Latest / Stuff You Should Know / How the Scientific Method Works
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to Stuff you Should Know from House Stuff Works
- 0:04Speaker 1: dot com. Hey, and welcome to the podcast. I'm Josh Clark,
- 0:13Speaker 1: There's Charles w Chuck Bryant, There's Jerry Stuffy. Should know
- 0:17Speaker 1: why grinning. It's been a while, man. Know it's funny,
- 0:20Speaker 1: like those words come pouring out of my mouth and
- 0:22Speaker 1: then it's cool. You wake up in the middle of
- 0:25Speaker 1: night saying that, and you mean like slugs you in
- 0:27Speaker 1: the face. She's sleep She has to dry my brow. Yes,
- 0:32Speaker 1: we prerecorded some for December, as we like to do
- 0:36Speaker 1: to take a little time off at the end of
- 0:37Speaker 1: the year and not explain things for a few weeks
- 0:40Speaker 1: in our real lives. Like people ask me things like
- 0:44Speaker 1: what happened to that stick of butter? Yeah, I don't know,
- 0:47Speaker 1: don't ask don't even ask me. I could tell you,
- 0:50Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna exactly. That's how it goes in
- 0:52Speaker 1: my house. Find your own butter. December was find your
- 0:56Speaker 1: own butter money. That's a good that's that's a good one.
- 1:00Speaker 1: That should be a T shirt. Stuff you should know
- 1:02Speaker 1: find your own butter or December is find your own butter.
- 1:05Speaker 1: M Yeah, that's right. Maybe a stick of butter and
- 1:07Speaker 1: some Garland on it. Yeah, I like that. So it's
- 1:11Speaker 1: good to see you again. Man's gonna be back in here. Yeah,
- 1:13Speaker 1: it is nice to be back. As much as the
- 1:15Speaker 1: break was great, I'm happy to be explaining things again.
- 1:18Speaker 1: Well that's good because if we got in here and
- 1:20Speaker 1: you're like, I can't do this, I can't do it again,
- 1:22Speaker 1: we'd be in trouble. Yeah. So I'm glad we're all
- 1:24Speaker 1: feeling good. Jerry, you're feeling good. Jerry's got two thumbs
- 1:27Speaker 1: up in a big goofy smile, two of her three thumbs.
- 1:31Speaker 1: She looks like Bob from that male enhancement pill ad.
- 1:36Speaker 1: Oh see the guy, the old man that's like super Buff,
- 1:39Speaker 1: I would call him old. He was middle aged. He
- 1:41Speaker 1: looked like kind of a Bob Dobbs type dude. I
- 1:44Speaker 1: think that's kind of who he was modeled. You see
- 1:46Speaker 1: the guy that's super muscling. Now I'm thinking of someone different.
- 1:49Speaker 1: I think, are you thinking of Jack lo Lane? No? No, no, no,
- 1:52Speaker 1: just there's some ad. There's some old man that looks
- 1:54Speaker 1: like really creepy because from the next super Buff looks
- 1:57Speaker 1: like it's twenty five year old. No, remember that was
- 2:00Speaker 1: like a male enhancement pill and I'm making air quotes
- 2:03Speaker 1: here for erectile this unsion. Well, there go the air quotes.
- 2:06Speaker 1: But yes, And it was like in the early two thousands.
- 2:10Speaker 1: I think maybe late nineties, but I think early two thousands,
- 2:14Speaker 1: and these ads were everywhere, and there was Bob and
- 2:17Speaker 1: like all these great things happened to him because he
- 2:19Speaker 1: started taking this pill. I can't remember the name of
- 2:22Speaker 1: the pill. But the company like got into a lot
- 2:25Speaker 1: of trouble because it was basically like a subscription service
- 2:28Speaker 1: and like you gave him your credit card and you
- 2:30Speaker 1: got this free trial, but then they started sending it
- 2:32Speaker 1: to you and it was like next to impossible to
- 2:35Speaker 1: cut off service. Interesting, They're like, no, we want your
- 2:38Speaker 1: mailness to be enhanced. So you you've seen these ads.
- 2:43Speaker 1: I was gonna start asking questions, but why bother? I
- 2:47Speaker 1: will I will YouTube. I will find it on YouTube.
- 2:49Speaker 1: I'll be like, oh, Bob, yeah you will. You'll go, Oh,
- 2:53Speaker 1: I want to come back in and record an insert
- 2:55Speaker 1: the guy that's on the back of all these pill
- 2:57Speaker 1: bottles in my bathroom. Oh, chuck, I don't even remember
- 3:02Speaker 1: how we got Oh yeah, Jerry did that. That was
- 3:05Speaker 1: Jerry's fault. But um, you remember we did the Enlightenment episode. Okay,
- 3:10Speaker 1: we talked a lot about how there's this kind of
- 3:13Speaker 1: um tug of war over the human psyche between rationalism
- 3:21Speaker 1: and mysticism. I guess you could you could put it well,
- 3:25Speaker 1: I feel like we're talking today about the scientific method.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Great idea, by the way, Thank you very much. It's
- 3:30Speaker 1: been a long time coming. Um, because I realized, like
- 3:34Speaker 1: I don't understand it as fully as I don't understand science.
- 3:38Speaker 1: I understand the scientific method because it's pretty cut and
- 3:40Speaker 1: dry and it's beautiful and elegant and simple. But then
- 3:44Speaker 1: you just take this thing and it came out of
- 3:47Speaker 1: the birth of rationalism, and when you place it into
- 3:49Speaker 1: the world and make it function, there's a lot of implications.
- 3:54Speaker 1: Is it being used properly? Is it being used responsibly?
- 3:57Speaker 1: Like are we putting what constitutes f E than to that?
- 4:00Speaker 1: You know, like it just raises all this other stuff.
- 4:03Speaker 1: And it made me realize, like I don't understand science
- 4:06Speaker 1: as much as I want to, So researching this it
- 4:08Speaker 1: was awesome. Yeah, and this is a cool episode, I
- 4:11Speaker 1: think because not only are we going to talk about
- 4:13Speaker 1: the scientific method, but we're going to talk about just science,
- 4:16Speaker 1: like what is science in general? And some of the
- 4:19Speaker 1: rock stars along the way, who really you know, laid
- 4:23Speaker 1: out the path remarkably in like many many years ago,
- 4:28Speaker 1: like coming up with these amazing discoveries that still like
- 4:31Speaker 1: hold you know, you can like hold their feet to
- 4:34Speaker 1: the fire for a lot of this stuff. Yeah, because
- 4:36Speaker 1: if you come upon a universal truth, you know it
- 4:41Speaker 1: is what it is, like you got to be the
- 4:42Speaker 1: person who discovered it because you know, you saw it,
- 4:45Speaker 1: you realized it a certain way, but ultimately it was
- 4:48Speaker 1: there already. Yeah, like Newton, I mean, we'll talk about
- 4:51Speaker 1: all this stuff, but it's not like now we're like,
- 4:52Speaker 1: oh Newton, most of what he said was wrong, But
- 4:55Speaker 1: that's understandable because it was a long time ago. Like
- 4:58Speaker 1: his stuff holds up really well. I was wondering if
- 5:01Speaker 1: he on his deathbed was just like, oh, man, I
- 5:04Speaker 1: contributed so much to humanity it's mind boggling, but I
- 5:08Speaker 1: couldn't enhance my malehood. Well, Bob hadn't come along yet,
- 5:13Speaker 1: So Chuck, let's let's just quit stalling and talk about science,
- 5:17Speaker 1: like what is science? Well, I hate the old elementary
- 5:20Speaker 1: school uh defined as, but it's a pretty good place
- 5:24Speaker 1: to start here to get a base definition of science. Yeah,
- 5:27Speaker 1: Old William Harris did a great job with this. Yes,
- 5:30Speaker 1: William Harris did a great job. Uh. Science the intellectual
- 5:33Speaker 1: and practical activity encompassing the structure and behavior of the
- 5:36Speaker 1: physical and natural world through observation and experimentation. Uh So
- 5:43Speaker 1: the first part of that is science is practical and
- 5:47Speaker 1: it is you know, they make a good he makes.
- 5:50Speaker 1: Bill Harris makes a great point in here. It's not
- 5:52Speaker 1: just stuff you do in a lab, and it's not
- 5:54Speaker 1: just for scientists. It is all about being hands on
- 5:58Speaker 1: and active, and it's about discovery and asking questions about
- 6:03Speaker 1: I mean, that's how everything is ultimately solved, is by
- 6:06Speaker 1: someone looking at something and having a question about it exactly.
- 6:09Speaker 1: And then the scientific method comes in when you say,
- 6:12Speaker 1: and this is how you properly get to that answer exactly. Um.
- 6:16Speaker 1: And he makes another good point to that. The idea
- 6:20Speaker 1: that there's a method, a scientific method, makes it seem
- 6:23Speaker 1: like it's it's secreted away among the the fraternity of scientists.
- 6:29Speaker 1: And like you said, any anybody can use it. It's
- 6:32Speaker 1: just kind of part of being a curious human is
- 6:34Speaker 1: it's not even anyone can use it everyone does use it,
- 6:37Speaker 1: you just might not even know that you're using it,
- 6:40Speaker 1: like if you I mean one of the examples that
- 6:42Speaker 1: use later is if like your car overheats, when you
- 6:45Speaker 1: figure out why and fix it, that's the scientific method, right,
- 6:49Speaker 1: playing out exactly based on reasoning. Yeah, okay, and deduction
- 6:53Speaker 1: and induction. Man, there's so much to talk about. Okay,
- 6:57Speaker 1: So let's let's talk about that definition that you had.
- 7:00Speaker 1: So the first part is that science is it's a
- 7:04Speaker 1: practical activity. So science is practical, right, It's it's this, Um.
- 7:10Speaker 1: The basis of the whole thing is discovery. Right, you
- 7:13Speaker 1: see something, You see birds in flight, and you say,
- 7:16Speaker 1: where are those birds going? And if you just went
- 7:19Speaker 1: and laid down on the ground and went to sleep
- 7:21Speaker 1: after that, then you're not you're not carrying out science.
- 7:24Speaker 1: But if you went, I want to find out where
- 7:26Speaker 1: those birds are going, and you follow them and you
- 7:29Speaker 1: start taking notes, that's that is the basis of science
- 7:32Speaker 1: is discovery. Yeah, and that's the observational part as well. Um,
- 7:36Speaker 1: sometimes you're using a microscope or a telescope, sometimes you're
- 7:40Speaker 1: using your eyeballs. But no matter what your tool is, uh,
- 7:44Speaker 1: you're gonna be watching something and recording. What's called data
- 7:48Speaker 1: or data depending on I don't know what kind of
- 7:51Speaker 1: person you are. What do you say I think? I
- 7:55Speaker 1: say both. I think data. Yeah, I don't think I've
- 8:00Speaker 1: don't think. I say data data, I say data data. Yeah,
- 8:03Speaker 1: all right, we'll go with data. You say both. I
- 8:06Speaker 1: feel like it just comes out of my mouth one
- 8:08Speaker 1: way or the other, and I don't really think about it.
- 8:09Speaker 1: I think that's like being ambidextrous. Yeah. Yeah, I'm a
- 8:12Speaker 1: data datas Yeah. Uh so once you are observing this data, well,
- 8:18Speaker 1: there are a couple of kinds. There's quantitative data, which
- 8:22Speaker 1: are numbers, like you know, your body temperature is point six,
- 8:26Speaker 1: although I think that's changed slightly now, didn't it. Yeah? Yeah, there.
- 8:30Speaker 1: You used to be like, if you were a human being,
- 8:33Speaker 1: your body temperature is point six, and they it's like, no,
- 8:35Speaker 1: there's a little more variation than that. But any kind
- 8:38Speaker 1: of just numerical representation is quantitative, whereas qualitative is behavioral,
- 8:45Speaker 1: like I'm gonna watch that bird um eat in poop
- 8:49Speaker 1: for the next week, right, or what happens if I
- 8:53Speaker 1: what will the slug do if I put a bunch
- 8:55Speaker 1: of salt on it? Do you know I don't do that. No,
- 8:58Speaker 1: you really should not do that. No, it's awful. But
- 9:00Speaker 1: the reaction of the slug is gathering qualitative data. And
- 9:04Speaker 1: depending on who you talk to, there isn't qualitative data
- 9:08Speaker 1: and science that it should all just be quantitative because yeah,
- 9:12Speaker 1: because quantitative data is reproducible. Qualitative data is. It's not
- 9:20Speaker 1: necessarily reproducible. You can observe the same phenomenon, but you're
- 9:24Speaker 1: not necessarily controlling it. Okay, well, I guess I get that.
- 9:28Speaker 1: But I agree with Bill here and that they are both.
- 9:30Speaker 1: They go hand in hand, and neither one is more
- 9:33Speaker 1: important than the other. You need to have both. Well,
- 9:34Speaker 1: a lot of people do, and we'll talk more about
- 9:36Speaker 1: it later, because without the idea that qualitative data is
- 9:40Speaker 1: acceptable and scientific, you don't have the social social sciences,
- 9:44Speaker 1: like they don't exist. Yeah, that's a good point, but yes,
- 9:48Speaker 1: we have quantitative data and qualitative data. I agree with you.
- 9:51Speaker 1: They're both useful. Uh. It is an intellectual pursuit um,
- 9:57Speaker 1: So you can make observations on data all day long.
- 10:00Speaker 1: But until you bring reason, in this case inductive reasoning,
- 10:04Speaker 1: which is driving a generalization based on your observations, then
- 10:10Speaker 1: it's just data sitting there on a piece of paper
- 10:12Speaker 1: like it's supposed to lead you somewhere right exactly, And
- 10:15Speaker 1: so we should talk about inductive and deductive reasoning and
- 10:18Speaker 1: it depending. Again, it's really weird, But one of the
- 10:21Speaker 1: things that came across is that there's not a universal
- 10:25Speaker 1: agreement on how science is carried out. Like I saw
- 10:29Speaker 1: some places where there's like there's no place for inductive
- 10:32Speaker 1: reasoning in science. Then other places they're saying, well, you
- 10:35Speaker 1: have to have science using inductive reasoning. Everybody seems to
- 10:39Speaker 1: agree that deductive reasoning is the basis of science, but
- 10:44Speaker 1: that you also have to have inductive So deductive is
- 10:46Speaker 1: basically taking a big, broad generalization and saying that it
- 10:52Speaker 1: applies to something specific more specific. Yes, Uh, inductive is
- 10:57Speaker 1: the opposite where you say, I've noticed these different data points,
- 11:02Speaker 1: and uh, that means that this broad generalization is true.
- 11:08Speaker 1: So you go from specific, small observations to a broad generalization.
- 11:13Speaker 1: And the reason that a lot of people say, well,
- 11:15Speaker 1: inductive reasoning doesn't have any place in science is because
- 11:20Speaker 1: you're saying those birds over there are all brown, Therefore
- 11:25Speaker 1: all birds of that type of brown, even though I
- 11:27Speaker 1: haven't seen every single bird of that type in the world.
- 11:30Speaker 1: I'm saying that all those birds are brown. And a
- 11:33Speaker 1: lot of people say there's no place for that in science. Well,
- 11:36Speaker 1: if you want to go out and prove that, then
- 11:37Speaker 1: that's your business. You know. You can't just say that
- 11:40Speaker 1: and be like and I'm done, right exactly. I guess
- 11:43Speaker 1: you could. But much of scientists, right, but the the
- 11:47Speaker 1: you can use it to formulate hey, hypotheses. Right, so
- 11:50Speaker 1: you can say I've generated all these data points, I'm
- 11:53Speaker 1: gonna put them together and see if this broad generalization
- 11:56Speaker 1: is right. Okay, so there is a place for inductive
- 12:00Speaker 1: seeing science. But everybody says deductive reasoning is the basis
- 12:03Speaker 1: of science. Well, Bill Harris does. Uh. He offers a
- 12:08Speaker 1: great example for inductive reasoning with Edwin Hubble of the
- 12:12Speaker 1: Hubble Telescope. Uh. He was looking through the Hooker telescope,
- 12:17Speaker 1: which at the time at California's Mount Wilson. Is that
- 12:21Speaker 1: the one from Rebel Now that's um Griffith Park Observatory,
- 12:27Speaker 1: which has been redesigned, and uh, it is really cool now, yeah,
- 12:32Speaker 1: I mean it was kind of cool before, but it
- 12:33Speaker 1: was definitely like, uh, sort of the bass music in
- 12:37Speaker 1: the time forgot. Oh really, so they've updated it. I'll
- 12:40Speaker 1: bet that was cool though in its own way. Yeah,
- 12:42Speaker 1: it was neat. I used to live near there, so
- 12:43Speaker 1: it was kind of But that's like the famous one,
- 12:46Speaker 1: at least in the movies. Yeah, that's where they have
- 12:48Speaker 1: the big knife fight. Yeah, and there's this James Dean
- 12:50Speaker 1: statue there too. I didn't like a bust um. So yes.
- 12:55Speaker 1: Edwin Hubble he's at Mountain Wilson and he's looking through
- 12:58Speaker 1: the Hooker telescope, which was the biggest one. And at
- 13:01Speaker 1: the time, everyone said, the Milky Way galaxy is it?
- 13:04Speaker 1: That's what we've got going on. Did you know this? Uh? Yeah,
- 13:07Speaker 1: I knew that because we're talking. Yeah, not that long ago.
- 13:11Speaker 1: Did not realize this. And he started looking through this
- 13:14Speaker 1: telescope and said, you know what, these nebula that everyone
- 13:17Speaker 1: says are part of our galaxy look to me like
- 13:19Speaker 1: they're beyond our galaxy. Not only that, they look like
- 13:23Speaker 1: they're moving away from us. So he made this, uh
- 13:27Speaker 1: with through inductive reasoning, made this observation that you know what,
- 13:30Speaker 1: I think there are many many galaxies out there, and
- 13:34Speaker 1: not only that, I think they are expanding, and uh,
- 13:37Speaker 1: through technological advancement with telescopes over the years, scientists, you know,
- 13:42Speaker 1: it proved to be true. Yeah, pretty cool. So this
- 13:45Speaker 1: is a really good example of him saying, like, I've
- 13:48Speaker 1: made some observations, and now I'm going to say this
- 13:51Speaker 1: broad generalization. Right, So these these galaxies appear to be
- 13:56Speaker 1: moving away from me, not another. So the whole universe
- 14:00Speaker 1: is expanding. Right, that's inductive reasoning. It's a pretty brave thing, uh,
- 14:05Speaker 1: especially back then, because you're really putting your reputation at stake,
- 14:10Speaker 1: you know. So what Hubble was, what Hubble did was
- 14:13Speaker 1: what we've come to see as science. He made some observations,
- 14:17Speaker 1: he came up with a hypothesis, um, and then it
- 14:21Speaker 1: was tested later on. It's not you don't necessarily as
- 14:25Speaker 1: a scientist. You're a part of a larger collective of scientists, right,
- 14:30Speaker 1: And every scientist needs one another. It's why there's journals
- 14:33Speaker 1: and and um conferences and things like that to share information, right,
- 14:37Speaker 1: And the party and the party, and and Hubble came
- 14:41Speaker 1: up with his own observations. And rather than just experimenting, experimenting,
- 14:45Speaker 1: experimenting himself, which I'm sure he continued to do, he
- 14:49Speaker 1: created this basis of work that he probably realized is
- 14:52Speaker 1: going to survive him. Right, And then later on scientists
- 14:57Speaker 1: came down the road and they tested his hypothesis and
- 15:00Speaker 1: they found it was correct, and so his hypothesis became
- 15:04Speaker 1: a theory. It eventually became part of the basis of
- 15:06Speaker 1: the Big Bang theory that the universe started as a
- 15:09Speaker 1: huge explosion and it's expanding still because we're because it
- 15:15Speaker 1: exploded at one point, right, And they did that by
- 15:18Speaker 1: carrying out other tests or experiments exactly. So this is
- 15:24Speaker 1: how science works. Like some guy back in in nineteen
- 15:26Speaker 1: nine makes some observations in California, he proposes this big,
- 15:32Speaker 1: broad generalist generalization, and over the next like ensuing half
- 15:36Speaker 1: a century, more and more scientists all around the world
- 15:40Speaker 1: start testing his hypothesis and find it to be true,
- 15:43Speaker 1: so it becomes a theory. Yeah. Well, well let's finish
- 15:47Speaker 1: up here with science. The last part of the definition
- 15:50Speaker 1: is that it's systematic and it's methodical, and it requires
- 15:54Speaker 1: testing and experiments, and it requires those experiments and tests
- 16:00Speaker 1: uh to be repeated and verified, and it is is
- 16:04Speaker 1: it's a system. It's a way of working things out.
- 16:08Speaker 1: It's a way of working That is the scientific method basically, Yeah,
- 16:11Speaker 1: you have your idea, you pose a question, you theorize
- 16:16Speaker 1: hyper you put a hypothesis out there, and then you
- 16:19Speaker 1: go about trying to either prove it or disprove it. Yeah, exactly.
- 16:22Speaker 1: And then the way that you go about proving or
- 16:24Speaker 1: disproving it, that's the scientific method. Everything else is just
- 16:28Speaker 1: scientific inquiry. The way you go about, the standardized way
- 16:32Speaker 1: of going about scientific inquiry is the scientific method. And
- 16:35Speaker 1: we friend, we'll talk about the scientific method right after this.
- 16:52Speaker 1: All right, you brought up a point. I think we
- 16:54Speaker 1: should go ahead and just get right to my friend.
- 16:57Speaker 1: Let's do hypotheses and theories. One thing to say together, No,
- 17:03Speaker 1: One thing that really chase my hide is, uh, when
- 17:08Speaker 1: you hear poopo ors of whatever scientific theory say, well,
- 17:12Speaker 1: it's just a theory. And you where was this thing
- 17:14Speaker 1: that you found that poo pooed that? Do you remember
- 17:18Speaker 1: what website that was? No? No, although I do want
- 17:23Speaker 1: to give a shout out now that you mentioned it.
- 17:24Speaker 1: Two explorables. It's like an online university basically of free courses,
- 17:30Speaker 1: and uh, there is one on scientific reasoning that is
- 17:34Speaker 1: just amazing. It's like a huge rabbit hole. You go
- 17:37Speaker 1: down and you start clicking on the embedded links and
- 17:39Speaker 1: you end up like understanding all sorts of stuff. So
- 17:43Speaker 1: go check that one out if you like understanding stuff.
- 17:46Speaker 1: So that's one of the things that bug me if
- 17:48Speaker 1: someone says it's just a theory, and this does a
- 17:50Speaker 1: great job of kind of throwing that out the window. Um,
- 17:54Speaker 1: because it's basically mixing up the two definitions of theory. Yeah,
- 17:58Speaker 1: there's like a colloquial definition that people use every day
- 18:02Speaker 1: that it doesn't really have much to do with the
- 18:04Speaker 1: scientific use. Like, I got a theory that Jerry entered
- 18:08Speaker 1: one hour bathroom breaks every day is really playing uh
- 18:12Speaker 1: words with friends in the lobby. I think your theory
- 18:16Speaker 1: is correct. So that's a theory in the colloquial meaning.
- 18:21Speaker 1: As far as science goes, the theory is not just
- 18:24Speaker 1: something you postulate, say if this may or may not
- 18:27Speaker 1: be true. The theory is beyond the hypothesis, and it's
- 18:30Speaker 1: something that is strongly supported in many different ways and
- 18:35Speaker 1: all there's all kinds of evidence to support something that
- 18:38Speaker 1: eventually becomes a theory. Right, So, um, what you your
- 18:42Speaker 1: theory about Jerry's bathroom breaks in the scientific world would
- 18:45Speaker 1: be a hypothesis. In fact, yeah, it would be a
- 18:50Speaker 1: scientific law, but ultimately it would begin as a hypothesis,
- 18:54Speaker 1: a hunch based on intuition, based on the data you've collected, observeyations,
- 19:00Speaker 1: that kind of stuff. Where like, you know, you've seen
- 19:03Speaker 1: that Jerry goes to the bathroom for like an hour
- 19:06Speaker 1: to stretch frequently. When she comes back, she's um finishing
- 19:10Speaker 1: up a game of words with friends. You've heard that
- 19:15Speaker 1: she's been spotted in the lobby during these times. So
- 19:18Speaker 1: your hypothesis is that while she is gone for these
- 19:22Speaker 1: hour long bathroom breaks, she's actually down the lobby playing
- 19:24Speaker 1: words with friends. Right, based on knowledge, observation, and logic. Right,
- 19:28Speaker 1: So let's say that you decided to set up an experiment,
- 19:31Speaker 1: and you experimented, and you went and you found Jerry
- 19:34Speaker 1: playing words with friends five different times, and you told
- 19:38Speaker 1: me about it, and I was like, I'm going to
- 19:40Speaker 1: run that same experiment exactly the way you did, Right,
- 19:44Speaker 1: I would test that same hypothesis. If I found the
- 19:47Speaker 1: same results to be true, then what you would have
- 19:49Speaker 1: come up with, your hypothesis would move to basically a
- 19:52Speaker 1: theory that is, this widely accepted thing, this explanation that
- 19:57Speaker 1: Jerry is not actually in the bad room, she's downstairs
- 20:01Speaker 1: playing with friends. Would be the Jerry bathroom break theory,
- 20:05Speaker 1: that's right. And then if it turns out that you
- 20:09Speaker 1: find that Jerry spending an hour a day pretending to
- 20:13Speaker 1: be in the bathroom but actually being downstairs playing words
- 20:17Speaker 1: with friends, if the universe couldn't exist without her doing
- 20:22Speaker 1: that every day, you would have a scientific law. That's right. Yeah,
- 20:28Speaker 1: I think that was a good example you came up
- 20:30Speaker 1: with as a great example. As it turns out. Uh,
- 20:34Speaker 1: I guess the point here is when you hear someone
- 20:36Speaker 1: say in an argument, well, that's just a theory, just
- 20:40Speaker 1: punch him in the head and then tell them what
- 20:42Speaker 1: we just said about the bathroom breaks and they'll say,
- 20:45Speaker 1: who's Jerry? Or just just queue up that whole bit
- 20:49Speaker 1: and stand outside of their window wearing a trench coat
- 20:52Speaker 1: and holding a boom box over your head with the
- 20:54Speaker 1: smug look on your face. Uh all right, So should
- 20:58Speaker 1: we go back in the old way back machine a
- 21:01Speaker 1: little bit and just talk a little bit about how
- 21:03Speaker 1: the scientific method came to be? Yes, man, this this thing,
- 21:15Speaker 1: what are you running this on these days? Straight? Kerosene?
- 21:19Speaker 1: The fumes in here killing me. Sorry about that? Trying
- 21:23Speaker 1: to go green? You know, kerosene is not green diesel.
- 21:27Speaker 1: Maybe I'm choking bio diesel. How about that? Okay, the
- 21:32Speaker 1: way Back machine will run French freed grease. That would
- 21:34Speaker 1: be fine. I'll get to work on that. I could
- 21:37Speaker 1: handle this. So you you tease us with the Renaissance,
- 21:40Speaker 1: and the reason the Renaissance was so awesome and necessary
- 21:43Speaker 1: it was because of something else we talked about, which
- 21:46Speaker 1: was the Dark Ages, Uh when, which you remember, that's
- 21:50Speaker 1: the rationalists disparaging term for this era. That's right, but
- 21:56Speaker 1: I think sort of rightfully so because right before the
- 22:00Speaker 1: Dark Ages until about a century after, there was not
- 22:03Speaker 1: much advancement at all in the realm of scientific advancement.
- 22:08Speaker 1: Uh No, it's it's true. That's hard to argue with that,
- 22:11Speaker 1: and and the reason why is again, science wasn't really
- 22:14Speaker 1: born yet, and there is a huge struggle between rationalism
- 22:17Speaker 1: and mysticism, and ultimately we're living in the age of
- 22:21Speaker 1: rationalism now. Yeah, and we should point out too that
- 22:24Speaker 1: this was mainly in Europe over the Islamic world. As
- 22:28Speaker 1: I think we had a listener mail point out, there
- 22:30Speaker 1: are a lot of advancements being made uh just sort
- 22:33Speaker 1: of flying under the European radar at the time, because
- 22:37Speaker 1: some say the Catholic Church kind of kept science under
- 22:40Speaker 1: its thumb for a while, and it's a pretty big threat.
- 22:45Speaker 1: He said, you know, you can't do this stuff, you
- 22:47Speaker 1: can't experiment like this, and don't ask these questions because
- 22:51Speaker 1: here are your answers. But eventually the Renaissance came about
- 22:54Speaker 1: in the twelfth century and people woke up and I
- 22:58Speaker 1: saw some of the work in the Islamic world and said,
- 23:00Speaker 1: you know what, maybe let's start reading up on Aristotle
- 23:03Speaker 1: and told me and euclid it once again. Yeah, they're like,
- 23:06Speaker 1: we forgot about these guys. I mean, it literally kind
- 23:09Speaker 1: of vanished for a while. It did from the West. Yes,
- 23:12Speaker 1: fortunately it was still around, you know, and in its
- 23:15Speaker 1: home places. But yes, in the West they were lost.
- 23:18Speaker 1: The Roman stuff was almost entirely lost because it was
- 23:21Speaker 1: being suppressed by the locals, and I think the Greek
- 23:24Speaker 1: knowledge was completely banished. Yes, somehow somehow they got there
- 23:28Speaker 1: was some um. We got another listener mail after the Enlightenment.
- 23:31Speaker 1: One they said that it was an Islamic scholar who
- 23:35Speaker 1: was the one who translated Aristotle into Latin. Or something
- 23:41Speaker 1: like that, and that without this guy, like the West
- 23:44Speaker 1: wouldn't have had much to start with, because that's where
- 23:47Speaker 1: that birth of rationalism came from from, was this rediscovery
- 23:50Speaker 1: of Greek and Roman classical thought, and this was the
- 23:55Speaker 1: basis of scientific inquiry of rationalism, of saying, like, okay,
- 23:59Speaker 1: there's there's set rules to things, and we need to
- 24:01Speaker 1: discover these rules and how the principles of how the
- 24:04Speaker 1: universe works, like there has to be principles, and we
- 24:07Speaker 1: need to find this in a rational, methodical way. And
- 24:10Speaker 1: right out of the gate Europe said, oh, okay, well
- 24:13Speaker 1: whatever you say is right then, Aristotle. We're used to
- 24:16Speaker 1: just believing everything without questioning it. And luckily Albert Magnus,
- 24:20Speaker 1: I think is who it was. Um Albertus was Albertus Magnus.
- 24:24Speaker 1: Roger Bacon, who said, no, it is Bacon, Roger Bacon,
- 24:28Speaker 1: who just has this great name, Roger Bacon, the Bacon brothers. Yeah,
- 24:32Speaker 1: he's they weren't brothers though, but they were they related
- 24:36Speaker 1: at all? You know. I looked that up and I
- 24:38Speaker 1: don't think people know either way. I don't think there's
- 24:41Speaker 1: any proof, but a lot of people think because of
- 24:44Speaker 1: their names and the way things went back then, that
- 24:46Speaker 1: they may very well have been. And I mean they
- 24:49Speaker 1: were separated by three or so years. Although Roger was
- 24:52Speaker 1: a was a monk, so he would not have had children.
- 24:56Speaker 1: So if they were, it's an excellent point. It wasn't
- 24:59Speaker 1: necessarily through line, you know. Yeah, it could have been
- 25:02Speaker 1: a nephew or something, or his brother Kevin might have
- 25:06Speaker 1: had the line that matched. So Roger was the one
- 25:09Speaker 1: who said, everybody stopped. Just because Aristotle wrote something doesn't
- 25:13Speaker 1: mean it's fact, especially when we find contradictions to it.
- 25:18Speaker 1: It doesn't oursells not automatically, right, And this is a
- 25:21Speaker 1: huge advancement. Yeah, And Albertus Magnus was the one, I
- 25:25Speaker 1: believe who said, you know, this thing called revealed truth,
- 25:30Speaker 1: which is basically God says this instead of a truth
- 25:34Speaker 1: found by experimenting, is maybe we should experiment instead and
- 25:39Speaker 1: not take this revealed truth as the truth. Right. And
- 25:42Speaker 1: we mentioned in that Enlightenment episode as well about scholasticism
- 25:46Speaker 1: about using scientific inquiry to explain theology, which was, you know,
- 25:52Speaker 1: you're still working from a theological standpoint, right, but you're
- 25:55Speaker 1: starting to use scientific inquiry and the the idea that
- 26:00Speaker 1: you shouldn't just accept things as truth. That was again
- 26:03Speaker 1: a huge, huge breakthrough. Yeah. Uh. Francis Bacon, the other
- 26:07Speaker 1: Bacon brother, he's one of the heroes of this story. Yeah.
- 26:10Speaker 1: He was an attorney and philosopher and possibly Shakespeare. Oh really,
- 26:16Speaker 1: I never heard that? Interesting, So what do you mean
- 26:21Speaker 1: like wrote those under the pseudonym? Huh? And there the
- 26:25Speaker 1: Shakespeare sister was the other theory too, right, it was
- 26:27Speaker 1: a woman. I've heard that, and she couldn't like, you know,
- 26:30Speaker 1: women couldn't be the play right, so was her dumb
- 26:34Speaker 1: brother William? That's good? Was it a brother? I think
- 26:38Speaker 1: that was one of the theories. This is a good
- 26:41Speaker 1: Smith song too. Uh, Shakespeare sister was that the name
- 26:44Speaker 1: of it? Wouldn't it a band to you? I think
- 26:48Speaker 1: it was? What was it? Maybe? Uh? So anyway, he
- 26:52Speaker 1: was a philosopher and a lawyer, and he said, you
- 26:56Speaker 1: know what, the Baconian method basically became the scientific method.
- 27:02Speaker 1: He was the first dude who really said, this is
- 27:05Speaker 1: how the steps that you should take to uh investigate science.
- 27:10Speaker 1: There has to be a framework. And the whole point
- 27:12Speaker 1: of this that we take this so for granted now
- 27:15Speaker 1: because it's so intuitively and on its face right as
- 27:22Speaker 1: far as science inquiry, he goes, but this is an
- 27:24Speaker 1: enormous breakthrough to say, follow this step, these steps, this framework,
- 27:30Speaker 1: and if everybody who carries out science follows the same framework,
- 27:35Speaker 1: then science will be universal and interchangeable and anyone in
- 27:39Speaker 1: the world, and not just now, but anytime, we'll be
- 27:43Speaker 1: able to carry out the same experiment and we'll be
- 27:47Speaker 1: able to verify or disprove it. And that is amazing
- 27:52Speaker 1: that that happened. That's why Francis Bacon is one of
- 27:55Speaker 1: the heroes of the story. And he didn't come up
- 27:57Speaker 1: with this entirely on his own, but he was the
- 27:59Speaker 1: one who said, this is what we're gonna do. I'm
- 28:02Speaker 1: gonna give it a name. I'm going to spell it out,
- 28:04Speaker 1: and from now on you can call me the dad
- 28:08Speaker 1: of the scientific method. Yeah, and that's why Newton was
- 28:11Speaker 1: such a rock star, because he so rigorously stuck to
- 28:14Speaker 1: the scientific method that all these centuries later, his uh,
- 28:19Speaker 1: you know, his systems of laws are they have stood
- 28:22Speaker 1: the test of time. And uh, I think it's a
- 28:24Speaker 1: good point to bring up to that the collaboration of
- 28:28Speaker 1: scientists is really the hallmark of advancement and moving forward.
- 28:35Speaker 1: It's not working in a vacuum. It's sharing your ideas
- 28:38Speaker 1: and working with one another and the whole uh little
- 28:41Speaker 1: sidebar here on celth here I thought was pretty cool,
- 28:44Speaker 1: which was when science quit. We're not quit, but started
- 28:48Speaker 1: looking at small things instead of looking at the universe
- 28:51Speaker 1: around them and at the stars. And uh said basically,
- 28:56Speaker 1: you know, through the advancement of lens grinding, Antonio van
- 29:00Speaker 1: Levin Hook specifically Dutch tradesman was pretty good at making
- 29:05Speaker 1: simple microscopes, and all of a sudden, contemporaries like Robert
- 29:09Speaker 1: Hook said, you know what, let's start looking at tiny
- 29:11Speaker 1: things because they're in might lie the answer too many
- 29:14Speaker 1: many things. Yeah, and they're right. Robert Hook found cork
- 29:19Speaker 1: or he discovered cells by looking at cork through an
- 29:23Speaker 1: early microscope. So in this story, science is hastened by
- 29:27Speaker 1: technological advancement lens grinding to make microscopes, and then this
- 29:32Speaker 1: new technology is used to further science. Right. Yeah, it's
- 29:36Speaker 1: like mutual inspiration between Levin Hook and Hook n Hook.
- 29:41Speaker 1: It was neat because Hook heard about Leavin Hooks microscopes,
- 29:47Speaker 1: got his hands on one or a microscope, looked at
- 29:50Speaker 1: him like cork and said, oh, there's such a thing
- 29:52Speaker 1: as cells. Levin Hook said, oh, that's pretty neat. Let
- 29:56Speaker 1: me try, and he said, oh, there's such a thing
- 29:58Speaker 1: as quote little animal, which we call protozoan bacteria. And
- 30:03Speaker 1: one of the Royal Societies. After Leavin Hook presented his findings,
- 30:07Speaker 1: turned back to Hook and said, hey, Hook, we know
- 30:10Speaker 1: you're pretty handy with the microscope. You confirmed Leavin Hook's
- 30:13Speaker 1: findings are their little animals? Hook said, there are. Indeed,
- 30:18Speaker 1: I can see them with my microscope. That's right. And
- 30:20Speaker 1: that inspired a German botanist name Matthias Schleiden ah to
- 30:26Speaker 1: look at a lot of plants and he was the
- 30:29Speaker 1: first guy to say, you know what, plants are composed
- 30:31Speaker 1: of cells. And he's having dinner one night with his
- 30:34Speaker 1: zoologist buddy. Yeah, and this is about a hundred years later. Yeah,
- 30:37Speaker 1: Theodore schran and said, you know what, dude, Uh, order
- 30:42Speaker 1: the wine and order the steak. Trust me, because this
- 30:45Speaker 1: place is fantastic. And uh, also, plants are made of cells.
- 30:51Speaker 1: Don't tell anyone. And he went, you know what, dude,
- 30:53Speaker 1: I have been investigating animals with microscopes and they're made
- 30:57Speaker 1: of cells too. And so they figured out at this dinner, Yeah,
- 31:00Speaker 1: that everything is made of cells. All living things are
- 31:03Speaker 1: made of cells. Boom. Okay, so this is huge. This
- 31:06Speaker 1: is a big advancement, right that we're hitting upon right now.
- 31:10Speaker 1: But it laid the further foundation, right, So initial scientific
- 31:14Speaker 1: inquiry led to further scientific inquiry and further scientific conclusions
- 31:20Speaker 1: and generalizations. All living things are made of cells, and
- 31:23Speaker 1: then it was extrapolated elsewhere. Right. Yeah, Like twenty years later,
- 31:27Speaker 1: Rudolph Virtual said, you know what, not only is everything
- 31:32Speaker 1: made of living cells, but they all come from pre
- 31:35Speaker 1: existing cells, which was a huge deal at the time
- 31:38Speaker 1: because people believed in spontaneous generation at the time, Like
- 31:42Speaker 1: if you left some um wheat seed and a sweaty shirt,
- 31:46Speaker 1: it would spawn mice. I think it was one of them.
- 31:50Speaker 1: There's a lot of weird ones pressed basil between some
- 31:53Speaker 1: bricks and you'll get a scorpion. Was one, like they
- 31:57Speaker 1: were really out there. Yeah, well the one that is
- 32:00Speaker 1: well not true, but the one that you could actually
- 32:02Speaker 1: see was rotten meat would eventually, uh spawn maggots. How
- 32:07Speaker 1: did they possibly get there? Yeah, spontaneous generation. But that's
- 32:10Speaker 1: the obvious explanation. And if you think about it, they're
- 32:13Speaker 1: working from Okam's razor and ocams. Razor says, the simplest
- 32:16Speaker 1: explanation is usually the right one, all all other things given. Well,
- 32:21Speaker 1: the thing is is spontaneous generation has never been shown
- 32:24Speaker 1: to be possible. If we get the sell thing over here,
- 32:28Speaker 1: let's investigate that. So this uh what was the guy's name? Virtual? Yes,
- 32:34Speaker 1: he's saying, okay, well, wait a minute, I get this
- 32:37Speaker 1: cell theory I'm working on that's been around for a
- 32:39Speaker 1: couple of decades. Hypothesis probably the cell hypothesis at the
- 32:43Speaker 1: nice catch. Don't feel bad though, because this article that
- 32:46Speaker 1: you sent said that scientists today like still like confuse
- 32:50Speaker 1: those terms just and there. The House of Works article
- 32:54Speaker 1: makes a good point in saying that science and everything
- 32:57Speaker 1: that has to do with it is in the scientific
- 32:59Speaker 1: method is very luid and open new interpretation and experimentation. Obviously,
- 33:05Speaker 1: but so he says, um, okay, this cell hypothesis, this
- 33:08Speaker 1: is a pretty good explanation for what we now call
- 33:13Speaker 1: spontaneous generation. He didn't do anything about it, He just
- 33:16Speaker 1: put it out there. Yeah, and then along comes Louis Pastier,
- 33:20Speaker 1: who does do something about it. He figures out a
- 33:22Speaker 1: great experiment to try to disprove spontaneous generation. Yeah, it's
- 33:28Speaker 1: pretty simple too. Um. He basically took a broth uh,
- 33:33Speaker 1: put equal amounts in two different beakers. One had a
- 33:36Speaker 1: straight neck and one had an S shaped neck. He
- 33:39Speaker 1: boiled it just to make sure everything and it was killed,
- 33:42Speaker 1: and then just let it sit there in the same conditions,
- 33:45Speaker 1: open to the to the world and are open to
- 33:48Speaker 1: the room like. It wasn't corked in other words, nor
- 33:52Speaker 1: he noticed that the one with the straight neck eventually
- 33:55Speaker 1: became cloudy and discolored, uh, meaning there was some junk
- 33:58Speaker 1: growing in there, and one in the S shaped neck
- 34:01Speaker 1: did not do anything. It remained the same. So think
- 34:06Speaker 1: what well, he thought that germs, that there were such
- 34:09Speaker 1: things as germs which leaving hoke and hook had already
- 34:12Speaker 1: shown um, And that if that in the S shaped
- 34:17Speaker 1: flask they had gotten trapped in the neck, in this
- 34:20Speaker 1: the open neck, they had been able to just enter
- 34:23Speaker 1: unobstructed and had generated there. The reason that the S
- 34:28Speaker 1: shape flask was still sterile was because there is no
- 34:31Speaker 1: such thing as spontaneous generation. If there were, then no
- 34:35Speaker 1: S shaped neck would impede anything like that, and boom,
- 34:39Speaker 1: there you have it. So he disproved that spontaneous generation
- 34:45Speaker 1: is a thing right through the scientific method. Exactly. Here's
- 34:50Speaker 1: the leap that a lot of people make, scientists included,
- 34:53Speaker 1: that really is a great disservice to science. He didn't
- 34:56Speaker 1: prove cell theory, right. What he did is take that
- 35:00Speaker 1: cell hypothesis and present some really persuasive evidence that it's
- 35:08Speaker 1: probably right. Yeah. But like this article you sent points out,
- 35:12Speaker 1: disproving something is just as important as proving something. So
- 35:15Speaker 1: here's the thing that's the most you can hope for
- 35:17Speaker 1: a science is disproving sure with science, unless you're talking
- 35:20Speaker 1: about math. With science, there's no such thing as proof.
- 35:24Speaker 1: A theory, even a law, universal law still has the
- 35:27Speaker 1: potential for being undermined by one single experiment, one single observation,
- 35:33Speaker 1: and therefore there is no real ultimate proof in science.
- 35:37Speaker 1: There's just theories and support for theories, and then ultimately
- 35:42Speaker 1: laws aim further and further support for laws, right, but
- 35:47Speaker 1: they're not proven. What science does ultimately is disproved things
- 35:53Speaker 1: or lend support for existing theories, are existing interpretations of
- 35:57Speaker 1: why things happen the way they do. And that's what
- 36:00Speaker 1: Pasture did. So if you look at the experiment, he
- 36:03Speaker 1: disproved spontaneous generation, but he lent support to the cell theory,
- 36:08Speaker 1: and probably with his experiment it went from the cell
- 36:10Speaker 1: hypothesis to the cell theory because it was just so persuasive.
- 36:15Speaker 1: And that's what a theory is. It means that a
- 36:17Speaker 1: lot of people out there who are reasonable say this
- 36:21Speaker 1: explanation is probably the right one. Yeah, it's predictive. If
- 36:24Speaker 1: you do it over and over, you're probably going to
- 36:26Speaker 1: get the same result. But that's not to say that
- 36:29Speaker 1: Pastures showed that if you do this a million in
- 36:32Speaker 1: one times that the S shaped flask won't turn cloudy.
- 36:38Speaker 1: He didn't prove that. You can't prove that, which is
- 36:40Speaker 1: again science can disprove and lent support can't prove a
- 36:45Speaker 1: very good point. So right after this message break, we're
- 36:48Speaker 1: going to get into the actual steps of the scientific method. Alright, dude,
- 37:04Speaker 1: I guess that long last we're there. Like you mentioned before,
- 37:08Speaker 1: the scientific method is fluid, and it's not like when
- 37:12Speaker 1: you get your science degree they hand you a little
- 37:15Speaker 1: laminated card like the Miranda rights that cop scary that
- 37:20Speaker 1: you know, list out all the different steps you have
- 37:22Speaker 1: to take. Um, But generally maybe I would we should
- 37:27Speaker 1: carry those around, all right, we should make little wallet
- 37:29Speaker 1: cards of the scientific method just to carry stuff you
- 37:32Speaker 1: should know about. Go on it. Oh yeah, I'll make
- 37:34Speaker 1: a million buttons random and sell them. Uh. Generally speaking, though,
- 37:39Speaker 1: it follows these steps. The first thing you do, like
- 37:42Speaker 1: we mentioned earlier, is you observe something. You ask a question.
- 37:46Speaker 1: Uh next, Like Darwin was known, I think when we
- 37:49Speaker 1: did our podcast on him too, he would spend like
- 37:52Speaker 1: a week on three square feet of ground. It was
- 37:56Speaker 1: like even longer than that. Remember, remember, wasn't it he
- 37:59Speaker 1: said that he did. He wasn't gonna MOA's lawn for
- 38:01Speaker 1: like three years because he wanted to see what what happened? Yeah,
- 38:04Speaker 1: so he's the ultimate and qualitative data of just observing,
- 38:08Speaker 1: writing things down and asking questions. And the reason you
- 38:12Speaker 1: ask your question is so you can narrow something down
- 38:17Speaker 1: like that. I think the example they use in here
- 38:18Speaker 1: is on Galapa ghosts, like the beaks of what bird?
- 38:22Speaker 1: Was it? Yeah? The finch bird. He noticed a bunch
- 38:25Speaker 1: of different beaks, so he finally posted a question like, um,
- 38:29Speaker 1: you know, I think these beaks are different for a
- 38:30Speaker 1: very specific reason, and I to find out why. Yes,
- 38:34Speaker 1: he said, what caused the diversification of finches on Gallopagus?
- 38:39Speaker 1: Who you should have done that with an accent. Well, yeah,
- 38:43Speaker 1: he would have had a British accent. Huh yeah, unless
- 38:46Speaker 1: he was pretending to be someone else. I think of
- 38:48Speaker 1: him as like, um, sounding like Hemingway or something. Oh yeah,
- 38:52Speaker 1: just drunken, violent kind of. But he wasn't. He was
- 38:55Speaker 1: like the opposite of that. Yeah. Well I saw that
- 38:58Speaker 1: the movie. Saw a picture his voice as the dude
- 39:03Speaker 1: that played him, who I can't remember right now, ed Norton. No,
- 39:09Speaker 1: I finally saw a birdman. Tho did you see that? Yeah?
- 39:13Speaker 1: Great movie? Um, I disagree you didn't like it? What? Wow?
- 39:19Speaker 1: That surprises me. Um, we'll get into that off year.
- 39:25Speaker 1: So uh sorry, you just threw me with that. And
- 39:30Speaker 1: he's on galapagost and he's like, what the heck with
- 39:32Speaker 1: all these different finches one small island? Why would there
- 39:35Speaker 1: be different species of finch so and why are they
- 39:39Speaker 1: all seeming to survive and coexist so? Well, what's what
- 39:44Speaker 1: makes Yeah? Then he leads to the question, what's making
- 39:47Speaker 1: all of these species of finches so diverse? Right? Or?
- 39:50Speaker 1: Bill Harris uses a pretty good example. That's something everyone
- 39:54Speaker 1: can understand, Like what car body shape is the best
- 39:58Speaker 1: for air resistance? Like one the shape like a box,
- 40:01Speaker 1: or one the shape like aerodynamic, like a bird, and
- 40:04Speaker 1: he carries that out. In the next step, you formulate
- 40:07Speaker 1: your hypothesis based on your you know, for knowledge and
- 40:13Speaker 1: maybe observations, like so, you know what, I think that
- 40:16Speaker 1: a car shaped like a bird is probably more aerodynamic
- 40:19Speaker 1: than one shape like a box. Yeah, if you're thinking,
- 40:21Speaker 1: if you're the type of person who's sitting around asking
- 40:23Speaker 1: questions about aerodynamics, you probably already have some sort of
- 40:26Speaker 1: sense that a box is less aerodynamic than a bird.
- 40:30Speaker 1: Boxes rarely fly unless they're carried by one of those
- 40:33Speaker 1: delightful Amazon delivery drones. They don't have those yet, right,
- 40:39Speaker 1: They're not gonna do that, are they. There's like a
- 40:42Speaker 1: pizza delivery drone service. Man, I think where you have
- 40:47Speaker 1: PiZZ are grilled cheese in New York and you go
- 40:50Speaker 1: stand on an XF you order and it like comes
- 40:52Speaker 1: and drops it. That is the dumbest thing of it.
- 40:55Speaker 1: And I can't wait to do it where they're making
- 40:58Speaker 1: a lot of money. Let's pretty funny. Um, Yet we
- 41:01Speaker 1: can't get food to the homeless somehow exactly, we can
- 41:04Speaker 1: drop a grilled cheese on someone's head. They're like you
- 41:06Speaker 1: homeless guy, get off that X exactly. Um, alright, So
- 41:11Speaker 1: your hypothesis, I don't think we ever mentioned, is typically
- 41:14Speaker 1: represented as an if then statement. Yeah, if you're doing
- 41:18Speaker 1: good sciences, Yeah, like if the cars profile. Uh, well,
- 41:25Speaker 1: the the example he uses if the body's profile related
- 41:28Speaker 1: to the amount of air it produces, which is the
- 41:31Speaker 1: more general statement. Yeah, that's like based on a theory. Yeah,
- 41:34Speaker 1: and it's gonna get more specific than the car designed
- 41:36Speaker 1: like the body of a bird will be more aerodynamic
- 41:39Speaker 1: than one like a box. So that's inductive reasoning, starting
- 41:42Speaker 1: with a broad statement and going to something narrow, and
- 41:46Speaker 1: it's if then at the same time. Yeah, and now
- 41:49Speaker 1: you have a test. You have a question that can
- 41:51Speaker 1: be answered, you can figure out a way to answer it. Yeah,
- 41:54Speaker 1: And he points out to this is pretty important that, uh,
- 41:57Speaker 1: your hypothesis, if it's formulated correctly, means it is testable
- 42:01Speaker 1: and it's falsifiable, which are often one and the same,
- 42:06Speaker 1: you know. Yeah, And that's again we go to the
- 42:08Speaker 1: people who say that they're they're soft sciences aren't real science.
- 42:14Speaker 1: There's pseudoscience because a lot of the data that they
- 42:17Speaker 1: come up with, a lot of the hypotheses they come
- 42:19Speaker 1: up with aren't falsifiable, they're not testable. It's a it's
- 42:24Speaker 1: a thing, it's an issue, it's a thing. So next
- 42:27Speaker 1: up in the steps, you're gonna experiment. And when you experiment,
- 42:33Speaker 1: you can't just go in there willy nilly and do
- 42:34Speaker 1: whatever you want. Um, you have to set up specific
- 42:37Speaker 1: conditions and they must be controlled, and you want to
- 42:41Speaker 1: everything that's supposed to be identical needs to be identical.
- 42:45Speaker 1: So basically, you have two variables. At least, you have
- 42:48Speaker 1: an independent variable and you have a dependent variable. And
- 42:52Speaker 1: if you're talking about car shape, that is the independent
- 42:56Speaker 1: variable in this study, that's the one that's manipulated exactly,
- 43:00Speaker 1: it's the one you're controlling. The independent variable is the
- 43:03Speaker 1: one you, the researcher, is controlling. So in this case,
- 43:06Speaker 1: you're controlling the shape of the car. You have yourself
- 43:10Speaker 1: a bird shaped car and you have yourself a box
- 43:13Speaker 1: shaped car. So the shape of the car changed because
- 43:16Speaker 1: you made it change. Now, when you blast a bunch
- 43:19Speaker 1: of air over it during your experiment, what you're measuring
- 43:22Speaker 1: is the dependent variable. So you're measuring what happens based
- 43:27Speaker 1: on the change that you made. That's right, and you
- 43:30Speaker 1: want to you, you want to study one single variable
- 43:33Speaker 1: at a time, basically, yeah, don't get fancy, just just
- 43:36Speaker 1: do good science, step by step methodical. You also have
- 43:39Speaker 1: to have your control group in any experiment, uh, and
- 43:42Speaker 1: an experimental group and the controlled group is what's gonna
- 43:47Speaker 1: allow you to compare the test results to that baseline measurement. Yeah,
- 43:52Speaker 1: and you need that baseline measurement, so it's not just
- 43:55Speaker 1: like chance. Basically exactly like if Pastor had just done
- 43:59Speaker 1: the S shaped now can nothing happen? He wouldn't have
- 44:02Speaker 1: necessarily been able to say that he was right, even
- 44:05Speaker 1: though he was right, he needed that control, which was
- 44:08Speaker 1: the open flask, right. Or with the cars, you need
- 44:11Speaker 1: two cars, like you said, one bird shaped and one
- 44:14Speaker 1: box shaped, right, Or then maybe in this case, since
- 44:17Speaker 1: the bird shape and the box shape both show up
- 44:19Speaker 1: in the hypothsis, you need a third like egg shaped
- 44:22Speaker 1: one or something like that. I bet that would be
- 44:24Speaker 1: pretty streamline. Yeah. Yeah. But the key though, is all
- 44:30Speaker 1: of those variables have to be um. All the other
- 44:32Speaker 1: variables have to be the same, like you have to
- 44:34Speaker 1: have them. They have to be the same weight, they
- 44:37Speaker 1: have to be painted the same, the tires, everything, the windows,
- 44:41Speaker 1: one can't have an antenna on the other not They've
- 44:43Speaker 1: all they've got to be identical other than the one variable, right,
- 44:46Speaker 1: the independent variable that you're that's the one you want different.
- 44:50Speaker 1: Everything else you want the same, or else it's possible that, oh,
- 44:53Speaker 1: well this one had bigger tires, so that actually made
- 44:56Speaker 1: it more aerodynamic. Yeah, and you're just doing yourself a
- 44:59Speaker 1: favor by doing all that stuff. You know, you want
- 45:02Speaker 1: to rule out everything else but that one variable. After that,
- 45:06Speaker 1: you want to analyze your data so you can draw
- 45:10Speaker 1: your conclusion. And sometimes it's kind of straightforward and easy.
- 45:15Speaker 1: Sometimes takes a lot of work and a lot of
- 45:18Speaker 1: various tools. Let's say you're just blasting a car and
- 45:23Speaker 1: a wind tunnel. You're measuring the wind resistance using certain
- 45:27Speaker 1: awesome instruments and that kind of stuff, and you're taking
- 45:30Speaker 1: that data, and then afterwards you're gonna analyze. You're gonna
- 45:33Speaker 1: compare the data that you gathered from the bird shaped
- 45:37Speaker 1: car the box shaped car, and then the control the
- 45:40Speaker 1: egg shaped car. You're gonna compare them and you're gonna say, well,
- 45:43Speaker 1: the wind resistance was less for the bird shaped car
- 45:47Speaker 1: then the box shaped car, which means that my hypothesis
- 45:52Speaker 1: was correct, and here all the data points, whereas Louis
- 45:55Speaker 1: paste or could just say look at the beakers exactly.
- 45:59Speaker 1: Don't be an idiot it I'm a scientist. That one's
- 46:02Speaker 1: got gross stuff. You can see it, right. But the
- 46:06Speaker 1: other thing about science to chuck ideally is let's say
- 46:10Speaker 1: that egg shaped one turned out the control group turned
- 46:14Speaker 1: out to have better wind resistance than anything. Well, just
- 46:17Speaker 1: by virtue of carrying out this experiment correctly, you would
- 46:20Speaker 1: have stumbled upon an even better aerodynamic design, and you
- 46:24Speaker 1: would have come up with that little egg shaped Mercedes
- 46:27Speaker 1: suv that was so huge, like ten years ago, the
- 46:30Speaker 1: Mercedes egg coming to a store near you. So um.
- 46:35Speaker 1: That's a big, big part of the scientific method is
- 46:39Speaker 1: carrying out a a an experiment, controlling the variables, analyzing
- 46:46Speaker 1: the data. And then there's a step that he missed
- 46:49Speaker 1: that is very rarely part of a scientific method list
- 46:54Speaker 1: that is to share your data. And this is a
- 46:57Speaker 1: huge problem with science right now. The article you said
- 47:00Speaker 1: it was really eye opening. Uh, scientific research has changed
- 47:03Speaker 1: the world. Now it needs to change itself. It's an
- 47:05Speaker 1: economist article. It's up on the internet. Yeah, it was
- 47:08Speaker 1: kind of scary that it's I mean, here's some of
- 47:12Speaker 1: the data he points out is one rule of thumb
- 47:15Speaker 1: among biotech venture capitalists is about half published research can't
- 47:21Speaker 1: even be replicated. And on the biotech firm and Jin
- 47:25Speaker 1: found that they could reproduce only six of their fifty
- 47:28Speaker 1: three landmark studies in cancer research. So you can't repeat
- 47:32Speaker 1: these things. It's like everyone's fighting for dollars in fame,
- 47:37Speaker 1: and maybe not fame, but to some of our career
- 47:39Speaker 1: advancements such that they're kind of not doing that final
- 47:43Speaker 1: step any longer. No, and it's not necessarily just them,
- 47:47Speaker 1: it's the other scientists aren't going back and saying, well,
- 47:50Speaker 1: let me see if your results are reproducible. People are
- 47:54Speaker 1: just taking it on faith. We need another Roger Bacon
- 47:58Speaker 1: to come along and be like, dude, we can't as
- 48:00Speaker 1: blindly accept that one person carried out this one study
- 48:03Speaker 1: and then just go do clinical trials on it without
- 48:06Speaker 1: anybody reproducing it to see if the results can be
- 48:10Speaker 1: verified independently. Yeah. Because uh, and this is a good
- 48:13Speaker 1: time to mention bias. There is such a thing as bias,
- 48:16Speaker 1: and it still happens. Um. A scientist is usually out
- 48:22Speaker 1: to prove something or disprove something that they want a
- 48:26Speaker 1: specific result. Like, even if you're super open minded, you're
- 48:30Speaker 1: probably hoping to disprove or prove something one way or
- 48:34Speaker 1: the other, and your confirmation bias might you know, even
- 48:38Speaker 1: if you don't think you're doing it, you might nudge
- 48:41Speaker 1: out some results that don't support your hypothesis, and so
- 48:44Speaker 1: you won't make it into that awesome journal um which
- 48:50Speaker 1: this author points out that journals need to start uh
- 48:54Speaker 1: putting in what he calls uninteresting results and experiments right
- 48:59Speaker 1: or like this if it's not sexy, right, or studies
- 49:02Speaker 1: that failed to show that their hypothesis was correct. Stuff
- 49:06Speaker 1: is disproved. Those things still need to well not even disproved. Well, yeah,
- 49:10Speaker 1: I guess it is disproved, but yes, like the guy
- 49:12Speaker 1: set out to say, like the red balloon uses less
- 49:17Speaker 1: helium than a silver balloon, and it turns out that
- 49:20Speaker 1: now they use the same amount of helium. Well, if
- 49:23Speaker 1: that study gets published and put out there into the
- 49:26Speaker 1: scientific literature on helium and balloons, then it's going to
- 49:30Speaker 1: prevent some other scientists down the road from wasting time, money,
- 49:33Speaker 1: and helium, which, as you'll remember, is an increasingly needed commodity. UM.
- 49:39Speaker 1: By carrying out the same experiment, whether whether the results
- 49:43Speaker 1: are positive or negative, or what the study is meant
- 49:47Speaker 1: to be shared. And that's the point of the scientific method,
- 49:49Speaker 1: is to to reduce bias. And if you follow it
- 49:52Speaker 1: all the way through ideally and do all of the steps,
- 49:54Speaker 1: including share your research whether it's happy or sad, then
- 50:00Speaker 1: science benefits. The world benefits, and by not doing that,
- 50:03Speaker 1: the world does not benefit. Yeah. He points out that
- 50:06Speaker 1: these days only four percent of published papers are quote
- 50:11Speaker 1: unquote negative results, and it used to be like or
- 50:15Speaker 1: more um And he says, because it's a lot of
- 50:18Speaker 1: it has to do with this sort of you know,
- 50:23Speaker 1: getting in these journals and you're the rockstar scientists and
- 50:25Speaker 1: this study is super sexy. Like if they kind of
- 50:28Speaker 1: quit going that route and made it what it should be,
- 50:30Speaker 1: then research dollars would be better spent and people could
- 50:35Speaker 1: you know, he said, the peer reviewed thing isn't even
- 50:37Speaker 1: all extract up to know that. He mentioned to study
- 50:40Speaker 1: from a medical journal that gave a bunch of peer
- 50:43Speaker 1: reviewers some stuff with deliberate errors inserted into the research,
- 50:49Speaker 1: into the studies, and even when they were told that
- 50:51Speaker 1: they were being tested to find this, they still missed
- 50:54Speaker 1: a lot of it. Yeah, so, yeah, the science used
- 50:57Speaker 1: to kind of re evaluate the way it's carrying out
- 50:59Speaker 1: sciences not science. The problem isn't science itself. The problem
- 51:04Speaker 1: isn't the scientific method. It's the way that it's being
- 51:06Speaker 1: used or not followed through. And a lot of it
- 51:08Speaker 1: has to do with academia and the people funding science. Yeah,
- 51:11Speaker 1: and he said, you know, these days there's a seven
- 51:14Speaker 1: million researchers, and back in the day, even in like
- 51:17Speaker 1: the nineteen fifties, there were like a few thousand maybe, right,
- 51:21Speaker 1: So there's just a lot of career competition, he calls
- 51:23Speaker 1: it careerism. And so you fake a result or two,
- 51:27Speaker 1: or you just nudge out some results that don't support
- 51:30Speaker 1: your hypothesis. You want the bigger paycheck or the fame
- 51:34Speaker 1: or notoriety, and all of a sudden, science is not science. Yeah,
- 51:39Speaker 1: you know, it's pseudoscience exactly. And speaking of pseudoscience, I
- 51:45Speaker 1: think we've reached the point where, um, we should talk
- 51:47Speaker 1: about the limitations of the scientific method, because it does
- 51:50Speaker 1: have its limits, right, Like the way that the scientific
- 51:54Speaker 1: method is set up, especially if you go through, um,
- 51:57Speaker 1: if you include falsification, which most science is now, say
- 52:01Speaker 1: is a thing like falsifiability of your hypothesis means that
- 52:05Speaker 1: you have a real scientific hypothesis there if it can
- 52:09Speaker 1: be disproven by some observation or some measurement or whatever,
- 52:13Speaker 1: then it's falsifiable. And if it's not falsifiable, then it's
- 52:16Speaker 1: not really science. So the thing is for something to
- 52:21Speaker 1: be falsifiable. And it was actually a philosopher that came
- 52:23Speaker 1: up with the concept of falsification, a guy named Carl
- 52:26Speaker 1: Popper in the ninet thirties, and he was the one
- 52:29Speaker 1: that said, like, you're you have to be able to
- 52:32Speaker 1: falsify something for it to be disproven or supported, and
- 52:36Speaker 1: if not, then it's pseudoscience. Well, part and parcel of
- 52:39Speaker 1: that is that what you're saying has to be able
- 52:42Speaker 1: to be detected empirically. There's some way that it has
- 52:46Speaker 1: to the presence of it has to be measured or inferred.
- 52:50Speaker 1: And so a lot of people say, well, then with
- 52:53Speaker 1: the scientific method it reaches it's the limits of its
- 52:57Speaker 1: current usefulness when it tries to explain the supernatural role.
- 53:01Speaker 1: When somebody says, like, are real exactly you can't prove that, well,
- 53:06Speaker 1: you also can't disprove it either, right, and So if
- 53:10Speaker 1: you are a scientist who says, uh, because the scientific
- 53:15Speaker 1: method can't prove or disprove the existence of ghosts or God,
- 53:20Speaker 1: there is no such thing as ghosts or God, you're
- 53:23Speaker 1: making a leap of faith just as much as the
- 53:27Speaker 1: same person who says science can't prove or disprove the
- 53:30Speaker 1: existence of ghosts or God, therefore God's and ghosts are real.
- 53:34Speaker 1: They're both leaps of faith. And that really the most
- 53:37Speaker 1: scientific approach to the existence of the supernatural, whether it
- 53:41Speaker 1: is a ghost or God, is that we simply don't know,
- 53:45Speaker 1: and that we cannot know scientifically. And but that doesn't
- 53:48Speaker 1: mean that it does exist or doesn't exist. And that's
- 53:51Speaker 1: saying that science shows that it does or doesn't exist,
- 53:54Speaker 1: is by by definition, the opposite of what science shows.
- 53:58Speaker 1: Science shows neither. It's not capable of showing or showing
- 54:03Speaker 1: that something doesn't exist. That's a good point. Uh. The
- 54:07Speaker 1: other place where science can get corrupted is when it
- 54:10Speaker 1: blurs the lines, or when people blur the lines between uh,
- 54:14Speaker 1: moral judgments and science value judgments. Like you can study
- 54:19Speaker 1: global warming, you can study cause and effect, you can
- 54:22Speaker 1: report data, But when you make that secondly to say,
- 54:27Speaker 1: and this is a scientist. I mean, someone can come
- 54:29Speaker 1: along and say global warming is bad, shouldn't drive your suv.
- 54:32Speaker 1: That's fine, But a scientist can't do a study and
- 54:36Speaker 1: say that because that's uh, that's a value judgment. And
- 54:40Speaker 1: that's where science can get corrupted pretty much. Right. You can.
- 54:44Speaker 1: You can study global warming and results until the cows
- 54:47Speaker 1: come home, but you can't assert that if you use
- 54:51Speaker 1: this lightbulb, you're a bad person, right, or um ocean
- 54:54Speaker 1: and acidification is bad. It's not good for humans, but
- 54:58Speaker 1: if you're a jelly fits it's awesome, you know. So, yes,
- 55:01Speaker 1: and again you made a great point. It's not science,
- 55:05Speaker 1: it's people using science to make value judgments. So ultimately,
- 55:10Speaker 1: the scientific method, although it does have its limitations in
- 55:14Speaker 1: that it needs empirical data, uh to prove or disprove something,
- 55:19Speaker 1: it's not that it's not flawed. That's not a flaw.
- 55:23Speaker 1: That's a limitation, and it's it's when it's misused then
- 55:27Speaker 1: it its results become flawed or skewed, and that's the
- 55:31Speaker 1: people doming it. Man, not science, that's right. It's pretty
- 55:34Speaker 1: interesting stuff. Yeah, man, this is a good one. I
- 55:37Speaker 1: thought so too. Man. Let us start out with a
- 55:39Speaker 1: bang boom all downhill from here. If you want to
- 55:43Speaker 1: know more about scientific method, check out that article on
- 55:47Speaker 1: the economists, check out explorables uh, and then of course
- 55:50Speaker 1: check out the scientific method in the search bar at
- 55:53Speaker 1: how stuff works dot com. And since I said that
- 55:55Speaker 1: it's time for listener mail, that's right, but quickly before
- 56:01Speaker 1: listener mail. Uh. We get asked by listeners all the time,
- 56:06Speaker 1: what can we do? Since you have a free podcast,
- 56:08Speaker 1: we can't pay for it. What can we do to
- 56:10Speaker 1: help you? Guys? And one thing you can do that
- 56:13Speaker 1: we would appreciate is, uh, go to iTunes and leave
- 56:17Speaker 1: a rating and a review for us. That makes big,
- 56:20Speaker 1: big difference in keeping us up there in the rankings,
- 56:23Speaker 1: which means more people find stuff you should know after
- 56:26Speaker 1: they listen to Cereal they'll just say, well, jeez, there's
- 56:29Speaker 1: other podcasts in the world, what is this pod? So
- 56:34Speaker 1: ratings and reviews really help us out and it doesn't
- 56:36Speaker 1: cost you anything but a few minutes. Um, be honest,
- 56:39Speaker 1: We're not saying go leave us some great review, but
- 56:42Speaker 1: go leave us a great review. You said it, uh,
- 56:46Speaker 1: and told tell one person about stuff you should know.
- 56:48Speaker 1: We would appreciate that. To turn somebody onto the show
- 56:51Speaker 1: and um, that's it. That's our version of a pledge drive. Wow,
- 56:56Speaker 1: we do what once every three years. Not not very
- 57:00Speaker 1: obnoxious and it last alright. So on the listener mail,
- 57:03Speaker 1: this is from my sister in law. Actually, oh yeah,
- 57:06Speaker 1: there's some nepotism. Yeah, Jenny, Jenny Bryant, she mentioned in
- 57:11Speaker 1: the home school episode homeschooled her kids for a little while,
- 57:15Speaker 1: and she sort of corrected me. Uh, love the homeschooling episode, guys.
- 57:19Speaker 1: One very big trend these days in the home schooling
- 57:22Speaker 1: community is what Abbey, my niece does, which is hybrid homeschooling.
- 57:28Speaker 1: So two to three days a week she is at
- 57:30Speaker 1: school and then the rest of the time she does
- 57:32Speaker 1: a plant. She's not a plant. Uh, the rest of
- 57:36Speaker 1: time she's at home. So she says it's a great
- 57:38Speaker 1: option with curriculum provided and new topics sought at school
- 57:41Speaker 1: and then worked out at home. Many of these schools
- 57:44Speaker 1: are accredited making getting into college, including Ivy League schools,
- 57:49Speaker 1: Hassle Free and Abbey School has sports teams homecoming. Abbey
- 57:53Speaker 1: is actually an excellent volleyball player. Beta club newspaper staff
- 57:57Speaker 1: all the good stuff. The flexibility is great, for families,
- 58:01Speaker 1: and we are huge fans of how the hybrid approach
- 58:03Speaker 1: prepared students for college by allowing them time outside of
- 58:06Speaker 1: class to manage their work and life schedules. So that's
- 58:10Speaker 1: from Jenny Nice actually via text. The first listener mail
- 58:15Speaker 1: via text. How did you print that out? Did you
- 58:17Speaker 1: retype it and print it? No? Dude, are you serious?
- 58:21Speaker 1: You can print from texts? No, you just copy pasted
- 58:25Speaker 1: to an evening. Oh yeah, yeah, I forgot about that. Men, then,
- 58:28Speaker 1: how in the world did you did you do that?
- 58:31Speaker 1: With your thoughts? I have a niece who is excellent
- 58:35Speaker 1: at volleyball too. Yeah, how would we should get them together?
- 58:38Speaker 1: He's I don't know, it's time of eleven, okay, something
- 58:40Speaker 1: like that. Abby just turned thirteen, so there. Oh, maybe
- 58:43Speaker 1: they face off against Yeah? Is she in Atlanta? Yes,
- 58:47Speaker 1: she's something Canton. You never know where's Evie. She's in Roswell.
- 58:51Speaker 1: But they I think with volleyball they kind of have
- 58:53Speaker 1: played all over the state. Bizarre if they played each other. Yeah,
- 58:56Speaker 1: we'll just see each other at a match one day,
- 58:59Speaker 1: on opposite sides of the court with our arms folded. Yeah,
- 59:03Speaker 1: what else? I got nothing else? Well, like Chuck said,
- 59:06Speaker 1: go leave us a review, and if you want to
- 59:09Speaker 1: get in touch with us, you can tweet to us
- 59:11Speaker 1: at s y s K podcast. You can join us
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- 59:17Speaker 1: can email us. Can we still do that? Ye? You
- 59:21Speaker 1: can't text me at uh stuff podcast at how stuff
- 59:24Speaker 1: works dot com and has always joined us at our
- 59:26Speaker 1: home on the web, Stuff you Should Know dot com.
- 59:34Speaker 1: For more on this and thousands of other topics, is
- 59:36Speaker 1: it how stuff Works dot com