach into what is, going back to
- 1:43:55Speaker 2: my word before, purist sanctity of college sports, it's a
- 1:43:59Speaker 2: real slippery slope. And I think it's a dangerous place
- 1:44:02Speaker 2: for the governor to be. And I think it has
- 1:44:05Speaker 2: the potential to be very upsetting, not only for him
- 1:44:09Speaker 2: as governor, but for the entire LSU family, if you will,
- 1:44:14Speaker 2: who are very protective, very protective of the image and
- 1:44:20Speaker 2: the rights and the love and the passion of LSU.
- 1:44:24Speaker 2: And we don't like politics in our football. We don't
- 1:44:26Speaker 2: like politics in the face of this great team, this
- 1:44:32Speaker 2: great state, Louisiana. This governor hadn't figured that out yet.
- 1:44:35Speaker 2: I think he will.
- 1:44:37Speaker 1: I look, I mean, I think it's high risk. I mean,
- 1:44:40Speaker 1: you know that, you know, people will pick football over
- 1:44:42Speaker 1: a politician any day of the week.
- 1:44:44Speaker 2: And we saw Bobby Jindal when he was running for president.
- 1:44:49Speaker 2: Bobby Jindal tried to to corral, if you will, the
- 1:44:54Speaker 2: power of LSU sports and it backfired on him. And
- 1:44:58Speaker 2: I suspect this will probably backfire, too, because Republicans, Democrats, independents,
- 1:45:04Speaker 2: we all love LSU and we don't want to see
- 1:45:06Speaker 2: it politicized.
- 1:45:09Speaker 1: Well, that ship that ship may have sailed. This is
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: a crazy this is a crazy way for me to
- 1:45:16Speaker 1: leave you with a question like this, but are you
- 1:45:20Speaker 1: scared of A.I. or are you excited about A.I.
- 1:45:24Speaker 2: I'm a little bit of both. I have dealt very deeply,
- 1:45:27Speaker 2: and that's an area that energy and commerce that I'm
- 1:45:32Speaker 2: intimately involved with and recently met with Anthropic and met
- 1:45:37Speaker 2: with all of the various players to start talking about
- 1:45:40Speaker 2: how we get our arms around AI. AI has the
- 1:45:44Speaker 2: potential to be an incredibly powerful tool. But like anything
- 1:45:48Speaker 2: along these lines, it has the potential to be very,
- 1:45:50Speaker 2: very dangerous. We policymakers have to learn from what we
- 1:45:55Speaker 2: missed with Facebook and Instagram and social media. It happened
- 1:46:02Speaker 2: so fast. And now all of a sudden it's a
- 1:46:04Speaker 2: monster with 27 heads. We have to, from a policy standpoint,
- 1:46:10Speaker 2: get our arms around AI to extract the best and
- 1:46:14Speaker 2: create guardrails for the potential worse. Just like we see
- 1:46:18Speaker 2: drones are very powerful and popular, we also know that
- 1:46:22Speaker 2: they can be very negative and dangerous. We have to
- 1:46:25Speaker 2: look at AI, artificial intelligence, and recognize I'm working on
- 1:46:30Speaker 2: currently legislation that would create, for lack of a better term,
- 1:46:34Speaker 2: a watermark. A watermark. So when you go on social
- 1:46:38Speaker 2: media and you see Chuck Todd playing a violin and
- 1:46:42Speaker 2: singing operetta, you say, I don't remember Chuck being able
- 1:46:45Speaker 2: to sing operetta. Maybe you can. But I use that
- 1:46:47Speaker 2: as an example. There should be something that denotes this
- 1:46:51Speaker 2: is satire.
- 1:46:51Speaker 1: Well, have you seen this AI TV ad business that
- 1:46:55Speaker 1: we're seeing? I mean, it's everywhere.
- 1:46:56Speaker 2: Crazy.
- 1:46:57Speaker 1: But it's pharmaceutical ads. It's not even just politics, right? Like,
- 1:47:03Speaker 1: I think the world is going to suddenly not believe
- 1:47:05Speaker 1: anything they see in about six months if.
- 1:47:07Speaker 2: We're not careful. Remember that joke? I don't know if
- 1:47:10Speaker 2: it was Richard Pryor or Eddie Murphy who said, you're
- 1:47:12Speaker 2: going to believe me or your lying eyes. Yeah. And
- 1:47:15Speaker 2: that's what we're getting to.
- 1:47:16Speaker 1: Oh, that's an Eddie Murphy. I know where you're referring to.
- 1:47:18Speaker 2: When you are too.
- 1:47:19Speaker 1: Yeah, that wasn't me, baby. Wasn't me, baby.
- 1:47:22Speaker 2: But when we were growing up, If it was on
- 1:47:26Speaker 2: a commercial, it had to be true because FCC wouldn't
- 1:47:31Speaker 2: let you put a lie on. If it was in
- 1:47:33Speaker 2: a magazine, if it was in a periodical, if it
- 1:47:36Speaker 2: was in a newspaper, it was true.
- 1:47:38Speaker 1: That's why we have the FTC. Now you don't have
- 1:47:40Speaker 1: any of.
- 1:47:40Speaker 2: That anymore because Trump has made them political. And when
- 1:47:46Speaker 2: they come before our committee, they have, and they essentially say,
- 1:47:51Speaker 2: This is not an independent agency. We report to the president. No,
- 1:47:55Speaker 2: that's not what it was designed to do. When Chuck
- 1:47:58Speaker 2: Todd can be threatened because to have your license taken
- 1:48:01Speaker 2: away because you said something that the president didn't like, man,
- 1:48:05Speaker 2: that is a blow to our democracy. 100%. We must
- 1:48:09Speaker 2: have a free independent press. We must have a fully
- 1:48:13Speaker 2: functioning government with guardrails. And Chuck, the 120th Congress will
- 1:48:18Speaker 2: be the beginning of- bringing back some semblance of true
- 1:48:22Speaker 2: governance for all the people, not for Democrats, not for Republicans,
- 1:48:26Speaker 2: but for all Americans.
- 1:48:27Speaker 1: Hey, just make Congress great again. Let's do it.
- 1:48:31Speaker 2: Let's do it. Let's do it together.
- 1:48:33Speaker 1: Congressman Carter, it's good to talk with you.
- 1:48:35Speaker 2: Likewise. Look forward to doing it again soon.
- 1:48:45Speaker 1: I'll have a lot more to say as you saw
- 1:48:47Speaker 1: I thought it was kind of fun to talk a
- 1:48:49Speaker 1: little bit about college sports and sort of the politic
- 1:48:51Speaker 1: politicizing of college sports by the way I hope you
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: catch a I reposted it on my X feed if
- 1:49:00Speaker 1: you want to take a look at it Chris Sims
- 1:49:02Speaker 1: who I know does some or has done some that
- 1:49:05Speaker 1: works for NBC sports a rant of his about sort
- 1:49:09Speaker 1: of Ted Cruz and the protect college sports bill has
- 1:49:13Speaker 1: gone viral, at least with us sports fans. And he
- 1:49:16Speaker 1: just nailed it. He's like, this idea that college sports
- 1:49:21Speaker 1: is in trouble doesn't actually match what the data says, right?
- 1:49:25Speaker 1: More people are watching college football than ever. It's making
- 1:49:28Speaker 1: more money. More people are attending games. It seems as
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: if the only people upset about what's happening to college
- 1:49:34Speaker 1: sports are those that are upset that the players are
- 1:49:36Speaker 1: getting paid. That was basically his point. And he said
- 1:49:40Speaker 1: this whole collective corporate support in this attempt to try
- 1:49:47Speaker 1: to create this idea that college football is way too
- 1:49:51Speaker 1: chaotic are just people trying to protect old turf. And
- 1:49:54Speaker 1: he called out the SEC and the Big Ten in
- 1:49:56Speaker 1: particular because they don't want, what they want is they
- 1:49:59Speaker 1: want congressional protection so that they don't have fair market
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: value for TV rights, fair market value for players. They
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: don't want a fair market. That's what the conferences don't want.
- 1:50:12Speaker 1: And you know who else doesn't want it? ESPN and Fox.
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: Because they are underpaying for college football. And they know it.
- 1:50:21Speaker 1: They are making a killing on college football. The NFL is,
- 1:50:26Speaker 1: you know, does, you know, because you don't negotiate with
- 1:50:29Speaker 1: a conference, you don't negotiate with a division. You know,
- 1:50:32Speaker 1: they have it. The NFL, if you want some of it,
- 1:50:34Speaker 1: you got to take the Jacksonville Jaguars every once in
- 1:50:37Speaker 1: a while. If college football ever creates a system like
- 1:50:41Speaker 1: that where the TV fees are negotiated for the entire
- 1:50:46Speaker 1: Division I as one, the supremacy of the SEC and
- 1:50:50Speaker 1: the Big Ten get challenged. And ESPN and Fox stop
- 1:50:54Speaker 1: getting a discount on their rights on that. Look, this
- 1:50:59Speaker 1: is not about protecting college sports. This is about protecting
- 1:51:04Speaker 1: the profits of conferences and TV networks. Anyway. I just
- 1:51:09Speaker 1: thought I would highlight that Chris Sims diatribe. It was
- 1:51:12Speaker 1: pretty good. You can go on my XFeed. All right,
- 1:51:14Speaker 1: let's go to the time machine. Like I said, I
- 1:51:16Speaker 1: have my own, I'll give you my on the field
- 1:51:19Speaker 1: takes at the end of the podcast. Cause I know
- 1:51:21Speaker 1: not all of you love my love are as obsessed
- 1:51:24Speaker 1: with college football as I am, which by the way,
- 1:51:26Speaker 1: another weekend, another amazing weekend that college football is just
- 1:51:30Speaker 1: always gonna, it always surprises, which is what makes it
- 1:51:34Speaker 1: such a great sport. But, Let's go to the time machine.
- 1:51:44Speaker 1: Where are we going? We're going back to September 26, 1983.
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: That's the anniversary that we will hit later this week.
- 1:51:52Speaker 1: It's an interesting anniversary. Just after midnight outside of Moscow
- 1:51:56Speaker 1: and somewhere inside a secret Soviet military installation called Serpapikov 15,
- 1:52:02Speaker 1: I hope I said that right, Lieutenant Colonel Stanislav Petrov
- 1:52:05Speaker 1: is beginning an overnight shift. His job is to help
- 1:52:09Speaker 1: answer perhaps the most consequential question anyone could be asked
- 1:52:13Speaker 1: during the Cold War. Has the United States launched a
- 1:52:17Speaker 1: nuclear attack on the Soviet Union? And before I tell
- 1:52:20Speaker 1: you what happened that night, you need to understand what
- 1:52:23Speaker 1: the world felt like in September of 1983, because this
- 1:52:27Speaker 1: was actually a pretty dangerous period in the Cold War.
- 1:52:30Speaker 1: Ronald Reagan was president. Yuri Andropov, for the 10 minutes
- 1:52:34Speaker 1: he was leader of the Soviet Union, was currently leader
- 1:52:36Speaker 1: of the Soviet Union. Reagan had just called the Soviet
- 1:52:39Speaker 1: Union an evil empire. The United States was preparing to
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: deploy a new generation of nuclear missiles in Europe, and
- 1:52:46Speaker 1: the Soviet leadership was genuinely worried that the United States
- 1:52:49Speaker 1: might someday attempt a nuclear first strike. We know that now.
- 1:52:54Speaker 1: Declassified records show that Soviet intelligence is had been instructed
- 1:52:59Speaker 1: to look for signs that the West was preparing a
- 1:53:01Speaker 1: surprise nuclear attack. So this wasn't simply Cold War rhetoric.
- 1:53:05Speaker 1: They were looking for it. They were searching for it.
- 1:53:08Speaker 1: And then, just three weeks before Petrov went to work
- 1:53:11Speaker 1: that night, the Soviets shot down Korean Airlines Flight 007
- 1:53:16Speaker 1: after it strayed into Soviet airspace. All 269 people were killed,
- 1:53:21Speaker 1: including an American congressman. The Soviets were defensive and deeply suspicious.
- 1:53:26Speaker 1: Each side was assuming some of the worst things about
- 1:53:29Speaker 1: the other. This is the atmosphere Stanislav Petrov walks into
- 1:53:36Speaker 1: on the evening of September 26. And then the alarm
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: goes off. The Soviet Union had developed a satellite-based early
- 1:53:44Speaker 1: warning system designed to detect American intercontinental ballistic missiles as
- 1:53:49Speaker 1: they were launched. The satellites were watching. Computers analyzed what
- 1:53:53Speaker 1: the satellites saw. And suddenly Petrov is staring at a
- 1:53:58Speaker 1: large red screen with one word on it, launch. The
- 1:54:02Speaker 1: system has detected an American missile, then another, and another. Eventually,
- 1:54:09Speaker 1: according to the warning system, five American nuclear missiles have
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: been launched toward the Soviet Union. And the system isn't
- 1:54:18Speaker 1: presenting this as some random blip that somebody ought to
- 1:54:21Speaker 1: check out. It's telling the people in that bunker that
- 1:54:25Speaker 1: it has detected an attack. Now put yourself in Petrov's chair.
- 1:54:31Speaker 1: The machine sitting in front of you exists for essentially
- 1:54:34Speaker 1: one reason, to detect an American nuclear attack. And it
- 1:54:39Speaker 1: is telling you this is it. But Petrov doesn't quite
- 1:54:43Speaker 1: buy it. Five missiles? Why would the United States start
- 1:54:48Speaker 1: a nuclear war against the Soviet Union with just five missiles?
- 1:54:52Speaker 1: Everything Petrov had been trained over and understood about nuclear
- 1:54:56Speaker 1: strategy told him that an actual American first strike would
- 1:54:59Speaker 1: be enormous, hundreds of missiles, perhaps even more than hundreds.
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: And there was no independent confirmation yet from the Soviet
- 1:55:08Speaker 1: Union's ground radar. It didn't prove that the satellites were
- 1:55:11Speaker 1: wrong because the detection system, the satellites were designed to
- 1:55:15Speaker 1: see launches before ground radar could see the missiles approaching
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: Soviet airspace. So Petrov did not know the answer. That's important.
- 1:55:27Speaker 1: He would later describe his own confidence in his judgment
- 1:55:29Speaker 1: as something close to 50-50. So think about that. This
- 1:55:34Speaker 1: wasn't an heroic human being who somehow possessed information the
- 1:55:39Speaker 1: stupid computer didn't have. In some respects, the computer had
- 1:55:44Speaker 1: more information than Petrov did because it could see something
- 1:55:48Speaker 1: he could not see. But Petrov had something the computer didn't.
- 1:55:54Speaker 1: He had context, he had judgment, and he had doubt.
- 1:55:58Speaker 1: He concluded the warning was a false alarm. And then
- 1:56:02Speaker 1: they waited. Because if those missiles were actually coming, eventually
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: Soviet radar would see them. Soviet radar never did. There
- 1:56:10Speaker 1: were no missiles. The United States had not attacked the
- 1:56:12Speaker 1: Soviet Union. The machine was wrong. And what made it
- 1:56:16Speaker 1: wrong is almost as extraordinary as what happened inside that bunker.
- 1:56:21Speaker 1: The Soviet satellites were looking down at American missile fields.
- 1:56:25Speaker 1: The system had been designed to recognize the infrared signature
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: associated with a missile launch. But that night, an unusual
- 1:56:32Speaker 1: alignment involving the satellite, the sun, and high-altitude clouds produced
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: something the designers had not adequately anticipated. Sunlight reflected off
- 1:56:43Speaker 1: the clouds, the sensors detected it, the computer processed it,
- 1:56:48Speaker 1: and then the systems concluded American missiles are launching. So
- 1:56:52Speaker 1: this wasn't a sabotage or a hacking of any kind.
- 1:56:55Speaker 1: This wasn't, you know, a malevolent computer in the movie
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: War Games trying to start World War III. It was
- 1:57:02Speaker 1: simply a machine built by human beings encountered circumstances its
- 1:57:06Speaker 1: human designers had not sufficiently anticipated. It saw the pattern
- 1:57:12Speaker 1: it had been designed to recognize and reached the wrong conclusion. Now,
- 1:57:18Speaker 1: over the years, Stanislav Petrov has become known as, quote,
- 1:57:21Speaker 1: The man who saved the world. It's a pretty good epitaph, huh?
- 1:57:26Speaker 1: It's also more than we can actually prove. Petrov couldn't
- 1:57:29Speaker 1: launch Soviet nuclear weapons. He was one person inside a
- 1:57:32Speaker 1: much larger command and control system. Had he retreated, right?
- 1:57:37Speaker 1: Had he treated the warning as genuine, the information would
- 1:57:40Speaker 1: have moved farther up that chain. Other human beings would
- 1:57:43Speaker 1: have become involved. Eventually, ground radar would have provided additional information.
- 1:57:47Speaker 1: We simply don't know what would have happened. So I'm
- 1:57:51Speaker 1: not going to tell you that Stanislav Petrov single-handedly prevented
- 1:57:54Speaker 1: World War III. But we don't need the legend, because
- 1:57:58Speaker 1: the truth is interesting enough, isn't it? One of the
- 1:58:01Speaker 1: two most powerful countries on Earth had spent enormous amounts
- 1:58:04Speaker 1: of money building a sophisticated technological system to answer an
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: existential question, are we under attack? And on September 26, 1983,
- 1:58:14Speaker 1: that system answered yes, when the correct answer was no.
- 1:58:20Speaker 1: And between the machine producing its answer and human beings
- 1:58:24Speaker 1: potentially acting upon it, there was still a human being
- 1:58:28Speaker 1: in the chain who could say, Hold on. Does this
- 1:58:31Speaker 1: make sense? And that's why I wanted to tell you
- 1:58:35Speaker 1: about this story this week. Because 43 years later, we're
- 1:58:42Speaker 1: once again spending an enormous amount of time thinking about
- 1:58:45Speaker 1: what happens when human beings build extraordinarily powerful machines. Artificial intelligence.
- 1:58:52Speaker 1: And I keep hearing this debate framed around how intelligent
- 1:58:55Speaker 1: these machines are going to become. Will they become smarter
- 1:58:59Speaker 1: than us? Are they going to replace us? Will they
- 1:59:03Speaker 1: eventually become so powerful that we can't control them? And
- 1:59:07Speaker 1: they may determine that we human beings are the problem?
- 1:59:10Speaker 1: Who knows? There are questions worth asking. But on September 26, 1983,
- 1:59:16Speaker 1: it suggests a much more immediate question. What happens when
- 1:59:19Speaker 1: the machine is simply wrong? Because guess who machines are
- 1:59:23Speaker 1: built by? Humans. Machines are trained by humans. Their parameters
- 1:59:29Speaker 1: are established by humans. Their inputs are selected by, you
- 1:59:34Speaker 1: guessed it, humans. Which means machines don't merely have the
- 1:59:38Speaker 1: capacity to inherit human error. They can magnify it. They
- 1:59:43Speaker 1: can systemize it. They can take an assumption that one
- 1:59:46Speaker 1: human being might make and apply it a million times over.
- 1:59:51Speaker 1: And because a computer did it, we can become tempted
- 1:59:54Speaker 1: to treat the conclusion as somehow more objective. more scientific,
- 2:00:00Speaker 1: somehow more accurate. But a machine finding a pattern is
- 2:00:03Speaker 1: not the same thing as a machine understanding what the
- 2:00:06Speaker 1: pattern means. So another part of this story I've been
- 2:00:09Speaker 1: thinking about lately. There's a very fine line between probability
- 2:00:15Speaker 1: and stereotyping. Human beings have struggled with that line forever.
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: We see patterns. We categorize people. We make assumptions about
- 2:00:25Speaker 1: individuals because of something we think we know about a group.
- 2:00:29Speaker 1: Sometimes probability can contain very useful information. Sometimes it's prejudice
- 2:00:35Speaker 1: wearing the clothes of probability, though. And that's what all
- 2:00:39Speaker 1: of us are fearing about AI. And now we're building
- 2:00:42Speaker 1: machines whose extraordinary power comes in part from their ability
- 2:00:45Speaker 1: to find patterns across quantities of information no human being
- 2:00:50Speaker 1: could possibly absorb in the same amount of time. And
- 2:00:54Speaker 1: that raises an important question that I don't think we're
- 2:00:56Speaker 1: talking about enough. What happens when the patterns those machines
- 2:01:00Speaker 1: discover reflect us, reflect our history, our preconceived notions, our
- 2:01:09Speaker 1: blind spots? And that's where another conversation I had this
- 2:01:13Speaker 1: week comes in. This week's Time Machine episode happens to
- 2:01:19Speaker 1: connect remarkably well with a conversation I did that's airing
- 2:01:22Speaker 1: right now on my new Sphere show. My guest is
- 2:01:26Speaker 1: Ashley Judd. And yes, you know Ashley as an actor.
- 2:01:30Speaker 1: But she's also spent decades advocating on issues involving women,
- 2:01:34Speaker 1: gender-based violence, and exploitation. She was in Washington last week
- 2:01:39Speaker 1: for a gathering focused on AI and humanity. And I'll
- 2:01:43Speaker 1: tell you, I found her amazingly blunt about all of this.
- 2:01:48Speaker 1: She wasn't quite sure where I was going to come from,
- 2:01:51Speaker 1: so she was sort of ready for a battle that
- 2:01:53Speaker 1: I wasn't interested in debating her about. I simply said, yes,
- 2:01:59Speaker 1: tell me more. She's clearly tired of having to prove
- 2:02:03Speaker 1: the premise before she's allowed to argue about the consequence.
- 2:02:09Speaker 1: And the premise is pretty straightforward. For most of recorded
- 2:02:11Speaker 1: human history, men overwhelmingly controlled the institutions that decided what
- 2:02:16Speaker 1: got written down, who governed, who published, who got to teach,
- 2:02:22Speaker 1: who was considered an authority, whose experience, mattered enough to
- 2:02:27Speaker 1: become part of the record? I'm not saying it in
- 2:02:31Speaker 1: an accusatory way. This is history. And Ashley's question is,
- 2:02:36Speaker 1: if artificial intelligence learns from that historical record, what exactly
- 2:02:41Speaker 1: is it learning? Because there's an enormous difference between teaching
- 2:02:45Speaker 1: a machine how the world has been and teaching a
- 2:02:48Speaker 1: machine how the world ought to be. And suddenly that
- 2:02:52Speaker 1: line between probability and stereotyping becomes awfully important, doesn't it?
- 2:02:59Speaker 1: Imagine a machine processes thousands of years of recorded human
- 2:03:03Speaker 1: history and discovers that positions of political power have overwhelmingly
- 2:03:08Speaker 1: been held by men. Well, that's a pattern. And it's
- 2:03:13Speaker 1: also true. But what happens if a machine begins using
- 2:03:17Speaker 1: that historical pattern to make a prediction about which individual
- 2:03:21Speaker 1: is more likely to be a successful leader? At what
- 2:03:24Speaker 1: point has the machine stopped describing and historical inequality and
- 2:03:28Speaker 1: started perpetrating it. It's a question that I think is
- 2:03:34Speaker 1: not being dealt with enough by the folks building these machines.
- 2:03:39Speaker 1: Because a probability about a group is not necessarily a
- 2:03:41Speaker 1: truth about an individual. And if we forget that distinction,
- 2:03:46Speaker 1: prejudice doesn't disappear because we've handed the decision to a machine. Jesus,
- 2:03:52Speaker 1: it's worse. What if we automated prejudice? That's what I
- 2:03:57Speaker 1: found so provocative about my conversation with Ashley. And it's
- 2:04:01Speaker 1: where her argument and Stanislav Petrov's story unexpectedly meet. They're
- 2:04:06Speaker 1: both warnings against something human beings are very susceptible to.
- 2:04:11Speaker 1: Mistaking a machine's answer for an objective answer. In Petrov's case,
- 2:04:17Speaker 1: the machine saw something that fit the pattern for an
- 2:04:19Speaker 1: American missile launch, and it was wrong. In the world
- 2:04:23Speaker 1: Ashley is worried about, a machine may discover patterns in
- 2:04:26Speaker 1: thousands of years in human history and human behavior. The
- 2:04:30Speaker 1: pattern may even be statistically real. That doesn't mean we
- 2:04:33Speaker 1: want the machine using that pattern to decide what an
- 2:04:37Speaker 1: individual woman is capable of, or who deserves an opportunity,
- 2:04:43Speaker 1: or who represents a risk, or whose version of events
- 2:04:47Speaker 1: is more credible. Again, There's a fine line between probability
- 2:04:53Speaker 1: and stereotyping. And one of Ashley Judge's questions is whether
- 2:04:57Speaker 1: we're about to automate that line, which brings me back
- 2:04:59Speaker 1: to the story about Petroff in 1983. Because keep humans
- 2:05:04Speaker 1: in the chain can become one of those phrases everybody
- 2:05:07Speaker 1: agrees with without thinking very hard about what it actually means.
- 2:05:11Speaker 1: It can't simply mean putting a human being at the
- 2:05:13Speaker 1: end of the process to click a proof, If the
- 2:05:17Speaker 1: human's job is to rubber stamp whatever the machine recommends, well,
- 2:05:22Speaker 1: then the human isn't really in the chain now, is it?
- 2:05:24Speaker 1: You need humans deciding what information goes in. Humans asking
- 2:05:29Speaker 1: whose experience is missing. Humans questioning what the machine thinks
- 2:05:33Speaker 1: it has learned. And when the consequences become serious enough,
- 2:05:39Speaker 1: humans with the actual authority to say, no, we're not
- 2:05:44Speaker 1: acting on this yet. Petrov couldn't see everything the Soviet
- 2:05:47Speaker 1: satellite could see. The satellite couldn't understand everything Petrov understood.
- 2:05:53Speaker 1: Neither was infallible. That's the point. The choice is in
- 2:05:56Speaker 1: between fallible human beings and infallible machines. There are no
- 2:06:03Speaker 1: infallible machines. We made them. In fact, Petrov's reward for
- 2:06:10Speaker 1: all of this actually wasn't exactly a parade. Accounts of
- 2:06:14Speaker 1: what happened afterward vary, but Petrov said that while he
- 2:06:17Speaker 1: was initially praised, he was later questioned extensively and reprimanded
- 2:06:21Speaker 1: over how he documented the incident in his logbook. The
- 2:06:25Speaker 1: whole episode, by the way, remained secret for years. The
- 2:06:28Speaker 1: world didn't know the name Stanislav Petrov for a long time.
- 2:06:31Speaker 1: It didn't know what had happened inside Serpekhov 15. It
- 2:06:36Speaker 1: didn't know that one night in September 1983, a machine
- 2:06:40Speaker 1: built to warn of nuclear Armageddon had confidently mistaken reflected
- 2:06:44Speaker 1: sunlight for an American missile attack. And maybe that's why
- 2:06:48Speaker 1: the story is worth remembering now. Not because humans don't
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: make mistakes. We do. And it's not because machines aren't useful.
- 2:06:56Speaker 1: There's plenty of good use they give. But because the
- 2:06:58Speaker 1: more powerful our machines become, the more consequential their mistakes
- 2:07:01Speaker 1: can become. And the more dangerous it is for us
- 2:07:04Speaker 1: to confuse a machine's confidence with certainty. 43 years ago
- 2:07:09Speaker 1: this week, Stanilov Petrov couldn't know that the machine was wrong.
- 2:07:13Speaker 1: He simply understood that it could be wrong. And there
- 2:07:17Speaker 1: was still a human being in the chain with enough
- 2:07:19Speaker 1: skepticism and enough authority to act accordingly. So as we
- 2:07:24Speaker 1: race into this AI era, we'd better make sure there
- 2:07:26Speaker 1: still are human beings that can say no. And if
- 2:07:30Speaker 1: you want to hear my full conversation with Ashley Judd
- 2:07:32Speaker 1: about who is building these systems, whose history they're learning from,
- 2:07:36Speaker 1: and what that could mean, particularly for women It's airing
- 2:07:40Speaker 1: right now, Sunday night on Newsphere. Take a look. Get
- 2:07:42Speaker 1: your trial. Sign up. Some great stuff on there every day.
- 2:07:48Speaker 1: Her conversation, it's remarkably blunt. And after spending some time
- 2:07:52Speaker 1: this week with the story of Petrov, I think the
- 2:07:55Speaker 1: two conversations belong together more than I would have expected.
- 2:08:00Speaker 1: when I was first doing my research about this week
- 2:08:02Speaker 1: in history. And with that, there's your history lesson for
- 2:08:05Speaker 1: the week that applies to today. All right, first question. Man, you're... Kevin...
- 2:08:21Speaker 1: When you start with Lebowski, you're always going to be
- 2:08:23Speaker 1: a winner with me. Anyway, Kevin, a former Floridian now
- 2:08:25Speaker 1: living in Colorado, writes, Hey, Chuck, as a fellow big
- 2:08:28Speaker 1: Lebowski fan, I have to lead with careful man. There's
- 2:08:31Speaker 1: a full beverage here. But your real question is whether
- 2:08:36Speaker 1: there is a method to John Fetterman's madness or is
- 2:08:39Speaker 1: it simply madness?
- 2:08:41Speaker 2: It's interesting.
- 2:08:42Speaker 1: Fetterman as the dude. That's an interesting. I see where
- 2:08:45Speaker 1: you're going a little bit. You know, I have these
- 2:08:52Speaker 1: weird brainstorms about shows that would be a lot of fun,
- 2:08:57Speaker 1: but I just know politicians probably wouldn't get involved after
- 2:09:01Speaker 1: one or two attempts. Like my friend Craig Crawford always
- 2:09:05Speaker 1: wanted to do a cooking show. First of all, he's
- 2:09:07Speaker 1: doing some fun stuff on YouTube now. You should check
- 2:09:09Speaker 1: him out. But he always wanted to do a cooking
- 2:09:11Speaker 1: show with politicians saying every politician has to pretend they
- 2:09:14Speaker 1: have like a great recipe. And he said it'd be
- 2:09:17Speaker 1: fun to do a political talk show where you make
- 2:09:19Speaker 1: their favorite dish. And you're in the kitchen and while
- 2:09:21Speaker 1: you're making it, you're asking political questions. Well, the minute
- 2:09:27Speaker 1: you're saying this here, I would love to do, to
- 2:09:29Speaker 1: watch the movie Big Lebowski with Fetterman and just to
- 2:09:33Speaker 1: see his reactions to various scenes and what he likes,
- 2:09:36Speaker 1: what he doesn't, all that stuff. Anyway, it might be
- 2:09:39Speaker 1: a fun, like, you know, sort of doing a mystery
- 2:09:42Speaker 1: science theater 3000, but with a politician where you're like,
- 2:09:46Speaker 1: you know, reacting to the movie and applying it to
- 2:09:48Speaker 1: now again, These are these fantasy TV shows that I'll
- 2:09:51Speaker 1: never create. Maybe one time you could do a special
- 2:09:56Speaker 1: or something. Maybe Solis and I will do a Super
- 2:09:58Speaker 1: Tuesday screening of Big Lebowski and we'll have a big
- 2:10:06Speaker 1: political watch party or something with it. Look, I can't
- 2:10:14Speaker 1: crawl inside John Fetterman's head. None of us can. Those
- 2:10:19Speaker 1: that have covered him longer than I have say that
- 2:10:21Speaker 1: he's always– that this is– he's never been a conventional thinker,
- 2:10:27Speaker 1: conventional behavior. Whatever you– however you– whatever you think– we
- 2:10:30Speaker 1: just got through talking about stereotypes in the time machine, right?
- 2:10:33Speaker 1: Whatever you think the stereotype is of a politician or whatever,
- 2:10:36Speaker 1: he just never has met it. His health challenges and
- 2:10:44Speaker 1: his stroke and what happened after it, I think– push
- 2:10:49Speaker 1: people to make assumptions. And that's what I want to
- 2:10:52Speaker 1: be careful of, is not conflating all of this together
- 2:10:56Speaker 1: and assuming stroke leads to depression, leads to suddenly he's
- 2:11:04Speaker 1: anti this or anti that. I do think voters and supporters,
- 2:11:10Speaker 1: a lot of times, they project their own beliefs onto
- 2:11:13Speaker 1: other people. And then when they don't behave exactly how
- 2:11:18Speaker 1: you thought they were going to behave, you think they've
- 2:11:21Speaker 1: changed when maybe they were never what you thought they
- 2:11:24Speaker 1: were in the first place. I get this as a journalist.
- 2:11:27Speaker 1: I'll have people who say, you used to be really fair,
- 2:11:31Speaker 1: but now you're this. And it's like, no, I haven't changed.
- 2:11:35Speaker 1: The facts have changed or you're judging me through your
- 2:11:39Speaker 1: own politics. I used to say, you know, Anybody, the
- 2:11:43Speaker 1: people that scream bias in the media are usually the
- 2:11:46Speaker 1: most biased people. What do I mean? If you come
- 2:11:51Speaker 1: from a liberal perspective, you may think I'm biased against liberals.
- 2:11:55Speaker 1: You come from a conservative perspective, you may think I'm
- 2:11:57Speaker 1: biased against conservatives. Or you may think if you're from,
- 2:12:01Speaker 1: you may think your views are mainstream. And even if
- 2:12:04Speaker 1: a majority don't think they're mainstream, but you believe they
- 2:12:08Speaker 1: are and you look for any sort of validators and
- 2:12:12Speaker 1: that conform to your view of what mainstream is. The
- 2:12:15Speaker 1: point is, is that I would, this is what I
- 2:12:19Speaker 1: would ask folks to do is how much of Fetterman
- 2:12:23Speaker 1: and their belief that Fetterman has changed or is based
- 2:12:27Speaker 1: on your presumptions about what he was for versus the
- 2:12:30Speaker 1: facts of whatever he said. And I think that, you know, he's,
- 2:12:38Speaker 1: I think he's always marched a little bit I think
- 2:12:41Speaker 1: he and he's a reminder, right, that there were certainly
- 2:12:44Speaker 1: plenty of people who liked Bernie to shake things up,
- 2:12:49Speaker 1: who aren't, you know, conforming liberals. They were looking to
- 2:12:54Speaker 1: shake things up. And you can believe in one thing
- 2:12:57Speaker 1: over here. You could believe in another on, you know,
- 2:13:00Speaker 1: plenty of of people may want more government action on
- 2:13:04Speaker 1: health care and child care. And have a different point
- 2:13:07Speaker 1: of view on what's happening in the Middle East. But
- 2:13:12Speaker 1: I do think a lot of people just make some
- 2:13:15Speaker 1: presumptions based on their own– again, I go back to–
- 2:13:20Speaker 1: we all put people in categories and we all– politics
- 2:13:24Speaker 1: has become so binary that when somebody gets the Bernie
- 2:13:28Speaker 1: Sanders endorsement like he did early on and then– so
- 2:13:30Speaker 1: there's a presumption– He's not just a Democrat. He's this
- 2:13:33Speaker 1: progressive Democrat. So anytime he doesn't behave like a progressive Democrat,
- 2:13:37Speaker 1: what's going on? Has something changed? You know, all this.
- 2:13:41Speaker 1: And so I'm not saying that's the answer. And maybe
- 2:13:46Speaker 1: it is what some others speculate that it might be too.
- 2:13:51Speaker 1: But we don't know. And I would just say, let's
- 2:13:53Speaker 1: always remember our own sort of projections that we put
- 2:13:56Speaker 1: on people sometimes. And just ask yourself, am I doing that?
- 2:14:02Speaker 1: Both things could be true. You could be doing that
- 2:14:04Speaker 1: and he's gotten a little haywire. So I don't want
- 2:14:09Speaker 1: to rule that out either. But I will say this.
- 2:14:12Speaker 1: I'm pretty confident that come January 2029, John Fetterman is
- 2:14:16Speaker 1: going to be a former U.S. senator. Either he doesn't
- 2:14:20Speaker 1: like the job and he doesn't run again or he
- 2:14:22Speaker 1: tries to run as an independent and it probably doesn't
- 2:14:24Speaker 1: work out in a presidential year. All right. By the way,
- 2:14:31Speaker 1: I'm hoping to have Fetterman back. I want to have
- 2:14:33Speaker 1: this conversation.
- 2:14:35Speaker 2: I think.
- 2:14:38Speaker 1: If he wants to have this conversation. You know, I
- 2:14:43Speaker 1: I think you've got to just, you know. The more
- 2:14:49Speaker 1: people talk, the more maybe we can learn. All right.
- 2:14:52Speaker 1: Next question comes from Greg P. Houston, Texas District Congressional
- 2:14:57Speaker 1: District 18. And he said, hey, Chuck, love the show.
- 2:15:00Speaker 1: Keep up the great work. We're constantly under the deluge
- 2:15:03Speaker 1: of Trump and Bannon's flood the zone strategy. I think
- 2:15:06Speaker 1: my monologue kind of hit that pretty well today, right?
- 2:15:08Speaker 1: So why can't opponents of Trump's policies use a similar
- 2:15:11Speaker 1: strategy in response, whether through lawsuits or other challenges? There
- 2:15:14Speaker 1: are plenty of legal challenges already, but they still seem
- 2:15:18Speaker 1: few compared to the sheer number of actions coming from
- 2:15:21Speaker 1: the administration. Thanks for your time. Greg P. in Houston, Texas.
- 2:15:24Speaker 1: He has a PS. Thanks for the Deep dive on
- 2:15:27Speaker 1: Texas turning purple. It's nice to hear people try to
- 2:15:29Speaker 1: explain what a complicated state we live in. Well, that's
- 2:15:32Speaker 1: why you go to a Texan in my friend Abby Livingston.
- 2:15:36Speaker 1: I know you are not alone in thanking me for
- 2:15:42Speaker 1: that episode. I know she was terrific, and I think
- 2:15:45Speaker 1: she helped explain things based on somebody who actually lives
- 2:15:49Speaker 1: in Texas and has covered the state quite thoroughly. Well,
- 2:15:55Speaker 1: there's two things going on here. One is there's a
- 2:15:57Speaker 1: lot more what I'd call organized resistance than gets covered.
- 2:16:02Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:16:03Speaker 1: I think I mean, think about all the lawsuits. They
- 2:16:05Speaker 1: get filed immediately. There was a massive protest in the
- 2:16:08Speaker 1: Kennedy Center and there's been sit ins over where the
- 2:16:10Speaker 1: arch is being put in. Some of that stuff just
- 2:16:13Speaker 1: doesn't get covered on a day to day basis in
- 2:16:15Speaker 1: the same way. And I think the day you're right,
- 2:16:17Speaker 1: the day loser Trump. But I would remind you there's
- 2:16:20Speaker 1: a reason we we call the presidency the bully pulpit.
- 2:16:25Speaker 1: What the president does and says just has outsized influence,
- 2:16:31Speaker 1: outsized coverage, and because he's been willing to use even
- 2:16:34Speaker 1: unchecked power that he may or may not even have,
- 2:16:38Speaker 1: we're sort of forced to pay attention, whether you think
- 2:16:42Speaker 1: that we're being Jedi mind-tricked or not. I think our
- 2:16:46Speaker 1: job is to put it in context and do what
- 2:16:48Speaker 1: we've been doing. But I hear what you're saying on this.
- 2:16:55Speaker 1: And I think that this is my curiosity about whether
- 2:16:59Speaker 1: if Democrats get control of Congress, do they have this
- 2:17:02Speaker 1: in them? Or are they going to essentially spend more
- 2:17:08Speaker 1: time fighting with each other about what they should focus on?
- 2:17:12Speaker 1: And I don't know the answer to that. When I
- 2:17:14Speaker 1: look at it, I laid it out here. I think
- 2:17:16Speaker 1: we've got this massive, you know, the one good that
- 2:17:18Speaker 1: Trump did is he was the black light for what's
- 2:17:21Speaker 1: for for how how we could be hijacked by an authoritarian. Thankfully,
- 2:17:29Speaker 1: he's too lazy to be one. It doesn't mean he
- 2:17:33Speaker 1: doesn't want it, wish it, but he is too lazy, right?
- 2:17:37Speaker 1: January 6th, I always say January 6th is a reminder
- 2:17:39Speaker 1: how lazy he is. He could have ordered, you know,
- 2:17:43Speaker 1: he could have fired his attorney general, the acting attorney
- 2:17:46Speaker 1: general and put in Jeffrey Clark. He could have tried
- 2:17:48Speaker 1: all these things, but he didn't. because then he would
- 2:17:52Speaker 1: have had to own it and he never wants to
- 2:17:53Speaker 1: actually own the hard work he won't do the hard
- 2:17:55Speaker 1: work but he has provided a blueprint for somebody who
- 2:17:59Speaker 1: is less lazy to hijack the country and turn it
- 2:18:02Speaker 1: into a quasi-authoritarian republic and that is something should we
- 2:18:06Speaker 1: should use this opportunity to treat it as he's been
- 2:18:10Speaker 1: the ultimate black light to find all the gross loopholes
- 2:18:14Speaker 1: that exist. And we've got to fix it. I'm not
- 2:18:20Speaker 1: sure the Democratic Party is ever going to behave that way.
- 2:18:26Speaker 1: It's probably going to take an individual candidate or a
- 2:18:29Speaker 1: movement of reformers outside the two parties. If you look
- 2:18:32Speaker 1: at the history of reform in this country, it's never
- 2:18:34Speaker 1: come from inside a major political party. It's always come
- 2:18:38Speaker 1: from the outside. So in that sense, I think it
- 2:18:41Speaker 1: has to come from the outside on this one. I
- 2:18:43Speaker 1: don't have a lot of confidence in the Democrats to
- 2:18:46Speaker 1: sort of be as strategic. In some ways, right, the
- 2:18:50Speaker 1: Republicans could never pull off what they did. They had
- 2:18:53Speaker 1: essentially Bannon and Trump hijacked the party and took it
- 2:18:56Speaker 1: in another direction. Next question comes from Bob. Hey, I
- 2:19:00Speaker 1: heard there is a brief period of time before a
- 2:19:02Speaker 1: new Congress begins that the speaker could refuse to swear
- 2:19:04Speaker 1: in Democrats. Is that true and how could it happen? Well,
- 2:19:07Speaker 1: you can't refuse to swear in Democrats. You get sworn in.
- 2:19:11Speaker 1: And we had this conversation, I hope, with the reporter
- 2:19:17Speaker 1: from Lawfare. The vulnerability is in the period... Look, our
- 2:19:22Speaker 1: most vulnerable period in our Constitution is the period after
- 2:19:26Speaker 1: the election and before the new government gets sworn in,
- 2:19:28Speaker 1: whether it's a new president or a new Congress. So
- 2:19:32Speaker 1: if the margins are really, really close and what you
- 2:19:37Speaker 1: could have is... an attempt to challenge the, you know,
- 2:19:44Speaker 1: before they elect a new speaker, there could be challenges
- 2:19:48Speaker 1: to certification process, or you could have an attempt to
- 2:19:53Speaker 1: bully a state or a county not to certify an election,
- 2:19:58Speaker 1: which would then call the numbers into question. If this
- 2:20:01Speaker 1: is a blue mirage election, right? And what I mean
- 2:20:05Speaker 1: by blue mirage, where we're in that 50-50 territory, Maybe
- 2:20:08Speaker 1: Democrats have picked up five or six seats, which in
- 2:20:11Speaker 1: theory would give them control. But that's the situation where
- 2:20:16Speaker 1: there is vulnerability. But they certainly would need some legal backup.
- 2:20:24Speaker 1: They certainly would need some cooperative secretaries of state. It's
- 2:20:28Speaker 1: not just unilateral, but there is. And again, I would
- 2:20:32Speaker 1: go back to my interview with the reporter from Lawfare
- 2:20:35Speaker 1: a couple weeks ago on this very topic. I hope
- 2:20:39Speaker 1: you caught it. And if you didn't, go back in
- 2:20:43Speaker 1: the feed and check it out. Appreciate it. Thanks, Bob.
- 2:20:46Speaker 1: Next question comes from David P., recent five-timer. Congratulations, David.
- 2:20:51Speaker 1: He's from North Scottsdale with Wilbon in Arizona's first congressional district. Hey,
- 2:20:58Speaker 1: you recently shared some great ideas for reforming political debates,
- 2:21:00Speaker 1: and I wonder whether moderators could also use graphics to
- 2:21:03Speaker 1: give viewers more context. For example, charts could illustrate where
- 2:21:06Speaker 1: federal spending actually goes. put issues like trans athletes or
- 2:21:09Speaker 1: third trimester abortions in proportions to their broader numbers, or
- 2:21:13Speaker 1: help viewers visualize the enormous difference between millions and trillions?
- 2:21:16Speaker 1: Do you think incorporating visuals like this would lead to
- 2:21:19Speaker 1: more substantive debates and help audiences better understand the issues? Yes.
- 2:21:23Speaker 1: Love the show, David. That's a terrific idea. I mean,
- 2:21:26Speaker 1: you know, I remember we contemplated doing sort of pop-up
- 2:21:29Speaker 1: video fact checks during some of our debates. Like, and,
- 2:21:33Speaker 1: you know, when you negotiate, it's interesting when you negotiate
- 2:21:38Speaker 1: with candidates for debates, they're always petrified of what visuals
- 2:21:41Speaker 1: are going to be used and who decides what visuals
- 2:21:43Speaker 1: and how many, and literally you go through a debate, um,
- 2:21:48Speaker 1: agreement between candidates and a, and a sponsoring organ sponsor organization,
- 2:21:52Speaker 1: whether it's an organization or a news organization, you you'd
- 2:21:55Speaker 1: be amazed at the details that get litigated, including what
- 2:21:58Speaker 1: graphics get shown. Can candidates bring props, right? Um, I
- 2:22:06Speaker 1: love your idea. Um, and I absolutely agree that, that
- 2:22:10Speaker 1: visuals are my infographics and visuals are much better than
- 2:22:13Speaker 1: words in many cases.
- 2:22:15Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:22:15Speaker 1: I mean, if especially look, Hey, I look at it
- 2:22:19Speaker 1: as this, um, we live in a V we, we,
- 2:22:25Speaker 1: you know, the visual mediums Trump, the written medium and
- 2:22:29Speaker 1: the audio medium more than ever.
- 2:22:31Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:22:31Speaker 1: I trust me. I wish I need to, And I
- 2:22:34Speaker 1: know I can. I've got to get better at incorporating
- 2:22:36Speaker 1: more visuals into this podcast. As you see, Chris and
- 2:22:39Speaker 1: I are trying to do better at putting more visuals
- 2:22:41Speaker 1: because I completely agree. I think it makes it just
- 2:22:45Speaker 1: suddenly what you hear is more clarifying when you see
- 2:22:51Speaker 1: that less than 1% of folks identify as trans in sports.
- 2:22:55Speaker 1: All the points you're trying to make there, which I
- 2:22:58Speaker 1: just think it's here. The answer is yes. So let's
- 2:23:01Speaker 1: add it to the ways to make our debates better.
- 2:23:05Speaker 1: I mean, especially, like I said, I would be sponsoring,
- 2:23:08Speaker 1: put up, look at this graphic, this is what does it,
- 2:23:11Speaker 1: and then get candidates to respond to it. And then
- 2:23:14Speaker 1: if they don't or they challenge it, in some ways,
- 2:23:16Speaker 1: all the better for the viewer or voter to be
- 2:23:20Speaker 1: able to go, well, okay, I see this, I see this,
- 2:23:24Speaker 1: let me see who's wrong. And maybe they'll do their
- 2:23:26Speaker 1: own research. Hey, Chuck, Lindsay here from Everett, Washington, a
- 2:23:31Speaker 1: politics junkie and religious listener who's very happy we're back
- 2:23:34Speaker 1: to four episodes a week. All right. I recently saw
- 2:23:37Speaker 1: that Nate Silver joined the Pod Save America crew, and
- 2:23:39Speaker 1: I'm curious what you think about the partnership, Dan Pfeiffer's
- 2:23:42Speaker 1: interpretations of polling and how Nate might fit into what
- 2:23:45Speaker 1: they're doing. More broadly, what do you make of their
- 2:23:47Speaker 1: efforts to counter the right-wing media ecosystem? You're the best
- 2:23:50Speaker 1: to ever do it. Oh, you're very kind, Lindsay. Sent
- 2:23:53Speaker 1: with good intentions. I believe you. Look, I mean, I...
- 2:23:58Speaker 1: you know, they're, I think that's exactly what they're trying
- 2:24:00Speaker 1: to build. They want to, they want to try to build, um, a,
- 2:24:05Speaker 1: a place for mainstream liberals to go in the same
- 2:24:10Speaker 1: way that, you know, you have, uh, a lot of, uh,
- 2:24:13Speaker 1: conservative influencers, whether it's a Tucker Carlson or a Joe
- 2:24:16Speaker 1: Rogan or, um, uh, the, the, uh, I'm drawing a
- 2:24:22Speaker 1: blank on my, the, the ex McConnell staffers, um, that
- 2:24:26Speaker 1: have their podcast, uh, as well, that's kind of the
- 2:24:31Speaker 1: conservative version of what Pod Save America is and all that. Look,
- 2:24:39Speaker 1: I think I'm a big fan of Jane Koston, by
- 2:24:41Speaker 1: the way. In fact, we didn't do our annual college
- 2:24:43Speaker 1: football preview. We meant to, and just things got away
- 2:24:48Speaker 1: from us, both of us. It's just too much going
- 2:24:51Speaker 1: on in an election year. So it's interesting. Look, I
- 2:24:54Speaker 1: think that anytime you join any organization that is ideologically
- 2:25:04Speaker 1: got a point of view or whatever, the assumption is
- 2:25:09Speaker 1: you must share all of their same politics and all
- 2:25:13Speaker 1: of that stuff. And so some people are going to
- 2:25:18Speaker 1: look at it, might look at it differently, but hey,
- 2:25:21Speaker 1: we all have original biases in some ways. And as
- 2:25:23Speaker 1: long as you know them upfront, then you weigh the information,
- 2:25:27Speaker 1: you weigh the perceive biases and, you know, you make
- 2:25:30Speaker 1: your own probability assumption about what you believe and what
- 2:25:34Speaker 1: you don't. And to me, track record matters more than
- 2:25:36Speaker 1: anything else. So look, I see what they're trying to do.
- 2:25:40Speaker 1: And they're having, they're wildly successful financially. You know, it
- 2:25:45Speaker 1: all depends on what you're trying to do. Are you trying,
- 2:25:48Speaker 1: you know, they've tried to take, I found it interesting
- 2:25:50Speaker 1: when they've tried to take their listenership and tried to
- 2:25:54Speaker 1: activate them. And I don't spend enough time inside their
- 2:26:00Speaker 1: organization to find out how well has their attempts to
- 2:26:03Speaker 1: turn their audience into activists, how well has that gone?
- 2:26:09Speaker 1: More and more of them have gotten more involved in
- 2:26:11Speaker 1: getting involved in races and endorsing and all of that.
- 2:26:15Speaker 1: But look, I'm teaching a class on the history of
- 2:26:19Speaker 1: media and political polarization. And the biggest point I'm trying
- 2:26:21Speaker 1: to get across to the students is today's media is
- 2:26:25Speaker 1: is the norm of American history, right? The outlier is
- 2:26:28Speaker 1: what I've been saying to these kids. What your parents
- 2:26:31Speaker 1: and grandparents think the media should be is the media
- 2:26:35Speaker 1: they experienced. And that period, including the period I grew
- 2:26:38Speaker 1: up in, and I, look, I want there to be
- 2:26:44Speaker 1: journalists who are always skeptical, who are always, you know,
- 2:26:47Speaker 1: don't take anything on face value until it's proven, until there's,
- 2:26:51Speaker 1: you know, a bunch of facts that you can, that
- 2:26:53Speaker 1: you can, use to reinforce your assumptions and things like
- 2:26:57Speaker 1: that if it's or explain your assumptions excuse me not
- 2:27:01Speaker 1: reinforce and so in many ways the ecosystem that's being
- 2:27:10Speaker 1: built is very similar to the penny to what we
- 2:27:15Speaker 1: had with penny press you know merging with the political
- 2:27:20Speaker 1: party press that existed and all of that so You know,
- 2:27:25Speaker 1: everything old is new again. And, you know, I love
- 2:27:31Speaker 1: what they're doing. I'm good for them. I love what
- 2:27:34Speaker 1: the bulwark is doing. You know, you love what Ben
- 2:27:37Speaker 1: Shapiro is doing. Like, I think all of these entities,
- 2:27:41Speaker 1: I don't have to agree with what they're producing, but
- 2:27:44Speaker 1: I think building these competitive and alternative places only potentially
- 2:27:52Speaker 1: give us the better, you know, give us the opportunity
- 2:27:55Speaker 1: to understand pluralism better in America. This is why I
- 2:28:00Speaker 1: look at everything that's developing online in the information ecospace
- 2:28:03Speaker 1: and how actually nuanced it is in its fragmentation. And
- 2:28:07Speaker 1: it really reminds– it just reinforces my belief that our
- 2:28:11Speaker 1: two parties are just out of date and are too
- 2:28:15Speaker 1: big to connect with the country anymore. And we would
- 2:28:17Speaker 1: be better– the popularity of our fragmented ecosystem, meaning our
- 2:28:24Speaker 1: that more people are comfortable getting information and news from
- 2:28:26Speaker 1: social media than any other source these days, means that
- 2:28:29Speaker 1: they actually like, you know, knowing the values and everything
- 2:28:34Speaker 1: they can about the individual and then getting their information
- 2:28:37Speaker 1: through that prism. You know, there's an argument to be
- 2:28:43Speaker 1: made that the more we have, the better off we'll be, right?
- 2:28:48Speaker 1: If you have too few opinions breaking through, you know,
- 2:28:52Speaker 1: that's when you, you know, that is, you know, what
- 2:28:55Speaker 1: Trump is trying to do, which is cancel alternative opinions
- 2:28:59Speaker 1: and try to push out anything that challenges his narrative.
- 2:29:03Speaker 1: That's why I say things like it's totally un-American. What's
- 2:29:06Speaker 1: developing right now, whether it's Podsafe America, whether it's Daily Wire,
- 2:29:10Speaker 1: whether it's, is actually what the founders hoped would happen, right?
- 2:29:18Speaker 1: That a way, even if, if the public were producing
- 2:29:24Speaker 1: and participating and pay attention, and the more we have,
- 2:29:28Speaker 1: that the better off we would be as a democracy.
- 2:29:32Speaker 1: So count me as, yay, good, celebrate. Every individual is
- 2:29:38Speaker 1: going to make their own decision about where they want
- 2:29:41Speaker 1: to associate and all of that. I enjoy my independence.
- 2:29:46Speaker 1: I enjoy being able to say without having a corporation
- 2:29:50Speaker 1: or Or executives say, well, if you say this, then
- 2:29:53Speaker 1: we won't be able to book this person anymore. I
- 2:29:56Speaker 1: don't want to be totally trapped by that. And that's
- 2:30:04Speaker 1: why I enjoy where I am today and in many
- 2:30:08Speaker 1: ways prefer the position I've been able to put myself
- 2:30:12Speaker 1: into now. But I couldn't have gotten here without what
- 2:30:17Speaker 1: I did in Legacy Media either. So I'm very mindful
- 2:30:20Speaker 1: of that and very thankful of that. Um, anyway, it's
- 2:30:26Speaker 1: kind of a meandering answer. Lindsay, I would love to
- 2:30:28Speaker 1: know whether, uh, whether you enjoyed the spirit.
- 2:30:31Speaker 2: Of the answer. All right.
- 2:30:41Speaker 1: Final question before I get into my, uh, breakdown of
- 2:30:44Speaker 1: the week in college football. Greetings from Texas is sometimes
- 2:30:47Speaker 1: fighting forth. Is there something particularly personal about the tension
- 2:30:51Speaker 1: between Trump and Mark Carney beyond Trump's usual political disagreements,
- 2:30:54Speaker 1: given their very different educational business and political backgrounds and
- 2:30:58Speaker 1: Carney's approach to international trade? Do you think that dynamic
- 2:31:01Speaker 1: plays any role in their relationship? Also, I agree with
- 2:31:03Speaker 1: you that the 2003 Fiesta Bowl was poorly officiated. Take that,
- 2:31:07Speaker 1: Terry Porter. Love the show. Thanks for teaching us about
- 2:31:10Speaker 1: the dirty underbelly of Washington politics. John in Frisco. You know,
- 2:31:18Speaker 1: it's interesting. Trump's anger at Canada is not about Mark Carney.
- 2:31:24Speaker 1: It's about Justin Trudeau. And I think he was there
- 2:31:28Speaker 1: was something about Trudeau. It bothered him that Trudeau was
- 2:31:33Speaker 1: more popular than he was in America for a brief
- 2:31:35Speaker 1: period of time. It bothered him. I think that Justin
- 2:31:37Speaker 1: Trudeau is better looking than he is, I guess. I
- 2:31:40Speaker 1: don't know. Or maybe he thought he was better looking. Remember,
- 2:31:43Speaker 1: Trump is very looks obsessed. And I think that he
- 2:31:47Speaker 1: had some sort of, you know, either anger. I'm not
- 2:31:52Speaker 1: sure whether he had a crush on Trudeau, whether he
- 2:31:56Speaker 1: was jealous of Trudeau or whatever it was. But all
- 2:31:59Speaker 1: of his obsessions, you know, this sort of derogatory nature
- 2:32:03Speaker 1: towards Canada was all Trudeau focused. And Trudeau was pretty
- 2:32:06Speaker 1: aggressive at clapping back at Trump a lot more.
- 2:32:10Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:32:10Speaker 1: Carney. has been more technocratic about it. He's not coming
- 2:32:16Speaker 1: into American media to do trollish interviews of Trump. He's
- 2:32:20Speaker 1: instead building new relationships with new members of the West
- 2:32:24Speaker 1: to counter the unreliability of the United States. He's just
- 2:32:28Speaker 1: going about his business. I actually think, well, we'll see,
- 2:32:34Speaker 1: but I think there's a lesson to be learned here,
- 2:32:36Speaker 1: which is sort of accepting the premise of the crazy
- 2:32:41Speaker 1: and just preparing your situation for the reality that exists,
- 2:32:49Speaker 1: not the reality that you wish existed, to me has
- 2:32:52Speaker 1: been pretty smart politics, right? Mark Carney looks at the
- 2:32:55Speaker 1: situation and he's decided to act in the best interest
- 2:33:00Speaker 1: of Canada. And he's acting and he's making decisions without
- 2:33:07Speaker 1: deciding to get into rhetorical debates with him. So I
- 2:33:10Speaker 1: think there's just an asymmetric warfare that Carney has engaged
- 2:33:15Speaker 1: in that has been, to me, much more effective, right?
- 2:33:20Speaker 1: It has been, you know, his strength in standing up
- 2:33:24Speaker 1: to Trump has earned admirers here. His strength in standing
- 2:33:28Speaker 1: up to Trump has united Canada left and right on this,
- 2:33:33Speaker 1: where Trudeau wasn't having that same success. So I do
- 2:33:35Speaker 1: think the tactics Carney has used have proved to be
- 2:33:38Speaker 1: far more successful. in challenging Trump and dealing with the
- 2:33:41Speaker 1: bully than Trudeau's tactics have been. Um, and again, I,
- 2:33:47Speaker 1: you know, we can, you know, I, it's always been,
- 2:33:50Speaker 1: I feel like it's, it, you know, it's like Gavin
- 2:33:57Speaker 1: Newsom versus, um, Hmm. It's like Gavin Newsom versus, uh, uh, Well,
- 2:34:11Speaker 1: there's really, I don't know. I'm trying to think of
- 2:34:13Speaker 1: another governor. Maybe you would put a Shapiro in the
- 2:34:15Speaker 1: technocratic category that maybe you would put a Westmore more technocratic.
- 2:34:23Speaker 1: Maybe a Gretchen Whitmer, right? It's sort of, you know,
- 2:34:27Speaker 1: Whitmer has handled Trump one way, Newsom another. I don't know.
- 2:34:32Speaker 1: There's probably not. I was probably trying to make a
- 2:34:35Speaker 1: comparison that doesn't quite work. But I think that would
- 2:34:38Speaker 1: be my explanation of why I think Carney And I
- 2:34:42Speaker 1: just think that Trump does not handle technocrats very well, right?
- 2:34:48Speaker 1: He just doesn't. Because Trump is, every decision is emotional
- 2:34:55Speaker 1: for him, where somebody who's a very logic, more Dr. Spock-like, right?
- 2:35:02Speaker 1: Like Carney is just a technocrat. And I say that
- 2:35:05Speaker 1: as a compliment, sort of view myself as ultimately a technocrat,
- 2:35:10Speaker 1: which is let the data do the talking. Um, and
- 2:35:15Speaker 1: I think that's just something that, that Trump can't stand.
- 2:35:17Speaker 1: You know, he can't stand accountants, can't stand anybody that
- 2:35:21Speaker 1: gives him reality checks. So in that sense, I think
- 2:35:24Speaker 1: Carney is the epitome of everything Trump isn't. And so
- 2:35:30Speaker 1: that's probably where his, some of his anger comes from.
- 2:35:32Speaker 1: But if you've noticed, he never gets nearly as personal
- 2:35:35Speaker 1: with Carney as he does with Trudeau because Carney's never
- 2:35:37Speaker 1: made it personal. He's just been very professional and just
- 2:35:41Speaker 1: continues to act in the best interest of Canada. And
- 2:35:43Speaker 1: if that means standing up to Donald Trump to do
- 2:35:45Speaker 1: what's in the best interest of Canada and the West,
- 2:35:47Speaker 1: he just does it. He doesn't telegraph it. He just
- 2:35:50Speaker 1: does it. It's a form of leadership that I admire.
- 2:35:56Speaker 2: All right.
- 2:35:57Speaker 1: Let's talk a little college football. Obviously, the big deal
- 2:36:03Speaker 1: was Ole Miss winning– But let's be realistic. They won
- 2:36:08Speaker 1: at home in the game that mattered the most more
- 2:36:10Speaker 1: than any other game all year. And the real test
- 2:36:13Speaker 1: for Ole Miss is now this coming Saturday in the
- 2:36:16Speaker 1: swamp against a Florida Gator team that suddenly looks like
- 2:36:20Speaker 1: there's something. Now, I'm not quite sure they have the
- 2:36:23Speaker 1: depth to keep up with Ole Miss, so we'll see.
- 2:36:27Speaker 1: And they still, but they have some offensive firepower and
- 2:36:31Speaker 1: they have a very competent coaching staff. Things that you
- 2:36:35Speaker 1: wouldn't have associated with the university of Florida's football program
- 2:36:38Speaker 1: over the last few years. So I think, and, and
- 2:36:41Speaker 1: plus talk about your letdown, right? Everything has been about
- 2:36:44Speaker 1: this LSU game for Ole Miss. And, and so here
- 2:36:48Speaker 1: we are, by the way, I thought I would do.
- 2:36:50Speaker 1: So each week I will give you what, who I
- 2:36:52Speaker 1: think just based on what we've seen on the field,
- 2:36:56Speaker 1: what my top five would be at the moment. And
- 2:36:59Speaker 1: I think you have to give Texas credit for beat for,
- 2:37:03Speaker 1: for their win over Ohio State. But be mindful it
- 2:37:06Speaker 1: was a road game, right? But you would put them
- 2:37:10Speaker 1: as still number one. I'm putting Georgia at two. I
- 2:37:15Speaker 1: think what they did– I know it's just Arkansas, but
- 2:37:19Speaker 1: I think you can't– again, I think winning conference road
- 2:37:21Speaker 1: games matter a lot. I think they're much harder to
- 2:37:24Speaker 1: do no matter what conference you're in. That's why I
- 2:37:27Speaker 1: feel pretty good about Miami. I've got a lot to
- 2:37:29Speaker 1: say about the Miami game. in a few minutes and
- 2:37:30Speaker 1: I'll get to it. I'll close with that. But, you know,
- 2:37:35Speaker 1: the fact is we've got two of our road games
- 2:37:36Speaker 1: out of the way. And so far, if you can
- 2:37:39Speaker 1: be undefeated on the road, you're usually going to have
- 2:37:41Speaker 1: an incredibly good year. And I don't know if we'll
- 2:37:43Speaker 1: be undefeated on the road. If we are, it means
- 2:37:44Speaker 1: we beat Notre Dame. And it means, you know, but
- 2:37:49Speaker 1: it's good. When teams get upset, it's usually on the road.
- 2:37:54Speaker 1: Although last year, Miami was upset once on the road
- 2:37:57Speaker 1: and once at home. But I think if you were to,
- 2:38:02Speaker 1: based on what we've seen in the performance on the field,
- 2:38:05Speaker 1: I think you would put, I would put things at
- 2:38:09Speaker 1: Texas one. I'd put Georgia two. I'd give Ole Miss
- 2:38:14Speaker 1: credit for this win. I mean, it's a top 10 win.
- 2:38:17Speaker 1: Plus Ole Miss's, you know, victory over Louisville. who had
- 2:38:21Speaker 1: another great victory. So I think right now you would,
- 2:38:24Speaker 1: I could argue that Ole Miss is, right now, let's
- 2:38:27Speaker 1: see what Texas does next week with Tennessee. If they
- 2:38:30Speaker 1: beat Tennessee, then you might say that Texas has the
- 2:38:32Speaker 1: better resume. But so far, I think Ole Miss has
- 2:38:35Speaker 1: the best resume, right, with their wins against Louisville, which
- 2:38:39Speaker 1: was a neutral site game. Oh, now they have a
- 2:38:41Speaker 1: one on the road. That's why this Florida, to me,
- 2:38:43Speaker 1: they beat Florida on the road in the swamp. You know,
- 2:38:47Speaker 1: and they could have an argument. I'd probably put Notre
- 2:38:51Speaker 1: Dame four and Miami five. Um, I think Miami deserves
- 2:38:55Speaker 1: credit for two of their wins being on the road
- 2:38:57Speaker 1: and they're being conference road games. Uh, and especially like
- 2:39:01Speaker 1: the atmospheres they've been forced in, right. These Friday night
- 2:39:03Speaker 1: games that ES that the ACC commissioner has allowed ESPN
- 2:39:07Speaker 1: to force upon the ACC. God, I just, the ACC
- 2:39:12Speaker 1: is such a weak set of leaders, unbelievable weak leaders,
- 2:39:17Speaker 1: but I digress. Um, Look, those Friday night games are
- 2:39:21Speaker 1: trap games. It was a huge deal for Wake Forest.
- 2:39:28Speaker 1: And it was a good thing that Miami got off
- 2:39:30Speaker 1: to a fast start because I think it made what
- 2:39:32Speaker 1: happened in the second half less troublesome than it could
- 2:39:36Speaker 1: have been had they gotten off to a slow start.
- 2:39:42Speaker 1: And I guess I'd probably put Ohio State 6 in there.
- 2:39:46Speaker 1: But then what do you do with Indiana?
- 2:39:48Speaker 2: Right? Indiana.
- 2:39:50Speaker 1: I think they deserve credit for being the defending champs,
- 2:39:52Speaker 1: but they haven't beaten anybody yet, right? So I don't
- 2:39:56Speaker 1: know where you put Indiana. And maybe you should say
- 2:39:58Speaker 1: they get the benefit of the doubt. Maybe they should
- 2:39:59Speaker 1: be sitting ahead of Miami and Notre Dame. It really
- 2:40:02Speaker 1: is interchangeable. I think right now, Indiana, Miami, Notre Dame.
- 2:40:07Speaker 1: And if you want to give Indiana credit for having
- 2:40:10Speaker 1: beaten a version of the Miami team that exists today, uh,
- 2:40:15Speaker 1: on their home field last at the end of last season.
- 2:40:17Speaker 2: Okay.
- 2:40:17Speaker 1: And you want to put them five and put Miami
- 2:40:19Speaker 1: six and then you put Ohio state seven. I think
- 2:40:22Speaker 1: that's right. Question is how far do you drop LSU?
- 2:40:25Speaker 1: You know, we'll see. That's a, that's an open question. Um,
- 2:40:32Speaker 1: I think LSU is going to probably be a 10
- 2:40:37Speaker 1: and two team. You can see the success. You could
- 2:40:41Speaker 1: see what Levitt brings them. Um, They just got off
- 2:40:48Speaker 1: to a slow start. They get off to a faster start.
- 2:40:50Speaker 1: They probably win that game. Obviously, Texas A & M
- 2:40:57Speaker 1: is going to drop out of the top 10, and
- 2:40:58Speaker 1: I think we are now going to start seeing more
- 2:41:02Speaker 1: and more questions about whether Marcel Reed is a good
- 2:41:05Speaker 1: enough quarterback to win you a national title. I think
- 2:41:10Speaker 1: there are times he's limited, and it does seem as
- 2:41:13Speaker 1: if when they need Somebody to take over a game.
- 2:41:16Speaker 1: They don't have somebody that can take over a game.
- 2:41:20Speaker 1: And in that sense, Kentucky was able to able to
- 2:41:24Speaker 1: expose them. And Arizona State kind of exposed them last week,
- 2:41:27Speaker 1: which is why I think I think I was was
- 2:41:31Speaker 1: leaning into this outcome last week. I know my friend, Mr. Saliz,
- 2:41:35Speaker 1: is not going to be happy about this since his
- 2:41:37Speaker 1: in-laws are big A & M fans. And we'll we'll
- 2:41:39Speaker 1: spend some time on Super Tuesday talking about it for
- 2:41:42Speaker 1: as long as he's willing to talk about it. Uh,
- 2:41:46Speaker 1: but A & M is probably now feels like, like,
- 2:41:51Speaker 1: I think we kind of know who they are. Um, yes,
- 2:41:55Speaker 1: I know there's still a lot more games where they can,
- 2:41:58Speaker 1: they can make another case for themselves. And it is
- 2:42:00Speaker 1: that the SEC certainly has perceived schedule strength that can
- 2:42:04Speaker 1: help them out. But, um, uh, but we shall see, uh,
- 2:42:10Speaker 1: quick little SMU Louisville, um, My son's obviously very upset
- 2:42:16Speaker 1: that SMU lost. And, you know, he said something to me.
- 2:42:19Speaker 1: He said, you know, Kevin Jennings is better than Darian Mensah.
- 2:42:22Speaker 1: And I said, Kevin Jennings can be better than Darian Mensah.
- 2:42:25Speaker 1: I didn't disagree on a pure ability, an athletic ability.
- 2:42:29Speaker 1: But the difference is Darian Mensah doesn't turn the ball over.
- 2:42:33Speaker 1: And Kevin Jennings just always seems to turn the ball
- 2:42:38Speaker 1: over a couple of times in these big games because
- 2:42:40Speaker 1: he's trying to do everything. And he will force something
- 2:42:45Speaker 1: every now and then. And you felt like you saw
- 2:42:47Speaker 1: the best version of him and the worst version of
- 2:42:50Speaker 1: him all at the same time in that Louisville game.
- 2:42:54Speaker 1: But look, SMU season is not over. They get to
- 2:42:57Speaker 1: play at Notre Dame. And that's going to be, you know,
- 2:43:00Speaker 1: the one thing about mobile quarterbacks is I think they
- 2:43:04Speaker 1: can give Notre Dame's defense a little bit of trouble.
- 2:43:10Speaker 1: We shall see. All right, let me get to the
- 2:43:12Speaker 1: Miami game. Because the biggest issue in the Miami game
- 2:43:17Speaker 1: was injuries. Now, there's two ways I could look at
- 2:43:19Speaker 1: this Miami game. We were always nervous about this weird
- 2:43:23Speaker 1: Friday night wake game on the road. When the schedule
- 2:43:26Speaker 1: first came out, we Miami fans circled a couple of traps.
- 2:43:30Speaker 1: This was a big one. This was the trap, the bear.
- 2:43:33Speaker 1: My buddy, Chris Felica, a big Hurricane fan, you may
- 2:43:37Speaker 1: know him as the bear, he was also keyed in
- 2:43:40Speaker 1: on this. I was a little less concerned because it
- 2:43:42Speaker 1: was early in the season. In some ways- a game
- 2:43:46Speaker 1: against Wake could have been a trap game if it came, say,
- 2:43:49Speaker 1: the week after Notre Dame. Or the game against Wake
- 2:43:51Speaker 1: could be a trap game if it came the week
- 2:43:52Speaker 1: after playing Florida State or somebody or even at Virginia Tech.
- 2:43:56Speaker 1: A team that you expect to challenge you and then
- 2:43:58Speaker 1: you're not quite prepared. In the case of Wake, Wake's
- 2:44:01Speaker 1: actually the best team we've played so far, right? Wake's
- 2:44:03Speaker 1: better than Stanford. So, and that, you know, I think
- 2:44:06Speaker 1: in preparation, you're going to keep the focus of your players.
- 2:44:09Speaker 1: You're like, this is the best team we've faced so
- 2:44:10Speaker 1: far and you're not bullshitting them, right? It is a fact.
- 2:44:13Speaker 1: So that's why I felt cautious confidence about this Wake game.
- 2:44:18Speaker 1: I also knew Wake's got a good coach and they
- 2:44:19Speaker 1: know how to, you know, they know how to havoc
- 2:44:22Speaker 1: things up a little bit. Gio Lopez has the ability
- 2:44:24Speaker 1: to havoc things up as a quarterback. Clearly he was
- 2:44:27Speaker 1: hurt and not as mobile. A more mobile quarterback for
- 2:44:33Speaker 1: Wake if Gio Lopez hadn't gotten dinged up as much
- 2:44:37Speaker 1: as he did in the previous week against Purdue. That
- 2:44:40Speaker 1: might have been a six-point Miami win instead of a
- 2:44:42Speaker 1: 13-point Miami win, which really should have been bigger than that.
- 2:44:48Speaker 1: But we learned a lot about Miami's depth. Miami lost
- 2:44:53Speaker 1: their two top running backs to injuries in that game.
- 2:44:56Speaker 1: Mark Fletcher went out. I think he's going to be
- 2:44:58Speaker 1: back in the next week or two. But we lost
- 2:45:02Speaker 1: Marty Brown, who's been our sort of backup, just he's
- 2:45:07Speaker 1: a massive human being. And he made this terrific catch
- 2:45:11Speaker 1: and run and then just an awful knee injury that
- 2:45:15Speaker 1: ESPN chose not to show the replay because it was
- 2:45:17Speaker 1: that awful. Look, I know it, maybe he's back in
- 2:45:21Speaker 1: time for the second or third round of the playoffs.
- 2:45:23Speaker 1: If Miami gets that far. But I think it means
- 2:45:29Speaker 1: as a red shirt junior, he won't be turning pro. He'll,
- 2:45:32Speaker 1: I think he will be back next year. I love
- 2:45:34Speaker 1: the kid. I feel terrible for him. These, these need,
- 2:45:38Speaker 1: I know we've gotten better and better with it. So
- 2:45:41Speaker 1: I hope he's, but it, you know, that was, to
- 2:45:44Speaker 1: lose your two top running backs. Uh, our third running
- 2:45:47Speaker 1: back was still sort of kind of in the doghouse
- 2:45:49Speaker 1: for a, a misdemeanor violation that he, that he had. Um,
- 2:45:54Speaker 1: so Jordan Lyle, they haven't played him yet. So we're basically,
- 2:45:57Speaker 1: we were using a fourth string running back from, for
- 2:46:00Speaker 1: most of the second half. And we also have an
- 2:46:03Speaker 1: inexperienced offensive line. They're getting better every week, but, um,
- 2:46:10Speaker 1: They're not a great run blocking unit yet. And I
- 2:46:16Speaker 1: know what Cristobal, you know, he did the turtle strategy
- 2:46:21Speaker 1: in the second half, which drove me crazy. I think
- 2:46:23Speaker 1: he realized he had all these injuries and he says,
- 2:46:25Speaker 1: let's just get out of here. Doesn't matter what we
- 2:46:27Speaker 1: win by. Let's just get out of here. And the
- 2:46:29Speaker 1: play calling got super conservative, right? When Tony got hurt
- 2:46:32Speaker 1: with that stretch play, which Good for ESPN's cameras, by
- 2:46:35Speaker 1: the way. They found it. I thought the broadcast was
- 2:46:39Speaker 1: terrific because they were on top of it. They had information.
- 2:46:44Speaker 1: As a fan, sometimes you're wondering, what happened to Mark Fletcher?
- 2:46:47Speaker 1: What happened to here? And every time they had the information.
- 2:46:51Speaker 1: I give the executives and the network ownership a lot
- 2:46:54Speaker 1: of grief all the time. That doesn't mean the people
- 2:46:56Speaker 1: that work at ESPN aren't fantastic. And that crew was terrific.
- 2:47:01Speaker 1: The editorial side of that, I just can't... You answered
- 2:47:05Speaker 1: every question I had without me going on Hurricane's Twitter.
- 2:47:08Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:47:08Speaker 1: Which is which is what I appreciate. But, you know,
- 2:47:12Speaker 1: he turtled up. And it essentially. And so the question is,
- 2:47:19Speaker 1: did they not? because all of a sudden we just,
- 2:47:22Speaker 1: they want, I know what he wanted to do. He
- 2:47:23Speaker 1: was hoping he would have Mark Fletcher take the game over. Well,
- 2:47:26Speaker 1: then he gets hurt and he just wanted to just
- 2:47:29Speaker 1: grind the game out, you know, just slow the game
- 2:47:32Speaker 1: down and just get out of there. And in fact,
- 2:47:35Speaker 1: that mindset was so clear, you know, throughout that you saw.
- 2:47:41Speaker 1: I mean, cause Shannon Dawson's play calling was weird. He
- 2:47:43Speaker 1: just was not. And the, and the whole use of Tony,
- 2:47:48Speaker 1: if you're only going to bring them in on third downs, you've,
- 2:47:52Speaker 1: you've just either don't use them at all and, and
- 2:47:57Speaker 1: keep the same and keep, keep the same game plan. Anyway,
- 2:48:01Speaker 1: it just, I hope they learn from this. I thought the,
- 2:48:04Speaker 1: you know, if I were to grade the three main coaches,
- 2:48:07Speaker 1: crystal ball, Shannon Dawson, and Corey Heatherman. Corey Heatherman was
- 2:48:11Speaker 1: the coach. He did a tremendous job. Miami had huge
- 2:48:15Speaker 1: injuries in the secondary, and he knew they were vulnerable
- 2:48:17Speaker 1: in the secondary, so he just created havoc. It was Flores-esque,
- 2:48:22Speaker 1: referring to Brian Flores, the Vikings defensive coordinator. That guy
- 2:48:26Speaker 1: has figured out how to make a defense filled with
- 2:48:29Speaker 1: a bunch of guys that have no business being in
- 2:48:31Speaker 1: the NFL anymore and turning it into a havoc defense
- 2:48:35Speaker 1: that can give an offense a lot of problems. And
- 2:48:38Speaker 1: his blitzing packages can cover up vulnerabilities in the secondary.
- 2:48:42Speaker 1: And man, Corey Heatherman was just terrific. And because Gio
- 2:48:46Speaker 1: Lopez didn't have the scrambling ability that he normally has,
- 2:48:50Speaker 1: Heatherman made sure that game didn't get close. I really
- 2:48:55Speaker 1: hope we figure out how to continue to keep him.
- 2:48:57Speaker 1: I love this guy. He's just a terrific D coordinator.
- 2:49:01Speaker 1: And I fear we're going to lose him to an
- 2:49:03Speaker 1: NFL team. I think he's that smart about schemes and
- 2:49:08Speaker 1: defensive strategy. But I think both Dawson and Cristobal get
- 2:49:11Speaker 1: a B minus C plus. And Mario made a terrible mistake.
- 2:49:16Speaker 1: And Buddy, I don't, I really, here's what I'm hoping.
- 2:49:20Speaker 1: I'm hoping somebody lets him know that this was a mistake.
- 2:49:24Speaker 1: Miami's at fourth and four. And they chose to kick
- 2:49:28Speaker 1: an attempt at 56-yard field goal. They're up 13. And
- 2:49:30Speaker 1: they attempted to kick a 56-yard field goal or a
- 2:49:32Speaker 1: 54-yard field goal. With a kicker who has not been
- 2:49:36Speaker 1: known to be reliable yet from that far away, just
- 2:49:39Speaker 1: because he has the ability, we hadn't tried it.
- 2:49:42Speaker 2: Yet.
- 2:49:42Speaker 1: There was about six minutes left in the game, five
- 2:49:45Speaker 1: and a half minutes left in the game. You're up
- 2:49:46Speaker 1: by 13 points. So this field goal is only going
- 2:49:49Speaker 1: to put you up 16. So you go from being
- 2:49:51Speaker 1: up two scores to being up two scores. But if
- 2:49:54Speaker 1: you go for it on fourth and four and you
- 2:49:57Speaker 1: make it, then you grind out more clock. And for
- 2:50:01Speaker 1: some bizarre reason, he chose to try the field goal.
- 2:50:05Speaker 1: Field goal wasn't good. It was tipped. All of a sudden,
- 2:50:07Speaker 1: they get the ball near midfield. It was a massive
- 2:50:11Speaker 1: coaching blunder. This is one of those, you know, I
- 2:50:13Speaker 1: spent last week defending Mario Cristobal from all my favorite
- 2:50:17Speaker 1: college betting podcasts that all insist that, you know, there's
- 2:50:22Speaker 1: going to be a, you know, Mario will Mario up
- 2:50:24Speaker 1: a game. And this is what they refer to when
- 2:50:26Speaker 1: they say that. A bizarre decision that makes no sense,
- 2:50:30Speaker 1: that lowers your win probability, let alone your ability to
- 2:50:34Speaker 1: cover a spread. And that decision basically kept Wake Forest
- 2:50:38Speaker 1: in the game. Now, we're lucky either one of two things.
- 2:50:42Speaker 1: Miami's defense was able to stop Lopez and two, that
- 2:50:46Speaker 1: maybe Wake wasn't good enough to take advantage of this mistake.
- 2:50:48Speaker 1: You make that mistake against a better team. So there's
- 2:50:52Speaker 1: two ways I look at this Wake Forest game. The
- 2:50:55Speaker 1: last time we had a game like this with all
- 2:50:56Speaker 1: these injuries, we lost it. It was the game against SMU.
- 2:50:59Speaker 1: We were down all sorts of starters in that game.
- 2:51:01Speaker 1: And eventually it caught up with us. We almost won it,
- 2:51:03Speaker 1: but eventually caught up with us. So maybe it shows
- 2:51:05Speaker 1: you that we have a huge amount of depth, but
- 2:51:08Speaker 1: it also might be that Wake wasn't quite good enough
- 2:51:11Speaker 1: to take advantages of the mistakes and the opportunities that
- 2:51:14Speaker 1: we hand at them in the second half. So look,
- 2:51:18Speaker 1: I'm just happy to survive a road game. These road
- 2:51:21Speaker 1: conference games, especially these stupid Friday night games are trap
- 2:51:24Speaker 1: games like crazy. But, you know, and look, I think
- 2:51:28Speaker 1: most of everybody sort of, if, To me, week three
- 2:51:33Speaker 1: should remind people, right? Notre Dame struggled with Michigan State
- 2:51:36Speaker 1: until they didn't. Miami had a little bit of a
- 2:51:38Speaker 1: test there for about a quarter. It's healthy to get
- 2:51:41Speaker 1: tested and it's good that you survive. The more important
- 2:51:44Speaker 1: things do you learn from the mistakes you made, even
- 2:51:47Speaker 1: when you win. And I certainly hope that when it
- 2:51:51Speaker 1: comes to things like, you know, deciding when to kick
- 2:51:54Speaker 1: a field goal or when to go for it, that
- 2:51:58Speaker 1: Coach Cristobal is open to the criticism on this one.
- 2:52:00Speaker 1: This was a... This wasn't a 50-50 call. This was
- 2:52:06Speaker 1: not a 50-50 call. So I hope somebody was able
- 2:52:10Speaker 1: to constructively let him know this and that he doesn't
- 2:52:14Speaker 1: just take it as noise from the outside. Thankfully, we
- 2:52:18Speaker 1: got Central Michigan this weekend. Miami gets to play their
- 2:52:20Speaker 1: first game on a Saturday. Game four is finally played
- 2:52:23Speaker 1: on a Saturday. Hallelujah. But next week, the big game's
- 2:52:30Speaker 1: There's going to be some interesting ones. Like I said,
- 2:52:32Speaker 1: Ole Miss, Florida is the undercard. Tennessee, Texas. We're going
- 2:52:39Speaker 1: to find out a lot about Texas. They've earned the
- 2:52:42Speaker 1: right to be seen as number one. I'm not sure
- 2:52:44Speaker 1: they're the best team in the country. I'm not sure
- 2:52:46Speaker 1: they're one of the five best teams in the country.
- 2:52:49Speaker 1: But they have the best resume going in right now.
- 2:52:53Speaker 1: And Knoxville's a tough place to win. All right, with that,
- 2:52:57Speaker 1: I'll see you in 24 hours. Thanks as always. Like
- 2:53:00Speaker 1: and subscribe. And I made it this entire podcast without
- 2:53:06Speaker 1: my kidney stone reminding me it was there. So with that,
- 2:53:10Speaker 1: I am thankful as well. I hope you had an
- 2:53:12Speaker 1: easy fast. See you tomorrow.